The Rest Is Politics - 537. Indicting Trump, Israeli Prisons, and Rory vs. Ed Miliband
Episode Date: May 27, 2026What connects Trump’s Cuba blockade and Ben Gvir’s abuse of flotilla activists? As Richard Tice denies climate change science, will reality catch up with Reform UK – and what is Rory’s issue w...ith Ed Miliband’s approach to net zero? Who is the most evil person Rory and Alastair have ever shaken hands with? Join Alastair and Rory as they answer all these questions and more in this week's edition of Question Time. __________ Go deeper into the world of The Rest Is Politics by signing up for our free newsletter HERE, featuring exclusive interviews, analysis and weekend reads from Alastair and Rory. Join The Rest Is Politics Plus. Start your free trial at therestispolitics.com to unlock exclusive bonus content – including Rory and Alastair’s miniseries – plus ad-free listening, early access to episodes and live show tickets, exclusive newsletters, discounted book prices, and a private chatroom on Discord. The Rest Is Politics is powered by Fuse Energy. Stop overpaying for energy. Switch at fuseenergy.com/politics and get a free TRIP+ subscription. Get our exclusive NordVPN deal here ➼ nordvpn.com/restispolitics It's risk-free with Nord's 30 day money back guarantee ✅ __________ Social Producer: Celine Charles Video Editor: Vasco Andrade Assistant Producer: Daisy Alston-Horne Producer: Evan Green Exec Producer: Emily Kent Smith Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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You would have a lot of grounds to prepare case against Trump for war crimes or corruption.
How would the US public react if we actually took seriously the fact that this man had broken multiple laws and that he would be under our jurisdiction?
Which government of the world would do it?
How much can Netanyahu continue to distance himself from this man and say that he isn't speaking from Israel so long as he leaves him in his government as the security minister?
There is going to be an election. Netanyahu probably feels that politically is not strong enough to do that.
Well, what does that mean, Alistair? I mean, of course he can fire him.
Well, he could, but what it means in political management is he thinks his coalition falls apart.
So in other words, he has to accept the risk of not being Prime Minister to get rid of a man who is utterly abhorrent from his government.
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Welcome to the rest of Boris question time with me, Alec.
And with me, Rory Stewart.
First start for question time, we're going to cover two big issues that relate to some of the things we're always talking about,
collapse of laws and collapse of norms.
And we're talking about Cuba, and we're also talking about Israel.
And then we're going to talk a little bit about reform.
And also who, I hope you've thought about it, Rory, who is the most evil handshake we've ever had to endure?
It's a disturbing question.
Well, let me start you on Cuba.
Yeah.
Anandi Mahadeo from Belfast.
the US is doing to Cuba, what Israel did to Gaza in the form of blockade.
Why is the UK government silent?
Am I allowed just a very quick explainer on Cuba and then straight back over to you?
Cuba is this Caribbean island, which is only about 90 miles off the coast of Florida.
In other words, it's closer to the United States than Manchester is to London.
Got about 11 million people.
And famously, having been very closely tied into the US economy in the 40s and 50s with sugar and
casinos and tourism. In fact, my Scottish great-grandfather worked as an engineer in a sugar
plantation in Cuba from 1920 to 1940 and would have been one of many, many foreigners as part of this
slightly exploitative United Fruit presence in Cuba. But in 1959, there was partly driven by
the abuse of United Fruit and the US and everybody else, a communist revolution, where Fidel Castro
was elected, and a very large number of Cubans fled to Florida, creating a very strong voter base in Florida of Cuban exiles who have pushed the United States very strongly to try to topple the communist government there.
Fidel Castro handed over to his brother Raoul, who become president, and Rao Castro now in his 90s remains very much the power behind the throne, very much the person that American administration is dealing with, although there have been two other presidents recently.
But the reason it's in the news is that President Trump and Marco Rubio, his Cuban-American
Secretary-State, who's been very focused on the Sissue because he's also from Florida,
have really decided to apply maximum pressure and appear to see this is the moment to finally topple
the regime in Cuba. Over to you.
Yeah, where to start. I guess a lot of this is about oil.
Cuba, since the revolution, has always had a big oil-producing international sponsor.
So for a long time through the Cold War, it was the Soviet Union.
Soviet Union collapses.
They had an economic crisis then.
Venezuela more recently and since the Americans took out Maduro and installed Delci
Rodriguez as president, there has been a blockade.
And Andy's question, is this doing to Cuba or Israel did to Gaza?
I can see the parallels, but I think the difference here, I think this more relates to
what we've already seen with Trump's administration, where they signal intent very, very strongly.
They did it in Venezuela, did it in Iran.
What I worry about what's going on with Cuba, which is basically running out of fuel.
There's no kind of people are living, you know, day-to-day hand-to-mouth because it is,
and it's just underlining how we all need energy and these energy flows in the modern age
where norms are breaking down, it becomes so important, even more important.
But there is effectively a bit of humanitarian catastrophe going on in Cuba.
And interestingly, going back to some of the things we talk about with Trump and the changing
world order, the question there, why is the UK government sign?
I'm sure the UK government has been saying things, but they haven't cut through to me.
The things that have cut through to me have been China and Russia condemning this as a
violation of sovereignty.
So it is underlining once more that we're in this very, very different world.
And of course, Trump is, as ever, he's really sort of using every weapon at his disposal.
There's economic warfare.
There are the military threats.
He sent the head of the CIA essentially to sit down with the government and say,
you don't need to go or you don't need to change or go.
And, of course, the threat of military action at the back of this.
So I think we're talking here about Trump.
We constantly talk about Trump wanting sort of, you know, right history.
He keeps saying that he's going to be the president,
who sorts out Cuba once and for all.
Now, he says that about a lot of things.
We'll see whether he actually manages to deliver.
But if I were Cuban right now, I'd be very, very worried.
We covered this actually a few weeks back,
where we talked about Lindsay Graham saying Iran now, Cuba's next.
And you've got this, a similar phenomenon that we have in all these interventions,
which is this large expatriate community,
who somehow feel that regime change is going to work out.
You know, the number of Iranians who said to me,
I don't understand, I thought this was going to work out,
that they'd be able to topple the regime. And we saw the same actually with Iraq and Afghanistan and Libya that often
educated people from a country living elsewhere, particularly in the United States,
developed very optimistic ideas about what will happen if they can just trigger regime change,
that they can somehow put the world back to the world that they knew, which in the case of Cuba's a very long time ago,
back to the 1950s. I think your point also about how anomalous Cuba's getting,
how devastating the collapse the Soviet Union was to their economy.
how they hoped under Obama that, because Obama was quite brave on Cuba in terms of opening up
and really thinking about how to integrate Cuba into the American economy and what a more gentle
way of reintegrating with Cuba would be, which of course was destroyed by Trump One.
I think the other final thing just before we move on that strikes me again and again when dealing
with the US is the sense that America is reminding us day by day that it is willing to do things
to other countries, that it would never countenance anyone doing to it. I was talking to one of my
sons yesterday, and I was describing Trump's corruption. And he said, well, obviously, you know,
what needs to happen is if the US won't arrest him for corruption, is when he lands in some other
country, a European country, we need to have a sealed indictment and arrest him, put him on trial.
Which child was this?
That's actually the younger child.
Brilliant.
Sealed indictment.
But nine-year-olds. It's good. It's good stuff, right? So I thought, actually, that's really interesting, because of course, you would have a lot of grounds to do it, a lot of grounds to prepare a case against Trump for war crimes or corruption. But my goodness, the American reaction would be so hostile when they're very, very happy. You know, the number of Latin American presidents, they seem to be able to indict, lock up, people their arrest when they step down in the United States. People they actually extradite when they're not.
even in the United States. They capture them in other airports. But it would be fascinating,
even with everybody who hates Trump, how would the U.S. public react if we actually took
seriously the fact that this man had broken multiple laws and that he would be under our
jurisdiction and the way the U.S. tries to claim that almost everyone in the world is subject
to U.S. Department of Justice jurisdiction? Which government of the world would do it? Spain.
Sanchez.
But this goes back to this point about how the norms are breaking down.
For example, when Netanyahu was traveling to different parts of the world,
having to go navigate through complicated airspace because there were certain countries he feared getting arrested.
Putin the same thing when he's traveling around the world.
It's a very interesting thought.
But of course, what's happening is that Trump thinks he can get away with anything.
The nine-year-old also pointed out that I shouldn't say this on the podcast.
because Trump might notice the threat. He really thought it was important. We concealed this and then
sprung it on. Okay. His idea was that he'd turn up on holiday and we'd be able to get him on
holiday. Well, we could get him at a golf course near you any weekend, I suppose.
Including what he doesn't go to his own son's wedding.
Listen, Alice, so just to be just to be serious for a second, I don't think I'd ever,
until I really saw Trump do it, completely understood that the American government basically
decides that American law is international law, and that if the Department of Justice
decides that somebody has broken American rules on corruption or money laundering or drug,
so terrorism or anything, effectively they can be captured pretty much anywhere in the world
and put on trial in the United States.
So what would they think if we did it to them?
They wouldn't be very happy.
But I'm trying to, I mean, you say Spain, I'm not, I honestly can't think of a government
that would do it.
China, one day, maybe.
It's fascinating, though, that one wouldn't.
And it would be interesting to see how a democratic president would respond.
Would they somehow be so USA?
I guess they'd be so pro-USA that they would launch a massive formal protest against the
rest of a US president, regardless of the fact is Donald Trump.
But just on, you know, you mentioned Rao Castro, Fidel's brother.
So he's now 94.
Yeah.
And when we talk about he's using economic and military and legal, you know,
the Department of Justice indicted Castro at 94 on murder charges.
Okay.
So they've decided, so we've had several governments in the American, in the White House,
since 1996, but they've now decided that these two civilian aircraft that were downed,
that Castro was responsible, okay?
And Todd Blanche, the Attorney General, who clearly does whatever Trump tells them to,
stresses this is not a symbolic indictment, I suspect it is. I don't think Rao Castro is going to be
hauled off like Maduro was. But I think it's a very good point. It's a very, very good point.
I'm going to spend the whole evening thinking about which country might actually...
What about Denmark? Denmark. What are Denmark? Pretty good. Denmark. Pretty good. Demarming. Pretty good.
I mean, if you're allowed to do what the US does, which applies domestic law to other people's precedents,
there's a lot of things he could be indicted on.
Well, maybe on the point about why is the UK government being so silent, maybe your children should become the UK government.
Well, that's a sort of possibility.
Except as we pointed out in the last episode, that wouldn't be as profitable as putting them in these amazing private sector positions in.
Indeed, indeed.
Now, let's move on.
Richard, what did you make of the treatment of Gaza flotilla activists by Itamar
Ben-Gavir and the Israeli forces.
And if people haven't seen this, it's flotilla, I think about 400 people from 40 or different
countries.
I mean, largely symbolic, but, you know, with stuff that they're going to try and
get to Gaza, they were essentially, you know, picked up by the Israeli authorities, and they
were put in this place.
And the pictures that were put out were of Ben-Gavir taunting them, abusing them.
They were made to kneel.
They had their foreheads on the ground.
And he was basically laughing at them, frankly, for being activists.
It's very interesting, isn't it?
I mean, I think it's, we often talk about how norms have been eroded,
so that it takes a little bit of time to remind ourselves of what any other country would have done,
or in fact, actually, what Israel might have done even quite recently compared to what Benkever did.
I mean, let's imagine, for whatever reason, I know it's a daft analogy,
but let's imagine for whatever reason there was a flotilla protesting the policy of some European state.
and it chugged among, I guess what would happen is the police would intercept them and they would
politely take them away, right? In this case, what happens is the Israeli military board these
vessels hundreds of miles off the Israeli coast in international waters. They bought them with full
face masks, full body armor, full weapons, although as far as one can tell, there is no military
threat posed by the people on those. It's a peace flotella, right? They're a bunch of
peace activists. And despite the fact these people do not pose any form of plausible threat to the
Israeli military, they are handcuffed and put in stress positions. So they're made to kneel down
on the deck with their heads and deck. And Ben-Gavir then walks amongst them waving an Israeli flag,
shouting, this is what happens to you, this is what's going to happen to you. And I'm just trying
to think, have I ever seen any government do this? I don't think the Chinese government would do it.
I don't think the Russian government would do it. I mean, it's actually very non-governmental. It's
much more reminiscent of what non-governmental armed groups do, which is to stage humiliations
with people with flags shouting at social media with people kneeling down in front of them.
You know, you've had hostages that have been used by states, but I think you're right.
I think this is more synonymous of a kind of non-state state actor.
If you think about what the hostages normally do, they normally present them on state television,
don't they, but what you don't see is the ministers sort of striding amongst them waving flags and shouting abuse.
I mean, there's another video that Ben Gavir put out a few months ago, which is him in prison.
So, I mean, I was a prison's minister, so I was looking quite closely at the video that he put out.
In the video, he has lined up a whole series of Israeli soldiers who are pointing their automatic weapons through the windows of the cells at the unarmed prisoners, all of them.
in a line. Now, first see, none of the prisoners has a weapon because their search before they
enter the prison, right? Secondly, in our jurisdiction, our prison officers don't carry guns at all.
The idea that you would have an automatic weapon pointed through every window, and then they're
all pulled out, they're all made to kneel again in the corridor, and Ben-Gavir's walking amongst
them. It's obviously been staged for him as the prison minister saying, this is how we treat
to people I'm very pleased to say, except one thing I say to you, Mr. Netanyahu, they should all be
killed. They should all be executed. I don't care how. Electric chair doesn't matter. They should all be
executed. Now, Nathan Yahoo then says that he disapproves, but he doesn't fire him. So how much does
he disapprove? How much can Nathaniahu continue to distance himself from this man and say that he
isn't speaking from Israel so long as he leaves him in his government as the security minister?
has got a track record of, he says he's really, really proud that he's basically brought in a
regime of effectively brutality in the prisons. It was a horrible thing I read recently about,
you know, rape inside prisons that's been used as a kind of weapon against some of these guys.
Israeli prison officers raping Palestinians, which has been covered by Israeli non-profits who've
reported it, right?
Correct.
This is Israeli human rights organizations have exposed the sexual abuse of Palestinian prison.
And why is that relevant? Because on the other side, Israel weaponised sexual abuse of Israelis who had been captured by Hamas. And yet the conversation is never integrated. It's spoken about in two completely different ways, as though it's happening in two totally different worlds.
And also, although Netanyahu, as you say, has rebuked publicly Ben-Gavir on a couple of occasions on that specific thing, he basically said that he did not criticize what was the evidence that the people involved.
in the evidence that was produced.
In fact, he called them heroes, didn't he at one point?
He did.
He did.
He did.
And this one, you've got to go some as Ben Gavir to have both Netanyahu and the American ambassador
to Israel, Mike Huckabee, who basically is one of those, let Israel do whatever the hell
it wants, it seems to me.
He called Ben Gavir's actions despicable.
But, but I said he do anything about it?
Do anyone stop the money going?
Are there any sanctions?
Is there any actions?
I doubt it.
I doubt it.
Netanyahu doesn't fire him.
The Americans aren't taking any of it.
action against them?
Yeah.
So what does Ben-Givir conclude?
Yeah, I don't know.
He concludes you can carry on.
But I was looking at the law, and again, you know, back to one of our central themes,
does international humanitarian law mean anything anymore?
But it says those involved in the transport and distribution of relief must be respected
and protected during armed conflict.
They are to be treated as civilians so long as they do not directly take part in hostilities.
And they have the rights, if they are, in circumstances where the civilians are,
detained, they have, under international law, they must be informed of the reasons, be able
to challenge the decision, receive adequate food, hygiene and medical care, be given access
to lawyers and consular representatives, and be held in condition that consistent with health
and humanity.
And here's where we get on to Ben Gavir and how he treats them.
They are to be protected from cruel, humiliating or degrading treatment, intimidation and
insults and public curiosity or degrading public exposure. And public curiosity is meant to be
prohibiting any display of the detainees for propaganda or for public spectacle. Well, that is
exactly what Benghavir was doing. Well, the thing that's so striking to me is I'm continuing to
receive endless emails from my friends in Australia. And these are highly educated Australian,
Jewish friends of mine was relatives in Israel, whose response to this is not in any way to criticize
Benkevier, but instead to immediately send me something saying that the whole Nakba, the whole
expulsion of Palestinians, was a fraud and that it was all a lie and that it never happened.
So the narrative bubbles, and this is painful, right? I mean, the guy that's sending me this,
I like very much, right? I've known him for many, many years, but I have a sense of people in total
silos and bubbles, in which it's almost impossible to have a common conversation, in which
the vast majority of the Israeli population still support what's happening in Iran, which the rest
of the world thinks is damaging the global economy and achieving nothing. The vast majority of
people in Israel support the actions in Gaza. And my friend in Australia is saying,
well, if you're trying to describe this as war crimes or genocide, are you suggesting that the
vast majority of the Israeli population support war crimes and genocide, because if so, that's an
anti-Semitic trope. Well, that is that is kind of where part of the debate is, I still think
there are enough Israelis who will be absolutely horrified by seeing what Bengavir did. That being
said, there is going to be an election. Netanyahu probably feels, you know, that's your
question, why doesn't Netanyahu fire him? He probably feels that politically is not strong enough
to do that. Well, what does that mean, Alistair? I mean, of course he can fire him.
Well, he could, but what it means, what he means in political management is he thinks his coalition
falls apart. So in other words, he has to accept the risk of not being Prime Minister to get
rid of a man who is utterly abhorrent from his government. Rory, we're talking about somebody who's
been Prime Minister for many, many years over a long, long period of time. He was Prime Minister
when I first went into Downey Street with Tony Blair as Prime Minister. So the moral question
is fairly obvious to you and to me. The political management question he's thinking through
is because Netanyahu's desperate to stay in power,
for all sorts of reasons, including personal reasons to do with these corruption charges that he's facing,
he's got to have an election at some point.
And I don't know what outcome he would want from that election.
He would probably like to have a majority where he didn't necessarily need to fill his government
with people like Ben-Gavir.
I don't know.
But Ben-Gavir, when the video is being made of him waving his flag and abusing the people
from the flotillo, part of his mind will be thinking,
this will be a good campaign video for me.
Yeah, and that tells you a lot about politics.
I'm doing this.
You're in Hong Kong.
I'm two miles from the Israeli border in Jordan at the moment talking to you.
I mean, I think one of the things that is so striking for me
is how radicalized people are becoming on both sides.
The local Starbucks, for example, no longer exists
because people have boycotted it.
I went into the local bookshop
and where there used to be lots of children's books
and travel books. The tables are now simply piled with books about Palestine and people's
experience of Palestine and their memoirs of Palestine and what's happening in Palestine. And I also
feel that there's a risk that he gets away with Ben Gavir and Smotrich by saying to people,
of course, I don't want them in my government, but I leave them in as finance and security
minister because it's vital for my political survival and my coalition. And that he shouldn't
be able to get away with that one should be able to say, Ben Gavir and Smotritch are horrifying people.
if you put them in your cabinet, you're endorsing them. You don't get to say, well, I don't really
like them, but I'm keeping them anyway because they're important for me to be prime minister.
I don't think he even goes around the place saying he doesn't like them. I think he felt on
this one he had to condemn it because virtually, you know, most governments around the world
were doing so. But I think all of that will have, will have boosted Ben-Givir's own sense,
that from his perspective, politically as a guy who's known to be such an extremist and who says
some terrible things about Palestinians.
And he probably felt the same about these people.
I mean, he was abusive, he was insulting.
But look, the point you're making about your Australian friends, though, is I've not
got anybody quite like that.
But I do think there is definitely of all the issues around which there is this extreme
polarization, I would say it's probably top of the list right now.
It's very hard to have conversations with people on either side who feel really.
really, really, really passionate. But I think that's what we've all got to try to do, even when
provoked by something as bad as this has to be called out. But then we somehow have to get back
to some of the basics. The worst thing for me in relation to Gaza is that we're not talking
about it. And what's happening with the settlers? I mean, that again, I mean, many of the people
I've seen recently are people who are Palestinians and who have relatives and Nablos and Hebron.
and as we've described, the settlers now seem to be able to do almost whatever they want.
They can drive in with SUVs into the middle of Olive Grove's, wave guns around.
One friend of mine was saying settlers can almost go into the main streets and shoot someone,
and the Israeli army will protect them.
And the gamble, I think, is that they're just hoping that Palestinians will leave.
The economy's collapsing in Ramallah and in other Palestinian towns.
the Israeli controlled areas are expanding all the time and they're coterminous.
And I think any idea of a two-state solution is completely, completely out the window.
I mean, and Smotrich appears to have a kind of cruel and inevitable logic on his side
in suggesting the whole thing is just going to become Israel.
Right, well, on that very depressing note, let's take a break.
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That was easy.
Welcome back to the Restless Politics Question Time with me, Rory Stewart.
And me, Alastair Campbell.
Now, Rory, Vinod, gentleman by the name of Vinod,
have you seen the car crash interview that Richard Tice did with Bloomberg,
where he refused to engage with simple factual questions
about the science of climate change and its economic realities?
Curiously, this is getting virtually zero coverage.
Right. Well, let's first try to sort of summarize what actually happened in this interview.
So he was presented with graphs, he refused to look at them.
He calls it net stupid zero.
You can't present with the whole lot of graphs that I can't read that may well be bullshit,
but this terminates now, it's the end of the podcast.
I want to do two things.
I want to agreeably disagree with you on your friend Ed Miliband's energy policy,
which I think is actually becoming a real problem.
And I'm hoping strongly, but I think it's unlikely that whoever comes in gives them the heave-ho.
But I'm not prepared to go as far as defending Richard Tice,
who I think is clearly a climate change denying bizarro.
on this. I mean, over to you on Tyce first.
No, I want to go straight into. Why do you want to get with Ed Miliband?
Well, are you buying the Richard Ties arguments that Ed Miliband is in trying to sort of, you know,
play a leadership role on climate change? He's kind of destroying the world. Is that where we are?
No, I don't think Ed Miliband's destroying the world, but I think that in looking for the kind of
things which are causing a big problem for the British economy and its competitiveness and its product
we've got to be honest about the fact that our industrial energy prices are very, very high.
I mean, they're four times those, the US, and they're one and a half times those of key European competitors.
But how does that relate to what Ed Millard Mann's trying to do on the green agenda?
Well, because the reason why the energy prices are high is because of the policies pursued by the government.
I mean, we are gas dependent, but in theory, that should apply equally to France and Germany and to other countries.
a lot, use a lot of gas, including the US. The reason our prices are so high cannot simply be
about wholesale gas price, or if it is, we're doing something weird in the way that it's calculated,
which again falls at Edmilaband's door. But it's about the way in which the whole energy
market is run in the UK, and in particular the hurry with which Edmillaband is pushing ahead
for his particular 2030 targets. And why does it matter? Well, it matters because if you're a steel
producer, it's really difficult to compete with European steel production. But most importantly
of all, I'm, as you know, obsessed with AI and what we can do for our sovereignty and how we can
stop ourselves being completely in hoc to the US and China when it comes to AI. We need to build
data centers. If we don't have in the UK the chips and the data centers and they consume an
enormous amount of energy, we're going to be completely vulnerable to the US destroying our economy
taking away all our jobs, threatening our national security, and we can't get them built.
And one of the major reasons we can't get them built, along with normal British problems with
planning, is the energy costs are just too high. I mean, in many cases, we're paying 24 pence
when people like the Norwegians, the Portuguese, are paying 10 pence for the same unit of energy.
But you can't put that all at Ed Miliband's door.
Listen, Roy, Roy, nor can we have a question about Richard Tice become a big discussion
of Rory's saying Ed Miliband should go.
Can I just say to something you understand, AI, Rory?
I was at a lovely place called Brescia yesterday in Italy.
You just jumped from Italy to Hong Kong in a day.
I know.
My green credentials are not very good this week.
But anyway, this conference in Brescia is called the Future Proof Society,
and it was sort of looking at all sorts of, you know, different this and that.
But you'd have loved this discussion I had with a couple of people.
Actually, one of them was totally against AI and just wanted to stop the whole damn thing.
But one of the other people who's involved in this discussion
we're having said that the UK is actually extraordinarily well-placed.
America and China are absolutely running away with everything.
That is true.
But if you were looking for a kind of, you know, best placed to get into the runner-up slot,
it is the UK.
And this was an American guy who, and basically said a lot of it was about our education,
but also about some of the stuff that the government was doing.
You mentioned that $2 billion dollar-pound thing that we were doing on quantum last week.
but essentially the infrastructure that's been built,
and I guess Rishi Sunat was part of this when he was prime minister as well.
So I was quite cheered up by that.
You're completely right.
We've got outside the US and China,
we've probably got the strongest global talent pool.
So we talk about Demis and Sabas and DeepMind.
We've got language, we've got legal system, but time zone.
Our real problem is energy and the data centers.
these new frontier models
can involve
hundreds of thousands of advanced chips
even a million advanced chips
so you can be looking for one gigawatt,
two gigawatts in the US currently
they've got about 45 gigawatts
of built power around these data centers
and that's probably going to double
in the next three, four years.
In the UK we're hovering around
depending on which figures you look out
between 1.6 and 3 to give a sense and the difference.
UAE is looking to build out 5 gigawatts.
Now, why does that matter?
It matters because at the moment,
if all the large language models exist in the United States,
President Trump can do, effectively,
what's happening at the moment with mythos,
which is say, this thing can't be exported from the US,
and all the latest technologies in the US,
all the innovations in the US,
all the growth is in the US,
it's sort of extreme example of what's going on already
with a magnificent 7,
with all these hypers, suck in the world economy.
And we will then find that all the native AI law firms are created in the US, not with us,
all the tax revenue will go to the US.
We'll lose jobs.
So let's say, we talked about that's the last episode,
we suddenly start massively laying off people in banks, people in call centers,
people in software.
Suddenly the UK government's got to find the revenue to pay the unemployment benefit,
but it's not getting any taxation revenue because it's not taxing any income.
And all the companies are America.
So how do we deal with that?
I think having the data centers,
you to do one of three things. In the best case scenario, you could actually build your own
frontier model and actually be able to run it and have the chips and have all the parameters and the
weights in the UK. Second potential is you could provide a safe haven for one of the American
companies. So let's say Trump suddenly decided to go crazy on Anthropic or Open AI. You could actually
say, why don't you come to the UK to host your model here, which you can't do at the moment,
because we simply don't have the infrastructure. They couldn't come here. And the third thing is,
even if you weren't able to do that, maybe that's unrealistic, if these companies were able to use
data centers to the UK to run even 20, 30 percent of their models, we would have leverage.
A future President Trump wouldn't be able to switch the stuff off and say, you know,
I'm going to abuse the United Kingdom and get the handover, whatever, because we would have
leverage over the United States. But to get there, we've got to build these data centers.
And one of the major reasons we can't build them to kind of link back is that our cost of energy is too high.
Well, I'm going to issue an apology to Vindod because he asked as a question basically
he wanted us to put the boot into Richard Tice, since when you took us down the Ed Miliband rabbit hole,
and I then led you into the AI rabbit hole.
So Vinod, what I'm going to do on the, to hit back at you, because I feel I should defend
Ed Miliband, because he was my politician of the year last year.
He's a regular listener.
I'm going to ask whether he might do his own rebuttal for the newsletter.
I think that would be a very good thing to do, because I want to get back to.
to the point about why reform don't like being scrutinized. It's very, very true. Look at Farage
with these. I mean, Farage will normally leap in front of any TV camera anywhere in the world
to give you his bon-a-mee and his schick. This five million donation where he keeps changing
his story, he's nowhere to be seen. The funding generally of reform, nowhere to be seen.
And they won't come on our show. I mean, you know, you started by trying to get Nigel Farage,
and he wouldn't come on. I've now asked reform MPs. I've asked reform policy leads. All of them
say, I'm afraid this isn't one for me. None of them will come on their show. Now, open invitation.
We're very happy to have an open conversation. Look at our interview, even with people we have
serious disagreements with, like President Wuchich in Serbia. We'll give you a fair hearing, but why
won't you come on a huge show where millions of people can hear your views? What's going on, reform?
And also, we discovered, we discovered actually that we do have some reform supporters who listen to the podcast, probably so they can shout at us, but even so we do have some.
No, I think, look, the answer to the question, Roy, is that Trump has created his own media ecosystem, and that's what Farage is trying to do in the UK.
Trump has Fox News and the MAGA people. That's their safe haven. Farage has GB News.
Farage has several newspapers that absolutely give him the easiest ride in the world.
As Vinod says, Tice's interview where he just behaves like a child, gets zero coverage.
This is a guy who's going to, if reform become the government, he's going to be a very, very serious figure.
There's these amazing videos doing the rounds online of some of these reform councillors
who basically, the one that's really sort of, I think, please stop selling it to be people,
is the one where the woman who says, you know, I don't know what constitution is,
I don't understand what a standing order is.
I don't know what I'm supposed to be doing.
And she's still leading a council.
So you've got all these councillors are falling by the wayside.
But do you see any of that in most of the media?
No.
So basically, Farage things.
If you just ignore this stuff, he'll go away.
Now, if I were him, if I were Nigel Farage,
and I would, I'd think, well, when he was presenting LBC,
I used to go in his show quite regularly,
or we had perfectly civil conversations.
We did once have a very aggressive shouting match on television,
but that was right after Brexit.
Nearly came to blows, but not quite.
But if he came on our podcast,
we would do what we do with every other guest.
We would go through their childhood,
we would go through their life,
we'd ask them what they'd think.
And yes, we would want to challenge him and press him
over certain things.
Yes, I would absolutely want to hold his feet to the fire
about the damage that Brexit has done to the country.
But we would not do it in a way to try and get cheap headlines,
got your stuff and the rest of it.
But I think Vinod's got a point.
I think they are scared of jell.
genuine scrutiny. They like nice short videos, they're like newspaper headlines that they write
with the right-wing press, and they're like GB News. Anyway, on the subject of reform, we had a
wonderful discussion in the main episode with Vicki Spratt, who did our mini-series on Gen Z.
Lo and behold, we've got another mini-series. And the first episode arrives this Friday, the day
after this question time episode, and it's all about reform and where the money comes from. And it's
very, very interesting. The first episode will be available for everyone. Mr. Tice, by the way,
features prominently, but to enjoy the whole series, you'll need to sign up to the rest is
Politics Plus at the rest is politics.com. Well, Alastair, here is a question, which comes from
Matthew, who's a trip plus member from Biddingham, that he's been wanting to ask you for a couple
weeks, and I think you mentioned that you were going to answer it for us. So go on, give us an answer.
The question is this. I recently watched a documentary that Alistair featured in.
And it was a clip of TB and Alastair, Tony Blair and Alastair meeting Vladimir Putin.
And I saw that Alistair shook Putin's hand.
Question to both Rory the Tory and Alistair, well, they're in Rory the Tory.
Rory the Tory and Alistair, who's the most evil person you have shaken the hands with?
Go on then you first.
I've thought about this a lot.
Oh, blammy.
I haven't thought about a lot.
Okay, so I think I would put people into three different categories.
what I would call the brutal leader, the violent warlord, and the careless destroyer.
So first category, brutal leader.
I mean, I have shaken hands with President Suharto, who we were talking about,
present Kabila in the Congo, present Emerson Menangagawa in Zimbabwe,
In the second category down of the people who actually commit the violence on the ground,
in Iraq, the heads of all the Shia militias that were putting shaped charges against this.
In one case, a guy called Assad who I had lunch with in the morning and who attacked my compound the following evening.
Afghan warlords like Abdul Rashid Dostom or Sayaf.
And we've, of course, both shaken hands with the former head of al-Qaeda.
Syria, now the president of Syria. But the category of evil that I'm most interested in is
one which we don't talk about much when we talk about evil. And I think it's something
that C.S. Lewis is quite interesting on, which is that we tend to think about evil as
though it's sort of Voldemort or Hitler, sort of very, very extreme cartoonish figures.
My sense is that evil is often something closer to each of us. And partly it's a
extreme carelessness and selfishness and not really caring about other people.
And that's where I feel people like Donald Trump or Boris Johnson come closest.
What I felt with Boris is, of course, he's not a genocidal guy, he's never killed anybody.
He's sort of a hell-fellow Wilmet.
But in the extent of his carelessness, his recklessness in private relationships,
his relationship to truth,
what he did was Brexit,
the way he ran the country,
the sense that everybody else
is a sort of joke or a game,
that also is a form of sin
and if I was going to push it higher,
maybe even a form of evil,
and maybe one that I'm closer to myself
before I lay into Boris Johnson.
Then, over to you.
God, you sort of sounded like a bit like a vicar there.
That was a very good sermon.
I enjoyed that.
There's a, by the,
you'll have a published,
at the morning. Roy is very just what you said about evil and the various categories of evil.
It could be a great book. We've got the question a couple of weeks ago, as you say,
and I've been thinking about it. And I'm assuming that he imagines that it would be Putin.
And certainly Putin, I think, in my defense, I didn't think he was totally evil at the time.
But I also think the truth is, you've gone through with some of the names you've mentioned,
that in politics and in government, you have to shake hands with a lot of people that you wouldn't
necessarily, you know, want to want to go on hold.
holiday with them. During the Northern Ireland peace process, I definitely shook hands with quite a lot
of people who'd killed people. I remember once meeting a guy who had been on the IRA Army Council
and somebody told me afterwards that, you know, he was the guy who really knew how to do the
bombs and made them and all the rest of it. So Putin gets close because, of course, the other
definition, I think, of political evil, you know, at the moment, President Zelensky is responsible
for a lot of deaths of Russians,
just as the Russians are responsible
with a lot of death of Ukrainians.
Putin also does kill some of his own people.
We mentioned Navalny.
Fiona and I, in the car last week,
we were listening to this amazing book,
London Falling,
by Patrick Raddenkief.
I've been reading it on your recommendation.
It is extraordinary.
Incredible, isn't it?
Small subtext on that.
Did you know that he, at the age of 50,
got a J-Crew modelling contract?
No, I didn't.
Is this what you just?
turn 50? There's hope for us all. But one of the sections of the book where he's just going through,
because Russia gets involved in at a certain point, just going through all the people who kind of fell out of windows.
And I'm reading at the moment, I'm now reading the book Nord Stream Conspiracy.
And again, Putin and his ability to, I mean, honestly, Angela Merkel has not coming well out of this book because basically you get the sense that Russia is playing her and
keeping her in the Nord Stream thing.
And anyway, it's just, it's a bit like the, it's a bit like London falling.
It's a kind of, it's a, it's a, it's a nonfiction book written as an absolute thriller.
Um, so Putin sort of weaves in and out all these terrible stories.
But I think the reason why he's only my runner up is because the winner of the most evil
hand I ever shook was actually somebody who really killed a lot of his own people and,
and just ruined his, totally ruined his own country.
And that was Mugabe.
I really had a sense meeting...
Did you ever meet Mugabe?
No, because that's why I went to Menongagua's inauguration.
Oh, of course you went to the inauguration after Mugabe was toppled, yeah.
And he was just, he just emanated.
He just didn't enjoy being in the same space.
He had this horrible manner about him.
He was surrounded like a lot of authoritarian leaders are by sycophants, sort of, you know,
banging and scraping as he walked.
He had the most ridiculously expensive suits.
I think even Xi Jinping would struggle to match Mugabe on the suit front and his little,
his handmade shoes with his little, with his initials on the inside of all this sort of
horrible stuff.
But I just think in terms of what he did to his own country, absolutely evil.
And of course, you know, going back to the discussion on the main point about, in the main
episode about corruption, all that too.
So I think it's probably him.
I think that he takes the gold medal from Vlad.
Good.
Okay. A final thing, you would be tempting with book recommendations, which we sometimes do at the end. And in doing a bit of research on corruption, shout out for three books I really took to.
Actually, one of them was London, of course, which links quite a lot to issues of money in London.
Yeah, totally.
Cleptopopia by Tom Burgess, which is an extraordinary story about international money. Moneyland by Oliver Bolo.
They are both absolute. Those two guys have done, and I've got to be honest, reading their book,
which I did a while back and listening to this, the corruption part of this book,
it does make me feel slightly sick that when we were in government,
we didn't do more to stop this whole Russian laundromat situation in London.
Because there's no doubt that we were, I think there's a line in London falling.
We didn't just sort of open the door.
We kind of rolled out the red carpet to them.
So yeah, both brilliant books.
Well, my final one is Sarah Chays. And Sarah Chays was in Afghanistan when I was there running an amazing non-profit in Kandahar. And she became very focused on corruption in Afghanistan and then became an advisor to the chairman of the Joint Chiefs and tried to make anti-corruption central to the project in Afghanistan. But she's now written a book on corruption in America. And it begins with this McDonald case that I was talking about in our main podcast yesterday.
this case of this governor basically getting away with taking this huge amounts of money and not being prosecuted.
And it hasn't got the pickup it should have done. People seem to be much happier buying her book
criticizing corruption in Afghanistan, which was really celebrated everywhere. When she starts trying to
point out corruption in America, people sort of struggle a little bit more. I think the story is
extraordinary. And I think it's partly, to return maybe to what we were talking about, what Sarah shows us,
is how the American legal system and the constitutional system is just not fit for purpose
in an age of billion dollar campaign financing crypto and the growth of the new tech sector.
And I think we should maybe listeners, tell us who your most evil handshake ever is.
And you can't say, nobody's allowed to say they're in-laws.
I was actually trying to write down a list.
It became a very long list in the end.
Yeah.
Well, I mean, of course you met Jeffrey Epstein, didn't you?
He shook his hand, too.
I did shake his hand, yeah.
Yeah.
So there's very different forms of evil we could be talking about.
I mean, I was trying not to say that I had teachers at school who were subsequently
prosecuted for child abuse, who I knew well.
I mean, so there's lots of different types of evil from inflicting horrible pain on children
right the way through to, you know, conducting genocidal campaigns in the Democratic Republic
of the Congo through to the casual carelessness of some of our democratic politicians.
There's also the thug
Who stole my Burnley hat when I was eight
At Main Road, Manchester City
What, what a man stole up from an eight-year-old?
An adult
Stole up for an eight-year-old
Yeah
Well, that's a bit mean
That's a bit mean
That's a kind of stealing candy for kids
Yeah, that's pretty bad
Yeah, if you're listening to this
And you're old people's home
I hope you're sorry
Yeah
And I hope you know
Maybe serves you right
That Arsenal won the Premier League
And you didn't
A. I've got a long memory, Rory.
Anyway, lovely to talk to you as ever.
Lovely to talk to you. Speak soon.
Bye-bye.
See you soon.
Bye-bye.
