The Ringer NFL Show - CMC, Kelce, Reba, Usher, and the Super Bowl Prop Bet Bonanza

Episode Date: February 7, 2024

The guys are here to run through their favorite prop bets for Super Bowl LVIII, including Deebo Samuel to win MVP, which player will have the longest air yards on a single reception, how long Reba McE...ntire will take to sing the national anthem, and what Usher’s first word will be at the halftime show (2:07). “You guys want to do some emails?” (54:43) Check out our 2024 Ringer NFL Draft Guide here! Email us! ringerfantasyfootball@gmail.com The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please check out theringer.com/RG to find out more or listen to the end of the episode for additional details. Hosts: Danny Heifetz, Danny Kelly, and Craig Horlbeck Social: Kiera Givens and Jack Sanders Producer: Kai Grady Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 What's up, guys, it's your boy Johnny Bananas, and I'll be covering all the treachery, deceit, backstabbing, and murder from Season 2 of the Traders U.S. on my podcast, Death Taxes, and Bananas. I'll be joined all season by my fellow castmates to swap stories, provide all the behind-the-scenes antics, and sorted details from filming. So Sally 4th, and join me for Season 2 of the Traders every Saturday on the Ringer reality TV podcast feed. Welcome to the Ringer Fantasy Football Show. My name is Danny Hyfitts, and I am joined by Danny Kelly and Craig Rolbeck,
Starting point is 00:00:48 and we are looking at prop bets for the Super Bowl, baby. This is my favorite thing all year. This is my favorite kind of gambling. I agree. Just dumb? Just dumb as hell? Yeah. Yeah, look, I'm not even in this to make money.
Starting point is 00:01:01 I'm in this to have fun. Yeah. And look, playing a sport costs money, gambling costs money, and I like it, no matter what. I like researching the national anthem. I don't care if I win. Most of the fun is in the prepping for it. Dude, so much to, okay, so much to get it to. Put a pin in that for a moment.
Starting point is 00:01:20 Just a reminder. After the Super Bowl, we here at the Ringer Fantasy Football Show are changing the name of our feed to the Ringer NFL draft show. We're going to have Mr. Ben Solek on. We're going to be coming to you twice a week and talk everything. Offseason draft. Obviously, it's a draft show. It's a draft. Free agency trades.
Starting point is 00:01:35 You talk all of it. We do weird stuff. We do a drinking game. We at Adam Schifter's Twitter. A lot of stuff. Email, still email ringing. Fantasy Football at gmail.com. Please, if you've gotten this far with us,
Starting point is 00:01:45 please stick with us. The offseason's kind of better and even weirder than the during the season. So we never asked us. Hit follow. Hit subscribe. Like, because we're changing the name. There's a reason.
Starting point is 00:01:55 We're not just begging. Give us those stars. Get five stars. Love them stars. Love that money. So follow the show. We're going to change the name. We're going to talk about it a lot.
Starting point is 00:02:04 Anyway, so stick with us for the off season. Today we're doing the Super Bowl. You know what? Should we just get to it? Craig, you mentioned the national. anthem. I saw something I've never seen. It's not just the anthem. I saw a line. And again, prop bets, if you don't know, this is like my whole life. I saw that there were odds on Post Malone
Starting point is 00:02:24 singing America the Beautiful, which I don't remember ever seeing an over under on the length of America the Beautiful before. Oh, really? I feel like that's been there. But see, I stayed away from that because post Malone, it's like he's a singer. He kind of started more as a rapper. Now he's kind of a singer. I don't know what he's like, like, more from an acapella standpoint. He can't. He can sing. He actually is quite good at singing. He kind of is like T-Pain, where, like, you assume he's not a good singer, but he's
Starting point is 00:02:51 actually great. But, like, I just feel like I have so much less data. I have no idea what he does with, like, a mic in his hand at a stadium, singing an acapella song. That's how we get the edge, though. Maybe that's right. Do you have a feel? Are you leaning any which way for Post?
Starting point is 00:03:04 I don't know. I just know the story of Post Malone had a concert at, I think, the Chief Stadium, and Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelsey were there. And then Post Malone was like, let's play beer pong and then obviously Mahomes and Kelsey are good. So they beat him 10 to nothing in beer pong. And then postmoan wouldn't go on stage until he beat Mahomes and Kelsey and he couldn't. So he lost 10 games in a row and then had to go on stage.
Starting point is 00:03:23 That's all I know. So he like tilted playing beer pong. Yeah, he literally tilted. And now he's like doing America the Beautiful with in front of Mahomes and Kelsey. So I don't know, maybe he's going to get nervous. Should we, do you want to go into Riba or should we save it? Yeah. No, screw it.
Starting point is 00:03:38 Whatever. That's how the broadcast starts. So Riba McIntyre, which one is she? I can't keep track of who's doing what. Reba McIntyre is doing the National Anthem. For those of you who don't know Reba, a classic country pop. Yeah, sure, she has a show called Reba.
Starting point is 00:03:51 She's like a classic country singer. Didn't I forget, insults her or people, didn't I confuse her with someone? That sounds right. Yeah. She's the one who has that song that, like, became a meme. It's like, a single mom who works two jobs, who loves her kids and never stops.
Starting point is 00:04:06 That's Reba. We talked about this. She was in the movie Tremors, too, which is an all-time classic movie. Yes. All right. So the National Anthem line opened at 84.5 seconds, which is the lowest ever. It's the lowest in Super Bowl National Anthem line history.
Starting point is 00:04:21 84 and a half seconds. Wow. Which is a minute and 24 seconds. Chris Stableton last year, the line was like over two minutes. So this is like literally almost 40 seconds faster than Chris Stapleton and many other past national anthem singers. So a lot of people who took the over. And the line is now up to 88 on most platforms. around 88 on most bed excites.
Starting point is 00:04:44 So I went and did some research. I kind of dug in, went and found as many Reba McIntyre National Anthem videos as I could. I recorded them all on my phone, clocked them. And this is what I've come to. So six years ago,
Starting point is 00:04:57 she sung a national anthem at a baseball game, 81 seconds. And I'm reminding everybody, the line now is 88. Six years ago, she did an 81 seconds. Major league baseball or minor league baseball? It was, it seemed like a smaller game.
Starting point is 00:05:10 It did not seem like a major game. I'll come back to that. In 1997, she sang it at a major league baseball game, 84 seconds. In 1984, 78 seconds. She sings fast. She doesn't have, she doesn't have, like, deep Lady Gaga pipes. She's a good singer who has a good voice, but she has, like, a very, like, limited country twang, and she gets in and out of her breaks. You know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:05:32 She's like Secretariat. She gets in out for breaks. Great acceleration. She's 68 years old. Look, pipes don't get better as you get older. You know what I'm saying? So this line at 88 right now, even though it's still, I believe, the shortest ever, I'm hammering the under. Wow.
Starting point is 00:05:48 I love this. I'm, I mean, I'm in. Look at that recon you just did. Did you really do all that? My only question, Craig, is that. How many ones did you watch? I'm doing the work. This is what I do.
Starting point is 00:06:02 I'm really impressed. That's amazing. Will the applause be louder at the Super Bowl? Like, is coordinated with, like, fighter jets, people like, ah! It's like, are you getting more likely to stop for a pause at the Super Bowl? We're in reality because this is Vegas and San Francisco. It's actually a bunch of like really rich people from Vegas and tech. And it's like actually a minorly baseball team.
Starting point is 00:06:21 What if it's even faster actually? I don't know. One thing we know for sure is she's not going to do the like in the home of the brave and like hold brave and let it go and to be up and down. She doesn't have the pipes for that. So that's going to be quick. She could certainly pause. Over under on Craig's mentioning pipes in this. I had three and a half.
Starting point is 00:06:39 I'm already teetering. The biggest fear is the pause, is the pause before the final line. I think we hammer this. The other one, dude, there is a line that I've got Reba McIntyre primary color of her boots that she wears for this game. So black is the favorite. Black boots is two to one. Brown is an unbelievable value at three to one. If you Google Reba McIntyreeper.
Starting point is 00:07:04 The natural color of boots. Yeah. Reba McIntyre three to one, like, you know, you Google all her boots are brown. then you got red is three to one same thing white is blue is 10 to 1 she's singing the national anthem and I'm like because part of me is like she can't do red
Starting point is 00:07:18 because that's the chief's colors I feel like it's also the Niners though so who cares I was thinking blue 10 to 1 neither team but maybe she would do red because red went and blue I think there's where she's from maybe she's going to sneak in her allegiance
Starting point is 00:07:34 oh like she's probably from the Midwest somewhere right she's from Oklahoma Oh, that's cheese There we go There we go Do you guys think Vegas actually Like has like intel on this
Starting point is 00:07:47 Or is this them just truly Kind of guessing based on Craig you spent how many hours Looking up how long she's They of course they have intel on this No but I mean Like did they go to her camp Directly and be like
Starting point is 00:08:00 Did they like find out from her camp What she likes to wear Or do you think they just did their own Anecdotal research on their own? You know what I mean? Like are they in contact I don't think they're in contact. I think they're just kind of like throwing it out there.
Starting point is 00:08:13 Be like whatever. I think the opposite. I think they did, I think they did a bunch of research. I think they talked to our team. Look, man, I like Brown. I think they did exactly what Craig did and set a line. That's why Craig's numbers are like exactly the same as what they found.
Starting point is 00:08:25 Any other dumb ones? I'm going to save a couple dumb ones. Yeah, let's get into the game now. Unless you got other pregame stuff. I'm DK. I want to talk with the Super Bowl. Oh, fine. Whatever.
Starting point is 00:08:33 No, I'm just talking. I'm going in chronological order. It's one game, DK. We've already seen it four years ago. Fine, MVP. What do you want to talk about? Look, Haifitz said, let's start out with the pre-game stuff. So I'm saying, okay, now we get into the game props.
Starting point is 00:08:47 That's all. I don't have any more pre-game. Wait, coin toss. Hello. I don't bet to coin toss. Heads or tails. Well, Sal has said on Bill's show that I think he said that there had been like 30 tails and 27 heads or something or something or something like that. It's almost like it's 50-50.
Starting point is 00:09:04 Well, well, well. Craig watches like hours and hours of video. of Remo McIntyre and then high 50 goes, well, it's something like 27 to 30. I don't know. Close to 50-50,
Starting point is 00:09:14 the coin toss usually. According to my research. Here's what I'm saying. I understand, obviously, if you were to flip a regular old 50-50 thing, you're not going to actually get it 50-50 each time. Having said that,
Starting point is 00:09:25 how sure are we that the NFL coin is like actually weighted equally? They have the two completely different designs in each side. There's no chance they're actually like testing in this in some lab to be 50-50, right? What if it's just weighted toward tails? Well, is Tails the side that has won the most? I think I don't remember what Sal said. You can't get this kind of analysis anywhere else, guys.
Starting point is 00:09:48 So your research is just listening to Bill's pod about props. And then not remembering exactly what he said. And not writing it down. Was it yes or no? I can't remember whether it was yes or no. I have all my football stats legit. I have like all my football research. The Cointosh stuff I didn't really write down.
Starting point is 00:10:06 I kind of just thought I remember. It's a coin toss. So it's... Tails. Put it on one. I like the logic of like, do we know this coin is evenly weighted? I'd say we should just bet the side that has already won the most. If it's tails or heads, it's the 30, we should just bet that side.
Starting point is 00:10:21 Yeah. Let's do it. Because again, people will be like, well, it's 50-50. We'll figure it out. Yeah. But hey. So I just Googled it. Very quick, Googled 30 times his tails, 27 his heads.
Starting point is 00:10:32 So exactly what I said. So we're hammering tails. So we're tailing tails. There you go. We're tailing tails. We're telling Sal. MVP. We think.
Starting point is 00:10:43 Could have been Bill. Could have been how. We don't know. It might have been last year's pod. He gets some. I don't know. So Mahomes is the favorite to be MVP. He's like, you know, one and a half to one.
Starting point is 00:10:53 You put a dollar down. You win a buck 40. And then Purdy's two to one. The two I want to highlight Sal and Bill, they also talk about Kelsey being 17 to one. Dude, Debo Samuel is 33 to one. Ooh. Yes. I wanted to highlight that one.
Starting point is 00:11:07 Hammer that. You know, McCaffrey. four to one. I don't really think the value of that. Obviously, the quarterbacks, it's like at some point, you know, when, like, you know, we can have been. And a running back hasn't won the MVP since 1998 is Terrell Davis. That's a great call. Because here's the chiefs, if you're going to bet Mahomes or Kelsey or whatever,
Starting point is 00:11:22 I'm kind of like, Mahomes, I'm like, you could get 140 for him to win MVP. The Chiefs money line is plus 110. Like, so why wouldn't you just put the money on the Chiefs to win the game? And then that way, if Mahomes doesn't win MVP, you still win. So, but if you're going to go out there, I'm like, Debo could easily, just, what if he just steals a couple rushing touchdowns for McAfrey.
Starting point is 00:11:41 Yeah, I really like that. The Debo one's fun because Purdy doesn't have the star power to get the edge. You know, if Mahomes has a decent game and they win, he's probably still winning a VP. If Purdy has a decent game and they win, I think they're willing to go elsewhere, just like they gave Cooper Cup the award in the Rams Super Bowl and Julian Edelman won one of the Brady Super Bowls. And also, can't you just see the tweet from like NFL research and it's like, Debo Samuel is the first player in Super Bowl history to have 50 receiving yards, 50 rushing yards, rushing touchdown, you know what I mean? I'm like, oh, yeah, then he wins MVP because they vote before the game ends anyway.
Starting point is 00:12:19 Oh, right. Yeah, they have to have it ready. It's like five minutes before the game. Did he get over the press box, the Rams Bengals Super Bowl? That year that Cooper Cup won the MVP, like Aaron Donald had even done the sack yet on Joe Burrow at the end of the game by the time the votes were in. Aaron Donald, like the best play of the game haven't happened yet. What a weird process that is. It's bizarre.
Starting point is 00:12:38 I have several Debo-related props that I would like to talk about. Hit me, please. All right, there's one on Fanduil that I love, which is the fastest offensive ball carrier recorded. Oh, yeah, I saw that one. Which I think is super fun. And so I went back and looked at all the top, like, tracked people in NFL at Next Gen Stats. So Debo, I think, so Debo is six to one. I like that one.
Starting point is 00:13:03 Debo, he hit the top, like, the charts or whatever, the top of the charts in like a bunch of weeks this week, this season, 20.23 miles per hour in week 17, 20 plus in week 14, 20 plus in week 13 twice, and 20 plus miles per hour in week two. So he was, he was like scooting a lot. And he gets the opportunity, I think, that probably most other players don't get in terms of like some room to run. You know what I mean? Like Shanahan is the god of just giving guys ability and setting it up so they have room to like. Yeah, he'll get some jet sweep that he can get going on or something. Does it have to be a reception? Or, you know, Is it just any anything?
Starting point is 00:13:39 It's anything. It's even kick returns, which is interesting. The fastest ball carry is just who could run in a straight line for like 40 yards. Who gets to do that as the ball carrier? Debo's super explosive. There's a bunch of guys that are like 8 to 1 and 7 to 1. The other one that I really like here is Rishi Rice, who he hit the top of the charts a couple times this season, 20 plus miles an hour. And so he's a big yards out to the catch guy.
Starting point is 00:14:01 Yeah. If you look at, I was actually looking up to stats this week because I'm doing an article about Devo. and basically like the two best yards after the catch creators in the NFL this year are Debo and Rishi Rice. And so just maybe just put a bet on both of those guys because I really like your 6 to 1 and 8 to 1 with both of those guys. So and then Chris McCaffrey Ayuk are also up there. But I probably I would stick with Debo and Rice. I like Rishie Rice a lot. I have a couple props on him that I really like.
Starting point is 00:14:28 I'm basically my strategy for this game is to fade Travis Kelsey props and to to hammer Rishie Rice props just because, look, These Kelsey props are never going to be higher. Everyone's going to be hammering me over. He had a great game last week. But the Niners in general, really good linebackers, really fast linebackers. They were the 11th best teams in terms of fantasy points, a lot of tight ends this year. So I'm zagging. Travis Kelsey's line on catches is six and a half.
Starting point is 00:14:53 He's done that in 39% of his games this year. He's had more than that. His yard's line is 71.5. He's also done 39% of games this year. He's gone over that. So these lines are already really tough. He's basically out of 39% of the games this season, of the 18 games they play this season, he's gone over six and a half catches over 71.5 yards.
Starting point is 00:15:12 But if you pivot over to Rishi Rice, his lines are very similar, six and a half catches. He's done that in six of his last nine games. Longest reception, 21 yards, he's done that in four of his last six games. And his total yards for the game is 67. He's done that in five of his last nine games. What are the odds? Because sometimes they get you where it's like even. It's like, oh, minus, it's like, you know, you basically pay 90 cents to win a dollar.
Starting point is 00:15:33 It's not a ton of juice. It's like all within minus 115 to minus 130. It's not a lot of juice on those overs. Because like Mahomes and Kelsey, what they'll do is they know you want to bet the over. So if you win the over, they take all the action out, but no one wants to bet the under. So the under is profitable. I like the Rishi Rice ones a lot too. The other one I had written down, which is, I mean, in the same vein is another next gen stat,
Starting point is 00:15:55 prop bet, which is player to have the most yards after a catch on a single reception. Debo is six to one. Rishie Rice is plus 370. so about like three and a half to one. And I really like the Rice one. I feel like he's going to have at least one or two big screen plays in this game. I totally agree. The Chiefs just use him so much now.
Starting point is 00:16:13 You know, so he's the second half of the season, which is when rookie wide receivers often take off. He's averaging nine targets a game. That would be 13th in the NFL this year. Like, he's the number one wide receiver on this team, and we still are not really acknowledging it
Starting point is 00:16:25 because there's so much else going on with Kansas City, obviously. But Rishy Rice has been so good. I don't know what they're going to do in the offseason and if they're going to draft somebody or acquire a wide receiver. But I love Rishie Rice. And I think he's the most under the radar
Starting point is 00:16:37 great rookie wide receiver this year. Love those. So that, I like that a lot. And then I want to combine, because Craig, I hear what you're saying with the Kelsey thing where I kind of think Kelsey will have a solid game,
Starting point is 00:16:50 but I agree with you where it's like, there's no fading Kelsey just in retrospect will feel smart. Like when the game ends and Kelsey has whatever, and you know, like a fine line, you're like, wow, we probably should have just done all the Kelsey underst. on that note, can I throw a crazy little shout out to Fandul and the same game parleyes for Fandalley's sports book?
Starting point is 00:17:10 Can I tell you a little Fandul's same game parley I cooked up? What do you got? So it's four-leg parlay. Travis Kelsey under six and a half catches, as Craig mentioned. Travis Kelsey over 71 yards. So undercatches over 71 yards. As a big play here or there. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:17:26 Yeah. Which, by the way, he literally did that in the Super Bowl last year. And he did that two weeks ago versus the bills under six and a half catches over 71 yards. Also, Patrick Mahomes under one and a half passing touchdowns, but over 260 yards. So I'm doing the same thing for Mahomes and Kelsey. Under on, you know, so Mahomes under on touchdowns over yards. Kelsey's over yards under catches. Four legs.
Starting point is 00:17:51 62 to one odds. 62 to one. So if you put down $10. That's pretty hefty. if you put down $10, you would win $620 on Fandle with just Kelsey undercatches over yards. Mahomes under touchdowns over yards. So you think he, so you think Mahomes is going to get a lot of yards, but they're going to like get to the one yard line and run it in essentially is what you're saying?
Starting point is 00:18:16 Yeah, and basically, and honestly, I should, as a part of it, I should probably just throw in Pacheco. Yeah, wait, let me figure how to do that. Oh, Pacheco makes it, uh, whoa. Hyves is so stoked. Hyvin's just turned into Dr. Dr. Evil there for a second. One million dollars. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:18:33 Nobody is the wrong number. Remember when him and Dr. Evil and like the fraline are like laughing? They're like, mu-huh. And they just like keep doing it back and forth. That was literally Hyphitz reading that line. That was organic though. It's 100 to 1. It's plus 10,000.
Starting point is 00:18:46 That's crazy. Yeah, I'm down. Send that my way. Can you text people parlayes? Like can you send me that pre-built parlay? That's an idea for Fandle. Oh, shout out to Finn. That's a good idea.
Starting point is 00:18:58 Like, you text it bill already. Yeah, yeah. There's probably some, like, legal reason. You guys are breaking interstate laws right now. That's right. It's legal where high-fids, like, sending that to California, it becomes illegal as it goes up to the space station. Yeah. Dude, you're not, on the Fandle website, they have, like, this whole explainer they had to build for the Super Bowl.
Starting point is 00:19:17 Because, you know, it's like, like, whether you can bet on, like, the coin toss or not, depends on local state laws. Oh, wow. Betting on, literally, here, wait, they literally have, like, an explainer thing. but whether you can bet on the halftime show, like, you know, what will usher during the first song? Literally depends on your state. Can you bet on a negative play?
Starting point is 00:19:35 Like, Mahomes throwing an interception. Like, you can't do that in New York. It's like all the rules are totally different. Okay. So if you're wondering why you don't see stuff, that's why. Do you think Fandall will edit this entire bit out of their broadcast? I have no idea. Yeah, is this like a, the more, the more you know situation or not?
Starting point is 00:19:51 What are you saying, Craig? Are you saying, my legal opinions are not good enough for Fandle's, lawyers. Where'd you go to law school? I forget. Colorado school of mines, I think, right? He's an ore digger. Yeah. I talk too much to be a mime. Hyfitz, you mentioned Travis Kelsey Big Play, sort of. You alluded to it. I have a good one. Players to have the longest air yards from a single reception. I'm loving all these like next-gen stats ones, by the way. I don't know why.
Starting point is 00:20:21 I think I, Yuk, Brandon Ayuk for the 49ers is the favorite, obviously here. But the ones I really that caught my eye are Justin Watson, six to one, and MVS, almost 10 to 1. I don't know why MVS is the odds are right there because he's like a big play guy for them lately. It's because you need to catch the ball for the area yards to count. Oh, right. Reception. Reception is the key word.
Starting point is 00:20:45 I see. That makes a lot of sense. Got to read the fine print. You got the fine print. It's in bold at the very top. Yeah. I was looking at that one, D.K. One, I was surprised to learn that Justin Watson leads the chief.
Starting point is 00:20:56 Steveson Air Yards this year. Does he? What? Yes, he has 900 air yards this year for Justin Watson. Hammer that then. Rishie Rice is 16 to 1 on this list. I know he's more of a run after the catch guy than he is a deep ball guy, but I'm like, for a guy who gets nine targets a game and is as talented as he is, I'm like, man, he's like
Starting point is 00:21:15 eighth on this list of like most likely to lead the game in air yards. And he's maybe the best receiver on the, I mean, he's definitely the best receiver on the Chiefs. But was it the game or it's one single receiver? I believe, the bet that I was looking at. Yeah, yeah, same thing. But like, if anybody, like, could Rishi Rice just have a 50-yard catch in this game? 16 to 1? It's possible.
Starting point is 00:21:34 I don't know. It's like Justin Watson's going to get like two targets a game. Or do you want to bet on that being a 50-yard reception? Or one of Rishi Rice's 10 targets maybe for 50 yards? I feel like they should have a bet in here that's Ayuk will catch a pass off someone's head like you did last week or two weeks ago, I should say. You should parlay whose head it is with the catch. We'll talk to Fandu about that.
Starting point is 00:21:56 Speaking of wonky plays, I was trying to figure out how to shoehorn a Cadarius Tony bet into the Super Bowl since last year. We almost hit on an all-timer. Last year, I bet Kaderix to score two plus touchdowns and Hyfitt's bet, even though I don't think this was an actual bet, but Hyphid said he would not even play five snaps. Both ended up almost being true. He had like 1.9 touchdowns. Yes. It would have worked if he had lined up in the right place. We would have won it.
Starting point is 00:22:24 We would have on, like, any casino would have taken, like, that parlay. Like, we would have just invented it. But he might not even play. And I'm pretty sure he's feuding with Andy Reid right now. Okay. So on this note, I would like to ask you guys a little over under. Over under half. So just, you know, does this happen or not?
Starting point is 00:22:41 Okay. Over under half a snap for Cadarist Tony in the Super Bowl. Craig. Over under half. One snap? Does he play a snap? Over. I mean, he's been inactive.
Starting point is 00:22:51 Like, they literally don't want him. Well, he's been inactive. We thought because of an injury and then he was like, I'm not hurt. And then Andy Reid was like, and he said, I'm not hurt. They lied.
Starting point is 00:23:00 And then Andy Reid is like, he's going through some stuff. He also just had a kid, I believe. I don't know. If he's active, I think he gets a snap, yes.
Starting point is 00:23:08 Yep. If he's active. Yes. Over under half a snap DK for Canaris, Tony. I'm just trying to figure out if we have any indication. Andy Reid said Tony has a chance
Starting point is 00:23:18 to play in Super Bowl 58. That's secret weapon. That's not helpful. That's the opposite of when Shannon's, like, I don't know about Jimmy Garoppolo's quarterback. We could all be dead tomorrow. That's the, like also, I'd like to say indication, Kadarist Tony went on Instagram live,
Starting point is 00:23:31 the Sunday morning of the AFC championship game, said they're lying. I'm not hurt, implying that they just don't want him to play. I also will say over under half Instagram live rants from Kadarist Tony on Super Bowl Sunday. I think I'm going under. I don't think he's going to play. He's too much of a liability.
Starting point is 00:23:49 He literally won then the Super Bowl last year. He won them the Super Bowl last year. He has the longest punt return in Super Bowl. history. Yeah, but that was, I mean, a lot, a lot of water under the bridge since last year, Craig. Put it back there. Have him return puns, man. There's no play there. Just catch the ball and run. If I set the line at over under two and a half snaps and one and a half touchdowns. Two snaps, two scores. It is crazy that his snap to touchdown ratio was like higher than anyone's in the league. Snap to fumble. Oh, honestly, that's the other one I want. I want like Miko Hardbin. I want to, you know,
Starting point is 00:24:23 you could bet on two touchdowns. I want Michael Hardman two fumbles. That's the other one that I wish I could bet on. I haven't seen that anywhere. The chiefs have like the three stooges on their team. They have Marquez Valdez Scantling who can't catch the ball. They have McCle Hardman who can't hold on to the ball. They have Cadarius Tony who can't do anything.
Starting point is 00:24:40 I just pictured like the three stooges sound effects where they're like poop-h-h-hip, like poke at each other in the eyes. It's like the defining aspect of all of their careers is they cannot keep. Literally, it's like the front-ed-end lights where it duct-tips the hand. get for Patrick Mahomes. What are we doing here? Just get a normal, like completely average in every single way receiver and he's going to go for a thousand yards. It's like Mahomes is Iron Man and then this is like, what's the Ironman movie where
Starting point is 00:25:07 he has to work with like a seven-year-old kid in a garage? It's like, you don't have to be built the seat? Yeah. I don't know. Anyway, wait, one other one if I debo, D. D.K mentioned Debo earlier. I just, these aren't crazy odds, but I scrolled by this and it was like, yes. Debo's first carry over.
Starting point is 00:25:23 three and a half yards. Give me. Ooh. You have to have him get a carry first of all, which I guess it's not a given. But yes, I like that. I just feel like they're going to give the ball to Debo and Debo will get four yards. I just feel like intensely confident. I like that a lot. I want to look up some of these Debo stats. This year, he is first among all receivers and yards after the catch per reception.
Starting point is 00:25:44 That doesn't matter if it's a run, of course. But he is first in missed tackles forced in the NFL among receivers and first in yards after contact. So like this guy is an incredible tackle worker. I'm not breaking any news here, I know, but like he did it again. Like he was basically the best in the NFL at breaking tackles, making yards after catch. And, um, you know, I think his, he on screen plays alone, his yak is longer than like his yards per reception. So like he is creating, uh, almost every single time he gets. So I say his yards after catch is longer than his yards per reception. So his yards after the catch per reception on screenplays is 14.
Starting point is 00:26:23 His yards per reception is 11. So he's getting the ball behind the line of scrimmage, in other words, and he's making pay with it. He runs really far after he gets the ball. I guess that's like obvious, but still, it's pretty impressive.
Starting point is 00:26:37 If he gets the screen from behind the line of scrimmage, doesn't it have to be bigger than the yards per catch? Yeah, but I think he's saying that in general, like the average catch of Debo Samuel is 11 yards, but his average yards, wait, now I'm confused. Is this only on screen plays? Yes, it's on screens. A lot of the time you're getting the screen right at the line of scrimmage, but whatever.
Starting point is 00:26:57 His average yards after the catch on a screen is longer than his normal yards per catch on screens. Yeah. On screens. I think that's kind of how it has to be. See, I like Reba's boots to be red. Yeah. I just made you all dumber. Yes, I warned you no yards after the catch and may Lord have mercy on your soul.
Starting point is 00:27:20 Speaking of long receptions, so there is a prop for just the longest reception in the game. Christian McCaffrey 12 to 1. I could very realistically see a scenario in which Christian McCaffrey takes a screen pass 70 yards to the house. Third play of the game, too. You're just like, oh, shit, and some screen you figured it out. Yeah, you remember like the, I know that I think this was a run, but the Jamir Gibbs play at the start of the Niners game, it was like, oh, just immediately like a 70-yard touchdown. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:27:44 I feel like a McCaffrey screen pass is very doable at 12 to 1. I like that a lot. I also just kind of like all the McCaffrey stuff. It's over 90 yards, which is kind of obnoxiously large. And you should probably like never bet a guy to go overnight. Having said that, I'm going to bet McCaffrey over 90 because I'm obsessed with the stat. Meena Kimes said out of his fan this week. She said, the Niners are ranked first in yards per carry on zone rushes.
Starting point is 00:28:06 And the Chiefs defense ranks 30 first in yards per carry allowed on zone rushes. And I'm kind of like, yeah, I just think like it's also at the end of the day, people overcorrect. Like, that's life. And I just think Shannon's watching this tape. the Chiefs last week versus the Ravens, and the Ravens, none of their running backs towards those three carries. And I think Shanhan's basically like, you know, the, what is it, Wolf of Wall Street? Like, I will not die sober. I think Shannon's like, I will not lose with Christian McCaffrey not getting like 12 carries in this game. It's the anti-Arthur Smith strategy.
Starting point is 00:28:37 Give your players the ball. Give you the players the ball. Happy Super Bowl to all who celebrate from Fandul America's number one sports book. If you're like me, Super Bowl Sunday is all about scoring. the best seat on the couch, grabbing your favorite football snacks and placing some super bets. Again, Fandall, same game parlay. Travis Kelsey, under on catches, Travis Kelsey over on receiving yards. Patrick Moham's under on touchdowns, Patrick Mowman's over on yards is like 60 to one. You put down a dollar at 60 bucks. $10, you can do the math.
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Starting point is 00:29:47 $10 first deposit required, bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus spends that expire seven days after seat, see terms at sportsbook. Fandall.com. Just looking at this game, you do look at it and you're like, obviously Patrick Mahomes is better than Brock Purdy.
Starting point is 00:30:03 And it's kind of, it feels similar to the last Niners Chief Super Bowl where it's like, well, Mahomes is the best quarterback in the world, but the Niners are a better team. And last time it was like, Mahomes are the best quarterback, nine is the best defense. Now it's like the Niners just the two through 53
Starting point is 00:30:15 are better players on the Niners, right? But the more I think about it, the more so last, and Stephen Reed said a great column on the ringer today. I was reading that, Shil Capati, everyone said great coverage. And I was thinking about how what's weird is fundamentally, the Niners defense is actually kind of predictable. Like the Niners do have that old Seahawks,
Starting point is 00:30:35 not quite the way the Seahawks did it, but there is a line it up and like we're going to be better than you element, which I do think gives Andy Reid an advantage over two weeks, whereas the Chiefs defense is like unpredictable. Like the Steve Spagnolo stuff is inherently like, you're not going to necessarily know what we're doing play to play. but the Chiefs offense kind of has that too where just Mahomes is hard to predict
Starting point is 00:30:55 what he's going to do after the play and so I don't know I started thinking about that more and more and I kind of thought I was just taking Mahomes out of inertia but the more I think about it I kind of like I like the Chiefs of this game too Craig I think that that's actually a really good bet also wasn't the argument two weeks ago in the championship games it was like Mahomes is the better quarterback
Starting point is 00:31:13 but the Ravens are the better team DK what was the DVOA stat with the Ravens they were like the best team ever according to DVOA they were the best team weighted DVOA they were the best team that had made it through the divisional round. So the best championship round team of all time. Including like the 07 Patriots and the 72 dolphins and the 85-bis. But then Patrick Mahomes is just inevitable. I looked back at my, for the ringer, we had to do our game predictions,
Starting point is 00:31:39 MVP's score predictions and everything. I looked back at what I said last year. And I said essentially the exact same thing this year. I was like, I'll read everything that anyone writes. I'm going to listen to every single podcast. I'm going to consume. at all. I'm going to try and be the smartest analyst in the world. And then I'm just going to decide not to do that. I'm just going to look at the rosters and see that Patrick Mahomes is on the Chiefs.
Starting point is 00:32:01 And I'm just going to bet on Patrick Mahomes. What's the meme? The like the flex tape guy who's just like shoving the tape over like the water coming out of the tank. That's just Pat Mahomes. I don't care what the statistics are. What's the like, yeah, we should build out a mad at like a
Starting point is 00:32:16 worst team you could put around Mahomes and still win the Super Bowl. The Chiefs keep making the team worse. The meme I think about Mahomes is, you know that meme of like the bell curve? And it's like a stupid person at the beginning and then like a nerd in the middle. And then a person at the end like Yoda. And it's like the person in the beginning is like, just bet on Mahomes. And the nerds are like, it's more complicated to that.
Starting point is 00:32:35 And the Yoda at the end's like, just, just bet on the home. Do you guys think this is going to be a high scoring game? I think I said, no, I think I bet the under. I think I put 23 to 20 for the final score chiefs. So I think it's going to be kind of a lower one. I think both teams are going to try to run the clock a lot and like, have like 10 play drives. Yeah, I think I agree with that, DK.
Starting point is 00:32:54 I think it's going to be a quick game. I totally agree with DK. I think that the Niners, Stephen Ries made a great case that I totally agree with, that the chiefs are going to make the calculation that we would rather you beat, like, run the ball than, like, destroy us in the passing game. And I think the Niners are going to have to, like, run the ball. And then I actually think the chiefs, I, like, you got, like, Nick Bosa on the edge
Starting point is 00:33:15 against, like, freaking Joanne Taylor and the chiefs. And, like, I think that the interior of the, Joe Tunney, the guard for the, Chiefs is injured. I don't think he's going to play. He's a long shot. Yeah. Yeah. I think the chiefs have to kind of identify or not identify, but establish the run up
Starting point is 00:33:30 the middle because they have to kind of like take control of the center of the offensive line or I think the Niners going to eat them around the edges. But can I also tell you what just gave me the ick about the Niners and I think I keep thinking about? Yeah. It's not just Patrick Mahomes on the Chiefs. I just keep thinking about the fucking Chase Young play, not running down. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:33:48 All the guys not chasing the lion, Jemier games into the end zone. in the NFC championship game. Like it was like a mid-season NBA game where the Celtics are like, oh, LeBron's not playing. It's fine. We don't have to try. But like to go to the Super Bowl,
Starting point is 00:34:01 I'm like, can you really? Defense is mostly effort in like every sport. Basketball, football. Like defense is effort. And like that was to go to the Super Bowl. And can you just teach that in two weeks? I kind of think if you're not trying that, I don't think it matters what happens.
Starting point is 00:34:15 I kind of just don't want to bet on that team. Is that like too much of an old man take? I don't know. That's definitely a bad take. That's a huge dad. take, but I kind of respect it. I got a good one. Please do it.
Starting point is 00:34:25 So you guys, I agree with you that I think it's going to be a low-scoring game, more run-focused. There's a prop I saw in Fandul. Will any player have over 100 receiving yards? The no is plus 170, which is like almost 2 to 1. I don't know. A hundred's a lot. The passing totals are not super high in this game. And also, neither team has like that one dominant.
Starting point is 00:34:46 There's no like, you know, C.D. Lamb in this game. So I'm like, You know, my home spreads the ball around a lot. So does Brock Purdy. 100 yards is kind of a lot. Plus 170 for this is not bad to me. I love unders to make, if you want to make money, right? But like for the Super Bowl, I think if you bet under 100 receiving yards,
Starting point is 00:35:05 you kind of just hate America. If you're like, what are you talking about? I'm trying to spread the wealth, you know? Democracy. I want everybody to get theirs. I just, I don't want, I like the middle class. America's about. Well, come she live in.
Starting point is 00:35:23 Who do you think is most likely to have 100 yards in this game? Kelsey? Kelsey or she Rice? George Kittal, 7, 750, like 7 and a half to 1 to get 100 receiving yards. If I had to pick one. Just like with the odds, because obviously Ayuka Rice is probably a better pick. But I think Kittle just Brock Purdy just targets him so much. And I think the Chiefs linebackers, they don't suck, but they suck more than like the Chiefs
Starting point is 00:35:48 secondary and I just think if you're Shanahan and Purdy, the Kittle on Nick Bolton, Kittle on Drew Tranquil, Leo Chanel, whatever. Like that's the one where I'm like, yeah, Kittl is a 50-yard touchdown and he's 100 yards, I think seven and a half to one. Kittle first half touchdowns like almost four to one. I think Kittle
Starting point is 00:36:04 could easily. He also sneaky MVP. There was a Fandul had an offer for some interesting like the you could pick three guys for the most passing, receiving, and rushing yards trifecta. And I thought a few of them were pretty fun.
Starting point is 00:36:19 So, like, the, the first one that caught my eye was Patrick Mahombs, Debo, and Chris McCaffrey was 16 to 1. So most passing yards in the game, most receiving yards in the game, most rushing yards in the game. I think we get Mahomes McCaffrey and someone else is pretty good. Right? And then there was also, if you think Purdy is going to have, like, a big game, there was a bunch of interesting ones with pretty, like Purdy, Kelsey and Pacheco is 25 to 1.
Starting point is 00:36:44 Purdy Rishi Rice and Pacheco is also 25 to 1. So I thought those were some fun ones, like just pick and choose a couple, throw some money on that one. Yeah, I wonder if you should just bet like three of them that start with Mahomes and McCaffrey. Right, right. On that note, I mean, you talk about like more bored. Dude, if you just want to bet McCaffrey, Pacheco and Kelsey score a touchdown, it's like five to one.
Starting point is 00:37:09 Kelsey to score touchdowns even money. Kelsey has 20, Kelsey has 19 touchdowns in like 20 games. leaves even. Here's one that I thought was dumb and fun and in particular because I'd never heard of this before. Any, this is Fanduil, any player to record an octopus, which I'd never heard this term before, it's score a touchdown and a two point. I have this exact thing written down and then my notes say, octopus, is this a thing? Stop making it fetch.
Starting point is 00:37:39 I've never heard this is like calling Tom Brady Pharaoh or whatever. Like no one does this. But anyways, now I want to bet it. I want someone to score a touchdown and then a two point conversion. I assume it has to be on the same score. It's such a stupid name. I got to say, that's so dumb. I think it's going to be called like a baker's dozen or something.
Starting point is 00:37:59 An octopus? Can you imagine Romo? It's like someone, you know, they're down eight. They get the touchdown of Kelsey. And Roma was just like, I'm just going to go for the octopus, Jim. Jim's going for the octopus to Kelsey. Are we going to force the octopus? Jim Nance is like, oh, my home for these tentacles around the league.
Starting point is 00:38:16 So I want to bet on that just out of principle because I've never heard of an octopus and now I want it to happen. I like that. It's 10 to 1, the octopus, not bad. That should be 8 to 1. The octopus. The octopus. Oh, God.
Starting point is 00:38:30 Well, this did just happen. Dalton Shultz literally did that in the Dallas Packers game. There we go. I feel like McCaffrey, it's pretty easy for this to happen. Like the punches in a one-yard score and they give it to him again. Jettel. I could see it with a lot of these guys. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:38:43 Should we just literally just bet Christian McCaffrey and Kelsey for every single thing? Just make money. I know. Do you guys think that if it's close, if it's, if it, let's say the Chiefs win and, and Kelsey has like 97 yards in a touchdown and Mahomes throws for like 250 and two touchdowns. Do you think that they're just going to give it to Travis Kelsey for the narrative? 70 to one odds, I would, I would roll with it. Dude, it's possible.
Starting point is 00:39:05 At the end of the day, all PR is good PR. People can say they're tired of it, but the people voting like Kelsey, if he gets two touchdown, I totally think it's, I mean, it's not. I think it does tip the scales in his favor a little bit. Just a little bit. I think like he has a slight edge now. Have you seen someone had a like a viral tweet that was like, if Travis Kelsey like wins the Super Bowl, like wins MVP,
Starting point is 00:39:28 confetti raining down, he gets on a knee, proposes to Taylor Swift, they get married, become the new American royal family, have a baby. And it leads to Taylor Swift having a baby, leads to a baby boom among women, age 20 to 35 in America. and it ushers in a new and unprecedented golden era economically and leads to a new industrial revolution for the United States of America.
Starting point is 00:39:49 I mean, sure. That's great. Let's do it. All for 17 to one odds? That's pretty good. That's pretty good. Can we talk about Usher for a second? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:40:00 Yeah. Yeah. Half-time show. Yeah. Usher is performing at the halftime show. The halftime show, right? It's no longer Pepsi. I believe it's a-h-h-ha-ha.
Starting point is 00:40:09 Which we don't support. Kai, bleep that. It's the Spotify halftime show as far as I'm concerned. Okay, so... It's called the Spotify Halftime Show. Can we do that? I don't understand how that works. We didn't sign anything.
Starting point is 00:40:24 Who cares? It's a cheeseburger. So there's a prop out there for what will Usher's first word be at the halftime show? That's great. So I'm going to read you the nine options, and then I'm going to tell you my favorites. I'm going to read them in descending order vats. So like the most likely is first. So yo, Vegas, what's up?
Starting point is 00:40:45 Hello. Yeah. Make some noise. Usher. I can't hear you in peace. He has to say it or someone? Usher's first word. Okay.
Starting point is 00:40:54 Okay. I think so what's up is plus 350, which is three and a half to one. And yeah is plus 600. Six to one. Those are my two favorite because to me, he's not going to say Vegas. You don't say Vegas. You would say, what's up, Las Vegas, right? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:41:08 that's also mid, no, that's also like between songs. Like you finish song, you're like, Vegas, but it's not the first thing. He's going to start singing the words to a song. But I think if it's yeah, I can see him like, like, before he starts, before he like emerges on the stage, you know, he like comes up from the underground, like elevator, I can see be like, yeah. And everyone's like, oh, like lights go down. And then he comes up, hits the yeah again.
Starting point is 00:41:32 I love yeah, I love what's up. To me, he's not saying, yo. He's not saying Vegas. Make some noise. He's not. saying hello? He's not a phone call. Hello. I don't think he's
Starting point is 00:41:44 going to say his name, Usher. Hello. Howdy? Would be wild. Can you imagine if he came down and said, oh, sure. I have incredible stage presence that I'm going to say, hello. I can't hear you is on here. Like the first
Starting point is 00:42:00 what? Like, people are going to be loud as fuck. What do you talk about? Well, and he also needs to prompt them first before saying I can't hear you. Why would that be the first thing he says? Also, I don't, what are the lyrics to, yeah? Also, yes, remember Usher's done a halftime show, which we all forgot about. Yeah, he did it.
Starting point is 00:42:16 But it was like a hodgepodge of people, wasn't it? Oh, dude. The reason piece is one is that piece up is the first, is the opening lines to, yeah. Oh, peace up, A town. Peace up, Aetown. Yes. Oh, that changes a lot. Which that, and that would be a good song to open it.
Starting point is 00:42:36 I know it's like you don't always do the best stuff. That's going to be the first song, though. Let's talk about that. Do you think it's going to be the first song? I feel like he's going to put that towards the middle. Isn't that his most famous song? Yes, but it also is the best opening. My thought is, and I don't know, this is just based on the memory of the last couple,
Starting point is 00:42:52 but like Rihanna didn't do her most famous song last year. Dr. Dre and Snoop didn't do still DRE last, like they built up to it. You know what I mean? Rihanna opened with bitch better have my money. Yeah, that was like. I don't think he's going to open with, yeah. That'd be my guess. I think they're going to build to that.
Starting point is 00:43:13 Rihanna got me pregnant last year. That's right. But the thing is he's not going to open to like climax. Like, what is he going to open to? Like, love in this club? Ooh. Oh. By the way, ridiculous lyrics.
Starting point is 00:43:25 Just absolutely ridiculous lyrics on that song. Loving this club? He's just going to have sex in a club. He's just trying to fucking... No one else is around. DJ got us falling in love. Could be that. That's kind of the exact same.
Starting point is 00:43:39 message. DJ got us falling in love and love in his club. D.K., why do you think James Hardin's jersey is up in the rafters at the strip club? Why, D.K.? Probably because he spends a lot of money there. What do you think he spends the money on, D.K.? That's one idea, yep. Okay. Well, Katie Perry opened with Roar. Not her most famous song. She came in on like an elephant or whatever, too.
Starting point is 00:44:02 That was the time. The days of Left Shark, my God. Left Shark. Just an all-time. So what do we think? Do we think Pete? for 8 to 1? Or should we go, what's up? I like what's up, man.
Starting point is 00:44:13 What's up, Vegas? I think, I think, hello. I'm doing a hello. Hello. On the same note. I'm sure, just say, hello.
Starting point is 00:44:22 I'm the same note. There's also, the Super Bowl MVP, it's who he thinks first in the speech. And that it's, so that I think teammates are like even money. God or Jesus is like two to one. The city's 10 to 1.
Starting point is 00:44:38 The coach is 18 to 1. The owner's 35 to 1. You forget, but here's the thing. Who do you think the owner first? Those are the two people standing next to the player. Like you forget, they hand the trophy to the owner who hands it to the coach. Then they do the, like, like, it's just Mahomes being like, oh, my God. And like Clark Hunt, who owns the Chiefs is next to Mahomes.
Starting point is 00:44:59 So I'm like, I don't know. Like, Andy reads next to him. Not convincing. But no, but it says it's whose name comes up first. So we might be like, thanks, Andy. Like he hands him the trophy. You know what I'm saying? It's like a technicality.
Starting point is 00:45:13 Does that count? I don't. It's who he thinks. I'm always a fan of God. Whose name is mentioned first. It's who's mentioned first. That's not bad. 35 to 1.
Starting point is 00:45:22 Do you think any of the San Francisco players are going to thank San Francisco first? No. I think they don't even play in San Francisco. I know. I was going to say like, do they say Santa Clara? I think the same,
Starting point is 00:45:34 I think the KC players might mention Kansas City. Do you have any other long shots or dumb ones? I have a few. I've got tons here. Any non-quarterback to throw a passing touchdown is 35 to 1. I'm in. I'm in. I'm in.
Starting point is 00:45:46 If Cadar's Tony plays, I think it's to do that. And I also think Kelsey throws the touchdown in this game. Yeah, that's what I was thinking too, Kelsey. The other one that's kind of along those lines is sort of the exact same thing. Total number of players to throw a pass over two and a half is plus 160. And then along the same lines, total number of Chiefs players to record a rush.
Starting point is 00:46:09 over three and a half. The last three games, every playoff game they've been in, it's been four. I think they're not going to get cute in this one. Oh, you like the under. The under is plus 245. It'll be Pachecoe Mahomes and then one of the,
Starting point is 00:46:23 Clyde. Clyde, yes. Because the other two were Hardman. They're not giving the ball the Hardman on a run again. They're not. I'm not going to lie. If the Chiefs hand Mikul Hardiman,
Starting point is 00:46:32 the ball they deserve to lose in the football team. The only way that I get screwed out of this bed is if they accidentally throw a backwards pass and it turns into a rush. That's how you make money. Oh, that's a good call. Maybe the over is the bat there, but like, I think that's how you get God. I think they're not going to get cute in this one.
Starting point is 00:46:46 I think that's the way to make money on the game. The football gods will punish Casey. And so you should parlay Miko Hardman with a touch and the Chief's losing. And Michael Hardman with no touches and the Chief's winning because that is pretty good. I like those a lot, D.K. I like those. I love that. The other one I love, position to score first touchdown.
Starting point is 00:47:07 fullback is 43 to 1 just Kyle Eusecheck I can actually see that I can 100% see that because I'm kind of like you look at the other ones like Bill like Bill plug Noah Gray and no Gray's already down to like 20 it's like uh use check 40
Starting point is 00:47:20 he's gonna be on I think the difference is he will be on the field and gets the ball you know what I just thought of right now is like are there any what are the Elijah Mitchell lines out there because McAfric got banged up at the end of the last game and there's a world in which he gets a stinger and leaves and
Starting point is 00:47:36 and Elijah Mitchell comes in and like punches in a touchdown. You got a touchdown last game, I believe. He did. Yeah. I like that one. That's another like I hate America one. I'm just rooting for nobody to have 100 yards and for Christian McHephyrity get injured. We should have it.
Starting point is 00:47:52 I hate America parlay. Just like like a 2000. Just like all unders. Unders on Travis Kelsey. Unders on Kelsey. Unders on McCaffrey. Unders on 100 yards. Wow.
Starting point is 00:48:03 Under on the. Wow. Okay. Let's do that. There's a prop out there on the team. TV ratings for the telecast. The line is really high. The line is 122 million viewers.
Starting point is 00:48:13 The record is 115 million, 7 million less. And this line is 122. This game is on CBS. Also, talk about a thing that won't be paid out for like, like, when do they even get to calculate that by? I think like a week later. Maybe it'll be sooner a few days. Are you like reading the legalese and be like, wait, so the streams, how long is the stream?
Starting point is 00:48:34 So the game is on CBS and knows who are the best performing it. NFL games. This year, CBS's numbers are up 8% year over year. So if you extrapolate that from 115, that gets you to around 124 million. So that based on the trajectory of the season and the viewership of the season on CBS, up 8% from the previous highest of all time at 115 is 124. I kind of like the over. So many people are going to be watching this game because of Taylor Swift and Travis Lucey. I cannot express this enough. 100%. Yeah, that's easy. I think that's kind of why they made the bet, though.
Starting point is 00:49:09 I mean, it's really high. I mean, they're basically saying this is going to set the record by $7 million, and I'm still like, eh, over? Yeah, sure. Yeah, no, betting on Taylor Swift is probably the move for this year. Okay. Any other, we have some email series. Any other props you guys want to hit?
Starting point is 00:49:28 I saw one line out there that made no sense, and maybe you guys can help me. it says Taylor Swift and Jason Kelsey to be shown kissing on screen during live broadcast and the odds are minus 120. Is this a, is she going to kiss him on the cheek or something?
Starting point is 00:49:50 Is that a thing that they do? No. Why is that minus 120? Maybe it's an error. Well, it's like the brady, it's like Tom Brady kissing his son on the lips. It's just like some families are really close. Most of these families.
Starting point is 00:50:06 Don't judge, Craig. Some people do that, man. I don't know what the Kelsey's in Swift, you know. I mean, the last time I saw Jason Kelsey at a game, he was like the most drunk ever. What did he? What did she'll say? She'll say Kelsey said he had like 11 beers the day of the Eagles Super Bowl parade. And he was like, I was about a five.
Starting point is 00:50:24 North of 20, I think. North of 20. And it was like, I was like a five at a 10 drunk. I did like Jason on the podcast being like, when I met my wife, I was blacked out in a bar. and he's like, and she's mad at me for being drunk in this game. He's like, that's who I am. I'm an open book. But someone tells you who they are, believe him, you know?
Starting point is 00:50:43 Oh, my God. I, okay, okay. One's the shout. I also want to shout to Ambri Thomas, 49ers cornerback, 750 to 1 to be Super Bowl MVP. He's the worst player on the field for the Niners. That's who the Packers targeted. But that's what happens to bad cornerbacks. The ball gets thrown at him.
Starting point is 00:51:01 Ambrie Thomas, two picks. MVP because MVS bobbles it, Tony bobbles it, Hardman bobbles it, Justin Watson bobbles it. They're trying to take advantage, but like they can't catch, and then Amory Thomas just gets two picks, wins the game, 750 to 1, just throwing it out there. Good work. Okay. Last one, do you guys have any other one is?
Starting point is 00:51:19 Any quarterback to score a receiving touchdown is 130 to 1. Dude, you laugh, but remember the Eagles Patriots Super Bowl, the Bulls got targeted. The Phillies special, yeah. Yeah, that one time in 50, I mean, the odds are what they are for a reason. Remember that? I'm not under any illusions.
Starting point is 00:51:39 I guess those odds are better, right? We should talk about this. And, you know, Fandall, you know, Fandil's a sponsor the show, but you know, we can speak truth to power. Do you ever like some of these bets that the odds really are just like, you think I'm stupid, don't you? Like the ones that are like, will there be two safeties in the game? And it's like, no, minus one million dollars. Like, you'd have to put a dollar down to win a cent. And then it's like, yes, it's like 10 to 1.
Starting point is 00:52:06 Like, we'll give you $10 if you win, but if you lose, you'll get like a penny. And I'm like, who do you think I am? Yeah, it's like, it's like there's been like one game in the history of the NFL that's had two safeties and it's 10 to 1. Yeah, it's just like, are you reading through this stuff? Someone your age told me that like they were like, yeah, there's a whole generation of companies that their entire business was just assuming we would be too lazy to send a mail order rebate back in.
Starting point is 00:52:31 And I'm like reading some of this. So I'm like, their whole thing is assuming I don't see the little number next to the no. Damn. Yes. Anyway. But anyways, I'm going to bet this. Yeah, I know me too. Quarterback receiving touchdown.
Starting point is 00:52:44 There's also one for either quarterback to catch their own pass. 50-01. We saw this last week with Lamar. Sorry, two weeks. That thing that's happened four times. You can see a pass getting batted up into the air. Come on. I think Mahomes would bat it down before he would catch it.
Starting point is 00:53:00 Lamar Mario, Morrow, Brett Farr. Has anyone else done this? Probably not. It seems like Tannenhill has. This is when it really happens. Last bet here. And then we get to some emails. The puppy bowl.
Starting point is 00:53:10 You know that this is my favorite thing in the world. Did you hit on this last year? I forget. I mean, I don't want to brag, but I mean, I have, I think I'm like batting 90% on public bowl bets. I've got, I've got some insider. I got guys. I got, maybe you shouldn't say that on a podcast.
Starting point is 00:53:26 It's fine. But you know, what's the Seinfeld episode? It's like, his motto was a muddha. His fodder was a muddha. Team fluff. is minus 150. Team Rough. Team Fluff is favored.
Starting point is 00:53:36 The over under on the puppy balls, 165 points. And you can bet the, kind of like the Grammys, the women are overwhelming favorites to be the MVP. It's minus 250 for a female dog to win. It's men are almost, you know,
Starting point is 00:53:54 one and a half times odds to be the MVP. But there's a dog named Patrick Ma Bones. is the favorite. So-so pun. Yeah. But there's a dog named Dallas, but it's 10 to 1 to win MVP. Gotta say, I kind of like Dallas
Starting point is 00:54:09 as the MVP of this game. Are you just kind of running off vibes here, or do you have some intel on Dallas or Patrick Mobones? Yeah, that one's just vibes. Okay. Can I be honest? I've never watched the puppy ball.
Starting point is 00:54:24 It's like the greatest thing ever. Also, all the dogs are up for adoption, which they kind of don't make clear enough. But this year there's a lot of dogs. All the dogs get adopted. Travis, Kelsey and Taylor Swift should announce their engagement and then adopt one of the puppies and then the internet would truly break. That's, dude.
Starting point is 00:54:38 Can we bet on that? We can bet on anything. All right. There's our prop bets. We're going to do like a more previewy, preview the Super Bowl later this week. We'll see if we can get actual containers, Tony, action somewhere. We need, you know, Fendell can make a snaps per touchdown thing for Tony to be great. We have to do a couple emails for we get out of here.
Starting point is 00:54:56 Emails. Email from Chrissy. Chrisie. Craig, it's been a minute since you were here, but I mean, Chrisie's responding. Nothing crazy. The airplane story, though, that Craig told, if you guys listening, had not heard. Craig had an absurd airplane story where someone handed him his dog and Craig had this dog in his lap for two hours. Chrissy writes in, the plane story with Greta the dog was ludicrous.
Starting point is 00:55:19 But I can do you one better. 2012, I took an early morning flight from Seattle to L.A. with my boyfriend at the time. These L.A. flights. Anything goes. You LA people. LA, godless city. Chris Rose, we were 22 years old, just getting started in life, the very back of a pack plane and a little hungover.
Starting point is 00:55:40 My boyfriend and I, we have the aisle seat and the middle seat. The window seat next to us is an exhausted young mom with a chubby baby boy. Baby's less than a year old, not talking, but can smile, wave, eye contact, all that stuff. We're friendly people. We say hi to the baby, but like, you know, not to the mom. We don't talk. Kind of like,
Starting point is 00:56:00 like, hey, nope, the dogs who live near you, but you know what are the people's names? Don't make eye contact, yeah. No. So she says,
Starting point is 00:56:06 with 45 minutes left in the flight, I get a tap on the shoulder, the mom is the baby, and she says, excuse me, I really need to use the bathroom. Do you mind holding my baby while I go?
Starting point is 00:56:13 Wow. And she said, I'm the youngest in my family, and I can say if I say at that time, I count on one hand the number of times have held a baby. So I start just like, oh, oh,
Starting point is 00:56:21 and then she's like, thanks, and just drops the baby on my lap. Okay Oh, I see where this is going I was going to say 10 minutes past How long is she gone? I started to panic
Starting point is 00:56:31 45 minutes later The fast and seat belt sign Comes on For landing She returns and gives like a Thanks And takes her seat, takes the baby
Starting point is 00:56:40 And just ignores us the rest of the flight I never even got the baby's name What the fuck? I actually would give her more grace She just needed a break from the baby I think she just needed a break I'll give her more grace That's what I was saying
Starting point is 00:56:52 She was like It's like a this is 40 situation She's just playing Scrabble on her iPad on the John in the plane. Was the baby like crying the whole flight or something? No, I think the baby was chill, actually. This is a stupid question. But if you were traveling with the young baby and you need to go to the bathroom, what should you do? I think take the baby with you.
Starting point is 00:57:12 Into that little bathroom? Being a mom's tough, man. Yeah. I don't think you hand a stranger your baby. A rule of thumb for me is don't hand your baby to a stranger and then leave. the presence of that stranger. Dude, 45 minutes is unbelievable. It's a long time to hold another baby.
Starting point is 00:57:31 It's a long time. Would you just hand your baby to some random person you don't know? I mean, you're not a point. Where are they going to go? Not just like, hey, we hold this while I put my seatbelt on. You hand the baby to a stranger and then leave their presence for almost an hour. I'm not going to chance, mom. I think any parent would tell you they would not do that.
Starting point is 00:57:51 What about DK? Hey, what if you got up with little baby Calvin? And as you went into the bathroom, you gave it to the, gave Calvin not it, sorry, to the flight attendant and said, can you hold him while I pee? Would you do that? Would I do that? No. Like, what if you have to take a shit? And you're traveling a little bit on your.
Starting point is 00:58:11 You're going to subject him. You're going to hotbox him in the little bathroom on the plane? I mean, this, I suppose there are some conundrums here. I would say I would try to avoid at all costs flying with a baby by myself, first of all, if you have to do it. Yeah, I mean, I guess that's the question you have to ask. I'd rather hand my baby to a flight attendant than a stranger.
Starting point is 00:58:36 What are they going to do to the baby? It's fine. You scope them out for a couple hours. What are they going to do the baby? There's a billion things they could do to a fucking baby. I don't know. Also, what if the baby starts crying? What if the baby, like, throws up all over the place?
Starting point is 00:58:48 that's why you got a dip. I could have done a million things to that Chihuahua, and yet I didn't. I took care of her. On that note, while Craig was gone, I know the thing we got a lot of feedback on. It was nervous shits.
Starting point is 00:59:00 Oh my God. Oh. Dude, people really, really take a lot of nervous shits. That was wild. It's incredibly common. I can't believe you had never heard of that.
Starting point is 00:59:09 Or forgotten them yourself. It's like the, what's the line in, um, Rizmaids? We was like, yeah, just don't get bloated.
Starting point is 00:59:16 It's a gift. It's because I can't digest dairy. I can't digest dairy, so I just never noticed maybe. Yeah. Did you play sports ever? Yeah. You never got nervous before a game. I was on the team.
Starting point is 00:59:35 Holding the Gatorade bucket? No, no, no, no. My assistant does that. So what would you say you do here? Yeah, it's my secretary does that. You didn't get nervous because? the live show, a bunch of people? No.
Starting point is 00:59:50 I don't think High Fitz just doesn't have a conscience is the thing. A conscience? It's not the part of you. It gets nervous, your conscience. That's like suggest you're hiding something. It's talking. It's like the only thing I'm good at in the whole world. I almost, I went out on stage for the rewatchables live tour in Chicago.
Starting point is 01:00:10 I did the last like 40 minutes of that show. And I had, if there was a bathroom near me, I would have had some nervous shits, had to kind of hold it together. That's a real thing. Your brain has a bathroom. Like, if there's a bathroom, it affects, like your brain knows when you get closer to the bathroom. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:00:26 Oh, I mean, absolutely. Like, think about how, when you travel, you usually don't go to the bathroom as much. And the second you walk into your house, you have to go. Yeah. That's a thing. That's a real thing.
Starting point is 01:00:35 You get like a block away. You think that's, like, subconscious, but that is you kind of also your brain's doing that. But you're not, isn't that weird? I find it crazy that, that let's say you had, to go number two. Not, you didn't have to go.
Starting point is 01:00:51 Hypothetically. Like, let's say, we're not at like a nine out of ten. We're at like a five or six out of ten. Like, you have to go, but it's not a dire situation. And then let's say you were just like, you know what, I'm going to hold it and go to bed. That your body can just shut off the need to use the bathroom for nine hours and just, and exist. And yet if you were awake during that time, not even close. You wouldn't last an hour.
Starting point is 01:01:14 I find that to be fascinating. The body does some miraculous things, Craig. It just shuts down. I want to ask you guys a question because I had this conversation with a buddy of mine the other day. When I was flying home from the senior ball in a mobile, I had the first leg was just Mobile to Atlanta. It was like a one hour flight. I chugged like a thing of vitamin water before the flight. And I'm like, I should be fine.
Starting point is 01:01:39 It's an hour flight. That's nothing. What did you say, Craig? Huge mistake. I know. It was a huge mistake because what happened later was like, truly I felt almost like an emergency situation. So we get off this one hour flight.
Starting point is 01:01:51 By the way, I'm in the window seat and a very large gentleman sitting next to me. I didn't want to ask him to get up. Like he had a cane. It was not going to be like an easy situation for him to move for me. So I'm just like, it's fine. It's an hour. I'll be fine. And then we like, we get, we land.
Starting point is 01:02:06 It takes forever. It always takes way longer for the plan to D board than you think it will. They also had this thing where they're like letting other people off that had to get their connections first. So like. We should always be how it is by the way. The hold debboarding thing just was a debacle. Then this was a small airplane.
Starting point is 01:02:22 And so, like, half the flight had to give the gate check thing where you, like, give your, like, carry-on bag. And then they put it under and then they put it back on the jetway when you get off. It took, like, an extra 20 minutes to get my freaking bag off the jetway. I had to go, I had to pee so bad. I started asking myself if it's, like, physically possible to hold it for as long as you need to hold it. Like, I was like, at the point where it was like, if I, like, am I going to, like, just pissed my pants right here. Like, do you reach a breaking point
Starting point is 01:02:50 where your bladder just breaks? Yes. Even though you're a wist. I got to the point where I was like starting to get a little bit nervous. I'm like, I'm just going to abandon my bag. I need to pee so bad. I've never had to pee worse in my life. I was in absolute misery.
Starting point is 01:03:05 It was the worst feeling in the world. And I was like, okay, I'm like five minutes away from literally not being able to control it anymore. But then when you finally get to the urinal, it's like, wow. Oh, that was like the greatest feeling of all time. It felt like being in a gentleman's piss club. Like, have you ever, like, I, like, started to truly believe I was going to pee my pants there.
Starting point is 01:03:25 Like, I've never peed my pants as an adult. Even when I'm, like, super drunk, I've never peed my pants, ever. And that was, like, the closest I've ever gotten. I swear sometimes when I have those situations, like, I can, like, feel my kidneys, like, hurting. Your internal organs, like, start turning off. But, you know, we've been joking all year about, like, the, the, the, the, the, the, scale, but it's like earthquakes where it's like eight, like a nine is
Starting point is 01:03:50 way bigger than an eight. There's something like that where as you get closer to the bathroom, it gets way worse. Like, when you're on the plane, your body knows I can't move right now. Yes. It's like a version of fight or flight where it's like we know we can't go so we will like
Starting point is 01:04:08 dampen any urge to go. Yeah. And then you get out oh, you're like you're left to wait for your bag in the jet way. It's like at eight. And then you start getting to the bathroom walking and it's like a night and a half and you're like, oh, yeah. That's how I thought like, oh yeah, like I can't go right now. Like I'll be fine because I'll just hold it and I'll grin and bear it and I'll like make it through it.
Starting point is 01:04:29 I got to the point where I was like, it's getting close to the point where I literally just like physically. We're in danger zone. Like physically I'm not going to be able to hold this any longer. And I don't know what that. I don't know what that point is. Maybe I could have got another hour. I don't know.
Starting point is 01:04:42 But I started to worry about it for the first time in my life. Dude, that's seen in Piki Blinders where someone eventually just asked Tommy Shelby who's like this gang leader gets really rich She's like, and the guy just asked him like, why do you keep doing all this dangerous stuff? Like, just retire. Like, why do you do this?
Starting point is 01:04:59 And he just pulls out a gun and points it at their face for like five seconds. And then he puts it away and he's like, because that feeling you can't get anywhere else. And it's like, that's kind of the feeling of like when you were out of urinal that you thought you were going to like not make it and you make it.
Starting point is 01:05:13 You're like, who that's, that feeling cannot be replicated. Yeah, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't, I don't put myself in that situation again. I'm just, you know, I'm just going to play. He's not a healthy individual. The peeky blinders quote is essentially the super bad quote of like a gun feels like you have two cocks.
Starting point is 01:05:34 We won. Anyway, tell me, email us if you've ever got to the point where you literally physically can't hold it. As an adult, sober, though. We're like, we're not talking like your pants in bed on the couch. Yeah, I got drunk and woke up unless it's like not your,
Starting point is 01:05:52 I mean, I guess you can send us whatever you want, who cares, but like whatever. Email is for your fantasy football at gmail.com if you have stories. And don't worry, we won't name you. So feel free to be honest.
Starting point is 01:06:01 We won't name this. I mean, we can if you want, but as a default, we will not name people who people. Thank you, DK. Thank you, Craig. Thank you, Kai, for producing this episode. Thank you, Tucker.
Starting point is 01:06:10 Thank you, Jack, for help behind the scenes. Thank you everyone for listening. Thank you everyone for watching. Thank you, Lauren. Lauren. Thank you, Phil Collins. Damn, no Usher, no Reba. Yeah, I was going to say.
Starting point is 01:06:24 I feel like I just did Reba a little bit ago. Post Malone? Phil Collins is the goat, though, so it's good. We honored him. Some of my favorite jokes on TikTok, or like, I guess on social media, are the, like, this artist didn't need to go as hard as they did for, like, a random job. Like Phil Collins on Tarzan.
Starting point is 01:06:48 Just delivering the most masterful soundtrack, like maybe one of the top 10 pieces of music like ever delivered it's for fucking Tarzan. They're like, hey, Phil, easy paycheck here. Just make a bunch of music for Tarzan. He shows up with like,
Starting point is 01:07:02 I can feel it in the air tonight. And they're like, Jesus, dude. Craig, have you ever seen the video of like the guy who's dressed up? He's like in a giant like cartoon character costume. and he's just fucking shredding on the drums like at the back of this like like kids like concert
Starting point is 01:07:18 and it's like the whole meme is just basically like people who are way too good at their jobs it's so freaking good just like just like doing like little fills and like you know just like has like the big like a big kit of whatever he's just absolutely shredding these drums he's got like a giant like
Starting point is 01:07:34 I don't even know what it was some kids like character are you saying in the air tonight was written for Tarzan no that one wasn't but you be in my heart was. Oh, wow. And it's just like, they're like, hey, hey, Phil, this is like kind of the emotional crux of the movie, like, if you could give us something solid.
Starting point is 01:07:51 And he's like, here's, you'll be in my heart. And they're like, wow, this is like the best song ever made. Thanks. Thanks for this animated movie we're making. I don't know. We don't do that anymore. We used to give fucking John Lion King. It's like, we're not really doing that anymore.
Starting point is 01:08:06 We're not like, hey, Adele. The Lion King soundtrack is one of the greatest. I mean, they still do that. They literally just remade the Lion King. and like just Beyonce and like a thousand famous people did the Lion King. But that's the Lion King. Like that's established.
Starting point is 01:08:18 Like they're not like, hey, Adel, do despicable me. You're right. Now they hide the music. They're like, it's mean girls. And you show up and they're like, ah, people sing. You're like, shh. They got me. Wonka'd me.
Starting point is 01:08:28 Give Lady Gaga to Garfield. See what happens. They just gave Elton John the Lion King. All right. Goodbye everyone. Must be 21 plus and present in select states. Fandle is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC,
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