The Ringer NFL Show - Week 2 Bold Predictions and our Million-Dollar Lineup

Episode Date: September 18, 2020

We look back on our Week 1 predictions and offer up our gut calls and bold predictions for Week 2 before building our million-dollar daily fantasy lineup. Parris Campbell, Colts (11:13) Josh Allen, Bills (14:22) Dak Prescott and Michael Gallup, Cowboys (17:11) Diontae Johnson, Steelers (20:01) Ronald Jones, Buccaneers (22:07) Tom Brady, Buccaneers (24:16) Scotty Miller, Buccaneers (26:04) Josh Jacobs, Raiders (28:31) Saints Offense (31:21) Million-Dollar Lineup (36:44) Million-Dollar Lineup (36:44) Hosts: Danny Heifetz, Danny Kelly, and Craig Horlbeck Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

This is the Ringer Fantasy Football Show. I'm Danny Heifitz, and I'm here with Danny Kelly and Craig Horlebeck. How are you guys doing? Doing well. How are you doing, man? I'm doing dandy. You know, as a really seasoned to podcaster like you so claimed to be, you really got to throw to one person, you know?

Like when Bill's on a rewatchable, he doesn't just say, what's up, guys? He goes, Sean, question, question, question. Chris, question, question. No, I like to watch you guys fight over it because it's, you know, that scene in the dark night when the Joker breaks the pool cue? And then he's like, all right, someone, someone that gets a joy. That's what I just think about. I told this to Kevin one time before recording the NFL show and he never let me hear the end of it.

I was like, Kevin, make sure you're thrown to somebody. He's like, he looked at me like I had just like insulted his mother or something. And he's every single time I'm with him now, he's always like, D.K., like the first thing. Also, it's just, I really just care how DK's doing. I think it's assumed I'm not really interested. I've never asked Craig, how are you doing it's because then you'd have to talk about it. I'm not really, it's not really my concern. Anyway, this is our Friday show.

We're going to share our gut calls for this weekend. We're going to look at how our gut calls did last weekend. Some people predicted the exact score of a game. And we're going to give you a tele fantasy lineup at the end. But first, a fun fact. Dog facts. Dog fact. From Anna Safford, a dog's nose is up to 100,000 times better than a human nose.

That means they can detect a half teaspoon of sugar inside an Olympic-sized swimming pool. To put that in perspective, you know how you can smell the difference between a coffee that has sugar in it and one that doesn't, a dog can do that, but in an Olympic pool. That is disgusting. I cannot believe that. Imagine the things they smell.

Oh my God. I am now imagining that, and that is absolutely horrifying to think about. This is one of those things where ignorance is bliss. I don't want to smell everything. I do not want to have that power. But clearly,

like, things aren't bad to them. Like, they smell their asses all the time. Clearly, they don't have like a negative, they don't smell poop. And they're like, oh, they're just like, ooh, it's like they read the news.

You know what I mean? Yeah, they're interesting. in it because they can't communicate. So smells is all they have. No, it's like you check up, instead of texting your friends, like, how are you doing? They smell each other's poop and like, oh, like, you know.

I'm going to sniff Hyford's his armpit the next time I see him and just be like, how's it going? On a slightly less disgusting note, we actually got two dog facts. I want to just go ahead and count or move away from that one and go to this one. From Joseph Russell, recent study shows that dogs are among a small group of animals

who show voluntary, voluntary, unselfish kindness towards others without any reward. In other words, dogs really are the best. And I actually, when I read this, I immediately thought of something. My dog used to go to like a doggie daycare thing where she would go on walks every day with a person who picked up like, she had like a whole pack basically to like go hang out with for a few hours a day, my dog, Lola.

And the person that did these walks would always send everybody videos, post videos on Instagram of like the day that their dogs had. is like really awesome. Wait, so everyone can visualize this, what kind of dog is Lola? Yeah. Lola is a boxer, bold mastiff mix. So she's just a big, she's a big, lovable dog. Anyway, so Lola at the time had a cone on her head because she had to get something

removed. I can't even remember what happened, but, so she had a cone on her head. And the video that the dog walker sent to us was like a line of like five or six dogs, her whole pack running and one of them, and they all jumped over this log on this trail. And the first dog in the line came back to check on Lola and make sure she made it over the log and, like, you know, keep everybody in line. And like, it's like one of those things where like you just want to like hug that dog so much for like caring and helping my dog. So anyways, uh, I save that video. I like watch it all the time.

Do you still have this video? Yeah, I can show you the video. Tweet it. Okay. I'll do that. Okay. Wow. All right.

Will everyone go at Danny B. Kelly on Twitter. You better put this on Twitter. I want to see this. If I can get it from. It's on Instagram. I'll send a link to it. I don't know how to do that. I don't know how to transfer the video.

I'm not that savvy, but yeah. Craig can figure that out. There we go. Anyway, so those are two dog facts. Love dogs. Dogs are great. Is that a hot take? Does that count as a bold prediction?

No. Dogs are good. So we should tell people for this week's show, and probably every Friday, unless we don't like this. We're going to be doing gut, gut, bold. We're going to be doing two gut predictions each and one bold prediction.

Is that where we're going to gut, Got bold. Got gut bold like duck, duck goose. So we're doing two guts, which is like not as crazy. A gut prediction is, you know, something that's not going to maybe turn some heads, but it's just, you know. That's something you feel in your gut. A feeling for the week about a player or a team or whatever.

And then we're doing one bold, which if you listen to our bold predictions episode, are a little bit takier. Don't hold us to those as much. But if we're right, definitely hold it to us. Yeah. Yeah, it's nice to do bold predictions because if you're right, you can take a victory lap. And if you're wrong, you're like, it was a bold prediction. It's a great middle ground.

You can hide. It's the perfect amount of hiding to get maximum credit and like little, little accountability. I have one quick bone to pick with the fantasy community before we get started. Okay, good. Okay, go. I think it's, I think it's horseshit that we had one week of football. And now everybody's opinions on these players that we've been doing for two months have changed. Like, you should see Alan Robinson dropped 20 spots.

And it's just like, O'Dell Beckham dropped. 30 spots. Kenyon Drake is like a whole different player now. I find it baffling that these people jump off the ship so quickly. This is like get off my lawn shit from Craig right here. So you want it, you want everyone to, you want to die on that. You want someone to die on the hill. This is like watching the first episode of the Sopranos and being like, that suck, didn't like it. It was boring. I'm out. It's like, well, watch it first. Watch seven episodes. You know what I mean? Get into it. There's a sweet spot though, Craig. Like where you have to like, you have to be able to take in new information and realize you were wrong earlier.

I understand that. I do, but, like, God, it's like, I just, I can't believe how quickly everybody is off of all of these guys that they touted and wrote about, like, Joe Mixin's now, like, RB20 rest of the season for me. It's like, he played one game. I don't know. There's a, there was a lot of really bad, like, busts week one, too, like, Mixin, Echler, like, a couple guys, like, Chubbs scored just, like, single digits. You know, hey, we're a part of this group, but, like, a lot of people were like, I don't like DeAndre Hopkins this year. the ball's going to be spread around too much in Arizona. And of course, he goes nuts, has 14 catches.

And now everyone's like, he's my wide receiver four for the rest of the season. It's like, you're all on this. And now you're off immediately. I mean, the history told us that was going to be the case. Maybe Hopkins is just an outlier. I don't know. I agree with you, though, like one week is not enough information. I do think that we have to react to certain information when it comes out and be like,

okay, well, this is a pretty goddamn, like, strong signal that we're getting right here. you know what's the easier you know it's easier like you guys should just guess everything right you're like what's the chief texon score going to be and i'm like oh i know the exact answer because here's the thing the next 100 times i get a score wrong i want everyone to forget i only want you to remember that i guess the chiefs tech because i'm going to guess thursday night football score all year and yeah but remember the first one i got right tweet that's the thing that's the thing yeah exactly the key is just you know it's how you start all right so Thursday night. We got Browns Bengals. Highfits. What will the score be? The exact score?

It's Thursday afternoon. Obviously, we haven't seen the game yet. You're listening on Friday, hopefully. 2720, Browns run it down their throat in the first half and then blow a lead in the second half. Joe Burrow wins game. 2720 Bengals? Dan, that would hit the over. I bet the under. Someone, yes, one of my friends is asking me whether I'd take Sincer, Cleveland in this. So what's the, what's the line right now? Six? Yeah, it's six, and the over under's 43 and a half. I just think I think I'm taking Sinci to cover for sure. All right. Well, I'm glad everyone can listen to this now that the Browns have already won the game by a lot.

Okay. All right, let's get it. So before we get into our ones for this week and let's just recap how we did with our calls from last week. I said the Cardinals would beat the Niners and Kyle would have a big game. Congrats to me. I also said the Colts would crush the Jaguars. Oops. So one for two.

That was a good reaction. Oops. I also plugged Zane Gonzalez as a kicker I liked for the Cardinals. That is so funny. He went one for three. They were very far away.

All the kicks were from very far and ironically hit the furthest one. So is a kick? Is 49 yards actually that long anymore? If he misses and I said he wouldn't, then yes.

It's like the kicking version of like 40 is the new 30. It's the same thing for kicking. His name's Zane. How was I supposed to know he would be bad? No one named Zane is bad at anything. Everyone, if you were born, if your name is Zane, you're set.

You got it made. Anyway, D.K., where were yours again? I hate to even bring these up. Okay, so I said that Gough was going to crush it. He did all right. I thought he looked decent, but he definitely didn't crush it from a fantasy point of view. Okay. Keenan Allen, I had the Keenan Allen hard knocks bump.

That was my bold take. Well, here's where it's not your fault. They basically didn't talk about how Mike Williams is secretly healthy and amazing and had like 13 highlight real catches and we didn't know that was coming. I got whiplash from how fast Mike Evans and Mike Williams went from they're going to miss weeks to they're playing. I know. Yeah. And then my third one was Zach Hertz, middle finger game.

He did score touchdown. So I'm going to like take half credit for that. He did not go off, but he... I'll give you half, but he did drop the most important catch of the game on fourth and three. Yeah. Mine were that rookie running backs would suck except Clyde Edward Taylor. I don't know if I hit on that. Acres sucked.

Swift was going to be good. but then ruin the lion's season. J.K. Dobbins had two touchdowns. I probably didn't hit it. Taylor looked pretty good, too, I think. Taylor looked good. My other one was, the battle for the 10 questions

with Kyle Brant Crown will be won by Aaron Rogers handy. Oh, yeah, you got that one. There you go. And then I said, we're going to regret not having drafted Travis Kelsey or George Kittle, which I guess missed because Kettle got hurt.

You did say, or. So if you drafted Kelsey, you're definitely regretting it. That's the key. You've got to word it in a way you can hedge later. That's the dude. Okay.

Have you ever heard that Mitch Headberg joke where he's like, I hate it when I go to this thing and it feels like they're giving you a test and you say, and it's like, have you ever tried sugar or PCP? I don't know, but can, how, I bet a dog can smell PCP from so far away. I bet you that's true. By the way, your segue from the dog joke was non-existent, so you failed. Oh, shit, I forgot to segue. But I just brought it back.

I circled back right there at the PCP. You're right. That's true. You kind of saved it without even knowing it. All right, I'll give you a win. Great. Okay. So let's dive into the deep end with... Oh my God. I don't want to pours. Okay. But seriously, gut calls. Let's go through D.K. What's a gut call for us this week? All right. So I'm going Paris Campbell smash game. I'm saying top six finish half PPR. So a couple of factors are working in his favor this week. Jack Doyle. First of the Colts. Yes. Colts will play the Vikings this week.

Paris Campbell, Colts receiver, a second year receiver for the Colts. Jack Doyle, who is Danny's favorite tight end in the NFL, not practicing as of Thursday. It doesn't sound like he's going to be ready to go, or if he is, he'd probably be limited. I think Paris can take over some of the, like in the middle type looks that you might get to Jack Doyle.

I mean, obviously they're not running the same routes, but maybe he can eat up some of those targets. He ran a lot of like these shallow crossers, deep crossers that was like right on the same page with Philip Rivers, so I like that. Vikings defense got shredded last week and they don't have a very good pass search at the time just because

Daniel Hunter is isn't he on the IR right now? Yeah but it's weird because it's like the injured reserve. It's like three weeks but yeah he's not playing. And so just for just for some context top six cutoff and half PPR last week was Juju Smith Schuster, Juju Smith Schuster

and he got 29, 21.9 points half PBR so that's I feel like that's pretty a pretty good gut call. That's a good gut call. We didn't tell each other one another what our gut or predictions were going to be going in.

So I kind of made, I had like a list of six that I'm going to narrow down to three and Paris Campbell didn't make. What are you mean now? You're just making like too many because you can't count? Well, I did that.

Or you did it on purpose? Well, my number five one was Paris Campbell. So like I'm glad that he didn't make the top three. But just to add to what D.K. was saying, you know, Paris Campbell's primarily a slot receiver. He played 90% of his snaps in the slot. And week one, and the Vikings gave up the most

points to slot receivers in week one. So looking good for Paris. You guys are throwing out all these numbers. I feel like it's just, Paris Campbell's really fast and the Vikings suck. That's your gut. You're throwing all these numbers. You know what?

Here's the thing. That's definitely more of a gut thing. The Vikings, Vikings have two pass rushers that are great. DeNeil Hunter and Yannick and Gokwey. Hunter's not playing, which we talked about. And Gokwee sucked last week, which we didn't talk about. I mean, I'm not going to be fault him for it.

He showed up right to war. Yeah. He showed up two weeks ago. I'm not going to fault him for it, but he didn't get there. And the night. So what do you have to do if your front fork can't get there? They blitz. The Vikings love blitzing. Well, they blitzed like 45% of the time.

That was like third most in the league. And they still only, they didn't get a sack and they got like three pressures or something, four pressures total. And they blitz, when you blitz 30 something times and you only get four pressures, that's freaking bad. And then you also have three of the worst cornerbacks in the NFL. Not the, sorry, three of the worst starting cornerbacks.

Or at least the youngest, not bad. I don't want to say they're bad. They're young. They had nine starts going into the game. So, when you can't cover people and you can't rush the passer, yeah, Paris Campbell, good game. So bottom line, I guess, is that both Craig and are buying the Paris

Campbell breakout game from last week where he had nine targets and I think we're on that train. But here's the important question. If this happens, is Craig taking credit next week or is he going to hide from this as not one of his if it doesn't happen? No, I won't take credit. I didn't pick. It wasn't going to make my top three anyway.

So, D.K. gets it. Okay. So what's your gut call? Josh Allen will be the number one scoring quarterback this week. Ooh, I like this. Playing the dolphins who just got, basically the whole thing is the dolphins suck against defending mobile quarterbacks.

They just lit up two touchdowns to Cam. And Josh Allen is like Cam 2.0. Josh Allen ran the ball 14 times last week. And he ran for a touchdown. He had the best throwing game of his career. He's like less coordinated Cam. Josh Allen still got his like, doesn't have a sea legs yet. You know?

Yeah, yeah. He's like the middle schooler after a growth spurt. It's like he's just come into the body. Exactly. He's got like pimples still. He doesn't look that good. But there's potential. You see it in him. But yeah, 14 carries more than any running back got on the bills.

And the bills are just like a different team this year. They're throwing the ball way more. He had 46 passes. I was going to add to that. Yeah, he had 46 passes, which was second in the week, only to Matt Ryan, who had 54 attempts. And the crazy thing was the bills were winning the whole game. Atlanta was trying to come back. And so it was very bizarre.

It was almost like, you know, the whole let Russ cook, Danny, sorry I'm saying that, but the whole let Russ cook narrative took over. But people, like, people who want Josh Allen to cook, I don't know if that was actually a thing. But Josh Allen was, like, they let him cook. Like, they were asking him to pass the ball a ton. It was very bizarre. It was not what I was expecting at all. And the irony is it was the best passing game of his career.

And really, he could have had like somewhere between one and three more touchdown passes. He sailed one right over. Brown's head. Easily could have had another 100 yards and two touchdowns, like almost without trying. Do you guys think if you were in the Josh Allen situation on that John Brown touchdown? Let's say you didn't even have to run the play action. You could, we, you just like, you begin rolling out like Josh Allen is to your dominant hand side and you have to hit John Brown in the end zone. No, it was to his non-dominant hand, to which case, I very, I will very rarely say I can do anything a player was not unable to do on the field. This one I know because he was rolling to his

wrong side. And if you think you could throw a wrong side, throw in an NFL field, you're probably wrong. It's like 10 yards. No, but the problem was he had enough time to stop and set his feet. And then they still, it wasn't like there was a defender chasing to catch up. It was like, they didn't know where John Brown was. I think I could do it. It's just, look, Josh Allen's great, but his mind goes faster than his body. He's going to say, this is the Josh Allen argument in a nutshell, though. It's like, we're not fucking NFL quarterbacks. He's got to make that throw. Yeah, that's the thing. The problem isn't if we could do it. The problems we had to ask. He had an awesome game.

However, there are still those plays. We're just like, what the hell are you doing, dude? Yeah, it's... So whatever. He's a Roarshack test. Okay, so D.K. says Paris Campbell's going to be a top six receiver. Craig says Dak Prescott's the number...

Sorry, I spoiled my own thing. Craig said Josh Allen's going to be a number one quarterback. I think Dak Prescott's going to be the number one quarterback this week. And I'm giving double dipping. I think Michael Gallup is going to be a top five receiver this week. That sucks. Now both of those have to happen for you to get a number. a point. Well, is it an and or or is it like your other thing? Are you saying those are your two guts or

that's just one gut? It's one gut. I'll give you both. I don't care. Screw it. I'll give you both. Okay. But there's an astonishing stat that kind of got underlooked this week is that Russell Wilson through 35 passes against the Falcons and not a single one of them had a defender within one yard of a receiver. Wow. Which is just unreal. So why do you like Gallup over Cooper or Lamb? Well, Cooper's banged up. Cooper's a little hobbled. He's always hobbled.

That's the point. Well, look what he did last week now. If I've learned one thing, it's my God. What I'm Mark Cooper is already banged up. I'm like, I'm out. I'm out. But also because I just think that they're going to be able to spread the ball. Gallup just look good to me.

Like, it's not just the past interference that he should have had, which again, he is good. He is good. He's really good. We loved him going into the preseason, and you know what? He didn't have a great week one, and we didn't change our opinion. Craig. Craig is like, he's moving around

in his seat. He's, he's riled up right now. Dude, you just mad at fantasy straw man, man. Take a walk. Go outside. Or you can't. I would, but it's on fire. This is the problem with being stuck in quarantine

and we can't go outside because of freaking apocalyptic fires. Yes, the world and my insides are both on fire. So any players and or fantasy analysts that we call out just like, please ignore it because we're just, we're just going nuts. Sorry, you live in an apocalyptic hellscape.

Okay, so Michael Gallops really good. Again, the Falcons defense is going to be so bad. One of the reasons we like the Falcons' offense coming to there is their defense is just, I mean, really,

for, is it three straight years, this defense tackling, coverage run defense? Like, you know, the Holy Trinity, just can't do it. So I think Dak has a huge way. I was like, one of my takes

before the season was like, is Gus Bradley? Or not Gus Bradley. Dan Quinn. I get all the Seahawks ex-coordinators mixed up. Is Dan Quinn potentially on the hot seat this year? Because he's supposed to be the defensive guy, you know? And their offense is amazing, but their defense has really been not very good lately.

Dan Quinn, going into last season, was so on the ropes that he fired all three coordinators and kept the job, which had only happened like eight times that a coach kept the job and had to fire everyone under him. And then their defense was so bad that he had to give up coordinator duty six weeks into the season. and then they didn't even have anyone who could do it. So they did like a committee backfield, but it was committee defensive coordinator. And that was last year. Anyway,

the point is Falcons defense is bad. Okay. I like, DK, give us another good call. Yeah. All right. So I'm sticking with the second year receiver smash game.

I'm going with Deontay Johnson is the highest scoring Pittsburgh skill player. So that includes receivers and running backs in week two against Denver. I'm not super confident with what's going to happen in the backfield. So I'm laying out kind of like my explanation here. You know, we might have Benny Snell, James Connor Mix. We're not really sure yet. He actually, you know, the backup stats in terms of, you know,

Juju had two touchdowns. Outscord him easily was a, you know, QB1, or a receiver won. But Deonti Johnson actually led the team in Target area, 10 targets, career high, played the most snaps, tied for the most snaps. He ran 32 routes. he dropped a ball and like Big Ben went right back to him. So, you know, they're like on the same page. And I think that was like a big deal.

So I think I think Deontay Johnson is set up to go, you know, go off again this week and actually convert some of those opportunities into more points. Yeah, that's a good point. I mean, DeAndre, Deontay Johnson played like shit in the first half. He fumbled the punt and then he dropped like a pass to hit him right in the chest. And they kept going back at him and he led the Steelers and targets. Yeah. So that was like, I think, a good sign because it's,

With these old veteran quarterbacks, you never really know how they're going to take it out on these young receivers. Like we talked about, you know, if you get on Brady's shit list, like, you're done. I would say the same is probably true for Rothsburger. Well, it's, you know, it's like this new young talent. Sometimes they don't, you know, they don't stick to it.

Remember in Seinfeld, when Seinfeld gets his dad that, like, new Bentley and he's like, I don't want it. I'm good. Like, I don't need it. You bought me a Cadillac? I bought you a Cadillac. There you go.

I want you out of your mind. We can't take this. You don't want it? Are you kidding? He's not buying us a Cadillac. What are you, nuts? It's a very nice gesture, Jerry, but take it. Or is it like the quarterbacks

have to think something going to the season and then just they'll change their minds after week one? Yeah, yeah, you're right. So, yeah, again, to stipulate, he's going to be the highest scoring Pittsburgh skill player. I like it. Craig, gut call.

Got call. Ronald Jones becomes a household name in week two and puts up 120 total yard. yards and a touchdown. So we had said that these would be, oh, the measurable, the first part of it measurable, what are you going to do,

Q score on Ronald Jones? Yeah, I'm going to, I'm going to poll everybody in America and say, have you heard of Ronald Jones? No, but yeah, 120 yards of American polling right now, but. And a touchdown.

Yeah, they're playing the Panthers who just got shredded by Josh Jacobs, who put up the most points of a running back in week one. Fournette looked like an old, stiff refrigerator, and Ronald Jones looked really, really good. He also out carried him 17 to 5. Four net had five yards rushing. It's not like Ronald Jones

killed it, but they were playing the Saints who were a strong defense. I think he looked pretty good, and Arian said he looked good. Plus, he also said that four nets workload will increase in the future, but he's not sure when. I just think Ronald Jones is a solid, versatile back that is just going to be on the field a lot with Brady. And against the Panthers, I think he could really take off and become a name. An old stiff refree. refrigerator. I like it. Well, first of, how was a refrigerator stiff?

I don't know. Really? You haven't seen wedding crashes. You haven't seen forgetting Sarah Marshall and now you're making fun of me for my old lingo. I have seen forgetting Sarah Marshall. You called it Sarah Marshall.

Real fans call Sarah Marshall. No, they don't. That's very, you know what? Look, man, I have seen the movie. What's the general plot of the movie? Yeah, go ahead. In one sentence. Two sentences.

Oh my God Russell Brand No No you don't start with Russell Brand Russell Brands Mr. Stelio girl And then Jason Segal is just a sad boy Who gets a woman, beautiful woman he doesn't deserve Actually he didn't see it

Yeah So It's weird that he started with Russell Brand That's odd Because the first thing that popped into my mind Was him doing like the squats on the chest board or whatever That was just the first image Oh yeah

You're having sex with a big chest piece Anyway, let's keep going. Inside. I was going to talk about the Bucks because that was connected to what we were saying, but now we're so disjointed that. But sticking with the Ronald Jones thing, my bold prediction, which I'm skipping to because it's also about the Buccaneers,

I agree that the Bucks have a big game against the Panthers, but I think that Tom Brady throws for his most passing yards since the Super Bowl against the Eagles. Wow. Which, so this is Boulder, but he hasn't broken 300 and I think it's 360 yards, through 58 yards in a game since like the end of the 2017 season. And I don't think he's broken really 300 really in a year.

I think he does that here because it's what you said. It's just going from the Saints defense to the Panthers is like swinging a baseball bat with a donut and then taking the donut off. The Saints are a top five defense. The Panthers really might be the worst one. I don't want to belabor how many times we talk on this podcast about the Panthers being bad. But they had no sacks last week.

They had two pressures. and they were the only team in football that had no quarterback hits last week. That's against the Raiders. Raiders don't have great pass protection. Now they're going to go against the bucks and it's not like the bucks are great, but the Panthers don't have a pass rush.

Brady was disrupted. It's just such a different exercise and I think they're going to wreck them. I also think Mike Evans going to have a big games. We saw Brissarians mention. You don't care that Godwin might miss with a concussion? No, I understand that, but I also think Scotty Miller's really good

and maybe we'll see more of O.G Howard and maybe Gronkel get involved, but I just think that the base point of sometimes we just look at where the ball is and we forget who's playing against teams and the pendulum swing from a bottom, a top five defense to really what might be a bottom three defense is, to me, it's enough for I think Brady could just air it out

and I also think they want to air it out. DK., do you think that bold prediction makes its way into the Salty Spatoon? I do, I do. Here's why, because mine's actually kind of similar. Mine's in the same area code. and here's why I think it is pretty bold because it would go against what we saw in week one in a lot of ways.

Not only did, you know, like a lot of people were talking sort of like Brady's arm didn't look all up to snuff. The Buccaneers, and I'm looking at a really good article by Hayden Winks from Roto World right now, in neutral situation pass rate, the Buccaneers had the lowest pass rate, 36%. Sorry, the fourth lowest tied for the, well, actually I should say it's tied for the second lowest because there's three teams with 36% in the NFL in neutral situation, pass rate.

So they were looking to run it way more than they were looking to pass it in neutral situations. So if they're leading this game, they might just run the hell out of the ball. And that's what makes me a little bit worried. And that's what makes I think this a bold take. However, I'm going to say my bold take is actually pretty related to Danny.

So maybe I'll, maybe should I just jump right to mine real quick? And then we can, we can do yours back to back. So mine is that Scotty Miller is going to be a wide receiver one this week. So top 12? Yeah, top 12 and half PPR.

Chris Godwin. Top 10 if you're, you know, if you play top 10 league. Is he 11th or 12th or is he top 10? No, wide receiver 1. So top 12? In 12 team leagues. Correct. That's the standard fantasy vernacular.

By definition, it's not the standard, but we'll keep going to go. It is. No, absolutely is the standard vernacular. When you say wide receiver 1, it is top 12, Danny. I don't care if you think. I don't care if you think that 10 team leagues are the standard. No one does wide receiver one, wide receiver one,

wide receiver two in 10 teams, period. I just think that's a level world. Anyways, getting away from that. Chris Godwin came up on the injury report this week with a concussion. Now he's in the concussion protocol. And based on the fact that it was kind of a late onset in terms of his symptoms,

that generally speaking can be a bad sign and have him miss multiple weeks. So I'm kind of going under the assumption that Godwin isn't going to play this week. And that potentially can open things up for Scottie Miller. Obviously, Mike Evans is still coming back from a hammy. I think there's a chance he just gets force fed, you know, in

the passing game. And so yeah, that's my bold take. The wide receiver won break last week in half BBR was DKMetkaft, 17 and a half points. Okay. All right, so I guess we can just go right to my bold, then the last pick will be, or do we want to do Hyvitz's gut right now? We're already in the bold. I'll mention it at the end of the butt.

All right, so my bold prediction for week two is that Josh Jacobs will score. single-digit fantasy points this week. Josh Jacobs was the number one running back in fantasy in week one. I'm essentially predicting that Ronald Jones and Josh Jacobs will just have a freaky Friday situation, freaky Sunday. Yeah. And Ronald Jones will have over 100 in touchdowns, and Josh Jacobs will have significantly

under 100 and no touchdowns. They're playing the Saints on Monday night. I just think the Raiders have such a propensity to just screw up on national TV, especially the modern Raiders. The last like two years watching them. I can just so see this as a game where the Saints go up like 21 to 3 in the first half. In the rest of the game is Derek Carr trying to throw it deep at getting scared and throwing it out of bounds. And Josh Jacobs gets 13 carries.

Throwing it out of bounds on fourth down. Yeah. Yeah. Did we talk about the Raiders Stadium? No. I haven't seen it. So Mark Davis. I've driven by it.

Looks nice. Mark Davis said in the opening for the ceremony, which was last month, and he just takes the podium and he says, welcome to the death star, where our opponent's dreams come to die. It's the first thing he said. And I was like, whoa, okay. And then I looked it up because I was, I was like, does this look like the death star? It looks like a Roomba. Like if you, and I'm not like, in a good way?

It's not a, no. The first person I read the ESPN Raiders beat reporter, I forget his name. I'm sorry, he's really good, but he pointed this out first. It looks like a Roomba. And you will see this. So if you watch Monday in a football, they're going to have so many aerial shots of it. Not only does it look like a Roomba in shape, size, the color pattern is perfect too because it's got the gray center on top.

A Roomba had changed my life over this quarantine period since March. Rumba has just been really altered the course of how I live my day-to-day life. I am very familiar with Roomba, and it is indistinguishable from a big Roomba. It does look like a Roomba. And once you see it, you will not unsee it. They just spend $2 billion on a Roomba. And it makes sense because the Raiders move around all the time and they suck. I think Josh Jacobs will run like a Roomba on Monday night.

It looks like a curling stone with no handle. Yeah. Anyway, if you're, if you're listening to this and you have your phone, like if you Google, it's called Allegiant Stadium, A-L-L-E-G-I-N-T. You can just Google Raiders Stadium, which is what I used to do. Yeah, I think that would work. Yeah, you're right. We don't need to give Allegiant a free plug here.

Let them come in and sponsor this pod. after you get done completely like telling everyone to buy Roomba but yes Roomba's earned my respect and love Rump has changed my life anyway so the point is that I have nothing to say about Josh Jacobs

I like this but I had to mention that All right so Hyvitz quickly get out your gut and then we can draft these picks actually related same game wow how convenient is that I think the Saints score more points without Michael Thomas I think they're gonna

I would love to just I would love to say something to be like they'll look better but they'll be a better team like the Panthers like the Raiders can't rush the passer the Saints can protect the passer I think that Drew Breeze is going to

people like who's going to throw to he'll have five seconds he can do it he'll throw to whoever the hell he wants like it's not that bad that's going to be the Tayom Hill game Taysam Hill is going to score 35 fantasy points I mean there's still guys he's got Kamara Sanders Jared Cook

he'll be fine I do think there is an NBA element of when the person who gets 40% or 35% of your target targets goes out and you have the freedom to do so much. Like the Saints have so many ideas to test stuff, I think they're all going to work. They're all. And I just think there'd be a 40 burger on Monday night and the Raiders going to be embarrassed off the field.

So how do we do we do the draft pick of who gets to pick first? Should it be based on last week's winner? No, we should Google something related to Texas, Austin or Nick Foles. Oh, speaking of this insane Nick Foles, Austin, Texas thing, I have to mention I learned something about Texas yesterday. You know, Texas, like, you know, tough state, like, don't mess with Texas, you know? Everything's bigger in Texas. Is that a thing?

Do you know where the phrase, don't mess with Texas came from? Don't mess with Texas was an anti-littering campaign slogan. Don't mess with Texas is about littering. That's badass. No, it's not. That's like the most disappointing thing I've ever heard. I mean, great, don't litter. That was sarcasm, but yes.

Okay, good. Anyway, does that unplay your mind? It blew my mind. That's pretty funny. I did not know that. That's a good fact. So we really, doesn't it make sense

that the winner of the last week's thing gets to pick first? No. Oh, I like guessing. I want to do more trivia. Let's just do it real quick. Trivia's way more fun. Trivia is fun.

I love trivia. Okay, what question can we do here? How long ago was the Cretaceous period? When did the Cretaceous period end? Oh, this is an absolute nightmare. I'm going to say 87 million years ago. I'm going to say 60 million years ago. I'm going to go.

90 million. Oh, D.K. You were, wow. What did you say, DK? 60. Oh, 65. Wow. Good job, DK.

Damn it, I'm last. You know how I know this? You know how I know that? You have a young child? Is your kid watching the land before time? One of my favorite, one of my kids' favorite books right now is called the Dino Block, and it's literally just a huge book in teaching him how to pronounce dinosaur names. Useful knowledge.

There's like a thing in the beginning of the book that says like the Jurassic, Cretaceous, Triassic, or whenever. I don't know. But yeah. Okay, so I get to go first, right? Yeah, definitely get to go first. So how we're going to do it? Like our bold predictions pod before the season, each of us are going to get to pick two. So we're drafting each other's picks. D.K. cannot choose his own picks. He's going to pick which of our picks he likes best. With the caveat that if you choose someone's bold pick, it's like the money ball. So you get three points for a bold pick, one point for a one of just the gut gut calls. Oh, so it's like

the last ball on the rack at the three point contest. Exactly. Okay. Exactly. So I'm going to choose how many points

to the Saints score last week again? 34. Oh, geez. I'm taking, I'm taking, I'm taking Craig's bold

Josh Jacobs will score single digit fantasy points. Going for the gusto. I'm going for the bold call. Hyfit you're up. All right.

I'll take the Ronald Jones 120 yards in a touchdown because it's a perfect head. to marry with my Tom Brady thing. So that way I'm like it. People are liking Craig's... Like I were saying, got a hedge.

Now I'm right in any circumstance. Are we snake? You get two. Do I get two? Okay, we are. Okay. You get your two. Both of them.

I like... I'm going to go with Saints score more without Michael Thomas. So what's... It's 34, you said? 32. 34. Yeah.

That's a good one. Going for bold, if I want a bold. I can't... I just looked up how much Brady... Brady threw for 505 yards. And that's super... No, I didn't. say more than the Super Bowl. I said the most since the Super Bowl.

Basically, I'm saying 359. No, I'm not saying he'll throw it for 500 to 6 yards. I'm saying he'll throw it for 360. So that's what, it has to be 360. That's the number? Yes. Hmm, that makes things different. I'll take that. I like it. So now that goes back to high fits. Okay. I'll do the Deonti Johnson highest scoring Pittsburgh skill player. I think that's a good one. Okay, so I'm up. Let's see here. I'm going to go with Josh Allen QB1, going up against Miami. We got all Craig's gut calls. Maybe it's just we really trust Craig.

Craig's such a sage-wise fantasy person. I may be a millennial, but I act like an old man. Well, I would also just like to point out that DKs were just much, much more bolder. Like, his gut is Paris Campbell top six receiver? Like, that's a pretty bold gut call. That's actually probably more bold than my Scotty Miller top 12. It really is. I don't take it personally.

But no, so I like all these picks. These are good. So next week, we'll let you know how everybody did. We'll keep a running tally. It's going to be fun. I like it. All right. Hopefully Craig will have gone outside in that time.

Okay. So let's go into our Fandel lineup. Yeah, every week we're going to do our million dollar lineup. The year I turned 26 as the head of my own brokerage firm, I made $49 million, which really pissed me off because it was three shy of a million a week. Let's be very clear here. We're making a lineup every week. And we're entering the $3 million pool for Fandall where the winner gets a million dollars.

Which I believe it happens. I believe every week there is a tournament where the winner gets a million. So we are going to do a million dollar lineup every week. So let's be clear here. There's 700,000 entries in this pool. If we don't win by the end of the year, we are not like trying to make like 10 bucks a week. and like we're we are going for broke like we are trying to win a million dollars and stop doing this podcast like we are going to have some weird lineups don't take this exact lineup if you're

just trying to go against like 10 other people like we're trying to be 800,000 people so it's going to be weird and we're going for broke is that is that cool so it's going be like McCaffrey Mahomes and like Byron Pringle that's going to be the kind of like star scrub stuff we're going with here yeah but if we hit boy who if we hit what do you guys need to What would you guys do? So, million, I guess we're doing this podcast so we couldn't lie to the IRS. So we'd have to pay taxes.

So I guess it would be like 200 grand cash or something. What would you guys do with 200 grand cash? You know, throw it in an index fund. What a, what a fucking, that's not funny. That's your answer? I was joking. By the way, for reference. What are the responsible thing to do?

What am I supposed to do with that? For some context. Great financial. His favorite music is the Mamas and the Pappas. If you want to know if Craig is an old soul or not. I could tell when he started yelling about all the youngans changing their mind in week one. Index fund. I should buy a boat.

I would buy a lake house. I like it better when you're like, I'm going to buy a lake. Maybe can I buy a lake and a cabin? There you go. You should buy a lake because the fresh water's drying up. But that's a different conversation. Jesus, Danny. Sorry.

It's too real for you. I know. We're talking about our big dreams for winning a million dollars. And Danny's like, the water's drying up. And I'm like, index fun. I'm going to put it in a stock market and just watch it grow for the next 40 years. I'm going to retire.

I listen to one Warren Bobbitt podcast that I'm in. Yeah. Wait, speaking which, don't, that is, I mean, is his investing advice just like don't lose money? Yeah. Some great shit. All right. Well, let's let's get down to ready to lose some money because we're probably not going to win

a million dollars. But our lineup for this week, we have Dak Prescott, Cowboys are facing the Falcons. We have David Montgomery, bears running back against the Giants. Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys, again, against the Falcons. We have at receiver, we have Devante Adams against the Lions. We have Michael Gallup, again, the Cowboys, against the Falcons. And we have Detroit receiver Quintes Cephys at the Packers.

Rookie. Rookie. Tight end, we got Mark Andrews against the Texans. And the flex, we got Ronald Jones, bucks against the Panthers. And defense, we're going with Buffalo defense, against the Dolphins because Ryan Fitzpatrick. So any of those guys you guys want to highlight? Any of those guys want to explain to the people?

I feel like Zeke and Devante Adams are pretty obvious. We're stacking Prescott, Zeke, and Gallup, expecting that game to have like a explosion of points. I think Seafis is like, we're banking on Seafis just going off essentially. He had 10 targets last week in his first game with Goliday out again this week. He could still be a big part of that offense. You know, going up against Green Bay, their offense looked like pretty damn good. So maybe this will be a bit of a shootout between Aaron Rogers and Matt Stafford.

So I think Seafis is like the guy we're banking on because for the most part, this isn't like the weirdest, you know, lineup ever. But you have to have like one like contrarian one. Yeah. And I think Michael Gallops is a smart pick because if you look at what happened in the Seahawks Falcons game, I mean, there was just so many points on the board. I mean, I know the Falcons did this, but just like seeing what Russell Gage, Calvin Ridley and Julio did, maybe the Cowboys will do something similar to that and hopefully Gallup. is the biggest beneficiary. The last thing I like is Buffalo against Miami. We wanted to basically just pick a divins going up against a quarterback

because the secret thing when you're picking defenses is you don't want the team to just like get stuffed and go three and out every time. You want them to be throwing a lot because you want pick sixes. You want sacks. And Fitzpatrick is the guy who could potentially toss up three lame ducks and we could get a ton of points out of it. Yeah, I think that's true. It's not just lame ducks.

It's like lame geese. I don't know. There's a terrible joke. But Ryan Fitzpatrick is bad. So I think that that's a really good pick. So we'll see y'all next week when we got a millie. If we win the millie, we're not going to be back next week. Like, we will definitely be taking the week.

I can guarantee you we'll be taking the week off if we win the million. Yeah, I guess that's all we would do because if we won $200,000 each, like, it's a nice sum of money. But like, I'm not going to quit my fucking job. Yeah, you're kidding? We'll take the week of vacation. I think everyone will understand. Or we'll just post audio of us just. honestly we'll just take a video of us

Fig finding out. You know what? This isn't going to happen, so it's okay. It's not going to happen. We should probably play to show up on Monday. All right, that's our show. Thank you to Craig. Thank you, D.K. Thank you everyone for listening. Thank you for dogs for smelling all those things so we don't have to. And thank you in advance to all those 800,000 suckers

we're going to give us a million dollars. Yeah. We'll see you guys next week.