The Ringer NFL Show - Saquon vs. McCaffrey, Lamar vs. Everyone, and More Week 16 Daily Decisions | The Dantasy Football Podcast

Episode Date: December 20, 2019

We highlight the high-priced players to bet big on, tell you why Lamar Jackson is worth it this week (and every week), and offer up some midrange players (7:20) before we help your wallet with the bar...gain bin players of the week and build our Week 16 daily fantasy lineups (29:35). Hosts: Danny Heifetz, Danny Kelly, and Craig Horlbeck Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Today's episode of the Danesie Football podcast is brought to you by State Farm. When you need a game plan for protection, State Farm agents are here to help. With personalized service, agents are available to talk in person, over text, or through the State Farm app. So go with the one with coverage and agents you can count on. Find an agent in your neighborhood today. State Farm. Talk to an agent today. The Danesie Football podcast is also brought to you by DrinkWorks Home Bar by Curit. much like a premium espresso machine,
Starting point is 00:00:33 but it makes cocktails instead. Drinkworks pods are made with premium spirits, real ingredients, and natural flavors. Our spirits are high. Wow. It's the Christian McCaffrey of products. It can do anything. Exactly.
Starting point is 00:00:46 You can line it up anywhere. It's defecule. Yeah. What do you think Christian McCaffrey would drink? Gin and Thai. That's just what you drink, and you want to pretend you're like Christian McCaffrey. I mean, we have the same body.
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Starting point is 00:01:32 And use our code, ringer NFL, R-I-N-G-R-N-F-L, at checkout. And remember, please enjoy responsibly, Craig. DrinkWork's home bar is currently available in California, New York, Florida, Missouri, Pennsylvania, and Illinois, with more states available for pre-sale today at DrinkWorks.com. I have a lot of thoughts in Chick-Fleys ad campaign, because if you really think about it, it's a bunch of cows who have gotten so desperate,
Starting point is 00:02:05 they're like, fuck the chickens. Eat all the chickens. It's us or them. And, like, it's really super dark if you really, like, take two seconds. Think about it. This is awful. Welcome to the Danesie Football Podcast on the Ringer NFL show, on the Ringer Podcast Network. My name is Danny Hypedson. I'm joined as always by my co-host and my co-Danny, the hero we need and the analyst we deserve.
Starting point is 00:02:38 The Dark Knight himself! Danny Kelly! How are you doing, D.K.? I'm doing excellent, man. I am very much in the holiday spirit. Can't wait for Christmas and all the things that come with is exciting. How are you doing? I'm great.
Starting point is 00:02:53 What did you get little baby Calvin for? Christmas. I mean, I brought him into the world. Well, I didn't personally, but I played a part in bringing him to the world. Like, take care of him. I changed his blowouts.
Starting point is 00:03:04 Danny, you know about blowouts now. So I think that's probably enough. To be honest, I don't know if I've gotten him a present. That's the biggest brag I've ever heard. Like, well, I brought you into this world. That's a good enough gift. I brought you into the world. Well, I played a part again.
Starting point is 00:03:18 I want to make that clear. Yeah, that's true. There's a certain someone else who did a little bit more work than you. Yes. Yeah, you're the co-price. producer. Co-creator. They threw an EP, I'm just like, you know, on the credits or whatever, so it's good.
Starting point is 00:03:35 I can't get over that. Craig, how are you? Did you get anyone a gift that matches the birth and entry of this world? I did not give anyone the gift of human life. Well. So, every gift besides, that's kind of a letdown, isn't it? Yeah. Wow. Well.
Starting point is 00:03:50 I mean, I'll probably start giving him gifts when he's old enough to actually do anything with him. So, and show gratitude. You know, I require gratitude when it comes to my gift giving. You know, that's not an age thing. Some people never actually get to learn to give gratitude. It's not like the kid's going to remember. Like, when do you start remembering gifts you get? What age?
Starting point is 00:04:07 Four or five. Yeah, what age is the birthday party go from for you to for the kid? Seven? Nah. I don't remember a fourth birthday party. No, actually, it's younger because honestly they have emotions. These children have emotions. They just can't remember anything until they're about four.
Starting point is 00:04:22 So, I mean, I think even when they're little kids, kids. They can have fun. I think it's older than that. I've actually thought about this before, not too long ago. I was walking around the mall and I saw this little kid and I was like, isn't it weird that babies are just like blacked out until they're five? Well, no, the thing I'm most obsessed with is object permanence, which is the idea that
Starting point is 00:04:40 everything that's not, you can't see doesn't exist. Yeah. And that realizing that you drop like a little toy over the edge of the bathtub and then realizing it still exists is like funny. And that's why it's always fun to be like, oh, like, wow, I forgot Matt Schaub is still in the NFL because object permanent. I forgot about show existed. And like, just the fact that he still exists and didn't stop
Starting point is 00:05:00 existing when you forgot about him is an in and of itself hilarious. What a transition into football. Yeah, that was a pretty good segue. That took a full season. So yeah, football, we're going to run through a bunch of players we like in their matchups this week. Spoiler alert, we're all in unmatch shop this week. That's our
Starting point is 00:05:15 galaxy brand. We're going to break down our Fandle lineup of the week at the end. But first, another public service announcement, Just in case you forgot, there are three games on Saturday. I repeat, three games on Saturday. Houston at Tampa Bay, 1 p.m. Eastern. Buffalo at the Patriots 4.30 p.m. Eastern.
Starting point is 00:05:32 Rams at 49ers 8.15 p.m. Eastern. You can lose your championship. You can lose whatever. Please do not lose because you forgot that there was football on Saturday. Fun fact, if you're wondering why there are three games on Saturday, it's because it is illegal to put the NFL on Saturday until this weekend. College football? Illegal. No, the sports broadcasting act of 1961.
Starting point is 00:05:52 One, the NFL wanted to bundle all of their franchise games and put it into one package and sell it to CBS because the AFL was competing with them. And they were stopped and a judge said this was monopoly power. And then Pete Rosell, the first commissioner, lobbied Congress and said, can you make us legally a monopoly cartel? And they were like, sure, but no games on Fridays and Saturdays. And they were like, sure. And that's why you have Monday night football and Thursdays and Sundays. And that's why high school and college football are Fridays and Saturdays. But it was just the second weekend in September through the second week of December.
Starting point is 00:06:24 So the third weekend of December every year, we get Saturday football. You're a font of information. That was amazing. Explain to me why Mercedes-Benz Arena has Chick-fil-A because you can't have it at every game. My theory on this? That's as far as my knowledge goes. So Danny just did his whole thing. I'm talking about Chick-fil-A in Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Starting point is 00:06:46 This is one of the great mysteries of our time. I agree. My theory is that they were like the lost revuance. Sunday is worth all the advertising from just you knowing that. And now you're talking about it. I guess you could say like concerts. It's like guerrilla marketing. Concerts, college games, I don't know, state championships.
Starting point is 00:07:04 There you go. That's it. I have a lot of thoughts in Chick-Fleys ad campaign because if you really think about it, it's a bunch of cows who have gotten so desperate. They're like, fuck the chickens. Eat all the chickens. It's also them. And like, it's really super dark if you really like take two seconds to think about it.
Starting point is 00:07:17 This is awful. But let's get going because that really makes me really sad. and I feel like I've got good energy right now. We're going to run through some categories and daily fantasy players we like on Fandul this week, half PPR as always. DK. Who are you going big on this week?
Starting point is 00:07:30 Someone expensive worth the money. I'm going to go with Lamar Jackson. I don't know if you've heard about him. He's having a pretty good season, 9,300 this week against the Browns. I think they're going to be looking for some revenge for some reason. They lost to the Browns.
Starting point is 00:07:42 The most inexplicable outcome of any game, maybe, this whole season. Remember how worried we were about Jackson going into last week. He's got a bum leg. You know, we weren't even sure if he's going to play, blah, blah, blah. Just goes out there, rushes for 86 yards
Starting point is 00:07:59 and tosses five touchdowns against the Jets. I think Jackson is going to... I think, first of all, his running ability, as always, gives him a great floor. 86 yards on a bum leg. Who knows what he'll do this week. But I love that floor. Of course, you're not going big for the floor.
Starting point is 00:08:15 You're going big for the potential ceiling. I think he just looks awesome as a passer lately. I think they're going to continue to kind of just let things like hang out. I mean, they've really just been having more fun than any team in the NFL of late. And so I'm just riding this Ravens train as much as I can. The Browns, on the other hand, are just a factory of sadness continued. Gave up 445 total yards to the Cardinals last week. So, yeah, I just think that, you know, everything all adds up.
Starting point is 00:08:44 Last time Jackson played this team, he did toss three touchdowns. So scored 26 points in Fanduil scoring. And so I don't know, I think he's going to go off one last time because he's probably going to end up being sit down, sat down in week 17. So I think this is kind of his last hurrah during the regular season. They're going to go off. Yeah, when we were building our lineup that we'll get to later, I couldn't not pencil in the mar.
Starting point is 00:09:08 I'm just terrified at any given moment he's going to have like six touchdowns in the game. I mean, he's had five touchdowns twice this year. No other quarterback's really going to do that. Also, the games that he's had all those touchdowns, like his most dominant games have been against the Rams where they had six touchdowns and the first six drives and then they benched him. And then this Jets game where I think it was five on the first five,
Starting point is 00:09:28 five on the first six. And then eventually they sat them, probably not as early as a lot of people wanted. There's been a couple games. You're like, if they kept going, they could have eight, eight, nine. It's like the Warriors in 2016 when like you would check the box score and Steph had 43, but they sat everybody in the fourth quarter because they were up 30. And you're like, everybody could have averaged five more points a game if they played full games.
Starting point is 00:09:46 Yeah, they're the 2050. 16 Warriors. A shout out to the book of basketball pod on the best basketball game of the decade. And then that's Cavs Warriors, game seven. And then who did we decide was the current version of the Warriors where there's a bunch of names and we've no idea who they are each week. Oh, the current, the 2019 Warriors was the Dolphins. Yes, the Dolphins. Yes. Because they set an NFL record with 80 players. It's just a bunch of college guys who went to Villanova on the Warriors. That's all this. Almost. Speaking of like Lamar, just FOMO,
Starting point is 00:10:19 person I'm going big on this week, Christian McCaffrey for basically the same reason. There's a bunch of numbers about why he's good. I feel like I don't have to say them. At this point, if you know, you know. Like, he's really great at football. Really great at football every week. I understand there's some reticence
Starting point is 00:10:32 because Will Greer will be starting instead of Kyle Allen. Will Greer of the West Virginia, not as famous because he's all his siblings and family or Instagram influencers. And I'm not worried about Will Greer slowing down Christian McCaffrey. I understand if you are, but I've seen enough.
Starting point is 00:10:49 I've seen enough. I don't really feel like to have to... He's pretty good. He's great. So he's really expensive. He's like the most expensive running back by a lot. And like 20%, don't care. So you're not worried about them kind of phasing him out as the season goes on?
Starting point is 00:11:01 This is one of those things were... Week 17? Different question. No, not week 16. Not this week? Okay. No, not this week. I got a couple numbers I'll throw out for you. Obviously, all his fantasy numbers are very, very impressive.
Starting point is 00:11:11 You know, he's on pace to essentially challenge Lidani and Tomlin since 2006 season for the best fantasy season from any player all time. Wait, sorry, I feel like that was a caveat. Can you just repeat that one more time? It's like I didn't hear you quite, right? He is on pace to come up just short of the all-time record. But, you know, a couple of big weeks, the last couple weeks, you know, he could definitely still break the record.
Starting point is 00:11:34 So that's awesome. But a couple of things that are important for this week specifically, McCaffrey has played 96% of the Panthers offensive snaps this year. he has handled all but 22 of the team's 287 running back carries and he scored all but two of the team's 16 running back touchdowns. That's not rushing touchdowns. I'm talking about running back touchdowns. So there's no, essentially there's no such thing as a vulture in the Carolina offense
Starting point is 00:12:03 unless you're counting like... There's no birds. All the birds have died. Yeah, unless you're counting like Curtis... Oh, God, you're coming back to the bird death thing. Okay. You said it, not me. The other thing that's important, 22% target share in the Panthers offense,
Starting point is 00:12:18 which is a league high among running backs. And, you know, with Will Greer starting this weekend, I think that could actually be hired because he's probably going to be leaning on underneath throws a lot going to McAfrey. So I like this. Those are the two things I'm going to say about this. Again, just he might have the best PPR fantasy football season ever. Oh, and I should say I'm plugging my Christian McCaffrey article on the ringer.com,
Starting point is 00:12:42 which will be up if you're listening to this, on Friday morning, it will be up on the site. Great website. Craig, who you're going big on? The best running back in football, not Leonard Fournette, Sequin Barkley. Who is the best running back in football? We were just talking about the best running back in football, but it's fine. Actually, I did forget, I did want
Starting point is 00:12:57 real quick on Chris McAfrey. That's not great. The 96% thing's cool, but the second that Chris McAfree gets hurt, there will be a lot of people who are like, probably shouldn't have played him 96% snaps. It's not quite that black or white, but like that's a cool stat that will look very different. The millisecond he gets hurt for
Starting point is 00:13:13 any reason, even if it's completely unrelated to his workload. Right. I mean, that's kind of nuts. So I just want to get that in there. But Sequin. Yeah, Sequin's the third most expensive running back, but he had the best game of his season last week. He had 140-something yards, two touchdowns. They're playing the Redskins who give up a ton of yards to running backs, especially through the air, 51 yards a game to backs through the air. Seekoine gets a lot of targets. He's Danny Dimes, who's back this week most likely. He's Danny Dimes' his third favorite target this year. Miles Sanders and the Eagles went crazy. against the Redskins last week.
Starting point is 00:13:45 And if Dimes isn't 100% healthy, I can see them leaning on Seekwon a ton. I love Sequin so much. I think he's the best running back in football. What do you think? What's the deal this year? Is it mostly just the high ankle sprain thing that's been holding him back,
Starting point is 00:13:59 or is it just offensively in general? What's the problem? I think it's a few... There's no one big thing, but there's not like a thousand little things. I think it's a few medium things. I think it's primarily Pat Schermer, not being as creative,
Starting point is 00:14:13 offensively as like Carolina and North Turner is in with the Panthers. Like the Giants actually have pretty good skill players. Angram's been hurt. But like Sterling Shepard, Evan Engram and Golden Tate. I know Shepard and Tate haven't played together a ton is somewhat comparable to DJ Moore and like Greg Olson and Curtis Samuel and the Panthers skill talent. Like, you know, similarish levels. But the Panthers are so much more creative about getting Christian McCaffrey, the football, where they line them up, how they use motion. Like the Panthers is just more creative offense.
Starting point is 00:14:42 The Giants don't have even shades of that creativity getting Sequin the ball, number one. You throw on a high ankle sprain even if Seacuan is a physical marvel. He probably came back a week or two. Probably came back a week or too soon because he's a tough guy. Those to me are the two huge things. I mean, I think that's the main gist. And also the Giants, amazing, their offensive line has just been worse than Carolinas. Carolina has been solid, even though they don't have elite talent on that line.
Starting point is 00:15:11 they've actually been coached in a way that they're getting by, and the Giants have not been nearly as good. And I think those are the three main components. But creativity, one, the health two, and then the Y and three. Yeah, I think there's an element of just regressions, I mean, in terms of his explosive runs, too. I've seen people talk about that lately. He had some huge, like, breakaway runs last season that he was not coming this year.
Starting point is 00:15:32 So that's been another big part of it. The thing they have in common is when you play the Giants and the Panthers and maybe last year with Gurley, there's only three or four teams, the Cowboys, too, where the defense, of coordinator is like, okay, the running back is to steal a term from Michael LaBardi, the straw that stirs the drink. Like, that's really only four teams.
Starting point is 00:15:49 You can add one if I'm not thinking of one, but the way the Panthers, like Christian McCaffrey, again, on pace for most fantasy points, maybe ever. So different than Sequin because the Panthers are just getting around these plans to stop McCaffrey, no one can do it. And the Giants, almost every week the defense
Starting point is 00:16:05 stops Sequan except the Dolphins. If you could put Seekwon on any team with the goal of getting him the most fantasy points possible? What team would you put him on? Fantasy points? Not real life efficient. I would say, I think the team that he would have the most real NFL success and the team's success is the Rams
Starting point is 00:16:21 and the girly run. Forty-niners. Yeah, the Niners, actually. That's a better one. I would love to see him on the 49ers. That's, yeah. And if it's for fantasy points, I mean, is the answer the Panthers? No, D.K.'s right, the Niners. Chiefs, maybe. Chiefs? Like, obviously the Chiefs running back
Starting point is 00:16:38 situation has been atrocious this season, but just the spread-to-run type thing that they do is so amazing. So I would go with those two teams. To get him the most fantasy points ever on the Chiefs, that's why I think McAfry's doing it is because he's clearly the best player in the team. With Mahomes and Tyree Kill and Sammy Watkins and Travis Kelsey, it's like, I don't know if he would. If he was the every down back for the Niners,
Starting point is 00:16:56 I could see him having like 28 touchdowns. That's the thing. The rushing touchdown record used to be this really cool thing in the early aughts, and then they stopped giving the ball to people like, you know, 96% of the time. Like a huge part of the McAfrey thing is he doesn't leave the field. Like that is quietly like, there's only four running backs that are even in the 80s. Sequin's like 85ish and that's when he's healthy. Zeke, 85ish percent of snaps, which is a lot.
Starting point is 00:17:20 Fournets, 88, like, but no one's 96. It's not even close. And then other than the four guys in the 80s, even someone like Alvin Kamara is only 65% of the time he's on the field. A huge part of the McAfri thing is he's the only person playing every snap. Does not come off the field. That is a part of the thing. the volume thing. So if the Niners
Starting point is 00:17:41 played Sequin that much, yeah, I think Sequin would go do it. Imagine Sequin on the Ravens. That'd be fun. That'd be fun. Let's stop trading Sequin, right?
Starting point is 00:17:50 The Giants already traded O'Don. Let's stop this. Moving on. God damn it. Now I'm mad. Go home. Who's someone really expensive if you're not in on D.K.?
Starting point is 00:17:56 So I love Derek Henry. We've definitely turned the corner on our love for Derek Henry this season. He's going up against the Saints this week who looks amazing. Just straight to of amazing against the run last week.
Starting point is 00:18:10 It's a good Indianapolis offensive line. Henry, the biggest thing to me, though, is that he's dealing with a hamstring injury still. He sat out of practice. We're recording this on Thursday afternoon. He sat out of practice today on Thursday. Granted, he played last week on this injured hamstring, but he wasn't, I wouldn't say he was his normal self necessarily, 21 rushes, 86 yards against Houston, which should have been a pretty good matchup for him.
Starting point is 00:18:36 Again, he's been injured. he's been suffering through this hamstring injury you have one bad play where he tugs that thing and it starts to feel tight, they're going to take him out of the game and then your day is screwed. So that's essentially why I'm saying away from him. He's a little bit too rich for my blood this week. Saints are fifth
Starting point is 00:18:52 against opposing running backs. And it's supposed to rain and be kind of cold 53 in Nashville on Sunday. So it's just kind of like all those combinations. He makes me a little bit nervous. He's still an amazing running back, but just all those variables, I think I'm going elsewhere. All right, so, but D.K., if you have them in your fantasy
Starting point is 00:19:07 championship, you'd still 100% playing, right? Yeah, I mean, in season long, I don't think you can bench him. But we're talking DFS here when you have other options that are expensive options. That's just where I'm going elsewhere on that one. But, yeah, Henry, I mean, he's still a writable guy. As long as he's, you know, you have to watch the report part of the game. But as long as he's in there, definitely keep him in your game.
Starting point is 00:19:26 I feel the same way about Mari Cooper. You obviously have to play Mari Cooper if you have them in your fantasy season-long league, but I don't love them for DFS this week, which is weird because they have a great matchup. The Cowboys have an excellent matchup against Philadelphia this week. the Eagles have given up the second most fantasy points to wide receivers this year. I mean, that's a number. Anyone who's seeing the Eagles play knows that their secondary sucks, has sucked all year.
Starting point is 00:19:46 Kind of been bad for three years. Injuries and talent has been an issue. Craig and I have an arguing about whether it's Randall Cobb or Michael Gallops of better value this week. J.J. Zachary is in a fan duel. Thank you for settling that because he pointed out an amazing stat that the Eagles defense has faced the lowest percentage of targets to the slot this year. so they have given up the second most fantasy points even though their slot is targeted the least which means they are getting, again, matching the eye test,
Starting point is 00:20:10 shredded outside the numbers by receivers outside. Obviously, that's Amari Cooper on one side and then Michael Gallup is the guy on the other side on the wide for the Cowboys with Randallup in the middle of the slot most of the time. I like Michael Gallup more than Amari Cooper this week. It's a great matchup for Cooper, but he's the third most expensive receiver,
Starting point is 00:20:28 the value is not super baked in. Michael Gallup had an awful week last week. He's the 13th most expensive receiver. or sorry, the 18th most expensive receiver and I think that that's a fantastic way to rebound off him because he's just the Eagles have been getting shredded, he's been great all year, consistent really until the last week or so.
Starting point is 00:20:44 Dak has his sprained shoulder, so monitor that, but he's going to play and I think it'll be fine and the Eagles are going to suck and Michael Gallup will be great. Craig, any rebuttal? Well, for the record, I never mentioned Michael Gallup once. All I said was I like Randall Cobb this week more than his ranking suggests. I think we were fighting. We have not been arguing about those two players off-air. I think we fought.
Starting point is 00:21:02 Danny is adding salt on this meal to make it sound a little bit better, but no. All right. Wow, I've been called out. Kenny Gallaudet, too rich for my blood. Fifth most expensive water receiver. They're at Denver. They got nothing to play for. They're way up there in the altitude.
Starting point is 00:21:18 It's going to be freezing. They're going to be out of breath. David Blouse sucks. He's coming off a three-catch day against the bucks who give up the most points to water-sever. That was adding salt to make it something spicier. I want to be quick with this, though. We talked about Galday on the Monday show. No, don't spend your money on Kenigaldi,
Starting point is 00:21:34 even though he's got 10 touchdowns this year. And getting another one this week. All right, what about Goldilocks? Not too pricey, not too cheap. D.K., who's a middle-range guy for you? I love Austin Echler, the Chargers this week. 6,800, which seems incredibly cheap. In all seriousness, there's probably a correlation
Starting point is 00:21:49 between his numbers being about popularity and him missing the Pro Bowl, which is insane. And going up against Oakland, no less, who has not been good defense. Raiders rank 21st against opposing running backs per fan dual scoring. Melvin Gordon fumbled twice last week, like two ugly fumbles.
Starting point is 00:22:08 I don't know if he's going to have a short leash necessarily this week, but he probably should have. And I just think Echler is a superior back. I think that he's going to be highly involved in the passing game. Obviously, this is half-PPR, but he still has that solid, solid floor
Starting point is 00:22:22 with what he can do as a receiver. He scored 29.3 points. The two weeks passed, obviously he only scored 10.6 in this last game. that would end up being a big blowout loss so they just were not effective anywhere but he's had double digit points in Fanduil scoring in seven of the last eight weeks
Starting point is 00:22:40 he's way too cheap I think he's just a nice middle range guy to plug into your lineup with huge huge ceiling too which I like a lot Did you guys vote off Snackler into the Pro Bowl? I didn't vote I did not vote for the Pro Bowl but I would have if you know You're the problem with democracy I'm boycotting the Pro Bowl
Starting point is 00:22:58 You're the problem with Democracy. D.K. Everyone vote God damn it. If I cared even a little about the Pro Bowl, I probably would have put Echler in there. DK, you got any other Goldilocks this week? I'm going to throw Adrian Peterson in there as a little bonus, $6,500 against the Giants. Danny, tell me about the Giants' defense.
Starting point is 00:23:14 What Giants defense? Okay. They're bad. And Peterson has been essentially the lead guy with Geis on the IR now. He's had 16, 20, and 13 carries in the last three games, respectively, Rush touchdown in each of them. So I think he's just a nice middle-range guy. with plenty of volume that you look for.
Starting point is 00:23:33 And, you know, he's been getting into the end zone. So I think he's a good Goldilocks option for, you know, maybe like your flex spot or something. Yeah, the Giants suck. And then on your note about the Chargers playing the Raiders and the Raiders' defense sucking too, maybe worse than the Giants, which is really saying something. I love Keenan Allen this week.
Starting point is 00:23:49 12th most expensive receiver. Keenay Allen, better than the 12th receiver in football. Raiders have been maybe numbers-wise, not the worst pass through over the last month. But, again, if you've been watching them, probably the worst past year over the last month or bottom three
Starting point is 00:24:02 like absolutely abysmal like borderline you never want to question people's effort but there's just really more just like turnover of them playing together has been horrible I'll just say that
Starting point is 00:24:13 that's not great communication on that deal they've given up the now second most 20 and 40 yard pass plays that's really bad because the lines overtook them actually but anyway
Starting point is 00:24:21 Mike Williams again tied for the league lead and those same like 40 yard pass play so he's a good play but I prefer Keeney and Allen for the safety here Love Keenan Allen, good receiver.
Starting point is 00:24:30 Gregorio. My mid-range sweet spot, this is a little bit of a stretch because he is like... I was going to say, this is middle range? I know, it's not really middle-range, but he's not a top-five running back. Okay. It's Joe Mixon, who I think is a top-five pick this week.
Starting point is 00:24:46 He is the running back number five in the second half of this season, averaging more than 16-half p-pr points a game. They're playing Miami in Miami. We don't have to talk about how much the dolphins suck like we always do, but they do. 2019 Warriors. They just seeded that huge game to Sequin Barclay last week, 140 yards, two touchdowns. Their top linebacker, Raquin McMillan just went to IR.
Starting point is 00:25:09 And Mixon's getting so many touches a game now that it's right up there with the best of them, with the McCaffrey's with the Zeeks. And this just looks like another high touch floor game for Mixon, who's averaged almost 24 touches a game since we gave. Full disclosure, we need Joe Mixon to go off because we need to win the ringer fantasy football league. Yeah, DK, are you rooting for us or Sean you? I'm going to go ahead and just abstain from that answer. What?
Starting point is 00:25:34 Why are you not on our side? You should be rooting for the Danesie podcast. Why are you not rooting for us to win? It's cloud for this podcast. Danny, it's hilarious that you... You can't show a division this late in the season. It's hilarious that you'd ask me that based on your prior, just incessant shit talking to me about the season. So I'm just going to go ahead and stay out of it.
Starting point is 00:25:55 I'm rooting for Craig, though. Hell yeah. So, you know, so I like Craig. He's cool. Danny, you know. It's like the one player you like on the team you hate. God damn it. Like the Steelers fans are like, all right, fine.
Starting point is 00:26:07 I like Lamar. I want to say one thing about mixing. It's been funny because Evan Silva, established the run, has been talking about this. The Bengals are just trying to get the season over with as quickly as possible. And the quickest way to do that is just to hand the ball
Starting point is 00:26:23 to Joe Mixing as many times as possible and get the hell out of there. They are literally running. I have to note one thing about Cincinnati, which is AJ Green's officially on IR now, and I cannot overstate this. A.J. Green hurt his ankle on the first practice that Bengals had in training camp because they held it at a 100-year-old field because it was the site of the first NFL game in Dayton, Ohio. The Dayton Triangles.
Starting point is 00:26:46 The Dayton Triangles. Wow. That was really their name. And Tyler Boyd, after the practice, was like, there were rocks and pebbles, and I cannot believe they were out there that was not an NFL field. and they knew that and they still practiced there and now AJ Green
Starting point is 00:26:59 is out for the season maybe done with the Bengals because they practice on a central field just have to throw it out there. All right, let's move on. Well, let's take a quick. You really just hate that whole lot.
Starting point is 00:27:12 I cannot get over that. I can't. It's like the worst case scenario because someone approved it and was like, yeah, what's the worst that's going to happen? And then the worst happened. It's incredible.
Starting point is 00:27:23 I just likened that to the first episode of Chernobyl when the guy's down there. He's like, you don't know what you're talking about. Like, hit the switch. Everything will be fine. And then we all know how that turned out. God. Well, that got dark.
Starting point is 00:27:35 Let's move on. But first, let's take a quick break. The Dynasty Football podcast is brought to you by Fandul's Sportsbook, the official sportsbook odds maker of the ringer. If you love betting on sports, you're really going to love Fandall Sportsbook. And if you want to bet for the first time, you are in luck. Now that sports betting is available in New Jersey, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Indiana.
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Starting point is 00:29:23 visit www. or in Indiana called 1-800-9 with it. All right, D-K, let's get to bargain bin of the week. You're filling out your lineup. You're scraping the bottom of the barrel. Who are you scraping off this week? So this one is cheating just a little bit because Josh Jacobs got declared out midway through the week
Starting point is 00:29:49 and then DeAndre Washington, I should say, Oakland, 5600 is now the starter. So it's a little bit chalk because everyone's aware of this. But he's definitely in line for a good amount of volume. with Jacobs out and as the starter. So going up against the Chargers, he's going to likely get the lion's share of the workload. Last time he took over for Jacobs.
Starting point is 00:30:09 He rushed 14 times, 53 yards, and a touchdown. This was a couple weeks ago. Caught six of seven targets for 43 yards, scored 18.6 points on the Fandul system. So I definitely like his floor. I think he's got a good ceiling, too, if he can get into the end zone. The Chargers are middling against opposing running back.
Starting point is 00:30:27 17th against opposing running backs this year in Fandul's scoring. and I'm not super worried about the bad, like a bad game script in this game either. The Chargers have just not been great, lost four out of the last five, including a week 10 game against Oakland. So I think that he's going to be in a situation where the Raiders aren't going to be like trying to come from behind the whole game and get, he won't just get him the kind of looks. I think he'll be a solid piece of their offense this week.
Starting point is 00:30:52 So DeAndre Washington, great bargain ban at the week. He's going to be the starter at running back for Oakland. Yeah, that's all with Josh Jacobs out to too. Josh Jenkins is a tough guy. Tough he's missing. He's probably going to be an offensive shoulder. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:31:06 Yeah, that sucks. Doesn't worry at all that Trent Brown the right tackle on IR or whatever. I mean, sure, it's not ideal.
Starting point is 00:31:12 But again, you chase volume at this thing. And, you know, for the price, it's hard to beat what he's going to get in terms of volume.
Starting point is 00:31:20 All right, well, my bargain been this week, Justin Watson, receiver for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This one's kind of simple. The bucks are really hurt. Mike Evans,
Starting point is 00:31:29 Chris Godwin, Scotty Miller are all out for this week. They're all out for the season. Godwin's probably out for the year. It's probably just a formality at this point. That leaves Prashad Perriman and Justin Watson and OJ Howard. And Brashad Paramond's really expensive.
Starting point is 00:31:43 If you're playing Saturday DFS or just a slate that has the whole weekend, Prashad Paraman's like the fourth most expensive receiver on Saturdays, he's priced like Amari Cooper level. Spoiler alert, Brashad Perman, not as good as Amari Cooper. There's kind of just assuming he can succeed as the number one. Meanwhile, Justin Watson's the 13th most expensive
Starting point is 00:32:00 receiver like on Saturday alone. So he's basically being priced as like a fourth level wide receiver. I think that there are odds of a really big day are fairly equal, honestly. Watson had a really bad week last week, but I think that he could totally be a huge play
Starting point is 00:32:15 for this week because he's really, really cheap. And then also OJ. Howard is obviously like a great option for this week and he's probably like one of the top ten tight ends. But like Justin. Sorry, your beloved Scottie Miller's out, D.K. Apologies. That's all right.
Starting point is 00:32:31 It's all right. Cameron Bray,'s another kind of, like, really under the radar guy in this one, too, I think. There was a quote early in the week where James told Bray and Howard that they were going to get the ball a lot of this week. So keep that in mind if you're trying to fill a tight-end spot with just bargain-bin guy of the week. Before Bruce Ariens erased the Buccaneers' tight-end system, Cameron Brate was quietly had just the most red zone touchdowns from any quarterback, the Jamest to Cameron-Bray connection. So that could come back. He could be a good sleeper.
Starting point is 00:32:59 Craig, here's your barrel scraper player thing guy. I'm a golf ball wacker guy. Oh yeah. Chris Conley on the Jags. They're playing Atlanta in Atlanta. He's $5,800. DJ Chark is probably going to play this week, but he's coming back from a
Starting point is 00:33:19 high ankle sprain after only missing one game. So my thinking here is that that's tough. If Chark can kind of draw the focus of the defense, Conley can have another good game. In the last four Minshu starts, Conley's had 80 plus yards and or a touchdown. And the Falcons are missing the Desmond Truffant, their top corner. He broke his arm, I think, two weeks ago.
Starting point is 00:33:40 Conley had two big touchdowns last week. One was the game winner. They're both in the fourth quarter. Clutch catches. I don't know. I just think Conley's a safe play for his price, actually, this week. Yeah, and Atlanta's without their top cornerback, Desmond Truffani. He's been out for the season for a few weeks now.
Starting point is 00:33:55 Were you just, like, texting somebody? Because I literally just said that. I literally said Desmond Troufant broke his on a few weeks ago. I'm keeping all of this in the pod. I've just been... I often wonder how often I do that because I feel like
Starting point is 00:34:09 I've been listening back to our pods a few times and I'll be like, okay, I just completely repeated what Craig said. I was thinking of trying to get Matt Schaub into our Galaxy Brain segment, so I'm sorry. You know when they talk about actors and they feel like you're a bad actor
Starting point is 00:34:22 if you're just watching the other mouth move until it stops moving and then you're thinking about your line? I resent what just happened because I feel like really the fact that that hasn't happened before just shows how much I am listening to you we got to week 16 before I
Starting point is 00:34:37 leave it to Danny to somehow make this a compliment towards himself I really really listen to you Craig I listen to you so much yeah yeah let's move on I had a real point about this game and now I want to keep it to myself what Jags Atlanta no I was just going to say Devante Freeman because I like him at the other side of this game
Starting point is 00:34:58 because the downside with the colony thing is the Jaguars are in turmoil with Tom Coughlin being fired and it's like, dang down, The Witch is dead. And like, I have no idea if they're going to respond. It'd just be so thrilled and actually try their asses off. But part of me is like, it's kind of like schools out at the team because Coughlin just had this iron. I mean, they set the clocks back in the building. All the clocks were five minutes fast because he's finding people for 15 years. He's fined people for being early to meetings.
Starting point is 00:35:21 If you're not five minutes early, you get fined. So you set the clocks back. I'm sorry, forward, five minutes. I don't know. Forward. Forward. So now the, Jaguars were like, yeah, we have to. sort of the clock's back in the building now that Kaufman's gone,
Starting point is 00:35:32 but, I mean, he fined at, I think, a quarter of all league grievances in the last two years, according to the union, have been against the Jaguars. So I think there is a school's out vibe there that might. I mean, they've already been the worst rushing defense in the league since week nine, according to Matthew Barry had a great stat on that. So 182.7 rushing yards allowed since week nine, which is the most in the NFL. That is staggering. And Devante Freeman's not been great, but my God, 182 a week.
Starting point is 00:35:56 And, you know, I'm willing to roll the dice that this team's kind of like, you know, doces to the Jags. So he's our Galaxy Brainplay of the Week, right? I think the Galaxy Brain Play of the Week is that Desmond Truffant's absence is twice as important. That's what I'm trying to say. It's like he broke both arms.
Starting point is 00:36:13 Exactly. Exactly. I was just trying to make that very clear. Let's get to our lineup. How about that? Let's do that, Craig. Why don't you lead us through the lineup? I don't want to repeat anyone.
Starting point is 00:36:23 All right, so we're starting with Lamar Jackson because you can never go wrong with Lamar. Every single day. Because we can't not start Lamar Jackson. That is where he is right now as a fantasy player. He's unsitable in DFS. And we're going with Joe Mixin, a lot of touches. DeAndre Washington, filling in for Josh Jacobs.
Starting point is 00:36:40 D.K., who we got a receiver. All right, we got Keenan Allen, who we discussed above Michael Gallup, $6,500 going up against the atrocious Eagles defense. We got Tyler Lockett going up against Arizona. Again, he kind of came out of nowhere, got over his little bit of a, it was like a month-long slump last week, and the Seahawks offense is turning up So I like that one again
Starting point is 00:37:02 Seahawks offense Jacob Hollister at Tide End 5,700 Going up against the Arizona Defense which has just been incredibly terrible Against tight ends all year
Starting point is 00:37:13 It's like printing money It's like fishing with dynamite Jacob Hollister Tide End Yeah Craig do you want to finish it up Fishing with dynamite When you become a dad You just learn idioms
Starting point is 00:37:23 They just like God puts idioms Into your brain When you were a father God endows you with life He does someone else with life. Yes. Or maybe he's just giving the life
Starting point is 00:37:32 took so much out of him that he's just got cliches in his head as only knows. I really do believe that. And then our flexes our galaxy brain of the week, Devante Freeman, against the Jags.
Starting point is 00:37:41 I rejuvenated Jags perhaps. But our defense, the Baltimore Ravens, going to get revenge against the only team that's really beat them this year, the Cleveland Browns.
Starting point is 00:37:48 Well, you said year. You just gave like a little year, like Marissa Tomey year, uncut gems year. Yeah, maybe I'm just in that whole New York accent mode. I mean, hey, if you want to do it.
Starting point is 00:37:59 We could do a New York pod. We could just get it, right? We just did like three minutes of happy Gilmore quotes that was cut out of this podcast, but we're all in on Adam Sandler. On Uncle Jems? You think you're better than me? No, but the best one is when the, not to spoil the movie, but, you know, there's a guy who does gambling and there's a bookie, and he says,
Starting point is 00:38:17 boobby at one point just killed me. Yeah. That was for high fits only. Yeah. Well, this is it. Championship Week. Good luck to everybody. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:38:27 Farewell. Well, this is one last time. So that lineup is Lamar Jackson, Joe Mixing and DeAndre Washington at running back. Keenan Allen, Michael Gallup, and Tyler Lockett at receiver. We're flexing Devante Freeman. Jacob Hollister at tight end because the Cardinals can't defend tight ends, and it's really funny. And then the Ravens at defense because they lost to the Browns, and this will probably be a revenge game. Different game, different team back then.
Starting point is 00:38:49 That was before they had. Way back in the day. Just unstoppable defense. Yeah. All right. Thank you, Craig. Thank you, D.K. Thank you to everyone for listening.
Starting point is 00:38:57 Best of luck to everyone. in your fantasy football championships. Please let us know if you win. If you lose, then remember you make your own choices and we're not responsible. We will be back Friday with DFS episodes through the playoffs and through the Super Bowl. So thank.
Starting point is 00:39:11 We'll see you guys next week.

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