The Ringer NFL Show - Sit Patrick Mahomes and Start David Blough | The Dantasy Football Podcast

Episode Date: December 13, 2019

We offer up the best and worst daily fantasy bets for the weekend, including Danny Heifetz’s courageous recommendation to sit Patrick Mahomes and start David Blough (2:00). Then we pick our middle-range sweet-spot players and bargain buys of the week before assembling our daily fantasy lineup for Week 15 (24:20). Hosts: Danny Heifetz, Danny Kelly, and Craig Horlbeck Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Today's episode of the Danesley Football podcast is brought to you by State Farm. When you need a game plan for protection, state farm agents are here to help. With personalized service, agents are available to talk in person, over text, or through the State Farm app. So go with the one with coverage and agents you can count on. Find an agent in your neighborhood today. State Farm. Talk to an agent today. Come to the Danesley Football Podcast on the Ringer NFL show, on the Ringer podcast. Network. My name is Danny

Hyfitz and I am joined as always by my co-host and my co-danny the hero we need and the analyst we deserve. The Dark Knight himself. Danny Kelly! How are you doing, D.K.? I'm doing really excellent. How are you doing, man? I am fantastic.

I am still reeling from the Giants and Eli Manning blowing it on Monday next football. But it's okay, as you can tell. How are you doing, Craig? I'm so full. I had a massive lunch and I'm kind of struggling to think. I like you said I actually the entire ringer We just had a bunch of chickfilet

Yeah we all just ate a ton of chickfilet And everyone's just crawling around the office There was about three sandwiches per person Yeah It's not quite as bad as the time there was Shake Shack And then no one did anything for the afternoon Does this mean for the first time ever I'm going to be the one that has to bring the energy

Yeah you're the big energy today DK We were depending on the glucose levels Are off the charts for this podcast I've got some coffee in my system I'm going to give it my best shot Great A lot of protein too I guess That's true we're bulking

It's bulk season. It's a bulk season. Is that what they... Is it? Yes, of course. I am bulking right now. I'm a fan. You're a fan? No, you thought I was going to make fun of you did. I did, yeah.

No, no, I just... There's plenty of opportunities to make fun of you. That's not the one. Anyway, we're going to run through a bunch of players who like in their matchups this week. We're going to break down our fan dual lineup of the week at the end. But first, we're going to run through some categories. Some DFS players.

We're loving this week. Let's dive right in. Go big. D.K. Who is an explicit? Expensive? Expensive player you think is worth the money. But if he's an expensive one, get one of those two.

I'm a big fan of Andre Hopkins this week of the Texans. Going up against the Titans. He's $8,600 bucks. So obviously that is a lot. He's the most expensive wide receiver on this slate at Fanduil. But he's averaging 11.1 targets a game over his last eight games. Among all players, his 89 targets ranks third behind only Edelman and Michael Thomas. 62 catches ranked second.

676 yards, he's eighth, five touchdowns, aside for fifth. And his 136.6. Half PPR points, in other words, his fan dual scoring

ranks fifth among all players, and that's in the last eight games. So he's on fire of late. And we still don't really know what Will Fuller status is. If he does play, you know, there's always the risk he leaves early.

So I just think that they're going to feed Hopkins a lot in this game. I think it has the potential to be a shootout because the Titans are just playing on fire right now. Their offense is just insane. And so, yeah,

I like that. I think the Texans are looking for, need a bounce back. This is a key divisional matchup. And yeah, I'm a big fan of Hopkins this week. I like Hopkins, too. He's the number three fantasy-wide receivers since week six. So started out really slow, but he's doing well now.

Do you know who the number two fantasy receiver is since week six? Since week six? I don't know. Tell me. Kenny Goladee. Oh, wow. Kenny Goladay. Really?

He's the fifth most expensive receiver on the slate. He is my go big this week. Unfortunately, Marvin Jones Jr., who has been opposite. at Kenny this season is on injured reserve. So now Kenny Gallaudi, getting all the outside targets himself, he leads the entire league in receiving touchdowns. That's not since week six, that is the whole year. Marvin Jones

Jr. was tied for number two in the league, actually along with Chris Godwin and Lions are playing the Bucks this week, so Godwin and Gawley actually kind of in a similar situation. He's down Marvin Jones Jr., Chris Godwin's down Mike Evans, but Kenny Goladay, second most catches this year of 20 plus yards. The Bucs defense, absolutely abysmal

continues to be. They're allowing the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers of any team. But not only do they allow the most points, they allow the most points by a massive margin. Like the average team is the Titans. They allow it. The Titans are allowing like 28 points per game

to opposing receivers. The 15 teams ahead of the Titans, 14 of them are like in a five and a half point range. The Buccaneers are 11 points more per game ahead of the Titans, like the median number. The Buccaneers are allowing like 39, points per game, the Fandil scoring,

so half point per reception. Two wide receivers on Fandle. It is unbelievable. So I love the lions this week in general, but also I love their outside receiving threats because the Buccaneers are just awful outside corners. And now Marvin Jones is out. So Kenny Galdet are going to get all those targets.

You think the fifth most expensive receiver is worth David Blow throwing to him? That doesn't worry you? No. Compared to like Aaron Rogers and Devante Adams right next to him? No. No, because Marvin Jones is out.

So the amount of targets, I think Kenny Goladay is an excellent bet to get the most targets of any receiver. And also, Blow's been fine. Like, he, I'm not worried about, I'm not worried about the Buccaneers. I don't care if it's, they take so many deep shots. David Blow could throw the most passes of any quarterback on Sunday. Actually, Evan Silva stopped the run, suggested that he probably would have the most pass attempts on Sunday.

So I think the volume makes up for the lack of quality. What are we going to do without the Buccaneers next year? Like if, what if the Buccaneers all of a sudden get, like a solid, no, I'm just saying, like, what if they get a solid defense, or at least their defense improves and then they get a debt? different quarterback than James Winston. Like, it's going to change the entire entire landscape of fantasy football. The Bucks are the most fun team in fantasy history, maybe. Absolutely.

So what are we going to do without him? I really hope, you know, maybe they'll just resign James and just run it back. You'll have the Giants. They should just be like, can fantasy players just all buy the Bucks? Like, we all have like 0.001 stake in the Bucs. And we say, keep James, have no defense

and just go deep. We have to get them a running back because Peyton Barber and Rojo aren't quite doing it for me. Let's get them like Echler and just like screw it. I like, It's like the Packers, but we just have an IPO on Fandall. Exactly. Fandall can buy your stock on Fandall's sportsbook.

That would be great. Do you think there's been one Dantasy show this whole season where we didn't talk about how much the bucks suck? Or are awesome on offense? If there is, that's a mistake on our part. We're not too good job. Yeah, anyway. Craig, you got someone, you're going big on this week.

Yeah, I'm going to go big on. With a heavy heart, I'm going big on Chris Carson. Wow. Rashad Beni Torres-C.L. And, like, everyone in the... Bell is for Rashad Penny. I know. Everybody in the Seachos is really, like,

they sound depressed about it. They're very pessimistic. Pete Carroll's like, yeah, I don't know. What's the mood in the San Diego State Alumni Network? On all the message boards? Yeah. Yeah. Luckily, it's being overshadowed by just the dominant year of San Diego State.

Also, our basketball team is now ranked 25th, so look out for that. One of the four undefeated teams left. You can't make me look out for it. So we're doing all right. You know, he'll be back. All right, talk about Chris Carson. All right. He's the 13th most expensive running back on Fandah.

Don't know why. Rashad Penny's out. They have CJ Pro Size who doesn't count. They're playing the Panthers who have sacked the quarterback the second most times in the NFL. So I think the Seahawks are going to run the ball a lot. The Panthers are horrible against the run.

They're a bottom five defense in PPR games allowed to running backs, rushing DVOA, yards allowed per carry, rush yards allowed, and rushing touchdowns allowed. And Carson is third in the NFL and carries, even despite Penny's resurgence in the latter half of the season. Chris Carson should be a top five running back this week,

and I don't think it's unrealistic to say that he'll finish the week as the number one running back. DK, you're the Seahawks guy. Yeah. That's my reaction? Oh, yeah, no, I was like, what do you think? I didn't really thought I'd have to elaborate. Was that implied?

Okay, got you. My bad. Yeah, I mean, I agree with what Craig says. I think they're going to feed Carson. I think he's going to... You know, before they got Penny really involved over the last few weeks, I guess, he was averaging more touches than all, but I think McCaffrey.

He was at least top three. Yeah. So he will get absolutely a ton of volume. You know, just pray he doesn't fricking fumble it again, and they have to go to ProSise. Yeah, that's the only worries his butterfingers. Yeah, but I believe that they will ride Carson, and he'll get a ton of volume.

And I agree that I think they'll run a lot because that's exactly, you know, that's the weakness of the Panthers. That's what the CX want to do. Pete Carroll in their loss After they lost to the Rams came out And was like, oh, we didn't run it enough And every Seahawks fan just rolls their eyes But yeah

Has it been to the day in every Seahawks game since 2011? Yeah, pretty much. Every Seahawks lost anyway, we didn't run it enough. Chris Carson, going to get the ball. Yeah. Flipping it around. People who are too expensive this week.

Dicke, you want to take this one or should I start? Why don't you go for it first? All right. I'm ambivalent about Patrick Mahomes and Tyree killed them. week. I don't know about this. I don't know about this.

Craig, yeah, Craig's, Craig's coming from him. Convince me. So Patrick Mahomes the second most expensive quarterback. Tyree Kill is

fourth most expensive receiver on Fanduel. On paper, the matchup is fine, but my issue is that Patrick Mahomes' hand doesn't seem healthy. Like, he had an injury.

He said he fell to the ground weird during the first half against the Patriots. There's no fracture in the hand, but it was bruising, it was swollen. He said he took one pass in the first throw,

he was like, well, that wasn't pretty. And then they basically stopped throwing downfield. Bill Barnwell, ESPN noted that that game, Mahomes' average pass traveled five and a half yards in the air. That is the shortest number of Mahomes' career. Mahomes on Wednesday, we were recording this Thursday afternoon.

Mahomes on Wednesday said, quote, today was the first day I was really able to get a grip on the ball. I was able to kind of flick it around yesterday. But today was the first day I was able to really grip the ball, throw it and drive it down the field a little bit. That was on Wednesday. Maybe he'll be perfectly fun. Yeah, that's great. He's got three more days. I'm not, I'm a little, color me concerned.

So I think that it's not great that The guy who's known for throwing down field Suddenly they're dominating the short passing So this is all injury based not Denver based Yeah, it's a lot of risk to take against Him just it's just a hand It's just throwing hand And also to be completely honest

When a quarterback has an injury like that Guys go for it Like if any play where it's a foot injury Got a bunch of defenders sometimes accidentally step on a foot And it's a risky thing Yeah it's a risky thing Yeah, it's a risky thing. And Mahomes has not really...

Weeks have been few and far between where Mahomes has been surpassing his really high value. This is the third thing. So it's... If the hand holds him back a little bit, he's still got a dislocated kneecap, still dealing with the ankle sprain.

So this is the third injury. Bad things come in threes. I just, I don't know. There's enough things that he hasn't been so productive that he's the second most expensive quarterback this year. He's only been a top two quarterback

like a few times this year anyway, so not in love with it. And then Tyree Kill by extension of the Deepest thing. But you like Tyree Kill this year. And you actually changed, you were going to go big on him. And then you cowardly backed out when you saw that I was against Mahomes. No, no, no, no.

I made, I have side notes here because I was going to mention something. I thought you were going to talk about Denver, because I didn't think you were going to think the hand. Mahomes thing was a big deal. I thought you were going to talk about how good Denver's been against the past. And I was going to say that, although it looks like they've been tough against the past. They're number seven, the seventh hardest defense on Fandle against the past. However, in the last six weeks, they've actually been the seventh easiest matchup for wide receivers against the past. So you sprung a trap for me and I didn't fall into it.

I did. Wow. We'll let the listeners decide, won't we? Someone, yeah, make two lineups, one with Tyreek and Mahomes, one without, and tweet us. Tweet quick. That's what you're going to be tweeting. D.K., who are you going home on? I'm taking a very similar tack on this one.

James Winston and the Buccaneers against Detroit. On paper, it looks like a good matchup. I mean, Detroit's defense has really struggled over the, you know, last couple months. And the Buccaneers have always been, at least most of the season, have been a high-volume you know, very great fantasy option and everything. But again, Winston broke his hand. He has a broken bone in his thumb, I believe. He's the right thumb.

He's been wearing a protective cast on his hand this week. As far as I know, as far as we've, like, been able to hear and all the reports, this is worse than what Mahomes has because he has a legitimate break. Like, Mahomes just has a bruise. This is an actual fracture in his hand. He hasn't been throwing. He was actually seen throwing tennis balls at practice today instead of the football, which, and again, it's the,

Thursday afternoon. So a few days until game time, and he's still just throwing tennis balls at practice. So basically, I'm just leery about the hand. He's 8,200. He's already erratic quarterback, and this just, to me, adds another variable, a layer of erraticness that I'm just not going to take a gamble on this week. And also, he's missing Mike Evans. So, you know, maybe that could be a factor too. So I'm just staying away from James Winston. Are you worried about Chris Godwin by extension, if you're worried about James Winston's hand. Yeah, a little bit. Yeah, a little bit, I would say.

I mean, on one hand. On one thumb. On one thumb, he's going to get more volume likely, and he's going to get more attention from the defense at the same time. So I don't really know how I feel about it. Overall, I'm just a little bit down on the Buccaneers' offense in general. I hope that Godwin goes off, because I'm depending on him in a few season-long leagues.

But, yeah, I'm a little bit worried about him DFS. I think I'm just staying away from the Buccaneers passing offense in general this week. So you have an injury riddled James with a Mike Evans List Godwin, and then you have a not too good David Blow with Marvin Jones List Kennedy All Day. What are you taking? Oh, I'm skipping ahead. Blow's like my Galaxy brain. I love Blow this week. Do we just go straight to Galaxy Rain? What if I told you that David Blow is the best six-foot quarterback in the NFL from Purdue? From Purdue?

He snuck the fump from Purdue That's because Drew Breeze went there. God damn right, Craig. He saw where I was going. David Blow, maybe not in the NFL. This week, highest scoring six-foot quarterback from Purdue is David Blas. Over-breast?

Over-breast. I don't know if he's over-breast. I think of the same height, but he scores more points. That's the key. That's my galaxy brain. That was good. It might be 25 minutes of garbage time at the end after they fall behind 35 to 3.

I have no idea, but it will happen and Kenny Gallaudet will get too tight. It'll be great. It'll be fantastic. So that's how I feel about the matter. D.K., who's your Galaxy Brain? Oh, my God. So this one, I don't feel great about it.

I'll be honest. And that's why I put it in the Galaxy Brain segment. But Jamal Williams are the Packers going up against Chicago. Not a great matchup. Williams is coming off of a game where he was outtouched by Aaron Jones 24 to 7. But going back the last couple of months before last week, there was around a 50-50 volume split in that Green Bay offense. I mean, we'd be complaining about Williams all season.

So I'm just curious if last week the vast discrepancy between Jones and Williams was injury-related. Williams was a late designation on the injury report with a knee injury. And so that could have been a part of why it was such a lopsided game. Overall, the snap counts, though, weren't that different. 36 for Jones, 26 for Williams. Kind of tying it all together, I think there's a good chance that Williams takes back a big part of the offense this week. Matt LaFerrne, in fact, on Thursday said everybody talks about Aaron, but I can't emphasize enough how important Jamal is to us as well.

So clearly it's a little bit risky, but that's again why I put it in this Galaxy Brain segment. You got to hope for like a vulture touchdown or two. That's been his thing this whole season essentially. Prior to last week, he had double-digit carries in the previous three games. And since week nine, he has racked up 19 Red Zone looks. so that's red zone targets or carries compared to 22 red zone looks for Aaron Jones, who has

15 touchdowns on here somehow. Bottom line is the volume is there for him to have a big bounceback game. And so he's actually currently cheaper. He's cheap as hell, essentially. And I'm scrolling through here trying to find it,

and it's taking me so long. He's 5,400. He's down there below Daryl Henderson. He's right by Brandon Bolden, David Johnson, who's barely even played in the last few weeks. So yeah, he's very, very cheap. And that's my Galaxy brand.

I think up until last week, he had been a big, big part of that offense. So it's kind of like a bet that he'll return to that role. You had me at Brandon Bolden. Because, like, Aaron Jones is, I think on the season, is like the fourth running back. Aaron, there's nobody who's been more deceptive with his season-long totals than Aaron Jones because the Aaron Jones, Jamal Williams thing. Aaron Jones has, as you said, he's got 15 touchdowns this year. But his four best games, Aaron Jones has been so up and down that Aaron Jones is four best

games, he has 693 yards and 10 touchdowns. And in the rest of the season, his other eight games, Aaron Jones has 511 yards and five touchdowns. And every week that Aaron Jones seems to have a big week, the next week he does very little so that Aaron Jones is now a top seven most expensive running back this week. And then Jamal Williams is outside the top 50. I think that this is a really good one. So you're buying my galaxy brain now? Yes, because Aaron Jones had a big week last week,

and he has not followed up a big week the entire season. And I'm not superstitious, but I am a little stitious. And I like Jamal Williams for 53rd this week. Thank you for Michael Scotting it right there, though. No, I quote it. That's my original saying. It's like you miss 100% of the shots. You take Wayne Gradsky, Michael Scott, Danny Hyphitz.

Like, that's me. Nice. Craig, who's your galaxy brain? Is this a galaxy brain? I don't know what this segment means anymore. I feel like it's just like guys who are cheap that you kind of like, maybe. Excuse me, you guys have been all normie about this. I'm throwing out David Blow.

I went Eli Manning last week. I am going Galaxy Brain, Galaxy Heart, and you guys are dragging this back to the mainstream. The cool thing about Galaxy Brain Play of the Week is it can be whatever you want it to. That's not what... Participation Awards. 2019. Polluted.

All right, I'm going with Dallas Gotter. Maybe this isn't a galaxy brain He plays for Philadelphia But his name's Dallas No I think this works So Galaxy Brain is somewhat like the same It's similar to contrarian He's a backup tight end

He's a backup tight end It doesn't make any sense to be Zach Hertz had a huge week last week Okay Yeah yeah And he threw this in the dock And I was like Goddard

He does not inspire very much confidence I didn't know it was his Galaxy Brain thing Philadelphia has no one on their team To throw the football to And throwing the football is important Excuse you Josh McCown 40-year-old backup quarterback was lining up for receivers,

so they do have people to catch passes. So I think there are currently three wide receivers other than Alshan on the roster. And Josh McCown. Can you name them? Matt Collins? Is he not on the roster? He's not, according to Phil Doff. I think he got cut. Yeah, he got like claimed by another team. Greg Ward. Greg Ward. That's the one I didn't think. It's Greg Ward.

And Rsega White Side. But he's her too, isn't he? Yeah, but that's it. It's Greg Ward, Arcego-Wide, and Nelson Aguilar. And Nelson Agar has a knee injury and our Sega White Side has a hamstring injury. The real Galaxy brain is Josh McCown will line up in the slot. That would be amazing actually. That's the ultimate test. That is a galaxy brain. Is the slot anti-aging cream?

We'll find out for Josh McCall. Then you have to play him at your quarterback spot though. Fandall should make like a mystery category where you can start a player at a different position and he can only score points at the other position you say he would play. That would just be the Tase and Hill thing. All right, we're getting off the rails, but you like Dallas Goddard because they literally have no one else. Yeah, I mean, Ertz has been the number one tight end over the last four weeks,

but Goddard's been the number 10. And the Redskins are the night. Doesn't say a lot about tight ends, yeah. Yeah. The Redskins are the ninth easiest team against tight ends. And in the second half of the season, Ertz and Goddard are tied in red zone targets. So there might be some regression coming for Dallas Goddard.

There we go. Fun fact, my brother played high school basketball against Sackertz. What? Wow, you've been keeping this one. Did he dunk on him? Did he dunk on your brother? Probably. Did your brother not play?

Is that what the house was? No, my brother started. They were similar heights. I mean, what is Zachert, 6, 6, 64? My brother's 6-6-3. Why do you have so many like first person connections with like top tier fantasy

tight ends? NFC titans. I don't know. Austin Hooper went to De LaSalle which is in our division and Zach Hertz went to Montevista. Is there anything else? These things come in threes.

Is there another story you got? No. No beef with Kyle Rudolph, the Red Zone reindeer? Perhaps next season. There will be someone. All right, let's move on. But before that, let's take a quick break.

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Call 1-800 gambler or in West Virginia. Visit www. www.1-800 gambler.net or in Indiana, call 1-800-9 with it. All right, let's get to Goldie Locks, Middle Range Sweet Spot, D.K., who's someone not too expensive or not too cheap that you're looking for this week. I like your boy, Darius Slayton, of the Giants. Going up against the Dolphins. Dolphins defense, not good. He's 6,300.

He's been a beast over the last couple of months. Eli seems to really trust him. We saw that last week. He found him on two deep touchdown passes. Slaten has 39 targets in the last four games, so that's a nice, he's got a nice floor ceiling combination. Obviously, he's getting a lot of targets, but he also has the touchdown upside.

He's got a couple of two touchdown games on his resume over the last couple, after last month. Miami is 29th against opposing my receivers this year. And quietly, this game kind of has some shootout potential with Fitzpatrick going up against Eli, a couple really bad defenses. What a sentence. I know, right? It's taking it back a few years. You know, Cleveland offered a first round pick to the Giants for Darius Slayton, and they wanted two.

Kettleman. Two first rounders. Wait, what? No, that was a complete joke. I was making an old-backer joke. That was not at all real. My point is Odell has been replaced, and Darius Slayton is the man. Oh, man.

Dary Slaten's unbelievable. He makes a play every week. He's fantastic. He's good. Also, speaking of which, this one's not a joke, this is from NFL research. Darius Slateon is the first rookie to have multiple games of 100 plus receiving yards and two plus receiving touchdowns in a single season since 2014 when three players did it.

Alan Hearns, Mike Evans, and Odell Beckham. Alan Hearns. I know, right? He really ruins the stat. Life comes out you fast. What team is he on the Dolphins? Yeah, he's still there. They're playing the Giants this week. It's him and Isaiah Ford. The Battle of the Greats.

I've often said, I've often said Alaners. There's always someone that ruins a stat like that. Sometimes it's perfect. Especially in basketball. It's like Oscar Robinson, like Magic Johnson, Russell Westbrook, and like, I don't know. Dwayne Deadman. I was thinking of Pacers.

Oh, now I'm just embarrassing myself. Yeah, it's okay. Damn it. Let's get back to the sport you're good at. All right. Damn it. Shit. All right.

All right, Dary Slate and good at football. Yeah. Who's, he's a point card for the Pacers. Right now? No, we'll think of it later. Darren Collison. Yes. All right, glad you got that.

That was important to me. You know what's really good at football now in 2019? Rahim Mostair. Mostert. Mostert. Mostert? We'll get it one day. The point is he's really good at football.

You don't need to pronounce it to have him on your team. He is $7,500. He's outside the top 10 most expensive running backs, which is bananas. It is crazy. amazing. The 49ers have the second most rushing attempts for any team. And if the Baltimore Ravens lead it, but if you look at only running back carries, the Niners have the most running back carries by far. And now Rahim Moster is the most, not the most. He's the number one guy in

that backfield. It's diving close. Kyle Shanhan, on Monday said, according to the San Francisco Chronicle, Rahim's earned it over these last few weeks. I mean, how many games can you go and how How many can you go averaging six yards of carry? I mean, we keep trying to balance it out. But what Rahim has done these last few weeks and has continued to do, we need to give him more opportunities. He's given us no choice. I'm happy for him, and it's been great. He's been extremely impressive, end quote.

Unbelievable. He's the 11th most expensive back. He should be way higher. It's, I don't know. This is so obvious to me. I don't really understand why he wouldn't be more money. Yeah. And they're going against the Falcons.

The Falcons suck. There you go. Craig. Who's your Goldilocks this week? I have two. Is that all right? Yeah, why not? The first one is Jarvis Landry, playing the Cardinals. He's $7,400 bucks. So there's a lot of stuff going on with O'Dell. He doesn't want to play for the Browns anymore.

He's got a sports hernia. It seems like Jarvis does want to play for the Browns, which is a big bonus this week. He's been the wide receiver eight over the last four weeks. Arizona's giving up the six most points to wide receivers this year. If Patrick Peterson, he's not having that great of a year, is going to guard anybody. It's probably going to be Odell. I think the Cardinals just cut their side. slot corner, which is where Jarvis will be. I just think this is a really nice

spot for Jarvis have a good game indoors for the Browns. Landry's quietly been really good. It's been great, actually. Why wouldn't Patrick Peterson guard Landry because aren't they like, yeah, now Adele doesn't want to play for the Browns? What do you mean? I'm guessing Patrick Peterson's going to want to guard the most talented by receiver, which is still on paper, Odell, right? Yeah. Yeah. Yes.

All right. There we go. And then my bonus. Yeah, you got another one. Darren on the Raiders playing the Jags. I saw this interesting stat by Ian Hartets of Roderworld. It was called Explosive Pass Rate and he had this cool chart that kind of like mapped Basically the sum of an offensive rate of 20 plus yard completions Versus the sum of the opposing defenses rate of 20 plus yards

Completions given up and combined them to just like Show you what games are more likely to have explosive plays And the Jags Raiders game was number one And really Waller is the seventh most expensive tight end this week Although he's been second in targets and receiving yards In the last four games only behind Zach Ertz So I like Waller's just giving in the end zone

He's been allergic to touchdowns. I just got to get him in the end zone. That actually leads right into my bargain bin of the week, which is I just have Chris Conley and the Jaguars for the exact same logic because he's been so up and down in boom or busts and the Jaguars have been absolutely off for the last month. But the same reason we loved AJ Brown last week,

which is the Raiders give up the most 20 plus yard pass plays in the league, the most 48-yard pass plays in the league. They still suck. And they're worse at it because AJ Brown burned them last week. And I really like Chris Conley to get that. because unfortunately DJ Chark has hurt with an ankle injury.

So maybe he plays, maybe not, but unlikely it seems he's going to play. So Chris Conn, they could step up a lot. And I think this Raiders past the – I mean, the Raiders are in an awful place. Like they released safety DJ Sweringer. They released Preston Brown as the linebacker. They released defensive end, Terrell McLean, because basically Gruden's pissed. And it's like, this is insane. But those – they didn't actually have anyone to promote.

That just left them with 50 guys in their 53-man roster. It was not immediately clear who they're going to add from the practice squad, whether any of their practice squad guys are ready to play. Like the guys that are next man up, quote unquote, for this team are not actually game ready. Like they're not experienced. They're rookies or undrafted dudes who have just not really been able to play. So I'm not optimistic at all.

The Raiders' defense gets better. So I like Chris Conley, but it also makes a lot of sense that the Raiders would have someone be able to do it. He's, yeah, I don't have in front of me, but he's actually averaged like 6.6 targets per game over the last six or seven games. So, yeah, he's been getting the volume. And I think, like you said,

with Chark out or probably out. It's not looking good. I think Chark is listed as week to week. Yeah, week to week. We're recording this Thursday afternoon. So we'll see if he's a practice participant on Friday. If he plays, I don't know if he's going to be 100%. I'll play that way.

So, yeah. Who's your bargain bin played the week? So I'm going, so this is a little bit of cheating, but going with the Panthers tight end group. So either Ian Thomas or Greg Olson, whoever ends up being, So basically it depends on what happens with Greg Olson. Olson's availability is the thing to monitor here going forward.

It's Thursday. He's still in the concussion protocol. He was limited at practice. He indicated to reporters that he might be cleared on Friday. It's unclear. If Olson plays, I think Olson's a good play. He has seven, five, and ten targets in his last three games prior to getting hurt. You know, their offense is Kyle Island likes checking down to the tight end.

He's not been good deep. the Seahawks have been very, very bad against supposing tight ends. They just let Tyler Higbee tear them up. They're 31st against supposing tight ends this season per fan dual scoring. However, if Olson is out, I think Ian Thomas, who is his backup, is a great play as well. Last week, 10 targets, five catches, 57 yards, a touchdown, 14.2 PPR points. So both of these guys are super cheap. Ian Thomas is actually more expensive right now, 5,300.

And if Olson plays, he's only 4,900. So both of those are screaming deals in my mind. you like that more than what Craig just said about Darren Waller? I mean, I like Waller, too. I think Waller's a good play as well. A little bit more expensive. I guess if you really need to stretch your dollar, you can go for these guys. So Waller is 6200, and you save 900 bucks with Ian Thomas 53,

and then you save whatever it is. Was he 4,900? Yeah, for Olson. So, yeah, it's a good chunk of change that you can put somewhere else. I love it. Craig, you got a bargain bid? Were you scraping bottom of the barrel? This is just like a feeling.

He's one of those feeling games. Terry McLaren and the Redskins playing the Eagles. Just watching what Darius Slayton did against the Eagles last week, I was like, Terry McLaren, who has had a lot of these plays this year with Haskins gaining chemistry. I don't know. I feel like a 50-yard touchdown is in the... Did you see his touchdown catch last week?

Who? Slayton? Or McLaren? McLaren. It was like behind him one-handed catch in the end zone. It was a sick catch. Yeah, I mean, everybody just keeps saying that, Philly can't defend speed, and that's exactly what McLaren has. So if they can get, if they can connect

on one deep ball, he'll make your flex play be worth it. It's wild how much of the Eagles Super Bowl team has just been the same for three years. Just injuries in the secondary, problems with their tackles being healthy. The running backs and receivers, like just the same thing over and over and over and over

again. Carson Wentz to do it in December. What's up? Like the longest Super Bowl hangover. Real tough. But yeah, McLaurin's really good. Also, shockingly high yards per rat runner pro football focus for a rookie. Yeah, he's been legit. He's been really legit. All right, let's get to building our team,

Fandle line up of the week. How are you feeling about this, Danny? I like this one. DK., you want to start us off with this one? Sure. We, uh, starting off with Ryan Taniel quarterback. I don't think we mentioned him yet, but obviously he's been really, really hot over the last, well, since week seven when he took over as starter. He's been one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL since that time, at least statistically.

And they're going up against a Houston defense that just got completely torched by Drew Locke. And again, like I said, similar offensive styles, a lot of play action, a lot of scheming guys into open space. So I think Tannenhill has an opportunity really here to exploit a bad Houston defense. And so I like him a lot in that game. At running back, we got Leonard Fournett going up against Oakland. Again, Fornet is just a volume monster.

He hasn't had the touchdown production this week or the season to really go with that volume. So he could be due for that positive regression this week. Going up against Oakland, bad defense. I like it. And then at the other running back spot, Rahim Mostert, which we've talked about just now, is now the de facto starter in San Francisco. They run the ball a ton.

He's very, very fast. He's explosive. They're a great run scheme. He had two touchdowns last week, one in the air and one on the ground. So he's just a versatile, really, really good player, and he's really cheap. Leagues the whole league in yards per carry,

and now he's going to be getting a lot of carries. There you go. Also, Tannehill 13, 3. the most expensive quarterback, again, since week seven, number three fantasy quarterback. And until they fix that... Yeah, the pricing just hasn't caught up with that at all. Until they fix it, let's do it. Craig,

want to finish this out? Sure, our three receivers this week are going to be DeAndre Hopkins, who we covered. Debo Samuel going up against Atlanta and what should be an easy victory. And then Darius Slayton, your boy, D.H.'s favorite. The new Odell, the new Victor Cruz.

I love Darry Slate. He's the new Victor Cruz. He's the new Victor Cruz. Oh, he is the new Victor Cruz. And then we're going with Tyler Higby. a guy who Danny Hyvitz and I got in our fantasy league somehow nobody added him off of waivers huge because we have Jared Cook and Evan Engram Love Higby going up against Dallas this week in Dallas

Who give up the 22nd most points to tight ends Our flex we're going with Chris Conley We talked about earlier DJ Chark's going to be out with an ankle injury Playing the Raiders give up a lot of big plays And then finally we're going to let the Patriots Feast on Andy Dalton I could not recommend the Patriots

Like just more in every fast it this week, whether it's DFS or just like the line, I don't care if the line's 10 or 100, the Patriots are going to score 200 points in this game. Because you're so angry about what just transpired this week with this videotaping thing. If it was like Patriots minus 25,

I would actually bet on the Patriots. You know, you can create your own spread and get crazy odds for it. You should do that. On Fendul's sports book. You can make your own parlay. There you go. There you go. Dika, how do you feel about the past this week? I feel good about it. I feel good about this lineup. I like this lineup.

There's some There's a little bit So there's a few risky guys in here We've been winning some money Fendl's been good to us Oh it's been my guys Yeah it's your guys are the risky ones In those lineup

The guy who's winning the streamer of the week competition I don't know about that Yeah I'm gonna hear you say that again With your big Gardner Minchew mustache I forgot about that We never

We'll double nothing for the playoffs I don't know Let's see it later All right That's all we got Thank you Craig Thank you DK Thank you HG

Brown, who's just been very kind to us, and thank you to Ryan Tannenhill, but mostly thank you to Eli Manning. We'll see you guys next week. You know the risks of driving drunk. There could be a crash. People could get hurt or killed. You could get arrested, incur huge legal expenses, and possibly even lose your job.

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