The Rundown - Pepsi's Turnaround Shows Signs of Hope, Ferrari Shares Plunge on Weak Outlook
Episode Date: October 9, 2025Stock market update for October 9, 2025. Follow us on Instagram @therundowndailyThis video is for informational purposes only and reflects t...he views of the host and guest, not Public Holdings or its subsidiaries. Mentions of assets are not recommendations. Investing involves risk, including loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. For full disclosures, visit Public.com/disclosures.
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Public.com presents the rundown.
Your daily market update in under 10 minutes.
My name is Zaid Admani, and today is Thursday, October 9th.
In today's episode, we'll tell you why air traffic controllers might put an end to the government shutdown.
We'll also recap earnings from PepsiCo and Delta.
Then stick around to the end of the show to find out why Ferrari stock is headed for its worst day ever.
We got a great show for you today.
Let's go
The stock market came roaring back on Wednesday
The S&P 500 jumped 0.6%
And the NASDAQ was up more than 1%
Both hitting all-time highs again
Now stop me if you've heard this before
But AI stocks continued to power this rally
Corweave was up 9% on Wednesday
And AMD continues to make double digit moves
It jumped more than 11%.
AMD stock is now up more
more than 40% this week after their big partnership announcement with Open AI on Monday.
Now, as all of this is happening, remember, the government is still shut down.
We're currently in the ninth day of the shutdown with no progress or end in sight.
Now, there hasn't really been a sense of urgency from lawmakers because generally most people
haven't felt the impact of the shutdown, but that might be changing, especially at the airports.
See, during the government shutdown, thousands of federal workers are furloughed, meaning they're
sent home without pay until the shutdown.
ends. But there are some essential workers like TSA agents and air traffic controllers that have to
continue working but without getting paid. And because of that, some air traffic controllers
have started calling in SIG to pick up side gigs like driving an Uber to pay their bills.
That's leading to staff shortages at airports and now we're seeing more flight delays
and cancellations as a result. So if that gets worse, it could finally put more pressure on
Congress to get a deal done and reopen the government. By the way, fun fact,
Lawmakers in Congress still get paid during a government shutdown.
Their paychecks are not impacted.
But I mean, look, the shutdown hasn't impacted markets so far.
Wall Street continues to shrug things off.
If the shutdown does drag into next week, then we won't be getting the September CPI
inflation data from the government, which maybe investors would prefer that at this point.
Nobody wants negative economic data to ruin this rally.
But yeah, we're going to continue to keep an eye on the government shutdown and also
start preparing for earnings season, which kicks into gear next week.
So make sure you guys.
or subscribe to the podcast and tuning it every day to stay in the loop.
Let's run through some headlines, starting with PepsiCo.
PepsiCo is starting to get some fizz back after the food giant beat Wall Street estimates
in their latest earnings reports, thanks to a rebound in their beverage business.
US beverage sales rose 2% making the strongest growth in nearly two years.
It's kind of sad, honestly.
sales of their flagship Pepsi product, their zero sugar offerings, and their new $2 billion acquisition
of the health soda poppy helped drive that growth.
I'm not going to lie, though, I don't get the poppy hype, all right?
I don't think it's that good, but it's helping PepsiCo sales right now.
Now, the not so good news for PepsiCo is that their overall growth is still sluggish.
If you look at volumes, the North American beverage division fell 3%, and snack volumes dropped by 4%.
So Pepsi might be selling more expensive drinks right now, but they're selling fewer bags of chips.
And if you look at their overall year-to-date sales, those are up less than 1%.
And PepsiCo expects only low single-digit growth for 2025.
And what's worse is that their earnings per share are down 29% so far this year.
So the company continues to struggle.
Now, they're trying different ways to win back customers.
PepsiCo is leaning into healthier snacks, hoping it'll get people to buy their stuff.
In fact, they're releasing new Doritos and Cheetos products without artificial colorings and flavors.
The company also plans to cut a bunch of products to simplify their supply chain and slash more jobs in the process before the end of the year to save money.
PepsiCo has been facing pressures from activist investors like Elliott Management, which took a $4 billion stake in the company earlier this year to boost profitability.
You know, my take here is that it's really hard for these food giant conglomerate companies to compete with smaller brands.
that are launching on a weekly basis using social media.
No, PepsiCo is showing some signs of a turnaround, but not nearly enough.
I mean, their stock moved less than 1% this morning following the earnings report and is down
nearly 20% over the last year.
So we'll see if they can ever turn things around.
Let's stick with earnings and talk about Delta.
Delta just dropped strong earnings this morning, beating on both revenue and profits thanks to
higher airfare and a boost in luxury travel.
Delta's revenues in Q3 were up 4% year.
over a year to $15.2 billion and their Q3 profits climbed 11% to $1.4 billion.
The premium cabins continue to be Delta's cash cow. Sales from first class and comfort plus
seats jumped 9% while the main cabin actually saw a drop of 4%. So Delta continues to cater to the
high income crowd and it's working for their business. In fact, premium seating will continue
to get more expensive because Delta's CEO says there's no sign of a pullback from
travelers willing to pay up for comfort seats.
Now, beyond just the high income crowd, corporate travel is also back in full swing.
Delta saw an 8% increase last quarter and Delta expects that momentum to carry into 2026.
So yeah, Delta seems to be crushing it right now and it's a pretty big reversal from earlier this
year.
If you guys remember, back in April, Delta pulled their guidance after the tariff shock.
On top of that, airlines were struggling with oversupply, which was putting a downward pressure
on airfare.
But since then, airlines have cut unprofit.
profitable routes, and that seems to be working for Delta. Delta stock is up more than 5% today
in response to the earnings report, and it's up more than 69% from its lows back in April.
Let's talk about some stocks making moves today. Shares of the pharma company, Akero therapeutics,
are soaring this morning after the Danish pharma giant Nova Nordisk agreed to buy a caro for up to
$5.2 billion. Novo will pay $54 a share in cash, which is a 16% premium to where Acareo was trading
at yesterday. And Novo will pay an additional $6 a share if Acaro's experimental liver drug gets
full FDA approval. A caro is working on a drug that treats fatty liver disease known as
MASH. So yeah, a big move in Pharma land. Shares of A caro are up 19% this morning in pre-market
trading and sitting around $54 a share. I guess that means the
market is pricing in that a caro's new drug won't get FDA approval. So if you think that a caro's
liver drug will get FDA approval, there's a easy way to make $6 a share. Now, on the flip side,
shares of Ferrari are crashing this morning after the luxury car maker reported disappointing
updates to its full year and 2030 guidance. Farari says they expect operating income to reach
$2.75 billion euros by 2030, which is short of the $3.2 billion euros that analysts were
expecting. On top of that, Ferrari expects their revenues to come in at 9 billion euros by 2030,
while analysts were expecting 10 billion. The company also cut its EV sales target in half. Ferrari now
expects just 20% of its cars to be fully electric by 2030, down from the 40%. I'll be honest with you
guys, I didn't even know that Ferrari was planning to make an EV. So yeah, Ferrari stock has taken a hit
this morning. It's down more than 12% this morning, and it's headed for its worst trading day since going
public in 2015. Let's wrap the show with the fun fact. Ferrari has their own theme park in Abu Dhabi
called Ferrari World. The theme park opened up back in 2010 and because it's in the UAE where it gets
insanely hot in the summer, the entire park is indoor. In fact, it's the largest indoor park in the world.
I actually went to Ferrari World back in 2022 and yeah, it's legit. You know, they have the fastest roller coaster in
the world called Formula Rosa. I wrote it multiple times and it lives up to the height.
Honestly, I still think about that roller coaster to this day. You can also ride in a Ferrari at the
park. They have high tech F1 simulators there, which unfortunately I didn't get a chance to try,
but hopefully I'll get a chance next time. Now, speaking of F1, the U.S. Grand Prix is happening
in Austin, Texas in less than a couple of weeks. And public.com is actually sponsoring the
Aston Martin F1 team. So as an extension, the rundown, I guess has to be an Aston Martin podcast now.
I might even try to go to the race in Austin
because it's only like a two and a half hour drive
from where I live.
So if anyone listening to the show
is going to be in Austin for the F1 race
and you see a dude wearing an Aston Martin hat
from public.com, it's probably me.
And if you're just going to be watching the race at home,
keep an eye out for the public logo
on the Aston Martin cars.
And who knows, maybe we can get one of the drivers
that come on the podcast soon.
I would love to hear Fernando Alonzo's thoughts
in the stock market.
Well, all right, guys, that's the rundown for today.
Hope you guys enjoyed today's episode.
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consider giving us a five-star rating on Apple, Spotify,
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I got word from Mike that we're getting pretty close
to launching the merch,
so we'll have more details on the merch giveaway by next week.
Thank you to everyone's,
patience for that. I know people have been asking about it, so hopefully we'll have more information
to you very soon. Thank you guys again for listening, watching, and commenting.
Shout out to Mike and Connor for all the work behind the scene, and we'll see you guys back here
tomorrow.
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