The Rundown - Trump’s Medicare Proposal Tanks Health Insurance Stocks, GM Delivers Rosy Profit Outlook
Episode Date: January 27, 2026Market update for Tuesday January 27, 2026.Follow us on Instagram (@TheRundownDaily) for bonus content and instant reactions.In today’s episode:Gold hits record levels while the dollar slides and Bi...tcoin falls behindHealth insurers sink after the Trump administration signals tighter Medicare Advantage paymentsGM shares jump as the automaker leans into gas-powered trucks and boosts buybacksMicron rallies on a $24B chip investment while Boeing slides despite solid earningsMichael Burry says he’s buying GameStop
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Public.com presents the rundown.
Your daily market update in under 10 minutes.
My name is Zadadmani, and today is Tuesday, January 27th.
In today's episode, we'll discuss why gold continues to outperform Bitcoin.
We'll also tell you why health insurance stocks are getting wrecked today,
and an earnings recap of GM and Boeing.
Then stick around to the end of the show to find out why Michael Burry is buying GameStop.
We got a great show for you today.
Let's go.
Markets kicked off the week on a positive note.
Both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ were up about half a percent on Monday.
Stocks have now gone up for four straight days,
and the S&P is now within 1% of hitting record highs and crossing the 7,000 mark,
and the NASDAQ is 1.5% away from record highs,
which could happen this week if big tech earnings come in strong.
Remember, we got some heavy hitters reporting this week.
including Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, and Apple.
Now, outside of stocks, the more interesting story right now
is what's happening in currencies and commodity.
The U.S. dollar continues to slide hitting its weakest level since 2022.
At the same time, gold and silver keep ripping higher.
Investors are bracing for another potential U.S. government shutdown,
which could happen on Friday,
and there's still tariff threats and trade tension hanging over the markets.
President Trump recently threatened Canada with 100% tariffs
if they make a trade deal with China,
and you also threaten South Korea with 25% tariffs.
So all that uncertainty keeps pushing investors into hard assets like gold.
What's interesting, though, is that while stocks and gold continue to rally,
crypto, especially Bitcoin, has been left behind.
Bitcoin is down more than 5% over the past week,
and it's now more than 25% below its record highs from October.
You know, Bitcoin is just losing its reputation as digital gold.
Clearly, investors would rather hold real gold during time,
of uncertainty. Gold is up 80% over the last year, while Bitcoin is down more than 10%. On top of that,
there seems to be no hype around crypto anymore. Trading volumes at thinned out, and these crypto
ETFs are seeing outflows. So we'll see if that changes anytime soon, but there seems to be
no spark in the crypto markets right now. So yeah, there's a lot to watch over the next few days.
Things could get pretty volatile. Remember, we have a Fed meeting wrapping up tomorrow, along with a
Jerome Powell press conference. We'll be covering that, along with the big tech earnings, like I mentioned,
Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, and Apple report this week, along with 100 other S&Ns,
P500 companies, so it's a great time to get subscribed to the podcast and tune in every day to stay in
the loop. Let's run through some headlines, starting with health insurance companies. Health
insurance companies are seeing their stocks plummet this morning after the Trump administration
proposed keeping Medicare Advantage payments basically flat for 2027, which is a big shock
for these companies. Now, a quick refresher on how this works. Medicare Advantage is how most
seniors in the U.S. get their Medicare coverage today. So instead of the government paying doctors
directly, the government pays private health insurance companies like United Health, Edna, Humana,
and others, a fixed amount per patient to manage their care. And this has been the single biggest
growth driver for the health insurance industry over the past decade. You know, as the U.S. population
ages and more people get on Medicare Advantage, that's more money for these health insurance companies.
And that's why today's proposal is a big deal. Under this plan, Medicare Advantage rates would rise by just
0.09% in 2027, which equals roughly $700 million in additional revenue for the entire industry.
That is way below what the industry was expecting. For context, insurers got a 5% increase this year
worth about $25 billion. Now, on top of that, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
is planning to crack down on a billing loophole tactic these insurance companies have used
called unlinked chart reviews. See, these insurance companies get paid more money for a six
patient. So insurance companies have a huge incentive to document every possible diagnosis a patient
has so they can get more money from the government. But these insurance companies have started
diagnosing conditions for patients that weren't tied to a doctor or a treatment. Essentially,
the patient didn't necessarily get new care for a condition they had, but the insurance
company still got paid from the government as if the patient was sicker. You know, the health insurance
industry has a reputation for being sketchy, and this is a great example of that. Now, if this loophole is
close, health insurance companies could see a hit to their revenue and profits. And that's why the
market reaction has been so ugly. Shares of United Health, CVS, Etna, and Humana are all down 10 to 15%
this morning. Let's shift gears and talk about General Motors. GM reported fourth quarter earnings
before the bell today, and while the quarter itself was mixed, the outlook for 2026 is what
really excited investors. For Q4, GM beat earnings expectations, but slightly missed on revenue,
and overall 2025 was a down year annual sales were down 1% compared to 2024.
But moving forward, the automaker says it expects to profit between $10.3 and $11.7 billion in
26, driven almost entirely by strong demand for its highest margin vehicles, which are gas-powered pickup
trucks and large SUVs. So think Silveradoes, Sierra's, Tahos, and Escalades.
GM also announced plans to buy back up to $6 billion of a $1,000.
its own stock and raise their quarterly dividend by 20%, which is a clear signal that management
feels confident enough to return more cash to shareholders. The company also gave more details
on tariffs, which remain a real headwin for them. GM says that tariffs on vehicles and parts
cost the company $3.1 billion last year, though about 40% of that was offset by shifting
more production back to the U.S. Looking ahead, though, GM expects tariffs to cost between
$3 to $4 billion in 2026. The company is also shifting away from
EVs. Earlier this month, GM took a $6 billion write down as it pulled back on its EV ambitions.
Now, GM says it will still produce EVs, but losses from that business should shrink by
$1 to $1.5 billion this year. So overall, investors like what they heard and GM stock is up 6%
this morning at the time of this recording. Let's talk about some stocks making moves today.
Micron shares are ripping higher this morning after the memory chipmaker announced a
a $24 billion investment in Singapore.
The money will be spent over the next decade to expand Micron's existing NAN memory facility
as the company looks to keep up with the surging demand for memory from AI and data centers.
The company has been aggressively expanding capacity.
They recently broke ground on a $100 billion chip complex in upstate New York.
They also announced a $1.8 billion acquisition of a chip factory in Taiwan.
Now, there are some concerns that Micron could overbuild and that could lead to a supply glut in
the future, but the company says they are aware of those concerns and they plan to be flexible
with production to avoid that issue. Investors are loving it. Micron stock is up 4% in pre-market
trading today. And if you zoom out, the stock is up over 300% over the last year. Other memory
companies like Sandisk and Western Digital are also up this morning. Now, on the flip side,
Boeing stock is down this morning, despite the airplane maker reporting decent Q4 earnings.
Boeing's revenues jumped 57% year over year to nearly $24 billion, thanks.
in part to delivering the most planes since 2018. The company also generated positive free cash flow
for a second straight quarter, and management sounded optimistic about 2026. But the stock is still
down this morning because a big chunk of Boeing's earnings beat came from the sale of its Jefferson
Digital Aviation Unit and not from the core airplane operations. If you strip out that sale,
the underlying profitability was weaker than expected. Plus, their defense unit continues to be a
drag on earnings. So while Boeing is making progress from where they were two years ago, there should
still some risks moving forward, and that's why Boeing stock is down 2% this morning.
If you zoom out, though, Boeing stock has surged more than 40% over the last 12 months.
Let's wrap the show with the fun fact. Michael Burry has been buying up GameStop stock.
The man who became famous for shorting the housing market in 08 wrote in a very long substack
post that I read that he's buying GameStop, but what's funny is that he's not actually
bullish on their business. He said that GameStop's core business, which is selling
games and collect their items is crappy, but he likes CEO Ryan Cohen and he likes the fact that
GameStop has $8 billion in cash on their balance sheet. He thinks that Ryan Cohen could eventually
turn GameStop into a Berkshire Hathaway type company where they buy entirely different businesses
with the cash they have. And honestly, I think I agree because I feel like the only way GameStop
is going to survive moving forward is if they go into a totally different line of business
because people aren't going to start buying more games at brick and mortar stores anymore when everything
moving to a subscription service and digital downloads.
We'll see if GameStop can pull off this pivot.
By the way, GameStop stock did pop 8% yesterday after the Burry post,
but the stock is still down 70% from its 2021 meme stock highs,
which was five years ago.
That's still one of the craziest moments I've ever seen in the markets.
By the way, let me know in the comments on Spotify and YouTube,
what you think about GameStop today,
and if you agree with Michael Burry's bull thesis.
Well, all right, guys, that's the rundown for today.
I hope you guys enjoyed today's episode.
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Thank you guys so much for listening, watching, and commenting.
Shout out to Mike and Connor for all the work behind the scene.
and we'll see you guys back here tomorrow.
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