The Ryan Hanley Show - 229. The Fascinating Impact of a Hard Market on Insurance Carriers w/ Curtis Goldsborough
Episode Date: February 15, 2024Became a Master of the Close: https://masteroftheclose.comOur latest episode takes a whimsical turn with the LinkedIn meme master, Curtis Goldsborough, who's cracking the serious facade of the insuran...ce industry. ✅ Join the Insurance Growth Masterclass: https://masterclass.insure✅ For daily insights and ideas on peak performance: https://www.instagram.com/ryan_hanley/✅ Hire me to speak at your next event: https://ryanhanley.com/speaking👉 Curtis Goldsborough's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/curtis-goldsborough/** More about this episode **He's turned InsureTech raps into the talk of the town and made LinkedIn posts the bread and butter of engagement. Together, we explore the alchemy of humor in content creation, discuss the delicate dance of being funny without crossing lines, and reveal how a well-placed emoji can transform your personal brand into a digital dynamo.As we pivot to the grittier side of the industry, my personal tale of a carrier's strategic move underscores the adaptability needed in today's InsureTech landscape.We dissect the conundrum of technical debt, the courage needed to overhaul outdated systems, and the intricate tango between short-term gains and future-proofing a business. CEOs' decisions, client relationships, and the drive for innovation are the backdrop to this candid conversation about the industry's internal tug-of-war.Wrapping up with a look at today's pressing insurance woes, our dialogue turns to the stark reality facing homeowners: soaring insurance costs and the looming threat of natural disasters.The episode traverses the potential of innovative risk mitigation and discusses the rising tide of litigation and inflation that's reshaping the industry.From the fragility of markets in high-risk areas to the critical need for public education on insurance, we cover it all. Tune in for an episode that melds levity with the depth of insurance industry insights.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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You just got to put stuff out there and see what happens.
And that's a big part of, I think, where people, whether they're using it to bring awareness to a personal brand or to a business or they're selling something, whatever the reason, is they'll put stuff out and then they won't go back and look and see what actually happened.
Did people actually comment?
Did they like it?
How much reach did it get? And then think for themselves, okay, why did that happen?
In a crude laboratory in the basement of his home. Hello, everyone, and welcome back to the show.
Today, we have a tremendous conversation for you with Curtis Goldsboro,
innovative loss control expert, InsurTech, Infusionado creator,
the guy that does the InsurTech raps at ITC.
He is also the president of National Insurance Inspection Services
and an all-time meme creator on LinkedIn about the insurance industry.
And guys, if you're not following Curtis on LinkedIn, I highly recommend you do.
His takes and his kind of sarcastic memes that he creates about the insurance industry, I find to be
thoughtful and hilarious and just all around good guy. And I really wanted to have Curtis on just
for his perspective. We have so many people on this show who in some way, shape or form are
directly creating or working in the retail side of the independent insurance agency space. And I just wanted to get an outside perspective from someone who is, you know, interesting and thoughtful.
Obviously, Curtis fits the bill that doesn't directly sell to and or sell retail insurance.
And while Curtis has had retail sales experience in the insurance industry before as an agency owner
for Farm Bureau, for the last 10 plus years, he's worked for National Insurance Inspection
Services and has a unique perspective on the way various dynamics, particularly the hard market
that we're currently operating in, have impacted the insurance industry and insurance carriers.
And we talk a little bit about what that means, what he's seeing
across the board, particularly as it relates to homeowners insurance and
property loss, et cetera, and why the hard market in various cat losses that we've
had in the last, you know, say, half dozen years or so have created a fragility in
our industry that most are not
aware of. So it's an awesome conversation. And as I said, I highly recommend you connect with
Curtis on LinkedIn, follow along with what he's doing. We'll have his LinkedIn profile
in the show notes, whether you're watching on YouTube or listening on the podcast.
And you can also just go to LinkedIn and search for Curtis Goldsboro and you'll find him.
Before we get there, guys, just want to go quick shout out to you for listening to this show.
If you love what we're doing here, if you're not subscribed, subscribe.
If you are subscribed and you love what we're doing, I'd love for you to share the show.
Just share it out in your socials, text it to a friend, email it to a friend.
That's how more people find what we're doing, find these conversations, find this content, and hopefully through the various
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something resonates that helps you grow, helps you become a better leader, helps you become a
better sales professional, or whatever it is that you're doing helps you better understand
this industry and how you can be successful within it. And if you want to go down that rabbit hole
even further, I recommend you visit masterclass.insure. That's masterclass.insure. This
is the insurance growth masterclass website where you can join a community of people that are
growing their business like no others. This is dynamic. It is interesting. It is pushing the boundaries
of what it means to grow your agency, to build scalability, predictability, and sustainability
through inbound marketing. Guys, this is the culmination of 18 years of my work in this space.
And it is just such a pleasure to be providing this to you guys. So go to masterclass.insure today.
And with that, guys, let's get on to Curtis Goldsboro.
Well, dude, I'm excited to have you on the show.
You are like the insurance LinkedIn meme master.
And maybe even just like you may have ascended even past just insurance in terms of your meme skills.
But, dude, it's like funny it i love your
takes it's so engaging and uh uh i probably have interacted with too many of them because now like
it seems like everything you post just like comes to the top of my linkedin feed a mission
accomplished yes it's dude i give you so much props it It's great. I mean, it's, uh, this is not the easiest space to like find ways to make it humorous.
And that didn't, you know,
that doesn't then just like completely offend somebody. So, uh,
I found it to be, uh, I found it to be awesome. I mean, like why,
why do you use like that type of content? Like, where did that come from?
You know what I mean? Like you have a very distinct style, obviously.
So where does all that come from? You know what I mean? Like you have a very distinct style, obviously. So where does all that come from?
Yeah, I mean, you know, I wish that I had a profound answer for that. But, you know, it's one of those things where I've always been a creative person and always, you know, felt like I had an interesting take on things, but didn't really know what the right outlet was, you know,
for that or how to, how to convey that, you know? And so, I mean, a couple of years ago,
I guess, well, gosh, four years ago for InsureTech Connect in Vegas, I had, you know,
written this InsureTech rap and kind of collaborated with the insurance nerds group on that. And
yeah, there was always kind of got a little, you know, got a little bit of traction and made some waves. But then I had no, you know, no intentional plan to like capitalize on that, you know, attention or build upon it.
But I did one every year for the last four years.
And then this year really put a lot of energy and time and effort into it to, you know, try to make it really up the production value and all of that.
And it made a pretty big splash. And this year I was like, you know what? I need to, because like literally for the past four years,
like I would post this InsurTech rap video at ITC time
and then do nothing on LinkedIn after it, you know?
And so this year I was like, you know what?
I'm going to grease the wheels a little bit leading up to it
and get the algorithm at least recognizing who i am um you know and then
that really helped engagement on on that insurtech rap video this year which was you know called hard
market and that just really resonated with a ton of people and and i had a ton of fun with it and
yeah and so then beyond that just i've kind of followed up with quite frankly I don't even know where the first kind of meme idea came from,
but like,
you know,
I,
I made one and it resonated and got tons of engagement and really hit.
And I was like,
holy cow,
this,
this really seems to work.
You know,
it resonates with people and you know,
and obviously I had,
you know,
had heard Gary Vee at ITC this year saying attention is everything, you know, attention is your most valuable asset.
And I was like, hey, I'm going to I'm going to try this.
You know, I've attracted some attention, but let me see if I can keep the ball rolling.
And yeah, and it's just been kind of off to the races from there.
And I'm still learning as I go, but I'm having a lot of fun with it. So, yeah. And I, and I think that's the really most important part of
that too, is that you're, you're doing it and some of them are going to work. Some of them aren't,
you know what I mean? It's, it's just, you never know. I mean, that's the biggest thing
when people come to me about like the, you know, inbound insurance stuff that I've done and
whatever. I'm like, you know, I can give you a whole bunch of like things that you can do. And
there are some best practices and obstacles you can side step, etc.
But really, you just got to put stuff out there and see what happens.
And that's a big part of, I think, where people, whether they're using it to bring awareness to a personal brand or to a business or they're selling something, whatever the reason, is they'll put stuff out and then they won't go back and like
look and see what actually happened did people actually comment did they like it how much reach
did it get like and then and then think for themselves okay why did that happen did it was it
you know you know i've seen this is gonna sound, but I was testing emojis in the first line
of my LinkedIn posts. And I found that if you use like the green box with the check, or
if you use more positive related emojis, you tend to get more reach where if you use like a red X or you use, I was using like the alert
siren thing, you get less.
And I was like, cause I posted this one and I was like, I just thought, I thought I had
hit on all the things.
I thought it was a good kind of contrarian title.
But what I did was I framed it between two red X emojis. Yeah. Like it didn't go anywhere.
And I was like,
I was so pissed.
I mean,
I was like,
you know,
so then I started testing and I found the like,
Oh,
okay.
That's not for whatever reason you,
you know what I mean?
It's like,
those are the kinds of things that end up making a difference in the long
run that I feel like people just don't want to think that deeply on the
nuance,
but it is important.
No,
it absolutely is. And I mean, I'm sure that you're aware of this, right. But like,
if you watch any of the stuff, um, you know, from, from Mr. Beast, right. Like interviews
that he's done with, with Rogan or whoever. Right. And like, I mean, this, the literally
the most successful and prolific YouTuber in history. Right. Um, and if you ask him, like, he doesn't think that he's a
creator, right. He's like, I'm a data nerd. And he says that, you know, literally from the
beginning, he has just obsessed over analytics and like what you were talking about. Right. And
like, you know, ABCD EFG testing. Right. And like, you know, just absolutely obsessing over that. And yeah,
I mean, it matters. You absolutely, you know, can get results, but it's work, right?
It's a lot of work. And I think this goes into really everything, everything that we do,
you know, and probably outside of insurance too, but it's, it is this ability to test, test, test, test, test, and not chair and not, um, you know,
I actually just, I have a couple of days ago and I've talked a little bit about this on the podcast,
but I had this kind of back and forth a couple of people. Cause I have this perspective that
when you are working with inbound leads in a business, particularly an insurance business, but that's what I know best,
so we'll just stick to that, is that you solve the people's problem,
you round out the account later.
That is my particular take.
That is not my take because I ideologically believe that that's what it is.
It's my take because I think I personally have dealt with more and more diverse segments of inbound leads in this industry than maybe anybody that operates in it currently, right?
Like multiple different businesses, multiple different formats, listening to hundreds of agents, my own businesses, businesses I've consulted for, et cetera. And if you focus, and I know there are people listening to this who are not going to want to hear this,
but if you have a hard focus on rounding out accounts in the initial call or the initial sale,
you're going to lose business.
And this is the part that everyone pushes back on me on.
Just because you solve someone's problem.
And that's one policy today. That does not mean that's a bad account.
Everyone immediately jumps to, well, if it's not a rounded out account,
then the business isn't going to stick. And I'm like,
I buy clothes from like four or five different brands and I go back when I
need them. Like, like also just because you only
have one account today doesn't mean that you can't call them back in a couple of weeks and get the
rest. But there's like this sense. And I think it goes for, for all of us, like, you know, and,
and I ultimately want to get into like where your technical expertise in the industry is too. But I feel like when someone calls you for a problem, don't you just – or if you call someone for a problem, don't you just want them to solve your problem?
Or do you want them to try to figure out all the problems that you have and in that call then try to solve all the problems that you have?
You're like, no, no, no, no, no, no.
I just have this one problem I need to solve today so I can get this off my brain. And, and, you know, I just, you know, it's just funny how people get so ideologically
bent on things, you know what I mean? And it's like, this is the way it is. No, you have to
round out accounts or it's a bad account. It won't be profitable. And like, says who?
Yeah, no. And I saw your post yesterday about that and saw some of the pushback and enjoyed
the thought process, you know, and I can see, you know, see both sides of it. I feel like there is an interesting parallel,
maybe to some extent, you know, because I'm, I'm personally not on the agency side, but more on the
insure tech side and in a, in a B2B space. Right. And, you know, so, so my clients are insurance
carriers and MGAs, but I can totally see parallels even with, you know, for instance, just this in the past six months, you know, we had a tier one carrier that came, you know, came to me and said, hey, like, you know, we are looking for a new field inspection vendor, right?
Well, yeah, we do field inspections, but that's like we're shifting really quickly towards self-inspection right and we built proprietary technology on that
and and uh you know we're kind of making a somewhat strategic shift in that direction
although it's it's happening organically as well um so like with that carrier like quite frankly
i'm not terribly interested in doing field inspections for them, but I absolutely want
to be a self-inspection provider for them. Um, but I'm like, yeah, absolutely. Like, you know,
if, if I get that opportunity with them, so we're, we're doing field inspections with them and,
and not making any money quite frankly, but I want that door open. Right. I want to have my
foot in the door. I just feel like there's some bit of parallel there,
right? Like a hundred percent. It's like, Hey, let's, you know, I, I want that opportunity.
Let's open the door. Let's start to establish a relationship. And, you know, even though the,
the quote unquote solution that I'm providing for them right now is, is not exactly what I want to
be doing for them. Um, but I'm going to establish myself as a, you know, as a resource, as a
solution provider, um, and continue to foster that relationship a resource, as a solution provider,
and continue to foster that relationship.
And quite frankly, I mean, that was three months ago that we started,
and next month I already have a demo set up with them for self-inspection, right?
So there's definitely that fostering process and bringing people along,
and yeah, I can totally see that.
And I think that's a tremendous parallel because I completely agree.
And this is one of my arguments is like, why is it that most of those people who are pushing back on me in almost every other aspect of their life, they would probably agree, solve the original problem.
But for some reason in our space, it becomes, no, we have to solve all the problems.
Yeah, you know what i mean so i think it's a wonderful parallel because it is it is exactly how people want to buy right none of us wake up
in the morning and go i need to find someone to solve every problem that i possibly have in x no
you're like you know my my whatever think about a problem with your home or your you know whatever's
going on in your life like i need this thing. I don't need all the problems solved. I need this one thing solved. And if you
can solve it for me now, you, you go into the column of value creator. And now I'm willing
to come back to you over and over again, because I know you're a value creator. I just think that's,
it's kind of an old school methodology. I think you can be successful guys. Don't,
please don't start
blasting me again or blowing up my DMs. This is the beauty of America. You get to do it however
you want. I just don't believe that. I just don't believe that's the future. I don't believe the
future is continuing to force people down the path that makes the most sense to you, the provider.
I think we have to be like the Bruce Lee's philosophy of, you know, fit to fit
the solution to what they need. And if writing their entire account or take, you know, pitching
them every service you have, you know, if you're an insure tech or whatever is what makes sense in
that moment, great. But there, you should be, have the nimbleness or mental dexterity to know when this person just needs me to solve this one
problem. And it's, as you said, a shoe in the door to do the rest. So we can move on from that topic.
I actually, you know, one of the memes, I think it might even be the one. Yeah, you posted it today.
You have this meme out there, which is awesome. I'll have it linked up in the show notes, guys.
But it's the one where the guys, it says insurance and the guys run on the treadmill, but he's attached to all these weights.
And it says innovation is where he's running and technical debt is the weights.
And I wanted to ask you about this because I actually was talking to Margo Giles, whose episode will come out maybe a couple before this.
I'm not sure where it'll all fall.
But before this episode, you can go back and listen to her episode, guys,
if you haven't.
But this topic came up in our conversation with her
because she was, you know,
she was kind of talking through
some of her feelings and thoughts
on why, you know, her competitors,
her legacy competitors in her vertical
haven't made the change.
And, you know, she brought up a couple ideas which were 100% legitimate. And then, but she didn't address the change. And, you know, she brought up a couple ideas
which were 100% legitimate.
And then, but she didn't address the techno-depth side.
And I said, how much do you think
their unwillingness to move at pace,
or at least the pace that, say,
innovators and early adopters in our space
would like them to move at?
Because I think everybody,
even the big guys in the AMS space would agree
that they do not move at the pace that innovators and early adopters would like them to.
I think they tend to move at like a early majority or late majority pace, depending
on which one it is.
Okay.
So I said, how much do you think technical debt plays a role?
And I don't want to necessarily, you know, I don't want to misrepresent her feelings.
But in general, it was she thought it was more a philosophical slash profit decision than it was a, you know, turning the Titanic in the New York Harbor kind of thing.
Where do you fall in general?
And it doesn't have to be about the AMS systems, but just in general legacy tech and the technical debt associated with it and how that's created opportunities. Because I think that's a topic that maybe like you and I kind of understand,
but maybe most of our listeners don't get maybe what technical debt is. Maybe we can start there
and then talk about how you see it impacting the industry as a whole.
Yeah, definitely. I mean, it's a super interesting topic and I'm looking forward
to listening to Margo's's episode she's awesome yeah yeah
but yeah i mean it's interesting as you know for for my company national insurance inspection
services and you know we're a you know decades old you know started as a family-owned business
um and you know built on i mean we started doing these property field inspections for underwriting
right back on you know notepads and polaroid cameras right like that was the genesis of our
company back in the day right and so um and so we you know have had this transition you know slowly
over time and like you know when we moved to, you know, inspectors having digital
cameras, like that was mind blowing, right? Like to move from Polaroid photos in the mail,
getting sent to carriers and now to have a digital workflow like that, you know, was just
cutting edge. Right. And then fast forward. And it's like, okay, now instead of using digital
cameras, now our inspectors have a mobile app that they can use, right?
And now they're all taking photos with their phones, right?
And so like there's all of that,
but then for our company,
no company's immune to this, right?
Like as technology evolves,
like if you're not evolving as a business,
like you're gonna develop technical debt, right?
And I think literally every company has some.
And just for the audience, just for the audience who may not understand exactly what is technical debt so that they can kind of have an understanding of what that means.
Yeah, I mean, I'll take my best shot at it and you might have a better answer than I would. Right. But essentially, you know, as as technology advances and as you need and want your business to evolve along with that and take advantage of new technology so that you ultimately at the end of the day, hopefully can be more profitable, right?
Drive efficiency and all of those types of things.
But as that technology advances, if you're not moving along, moving your business along that pipeline of technology advancements and and you're just relying on, you know, infrastructure
systems, and it doesn't matter whether that's hardware or software or whatever the case may be,
in some sense, it's even just business processes, right? That are enabled by technology that
literally becomes debt, you know? And that is going to hold your company back. It's going to
hold you back from reaching the milestones of profitability that you, you know, would have been able to reach. Had you not gone ahead and say, look, we haven't upgraded our systems in a decade. And this is absolutely holding us back. And ultimately, I mean, that's that technical debt kills businesses every day. You know what I mean? It is just, you know, and it can be perpetuated just by a kind of an old school mentality.
Right. And and I think the you know, it's the old cliche, right?
If it ain't broke, don't fix it. And sometime like that can be a big hurdle for people, you know, because that that cliche basically drives more technical debt.
Right. Yep. Because the reality is nothing is going to work forever.
And especially, you know, today as the, you know,
the speed of technology and advancement is just, you know,
the momentum is growing every single day, right?
And things are changing so quickly, you know,
that if it ain't broke, don't fix it mentality, you're going to die.
You're just not going to survive. Right. Because there, there are absolutely going to be competitors in your space
that come in and do not have any of that technical debt holding them back. And they're going to get
catapulted, you know, ahead of you. So, um, yeah, it's funny. That's a long drawn out, but no,
I think it's a perfect, it's perfect way to describe it. It's with each year removed from when you built your system, there's almost like it's
not a linear scale on how much it's going to cost to upgrade that system.
And actually, it's like a logarithmic scale almost.
Like maybe the first couple of years, if you were to update it, no big deal.
But you get too far removed from the newest technology
and now that upgrade costs exponentially more. And I actually heard this described one time,
not the technical debt part, but the decision to upgrade an antiquated system. I can't remember.
It was some entrepreneur forum I was watching on YouTube or whatever. And I can't remember who the
guy was. So I'm going to try. But he basically referred
to this as when to kill the golden goose is kind of paraphrasing what he said is like, he's like,
as a CEO of a mature company, one of the hardest decisions to make is how or when do you kill your
golden goose? And what he was referring to this kind of thing, like if you have this system,
that's 20 years old,
that is almost impossible to upgrade, but man,
there's still people using it and you're making money,
but you also know like at some point those people are going to leave and
you're not going to be able to provide them with a product that is up to
today's standards. Like how do you make that decision?
What do you do there? And he, and he didn't necessarily have an answer.
It was mostly just like, this is a question every CEO of a mature company has to ask or answer. Sorry. And, you know, he was like, how you answer it could determine success, failure. You know, you turn the page and become a whole new company. It's amazing. Or you crash that plane right inside the side of the mountain. So it's a really, it is something that I think a lot of people, and I just want to spend some time here
just because I feel like we do give,
you know, specifically applied and vertifor
get yelled at a lot, right?
And I'm sure as guilty of that as anybody else.
At the same time,
I am appreciative of the true struggle
that they have with their own internal technical debt
and the fact that they have golden geese that pay their bills
that companies still operate on.
And it is a very tough decision on what to do.
And I think it doesn't always make a lack of innovation.
It doesn't excuse a lack of innovation,
but it is a real legitimate business problem that
they're dealing with every day, I think is something that at least needs to be said to
be fair to them. Yeah, no, absolutely. I couldn't agree more. And I do think that
progress is always being made, right? There are always innovators. There are always people that
are, you know, trying to push that along. And I think especially on, you know, on the carrier
side, you know, I mean, we've worked with some amazing innovation on, you know, on the carrier side, you know, I mean, we've worked
with some amazing innovation teams, you know, over the last three, four years, you know, that are,
that are doing incredible work. But at the same time, I mean, you cannot get away from the reality
that. What's up guys. Sorry to take you away from the episode, but as you know, we do not run ads on this
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Peace. Let's get back to the episode. Pretty much. I can't say this unequivocally, but
I think it's fairly accurate to say that certainly the top 10 PNC carriers in the country, like the core of these businesses are still running on old AS400.
You know, I mean, they still have server rooms that are, you know, the size of both of our houses combined, a full cloud migration.
Like, it's just it's mind boggling.
And, you know, I think that,
so like, I get it. I understand the struggle there. And I also think, and something that
we've seen and experienced a lot as well is there's so much danger in those migrations,
you know, and those innovations, right. Because I mean, you know, we've all heard the horror stories, right?
Of trying to move on to, you know, a new policy management system or whatever. And, you know,
I mean, millions of dollars, sometimes tens of millions of dollars get spent and a five or six year migration. And it literally never, like they never get to the end goal. You know what I mean?
It just becomes a huge money pit and like they just
couldn't actually get it over the finish line and like there's a very real risk of that happening
you know so that can certainly understandably perpetuate that mindset of to your point hey
you know things are running right like we're writing business, we're making money. Although, you know, today and this year, maybe we're not making money, but you know what
I mean?
Like the wheels aren't falling off.
We're not crashing and burning today.
And, you know, we, we don't necessarily see that happening tomorrow.
So there's, there's just, there's a lot of hesitancy, you know, there to, to make those
tough decisions.
So for your business, particularly, what other pressures do you see
coming from carriers? What are the things are you hearing? Like, like when you're when you're
talking to a client or a customer, and they're walking through the things that are important to
them, like, what what's on their brain? Like, I love getting perspectives, you know, so often,
you know, just because it's where my area of expertise is, we talked through the framework
of the agency space, but I'm really because it's where my area of expertise is, we talk through the framework of the agency space.
But I'm really interested always in the challenges, the frustrations, the things that people are excited about that aren't necessarily that vantage point.
So when you're sitting there and you're like, this is going to be a big change or, man, maybe everyone doesn't see this problem coming.
What are some things that are like high on your mind? Yeah. I mean, it's, it's so interesting because the, the, the industry is just, it's so fluid, like things
change so quickly and there are so many different factors, right? Like, I mean, insurance is
complex. The ecosystem sometimes feels hopelessly complex. Right. And I certainly, you know, I'm no
expert. I quite frankly have a pretty narrow, you know, scope of expertise in the industry at
large, but, you know, but I am absolutely fascinated by, you know, this current hard
market cycle that we are in and how that's going to play out because, and I have these
conversations with a lot of our, you know, carrier partners, um, you know, that nobody knows how this cycle is going to play out,
but I think everybody agrees that this one is different than anything that we faced in the past
because we have this confluence of factors, you know, all coming at us at the same time that we've,
we've never had, you know, in this specific combination before. And I mean, you can tie that back into, you know, COVID or whatever, right? Like, it's
like the, you know, the, the word of the day continues to be unprecedented. And, you know,
we, I think the industry as a whole is, is in uncharted waters, right? And we don't really know,
we don't really know where it's going to go from here. But with that in mind, I think with our clients and folks that we're working with on the innovation side, and again, we are strictly kind of in this little niche of underwriting for property and casualty.
And even more specifically than that, just residential homeowner stuff, right? Like that's what my company is,
is laser focused on. Like that's, that's where our expertise lies. And I try not to get, um,
you know, to, to chase every opportunity that comes our way. Right. I want to be masterful.
So no commercial property?
No commercial property.
We're not doing anything with commercial stuff right now. Um, and maybe we will at some point Commercial property. No commercial property. you know, moving forward. I know that, you know, carriers are absolutely,
you know, looking for options and opportunities that are going to move the needle for them,
you know, meaningfully. And because again, any, you know, any improvement that can come is going
regardless of how things evolve in the next few years, any improvement is better than no improvement.
And I think everybody realizes that, hey, the status quo is not good enough anymore.
And so especially when you look at some of these really tough markets like California, West Coast, all the wildfire issues, you know, all of the coastal stuff as well.
I think that a growing number of people understand the fragility maybe, you know, kind of of these markets and, you know, knock on wood.
But, you know, thankfully, we kind of made it through this year with the wildfire severity
this year was super low.
We did not have...
Especially versus last year, right?
I mean, it wasn't last year like where it was like the California's on fire the entire year.
Yep, absolutely.
And I mean, and even thinking back from that, I mean, you know, 2017 was really kind of the turning point, like the come to Jesus moment, you know, with wildfire.
And then, but again, you know, and this year we kind of dodged the bullet with Atlantic hurricane season, right?
And we didn't have, you know, any of these, you know,
major multi a hundred billion dollar cat events. Right.
But I think everyone understands and, you know,
like if you look at the Florida market specifically and all of the issues and
the madness that's going on there.
I think that people understand that, you know, we,
we really are kind of in a fragile place where if sometime in the next handful of years, you know, we end up having a bad year.
You know, if we had a 2017 wildfire year and, you know, and then, you know, a two or three major cat events, you know, coastal exposure year like like that could blow things blow things up in a, in a way that no
one has ever, like, we're just not prepared for that, you know?
So you, so, so we're that close, you know, it's interesting.
So I think that's a really interesting perspective.
And I, and I would love for you to just, just maybe expand a little bit on that because
I don't think most of the people who listen to this show, myself
included, I don't think most people are aware of that or have spent the time to think about it.
Maybe if they really sit down, they could rationalize it. But the idea that our industry
could be that close to true, like the world's on fire, we don't know how to pay things, large carriers
going out of business, M&A activity, bailouts, that we could be that close to that.
Most people probably don't have their head wrapped around that idea.
So if you could just, any insights that you have there that you can expand upon, I think
would be really interesting because I don't know that I've spent any time thinking about that. Like, geez, what would happen
if we had, you know, you know, Mississippi Delta flooding, some, some, some, some wildfires going
on in California and all of a sudden a hurricane smashes into South Carolina. What happens? You
know what I mean? Like, like, how does that, you know, are we able to sustain that?
You know what I mean?
That's the kind of thing.
Yeah, no, absolutely.
And then on top of that, I mean, you know, the huge surprise this year was the, you know,
they call it SCS, they're being referred to, right?
Severe convective storms, right?
And I mean, through the Midwest, you know, though we had, you know, multiple billion dollar plus SCS events that, you know, are not necessarily, you know, categorized as cat events, but like collectively those added up this year, you know, to to I don't remember.
I looked at the figure the other day when it was over 100 billion dollars, you know, this year losses you know from these tornadoes and whatnot you know so yeah um and that's that's unprecedented like we've never
seen that right so um you know i think between can i ask you one question i'm sorry keeping
around do we keep saying things that i'm like interested in so i apologize um so an scs i never
heard that term severe connected storm this would be something like convective convective storm sorry this would be something like a like a like a swath of tornadoes touching down okay all right
so when you say um you know we we saw a hundred billion in losses from that and that that's kind
of an unprecedented number is that have to do with and this is just something i'm interested
in in general is that have to do with the number of storms and the power of the storms? Or, or is it some combination of that and the fact
that just everything seems to cost more today? Like, what is the percentage of kind of why it's
that high, if that makes sense? Yeah, no, it absolutely does. And, you know, the simple answer
is all of the above, right? Like the, the number of storms and the severity of those storms was actually, you know, significantly higher this year than we've ever seen before.
But then also, you know, that's combined with, you know, this this explosion of lost costs, you know, because of inflation and all of this, you know, all these things that are going on.
You know, so all of it's like a you know, it's a perfect storm, right? It just truly is in every way. So anyway, yeah, I guess, you know, and I don't, you know, I don't like to be
the doom and gloom type person, right? But at the same time, I think we have to face reality,
you know, we, you know, sticking your head in the sand is not going to, um, you know, it's not going to help. And at the same time, none of us
have, has a crystal ball, right? We don't know what the future is going to bring. However,
you know, when, when you look at just the past decade, you know, and you look back at 2017,
you know, and you see the wildfire season that happened in California and how devastating that
was not just with property, but loss of life.
And then you look at some of the worst hurricane years that we've had with coastal exposure.
And then this year with these severe convective storms like we've never had before. you know, subjectively and saying, look, you know, if we had, you know, 2017 and say 2021,
and then, you know, 2023 with those three specific, you know, perils and cat events,
and you put those all together in the same year, you know, that, that would be catastrophic for,
uh, you know, for a lot of, um, you know, regionals. And I'm not saying that, you know, for a lot of, you know, regionals.
And I'm not saying that, you know, top 10 carriers
are just going to, you know, fold overnight.
I certainly don't think that that would be the scenario,
but it is going to have a massive impact
that trickles down and impacts everyone, right?
And like, you know, you don't have to do much research
at all on the Florida market now
to understand what a mess that is, you know,
and policyholders and same thing in California, you know, but if you're in these high risk places,
you know, people are, it's just become completely unaffordable, right? People can't afford
insurance. It's more than their mortgage payment, right? And they're seeing, you know, premiums
increased by, you know, 50, 60, 70, 80, sometimes 100 plus percent, you know, year over year.
And sometimes that can sound like hyperbole, but it's not.
Like, that's the reality for a lot of people, right?
Like, their insurance costs more than their mortgage, right?
And, you know, the average person, they can't do that, right?
It's not sustainable. And that's why, you know, in Florida specifically now, the last figure that I saw was over 20% of people who, you know, don't have a mortgage that requires
insurance. They're just foregoing it altogether, right? They're going bare, right? No homeowner's
insurance. And, you know, that's everyone's individual decision to make, but that is,
you know, that's terrifying. That's not good for that's not good for anyone.
I wonder, are they also going without liability?
Can you get a liability only policy on a homeowner?
Like, I don't I've never heard of that.
But like, you know, because I could see like, I mean, honestly, with some of the premiums that I've heard, you know, which I've absolutely heard all these stories, too.
And I got friends down there, agents.
And it's just it's a bedlam.
You're 100% right.
And it's interesting to think like is there – would I go – if I knew I kind of had a hurricane roof home, whatever, and up to date.
Would I go drop the property and just carry the liability in case that happened?
And you probably cut your premium. I mean, I'm assuming most of the loss comes from the property,
not the liability on these places. I don't know that there's a drastically increased liability
exposure in Florida. It's all the property stuff. So I wonder if that's a product that comes out of
the industry will adapt and morph to make money off these people who don't have property.
Maybe I just threw out a new idea. If there's any carrier people listening,
there's an opportunity for you. Liability only homeowners in Florida.
I mean, we laugh. It's sad that we would end up in a scenario like that. But yeah, who knows? I mean, it could definitely be a thing. You might be onto something there.
I think what's important on this topic is that the insurance carriers don't have infinite money, right? And that all these factors do play a role in what we do. And I think, you know, especially where you sit, you have kind of a unique perspective
in that you're the ones out there looking at these properties and coming back and understanding
how the valuations increase and change.
And I remember, like, back when I first started writing insurance, I mean, this is 18 years
ago, but like, we would just do like $142 times a square feet.
And like, that's how much, you know, we'd put on there.
Now with the way the homes are,
and some of this is the technology in the homes, et cetera.
And, you know, it's just, I don't know.
It's just completely different.
Like you need to do this type of deep analysis
to understand what it would cost to replace it.
And it's everything so expensive.
Yeah, no, absolutely.
And I do yeah it has become
abundantly clear to me just even just in the last three years um that you know unfortunately
you know the for a lot of carriers like the the chickens are kind of coming home to roost
um and i you know i post a fair amount about this on LinkedIn. But, you know, the fact that there are to varying degrees, but there are a ton of carriers out there that, I mean, it kind of ties back in a weird sense. There's a parallel to that technical debt, right? But if you have a book of business with whatever, but hundreds of thousands of
properties for some of these larger carriers, millions of properties, right? And literally
80% of that book, they have not looked at in five years and 50% of it, they've not looked at in 10 years. That is a huge liability for them. Right.
And I think that, you know, we'd be foolish to think that that fact is not at play.
And especially when you look at, you know, just the way that the world has evolved and that culture has evolved, you know, the ever increasing
litigious society that we're in, right? Like all of that kind of plays into this. And quite frankly,
you know, macroeconomics as well, right? Where people just don't have the money to take care
of their homes and properties the way that maybe they used to. And obviously inflation plays a big
factor in that, right? Where it's like, hey, maybe, you know, eight years ago, I could have gotten my roof replaced,
you know, for seven, eight grand.
And now today it's going to cost 25 grand to get my roof replaced, right?
Like that's just, you know, people can't.
And so like all of these things kind of snowball, right?
And they, you know, they exacerbate each other.
And so all of that to say, right, like,
you know, when you look at, at 2023, the final numbers aren't out yet, I had posted about it
the other day, but you know, just the first six months of 2023, um, you know, homeowners
underwriting losses as a whole were just like through the roof, right? Like nobody's making
a profit on the underwriting side, um, you on the on the personal lines, homeowner side.
Right. And massive losses. Right. And that's.
You know, I think that's a big part of it. Right.
Like the longer that you go without getting eyeballs on the risks that you're insuring, there's a time we see them every day and have been posting, you know, posting glimpses of them.
But like we literally look at them and we're you know, we're processing 40,000 inspections a month now, you know, self inspections and field inspections.
And like, so we look at a boatload of properties and the stuff that we see coming through for carriers that finally are doing more renewal inspections because they understand, holy cow.
You know, our losses are piling up based on, you know,
all of this old book that we haven't looked at in forever. And we,
we have no idea what's going on, right. With, with all of this stuff that's,
you know, we haven't looked at in a decade, you know, but there are,
there's interesting aspects, aspects to that as well. You know,
even when you think about the you know the societal
issue i guess maybe that's not the right word right but it's like it's tough like these are
hard problems because you know for instance so you do a renewal inspection project right
you know and you're going to identify a ton of properties that are not a good risk right you're
going to identify those homes that you know have not a good risk, right? You're going to identify
those homes that, you know, have a roof that is 10 years past its lifespan, right? And these are
just major claims waiting to happen. And so, you know, those people are going to get non-renewed,
right? Or they're going to get a correction letter that says, hey, you've got to replace
your roof in the next 60 days or we're not going to extend your coverage. Right. And that's tough because that puts those consumers in a hard spot.
Right.
Like, and again, as you know, as carriers are becoming more in tune with this and, you
know, if you've got a roof that is 10 years past its life expectancy and is falling apart,
like nobody's going to insure you today.
Or if they do, you know, it's going to be a stripped down policy
and it's going to cost you
twice as much as...
Yeah, like an HO1 or something.
HO2 at best.
Yeah, exactly.
So that's tough.
I think the next,
you know,
if I were,
if I were a bold carrier exec
right now,
which I'm not sure
that that exists,
but if it were
what I would be doing is spinning up a finance company
on the side and saying hey
you got 60 days to redo your roof
and if you can't pay
we'll help you finance it
yeah
that's a fucking billion dollar idea right there
this is the second billion dollar idea
we've got the liability only policies in Florida
and now we've
got throwing them out there. If I say the word patented, can I get credit for that if it actually
happens? I don't know how to create a liability only homeowner's policy, but I'll tell you what,
the financing home improvements alongside your insurance policy is brilliant. And since you
probably have all the correct filings to make that a reality, as long as it's a separate company, you could probably spin
that up pretty quick if you're an insurance carrier. Yeah. And there's, there, there are
cool things happening kind of along those lines anyway, with, I'm not sure if you're familiar
with the fortified program, right. Where, you know, you can get a fortified, a certified roof,
right. That's, that's fortified to, you know, withstand, you know, you can get a fortified, a certified roof, right. That's, that's fortified to, you know, withstand, um, you know, whether it's coastal exposure
or, you know, this kind of SCS stuff in the Midwest or whatever.
Um, you know, and there are a growing number of carriers that, you know, will provide significant
premium discounts, right.
If you have, you know, a fortified certified roof that, you know, is, has proper strap
downs and all of this stuff, you know, to withstand these certified roof that, you know, is, has proper strap downs and all this
stuff, you know, to withstand these, these larger storms and whatnot. But, um, you know, so, so there
are some incentives there and I, I'm, I'm excited about some of the stuff that's happening in
California as well on the wildfire front. Um, you know, again, there's, there's tons of work
that needs to be done there, but there are some, uh, you know, some innovative ideas out there. I think the big
picture is that, you know, I foresee moving forward, you know, the industry as a whole,
like we need to do a much better job of educating, you know, general public, right? Educating the
consumer, educating the policyholder. And I guess the angle that I'm excited about is
when you look at, you know, markets like Florida, other coastal exposures,
California with wildfire, people that are in these high risk areas, right. That are experiencing
these insurance issues firsthand, right. Like they're feeling the pain. Um, and people are
just, they're not, they're not taking insurance coverage for granted anymore.
Right. Like it's not just an auto. It's not automatic.
You know, you don't just have to make a phone call and, you know, have a conversation and write a check and you're good to go.
Right. It's way more complicated than that now.
And so that that is beginning to tie in with, you know, this concept from the carrier side of the more predict
and prevent mentality, right? And engaging policyholders in active mitigation, you know,
for their home and property, right? Whether that's, again, you know, wildfire is kind of
the lowest hanging fruit there and where a lot of activity is focused. But at the end of the day,
I think that's a big part of the answer to the, you know,
the, the big picture issues that we're facing is, you know, that people's risk needs to be
minimized, right? Carriers need it at a macro level. But engaging policyholders in that process
and, and educating them on, you know, why this is important. And quite frankly,
the tough part about that is it's like, that's a big change, you know, that's a huge change. It's a huge mindset shift.
And, you know, at the consumer level, we need to educate consumers and somehow convince them that,
yeah, you may not like this, but like the world has changed. Things have changed, right?
Significantly. And we're doing, I mean, we,
I'd see this every single day firsthand just with our self-inspection initiatives, right? Like,
you know, our company contracts with the carrier and then, you know, guess what? Your,
your policy holder's getting a text message in an email from us saying,
Hey, here's an invitation to do your self-inspection. Right. And people,
we see the feedback on a daily basis. You know, I've been insured, you know,
with XYZ company for 26 years and I've never had to do this.
Right. Well, that's absolutely true.
You know, you never have, but we're not living 26 years ago.
You know, we're living in in today and we have major problems today.
And this is this is one of those solutions.
And it it takes work from everyone.
Right. So I think we're moving towards that insurance for the consumer no longer being like this
set it and forget it type thing, right?
Where it's just completely out of sight, out of mind.
And especially on the wildfire front, you know, because effective wildfire mitigation
is not a once a year thing.
You know, when you look at these highest wildfire risk factors,
like tree debris on your roof
and in your gutters, right?
Like, and, you know,
all of these types of things,
defensible space,
these are very fluid factors, right?
Like you don't just trim back your trees
and handle defensible space once a year
and then you're good, right?
Like all of that stuff grows back,
you know, so those risk factors are very fluid and we need to get to a point where we're, you're, you're good. Right. Like all of that stuff grows back. Um, you know, so those, those risk factors are very fluid and, and we need to get to a point where we're, you know,
again, I think education is the key, right. Because it's, it's tough to, you know, throw
these, these things at the consumer and they're looking at it as additional work, right. Like
you're telling me that I have to do this now and I've never had to do it before, right? That can be a tough pill to swallow. But again, I think that's where the
education piece as a whole is one of the biggest tasks that we have in front of us.
I think you're 100% right. There is an enormous opportunity for an insurance carrier to step out
front and lead with education that doesn't also come
with a right hook, right? You mentioned Gary Vaynerchuk, famous for jab, jab, jab, right hook.
Our industry tends to be right hook, right hook, right hook, maybe a jab, right hook, right hook,
right. You know what I mean? Like we can't, I mean, you could just do a whole series of PSAs
and educational things and segment them. And the way the internet works now, you could just do a whole series of PSAs and educational things and segment them.
And the way the internet works now, you can literally create specific pieces of content that are distributed for California homeowners and Florida homeowners.
And there are entire veins of educational content that these carriers could invest in and think through and really, I think, define themselves as market leaders in the education space.
And they just don't want to do it.
And again, a lot of that goes back to, you know, that feels and I've talked to some carrier people about this before.
And it's one, it's culturally not what they're used to.
Right. Very much. Our industry has always been. If you want the information, you have to come to me.
We've been gatekeepers. And I remember back in 2012, I was telling people, guys, we're no longer the gatekeepers of insurance information.
Like it's out there in the world now, you know, and it's still it's still a concept that people have not grabbed onto. I think what you have described is a reality that we don't have to like, but is absolutely what the world looks like.
And while it may not be what we're used to, it certainly only creates new opportunities for the people who want to adjust, adapt, and grab hold of it.
And for the insurance agents that are listening to this, particularly those that are in the
PL space, but also in the commercial property space, these are opportunities to set yourself
apart for all those, I'm a trusted advisor out there.
This is what being a trusted advisor is.
Walking through, how do you properly trim your trees back for your home? How do you properly make sure that there's drainage in case there's flooding? How do you properly insert whatever the thing is? There is so much opportunity in the educational space in our area that if every agent was creating educational content, there still wouldn't be enough.
So I think that I love your point.
This has been a tremendous conversation.
I appreciate what you're doing.
I appreciate your perspective.
And, guys, Curtis is a tremendous follow on LinkedIn.
I just looked, and you only have like, I shouldn't say only, but you have 2200 followers.
That is freaking crazy because due to sharing awesome information I love is one of my favorite.
One of my favorite follows on LinkedIn.
The memes are just hilarious and real and thought provoking.
And I highly encourage everybody listening to go and connect with Curtis on LinkedIn.
I'll have that in the show notes.
Where else can they learn more about it? Or if, you know, for the carrier people that
are listening, if they don't work with you or just want to connect with you, you know, like,
where's the best place for people to learn more about what you do?
Yeah, absolutely. I mean, connect on LinkedIn, you know, shoot me a DM. I'm,
you know, getting those on the daily now, you know, national is.com is is our website. And yeah, I love,
you know, my my network is kind of exploding here over the last few months. And it's super fun. I
love meeting new people and having conversations like this. There's a ton of great people out there
that are working on a lot of these problems that were, you know, that we kind of discussed here
today. And I'm excited for the future. Lots of cool stuff happening.
Awesome, man.
Well, I appreciate you.
Wish you nothing but the best.
And so glad we had a chance to connect
and have you on the show.
Yeah, thanks so much, Ryan.
Lots of fun.
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