The Ryan Hanley Show - RHS 096 - Kyle Nakatsuji Explains Why Clearcover is Positioned to Win
Episode Date: April 8, 2021Became a Master of the Close: https://masteroftheclose.comIn this episode of The Ryan Hanley Show, Kyle Nakatsuji, Founder and CEO of Clearcover, joins the show to breakdown why he started Clearcover ...and why his unique perspective on the industry forced him to create an auto insurance carrier of the future. Kyle gets it, and you MUST listen to this episode…Episode Highlights: Kyle shares how he got started as a venture investor. (13:17) Kyle shares how the idea of curiosity plays a significant role in being successful. (18:46) Kyle explains why he started a company in this particular area of insurance. (23:32) Kyle shares two ways to improve retention as an insurance company. (28:42) Kyle shares what to consider when building the infrastructure of the organization. (33:19) Where does Kyle see the next generation of carriers? (36:29) Kyle mentions a surprising statistic about personal auto carriers. (36:44) Kyle shares what he’s most excited about. (37:09) Has Kyle started to consider other products? (43:51) Key Quotes: “As a venture investor, you really get paid to do two things. You get paid to be intellectually curious, and you get paid to sell money, which is a weird thing to do. It's a weird phrasing, but that's kind of what you do. ost competitive deals, you're selling, right?” So you get paid to learn and build ideas and theses, and then sell money.” - Kyle Nakatsuji “When you start learning about something, you rapidly climb up and you think you know a ton about it. And, then the more time you actually spend with a topic, you kind of fall off this cliff of stupidity.” - Kyle Nakatsuji “It’s not that these carriers don't see the opportunity, or they don't want to help...But, the opportunity has to be of a certain size to warrant the kind of investment, to turn a ship that big...And, with some with newer carriers like us, we're just more free to experiment. There's much lower overhead to do interesting and innovative things with our partners.” - Kyle Nakatsuji Resources Mentioned: Kyle Nakatsuji Clearcover Reach out to Ryan Hanley Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
In a crude laboratory in the basement of his home. Hello everyone and welcome back to the show.
Today we have a tremendous guest for you, Kyle Nakasugi, the co-founder and CEO of ClearCover,
a company that I've been following for a long time. And I actually started following
Kyle's career when he was still in their venture arm or the venture arm of AmFam, American Family.
And they were doing some really interesting things. And he had some very interesting comments
on the industry that I thought were very intuitive and thoughtful considering, you know, I think what I would assume someone in
his position would believe, right? And they were very much inclusive of independent agents and
very realistic on the industry while still taking a very forward-thinking perspective.
So I've always kind of been a fan and watching what he's doing. This
is actually the first time we've had a chance to really chat for an extended period of time.
And I just found Kyle to be absolutely tremendous. I think what he's doing at ClearCover is another
example of a company that is leading us into the future of where, in particular, a product like
auto, personal auto, is going. And while, you know,
I guess it goes without saying that I'm an enormous believer in the independent agent,
I do think that if we don't digitize, we're going to die. And I've been saying that for a long time.
I think we have to digitize the soul of the independent agent and bring it online in a way
that allows us to be the true relationship agents that we are
while providing a much more digitized product. It just fits into our lives in a much more cohesive
way. The paper applications and how hard it is for us to do business, that is just going away.
And if rogue risk has anything to do with it, we'll continue to make that go away because
we don't get to be the outlier. I can't see a world in which everything that everyone does in
every other aspect of their business is digitized, but in insurance, no, no, we still, you know, you don't understand, Ryan, this is a relationship business. No, you can take those
relationships and digitize them in a way that makes you still a value provider. And what Kyle
is doing at ClearCover is an example of how that is possible. So I was very excited to chat with
him. I think you're going to love this episode and I'm glad to share it with you. Before we get
there, though, I want to give a shout out to a brand new sponsor to the show, someone or a company I'm
incredibly excited to share my experience that I'm having with you, and that's Podium. And I
know you've probably heard of Podium and some people have tried it. I am leveraging Podium for
the kind of text capture feature that they have on their site.
So if you go to Rogue Risk, you'll see a little symbol down in the bottom right hand corner
with a message that I put out which is basically like, how can we help?
And that allows people to basically do a chat except the chat is via text, text message. And I can text them back. And it,
I've gotten, I've had podium on my site for a week, and I got six people, you know, who were
basically prospects, not all of them were the right fit for our agency. But two of them were
and two of them I passed off to other agents. And the other two were kind
of not not great opportunities. But geez, I mean, that's the way it's always going to be. And to get
six opportunities like that, by adding this widget to the site, you know, to me, early signs are that
podium is going to be a very good resource for our agency. And I've just started using it. I mean,
I won't say that I'm an expert in any regard. So
check out Podium. Go to Podium.com. If you're doing digital work, if you're bringing inbound
into your website, so far have great things. I've had great results with Podium and happy
to share them with you. And there'll be more to come as I start to learn the tool better,
learn how to use it better.
You'll be hearing more about Podium.
So Podium.com.
If you don't know how to spell Podium,
that's P-O-D-I-U-M.com.
But frankly, you should know how to spell Podium.
So Podium.com, Podium.com, Podium.com.
All right, let's get on to Kyle.
Ryan.
What's up, dude?
What's up, man?
How are you?
You know, what's up, dude? What's up, man? How are you? You know, doing, doing the agency, the agency owner life thing, you know, and then mixing in a podcast here there. I want to,
I want to hear the story I've kind of followed from afar, but, but I haven't heard the story
directly from you. About the agency? About all of it. it because you were you were in the insurance game
and then you were the ceo of like fitness company for a little while and then you came back to the
insurance game like the whole journey oh dude so um so my i started well this would be this would
be 16 years in insurance uh i my wife's father owns an agency. Still, my wife actually works there with her
twin sister and her brother-in-law or my brother-in-law, her brother did work there.
So I did that for eight years, boots on the ground, dude, 50,000 miles on the car,
driving to strip malls, dropping my business card off. Every single person I bumped into,
I'm hawking in them insurance. And I just played that game for a long time. And, and about eight years
in, kind of realized there was a ceiling on that as the son in law, probably would have, in hindsight,
I'd probably make a lot more money than I am than I actually am at this moment. But, but, you know,
it was really good experience. I learned my father in law is one of the most professional, you know, takes care of his
clients, does the right thing. He's got a really solid. So I kind of felt like I learned, I got a
really good foundation. Parlayed that in the chief marketing officer, trusted choice, built agency
nation, went to bold penguin, was a CMO there for a while. I had to leave that because my,
my brother-in-law who worked at the agency, he got sick terminally, unfortunately.
And when that happened, my wife had to step up and take a bigger role in the agency.
So I couldn't travel anymore, which, as you know, in the insurtech life is a big part of the game.
So I took the best thing you could find here.
The best thing I could find was this gym that I've been going to for five years, though, when the when the owner, the founder found out that I was looking for work
locally, he basically came to me and he said, you know, I'm a fitness guy, I've kind of taken this
as far as I feel like I can take it business wise, I want to keep working on the workouts
in the gym environment. Would you be interested in coming on as a CEO and growing the
business? And I hated leaving insurance because I really do love this industry, but it felt like
I can do this. I love to work out. I've, I know this gym, good people. It was, it was a very
sellable product. That was a really good product. so i said yes and i grew it from 2,000
to 3,000 members in nine months and uh showed up one day to our our standing 830 meeting i'm in my
blue lemon leisure wear or whatever you know what do you think what do you call the uh uh
leisure stuff yes athleisure i'm all a to out. Um, and he showed up in a
suit with his attorney and handed me a termination letter that said, um, we are terminating you
without cause. Thank you for your service. You've done a good job. That's all I'm willing to say.
Have a nice day. Wow. And I said, well, I said, said, what am I supposed to do now?
And his attorney said, well, I'm going to speak for Mr.
You know, whatever.
Mr.
Phelps.
And he said, you have a severance.
So let's hope that that works for you.
That was it.
Haven't spoken to him again.
Walked out at 836 in the morning on a Monday without a job.
And I was shell-shocked to a certain extent.
But I then also said,
I have been mapping out this agency in my head of what I think is possible.
A market segment, a process, a methodology.
And it's time to try it. And
that's where Rogue came from. That's what a story, man. Good thing it was like a CrossFit gym and not
like a boxing gym or something like that. Right. It was cool. It was it was called the name of it
was Metabolic Meltdown. And it was all about, you know, it kind of was, if you've ever done P90X, it was P90X with more weights and bands and there was more resistance than body weight.
And it was in a classroom setting.
So you would move through stations.
It was very timed.
It was very, very difficult.
I mean, you could, you could burn 1500 calories in an hour.
Wow.
Yeah.
It was intense.
I mean, I was freaking cut up, man.
It was the best shape I'd ever been in my life.
I mean, you're working out for a job six days a week surrounded by, you know,
yeah, I don't know how old you are, but I just turned 40. So at the time I'm in, I'm like 38,
37, 38, 39. And, uh, I'm surrounded by 22 year olds who are just yoked and, you know,
you can't help, but move in that direction, you know? So, you know, in that direction. So it was an interesting time.
Let's just say that.
Okay.
But it provided the opportunity then to say, look, I've been trying to start this agency
for a while.
Now is the time.
Yeah.
So that's where it came from.
Yeah.
So walking in the parking lot, literally the walk from the door to my car, I called my
wife.
I told her what happened.
She was shocked.
And then I said said this is the sign
you know this is it's time to it's time to make a run at this you know for whether it works or not
we'll see but um it's time to make a run so that's we start ever since that day i've been building
rogue and here we are one we celebrated one year anniversary on the ninth so really okay yeah So really, okay. Yeah. So, so like literally you started it like March 9th, 2020.
So that's a whole nother story. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, like so many businesses,
it would have been nice to know that COVID is coming. I don't know what I would have done
differently, but you know, that was interesting. So yeah, I'd say I really didn't start operating the way I wanted to until
like October or November really yeah yeah so that's well and we've been at it like four and a
half years I'm not certain we're operating the way I want to yet either so I don't you know that's
yeah I don't know that you ever get there I agree with that completely but it let's just say let's
just say those first few months were desperate.
That's probably a good way to put it.
Yeah, yeah.
But dude, I first came into your ecosystem,
or you first came into my vantage point
when you were at AmFam doing all the stuff
with the venture fund
or whatever the framework was of that.
And then I've always been intrigued in your move from AmFam to ClearCover,
to founding ClearCover. Like you obviously, through the companies that you were researching
and investing in and all that kind of stuff, you obviously saw something and were willing to make that leap because you had to be doing well
at Amphib. I mean, that's a big position. You were, it was public. It wasn't like you were
in some back office. I mean, you were someone that people wrote articles about and talked about,
you had a very visible position. So I've just been, I've always wanted to as much as you can or are willing,
I'd love to know what you saw. Like what was that moment when you were like,
you know what, there's opportunity here. Let's let's there's time to make a move.
Yeah, I mean, it's, it won't be, I think, dissimilar to, to your own story and do a lot of founder stories in that
there was like a ton of serendipity and I got a ton of help. And then there was like this
catalyzing moment where I was like, okay, look now, now's the time. So like, for example,
we started the venture funded AmFam at like the end of 2012. And there were plenty of people in
insurance and there were plenty of people using insurance and there were plenty of people using technology insurance but like insure tech was not around and so we were fortunate we
were just lucky that we started this i mean i was lucky peter gunder who actually was the the you
know this was his brainchild was pressing it i think peter saw it coming but you know come 2014
when everybody cared about insure tech right place right place, right time. We were right in the middle of it because suddenly everybody be intellectually curious and you get paid to sell money, which is a weird thing.
It's like a weird phrasing, but that's kind of what you do because the most competitive deals like you're selling.
So you get paid to be intellectually curious and learn and build ideas and theses and then sell money.
And so we were building ideas and coming up with theses we wanted to invest in up around the insurtech space.
And some of it was around distribution and some of it was like, you know, all these new next gen carriers were coming out.
We're trying to figure out how those might be successful or what might be successful.
And like in the middle of all of that, I won't tell the whole story.
It's kind of long, but I was living in
San Francisco, I was going to open an office for AmFam out in San Francisco, I moved back to
Madison, so my wife and I could sell our condo and then move out to to SF full time. And when I got
back, I heard there was a project going on at AmFam around an idea that we had worked on, which
we had called incidental insurance, but essentially, like, how would you sort of plug insurance into
these moments where consumers are
going to find it relevant?
And so I asked Dan Reed who runs the venture fund over there and who was my
boss, like, Hey, can I work on that on the side?
Like, can I spend 20% of my time working with this team?
And I did in like two weeks in the guy I was working with on it,
who is now my co-founder.
And I kind of looked at each other and said, this can probably work,
but it's going to have to be a separate company. And that began like a six month process of convincing American family, who's very
forward thinking and super innovative, that they should allow us to go and start a separate
organization to pursue this idea that they theoretically had been come up with there.
But we did, it went all the way to the highest levels of the org. And, and, and they eventually
said, like, go ahead, start it, they gave us a couple million bucks to get started when we walked
out the door and um and here we are now but i mean again it was just this like conflation of
serendipity a bunch of thinking and then this like moment in time where it was like look
this is it this is the thing that you know it's it's not going to happen if you don't go and do it.
And as I'm sure you felt, you know,
perhaps on the walk to your car from the gym
was Jeff Bezos calls it his regret minimization framework.
Yeah.
But like, I just hit that moment
where I knew I would regret not trying
more than I would regret leaving to try
despite how great my current role was. And
as soon as I got to that point in my head, it was done. The decision was made. There was, there was
no, there was no crossing back over that line. Yeah. I I've had, um, I've had a lot of people,
a lot of people were, um, I don't want to say shock. It's not the right word. Um,
I think it didn't make sense when I started my own agency to a lot
of people. And it's exactly what you just said. I could have gone and gotten a job for a lot of
people, then it would have been much more comfortable. But the idea of watching other
people do it, and it's almost like you want to, you want to see how good you can be.
And if you don't put yourself in those kinds of positions, you don't know, like it's, you just,
you're going to, you're going to wake up one day and be like, I never really figured out how good
I could actually be at this. And that regret is absolutely something that I don't wanna live with,
which is why I'm sitting in my frigging basement
hawking $1,300 carpentry policies right now
because that's part of getting up off the ground.
It's not my end game by any stretch.
But I think you said something
and I'm interested in this topic.
The episode that came out,
it's not gonna be concurrent with our conversation, but The episode that came out, it's not going to be concurrent with our conversation,
but the episode that came out the same day
that we're recording is an episode I did
with James Altucher.
And I don't know if you're familiar with him,
but it was a big time goal of mine to interview him
because I've been following him since his first episode.
I think very highly of him as a thinker
and he used the word curiosity no less than seven times during his episode about different things
and you just used it again what do you think it is about the idea of curiosity
that that makes it such an important part of successful journeys and and as much as you can, how does someone
build more curiosity into their life? Because you were professionally curious.
If you're not still, you were for a long period of time.
So it's a fascinating question. I'm sure James knows much more about this than me too. James
is fantastic, but so I'll give you my, my, my sort of high level thoughts. So one is I do think some of it is innate, right?
I think some people are, it's sort of back like, like Dweck's growth mindset versus fixed mindset.
I do think some people just innately are curious and have this drive and want to do more. So that's,
that's certainly part of it. But something that I've observed, I experienced as a VC,
I've experienced as an operator,
I see the people who work at my company experience is sort of this climb and descent of the Dunning-Kruger
curve.
You know the Dunning-Kruger curve?
I know.
Yeah, I know the concept.
Yeah.
So it's like there's, it's essentially the high level for, for, you know, everyone else is, is this idea that when there's, there's like
this relationship between how much you think, you know, about a topic and how much you actually know
about a topic over time. And so what happens is like, when you start learning about something,
you rapidly climb up and you think, you know, a ton about it. And then the more time you actually
spend with a topic, you kind of fall off this cliff of stupidity. And these are like, Oh wait,
I know so little about this thing. And then, then you sort of gradually make your way back up. But oftentimes,
you never actually reach that level of confidence or belief in what you know about a thing that you
had at the beginning. And what I've found is the people who can remain curious over long periods
of time, get over that hill. And they get to the bottom, they get to the the trough where they realize how little they actually know about this thing that they care about.
And then you have to spend a substantial amount of time trying to recline that hill.
You're the kind of person that like rests at the top and believes that, you know, everything
there is to know about a thing after very little time, and you have very little reason
to be curious.
And so I think, I think like being persistent in seeking the ways in which you are wrong
or stupid or are
less informed than you might know is one of these things that drives you to be curious
almost by default.
Because once you fall off that cliff, if you want to maintain any sort of relationship
with that topic, you have to keep being curious and keep learning to move back up that curve.
What's up, guys?
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Peace.
Let's get back to the episode.
Yeah, I love that explanation.
And I mean, obviously, that curve has been around and the concept is solidified. Me agreeing with it doesn't mean anything, but it has absolutely don't realize that you're there. Like you don't realize that you don't actually know nothing, which is probably the worst place to be is, is, is not even realizing
that there is more to learn. Like you think you've, you've got it. And yeah, I, I see that
so often there was a really this is, I don't mean to make this about James Altshuler, but he did a
podcast with a guy by the name of Cal Fussman, who was a very good friend with Larry King. And they were discussing, what was it about Larry King's
interview style that made him successful for 40 years? And he did something like 60,000 interviews
more than anyone else in history and this long running programs. And he would interview people
for eight hours a day. I mean, people didn't realize that even when he was on CNN,
he had two other shows that would go overnight that he would be interviewing.
And you'd think to yourself, man, nobody does that. You know,
you get the CNN show and then you go home and you get drunk. Right. I mean,
or whatever, you know, whatever your thing is, you know you don't,
you don't then go onto the,
onto a radio program and then go do something else., you know, you don't, you don't then go on to the, onto a radio program and then
go do something else. And, you know, what they came back, what this Cal Fussman came back with
was, you know, for all his positives and negatives, the through line of his life was curiosity.
And that's what made him a success. And, you know, I look at that and I wonder sometimes if the individuals in our industry,
if there aren't a lot of people who are at the top of that first ascent that have no intention
or desire of dealing with the descent into really becoming in the work that it takes to becoming an expert.
And I think that's where a lot of the stagnation that the companies that emerged that that
insurtech revolution in 2016, I feel like what they were doing was putting a big shiny spotlight
on all these people standing on top of that first hump going, you don't actually know as much as you
think, you know, like you think you do, but you don't. And, um, you know, that's, that's, that's
a really, man, you got my brain going. That's a really interesting thought. Um, yeah. Okay. So,
so, so then you, you started this, this company and, um, why, why the, this version of insurance?
Why this?
Why Clear Cover?
Why not anything else?
So the thesis that we came up with while I was working at American Family was,
we were working on this idea of how would you build a next generation insurance company?
Not someone that sells something to insurance companies,
but like actually an insurance carrier and we were pretty focused on
uh pnc and personal lines in particular because amfam had such a large exposure to personal lines
and and so we were looking around and at the time there weren't that many people doing it
lemonade had just come out of stealth and metro mile was around and root might have been pretty
brand new but like it was a pretty small group of companies that were trying to build their own brand spanking
new insurance companies. And we came up with a thesis that was like a little contrarian relative
to the market, which was that we believe the way you would build that next generation insurance
company was by building an advantage cost structure, not necessarily changing how the
product worked or how the product was priced. And the underlying thesis was all of that's
interesting and pricing is obviously super important, but because of the way the market's
regulated, it's a bit of a hamster wheel. It's really hard to build long-term competitive
advantage there because as I'm sure you're aware as an agent, like carriers copy each other,
they get to copy each other.
And like the newest pricing innovation becomes the oldest pricing innovation
relatively quickly. On the other hand, you know,
carriers who at their core had an advantage cost structure were able to offer
customers maximum flexibility and consistently low prices.
And like, we felt like that in a,
in a market where
candidly, the product feels kind of commoditized to a lot of consumers being able to do that was
actually the key to unlocking this sustainable competitive advantage. So we said, okay, that's,
that's our theory. Like you have to build this as a, like some sort of cost structure advantage
that would, that would allow you to build this sustainable competitive advantage. And then you
could build a new big insurance company. And so there were two questions that
we had to answer, knowing that was a thesis. One was, is that even possible, right? Like,
Geico and Progressive do just fine, right? You look at the expense ratio, and it's not too shabby.
So like, what are you going to do to make those companies, to do any better? And, you know, I
won't spend the whole time talking about it, but like our thesis was effectively there there were two things we could
do differently that we believed would actually allow us to have an advantage cost structure one
was we would build the company from scratch with like this digital bedrock right like if we had
built a digitally native organization we would have some operational advantages that would lower
our cost and the second was um there's actually this is a little bit in the weeds but there's like We built a digitally native organization. We would have some operational advantages that would lower our costs.
And the second was, there's actually, and this is a little bit in the weeds, but there's like structural cost arbitrage between digital customers and analog customers.
Essentially, an analog customer costs more to acquire and serve because you have to do
a lot of things for that customer.
You don't have to do for someone who wants to buy online, whether that's from an agent
or not, but wants to buy online, wants to self-service, et cetera.
And so if you built like a really concentrated portfolio of digital customers, you would naturally have a lower cost structure than someone who had to balance analog and digital.
So we said, okay, that's our ticket.
Like if we built a digital company focused on digital customers, we could actually really lower our cost structure.
The second question we had to answer was, where do we want to start?
There are lots of lines of business.
Like where are we going to start? There are lots of lines of business. Where are we going to start? This was another choice. We chose to start in what I'll call mass market auto, the non-telematic segment of personal auto.
Everybody was like, you guys are nuts. That is the dumbest decision you could possibly make. It is a knife fight. It is wildly competitive like i had a conversation with our chief actuary yesterday and he reminded me that when i was pitching him maybe i should have said this and he asked what we
thought like our like would stop others from entering the space and trying to copy what we're
doing um i told him i don't know if anybody else is stupid enough to try and so like but personal
auto you know for us was actually the right market to implement this
strategy right like if you think about building a cost advantage applying it flexibly across a
really large base of customers like it was it was very much the right place to start the unit
economics work on a single policy you don't have to try and sell a bunch of policies and make money
there were a bunch of distribution opportunities we could work on so you know we we made that
choice and you know it hasn't been all roses, but, but that
was, I stand by the strategic decision there. I think, you know, based on what we wanted to
accomplish, starting an auto was the right call. How do you fight the retention game? Cause that
seems to be the, that's the acquisition, you know, we'll take, take lemonade who you already
referenced, right? Tremendous at acquisition, but they can't get profitable because, well, one that renters
is really tough.
But they also struggle on the retention side as well.
And Geico struggles.
I mean, Geico has been around forever and does great, but they struggle with retention
versus what you would call more of an analog agency model.
They struggle with retention.
So how do you solve that? I think that's the natural first question for anyone who
looks at your model and goes, that's great, but geez, I bet they don't retain anybody.
Yeah, it's an excellent question. So starting at a high level, there are two ways you can
improve retention as an insurance company. One is to actually get people to stay with you longer, right? And that's the one most people
think of when they're saying like, okay, go ahead and improve retention. The other is by
increasing the percentage of people who have been with you longer as part of the portfolio.
So in essence, and I'm sure you've seen this in your own book, but personal auto in particular, personal lines generally, customers sort of exhibit the Lindy effect.
The Lindy effect meaning that the longer something sticks around, the longer it tends to stick
around.
And all that means is that if you look at a personal auto customer cohort, what happens
is churn is quite high when it's new.
And then as the customer cohort ages, churn gets much better.
Retention gets much stronger.
So if you were to look at like how much of a cohort sticks around from six months to 12 months, you might lose 40% of the book. But from month 36 to month 42, you might only lose 5% of the ways that you look at retention in some of these newer startups, what you have to understand is that they're so heavily weighted towards new business.
They're very naturally going to show worse retention because new business retains much worse than mature business.
So one is like you just have to get old enough and build a portfolio that's old enough that the retention starts to look normal and looks more apples to apples with your peer group.
The other thing is improving your retention overall. And like, you know, for us there's there's been a couple things that we've done one is um building technology and user experiences like trying to make sure the
experience is is worth sticking around for and the other very very candidly not to pander but
um is is operating in multiple channels because Because we know that like, you know,
we get plenty of customers who buy from us direct,
who are great, but they tend not to stick around
as long as customers that we get from our agency partners.
And so, you know, by building technology
that allows us to operate in multiple channels,
we can also start to balance retention and say,
look, like I know that maybe over the customer's
lifetime in absolute dollars, I might have to pay slightly more in acquisition costs for an agency
customer just based on commissions, but they're going to stick around for a period of time that
more than justifies that extra cost. And like, it took us a minute as a startup to do the math and
not be overly dogmatic about channel. And separate story but essentially um building great technology
user experience is one but also this this idea of being multi-channel has been a big part of how we
thought about you know improving improving retention overall in the book yeah so something
you said in there that i find particularly interesting is and and there's an assumption in this and just listening to what you said, but your ability
to use data and break data out in a way that you could actually define the exact,
the exact, I'll use the word issues in certain segments of that retention curve that you could potentially target
and fix, like say our first six months, we have a 40% drop in retention. But once we get past six
months, that goes down to 10 or whatever you said, but now you can actually go in and say, okay,
what is causing in those first six months, the 40, now we can attack that 40, get more people
to the six month mark. So then ultimately more
people are pushing down the line further. And I think what's important for our listeners,
because data in the, in the IA space is a major topic that I think many agents are giving lip
service to, but aren't actually understanding what it means for their business is that if you
don't have the information to be able to define some,
just some of the high level ideas that you just brought out, you can't actually fix the problems.
You're, you're, you're guessing at what the problem actually is. And it's one of the reasons
why I'm so interested in, you know, you guys, uh, hippo openly, uh, branch is another one,
probably competitor of yours to a certain extent. Um,
you know, they, um, I'm so interested in these digitally native carriers because you guys are
built to understand what these data points mean versus some of our, our traditional carriers,
which are trying to figure out how to handle this data because it's in so many different variations in so many
different places. And, and also they think so provincial that it, it's hard to break out what
the actual root causes of many of these things are. Yeah. I mean, it is, it's certainly an
advantage to, to sort of build the infrastructure of the organization, anticipating having to deal with a world where data is abundant and there's
all this stuff that you can collect. And in many ways, I mean,
it's a bit of a necessity for us because if you just looked,
if you looked at retention at ClearCover,
the same way you looked at retention at Allstate or like Allstate would talk
about retention, you would say, man, ClearCover really sucks.
But if you really have to get into the data and understand how cohorts behave and like
why a cohort behaves the way it does, you would say, well, actually they're doing really
well.
Right.
And so like, it was like almost a survival method of startups to say like, well, we're
going to have to get pretty granular in how we look at things because, you know, comparing
us to apples to apples versus 80 year old companies doesn't actually work.
Yeah.
Yeah. That's interesting. That's it's, it's very interesting to think about, um,
your retention over time as a, you know, in this idea of a cohort versus just, you know, how many, how much business do we retain this year? You know what I mean? I think, I think some of that is, you know, many insurance agents do not have the technology to allow them to make that
calculation. Some of them, when you're writing multiple lines are, you know, how do you, you
know, how do you, how do you in a way that is in any, in an efficient, in any way, how do you compare business brought in,
excess lines using an accrual method
versus direct bill cash methodology
and you're mashing the two together.
And a guy by the name of Chris Buran
has been making the podcast rounds.
He was one of the smartest guys in our industry,
independent or not,
talking about how data and in particularly how it impacts accounting and enterprise value
is so incredibly important. And, you know, you look at a company like yours and what you guys
have been able to do and the success you've had, man, the opportunities that are available to you because you built that way,
right? And obviously some of it, like you said, was survival, but I'm also assuming you have a
lot of smart people, yourself included, that work for you, that were doing a little bit of
whiteboarding on the way up too. So talk to me a little bit about where do you see these things starting to go?
You don't have to just talk about clear cover, but I feel like you guys have been around for four plus years.
Hippo is going public.
Lemonade went public.
Openly is making a lot of moves.
Coterie just hit the market.
Attune.
These are like this, this, this, I don't know,
this next generation of carrier. And it feels like it's working. And I'm just really interested in
where you see it going. What are some of the things that get you excited about the next phase,
the next wave of where you guys go?
That's a good question. There, there, there certainly is a growing number,
although in absolute terms, there's not many, right?
Like if you looked around and you said like, maybe there's like 20 or 25,
like it feels like a lot. Cause a decade ago there were zero new.
Yeah, that's right. We have a slide.
We actually showed to the company and it looks at the top 10 personal auto carriers and it's like the newest one was built in 37,
I think. I think that was when they were founded. So certainly, yes, it feels like a lot relative to the past. I mean, in terms of potential, look, I think there's a lot of growth. As you know,
it's a really big market. I think you're going to see a lot of companies with a ton of growth opportunity.
But maybe more than anything, the thing that I'm excited about is back to this idea of
flexibility and being able to adapt to a changing ecosystem.
Right?
Part of the reason we're super excited about the agency channel in our business is that the agency
channel in 10 years is not going to look the way it does today is not going to look the way it did
10 years ago. And knowing that's the case, I really like being like digitally native and agile
insurance company to be able to serve the needs of that constituent as the
constituents needs change.
And like, we're not alone, right?
Like, I think a lot of us are in that same boat where as these markets evolve and change,
you, you, despite the fact that being small does have disadvantages in this case, the
agility that you have from being small and have from having that digitally native platform
is a really big asset.
It's like an untouched, there's like potential energy in that asset because you haven't had to use it yet, but I promise it's going to be useful once as the
market continues to evolve. Yeah. To me, I think of the next, what's been exciting about our time
here in this space is that we had the baby boomers come in and they did a tremendous job
of saturating the market from a growth perspective.
And there's so many tremendous agencies spread throughout our country.
It's phenomenal.
Unfortunately, that created a gap in the Gen Xers because they were kind of boxed out.
And now you have, you know, whatever, you know, I'm like I was 40 a couple of days ago.
So whatever you'd call me.
Yeah, thanks. And, and, and, and like, say this, this age group of 30 to say 45 to 50,
there's like a, there's like a 15 year window of professionals, men and women who really are
growing up in their agency life at the same time that you have insure techs and carriers like yours
growing up. And like, I'm having conversations with carriers about how do I build, how do I
build a sub, an API into your system with a sub domain on my website? So it's a native experience
from my customers, but it's your product and, and, and seamlessly work clients through that process. So they're committed
to rogue, right? Because that's where, cause that level connection is what increases retention,
but they're getting seamless products and well-priced, well-developed products from
carriers such as yourself. And those kinds of conversations, those didn't even happen five
years ago. So, and I'm certainly not even close to the only one having these conversations.
So that to me, these partnerships and integrations and the, the, the, the lack of resistance
to building walls around our thing is so exciting.
I mean, it just feels like completely undiscovered country to me.
I agree. And I would, the thing I'd add is, you know, the benefit in many ways boils down to
the absence of fixed cost overhead to do experiments and to innovate with your partners,
right? Like, I think what you run into a lot is, it's not that these carriers don't see the
opportunity, or they don't want to help. But the opportunity has to be of a certain size to warrant the kind
of investment to turn a ship that big. And with some, with newer carriers like us, we're just
more free to experiment. And there's just, there's much more lower overhead to like doing interesting
and innovative things with our partners. And that, that ends up, I think being an advantage to like,
it opens up the universe of possibility because you don't have to rule so much out at the beginning.
I agree with you. And I'm not, um, for all the traditional carrier professionals are listening.
This is not, it's not a knock on you because, because many of them are trying and are innovating.
I mean, it's great. It's, it's unfortunately not the culture of all, but that's okay. Um,
from, and there's, there is something to
be said for, and I'm going to bring up Hanover again, because I give them a very hard time about
their technology, but their product and their people are world-class. So, you know, and their
brand is very, is recognized in the market, particularly by commercial customers. So you
think about that,
you know, someone like Clear Cover, you know, you guys don't have that national brand yet.
There's still a lot of that sales. So everyone is kind of working to a middle space and finding
where they fit with their own advantages and disadvantages. I just think the idea of taking a leather, you know, take it, take, I write, there's a company
in my state, Leather Stocking, there's another one, Dryden Mutual. They're domestic, mutual,
Leather Stocking is actually a co-op carriers in New York because New York is kind of an odd duck.
Both are tremendous, right? But I
think about the day when I'm mashing a Dryden policy, because it's an inner city, say late
1800s build inner city that a standard carrier doesn't want. And I'm mashing that homeowner's
policy with Dryden with a clear cover auto policy. And it's seamless for the customer. The customer
just thinks they have a great program. And that type of, you know, all, you know,
under the rogue brand, you know, now we, that's what a true partnership looks like. And it can
be digitally provided to the customer. Man, we are, we're all winning in that, in that scenario. That's a, that's a huge win.
And it's why I'm so excited that companies like yours are pushing the envelope. You're forcing
some of the traditional companies to think differently about their business. And it's,
it's wonderful. Yeah. And to be clear, I, I agree with you. I came from a big company. It's not,
it's not the absence of ambition or desire to innovate or anything like
that. It's actually more than anything, rational decision-making that slows these groups down.
The way I, the way I like to phrase it is, you know, the elephant doesn't move more slowly than
the mouse because it wants to. It's like a biological imperative, right? Like if an elephant
moved as quickly as a mouse, it would break, like literally it would fall apart. And that's how some
of these big companies work, right? It's not not it's not a desire to move slow or an absence
of the ability to think about moving fast, like literally, if they tried to move that fast,
the thing would fall apart, mechanically would fall apart. And so but they're making progress,
right. And certainly they have a lot of strengths that we do not as new entrants. So I agree,
there's there's give and take. Yeah. So have you started to
consider other products? Um, we, uh, it's always on the roadmap. It's just where it,
where it lands on the roadmap depends on, on the quarter. I mean, look at the end of the day,
part of the reason we chose auto is because we felt like auto was a, was a great place to build
a relationship with a customer and be able to add more value to that customer's life over time. I think an easy way to think about that is additional
insurance products. There are other ways to think about it, which are like, are there other digital
protection products or other products and services that are going to be authentic and relevant to our
relationship? We do work with agents. And so it's less imperative there because the agent can create
a lot of that value added bundle on our behalf.
But yeah, certainly we're thinking about, again, all of the ways we can expand on, authentically expand on a relationship we have with customers once we have that customer.
Yeah. So because you're in insure tech, I'm obligated to ask you about the utilization of blockchain in the insurance industry.
And I'm mostly saying this because I'm so, like the last 12 months, I've been so intrigued with cryptocurrency.
I'm like down this frigging rabbit hole that I don't even want to tell you how much time I waste on like decrypt.co and all these stupid sites that I've found.
But the more I learn about what these kinds of technologies actually
do, and I'm, and you can go take this wherever you want. It doesn't have to be silly. I I'm,
it's, I'm actually interested because I see like I look at a technology like Cardano, right. And
most people know it because every huckster in the world is thinks it's going to be worth $3
and it's worth a dollar 47 as of, you know, like 10 minutes before we went live here.
So what I'm interested in when I really dig into something like that is one of their primary objectives is to provide unilateral access to actual currency for the continent of Africa, which if someone hasn't actually ever put their brain to this,
what happens in most cases is even worse than the United States.
All of the money is held by singular individuals.
And the rest of the country is in many cases still in like the barter system
outside of the major budget politics.
And what they're trying to do through their cryptocurrency is,
is really spread out, is allow financial transactions to happen at scale to a group of people because they all have a cell phone.
Okay.
So I think about that.
And then I think about the amount of contracts of information that's passed.
Is this something that we're ever going to get to?
Because I look at the speed at which these transactions can happen
and to me, it feels like there has to be a there there, not anytime soon. I just want to know if
I'm crazy or not. And if you don't know that much about it, it's fine to answer that way too.
You know, I don't, I'm certainly an expert we we i spent a fair amount of time
on it when i was at amfam yeah a little less so now but that in my opinion you know um so first
we have to separate whether or not we're talking about cryptocurrency or the underlying crypto i'm
more interested in the technology because the currency is what it is. I think more about, is there a utilization where,
simple things, dude.
Like think of loss runs.
Think about the process of loss runs.
If actually implemented and agreed upon,
you could create a blockchain
which pinged every single carrier.
They all fed, agreed on what losses happened,
and you would no longer need loss runs. Or you wouldn't have to answer the question seven
different ways. When's the last time you had a loss because every insurance carrier attached
that blockchain would would unilaterally agree on the losses of a particular risk. Like I think
about functionality like that. And I'm like, to think that the insurance industry would ever adopt
something like that makes me feel a little crazy, but the concept of it feels like there's something
there. Yeah, no, I completely agree. It's just, it's the classic flywheel problem, which is,
which is like, look, if you could, there are without naming it, there are many like validating
data points that I have to pay for today as an auto
insurer that if they existed on a free and trustworthy and immutable record, I would not
have to pay for. Right. But, but you, but, but it's sort of the classic, like if you think about
like the various history, like they went to all of the small regional carriers who could not compete
with the large carriers and got them to dump all of their data together so they could use it together and then started charging everyone for it and so you
have to have some sort of like hack at the beginning to get people to say like yeah i'm
going to start sharing all of my data with you with an uncertain reward right and and so but
yes i think the technology is is super powerful i think also people love to talk about it with
respect to parametric right and like i i, I, I, I agreed, like, I think
smart contracts are, are quite useful as you think about, you know, the expansion of parametric
products, but again, like the devil's in the details, like for a parametric product to work,
you have to have a trustworthy Oracle. And like, even, even now, like it's very difficult
for a lot of our claims. Here's a great example. We, we launched our product, our product called
clear claims. And essentially what we do is we use AI on the front end to determine eligibility.
And if you're eligible, we can pay your claim in under 30 minutes. We pay claims in like 13
minutes. You submit it digitally with photos. If you're eligible, you go through this super
fast process. We pay your claim like almost instantaneously, but it's not, we haven't
reached the point where there's enough of like a trustworthy oracle where we can do that in three seconds yeah right you still have to go through
like a fast-tracked process to have the photos estimated and then we make the payout and like in
at some point maybe that changes but but the implementation of this is is difficult just
because one you got to create the right incentives and two the technology isn't quite there yeah i
agree with you the technology is not there yet there There's still, there's still too many, it's still buggy.
I mean, I feel like we're a decade away, but I look at it and I say to myself, like, if I were,
if I had, you know, if I were in a, in an organization that at a time, a timescale that
could play on that level, pushing a few chips into some of these spaces feels like it'd have major returns. Cause I think about, I think about a company like yours and what you're
trying to do. And, and I, and obviously I being more focused on commercial, I look at like the
attunes and the, and the coteries and what they're trying to do on the commercial side.
And I say to myself, why are those companies still dealing with like wet signed loss run requests?
Like just that simple I concept, you know, who cares if someone knows the loss data,
right?
They don't even have to know the carrier the loss was with, just that the loss occurred.
So you could even anonymize that and speed up this process so we could be the better
deliverers of our product. So I just was interested in your thoughts on that because the deeper I get into this,
the cryptocurrency and then my nerdiness took me into the tech, which is a rabbit hole.
Please do not step into lightly.
I just want you to know that if you are a nerd and you go down that rabbit hole,
there is a, it is very deep. Um, and there are some absolutely bananas people in that space too. Um, but okay.
So, um, you know, I want to be respectful of your time. Um, and I, and I appreciate it. And I think,
um, so very tactically, where are you guys today? What states can agents participate in clear cover
today? And as much as you can prognosticate, where do you see things coming? Where do you
see people going? How do agents start to get to know you guys and see if they want to be part of
your, you know, if they want to partner with you, where, what does that look like? Um, yeah, thank you for asking. So we are, uh, in 16 States right now. I won't list them all
off. It's kind of a long list. They're all on the website. It's kind of a smattering. So it's,
you know, California, Texas, Arizona, Georgia, Illinois, Ohio, Wisconsin. Um, so, but there
it's, it's a bunch and it's growing. We expect to be in maybe 25 or so by the end of the year. So we're moving pretty quickly. And we are pretty rapidly expanding our agency
relationships right now. So you can just hop on our website and submit. There's a page there
where an agent can just fill in some information and start to go through the process. We work with
someone like the larger agency aggregators as well. So if people are affiliated with an aggregator,
that would be another way to do it. But we are, I mean, we're very much looking to expand our agent relationship
footprint. It's a big push for us this year. We spent last year kind of tuning a bunch of stuff
up and it's not, you know, our platform and like our engagement with agents isn't perfect yet,
but we're learning and I promise, you know, it's going to be worth it as all of we've talked about
now. Like,
I think there's a lot of potential in these relationships and we really
believe in the channel. So, so yeah,
the click over.com is where you can apply.
I'm at Kyle at clear cover.com.
You can just email me and I'll push you to the right people,
but we are looking to expand these relationships.
I think, you know,
one of the other things that I think has been the best part of the last five years is things such as our general openness to share information, best practices with each other.
And I think in previous iterations of our industry, something like our handling of agents isn't perfect yet,
that comment would be frowned upon as why would you ever say that? And today, I think agents look
at something like that, especially this emerging group of digitally focused agents, not even
having nothing to do with age, just mentality. They go, that's all right. They're growing. I'm
growing. I'm learning. I feel like as an industry,
we have really started to hit a stride in terms of working together that it just, it makes me
very excited. It's why I love doing this podcast, man. Like 10 years ago, you wouldn't, you know,
you wouldn't have been willing to come on here and share all the things that you shared your,
your thoughts. You wouldn't want someone to gleam something and share all the things that you shared your your thoughts you
wouldn't want someone to gleam something out of something you said that they could use against you
and today it's it's part of our culture um it makes me very excited i'm very excited for you
and what you're doing i know new york will most likely be one of the last states you ever come to
because that's the case with everybody um we don't have any of the super fun new carriers got the carriers that
are there you're all super fun and i love you all i'm saying the new guys we don't they don't come
to new york last because it's the worst year but um but when you do you know i certainly will be uh
i'll certainly be calling because you know i i believe in you i i've been following your career
for a long time i'm very impressed with the way that you look at things. And I think clear cover is doing a great job and is a great,
would be a great partner for agents. So thanks for coming on, man.
Thanks man. Really appreciate the chance to talk to you.
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