The Sean McDowell Show - Why the Fine-Tuning Argument is Stronger than Ever
Episode Date: April 24, 2026Is the universe fine-tuned for life? Or has the fine-tuning argument been defeated? In this conversation, I sit down with Dr. Jay Richards, a philosopher, co-author of The Privileged Planet, and one o...f the world's leading defenders of the fine-tuning argument to explore one of the most compelling cases for design today. Dr. Richards walks through how the fine-tuning argument has improved over 30 years and why even atheists like Christopher Hitchens and Richard Dawkins have admitted this is the argument that gives them pause. WATCH THE FILM: https://www.fathomentertainment.com/releases/the-story-of-everything/ READ: The Privileged Planet, by Jay Richards (https://amzn.to/48nMcZk) *Get a MASTERS IN APOLOGETICS or SCIENCE AND RELIGION at BIOLA (https://bit.ly/3LdNqKf) *USE Discount Code [smdcertdisc] for 25% off the BIOLA APOLOGETICS CERTIFICATE program (https://bit.ly/3AzfPFM) *See our fully online UNDERGRAD DEGREE in Bible, Theology, and Apologetics: (https://bit.ly/448STKK) FOLLOW ME ON SOCIAL MEDIA: Twitter: https://x.com/Sean_McDowell TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sean_mcdowell?lang=en Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/seanmcdowell/ Website: https://seanmcdowell.org Discover more Christian podcasts at lifeaudio.com and inquire about advertising opportunities at lifeaudio.com/contact-us.
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The idea of fine tuning is that these constants and the initial conditions had to be very precisely set in order for a universe to do anything that would allow for the existence of life.
Think of it as a sort of multidimensional control panel where all of these different factors in the universe had to be very precisely set.
Been 30 years plus you've been tracking this.
How have you seen the arguments adapted or changed over that time?
Honestly, it's been iron-sharpening iron for the last 30 years in which people on podcasts can critique these things.
And we've got especially the kind of level of the local fine-tuning, we have a whole lot more data.
I mean, I think there were a hundred or so extra solar planet discoveries when our book first came out.
It's over 5,000 now.
Does the argument for fine-tuning still stand or has it been defeated?
Our guest today, Dr. J. Richards, is one of the world's foremost defenders of fine-tuning.
and the thesis that we live in a privileged planet.
Now, we're going to dive into this argument,
consider some of the biggest objections against it,
and then you're going to come back live on Tuesday
at 4.30 Pacific Standard Time to take questions, take objections.
So if you believe in fine-tuning or reject it,
write in your question and comment,
and we will take the best ones.
But before we dive in,
thanks for joining me here at Talb School Theology at Biola
to talk about this argument.
and the new movie coming out called The Story of Everything.
Sean, so great to be with you.
I mean, we've talked and known each other for years,
but I don't think I've ever been in the studio with you.
So this is a lot of fun.
This is the first time, which makes it cool in person.
So I appreciate you making the trip.
Sure.
I'm eager to dive in.
And I want to start by asking, as I said earlier,
you've been one of the most outspoken
and articulate defenders of fine-tuning.
Take me back to when you first kind of encountered an argument
for cosmic design, and how did it affect you, if at all?
So I had studied philosophy and theology, a sort of shameless mix of those things,
so I knew about St. Thomas Aquinas' Five Ways, you know, one of those is a design argument,
and was really interested, honestly, in arguments for God's existence.
C.S. Lewis's apologetics in college were huge for me, really.
It's not that I fell away from the faith. I just doubted it and needed some serious answers.
And Lewis provided that, like he has probably hundreds of
millions of people. And then I was doing a PhD in philosophy and theology at Princeton Seminary,
a guy named William Dempski, who's known, you know, was actually working on, I don't know,
like his 12th degree or something, he's working on a master's. And we got to be friends. And weirdly,
the very first article I ever had published in an academic journal was about the fine-tuning
argument. In fact, it was me strangely. I mean, your audience will know the references, but I was
taking Alvin Plantiga's ontological argument for the existence of God and necessity and these
sorts of things and applying it to the multiverse theory, the idea that, yeah, you can sort of
explain away the fine-tuning by postulating, you know, lots of universes, maybe infinitely many
universes, and thought I found, okay, a sort of problem that it ended up sort of leading to
theism whichever way you went. And so that's what kind of got me interested in fine-tuning.
Well, Bill Dembski was in this part of this nascent intelligence.
design movement at the time. It was even
it was really before the program started
at the Discovery Institute in 1996.
And so really because of
Bill, he invited me to
mere creation. I'm just realizing right
here in 1996 in Iowa University,
that's where I met David Berlinski. I think I met
Steve, all the people, right?
Mike Behe. It was about
the time his book was coming out.
And ended up, honestly,
these kinds of encounters change your life.
And so that's how I really ended up working on
this, really full time for some
years. It was that kind of coincidence. I don't remember who told me about the fine-tuning argument.
I think it was the anthropic cosmological principle by Barrow and Tipper. I think I had read that
now that I'm thinking about it. But of course, Dembski and I being in the same place, I look back on that.
I mean, it's still unbelievably providential. And of course, he was just sort of focusing on the sort of formal
structure of a design inference. I was honestly always very interested in these cosmic arguments
because you've got, you know, there's, I think there's evidence for design in the origin of life and the structure of life and the origin of the universe, sort of across the created order.
But I've always really been interested in these cosmic questions, honestly, just because I'm super interested in astronomy.
That's a great reason to do so.
That's one of the best reasons.
You have a personal fascination with it.
Now, one more question before we dive into some of the evidence in the case.
It sounds like you grew up in a Christian home, went through a period of doubt.
So apologetics, intelligent design was presumably not a piece of the reason you were a believer,
but maybe helped you hold on your faith.
Is that fair?
That's right.
That's a really good way to say it.
And so I would say if anything, I had like a lot of kind of Christian intellectuals, I think in college,
I had come up with a way to sort of explain, okay, even if there's a kind of chemical evolutionary story for the origin of life,
even if the Darwinian story is sort of true insofar as it goes, it doesn't explain lots of other things.
So I didn't initially really even sort of look at those questions.
I was actually interested in things like the reliability of the New Testament evidence for the resurrection.
I'm old enough that your dad's evidence the demands of verdict.
I was at a very liberal college studying the documentary hypothesis of the Old Testament.
And so really sort of a reader of apologetics.
But what it really did is it wasn't that I was an atheist and a materialist and needed to be convinced of that.
It's just that you end up in an academic setting where you sort of take.
the truths of the faith.
Sure.
For granted, I'm saying the Apostles Creed every week.
And then all of a sudden it's like, well, wait, maybe that's just because I happen to grow up
with this, but is there any sort of good evidence for it?
And somebody gave me that six pack of books by C.S. Lewis.
And that played a crucial role.
Amazing.
You know, more than a carpenter.
I'm sure you've been told this, but it's just now occurring to me.
It was actually some of your dad's books that really short up the questions about the reliability
of scripture.
Oh, that's super encouraging.
And other people have told me that, but every single time,
it gives me goosebumps.
So there's a lot of design arguments you could have leaned into, could have developed.
And right, that conference here in 1996, I was a student in 96.
I wasn't at that conference.
I just wasn't there.
I was probably playing basketball and doing whatever I was.
It's amazing.
I missed it.
But like, why did you lean into the fine-tuning argument and the Providge Plan?
We'll unpack a little bit more what that is.
Sure.
But why did you say this is my contribution?
I want to develop and defend this argument.
Okay, so I would say it's probably several things.
One is honestly Providence and just sort of connecting with a guy named to Gabriel Gonzalez.
It's astronomer.
It turns out that Germo and I did not meet until about 1999 in person.
But he was present at that mere creation conference as a postdoc, very quiet, introverted.
So, of course, we didn't meet.
And I was always interested in the fine-tuning argument and especially the sort of cosmological argument
because it holds whatever your theory of the sort of origin and history of life is, right?
It's like the whole show.
Like the age of the year?
Yeah, it's like I don't, you know, it's like whatever you want to think about that.
This one's really generalizable, I think, is why I was really attracted to it.
And I thought the argument was just was great.
I thought it could use some shoring up philosophically and it worked on that over the years.
But really wanted to sort of say, okay, is there something new here?
And then I read an op-ed by this the time.
I think he was a postdoc at University of Washington,
guy named Guillermo Gonzalez.
So this is the 90s when we just started detecting extrasolar planets.
And so every extrasolar planet that would be discovered,
there would be a news push probably controlled by the communications operation at NASA
about the possibility of extraterrestrial life.
And it just made Guillermo grumpy because he said,
look, it takes a lot more than just to sort of ball around a star to get a habitable planet.
So he wrote this piece in the Wall Street Journal.
I happened to read it.
The University of Washington,
and that was literally three miles
from where I was in downtown Seattle
working at Discovery Institute.
Yep.
And so I just looked up his number
and I called him.
And he said, well, you know,
I've actually been wanting to call you guys
at some point.
I don't know if people were not, you know.
And so he said,
hey, I've got this cool article
about eclipses.
And so I went down to the University of Washington
and we had lunch.
I still remember this vividly.
And it was an article called
Wonderful Eclipse in Astronomy and Geophysics.
And it was just about,
about this interesting study that he had done.
He thought, well, it's weird that from the surface of the earth,
we can see perfect solar eclipses.
So this needs a little setup.
So an eclipse, of course, would be, you know, solar eclipse
is where you're just basically looking at the sun,
you're on a platform, something passes in front of the sun,
in our case of the moon, and it blocks out the light.
People don't often think about it,
but there's this weird coincidence that the moon and the sun
have the same shape and size in our sky,
even though they're totally different sizes and distances and all these things.
And he just thought, well, that's kind of weird.
Astronomers had noticed this, but just they sort of treated it as weird.
He thought, is the sun 400 times the size but 400 times the distance.
Am I remembering the ratio?
Exactly.
Exactly.
And they're both really, you know, quite spherical, at least to the naked eye.
And so there's just this weird sort of alignment.
And he thought at the time, of course, he'd developed software that made these kind of calculations easier.
And he thought, I wonder what.
eclipses would be like from the other planets. And so he did this calculation. I think it was
65 of the major moons initially. So Mercury and Venus don't have moons. The earth is closest planet to
the sun with a moon. And then you've got Mars, which has a couple of little kind of probably
captured asteroid moons, not very spectacular. It's really the giants when you get out to Jupiter
and Saturn that you get a lot of moons and then the outer planets. And the long and the short of it is
he discovered if you look at the 65 major moons,
the one place where you really get perfect eclipses
is the one place where they're observers.
That is Earth.
Amazing.
There's this one kind of exception.
It's Prometheus, a potato-shaped moon.
And I think it's around Saturn,
but it only lasts about a second,
and it hardly counts.
And so that's just weird.
And he was talking about,
we were talking about this idea that,
well, you know, we know about this fine-tuning argument
that things have to be very precisely set up
in the universe
in order for life to even be able to exist, right?
To even have a planet where a life can exist.
But Guillermo, I mean, he was sort of speculating,
but what if the universe is also fine-tuned
for science itself, for discovery?
Wouldn't you expect something like this?
And what he was thinking was,
he was thinking as an astronomer
about how the existence of perfect eclipses
had been very important in the history of scientific discovery.
It's like a natural experiment set up,
made it much easier to figure certain things out
that we couldn't have otherwise.
we thought, what if those things that are needed in a planetary environment, so the so-called
local fine-tuning, right, the type of star year-round, the size of your planet, stuff like that,
that's really important for life in a planetary environment, what if those things also
set up the best conditions overall for doing science? That would be a new argument, right? It would be
a new thing, a new set of data, and that was probably more than anything. I thought, okay,
that would actually supplement all these other design arguments that are being developed,
and it works itself around.
It circumvents certain objections that people make against the regular fine-tuning argument
that maybe we'll talk about it a minute.
But that was really it.
I mean, so in some ways, we were at the right place at the right time.
I mean, other people could have figured out this argument.
And when you do that, when you have what you think is an original idea, one day you're excited
and one day you think you're crazy.
That's why nobody ever thought of it, right?
And so you go back and forth or you think else is just sort of obvious because I've been thinking
about it for five years.
Well, we found that Kepler, Johannes Kepler, who was a crucial figure in the history of astronomy, had suggested this too, that it was important that the Earth rotate around the sun because it gives us this ability to calculate the parallax.
It's this kind of mathematical calculation to be able to measure the distances to some nearby stars.
And so his point was that God sort of set us up so that we could do science.
So there were glimmers of this idea, but nobody had really developed the argument in detail, in part because a lot of the evidence that we talk about,
in this book that came out, The Privileged Planet, was new.
You know, he didn't have data about extrasolar planets until about the time we started writing.
I think I've told you this.
We first met in 2004 at the Case for Creator conference.
I remember that.
And it was amazing.
Hosted it when I was teaching high school full time.
But the Privilege Planet is one of my favorite books.
It was game-changing for me.
It's one thing to argue that the laws of physics are fine-tuned to enable there to be life.
But then our place in the universe, we have to have the right kind of sun of the right distance, of the right age, we have to have surrounding planets, we have to have the right core, we have to have a moon and a certain tilt.
Like all these things added up mathematically becomes impossible.
But then you add the piece that says, wait a minute, these factors that enable us to survive also enable us to be in the best or an optimal position to make discoveries about the universe.
that's where I was like, wait a minute here.
This is like a tangible evidence for design.
I think it's so compelling.
Now, that's a whole conversation we could have about that, and I love that.
But maybe tell me before, one more question before I'm going to ask you to explain fine-tuning to us.
How have you seen the arguments in about, you said about that, so 1996, so it's been 30 years plus you've been tracking this.
How have the arguments, maybe as a whole, but more particular in astronomy,
cosmology, and in physics, adapted or changed over that time.
So I would say, like, the kind of the philosophical precision of the argument has gotten better.
In fact, a lot of people, I'd say, on our side, like intelligent design-friendly philosophers
pointed out some, there's some weaker and stronger ways to sort of formulate the argument like there is.
And so I think that's gotten much better.
I would say, if anything, the evidence has gotten much more solid.
It's, honestly, it's been iron sharpening iron for the last 30 years in which, you know, people on podcast,
can critique these things.
And we've got, especially at the kind of level of the local fine-tuning, we have a whole lot more data.
I mean, I think there were a hundred or so extra solar planet discoveries when our book first came out.
It's over 5,000 now.
5,000 now.
So, you know, it's a huge number.
That's a lot of additional data.
And we made risky predictions in the 2004 edition.
You know, so they said, okay, look, we've got to prove that it's testable, right?
And so I'd say that's changed.
There was a period of time in which publicly making intelligent design arguments,
especially in biology, was extremely risky.
In fact, if you're not tenured, it's usually a bad idea to talk.
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But now, I mean, there are reasonable and respectable people
that talk about these things.
There are people that, you know, I almost don't want to mention names,
but, you know, tenured professors of cosmology that are sympathetic
and make these arguments.
I don't think that was really true 30 years ago.
What happened is you'd get academics or philosophers
who are maybe always a little safer
to talk about these things.
But I think it's much more in the general public
so that, one example, Charles Murray is a well-known
conservative intellectual for decades.
Oh, yeah.
And so, you know, he was a well-known kind of conservative libertarian,
atheist, basically, just, you know,
total materialist and atheist.
Over the decades, he had this amazing story, of course,
of just realizing there's a heck of a lot more to the existence of God
and to the claims of Christianity.
And in his new book where he talks about taking religion seriously,
he actually cites Steve Myers' book,
The Return of the God hypothesis.
In the book, he says, oh, if you want to see some good arguments on this,
here you go.
Famous years ago, of course, Anthony Flew,
a longtime atheist that became, I would say,
a kind of a deist or a theist before he died,
really, because of these design arguments.
And then people like Thomas Nagel, another atheist, I'd say at least a philosopher, yeah, or at least a naturalist,
who both critical and skeptical of Darwinian materialism and also sort of realizes the force of this.
And so I just think it's found its way into the culture much more deeply than it was before.
It was just sort of highly risky.
It was like this loyal opposition of crazy academics, you know, that are missing the gene that causes them not to take risks.
Now I'd say it's much more common to hear those kinds of things.
Though I do think the kind of citadels, the official spokesman for science,
you know, they still, I think, feel like they kind of have to maintain the materialist thing.
But I just don't think the evidence is going in their favor.
We'll get into some of that evidence.
I just realized that my son is a sophomore here.
He's 22 this month.
And I have a picture holding him on my right arm and the privileged planet in my left hand reading it.
before that conference, just brought that back to me.
But I want to make sure people know we just had Dr. Meyer a couple Fridays ago.
And then we did a live stream responding to objections to his case for cosmology.
It was myself and a philosopher.
So we didn't lean into some of the scientific issues.
We had Doug Axe the Friday after that.
Yeah.
Came back and he addressed some of the tough scientific issues.
You are going to come back Tuesday.
So right in your philosophical objections, right in the toughest objection.
you have for fine-tuning or the privileged planet thesis, we will not ignore any that are stated
coherently and relevant to fine-tuning. We'll take the best objections. So please list them in there.
All right. We're like halfway in this interview and I'm finally asking you to define what's meant by
fine-tuning and maybe how you uniquely formulate the argument. Absolutely. So fine-tuning is a pretty
basic idea. Just imagine that there are all these things at the cosmological level. So the cosmological
fine-tuning factors.
They involve things called initial conditions, which has to do with, okay, what would the state
of the universe at the very beginning need to have been like in order to be where we are now?
Those are initial conditions.
And you've got these constants, which are these numerical values like G or C, the speed of light,
that take particular values within things that we call laws usually, which are usually formulated
as differential equations.
And the laws, the laws sort of just, okay, take for granted.
the universe and say, here's how things will change over time, given the initial conditions
and these constants.
The idea of fine-tuning is that these constants and the initial conditions had to be very
precisely set within very narrow requirements in order for a universe to do anything that would
allow for the existence of life.
So I'm not talking about, okay, well, maybe there'd be fewer planets or something like that.
Insofar as by life, we mean chemical life.
So organisms that are made of chemicals that can transmit information, we can reproduce,
we can build large three-dimensional molecules that code information or proteins, things like that,
that build our bodies.
That's going to require certain things.
And so if you have something that's off, let's say that G is too low, and so gravity is not
sort of strong enough so that at the beginning of the universe, the universe just doesn't ever
hold together, right?
So it can't form planets or stars or elements.
you're not going to get life in that universe.
That's the idea of fine-tuning.
Think of it as a sort of multidimensional control panel
where all of these different factors in the universe
that had to be very precisely set.
And if they were slightly different in various ways,
it's not that you just get a kind of different universe
with a different kind of life.
You wouldn't get a universe that could host life at all.
That's the idea of fine-tuning.
Okay, so before we get to an explanation
about what best accounts for fine-tuning,
is the way you describe this about, say, gravity needs to be fine-tuned one times 10 to the 40th power or so.
Is this largely and generally accepted within the scientific community?
So the debate is over what explains it, not is it?
That's right.
Now, you might have a technical debate about some particular case, but there are really, really well-established cases.
Maybe we'll talk about it in a minute that so far as I know no one seriously disputes.
The question is, okay, what's the best explanation for it?
Now, if you were to look at the literature for a long time, it would often be called the fine-tuning problem, which is sort of funny.
Oh.
Yeah.
So it wasn't like, okay, how do we sort of mess this thing up?
It's sort of, it's a problem because it seems intuitively like if the universe is fine-tuned, maybe it needed a fine-tuned.
It was fine-tuned, right?
And that's a problem for a certain perspective.
But, yeah, the basic idea of fine-tuning is overwhelmingly and broadly held, certainly by astronomers and physicists and cosmologists.
So I did a video with 100 apologists, and I think we interviewed you now to think about it, ask them what they thought was the best argument for God.
Creation was number one.
And that includes different arguments, but fine-tuning was one of the top.
Second was the moral argument.
I've wanted to do a video asking 100 atheists.
What argument, they obviously don't believe the argument works.
But if you had to pick one argument, which one maybe gives you pause and suggests God to you the most?
and I think it probably would be fine-tuning,
just based on my experience in hearing some people talk.
If atheists are watching and you have a different take, tell me,
I want to know, I want to get it right.
But people like Christopher Hitchens is like fine-tuning.
So, first off, it sounds like you agree with me.
If so, what do you think it is about the fine-tuning argument
that even people who don't believe maybe gives them a little bit of pause?
Yeah, and you're right about Hitchens.
In fact, I mean, I debated him in 2008.
It was about God and science.
and I camped out because he's very rhetorically gifted,
so I'm not going to beat him there.
So I just sort of camped out on these empirical arguments.
And he actually conceded, yeah, well, maybe there's something to that.
Maybe deism is true.
I mean, it was like, you know, right?
So that's a concession.
I think Richard Dawkins has admitted at different times that this is the one that maybe, you know,
is if you were going to have to pick one.
Yeah.
Right.
I think it's probably, first of all, who discovered it, right?
So it's not like it was a bunch of Christians looking for evidence of, you know,
God's activity.
It was just physicist or atheist, people like Sir Fred Hoyle, that actually were able to
anticipate and predict certain features of fine-tuning based upon his observations.
And so there's that.
It ends up being sort of at the bottom of what most people take to be in some ways.
Yes, the most abstract and reductionist in a certain sense, right, as particle physics or
cosmology, but also really mathematical, what people think in the kind of public imagination,
the best kind of science would be something that's really robust mathematically,
that you can build a model that can be tested.
That's physics and astronomy or physics and cosmology, for sure.
And so I think that's probably it more than anything else,
is they realize, okay, this is, we call these the hard sciences people,
and these are discoveries from hard science,
and they were discovered in the 20th century.
They were literally new discoveries.
They weren't some, you know, it wasn't just some kind of premise that people had always held.
Nobody knew about the carbon resonance, right, in the 17th century or the initial conditions.
I mean, even the idea wouldn't have made sense.
So I think that's probably yet.
Recent discoveries, generalizable, based on hard science, and discovered by people that clearly didn't have any kind of theological agenda, at least any pro theological agenda.
That makes total sense.
I'd never piece some of that together.
So again, if you're an atheist and you're watching or you're listening to this, way in, tell us.
Do you find it compelling at all?
Would you add anything to the list of what Dr. Richard said, take things away?
But that makes sense.
It's discovered by science.
It wasn't Christians looking for it.
In fact, tell us a little bit more about that.
You said, Frederick Hoyle was one of the first.
Yeah.
What was some of the first discoveries?
And, like, how were people framing this when they first started to realize, wait a minute, what's going on here?
And maybe why was it so surprising?
Yeah.
So, Hoyle, this is probably my favorite story on the fine tune.
And so in 1953, so this idea of cosmic nucleosynthesis.
So the basic idea is that you can get the elements that we learn in the periodic table.
As long as you assume a few things about the sort of initial conditions at the Big Bang, right,
and then the formation of stars and things that happen inside stars.
So, you know, like our sun is using up hydrogen atoms and fusing them into helium atoms in its core,
and it eventually runs out of helium, and it works its way up the periodic table.
but depending upon the size of the star,
they can only do so much of this.
And then the elements get heavier and heavier
and this kind of process of fusion doesn't work.
And so then you need other things like neutron stars
and supernovae and things like that
in order to create these kind of physical conditions
that can build the heavier elements in the periodic table.
All right.
So that's the idea of cosmic nucleosynthesis.
And so if you look at the universe,
it's actually mostly hydrogen and helium
and then the other stuff, you know.
And so Hoyle was thinking about this
where they sort of had a fairly strong understanding
of the math that would be required sort of in stars,
the kind of astrophysics that would be required for this.
But then he noticed essentially that, okay,
in order to have a universe with a lot of life in it,
you need carbon.
Carbon has these very particular properties.
There's just nothing else like it.
And there seems to be a heck of a lot more carbon
in the universe than there would be sort of in terms of common sense.
And the reason is to get from helium and then you get beryllium and lithium and boron to carbon.
It's in the periodic table.
So what happens is you need something to happen inside stars or these kind of stellar activities in order to fuse certain parts of atoms to get carbon.
And so what you can get is you've got helium, all right?
And so you can sometimes get two helium nuclei, right?
So this middle part of these atoms.
You can get two of them to kind of hang out together,
but it's very, very unstable,
and they will form something called brilium eight, all right?
Doesn't last very long.
So you need a series of jumps in order to get carbon,
because to get carbon,
you actually need three helium nuclei
to hang out together for a long period of time, okay?
And Hoyle said, okay, that's just not going to happen very often,
and so you're not going to get very much carbon.
there must be a resonance.
And so the residence is this kind of particular property in which, like, imagine when
you're swinging your child in a swing, right?
And so if you figure out, okay, they're moving this fast.
If you do it right and you push them at the right speed, they can go higher and higher,
whereas if you're off, right, you can mess it up.
That's a residence.
And so imagine there's this thing, sort of property of carbon in which there's a resonance
in which things will happen more quickly.
It's like a sweet spot.
He predicted ahead of time, said, given,
the amount of carbon that we have,
there must be a carbon resonance
at this particular spot.
All right? So he predicted it just based
upon what would have to be, given the theory,
guess what? They did that.
They checked it in the lab,
and he was exactly right.
That's amazing. And in fact, there's several of these residences.
The problem with the example
is that it's so complicated, you know?
You kind of have to get chemistry and physics,
but it's unbelievable.
And astronomers and physicists know this story.
And by the way, Fred Hoyle was an atheist who admitted it.
It looked like this thing had been set up.
But again, another person predicted this thing is like, okay, the common sense, right way of explaining this is that, wow, things had to be really fine-tuned, even at a level that we didn't really even understand in order to get to where we are.
But, of course, Hoyle wasn't, it wasn't like he was sort of open to fine-tuning.
He just said, well, there has to be a resonance like this or we wouldn't have really gotten so much carbon.
Didn't he say like a common-sense interpretation is if somebody's been.
monkeyed with physics. That's the way he used. A super intellect is monkeyed with physics. That's the
common sense explanation. I think it just is. It's just the natural human explanation that we should
feel comfortable in saying we're rational in believing that unless you can give me a really
darn good argument otherwise because this is the kind of reasoning we use every day quite reliably.
Okay. So people are tracking and they're going, okay, 1953. An atheist is the one who comes up with
this. This one thing. But I'm not sure I followed beryllium and the example.
No, exactly.
Give us your favorite example when you're explaining it to somebody who doesn't have a scientific background.
It's not now.
You ask me the chronology, Sean.
I did.
No, you answered correctly.
Yes.
And then Martin Rees for Martin Rees and Brandon Carr in the 60s and 70s started noticing things like the particular masses of elementary particles and certain constants, right?
And so people learn about the speed of light, for instance, and notice that actually those have to be really precisely fine-tuned.
the so-called fundamental constants,
the four forces of gravity and electromagnetism
and what are called the strong nuclear forces
that all seem to have this weird,
you know, the dial had to be set really precisely.
But probably my two favorite,
the first one is called the cosmological constant.
And again, I'm thinking, okay,
how to sort of simply explain this?
Think of the cosmological constant.
It's like the properties of empty space.
Like people often think, okay,
if there was no atoms or, you know, planets,
space is nothing.
Space isn't actually nothing.
It has these particular properties
that can be described with field equations
and all these kinds of things.
And in Einstein's general theory
allowed for the possibility
of there being this thing
called a cosmological constant,
which is this like some value
that's set to empty space itself.
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And so scientists, I think we're hoping it would just be something simple like zero. And
theory for a while actually predicted it was going to be way too large.
we finally were able to sort of figure out what it was
and it is really crazy
and the reason that this is important
is that think of the cosmological constant
as like space having a slight repulsive force
all right that's the simplest idea I think to think of this
it's sometimes called dark energy
and so you have a big bang
you have the universe expanding
and the assumption would be okay
you've got this initial expansion
and then that's going to slow down
so under the force of gravity
the universe itself will the expansion will slow down
what we discovered actually it's weirdly
accelerate, right? This kind of thing. And so what you realize is that it's a certain size scale,
if there's this very slight repulsive force just to space itself, right, then that might
overtake the universe, like the attractive force of gravity at some point gets so weak that
that very weak dark energy takes over and then creates this expansion. Well, it's a very, very
precisely set. And so it's one in 10 to the 20th. So that would be, right? So this is a sort of
of a, or no, one in ten to the 120th.
Excuse me.
One in 10 to the 120th.
Got it.
So it's one in 10 and then 120 zeros, all right?
And so this isn't a number that you can comprehend, right?
But it's very precise.
That's how precisely the cosmological constant needed to be set.
So in other words, it was just slightly different, right?
You'd get just an expansion that would just, you know, the universe would just blow itself out immediately.
You'd never form any elements or it immediately recalapse.
That's one.
Okay.
So this, this helps.
Is this force is enabling.
the universe to expand at just the right narrow speed and rate, varied by one times 10 with
120 zeros after it.
Exactly.
It expands too quickly or maybe crunches in itself.
Exactly.
And so you don't even have a universe in which there's stars and planets and life.
If it's not within that narrow range, that's one example.
That's one.
How many as a whole are you solid saying there's 30?
There's 50.
Give us a solid conservative estimate.
Yes.
And if we add them together, how big would that number be?
I mean, this is the problem.
People always ask these questions.
And I don't know.
And I wrote this thing, you know, 10 or 12 years ago for Discovery.
It's like, here's the ones that we're sure of.
And there's like eight or 10.
But there are these parameters, in fact, you know, Luke Barnes and Grant Lewis and another philosopher.
Actually, just last year, have a great journal article where they talk about this.
And I think they talked about, you know, there's conventionally something.
in like 37 parameters.
It kind of just depends on how you count these things.
That's fair.
I've heard about three dozen.
Yeah, exactly.
And I'd rather have really solid examples.
And in some ways, it's not like, I don't think there's anyone that says, okay, if you
could just give me one more, then I would quit being an atheist, right?
It's like, do you need more?
I mean, I gave you that one, right?
So that's sufficient to me.
I agree.
It's like if you're going to, if that's not going to do it, I don't know what to tell you.
And then the initial entropy, this is from Roger Penrose.
So this is one of a fine tuning of, uh,
the initial conditions.
And he calculated so the initial entropy.
In other words, basically how ordered would the initial conditions need to be precisely
so that you could get a universe like ours.
And he calculated in this case it's one in 10 to the tenth to the hundred and twenty-third power.
Again, to me, it's like, why do we need more examples here, people?
Yeah, it's like, yeah, because what you're going to get is all the same arguments about multiverses or whatever for one example or five examples.
or five examples. Which we'll come back to. Yeah. And so in some ways, what I think the pattern is
what's important is that the more we learn, if you'd been in sort of late 19th century and you thought,
okay, well, cells are these little homogenous kind of globs of jello, right? And life is sort of
easy. You get some lightning and you stir things up and you're going to get these reproducing
cells. And you kind of have these naive beliefs. And the general assumption also was that
there wouldn't be this level of kind of precision required. Well, what was the trend of the
20th century was to just discover more and more examples of these until you get these mind-boggling
numbers. And it's like, okay, well, how many of these do we need before we rethink maybe that
Victorian materialism that we're still sort of hanging on to from the 19th century, which is what
I actually thinks is going on. That's the relevant thing. It's like, look at the pattern historically.
That's good. Yeah, don't say, okay, I need just one more. If you give me 40 or 41, then that'll
change my mind. You mentioned an example by Penrose. Steve Myers, Steve Myers, coming
back on early May, and we're doing kind of an in-depth response to Penn Rose's model.
So that's something to look forward to. And we will really nerd out on that one.
Okay. So here's a few counter-arguments that I pulled from some recent books. And this is from
an atheist by name of Dan Barker. Oh, yeah. And he's co-written a book coming out with Erdman's
this spring. I endorsed it. Thoroughly enjoyed the book. They talk about fine-tuning. And he has a few
objections there, but one he says I've heard a lot is that the universe is not fine-tuned for us.
Rather, we are fine-tuned to the universe.
Okay, so there's a bunch of things happening here.
And so the idea is that, well, life adapts to the conditions that it's around.
And so let's say you're very generous with the Darwinian mechanism and you think a given,
you know, kind of basic conditions life can develop and adapt in all sorts of various ways.
So let's just be super generous with that, all right?
Fine.
That doesn't tell us anything about the origin of life.
So you don't have adaptation in the origin of life
because you don't have things reproducing.
And so the fact that life, under certain conditions,
can adapt to certain things,
doesn't mean that every set of conditions
is compatible with life.
That's the whole point to the fine-tuning argument,
is that when you're dealing with these fine-tuning arguments,
certainly at the cosmological level,
you're talking about what is needed for any kind of life,
at least any kind of chemical life.
And so before you can get an origin of life,
before you can get natural selection and random variation and differential sort of populations and
things like that, you've got to get some basic things like being able to build elements,
being able to build something like chemistry or like carbon that can build these molecules.
And so he's sort of assuming that life has this infinite malleability so that almost any universe
that exists, there'd be some kind of life in it.
There's absolutely no reason to think that.
And in fact, I don't think any kind of serious physicist thinks that.
And so that's the, I think, the fundamental difficulty with his argument.
Even if you grant sort of the most generous assessment of the Darwinian mechanism, which I don't,
I think it's very good at tweaking around the edges.
I don't think there's any evidence that it does major things.
But even if you're a committed Darwinian, you've still got to deal with the basic reality
that to have any kind of life, you're going to have to have some basic physics and chemistry.
There's certain preconditions for it.
That's just not going to work.
That's a great answer.
I bring us back to the first cosmological example that you gave cosmological constant.
That's not fine-tuned with one-time-tenth.
There's not even a platform or the possibility of life developing.
And that's one example.
So, well said.
I like that.
Okay.
I know you're familiar with this one as well.
It's called the weak anthropic principle says we couldn't observe ourselves in a non-fined
universe.
So we shouldn't be surprised that we exist in a fine-tuned universe.
universe. Okay. So as you said, it's called the weak anthropic principle. At least that's one
one interpretation of it. This one is the one that drives me crazy, Sean, because it's such a
terrible argument that I can't believe smart people make it, honestly. Some of the arguments
is like you've got to spend some time on. But it's just a confusion. It's confusing,
okay, a necessary condition for observing an event with the event itself, with like the
explanation of the event. And so the sort of famous example, I feel like it maybe came from
John Leslie or something would be as if someone was, you know, subjected to a firing squad and
they were going to be executed and, you know, let's assume, let's take a hundred sharpshooters and
they're just five feet away.
They blindfold you, right?
And you discover that the bullets make a perfect outline of the guy's body.
They take the blindfold off and he could say, well, I shouldn't be surprised to see this because
if they had killed me, right, I wouldn't be able to do that.
It's just ridiculous.
The question is it, why are you observing this?
The question is, why did they miss?
right? And so the question is that
why do we observe a universe
that is compatible with our existence? That's a
truism. It's a totology.
Why does such a universe exist?
That is, why, given
how constrained and precise
the fine tuning had to be, why would
it be that kind of universe exists? Because
the implication of the fine tuning
is that sort of the set of possible
universes that can host life is
however you want to think about it or measure it
vastly smaller than the set
where it doesn't work. That's right. You know, and that's
the thing that needs to be explained. And so it always surprises me that people will make this
argument as if it's sort of satisfactory. It's like, look, yeah, the fact that you're observing it
doesn't, that's not the explanation for the existence of the thing. And that they would never,
no one would ever make this mistake, I think, almost anywhere else, but they would make it here.
It's like, you know, it's like, yeah, you know, it's like, oh good, the bomb didn't go off
that the mob was planting in my car, you know, but I shouldn't be surprised that it didn't go off,
because if it had gone off, I wouldn't be here.
Well, if you notice that somebody cut the wires, that's the explanation.
Right?
And so nobody makes this mistake.
And so this is, if someone is having to, it's such special pleading that they're using an argumentative form
that they would never accept in any other area, that's usually a sign that something's off.
Seems to me a confuse is necessary and sufficient conditions.
So to observe myself, I need to be in a fine-tune universe.
Exactly.
But that doesn't sufficiently explain.
where the universe came from,
why it's fine-tuned and why I'm here.
I heard another example,
and then we'll move on.
I don't remember where I heard this one.
But if I come home and my neighbors in my closet,
I'm like, what are you doing in my closet?
It's like, well, I got it.
Everybody has to be somewhere.
We tell this story in the privileged planet.
I don't know who told.
Is that where it comes home?
It's like, you know,
the guy comes home early and there's a man naked,
his neighbor's naked in the closet.
And he's like, well, everybody got to be somewhere, right?
It's like, yeah, no, that's not going to work.
The question is, why are you here?
Here.
And there's a pattern that requires explanation.
Exactly.
Okay, good.
So let's move on.
I have four for you.
So two more.
And by the way, folks watching, if you're like, wait a minute, there's a better
objection to fine-tuning.
Right question in caps.
Put it in and we will address it Tuesday.
So I've heard some people suggest that there might be a theory of everything.
We haven't discovered yet.
Yeah.
Maybe some kind of natural law that would explain.
why we exist in a fine-tuned universe.
Okay, so first of all, there's sort of laws and there's explanations.
And laws are, we've gotten in this habit of talking about laws as if there's sort of causal
agents, right?
But what G is, it's a kind of mathematical value that we learn from observation about what
bodies do in space, right?
It's not, there's not this force called G that's moving stuff around.
And so I think there's often a category error in this idea that, like, okay, if we come
up with a theory of everything.
I think the picture is that, okay, we're going to have a theory and it's going to, let's say
it has one constant.
And from this one constant, you get all these other constants that we observe around us.
And so they all sort of ultimately collapse into this one constant.
It's not clear to me what that solves at all.
It seems like it makes it worse.
I mean, it would be like, okay, this guy is the best pool player you will ever see in your
life.
If he's allowed to break the balls, he will be able to sink one ball after another.
and you'll never get a turn.
And then a guy shows up and says,
okay, well, let me see what I can do.
Can I break?
And then he hits the balls
and he sinks them all on the first shot, right?
You wouldn't say, oh, okay,
well, now there's nothing to be explained.
He would be the master, right?
And so the fact that we would have some particular,
it would have to be, it would have to be an equation,
it would have to have constants in it,
they would have to have particular values.
They're not going to be logically necessary truths.
And so we'd still have to explain,
okay, why that very precise thing?
In fact, that would be extraordinary that there would be a mathematical expression that could give rise to this.
It wouldn't solve the problem of the fine tuning.
It just it moved the fine tuning up to a sort of different location.
Okay, that's the key that I hear Stephen Meyer talk about a ton,
is that we come up for an explanation to explain away information, which comes from a mind.
Right.
But then we muzzle in information and don't explain what needs to be explained.
So if there was some law that required or mandated or,
or generated, it would still raise the question, why is the law the way that it is that is
resulting in fine-team universes?
Exactly.
And now, I'll perfectly accept if somebody says, well, you've got to stop explanation somewhere.
True.
Everybody, like presumably every worldview, if it's going to be consistent, it's going to have
some kind of fundamental sort of mode of explanation, right?
But there's no reason.
It's not like, okay, so that's the one brute fact you're going to accept is this kind
of thing that we've not discovered, this mathematical expression that doesn't sound like
They didn't even sound like a causal agent.
At least if you're a materialist that believes the universe is eternal,
you can say, well, the universe at least is eternal, right?
So it's always existed.
Now, we can't really say that now.
But this one is very strange to me
because it doesn't seem to do what you would even want
an ultimate explanation to do.
It does.
It just ends up moving itself back.
And that's why I think these design arguments
when you get to cosmology
ultimately beg theological questions,
which require theological acts.
Okay, so what's the self-existing?
reality. That's the question. And what's the best candidate for self-existence in, you know,
eternality or necessary existence? Okay, so let's talk about the multiverse, which is the big,
most common objection. And a couple weeks ago had Tim Pig Vance, he's a philosopher, a colleague
of mine here. We were responding to philosophical objections and questions about Myers' scientific
case from the origin of the universe. And multiverse came up. And I said, this is more relevant to
fine-tuning, not the origin of the universe, because if you have a multiverse, you still have to
explain where it came from in the first place.
But it is relevant, and it's a fair challenge to fine-tuning.
Sure.
So maybe just explain briefly so people understand there's not just one multiverse hypothesis.
Just give us a sense of what that means and what your response would be.
Absolutely. And so Steve in the Return of the God hypothesis just lovingly chases all of these rabbits
all the way down, you know.
It really, really does.
In the privileged planet, we just dealt with them as we thought were relevant to our argument.
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Experience and can detect is one of perhaps countless other universes.
And the reason this comes into fine-tuning is this idea that, okay, if there is only one universe,
it would be very strange that the one that exists would be so precisely fine-tuned.
If there's a lot of universes, then, you know, maybe somehow by chance one of them will just sort of
If not an infinite number.
Of course, if you get infinite, right, if somebody, if you can grant someone an infinite set
of anything, you can prove a lot of stuff, right?
It really, really easily creates other problems.
And so that's the idea is that you're just basically, you say, okay, well, the opportunities
for chance to operate or greater.
It's just like, you know, if you saw me flip a quarter 30 times and get 30 heads in a row,
you're like, okay, it's obviously two-headed or, you know, or something.
But if somebody had been flipping it for years and they got 20 heads in a row,
that would happen by chance.
So that's kind of the basic idea.
The problem is, depending upon the theory, as Steve points out, right,
his sort of discussion in the return of the god hypothesis,
either it doesn't answer the initial conditions problem.
So it doesn't solve that problem.
Or it creates other kind of fine-tuning questions.
And so then you move up and you,
you need some kind of universe-creating machine that has to itself be fine-tuned.
And it ends up not solving what you would think it's supposed to solve.
It's supposed to help explain away the fine-tuning.
If it ends up creating additional worse fine-tuning problems, it hasn't actually done what
it's supposed to do.
And then in some cases, it might actually even imply theism, depending upon how you interpret
certain theories.
And so it doesn't actually solve what it's supposed to do if you think, okay, the multiverse
explains away this evidence of fine tuning.
That's the kind of popular conception,
but people that I think that on all sides
that really think about this realize, okay,
it's not quite that simple.
It's one of those things that seems plausible
as long as you don't spend a lot of time thinking about it,
but it just doesn't ultimately solve the problem.
If you have to push the fine tuning back,
you've made the problem worse rather than better.
I did a full deep dive with Steve,
I don't know, maybe two years ago, maybe it was less.
and he talked about how, same as we discussed before,
that if you push up to a multiverse,
you don't get rid of fine-tuning
and to even generate universes like ours that are fine-tuned,
you still have, he calls it like, what does he call it,
the information cosmological problem, something to that effect.
I forget the title of it.
And he pointed out, like, even in science fiction,
I'm a big superhero guy,
you have like these God-type figures between the universe
is regulating them, which is almost a,
hunt towards, there needs to be a kind of mind that we know. And of course, the science shows.
So if you have deeper questions about the multiverse, write it in. We'll come back on Tuesday.
Last question, this one is kind of broad. Are there any newer objections to fine-tuning that
you're aware of or you've seen outside of the multiverse that have kind of popped up that
either are strong or either getting a lot of tension that are worth responding to?
Well, I mean, they're ones that appeal to certain people, but will not appeal to scientists.
So scientists, for the most part, are realists.
So they actually think atoms are real and planets.
They really, not only they think we went to the moon, they believe that there's a moon.
That's how hardcore they are, right?
And so they want arguments and evidence.
And so for me, it's like, okay, well, we're arguing about the interpretation of evidence that's been uncovered by science and observation.
I don't think that we're sort of in a loop of these sort of explanations.
Now, if you're more into critical theory or something like that,
and you kind of a radical skepticism about scientific realism,
and you do get those sorts of things.
This idea that these scientific theories, they're so abstract,
they're really just intellectual constructs developed by particular culture
at a particular time and place.
That was actually kind of hot in the 90s, honestly.
When Bill Dembsky and I were in graduate school,
I remember the postmodernism was sort of the thing.
everybody's reading the French postmodernists,
that digs in
in certain university
departments, and it's usually, if they end
in the word studies, that's where you find
this stuff. And so I've seen some arguments
from folks like that, right?
Or from a kind of radical
empirical empiricist
theism in which our knowledge
of God is so
inadequate, you know, that even
being able to apply categories like design
or purpose is anthropomorphic,
I just find those super
obscure and I don't think that they're ultimately going to appeal, certainly not to scientifically
train people, but also I don't think to sort of ordinary people in the normal course of life.
I mean, the design argument is powerful precisely because at bottom, it just appeals to our basic
modes of reasoning.
We're really good at distinguishing, okay, that thing was clearly, that's a setup.
That probably just happened because, you know, the wind blew by.
We don't always get it right, but we're very good at doing that.
And so when you see these same kinds of properties in the physical universe, I think it's just natural to infer design so that if only if you will not countenance the possibility of an intelligence that is outside the universe, that even created and sustains it in existence.
Now, if you just refuse to consider that, that's one thing.
But if you're open to it, I think the evidence is quite powerful that the evidence of the natural world points beyond itself to that kind of explanation.
That's the question I was going to follow up with and ask what kind of worldview implications would follow from this.
And in our conversation about cosmology, if the universe had a beginning and the science seems to strongly point that direction, you have a spaceless, timeless, unchanging, self-existent, personal agent that brought it into existence, rules out things like naturalism, arguably rules out things like pantheism where there is no.
personal monotheistic god or distinction between creation and creator.
That doesn't really rule out deism necessary, the causal argument.
So it narrows things down.
We talked about this a little bit with Doug, and he was talking about arguments from DNA
and what we could potentially know about design.
What does fine-tuning tell us about kind of what best explanation we have for the universe?
How close could it get us to a god or the Christian god?
I think that as long as we can add a few plausible assumptions, right, and we can get a cosmological argument.
I actually do think Bill Craig's arguments about the impossibility of an infinite regress work,
but just the fact that we think the universe has an age, right?
Whatever you think the age is, if you think it has an age, then that means it hasn't always existed.
So that knocks it out, right?
If the big question is something like some kind of theism or teleology, right, that's not dependent on matter or a material universe,
Well, if all the evidence is the universe came into existence, it can't be the ultimate explanation, right?
Unless you're just going to say, well, the ultimate explanation just sort of popped into existence uncaused out of nothing.
I mean, I guess you could have that if you want it.
That's not really what anybody means by an ultimate explanation.
And so in some ways, as long as we could think the material universe was eternal, the materialist could just sort of say, well, I don't need an additional kind of explanation.
I'll just stop with the brute fact of the universe.
they can't do that now because we know the universe had a beginning.
And that's in some ways why this whole conversation is happening.
And so I would say insofar as theism at least says that you have a personal causal agent powerful enough to be able to bring a universe into existence and to sustain it into existence.
No reason to take that for granted.
That's something like theism.
No, we're not going to get the Trinity.
We're not going to get the two natures doctrine of Christ.
we're not going to know God's personal name.
Why would we expect that?
I mean, I think as a Christian,
God has created a world that testifies to his existence as a creator
and that is sufficient at least to tell us that there's a moral law
so that we're accountable, as Paul says in Romans 1.
And that's knowable by reason.
And we need special revelation.
We need God to disclose himself as a person.
And history and in the person of Jesus Christ and Scripture teaches other things,
but those are complementary things.
And so I do think that if you sort of add up all the fine-tuning arguments,
add a cosmological argument on top of that
in light of the contemporary evidence,
circa 2026, I'd say you can get to a bare theism,
certainly a deism, maybe a theism.
And I think, especially if you take seriously
the kind of ongoing reality of teleology in life,
I mean, I think, honestly,
I think God's deeply involved in the details
all the way through.
And if you can add that,
then you're not just talking about a God
creating it at the beginning, you're talking about a God that's intimately involved throughout
it. That's Theism, and that's something, right? I mean, if the main intellectual impediment
to Christian belief in particular is materialism, and you can get to Theism, that's a totally
different ballgame at that point. Oh, for sure. And what's different about this is sometimes
I've heard, and this is a weaker argument, don't hear it a lot, but that fine-tuning could be
explained by something within the universe, like Prometheus,
the alien movie has a kind of fine-tuning, these aliens who see a planet with life.
That's right.
That could work for proteins and DNA in principle, whether or not it's the best explanation, separate issue.
But in principle, it could.
Of course, fine-tuning is about the universe, so nothing within the universe could explain it.
It has the same implications as the cosmological argument would something beyond the universe that set up.
And there is, I mean, honestly, because of things like Prometheus, there's this popular idea that, okay, well, maybe it's not a God, or maybe what we mean by God is just a really advanced alien race from a previous universe, right, that then is now creating universes.
Now, at this point, it's like, okay, yeah, but you've conceded design, you've conceded intelligence, and then it feels really ad hoc, right?
It's like it's this alien race because then you start getting into principle of parsimony and Occam's razor.
a single god is a much more
economical explanation. In fact, I think
if you really think about it,
you actually have the fundamental sort of mode of explanation,
that fundamental reality has to be something that's intrinsically
a unity. It can't be made up of a bunch of sort of separable parts
or the parts would be fundamental. And this is, I think, the kernel of truth
in this complicated idea of divine simplicity, which sometimes it can go too far,
but just this idea that the fundamental reality is going to be something that unifies everything within itself.
Well, an alien race that was in a previous universe that doesn't do that.
That just sounds to me like, okay, I got to have something and it can't be God.
So I'll go with this.
Even though we don't have any independent evidence of that.
I'd be curious what studying and developing this argument means for you personally.
And if you're like, Sean, this is my ministry.
This is my profession.
I'm not fishing for something that's not necessarily there.
But you've been studying this for a long time.
You've been doing debates.
You've been writing journal articles.
You said this argument is stronger than it was in the past.
And I agree with you.
Like on a personal level, whether your spiritual life or just the way, how does studying this affect you personally?
Gosh, that's a good question.
I should say that our book came out in 2004.
And then Guillermo and I wrote a totally revised and rewritten edition with the new evidence came out in 2024.
because of the total eclipse.
Yep.
And so to revisit it, first of all, to discover that you weren't a great writer 20 years before,
or at least that you've gotten better, right?
There's that discovery.
But also that it's like, oh, my word, we made a lot of risky predictions about type 2,
you know, type 2 supernovae and, you know, 1A supernovae and lots of stuff that was risky
that's panned out.
And in fact, we've thought about some other examples that we added in the book that we hadn't thought of initially.
That's powerful because it's like the natural.
world itself is sort of testifying to this. And I think, I mean, I don't know how everyone experiences
it. I'll just speak for myself. But like, sometimes you get yourself in a funk where it's like,
I don't know, maybe I'm just making all this stuff up and it's totally crazy. And I can almost get
myself, I mean, this is the problem with philosophy, right? You almost get yourself in a state of doubt.
But then I'll remember, oh, wait a second. But first of all, all the other alternatives are way worse.
And what about this? And it reminds me of it. And I'm, of course, intimately acquainted with the
arguments and the evidence. So it just sort of
brings you back. That's why I think it's important to study this stuff because, yeah, I mean,
God has to move you, obviously, and the work of the Holy Spirit in your life is crucial,
but I think he wants to respect our reason, and we're rational animals. And so the fact that
he's given us things that actually they add up. They're confirmed by the best evidence of the
natural world. That makes this, I think, a really exciting time to be alive. I really think
There's never been a better time to be a theist than in 2026, honestly.
I love that.
I'm going to clip that, throw that on social media.
I think you're right.
For me, some of these arguments, like I remember I went through kind of a doubting period
when I was a student here.
I remember reading this skeptic who said,
you know, why doesn't God just write made by Yahweh on every cell?
And then when I really studied DNA, I was like, oh, my goodness, he kind of did.
Yeah.
He kind of did.
Right.
And I can't look at a solar eclipse the same.
A few years ago there was one in Southern California.
I was able to watch it with the glasses on.
And I'm thinking about, wait a minute, all the things that have to be lined up here are so mathematically improbable.
And this enables us to understand the world.
And it's beautiful on top of that.
Absolutely.
Some of this study for me has made me read passages like Psalms 19, 1 and 2.
The heavens declare the glory of God.
The skies proclaims His Majesty.
Day by day, they spoo of worth knowledge.
Night by night, they display wisdom.
It's actually objectively true.
Yes.
All right.
So, well, I want to ask you about the movie in a minute.
You're interviewing this.
It's fantastic.
But before we get to that, do you have any sense about where debates about fine-tuning are maybe headed?
Yeah.
Like, what would be your guess if you had to say, here's where I think things are moving?
And maybe in light of some trends you've seen change in the years leading up to today.
The fact that for a long time, I hate to say this, the reality is it was hard to have these debates because of the intellectual orthodoxy that made it costly.
It was not costly in the academy to be a materialist.
It was like, that's how you get tenure, right?
It was costly no matter how careful you were.
You know, my co-author, Guillermo Gonzalez, he suffered in his career despite a stellar publication record just simply because of being associated.
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With this argument, I can remember, I asked him one time, I said, do you think it was a good
idea to, you know, to write this book before you had tenure? And he's like, well, the idea,
It happened when it happened.
You know, it's like we would be, we would have been suppressing this if we hadn't done it when we did.
I haven't really suffered from it, you know.
And so I think that's changed.
And so the things that worked in 2004 or five in terms of trying to sort of sideline the argument,
I don't think there's going to keep working.
And so if I were a materialist at this point, I would be trying to figure out a way to accommodate all the evidence.
However I could.
and then somehow sort of appeal to a type of agnosticism or something.
Because the truth of matter is I don't think we're going to get fundamentally different kinds of arguments.
You're going to get these multiverse arguments.
You're going to get brute fact arguments.
You're going to get attempts to debunk maybe the empirical details.
It's very hard to imagine, you know, there are only so many kinds of arguments that you can construct in this way.
And so I'd be really surprised if there were some fundamentally new kind of argument.
I think what you'll get is new strategies as the kind of awareness of that,
this stuff settles in, it would be much easier. Certainly for me, I'm thinking if I were,
didn't want to cease being a materialist, I would want to do my best to kind of accommodate
all the best evidence for this and then just try to find some kind of exit ramp.
And I'm not an atheist, so I can't quite anticipate how that would work.
That's totally fair. I think that's what I would be trying to do. Yeah, that's fair. That makes
sense. I think one of the big objections to intelligent design is it's not testable. It's not
falsifiable, doesn't make predictions. You guys made bold predictions in 2004. And it seems like
most of them, if not all of them came true as a whole, which even if they didn't,
would tell us that ID and principle is testable. And it is falsifiable. If it's false
survival, it's kind of a win-win. But it turns out, I would guess you're going to predict that
maybe we will find even more examples of fine-tuning. More than happy. Maybe in 10 years we sit down
and there's 50,000 planets they've found.
Yeah.
Your thesis, you think we're going to find that Earth is even exquisitely privileged.
And we'll have a much better sense of what the ratio is, right?
We're absolutely confident the ratio of habitable planets to uninhabitable planets is very significant.
In other words, you know, habitable planets are a very small number and uninhabitable is very high.
We don't know exactly what it is.
And so the more planets we discover around different systems, around different types of stars,
the more numbers we're going to be able to add to that.
And so that's what I would expect is that it will get empirically much tighter as we discover any things.
I love it.
We'll have you back in 20 more years.
Actually, hopefully, long before then.
So tell us about the movie, the story of everything.
And I had a chance to see an early, actually, I think it was finished, but on my laptop,
they sent me a file.
Fantastic.
So well done.
I've never seen a better movie on intelligent design.
It deserves to be in the big screens.
but tell us what's unique about this film and why people should go see it.
Well, it combines these evidences.
And so, you know, the nice thing about doing a film like this is, of course, people watch it.
It's going to be a bunch of experts, you know, sort of talking, but amazing animation, a narrative structure.
So that you can actually see how these things connect.
It's not like one little isolated piece of evidence about the origin of the universe.
But there's a beginning of the universe.
There's this fine-tuning at the fundamental levels.
there's the origin of life, there's the complexity of life,
there's the competing explanations.
And what's beautiful about it is, of course, a lot of us have always wanted to focus on, like, in the privileged planet,
and if a person reads the privileged planet, we were criticized for this.
We don't make a theological argument.
We don't go any farther other than to say, look, we think this is solid evidence for purpose.
We just didn't want to get out beyond the evidence.
But as I just said a minute ago, I do think you line the evidence up a certain way,
and you can frame it in a certain way, you can get,
from the evidence of natural science to the existence of God.
And that's what the film does.
It finally sort of, it's the full picture.
And in some ways, it's the full picture at the moment.
Now, it's not, it's an hour and a half film,
so we can't pack everything into it, obviously.
But it's really great.
It's also great because there are people of actually different Christian traditions,
non-Christians, right?
In the film, it's sort of all over the place,
talking about this, which is in some ways I think it's a sign of the maturity.
of the research and the debate, that it's like, okay, look, lots of people are talking about this guys.
And so you can't say we can't have this conversation anymore.
It's amazing to think about the film expelled that came out, what?
2008.
2008.
So almost two decades ago.
And it was like the ID was on the defensive and there had to be humor and you need somebody like Ben Stein to even get a voice.
This is like a mature, thoughtful.
Here's the case where part of a conversation,
test it. We could almost do an analysis of those two films about how cultural has changed
and the debate about God has shifted. Of course, that was in the height of the new atheists when
everybody was like attacking and going at. That's the key thing. That was the peak of new atheism.
You know, that was when I debated Christopher Hitchins. It was the same year. It was part of the kind
of run up to the film. That's why Ben Stein was the moderator. And New atheism was just everywhere.
Well, I've got, I won't mention them. I've got two friends that I'm very close with that I work on
other issues. These guys were really active in new atheism. That is deader than dead at this point,
right? It's like that's just not where the action is. There's other stuff happening. But, you know,
that was the impression, all these, you know, all this adulation about this kind of movement.
And it just petered out. And so I think that that's a sign of how things have changed since
the sort of beginning, because ID sort of emerged alongside the new atheist movement. It's petered out.
Yeah.
Yeah.
We're still here.
Yes, you are.
Although he predated it in the 80s, if you go back in the 90s, we're here arguably stronger
than we've ever been.
Yeah, totally.
Demskine and I, Casey Leskin, are updating the book on ID that we released.
As I think about it, was also 2008, understanding intelligent design.
So good things are happening, but it feels like a certain maturity that's come where we're
just doing the work and moving forward for those who want to engage.
Definitely.
Folks, if you're watching this going or listening to going, okay, wait a minute, you
did not consider this objection, write it in. Write the word question in caps as succinctly as you
can. In fact, if you don't have any objections, you can write in chat GPT. Give me the best
objections to fine-tuning. And if you care about that, load them in here. We will not ignore
any that are on topic and are the best objections. Write it in so you can invite your Christian
friends, your skeptical friends, whoever to participate. Jay and I will be back Tuesday at 430
to take your questions.
Check out the film,
The Story of Everything.
It's so well done.
Go support it in theaters.
When it's done,
download it, watch it.
Infinite universe would relieve us
of the necessity
of understanding the origin of matter
at any finite time in the past.
Notice that verb,
relieve.
That's not a scientific term.
What does Dickie mean?
Well, if the universe is eternal and infinite,
then we don't even have to ask the question
where it came from.
So if an infinite universe
relieves us of the necessity, what does a finite universe do?
And so whatever explains the finite physical universe must be itself non-physical.
Whether it explains the finite material universe must itself be immaterial.
You get in this way to the philosophical stopping point of the first cause.
Before we go, anything else you're working on that's coming up that you want to tell us about,
or how can people follow you?
Follow me at X is.
I'm a Gen Xer, and so X is the main social media.
but at Dr. J. Richards, Dr. D.R., and then my name, Jay Richards.
And I'm actually working on questions about health and chronic disease, actually,
at the Heritage Foundation working on this weird reality that American children are developing these crazy chronic diseases,
which actually has a tie-in to these questions.
Yeah, and so this stuff, this isn't just sort of metaphysical and interesting.
I mean, I think these ideas actually have a role to play.
in public policy and in our health, actually.
I love it.
Well, let's have a follow-up conversation about that.
Jay, we'll see you Tuesday.
Thanks, Sean.
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