The Startup Ideas Podcast - How To Make $10 MILLION in 2024 | Dickie Bush & Nicolas Cole
Episode Date: January 18, 2024I'm joined by Dickie Bush, Co-Founder of Premium Ghostwriting Academy and Nicolas Cole, Co-Founder of Ship 30 for 30. We talk about the best ways to make $10M in 2024 if you were starting from scratch...: hyper-niche paid newsletters, AI-powered book publishing, and so much more.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
If me or you were trying to make $10 million this year, how would you do it?
Your idea on pet supplements, a pet AG1, I think, is the single best business idea in the world right now.
I hadn't heard that, but that is the single best business because I would buy it right now.
It's beautiful.
Like if you build a paid newsletter that brings it a million dollars, chances are your margins are 90 plus percent.
Yeah.
We have a paid, you know, we call it a membership that is like part paid newsletter, part community, and we charge $100 a month for it.
We had 20 signups in the last 24 hours.
It's wild.
I don't see anyone on Substack doing this.
Like even the biggest newsletters.
The missed opportunity is realizing that the recurring revenue is the beginning, not the end.
Something Dicky and I've been talking about a lot too is that spending money is a skill.
And so I think part of that growth is confronting that discomfort where you have to get used to spending $5,000 a month,
then you got to get used to spending $10 grand a month, then $20,000 a month, you know?
And if you don't allow yourself to confront that,
You're never going to feel the feeling of spending more, which allows you to then want to go out and make more, which allows you to get to the next level, you know?
Spending money is a skill.
I think there's a lot of money on how to get rich, but not a lot on how to be rich.
Like the people who make a lot of money but have a horrible relationship, I think it's the worst case scenario.
Because you just feel this overwhelming guilt all the time that you're making a lot, but not spending it.
And when you spend more, you still have the same relationship with money that you had when you were making way less.
I think people brag about that.
It's like the rich person who drives a Honda, but I look at that.
I'm like, they just haven't kind of done the work of you have more security now.
Why don't you invest in it?
Yeah.
It's like having a scarcity mindset while you're surrounded by abundance.
Okay, so we're live on the pod.
We're live.
I'll just tell everyone I'll announce to the world.
There's this apartment I really want.
Yep.
Goal apartment.
A goal apartment.
I live in a two-bedroom, pretty big apartment, but I want to move into a four-bedroom.
and for fun, there's this building next to me that has this, that has two apartments
for sale.
One is, they're giving it away.
They're giving it away.
I think it's one of the most expensive apartments in Miami.
And the other one is less that I looked at, but still quite a bit.
Okay.
And I thought it would be fun.
You know, Saturday afternoon went with my wife to go check out the spot.
Uh-huh.
I checked it out.
and we like didn't say anything to each other because we were speechless because like we walked out of there and we just like envisioned ourselves there.
I think everyone envisions themselves there.
I used to have this joke with with Alyssa.
We would go for walks around Beverly Hills in L.A.
And we'd go on the walk.
She'd be like, I could really imagine us living here.
And I'm like, oh yeah.
Oh yeah.
You and every other person.
I approve of this.
Yeah.
So in my mind, I've been trying to decide is this?
and I'm curious your thoughts, like, am I buying this apartment or am I considering buying this apartment for like maybe it, because it is the nicest building and there's some status and ego related to that?
Or am I buying this apartment because I'm going to have a family one day and I want to like have the best possible environment for them?
And so just how do you think about when you're making purchases?
You know, are you doing this out of ego, out of status or are you doing it for?
Well, if you couldn't tell anyone that you bought that apartment, would you still buy it?
I mean, yes.
Right.
Then I guess it's less ego.
Yeah.
Especially with apartments, you kind of want to be anonymous with what you bought, I think.
You don't really want people to know where you live.
You know what broadcast and be like, this is my address.
Look at how sick you know.
That's a lot.
Like the last thing I want someone to do is to pull up my, uh, and, like, it's on
pulls up your house.
It's like, that person lives there.
That kind of looks cool until you realize that people can do that.
But then you have a family.
Do I need, do I, like, I live in a really sweet place right now.
It's like, do I need?
And there's like another unit in my building that I could buy.
that's four bedrooms, which is a third of the price or quarter of the price. It's like at what
point is enough enough? I think what does not matter is the ticket price on the house. It's purely
the monthly cash payment that you're going to outlay. Yeah. Yeah. And if, yeah, I think a really good
qualifier is if you buy it and that monthly payment causes you stress, is it worth it? That's the
thing. That's the question. Because if you can do it and you're like, that's a, that's a marginal
increase and it like doesn't really stress me out that much because if you go down the rabbit
hole of do I really need this well does anyone like aside from basic human needs does anyone
really need to work as hard as you do okay need to you know so this is a really good segue with
what I want to talk about and why it came down to here we are perfect perfect is why we a nice
natural lead in here live in Miami the shipyard um whatever looking great
The reason I came down is if me or you were trying to make $10 million this year,
or just someone was trying to make.
That's what we're trying to do.
How would you do it?
Do you have any ideas, different trends you'd look at niches?
Like, I want to spend this time basically jamming on how we could make $10 million.
And that could be within your business or it could be just complete, you know, other ideas that you have.
Yeah, because that's the question.
building off of what you currently have or starting from cold zero nothing let's start with
nothing nothing yeah a completely new business so i i filled out a couple on your thing your idea
a pet ag1 i think is the single best business idea in the world right now i hadn't heard that but
that is the single best business because i would buy it right now it's beautiful it takes what ag1
is done which is an extremely high margin product that is a complex formula that you can't recreate
there's no proof that it works or doesn't work.
So you're pretty much selling placebo.
We're selling vegetables.
Yeah.
Once you're on it, you're going to say you feel better to justify the purchase that you made.
No one is taking aid.
You want to be like, I don't feel any different.
It's like, oh, I spent a bunch of money on this.
I feel great.
And then they have such high margin that they can just have an army of affiliates
sending out the fact that they're taking it.
So it's a genius marketing funnel.
Should we go build this?
Because I love this idea.
If you did this for pets, it's even better because there's even less
proof that it works.
Like, what are you going to ask your pet if it's feeling better from its green supplement?
No.
So what you're talking about is I went on my first million.
I pitched this idea.
From that pod, one of the largest water manufacturers and water companies in the world
reached out to me and said, if you can figure out what the formula is, I'll put it in the water
and we can like co-pack it together.
Sorry, stupid question.
What does water have to do with it?
It'll be water-based.
So you need like the water production facility and stuff like that.
Oh, I see.
Okay, got it.
You're basically selling pet water anyway.
Also, he has, you know, he's in every whole foods in the world.
He's in, you know, every publics, every safe way, all these big grocery chains.
So if I did it with him, I wouldn't have to do just D to C.
I could also be in store.
Interesting.
Yeah.
So I think, you know, I'm definitely considering it, you know.
But I think the reason I'm...
What's the counterpoint?
Why wouldn't you?
Just digital products are easier to build than physical products.
For sure.
Easier but lower upside.
Yeah, I mean, this has...
There are a lot of rich people who are going to put that on their credit card,
start feeding it to their dog and then never, ever once look at it again.
That's right.
Because the risk of stopping to give...
Stopping your pet a supplement is higher risk than stopping yourself.
because you could feel it,
but you won't see that your dog feels worse.
I don't know.
Like, right when you said that,
because I think already the smartest niche in the world,
I think what we could talk about are niches
that could build $10 million businesses.
Pets, certainly one of them.
Because, like, plants are the new pets,
and pets are the new kids.
Yeah, I was going to say,
it's not even like the health, it's the emotional.
I would seriously do anything.
I was, I don't know why I had this thought last night,
but I was like,
if something happened to my dog
and they were like, we have to do a life-saving emergency,
and it's going to cost $100,000 and insurance doesn't cover it.
I'm pretty sure I would just rip that immediately and not even think about it.
I love my dog, like more than anything else in the world except for my wife.
You know what I mean?
And so all a supplement is is like the reinforcement of I care about this part of my family.
Totally.
I love you.
It's saying I love you without saying I love you.
Dude, and there's the marketing.
Yeah.
It's saying I love you.
morning.
Yeah.
Say I love it.
I've been watching a lot of madmen.
I got Don Draper in my subconscious.
Say I love you.
Say I love you.
Give them the gummy.
This little vegetable gummy.
Yeah.
I love you.
Bro, whenever you,
if you got time for a board meeting next week.
I'm ready to go.
Like I heard that and just because I think pets, I think another niche that's interesting.
It's just general paid newsletters in any niche where people are going to pay for a constant
stream of information that.
they can't find elsewhere.
Yeah.
So not news.
I don't like,
there are a lot of newsletters
that have done well
with just the free and sponsorship,
but I think the more niche education
that you can provide on a paid basis
and,
but still target the same niches.
Like a hyper niche pet paid newsletter of,
you have this specific type of dog.
And here's the ongoing upkeep of just,
you have a Pomsky.
And that requires a completely different way of thinking
and managing that dog and everything,
every Pomsky owner in the world would pay for that
because it's so specific.
Okay, so cool, like, to validate that idea,
Royal Canaan, the dog food company,
their whole innovation was we don't make,
we're not going to compete on like price or product packaging
and just dog food in general.
Literally all they did was just break out
and say on this package,
this dog food is for border collies,
whereas this dog food is for golden retrievers.
And there's very little,
I mean, they say that there is, but come on.
Like, there's very little marginal difference between the two.
So if you think about that through the lens of education,
most people are like, I'm going to write another finance newsletter,
or I'm going to write another, and they just pick the big broad category.
But if you think about it, like, hyper-specific,
like, I have a border collie mix.
I would subscribe to a paid newsletter on how to take care of my border collie
because border collies have different health needs than a golden retriever would, for example.
And what do you think people would pay for something like that?
Is it like a $10 to $20 a month?
Yeah, $10 to $20.
But then the thing is you have a recurring base of purchasers that are going to buy other things that you sell because they're paying you right now.
Right.
Yeah.
That's what people don't talk about enough is that when I bring up paid newsletters, they're just like, well, just paid newsletters.
It's just like, okay, I have a thousand people paying me $10 a month or $20 a month.
And I'm like, to start, you do you?
To start, then you can layer on.
That's the first purchase, not the last.
versus a lot of other companies that when you sell a one-off product,
it's the last thing.
And it aligns incentives for you to continue to deliver high quality information
because you're going to lose that customer
and then the ability to sell them more things.
I like that little mix and nuance of the newsletter being paid
is they're continuing to pay you, which forces you to put out good content.
Otherwise, it just all goes to zero.
And create better and better things.
You're forced to improve.
If you want to write a paid newsletter,
what framework for new categories do you have?
What makes a good category versus a not good category?
We wrote up this little checklist.
We create so many things now.
I'm struggling to remember the specifics.
But the big one is like, A, it has to be a very tangible asset.
So a lot of people are like, I'm going to start a paid newsletter and they think
that they can write about whatever, but something happens when they make it paid.
That's not really what's happening.
A paid newsletter, the way to think about it is it's a book that never ends.
So it has to be a topic that you want to repeat infinitely.
The reader wants to consume infinitely.
And every issue has to feel like a tangible object.
So how do you make it tangible?
Like our right with AI newsletter, every issue is here's a framework, but then here's the chat.
So every time I give you a prompt, it feels like I'm giving you a box, like an object, you know.
So how do you make every issue a recipe or, you know, some sort of like designed for?
framework or a prompt or a checklist.
Like it has to feel like a thing.
Okay, I have a prompt for you.
So I have no idea where this is going.
Do paid newsletters just become paid AI agents or paid AI characters?
Like when I hear you talk about that, I'm like, okay, what you're saying is basically,
you know, you're right with AI newsletter.
I'm like, okay.
So basically, I'm going to subscribe to that.
and you're going to teach me basically how to become a more prolific writer in real time.
And I'm going to basically read your newsletter and then I'm probably going to open up chat GPT.
And I'm going to read your newsletter.
I'm going to open up chat GPT.
Is the future of education and paid newsletters more something like there's the Dickie and Cole bot basically that you just like ping and you're like,
hey, today I want to learn about how to write copy for, you know, the pet niche.
And then you kind of have this conversation.
Yeah, that's like that's what agents are trying to be now, you know?
That's like the whole point of that in the store.
But I think it's really easy to jump to the conclusion that AI just replaces you.
And AI is good at executing instructions, but it's not very good at creating net new things.
Also, my whole take on is AI good at like completing 10%?
ask.
AI is basically an intern.
Yeah, a very uneducated intern.
It's an uneducated intern that is sloppy.
So if it's not doing what you want,
and uncapenated.
Right.
It's your fault if it's not doing it.
I'll say that for the camera.
It's an uneducated, uncapenated intern, AI.
And like, love them for that.
Love them.
Understand that that's what you're getting.
Totally.
But they're a genius.
Yeah.
That's a thing.
If you program them right, they can do everything.
Idiot Saviates of mine.
But they're just like, yeah, literally.
What were my brain jumped with, as we were talking about like the pet niche, and if you had a paid newsletter, the real upside, I think, comes in the back end in how you can create as many different specific paid newsletters based on the same content.
So what you just said clicked in my head of Royal Canine is now marketing their pet food to different dog niches.
The only change they, more than likely, the only change they made is on the label.
with a very small mix of the product.
Yeah.
So if you had some kind of baseline newsletter with 500 different paid opt-ins that you
could easily create with AI.
So that's where I think AI plays the biggest role is you say, I need 500 different versions
of this one thing.
Here's how to create one version.
Now go create 500.
Mm-hmm.
Right?
Because imagine how many paid newsletter opt-ins you could have for how to raise your
blank pet, like this kind of dog.
Mm-hmm.
If you had 500 specific ones, you'd have 500 more potential opt-ins versus just, here's
how to raise your dog.
And that is the modern day, Agora.
Like, do you know Agora publishing?
I do, but for the...
Okay.
It's like one of the craziest, but, like, least well-known companies ever.
And their whole business model, they were the ones who created.
I don't know because you've told me about it.
Most people don't know.
And it's like a billion-dollar company.
And their whole...
It's just a portfolio of paid...
newsletters bundled with different education products. They essentially created that model.
And where everyone's brain goes is, oh, a bunch of niche newsletters, like, how lucrative can
that be? First of all, you're taking for granted recurring revenue. Because recurring revenue is
extremely valuable and extremely cushy, you know? And then second is Agora doesn't have like
five paid newsletters. They have like hundreds and hundreds and hundreds. So what you just
described is just the modern day version of that. And you could build that with far fewer employees,
far fewer writers if you hit AI correctly.
Well, the other thing is, so going back to Agora and their model and why it's brilliant
is, and going back to how do you make $10 million in the year, like if you build a paid
newsletter that brings in a million dollars in revenue, like chances are your margins are
90 plus percent.
Yeah.
And is it crazy that that business is worth 10 to 12 times profit?
I wouldn't say it's crazy.
It's not crazy.
You're within a 5 or 10x.
if you wanted to sell it.
But again, that's what so...
Why would you sell it?
Yeah, we have this conversation all the time
because it's like, A, why would you sell it?
Because the cash it's throwing off
is amazing and essentially autopilited.
And B, it's not just that asset.
It's that now you have all those people
that you can sell other products to.
So why would you sell that?
The only reason you'd sell it
is if you can't get a mortgage
to buy this apartment.
So here's the thing, though.
Okay, a couple interesting things on that, right?
The idea that we're going to have paid newsletters
as of right now that are 300k a year between right with AI fiction writing and then write your
way to wealth we want to build that to a million this year if someone came and offered us 10x on that
I'd probably sell it at a million for 10 just I think that's only because of where we
because of relative to our but if you were higher up you wouldn't do that so it is a function but
an interesting way to think about this and I'm chatting with him is like if you look at
building a portfolio of cash flow businesses and some of the ones that are more sustainable than
the others, like if you have three paid newsletters that all generate 300K a year, because that's,
you know, 5,000 people paying you 20 bucks a month, that is so decentralized in terms of how
likely that is to go to zero. Yeah, your risk is so well. It's extremely sustainable as long as you
keep writing it. Because like, say you hired a writer and the quality took a 10% hit and you
stopped giving it any attention, the bleed out on that would still be years and years and years
of that cash flow. So if you can match some of your personal recurring expenses like that $28,000,
Like how if you could match your mortgage that's 30 grand to a paid newsletter with a thousand people paying you 30 bucks a month.
And that was you had almost pure confidence that that wasn't going anywhere over the next 10 years.
You'd buy the house.
Of course.
I think.
Right.
And that's why, you know, everyone should have, I think, a paid newsletter or a paid community to do.
Yes.
Which is similar.
Like we have a, we have a paid, you know, we call it a membership, paid membership that,
is like part paid newsletter, part community,
and we charge $100 a month for it.
And like, dude, we had 20 signups in the last 24 hours.
It's like lifestyle cash flow matching is an interesting topic.
$2,000 a month.
Okay, but so to take this a step further,
because it's wild, I don't see anyone on Substac doing this.
Like even the biggest newsletters.
The missed opportunity is realizing that the recurring revenue is the beginning,
not the end. So what happens is you have all these creators that go, I started a paid newsletter,
and then they reach success. You have paid newsletters on substack doing hundreds of thousands or even
millions of dollars a year. And then they don't sell them anything else. So immediately,
the whole equation looks different when you go, and 10% of the people who are paying me on a
monthly basis also bought the $20 ebook that I put together or also bought the $200 course I put
together. And I don't understand why more people don't. And then to take that step first,
Then you can take all your paid newsletters and at the end of the year you can bundle them into a book.
So now there's another product.
The way I would do it and I'm curious your thoughts is I wouldn't start by adding digital assets to start selling them.
I would think about what is the most like 0.1% experience I could offer to this group.
So for example, like with community empire our paid membership and email,
would, you know, maybe I do something like, instead of $99 a month for $500 a month,
like you can have, you know, a monthly dinner with someone from our team or like something
for the diehard fans. Like what's, or dinner once a year, you have dinner with me.
Yeah.
You know?
As long as I think that experience is also an option, but it's like what are you
solving for and being careful about your time involvement.
Yeah.
What do you want to commit to?
Time, this is what, it's taken both of us a long time to start to.
internalize this, but time is always the easiest thing to increase something in the short term.
Totally.
Like we know, we're like, oh, if we give away our time, we will increase revenue on literally
anything this month.
That's right.
But then we're screwed.
Like, now we're out of hours.
Now we can't do anything.
So a middle ground solution, something that we do a lot, is an experience bonus would
be if you have a paid newsletter, you have a thousand people on it, and then you go once a
quarter, I'm going to do a live workshop, but it's paid.
So it's like 100 bucks, 150 bucks, hop on Zoom, and here's the topic, here's what we're going to drill into.
That's an easy way of increasing the LTV, but also giving an experience.
You can take the recording, you can add the recording to your archive in the paid newsletter.
You have an asset, the compound.
That's a nice little middle ground versus a lot of people are like, buy my premium and I'll do an hour of coaching with you a month.
And then all of a sudden, you're out of hours and you can't build anything else.
It's funny.
I see a lot of solopreneers do that.
And so, like, they tweet about, oh, I escape my job.
And then it's like, and I built this like, and I built this new job.
Yeah, I built this new job.
Most solar.
We're making the exact same, except I'm working twice as hard.
I'm still selling my time.
Sellerpreneurship is just a high paying job, which in the beginning is great.
Awesome.
Like if you're brand new to making 10 grand a month, that's what you should do.
Totally.
But that's not going to get you to.
To 10 million.
Yeah.
No.
Yeah.
No.
Yeah.
No, I want to talk about 10 million during this.
know. I know I'm with the right people to talk about it with.
Well, there's only one way to get the apartment.
You got to think bigger.
You got to think bigger.
Okay, so paid newsletters.
Do you have any specific ideas besides anything in pets that, you know, if you weren't
doing what you're doing now, you'd go after?
I think if we didn't have anything that we were doing right now, but so say Dickie
and I sold everything that we had right now and we were starting completely over.
I feel like because of our personal interests, the next.
thing we would build would be like a how to think about finance as a as a guy in your
mid 20s to pre 40 yeah because I think that specific window of person is and not to like
exclude others but it's just that type of person has such unique challenges and questions
and things at that phase of life I think we both would get I would start a page
Someone actually messaged us in our Slack that my writing has been,
like my writing over the last month has been extremely personal to me for the most part.
It's like, what am I learning?
What am I thinking about?
And I want to get back into doing that more.
And he asked if I was going to start a paid newsletter to talk about these topics
because I don't want to go down that.
Like as much as it's fun to talk on social about that,
I think there's something, there's like a stigma to talk about dating or finance or like to,
you just don't want people quote tweeting you,
when you talk about money on Twitter.
It's way better.
Usually doesn't end well.
Once that escapes to NPC Twitter,
it just becomes so toxic that you have to put
some kind of paywall before you talk about a lot of those things.
So I don't know.
Why do you say that?
Because people can't understand.
You can't wrap your head around it.
If you talk about making millions of dollars,
like it's going to offend people.
The average person,
especially on Twitter,
gets extremely offended at the idea that people have money.
So you have to put up some kind of paywall.
Luckily, I don't think anyone listens to this podcast that thinks that way.
Because if you're listening to this podcast, you have a bias for action to do things and to better yourself.
But yeah, you're right.
I have gotten things that have gone viral on Twitter and then I look to see like all these anonymous accounts.
Yeah, you're like completely.
It's not good for you because it disincentivized you to keep writing about it.
Versus if you write a small $50 a month paid newsletter to a hyper-specific group that engages with every single thing, then there's no point to write on.
about it.
You just have this group
who's telling their friends.
If you can write a paid news
that are where you're only marketing
is people forwarding it to a friend
and saying, hey, you got to sign up for this.
That's the sweet spot.
Yeah.
And it's worth saying
this happens at every level.
Like if you're jamming
with a small business owner
that's doing 200K a year
and you walk into the room
and you're like,
you got to think bigger.
This is how you get to 10 million.
A lot of them don't want to have that conversation.
They're like, I like,
I like where I'm at
and I don't need, you know,
it's like,
threatening. And then you go to a different room and it's people with $5 million businesses and
someone's like, hey, you got to think bigger to get to 50. Not everyone in that room wants to have
that conversation. So that friction happens at every level, you know. And so that's part of why
it's so difficult to find people to talk about money with because like a lot of it comes down to
what level are you at and where do you want to go with it. So you'd start with a paid newsletter on that
topic and then where do you think you would take it from there? I mean, I think of all the
businesses that we've built in the past three years, we've learned that the group
coaching model is the fastest to scale, probably most profitable. Like, probably doing
another group coaching program would be low hanging fruit. Because you can get a group
coaching program to five, ten million. Like, if you have a good category, you can do that.
And group coaching meaning like how often do you do it? What does that look like? What does that look
like. Well, the way PGA, for example, is structured is it's like a one to many. It's async
curriculum plus we have team members that specialize in different things to answer questions.
So there's real-time support. We'll do like a weekly hot seat that's live. So there's an
async component. There's a live component. There's a community component. So you have all these
different things working to either teach someone, hold them accountable, gamify the journey,
you know, whatever it is. And you can do that in a lot more categories than people.
realize. The other thing I would do if I were you and I was building this is I would build a
SaaS product along with it. For this audience. Like basically mint.com just recently shut down.
Yeah. Yeah, I saw that. That was really surprising. Very surprising. But it's, it is and it isn't
because it is because it was actually a great product that was trying to do too many things for
it. It was trying to do something for everyone where I think niche personal finance is an
interesting idea.
We use co-pilot to manage our stuff.
Co-pilot for X, basically.
Right, exactly.
Is the idea.
So co-pilot for the people who don't know is basically mint.com, track your net worth, track
your credit cards, track your personal stuff.
But yeah, it was everything in the kitchen sink.
It got to that point because it was bought by into it.
Not surprisingly.
They make quick books.
Obviously, the quick books people aren't going to make the most beautiful streamlined
products in the world.
You know? So, co-pilot came in a couple, two, three years ago. And it's just a simpler mobile first version. And I heard they're killing it. They're probably doing it. Co-pilot? Yeah. It's only like six bucks a month. I think. Yeah. Well, it's, I use it. I showed you my workflow for using it. The product's beautiful. Yeah. It started off at, I think, $1.99 a month. Yeah. And then if you three X your prices and you're still growing, definitely. That's a good sign. Yeah. So is there an
opportunity to build co-pilot for X for different niches. That's just kind of an interesting problem.
Yeah, I think that's the way to think about it, you know, like, especially with all the new, like,
no code tools, AI tools. I think you're going to get a lot of smart, driven individual people just
sitting at their laptop being like, I built the co-pilot for pet owners of border colonies. Yeah,
did you listen to your most recent all-in from this past weekend? Do you guys listen to all-in?
Very, very, very. I think I listened to like half.
of it.
So Freedberg had David Friedberg,
worked at Google doing a bunch of stuff.
He had this really interesting idea of SaaS being like this moment in time blip
in terms of a viable business model between software that you had to download on your
computer and then software that can be written by AI, where now the ability for an
individual to spin up a more specific version of all the, and SaaS that are trying to do
everything for everyone is only going to decrease, right? So if you have someone in-house,
if the most productive engineers can become 10 times more productive using AI to code,
and they're able to build these products in-house, that model goes away in an interesting,
like that's an interesting thread to pull on is how many SaaS platforms could you actually
better tailor for your individual experience that aren't that difficult to build with co-pilot
and other AI coding tools.
And so I actually just sent a newsletter this morning speaking to this.
The one thing that I speak to about it in the newsletter is also the business model changes.
So the way SaaS works today is you pay a monthly fee, $6.99 a month, and you get access to the software.
Where I think things are going is it's going to be pay per task.
Yeah, the chat should be T.
Or back to one-time purchase.
The base camp guys just launched their Slack.
Yeah, Slack killer or something like that.
and you pay for it once,
like old school, buy a CD,
put it in your computer.
That's basically where it's like.
But the reason why I'm so fascinated with this
is because of the idea of LTV
relative to just recurring revenue.
Because I feel like a lot of times
people will create products that recur
and they think if once someone signs up,
that recurring revenue never goes away.
But really, there's always some sort of tipping point,
you know?
So you're like, okay, my average churn,
I know net net,
my LTV on an average customer is
$215.
So it's interesting to
either have some of that data or sort of
speculate what that data would be and go,
okay, well, if my average LTV is going to end up
being around 200, why don't I just remove
the recurring option and sell
full access for $300 bucks
and capture all that LTV up front
and force a different
purchasing decision? Totally. Or
even if you have an idea for
co-pilot for X, you can build the landing
page, build the mock-ups,
and be like, you know, post on Twitter, hey, you can pre-sell it.
Pre-sell it.
Yeah.
Like to fund your development.
I think a lot of more people are going to do that.
So many different rabbit holes.
You could go down with that.
Yeah.
You have fewer engineers working at every company, but more so engineers building things.
Yeah.
I want to talk quickly, even though it's like off topic about a conversation I had with
someone in Miami the other day.
So he, we went for coffee and he was telling me about,
a particular person on Twitter that was showing these MRR numbers for a particular business.
And I happened to know what the MR.
Was it a SaaS?
It was a services-based business.
I happened to know the revenue of that, basically the monthly, I get the updates
for that particular business.
And it was a person that was basically posting on Twitter and saying, hey, I get, you know,
I got $10 million of revenue, 10 million an ARR divided by 12 MR.
and he was like really upset about it because he's like I'm out here I'm trying I have
you know almost a million dollars a AR took me eight years and I was like dude don't believe
what you read like don't make if you shouldn't feel bad logging onto Twitter and seeing that
because it's not even truthful yeah most of it isn't it's not and most numbers are just like
if I see another agency owner but that they have 50 million in business
pipeline by taking people who fill out a type form.
Like, how can you say that you have, it's just typeform.
That's like saying if I took every email subscriber I have and multiplied them if they bought
all my products and said, I have 100,000 email subscribers and they all pay me $100.
So I have $10 million in email pipeline.
You know what this is like?
I worked at an ad agency right out of college and we just have this joke where you like ad
agencies are so liberal with how they talk about things.
it's like walking into Walgreens and buying toilet paper and being like Walgreens is a client.
It's like that's literally what people are doing on Twitter.
They're like, oh, you know, Walgreens is a client.
It's like, really?
It's like, well, yeah, I mean, their toilet paper's great.
Even worse, Walgreens is a partner.
Yeah, I've partnered with Walgreens North America.
Our new partnership.
Yeah.
There's a lot of context stuff like people taking lifetime revenue and calling that the revenue of their
business.
So they'll be like, I've done.
you know, five million bucks over the past five years, and then you'll see them go on podcast
being like how I built a $5 million business. That's not a $5 million business. That's a $1 million
business that's been around for five years. That's right. And like all those little nuances,
it just makes, it's just sad because then you're all the people that want to learn are looking
at that. And it's literally like you're giving them a broken version of the game to start. And then
they walk in with all these unrealistic expectations. That's not how it's.
any of these businesses operate. And that's why I wanted to bring it up. It's for the people listening
who are embarking on the $10 million journey and might see things on the internet and people,
you know, quote unquote, sharing in public. So they're taking it as the gospel. We should set some
standards that there's just a collective group of people who go around policing anyone who doesn't
talk in monthly free cash flow that hits your bank account. Yeah. Monthly, that too.
Net free cash flow post expenses is the only number that matters in your business.
Period, full stop, and a story.
So what is 50 million in business pipeline?
Like, okay, but we're actually doing 300K a month at 40% margin.
So it's 120K a month free cash flow.
Uh-huh.
Divided by three partners at plus expenses, which means I make 20 grand a month.
Right.
After tax, really it should be personal monthly after tax free cash flow.
and then you could bubble that up to the business level.
And every time there should be like a like a Chrome extension.
Like every time you see $10 million, it's like, it's the Twitter community notes.
It's like doing the math on this business, it's more than likely that this business owner takes home $20,000 a month.
Because that normalizes it for everyone.
What is the amount that hits your bank account after all expenses at the end of every month?
That's such a good product.
And if you didn't talk in that, you should just get like, there should be more than reply bots.
to be like, this is a monthly free cash flow bot, this number is bullshit.
Like, imagine that.
Twitter would be such a better place.
That actually leads me to another idea related to this.
We should build that.
CoffeeZilla for tech entrepreneurs.
Yeah.
Seriously.
Like huge audience opportunity.
Like people would share that like crazy.
And you can monetize that.
That's actually a great niche YouTube channel.
So for people who don't know CoffeeZilla, YouTuber,
probably three plus million subscribers.
and he exposes scams.
Yeah.
And it's like a guy with...
He goes after crypto.
He's gone after crypto.
He's gone after...
He's gone after...
He's one like Jake Paul too or something with his N-A-Ters.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
So you get these, like, well-known people.
And he's like a journalist about it.
Like, he is integrity.
I bet.
Yeah.
And he really does a great job.
So, and people share that, right?
Because, you know, well, number one, people like to see other people.
people fail. Let's be real.
Well, it's like the business world's TMZ, you know?
Totally. That's a better way of describing it.
Like, there was a point, Gawker. Do you remember Gawker?
Oh, yeah.
Tell people what Gawker was for most people don't remember.
I mean, it was like a news publication, but they would like do hit pieces and they would
like go after people.
Ryan Holiday wrote a whole book about the Gawker story going after.
Yeah.
Right? Wasn't that him?
I don't know too much about Gawker, to be honest.
It was basically like, yeah, it was like a gossip column for business.
Yeah.
They shut down after the lawsuit, right?
They shut down.
Because they went bankrupt.
Well, Peter Thiel, I think.
Oh, yeah, yeah.
Sued them.
If anything, the old, like, this whole fiasco that happened with Open AI
and how it was like the coolest thing to ever happen to anyone who worked in Silicon Valley
because they got to talk about it.
It was like keeping up with the Kardashians for nerds in San Francisco.
It's like the most important thing
and all they'd wake up and like check the news
be like, what's Sam doing now?
Literally, myself included.
Yeah.
I did that for 48 hours.
You know, that was interesting thought experiment.
I couldn't sleep, I was just thinking about Sam Altman all night.
Yeah.
I didn't, like that didn't interest me at all.
I was like, that just seems weird.
Cool.
Like, he's either going to work there or not work there.
Yeah.
You know, okay, the other one that gets me
is the person who goes,
I made all this revenue only working one hour a day.
and I'm like, nobody does that.
Or also the joke of like the morning routine thing
where it's like you look at all these entrepreneurs,
they're like, I'm awake at 3 a.m.
I've had a full protein breakfast and red light sauna
and I've run seven miles by 4.30 a.m.
You know, and it's like you're looking at this and you're like,
maybe you've done that one time.
You know?
And then just like the person who takes the pipeline and like rounds up,
they do it one time and they're like,
And in theory, if I did do this every day, that would be my morning routine.
And then they make people feel bad because they're not.
Yeah, it's all.
It's like, oh, I woke up and I was tired this morning.
Like, I was about to tweet this and I didn't, but I had to like drafted.
I was like, I woke up yesterday.
And I basically woke up.
I flooded myself with coffee.
I took a nice warm shower.
I woke up at 7.30 a.m.
I woke up at 7.30 a.m.
flooded myself with like four coffees.
Literally drowned myself in my coffee bath. Yeah. And I took a warm long shower, not like a cold bath. It's a warm long shower. It was warm. I even, I busted it even hot, hot, hot, like steam. Can I give you an upgrade? You got to buy these shower steamers. Do you have shower steamers? No, is there I need one of those? Dude, it's like a bath bomb for a shower. Oh my gosh. It feels like you're in a spa. It's amazing. You just unremise.
wrap it, you throw it at the bottom, the water
comes down and it smells like...
Lavender. Amazing. You keep buying
it. Do you know how expensive those things are too?
You get a bag of like 12 of them for like
40 bucks or something. I'm like
add it to your shower routine. This is something
I'm trying to do more though because right now... Wait,
here's the idea. Sorry. Oh, okay.
What are they called?
Um, shower steamers?
Shower...
Shower steamers?
For your dog.
Actually, though.
Or your dog. You know?
They need a better bath.
Yes.
It's like a CBD to make them calmer in the bath, you know, because dogs get stressed out about it.
Yeah.
Your dog hates the bat, unless they have bat, CBD box.
I would buy this right now.
And for cats, right?
Uh-huh.
And for gerbils.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Well, cats hate water, right?
So if you want to, like, make it a lit more.
It's like a dry cleaner.
No, but honestly, honestly, that concept, steam showers for the productive tech entrepreneur.
So, like, the product, the, the, the,
Andrew Huberman type guy.
Oh, I mean, think about, okay, how do they sell tea?
You go into the tea aisle, and it's just white-label green tea, but one of them says calm,
and one of them says energy, and one of them says focus.
You're going to buy the one that says the word of the thing that you associate with.
That's right.
So you could easily do that for any category or any niche.
Take the tech entrepreneur and do shower steamers for raising your first round and you're
stressed out.
Yeah.
Right?
Yeah.
Huberman's drink is going to, if he started a drink that was like sparkling water,
theanine, caffeine, everything that he recommend, everything that he recommends you take
in the morning.
And it was just called like, you know, and it's got nothing else and only marketed it
to that specific type of person.
It would crush.
Call it sunrise and say only people who wake up before the sun gets up, drink this.
Like, done.
Do this and stare at the sun.
Yeah.
The Dicky Bush.
I actually think we're seeing the anti-Huberman effect right now.
So that was a bit of my tweet that I was going to, right yesterday,
I was going to say like at the end of my, here's what I did this morning.
Today I felt like the anti-Huberman.
Yeah.
What's the, oh, in that you like don't have a morning routine.
You don't optimize.
This is, I put this in the notes of the doc is like esoteric health Twitter is always two years ahead of like everyone else.
So they're already on that train of like anti-optimization now, leaning more into like intuition and things like that.
But I don't know.
There's both sides.
There's always a trend and there's always an anti-trend.
And it feels like Huberman has gotten so big that, of course, you're going to have people be like, I don't want to do a cold punch.
I like my hot chowers.
I am sick of how many more people are in the sauna and cold plunge since it got popular though.
Yeah.
Like, there are specific groups of people.
Why?
Why does it make you mad?
Well, I like to not talk to anyone.
The worst are the people who are in the sauna now,
just sparking up at goddamn podcast conversation.
It's like, oh, let's just start talking to everyone.
The last thing I want to do.
That's why I say I'm unemployed when anyone asks what I do in the sauna.
Well, you shouldn't say you're unemployed because if you're unemployed,
I have nothing to offer you.
I have no conversation.
I got nothing for you, buddy.
Yeah, I want to say here in silence.
Or accountant, that works.
Yeah, account it is better.
If I met an unemployed person in the sauna, I'm like, I need an...
At a luxury gym.
Yeah, I need it.
I'm looking for...
Who are you?
Got nothing for you, buddy.
That's like my go-to.
You know, you're mysterious.
You're wearing Lulu Lemon.
I don't get it.
Something isn't adding up.
That's true.
Yeah.
Yeah, I hate that.
But there's a specific type of person that has started to do that that only comes to the gym now
to like sauna and coal plunge.
And they're just getting their optimization.
routine in and not doing anything else.
I heard that's called the professional workout.
Did you hear that?
The executive workout.
No, it's steam room and a wheatgrass shot.
Yeah.
I used to do that one in New York every once in a while.
A wheatgrass shot?
Yeah.
Oh, I thought you said a wheatgrass shower.
No, a wheatgrass shot.
The executive steam is Friday morning, Friday morning on Wall Street.
That's a thing.
Oh, okay.
Okay, I want to end off with, I've got this note, notes file of all these ideas.
I've got about 100 ideas in the here.
Amazing.
Nice.
I'm going to give you a couple, and you can tell me if it's, you like them or you don't
like them. Goodreads. Someone needs to reinvent goodreads. Yeah, I hate that platform. Like,
it's, it's just a great idea, like a social network around books, essentially, and reviews around
books. What's it called? Letterbox was recently acquired by Tiny and Andrew Wilkinson. I can see,
and Letterbox is for films. I could see like a letterbox level in terms of design for Goodreads.
I feel like we're due for it.
They were acquired by Amazon, I think, many years ago.
I think a good reads for podcasts or good reads for your Twitter feed would be interesting, right?
What if you could integrate your Twitter feed with like your liked tweets all went somewhere?
And then you could see and talk to or connect with other people who also like those same tweets or listen to those same podcasts.
That could be kind of cool.
Yeah, that's interesting.
I mean, all this sort of just speaks to the broader trend, which is there's just way too much content.
We just can't consume all of it
So you're probably going to see
Same with that niching down idea
More and more platforms that are like
Here's how to parse just the feed on Twitter
Versus here's how to parse just the podcast you listen to on Spotify
Versus just the videos you watch on YouTube
You know
Just too much
Too much
So what do you think?
What do you rate that idea on 10?
No sevens
I would use it
I'd use it more
I don't like good reads
Yeah I'd never
really used goodreads. I don't know. I know people who use it to count the number of books they
read. That's it. Like they add the books that they read to it. But I don't know. I wouldn't be
excited to work on it, but I would use it. I feel like a cooler. There you go. That's my summer.
That's a good answer. I feel like a cooler feature is, isn't in Amazon Kindle, like,
and I don't use it, but I just know of it where you can see how many other people have highlighted
the same sections. Like that to me is a lot cooler.
But that's how I would start off.
Goodreads 2.0 would be probably that.
I think readwise is probably trending in that direction.
Yeah.
Some kind of consolidation of all the highlights.
Yeah.
True.
Cool.
Can I give you one of my business ideas?
Yeah.
All right.
So one of mine is I think that the next Simon & Schuster or Penguin Random House or whatever
is going to be one individual that builds, I mean, one author, but has like a whole team.
So an author is being.
treated like a venture back startup. And the team and that author train an entire model on
how that specific author outlines a certain type of story, how they write it, vocabulary choices,
like really, really in depth. And then it allows that author and that style to you then have
the ability to create a book a week or a book a day. And you can just flood an entire subcategory.
So imagine James Patterson could actually do this right now. James Patterson's
like, I want to write thrillers. He already writes, co-writes with other people. He's doing the
manual version of it with another author. He does a book a month. Okay, well, if he took the time
and built a model, he could write a James Patterson level book a day. Yeah. And I, that's going to
happen. It's just a question of who goes and builds it. How long does it take? And you have to have
enough of a library to train the model on you. Because the problem, you see it with now like OpenAI.
that was the whole issue.
It's like,
you can't go train your model
on other people's content
without those other people
going, hey, what the hell?
That's right.
So the solution
is you have to have produced
enough volume
to train the model
on you, and you're the copyright owner.
And the problem
and why James Patterson
can't do this
is because his publisher
owns all his stuff.
So now there's a conference,
so is the publisher going to build it?
Is he allowed to build it?
You know,
but I'm really fascinated
by the idea of
what does it look like
for an author to create a book a day and have it actually be 80, 90% quality of what you would
produce on your own.
Yeah, I mean, the average author does what?
A book every three years, two, three years.
Yeah, if that, five years.
I think it's interesting.
And he was the one who broke that model and went, I want to do, there were a couple
authors before him, but he was really the one that went, I want to do two or three or four
books a year.
And then now, as far as I know, he's one of the only authors that Crank.
out consistently a book a month every month year after year after year he's doing the manual
version because he's working with other writers yeah my guess is this also translates pretty
well to music oh same thing's gonna happen same thing yeah yeah i like this idea it's probably like an
eight seven eight seven for you you said no sevens eight oh eight point seven okay cool i'll take it
that's fine you got any good one sickie it's not something i actually do much it like
brainstorm random business sizes like I don't have that note I was just how my brain
see I was right I wrote something the other day that I love to learn but I'm not curious at all
where I don't go down internet rabbit holes about random things and I felt guilty for that for a
long time like random ideas and going down and spending like 10 hours on YouTube I don't like to do
I don't know I think one of us needs to have that train yeah what am I doing right now and what's
the next logical step yeah I don't know I felt guilty but now I'm kind of leaning into it as
superpower. No, it's great in the opposite way. Yeah, yes. You know, because I just don't care about
how the world works. People are like, I'm fascinated by how the world works. I'm like, I just care
that it works. I don't really care at all about how. Right. Last idea. Before we, before we, I love
that about you. One of us has to. So I'm, uh, looking to buy some art and I got a great,
I got an artist that you should buy. Okay. He's on the up and up and I think, I think that you could
tick the
Yeah.
We'll talk about that.
I'll put you on to them.
There doesn't seem to be a good
marketplace for second-hand
curated art.
Isn't that what master works or mess or something?
What do you mean by that?
So there's places
where I can buy art that other people
have owned before.
Of course, there's artsy,
which is like the big platform.
Do you guys know artsy?
Basically like the Amazon for art
but they have like pieces in the
tens of millions or millions of dollars to pieces that are $100.
And some of them are like new pieces and some of them are someone else, you know,
used, so to speak.
I think there's probably an opportunity to do a marketplace with curated pieces,
meaning it's not as overloaded with like here's one million pieces.
Here's maybe a subset.
And also the ability to rent pieces.
I was actually just thinking that like a Airbnb, I want to rent your Picasso for the weekend
because I'm throwing a party.
It'd be kind of cool.
There's a huge level of risk in that, obviously.
Yeah.
Renting pieces seems interesting.
It also is like Gen Z and millennials.
Our attention span is a lot less.
So it's like, yeah, I might enjoy this Picasso for a weekend.
I don't know.
I hate it now.
I think about that a lot with like the hedonic adaptation of nice things,
like renting a nice car.
You can get 90% of the benefit.
And then you, like,
if you rent a really nice car for three days,
on the fourth day,
you start to pick out things
about the car that you don't like.
And that's like when you should give it up.
Because then when you own it full time,
you're like, damn,
like I went to Germany and rented a Porsche to drive on the Autobahn.
And it was sick.
The first two days.
And I remember returning it on the third day,
me like,
fucking kind of cramped in here.
And I remember,
I was like,
that's a perfect time to get rid of that thing.
Because the second you have any kind of complaint,
I think the same thing goes for like apartments
or I don't know, apartments might be different, but cars or art or things like that, how can you get 90% of the upside with just the initial access and then not make it into something that owns you in the long term?
It's a good point.
And maybe this is a narrative I'm putting in my head, but after this conversation, I feel like apartments and homes doesn't fit in that category of, you know, you don't, I don't think you get used to a beautiful home.
Like, I feel like, or do you?
I don't know.
Like you,
you definitely do.
You definitely do.
So then why would I buy this apartment?
So my argument though is because it is the place where you most likely spend the majority of your time.
And so it's sort of like your bed.
Like of all the things to max out,
you should probably max out the thing that you spend six,
seven,
eight hours a night and every night for your whole life.
You know,
and your home,
I think is very similar.
You spend,
especially now that we all work from home and like,
why why would you not want to optimize that?
Whereas a car, it's like,
and I think it all comes back to it,
what's the pressure it puts on you
relative to the enjoyment or the, you know?
I think the solution is have someone
that prevents you from thinking about the house
in a negative way at any time,
which basically if shit stops working,
you actually don't even realize it.
Someone is there to repair,
there's like an on-call.
Because otherwise you're just like
bitching about your $30 million house
and what sucks about it.
And that's just a problem.
place you want to avoid in general. You don't want to be there, which will happen because
like your toilet's going to break. Right. That's going to be annoying. It's fucking house.
You know? Yeah.
Dude, this has been so good. That was pretty solid. This is solid. We got some good juice going.
This is, I like this. It's all, it's all because of the shipyard. It's a vibe.
So thank you for for inviting me here and allowing. We should do this more. Yeah.
This is a standing thing. Yeah. I would love that. I think the first of many.
I would love that. Um, where could my audience go.
and find out more about what you get.
They'll find us.
Find us on Twitter.
Dickie Bush or Nicholas Cole 77.
Yeah.
Start running online.com.
They'll find us.
They'll find us.
Yeah.
I have this heuristic that I've kind of been using is if with all of the things that we create,
if you can't find your way to the thing, that's a little bit of a signal.
Yeah, but there's also the counterpoint.
We create so many things that like where should you go?
That's true.
But yeah.
Okay.
That's fair.
But also just like, just Google it.
Yeah, you know?
Totally.
I had this, I had this happen the other day.
We had, we're hiring like a product designer and I had posted about it.
And I had said, go apply on the website.
So some, someone, some guy reached out to me and he was like, hey, like, I can find like the job at the job, like the career section on the late checkout website.
I hate to bring it to you, but that's a signal.
That's a signal.
And it's like, I had to respond.
I was like, hey, like.
The best little hack I found for that is when we're interviewing someone,
ask them to send you the calendar invite for the time you send them.
Just see that they can fucking check a box of schedule it at the right time,
add a Zoom link, XYZ.
It's like the first little micro test of their general competence.
Yeah.
Another one that gets me is like we'll tweet something and then we'll append it and go.
And by the way, if you want to start writing, check out Ship30.
With a link to Ship30.com.
And then someone will comment and say, what's Ship 30?
If you click the link, the entire site will tell you what it is.
And like that, it's such a small thing.
Or sorry, one more because I've been doing all these interviews for a new hire we're making.
Another one is you send a Cal invite and then I'll send the person an email and say, great, chat with you then.
Let's use the Zoom link in the description.
I can't tell you how many people go sit in the Google Meet link.
And that to me, it's such a small thing, but I'm like, that shows me just that small level of detail that.
you're not, you know?
That's the clip.
I find you in the Google Meet.
It's just got a, there's someone waiting in there and be like, sorry, you failed the first
step of this job application.
Please don't apply again.
No, seriously.
There's this, sorry, real, real quick.
Just there's this, have you seen the bear?
I got to say it.
Have you seen the bear?
No.
Oh my God.
Amazing show.
Okay, but there's this scene where they're hiring like a matre d and they're doing the interview and
the girl is like, oh, she was.
great. I think we should hire her. And the guy is like, there's no way we're hiring that person. She's
like, why? The interview went so well. And he points to one of the place settings. And he had like turned
it. So there were three the right way and one was wrong. And he was like, she just sat here the entire
time and did a 45 minute interview and didn't fix that place setting. That would have driven me
nuts. No attention to detail. We're not hiring that person. And like that, it's the Zoom thing.
It's like, you know, or someone emails me, they put an H in my name. I'm like,
Immediately, I'm like, you don't have attention to detail.
It's not that hard.
Totally.
My name's not Craig.
It's Greg.
Yeah.
I saw a new one for you.
Nicholas Cole, K-O-H-L.
Like, Cole's the shopping thing.
I've seen a lot of names for you.
I've never seen Nicholas Cole like this store.
So this would be a good time to announce I am part of the Coles Empire.
I knew it.
That's actually, the shipyard was actually funded by the Coles Empire.
Oh, man.
Yeah.
So attention to detail, everyone.
That'll get you to 10 million.
Thanks, everyone.
All right, y'all.
Later.
Boom.
