The Team House - Live From Israel During the Iranian Attack | EYES ON

Episode Date: April 14, 2024

Andy Milburn reporting live from Israel tonight during the Iranian retaliatory strike. (4/13/24)Support the show here:https://www.patreon.com/TheTeamHouseFind Andy here:Twitterhttps://twitter.com/i/flow/login?redirect_after_login=%2Fandymilburn8LinkedInhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewmilburn2023Substackhttps://amilburn.substack.com/Andy's bookhttps://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations/dp/1526750554Team House socials https://www.instagram.com/the.team.house/https://twitter.com/theteamhousepod?lang=en#iran #israelBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--5960890/support.

Hey guys, it's Jack. I just wanted to talk to you today about a way that you can help support the podcast if you're not already. We would really appreciate it if you guys went and reviewed us on Apple or Spotify. Those reviews really help people find the podcast and help it get recognized. And, you know, if you've been enjoying the show, we really appreciate your support. Another thing that you can do to support the channel is to become a Patreon member. So we have Patreon memberships that start at just $5 a month. and when you sign up you get access to all of our episodes ad-free. That's the big bonus for that.

I mean, we also do some Patreon bonus episodes for our subscribers. But this is the biggest and best way that you can support the Teamhouse channel and podcast if you'd like to. And we really appreciate that. So go in and check us out at patreon.com slash the team house. says the content to this meeting is being sent to a third party yeah that's youtube now now are we just letting him talk or all right we're live no yeah we'll set the scene and yeah we'll get it we'll get his uh two cents when he's when he's on okay

i don't even know if we're live or now what's oh yeah we are yeah guys all right yeah we're live and alive what's going on everybody You want to let them know what's going on? Yep. So we decided to go live because Iran's popping off and shot a whole bunch of drones and ballistic missiles at Israel. And it just so happens. Andy Milburn is in Israel as we speak right now and as shit's hitting the fans. So we're waiting on him to jump on and give us the load down and what's going on.

D. Can they ask, is it like normal where they can ask questions and stuff? Yeah, yeah. They can ask questions in the chat if they want. Okay. But I won't, I mean, how are you, how do you see them on your phone? Yeah, you can look at it through your phone or I have like the computer. I have it set up where I have my laptop here and I'm watching. Okay. The stream.

And I'm trying to change the thumbnail. So yeah, thanks everybody for coming. This is just like a hasty, uh, what is a hasty show because Andy's a lunatic. I love him. but he's a lunatic. He is. I try to get Jack Murphy on, but he just told me he doesn't work weekends.

Yeah. He doesn't care of Jesus himself comes back. Yeah. He can wait till Monday. Yeah, he's off on the weekends. Is Andy's a lunatic? Oh,

see, you can hear. Yeah, all right. You got me talking shit about Jack? Yeah. It's okay. I'll talk smack about Jack all day,

to his face, too. J.P. Ortega. chance they will cut the internet where Andy's at. We're hoping not, but there's a good possibility. So we're going to try to get them on before that happens. I don't even know where Andy is. My assumption is Tel Aviv, right? I believe so.

All right. Oh, I see you guys. I see the chat now. What's up, chat? Andrew Dunbar. I want to tell you three, I like this show. Thank you, Andrew. Andrew's a mod too.

He's a mod for the chat. He gets activated when people get stupid in the chat. Oh, yeah? Yeah, yeah. See, when you see somebody who writes and they have a little wrench next to their name, that means they're their moderator. Okay. Appreciate you keeping it, keeping the savages away from the gate, Andrew.

Shit just pop it off. It is kind of crazy. Andy did say it feels like it's like two sports team. Like it's a sporting event. Yeah, some of the comments I've seen when I somehow stumble into Twitter. Some of the comments are crazy. Oleg, this is the beginning of the stream. Yeah.

Who did? Oleg? Yeah. Yeah, Oleg, we literally just started. We're waiting for Andy. He's putting pants on. Yeah. Running in the streets and his tidy whitey. Mark, is there a M-EU, which is a Marine Expeditionary unit in the vicinity?

I would think so. how close they are, I don't know. But there usually is a forward-deployed me. Someone correct me if I'm wrong, nicely, because I will cut your ass out. Yeah, so shit's popping off. I mean, there's another report saying Jordanian fighter jets intercepted dozens of drones, Iranian drones in their airspace.

I think we intercepted drones to the UK intercepted drones. Yeah, yeah. It's, um, I guess there's, They're going to try to catch them out as far out as they can. But, yep, fire Phoenix gamers. You did call it. All right, Andy's going to jump on. Iron Dome is working overtime today.

Some crazy videos. Yeah. Do you see what you want you to post in the chat? Yeah, that's on Twitter, too. I saw that on Twitter a couple minutes ago. I don't even know how to post that in the chat. Andy, these guys are making me do work. Yeah, everyone, please bear with us.

This is our first one going live like this. Oh, yeah, first eyes on live. Live doesn't stress me out because we do the team house live. So it's like, I'm already stressed out anyway. So Iran has the right to defend it. We're not, I mean, I'm not saying anything, bro. I mean, again, I just want Andy Milburn to get the fuck out of Israel. That's all I really care about.

All I get a shit about. Sorry, if it sounds like it sounds like that. like a horse race in here. The dog is running up and down. Percy? We still have his dog ball at the studio. Oh, really? Yeah, we haven't touched it.

It's just there filled with water. You should have guests drink out of it. Yeah. There's a right of passage. So there's some initial reports about U.S. forces at Erbil International Airport in northern Iraq, as well as Al-Assad Air Base in Western Iraq being hit by proxies. Oh, shit.

That's actually happened or? That it's happening. Hmm. I mean, I guess I was to be expected, right? Yeah. Fire Phoenix. Yep. He is in Israel right now.

Paul, what kind of dog? He's a pit bull. Am I allowed to say pit bull or would he get taken from me? I'm going to see if I can get him to come over. Percy, come here. Percy's the man. Percy come. Mark, what Israel retaliate big?

I mean, most likely, and something just broke right now. like five minutes ago. Israel War Cabinet approves a military response to Iran's aggression. I kind of got an issue with that wording, but I know it's the war cabinet and that's what they're supposed to say. But I mean, like Israel's squirting over a whole bunch of drones and ballistic missiles because Iran is squirting over a bunch of drones and ballistic missiles because Israel hit seven or six guys at their consulate.

It wasn't like on a motorcade that was between the consulate. council it in the airport in Syria. It was at their like actual embassy or an annex to the embassy. Yeah. So it's like, yeah, everyone's a belligerent here in this thing. Yeah. We can't answer that question, Sakari. Why did Israel attack the embassy?

You got to, that's not for us to answer. I mean, I could have they even taken responsibility for it yet? No, I don't think officially, no. Yeah. Yeah, Israel's probably going to go buck wild. I'll say Israel's definitely like the short drunk friend that always gets to fights and needs like his bigger friends to like either calm it down or come and save them because that's what the U.S. feels like all the time. Yeah, when I was before I went to the agency, I was going to finishing up school and was doing some bouncing at a bar. And so this guy comes in and he's like, hey, listen.

And we got somebody coming in. He's kind of a name, you know, well-known name. But he likes to drink and he likes to fight. And I'm like, all right, well, who is it? So was Jason Mews? Do you know who he is? Jason, no. You know Jay and Simon Bob?

Oh, yeah. Okay. No shit. Yeah. So he comes in. He's like, I promise I'm going to behave tonight. And this goes with what you just said about Israel. He's like, I promise I'm not going to cause any problems tonight, blah, blah, blah.

And we're like, all right, no problem. So we're standing there. He's standing like in between us, but behind us, myself and another bouncer. And this guy comes on and starts running his mouth to him. All of a sudden his hand comes in between us. Jason Mews slaps the taste at a dude's mouth and just backs up. There he is. Hey, day.

Hey, guys. Just not a lot, English sensibility. Yeah, guys. It's been quiet. I mean, it's quiet here so far. Of course, that's probably, you know, not going to last. So we're live now, are we? We are live, yeah.

Yeah, people are already. Okay, cool. All right. Do you guys want me to give you a quick heads up? I just, um, please. I'm getting, I'm getting, I think, uh, we'll see how reliable it is. Hold on me just, let me just get to my notes. Bottom line is this, you know, there are.

So, you know, what I'll try and do is tell you what you don't already know. And, um, you're already aware of about 500 drones that will, launched earlier this evening they looked like being a mixture of shahad you know i'm saying it as though i'm watching them know they've been identified as uh as a mixture of shahad 131s and 136 is um those things remember are really slow they're going to take about nine hours to reach here so they won't get here until tomorrow morning but you know there's a couple of things going on here obviously i mean the iranians aren't so dumb as to just launched launch Shah-hard missiles.

But at the same time, and I hope I'm right about this, there is almost a, there's kind of an almost a braid-like element to this that suggests that this is all part, I'm going to get vilified to saying this of a complicated game. That doesn't necessarily mean it's any safer, but what I'm saying is that there's kind of a progression here. So Iran, if they were really sensible, they would have, of course, launched ballistic and cruise missiles at the same time to coordinate their landing time.

And they've kind of tipped their head at that. They've announced that they've launched ballistic missiles. But the thing is, if they really were ballistic missiles, they would be here in 12 minutes. I mean, exactly, you know, not between like 10 and 15 minutes. But the announcement was made a couple of hours ago. So I don't know if they've confused the ballistic missiles with something else. With the cruise missiles? Well, cruise missiles take two hours.

Yeah, that could be. Or it could be they were intercepted. But not getting a lot of really, you know, we're getting feedback from external interceptions. So the Jordanians are intercepting them over Jordan. They've, I believe they've launched aircraft. The Brits definitely have launched aircraft from Cyprus. and have already intercepted drones. So the Shahid drones are, you know,

they're not exactly difficult to intercept. He says as though, you know, he's done. No, I've been on the intercepting end of Shah Head, so I'm talking a big game. But, you know, I mean, they're very slow moving. The danger is this, that, you know, this is, as the Iranians say, only step one. And what the Iranians have said is that this is,

you know, the each, each step is going to be more severe depending on Israel's response, all right? So this is where we get kind of in a, we get in a position where things could easily escalate, even though both sides think they're adhering to the rules, all right? So what I'm reading in this, and again, I don't have any, you know, aside from my personal investment in this, here's what I think is probably going on. So all this announcement posturing, the announcement, you know, the Shah Heads, I mean, the Russians don't do this, of course, when they launched Shah Heads. They don't give it quite such a fan.

So there's, you know, definitely a lot of this is for show. There's a very serious element to this. And I want to remind you that Hezbollah, still really hasn't weighed in. You know, there have been salvos of rockets, you know, 50 or more at a time, but not, nothing really that has made a dent in his bowlers arsenal. So that's an unknown quantity, as are the potential actions of proxies, you know, we discussed earlier.

I mean, they still aren't on the chessboard. So one, I could, two things could be happening. It could really be, as I suspect, and as I hope, the Iranians playing by the rules of the game, gradual escalation. Everyone saves face. The Israelis hit back, but they hit military targets. Maybe they don't hit in Iran. Who knows what we'll see. But definitely, you know, the Israelis do hit back.

They can be very, very wary of causing collateral damage in Iran because they're trying to regulate the escalation. But back to this initial drone strike, okay, I don't want you to think I'm being entirely flippant about it because it is concerning me. It just, yeah, the Shah-head is by itself a piece of shit, but as the saying goes, the quantity has equality all of its own. The danger here is that Israel's much vaunted air defense systems will become saturated. I've seen a lot of, you know, how when these things happen, everyone turns into a technical expert. Well, I can tell you the Israelis are very concerned about their systems becoming overwhelmed by a combination of drones, ballistic, and cruise missiles, plus rockets launched from multiple directions and multiple distances. And that really does. And when I say overwhelmed, well, it's a question of degree, right?

But even if we're not talking about being overwhelmed, even if we're talking about all the systems operating as they are, I'm going to run some numbers by you. These are not my number. You know, these are coming from someone who knows these numbers. He's involved in missile defense here. But, you know, it doesn't, again, this doesn't take into account other variables. But let me just, you know, if everything else, if there are, there are, if nothing else is fighted Israel aside from, say, you know, salvo ballistic missiles and the drones, okay?

So, you know, various systems, the Patriot system, of course, is, you know, the kind of the platinum standard. But, you know, the Patriots, well, it's considered the platinum standard. But, you know, the Patriot system only has, is likely to have about a 50% kill rate against ballistic missiles. So the Israelis rely on Sling up David. You know, everyone's heard about Iron Dome, which is oriented against a particular. type of threat, kind of rockets and missiles, but shorter range. And the Patriot, yes, will focus on ballistic missiles along with what the Israelis call, David Sling.

But, you know, together that's going to, it's still about 10% of missiles will get through. all right that may not sound a lot but even uh the even a handful of uh of of of of cruxle missiles getting getting through even two or three is is has the potential causing significant casualties because of the population centers here are so densely packed um and uh oh oh i'm sorry totally messed up and uh forgive me black for sleep but um no for ballistic missiles i'm sorry the the drones, David Sling will shoot down cruise missiles and drones. Patriot can shoot down primarily ballistic missiles. Well, the Israelis have Arrow 3, which is focused on the ballistic missile threat.

And they claim they have a 99% rate success rate. That is, though, if they're not being overwhelmed. We don't, no one really knows what's going to be thrown into the air as far. as ballistic missiles to, you know, it appears that none have been fired at there yet. Again, the Iranians would be dumb not to use them. So now look, I don't think we're going to see huge escalation on this first strike. You know, in theory, Hezbollah and the, you know, Iranian, I'm sorry, the Iraqi or rather the Shia militia. Iraq.

There has been some reports. They have been some reports about or Bill Air Base and another Air Base getting hit by some proxies and stuff like that. Just recently, probably in the last 20 or so minutes. Against U.S. bases, right? Yeah.

Yeah. So I'm kind of talking about if we assume that this is part of a campaign, I'm talking about their integration into an attack on Israel. and I don't know but if I was a betting man I would say that

and Hizbollah is the biggest threat there I would guess that Hizbollah is not going to step up to the plaintiffs and saturate the northern area with rockets and missiles at this point but everyone knows that threat

is always there and is there for the unit next time around in theory in theory they you know a really good way to make this an effective attack or at least cause casualties. And I quoted those figures to you too. So let's just be honest. I mean, Israel is going to be lucky to emerge from this without civilian casualties.

But let's suppose this. Let's suppose this is carefully meted by Iran and that Nazrallah has been told, hey, just keep your powder dry. Let's see how the Israeli, how the Zionist entity reacts to this. So if I was betting, man, I'd say Hizbella does very little. They could wait and launch mass attack of drones and missiles just as the Iranian drones and missiles enter Israeli airspace into the protection bubble, and that would have a good shot at overwhelming the various air defense systems here. But I think it's more likely that this attack is. going to be measured, kind of a last warning, and that Iran is waiting for the response from the Israelis. I think it's kind of a similar scenario right after the Soleimani hit. Do you remember

that? There's kind of a measured response strikes on U.S. positions to kind of, you know, to save face, but it wasn't intended to escalate. I think, I'm hoping, that that is what we're saying here. Andy, what about the Houthis? What about the Houthis? Yeah, the Houthis here are not regarded as being a huge threat. Because, yes, they have launched a couple of missiles that have hit Alat, which is the southernmost city in Israel.

It's on the Red Sea. But to date has not really, you know, threatened population centers here. And, you know, I don't know if this is true, but, you know, the IDF or the Israeli security service, I had a dinner with someone last night who told me that he said, look, we're not worried about missiles and drones. As long as his Bala stays out of it, he did say that. He doesn't think his Bala will be involved at this stage. But the main worry, the Israeli's main worry right now is that the airport will be closed down for an indefinite period, right?

And the Israelis are concerned that the economy, their economy, you know, obviously would suffer badly. I mean, essentially, that would put the country under siege. Yes, Israel has two major ports, but, you know, so much comes through the airport to include, as you know, all the munitions that the United States and has been providing for Operation Swords of Iron. So that is a big concern and frankly not one that had occurred to me until the conversation last night.

So I'll pause that guys and see if you have any questions. Sorry, there's no more dramatic. I'm not sorry, but you may be that there are no dramatic explosions in the background. No, that's fine. Where are you staying, Andy, if you don't mind saying? I'm staying at a hotel on the on the beach or near the beach it's like a it's a low profile place it's all Israelis here there's no foreigners and I'm not staying like you know in the big strip of four five-star hotels down there well that's more that's more because I'm a cheap scape that's

you know this isn't this isn't a question but Jack said Andy please don't die over there we're not insured for it. Yeah, good point. You know, I, there was never any question the team helps insuring me. I mean, Jason, you know how it is. We've got a fight. Do you remember when, when, you know, we did that podcast there in New York and we had to, yeah, he had to arm wrestle with deed just to share a soda.

Just to get in pizza. Pizza, yeah. I finally relented and got the guy's pizza. On their protest, though. So, U.S., I'm not, you know, you guys are probably tracking the coalition efforts to shoot down drones and, well, just drones so far. I think that's, I think that's pretty interesting. I mean, you know, it's expected. There's some unexpected components. Remember, the Jordanians, it wasn't certain that whether they would counter and use their own system.

to shoot down a rainier drones. Yeah, I think they've knocked out a couple, yeah. Yeah, or even allow the Israelis to do it in their airspace, but they have done some. So, you know, that's, thank God for silver linings, right? Yeah. There's one. What kind of response are we looking at from Israel after this?

Oop, Andy might have froze a little bit. Well, I think, you know, the big question here, is you still see me? We got you now. You broke up for a second. Yeah. So the key question is, you know, I mentioned the airport. Well, of course, I don't want you to think that the IDF or the Israeli security forces are not concerned about civilian casualties. Of course, they are.

I'm just saying that they're worried. You know, there is concern about mass casualty events, of course. but people here are not going crazy. It's a very similar attitude as it was in Kiev. And one of the beauties of the air defense system that was not there in Kiev is that it's very time management friendly. So in other words, it doesn't, you know, when the alarms goes off, it means no shit. There is something heading for your, you know, your neck of the woods, right? But when Jerusalem gets hit, the alarms don't go off here in Tel Aviv.

And even when, you know, depending what the, depending what's coming in. So we, you know, we won't hear alarms here in Tel Aviv unless the, you know, the various systems have determined that there is something hitting right here. And I believe actually within Tel Aviv they can get as good as neighborhoods. But you've got to be careful doing that, right? When you're talking about something like Ashahed. But, you know, the last piece is this isn't more of the same for the Israelis. You know, I mean, rockets and missiles from Gaza or even Hezbollah, it's a different ballgame from a mass strike involving drones and potentially ballistic missiles and potentially cruise missiles all at once.

And if that is what occurs, I mean, either this strike or subsequent strikes, yeah, that's a watershed moment. Now, getting back to your point, though, Dee, the Israeli response is going to depend on one thing, and that is civilian casualties. All right. There is, you know, as we've seen in the aftermath of 7 October, there is a very, very deeply buried in the national psyche, and this goes way back. And I don't think anyone here would argue with it is the sanctity of, you know, of life, of Israeli life.

And so, you know, and there's historical reasons. all of this. It's not a comment. I'm not making a comment except that's a that's a pillarstone of of this how this country conducts foreign policy in many ways and hence the big prisoner swaps where two or three Israelis will be traded for several thousand, you know, detainees, Palestinian detainees. And so where I'm heading on this is I couldn't tell you that there is a casualty figure above which, at which or above which, the Israelis will, you know, really go to war. You know, I don't know.

I don't even know what their red line is, but when I can tell you is that they do have a red line, I'm sure. And number two is I'm pretty sure that it is gauged in terms of civilian casualties because that is what matters most to them. I'm not saying the U.S. government doesn't care about us, but it's a very, it's a very, it's a very prominent aspect of, um, of U.S. foreign policy. I mean, Israeli foreign policy, which is why seven October, uh, was, was such a traumatic event to them. Because that's, that social contract, uh, that Israel as a nation made with his citizens at its birth in

1948 in the aftermath of the Holocaust was based on, you know, this is your refuge and no one can touch you here. So violations of that refuge and violations that result in spilled Jewish blood are taken very, very seriously. So Andy, you were talking about the sirens going off and all that. The last time you're out in the streets, what's the atmosphere like? Like, is it, is it empathy or? Well, the streets are, so, today was Shabbat and it's normally a little bit quieter, but things always pick up in the afternoon on the beach. I went for a run on the beach and actually life was going on as normal. You know, I know from France here in Tel Aviv and France, particularly with children, there

is a lot of noticeness. And, you know, what you see on the beach are kind of a young crowd who are like, what the fuck, you know, they don't really, they don't understand maybe or they just, you know, they're young. But yes, yes, there's considerable concern. And it's not just about the strikes. There's considerable concern about just the future, you know, the future of the state. And even if it isn't a concern, you know, even if it isn't as blatant as, oh, I'm afraid for my life, it's economic security for the reasons that I've described. And, you know, a French guy told me today that a quarter of the population, almost a quarter of the population, has left Israel since 7 October.

I don't know if that's true. I haven't had a chance to. But certainly that there has been a significant number of people who have left. And I'm sure this event will add to it. You know, and there are a lot of Israelis have all citizenship. You know, so it's quite easy for a lot of them to leave. But a lot of them don't. You know, and they, this is, they don't have that option.

Easy to get. Gotcha. Yeah, I'm hoping while every majority, people have their eyes of the sky with this whole thing that somebody's at least keeping their eyes on the ground because, you know, just cross-border stuff, even if it's intermittent or small-scale, it's still a possibility. Yeah, that I'm no, absolutely right, Jason. So Hizbola announced, not announced, but like the Hizbola Watchers announced last night that Hesbola was planning ground attacks across the border. You know, who knows.

where they're, but that's, you know, that that would not be completely surprising. I just think that, I just think that Nasrallah is, he's either been told, I'm sure he's been told, I'm sure he's got clear instructions. So I don't think it's him to say, yeah, maybe I'll join in on this one. He's been told when to join in or when not to join in, I'm sure. And I'm pretty sure this, this is not the time, his time. We got a question from the chat. How has the Iranian oil industry not become a target to try and back down the Iranians?

Yeah, that's a great question. Who says it isn't a target to the Israelis? Well, I guess they will say this. Why haven't they hit it yet? It's a great, yeah, it's a great question. So I think the answer lies in the rules of the game, right? And the problem about the oil industry, oh, hey, let me just say one other thing. The Israelis expect a massive cyber attack too, and that hasn't happened yet.

So we talk about combined arms and we're talking about penetrating adversaries, IADs space and using combined arms. This is what it is. You know, I mean, you use all these types of flying projectiles, unmaned flying projectiles, and then you throw in proxies and then you throw in a nice cyber attack, right? Just at the last minute, that would be a pretty damaging attack

because some missiles are bound to get through but I don't think that will happen until subsequent shots. The oil industry, back to that. Well, there is, I'm sure the US has, both US and is Israel separately have plans to go after Iran's oil production and oil refinery capability.

And for the U.S., I would imagine that that begins by disabling platforms, offshore platforms, because it doesn't carry quite the same gravitas as if they're in Iran itself. Why hasn't Israel done that? Maybe because, I don't know, I would be speculating. But when you start striking targets in waters, you're not even in international waters, then again, you're kind of perhaps opening things up. I will say this, yeah, Israel definitely has plans to go after oil pipelines in Iran as part of conventional conflict and has a particular method of doing so that doesn't necessarily rely on long-range missiles. Okay, let me just leave it there. But yeah, that's a great question.

And the answer is yes, there are plans too. They just haven't happened yet. So, Musad, massaring. I mean, I can see the U.S. doing something to oil platforms. If, you know, as a form of what we call a flexible, I'm sorry. I'm going to get here. FDO. Flexible deterrent option.

and what time what time is it there andy too uh it's like two yeah it's 240 men oh my god um you're doing no good for my beauty sleep i mean the interesting thing that i haven't heard of is like how um this is kind of like shifting the focus from the disaster that is gaza to now like kind of stayed on state stuff it's interesting how like that word works. Yeah. There's been a lot of comments about that, that actually this doesn't really play in Iran's favor because everything was going Iran's way. When Israel, you know, when the Gaza operation was going on, you had the Israelis killing Sunnis, massive amounts of Sunnis and turning the Islamic world against them while Hisbalah was able to. able to plink, you know, away and just added to confusion. And Iran was untouched. So if you were, if you think through this, hitting, hitting those three dudes, you know, the three kids

force guys in Damascus was arguably geopolitically a really inspired move. Because look at the world now. Gaza, you know, Gaza's forgotten about. The new cycles moved on. And now it's his, it's his under attack by Iran, and you've got the country, you know, you've got five countries scrambling air defense systems and jets to protect Israel. So, you know, Israel's gone from being angry Goliath to brave David, you know, in the eyes of many. So, and Iran did that. So it doesn't, you know, I mean, it's curious, isn't it?

you sometimes just like we do not do a good job when sometimes as we talked about this when we we try we try to predict adversary actions based on pressure that we bring you know whether it's deception or sanctions but the problem is we mirror image what is valuable to us as being valuable to our adversary and that doesn't always work and i think the iranians may be you know struggling with some of the same thing they they just they do may they do some things very well But swaying public opinion across, you know, globally may not be it. You know, I think what has happened since 7 October has been the effect of what's happened in Gaza, what the Israelis have been doing in Gaza.

It hasn't been, Iran has been able to stir up this anger, right? Because they are very, they're very cack-handed when it comes to strategic communication. So I'm getting reports as a, I'll say, I'll say. you this one. I just got sent a picture of a missile hitting the Negev. Yeah, I've been seeing those two. Is that where the airport is? Begorian? Well, no, but these aren't near the airport. Okay. So if they are, they are planned to hit the Negev, then that's playing within the rules of the game, right? You look at a map of Israel. The Negev is the one, you know, outstanding. I mean, it's not the only one, but it's, but the Negev desert is.

the most vastly populated part aside from well actually that's part of the negative team the drive down to a lap so if they're all focused on hitting the negov then everyone says face Hezbollah goes back to sleep for a while

and the new cycle moves on Israel Israel you know sense kind of a slap pant retaliation and life goes on. Best case scenario, right?

That would be good. I'm seeing videos like shots of like Jerusalem and like, I guess the Iron Dome hitting drones or whatever they're hitting. I don't even know. But there's anti-aircraft, ain't they whatever going on in Jerusalem. And they're showing a picture of like, I guess the temple mount, I guess. It's pretty wild. I mean, it's.

crazy what two days does. It really, like, or five days, the difference five days makes. What do you mean? In terms of, like, yeah, Israel was a pariah for a bit. And now, like, they're, you know, everyone. Oh, yeah, yeah. Yeah, that's, I mean, and so much has happened, is happening politically on the ground as far as the, and also plans for a deliria of aid.

A lot to, you know, a lot to catch up on. in the last few days. So, guys, I know, you know, this will probably be going on for days. Yeah. But it's good. Yeah. I mean, this is just kind of an initial update. I'm glad you were down to do this.

This is great. Yeah, we appreciate it, man. Stay safe. Keep your head down. Absolutely. Oh, I'm going to put my head down right now. All that, guys. Take care.

Thank you, everybody for hopping on. Take care. Yeah, everybody. before we totally go, Andy, go ahead, go to bed. Like, subscribe. If you're listening to us on audio, rate and review it, patreon.com slash a team house. If you can't spare any money,

the best thing you can do is like and subscribe, tell your friend about it. Andy, thanks again. Thanks again. Bye guys. Brother, later. Later. Later, man.

All right, guys. Later, Jay. Appreciate it. If anything significant comes up and I don't see your message, call me. Okay. And I'll hop back on. All right, cool.

All right, man. Later. Later, Jason. All right, guys. That's it. I appreciate it. Thanks for jumping on. Short short notice.

I've never gone live on Zoom before, so I don't know how to freaking stop it. Okay, I got it. It says stop live stream. Patreon.com slash the team house. Like and subscribe. It's very important. We appreciate it. We'll try and get as many updates as we can from Andy.

As long as he's, you know, for as long as he's in Israel. And, yeah, we appreciate.