The Team House - Russian Intelligence's Sabotage Campaign | EYES ON | Ep. 23

Episode Date: May 15, 2024

Support the show here:https://www.patreon.com/TheTeamHouseToday the guys talk about the $60 billion aid package heading to Ukraine, we also talk about Russian sabotage campaign happening against the European supply chains, Putin firing Shoigu and Iran's nuclear program.Find Andy here:Twitterhttps://twitter.com/i/flow/login?redirect_after_login=%2Fandymilburn8LinkedInhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewmilburn2023Substackhttps://amilburn.substack.com/Andy's bookhttps://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations/dp/1526750554Team House socials https://www.instagram.com/the.team.house/https://twitter.com/theteamhousepod?lang=en#russia #ukraine  Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-team-house--5960890/support.

Hey, guys, it's Jack. I just wanted to talk to you today about a way that you can help support the podcast if you're not already. To support the channel is to become a Patreon member. So we have Patreon memberships that start at just $5 a month. And when you sign up, you get access to all of our episodes ad free. That's the big bonus for that. I mean, we also do some Patreon bonus episodes for our subscribers. But this is the biggest and best way that you can support the Team House. channel and podcast if you'd like to, and we really appreciate that. So go and check us out at patreon.com slash the team house. Hello, everyone. Welcome to another episode of Aizan. I'm Andy Milderne. I'm Jason Lyons. I'm Dimitri Contacos.

And we have, by the way, we're jumping right into this now because viewers said they didn't want to hear from us. It's not the introductions. We're going to jump right in. to the grist of our show lots of stuff happening in the world we suspect that perhaps audience may be getting Gaza fatigue I'm going to be attacked for saying that right like our audience is getting because of the guysans yeah but anyway we're a different topic okay um hey wait uh you guys remind me of the just the details of the bill that is passing not

not a lot of detail. It's just what's, you know, what's the catalysts right now for getting things moving again in Ukraine? Fantastic question. Hold on. Yeah, exactly.

Yeah. I think $6 billion bill. 60 bill. Yeah. 60 billion. Yeah. 60 billion. And that is,

you know, that's going to pass. Of course, what has happened over the last four months. and we're not getting into bipartisan discussion, but munitions have, there's been a delay, hold up a cessation in delivering munitions across the board to Ukraine. That's U.S. munitions.

And it has had a pretty serious effect, you know, at the pointed end and has allowed the Russians to gather momentum, arguably, for the offensive that they seem about to launch now. I think that's probably the fairest way to put this, and it's, you know, it's irrefutable. So what we have right now is in, Dee, I don't know. Actually, I send you a graphic you can post if you so wish in the chat. I think it's kind of useful to look at a map.

But you've got the Russians amassing 50,000 guys, right? Not a huge amount, but that's enough for, you know, operational reserve a breakout force, certainly, which is what has been missing. to this point with both sides have missed. And they're massing those troops opposite Ukrainian lines in Kharkiv, which is in the northeastern part of the country. It's really the northern boundary of Donbass. And it's essentially been under siege. Okay, it looks like they are going to make a determined effort to take Kharkiv. In order to do so, they've got to capture five towns to the north and east of Kharkiv,

all of which, sadly, I'm very familiar with. The Ukrainians, now there's a lot, there's a lot at stake here because Ukrainians actually had their early morning picket system, one of the endpoints of the early morning picket system for air defense up there outside a town called Konstantivka, where I spent a good deal of time. It's about a 250 million unit.

But you see what I'm saying. If you imagine just, you know, I use the term picket line of early warning systems as the Russians now also are making a determined effort to destroy Ukrainian infrastructure and are being remarkably more successful than they have been previously massive use of glide bombs in particular. So anyway, the Russians are asking to take these five towns. if they do it's serious not only do they now knock out part of ukraine's early morning system um but more importantly they they threaten a major city car kev and once and uh you know can isolate car kev from kirk so it's a big deal um any any hey guys any i you know pause that for a moment

i will get into some of the other strange shit happening um there uh on the russian side but any any comments questions i know i just kind of going on a little bit. No, it's great. I mean, I'm looking into like what's in the, like, what do you get for 60, almost 61 billion? It's obviously more attack. I'm assuming it's more artillery shells. High Mars launch vehicles.

Yeah. Well, the biggest, the biggest concern short term are artillery shells. Okay. And, and, so there's a, so there's a quote from a guy, actually, I don't know him, but I have met his ex-o. He's with the 96th division, which is a very good division, but it's been involved in some of the thickest fighting. And the command is a guy named Colonel Fedosenko,

who's an extraordinary warrior being wounded many times. And, you know, he's optimistic about the long term. You know, he thinks they can fight off the Russians. But he's quoted as saying that it's very interesting. are now attacking. They were attacking, get this, every two to three hours over the last few days using armored vehicles and tanks. Can you imagine? Can you imagine being in your trench facing just day and night, two or three hours, these mass attacks? And, you know, according to Tomasenko, I'm sorry, Fedosenko, they've run out of ammunition several times. In his words, they've been

fighting with spades when the Russians make it to their trenches. I don't you know who knows if that's true or not but is his guys I can envision them doing that you know there's some tough mofos and these guys have been fighting since near the beginning. You know he's but he's not he's not whining. He's just saying hey we you know my brigade or rather the regiment has been down to in support five shells a day for their pallet and how it says you know and he says what can't I do with this number of shells. But, you know, they, a huge, great jubilation in the front lines about news of this stuff coming through, but it's going to take weeks, maybe months to reach front lines.

In the meantime, hey, here's an interesting point for you. So reports from, there's two units defending Kharkiv on the Ukrainian side, the 92nd division, and then a brigade called the Krakhan Brigade. It's actually really a battalion-sized unit. And they have a reputation for being very tough fighters. The Russians accused them of atrocities and war crimes. But there's no doubt about it. They're a solid infantry unit.

And they've been placed there in Kharkiv in preparation for the attack. On the Russian side, and here's where there's some hope. you know, Ukrainian intelligence reports say that some 70% of Russian soldiers in these assaults are former convex. 17%. But they're also seeing mercenaries, Tajik, Uzbek, Turkmen, you know, those, but also Cubans and even Somalis, right? You know, I mean, piracy is not a good business now, so we must well pick up an AK and go to the frozen north at summertime. You know, they can make it back to Somalia when it gets really frigid up there in Donbas. You know, and also intelligence reports say that, you know, for the guys who are not convex and mercenaries,

they're mostly former cooks, you know, mechanics, guys who came into the military to do things other than carry a weapon and fire. It suggests the Russians are, of course, still having manpower problems. But nevertheless, they've got this operational reserve. So their plan is to launch just these continuous heavy casualty assaults using their convict cannon fodder and then use this exploitation force when they've worn the Ukrainians down. The question is how can the Ukrainians hold out long enough before all these munitions arrive? My bet would be to say yes, but that's not the issue at this point. The issue is one year ago, we were talking about, as the Ukrainian offense had kicked off, we were talking about worst cases.

scenario that they would have to defend, that they would defend hold their own line, right? That was the worst case. Well, now that's the best case as the Russians begin their assault. And, you know, it's a tough time in Ukraine. Those who are still there will tell you that, you know, all the cities are being hit. I mean, as hard or harder than previous times, but with weapons that are making it through the air defense systems. And such as a combination of glide bombs, drones, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles, as we talked about, that's a really tough air defense proposition. Now, I have a bit of a breakdown of like the $60.7 billion.

23 billion would be used by the U.S. to replenish its military. stockpiles opening the door to future U.S. transfers to Ukraine. So I'm assuming that's artillery shells, a lot of it. There's probably attack them to. Another $14 billion will go to the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative, in which the Pentagon buys advanced new weapon systems for the Ukraine military directly from U.S. defense contractors. There's also more than $11 billion to fund the current U.S. military operations in the region

enhancing the capabilities of the Ukrainian military and fostering intelligence cooperation and about $8 billion in non-military assistance. Okay, so when you pay all that down roughly 14 million, so roughly what, one-fifth of the total, is actually going to the guys in the front line. You know, a lot of that other stuff, you know, the strange thing is that the opposition to this Ukrainian bill

hasn't really looked or doesn't care what it's all about. You know, we noticed that, I'm going to think I want to mute the moment because Richie's going eb shit. But we noticed there that a chunk of that money went to U.S. troops in order to train Ukrainians, you know, infrastructure, facilities, all of that stuff. So it's not even, it's directly benefiting our own guys. And yet still was opposed. You know, I mean, this is just effing absurd.

Now, you know, you know, know, so getting back to the 92nd commander, hold it, there's something he said that I've just got to read because he said, we can either fight for Ukraine against Russia now, or we will be overrun and force the fight for Russia against Europe. So he's like very pragmatic. But his point is, look, this sense of urgency and existential threat, it needs to permeate whole of Ukrainian society. And a lot of people, you know, some half a million young men have left the country to avoid military service. So this is kind of a message, hey, you better come back to you to defend your country or there may not be a country.

to defend. Yeah, we're sitting here thinking about when you were talking about the breakdown that 17% and what they're made up of. I wonder what Russia's home front troops look like, the ones they didn't send, which speaks to the question of a lot of people are talking about, you know, what's after Ukraine, you know, would they move against the rest of Europe, that sort of thing? Would they even have the capability to?

the manpower to. I'd be curious to see what their home from troops look like. Yeah, that's a really good point, Jason. I would, you know, does Russia have sufficient manpower to confront NATO in a, you know, slogfest? No, absolutely not. Absolutely not. But to your point, it's a great point. Yeah, the Russians have not put all of their best troops in the right. Well, let me put it this way. Some very, the considered elite, some of the elite units around that are based around Moscow or in that region have not deployed at all to Ukraine. But I think that's more from a personal protection concerns, but also because, you know, you start sending muscovites to die in droves. Well,

that's near home, right? Whereas if you send guys from, you know, the distant republics, former distant republics it doesn't never it doesn't really filter to the power center right um but there's something else so right but russia does it russia believes it's at war now with nado uh but it's not going you know it's not unlikely to confront it tank for tank artillery for artillery um i think i i i think why a really concerning area is um you know not the use of proxies but not like we'd seen, but the use of proxies such as saboteurs, fict columnists throughout Europe. And if that sounds paranoid,

there had been a spate of sabotage attacks across Europe attributed to the Russians in the last two or three months. There was a factory was burned in Berlin. Or, I mean, a fire broke out. It was put out, I believe, before it was, you know, it caused serious damage. The deal metal factory, right? Yeah, yeah, that's exactly right.

So it manufactures projectiles for the iris anti-defense system, which is a very effective system of the German supply. So that looks suspicious. And in April, there were a couple of Russian sabbaters were detained in Germany, the German Russian dual nationals in April. okay and this didn't make the news here i thought it would make big news uh on suspicion applauding attacks on u.s military facilities in germany on behalf of the g r u.s. now the germans have released that information so they obviously these guys you know they've attributed that they've connected them

with the g iu so they're not just kind of lone wolf hey we like russia they they've been directed and provided supplies and everything to do this these are acts of war right maybe it doesn't make the news because NATO doesn't want to acknowledge publicly that Russia is attacking it, right? That makes it a little difficult. And then in Poland, there was the Polish police arrested a guy who was passing the GRU information on, I'm going to mispronounce it. Yeah, that's a tough. So Resesso Airport, right, where, which is the, I believe still the headquarter. quarters of whatever they're calling that unit there in Poland, the eastern flank, some traumatic

name NATO uses. You know, here it's the most important hub for military aid to Ukraine. So it's a big logistics joke point, I'm assuming, if they hit it and took it out. Yeah, yeah. Very much some. But they, I mean, and that, we talk about potential civilian casualties, you know, attack on a factory at nights, one thing, but attack on a major. The airport is, you know, is another.

So those guys were accused of belonging to the Wagner group, which suggests, of course, the Wagner group may be in play here, you know? I mean, why not? What do you do with these guys now when you don't want to mask them together, right? Because they do bad things like advanced on Moscow. So you launched them in little groups to do these things where they achieve strategic effect, but you have plausible deniability. The Wagner group?

fuck no we don't have anything to do with those guys they just tried to kill the boss are you crazy you know um so it's very clever i mean this is nothing new uh you know in in 2014 when the russians uh did the you know the crimea gig and um and and the initial invasion to donbas uh there were they blew up a a factory in belgium an arms factory that was supplying of the ukrainians um so European, I mean, European into not NATO, but European intelligence organizations are saying that this looks like an active, new active measure campaign. They're using that and rather active measures often, it doesn't matter. But yes, a campaign of sabotage combined with cyber attacks that have also stepped up.

And when you think about it, you know, the spooks that we bring on this show like Jason, like Mark, like Mick, you know, will tell you that an operation like this, a COVID operation, you don't throw together in a few days. It takes months, right? I mean, Jason, what will you say to infiltrate and find all this? Yeah, it's definitely not something you, you know, just say, hey, you guys off the streets, this is what you're going to do. These are people you have in place already, especially those, you know, the German-Russian

nationals. Their faces are seen in the streets. They're, you know, they know the local shop owners, you know, oh, they're good guys, good girls, whatever it is. And they've made the inroads to be able to get close to these places without arousing suspicion. Yeah. It's a very difficult topic, right, from the Germans. They're dealing, you know, essentially with traders. But what do they do? Do they, right, do they, now, hopefully they're paying close attention to anyone with Russian, German. Yeah. But, you know, So there's all this stuff.

So when we talk about Russia kind of taking advantage of this law, taking advantage of its extraordinary, you know, it's focused economy now on industrial production to kind of edge ahead by launching these attacks that are potentially very harmful. I mean, these are terrorist attacks, major ones that are not making the news, perhaps because they're not, I don't know, they're not Islamic-based or, but I think perhaps it's because NATO doesn't want to admit this is happening. I mean, they don't want to inflame, right?

In flame, even tensions even more. Yeah, yeah, I mean, you know, it's, and so these these lunatics who, who try and argue that Ukraine is not a U.S. problem, it's just, you know, I wonder whether they watch the news at all. What do they think is going to happen after Ukraine becomes a Russian vassal or a frozen conflict? Do you think the Russian Putin's going to go, hey, cool, that's awesome. No, he's been validated. It's just the beginning. So, you know, and this guy's saying, hey, yeah, we'll fight the Russians until they make us fight you.

Okay, well, it wasn't that long ago when that was actually happening, right? I mean, you're on the wrong side. So we've lost. we're losing this very this critical critical conflict and and when all the cards were on our side not a single NATO soldier scratched right and and Russia you know Russia's military machine destroyed essentially and let alone Russia Russia you know I want to say a pariah but actually Russia is not Russia is less of a prior than is right now. If you look in the UN Security Council, a block of votes, you know, countries that do not vote against Russia, it's a huge number. Most of the Middle East, most of Africa, most of Asia, you know, it's only within Europe that Russia is a pariah. That's something we forget, that this isolation. And Iran, too, is in the same boat. You know, the sanctions are becoming

increasingly less effective as as Iran opens up, you know, import lines, well, it expands its important lines of everything that it will not, or most things that it needs, weapons components. In return for oil to Russia, you know, it's just a match made in hell. It's working for them. I mean, it's not all like sunshine and rainbows for Russia. They just fired Shoegu. Yeah. Or they reassigned them, reassigned them, quote unquote. Well, to be clear, yeah, Russia's in shit state. I'm talking about the Russian, you know, Putin and his cronies who.

Yeah. But yeah, it's so very interesting. I'm not a criminologist, but I think a key part of this is this doesn't have, this isn't going to have any positive effect for us, the West, okay? Shogu was a bit of a There's a bit of a nabby, pambi, you know, he's kind of the kid who always wants to, not the kid, but the person always wants to be involved in something

but doesn't really add value to it, right? Yes, I know, I know most officers fit that category. But, you know, the point is he's supposed to be defense minister. Putin was getting pissed off with him because he kept interfering with the operations itself. because everyone thought they could do something better, which is, you know, it's hard to imagine doing things worse. But, you know, so this new guy and I somewhere, do you have his name?

He's Andre Belousev. Yeah. Blasov, yeah. So the key thing is he's an economist, right? I mean, remember what I said about the economy now is driving the, you know, the war effort and the Russians are being, you know, quite efficient with that. So I think that's yet another sign where emphasis is going to go. The Russians are going to continue to churn out artillery shells that allows them to fire.

You know, estimates vary daily, but many, many times, many times where the Ukrainians can fire. Look, even when the Ukrainians were getting everything they needed, they were firing 6,000, shells a day to the Russians 50,000. So, you know, there's always been an imbalance. I can tell you that from personal experience. They were just fucking launching. I mean, unbelievable.

You know, it just seemed at the time, even, you know, two years ago, that they would run out. But of course, they haven't. Hey, so the other thing, uh hey do before we move up russian then they anything else guys russia of ukraine we haven't talked about it for a while but i think we brought everyone up

today i mean i feel like there's a bit of uh jay mentioned it too like there's a bit of like a narrative going around that like rush is gearing up for a war with nato a direct conflict or at least going into like estonia lapia lithuania something like that i mean can they really Like Jay said, I mean, we talked about it. Like, I can't see them really pulling that off. I mean, maybe cutting through those three countries because they're tiny. But, like, they can't. I mean, I can't see it full-fledged kinetic war.

Yeah, I can't see a full-fellaged kinetic war. But I think nor can I see Putin stepping down from what he's trying to do there in the Baltics, which is, first of all, you know, to just. really secure that land corridor to Caligrad and put um baltic and and Polish uh troops there under you know under pressure um and and step one in doing that by the way is taking Carkeith you know I mean this is all this is all potentially connected so I'm what I'm saying is I don't think we'll see we're not going to see an article 5 trigger that's the that's the problem we're going to see the Anna

Kanda steadily close on that Kalingrad corridor and on the Baltics, cyber attacks, sabotage, you know, just ratcheting up the pressure. You see that GPS jamming and spoofing that's like based out of like just outside of St. Petersburg? Yeah. Yeah. And the Russians, as I've said before on this show, are their world leaders when it comes to electronic warfare.

You know, I'm not talking about signals, intelligence specifically. they're very good at that, but they're not world leaders, but they are when it comes to things like jamming and spoofing. Just as far as skill and mass, they use it as a fall-on weapon system, in a way, in combined arms, in a way that we in the U.S. do not do because we just don't have the competence, although, I mean, I know it seems strange to say that, but we don't. We don't integrate it at that level. But what we do is we sit here and we criticize the Russians for their shitty infantry, because we think that infantry are the B.O. and Nendor, well, of course they are. But my point is that we're missing the point here, that the Russians are more than mitigating for their, you know,

the deficiencies in combat units and training and all that shit. By having just well-dicts, class electronic warfare, which is really far more useful when it comes to operations in the grade zone. So the Baltic states, Poland in particular, need to watch out. And they know it. So on that happy note. Yeah. The last bit, there were some reports, a couple members of the Iranian parliament or whatever you want to call it there talking about how Iran is already a nuclear power and has a weapon or is about to have a weapon. They're unconfirmed reports, obviously. I mean, I think on Fox News, they had somebody talking about it.

That's kind of crazy. It's, yeah, that's actually, that's actually really worrying because something else happened in May. Do you remember that drone strike on that Iran launched baseball back to April? You know, and we, at the time, it was, you know, it was like, the best thing I can describe is, you know, it's kind of like that, that one incident was like these sex life, you know, a lot of, you know, a lot of fanfare, a lot of show, but very little action. It's fair.

Yeah, but, but, you know, what, all is not well. So behind the scenes, you know, as we said, the Iranians were sending a message. I mean, not the Iranians, the Israelis. And don't say same thing like you did last time, because we're almost taken off the air. So the Israelis, they hit Natanz, right, in their counter-counter-strike. And it was intended to be a signal to the Iranians

that, hey, we can penetrate your air defense systems any time. And we know where your centrifugees, is Zah, and we can take them out. That was the message, okay? Well, the Iranians evidently said, well, thanks very much for the heads up. And in May, U.S. intelligence, or I'm sorry, Western intelligence agencies are reporting that they have started to, or that they're building a nuclear facility in the Zagros Mountains. Now, the way I'd describe this isn't quite fair, because the facility is pretty advanced. So they started it before. the Israelis launched their counter-attack.

So it's not, but in any case, it was probably just a reminder to the Iranians that they needed to hurry the fuck up and build this thing. Right, so the Zargos mountains, Zagros mountains. Zagros, Zagros, right? The point here is that the facilities are buried. They've, well, they've dug four entrances

into the mountainside. I think on open source, you can see the satellite photos, but obviously not with this kind of detail. And each is about six meters wide by eight meters high. And then down, deep down within the mountain, or there's kind of a shaft. And then beneath the mountain is a larger kind of hall where Western intelligence thinks that they are installing, have moved or are installing. of their weapon, their centrifuges. So this facility is about 80 to 100 meters deep, right, beneath rock. So the GBU 57 was designed, that's the, what's the massive ordinance penetrator?

That was designed for the facility, the previous one, at Fordow, right? It's 14,000 kilogram bomb, but it may not be effective, say, weaponeering guys against this new facility. The Iranians know, of course, we've had this weapon, and they know it's undoubtedly they know what it does,

and we haven't been secretive about it. So it wouldn't be surprising because they are probably people if they have designed this purposefully to avoid being destroyed by that. So there's an institute for science and international security, kind of like a geek tank and, you know, of former weapons inspectors.

And they're the ones who say that, you know, the centrifuges are probably in there and that they can rapidly now produce enough weapons-grade uranium to make Iran capable of an air. unstoppable nuclear breakout, which means weaponizing, actually weaponizing it. Okay, well, or, no, I'm sorry, it means amassing enough to make a weapon. And then you have to weaponize it, which means obviously putting it on the nose of a missile or in a bomb in such a way that it is stable until it explode and all that shit. All right. So scientists think that part,

the breakout part it can take we'll pay take about just a month and then the part where they weaponize it could be six months to a year so we're not talking about a lot of time from press button to

Iran being Iran having a nuclear weapon of course it you know I mean that may just be one at that stage blah blah blah it doesn't matter it's a thing nuclear weapon right this is concerning right um I don't know I don't know how

interested in audience would be to have one of these weapons inspectors types coming on talking about this, but I think this is a story that we're going to continue to follow. It's kind of important. What's ironic is I was just glancing at the

2024 US intelligence report on Iran that's put out and under WMDs it says Iran is not currently undertaking the key nuclear weapons development activities necessary to produce a testable nuclear device. Oh, okay. When was that?

It came out March 11th of this year. Oh, this year. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, the problem is, and I'm not going to get into the wise and where falls and pros and cons of the Jick Poa. But since the Jick Poa was reversed, we've had no visibility. That's a nuclear deal for everything.

everybody. Yeah, joint comprehensive plan of action. You know, so whatever you think of the deal, it did a couple of things for us. One, it enabled us to monitor. I mean, it gave us a reason, a rationale for weapons inspectors to be in there monitoring this shit, which as Jason will tell you, gives us access in other, you know, other ways to really find out what the fuck's going on. Okay, we lost that by scrapping the Jigpoa. And the other thing is the kind of the carrot and the stick have become weaker and weaker. Iran no longer is so concerned about sanctions. Yeah.

Right. And is no longer concerned about the United States. As, you know, we arguably appear to be less and less effective on the world stage. So that, yeah. In any case, the instance. the International Atomic Energy Agency estimates, right? So it's not Andy Milburn or some rag that Iran can produce enough weapons-grade uranium for a nuclear weapon in just 12 days, all right? Not a month.

I'll say that again, 12 days. I mean, if it has apparently three of these advanced centrifuge cascades, which it does, you know, but if it has them installed now in this new facility, and half of its stock that we know it has, just half of its current stock of 60% enriched uranium, which was the limit set for them. Now, if it does, if it is, if it uses all its stock of highly enriched uranium, it could produce enough for four nuclear weapons is what the IAEA estimates.

I'll say that again, right? Four nuclear weapons, given its current, what they think it has now currently in rich uranium. All right. So in the end in another two months, it can, it all have enough for six weapons. then it will take about six months to test and deploy a bomb or missile, just a very kind of crude delivery system. Actually, not a missile. It'll be a bomb or some side of projectile,

fire from a ship. So the point here is that it's going to be a crude delivery system. They don't have to fuck around, you know, making thing accurate because it's a nuclear weapon. We'll explain why later. And so General Millie testified to Congress in March that they will have a missile-delivered warhead likely in a year or two, right, missile-delivered, little than, you know, the bombs earlier. That is worrying. And again, that's coming from, that's coming from the, you know, former, yeah, former chairman of the Joint Chiefs.

actually I'm sorry he said that last year last year so that's things are worse yeah um so all of which means you know Iran's about to become about to break out and become a fully fledged nuclear i mean a nuclear weapon state all right no it doesn't necessarily mean that but it has the ability to do so um on demand right it's I mean, if you're Iran, why wouldn't you do it at this point? Well, you don't, I mean, I think there's probably more, they've got, yes, absolutely, but they don't want the world to know in the same way that, you know, Israel still is ambiguous about whether or not it has nuclear weapons, even though everyone knows it does.

You know, the Iranians want to play that same game. Yeah. They have more reason to because they are not going to be welcome to the club. Yeah. We couldn't know. No one could have always welcoming Israel. it just happened. Also, what happens when they do get it,

like Saudi Arabia is going to get their nuclear weapon ASAP. That's interesting because... The Crown Prince even said it, like, in an interview, in an English-speaking interview, he's like, we have to get it. Like, if they get it, we're going to get it. Yeah. Well, certainly. I mean, that puts the pressure on the race.

And in the Saudi case, they know they're not going to get it from us, right? So they'll get it from elsewhere. What they do want from us under the terms of the DNL likely defunct ARAP's accord was for the United States to help them build a nuclear industry to include uranium enrichment for energy purposes, right? Right. So you can see in MBS's mind, yeah, I'll get the Americans to help us enrich up to 60%. And then country X can help us, you know, maybe the Russians, who knows, help us go the rest of the world. way. So this has all kinds of alarming repercussions for proliferation, right? But not, you know, aside, Jason, you dug up that one, I think it was Twitter comment

yesterday something, but there isn't a lot of coverage in the news on this. I mean, you've got to dig quite a bit. Yeah. Yeah. And talk to a lot of, not a lot, but, you know, we are some key nerds, right? Everyone's got a pocketful of key nerds who can tell them about uranium. in Richmond. Yeah, it's not a lot being talked about with it. I think there was, yeah, there was something on Fox News. Somebody went on Fox News and said it and there was like a bunch of like Twitter traffic saying, you know, somebody from the inside of the Iranian government said, like an MP or whoever said that, you know, X, Y, Z. But I'm, we're not even looking at Iranian claims. We're looking at what the, the international atomic emergency. You know, I purposefully pitched

everything I said not to sound alarmist, not according to the Israelis, according to what our own experts are finding out, you know, so yeah, it's, it's worrying. And I don't think there's censorship at work here, but it certainly doesn't favor, it doesn't credit anyone to bring this out in the public domain right now, doesn't it? Yeah. In the same way that it doesn't for the Russians to be seen to be attacking NATO already. Right. All right. That was great.

You know, everyone's like, the world's in a shit stage. Yeah. And we will end on a silent note. We've got to start turning. We've got to start ending on a really bright note. I know.

Jokes. Yeah. We'll see. Jokes. Yeah. Team House, eyes on party. Yeah.

Yeah. Bring your own bottle. with live calls, call ins, right? Oh, God, could you imagine? Yeah, no, no, seriously. I mean, I see I read a comments, and I'm thinking, we've got a wealth of talent out there. We need to bring some on board.

No, I mean, interaction, interaction. I think we have thoughts, constructive comments, recommendations, suggestions are very, very welcome. You know, we are certainly, you know, we are tied to our audience probably far more than any other podcasts. We are just your vassals and your vessels. All right. On that note. Like and subscribe.

Check out Andy's book award winning. Please. Links will be in the description. He says desperately. It's really good. Most important thing to help support the show is Patreon.com slash the team house. YouTube is literally, I'm not. not joking when I say this. I know I sound hyperbolic. It is crushing our soul. YouTube money is down

about 70%. It's crazy. On the same amount, same amount of views and watch hours, it's down about 70%. So it's like nuts. What's going on? So Patreon.com slash the team house, please. It's a great point. I mean, I'm a big believer. We're not a big believer. But, you know, I understand the role that tipping plays in our society. But think, you know, think, patron could be as little as what? Five bucks a month. Five bucks a month. Five, you know, five bucks a month, you throw that away, not throw it away.

You give it to the guy who's bagging your groceries. At least I do. I know, I know D, yours varies by a decimal point or two. But, you know, that's, that it's nothing. You don't even notice it. And yet, and yet, you get insights behind the scenes. Yeah, completely add free audio. Yeah, that'll kill your appetite for a long time.

Yeah, add free audio and video. We do do bonus episodes to every once in a while. We'll jump on and just shoot the shit. And you have better access to us. You can message us more directly and we will look at it because you are a supporter. We will look at it. And even the 10% of just file abuse that we receive. You know, when people become supporters, it's a little bit less vile abuse.

No, actually, 10% of our audience just tune in to vile abuse us. Oh, right. Yeah. Because it's the same people every week. Yeah. I'm like, many of them. I'm like, okay, but you like watching the show because you keep coming back. Yeah.

You hate us. Yeah. Which is fine by me, you know. We're not likable.