The Tim Ferriss Show - #111: Should You Start a ’Startup’ or Build a Cash-Flow Business?
Episode Date: October 10, 2015"I should be used as a mercenary, not a lifer." - Tim Ferriss In this episode, we have a change of pace... Expa (@expa) is a startup studio. It was founded by Garrett Camp..., who co-founded Uber. Every once in a blue moon, they put together a night of education. I was invited to participate. In this episode, I discuss the topic of startup design vs. lifestyle design. Some of you may be aware that I've been involved with various startups ranging from Uber to Facebook, Twitter and DuoLingo, and other businesses that have grown to more than 100 million users and customers. Simultaneously, I have written many times about lifestyle design, and I've suggested that it should come before career planning. The question is, how do we reconcile these two different approaches to business? Should you focus on building your muse and creating cash-flow focused business to fuel your ideal lifestyle...or should you swing for the fences and bet it all on a startup that is equity driven? This podcast explores these topics -- and many more -- and aims to answer the questions that I think are under-examined. Show notes and links for this episode can be found at www.fourhourworkweek.com/podcast. This podcast is brought to you by 99Designs, the world’s largest marketplace of graphic designers. Did you know I used 99Designs to rapid prototype the cover for The 4-Hour Body? Here are some of the impressive results. Click this link and get a free $99 upgrade. Give it a test run... This podcast is also brought to you by Wealthfront. Wealthfront is a massively disruptive (in a good way) set-it-and-forget-it investing service, led by technologists from places like Apple and world-famous investors. It has exploded in popularity in the last 2 years, and now has more than $2.5B under management. In fact, some of my good investor friends in Silicon Valley have millions of their own money in Wealthfront. Why? Because you can get services previously limited to the ultra-wealthy and only pay pennies on the dollar for them, and it’s all through smarter software instead of retail locations and bloated sales teams. Check out wealthfront.com/tim, take their risk assessment quiz, which only takes 2-5 minutes, and they’ll show you—for free–exactly the portfolio they’d put you in. If you want to just take their advice and do it yourself, you can. Or, as I would, you can set it and forget it. Well worth a few minutes: wealthfront.com/tim. Mandatory disclaimer: Wealthfront Inc. is an SEC registered Investment Advisor. Investing in securities involves risks, and there is the possibility of losing money. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please visit Wealthfront dot com to read their full disclosure.***If you enjoy the podcast, would you please consider leaving a short review on Apple Podcasts/iTunes? It takes less than 60 seconds, and it really makes a difference in helping to convince hard-to-get guests. I also love reading the reviews!For show notes and past guests, please visit tim.blog/podcast.Sign up for Tim’s email newsletter (“5-Bullet Friday”) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Interested in sponsoring the podcast? Visit tim.blog/sponsor and fill out the form.Discover Tim’s books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss YouTube: youtube.com/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
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Hello, Stoics and Epicureans and everyone in between. This is Tim Ferriss and welcome to And thanks for checking it out. If the spirit moves you.
Hello, Stoics and Epicureans and everyone in between. This is Tim Ferriss, and welcome to another episode of The Tim Ferriss Show, where I usually interview folks and deconstruct how they
do what they do, whether they are chess prodigies, musicians, military strategists, Navy SEALs,
music producers, athletes, you name it. In this particular episode, we have a change
of pace. And this is a recorded session from Learning with Expa. What is Expa? Expa, E-X-P-A.com,
you can check it out. Co-founded by, among other people, the co-founder of Uber, is a startup
studio. And they have a very unique approach
to building startups. And I am involved as an investor and advisor. So every once in a blue
moon, they put together a night of education, a discussion of some type. And I was invited to
participate. I was interviewed by one of the partners of Expo on startup design versus lifestyle
design. So those of you who have perhaps some familiarity with my startup career have been involved with lots of startups ranging from Uber to Facebook to Twitter and many others, Evernote, Duolingo.
So lots of companies that have grown to 100 million plus users or customers.
Simultaneously, of course, I have this other writing portion of my life, which reflects a lot of principles I hold close to my heart, namely that lifestyle design should come before career planning. And I think that
reconciling those two, i.e. should you focus on muses, which is described in the book,
and I describe it in this conversation, or cashflow driven businesses, right? Business
in the very traditional sense to fuel an ideal lifestyle
and many other things, or should you focus on swinging for the fences and betting it all on
a startup that is really equity driven? And this presents many, many different topics and questions
for conversation that I think are under examined, that really important to look at not only in Silicon Valley,
but well outside of that.
And I hope this applies to many,
many of you listening,
uh,
and certainly check out expo.
So expo.com and you can check out their Twitter handles and what not.
It is a fascinating organization.
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week. That's the idea anyway. And without further ado, please enjoy this conversation on lifestyle design versus startup design and all of the inherent conflicts and existential dilemmas that many entrepreneurs face.
Thanks for listening.
All right, so let's get started here.
So as you know, Tim has a really great background.
He's participated in all parts of the ecosystem from building to giving tips to people who are builders.
So he has a great perspective, and we're going to go through a bunch of different things today.
Hopefully we get off track because I think Tim's off track is actually the most interesting.
So let's start with something.
You guys saw that he invested in a lot of great names.
So you invest in Twitter.
You invested in Uber.
Can you tell us a little bit about how you picked these companies?
I can.
And I can also explain how I got started in angel investing, which I think is very much related.
So I began angel investing in 2007.
I was having breakfasts and lunches with Mike Maples, Jr., and a very successful angel investor,
now a very successful VC investor, now very successful
VC at Floodgate. And the four-hour work week had just come out and was, as some people know,
rejected 27 times or whatever it was by publishers, came out and then sat on the bestseller list for
four and a half years straight. And his questions were related to his portfolio companies and marketing, PR, launch strategy, customer acquisition.
And my questions were about the deal structure of those angel investments, why he chose company A instead of company B.
And we'd known each other for quite some time separately on a sort of physical training level.
And over time, as I became more and more fascinated by the startup world, which I was
completely unfamiliar with, it was very alien to me, the venture backed world.
I asked him if I could co-invest alongside him in a few deals to test my risk tolerance and to see
if I could actually add value to these companies. And the decision was made because I'd fantasized
about going to Stanford Business School for a very long time.
Went to school on the East Coast, always felt like I was sort of intended to go to Stanford, didn't make it.
And realized after several attempts to go to Stanford Business School, got pretty far through the process and then got disillusioned after having very theoretical classes thrown at me during tours,
that I should create a real
world MBA for myself instead,
since I would have paid 120 grand for Stanford business school over two years,
which is sunk cost.
And then you hope to make it back later,
given the things that you learn,
the network that you build.
I was like,
well,
what if I just created $120,000 Tim Ferriss fund over two years,
invested,
assumed that I would lose it all sunk cost,
but that the network I built and the lessons
I learned would be earned back many fold after that period of time. And so I co-invested with
Mike very early on. So in the beginning, I didn't really have a set of criteria. I think that's
something you develop by practicing and figuring out what you're good at, what you're bad at
predicting, what you can
control, and then what advantage you have. So we might come back to this, but I think that
for any type of investing, whether that's in the public markets, bonds, startups,
you name it, commodities, or otherwise, art, you need to have an advantage.
And that can be an informational advantage, which a lot of people in Silicon Valley have
related to startups. It can be a behavioral advantage. I think that, for instance, Warren Buffett can
emotionally detach himself in such a way that he is unmoved by massive market fluctuations or
the acts of the masses. So that's a behavioral advantage. You could have an analytical advantage.
So you might be, say, a Renaissance capital, very interesting hedge fund that just has massive computational and analytical ability. So that could be another one, like people who focus on, say, technical analysis I enjoyed doing, and I've been ridiculed for this by some
VCs, not recently, but when I was getting started, was I'm only going to invest in products that
help me scratch my own itch. So I don't understand many things, but I understand my own set of
problems. And if I have a problem, at least that's a market, a guaranteed market of one.
So I will invest in consumer-facing products that I would use to solve my own problem, at least that's a guaranteed market of one. So I will invest in consumer-facing
products that I would use to solve my own problem, address my own needs. I think wants are more
monetizable than needs oftentimes, but that's separate. And then as I started investing in
more companies, I realized I want to invest in companies that are demonstrating traction.
So they're not using me to create the fire. They're using me to pour gasoline on the fire.
And usually that means going from, say, the 10,000 customer point to a million or 1,000 to
100,000. Because that also overlaps with assets and skill sets that I already have, namely mass customer acquisition.
And a few other criteria for me would include thinking of my portfolio not themed along lines of, say, Twitter-related infrastructure plays or companies that depend on X, right?
Like the uberfication of blah, right?
I'm not investing in 20 companies that are the uberfication of fill in the blank.
But rather, I'm investing in companies where every company I invest in can be helped by
at least two companies already in my portfolio, and they can help at least two companies in
my portfolio.
So I'm creating this overlap, in a sense, like a Mitsubishi in Japan
might, where instead of being vertically integrated as it relates to manufacturing
and distribution and whatnot, it's integrated from a playbook standpoint. So whether that's
launching city by city, whether that's subscription models, whether that's hard goods at retail that
are dealing with, say, home shopping
network opportunities and direct marketing in channels that are not common to Silicon
Valley companies.
I want that type of knowledge transfer to exist.
And that's something you can engineer within the portfolio because that means that even
if a startup fails as an investment, you can still
win by having invested in that company. So you put 25K in, it fails, but that 25K buys you a playbook
that can then be transferred to a company that suddenly pulls one of these kind of hockey stick
inflections. And then I would say other criteria would be listening to my audience. So if you look at, I've trained my audience to know what I am looking for in many different ways and what I find attractive.
So if you look at my portfolio and some of my most successful companies, Shopify, I was the first advisor to Shopify 2009.
They just IPO'd.
That's been a massive win.
And I think it's just at the beginning stages.
Found Shopify through my Twitter audience
while I was revising the four-hour work week
and polling for e-commerce platforms.
Then Evernote, same story,
found Evernote through Twitter by asking my fans
what I should use for X, Y, and Z
and became an advisor in 2009.
Duolingo, found Duolingo.
For no other reason than five or six people happened to be on their beta.
And now Duolingo has 100 million plus users.
So I find that my criteria are very simple.
And when I deviate from that simple, I think simple is very undervalued because there are many people,
whether those are VCs or otherwise, who have to justify their fees and so on by making things seem very complex.
And I think the more variables you have, the more complex your model,
the more likely you are to screw up. And in my case, I keep it extremely simple.
And the challenge is not in coming up with a good thesis. It's in sticking to that thesis because
you don't have to be right very often. I mean, let's just say
that you, let's just say people say, oh, there are 15 kind of unicorn potential companies a year out
of Silicon Valley or the US. You don't even have to get one of those per year. You could get one
every five to 10 years and still make a hundred million dollars. If you play your cards right,
you don't have to be off. You don't have to be right often. You have to avoid fatal mistakes
and bleeding chips.
So it's a lot like poker in that sense.
It's not just betting, but it's getting in, getting out, and then the bet size among other
things.
And so those are a few of the things that I think about when investing.
That was more than I thought.
Just thought I was like a monkey with a blindfold and a dart.
There is some of that too.
He's good. Whenever I do biotech, I get kicked in the nuts by the and a dart. There is some of that too.
He's good.
Whenever I do biotech, I get kicked in the nuts by the universe.
That's the other thing I've learned.
Yeah.
So it goes.
Tim doesn't do biotech.
Unless I really feel a hankering for it. So now that we know that you like investing and you have a point of view on it.
You seem so surprised.
All right.
So I'm going to ask you a question that has to get asked.
You brought this up on the phone.
Are we in a bubble?
Are we in a bubble?
So this is a constant topic of conversation for good reason.
And I think the implicit question is, is there going to be a correction?
Are we going to have a crash?
And the answer is always yes.
I think that investors in particular have short
memories. And just having gone through two of these, the cycles always exist. Now, the question
then is, well, what will crash? How can you mitigate against the damage? The way I'm thinking
about this myself, and I can only speak to my personal experience is number one, my job has become more difficult as an investor and advisor. There is a oversupply of capital
which has brought in fair weather investors and fair weather entrepreneurs, both of which are
very dangerous to each other respectively among others. And when you invest in, say, a dot-com depression,
like a 2001 or even 2009, where people are freaking out after a real estate crash that
then has this contagion across asset classes, you are investing in entrepreneurs who are the
hardcore, the true believers who cannot help but build whatever they're building.
And I think that right now, the noise to signal ratio is so unfavorable for someone like me.
My job has just become more difficult. That doesn't mean there aren't good deals out there.
I think there are some amazing companies, some amazing founders, but a great company with terrible deal structure can be a terrible investment. And I think I'm very good at a simple approach to early stage investing.
And that approach has become very difficult to execute in the current environment.
Uh, I do think that what's, what's hard to grasp for me at least is identifying the tech
companies that would suffer most, Or actually, no, it's
fascinating to look at counter-cyclical examples. What I mean by that is, if you look at, say,
an Uber, and of course, I'm highly biased because I'm an advisor to Uber, but you could look at
Airbnb, same way. If there is a massive public stock market, like a public equities correction,
what could happen? Well, you might have publicly held tech companies that are in that so-called
tech basket that used to be isolated to like petfood.com or Webvan or whatever. But now,
the technology is so ubiquitous and infuses so many sectors that if the stock market crashes, what might happen?
One hypothesis could be that people who lose their jobs are going to need income and they will want the flexibility of working as an Uber driver.
People will not want to put down the down payments and so on and monthly payments for a car.
So if they live in a city, they might opt to use UberX,
for instance. Airbnb, same situation. So I think that there are some companies that you could argue
would do even better in a down equity market. Yeah. I mean, there were companies, if you look
at historically, you have Google, right? That was after the dot-com crash. I mean, while it was
performing Groupon, A lot of these performance
based businesses that do well that way. So I guess let's switch gears a little bit because
clearly you've done a lot of investing. So let me just add one more thing. So I think,
I always assume there's going to be a crash because that keeps me from losing my shirt.
And I am in early stage investing for the long game. I'm going to do this for decades. So I'm
in no rush. So that's the other thing. Coming back to the first question, what do I invest in early stage investing for the long game. I'm going to do this for decades. So I'm in no rush.
So that's the other thing.
Coming back to the first question,
what do I invest in?
I invest in people who'd be happy
to run their companies for 15 years.
Because if they're looking for a two to three year flip,
there are too many things in the macro environment
completely out of anyone's control,
or at least their control,
that could obliterate any type of
acquisition or IPO plans that they have. That's fair. So you started out, obviously,
not just as an investor. That wasn't your first gig. Can you talk to us a little bit about your
first businesses, I think, called Brain Quicken? Brain Quicken, yes. So Brain Quicken, I started out right out of college. My first job was,
I took 32, I still have them, 32 emails to get this job. But I was hoping for something that
was not a sales position, but I ended up in technical sales for a storage area networking
company. So selling mass data storage to movie studios, to National Geographic Survey, I think that's the name of the company, and so on.
So at the time, mass data storage meant 10 terabytes.
Like, whoa, 100 terabytes was just like winning the lottery.
Now you can go to Fry's and buy that for like $700.
But coming up with fiber channel and gigabit Ethernet, network-attached storage, blah, blah, blah.
So we were competing against EMC and NetApp primarily.
That company, I joined that company in 99, 2000.
So the implosion came shortly thereafter,
a year, year and a half later.
And I saw the writing on the wall
with the layers and waves of firings.
I was like, okay,
if they just fired the entire inside sales team,
chances are the outside sales team
is not going to last very long.
So I started this company.
And I remember specifically when it happened
because there was a middle-level sales manager
who came in and he dropped this huge stack,
like 100 pages, just of names and phone numbers.
And he said, start smiling and dialing. And I was like, that's not the smartest way to do this.
And I'm really getting tired of this job. So I started thinking about what I would start.
And coming back to the simplicity of the investing model, I was like, well, what do
I need? What do I want? And what do I spend a disproportionate amount of money on? In other
words, what am I price insensitive to? And I looked at my credit card statements and bank account
statements and it was sports nutrition. It was sports related supplements and pills and potions
and powders. And I had enough background. I was in neuroscience initially at Princeton and kept
studying that even though I transferred to more like language acquisition and whatnot, that I knew what I wanted,
which was a sort of neural focused pre-workout supplement.
So I just went out and tried to find biochemists and so on who would help me
put that together and guilted my,
all of my male coworkers male because women tend to be smart enough not to
spend like a ludicrous amount of their income on pre-workout supplements. So the guy's not true. They'll blow all their cash on it. So I guilted all of them
into like buying the first manufacturing run. And that's how I, that's how I financed the
first manufacturing run. And I also realized pretty quickly being that young at the time,
whatever I was, you know, early twenties that I should not meet people in person. I should do it
all by the via phone because when they met me in person, they're like, you know,
I looked like the Tom Hanks kid in big in the suit.
You know, they're like, who the hell are you?
Why should I take you seriously?
And sort of that company,
I learned quite a few important lessons.
Many of them were a direct result
of not having any outside financing.
It was all bootstrapped.
And I learned about margins,
not only very literal
sort of margins where I'm looking for a 7 to 10x markup, but the importance of a margin of safety.
And there's actually an interesting book called Margin of Safety, which is about value investing
for people who want to invest in other asset classes. I think it's Seth Klarman Bauhaus, the very interesting hedge fund.
But so the margin of safety would include things like buying media.
So I was buying advertising.
This was in like the golden age of Google AdWords
when it was just getting started.
But also I was doing print advertising
and the feedback cycle was so slow
that I might expend a fifth of my entire bank account to buy one ad. And then I had to wait four
months to get the results. So what might you do in such a scenario? Well, I would reach out to
a retailer, let's just say Acme supplement retailer, and I would negotiate. Negotiation
is a lot about timing. So I'd wait until the inventory in a magazine was about to expire,
and I would hit five magazines and I'd say, what do you have left as a remnant space? I will give you one fifth of rate card, right?
And so I would get, say, well, let's just say I get a $10,000 space for $1,000, hypothetically,
right? And then I would call Acme retailer and I'd say, hey, I have a great opportunity. I just
wanted to let you guys know if you're interested. Great. If not, that's fine. I'll call your competitor X. And I just bought
this ad, rate card, $10,000. And if you pre-purchase $2,500 or $5,000 worth of product
at wholesale, I will feature you as the exclusive retailer. So automatically, I have guaranteed that
I will not lose money on that trade per se. And then if I figure out that that works, that initial trade, then I can plow money in.
Capping your downside. If you can cap your downside, you can afford to do many experiments
and the upside will eventually take care of itself if you're formulating good experiments.
So those were some of the things I learned. And I think the meta skill on top of that was
negotiating.
So there are a couple of resources that really helped me.
Secrets of Power Negotiating by Roger.
I think it's Roger Dawson.
Get the audio if you can.
Secrets of Power Negotiating.
Getting past no as opposed to getting to yes.
Getting past no is sort of a more realistic take.
We're both very, very helpful.
But I learned how to negotiate and deal make. And I think that those skills have translated to everything else.
So you brought up an interesting point when you were going through your business.
You said you learned a lot because you were not venture backed. You were bootstrapping that
business. Can you talk a little bit about the advantages or thinking through bootstrap
businesses versus VC backed businesses? Obviously, being in Silicon Valley,
we're all enamored with the VC backed system. Yeah, I think that...
I'll make another book recommendation. Anything You Want by Derek Sivers. in Silicon Valley, we're all enamored with the VC system. Yeah, I think that...
I'll make another book recommendation.
Anything You Want by Derek Sivers.
So Derek Sivers is a really interesting sort of philosopher, king,
programmer,
polymath, who started CD Baby
and then sold it.
Worth checking out. But he views
building a company as your opportunity to create
a utopia, so your ideal version of the world.
And he was bootstrapped until he sold the company.
So I think that they are fundamentally quite different.
The way that you build, although the way you build them may be similar, the philosophy in mind,
if you commit to building a bootstrap company, is different to that of venture-backed.
The similarity is if you want to build a highly scalable business that is different to that of venture-backed. The similarity is,
if you want to build a highly scalable business that produces a lot of cash flow,
you should build it so that you aren't a single point of failure. So in that sense,
if you read a book like Built to Sell by John Worrello or E-Myth Revisited, assuming that
you're going to be 100x the size and putting systems in place will allow you the flexibility to have an ideal lifestyle business. It will also set you up to
sell the company, right? So I think that the build process can be very similar.
The difference is, and this has become very front of mind for me recently because I've had
a friend killed in a freak accident a week ago on Mount Kilimanjaro,
hit by a bunch of rocks, came tumbling down the mountain, dead on the spot.
I think late 20s, early 30s.
Another friend of a friend just died two days ago, freak bike accident.
You are not guaranteed to have a lot of time on this planet.
I mean, there are probably more than a handful of people in this room
who will die from unnatural causes or early death.
You're not all going to die from old age.
I hate to say it.
But I don't mean that to be a downer.
I think this is a very important thing to keep in mind.
And a lot of artists, I think it was in the Renaissance period, would use what's called a memento mori.
They would put a skull or a reminder in their pieces of art that took a long time to create to remind them of the fact that they would die and that they should make the most of every moment. And the reason I bring that up is that I think lifestyle businesses or
lifestyle design is very much present state focused or near term focused. Uh, and that VC
backed can be very longterm focused in a way that people focus on the, what I would call a deferred
life plan. They're like, well, you know, like life sucks. It's going to suck for the next five to 10 years, but then I'll exit hopefully for fill in the blank number that
they've kind of made up and then I will be happy and everything will be great.
And I'm not saying that's wrong, but I think you need to understand the risks in taking that
approach. Do you think that that's necessarily true? I mean, it's a generalism,
but I mean, there's definitely people, for example, who have done VC-backed businesses
that seem ridiculously happy. There are. I would say that they're in the minority,
and I would also say they're the same people that I would invest in during a dot-com depression,
not in a boom cycle. In a boom cycle, you have a lot of folks who are looking at outliers that
they see on the covers of magazines,
and they're not thinking of the survivorship bias, right? They're like, Oh my God, that guy
bet the farm and he did this. And then he sold his company for a hundred million dollars. And
they're like, well, it's kind of like looking at, uh, looking at mutual funds that advertise
in like Barron's. It's like, you're only looking at the two that survived. So you're not reading
about like the tragic stories of failure when people throw caution to the wind and don't mitigate risk in that way.
So I think there are absolutely outliers, but I would just say that the pattern or the vast majority that I see are so fixated on the future that they don't pay attention to, for instance, and there are exceptions we can talk about, a couple of them, taking care of their physical self, right? And even if you're purely interested in cognitive performance, mind and
body, same thing is the best way to think of it. There's no sort of Cartesian duality in that sense
of separation. If you want to perform optimally from a mental standpoint, you need to take care
of the entire system. So that's a great segue into some of the things
that I think you're more known for. You know, the four hour series, you have a number of different
approaches. You are known for life hacking or experimenting. What approaches have you seen
that are successful and, you know, being successful in venture and all these other
businesses? And then I have to ask you, do you actually work four hours a week? I've never been asked that before. I will answer that. So I'll answer that
first just to get it out of the way. So the four-hour question. So the original title of the
book was Drug Dealing for Fun and Profit. And my publisher, which was the tongue-in-cheek name of
the lecture that I gave at Princeton in this
high-tech entrepreneurship class twice a year, because I was the only bootstrapped founder.
They were all venture-backed. But lo and behold, no big surprise, my publisher,
Crown, told me, they're like, you know, Walmart, not big on the drug dealing for fun and profit
title, so you need to change the title. I was like, all right, that's fine.
So I did a bunch of Google AdWords testing
and ended up with the four-hour work week.
Originally, it was the two-hour work week
because that's how much time I was spending
managing Brinkwick at the time.
And they were like, two-hour work week?
That's completely unbelievable.
I was like, four-hour work week?
And they're like, there you go.
Now we're talking.
You guys heard it here first.
Yeah, now we're on the same page.
But the four-hour work week does have a factual basis,
I mean, in like the two to four hours, whatever,
that was spent managing Brink Weekend at the time.
The objective with that book,
and for those of you who read it, you know this,
but the objective is to control
your most valuable non-renewable resource,
which is time,
so you can allocate it in the way that you would like,
to optimize for X,
whatever you happen to be optimizing for.
So if you are,
but if you can,
and put it another way,
it's about optimizing or maximizing your per hour output.
Once you maximize your per hour output,
you can choose to work the same number of hours,
but get five to 10 times more done.
You can work less and spend more time on things that are more important to you, family, whatever it might be, or you can work more. And there are a lot of people I've connected with after four
hour work being for our body, particularly people say in like the highest levels of finance,
we're like, awesome. Now I can work even more and crush my competition. Fantastic.
And that's not a misapplication.
So do I work four hours a week? I mean, I'm in a very fortunate position.
I don't have to, I mean, I don't have to do anything. So I choose to spend time on creating cool things that I think can have an impact of some type. And that's why,
for instance, I feel like I can do that more effectively investing and advising
than I can in starting my own venture-backed company, which I've never done. I have no plans
to do because I'm a terrible, I just really chafe against authority in any way. So it's just,
I don't think I would be good at it. And I don't think I'm a particularly good manager for that
matter either. But in terms of commonalities across, uh, high performing CEOs and founders,
not necessarily the same people, right? The CEOs are not necessarily the founders, but
I would say number one, there are many ways to skin that cat, right? So you can have like a
herb Keller her from Southwest. Who's like, nice guy. I give you a hug, like pat every employee
on the head, or you can have Steve jobs, not the nicest guy in the world. Very effective, but not very effective. And some people
could argue not very happy either. Warren Buffett, same story. He does not have necessarily the best
relationship with his kids. And there's a great book called Making of an American Capitalist,
which is sort of unauthorized, which makes it slightly more interesting in my mind,
which is very, very good about Buffett. But I think that what they have in common
at the core, despite different behaviors, different way of implementing it,
from my perspective, is being effective instead of being efficient. And all I mean by that is they're very good at choosing the highest priority tasks that will render everything
else easier or irrelevant as opposed to just doing a lot of things quickly.
And whenever I find, for instance, a big red flag for me, if you find a founder who has
many, many, many side projects, I've never had one of those work out.
If they have like 15 side projects they're passionate about, they don't know how to pick a lead domino that will help topple all of the others, that will produce a good ROI for themselves, for their employees, for their shareholders, investors, etc.
And I think that I'll give a non-tech example.
So I was just interviewing a few days ago this guy named Jocko Willink.
I imagine probably none of you have heard of him.
J-O-C-K-O Willink, W-I-L-L-I-N-K.
One of the scariest human beings I've ever met in my life.
He entered the Navy SEALs at 170 pounds, now weighs 240, is a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, trains top MMA fighters,
but was also the commander of the most decorated special forces unit in Iraq.
But if you look at what made him very good at what he does, among other things, it was being
able to take something seemingly complex to the people reporting to him, simplify it, and then he
was able to detach himself in a way so that from his
outside perspective, he could identify of these six emergencies what the most critical emergency
was and to tackle that first. And I think that good CEOs have that ability and it just takes
practice. But I think often that's the most important thing is whatever makes everybody
the most uncomfortable. So you talked a little bit about CEOs and founders and you made a subtle distinction and said sometimes a good founder is different than a good CEO.
Can you talk a little bit more about that, what the distinction would be?
Yeah, I think that quite frankly you'd probably be better at answering this or many people in this room.
But not every founding CEO makes a good, say,
growth stage CEO. I mean, there's some people who are just brilliant product developers.
And so one of the green flags instead of a red flag for me is when I find a startup that's
growing quickly without any type of paid acquisition or advertising. And I have,
say, people from my network who reach out to me since I'm public about these investments
to offer them an amazing business development opportunity or a partnership or whatever.
And they say, that's great. Not the best timing. We're just going to focus on product for now.
Perfect. Those companies turn out best for me up to this point. And a lot of CEOs
get pulled from a tactical sort of technician level of crafting product, working on UI, working
on A, B, C, D, and E, and get put into a managerial role as the company expands. And they're just not
good at it. Or they don't like it, which often leads to them not being good at it because they don't want to dedicate their sort of mental resources to it.
So that would be one example. There are many though. I mean, you have that, then you have
different stages, then you have pre-IPO, IPO. All of those stages can require a different
skill set. And it's rare, not impossible, but rare that the founding CEO makes it all the way
or wants to make it all the way to running a public company for X number of years.
So you brought up being happy at a point when you were talking about the habits, when you were talking about lifestyle design.
Steve Jobs.
How do you factor that in?
How do you advise everyone here to think about that? Because I think a lot of people, the characterization of Silicon Valley is work
really hard, kill it 100 hours a week, grind kind of thing. How do you think about that yourself in
your own life? Well, I think that you can kill it and work 100 hours a week and feel a general
sense of well-being. Happiness is a troublesome word. So I actually try to avoid using happiness and
success because I think they're so overused that they tend to not have a clear definition.
So you end up chasing the specter. And that's very dangerous because you realize, say,
five years later that you've been chasing your tail without a clear outcome in mind.
What I would say is that I think the opposite of happiness isn't sadness. It's boredom for most people in this room.
So if you kind of semantically continue that analogy, you'd say, well, if happiness isn't a good word, what's the opposite of boredom?
I should chase that excitement.
So I think if you chase what excites you, that's easier to grasp onto, easier to define.
And the side effect of that is feeling what people would characterize as happy.
So that's how I think about it. And whenever I founder, it's usually because I'm looking at it
a different way. So I would say chase what excites you. And that tends to be the cure-all
for a lot of these other issues. So you talked about good CEOs, good founders, habits.
Are there any folks that you look at and say,
these guys are killing it, they're doing the right thing that people should look out for?
There are many, many people who impress me and every person has their
strengths and weaknesses. I'm very impressed by Mark Andreessen would be one. I think he's just
very good at filtering opportunities and decisions based on his
ability to project into the future and identify things that could be extremely large.
I think he's very, very good at that and has a certain prescient ability.
And as a result of that, he's good at ignoring a lot of noise.
So thinking of not just current market size, but eventual market size, right?
I mean, not to beat a dead horse here, but I think Uber is another great example, right?
It's where it's like people are like, oh my God, the black car industry?
That's only this big, right?
X million people, X, you know, Y million number of rides.
It's like, well, what if the technology significantly expands that market?
And I think that is lost on a lot of people.
They look at current comparables
without looking at how that technology can affect
broadening the market or use cases, right?
So it's like, oh, we thought it was just black cars,
but then there's UberX,
and then there's food delivery,
and now it's this sort of
mesh of logistics that can be laid on top of anything. Other people who impress me, I mentioned
Jocko because I don't want to limit it to tech. I think that unfortunately in every world, whether
that's tech, military, or otherwise, people develop a very narrow evaluation of leadership. And in fact, I think where you can
differentiate yourself and establish those competitive advantages I talked about earlier
is by borrowing from worlds and industries that are completely outside of what is considered
normal. Like the echo chamber here, like as an experiment, ignore tech for a week,
look for leaders who are effective outside of tech and what tactics and strategies you can borrow from them. Because I guarantee you, 99% of the people
you're surrounded by or competing against are not looking at any of those examples.
So I think that you could look at someone like Rick Rubin, for instance, music producer.
And I did a podcast with him. You guys can listen to it, but he's worked with everyone you can imagine.
Johnny Cash, Eminem, Jay-Z, Slipknot.
It's just everybody.
Metallica.
It's an incredible roster,
and he is very good at making calm,
big-picture decisions and guiding artists.
So as an investor, I find that very interesting
because investors are almost
producers in a way. You're taking these raw materials and trying to mold it into something
more effective that can scale more rapidly, et cetera. It's not that dissimilar.
So I think Rick Rubin is a very interesting example. And he chooses, for instance,
to be relatively secluded. So what I've come to realize is you can say yes,
and in many ways you have to say yes to get to a first tier of success in any field.
And at that point, you have to take all these abilities that got you there and basically turn
them on their head to say no to a thousand or a million things so that you can focus.
And I find that very difficult. I still find it difficult. I'm not the worst person at it, but Neil Strauss, who's a seven time New
York times bestselling author, like his, his systems that he's put in place to say no or
completely ignore. So he doesn't even see 99% of the inbound while he's on book deadline is very
impressive to me. And, uh, he was a, and is still a very effective journalist.
And the fact that he can turn out high quality work and doesn't believe in the
existence of writer's block effectively is impressive to me.
And he does that through systems and habits and processes.
It's not magic.
It's not any type of,
of God given talent.
He's trained himself to do that.
So those are a few people who come to mind.
All right, let's open up to some questions.
Kaya can give you the mic.
Just raise your hand.
Ask Tim hard questions.
Yeah, yeah, hard's good.
He's ready.
I'm ready.
I'm warmed up with my gin tonic.
How is your understanding and knowledge of neuroscience
affected how you are writing?
So how is and knowledge of neuroscience affected how you've been writing? for me are still pretty far apart. I think that they will be more directly connected at some point in time. But for now, I'm really just looking at millennia of human behavior and allowing that to
inform how I write more than modern neuroscience. Although I might write about that shortly. I'm
working on some stuff related to some freakish experiments in neuroscience that I would not
inflict on any of you, but I will inflict on myself.
So, for instance, if you want people to use prescriptive information,
how-to information, you have to understand behavioral change.
So I could actually, so let me take that back.
I might not look at sort of anatomical neuroscience,
but I might look at cognitive neuroscience. It's the work of, say, Danny Kahneman or others to identify how habits are developed and how I can avoid sort of cognitive resistance
to certain types of suggestions. But I think behavior, I look at behavioral change and the
science related to that very closely. So if I want someone to say, lose a hundred pounds, you trying to persuade them to
do that with the threat of type two diabetes or cardiovascular disease doesn't work. It very
clearly does not work. But if you're trying to say like, Hey, six pack, your ass look better in
jeans or like, you'll have more sex, this, that, and the other thing. That really works. And so you use, say, changing breakfast, right? You say, don't change anything. Don't start
exercising. I just want you to change breakfast. And then they lose 10 pounds in the first week
or two. And that builds the credibility so that you can then sell them on the next step.
And you never advertise the diabetes or whatnot. That is a side effect of you having used an effective Trojan horse in the
first place. So I think of the sneaky Trojan horse that I can use to get people to do things they
don't want to do when offered sort of conventional reasoning, if that makes sense, right? And
that can be used for just about anything. Language learning can be used for weight loss. It can be used for just about anything. Language learning can be used for weight loss. It can
be used for quitting smoking. You have to use the right incentives. So I would say this,
I wouldn't say this is neuroscience per se, but if you look at, this is in Thinking Fast
and Thinking Slow by Daniel Kahneman, which was recommended to me by Barack Obama. So
that was, I took that book recommendation seriously uh great book uh but looking at
loss aversion versus desire for gain right so how hard will you work to make a hundred dollars
versus losing a hundred dollars or worse yet getting robbed of a hundred dollars well it
turns out that the like if you were to the motivating uh magnitude of, say, losing $100 is only matched by gaining $600.
It's completely disproportionate.
What does that mean?
Use the stick.
In the US, it's like pat on the head, gold ribbon for 13th place or whatever.
But if you want to affect behavioral change in yourself, use punishment.
It really works.
Or humiliation or embarrassment.
Those are really dirty words in the US. It's like,, no Kumbaya, happy, happy. We're all
good. And, uh, that flies in face of the science. So it's like, Oh, you want to lose weight? Like
take a photo of your fat ass from like six perspectives in underwear, give it to your
most merciless friend and be like, if I don't lose 30 pounds by this point in time, this is going on the internet. You will figure it out.
That's good.
I think we got her question.
Anyone else?
Sugar coating it doesn't help. The tall gentleman over there with the beard.
You said that you find it easier to monetize
wants, not needs,
and you kind of pointed at it there.
Can you go a little deeper? Sure. So wants wants not needs, and you kind of pointed at it there. Can you go to the viewer?
Sure.
So wants not needs.
And how do I think about that?
Well, I think what I was just mentioning
ties into it perfectly, right?
People don't need to have their ass look good in jeans,
but for whatever reason,
for whatever human foible and defect,
they will work harder for that than dying 10 years earlier from heart disease.
Humans are just not good at many, many things, including exponential versus linear thinking, long-term versus short-term.
So I think that selling the want is, when in doubt, sell the want, not the need.
Because I think when you say you need this, people also, this is my subjective take on it,
but they are sometimes offended or affronted because that seems very presumptuous,
more so than if you're selling a want.
So that's not hard data, but that's generally how I think about it. And also it's, it's, uh, I think you can assign a higher value to wants in some cases than needs. I know that sounds funny,
but it's, it's, it's more aspirational and more nebulous in a way the market hasn't been set.
The price has not been established for a lot of these wants as opposed to needs.
Um, so that, that would be my general take.
Kaya, who's next?
You could just find the drunkest person and hand them the mic.
I'm just wondering on your podcast,
who can be your top two favorite people you've interviewed and why?
So this is a tricky question.
So favorite podcast guests and why so i will say that the
is background i started the podcast to be a break between book projects it was not intended to be a
thing uh for me and
that is the scratch your own itch ethos that i kind of apply to everything because at least i
know i'll enjoy the conversation even if it falls flat everywhere else which comes back to the like
real world nba investing like even if it fails, what do I gain? And, uh,
so I, this seems like a dodge, but like every guest has served a very specific purpose for me,
like Brene Brown, right? Vulnerability, shame, et cetera. Seems totally out of place, but like I was
dealing with some shit that I wanted to sort out. So Brene Brown, it. And Jocko, this is an amazing name. So Jocko was sort of
brought on the podcast for many reasons, but also because I feel like I'm a manual illiterate. It's
like I use my thumbs for the space bar and that's great. But it's like if I had to fix a car or
build anything, I'm probably a hopeless cause. Or stop someone who's hemorrhaging.
Apply a basic tourniquet.
I wouldn't know how to do it.
And that's become an issue for me.
So hence, Jocko.
I would say that some of my favorites are very close friends of mine.
I'll just put it that way.
Josh Waitzkin, who was the basis for Searching for Bobby Fischer,
considered a chess prodigy but
really as a learning framework that he can apply to anything very soulful guy uh i would characterize
as extremely successful but also very um self-actualized and if we wanted to use happy
although i don't like to i would describe him as a happy guy I would say the people who are very, very highly successful and world-class
in their chosen field, but also who can time out and chill the fuck out and enjoy the small things,
those tend to be the people I gravitate to because I have trouble with the latter part of that.
Rick Rubin would be another example of that. I think Jon Favreau is a good example of that,
the director. Robert Rodriguez, very good at it.
So those would be a few examples,
but I get something out of all of them,
otherwise I wouldn't have them on the show.
All right.
I've had your experience as a solo entrepreneur.
It seems like a lot of it is also a thinly veiled, just straight up without my personal situation.
So I'm working on a side project, and I'm actually starting to really like it,
but the conventional wisdom is that you need a co-founder and a team.
I'm sort of looking for you to talk me out of that,
because I'm sort of just enjoying what I'm doing, and I don't want to start just looking around.
Well, let me dig.
So the question was, I'm a solo founder.
I'm enjoying what I'm doing, but I'm getting a lot of pressure or advice to find a co-founder and follow the Silicon Valley venture-backed script.
I'd say that it depends entirely on what you want the outcome to be.
And I find one year is hard because it's so close.
I like three-year goals and then ratchet that back to sort of next steps within six months.
That's how my mind operates.
But read a book called, I think it's Small Giants or Little Giants by Bo Burlingham.
And it's about companies that
choose to be the best and not the biggest. I think that's a good counter example to the sort of
common recipe used in Silicon Valley. And again, they're not different. It's like you're baking or
making different things. They're just recipes for different outcomes. But I think if you're
enjoying it, if I were to project my experience. But I think if you're enjoying it,
if I were to project my experience, one way to very quickly not enjoy it is to have,
if you say, well, I don't want to get into all this muck, but it's like, if you have a board and then you raise a bunch of money and you lose control of the board or you fuck up your cap
table, blah, blah, blah. It just complicates the purity of
that enjoyment tremendously. I would also say as a solo entrepreneur without those shareholders
and employees to which you do owe a degree of loyalty and so on, you can opt out. You have
the option to hit pause or stop or eject. And I enjoy personally that optionality, right?
So I will invest in venture-backed businesses,
but I am not suited to building one myself. I really don't think I'm in a good position.
I don't have a good temperament for that, right? And it's just like, hey, if you're going to be a
chef, it's different. Being a cook is different than being a baker, right? It's like if you like
to fold your underwear and socks and like everything really orderly, kind of American
psycho style, you're probably a baker. That's me. I'm a baker. And if you're a cook, It's like if you like to fold your underwear and socks and like everything really orderly, kind of American psycho style, you're probably a baker. Like that's me. I'm a baker.
And if you're a cook, it's like, well, like let's try a dash of that and a dash of this and like
taste as we go and like, fuck it. Let's like throw caution to the wind and see what happens.
That's just not my style. I get too stressed out. So you just have to figure out what the best
match for your personality is and what version of utopia you want to create,
which comes back to the Derek Sivers example. And even if you don't want to read the book,
a lot of his material is on Sivers.org, which is fantastic. I really admire him tremendously for his
willingness to not just talk about acting in a contrarian way that is true to himself,
but actually implementing it and sort of shocking cases many, many times.
You're back there.
Hey, Tim. This is Eric Medivis.
The question is, what have you changed
your mind about in the last year or two?
What have I changed my mind about in the last year or two?
That's a great question.
What have I changed my mind about?
The first that
comes to mind, and
feel free to follow up if you'd like, but
it's on a medical front. I was knocked out of commission for about nine months with Lyme disease
and always really wrote it off because I grew up on Long Island where everybody gets Lyme disease,
but I was just destroyed and was operating at like 10% capacity
for a very long time. And I always also distrusted the diagnosis of chronic Lyme, even though it
persisted for that long. And what I've changed my mind about is antibiotics. Now, antibiotics
are very important and have some really key applications but what i've realized
in discussion with people like rob wolf for instance some of you may know that name robb
you can check them out if not very very smart guy works a lot in sort of the crossfit paleo
communities but a very good understanding of biochemistry is that the treatment
causes what you might call iatrogenic problems.
So iatrogenic is a fancy way of saying you go to a hospital
and the medicine or the treatment itself causes additional problems.
So the antibiotics like doxycycline can screw up mitochondrial function.
And if you screw up your mitochondria, guess what?
You start exhibiting symptoms that
seem identical to Lyme disease. But I think that the blame is placed on Lyme, whereas in fact,
I think many cases could be explained by the antibiotics. Now, the way I've addressed that
is by experimenting with diet, specifically ketogenic diet, like
Atkins diet and fasting. Uh, and those, those were the keys. I don't yet know the exact mechanism
that allowed me to return to my previous level of functioning after the antibiotics. Um, so it
wasn't just like probiotics because that was the wrong target. It seems like the probiotics were
the wrong target. It wasn't just destroying the gut biome, which is itself another problem, but it was the mitochondrial function and taking supplements,
whether that's like berberine, for instance, but really focusing on, um, resurrecting that type
of function. So that's something that was a big surprise to me that I've changed my mind on.
Uh, yes, another question. Um, so I started, uh, I started a B2B SaaS company, um, about eight
years ago.
And actually, my company was featured on your blog, actually, as one of the muses that kind of did really well.
And I was able to automate the whole business so I didn't have to work at all.
Pretty much no time at all, really.
And I think one of the things that I always had a lot of questions about what to do after you kind of got to that point um which I always felt like there should have been kind of like a follow-up to the book before we're waiting up like you know what people do when after they get to that situation what next
and I think uh I think one of the things that I've always wondered about is sort of some of
the things that you may have experienced uh let's say like loneliness sure working by yourself uh
but also um you know you mentioned like you you mentioned you don't like the whole
venture back, having a bunch of employees.
Probably because
it ties you down. You have a lot more freedom
when you're by yourself.
I guess I'm curious how you've
thought about
having one...
Let's say Elon Musk
of the world, where they focus on one big problem
versus, let's say, you're of the world, where they kind of focus on one big problem versus let's say if you're interested
in a lot of different things,
how do you think about that?
Yeah, so that's a multi-pronged question, right?
So there's the what next
if you create a lifestyle business.
Then there's the how do I view the more,
scattered as a negative connotation, sort of the
diversely interested entrepreneur versus the solely focused on one big problem entrepreneur.
Uh, and just to address one thing you said, you know, the, the, the observation was that I might
not like venture cap venture backed companies for myself because it ties me down.
Quite frankly, I just don't think I'd be good at it.
So it's not my sport to operate in a managerial role in a company like that.
I just don't think I'd be good at it.
As a mercenary for growth, yeah, I'm really good.
That's my key.
So it's like I should be used as a mercenary, not like a lifer.
I'll chafe. I won't work well in that environment.
But to address the first, so you create a successful Muse business, or what that means is an automated cash flow business.
For me, and again, I come from a very risk-averse family in general.
I view myself as risk-averse, which might come as funny to people,
but I view risk as an irreversible negative outcome. That's how I sort of think of risk.
So I want to satisfy as many levels in Maslow's hierarchy of needs, first from a financial
standpoint, and then I can focus on big problems. So for me, the segue from cash flow
and bootstrap businesses to venture-backed
was perfect because I could try to fuel
and help people who do have the skill set
and the drive to work for a decade or more
to build a company worth 50-plus billion dollars
that affects many, many many hopefully hundreds
of millions of people uh and that is sort of my my archimedes lever is acting as an advisor and
investor right or using my audience uh to help the global literacy x prize right so uh i have
developed these assets that allow me to affect change in these areas
by assisting people who are leading that charge. So that's been my decision. Rather than starting
one of those companies, I would rather use the tools and assets and megaphones that I have to
try to amplify and accelerate 10, 20, 30 of those people. And oh, singular focus versus like diverse interests. Again, I think it comes
down to personality type. I don't have the ability to focus on one thing for a very long period of
time. So what I choose to do is to find a basket of activities that each tie into a meta skill.
So in my particular case, right, whether I'm learning something really esoteric
like Japanese horseback archery
or looking at options, right,
derivatives training,
I will, the approach I take
to trying to deconstruct that skill,
identify top performers
and codify sort of an algorithm or recipe
that each of them are using and test assumptions,
that process is the same across all the skill sets.
So I guess my singular skill
is this development of meta-learning,
the learning of how to learn faster,
but I don't have the patience or wherewithal
to focus on just one thing.
And that's maybe a weakness,
but I've turned it into a strength
by approaching it in that systematic, cohesive way,
if that makes sense.
And then hopefully I can take that skill
and transplant it to someone
who's singularly focused on building a huge company
that will hopefully positively impact the world.
And they can apply that within the company itself.
So that's how I've been thinking about it, at least.
All right, everyone, let's thank Tim.
I think we're wrapping up here.
Roberto, do you want to say a couple things real quick?
It's funny because I have a microphone,
so I was going to ask one last question.
Oh, that's cheating.
Yeah, no, but you basically answered,
that was what I'm asking.
You said it's a green flag for me when an entrepreneur doesn't have 15 other side projects.
Yeah.
Right?
You have a lot of things.
And that was basically the first question of saying, hey, you're an investor, you're a writer, you do podcasts, you do all these things, you have to choose one of those.
Which one would you choose to focus on?
Right?
Now you gave us a little answer on how you would go about that,
I don't know if that's even another question, but I'd love to hear that.
If I had to choose one,
that is tough.
If I had to choose one, I would... That's so tough.
It would either be the podcast or writing.
And the podcast is effectively my favorite part of writing
without the writing.
It's interviewing experts
and getting their advice for whatever I want to ask them.
That's fucking amazing.
So that is hard to give up.
I could cheat and say it'd be the writing because that's already a component of it.
Writing, though, in long form, I think, holds a very peculiar and unique position in the mind space of humans.
It still does.
And I think it's because of the immersive experience. So rather than reading
an article and having 15 notifications and 17 tabs vying for your attention, you can immerse
yourself in this long form experience. And I think that's why books, when done properly,
at least in nonfiction and prescriptive work, can have such tremendous impact.
You can grab someone's attention in a world where that is the last thing they have to offer uh and it's the most fragmented but i would say
i would say the the interviewing i just i love trying to identify the commonalities across
seemingly separate worlds because there are commonalities there are always commonalities
like the the best people in 10 fields
that seem to have nothing to do,
like competitive eating,
competitive wood chopping,
curling, poker playing,
you take the top three performers in those worlds,
they will have more in common with each other
than the people who are the 10th to 15th place players
in each of those fields.
So I would say that.
And I would also say,
for those of you who haven't really dug into Expa, you should chat with these guys. I mean, the reason I find Expa so interesting
among very many others, and this comes back to the side project. Unpaid. Yeah. Well, kind of.
Is that, well, when you look at a studio model, right, and you're not taking applications,
you have less distraction.
You don't fall prey to the fear of missing out, the FOMO that drives such a spray and pray approach in the Valley, which I think is extremely dangerous because it fragments your attention.
It fragments your allocation of resources, whether that's people and sort of man hours or capital or otherwise, right?
So you're really developing companies as opposed to trying to collect products.
And those are two very different things, right?
Because you can have the best product in the world and it could change the world, but it doesn't because it never gets to scale.
Because the cap table was screwed up right from the get-go.
Or the team wasn't put together properly.
Or they brought in the wrong investors too early.
And you can avoid all those problems with the playbook or avoid most of the fatal problems with a playbook that I think you guys have developed and are continually refining at Expo.
So if you guys haven't,
haven't talked to these guys,
you should,
it's very,
very unique.
I mean,
I'm very protective of my time and this is one of the places I've chosen to
spend it.
So yeah.
All right.
Thanks everybody.
Thank you.
Okay.
Thanks guys.
Hey guys, this is Tim again. Just a few more things before you take off. Number one,
this is five bullet Friday. Do you want to get a short email from me? Would you enjoy getting a short email from me every Friday that provides a little morsel of fun before the weekend.
And Five Bullet Friday is a very short email where I share the coolest things I've found
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That could include favorite new albums that I've discovered.
It could include gizmos and gadgets and all sorts of weird shit that I've somehow dug up
in the world of the esoteric as I do.
It could include favorite articles that I've read and
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