The Vergecast - How Apple lost control of the App Store
Episode Date: May 2, 2025Everywhere you look, antitrust fights have the potential to reshape the tech industry. Nilay, David, and The Verge's Jake Kastrenakes start by digging into the latest ruling in the Apple / Epic trial,... in which a furious judge rips open the App Store in a way Apple likely never saw coming. The way we pay for apps is about to change, and fast. After that, it's time for an update on the Google and Meta trials, as Google tries to preserve its search empire and Meta tries to make the case that basically every company on the web is its vicious competitor. Finally, in the lightning round, it's time for another installment of Brendan Carr is a Dummy, plus some notes on this week's Worldcoin launch and the strange new Meta AI app. Also: party speakers. Always party speakers. Further reading: A judge just blew up Apple’s control of the App Store ‘Cook chose poorly’: how Apple blew up its control over the App Store The future of the App Store depends on the difference between a ‘button’ and an ‘external link’ Apple must allow other forms of in-app purchase, rules judge in Epic v. Apple Apple exec ‘outright lied’ during Epic trial Apple confirms it will appeal the App Store order. Epic says Fortnite is coming back to iOS in the US Sundar Pichai says the DOJ’s antitrust plan could kill Google Search Google confirms it’s close to getting Gemini support on iPhones The TikTok ban is back in court — in Meta’s antitrust trial TikTok’s head of operations takes the stand. Reels isn’t Instagram’s ‘core’ experience. TikTok doesn’t compete with Meta for ‘personal social networking.’ TikTok’s legal entanglements collide. The TikTok ban makes another cameo. TikTok’s friends tab is not exactly a hit. TikTok and Reels are ‘indistinguishable.’ Are YouTube and Instagram the top competitors for TikTok? TikTok predicted Instagram would redesign its app to focus on Reels. Meta prepared for a ‘flood in traffic’ ahead of the TikTok ban. Facebook execs worried Google would buy WhatsApp and make it ‘a cross-platform iMessage.’ Facebook worried most about Google or Apple buying WhatsApp. Google had a ‘long shot’ chance of becoming competitive in social with WhatsApp. Facebook exec worried about losing the business to mobile messaging apps. ‘I was really worried that this could become the end.’ ‘This shit is getting scary.’ WhatsApp showed ‘absolutely no signs of morphing’ into a social app. Facebook floated starting from scratch on messaging. Facebook didn’t know how it would make money from WhatsApp. Facebook didn’t fear WhatsApp becoming a social competitor. Meta releases AI app to compete with ChatGPT Brendan Carr congratulates himself Brendan Carr’s FCC is an anti-consumer, rights-trampling harassment machine Brendan Carr’s Bizarro World FCC Sam Altman-backed Worldcoin cryptocurrency launches in the US Email us at vergecast@theverge.com or call us at 866-VERGE11, we love hearing from you. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Hello and welcome to Gerochast, the flagship podcast, about being right, about esoteric legal opinions four and a half years later after you wrote that blog post.
It's a niche, but it's ours.
I mean, honestly, what else is it?
You bid your time and finally, finally.
It took a long time, but I can say, we can all say.
It's a flagship podcast of people who can say I wrote this blog post four years ago, and I was right.
That's true.
That's where you want to be in life.
And I welcome our tiny but dedicated community.
Our competitor podcast in this field, as you know, are our week.
Yeah, we're going to win this Webby next year for sure.
I'm your friend, Eli.
That's David Pierce.
Hello.
Jake Castrakis is here.
Hey, good to be here.
Obviously, what we're talking about is the big Apple ruling that came down this week.
Apple was found in contempt of court referred for criminal proceedings because an Apple executive lied in court under oath.
I was joking with a big tech executive today that sometimes I think we founded The Verge 13 and a half years ago to cover this story.
Like we just needed to be here because Apple got in trouble for lying about the difference between a button and a link and how much those should cost.
And the Verge was just lying in wait to be like, yep, buttons and links.
That's what we do here.
I had the exact same experience reading the ruling.
We're going to talk a lot about this, but I had this distinct moment of being like,
oh, where do the buttons go is the verge?
That's the whole, the whole question we are here to answer is where do the buttons go?
Yeah, there's a line in there that says a better design button would make the market more competitive.
And I was like, well, we did it.
That's the verge cast.
Like, I don't know what to tell you.
That's our whole show.
That's all we ever talk about.
So we've got to talk about that at length.
All of us have been covering that story every inch of that story for a long time.
So we've got to talk about that.
meta is still in trial.
It's antitrust trials ongoing.
David was at the Google trial where Sundar Patry was on the stand this week.
We'll talk about Brendan.
We always talk about Brendan.
He lurks.
He looms over the ecosystem.
But first, I want to start with a party speaker update.
Party speaker update.
Very important party speaker up.
Party speaker capitalism is in the running to become the newest podcast or then a podcast.
The first guest.
So as you all know, it is our belief.
that the market for gigantic Bluetooth party speakers
with LED lights and the drivers
is bigger than anyone can comprehend.
It's right in front of you,
but it's so big you can't see it.
Just like the party speaker.
It's a worldwide phenomenon.
It is driving the whole tech industry
and no one wants to talk about it.
Shrubbed under the rug and we talk about it here on the birch gas.
We're five generations into these things.
The market is demanding them.
People are providing them.
Over and over again.
They're getting bigger.
They're getting bolder.
So we've asked people to send us these party speakers in the wild.
It's like cryptids.
Have you seen Bigfoot?
I will say a lot of people send us photos of the speakers in the box in the store.
I appreciate you.
I love that you see a speaker and you think of us.
It makes me happy.
That's not what we want.
That's not in the wild.
You know what I mean?
It's that's in captivity.
It's constrained.
The speaker zoo, as we call Best Buy.
I want to see what's really happening.
I want to see what this market really looks like.
So we've gotten a million pictures of speakers in stores, but that's not quite it.
I appreciate you, but that's not it.
We've gotten a second million set of photos of speakers at kids, baseball, and softball games.
Yes, those are very good. Those qualify.
These are the primary market, from what I can tell.
Walk on music for 12-year-olds who are about to just hit a dinger.
That's what party speakers are for.
Everyone's very happy about this.
Great.
I would like to understand what is going on in Europe.
based on the imagery we have received from our listeners in Europe.
So Daniel sent in a picture of two people riding a scooter, like one of those bird scooters.
The person in front is sitting on what appears to be a three-foot party speaker with his hands on the handlebars.
And then there's a person standing on the back on the brake.
And they're just cruising.
This might be the coolest picture I've ever seen in my life.
It is one of the most European pictures I've ever seen in my entire life.
We'll run it.
We'll put smile of the faces over the faces, the whole thing.
If you watch it on YouTube, you can see the photo.
We'll put it in the container post on the website.
Everybody looks really cool.
Daniel says he thinks that the speaker's on, the lights run.
He took the photo from his car.
I appreciate you having the wherewithal to be in your car, see this, pull out your phone, snap a photo.
Think of us and send us the photo.
Yeah, there's a little motion blur in here.
Like, something's happening.
That's what you want.
Like, if you run a tech podcast, you want people to see this and be like, I need, I,
I need to send this in.
That's the kind of citizen journalism we're looking for.
Daniel says he thinks it was on because the lights were on,
but he was in a car so you can hear it.
And then he said, and then he says,
somehow it's not the first speaker on scooter I've seen in Oslo either.
So there's a hot new trend in Norway
where people are putting speakers on the scooters
and cruising around with the speaker as a chair.
I love it.
I love it.
Send us more photos of that.
Is it possible that portable stool that plays music is an underrated feature of the party speaker?
I just say this.
It's a cryptid, right?
It's everywhere.
It's nowhere.
No one can see it.
There's no research.
The great analysts of our time are not writing party speaker notes to CNBC.
We have to do this together ourselves.
Otherwise, no one will understand it.
Okay.
So that's one.
Again, I don't know what's going on in Europe.
And then there's even more European speaker activity.
Fabio writes us.
Fabio sent us a video.
He says, I'm writing you from Milan, Italy, where I realized I have witnessed the largest
concentration of party speakers outside a U.S. Navy ship for weeks without realizing it.
Yesterday, as I was walking through the Portaventia subway station, I think as I'd pronounce it,
I saw LEDs lighting up a kid-sized party speaker and realized I was the right person in the right
situation to send you an email that would fill your heart with it.
Troy. I love you, Fabio. You were right, Fabio. It did. The subway station there in Portavenja
is the ideal place for people of all ages, genders, nationalities, and passive lives to gather
and train their dance moves. What each of these groups had in common was party speakers,
blasting music in the echoing hall, all different songs and different genres of music.
I'm saying there were four plus speakers, but only because I managed to film four speakers.
But believe me, there were more. And then he sent us a video of competing groups of, you
European teenagers, like, practicing dances in the subway station with different speakers.
And they're all, like, kind of next to each other.
This suggests a possibility that I had not even considered until just now, which is a party speaker arms race.
Oh, yeah.
That is the party speakers, the only way to outdo someone else's extremely portable party speaker is with a larger extremely portable power speaker with more base and more lights.
More light.
This is how, like, the way Apple gets you from a MacBook Air to a fully kidded out MacBook Pro, you just, you got to go up the line or you're going to get bested on a party speaker.
So wait until you're the next one.
Oh, God.
So I said last week, my dream, because we had heard that the U.S. military has a lot of party speakers in it.
And I said, can someone please send me a picture of a party speaker next to a fighter chair?
Preferably taking off.
I will say I requested taking off at dusk.
But we got the next best thing.
Jason, who is a literal fighter pilot who listens to the show.
Thank you very much, Jason, says,
I can confirm that the U.S. Navy is a target population for the party speaker market.
I am a pilot in a U.S. Navy F.A. 18 Squadron,
and our sailors love the big party speakers
for providing something to listen to while working in the hangar,
while shoreside or in the hangar bay of an aircraft carrier when deployed.
They can't wear AirPods while working.
They need to maintain clear ears.
And the work environment can be loud.
so you need speakers to pump out a good amount of volume.
Anything that has lights added cool factor.
The Navy units don't own purchase them or sailors do it on their own dime to make work a bit more pleasant.
It is not uncommon to have dueling party speakers playing very different music separated by 100 feet.
It is chaos for the ears, but it helps with morale.
And he sent us a photo of a party speaker next to an F-18, which rules.
And he actually gave us the model number of the speaker.
It is an Edison PSL-800.
I love it.
This is like what made the best photo we've ever gotten at the version.
It really is.
It's very good.
And I also, I like this because you can sort of imagine the meeting at Sony and all these other companies where they were like, should we should we make it so that you can like use a bunch of them sort of together?
Like you can chain them together via Bluetooth or whatever.
And somebody's like, who in the hell is going to put more than one of these in a room?
Look at the size of this thing.
Why would you need more than one?
And the Navy's like, listen, guys, I need six of these all at once together.
So a lot of them can do like ORACAST and actually be chained together.
Like this is a part of like a mesh audio standard that exists.
Everyone's very, they've all done the bad thing, which is they took the standard and they named it their own thing.
So you don't know.
But it's actually the thing called ORACast.
And so you can chain like 100 speakers together with just a standard that exists that all the company support.
That's good.
But that's not what we're seeing.
We're seeing groups of competing teens playing different music on different speakers right next to each other.
groups of sailors doing fighter jet maintenance playing different songs and different speakers right next to each other.
This is like the end result of I'm listening to my own TikTok on the subway.
But now with like, this is your arms race.
We're all listening to everyone's TikTok on the subway.
I love it. I love it.
All of you, thank you for emailing us, even the people who send us pictures of the speakers in Walmart.
This is an escalation.
You got to send us even better pictures of.
in video as a party speakers in the wild.
We have to figure this out as a community.
There's no market intelligence on party speakers.
If there is, it's like locked away in the Sony vaults.
We're going to bring it out.
We're going to bring this to light.
The media is not talking about this.
The mainstream media could never.
Do you see this in the New York Times?
Right?
You turn on CNN at night.
Are they showing you pictures of fighter jets with party speakers?
Edison PSL 80s,
800s.
That's what I'm not into.
Whatever.
They're not talking about this.
I love it.
Thank you all so much for sending this stuff.
We want to see more of it.
It is very funny to me.
And I love that we're doing this little project together.
All right.
We should talk about Apple.
It's a big one.
Middle of the night filing from Yvonne Gonzalez-Rogers,
the judge in the case, Epic v. Apple.
That case filed in 2020.
Big trial, right, Epic said Apple had a monopoly over its own devices, which is a very, you know, it's a very big argument to make in 2020 that, like, you have to rewind your brain.
This is the beginning of the modern tech antitrust era, right? All this stuff hadn't happened.
The idea that meta and Google and Apple would all be facing federal lawsuits about having monopolies was not on the table in 2020.
In Epic file, this case. Epic also picked this fight very specific.
and very aggressively.
Like it, it dropped the 1984 commercial.
It dropped, it did a thing with payments inside of Fortnite designed to get kicked out of this.
Like, antitrust moves slowly, in this case, has taken five years.
But Epic has pushed harder and more aggressively and more, like, with more spectacle than anybody else in this entire whole realm of antitrust fights.
Yeah.
And against Google, it has won in substantial ways.
Against Apple, you know, what's really interesting is, again, it was so early that I think the judge in that case looked at Epic's arguments.
It looked at the standards, the sort of like 1980s antitrust standards that we had.
Again, 2020 pre-Lena Khan at the FTC, right?
This is the Trump administration, this case was followed.
So we hadn't had this big conversation about changing antitrust standards and whether or not.
Reagan was bad, all this stuff that created the conditions that were now.
This is before all that.
So I think the judge looked at all of that and said, well, I'm not going to be the first
judge in this case to accept this, like, pretty big idea that Apple has a monopoly
of its own devices in this specific way.
But no, but I'm not, it's just like not going to happen.
But I have all this evidence that the app store is bad in that Apple restricts competition
on the app store.
And I'm sitting in California and there's a California unfavorian.
competition law. And I'm going to say under this California unfair competition law, which is very
broadly construed, Apple has to stop prohibiting developers from even saying you can buy digital
services and digital products elsewhere for a cheaper price. Because at the time, Apple prohibited
Netflix and Spotify and Epic and anyone else from even saying this subscription is $3 cheaper
if you do it on our website. You couldn't even say you can also subscribe.
on our website. You couldn't even have a link to your website. In the Apple ecosystem,
the broader internet did not exist and was not allowed to exist. And that was, that was the,
that was the thing Epic won on, right? Like, it lost on some of its bigger swings. But like,
we all spent a lot of time in those years talking about the phrase anti-steering provisions.
And like, and that, that became the thing here. Well, so, you know, there's this
narrative. I could argue this either way, but there's this narrative that Apple won most of the case
and Epic only won this small thing.
And anti-steering was the whole thing.
It was the whole thing.
What Epic really wanted was to put the Epic Game Store on iOS and control its own store.
But you only want to do that if what you're mad about are Apple's rules for its store.
Sure.
And what is the biggest rule?
The biggest rule is the Apple tax.
Like far in a way, the biggest rule is that to put a button to buy anything in your app,
you have to pay Apple 30 or 15 or whatever percentage structure.
It worked out to by now.
And if you get rid of that rule, the incentives for wanting your own store kind of fall, right?
You've solved the problem.
The only reason you want another store is to have lower rates.
Or in the case of the alternative stores we're seeing in Europe, to do apps that Apple otherwise wouldn't let you do.
Emulators and porn apps and stuff like that.
But for the vast majority of developers, all they really cared about was I can't do purchases in this app without paying Apple a fee.
Like Netflix doesn't care.
You can look to Europe.
Like we haven't seen that much change.
We have,
which might be because Apple's rules are so strict over there still.
But how many, you know,
brand new ideas for apps or models for apps
are we seeing over there that couldn't exist in the app store, right?
Apple is just like, here's emulators.
Well, so the number one model was emulators.
And the instant that happened,
Apple changed its rules to put emulators in the store.
And so you see like competition,
leads to results. But my point is the whole game here was always anti-sterec. It was always
letting developers say you can transact for cheaper somewhere else. And Apple lost. It just lost.
And so in the realest way, the biggest part of the problem was being dealt with by the court.
And I think this judge, again, remind your brain to that period in time, was looking at the
landscape of antitrust policy and antitrust law and saying, yeah, I can't just like change the law.
before it's time.
Like, she just wasn't going to do it.
That's not how district courts work.
Maybe courts appeals do that.
Maybe the Supreme Court does that.
They love doing that.
But the sort of district court judge in Apple versus Epic wasn't going to say, you know what,
this Lena Kahn's a real firecracker.
Like, it just like wasn't going to happen.
So that Apple lost in this state court claim.
They litigated the Ninth Circuit.
They lost.
They asked this report.
The Supreme Court said no dice.
This is done.
And then I think Apple didn't take it seriously.
And they, Jake wrote the entire narrative, which we should talk about.
They did, played all these games to fake compliance with this ruling because they weren't
taking it seriously.
And I got caught, like, caught in the worst way.
And now the judge is like, actually, we're not just doing my small anti-steering rule.
We're doing the big one.
Like, you're not allowed to do anything because you've delayed for so long you've made the
harm worse.
So now it's a free for all.
app developers can do anything they want
effective immediately to do transactions
in their apps. No more fees.
And you have no choice. And she says
it's worth reading this entire opinion full
because it is full of bombs.
At the end, she says, this is an injunction,
not a negotiation.
So it's like, this is over.
I do think, I think the narrative here
is important. And Jake, I know you wrote
this through and you should kind of give us the timeline
because I think
saying Apple didn't take it seriously
actually lets Apple off the hook
a little bit. I think Apple basically got this ruling and had two years worth of meetings about
how to give two middle fingers to this ruling and to continue to get what it wants and to essentially,
like we talked about it on the show as malicious compliance. Like this was the most malicious
possible version of compliance to the point where Judge Gonzalez-Rogers decided actually this isn't
compliance at all. You have gone out of your way to not comply with this order while looking
like you're complying with this order. And in fact, lying to the court.
about how you're not complying with this order.
But Jake, you ran down the timeline here.
Can you just give us like the short version of it?
Yeah, and the judge is pissed.
Like she sees through all of it and is furious about how it went down.
Yeah, I think Apple has for a really long time operated in this environment where it can kind of just, you know, control whatever it wants and do things how it wants to.
Nobody's really on them.
They make some tweaks around the edges and say, sorry, see you later.
And they got this ruling.
and, you know, back in 2021, and it was, it was, it felt pretty narrow.
And it was kind of open-ended.
It was just right, you have to allow links in buttons.
You have to allow them to go to the web.
You can still charge if you want to.
You just have to do it in a reasonable way.
And so Apple sat down and they went, okay, how are we going to comply with this?
And they kept looking at options.
And basically, each time they would look at something, as the judge kind of paints the picture,
they often had this sort of like Goldilocks array, right?
There was the, hey, let's do the great version of this where developers love it and, you know, it really hurts us.
Let's do the middle option where we do a little bit of restriction or let's just go all out and make sure that devs don't get too much here and we protect our profit.
And so, you know, first they go, okay, what percentage cut do we want to take on the web?
Should we do no cut? Should we do a little something? Should we do something else?
They're like, no, no, no, we should do it.
We should take a cut.
What cut should it be?
Phil Schiller's like, I don't think we should do a cut at all.
Tim Cook goes, eh, 27%.
Let's do 27%.
How do they get to 27%.
They just invent it.
You know, how should these links and buttons look?
Should they be rich buttons that are clearly buttons?
No, there should be text links because we don't look ugly.
Should there be a screen to notify you,
that you're going out to the web, oh, we should make sure it's a big giant pop-up that takes over
the whole screen.
And so every single time the judge looks as and goes, they internally discussed options that were
not so bad.
And then they chose the worst option.
And I think there's this thing that happened where they had some leeway.
They could have put some restrictions in place.
They could have done a fee.
They could have done a big pop-up.
But I think when they chose the worst option every time, the judge just goes,
was sorry, all you've done is maintain the status quo.
I said that this is anti-competitive.
You can't just continue to be anti-competitive.
That's exactly what the injunction says to do.
And when she gets to the end of this, she's just like utterly put out and just saying,
I don't think there's any reasonable world in which Apple believed it was actually complying
with the injunction I put down.
So there's another turn to this.
the anger is doubled, tripled, quadrupled.
Because there was a first hearing about compliance,
and Apple showed up and lied to the judge and said,
we commissioned this report that says,
here's how much value we provide,
and this is why it's these rates.
And they had an executive, a VP of finance,
come on in it and say all these words about when the decisions were made.
And the judge didn't buy it in the room at that time.
And she sent them away, and she ordered document production,
She got all their emails and all their slacks, all their meeting notes.
And so we're going to have another hearing to find out what you were doing in real time to see if what you are saying to me is true.
And so all of the stuff that we have, Jake wrote it through.
It is just a story.
The judge wrote a story, in her opinion.
And we just, Jake just translated it from legalese to, like, human.
It's just a story about Apple having these meetings, backed up by notes.
at moments Apple engineers and PMs and designers
are literally discussing how to make the language scarier
because the execs will like it better.
Like that is a literal phrase that we have from their slacks.
And then an Apple executive showed up in court
and tried to argue that in design terms,
scary doesn't mean what you think it does.
Yeah, it's a term of art.
Judge Rogers is just like, no, it's not.
This is all designers are like,
scary it up a little bit.
Yeah.
Yeah, people say that all the time.
Jake, what did the judge say it strains in credulity or something?
Oh, she just said it strains common sense.
She was just like, like, absolutely like, come on.
I cannot believe you are lying about scary having a specialized meaning.
Like, you wanted to be a scary message.
They kept adding scarier language.
At the end of it, Tim Cook looked at it and it was like, we need to add some more.
Like, they all just wanted that this is, we're talking about the full screen pop-up that appears
when you click a web link, that that is this big warning that you're leaving the, leaving the app.
It's like, they had an option that was just a little pop-up that said, hey, you're opening Safari.
And they're like, no.
Like, giant paragraph of text.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And just, Neil, to finish what you were just saying, the thing that they discovered after
getting all of this documentation was that this study that Apple had commissioned basically saying,
here's why we're worth 30% that they said they then made all of their decisions about,
actually came at the end of all of this process.
where Apple had spent months and years debating what to do here and then gave themselves data at the end to justify all the decisions they had already made.
And then showed up in court and light about it.
Well, and this was a particularly big deal because the last time around, the judge had said, hey, okay, you can charge a commission for stuff outside the app store.
It just has to be based on something.
And so in this ruling, she's going, what is this based on?
You had the opportunity to value your technology to figure out what it was worth.
And you just didn't do any of that.
You decided on a number and then worked back to get up to that number.
And that was a big out.
I think she even calls it an out in the ruling.
This is a big out for Apple, right?
It's not everyone gets to put their buttons in and not pay you any money.
It's we understand.
The court understands that you spend a lot of money developing iOS and the iPhone.
App developers, it's fair to expect them to pay you for that work in some way.
Figure it out.
figure out the formula that's fair so that developers can make good decisions.
And it feels like they're participating in the market.
And Apple picked a bunch of numbers that basically made it impossible for developers to leave in app purchasing.
Right.
Instead of 30, they picked 27%.
And every developer, it's in this record as well, says, well, Stripe is going to cost us more than 3%.
Yep.
So this is just not worth it to us.
And Judge says, well, that's just not right.
Like, you just picked a number because it sounded good.
and you know that developers aren't going to leave.
Like here's all this evidence of these executives talking about
how developers won't leave.
The only person, by the way, who comes off looking good
in this entire sequence of events, Phil Schiller.
Phil Schiller, yeah.
Kudos to Phil, who was the one saying
we should not take commissions and fees.
You know, Phil ran the app store for years.
I think he's still, you know,
he has like some emeritus role at Apple now.
But I think he still plays a very active role in the app store.
He's the one who talks to developers.
Like, he is the face of that organization
to developers.
He used to work with Steve Jobs very closely.
I think he was there in like the power book years
when Apple was not a behemoth.
I think he knows what it's like to be the underdog
and need those developers to do
what you want them to do
instead of punishing them to do
what you want them to do,
which is what you can do when you're very powerful.
And at every turn, he's like,
well, what if we do the right thing?
And Luca Maestri, Apple's CFO, is like,
what if we just charge them all the money we can?
and Tim Cook is picking the finance team.
Literally the words Cook chose poorly are in this decision.
And look, we have a lot of people listen to us.
This isn't, we're not interpreting the decision.
This is the judge saying it as it clearly as she can.
This is over.
I have made these findings of fact.
This is what happened.
And this is what Apple has to do now.
No more excuses.
Actually, at the very end, I think the last line of the ruling is there will not be another bite at the Apple.
which you can just see her,
just hit and return at the end of that one.
I mean, like, bang!
Take it out of the typewriter,
done and done.
But yeah, there's something there where,
look, you mean, these are big businesses.
They have to print a bunch of money.
Apple stock price affects things like firefighter pensions in this country.
Like, these are massive load-bearing pillars of the American economy.
They have a lot of people that they are beholden to.
but you can just see that they picked the finances over the product over and over again.
And if they had just figured out a way to make in-app purchases worth more to developers
than leaving the ecosystem, developers, I think, would have picked in-at purchases
every single time. It's just easier. And they didn't. They instead, they punished the ability to compete.
Right. I mean, that's what you've been hearing from developers for years, right? And that's,
That's what Apple knew when it went from 30 to 27%.
Right?
Is even if it was a reasonable financial gain for those developers,
which it wasn't because of like payment processing fees,
the convenience kills it, right?
Like the most people I have talked to over the years have always said,
I'm happy to play by the platform rules as a tiebreaker just because it's simpler.
It makes building my app simpler.
It's easier for users who have to click fewer buttons to subscribe.
Like when it works financially,
it is the better option. And so if Apple had just found a way to make itself a tiebreaker,
it would have won. And instead, it way overshot. And so Judge Gonzalez-Rogers just basically
blew the whole thing up. Yeah. So just to sum up her ruling, it's just literally, she says,
to summarize, the court found that Apple's 30% commission allowed it to reap super-competitive
operating margins was not tied to the value of its intellectual property and was less
anti-competitive. Apple's response was to charge a 27% commission, again tied to nothing,
on off-app purchases where it had previously charged nothing
and extend the commission for a period of seven days
after the consumer had left the app.
So if you left the app in a link
and then bought something on that website seven days later,
you still owed Apple money, which is nuts.
Apple's goal was to maintain its anti-competitive revenue stream.
The court prohibited Apple from denying developers
the ability to communicate with
and direct consumers to other purchasing mechanisms.
Apple's response was to impose new barriers
and new requirements to increase friction
and increase breakage rates with full-page
scare screens, static URLs, and generic statements.
The goal was to dissuade customer usage of alternative purchasing opportunities and
maintain its anti-competitive revenue stream.
In the end, Apple sought to maintain a revenue stream worth billions in direct defiance of
the court's injunction.
This is bad.
That's just bad.
And again, this is not, Apple says it will appeal, but this is not going to be the same
kind of appeal.
But in the meantime, also the other thing is, and this is the flip side of what happened,
before is Apple did nothing for a long time because they didn't have to. Now it has to do something.
Like the thing that is going to change quickly is that developers are going to start updating
their apps with loud, aggressive ways for you to pay for the app outside of the app store,
because they can now. Like even under the provisions before, there were all kinds of wacky things,
right? You could have one link. It wasn't allowed to be in the normal in-app purchase flow.
It had to be somewhere else in the app, which was like, it was all.
design, it was just shenanigans all the way down. And now, by the rules of this ruling,
I can open up my app and the very first thing it shows me is a link to go subscribe somewhere on
the web. It can't, I can't pay in a button in the app is the one difference, right? Like,
it's still, it can send me to a website that takes Apple pay, but it can't take Apple pay right there.
We're going to find out. Because this is what I was saying about being right four years ago.
four years ago, the injunction was Apple can't prohibit developers from using buttons and external links.
The difference between a button and an external link exists only in our shared metaphysical reality.
Right? We all just decide that as a family, what the difference between those two things are.
And like in this ruling, there are literal pictures of buttons and links that the court thinks are competitive and aren't competitive.
and Apple every time chooses the least competitive one.
It defines button all the way down to a piece of plain text with a little,
you know, that little box with the arrow.
That's a button indicates you're about to go.
They're like, that's a button.
You can have that button.
And the court's like, that's not a button.
And Apple's like, isn't it, though?
And that's where we're at.
Right.
And so my headline four years ago is the future of the App Store depends on the difference between a button and a link.
Like, Apple pushed back on that heart.
They're like, we, everyone knows.
And then for four years, it spent time trying to convince the court that these shitty, these shitty links were actually buttons.
This is a real thing that happened in our nation's court system.
And the judge eventually got tired of this and said not.
And now she said, look, we're not arguing on buttons and links anymore.
Here's what I'm saying.
To make up for all of your bad behavior, you are no longer allowed to impose any commission or any fee on purchases that consumers make outside an app.
And that means you have no reason.
to audit, monitor, track, or require developers to report any purchases or any activities
that consumers make outside the app. So Apple had this ability before, but they acted badly.
So the course says, nope, that's gone. I'm just taking it off the table. They're no longer,
Apple's no longer allowed to restrict or condition developer style language formatting,
quantity, flow, or placement of links for purchases outside an app. So anything, any quality
of a link is now off the table. Those two things right there are the whole ballgame. It's the game.
That's the app store. That is Apple going from what it wanted to the,
180 degree
not what it wanted. Like this is the
worst case Apple scenario. Apple also
prohibited from prohibiting or limiting the use
of buttons or other calls to action
or otherwise conditioning the content style language
formatting float or placement of these devices
for purchases outside an app.
So you can style the buttons any way you want now.
So now the difference you have button and link, it doesn't matter.
You can style them both any way you want. She had a
different bullet for links and buttons.
She knows what she's doing. Drog just figured this out.
I say this is a verge story.
They are not allowed to exclude categories and developers and apps from obtaining the link provisions, which they were going to do, right?
They were going to say games in particular had to keep paying the money.
All those Candy Crush whales are about to get a, you know, 30% discount.
They are not allowed to interfere with the consumer's choice to proceed in or out of an app by anything other than a neutral message app apprising users.
They're going to a third-party site, so no more scary language.
and they're not allowed to restrict a developer's use of dynamic links
that bring customers to a specific product page in a logged-in state
rather than just requiring static links
that make customers have to login again.
Again, this is very vergy, right?
Apple was saying you can only have static links
so you couldn't carry login tokens through the links.
So you would land on, you know, Netflix.com,
but it wouldn't know that you were logged into the Netflix app.
You have to log it again to get your discount.
Apple knows this is friction.
So the judge says, no, I'm all the way to mandating the use of dynamically generated links in apps so developers can pass login states.
That's, this is the ball game.
To your point, David, this is the whole game.
It's the whole thing.
Apple lost its revenue stream in the app store.
In-app purchase revenue is gone, is going to go down.
If they'd played ball, they could have maintained a healthy chunk of it.
One thing that I don't know if anybody has looked at in like 15 years or
however long the app store has existed,
what does it actually look like
for Apple to compete with web purchases?
What does it do?
What changes now?
If they have to contend with this.
I mean, I can think of a million things
just off the top of my head.
If you buy everything in the App Store
or the Apple system,
you have a catalog in one place
of everything that you bought.
You have a catalog of every subscription
that you have.
You can cancel those subscriptions.
You can manage your purchases.
Maybe you can transfer purchases
to someone else
because there's a shared centrally maintained database of who owns what.
You don't need a blockchain for that if you just trust Tim Cook to run that database.
There's a million things you can do if you are the central transaction provider
that Apple has not had to do or not even been pushed to do because you can't buy anything anywhere else.
And so the only thing you can offer outside is it's a little bit cheaper than you're terrified of that.
But if you say two customers, protect your purchase by buying it with Apple,
It will cost a dollar more, but here's all these services you get for that dollar.
Like, maybe that'll work.
It's also easier.
You don't have to do anything else.
You're just like push this button.
But I don't, they haven't had to have these ideas.
Right.
I mean, the other thing I think is going to be interesting here is we're going to see a lot of different ideas about how to solve some of this friction.
I mean, it's not, it's not ironic that the simplest way to pay for things on the web is Apple Pay.
And, and in many ways what is going to happen.
in here is people are going to punt from a thing that gives Apple a huge commission to a thing
that gives Apple a small commission. And that's fine. But we're also seeing pretty quickly,
any company that collects payments is going to try to find a very quick way to collect payments on
the web for your app subscription. Like this is going to become a really interesting competitive
business. Like, Stripe is out here already promoting stuff that it's doing. Patreon has big ideas
about what it's going to do.
Like the quick internet transaction market has never had to be interesting in this space
because there hasn't been a reason to do it.
And so not only is Apple going to have to figure out how to compete,
all these other companies are going to have a chance to figure out how to compete.
And I think that to me is where a lot of this stuff gets super interesting.
It's like Netflix is just going to want me to input my credit card number, right?
But in a fair fight against in-app purchases, where they are now at the same price,
because they can be
because Netflix doesn't have to pay 30%.
There's actually fascinating competition
to see who can give me the most
to be the one where I put in my credit card details.
The thing that gets me at that,
which I was not expecting this outcome,
I knew there would be a fight about buttons and links.
I just want to point this out.
Yeah, we're all very proud of you.
I'm very proud.
If you're not proud of yourself,
if you don't love yourself, you know,
no one else can love you back.
Is that true?
Let's go down that rabbit hole for a while.
Should we talk about this for a moment?
Is that just a cold play lyric?
I'm not 100% sure.
All right.
It's a weird time in America.
I'm coursing with emotions.
This outcome from, you know, our standpoint is consumers, is the best outcome.
Because instead of, we will force the app store to compete head up against an entire other app store with different rules in weirdo experiences and, you know, all this other stuff you're worried about.
It's actually just everything's going to get cheaper.
in the same app store that you loved today.
That,
Apple got to solve this so long ago.
Like,
that it's nuts that we're talking about like alt store in Europe and how Epic might
do Epic Game Store and we are having these pitched antitrust battles and you got to get
all the way to like,
can you construct a legal argument using the existing consumer welfare standard to prove
that Apple has a monopoly on its own platform?
And at the end of the day,
they just screwed it up and they got to the result that I think most developers want it.
which is we're still going to rely on the App Store
for discovery, for distribution,
and now we can just collect more margin
from the things people buy in our apps
with alternative payments.
Or there's another version of the upside here,
which is now all of a sudden there's a stuff
that if you're a developer, you can put into
the App Store as in app purchases
if this forces Apple to be more competitive
on that front too, right? Like, step one is
everybody just goes and buys stuff elsewhere.
But like the best case scenario is there is a step two where Apple is forced by that to be more competitive and play ball within app purchases so that you can start to do things like buy Kindle books in the app store again.
And like we've talked a lot over the years on this show about all the kinds of things that you can't do in the app store because it's not a 30% margin business.
And things like things like books and audiobooks are like right there on that.
And so we've made the experience awful.
And so if this works and becomes actually competitive,
it actually turns back towards making the App Store version of everything better.
I'm not counting on that because Apple will appeal to death before it allows that to happen.
But like, the tie here should be good for both sides.
And ultimately for however you want to use the app,
it should be better when these fees start to fall apart.
I'm glad that you have a good and kind heart because you went to people will buy art and culture more easily.
And I went to, oh, fuck, the NFTs are coming.
What can't you buy in an app right now?
You know what?
Definitely isn't a 30% business, an NFT.
There's 30% of nothing is what?
So we'll see what happens.
There's that.
But I do think we're going to see a new kind of competition here.
Yeah.
And the joy in the developer community is unreal.
I mean, it truly is like,
we've just gotten an outpouring. And Jake, I think you've seen more of these than I have even
over the last several hours as this has been happening of just the grand enthusiasm from people
who are like, oh my God, finally, the day has come. We can play in the app store again.
Yeah, developers are usually pretty wary about criticizing Apple. And here, everybody's just like,
got it, let's go. We're ready. We've been waiting for this. Like, we have the product ready.
We're submitting it. People are ready to go. There was one, Ryan Jones, who's the developer of an app called Flady,
that I really like.
It's, I always follow Flighty because they're always at the forefront of, like,
interesting Apple features.
Like, whenever Apple releases anything, Flighty is there.
Cool, great job, Flitie.
And Ryan Jones, who runs the app tweeted, so what's going to happen?
Starting tomorrow, apps in the U.S. will have save 20% with Apple Pay type buttons, right
next to normal buttons.
Or, better yet, only have the link out button on the paywall.
Apple specifically cannot limit anything about the buttons.
That's something I had not even thought of, that people might just bypass the idea of in-app
purchases entirely. And when you hit the subscribe button, it might just take you to the web,
which is a thing everyone is familiar with. And suddenly, so like, not only do I have to compete
with the in-app purchases, I might be able to do away with them entirely. Yeah. And then you're still
completing it in the Apple ecosystem with Apple Pay for a much lower fee. Right. The thing that I think
is going to be really fascinating is developers do this quickly enough. And everything gets cheaper or
more competitive or more vibrant. There's all this excitement in developer community. And then
Apple appeals and starts fighting to put the genie back in the bottle, it still might not matter if they went.
Because you can't, you can't be like, well, we won this court case.
So everybody stop it.
Go make your app worse.
Yeah.
Like, we will have run the AB test.
They like that 30%.
Look, Todd Hazleton, this morning woke up and was like, I got to write this down.
Like, the amount of pressure on Apple is out of control right now.
So we'll link that piece too.
It's really good.
He just listed him.
He's like, okay, tariffs,
cariffs are going to increase the costs of every product
and Apple has to figure out how to work that into its margin.
The Google Search Remedies case,
which we'll talk about in a second here,
might just take $20 billion off of Apple's bottom line.
And that's pure margin.
Google just pays Apple $20 billion to be the default.
Yeah.
They might just go away.
That's one of the very real results of the case that is ongoing.
And then the entire part of the business that's growing is services.
Every quarter now,
It's services it's growing.
It's not Apple TVs and MacBooks.
It's not the iPhone.
It's not the iPad.
It's services.
What services?
They don't want to say it.
They want you to think of severance.
It's not severance.
It's candy crush whales.
Apple's entire business has been taking 30% of candy crush whales,
and that's been growing for years.
And so you're going to take that too now.
So you're going to lose the $20 billion from Google.
You're going to lose the candy crush whale money.
You're going to increase the margin pressure because of tariffs.
Wow, that whole business has changed by the end of this year.
The entire,
all of the fundamentals of Apple's business will be like flipped.
And then what's the next turn that everyone's talking about,
whether you believe in or not?
It's like AI,
AAI.
Well,
they had to delay their AI project.
Like,
this company is suddenly like real shaky.
And that's not to say the iPhone's bad.
The thing that they do is really good.
It is still like the.
centerpiece of the modern tech economy, but you're just like, wow, all of the pieces of this puzzle
just got real frayed around the edges. Like, what's going to happen? How do they recover from this?
And I'm hopeful there's smart, creative, really interesting people who work at Apple, that they are
finally forced to be creative and invent the next turn as opposed to figuring out more and more ways
to extract dollars from the iPhone. Yeah. I mean, it is funny to watch this sort of rhyme with the
Google trial in that if you sort of boil it all the way down, like Apple found its version of
Google search in the 30% commission, which is just essentially a perpetual money machine.
It is if you want to exist in the world, you have to give us money.
That's what Google did with the internet.
That's what Apple did with mobile.
And it, boy, did it work gangbusters.
But eventually, if you get someone who is willing to peel that apart, it becomes really hard
to put back together.
And like Google is, is furiously fighting to not have happened to it.
Essentially what just happened to Apple, which is a judge says absolutely not.
You just can't do this thing anymore.
I am curious if Apple, you know, still tries to pull something here.
You know, the judge put some pretty strict limits on things.
But Apple explored some other options, right?
They were like, hey, we could charge people based on how many downloads their apps get.
That's one of the things that they pulled in Europe.
But they're not allowed to do it anymore.
They can't condition links on that.
They can just charge people.
That would totally upend the App Store model.
Yeah, I think if you're Apple, that's pretty dangerous.
You're probably fearing this ruling, which is the goal, right?
Like, Judge Gonzalez-Rogers here is very much attempting to strike the fear of God into this company.
Like, if you cross me again, I will ruin you.
It's pretty much the message of this thing.
It reads a little like that, yeah.
I mean, it is going to be really interesting to see because I'm confident there have been meetings all day in Cupertino about not, maybe not how to ignore this, but how to get around it?
Like, how do we keep getting our services revenue without this? And some of those meetings are about products and some of those will not be about products. But, but like this ruling intentionally and in as many words opened the floodgates for developers. And it's basically like, they,
They get to do this now and you can't stop them or it's illegal.
It also opened the floodgates for regulators.
So I was talking to some antitrust people yesterday after the ruling hit and a little bit of insight.
Maybe you can share that.
But the overwhelming feeling was like, finally someone has called Apple out on their hubris.
Apple, the rep around the world when it comes to this stuff is, how dare you?
no, we'll fight you till you die.
Arrogance and hubris.
Just absolutely like, the comparison was made specifically to Google.
And they're like, Google's pretty arrogant and non-compliant as well, but at least they
pretend that they're nice.
Which tracks?
Like, totally tracks.
Like Google's like, we make YouTube.
Just a bunch of goofballs over here.
Apple's like, we make the iPhone and none of you will ever have taste like we have taste.
So please shut up.
and like it just bit them in the ass here.
Like they didn't have to get to this position.
And now they're totally constrained.
Well, and to that point,
one of the things Apple has said over and over
throughout this whole process is,
and every big tech company does this,
is they yell and scream about security and privacy, right?
That if you do this,
if you allow developers to put links in their apps,
it will devastate privacy on the internet.
People will be opened up to fraud.
Everything will be horrible.
And all over this ruling,
from Judge Gonzales Rogers, it just says that is a lie and that's not what you think.
That is not how you feel and I can prove it.
Right.
And that is like the stuff in this documents was you had a meeting about money and then you told
a story about privacy.
And those two things have nothing to do with each other.
And I am tired of hearing the privacy story because it's about money.
And that is like, we've all kind of known that.
But it's different to say it when you have the meeting minutes in front of you.
And it's like, oh, you know what never came up in this meeting about whether it should be 27%?
or 30% user privacy.
Turns out you don't actually care
except as a justification
to the public who you hope
don't really understand
what's going on.
The thing that I heard
specifically yesterday
when I was talking to some folks
was if the DOJ is smart,
they will take this ruling
and amend the complaint
against Apple for antitrust
to include a bunch of what you're saying.
You can take your complaint
and amend it.
The complaint is basically the offense monopoly
and Apple uses it to legally
command all kinds of other industries.
And there's a laundry list of ways to do that.
Well, if you're smart, now you have a bunch of evidence that says,
oh, they super do that.
And you're going to amend your complaint to put it.
And all of their defense, again, which is about privacy and security
and taking the best care of users may not actually be what you're worried about.
Yep.
So these things begin to stack up.
Like the regulators around the world are looking at this decision and they're looking at this
judge saying, you know, actually, I can just body up and punch tank in the nose.
and they're emboldened.
Like, the joke I was making last night was like,
there are bells ringing in Paris.
Like, there's a bunch of happy, gray-suited European lawyers
being like, finally!
Look!
It's happened.
Like, someone has finally, like, landed a punch.
And it's because of Apple's attitude.
And that is such an own goal.
Like, they did not have to get here.
That said, we have a statement from Apple that says they disagree with the judge's ruling.
They're going to appeal it.
There's an amount of, even all the state,
We're getting, the indie app developers, I think you're very excited.
The big companies, like Spotify and match groups that have been fighting this the loudest,
a little more measured, right?
Like, they're all...
The proof is going to be in the pudding, right?
Like, it's going to be the app updates.
Like, I sincerely believe the next 14 days of app updates from all of these companies is going to be fascinating.
Because you know...
Here's the one that's going to be the most fascinating.
Tim Schweeney says Epic will put Fortnite back in iOS.
How?
I was looking at Jay Peters about this earlier.
This suggests that Epic has been updating the Fortnite iOS app for years waiting for this day.
I'm serious.
That is what has been going on, is Epic has been waiting to win so that it can victoriously and ceremoniously reappear in the App Store triumphant over Apple's monopoly.
And it's going to work.
And I, like, I guarantee you every big app developer.
Wait, no, how will it work?
So the mechanics in this case, Epic broke Apple's rules by shipping a secret update to iOS Fortnite that allowed people to purchase stuff in Fortnite without in-app purchases.
Apple kicked him out of the store, said you broke our rules.
Epic said, aha, it was a troll.
And they filed a lawsuit.
They've gotten here where Apple's noncompliance with the injunction has gotten Apple in a bunch of trouble.
But Epic lost on did you willfully break the iOS developer agreement?
there's nothing in this ruling says Apple has to give Epic its developer account back.
So how are they going to put it back?
That's good point.
So I think they do have Fortnite ready because they brought it to the EU a couple months back.
Oh, yeah, that's right.
Yeah, yeah.
Because they launched the Epic Games Tour.
They had another battle with Apple over a developer account in the European Union, which Apple briefly banned.
So it remains unclear to me.
if they have a developer count in the U.S.
Or if Apple is required to, by any means,
let them have Fortnite on the store.
I feel like Apple's allowed to just be like,
sorry, guys, like, we're pretty pissed about this.
I will say Tim Sweeney put out what he calls a peace proposal.
Which is super not a piece proposal.
No.
It's just a nice.
He says, Epic puts forth a piece proposal.
If Apple extends the court's friction-free,
Apple tax-free framework worldwide,
we will return Fortnite to the Apple Store,
and drop current and future litigation.
It's like, yeah, if you give in completely everywhere forever, we'll give you our video game.
Cool, buddy.
It sounds, David, like Tim is going to come on to one of our shows soon, right?
I think so. I hope so.
We've asked for him.
So I want to ask him very specifically how we think he's going to get Fortnite back in the store.
All right.
We should take a break.
There's yet more litigation to discuss here on our tech podcast.
That's all the fun.
I'm hard to be right back.
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All right, we're back.
Now on to active litigation.
here on the America's favorite tech litigation podcast.
Well, we opened with party speakers to draw you in.
Yeah.
If people would launch more gadgets, we would talk.
Like, it's about to be developer conference and gadget season again.
And I'm very much looking forward.
Wait, can I sidetrack you?
Because, David, there was something you wanted to talk about up front that we skipped over.
Oh, you're right.
So we could do a little intermission here.
Let's do a brief gadget.
Like a pallet cleanser.
Yeah.
Because I need to know, Nila, you in particular, but both of you, we got to talk about the slate truck for like five minutes because we talked about the slate truck with Tim Stevens on Tuesday show. He wrote a great story for us. He's written a couple of great stories for us about the slate truck. I would say, without giving too much away, traffic to our website suggests that this is the most interesting thing that anyone has done in a very long time.
It's neck and neck between slate truck and calling Jeff Bezos a coward.
That's our audience. That's about right. Yeah.
So let's
What do you think?
You weren't here for our talk with Tim on Tuesday.
What do you make of the sidetrack?
I listened to it actually the other day.
I love Tim.
Tim and I used to work together and gadget.
It's so much fun when he writes for us
and does stuff for us.
I'm like, take my money.
I don't need a pickup truck anymore.
I used to need a pickup truck
when I lived in the woods on an unpaved road
and had to take my own trash to the dump
once a week with a baby in the house, which meant the trash could not stay in the house for more than two days.
Do you understand what the baby was doing?
Babies like trash.
Babies make the worst trash in human history.
Yeah, that's real.
It's not great.
So, yeah, we, you know, there was a time when I, like, loaded the bed of a pickup truck, like, several times a week in a pandemic and drove away.
And that was great.
And then I moved to Westchester.
Pickup truck was incompatible with this area.
Sold the pickup truck.
And then I saw the slight truck.
And I was like, what if?
what if I found a reason to take my own trash to the jump again?
But it's not a very pickup-y pickup truck.
Like I have never once in my life been like,
you know what I need is a pickup truck?
And I have still been on the Slate Auto website
a half dozen times this week being like,
I could bend this car.
They did the one extremely smart thing about the Slate Auto website.
Even if you're not a pickup truck person or a car person,
the configurator is so much fun.
Because the thing is so modular by design.
They're like, I don't know, today I want a yellow SUV.
Tomorrow, a red,
pickup truck with a Bluetooth speaker and they usually screw with it.
I think their ability to capture the trends in cars right now with what people are doing
with cars and not what like Ford thinks people are doing with cars is super interesting.
So every, you know, car culture is dominated by people wrapping their cars.
Like all over the place, people buy, like car people buy what, you know, when you're like trying
to buy a car, like a used car if you're a car person, there's a party that's like, I want to make
sure I get the color I want. But there's another part that is like, I know exactly what set of
specs and option packages I was looking for. And the color is almost immaterial because I'm absolutely
going to wrap this car when I get it. Like, that's just a thing that happens in this world.
Lots of people wrap new cars. So for Slate to say, you know what, like we can just do away
with a paint shop or metal body panels and assume,
that our customers are going to wrap the car to their specifications.
There's something about that that I think is incredibly smart, right?
They're not at the, what does the big company think the market wants.
They're at the what is the community doing and how do we deliver to the community of the product that might work.
And I don't know any of that's going to work, right?
Like, it's new, I don't know if the car's any good.
We haven't, no one's ever driven in one.
I think listening to Tint, it sounds like Slate hasn't spent a lot of time driving.
It does sound like.
They've sat in it a lot of time.
lot. That we know for sure, but has it gone anywhere? There's something about that, which I love,
which is like they're at the fringe of car culture in a very specific way that I think is super
cool. Yeah, that's fair. Jake, you're famously a truck guy. Everyone who knows you,
knows you love a cable knit sweater and a pickup truck. What do you think of this thing?
I'm neither a car guy nor a truck guy, but this is the coolest truck I've ever seen.
That's why I feel. This is the thing. It's like every single time I'm in a car, I have a problem
with something. The speaker system is terrible. The infotainment system is terrible. I love that they're just
like, listen, you were going to be mad about it anyway. Whatever. Bring your own speaker. I don't care.
You were going to put your phone up anyway. Like, just do it. It's like such a delightful approach.
It feels very friendly and welcoming. And like, I kind of love that, even though it's actually like
deeply for tinkerers. The big question to me, and again, not a car guy, people,
love really large vehicles. And they started with a truck and a small truck. Like when I see
old trucks in the wild, the wild being the streets, I'm like, oh my God, they're so cute.
Like this adorable little truck that was actually just a full-sized truck from 10 years ago.
So I'm really curious how that taps into the market they're going for. But it's a really cool
idea. Yeah, Nilai, is there a, is there a turn towards, obviously, like, everywhere else it's, you know, the 90s and early 2000s again, are we going to do that with cars? Are we going to go back to like, you know, the cars our parents had back in the day? Is that coming? Because that's kind of what the sight truck is, aesthetically. So one, I want people to go on tech. And technologically. And technologically. They're all going to have cigarette or something again. It's going to great. I've got with a boombox on my passenger seat for a long time. Like, that's a real thing.
Go on TikTok and just search for the Ford Ranger song.
No further commentary.
It's just an ecosystem of content that you can be a part of.
It's very good.
When I say my TikTok feed is trucks jumping over stuff, I'm offering you a door.
That's very good.
You know, the market's distorted.
The trucks are big and they cost $100,000 because trucks are excluded from some fuel economy standards
and people buy them and then you make them bigger and then dentists can write them off on their tax.
in specific ways, and then you make them cost so much money because that's just pure margin
for the automaker.
Like, there's just like a nonsensicality to that part of the market.
Because when you show people a picture of like the Rivian R3X, everyone's like,
that's what I want.
I want a weird little 80s hatchback that goes 300 miles on charge.
Like, give me that.
You show people a Ford Maverick, which is still huge compared to the slate truck.
And I like, that's, I want that.
Give me that.
So there's a distortion in the market that I think everyone thinks is.
real, but it's, like, it really is like a, the part of tax is like sectional and so now.
It's like, you can write off the full value of a giant vehicle all at once if you run a
small business and you claim that, yes, you know, your dry cleaners need the truck of this
size. And so people do it. And like, there's just a distortion in the market. And I, I think
this is the antidote to that in a real way. But I know like carmakers have been making the cars
bigger. I will, the other thing, I'm curious if the audience feels this way. Um, I think
all cars are ugly right now. Like, they are so ugly. I agree with that. Yeah. Very, very few cars are
just straightforwardly beautiful. And this trend back to sort of classic designs, like very handsome
profiles, I just can't come fast enough. Oh, I totally agree. We've been lost in this like,
cars should look like the future thing for a while now. And like there's a, there's a Hyundai and
Genesis dealership just down the street from me. And so like every day, some new stupid,
spaceship looking thing comes driving by my front door.
And I'm like, what have we done here?
Like, people love the ionics.
It's all fine.
And every single one has like more weird angles.
And it's like, why?
These aren't cars anymore.
What are we doing here?
Yeah.
My favorite weirdness in the current car design market is everyone has decided the headlights
should be vertical, but we should still pretend to have very tiny small horizontal
headlights, like eyebrows.
And I'm like, this looks horrible.
Like, if any,
Have you looked at the cars?
I just don't know.
It's gone on.
So it's nice to see some classic profiles come back, I think.
The car's not going to ship for another year, two years.
It's vapor tilt ships, man.
Yep.
But, you know, who doesn't love drinking out of vapor or a car?
It's like America's favorite pastime.
That's what we do here.
And it's past, it's a render.
So at least, at least we're past that point.
It's not just a drawing of a car.
It is a car.
And that's something.
Yeah. Jake, thank you for that. I feel much better. Let's go back to the courthouse.
Because they're so, so, so much.
All right. All right, David, you, let's start with Google because it's simpler. The meta case is so complicated. It's going to take this minute.
David, you were at the Google trial in the courthouse this week with Sundarp a try in the stand.
For what I gather, he was just there to say, please, please don't make me sell crime.
Kind of. I actually expected him to be a tiny bit more of that than he was. And so I've been in the courthouse
three out of the eight days now. And I think
I've missed a couple of interesting people, but I've seen a bunch of the
most interesting moments of the remedies trial so far. And
the thing that has become abundantly clear is that Google is
petrified of the part of the DOJ's remedies that suggests
that what Google actually needs to do is take its search index,
its ranking information, which is just like how it ranks all the stuff when it
puts it on the page. And the query streams that it gets,
which is all the stuff that people are actually searching for,
and essentially give that to anyone who wants it at what the DOJ calls a marginal cost.
Nobody knows what a marginal cost is or who's going to decide.
That is one of the things Google is concerned about.
But of all the things the DOJ wants, that is the one that Google is terrified of.
And so Sundar, when he was on the stand,
spent a long time talking about how scary that is.
And you could tell the line he had rehearsed either in his head or with a bunch of
people who work for him at Google, I suspect both. Yeah, you know, you think he just workshopped it in the mirror that morning at the hotel? He's just in the car on his way going reverse engineer, reverse engineer, was he, but his whole thing was essentially that if Google has made itself into what it is because it has essentially out invested and outspent all of its rivals for 25 years. And it's true, right? Like, nobody has tried harder at search for longer than Google. Certainly true.
And the thing he kept saying is if you do this, if you take away all of the stuff that we have done and you give it to everybody else who asks for it, I don't know how as Google we can continue to justify investing and search the way that we have.
And what he said is if you give people all this data, they can reverse engineer Google.
If you have all the information, you have the order in which we rank that information and you have all the stuff that people are searching for.
That's the whole thing. That's it.
You can get from there to every single thing about how Google works is Google's argument.
They don't have to give you the algorithm, but if you have the inputs and the outputs, you can figure out the algorithm.
And he over and over was like, if you let people reverse engineer Google, why would I keep building Google?
And it is like, just forcefully saying that over and over.
And he has really interesting thoughts about Chrome because he started Chrome.
Like Chrome was how Sundar sort of made his rise inside of Google in the first place.
but the thing for him is he's like,
you cannot make us give this away
because it will crush Google search.
And then the DOJ is sitting there
being like, yeah-huh, that's the goal.
That's what we're here for.
And so it's fascinating.
Like for so much of this trial,
in the liabilities phase and in the remedies phase,
these two sides have been talking completely past each other.
Google is like, we're very good.
And the DOJ is like, everything you've done is illegal.
And they just have not been speaking to each other.
And it was, Sundar was the first time that it was like,
oh, we're actually all talking about
the same thing now. And what Google is saying is you think that what you have to do is solve
some of the problems that you've created. And what I'm saying it will happen is it will kill Google.
And it was just fascinating. And like Judge Meta, who is overseeing all of this, has asked a
lot of questions about how big a deal this kind of thing would be. In the opening arguments,
he asked a lot of questions about what's a behavioral remedy and what's a structural remedy.
and does this change within Google search
constitute a behavioral remedy
which is easier to ask for and get
or a structural remedy,
which is essentially breaking up Google.
And Sundar Pichai's argument is this is breaking up Google.
Like, he could not have been more apocalyptic
about what happens if this happens,
and it was fascinating.
You know, it's interesting,
there's some wonkiness about behavioral remedies
and structural remedies.
The behavioral remedy is,
we're going to change the way you ask,
act and the government will watch out.
Right.
Be cool.
Be cool or show up.
Right.
We're watching you.
And there's a big argument.
You can actually listen to Rebecca Slaughter and FCC commissioner on Dakota earlier this week.
Her argument is behavior remedies are more intrusive, right?
It's the government over your shoulder saying what you can and can't do.
Right.
And the structural remedy where you break it up is actually the more democratic small D democratic
solution because you're just like, well, you're broken up now.
Everyone try your best with government out.
And there's some real back and forth there, right?
Like, do you want to Google that has this administration sitting over its shoulder being like, are you behaving yourself?
If you don't, if you love this administration, do you want to Google that, I don't know, has President AOC sitting over their shoulder saying, are you doing what I want?
Like, there's a lot to contend with there in the behavioral remedy.
whereas the structure remedy might be the end of Google if you listen to Sundarvichai.
It's hard to evaluate which one's like a better idea.
Right.
I mean, it is sort of funny.
I went into this thinking, and I have talked to a bunch of people who confirmed that they were also thinking this, people sort of in and around the trial, that the idea that Google should have to divest Chrome was the big swing nobody thought they would get, right?
That this was the thing you performatively give up in order to get the other stuff and that it would wind down to.
just don't, you can't pay Apple $20 billion a year,
that that was going to be where this landed.
The DOJ has argued far more forcefully
for the idea that solving search in this way
is what has to happen.
And Google has come to believe pretty clearly
that it's a real threat and that it would be much scarier.
Like, you get the distinct sense
that Google would much rather sell Chrome
than give up this search data.
Well, you know, there's like a natural experiment for Google.
because they're just the default on iPhone.
It's not iOS Chrome that's making them the money right now.
Right.
It's Chrome search.
It's Google searches in Safari.
Right.
What they would lose if they lost Chrome, right?
If somebody else is operating Chrome,
I guess the threat is that they have their own search engine
or AI service to replace it.
But if they can still offer a cut of search traffic
and just say like, hey, if you want to,
still just going to be more Google search.
Yeah.
Yeah.
They're going to be paying a lot.
Yeah.
To be clear, Google would very much like to hold on to Chrome.
And Sundar talked a lot about that.
And it's his baby.
It is his baby.
But also, he talks a lot about the Chromium project, which is, he is correct in saying
chromium is the most important thing in web browsing right now.
And it is a technically open source thing that Google fundamentally controls and runs and operates.
He said 94% of the code commits to Chromium over the last year have been from Google employees.
It spends huge amounts of money on Chromeium.
Microsoft's browser is based on chromium.
Like, Brave is chromium.
Almost all of the browsers people use are chromium or Chrome.
And that matters, right?
Like, that's a huge deal.
And the idea of some other company, like, I asked a person around this trial, like,
is the idea of open AI administering chromium terrifying to you?
And they just laughed at me.
Like, and Chromebooks change, ChromeOS changes.
Like, it is a huge change for Google in a really meaningful way.
And all of a sudden, the default Android browser becomes not yours, which is meaningful, too.
But, but again, like, that is all immaterial to Google if it can't win at search anymore.
Like, Chrome only matters because search matters.
And if you kill search, who cares?
I find this Chrome argument so disingenuous.
Can I just say that?
Like, I agree, everything is, electron is Chrome.
Half of the desktop apps I'm running right now are Chromium.
That's true.
Like, right,
Notion calendar is a Chromium app.
Like,
it's running,
it's just an electron thing,
right?
Like,
whatever.
All of those companies have an enormous incentive
to make sure their apps still work
and that Chromium is good.
Google has an enormous incentive
to make sure the Android browser is good,
which means it will continue developing chromium,
upon which it is based.
So this idea that if they don't have Chrome,
just like Chrome on Windows anymore,
that they won't just,
immediately fork chromium?
They can't.
That's not allowed.
They're not allowed to make a browser at all.
By the rules of the remedies that the DOJ has proposed Google would not be allowed to do that.
It could land elsewhere, but the idea of like...
They can negotiate their way out of that to say we need to make our first party browser on Android.
Right.
A question we've gotten a bunch from folks actually is like couldn't Google just make another browser.
And there's a ton of wiggle room in it, but like letter of the law, no, it couldn't.
It would not be allowed to.
Yeah, I mean, it just feels like that's,
That's the give and take here, right?
Like a bunch of people are still very motivated to keep chromium going.
A lot of people don't spend the money because Google will.
Right. That's the interesting counterfactual.
Right.
But if that development moves elsewhere, it's not like all those people have suddenly lost from it.
Like, electron as an open source platform unto itself relies on a chromium.
You can just see how that development ecosystem will, like, help.
It won't be as big.
It won't be as rich.
Right.
You won't get as many, like, you know, old time classic Google neckbeard.
doing chromium under the good of their heart,
against no revenue,
which is a thing that a company at Google sale can do
and a company with Google's culture can do.
Like, you know, I've interviewed sooner before.
I'm like, is AI killing the web for like an hour?
And he's like, I love the web.
And it's like, you believe him because he made Chrome.
He cares whether or not he's actually killing the web.
And that was the heart of that conversation last year.
I don't know what's going to happen here.
It just feels very much like
Google making a search a little bit.
bit more interoperable against the worry that someone will reverse engineer all of search
and then make it so that Google is worth nothing to consumers is is just like fake worry.
They're still Google.
People still say they're going to Google it.
Yeah.
Like you could make Bing an exact copy of Google today and people wouldn't use Bing.
Bing has made Bing an exact copy of Google today and people won't use Bing.
day and people won't use Bing.
There's something about this that just seems
I don't know. We'll see what happens.
But it feels like they're making all of this.
You know, it's like the smartest people in the world are saying we can't solve this problem.
It just never rings sincere to me.
Yeah.
No, I think that's fair.
And the other thing I should say about chromium is I've talked to a lot of people who make
browsers who would love for Google to be less intense about running chromium.
Everybody I talk to who doesn't work at Google and works with Chromium is like, God, it's so annoying that Google runs Chromium because what they want goes and everything they do is to benefit Google in some way.
And wouldn't it be great if we had a neutral thing that just wanted browsers to be great?
The problem is that's very expensive and no one has ever done it before.
But to your point, no one has ever done that before because Google always has.
So is there a way in the wings for this to work?
It's certainly possible.
The DOJ certainly believes there is.
Are there scaled open source projects that run the entire world that don't have a Google involves?
Yes.
Linux exists.
Now, does Linux have its own deeply fucked governance problems?
It absolutely does.
But like, it exists.
Somewhere Sundar Pritchai I just heard you comparing Google to the Linux Foundation and started sobbing uncontrollably.
I'm just saying the whole world is like, man, I hope the one guy shows up to commit code to Linux for free.
And like, it works.
Like thus far it has worked.
That's true.
All right, that's a Google case where, David, I think you're going to be in that courtroom a bunch.
Just down the hall.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Around the corner.
Down the hall.
It's all pure chaos.
My favorite thing is, this is a little inside baseball for everybody.
So the way this works is these, these courtrooms.
We should say it's the meta case that's just down the hall.
Oh, yeah.
The meta case is just down the hall.
And what I should say is the courtrooms typically don't allow any electronics at all.
Right? Like you can't, you can't even type on your laptop while you're in there. You can't have phones, no, nothing. So what a lot of media members do who want to like take notes and write stories, there are media rooms for each one of them. And sometimes it's another courtroom and they just get like a video feed of the trial and they watch it there. They move the media rooms around every day. So every morning you show up at the courthouse and it's just pure chaos of a bunch of reporters trying to figure out which room to go to. And every morning there's somebody who thinks they're in the Google trial, but it's actually in a meta trial and vice versa. And the other day.
day when I was there for Sundar, they started the morning with a completely unrelated criminal trial.
It was just another trial that Judge Meda is overseeing.
And so for five minutes, he just had like a procedural conversation with a lawyer about when they were going to talk to this guy about his crime.
And people are like pouring into the media room as this is on the screens being like, who's in the jumpsuit?
This is this guy in like an orange prison jumpsuit.
And everybody's trying to figure out which Google executive this is.
Yes.
It's fantastic.
It wasn't Andy.
It wasn't Andy Rubin.
It was not, in fact.
But so the metatrial, there are like three, there are a lot of things going on in this
metatrial.
But we should note, Lauren Feiner is in that.
Do you, do Lauren see each other in the courthouse?
We do.
We pass each other in the hallways a couple times a day.
That's hilarious.
And Lauren, Lauren has become, like, sort of the house mom of the courtroom.
Every time I look around, she's like directing somebody where to go and telling them where
the cafeteria is.
And she's like, no, the mediums are.
Like, Lauren lives in the district court of D.C.
And someday she will leave and she'll be.
on the verge cast and it will be very exciting. But there are there are kind of three threads that I want
to talk about from the the meta trial this week. And the first is TikTok, which has come up an awful
lot in the course of the meta trial because the like big open question for all of this. And we've
talked about this is like, what is a social network? Right. And that what was it? What was it? One day where
TikTok was gone has turned into this incredibly interesting data point of who competes with who.
based on what happened when TikTok was gone.
And TikTok's head of operations was on the stand this week talking about what Reels is versus what TikTok is and how people use Reels and how people use TikTok and how Instagram has adapted Reels and its own app to match TikTok.
But this question of like, what is TikTok and how have all the other apps, particularly within Meta responded to it, has become like one of the most important parts of this.
whole trial.
And it's deeply bizarre because TikTok is supposed to be gone.
So is it good for meta or bad for meta when people flock to its apps in place of TikTok,
right?
That shows that they are the sun around which everything else orbits.
On the other hand, it shows that people are other places.
It's really true.
And also a lot of different, a lot of different witnesses on the sand this week have been forced to acknowledge
that there is nothing remotely unique
about Instagram at all.
I mean, over and over and over.
Instagram's just a copy of it.
Three other apps smashed together.
Exactly.
Which I've enjoyed very much.
Like there was a line from,
I believe his name is Aaron Pressman,
or Aaron Pressor, excuse me, at TikTok,
who called TikTok reels and shorts
virtually and deliberately
indistinguishable in function and user experience,
quoting something the company had written
in March.
It's fabulous.
It just love it. It's very good.
But this TikTok thing, I think to your point, Jake, is like meta is trying to prove that it has millions of competitors, right? And that TikTok competes with Instagram and Instagram competes with Facebook. And actually this is like a huge teaming ecosystem of places people hang out and spend their time. The case against it is that Facebook is a, is a,
personal social network and that that's that's what it does and that that's where it has a monopoly
and thus all the stuff that it has done is monopolistic. And the TikTok thing, I think on balance
probably helps meta because what they're saying is they've had executives from Tumblr and
Pinterest and Strava come up on the stand and say, we're not a social network. We are about
interests, right? Like even Twitter folks said this. Like we're a place to go for things that you're
interested in, which is not the same as a place to go to find people that you're friends with.
But meta gets up and it's like, well, when TikTok dies, everybody comes to our app. And then
when TikTok comes back, everybody leaves and goes back to TikTok. So what do we in and what do we do?
I do think it's really interesting. Like it feels to me and tell me if I'm wrong, but it feels
to me like a lot of this case is premised around this idea of the personal social network,
you connecting with your friends and your family,
which is this very old school,
old school, you know, 10, 15 years ago, I guess,
vision of social media.
And I feel like if Facebook vanished today,
I don't know that there would be a one-to-one replacement, right?
That is just not how people are thinking about social media anymore.
As I think, which may be,
where are my angriest neighbors to try to send their friends to jail?
There is another app for that.
That is next door.
Yeah.
But like maybe that hasn't popped up because Facebook
has this monopoly and they're being anti-competitive, but maybe it hasn't popped up because people just want different types of experiences on social media.
And I feel like that's what we're seeing with all these other companies that they're calling up.
But this was Mark's insight.
I mean, this is the heart of the case is Mark Zuckerberg woke up and said, every so often, there's a new thing that people want to do on their phones that gives rise to another social network.
There's another kind of sharing dynamic.
And so Facebook was whatever it was, not or not for colleges.
And then he identified photo sharing on Instagram and said, I got to buy that one.
And then he identified, and there's all these emails where he lays out his thinking.
And then he identified group messaging and messaging.
And so I got to buy WhatsApp.
And so the point here is the anti-competitive move was to stifle the thing that could have taken Facebook's market share.
And whether or not they could have bought a TikTok,
it's like where you're just getting into this place where they became so big that TikTok was too big to buy and also owned by the Chinese government or controlled by the Chinese government.
So it's like it's the weirdest one because they did try to buy SNAP.
Right? And Evan said no.
I have this quote here from Rebecca Slaughter as a commissioner of the FCC.
She was a Democratic commissioner of the FCC.
she's appointed by Trump in the first term, legally fired by Trump in this term, but she is one of the commissioners at the FTC who voted this case out of the commission and said we should go to trial on it.
And so I asked her about this market definition thing.
I was like, this is done, right?
Like meta's narrative about this is like putting us in personal social networking as whatever.
And she said, look, all antitrust cases are at market definition to a degree.
It's very tortured things that makes people hate lawyers.
The concept of antitrust law is very simple.
the administration of it gets very complicated.
Market definition is always hard.
Everyone has a different view about the right way to find a market.
It all gets ligated.
And then she went on to tell me,
what this case is really about is whether META bought competitors
to eliminate the risk of competition.
That is the argument at the end of the day.
Did it not want to compete on the merits,
but instead take out potential competition through acquisition
in order to build and maintain a monopoly in a way that's illegal?
It's not more complicated than that.
So I think META is putting a lot of stock into the existence of Meewee.
It's like, here's this dumb thing we can say to make everyone think everything else is dumb.
And then you have the actual Federal Trade Commission saying, no, this case is you saw Instagram as a rising threat and you bought it to kill it.
And they've shown that now, I think pretty conclusively.
And here are all of these other threats.
If you could have bought TikTok.
When TikTok went down, people came to your apps.
They're obviously competitors.
If you could have, you would have.
I don't know how that's going to go.
I really don't.
This case is real weird.
It's like this old lawyer cliche, I keep saying.
Like, if you don't have the law, you argue the facts.
If you don't have the facts, you argue the law.
And if you don't have either pound the table.
This is like old law professors say this.
They think they're very clever.
But that's what's happening here.
Like, meta is trying to argue the esoteric law of market definition.
And the government is like, but you bought Instagram.
Right.
And that, I mean, we talked about this last week,
but that was the thing that was so damaging about the Kevin Sistram bit of it.
And to that point, actually, I think the most.
interesting piece of all that this week has been about WhatsApp, which has come up more
this week than in sort of previous parts of the testimony. And it has become very clear that
Facebook was petrified about what messaging apps might do to Facebook in particular. And
it was really worried that Google was going to buy WhatsApp and turn it into a cross-platform
social network, which is very funny because at the same time Lauren is hearing this,
I was sitting in the courtroom listening to Sundar talk about how bad Google Plus was and get burned by the plaintiffs for how bad Google Buzz was.
And they literally use that as an example of how Google is not able to take care of its user's privacy.
That's how bad Google Buzz was.
And so Google, this company that can't make a social network to save its life, Facebook is terrified, is going to spend a bunch of money on WhatsApp, make it cross platform and take over the world with it.
Because to your point, they perceived messages.
apps as the future of how people interact with their friends and family, which check, correct.
They won. That was it. That was exactly correct. The group chat has taken over the Facebook
feed in a real way. And they were worried about I message and all of this stuff, right? They looked
at all the messaging apps out there and said, okay, we are the place people hang out with their
friends right now. That is going to move to messaging apps. It's more private. It's easier to
administer. Like, there's just a lot of reasons for it.
And they went and got WhatsApp, A, because they understood that that was going to work.
B, because they understood that Facebook's own stuff, including Messenger, was not going to be that.
There's been some really interesting testimony from folks at Facebook who were just like, Messenger just wasn't that thing.
It was popular, but it just, it wasn't going to win.
And then they were worried about what IMessage might be.
Like, there were questions inside of Facebook about whether Apple was going to turn on ads and more social features inside of IMessage.
And Apple's just like, we're not going to do that.
That's a stupid idea.
We would never do that.
But that's been the other thread of this is the same thing Mark Zuckerberg saw on
Instagram, which is photo sharing is the way people are going to share going forward.
And he was right about that.
He was also right about messaging apps.
And so now the question is, did Facebook sort of neuter WhatsApp by buying it?
Or did it help it ascend to new heights, which is the exact same.
question about Instagram. Yeah. I don't know, man. My, did you look at all these cases?
At the end, like, Apple's just first quarter of the year is like, well, Apple's going to be a whole
different company. Google's going to come out of these cases. But we haven't even talked about
ad tech remedies. Like, that hasn't even started. Right. You think Google will be a different
company if you pull apart search? Wait until you gut the money. Google's going to end the year in a
totally different place. Meta might end the year in a totally different place. Like, we're in for a restructuring
of the internet. It's.
coming.
Good.
Something's going to happen.
If you know what it is, by all means, tell me, I think it's party speakers.
It's up, something's up.
You can feel it in the air.
It should be exciting.
It's weird.
So much other stuff is so foreboding that I think this feels foreboding, but I think it's
actually exciting.
Like, there's space.
These companies under all this pressure is going to create space.
Yeah.
Other people are going to build stuff.
You look at what happened at the Microsoft case, and it's like a,
because of the Microsoft case, we got Google.
Like, that's just a thing that happened, right?
And we're, we're now doing that at greater scale with a bunch of different companies all at once.
And it's, we're doing it at a very weird economic moment.
So I think, like, this is ordinarily a time that you would see venture capitalists just like falling all over themselves to invest in everything everywhere because suddenly there's, it feels like there might be space and tons of these markets for the first time.
That's not happening because they're all in group chats being weirdos with each other.
They've got dumber ideas.
One of the answers regulars I talked to yesterday said VCs have hated Apple for so long.
It is only a matter of time before the money starts flowing.
I believe it.
I mean, there's so much there.
So we'll see.
We'll see.
I'm just saying it's all this stuff is happening and you can argue about the individual twist and turns.
But this is the stuff that creates space for new companies.
And honestly, it was a little exciting.
All right.
We've got to take a break.
We're going to run through this lighting around.
It's going to happen.
We'll get back.
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Complex and unprecedented, the Spanish authorities are calling it.
Before the disembarko, asymptomatikas.
Passengers who'd been stuck aboard the Hanta or maybe Hanta virus-stricken Dutch cruise ship
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where are they now since maybe COVID?
Some of the evacuees, American and French, have since tested positive.
for the virus, and yet public health officials seem remarkably calm.
We do have one individual who was taken to the biocontainment unit early, early this morning,
and we assessed that individual. They are doing well.
Possibly because this is not the one to freak out over.
Today, Explain drops every weekday afternoon.
All right, we're back.
I think we got to, this one's got to be short, David, this time.
Yeah, I have, I have things to do.
For once, I can't just podcast with you clowns forever.
We got party speakers to find.
Exactly.
Can someone invent a metal detector for party speakers?
Think about it.
My Navy ship is leaving soon, so I have to finish with this podcast.
Please, please more enlisted service members.
Send us photos of party speakers.
Eli, is it time?
It's the lightning round, but is it once again that time for America's time?
It's time.
Okay. It is time for America's favorite non-food podcast within a podcast.
That I feel I can say comfortably.
Award winning.
Future award.
Award inventing.
Proposed award wing.
Podcasts within a podcast.
Brendan Carr is a dummy.
All right.
So a quiet, another quiet week for Brendan.
He did congratulate himself a lot.
So, you know, we just said 100 days of the Trump administration.
Brandon put out a tweet with just a list of things that he says he's accomplished.
He, Brendan believes that he's strengthened national security and advanced public safety.
He believes he's protected consumers and expanded America's space economy.
Brendan, all by himself.
Is that Brendan's job?
He's unleashed high-speed infrastructure.
He's restored our leadership in wireless, which, as you know, is under constant existential threat.
If you don't upgrade the 5G network, something China.
Yep.
It's just there.
It's just in the background all the time.
And, you know, he says he has restored free speech.
So it's a long list.
We'll link it.
It's a tweet.
Under restoring free speech, he claims that he has joined DOJSSSS.
and Attorney General Slater and FCC Chairman Ferguson to launch a campaign to smash the censorship
cartel and restore free speech rights, which means sending threatening letters from the government
about other people's speech and just upside down world all over the place with Brendan.
So Brendan's very proud of, it's a very Trumpian.
Everything he says is a thing that he didn't do.
Yeah.
And a lot of it is just stuff the FTC does.
He's like, we did a spectrum off-tend.
It's like, yeah, it was Tuesday at the FCC.
Great.
What I want to call it this week is we, there's a bunch of stuff.
bunch of other 100 days coverage of Brendan that we should call out. We did a big piece,
Carl Bodie, who we love working with, just ran down all the stuff Brandon has done. It's basically
familiar, I think, to Vergecast listeners, particularly listeners of America's favorite
podcast from the podcast, Brian and Carl's Dummy. That piece is great. Carl is a ferocious writer.
He has been the model for how I think about writing for consumer advocacy and consumer rights
for a long time. He just said a great job. So I go read that piece. I also want to call out
other people have started taking note of Brendan in real meaningful ways.
So Fire, which is a free speech advocacy organization, not without its own controversies.
It has a strong point of view on what case it takes and doesn't take people, a lot of feelings about it.
You might almost call it the more conservative free speech advocacy organization.
I wouldn't go that far, but some people do.
They have a long piece about how Brendan sucks.
Like, just straightforwardly, Fire published a piece called Brendan Carr's Bizarro World FCC.
They have a cartoon of him with a backwards FCC logo dressed up like, like bizarro Superman.
And the caption on the cartoon, Brandon is saying, the FCC should operate as the nation's speech police.
We're just going to link it.
It's a little on the nose.
But it's a little on the nose.
Yeah.
But it's not just us screaming it, right?
It is some of our nation's preeminent free speech organizations, some of which, like, I'm pointing this out just to point it out, are not always aligned with what people think my politics are.
Although I think my politics are basically like free markets are good and don't be racist, which aren't exactly communist, but whatever, whatever you think my politics are, they don't always align with some of these groups.
So racism is bad. They call me Uncle Woke.
You just said like eight things that people are going to make us put on T-shirts now. I just want you to know that.
Including they call me Uncle Woke. That's just everyone who's listening, please know I will make that T-shirt.
Like what, it's so I get these notes. Like I did the piece of calling Jeff Bezos a kind of.
Howard, I got some of the most bananas emails of all time, just like calling me, like, literally like, you are a communist.
And I was like, the only political opinions I've really expressed consistently are like, free markets are good.
Competition makes better products.
Like, what do you want for me exactly?
And the answer is state regulated speech, clearly.
The LA Times is a good piece about Brendan running down all the things he's done.
So the coverage is out there.
It's not just us.
It's not just me.
woke. But as always, I want to end Brandon Carr's a dummy by saying,
Brendan, I know you listen. I know you love attention. You do. You live for it.
Come on the show, man. If you can defend any of this crap, you should do it. You should make
the argument. You should say the words out loud to me and then win. Don't you want to win,
Brandon? Don't you want to collect this trophy for me? I'll make you a trophy if you win that
debate. And you can have it. You can tweet about it. You can show it to your buddy. Elon.
the offers in front of you,
I just, I don't think you can do it.
So, as always, Brandon, I think you're a dummy,
but you are welcome on Decoder,
you're welcome on the Vergecast.
You're welcome to one of those,
you know, those things I do on YouTube now
or like 20 kids wave flags of people sitting in the site.
We'll do that.
Let's go.
I don't think you will because I think you're a dummy
and I think you know that you can't win.
As always, this has been Brendan Carr's a dummy,
America's favorite podcast with a podcast.
TikTok Trends with Brendan Carr is very clearly a podcast we need to launch.
So Brendan, Brandon, get asked.
What's that it's, what's it called?
Pallobium.
But you know what I'm talking about you know.
Jubilee.
Is that it?
Oh, by the way, if any, if there's any, like, young reporters out there who want to profile Jubilee, email us.
I'm fascinated by this entire situation.
Whatever is going on there is some of the weirdest new media that has ever existed.
And I don't understand how any of it works.
I would like to know more.
Do you want to write a feature?
Send a pitch.
Love this.
Jake, I have a favor to ask.
I put a story that Alex Heath wrote about WorldCoyne in our rundown,
and I didn't read it because I refused to learn anything about WorldCoin.
So can you explain it while I don't pay attention?
David, I was worried for folks who are watching it home,
David just drops a gigantic document with a bunch of stories that we may or may not discuss.
I try my best to prep for all of them.
World Coin is so inexplicable.
I spoke repeatedly with Alex Heath about this story.
I've read this story.
I edited this story.
I still cannot truly explain what World Coin is,
why it exists, or what it's doing.
The main news, this is the eyeball scanning startup.
Sam Altman's eyeball scanning startup.
It's an orb.
They have an orb?
scans your eyes, puts you on the.
the blockchain and that validates your ID.
Here's the most important thing.
You can now verify yourself on Tinder by getting your eyeballs scanned by Sam
Alton.
Yep.
And when you're swiping through Tinder, that's either going to be a clear way to know
that somebody is or is not a match for you.
So I think that's a big upgrade.
The actual news is they're bringing it to the U.S. for the first time.
It's legal in most states, not all of them.
But to bring it to the U.S., you can now get your eyeballs scanned.
You can now get on the blockchain.
You can now get some of the world coin.
I think the idea is that this is somehow going to help authenticate humans as being humans in a world of AI nonsense happening on the internet.
I'm not quite sure where the crypto coin comes in.
That still feels a little like fuzzy magic.
It'll be worth value somehow.
But yeah, the main thing is they have brought it to the U.S. now.
They're opening some stores.
You'll be able to go to Razor stores.
And while you're shopping for gaming accessories,
you can get your eyeballs scan and get it on the blockchain.
I would just say everything about this feels like Madlibs.
I still, like, I'm not sure how this all came together.
I'm not sure how they decided to partner with Tinder.
Well, because they need off providers.
or they need to prove that being an off provider is useful to someone.
So you're worried about getting catfished on Tinder.
And you're like, you know what?
That's an eyeball scan.
That's a real person.
These eyeballs match.
Yeah.
Yeah, that's like a, it's like they, look, they did this announcement in San Francisco.
Alex Heath went.
Lots of people went.
Yeah, Samin was there.
People want to be there.
The real quotes about all of this came at a previous event that they had last
October because like any startup, they need scale.
Like they need people to scan their eyeballs to make everything work.
And so they're announcing the U.S., which will get them scale.
But I just want to read this quote from last year.
To provide access to every human, we need more orbs.
Lots more orbs.
Probably on the order of a thousand times more orbs than we have today.
Not more orbs, but more orbs in more places.
then they are launching a service called Orb on Demand
that will let people order orbs,
much like a pizza you would have delivered to your apartment.
So you can push a button and someone with an orb
will come to your apartment and scan your eyes.
It's so silly.
I love it.
I love it.
This is all completely vindicated my total uninterest
in knowing anything about this story.
I love it.
Look, the world, soon our social networks will be full
of weird AI avatars all trying to bone you and marry Kevin Ruse.
And you are going to have to push the orb button and have an orb show up at your house
and verify that it's actually you who is deeply in love with Kevin and not some rogue AI.
And it is me, Kevin, if you're listening, get at me.
I'm right here.
I've been right here all along, Kevin.
It's very good.
It's very good.
All right.
Should we do like one or two more?
Yeah, we need one or two more.
We need like a pallet cleanser.
I would say we need more orbs a thousand times more orbs is a good pallet cleanser.
Let's do the Trump thing really fast just so you can take another.
I said palette cleanser, man.
Wait, okay, can I talk about some more AI nonsense?
Yes.
There's this, so META launched a meta AI app, and it has a social feed of things.
People are just sharing their AI prompts.
So you can have a conversation with META's AI, and it will just post the transcript.
You'll be talking to it.
You can hear somebody say, like, hey, well,
kind of crackers should I eat today? And then the AI just is like, oh, maybe you could try a whole grain.
And they're like, I don't think so. It is, I think the idea is to give people an idea of what they're
supposed to do with AI. I would tell you, this is the single strongest argument against AI that I have
seen yet. If you scroll through this feed, it is just like total nonsense, nonstop. It is incredible.
I can't look away. It's awful. I mean, that's what they want, right? I want to see what
how somebody has jailbroken meta AI.
You know, Mark Saguar gave an interview to Ben Thompson.
I think he came out today as we were recording.
And he says explicitly the thing we were talking about a couple weeks ago,
he says the future of Met.
Ben asked Mark, like, what do you want to do with AI?
And Mark is like, yeah, I want to do better ad targeting, obviously.
You know, we want to help people make more content, you know, feeds full of AI content,
all the stuff.
And he says this thing in the middle where he's like,
eventually we're going to make the ads forever.
advertisers and you're just going to connect to your bank account and tell us what business outcomes you want.
And then we'll just like deliver you results.
Like we'll just have sold your products for you, which means they're going to like make videos of your products with AI, write the copy with AI, generate infinite amounts of creative with AI.
Like you're just going to, it's like literally a black box.
Like you give them some money.
They make an advertising campaign and then some of your products get sold.
And that's literally his vision for the future of AI.
It's so funny to put that next to the thing that meta executives have been saying for a while,
which is that like a lot of people go to these services and appreciate the ads as content.
And it's like there just is this belief that actually what people really want is AI made stuff.
Like that is like a cultural value at meta, that AI stuff is good and people will like it.
And I see no evidence of that fact in the actual real world.
Yeah.
You tell us what your objective is.
You connect to your bank account.
You don't need any creative.
You don't need any targeting demographics.
You don't need any measurement except you're able to read the results that we spit out.
And it's like, you know, you guys have a lot of like ad fraud scandals.
Like you're, you're kind of famous for inflating the metrics?
Like, give us a lot of money and trust us.
We're Facebook.
What could possibly go wrong?
I wrote a story about this.
I emailed some media people, some ad agency people.
I'm sure you read this quote.
This is a return.
I said, can you respond to this?
One person said, I've reacted pretty viscerally to this.
I need a moment to say something smart, which is incredible.
And another person did not take the time.
And they just said, quote, read the results that we spit out is gold.
The full cycle towards their customers, from moderate condescension to active antagonism to will fucking kill you.
Perfect.
Perfect.
So I suspect there's a war coming between meta and the industry.
They're not happy with it.
All right, a pallet cleanser.
Just to end it on like the nerdiest note I can end it on in a happy note.
LG has spent 20 years trying to make OLED panels with blue phosphorescent backlights.
It says it's ready to manufacture tandem panels that use both fluorescence and phosphorescence.
This will bring power conduction down by 15%.
There's nothing that makes me happier.
None of what you just said sounds like words to me.
We're happy about this. This is good.
Everything about the future is predicted first by what happens.
happens in display technology.
It's absolutely true, right?
You can't get curved phones or folding phones without curved or bendy OLED panels.
You couldn't make smartphones without thin LCDs with low power draw.
You couldn't make laptops with CRTs, although some people did try.
You see what I'm saying.
You can look ahead to what the display industry is doing.
You can predict the future.
I'm just saying 20 years in the making, slightly thinner, brighter.
better.
OLEDs are coming and something will happen.
That is exciting.
See?
I've been doing a lot of research on the Sony Watchman from the 80s recently for a project
that will become very clear to everyone later this year.
And the like enthusiasm for a slightly different take on a CRT, unbelievable.
People were freaking out.
They were like, they made the CRT this big and said it this big.
It's going to change everything.
I'm just saying people react mostly to what things look like.
and the way that you change things,
how things look like,
you change the display technology.
So if you pay attention to that,
you will know what things are going to look like,
then you'll know the future.
And you don't need an orb to do it.
We need more orbs,
a thousand times more orbs.
That's it.
That's the Vergecast.
And that's it for the Vergecast this week.
And hey, we'd love to hear from you.
Give us a call at 866 Verge 1-1.
The Verge cast is a production of the Verge
and the Vox Media Podcast Network.
Our show is produced by Will Por,
Eric Gomez and Brandon Kiefer.
And that's it. We'll see you next week.
