The Way I Heard It with Mike Rowe - 473: Will Swaim—Don't Follow California
Episode Date: March 3, 2026Mike talks with Will Swaim, CEO of the California Policy Center. California has long marketed itself as the future—a place where trends are born and the rest of the country eventually follows. But S...waim argues that when it comes to public policy, that's the last thing America should do. Despite spending roughly $24 billion, California still leads the nation in homelessness. The state ranks near the bottom in education outcomes, while residents face the highest energy and gas prices as well as marginal income tax rates in America. Swaim argues these aren't accidents—they're the predictable results of bad policy choices.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
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What do you say, Will Swain?
Are you up for an ad hoc public service announcement that just might change and save America?
And change the trajectory of the entire planet.
Yes, sir.
Let's do it.
folks I've invited Will Swame on because I don't know of anybody who understands what's going on in California
better on a policy level than you maybe your old boss Ed Ring he seems to be still plugged in
but as a resident here I just feel like something is tipped and I have no desire to open a big
political can of worms but I do think it's really important in part because I
I just watched a video from Fareed Zakaria,
who talked, and not a Republican, not even a conservative,
but he spoke very plainly about what's happening in New York City.
And I just was taken by it,
because all the way out here in California,
it struck me as a kind of public service announcement.
Because our cities are in trouble, Will.
and the trouble our cities are in
sure seems to be a direct result
of the policies that have been put in place.
So I don't just want to make it a big dog pile.
I don't have any personal animus toward Gavin Newsom,
but at every front, at every angle,
I see something that just feels more and more worrisome
with every passing day about the present and the future of California.
So to the extent you're comfortable doing it, I just, A, I want to make sure I'm not hallucinating.
And B, for the rest of the country, can you, by way of example, talk about how this state got to where it is and what the consequences might be for the rest of the country if we adopt and adapt the policies that got us here?
Yeah, absolutely.
I think I can't help you on the problem of your hallucinations, but I can't.
tell you that what we're seeing here and what Gavin Newsom represents, I think,
unfortunately for the rest of the country is the impact of bad governance on a really wealthy state.
You know, Gavin Newsom loves to talk about the fact that California is the fourth largest economy,
if it were in the world, if it were its own nation.
But the fact is, A, that's not true, you know, especially when you figure in the cost of national defense.
But B, what's really important is that Gavin Newsom is what's that old saying born on third base
and thinks he hit a triple. He became governor of a state that was already reasonably well run.
Even when he took office, he wins in 2018. He comes into the governor's office in 2019.
And in the five years, six years now since he took office, he has doubled the state's budget.
And I want to put this into context for people. We had the largest state budget to begin with in 2019.
It was about $140 billion. That's larger than all.
that is larger than every other state in the union.
Now it's twice that.
And so we are spending 100% more today as a state than we were when he took office.
And yet the results are simply not there.
It's almost like there's an inverse relationship.
The more we spend, the worst things get.
And part of that is really owing to the fact that the more we spend,
the more we have to tax in order to get that money.
And so we are driving people out of this state.
And not only for political reasons.
you know, Gavin Newsom loves to say, oh, good riddance to people who are leaving or just a bunch of angry
Republicans. That's not true. You know, in my own family, I'll just give you an example. We have four
children, all adults. Not one of them lives in California. It is not a political decision. They didn't
leave and say, oh gosh, I hate Democrats or I don't like Gavin Newsom. They left because the price of
energy here is the highest in the country. Gasoline prices higher than Hawaii, which has to import
every thimble full of gasoline. We have the highest gasoline prices. We also, we also
have the best oil reserves in the nation right outside of Texas and Alaska. We're right up there
with those guys. Massive oil reserves, but we're not allowed to drill any of it because the environment
and we still haven't. I mean, tell me if I'm wrong, but have we yet felt the impact of Chevron
and Valero leaving? No, no, we have not, except in terms of like futures, oil trades in
Chicago or New York. But no, you're absolutely right to point that out that our, our oil. We're
policies are so restrictive on term, you know, in terms of exploration and drilling, refining,
and then actual retail sale of gasoline, they are so restrictive that, as you point out,
oil companies are simply leaving the state. And Gavin Newsom, who in 2018, 2019, was talking about
how oil companies are gouging California. We need to punish them. They're the guys perpetrating
climate change all over the world. The climate has changed because of these oil companies.
When those oil companies started packing up their offices and moving back to
Houston, Gavin Newsom realized what was coming next. We're going to have a gasoline shortage. The
prices will spike. And whether he's concerned about the impact on the poorest of the poor in
California who are going to be punished by that rise in gas prices, he certainly wants to be elected
president and can't have that on his resume, that, you know, highest gasoline prices in the nation.
And so now he's got all these people studying in his office. He says how to bring oil companies
back. He is doing a 180 on energy policy, in other words. And the whole reason is,
He now understands that when you limit the supply of gasoline, you are going to increase the cost.
I don't know if you saw the story last week, guys, that California is so desperate now for refineries, oil to refineries,
that last week had to import emergency supplies from the Bahamas, that famous oil kingdom in the Caribbean.
That's right.
So it's that bad.
And there's just tremendous irony I want to point out in, you know, the climate change rhetoric of we've got to stop using fossil fuels.
fuels and then having to use massive cargo containers to bring oil into the state, all those ships
on all those oceans, pumping out the exhaust from bunker fuel, this really toxic form of fuel
that ships have to use, to bring oil.
There was that old saying, was it shipping coal to Newcastle, Newcastle being a famous coal,
famous coal center in England and the irony, or selling ice to Eskimos when we were kids.
we sit atop these vast reserves. Water, water everywhere, if you will, and not a drop to drink. We cannot
touch this oil. It has been locked under the ground by the environmentalists, led by their spokesperson,
Gavin Newsom, who is just now starting to understand that the debt has come due. And he's going to have
to start figuring out how to quickly recruit these oil companies back into the state before he actually
launches, officially launches his run for the White House.
I wonder if the same thing's going to happen with timber, right?
I mean, we've got the timber reserves here in California are extraordinary.
And I think this states the leading importer of timber or lumber.
Yes, indeed.
You've talked about this an awful lot on the show.
I know that we used to have this massive industry in California for harvesting and replanting our forests.
And we were legendary.
At one point in California, in the early 20th century, we were the largest wood-purds.
producer, finished wood producer in the world.
Flash forward just 60 years from that point into the 1980s,
and we were a net importer, as you point out.
And now the cost of getting that, again, think about the climate charges
of trying to get wood products, you know, typically now cultivated in the third world
and ship over the oceans to California.
More climate change, of course.
And meanwhile, what's happening in the forests that we're trying to preserve?
You know this as well as anybody.
You've had my colleague at ring on the show.
what's happening to those forests is they're like locked in amber. There is no natural harvesting
going on anymore. We're not seeing guys go up there and pull wood out of that forest. And as they say,
in the forestry business, you can only remove dead trees by either harvesting or burning. So we get
a choice. In California, we've chosen the latter, ironically. You know, most of our state seems to
burn down annually in a carbon explosion that is unparalleled by anything produced by car.
or factories. So we have shut down our forests, eliminated all the jobs and all the jobs associated
not just with forestry, but that depended on those lumber towns in California. They have dried up.
Anybody who has visited the really lovely northwest in California, Oregon, and Washington,
you can drive through these towns that were thriving in our childhood. That's not that long ago.
But in the 60s, 70s and 80s, these towns started to dry up. Why? Because environmentalists succeeded,
persuading the state lawmakers to shut these things down in order they said to preserve flora
and fauna. We're paying the price for that.
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So the cautionary tale then,
for the rest of the country.
Because here's the thing.
And like the reason I wanted to have this conversation with you is because I'm lucky
because I get to travel a lot.
And I've been to every state half a dozen times.
And I realize most people don't get to experience the singular transformative feeling
of pulling into a gas station outside of Tulsa and, you know, paying $2.5 a gallon.
Right.
You know, but they're simply because there are plenty of people now who are enjoying record low gas prices.
No one in California knows what I'm talking about.
I don't think we believe it because we're used to paying $450, $4.80, $5 a gallon.
I mean, how, I know the answer, but in simple terms, what should people under, what will happen to the price of gas if the person in the Oval Office hangs?
onto the same orthodoxy.
Am I overstating it?
Is it going to be that expensive everywhere?
That is going to be the big question.
How much federal authority would a guy like Gavin Newsom be tempted to exercise on behalf of the,
I'll call them the climate change activists because that's what it is in California?
It's going to be a lot harder.
You know, this is not a red or a blue nation.
It is a very diverse place.
And there are people in some very big and powerful states that are going to resist that.
Oil companies have a lot more pull in those states than they do out here.
That's why they've simply abandoned the oil companies have abandoned California.
There's just no hope really of honest regulatory change.
I think that, you know, to pull the camera back, if we can for a moment,
I would say that a lot of this is owing to a unique feature of California politics and governance,
and that is the role of government unions.
And if you don't mind, I'll just explain real quickly.
We have about 11 or 12 percent of the nation's population here in California.
So let's call it 11 or 12 percent.
We have 25 percent of all the state and local government union members in the country.
So more than we are disproportionately represented by 100 percent the number of state employees
and local employees who are members of government unions.
So we have about 1.6 million people who pay dues to unions.
And those unions bankroll, they finance the campaigns of politicians.
And they only have one concern, these unions typically.
and it's a really simple concern.
We want to make more money
and we want to have more control over the workplace.
So, for example, right now the governor
is trying desperately to get government workers
to go back to the office after COVID.
Remember COVID?
Remember that thing that happened?
When Gavin Newsom locked down the state
for the longest period of time
of any other state in the nation,
workers got used to working at home.
Their unions made that an integral part
of all of their collective bargaining agreements
and now they don't want to go back to the office.
Newsom is pounding the podium
and saying, you've got to go back.
and they're saying, we brought you into this world, we can take you out, Governor.
And that's exactly what happens.
These guys bankroll the campaigns of candidates who get into office as Governor Newsom did,
and they return the favor in terms of higher pay and benefits.
But that's all really the unions care about.
After that, any candidate they elect, they don't care what that person does other than giving
them higher pay and benefits in their particular niche of jobs.
And so you get people who, in order to cobble together a coalition during their campaign,
start talking to people about climate change is really cool.
critical and we're going to have to stop oil drilling. They never look at the unintended
consequence of that or if shutting down the forests, which now have dried up and burst into flame
almost annually. We talked to me, you know, the price of wood is so expensive that housing costs are
through the roof. That's one of the many reasons for that. We could talk about that problem.
But the bottom line is these these government unions spend about a billion and a half dollars every
election cycle, $1.5 billion. That is the most of any other state. There's no other
state that comes close to this. And it has just distorted our politics in such a way that you get a guy
who's the governor and he claims, you know, I'm the, I'm sort of a global leader on all these
issues. But the fact is he's led by the nose by the service employees international union,
the California Teachers Association and others. So that is a unique feature of California that,
you know, in office, Newsom has already pledged that, you know, in the White House, part of his ambition
would be to extend worker rights. What does he mean by worker rights? The right to work in any job they
want to do any profession, to start any business they want. No, no, no, no. It's going to be,
you got to go to work. You got to go to work in corporations that are managed by federal
government labor law, especially unionization. So that could be coming to a nice state near
you, wherever your listeners are. That is a, that is a kind of a brass ring the Democrats
have been aiming for for about 20 years. To what extent are the unions driving the current push for a wealth
tax, a billionaire tax, because I see the governor, you know, kind of pushing with one hand away
and waving closer, closer with the other. He seems to be in an odd spot with that, but that's
very much on the menu in New York as well. Yeah, just so that your listeners know if they haven't
been following the show, we have in California a proposal to put a statewide ballot.
Gosh, pardon me, guys.
A ballot initiative on the statewide ballot here in November that would impose, they say,
a one-time 5% tax on wealth.
That means not just like your income or the value of your house or something like that.
It literally means like somebody goes through your house and calculates that painting is worth X,
that automobile is worth Y, that jet you have for your corporation.
That's part of your private assets.
We're going to tax you on that.
And what immediately happened was that billionaires started packing up and leaving.
The other weird and creepy feature about this is that it's retroactive.
So even if it passes in November, it's effective backward to January 1st of 2026.
So billionaires started leaving.
Newsom already has seen this.
We have lost more population than the combined populations of several states in the last, you know, under Newsom's term.
I mentioned he comes in in 2019.
He's elected 2018, comes in in 2019.
We've lost nearly two million people in that time.
And why have they been leaving?
Again, it's not a political decision for many of them.
It's a tax situation.
It's a cost of living situation.
Cost of housing, cost of gasoline, cost of electricity, cost of regulation to run a business.
A lot of companies left right around the COVID lockdown and just said, you know,
I'm moving to Tennessee, moving to Florida, moving to Texas.
Famously, you might remember this guys that Newsom was debating Ron DeSantis, Florida
governor, was it Sean Hannity, I think, on Fox.
And good old Ron DeSantis came, loaded for bear, and said, you know, there's a lot of folks in California who are moving here now.
And gosh, some of them are your in-laws.
So his wife's parents have moved to Florida.
Why?
Again, is because they hate their son-in-law.
That's possible.
I doubt it.
I think what's really going on is it is simply cheaper to live someplace else.
So Californians are voting with their feet.
What do you do if all of the policies that these people are trying to escape now become federalized under a,
a Newsom administration or somebody like Gavin Newsom. What do you do in that event? Where do you escape to?
Do you go to Canada? I'm not sure. I don't know what you do at that point to escape policies that have
really driven California into the economic ditch. We've only begun to scrape the surface on how
difficult it is to live here. But what happens if there's no alternative? There's just nowhere to go.
If this is it, it's now game over in the United States of America because these policies will limit growth
and drive people into poverty.
And the worst effects will be felt precisely by the people that Gavin Newsom says he's here to help.
I'm here to help the poor, so I'm going to raise taxes on the rich.
The rich, therefore, raise the taxes on the product or the price in the product they sell to account for that.
Everything gets more expensive.
Everything including, say, a high-speed rail.
How important is it for, you know, Joe Blow and Salinas,
to understand the totality of that debacle
and how such a thing can happen.
How important is it, you know, homelessness as well?
I don't know if it makes sense to conflate those two things.
But all of it will just seems to come back to...
We sure are taxed a lot, you know,
and everybody I know pays their taxes,
and I don't know anybody who cheats on their taxes,
including me, and we just have a front row seat to seeing our money squandered.
That's right. Yeah, we were just talking about, you know, transportation, high-speed rail.
We pay the most in gasoline taxes of any state in the union. It's about $1.18 in additional taxes
over what the other states pay. And you would think for that that we would have the best roads,
because that's what the tax is for. But in fact, by every available metric, state auditors in
California, I mean, government auditors in California, or national highway safety transportation
board, you pick your poison, literally. California has among the worst roads in the nation.
And yet we have the highest gasoline taxes. There is something in between. It's a South Park
underpants known problem. You know, we get all this money pouring in, and at the end of the day,
we still have lousy roads. Where is the money going? There is a level of fraud here, and you point to
high-speed rail, where the governor recently celebrated laying that first mile of track,
which turned out not to be high-speed rail track, but a railroad spur to get supplies from
one railroad system to another closer to where the track will actually be laid one day.
But we are now six years past the deadline. It was supposed to be completed in 2020.
It was supposed to connect San Francisco with Los Angeles, and now it connects two farm towns in the
Central Valley. That's their big goal now. High-speed rail between two towns that almost nobody
moves between or around or goes to, I mean, I love the Central Valley. I think it's absolutely
mystical, magical, and wonderful. It is one of the greatest producers of agricultural goods in the
world. We don't need high-speed rail through there. It wasn't suffering from a lack of
transportation options. That's correct. But they have just simply do, they do what they do frequently
in Sacramento. They just simply move the goalpost. So now it's not going to be San Francisco at LA.
It's going to be two farm towns connected. It's not going to be high-speed rail for most of that
since it's going to actually be like sort of standard train service.
And it's going to cost, it was supposed to cost $33 billion when completed six years ago.
It's not only not completed.
It's now projected to cost over $120 billion for that much reduced high-speed rail plan.
But again, the unintended consequences, I'm not saying these people set out to run a bogus train system.
I'm saying they're incompetent to govern, and therefore the unintended consequence was perfectly predictable.
These are people who love to sort of blue sky utopian solutions to problems.
How are we going to beat climate change?
We're going to get everybody out of their automobiles.
What are they going to drive?
They're going to take a high-speed rail.
Well, now we don't have the high-speed rail anymore,
and our gasoline is more expensive than anywhere else in the country.
We are stuck between rocks and hard places in almost every policy debate.
There's almost nothing in California that couldn't be made better by less government,
sincerely.
I mean, almost nothing.
You mentioned, you asked if you were conflating or confused.
using a mention of the high-speed rail debacle with the problem in homelessness, not at all.
They both bear these similar hallmarks. And just as we were talking about high-speed rail,
and homelessness, the problem is Governor Newsom said, I'm going to do something really amazing,
record spending $24 billion in four years. And then he couldn't account for where the money went.
Very embarrassing. So state auditors couldn't track the money. They said most of it will never
know what happened to it. And is homelessness reduced? No, it actually grew.
in that period of time. We have more homelessness now, not less, even though we spent $24 billion
we can no longer find an account for. So in any other context, that would be called what it is.
It's outright fraud. We do the same thing in public education, where we spend more per student
than any other state in the union, and we rank 48th. Mississippi, which used to be the laughing
stock of public education in America, is now number nine. A few years ago, Mississippi decided they
We're going to teach math and reading, and they were going to insist that kids learn it.
We don't insist.
We just pretend.
Our kids right now are being trained as one local education leader, the teachers union in L.A. said, our kids may not know their multiplication tables, but they know insurrection and revolution.
Yes, they do.
They are training for a different kind of employment in class warfare.
So we pretend to educate our children.
We continue to pay the teachers.
we do not allow any teacher to be fired without having it run through the union filter.
So that means we have a lot of teachers who do not belong in the teaching profession.
And those who do are stuck carrying the burden of ill-educated kids who are undereducated
by their own peers and their own schools.
They're carrying the burden.
I would say give those people raises of 100 or 200 or 300% if they're good.
But we don't measure teacher quality by that kind of a metric.
We say that we can't.
It's impossible.
And the result is we're handing out high school diplomas to kids who absolutely fail on first contact with community college.
They are not educated.
We have lied to them.
It is another fraud.
When you spend that much money to quote unquote educate a kid and they can't get through a semester at a community college.
We had a great report come out, Mike.
You guys may have seen this, Chuck.
Did you see the story coming out of University of California, San Diego about a month ago?
They have, they say, about.
20% of their students coming in who can't do math at the eighth grade level, 40% can't do math
at the 12th grade level, and they're being admitted to one of the most prestigious
University of California State campuses. It's just an amazing school. So what are they doing?
They're saying we have to fire the high-end math professors if we can and replace them with remedial
people who can teach addition, subtraction, multiplication, division to college students who are led
into the University of California.
We just pretend to educate our kids in California.
Now imagine that miracle imposed on every state in the country.
Now think about what that portends for our economy.
What does it pretend for systems like social security or Medicare?
If you love these social welfare programs that are absolutely essential for a lot of people,
what do you do when nobody's working and paying the taxes that fund those programs?
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Well, I'll tell you what you do.
You give the producers
of idiocracy
a long overdue Academy Award
because that's the answer.
In the documentary class.
I mean, how, so really,
like, we've talked a lot about this
before and I know that,
again, I don't want to answer,
I don't want to ask questions. I think I know the answers
too, but how much
of what ails us is a result of just the lowering of standards where they ought to be raised
and the raising of standards where they ought to be lowered.
Like when does regular, it feels like we're just over-regulated in areas that make no sense
and under-regulated in areas.
Like, where's the standard for rooting out fraud?
Well, for a minute, it was called Doge, I guess, and then we,
clutched our pearls because that looked mean or capricious or something. But now in the wake of
Minnesota and what it looks like, I just, I don't know, Will. I mean, it's just standards and
expectations must play a role in this ramp. It's true. And for that, I hold us responsible. By us,
I mean, every single California voting age, we do this. I, you know, I'm banging on the drum here about
how much money government unions spend to finance political campaigns.
The fact is, we're the boneheads who vote for the people who are representing those kinds of
claims on our money and our government power.
We vote for this.
We vote for it all the time.
We prefer, apparently, based on results, we prefer performative theatrical politics to actual getting
stuff done.
This is why the night in 2025 when L.A. burst into flame and, you know, significant
portions of the city of L.A. and L.A. County burned down in the space of about a week.
This is why that happened. Where was our, where was the mayor of L.A.? Not that she'd be
carrying a fire hose, but the symbolism is important. She was in Ghana, Ghana, in Africa, attending
the inauguration of the president there. Where does that fit into fighting crime, reducing homelessness,
preparing your city to handle massive fires? Because they do happen here. Wildfire is a regular
feature of the West.
And knowing that, we might have been in, we might have made better preparation to fight that.
But no, she was off.
And I think, again, this is symbolically important.
I'm not saying she could have picked up our hose.
Also really important, the reservoir run by our own appointed Department of Water and Power,
appointed by the mayor, was empty in the west side of the city.
I mean, you know all this.
I don't have to go through the catalog of data there.
But this was not as the media and Karen Bass, mayor of Los Angeles and other elected officials tried to say,
this was not evidence these fires of climate change.
This was evidence of government incompetence.
And the fact that we as Californians elect incompetent people,
people who tell us about a dream that we want to live
where we don't have to work and we get stuff for free
and we're going to have a perfect utopian society,
we vote for that, all of us.
And I'm sparing individual shaming and blaming here.
I did not vote for these people,
but I apparently did not do a good job
of communicating the disasters
that would unfold if we continue to elect these kinds of people.
That's my responsibility.
Nor did you stomp your feet, take your marbles, and leave.
Maybe you should have.
Maybe I should.
Maybe Chuck should.
It's just so, I think I said this off mic, but I'll say it out loud.
You know, if you're trying to start a business in this state, if you're trying to expand a business,
If you're trying to hire, it just feels as though there's some, you mentioned the invisible hand earlier.
There's an invisible force that seems to be double dog daring me to do everything that I feel like a good government and I feel like wise policies would encourage people to invest, would encourage people to hire.
I mean, talk maybe a little bit since you have invoked unions so the rest of the country understands.
What does it mean for an entrepreneur or a small business person to hire someone?
The most basic deal.
Like how complicated and fraught has that become in the Golden State?
Well, it's very easy to hire a person.
It is very difficult to fire a person in California.
You could talk about the teachers unions as an example.
It costs about a quarter of a million dollars to fire a teacher.
And I know you asked about the private sector and a business.
We'll come to that in a second.
But where unions exercise that level of control over the workplace as teachers do in schools,
it's almost impossible to get rid of a bad teacher.
And the result is, you know, we have all kinds of research that chose that if you got rid of about the bottom 5% of teachers in California,
our outcomes, our student achievement outcomes, would skyrocket.
But you're really asking about how difficult is it to run a business in the state of California.
And I'll give you a couple of quick examples, just anecdotal for the moment.
But one of them is, you know, I'm involved in a lawsuit right now because the governor signed off on a bill a year ago,
which prohibits employers from speaking about religion or politics in the workplace.
They call this a captive audience.
your workers are forced to sit there and listen to you opine about politics and religion.
Now, I can't say how other employers run their shops, but in mine, talking about politics and
religion are important. You know, I run a small policy organization, and of course we talk about
policy and politics and religion occasionally, and that is apparently illegal under this law.
Now, take that out to any other business enterprise. I'll give you an example of the fast food industry,
which got hit with a massive spike in pay hikes that was demanded by the service employees
international union and signed off by Gavin Newsom.
It raised salaries in the fast food industry from roughly $15 to $20 per hour.
Now they're looking for $25 per hour.
So the next thing that happens is restaurants started raising their menu prices, number one.
Number two, they started laying off workers.
Number three, replacing those workers with kiosk, which are increasing in
run by AI so that you have a lower labor cost. And that's how almost everybody I've spoken with
in California who runs a business, they do a lot of reporting. And every, almost every one of the
businesses I've talked to have said, I have simply had to reduce my labor costs by shrinking the number
of workers I have. So we have laid people off. You know, the unintended consequence again, right,
of, oh, we're going to raise people's salary so they can afford to raise a family by working the
counter at a McDonald's. And the next thing they know, they have no job. No job.
at all. So running a business is hard here because the government wants to control your speech
on your property. And if you own a fast food restaurant, you want to explain to your employees
why suddenly some of the workers are no longer here and why there's a kiosk now at the counter
where a worker used to be. How do you explain that except as an act of political homicide effectively?
That the governor signed a bill that raised labor costs so high had to lay off your friends,
your colleagues, and you might be next.
Not for Panera bread.
Yep, right. Thank you for pointing out.
Why don't you tell the story? That was a good one.
Well, I don't know the details of it, but it sure seems like, and this goes under the fraud category again,
but it feels like there were exemptions that were made for that whole fast food minimum wage thing.
And it feels like Panera Bread got a pass, and it looks like the governor had a relationship with the owner.
That's right.
And it's the oldest damn story in the world.
But in these times, it just feels writ large.
And how do we gloss over it, Will?
I know what you're going to say, because we're fat and happy and soft.
And we're citizens.
And so far, yes, it's annoying and it's troubling.
But our house isn't the one on fire yet.
It hasn't gone splat to the point where,
Will Swame, Chuck Klausmeyer, and Mike Roe will go, that's it. Now I've had enough. I'm following
Joe Rogan. Well, you asked just a moment ago about this wealth tax, and it is backed by the
Service Employees International Union, and only one arm of it is backing at the health service workers,
and their claims are, boy, they're just untrue. I mean, they say that the reason they need
this is because tax revenue is down, and I pointed out a moment ago, tax revenue is way up in
California. We have a budget that's twice what it was six years ago.
Our problem is not revenue. It's spending. It is the effectiveness of our spending. But unions never miss a chance to get more cash. So all of this money will be poured into an area where SEIU has a special interest in growing its membership. That is in hospitals and home health care.
What's fascinating about this, again, I think this is a really important thing to talk about. You and I, Chuck and you, Mike and I, we're not making these observations in a vacuum.
It's not just like conservatives, perhaps like me, who object to this. It's other Democrats.
California has become the poster child because of all the dysfunction we've talked about.
California has become the poster child of why you can't trust Democrats. I'm not saying that
other Democrats are. You mentioned Farid Zuccaria talking about, you know, New York City.
But we've also got the famous kind of lefty liberal guy right out of Southern California,
Ezra Klein, Washington Post columnist, who with
his colleague Derek Thompson, I think Derek's at the Atlantic, that wrote a book called
Abundance. And the book is almost a total takedown on California. Ezra's written numerous
columns. And again, I disagree with them. And Ezra's policy pronouncements, most of them.
But we both agree, California is a problem for the Democrats. You know, as soon as Gavin Newsom
starts running, you can count on his opponents, even inside the Democratic Party to say,
here's a picture of San Francisco. You want more of that? But, you know, I say that. And then I reflect on
the fact that, you know, I like told people in 2018 when Newsom was running was, we don't have to
guess what he would do, look at San Francisco and what he did do. So how do we raise awareness about this?
I think, you know, Mike, you and Chuck do an awesome job of warning people, I think, about
what government regulation can do, however unintentionally. But I really do believe that this is a problem
of an American cultural problem, of people who want to be rescued.
by a man on a white horse, primarily a man. We'll take a woman, I think, in America now.
But it's, you know, we want some hero to come writing in and deliver utopia. We want, we want a king.
As much as our friends on the left love to hold no king's rallies, they also want an imperial
president. They want a president who's going to be unbridled, you know, unchecked by the
constitutional power. And we've got a president right now who's sort of pushing in that direction anyway.
So there is a kind of bipartisan charge at the idea that we just should have whatever we want.
The rule book, the Constitution of the United States, can be safely ignored.
We can trample people's speech rights in the workplace.
We can trample people's property rights at home and in the workplace.
We can screw up the cost of living dramatically and still claim that we're the guys who can fix it all.
I think there's just, you know, again, I would ask you guys, what do you say to people?
who are in the middle wondering who should I vote for.
I would just ask, sorry, please go ahead.
I was just going to say, do not vote for people who tell you they can deliver utopia.
The fixes here are going to be very, very painful.
We did not get into this mess in the last couple of years, even the last six years.
I'll give you one other example here.
California for 40 years has flouted, has violated federal immigration law.
And so when Donald Trump decided he was going to finally shut down the border and end the kind of lawlessness
around immigration in California.
By the time those federal agents came here, undocumented people were really built right into our
communities.
You know, we all know or suspect we know somebody who's here illegally.
They're frequently going to our churches.
Their kids go to our schools.
We shop in the same stores quite frequently.
And then all of a sudden this whole thing is disrupted by a president who is, I would argue,
legitimately and reasonably concerned about the problem of this lawlessness.
But it took 40 years to get here.
And look what the blowback was as soon as Donald Trump announced he was going to really stick to, be faithful to federal immigration law.
People burned down L.A.
They held up traffic in San Francisco, blocked bridges.
It is a really tragic thing.
It is going to be hard to break and reset these bones that have been badly broken for decades now, I think.
Chuck, you lived here longer than I have.
Yeah, that's true.
I mean, what would it take to send you back to Baltimore or someplace else?
Yeah, I think I would go someplace else.
I mean, I feel like I'm this close, you know, but my job is here now.
Yeah, about that.
You know, if my job left, I'd be inclined to follow, Mike.
Yeah, I think it's an interesting question.
because, you know, famously Joe Rogan, right?
Heads off and goes to Austin and Ben Shapiro was in L.A.
And I think he's in Florida now, perhaps.
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But look, how about this?
Since it's on everybody's mind,
by everybody's, I mean mine,
um,
talk about what we're talking about in the context
of half the Congress
losing the ability to stand.
To simply stand up.
I get.
it, they were trolled. I get it. They were put in a corner. But you know what? There are 10 cameras
pointed at you and you knew it. When you walked into that chamber, it's like Disneyland,
you must be this tall to get on the ride. Well, you are. And now you're sitting there. And now
you must know the country is watching. And man, when you just talk, how are we to think?
about the inability to stand up in agreeance with a simple statement that the duty of the government,
first and foremost, is to protect its citizens.
Like, we're in a world where half of our Congress doesn't agree with that.
Or maybe they do, but they couldn't show it.
Your thoughts on that.
Yeah, I think you've said roughly what I would.
We're in this period where theatrical performances flying to Ghana right before a massive wildfire breaks out or not standing up when the president asks a trolling question to which there's an easy answer.
You know, I don't feel trolled when I stand up under my own volition and say, yeah, I believe I was elected to the Congress to protect the American people.
That is incontrovertible.
That is the purpose.
You swore an oath to protect and defend the Constitution of the United States of America when you got into the Congress.
And if you can't stand up and reaffirm that oath, then you've got a problem.
And if it's because you're embarrassed and afraid that you might be trapped by folks on your left, you've got a problem.
There is a real lack of courage.
You know, I would just say the Congress has become like a vestigial third nipple.
It's just almost an afterthought now.
It's fascinating that when the Constitution was written, it starts with Article 1.
And that is, you know, just symbolically, it is therefore the most.
important thing the framers thought to erect first. What's the most powerful body? It's not the
president. It's not the Supreme Court. It's the Congress that is supposed to have all this power.
And yet, because it is divided into two houses and selected from people in all 50 states at present,
it's going to be a very diverse body. It's going to be a lot of arguing. The Senate is supposed to
cool off the debate and actually make sober decisions over a period of six-year terms. But they've all
just checked out. And that's a Democrat and Republican problem. A lot of our Congress people have just
decided it's a lot easier to let the president, whether that's Barack Obama or Joe Biden or Donald
Trump. It doesn't matter to them. It's let that guy take the heat. I'm going to go back and sit in the
living rooms of the rich and raise cash and run another campaign so I can keep this awesome job where I really
don't have to take a whole lot of risks. So again, I would just ask, you know, I ask all of my friends,
are you willing to sit down with people and really explain in a kind and sober way?
What's at stake here?
What's at stake in California is the immiseration of entire families.
What's at stake here in California is a defunct and dysfunctional economy that not only can't sustain itself,
but will come increasingly to depend upon all other states.
One example on that, by the way, before I slip out of here and we forget about it,
we're talking about fraud in homelessness, fraud in the high-speed rail system,
fraud in our public education system.
The other one that's really fascinating to me is during COVID, almost every one of the U.S.
states got a federal loan to back up its unemployment insurance fund because as you shut
down the economies during COVID, lots of people went to the unemployment department metaphorically
and asked for that weekly largesse of like 400 bucks a week or something.
And we ran out of money really quickly.
Every state was running out of money, teetering on insolvency with not enough cash.
and first Trump and then Joe Biden dutifully poured hundreds of millions of dollars, billions of dollars into these systems with the promise that the state recipients would return the money as soon as they were able.
Well, we were able to return that cash in 2022 in California.
We had a $100 billion surplus, which sounds great until you realize it was just because a lot of tech firms during COVID had just exploded in terms of value and we're paying huge dividends and therefore huge tax revenue.
So $100 billion budget surplus on a $300 billion budget.
A lot of money left over.
And what did Newsom do with it?
It was like Oprah.
You're going to get a gift.
You're going to get a car.
You're going to get some.
And it was just pouring the money out in all these kinds of –
we gave Medicaid subsidies or payments.
We gave free Medicaid to illegal immigrants in that period.
Newsom did.
That's when that catastrophe started because we had all this state money.
But it was a one-time deal.
As soon as that money was gone, we not.
not only didn't have a Medicaid system we could fully fund anymore, but we're going to blame
Donald Trump for that.
We also had this problem of not being able to pay back our federal loan of $20 billion.
Oh, and by the way, we lost $55 billion of that money to international fraud gangs and prisoners
in our own state prison system.
Just petty fraudsters, international crime gangs associated with the Chinese government,
the Russian government, the North Korean government.
Everybody knew where the suckers were.
California, $55 billion, just evaporated, and Newsom will not pay back the loan.
So he may think he's really clever.
We're the only state that didn't pay back its loan.
It's a very complicated issue, and I would imagine a lot of your listeners are now trying
to switch off and have me stop talking about unemployment insurance trust fund.
But here's the real kicker in the story.
What happened is the IRS said, oh, you're not going to pay us back.
We have ways of making you pay us back.
They attached an escalating series of payroll deductions that will be taken out of employer payments to their employees.
So every California employer right now who pays federal employment payroll taxes will now have a higher tax this year than they did last year.
It was higher last year, the year before that, et cetera.
And for the foreseeable future, our state auditors say, we're a dog chasing its financial tail.
We will not be able to repay this loan.
this tax is high and rising.
It's another curb, another break, another impediment to hiring people, you asked earlier,
you know, how difficult it's run a business.
It gets more and more expensive because of that kind of government.
I wouldn't even call it incompetence.
That's like giving Newsom a pass.
He refused to pay this back knowing that the IRS, his creditor,
would come back and get the cash anyhow.
So California's being from employers.
They would not get it out of the general revenue system.
because he's too busy paying off all of his allies through grants of largesse.
So it's a really troubling circumstance.
I used to say, thank God he's running for governor because he's become more moderate,
but his form of moderation is still so radical and devastating to the economy that
I don't know how else to say this for your listeners outside of California.
Please don't do this to yourselves.
This is not the exit door that you thought it might be.
This is not the off-ramp.
these are not the droids you're looking for you are looking for it struck me when when you were talking about the
the decision not to stand part of what you know it bothered me so much watching it i was in fact chuck
you and i and our whole crew stayed late and watched this thing and the thing that troubled me and it
didn't occur to me later it wasn't that they were affirmatively saying um we uh
we don't agree that the American people are our first duty of care.
It wasn't that.
That was too obvious and too...
What bothered me was I would bet big,
I bet my life that many Democrats who sat
would have preferred to stand.
But they didn't.
They felt like they couldn't.
They were in their bubble.
And the prime directive, of course,
the real prime directive is
if he tells you to do it, don't do it.
Right?
If he's for it, we have to be against it.
Even reduced to that seemingly, very, very simple choice,
the thing that bothered me more was the lack of imagination.
Like, why didn't that guy who fell asleep
and then got caught picking his teeth?
I don't even know who that was, but it's such a, man.
Indelible image.
He could have.
he could have stood and not clapped.
He could have stood and put his hands in his pockets
and continued scowling.
He could have stood and given him the finger,
which was basically what that button
that what's her name, Taleb was wearing, right? F. Ice.
So there's no decorum. There's no manners.
There's nothing stopping these guys in other words
from not blowing themselves up
and falling in line like a good Democratic lemming,
but doing something creative and individualistic, I think.
I would have respected it had they stood and flipped them off,
thereby telling their constituents,
I'm still with you, but I don't like being put in a corner like this.
I don't like the do you still beat your wife question,
but they don't.
They don't.
And that makes me think they're not that smart or creative.
creative. And that's a different insult than, oh, I don't believe, you know, I don't agree with your policies.
I just, I just despair of the lack of imagination. And that lack of imagination, I think, mutates into the governor
we're discussing, and a great many other governors, too. They're just not being creative. They're in their
box. They're in their bubble.
Well, I wonder, Mike,
I wonder, so sorry to cut you off.
I was done anyway. I was just making sounds
at that point.
You know, there's the
saying often attributed to
Andrew Breitbart that all
politics is downstream from culture.
And our culture has become
one in which
people will not
attend public events.
social events, if they know that somebody with whom they disagree politically is going to be there.
And it gets down to the level of family. It could be a neighborhood party. I talked to a neighbor
who said, oh, we don't play A. Y youth soccer anymore because all the people are extraordinarily
liberal. And one of the other neighbors who is extraordinarily liberal said, oh, I don't attend
AYSO soccer, use soccer anymore because everybody there's a trumper. And it was like, oh my gosh,
I wish I could get the two of you together so you could both have a fight someplace.
else and leave these civic institutions to be this other thing, which is, you know, I go to a church.
There are people there, including one of my priests, with whom I have vigorous political debates
and differences.
None of it means I don't go to the church, or I hate these people, or I wish them ill,
or I'm going to stop going, or they shouldn't get to go.
All it means is I am compelled every single day to rub up against, if you will, that sounds
wrong, to interact with.
All kinds of people with whom I might disagree.
I'm going to kiss, boy.
I'm just a handshake before we start with all the rubbing up against each other.
Hey, you know what's funny, man.
And this literally just happened yesterday.
I don't think there's anybody I've had on the podcast so far,
with whom I would disagree politically more.
than my friend Evan, who came on yesterday.
Evan makes the neon signs that we have in our space now.
Chuck, turn your thing around.
Show Will, if you haven't seen this thing.
It's not lit.
Oh, I love that.
It's not lit, but show him the micro-work sign, man.
This guy, Will, I met him in Austin 10 years ago.
We shot a segment of somebody's got to do it.
And he runs a company called the Neon Jungle.
And he's been doing this for his whole life.
And, you know, he's an English major who went into architecture and left it all behind
and then became an antique collector and then fell in love with neon.
And then just started bending glass and using paint and argon and neon.
And so I finally called him and asked him to make me these signs.
and he did and he sent him out
and then we sat down
and I had him on the podcast.
And with respect
to the scintillating conversation
that we're about to conclude,
I've never had a better conversation
on the podcast.
We talked for an hour and a half
about everything
but politics.
And it just
it was, Chuck, tell me,
if you didn't, I mean, you had a problem.
I felt the same way.
100%, yeah.
It was absolutely great.
It was the two of you talked about all sorts of different things that you agreed upon, that you disagreed upon.
But it was a conversation that I was just hanging on every word.
It was art, literature, commerce, losing everything, parapetia, building it back, being curious, looking after your neighbor.
raising your own standards, given a damn about things that maybe other people wouldn't. It was just,
it was about humanity. Yes. You know, it was about imagination. And that's what I mean to say before.
The thing that makes me, not despair, because I'm still fundamentally an optimist, I'm worried for this
state and I'm deeply suspicious of the policies that have gotten us where we are. But the thing
that I find myself most sad about is the lack of imagination.
that I saw in the Democrats during that there was a way to make your point without sitting there
and sticking your lip out. And I, it just made me just a good grief, man. When someone says,
why don't you get in the politics, that's the real reason. It's not the money. It's not the
machine of it. It's just that somehow or another, a lack of imagination isn't punished. And it should be
punished. It should be unacceptable to be that boring and that uninspired and hold that much power.
I love this. And I love the conversation, as you guys describe it with Evan, in part because that's
my experience, too. I have a son whom I love deeply and whose politics are very different from mine.
He's a very progressive kid. Do I love him less because of that? Absolutely not. He's still my child.
and he and I have found a way to miracle of miracles not talk about politics.
Like that's not the only thing in this complicated, beautiful, crazy world,
and to use a hammer and an anvil to try to pound every single conversation
and every relationship into a one-size-fits-all,
but it's got to fit me.
It has to meet these political metrics first before I can have a conversation with you.
Chuck and I were talking yesterday about the fact that, yeah, it is difficult sometimes.
Some of these relationships can be very fraught with people.
But my son and I talk, what do we talk about?
We talk about the fact that he actually bends glass.
He has made neon.
He is an interior design guy.
He's a graphic designer.
Lives in New York.
He's living that kind of a crazy, wonderful life.
And we talk about books and film and parks and hiking and dog care and his brother.
and sister. We talk about his trip up to Montreal, driving through October leafiness all the way
north, you know. You can find other things to talk about, and I don't say that this is just a way
to avoid the difficult political decisions. It creates, I think, the space and the
permission for imagination and humanity, and recognizing it other people are more complicated
than the person for whom they voted to become president.
It's not that hard, right?
I mean, to be able to say, okay,
I want what the proponents of minimum wage want.
I want a satisfied, engaged worker who's able to make ends meet.
I want a workplace that's informed by a sense of fairness, right?
We want the same thing.
I want the same thing the proponents of rent control want.
I don't want people thrown out into the street.
I don't want the market to suddenly make it impossible for a hardworking young family to have the shelter.
We want the same basic stuff.
We disagree on execution.
We disagree on philosophy.
And the reason you're here and have become a friend to this thing,
is because we disagree on policy.
But policies, it's just a tool to an end.
And it just seems like if you can start with,
look, we want the same basic thing.
But I object to what you're doing
because in my view, there's almost always
going to be an unintended consequence
that you're not thinking about.
Shortcuts lead to long delays.
That's why I'm a conservative, not a republic,
a conservative. I'm suspicious of shortcuts in general, you know. And, you know, it's hard not to like me
because of that. There are other reasons you might not like me, but you can't really hate somebody
because they're suspicious of shortcuts, you know? So, yeah, you don't have to talk about politics,
but more to the point, you got to find something else that you can both get fired up about,
even if it's the foliage on the way up 95 or something, you know?
It doesn't matter what it is.
But anyway, that's not why I invited John for this conversation.
I'm afraid that while I do believe everything I just said,
I'm also worried for this state and I'm also worried for this country
because the way we're doing it, we're on a road,
and it leads to something,
it leads to a place I don't want to go, Will.
Yeah, no, I'm with you.
And I love your assessment
that the question is more about means than ends.
And there are some people with whom I even disagree about the ends.
You know, so a Mondami character, for example,
there's a guy who believes that you can actually achieve a quality of outcome.
And that problem of believing that everybody has the same talents,
and therefore should have the same income.
And there's the same demand for everybody's talent.
I'm an acquired taste.
I don't expect everybody to want what I've got.
I'm lucky, frankly, to have found a woman who can tolerate me.
How amazing is that?
Congratulations me.
A consummation devoutly, to be wished.
Yes.
So my point is, is that other than that,
it really is the means to the ends.
And I think the data has been in for about a hundred years.
We know that less government regulation typically, and I'm not saying, I'm not an anarchist,
but I am saying less government tends to produce a more prosperous people, people who know that it's on them to,
there's both the burden, the responsibility of having your life turn out the way you want it and no fair of blaming other people.
You don't get to do that.
But it's also true that we have a greater opportunity of individual fulfillment.
I'm not being told, you know, like in some Soviet society, that no matter what I want to do, no matter what I think I'm good at, I'm going to do what the mayor or the Politburo leader wants me to do.
So I really do believe fundamentally in that principle that the greatest gift we have in America is our individual freedom as defined and protected by the Constitution of the United States.
These are inalienable rights and the government is constantly trying to alienate them from us.
That's what government does.
And I would like to see a lot less of that.
I'd like to see greater freedom.
And if I could persuade my friends in California about anything,
it would be trust freedom, trust other people,
believe in goodness in other people.
That doesn't mean you have to be crazy about them.
It just means most people are probably going to do the thing that is right for them.
And if the incentive structure is in the right place,
people are going to do good things for everybody else
without even being aware they're doing that.
Well, the most important word in all that was persuade.
Yes.
But we just spent an hour.
I don't know if we were persuasive or not.
I hope we were.
But as I've said to you before, nobody wants a lecture and nobody wants a sermon.
But reasonable people, I think, are open to changing their mind.
You know, I just did a podcast, Not the B.
Do you know those guys, Babylon B?
Yes. Yeah.
They do a thing called Beyond Parity.
And they showed a picture of a girl with blue hair who was basically saying the Constitution is nothing but toilet paper.
We need to redo it.
And the founders were old men who never could have known who she was.
And, you know, so easy target, right?
And I asked them, I said, well, what do we do?
I mean, what do we do with her?
Like, is she salvageable?
Can she be persuaded to reconsider?
And, you know, knowing that she's not going to respond to a lecture or a sermon or anybody on this call telling her the way it should be.
Like, what do we do?
And the answer that came out from both the hosts was excellent.
One of them, Dan Dillon, said, well, we have to reincorporate consequences into our social contract.
There must be a price to be paid for being that indulgent.
Like her opinions are separate.
She's being supported in a way.
She's not working.
She's doing all sorts of things are allowing her to be propped up and form an opinion that she feels deeply about.
because so she's not living in a world of consequence.
And the other host pointed out, and Chuck, I used your example.
You know, you don't flip a switch.
You don't persuade somebody by going, hey, look at this.
You see this?
And now, oh, I hadn't thought of it that way, you know.
I guess I'll vote this way instead.
You spent five years listening to Larry Elder and Dennis Prager.
Drip, drip, a little here, a little there.
You and I talked endlessly.
It's your friends.
It's your family.
It's being engaged.
And then maybe, maybe you're persuaded to reconsider, rethink a thing.
But man, it takes time.
And it's virtually impossible to happen in a world with no consequence where you can, where fraud is acceptable.
Right?
Like we can't.
How can we be persuasive?
if we violate the immutable laws of consequential nature.
Well, I love that.
One of the things I would say is that one of the consequences of bad governance in California
is that nearly two million people have left, right?
There is a freedom there.
There is a consequence.
And Gavin Newsom, to your earlier point,
don't want to be at the door saying goodbye to you and then reopen the conversation.
But I will say that that wealth tax is a signal challenge for Gavin Newsom.
No other labor union is signed on to that.
thing because at least every other labor union recognizes something that that chapter of SCIU does not,
which is these people leave. They're taking their jobs, their wealth, their future business ideas.
They're taking all of that with them and you can chase them as long as you want, but they're not
coming back from Texas or Miami or whatever. They're gone. And when they're gone, the state tax
revenue is going to take a hit. And when that hit comes, there's going to be a big fight in
Sacramento about what to do with all that's left, which may not be very much one day.
151,000 people in California pay 70% of our income taxes.
Just 100, you could put that in the Coliseum in L.A.
150,000, maybe a little more than the L.A. Coliseum, but you get my point.
Small number of people are paying a disproportionate number of value of the taxes in our state,
and they're being chased away every day by bad policy.
That's a consequence.
And it has a way of curbing, I think, the ambitions of some presidential candidates,
including perhaps Gavin Newsom, who, as you point out, opposes this thing.
Sorry about that, P.S.
No, not at all.
I'll just conclude by saying I will see you both at the Coliseum.
And as for the rest of you still listening, thank you.
Will Swame, as always, where do people go to bask in the deep end of your wisdom?
It's a shallow end, but I am CEO of the California Policy Center.
You can find us at California PolicyCenter.org.
a podcast. It's available everywhere. Fine podcasts are given away for free. It's called Radio Free
California. Do this for the National Review magazine. So it's Radio Free California and California Policy
Center. And of course, on Mike Roe occasionally. Thanks. Yes. Well, you know, you get what you pay for.
Always a pleasure. Appreciate your time. Thanks, Chuck. Bye, man. Adio. See you all.
If you like what you heard and even if you don't. Won't you please? Won't you please
Pretty please cry
Well I hate to beg and I hate to plead
But police
Pretty
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