The Wolf Of All Streets - Anthony Scaramucci EXPOSES Trump’s Shocking Bitcoin Plan!

Episode Date: March 2, 2025

On this episode of The Wolf Of All Streets, I sit down with Anthony Scaramucci to break down Trump’s unexpected crypto stance, the political power shift, and what it all means for Bitcoin. We cover ...everything from meme coins to Wall Street’s growing interest in digital assets—plus, Scaramucci’s unfiltered take on the biggest economic risks ahead. Whether you're bullish or bearish, this conversation is packed with insights you can't afford to miss! Anthony Scaramucci: https://x.com/Scaramucci ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEKDAY! 👉https://thewolfden.substack.com/   🔥 𝗟𝗕𝗔𝗡𝗞 𝗘𝗫𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗡𝗚𝗘 - 𝗡𝗢 𝗞𝗬𝗖 𝗥𝗘𝗤𝗨𝗜𝗥𝗘𝗗! 𝗖𝗟𝗔𝗜𝗠 𝗨𝗣 𝗧𝗢 𝟱𝟬% 𝗧𝗥𝗔𝗗𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗕𝗢𝗡𝗨𝗦! Join today & get rewarded! Start trading to claim up to 50% in trading bonuses!! 👉https://www.lbank.com/activity/ScottMelker-Cashback?icode=4M3HD ►► Arch Public Unleash algorithmic trading. Discover how algorithms used by hedge-funds are now accessible to traders looking for unparalleled insights and opportunities!  👉https://archpublic.com/  ►►TRADING ALPHA READY TO TRADE LIKE THE PROS? THE BEST TRADERS IN CRYPTO ARE RELYING ON THESE INDICATORS TO MAKE TRADES. Use code '10OFF' for a 10% discount. 👉https://tradingalpha.io/?via=scottmelker  Follow Scott Melker: Twitter: https://x.com/scottmelker Web: https://www.thewolfofallstreets.com/ Spotify: https://spoti.fi/30N5FDe   Apple podcast: https://apple.co/3FASB2c   #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump Timecodes: 0:00 Intro 2:25 Trump’s Crypto Impact 5:33 Meme Coins Hurting Bitcoin? 8:16 Institutional Investors vs. Retail 10:44 Wall Street’s Take on Bitcoin 13:46 Solana’s Price Crash & Trump Token 16:52 Trump’s Influence on Crypto Policy 19:12 Will the U.S. Buy Bitcoin? 22:55 Scaramucci’s Take on Market Volatility 26:41 Is Bitcoin the Future of Finance? 30:42 What’s Next for Crypto Regulation? 34:44 Trump’s Strategy: Real or Just Politics? 37:26 The Future of Stablecoin Legislation 40:12 Lessons from FTX & SBF 42:04 Scaramucci’s Bold Bitcoin Prediction 46:34 Closing Thoughts The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own and should in no way be interpreted as financial advice. This video was created for entertainment. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing contained in this video constitutes or shall be construed as an offering of financial instruments or as investment advice or recommendations of an investment strategy or whether or not to "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold" an investment.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 But let me just talk a few negatives if you don't mind. I'm a fossil now in the industry, but Chuck Grassley is 600 years old. Nancy Pelosi is 400. We got to get that mojo back. You know, he tells people that Ukraine started the war and Russia, I guess, didn't invade Ukraine. He's got his minions. If he listens to your podcast, probably going to be mad at me. I think you're a very clear thinking person and I get a lot of great insight from your
Starting point is 00:00:26 show Jeff Epstein list. Is Donald Trump on that list? Zero percent chance. You don't think shit's going to happen your way until it starts happening. Is Donald Trump a pro crypto president? I think you could argue that the people that he's put in place are all pro Bitcoin and pro crypto, that his policies are likely to be so. But on the flip side, you have things like the Trump token that gives skeptics a lot
Starting point is 00:00:53 of room to speak. Well, today I spoke with one of the most honest and direct people in the industry, Anthony Scaramucci about all things Trump, whether he is pro Bitcoin, pro crypto, about his economic policies, and of course about the market and crypto in general. You never miss a conversation with the mooch people. Listen in now. You know, we've obviously we've been critical of Trump politically. We know where you stand on that, but zooming in specifically on crypto, he obviously in advance of the election made a very clear pivot to be the candidate that was supporting the industry.
Starting point is 00:01:46 We can talk about whether that was genuine or a political maneuver and then perhaps talk about his appointments and what he's done since then. So I think that you agree that a lot of his appointments have been exceptionally probably bullish for the industry. Yeah. Well, look, let's be balanced. I'm not just saying, you know, look, Bitcoin would probably be 55,000, 60,000. If Harris was elected, it would have never gotten to the 108 level. You would have been fighting with them over things like SOB 121. You would have
Starting point is 00:02:17 been fighting with them over various things. Elizabeth Warren would still be empowered. She's been effectively neutered by Donald Trump. So that's a real positive for the industry. I think the choke point issue, the choke point 2.0 issue, I think is also a big one. I think that is going to get resolved during Trump's time in office, which I think is beneficial. And so there are positives, but let me just talk a few negatives if you don't mind. Okay. The negative number one for me is don't underestimate the introduction of the Trump and Melania meme coins having a negative effect on the industry, having a negative effect on the imagery around meme coins. And you know, there are reasons why we've sold off the hack is
Starting point is 00:03:06 one of the big reasons but also this proliferation of meme coins has soured retail investors and has put a lot of junk in the marketplace and so on the edge the differential price has gone down because of this stuff Trump is a contributor to that his his friends won't want me to say that, but he is. Moreover, he took 500 million out for himself a few days before the inauguration. That's not normal. That's not normal for people that were bestowing
Starting point is 00:03:38 that office on to do to the American people. He's normalized it, Scott, but it's not normal. And remember that you've got people in Washington that are even older than me. I'm a fossil now in the industry, but Chuck Grassley's 600 years old, Nancy Pelosi's 400. They don't have your hair though.
Starting point is 00:04:00 They don't have your hair. No, I still have my hair, thank God. But the point I'm making is you've got 60, 70, 80, and even 90 year olds making regulatory decisions and going to put their names up against a vote related to stable coin legislation, blockchain legislation, Bitcoin related, and the Trump meme coin doesn't help us win that argument. Okay, so you have the positives and you have the negatives and I'll end with a positive. The Democrats have had the living shit scared out of them.
Starting point is 00:04:37 They had 250 million dollars deployed into the marketplace, 40 million into the Sherrod Brown race. They knocked a 18-year veteran out of the Senate. And thankfully they did that because he was so negative on crypto. And I think the Democrats are like, whoa, we can't be that anti-crypto. And I think you'll end up definitionally getting a piece of stablecoin legislation, clarity on banking, clarity on custody. And so these are positives. But listen, if you're going to tariff the American consumer, which Trump says he's going
Starting point is 00:05:11 to do, and he tells people that Ukraine started the war and Russia, I guess, didn't invade Ukraine, he's got his minions saying that. And he's telling people that the tariffs are paid for by the countries, but it's not. They're paid for at the port by the American consumer. And what we know, and if you don't believe me, let's go with one of the richest people I know, Steve Cohen from Point72, macro investor, multi-billionaire, owner of the New York Mets, one of the smartest minds in our industry. He's telling people last last week tariffs are a regressive tax and they eat into the disposable income of the poor and they create a vicious cycle which could
Starting point is 00:05:53 potentially lead to a recession. So that's not good for Bitcoin, it's not good for the blockchain for us to go into a recession right now. So to me, you got this stuff going on contemporaneous with everything else So to me, you got this stuff going on, contemporaneous with everything else. So yeah, it's a mixed bag, but I think that, you know, we tried, I mean, Scott, you were there. I went to Washington, met with Anita Dunn, was in the White House with these people, with Mark Cuban, begging them to go a little less hard at the industry, begging
Starting point is 00:06:27 them to be a little bit more enlightened about the industry, and they wouldn't listen. And so now Donald Trump won. And again, it wasn't just that, it was the inflation, it was the lack of intergenerational transfer of leadership by the Democrats Democrats a failed narrative you know Harris was going up the most up against the most famous person in the world at the time of the election and And there's a lot of angst in the country. There's angst about the border Angst about inflation angst about the economy and he won the popular vote. So, you know, we're here now I get I get it, but I am worried
Starting point is 00:07:03 I'm not gonna say that I'm not worried. And I was with Tom Lee yesterday. I got people upset with me because I'm telling them this is what happens when you put tariffs on. And by the way, you know, Glass-Steagall exacerbated the recession that led into a depression in the 1929 to 1934 period of time. Steve Cohen's not the only person who's been critical of tariffs. Kind of famously, Ken Griffin, I just brought up the quote, from my vantage point, the bombastic rhetoric, the damage has already been done,
Starting point is 00:07:35 and it's a huge mistake to resort to this form of rhetoric when you're trying to drive a bargain because it sears into the minds of CEOs and policymakers that yes, such and such. But obviously we have quite a few of the biggest names, smartest, most respected people on Wall Street saying that this is a poor strategy. So I guess, do we think that him approaching the rest of the world in this manner with tariffs has been part of the reason for this sort of drawdown in crypto? I also point to the Trump
Starting point is 00:08:04 token. I want to dig more deeply into that. I also point to the Trump token. I want to dig more deeply into that. But in context of the macro, do we think that his economic policies could actually end up being bad for crypto, even though he's obviously pro crypto and we could see legislation and pro crypto regulators. Obviously we've seen that already.
Starting point is 00:08:21 So how do we find the balance there? Which one is going to carry more weight? So I think that his policies are hurting the overall stock market. I think the people are now pricing in a mile to maybe more than mild recession. I love Bitcoin. You know, I love Bitcoin. Just wrote a book about Bitcoin. I don't see Bitcoin as a store of value at this moment I think it can become a store of value as it's adopted by the world's citizens and it it's at a six seven percent adoption Rate right now, so it's still very nascent Bitcoin is still and people get mad at me. I'm gonna just tell you what I think. It's still a risk asset it's still a
Starting point is 00:09:01 technology that needs to be more fully understood by its critics, and it's still something that is going to be extremely volatile. And I would compare it to Web 1 stocks like Amazon, which experienced 50, 60% moves up or down over long periods of time before it eventually seasoned and became part of the foundational structure of the S&P 500, where now it has the same beta of the overall stock market. But in the beginning it didn't. And so Bitcoin's there. And so risk off for Bitcoin, plus a hack in the system at Bybit, plus concerns about meme coins and the exhaustion of the gambling of
Starting point is 00:09:47 that that's taking place in retail and you've created a 20-ish percent, 25 percent correction in Bitcoin and a 40 to 60 percent correction in other coins, let's call them altcoins, and the Big Daddy, Ethereum and the second big daddy Solana. You know, they've been smacked around hard here as a result of all this. But again, again, if you said to me net net, will the team that Trump put in place from a regulatory perspective and from a potentially legislative perspective be beneficial to Bitcoin and the blockchain? I believe they will be. But up against that, if you're gonna fight with your allies and
Starting point is 00:10:29 you're gonna put misinformation out in the marketplace from the White House that the Ukrainians started the war and you're gonna vote with the Chinese and you're gonna vote with the Russians at the UN against your allies, I think it's very naive to think that you haven't raised the risk premium and you haven't raised the level of unpredictability in the marketplace. So let me just say this to you, and I think you get this, I'm 36 years doing this. Markets like stability, they like predictability, they like governments that are in the background. Okay, they don't like governments that are gnashing their teeth all day. It just creates too
Starting point is 00:11:11 much stress. You know, you know, Donald Trump is having a press briefing almost every day in the Oval Office. He's got lights, cameras, microphones. He's running the presidency like a reality show. And what do you get in reality shows? You get conflict. And so Trump had a 15 year reality show, very well rated. Reality shows, bang, boom, smash, let's have some conflict. And so Trump's trying to create that.
Starting point is 00:11:40 It draws people's attention. He's taken in 35 days, just over a thousand questions from the press. I think in four years, Joe Biden took 150 questions. Now he's spewing nonsense, but he's quote unquote accessible. But this is all part of the whole programming nature. But you have to think about it as Trump does.
Starting point is 00:12:05 He thinks about it as a programmer. I'm a programmer, what can I do to create potential conflict? What can I do to get people riled? Is that great for Bitcoin? No, what would be great for Bitcoin is a moderate politician who sees the future of this technology, sees the wonderful applications that this
Starting point is 00:12:26 technology could yield in terms of cost savings, which could unleash economic innovation and lots of growth. It would be literally like a second piece dividend, if you will, for the world. Seven trillion dollars globally per year is spent on transaction verification. That's your credit card fees, wire fees, your lawyers getting together to make sure that your documents are okay on a transfer of property, transfer of art. There's $7 trillion spent per year and this would cut that. This would make that go into the economy the way the internet cut a lot of the friction in the economy
Starting point is 00:13:09 and it unleashed a lot of productivity gains. So look, I mean, moderate politician, not left or right, said what are the right or wrong things to do as opposed to left or right for Bitcoin and the blockchain, we would be way better off, but we're here now, you know? We're here. So the Trump token obviously launched in mid January. You mentioned it before.
Starting point is 00:13:31 It's been effectively down only for Solana since that time. Right? So we can point to the broader trends in the market, but clearly Solana, which was being viewed as the meme coin casino, has suffered since that day, whether a causation or a correlation we can discuss. But the Trump token was launched days before the inauguration. He sort of threaded the needle in this time after Gary Gensler, before there was any new regulation and taking advantage of the
Starting point is 00:13:57 meme coins or collectibles sort of ethos that exists in crypto. But Trump was bad. Melania was worse. I was one of the most critical people of this publicly, much to the dismay of the community. But my first take was this is probably good for crypto because it brings new people in, but terrible for humanity. I quickly revised that to bad for crypto, bad for humanity, right? So.
Starting point is 00:14:23 Well, I, again, you know, you, this is why you and I, I mean, look, I can't say that you like me, but I genuinely like you. And I follow you around because I think you're a very clear thinking person and I get a lot of great insight from your show. And I heard you saying all this stuff and not only did I agree with you, I said from day one it was bad for the industry because it sullies the industry and it gives you this
Starting point is 00:14:52 backdrop of haze in dealing with older people that are going to make regulatory decisions. So wait a minute, the president of the United States is going to grip $500 million off his followers days before the inauguration. This whole industry must suck. Let me vote no on the regulation and the promise of the industry. But let's go to Solana for a second. Solana peaks three days after the Trump meme coin.
Starting point is 00:15:20 It's handling the transaction activity pretty well. Maybe it slowed down. Maybe it broke once but it was tremendous volume of activity on solana you know it is so in a positive way showing the capability and the sturdiness of solana it peaks at two ninety three okay so i think about that for a second and so it's at 293 on January the 19th 2025 few days after the meme coins launched it's at 137 now so we cut it to ribbons we're down down 55% I don't know is that good for the industry you know I don't think it's good for the industry by the way Solana is up on the year and so if you're, Solana's up on the year.
Starting point is 00:16:05 And so if you're measuring Solana from year over year, we've done very well. It's up 28, 30% on the year now. And it's certainly up from the 10 or 12 that you and I saw post-FTX. And so, you know, if you're a holder, long-term holder of Solana, you've done well. But here's what happens.
Starting point is 00:16:23 You get a chop, my brother, because people will come in at 290. They get hit, they start selling, and then you get a churn down, and then you get an oversold position in Solana. I'm a long-term holder. I don't care. I'm going to shut my eyes, and I'm going to look at it five years from now, but you don't need this type of damage and this type of brain damage. It slows down development, it slows down application, it slows down regulation. And, but here's something I would tell your viewers
Starting point is 00:16:55 and listeners and never forget this. With Donald Trump, you get the entire buffet table, Scott. You're force fed the whole table. You can't go up to the table with your little dish and say, you know, I would like those tax cuts. Could you give me a half a scoop of deregulation? I like that pro crypto narrative. I'll take that on the plate.
Starting point is 00:17:18 No, no, no. You get the grift. You get the tariffs. You get that Governor Trudeau in the 51st state, you get the threatened takeover of Greenland and the Panama Canal, and you get that the Ukrainians started the war versus Russia, and you get the demeaning rhetoric towards our allies, and you get the vote with the Russians and the Chinese at the UN So in other words you get the whole buffet table your force-fed everything at the table
Starting point is 00:17:53 You don't just get what you like and I think people are gonna get tired of it You know, we're 35 days in I think people are gonna be like This is just a little bit too much. It's just crazy. And by the way, he's weakening the judiciary. He's weakening the legislative branch. And if anybody here thinks you're gonna get the full Epstein list from Pam Bondi, there's crack dens in East Harlem that you could hang out in, or you can smoke crystal meth somewhere,
Starting point is 00:18:22 because you're not gonna get that. You know that and I know that. Yeah, I agree. So what I want to drill into more even than the Solana price action, which I agree with you, obviously, you know, a near 60% drop in five or six weeks damaging for any asset. It's not what any of us want to see. And we're seeing this kind of across the board with all coins. But you've mentioned over and over again, the retail perception of what happened with Trump. I think we all agree that retail is not really
Starting point is 00:18:49 participating in crypto right now. Those who were likely got washed out on Trump and Melania, or even Libra or meme coins in general, have seen the altcoin positions they did by drop 50%, 60% in a matter of weeks, even seeing their Bitcoin positions drop. You're on Wall Street. You're talking to institutional investors every single day. We have a sentiment that institutional investors have been somewhat blind to that side of the market. Are those things that you feel like you have to answer for when you're having conversations
Starting point is 00:19:21 with big institutions about either investing in SkyBridge, looking at your performance, whether they're going to start purchasing Bitcoin spot ETFs. Do we have this bifurcation of Bitcoin and everything else is a joke? I'm curious how much you're having to answer for it in your conversations or if it's more of a retail focused issue. I would say that it's a retail focused issue. I would say that when I'm in the marketplace talking to institutions or I'm out with guys at BlackRock that put together this wonderful PowerPoint presentation that they're using to explain to people that they need to own some of this and I
Starting point is 00:20:00 would say that the sovereigns, some of which have already announced that they own some of these positions in the ETF, I would say that it's understood from the first Trump administration that unfortunately with Donald Trump, we're going to get this noise and this petulance and this nonsense. And so then the real question is, is this a real asset class that I need to be a part of? Do I understand this asset class well enough now to be a part of it? And I would say to you on the increment,
Starting point is 00:20:34 the slope of that is moving in the direction that you and I would like. $450 million into Mubadala, couple hundred million dollars into the state of Wisconsin. Other players are in the game. You mentioned Ken Griffin at Citadel. Ken has said to people, I've got to go where the buck is. I got to start making markets in this asset known as Bitcoin.
Starting point is 00:21:00 And so when I hear that and I listen to Larry Fink and I listen to Ray Dalink and I listen to Ray Dalio and I listen to Abigail Johnson from Fidelity and Jenny Johnson from Franklin-Demonton, no relation, both named Johnson, I say that the institutional age is upon us and it'll happen quickly and you're going to be staring down the barrel of $200,000 Bitcoin by this time next year and people are like, no, it shouldn't be that. It got whacked from 108 to 84. Imagine you and I a few years ago saying,
Starting point is 00:21:37 oh, we're really upset, Scott, we crashed. A year ago. Okay, we crashed from 108 to 84. Or imagine when I was getting my Unowatt kicked from Sam Bankman Fried and Bitcoin was at 12,000 and thankfully I held every Bitcoin and actually added to it and now it's crashing down to 84,000. So I mean, to me, people got to take chill. They gotta understand the nature of the asset. And then you have to ask yourself,
Starting point is 00:22:10 is this asset what I think it is? Is this asset a form of digital gold long-term? Is this asset an immutable, fully decentralized, fully transparent spreadsheet that's accessible to everybody? Is this asset for the underbanked? Is this a populist asset? Is this an institutional asset?
Starting point is 00:22:30 Is this what Saylor calls it the operating software, the operating software for money in the future? And if it is, then you got to sit tight and you got to ride it out and you got to let the governments and you got to let the institutions catch up. But I think the noise in the marketplace is scaring retail investors more than it is institutions at this point.
Starting point is 00:22:55 I recall a previous conversation where you told me your Larry Fink story because I asked you if he had truly been orange-pilled or if he was just, you know, has he sort of said skating to where the puck was, there was obvious money to be made and this groundswell around it. You basically told this incredible story about,
Starting point is 00:23:11 you know, going to the Four Seasons. He told you you were an idiot and then he came around a couple of years later, truly orange-pilled. How do you view a Ken Griffin who's coming in and saying- El Marion Island. I can tell you exactly where it was. It was during Abu Dhabi Finance Week.
Starting point is 00:23:24 We were standing in the lobby together and I give him a lot of credit. I think I said to you in that podcast, this is a real leader. Real leaders change their opinion as facts are unfolding or they get more knowledge about something, right? You know, when Galileo figured out we were rotating around the sun
Starting point is 00:23:46 and we weren't in a geocentric position where the earth and everything was moving around the earth, he spoke about it. Now the real leadership would have embraced it. The pope told me he needed to apologize. You know, I think Fink is a real leader. I have a lot of respect for him. So what about the Jamie Dimons and the Ken Griffin? So we obviously see what Jamie Dimons says, but we see what JP Morgan does, right? And they're very heavily invested in this market, offering it to their wealthy clients,
Starting point is 00:24:17 obviously utilizing the technology. And now you have Ken Griffin from Citadel saying, we're gonna make markets in this space. Making markets smells to me of, and not in a negative way, but we need to be in there because there's money to be made and somebody has to do it. That doesn't seem like the Larry Fink orange-pilled school of Bitcoin thought. And maybe Jamie Dimon is the same and just hates it but wants to make money on it. But these other leaders of these huge institutions, do you think they go full think or do you think that they're just here for the money?
Starting point is 00:24:48 Well, it's probably a combination of both. But I mean, let me give you my personal observation because I know these people. I think in Jamie's case, one of the smartest people I know in the world of financial services, arguably the most successful financial services CEO, but he's under tremendous regulatory scrutiny.
Starting point is 00:25:07 And so him being negative, saying that he's negative on Bitcoin while pursuing a Bitcoin research, Bitcoin growth, Bitcoin tokenization, JP Morgan coin, and doing all this stuff for the blockchain, at the same time, I don't think it's that bad of a strategy. If I was his chief political officer, I would say, stay right where you are, Jamie.
Starting point is 00:25:29 There's no reason for you to do anything different. Moreover, Jamie's out there praising Doge. Jamie's out there praising Trump. Jamie's a lifelong Democrat. I think he's very smart corporate operative. And he's like, why do I need to get into a fight with Elon Musk or Donald Trump at this stage of my career? Or why do I need to put pressure on my company?
Starting point is 00:25:53 It's a very, very successful, if not the most successful American bank in US history. So that's Jamie. He may dislike Bitcoin. He's well-hedged. Yes, he may dislike Bitcoin, but at the flip side is he's not stupid. He's smart enough to know that Bitcoin has a future at this point. I think zero is off the table. Ken is a different story. I think
Starting point is 00:26:16 Ken built a business. You have to be very careful when you're Ken Griffin, because if you've built this amazing business, okay, let's say you're Ken Griffin, because if you've built this amazing business, okay, let's say you're the biggest typewriter manufacturer in the world, and you're manufacturing these great electric typewriters, and you're sending them everywhere, and then all of a sudden this word processing system comes into place.
Starting point is 00:26:38 It's very, very hard to shoot the typewriter business. It's very, very hard. Steve Jobs, he was asked something, I think it was 2008, maybe 2009, he killed a very successful product called the iPod. You remember the iPod, you're old enough. Of course. And so what the hell did you do?
Starting point is 00:26:58 Why'd you kill the iPod? He said, well, I had to. I shot the iPod and I put it in the iPhone because if I didn't do it, somebody else was going to do it. Right. And these are brilliant business leaders, brilliant business executives that are adapting. And so this man has built a great business on stocks, clearing them, trading them,
Starting point is 00:27:20 lightning fast, electronic trading, et cetera. He's built a hedge fund business and he's a brilliant guy, but now there's a new world and he's got to embrace the new world. And I applaud him for seeing it. Now, he may be a skeptic because I started as a skeptic, Scott. If you met me in 2018, 2019, I thought, Oh, you know what I would have said to you? Ready? You'll love this cliche. Ready? I would have said, Oh, I hate Bitcoin, 2019, I thought, oh, you know what I would have said to you, ready? You'll love this cliche. Ready? I would have said, oh, I hate Bitcoin, Scott, but
Starting point is 00:27:49 the blockchain has promise. What's that? That's Jamie Dimon these days. When I hear that, when I hear, oh, I hate Bitcoin, but the blockchain, Bitcoin no, blockchain yes. I'm like, okay, this son of a bitch is seven years later than me to the starting block. That's what I hear when somebody says that. So, I don't blame these guys. I mean, they've made fortunes in the typewriter business. And so now they've got word processing,
Starting point is 00:28:19 they got to make an adjustment. So the adjustment starts with incorporating it into their core business, obviously market making just, you know, that's free money, obviously providing a tight, a tight spread. But at what point does a Citadel then start to view it as a fundamentally important asset class and maybe start to incorporate the technology itself? Because on the one that's an opportunity to make a bunch of money, it's another asset, there's volume. It's easy. But on the other, it's, oh crap, this is peer to peer transaction.
Starting point is 00:28:49 There's not going to be third parties like us in between. There's going to be immediate settlement and not T plus one. And this disrupts our core business. Right? Is this like Kodak and the digital camera comes along and Kodak doesn't react? Kodak invented it. Yeah. Kodak invented it. Kodak invented it, they told the scientists at Kodak,
Starting point is 00:29:07 put that away, we're selling the film. Kodak invented the digital camera. Let me flip it back to you for a second, okay? You're a man that owns Bitcoin, and if I told you right now Bitcoin is going to trade to 50,000 or 150,000, are you honestly going to be surprised by either of those two prices? Not even if it was next month.
Starting point is 00:29:29 Okay, right. In the next 10 trading days, okay? But if you're Ken Griffin and you made your money through market making, you made your money through gradualism, and you made your money through hedge bets around the world, and you looked at an asset that had that bandwidth, you may not be as comfortable with it as you or I are. Right? You're looking at that saying, okay, I get that.
Starting point is 00:29:56 That's gonna go 50 to 150 on its way to 450, and I just have to be patient. The world's gonna see what I see. You know, I was at breakfast. If he listens to your podcast, probably gonna be mad at me. I was at breakfast with Sean Ford. Do you know who Sean Ford is?
Starting point is 00:30:13 I don't know, Sean. Okay, Sean Ford was one of the early investors in Algorand. I still have a position there. And I said to Sean, you and I see something, okay? But I don't see myself as the smartest person in the room. In fact, I know I'm not the smartest person in the room. And I said to Sean, you and I see something. There's some really smart people that don't see it.
Starting point is 00:30:32 Warren Buffett, this guy's ba-ba. A lot of guys don't see it. So then, are we stupid? Or are they stupid? Or what do we see that they don't see and why do we see it and they don't see it? Okay, so you want to hear what he said? Yeah, I'd love to.
Starting point is 00:30:49 Yeah. He said that sometimes in life, you don't want to overthink something. Sometimes in life, you see something in its simplicity. This is something Sailor said to me. He said, you know, when I finally got the Satoshi white paper, it was so elegant and it was so simple. It was like, okay, this can't be.
Starting point is 00:31:13 This is too good to be true. Anthony, I've received the final exam answers to the final exam. It's two days before college graduation. I've got all the answers to the test two nights before the exam. That's the Satoshi white paper. And so sometimes you can be so smart, Scott Melker, that you could overthink something
Starting point is 00:31:36 and it may require you not to be that smart. You may need to be just seeing the obvious for what it is and accepting it as obvious. Do you think that that is what Trump and his family have seen or circling back to that? And do you think that that's why he became so bullish on the asset class and why he continues to talk about it and put people in place who are bullish around it? Or do you think that it's more of the ability to make money? I thought that they were a little more on board before the Trump token, by the way,
Starting point is 00:32:15 and then the Trump token kind of changed my opinion, but you do have World Liberty Financial that is still strategically buying a number of assets across the asset class. And to his credit, as I said, the people he's putting in power largely do understand this asset class and are bullish on it or invested in it themselves. So I was at the Bitcoin event in Mina. I was I don't know, you were there. I missed it. I was supposed to go for Formula One in Abu Dhabi.
Starting point is 00:32:41 But yeah, I didn't make it. Yeah, I know you and I were at Token 2049 together in Singapore, but I was there and I actually stayed to hear Eric Trump's speech. I spoke after him actually. I got there early and I listened to Eric Trump's speech. And I would say to you, again, I'm being objective, whatever my like or dislike for Eric's father,
Starting point is 00:33:00 I would say to you that he does get it. The speech that he gave is Something that somebody that's actually looked at it and understands it. I would see Eric as a Bitcoiner Donald Trump I think is a different beast. I think Donald Trump again like or dislike him. He's very politically astute He has great and again like or dislike him. He's got great sense for And again, like or dislike him, he's got great sense for politics, he's got great political instincts, and he saw an opening. One side hated Bitcoin, and there was a group of very smart people, the Winklevosses, Mike Novogratz picked the people.
Starting point is 00:33:39 And he said, wait a minute, these super smart people like it. These guys don't like it. What am I missing? And wait a minute, they're gonna light me up with hundreds of millions of dollars. I like it. And Trump is that transactional. I don't like TikTok. I wanna ban TikTok. He got 81 Republicans to vote against TikTok
Starting point is 00:33:59 and have it banned. They came to see him. They switched the algorithm to benefit him. I like TikTok. What do you say to the 80 guys you left? You know what I mean? So that's Trump, he's a shark moving through the water, and he's very, very transactional.
Starting point is 00:34:14 And he said something at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville, I met the both of them, right? I went to the one in Mina and Abu Dhabi, one in Nashville. He said something at the end of his speech, it literally almost laughed out loud when he said it. He said, and I quote, have fun with your Bitcoin. Do you remember him saying that?
Starting point is 00:34:30 I think have fun playing with your Bitcoin. Playing with your Bitcoin. Oh, yeah, yeah, something like that. Have fun playing with your Bitcoin. And so that tells you everything you need to know. It's like, guys, fuck off. I don't really give a shit. You're with me, I'm with you right and
Starting point is 00:34:46 so the question is could he get changed could he get influenced to be against it and I don't think the I don't I don't think we 100% know but I think the answer is no he asked me to guess too much money on the other side even with the most cynical view yeah yes and I think there's too many people in his field of vision that like it. So let's take him out of the equation then. We have Atkins at the SEC, likely, and we've already seen now what the SEC is doing.
Starting point is 00:35:16 And actually we're recording here on Thursday, February 27th, and as we're recording, the SEC just dropped their case against consensus. I don't know if you saw that, but in a week when they've also dropped against Robinhood, Uniswap you saw that, but in a week when they've also dropped against Robinhood, Uniswap, Gemini, Coinbase last week. So, yeah, that's right.
Starting point is 00:35:31 So, I mean, we know that the SEC- I'm hoping they dropped the case against Kraken because I'm tight with those guys and I like those guys. Yeah, I'm hoping that that's all coming as well. So clearly, you know, the SEC, Hester Perce overturned Sab-121, she puts a committee SEC has to purse overturned sab 121. She puts committee together. They're dropping all these enforcement actions seems that they're going to be focused on fraud and not what is or is not a security. So that has to be regardless
Starting point is 00:35:54 of whether it's Trump or not, because of the people moving into the SEC, a huge net positive for crypto. percent obviously was a owner of crypto is it's treasury you got to whether we agree with tariffs or not. We know that Lutnick is a fan of Bitcoin. He's an investor in Tether. It seems that every position, whether financially related or not, RFK and Health and Human Services right across the board are people who are pro-Bitcoin. One way or another, and who are legitimately pro-Bitcoin, have done the work, not tourists.
Starting point is 00:36:22 So that seems to be a massive tailwind for the industry. Yeah, I accept that. Yeah, I think all of that is really good. And I think that that would have never happened under Harris, never. And Gary Gensler, he may have been at the SEC or left the SEC. He would have had a lot of influence on the process. And I maintain, viciously maintain this,
Starting point is 00:36:47 that those two, Gensler and Warren, were tied to the Bankman Fried family, and they were really helping Sam. And when Sam blew up, in order to eclipse the potential media attention against them carrying the Bankman Fried water, they went indiscriminately hard at the entire industry. And I'll tell you who shares that view
Starting point is 00:37:08 because he stated it publicly on Fox Business and that's Scott Bissette, the secretary of the treasury. He basically said as much as what I'm saying to you right now. Interesting that Sam Bankman Fried then thinks there's a chance he could get pardoned by the Trump administration and his parents are out on the road show
Starting point is 00:37:26 trying to make that happen. It seems like his parents would not want to be shining a brighter light on themselves right now. You know, it's a difficult push because, you know, Sam was anti-Trump, the parents were anti-Trump. They had political action committees very publicly facing progressive left-leaning political action committees, but anything's possible in Trump world.
Starting point is 00:37:48 And I don't, again, Sam, just a terrible thing that happened there and I think his lack of checks and balances or whatever he did to influence negatively the FTX saga, he's paying for, he's 25 years is being taken from his life. But just think about what's going on there. The assets did recover, Anthropic was very valuable. Sui and MISDMLAB is very valuable.
Starting point is 00:38:17 Lots of assets, Solana, very valuable. And it's just unfortunate that he was bookkeeping those things fraudulently. I'm not trying to make light of it. He was fraud he was bookkeeping those things fraudulently. I'm not trying to make light of it. He was fraudulently bookkeeping these things in a way that hurt him because he had, if he had just done things in the right way, maybe he'd be worth $10 billion, not 50. But I mean, what the hell, what the hell? It's the saddest story, man.
Starting point is 00:38:40 The guy owned the casino, the house always wins. All he had to do was keep running the casino. Right. Exactly. You're saying it better than me and more simplistically, but to me, I'm shocked by what he did and how it went down. Yeah, I mean, the most simplistic view is that he owned the house. The house always wins, but he decided to send the money from the house back to play on the tables at the house, right? And so Alameda was terrible at trading, tables at the house. So Alameda was terrible at trading, but could have been very good at running the casino. It's very sad. Do you foresee with that in mind, it's always sort of been one of these people that flies too close to the sun, the main character in crypto who sort of explodes the
Starting point is 00:39:17 industry or triggers a bear market or a downturn. We watched a lot of that out last cycle, obviously, Doe, Kwon, Luna, Sam, Shinski, Voyager went under, not that there was any crime there necessarily, but do you, is there anything on your radar that concerns you now? You know, a lot of people have actually have said sailor, that doesn't concern me that much, but is there any sort of froth or anything that's coming up that you think could end up being a danger to the industry? You know, to me, it's the obvious things. I don't think I have anything sensational to say.
Starting point is 00:39:57 I just, if you said to me, could we do without these meme coins? I would be like, yeah, that would be really beneficial. The great irony there, and I know you know this, is that Gensler created a lot of these meme coins. They couldn't put through coins at the SEC that had real use cases. But meme coins, because of the way the law was written,
Starting point is 00:40:20 the SEC really didn't have a lot of regulatory oversight about them, and he incentivized the meme coin mess, if you will. But I would say to you, there's nothing out there right at this second. I would also say to you something beautiful about Bitcoin and the blockchain is we cracked it in 2022. We had trillions of dollars get spilled and yet there was no bailout. There was no TARP money.
Starting point is 00:40:51 Imagine if $2 trillion of market capitalization got taken out of the banking industry or the assets that the banks held went down 80%. Imagine these balance sheets getting crippled the way our industry got crippled. And it just speaks to the sturdiness, the anti fragility of the industry, you know, but I want you to think about this before we go to another question or another idea. But Lynn Alden said something to me the other day, and maybe she shared it with you. We developed an ability to speak to each other
Starting point is 00:41:29 at the speed of light in the 1840s. That was when the first Morse code transmission took place. Yet in the 1840s, we were carrying our money by stagecoach. Okay, so we had silver or gold bars and a stagecoach. The messaging's moving at the speed of light The money is moving by stagecoach The money now moves at the speed of light alongside of the messaging and that's what Bitcoin and the blockchain Did for our society and the question is well our leaders will our governments will our regulators?
Starting point is 00:42:01 Catch up to that idea and get the rest of the world comfortable with it. Now I think they will. You obviously think they will, which is why we're long the asset despite the resistance that we see from the naysayers. So you floated the idea obviously that Warren and Gensler were in bed with the bank been free. We certainly know that whether they were or were not, they were the tip of the spear for the anti crypto army, which is a term that she coined herself.
Starting point is 00:42:25 She's still the ranking Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee. So I'm into banking. There's a world, certainly, very rarely does one party hold both houses and the presidency at midterms. It's just very hard to govern and to be consistent. I think a lot of people think the house would be more likely to go Democrat than the Senate, but there's a world, there's something I talked to John Deaton about recently, where she becomes the head of the Senate Finance Committee again, if the Democrats flip the House. What does that look like after a year and a half or two years of deregulating, of a healthier industry, of all of these cases being dropped, of Operation Choke Point 2.0 being over.
Starting point is 00:43:09 What happens if she's back at the head? So I'm going to be a little bit of a contrarian on this. I actually think she got the shit scared out of her. And I watched those debates, those Deaton Warren debates. They weren't the Lincoln Douglas debates, but I watched them and I'm laughing because they asked her about her war on crypto and she really couldn't answer it.
Starting point is 00:43:35 Not only that, she pretended there wasn't one. Right, and then she said there was money laundering, well, she said there wasn't a choke point 2.0, but she did say that Bitcoin was a fountain of money laundering and illegal drug activity, blah, blah, blah. Of course, Deaton refuted it and she just looked like a fish out of water. But I think that that ship has sailed for them. I think that the Bankman Freeds are in the distance.
Starting point is 00:44:01 I think that the Gillibrands and the Schumers, who I know personally and I've are in the distance. I think that the Jilla brands and the Schumers, who I know personally and I've talked to the way you and I are talking right now, although actually face to face, they want stable coin legislation. They want clarity on banking and custody. They want to bring Bitcoin into the community of bipartisanship. And this is something I give Sachs a lot of credit for. You mentioned like people that I respect that are in the administration. David is one of them.
Starting point is 00:44:33 David basically said, let's get this executive order to give us six months to examine Bitcoin. Because what I don't wanna have happen is Bitcoin becomes a political hot potato. It goes into the reserve, comes out of the reserve, depending on who's in office. There's nothing in our reserve right now that is political, right? We have 27 different elements in our reserve, including lithium, petroleum, gold, rare earth materials, uranium.
Starting point is 00:45:05 We have 27 different reserves. There's no Democrats saying, you know, I hate uranium. We got to get it out of the reserve. You know, where, geez, wow, we got, you know, the Republicans like oil. Let's remove it from the reserve. You follow what I'm saying? Yeah, it's ridiculous in that context.
Starting point is 00:45:20 Yeah, it's ridiculous. And I think David is saying, we don't want this to be Trump's Bitcoin reserve. He comes out of office, the Democrat comes in and does what Joe Biden did at the border blows up some good policy. I see the problem is people this like Trump so much that he comes up with a good idea. But boom, they hit him and they want to remove the idea. And so he doesn't want that, you know and You know Trump is right about certain things, you know that Europeans have to spend more on their defense spending today He is right about that. You know Trump is right that we need to
Starting point is 00:45:57 Get a bigger commitment from them. He you know, he he's talking about a strategic Bitcoin reserve I think he's right about it. Perhaps you think he's right about it I would like to see Bitcoin in that reserve for lots of different reasons I think it would bolster the dollar strengthen the dollar stable coin legislation that has Real definition to it would bolster the dollar Scott And so so I think the ship is sale for Warren. I don't I don't think that's a dog Fight that she wants to be in if she becomes the head of the finance committee now at this point.
Starting point is 00:46:31 It was a losing fight for her. They could not find one anti-crypto voter in a house or Senate race or the presidential race in 2024. Why did I vote for, well, I'm anti-crypto, I voted for, no, it didn't happen. People vote for things, Scott, most of the time. They don't vote against it.
Starting point is 00:46:52 Absolutely right. And I agree that it's become politically unpalatable and there's just no reason for them to die on that hill at this point. But I think it does. Clearly though, when you think about what could happen at the midterms, it feels like the Republicans need to get some of this legislation done politically for themselves, but for crypto now. Right? While that there, while there is some
Starting point is 00:47:17 popularity, some push from the democratic side, at least stable coins, market structure, some of these side, at least stable coins, market structure, some of these basics, get them on the books. I think there's a lot of fear. People were actually bearish on Sachs' sort of view of the executive order because they wanted the reserve now. Our echo chamber wants everything now. And so since we didn't get it in the first month of the presidency. They don't think it's going to happen I think it's smart to take a measured strategy, but You also have a time limit on it. Yeah, and by the way, let me ask you a question I know it's your pocket. Let me ask you was it. Do you think we'll get a strategic Bitcoin reserve? I think there's a Strong possibility. We'll get some language that we won't sell what exists
Starting point is 00:48:04 I think it's an extreme long long shot that the United States government will buy Bitcoin right now. So I think that it's a nuanced question because if you view a reserve as let's not sell what we hold anymore, then I think, you know, 75% chance we get that. I think there's a sub 10% chance that the United States government starts actively buying Bitcoin in the coming years. Okay. All right.
Starting point is 00:48:23 But I mean, that's a win for what wouldn't you say? chance that the United States government starts actively buying Bitcoin in the coming years. Okay, all right. But I mean, that's a win. What would you say? It doesn't matter how many buy, it matters that we say it. It's the signal that causes the game theory around the world with central banks and other governments. So that's just as impactful. How would you handicap? That's probably the most likely outcome. I'm probably, I don't know, maybe I'm listening to the wrong people. I'm probably more optimistic than that. I actually think we may end up buying some Bitcoin. I've spent some time with Senator Lummis and Tim Scott, and I've spent some time with people
Starting point is 00:48:57 that really understand Bitcoin and see it as a strategic reserve asset. If you read Jason Lowry's book, Softwar, which he got in sort of a little bit of trouble for, and it's now become a $300 paperback on Amazon because he's had to take it out of circulation. But if you read the book, you'd be like, okay, the US probably will want to own some of it. Yeah, I 100% agree.
Starting point is 00:49:24 I just, you would know better than me, actually. I mean, if you're talking to them, I'm actually working on on on Lumis now she's certainly in the position of power to push it through. Maybe I'm just one of those same people who if it hasn't happened yet, somewhere in my mind, I have this bias that it's it's not going to I just can't imagine the like mental gymnastics for me. I'm a Bitcoiner. You're a Bitcoiner. You're like a Boston Red Sox fan during the curse. I mean, you know, you don't think shit's gonna happen your way until it starts happening. It's called PTSD. It's a real thing. Right. But like that, I think there's a lot of ways they
Starting point is 00:49:59 could skin that cat. The notion that we would like continue to print money to buy Bitcoin is kind of, you know, I see the irony in that. But if it's coming from somewhere else, perhaps kind of like the Texas proposal, if people could pay their taxes in Bitcoin and the government held that pay their taxes on Bitcoin in Bitcoin, there's a lot of ways the United States could accumulate Bitcoin without necessarily having to go into a major buying program. Makes sense. But that still takes supply out of the marketplace and it still sends a signal to people that we see this as a long-term asset connected into the, again, the operating system for money and the U.S. would want to own a piece of that, I think.
Starting point is 00:50:38 Yeah, that's why I think the messaging is more important than the amount, right? I mean, if we start a sovereign wealth fund, I would love your thoughts on that. What do you think of the United States starting a sovereign wealth fund and could that be sort of a back door to a Bitcoin reserve of sorts, if they added Bitcoin to the sovereign wealth fund? Well, again, you're talking about borrowing money.
Starting point is 00:50:59 And so the United States to create a sovereign wealth fund would have to borrow money. The proposal would be to figure out a way to create a $7 trillion sovereign wealth fund, which would be the largest sovereign wealth fund in the world, but also it would be consistent with what our GDP is. Like, in other words, if you look at Abu Dhabi or these other places, Singapore, the US would have to have multiples of trillions of dollars to have it have meaning. And I guess we have a cost of capital, you tell me it's between, depending on how we're borrowing is
Starting point is 00:51:33 between four and a quarter and 5%. And so let's call it a four and a half percent cost of capital, you got to come up with some big money, you have to come up with a capital benchmark threshold that you need to make more of and can you find $7 trillion worth of assets out there that you could make more of and I would argue that it would come with volatility if you're going to make more than that because it's above the risk-free rate of return. And so it gets dicey. If they're going to do it it they've got to come up with
Starting point is 00:52:06 an idea and a story to create that threshold okay so I'm not saying they're not gonna do it they've signed a executive order saying they're gonna do it Howard Lutnick is apparently gonna run it run it but how do you fund it and so and so to me someone said to me Doge is gonna be great it's gonna save us a trillion I would actually prefer that it doesn't get dividended out to anybody, but gets into the bond market to pay off debt, you know, because you pay off some of the debt, strengthens the dollar, healthy for the system, less crowding out, you know. So we'll have to have to see what happens. But you know, the Doge thing is a recessionary, you know, you have to see what happens. But the Doge thing is recessionary.
Starting point is 00:52:46 You have to know that it's austerity. Look at countries that go to austerity, Great Britain as an example. Austerity governments lead to slow growing economies. And so you wanna pull 500 or a trillion dollars out of the federal budget, I gotcha. I would freeze the goddamn thing before I pulled it. You know, because again, remember,
Starting point is 00:53:09 if you had four and a half trillion dollar budget spending in 2019, it's now seven, you are taking in four and a half trillion dollars of tax revenue. So if you froze it or you lowered the expenditures, the growth of the expenditures, or you froze it or you lowered the expenditures, the growth of the expenditures, or you froze most of it and gave a half a percent increase on certain things, you could catch up if your economy continues to grow.
Starting point is 00:53:36 So I think there's things you can do that represent economic gradualism as opposed to chainsaw. When I see Millet out there with the chainsaw and Moscow out there with the chainsaw, I'm like, guys, it's the United States. It's not Argentina. We don't need the chainsaw. Okay? Okay. And maybe we need something bigger than a scalpel, but it should be sharp like a scalpel. Well, it's interesting because I think everybody, politics aside, should agree that Americans
Starting point is 00:54:09 should know where their tax dollars are going and that waste should be cut. But of course, we can't just do that in the normal and measured way that you just mentioned. But I mean, that's what Clinton did, though. Clinton said, we're going to cut it. He got Republicans and Democrats together. He had people look at it. And then he created a fair and judicial process inside the spirit of the constitution and the democracy.
Starting point is 00:54:35 Cut it. Donald Trump and Elon, you know, Elon's tweeting today that if you're a really smart, mature air traffic controller, we're sorry we let you go, could you please come back to work? Okay, so that's utter and total ill-planned chaos. And I'm telling you that contributes to market anxiety and it raises the risk premium in the market.
Starting point is 00:55:00 Do you think they'd actually abolish the IRS? I mean, there's a lot of things that are gonna happen. You know, I did let me ask you this, do you think Trump's name is on Epstein's list? Oh, yes. I think that that doesn't mean he's done. I can't speak to what he did. But we know that they were friends and he flew around and went to his island and
Starting point is 00:55:20 let me rephrase it. Let me rephrase it. The list that Pam Bondi is going to release from the Department of Justice That is quote-unquote Jeff Epstein list. Is Donald Trump on that list? Zero percent chance. You and I! Alright, I mean, I don't even know the guy. You and I are higher likely to be on that list because, you know, I'm an antagonist to Trump, you know, and they'll want to find things to antagonize us back because that's what Trump wants them to do. Right I can't believe that we just burnt through an hour it's always so much fun doing this
Starting point is 00:55:52 anything I might have missed that you want to mention? No you're the man I appreciate I'm very grateful for you to bring me on you're the man and I'm on time I'm in my office I'm not in the back of a car. I like the car interviews though. It could be you know like they have the car karaoke. We could do a car interview serious. I think it'd be really good Something caught on my throat, but the car interviews at least we're during a bull market, you know They weren't was it when Bitcoin was going from 20,000 to 50,000 you were very happy to interview me in the car You know, we got it. We got it. We got You know, we gotta get that mojo back.
Starting point is 00:56:25 I don't like those prices anymore. I like the 80s now and the 100s, but we gotta get that mojo back. Let's not do 50. All right, man, I'm looking forward to doing this next time in person. Thanks, bro. Hopefully I will make it happen. Thanks so much. All right, we'll see you soon, man.
Starting point is 00:56:37 God bless. Thanks for watching guys!

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