The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin BOUNCES to $64k on Largest Inflation Decline Since Covid Crash
Episode Date: July 15, 2026Bitcoin is holding steady as investors await today's U.S. core inflation report and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's congressional testimony, two events that could determine the market's next move. We also cov...er why Bitcoin ETFs just saw another $425 million in outflows despite continued whale accumulation, and how Trump's proposed 20% fee on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz is bringing oil prices and inflation risks back into focus. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Good morning. Bitcoin is up. Inflation is down and we're here to talk about it. Ryan Rasmussen from Bitwise is going to be with us. Tillman Holloway, CEO of Arch Public, also going to be with us. Bitcoin challenging 64K, up at 2.5% to start the morning. Let's go. Good morning, everybody. Some numbers out this morning on Wall Street. Inflation down.
Bitcoin up popped immediately with that number.
So we've got some action to start the day.
Action all the time on Wall Street, whether it's real or it's fake.
It's still action.
And so let's talk about it here today.
Tillman with Archpublic, Ryan with Bitwise.
Let's get started.
Let's quickly talk about inflation and Bitcoin's reaction to it.
And frankly, the type of muted action that we've seen
Bitcoin over the past, let's call it three to six months. Why, how, what, you know, what moves
Bitcoin to the downside or to the upside? Let's talk about a little bit. Tillman, inflation in
Bitcoin, what do you think? Well, ultimately, it's the rising tide that floats all ships or
sinks all ships. And I think that there's, if you understand the type of economy that we are,
a debt-based economy, you understand that inflation is a natural part. We want inflation. You
cannot pay off debt with more expensive dollars. You have to make those dollars less expensive,
which is our inflation rate. I think that you also have to look at an inflation against the
economic opportunity or the growth potential that you have at a specific period in time and
how hungry the investment dollars are needed for that growth.
Like, was it good to inflate the dollar into the federal highway system?
Yes, that drove economic growth unlike anything we've seen at the time.
Same thing with AI and what we see with digital payment systems
and transformation of our financial system and network.
That requires trillions of investment dollars.
It's a matter of national security.
we all know it. And so we're going to spend the money is the bottom line. And they can't get that
money any other place than printing it. And we're going to grow into that inflation. So that's my
take on inflation and Bitcoin. And Bitcoin catches some of that rain just like everything else does.
Ryan, real quickly, it seems like the narrative around inflation and the way that they want to
take a look at it, right? Warsh is the new Fed guy, him and invest in or work in hand
hand they've actually not been all that coy about it they've been fairly uh you know loud about the
fact that they're working together um that they're taking a new look at the data um and for all
intensive purposes wars being installed to cut rates um what what does something like this do uh a not
so heated inflation number what does that look like for the next three to six months in terms of
rates. It seems like it's building towards a narrative where there's a potential cut versus
an actual hike. Yeah, I mean, what's tough right now is you just have such wonky data
because you have such uncertainty around what's happening with oil prices and the knock-on
affects the supply chain that that has. And so you get a read like this, which is lower than
estimates, but last month, inflation came in hot. And I think month to month, there's just a lot of
uncertainty around where we're actually headed, which makes it difficult for Warsh and the other
members of the Fed to really have an idea of what the new normal is, right? Are we at war with Iran?
Are we not at war with Iran? It's a straight open. Is it closed? What does that do to prices?
What does that do the supply chain and other precious metals or other inputs, you know,
there in the world that make things more expensive, less expensive, et cetera. And so the problem here is
that we just don't know. And I think that there was a mandate clearly from President Trump when
he nominated wars, that he wanted rates to be cut. And I'm sure a lot of that was ahead of the U.S.
midterms so that the Republicans could come in and, you know, tout that they brought down the cost
of living and inflation is low.
But clearly that's not happening over the long term.
We're still running a bit hot.
It's good to have this lower print,
but I would guess that we're at right now in terms of escalation again in the Middle East,
we're going to see inflation come in hot next month if things stay at this course.
It's just too uncertain to know what this means for rates, in my opinion.
Yeah, so we can talk about rates for an entire show,
but everybody would log off and not be in rate.
So let's talk about, listen, bitwise in vaults.
Vaults is a buzzword not only in crypto, but it's turning into a buzzword on Wall Street.
I've seen a couple of research pieces where, you know, the rise of vaults is becoming more of a story on Wall Street.
I think Goldman did a piece the other day that was, you know, again, fairly glowing and understanding that the movement is something.
to keep an eye on.
You guys are doing, you know, extraordinary work with vaults.
But I think the audience probably knows that vaults exist,
but they don't understand necessarily what they are.
If you can take some time to deconstruct what vaults are,
how they work, and why they matter.
Yeah, I'll just give you the floor,
because it's an important subject.
Yeah, well, vaults are really just the next evolution.
of asset management.
If you look back and you kind of need a bit of a history lesson here,
which I will keep short to understand why vaults matter
and why vaults are going to happen, right?
Like it's predetermined really.
The first fund that was ever created back in asset management
was like in the 1700s.
And there was this guy in Holland who said,
look, investors want to pull their capital and get access to bonds.
And so we created a fund structure to do that.
But it was super inefficient for a bunch of different reasons.
Liquidity was low.
It was hard to expand beyond a certain number of investors, etc.
Okay, great.
So that was like 250 years ago.
The next evolution came in 1920s with mutual funds, which was another step in innovation
and why that matter was because now you had more liquidity around
these funds you actually had daily navs being struck, etc. Then you had the 1970s with index
funds. That was another innovation. Now you'd get broad exposure to a bunch of different assets in one
fund structure. It was more accessible. It was less expensive than buying individual assets for
the investor. Then you had ETFs about 20 years later. That became extremely popular. ETS has grown from
zero to more than $20 trillion in 30 years because they're extremely liquid.
They're accessible by anyone, particularly today with an internet, with internet connection
and a brokerage account.
And they have intraday liquidity.
You can wrap any kind of asset inside of an ETF.
You can wrap index funds.
You can wrap commodities.
You can wrap digital assets like Bitcoin, et cetera.
Those have grown into a $20 trillion plus industry because of that.
And then you have vaults, which is the next evolution of asset management.
And why I walk through that journey is because every step of the way, the reason you've seen
adoption of things like mutual fund, then index funds, then ETFs, and why we will see
vaults is because every step in the evolution of asset management has made accessing investments
less expensive, more liquid, more accessible, and more efficient.
It's just the way of technology.
And that's why VALTS, which are just funds being brought on blockchain to give you 24-7-365 real-time settlement.
It reduces counterparty risk and increases accessibility.
You can put any kind of asset inside a vault once you tokenize it.
That's the reason that we're going to see this huge migration of assets on chain and into VALTS.
Our view, we actually said this at the beginning of the year in our 2026 predictions,
piece was that vaults are the new
ETFs and so that that kind of history
or context is the reason that
we said that and assets saying vaults are tiny
less than 10 billion going into the beginning
of the year and we believe it's going to grow
into the trillions over the next few
years as all different types
of assets move on
chain.
Is the distinction that it's
essentially a real world asset, a
tokenized mutual fund? Is that what
we're talking about essentially
that's managed
on chain?
Yeah, so it's basically
it's a fund that can wrap
any kind of strategy
that's managed by a third party on chain.
That could be an index strategy.
That could be an active strategy.
It could bring all kinds of different assets together.
Real world assets is certainly an area
that we're seeing a lot of interest in and bitwise.
You could think about these real world assets.
Let's think credit for instance, right?
Private credit, for instance,
which is, you know, not a lot of,
only had issues this year, but there are things around it like liquidity and accessibility that
are difficult to manage in traditional infrastructure. But when you take that and you tokenize it
and you make it 24-7-365 tradable, you can then wrap it in a strategy. You can have a vault
curator, which is just another, you know, crypto-native term that we've made up for a fund manager
that can manage the strategy. And so you can allocate to it. The fund manager, the curator,
goes out, finds the investment opportunities according to the mandate,
executes those investment opportunities.
But then it brings a bunch of other things to the portfolio.
Like now I have access to this vault, or I have this position in this vault rather in my
portfolio.
Maybe I can go to pause that in a defy protocol and easily take, easily borrow against it,
right?
Or incorporate it into my broader portfolio picture and use the entire portfolio as collateral
against something or maybe someone who didn't have access to private credit before
now does.
and can outsource that to an expert by just allocating this vault and let the curator do the work.
And I think it's really interesting that you'll start to see ill-liquid, real-world assets that typical
investors wouldn't know about or know how to touch being accessed by investors all over the world
of all different types, accredited and unaccredited, et cetera, because they can access them in their
crypto wallet via vaults. Eventually it'll be in your brokerage account, in my opinion, via via vaults.
So in three years when you guys do like a Super Bowl ad for bolts and you got to have the curator word, I love that by the way.
That's why.
Please hire for the commercial Jeff Goldblum as the curator character.
That just seems like the perfect type of guy.
It's got the nuances.
You know what I mean?
By the way, I was around, you know, this is how quickly.
Innovation in finance happen in bursts, like you just described, 1700, then 1929 and then 1970, right?
So there's these large timeframes where not a lot happens and then boom, something happens, right?
So, you know, we saw effectively the, you know, financial Illuminati is going to Europe to do tokenization as well as doing it here.
Like, hey, Black Rock and everybody, tokenization, we're going to put a group together.
we want to make sure it happens in Europe too.
So everything is happening very, very fast around tokenization.
But I've been around to where, you know, 30 years ago,
you couldn't hold larger than a 5% position inside of a mutual fund.
Like you were not allowed to have bigger than 5% of any given asset inside of a mutual fund.
And now we're in a world where like, you know, every day there's like 100 ETFs that are launched
that like our single asset, leveraged, long, short, like extraordinary differences versus where we were,
which says something about markets, says something about volatility, says something about scale.
And it seems like vaults are the next thing with this because it takes all of what I just talked
about, that innovation, and then turns it up a dial and says, it's always on, it's never off.
365, 24, 247, right?
Yeah, exactly. I mean, that's where we're headed because technology enables it and it will expand markets. It will expand opportunities for players in the space. That's why Bitwise is so excited about the vault space because it takes what we're doing, which is traditional asset management off blockchains and brings it on to blockchain rails. And we're one of the only curators that is doing this in a regulated way, which is really important to that financial Luminati that you mentioned, right, these institutions,
that saw what happened, perhaps, as they dig into the vault space back in October of last year,
they've seen that, okay, maybe there are some issues with how vault curation was happening before.
And this is why we need regulation, legislation for these big players, these big dollars to enter the space.
Bitwise is taking a regulated approach to it.
I would just note that, you know, we do have a team focused on this at Bitwise.
Our vaults and defy team, Jeff Goldblum isn't on it, but maybe he can be our mascot if he sees this.
But there was an interesting quote from that team yesterday that Hunter Horse star CEO tweeted out, which is that Bitcoin prices might be down.
But it feels like a raging bull market in the vault space.
And I think that captures where things are headed.
In bare markets, you typically see the foundation being laid for what will grow and see the most kind of euphoria and where capital flow in the following bowl market.
And I think that's what's happening right now with Volta.
You saw it with stable coins in prior bear markets.
You saw it, you know, with ETFs in prior bear markets.
If you think about like the end of 22, early 2023, that's when Black Rock came in and filed for their ETF.
That's when Gray Scale was suing the SEC around the Bitcoin ETF.
And then what happened?
They launched in January.
They became the most popular ETFs in terms of year one inflows.
And Bitcoin price hit new all-time highs thereafter.
I think you see the same thing happening here with false infrastructure being.
laid. Then we will see regulation and legislation supporting. You're already seeing now with the SEC
and the CFDC talking about, you know, the next evolution of finance is on chain. Then you'll see
capital flow institutions with tokenization and then those strategies being wrapped in vaults. I think that
will drive prices higher. But this is kind of the kind of groundwork in bear markets that gets laid
and the foundation that gets set that helps drive that next cycle of capital inflows and price
appreciation. Amazing. I would just add that I think that you guys are one of the only firms that are
blurring the lines between TradFi and Defi in a way that I think to a user feels very natural
and it gives you exposure into something that you're very curious about, but in a way in which you
can digest it and a very elegant package. I think that what you've done with the hyperliquid thing
deserves no you know over the last couple of months it's been exceptionally successful and again it goes back to blurring those lines of like people want exposure and they and they really want hedging tools as well profit taking tools and these vehicles allow for that so so well that it's a natural law that you're going to attract users if people hold hyper liquid the actual asset the token and they hold it physically and they don't
don't have access to now B-Hipe,
well, why wouldn't you want a tool that's so
complementary to the asset that you hold
as it pertains to management of that asset?
So it's just a natural evolution of giving the customer
what they want.
And being able to spot that on such a consistent basis
is what continues to kind of be in you guys' favor.
You guys have been ahead of the curve pretty much on all this.
The vaults, to me, sound like.
like a level playing field. It correct me if I'm wrong, but sounds like I'm going to be able to
get access to, you know, private companies that are bundled up that have high potential.
And, you know, that the common person now, the technology groundwork, you know, the actual
infrastructure build is going to allow participants of all kinds from everywhere to get exposure
to things that they've wanted exposure to, but there is no current vehicle to gain that
exposure. So, I mean, what a fantastic time to be alive. And if we can see that at scale,
you talk about an expansion of economic growth. I mean, we got to print a lot of money just to
fill all those buckets so there's liquidity flowing between all the buckets. That's tremendous.
Yeah, I think that's exactly right. You're going to see all kinds of new asset types or illiquid
asset types are hard to access assets like private companies be wrapped into vault strategies and then
anyone will be able to access them. And I do think that will result in a huge stable coin boom
because there will need to be liquidity and digital dollars to help facilitate capital coming in
and out of these vaults and to help build out these vault strategies. And then you'll see a big
boom in tokenization because in order for these assets to move into vaults, many of them will
need to be tokenized and brought on chain.
And so I do think that we're, you know, at the early stages of a massive boom in,
in these three intersecting areas of the crypto market, it is a level playing field,
which is what, you know, I love so much about kind of being in, in the crypto space is it really
comes back to first principles.
And I think what you've seen time and time again, you know, everyone thought ETFs were crazy,
right?
Like there was like a, there was a hearing.
Matt Hogan, our CIO, you know, who comes from ETF background, loves to talk about
this. Like in the early 2000s, there was a hearing in D.C. where they said
ETFs were weapons of mass destruction for financial markets. People were so scared of
these things. They said they were going to ruin capital markets in the economy as we knew it.
And then now everyone owns ETFs in their portfolio. Like you can't find an investor typically,
probably crypto investors, many don't. But traditional investors who don't own ETFs,
financial advisors use them. You use them in your 401ks. You know,
like the Q's or SPY are the largest ETFs in the world, people own gold, et cetera, the ETFs.
So like first people are scared of it, you don't understand it.
Then it gets adopted and grows into this massive thing.
And I think that's where vaults are headed.
And we're at the early, early stages of that, which is so exciting to me to be a part of this.
And, you know, I'm really excited to ultimately be able to bring a lot of unique opportunities and open access to those.
to many investors who typically wouldn't have access to them without crypto technology.
Well, it's also an on-ramp for, you know, typical traditional investors.
And what I mean by an on-ramp is, is that, you know, two years from now when tokenization
is a more mainstream thing on Wall Street, when we're closer or at, you know, let's call it 24-7 trading,
in a tokenized way, your average investor with $7 million in an account at Morgan Stanley is still going to be like,
I don't really know what this is.
This is a little bit strange, but people seem to be making money on it.
And my buddy at the golf club said he's in a thing.
And so what is this?
And what bitwise is, just for people that don't know, it's an absolute one shot to that conversation.
that says instead of doing weird stuff in defy on some exchange that you've never heard about before,
you can invest effectively in a fund slash a vault, you know, in your in your brokerage account.
And now you are in, you know, you're part of that movement and you can have access to it without being, you know,
without thinking you're going to make a mistake, right?
It's a product effectively made for traditional investors to end up having access to what may be
the next real meaningful innovation in product on Wall Street, right?
Yeah, that's exactly right.
And to give you a sense of like we're so early in Vaults and Wall Street really doesn't know about them yet
or is just starting to learn about them as you mentioned, last month I was at a crypto conference
of just for like 300 financial advisors there.
And these are like crypto forward financial advisors.
They're like opting into these sessions on crypto.
So they're at least the levers in the space or crypto curious.
And the entire session that I was on was about vaults.
It was like a 25 minute conversation on vaults.
And we ended the session talking about great, if you're in the room right now,
if you're a financial advisor in the room right now, how do you invest in vaults?
How do you get exposure for your clients to vaults?
And the answer was, you can't.
You can't do that, even if you want to, because the wealth platform that you're a part of or the R.A.
you're a part of doesn't have the ability to custody vault assets in client accounts.
It would require having a wallet, et cetera, et cetera, right?
And so they actually can't access these opportunities yet.
So really we're at the forefront of what's happening here.
Eventually, these integrations will exist.
And I do think they'll be able to access them in their advisory.
accounts or brokerage accounts. And that will just lead to a ton of capital coming into the
vault space. But what we're seeing right now is the foundation of vaults being built and capital
coming into vaults and vaults growing at a fast rate without any of the Wall Street money touching
it. You really have to be a crypto native or pretty sophisticated investor who's been
investing crypto for a while to get access to vaults today. And majority of wealth in America
sits on these large wealth platforms with financial advisors and wealth managers,
and they simply can't access it now.
It'll probably be a couple of years before they can access it.
But that makes us early to the space.
I think the same thing again is true with Bitcoin ETS.
Everyone assumes that when Bitcoin ETFs launched in January, 24,
it was like this light switch that turned on,
and every financial advisor and every wealth manager and every investor in the world
could automatically access them.
And that's simply not true.
It took two years for the largest wire, you know, the major wirehouse is
largest wealth management platforms to allow their advisors to even start talking to clients about
these things. And then they could start allocating, you know, Vanguard just started allowing
their clients to access Bitcoin. TFs despite the things being around for two years.
I think that's the kind of lag you see with Wall Street adoption to crypto innovation.
In the passing, that's what we're going to see with Vols.
That just means that we're early and we got a lot of ground to cover before we get there.
I was just curious in terms of like when you say that to me, people are always driven.
This sounds like kind of a new ICO craze, if you will, in the fact that, you know,
whoever is listing the ICO gets the users, the users all flood to that ICO.
Do you see any specific assets or things that people are so excited about the use case of a vault kind of in
encompassing that would drive a lot of adoption like that and, you know, get the exchanges to start
looking at this and driving that conversation forward a little faster than it's going now or
accelerate that? I think it really sits with integration into the custodians, right? So,
there's this bridge that happens, I guess, to these strategies through asset managers, like,
bitwise, but we don't custody assets on behalf of clients. And,
And wealth managers and wealth management platforms aren't going to custody digital assets on behalf of clients.
And so you need the institutional digital asset custodians like Anchorage or Coinbase or fireblocks to both adopt vaults, which some of them are doing this at a very fast pace, which is incredible.
But you also need the other side of that integration into these traditional wealth platforms or trading platforms.
I think that's what probably takes the most time.
Now that we've had these custodians around for strategies like the ETFs for several years,
now it should be accelerating.
But the infrastructure in the pipes connecting this all is what's being built out right now.
And then from a strategy perspective, I think what now, right now what we're seeing is just a ton of vanilla,
USDC, USDT, stable coin lending and borrowing, or maybe some arbitrage.
or some looping happening, right, which is interesting to investors who see, oh, I can get 8%
stable coin yield when I'm getting, you know, 3% in my high yield savings account or in a money
market fund, right? That is interesting. But I think what people are really wanting to see is
more complex strategies in vaults with real world assets and combining different types of real world
assets for like a real estate vault that includes a bunch of different types of real world asset.
I mean, we just saw a CEO of Airbnb tweet a threat about tokenization, I think this morning
or last night, right?
Like that's the kind of thing you can start thinking about being wrapped in a vault.
Like, oh, what if I owned a bunch of different Airbnbs inside of a vault mixed with some other
real estate assets?
And I could use that as part of my broader portfolio to gain exposure to real estate.
and then it was easy to borrow against because all I have to do is take that claim on that vault position and drop it into Ave and borrow against it alongside stable coins I have an Ave or Eth I have an Ave etc.
Right. And so I think that's the kind of way that we're headed. But right now it's like stable coin lending and arbitrage and looping, which can get you a decent yield. But I think we're going for more complex strategies in the long run.
Yeah. Isn't right now most of the conversation around vaults having to do with yield,
that that's that's kind of where it's at right now is that that's not about right yeah i think that's right
i mean the reality is that yields are so low across defy right now in most places that they're actually
not attractive to traditional investors or to wall street like the the risk or perceived risk uh and
and there is risk there of like lending in defy is much higher than what you're being compensated for at like
two or three or maybe four percent, right?
You need to get higher than that for it to be compelling to traditional investors or to Wall
Street.
And so that's why a lot of focus is on yield.
And because there's not a lot of euphoria in on-chain activity right now, you don't
see double-digit stable coin yields like you typically do in bull markets.
And so there's, I think that's good in the sense that it's driving creativity around
strategies that are properly managing risk.
to provide enhanced yield, but that enhanced yield isn't like 28%, which is like the type of
ultimately, I think, blow up, you know, post-fold markets. It's like 8% or 9%. And that's great for a lot of
investors. Well, if they have any difference in yield or delta that can be harvest through arbitrage,
that's the kind of the pill that gets them into the game. Because, you know, the carry risk is what
they want to avoid the arbitrage opportunity is is very palatable it sounds like that's why
most people are focusing on that those types of opportunities at this point but you know it's
going to be interesting to me when you start seeing you know defy yield starting to you know
ramp back up again and to your point then you couple that with another yield producing asset like
real estate and you get this kind of hybrid supercharged engine that no one's ever
built before. And it's so customizable, it's going to give everybody something to shout about
and give everybody exactly what they want in terms of consumers. Well, over the past, you know,
15 years almost, investors have been conditioned that yield three, four, six, seven percent
isn't worth it when you can put that money into stocks. And, you know, for all intents and
purpose is you're going to get a 12 to 20 plus percent return on an annualized basis.
And so, you know, that's the reason why bonds have underperformed for a long time at this point.
It's also the reason why, you know, micro strategy is out there with prefer it's at 12 percent
versus 6 percent, right?
I guarantee you they wish that they could do six percent.
But the nature of where we're at with quote unquote yield to make it interesting for people,
they have to push the limits, right?
So yeah, it's a, listen, bolts are something that are coming.
You guys are on the cutting edge of innovation here with this stuff.
And it is the work that you guys do on the ground, as you just mentioned,
with individual financial advisors, individual companies in the space.
I'm a longtime wealth management guy.
So wirehouses, I know what those are.
I think the term regional still exists, you know, that's the steefuls of the world, even though they aren't regional anymore.
They've got offices everywhere.
You know, doing the groundwork with those types of places when the innovation finally comes and there's, you know, tokenization in 24-7 and they're quote-unquote forced to adopt it.
But you're right, even when the Bitcoin ETFs, you know, became available.
you had, you know, 14 to 18 month lag where they might have existed on platform,
but you weren't allowed as an advisor to advise clients to buy some.
It had to be marked as unsolicited, which an unsolicited type of investment means a lot of paperwork,
compliance is taking a real close look at it.
And if it screws up, it's your problem as an advisor, not the, you know, they don't want you to do that as kind of point.
And so, yeah, there's some time here.
But at the same time, again, innovation and being way ahead of the curve, that's kind of been
Bitwise's deal.
And it's pretty extraordinary work.
Kudos to you guys.
Well, thank you.
Yeah.
I mean, I really appreciate that.
I mean, even last week, I was on the road with one of our regional wholesalers, right?
And we spent the week going to financial advisor offices.
and going to breakfast meeting and lunches and tenures with like financial advisors and their junior
analysts talking about crypto.
And we were there to answer any questions that they have and tell them about the different
ways they can get exposure to the space.
And what I found super interesting, because we've been doing this every week for nearly
10 years, if it was.
I've been here for over five years.
And I was on the road with our wholesale team back in 2022 when it was very bleak.
week and we were meeting with financial advisors.
And I did that again during this bull market as recent or bear market as recently as last
week. And here's what struck me as different. In 2022, it was really hard to get meetings.
We would have all these meetings set up going into the week. And then as you go through the
week, you would be like, oh, hey, sorry, something came up or, hey, can't make it this time.
Let me know next time you're in town, right? And you would like slowly see meetings kind of being
canceled or you're supposed to be with four people and only one person comes, right? And even then,
when they do come, they're extremely skeptical, and they're basically saying, like, this thing's
going to zero. You should probably jump ship now and, like, save your career. Yeah. And they only
want to eat a bagel, too. They're just kind of there to grab a bagel and get a hard time. Yeah.
They met you to give you life advice, not to hear your pitch. Yes. People, like, back in 2020,
there were several meetings where, like, they recommended books to me on, like, the principles
to finance because they're like, you don't understand that this tick-point thing is never going to
Well, I'm imagining, because I know what wholesalers are and what they do because I used to live in that world.
So I imagine Ryan and Matt Hogan, like, you know, in the movie Tommy Boy, like taking the car and they're going through the break pad meetings.
And, like, ooh, ooh, whew.
Oh, my God.
That's exactly, exactly what in, like, you know, random cities all across the country.
And so every once in a while, you would have, like, a good conversation with someone.
who like was a believer and uh but for the most part it was it was an uphill battle or it was just
difficult to get meetings those meetings were tough what happened this past week uh and what's
really happened this year despite prices being down 50% from all time highs is that the engagement
is just as high today as it was in the bull market in 2024 and 2025 but we had no meetings
canceled last week we had everyone show up that said they were going to show up they weren't giving
us, you know, career and life advice about the mistakes we've made moving into to digital assets.
They were asking serious questions about things like hyper liquid and vaults and what's happening
with regulation and tokenization and stable coins. And, you know, the most of the questions that
we got is, do you think this is the bottom? Like, I haven't sold, but I want to add more to my positions
and my clients. They're not really asking about it. But I know when momentum, you know, returns to
crypto, which absolutely will. I want to tell them that I made allocations and bought the dip.
Those were the kind of conversations that we were having. They were around portfolio construction.
Hey, we're sitting at 2%. Should we up it to 5%? And if so, what should we allocate to? Which
crypto assets beyond Bitcoin should I own for this next, you know, full market? Those were the
kind of conversations we were having. And it just struck me that it was so different than the last
bare market. And there wasn't people telling us that it's all over. They were actually telling us,
like we know this thing's coming back we just want to know when the right time to buy is and so that's i think
where we're at in this current cycle of institutional adoption which is so different than it was
four years ago and i think has a really big implication on where things are headed once momentum and
adoption does turn out well those advisors they see the headlines just like we do when larry think
at blackrock won't shut up about tokenization like you you kind of have to listen and then on top of that
you've got, you know, the brass at Morgan Stanley also won't shut up about tokenization and
talking about it being the next wave of, you know, innovation in wealth management.
I mean, so, you know, at some point, you listen to the chorus and you also know when those
types of entities are talking about it, then behind the scenes, the groundwork's already been laid,
and it's just a matter of time before the actual architecture behind the innovation catches
is up and now you're at that moment. So the smartest advisors get that and be like, well,
if we can find a way to allocate per the conversations you just talked about before it gets here,
then our clients win, right? Our clients were ahead of the curve and we look like heroes, right?
Exactly. That's exactly what is happening. It was one thing to have like Matt and I pull up
into the parking lot in our car on our road trip and like go in and tell them like stable coins are
going to change the way that that finance operates and like assets are going to be tokenized
on blockchains and they would like look at us like okay that sounds crazy and like you guys you guys are
in some dream world and now we go to those same offices and it's like look you don't have to take it
for months you can you can see larry think talking about it you can see jamy diamond who like
famously hates bitcoin talking about tokenization being a major focus for them at jp morgan you can see
Paul Atkins, the SEC chairman, talking about tokenization or Scott Besson, Secretary of Treasury,
talking about tokenization and bringing markets on chains. The same is true for stable coins.
And it's actually so helpful to be able to point to that. You can say, look, don't take it from us.
But if these people are out here publicly saying this, as you mentioned, Andrew, they certainly have
found ways to monetize it and are planning to head in that direction. And so you can either sit
on the sideline and say you still don't believe it, or you can at least start to get educated
and engage in the space and then figure out how you want to gain exposure if you do want to
gain exposure. But the biggest mistake you can be is staying on zero and being short digital
assets and crypto technology in tokenization and stablecoins and Bitcoins heading into the future,
which is increasingly digital and driven by technology.
Yeah, I, sorry, but I can't keep getting memes of you guys in the time.
Tommy Boy car and turning the radio on and don't you remember you're so love me, baby.
So I can't. There's just too much of it. It's all right here. It's too much.
Well, I would say that the entire industry is being de-risked. There's lower and lower risk every
day that you're in our space because there's more and more liquidity. The market's larger.
as markets grow, they become less risky to participate in.
Meanwhile, there's more and more opportunity because the technology, Bitcoin and the Bitcoin standard proved to us what digital assets could do.
But it's not the one size fits all shoe that you can do everything with.
And so the next iteration of blockchain and what it can do across trading and banking is what we're in the throes of.
to me right now. And that's the on-ramps and the off-ramps that are so important to get adoption.
And when that turns on, you know, I think, you know, if somebody at your company that was on
our show, I think it was probably Matt, said something like, you know, in the future, we won't be
calling assets, digital assets. And it's just assets. They're all digital because that's the better
way to transact. And so, you know, I think that's where we're headed. We're just, you know,
right in the midst of that transaction or, you know, the transition.
Exactly.
Yeah, I think that I think that's 100% correct.
Well, look, the New York Stock Exchange is tokenizing stocks.
NASDAQ is tokenizing stocks, right?
It's happening and it may feel digital already to traditional investors to, like, go into their TD Ameritrade or other brokerage account and like they or Robin Hood account.
And they buy and sell stocks like, ah, this feels digital.
And it is digital for us.
But the back end is highly analog and highly inefficient and extremely expensive and slow.
And that slowness introduces settlement risk and things like that that the typical investor doesn't see, but it's very, very real.
And the reason why I completely agree with you, Tillman, that in the future, it's just going to be assets is because you're going to see everything converge to the lowest risk, most efficient medium.
And that is just blockchain-based rails.
And so I think that's absolutely where we're headed.
Clearly, it's traditional players in Wall Street.
See that's where we're headed from an infrastructure and a business perspective.
I think investors are going to be the last ones to catch up.
And as I've said kind of before on here, like this is the time where the foundation's being laid for the next full market.
And vaults and tokenization and stable coins are three megatrends that are going to grow into several trillions in assets individually.
and I just have to believe that that's going to drive growth in the underlying blockchains and infrastructure and applications that house all that activity and facilitate it all.
I've got to pick your brain about one thing regarding the vault situation.
I get to talk to a lot of great tech teams across the country at all these major exchanges at Crackin and Coinbase.
And we have integrations at Archpublic with all of them.
And yesterday struck me as another example of like what's on the top of their mind, which is this whole AI involvement.
You know, on the side of vault, do you see the curator or the manager of those vaults?
Do you see that as being more approached from an automated perspective or an AI perspective?
Or is the secret sauce still going to be, you know, the guy behind the fund, if you will?
How do you see that evolving right now?
Yeah, that's a really good question.
I think the answer is that it will be both because it makes sense that in a world that's increasingly driven by AI and increasingly digital, people will want automated AI driven solutions.
Like I think that just will happen.
And there will be a lot of investors, probably younger generation, who are comfortable with allocating to a strategy that's managed partially or fully by AI systems or AI agents.
I do believe, though, that people want to talk to other people when they're thinking about
their finance and trusting them with their finance.
Like, they want to see a face.
I can't really imagine like an AI avatar going on CNBC and talking about some like risk-managed
vault strategy that they're curating and investors tuning into that who sit in a high
rise in Chicago somewhere and make, yes, I need to allocate 10 million of my client's assets to
that strategy.
Like, there's so much, like, risk and just, like, I don't know, weird, like,
futuristic strangeness to that.
Like, maybe it will happen.
Like, maybe I'll be sitting here in 15 years and, like, there will be an AI avatar
on CNBC and I'll eat my words.
But, like, I just think in my experience, wealth managers, financial advisors, clients, they
want a human in a lot of their financial interaction.
Now, we'll see this technology abstract away and, and, um, and,
disrupt a lot of the administrative layers behind the scenes, but I think people want to trust
other people when they talk about allocating 10 or 50 or 100 million dollars.
It's certainly already an adjunct to the way decisions get made, right?
Like no question about it. There are, you know, on the advisor side, you know, it's not
simply 1997. Let me go with my gut. And this is, this is, this is,
is what we're running with this quarter.
You know, big adjustments there.
And I'm certain that, you know, at that level, you know,
the, you know, sort of forward-thinking advisors are using AI because their clients are.
Like their client, you know, a large portion of their clients,
any type of, you know, recommendation that they're getting,
they're going, put that into chat, GBT.
What does it say, right?
So it's an adjunct and probably will be for a while.
but to your point about, you know, some weird robotic thing doing interviews like that that we're...
An avatar.
You're saying that won't fly?
Yeah.
It's like the Seinfeld.
There's an life, you know, lesson in everything.
Yeah, yeah.
There's a Texas saying for that.
My dad used to say, and he used to say, no, I need a neck to choke.
And so, you know, you've got to have a neck to choke in the equation.
And if you don't know who that is, you know, it's going to leave you wanting.
Yeah, I think that's exactly right. Like one way to think about that is that if you are a financial advisor and you are considering allocating to a vault on behalf of all of your clients or a certain client, like you're sitting there thinking about, okay, what is higher risk for me? And like, where does if all goes wrong, where does the buck stop? If I choose an AI strategy to allocate them to, the burden is really, you know, probably more on me to make.
make sure that something doesn't go wrong.
You know, like, who am I going to sue if my client sues me, right?
And if I get defrauded by like this AI agent, is that going to be like, I checked a box
somewhere in my due diligence process that actually accepted that risk?
Whereas if it's a person or a team behind it, right, you can say like, okay, well, I'm entrusting
them, just like my clients are entrusting me.
And if they don't meet their regulatory requirements and it's, it's, you know, it's, you know,
investment mandate, et cetera, like I can go after them if my clients come after me, right?
The dots connect there in a way they don't.
Well, the defensible actions, like, you know, the people who actually have defenses as to why
they did things versus the black box, you know.
Ryan, this probably makes a lot of sense in that, you know, I'm not smart enough to have thought
of this several weeks ago.
It's just hit me right now.
Like in the same way that, you know, 30 years ago, most advisors were just an advisor and
they had a $200 million book and they were doing great.
Then it turned into teams were the thing.
That's the whole thing across Wirehouser.
So teams, you know, maybe the next thing is, yeah, the teams exist,
but part of that team is how they've integrated AI.
Like here's the team.
We've got this, this, this, this, and this person that are experts on the team that cover all this stuff.
And then here's the AI adjunct that also was doing an evaluation of everything,
that we've constructed for you.
Like that seems, if five years from now,
if advisor teams are talking about that to somehow differentiate
when they're competing for the next $70 million client,
that seems to make sense, right?
Don't you think?
Yeah, I think that makes sense.
Like if I had 70 million and I was like debating which financial advisor to use
and one said, we don't touch AI for anything that we do.
And another said, yeah, we use AI where it makes sense.
it enhances our research.
We leverage it to do due diligence,
but we have a human behind the scenes fact checking everything.
I would go with the one who says we use AI to be more efficient and more effective.
And I would avoid the one who says like,
AI's crazy.
I'm not touching that because I want someone who's going to embrace new disruptive,
innovative technology,
both from a usage perspective,
but also be open to investing in these new things that are disrupt and change the way that the world works.
I actually think there's an analog there to digital assets.
that's really interesting is that we spend a lot of time talking, like I said, to these financial
advisors. And what we're hearing more and more is that even if they're not big believers, if their
clients are asking about it, they need to have a solution for them. Otherwise, they risk losing those
clients. And advisors, as you know, as you mentioned, there are these big teams of people that are
trying to grow their assets under management. So they want to have a menu of options at least that
they can show new clients and prospects when they come in the door and say,
hey, look, you like crypto or your son likes crypto or your daughter like, great.
Yeah, we have ETFs for that.
We have vault strategies for that.
You don't like it.
Great.
We won't allocate to those.
But it needs to be part of the menu that they're showing.
Otherwise, they risk losing or stunting the growth of their business.
And that's really important as well.
So it just becomes a differentiator at first, but then it also becomes table stakes, you know,
as digital assets continue to grow and be integrated into all these.
from wirehouses and wealth management platforms.
Well, you see it, you see it start to happen amongst platforms that advisors use,
like a Bloomberg terminal, like a big push with Bloomberg is the AI version of Bloomberg,
you know, over the last, let's call it 12 to 18 months, right?
There are other competing platforms that are quote unquote cheaper like Y charts and, you know,
it's starting to do that type of stuff.
So, yeah, really interesting stuff.
Thanks for being here, Ryan.
We really appreciate it.
Yes, it was great.
Yeah, it was really good.
And I didn't even make fun of the NFT thing back behind you.
I was waiting.
I didn't have time to do that.
We all have these stories, though, don't we?
We got stuck on Tommy Boy, but maybe that's right.
That's always a good place to get stuck.
It was a great place to get stuck.
Thanks, Ryan.
We appreciate your time.
We really do.
Thanks, guys.
Great chatting with you.
See, Ryan.
Well, speaking of traditional markets, we are here to talk about equities and ETFs being launched
today at our public. And when I say launched, our concierge clients all get stuff early. So they've been
able to have conversations and be onboarded over the last few weeks. But our free tier version of
equities and ETFs just went live today. So we were moving beyond crypto and beyond other products
into the large ocean that is equities and ETFs and giving people the opportunity to use our tools
to affect performance across a bunch of different strategies and a bunch of different symbols.
I was hoping that part of the subject headline for this could be a new strategy for strategy
And what I mean by that is, you know, one of the equities that our teams focused on over the past few weeks and created a case study for was Microstrategy itself.
And, you know, when Tillman comes back, looks like we lost him there for a second.
You know, I'll have him talk about the fact that, you know, our tools took a look at strategy, which has gone through a really rough patch, right?
year to date down 20 plus percent over the past year also down over the past three years also a little bit
down and then you take it a look at using our tools and the volatility that that micro strategy
and strategy gives you just extraordinary results i think that three years 180 percent the two years
you know a big number 70 something and then year to date just year to date and everybody knows
this strategy has gotten its teeth kicked in year to date, a variance of nearly 50% from a performance
standpoint, up about 20 to 21% versus down being 26 plus percent. So, gentlemen, if you want to
jump in here and talk about the fact that we have, we've opened up free version of our tools
for equities and ETFs, it's a big day at our public. Yeah, absolutely. And I was going to say
it's a perfect segue to what we were talking about earlier with, you know,
365 24-7 markets produce volatility.
That's just the nature of the game.
And the more markets we integrate,
the more assets we tokenize, if you will,
the more opportunity lies out there
in the management of that volatility.
And so automated tools become a necessary part of that equation.
Why?
Well, because you're not up 24-7.
You can't stay awake.
You can't monitor all markets.
You can't spot the volatility and then react to that volatility in an efficient manner.
And so what we're doing at Archpublic is we're creating tools that not only allow you to acquire whatever asset that you want to acquire at the most optimal cost curve,
take advantage of time, take advantage of not putting all your eggs in one basket, but dollar cost averaging on highly volatile downturns or buying the dips, if you will.
But the volatility you can also expect on the upside, too.
Now, you can't expect to know when it's going to happen on the upside, but that's where
putting automated strategies in place that can react to it when it takes place, even though
you're not paying attention.
That's where it becomes paramount.
And that's where you start seeing real results.
You start seeing actions being taken on your behalf that you set up, that are completely
driven by you, that generate the results that you want generate.
but don't require you to sit there in front of your computer or monitor or manage or do calculations.
It's reacting for you in that moment in a way that you cannot react for yourself.
And if you're doing that across a broad array of assets that are highly volatile,
the results are phenomenal.
So now you see at Archpublic offering our technology across equities,
you see this beautiful combination of opportunity across multiple asset classes.
And what you get is you get some that move more correlated to one another, less correlated to one another.
There's a lot of beauty in combining those asset classes into something that produces a better outcome from a risk perspective and adjusted returns perspective than they would by themselves.
And that's what we're seeing our customers get excited about.
That's what we're so excited about.
And that's exactly what Bitwise is doing is getting you broader exposure to things and giving you a way to access.
them and to manage them that fits with your life and fits with the way in which you want to
do that. So we're doing that across now equities, ETFs, you know, the commodity equities as
well and having a lot of excitement generated around it. Yeah, there are, you know, you have the opportunity
to take a look at volatility, not just in crypto, but across broader markets. And volatility is
something that has turned into a unique opportunity. Also, you know, there's been an evolution in
finance about how to, you know, first, you know, dip your toes into an asset and then what does
it look like on a go-forward basis. So 25 years ago, it was buy and hold, right? So you bought a chunk,
you held it and you never sold it, right? Then it turned into dollar cost averaging. So this is
the right way to do it. So instead of buying that chunk at a certain price, you're beholden that
price, now you're going to dollar cost average.
Well, a lot of ways, this is the next evolution of that.
So you can go to our recipe labs on our website and take a look at the differences
between automated agentic type of executions versus DCA.
Like not only do our strategies crush bindhole, but they crush DCA across our case studies.
Why?
Because decisions are being made in an algorithmic way that are completely devoid of a
motion first and foremost. And then secondarily, it's not a just a moment in time, a static moment in time.
There's, you know, math involved associated with movements in that volatile asset that are
going to benefit the cost curve over time. So this is, this is where we're headed.
Again, I've said this many, many times over the last few months. If you're not getting involved
with us and getting comfortable with this technology, and by the way, allowing our teams to help you
get comfortable with this technology. It's coming. It's going to be here in two years where
you're going to have to be very comfortable with it because we're going to be at 24-7 trading.
So you're going to have to have something that's doing managing the volatility in the markets.
And I will say this. Just ask yourself this simple question.
You know, when you look at the Bitcoin Treasury companies, for example, and you look at human nature,
most people react to big green candles and most people buy on big green candles and you know why i can say that so
confidently because that's why they're big green candles that's that's the nature of a big green candle is a lot of
people flooding in and buying all at once and so you know if you ask yourself a simple question of like when you
acquire even one asset when you're looking at dollar cost averaging against one asset you're looking at dollar cost averaging against one
asset, when is the appropriate time to add a little bit to your position in an incremental way?
Well, if you look at what Michael Saylor's history has taught us, he likes to do it at the
giant top of giant green candles. And let me tell you something about the top of giant
green candles. There's not that many sellers, typically. That's why there are big green candle.
There's a lot more buyers than sellers. You don't want to be buying, you know, tickets to your favorite
boarding event or any asset when it's the most popular on the buying side, you want to be buying the
asset when there's blood in the streets, as the old adage says, or when there's pain, when people
are puking up their proverbial positions. Like that's the nature of the piece. So if you have tools
that literally are managing your entry points, not when you are available after work to buy it,
or when you think about it or when you react to the big green candle,
but you just have a system that just grinds on good rules that you set.
That's where you start seeing real results.
And it's not a quick fix, but put a little bit of distance between you and the starting point,
and you start to see that volatility become an asset for you instead of being something that you have to fear or, you know, dread.
And we get asked from time to time, like what's the minimum for work?
with arch public there is no minimum go use our tools for free we make them free so you can
you know decide for yourself if if uh you know the the tools themselves work the way that we say they
work um you know the the free version has an annualized cap of a of 10 000 in in transactions
and that flips over every year so if you're working with less than 10 000 in transactions it's
free forever at the same time you know you don't have to have a minimum 10 000 isn't the
minimum that you have to have. You know, start with us, put two, $300, $400 in your account and, you know,
$50 clips at a time and begin using the tools and get comfortable with them. We want you to do that.
We want people to have access to these tools and this technology because it matters and it makes
a difference in a... We want to be the first ones to show it to you in the way that we've built it
because we think it's a big eye-opening experience.
We've seen that in our 27,000-plus customers.
We serve people, whether they are part of our concierge or paid division
or whether they're a free customer the same way.
You can reach somebody on the telephone.
You can schedule a time to meet with them and walk through the tools
and help get advice in terms of how to navigate the settings
and get them set up for yourself.
All of those things.
We want to show you a new way.
of customer service and technology bringing you something that really is easy and you're excited about
integrating and even more excited about maintaining after the integration and we see that on a
consistent basis so give us a shot you download it for free use it for free contact our folks and
see how helpful they are and we're very confident you're going to see value well that is all for today
most of you want me to replace this show as the host. So go tell Scott Melker in the comments on
Twitter about this. Go tell them right now. But in all series, this great show today, great to have
Ryan and Tillman on. And thanks for being here. We'll see you.
