The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin CRASHES Below $70K As ETFs Bleed A Historic $3.4 Billion
Episode Date: June 2, 2026Bitcoin just crashed below $70,000 - falling 3.8% overnight to $69,446 - as $766 million in liquidations cascaded through the leveraged complex and BlackRock's IBIT extended its outflow streak to 10 s...traight days, with the ETF complex now hemorrhaging $2.4 billion since May 18 alone. Add Michael Saylor's stunning 32 BTC sale (Strategy's first since the FTX collapse in 2022, used to fund STRC dividends), the Fear & Greed Index crashing into "Extreme Fear" at 23, ongoing US-Iran escalation, and growing speculation that Larry Fink is suppressing prices through sustained institutional redemptions — and today's setup looks like the cleanest capitulation we've seen this cycle. We break down what's actually driving the selloff, whether the BlackRock bleed is structural or temporary, what Saylor's "Never Sell" reversal means for the rest of the treasury company space, and what catalysts could stop the bleeding before $65,000 comes into play. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Bitcoin is currently trading below $69,000 inflating American dollars as ETFs extend their massive losing streak with 11 straight days of outflows and $3.4 billion worth.
What the hell is going on?
I have no idea, which is why I bring Andrew and Tillman here to tell you exactly what's happening so that I have plausible deniability.
Let's go.
What's up, everybody?
How are you doing?
Happy Tuesday.
welcome to my humble lakeside abode where I go for peace and quiet as Bitcoin crashes and the
internet screams at me for being bullish. I'm going to bring on Tillman and Andrew right now. You guys
can join me.
We.
It is fortunate out there. Andrew doesn't even wear a collared shirt when he goes on stage in a
conference for everybody else. Yeah, that's right. I'm leveling up. The further Bitcoin goes
down, the higher I level up with my with with with my shirts. If we're in the first,
40s, I'm wearing a tux to the show.
I'm going to
the way things are going right now.
It's brutal out there,
but it's a simple answer,
man. It's Bitcoin ETF flows
are, they just dominate
Bitcoin price at this point.
We've got 11 days in a row
of outflows, and so we've
seen a meaningful move to the downside.
When we had a full
month of like three,
billion in inflows. We went from where we are now up to 82. So you just, it's a, it's a boring story
for a podcast, but it's just true. It's just the reality. Yeah, I mean, here it is, right?
$76 million in liquidations as Bitcoin crashes below 70K. That may or may not be my face
embedded in that article. I didn't know that was going to be there.
from a little show you might have heard of called The Daily Welf on Yaha Finance.
But yeah, I mean, this is one of those things where it's pretty obvious what's happening, right?
Price kind of starts to hit certain very obvious levels.
$70,000 is going to be a major psychological level, I think.
Probably a lot of stops down there, a lot of things triggering.
So you get these massive liquidation cascades and it pushes price even lower.
And then you kind of get the fear and some more people sell their ETFs
and you get this sort of temporary cycle pushing price in either direction.
Yeah, or you just get the selling may and go away, you know,
everybody's kind of putting it in park for the summer.
And that's when you get rid of things that you don't want to have to monitor,
things that are, you know, on the teetering point, if you will,
or things that are highly volatile.
And so I just think it's a natural progression in the maturity of our markets.
If you look at kind of the past cycles and what they've been,
driven by it's a it's been things that are a lot less predictable than this I'll put it that way.
So this is a gift, you know, it's kind of just get into the Wall Street cycle of when things
pump and when things move. And I will say that the Clarity Act is, is an excuse for it not to move,
in my opinion. And when it gets cleared up, I think it will start moving again, even, you know,
kind of regardless of what time of year it is, even if it's in the dead of.
of the summer. So, you know, it's, we're waiting for a catalyst event. In the meantime, we're
going to trend sideways or slightly down. That's good. That's consolidation patterns.
And when we find a bottom, we'll either find it on really good news or we'll find it because
everybody's back of their desk and they're ready to trade again. I mean, it's going to come,
is the point. I think is everything else still going up. In video, it's like 5% today,
7% today.
I mean, I saw, I think it was Sandisk,
that has a 99 RSI on the monthly chart.
I don't think I've ever seen 99 RSI on like a four-hour chart,
certainly not a daily or weekly, on the monthly chart.
I mean, the amount of fomo and hype right now in the stock market is out of control.
And we saw that with metals and we saw that with oil.
So maybe it just gets us eventually.
Well, so here's a statistic, right?
So the stock market's out of control.
So we've hit 23 new highs in 2006.
But how many highs did we hit in 2024?
57.
57 new highs in 2024.
So we're about halfway there.
We're actually not even halfway there for 2024.
There were 38 in 2025.
Don't fight the tape, man.
I mean, that is a long, tenured.
reality.
Yeah, but it's
Bitcoin down?
Yeah.
So it's all the
narratives and all the excitement about
you know, there was a point earlier
this year or maybe it was late last
year. I don't remember.
But it was a version of
well, Bitcoin is decoupling.
Maybe it was around the first Iran
bombing. Like the first Iran bombing
Bitcoin didn't move. Maybe it went up
a little and the stock market went down for
45 seconds. And everybody,
Bitcoin was like, oh, Bitcoin's decoupling.
Look, it's this an asset that does cool stuff.
Okay, well, that's gone.
Everything else is up.
It's down.
I mean, listen, you have to realize that any asset that you believe in,
the best time to buy it is when you go to look at the price that makes you want to puke.
Yeah, you got to puke.
I'm physically ill, so maybe I'll buy it.
Or you have to puke when your algorithm buys.
I didn't know my algorithm
I don't do but yeah I'm literally
just for reference
so Sandisk hasn't been around that long that it had
RSI on the
on the daily on the monthly chart
but you can see it right here
I mean you know it got R you know
because it takes a certain amount of candles
I mean this is RSI
100
I mean you know
this was like over
over that tiny little line
if that's not
an outlier
I don't know what it is.
And one word comes to mind, rotation.
I mean, that's a hell of a ride.
When you take that type of a ride, you know, you should be thinking about derisking the position at some point.
Yeah.
Taking some profits off the table.
But who knows which, you know, how long these things will run.
I was watching Sam Altman talk about his new, you know, mega center that he's building.
And they were doing an on-site interview.
And, you know, they're spending $50 billion on the center.
There are bigger narratives that have kind of stolen the spotlight, in my opinion, than Bitcoin.
It doesn't mean that Bitcoin won't steal the narrative back once it kind of unveils itself as the most sterling collateral and people actually start to have access to lending against it.
I just want to further that point just before you go on because it's actually the Bitcoin.
miners that are pivoting literally our miners are pivoting to AI and are taking that money
for building out those data centers. It's our guys. You literally see the rotation in real time with
the people who are mining the Bitcoin. Well, because you're going to get the biggest multiplier
in the stock price. And that's what the whole game is about is the share price multiplier that you
can pick up when you are at the front of every headline and at the same time, you're raising
capital. And if you look at the amount of capital that our industry raised in the mining space
specifically, you know, over the last 16, 18 months, it's been nothing short of extraordinary.
I mean, second only to Michael Saylor's capital raising efforts. And so I just think there's a
rotation that's happening. And that's good. It means we're in the rotation. And when it comes
back to, you know, our time to shine, people are going to remember the million dollar narrative.
that will be the expectation.
And so no different than the last cycle.
I mean, it wasn't very long ago
where we were celebrating it crossing 100,000.
Now we're kind of like 126 or bust,
you know, 100 grand was like the biggest deal ever.
Taylor had his party in Miami.
I did not attend.
I was like this, no.
Yeah, well, I mean,
I'm not spending New Year's with Bitcoin maxis.
So let me give you guys some context
as to some of these numbers, right?
This will hopefully blow you're going for.
This will blow your blind.
It's at 68, okay.
It's at 68, all right.
It's $8,900.
You just want to put that up there, all right.
So great financial crisis, right?
So Tillman just mentioned $50 billion for this or that
or this data thing, this set up, this deal,
Anthropics worth $900 billion.
Google's raising $100 billion, $100 billion.
During the great financial crisis,
politicians, D.C. and the entirety of America was losing its mind over the fact that we needed
$800 million to bail out the entirety of the global financial system.
It was an 800 million.
That's it.
800 million.
I thought it was billions.
But yeah.
No, it was $800 million that they approved during the great financial crisis.
There was more money that was given to AIG.
The fact that nobody even realized.
But still, people were losing their mind about, you know,
is this some sort of, you know, setup where, you know,
you can't be held responsible for the problems that you create.
Yeah, I mean, we're old enough to remember when a billion dollars was a lot of money.
A lot of money.
Yeah.
Now it's like, no, billion dollars.
Like, now it's liquidations in crypto and price moves 3%.
Yeah.
You have billion dollar coins that you've never even heard of.
I mean, a billion dollars is nothing in the space of AI and tech.
I saw a headline yesterday that was staggering.
It was like, you know, Anthropic is valued at almost a trillion dollars with like 48 billion in revenue.
And don't quote me exactly, but very close to these numbers.
And Walmart is close to a trillion dollars and they have 900 billion in revenue.
You've got a 50 to 1 on the revenue front, and yet you have the same valuation.
That's a lot of hopium out there.
And I think it's going to be very similar to the tech boom.
There's going to be a lot of winners, and there's going to be even more losers.
And the losers are going to crash and burn in glory, because it's going to take that type of risk tolerance to stay on the bleeding edge of this industry.
I mean, that was half the line of questioning that they were given to Sam yesterday, which is like,
Come on, man. How can you justify $50 billion? And this is one data center of many that they're building.
So, you know, it's, and the reason why they can justify it, and this was the short of his answer, because people want to give us the money to do it.
Capital is always looking for that next rotation and that big, you know, exponential hit. And that type of capital, if you think about it, guys, what other, what, if you were going to play,
place $50 billion into real estate versus $50 billion into a data center, which one has more
complexity, risk, time to execute, which one has more friction? Well, the real estate does
buy a long shot. So this is a way to place a lot of money and potentially get a massive
reward. And my eyes got opened to the, this shine being off Bitcoin from a capital investment
perspective when I started looking into this because there is so much capital going into this
guys that we did is like the data center I saw happening and it's from the private companies right
from the private companies but my point is I think the government's next I think this is the holy
grail of excuses to print trillions and trillions of more dollars into you know the float we have to
in fact that was a lot of the line of questioning yesterday was like in this kind of a race against
China and Sam was flat out and said this is a this is a race to basically of all races this is
better this is more important to the US than any other race we've been really quickly I just
want to try to echo your point do you know what the the market cap of coin bases 48 billion
yeah it's time you know what the fully diluted market cap of hyperliquid is 70 billion yeah right
so you know how many you know how many customers hyperliquid has 20 billion
more than Coinbase.
If we're just talking about like wild valuations.
I mean, that's based on a token that's trading,
which has real utility, it never goes down.
So I understand that.
But like, you know, hyperliquid could get like,
it could be like turned on.
I'm nothing gets hyper liquid, just to be clear.
But like, you know, if the regulators decide they hate this thing,
it could become very problematic, right?
Yes.
So a lot to unpack in the last few things that you guys said.
So I'll hit each one of them.
First, moral hazard used to be a thing.
It seems to not be anymore.
We've forgotten all about that.
Second, you know, the commentary around valuations.
What's interesting is, to Tillman's point about the printing of money,
Bernie Sanders is walking through that door and he doesn't know it, right?
So he's going to put some piece of legislation, that'll go nowhere, by the way,
where supposedly the United States is going to take a 50% position
in all the AI companies, right?
So, hello.
Clear take means take.
I know.
That's what I'm saying, right?
There's a shiper liquid where I spend my money to buy some of the token.
Take.
Yeah, so what happens after that?
Oh, no, these companies aren't doing as well.
So forget about more hazard.
Let's print a bunch of money and shove a trillion dollars down their mouths, right?
That's the next step after, okay, forced ownership of,
of these companies.
No different than the great financial crisis.
Forced ownership of the banks.
So we're shoving money down your throat.
Moral hazard be damned, right?
Yes, it's also going to be fourth down.
Well, anthropic and open AI, right, in your index funds.
That's right.
I think it's very interesting to think about because it's a shift against globalization of,
of, you know, companies versus nationalization of companies.
And when you do have the concentration that we do of technology coming out of the U.S.
in terms of development and innovation, you know, it does make a lot of sense from an economics
perspective to pull that back.
But, you know, how to do that without making the U.S. an unattractive place to own and start
businesses that I think therein lies the magic.
And we'll see if they can pull that off.
But doesn't, I mean, taking half of a company.
just because it's, you know, based in the U.S.
It sounds like a pretty bad recipe as it pertains to attracting new companies.
Works in China.
The hyperliquid stuff, by the way, I, you know, did a little bit of digging on what's going on there.
You know, very, very loud on crypto Twitter because there's not a whole lot else to talk about that's going up.
Yeah, right.
But, you know, Coinbase has 125 million customers.
Hyperliquid has 2 million.
So that's a meaningful delta in terms of scale.
It's the reason why, you know, Jamie Diamond won't shut up about Brian and Coinbase,
but he has said a word about Hyperliquid because he doesn't care.
It's also a reason why over the next 24 to 36 months, it would not shock me if Coinbase
ended up buying hyperliquid.
So, you know, interesting stuff out there and big differences in terms of the scale of one
company or another, right?
If you're hyperliquid and at some point you need to scale to something other than people
doing transactions and commissions generated on transactions, at some point you have to do
something other than that at some level of scale.
it's hard to do it at scale when you only have two million customers.
Well, getting the customer,
you only have to have kind of one sizzled point or, you know,
viral moment, if you will, to get a bunch of customers.
To keep those customers, it's a whole different ballgame.
To your point, it's going to be hard.
Yeah, just asked Pop Mart.
They got famous on Labuboos, and now people don't want the boobos
and what's happening at a Pop Bar now.
Well, just look at, I saw a tweet about OpenC earlier,
today that they opened up to prediction markets or something, you know, some weird thing.
So and it was why do they want to be the 10th best at prediction markets when they should
have leaned into additional collectibles like baseball cards and other weird stuff that I can't
think of right now.
And so like, you know, OpenC four years ago was worth like some crazy amount of money and
everybody in crypto was on OpenC doing stuff.
Now it's a zombie land, right?
It's a graveyard.
And they're doing things to move narratives or news, which somehow props up their value as they just absolutely burn through cash.
So how do you avoid that if you're hyperliquid?
You partner before you retire at your peak.
And that takes a lot of discipline.
and it's hard to do.
It's very hard.
I mean,
they have very few employees.
I mean,
they're literally printing money right now.
So,
you know,
I think they're pretty good.
Four or five months ago,
the OpenCe founders were like
on the cover of Variety magazine.
Right.
So hard to get out of your own little bubble, right?
It's hard to,
hard to get out of your own little bubble.
And yeah,
I get your point,
Scott,
about them making money.
But again,
that type of making money is commoditized.
and it will go lower and lower and lower because what's right behind them all the perps all the things
all the stuff coinbase is doing it finances doing it the cm is doing it that everybody's doing it
once tradfai joins the party pricing goes jjjj very quickly right very quickly so they've you know
they've got to scale out instead of just you know vertically in terms of revenue then you got to have
bunch of customers to do that.
Interesting to see how that plays out.
Because again, some of the Sions quote unquote of this industry are huge hype, hype men.
So, you know, we'll see.
I look at it a little different.
I see what they're doing is like being a progressional journey of getting new and new valuations.
All they're trying to do is make their company as valuable as possible.
They have a very good model that's making money.
That's the first order of business.
If you can create a good model that's making money, then you have a business, right?
And they have a very good business, and it continues to grow,
and it continues to get more in prominence and people know about it.
But truth be told, I mean, nobody's really using it other than crypto people.
They haven't tapped into the broader markets, is my point.
And so I look at them as being, to your point, a perfect acquisition.
Why? Well, because you're really, you're buying a set of rails. You're buying a decent customer base,
but it's really more for the diversification in that customer base. You're accessing people you could
never otherwise access. And so there, there's a play there. But for them to get to what I would
call the too big to fail category like Coinbase, there's a, there's a chasm that I'm going to buy them.
I mean, 90% of companies plus fall into or 95% of.
percent of plus.
Yeah, so that's an interesting headline, right?
Bigger than NASDAQ, right?
But this is from the CEO of the guy that owns the stock exchange.
So again, NASDAQ is not big, guys.
NASDAQ is just an exchange that literally, you know,
is making money on tens of a tense of a tenths of a tenths of a penny
to move stuff back and forth across exchanges, accounts.
It's NASDAQ is not big.
When a headline is that vague, you have to ask what the framing is.
Like, what's big?
What metric are you defining as big?
Are you talking about gross revenue?
You're talking about net revenue?
You're talking about number of customers?
Like, come on.
It's a clickbait type of a headline.
Yeah, but those are a comment.
That is exactly what Sprecker said.
I mean, he's a lot of the NASDAQ.
NASDAQ is, you know, it may not be big, but it's the second largest, you know, stock exchange on the planet.
I think, you know, he's a trillion in assets.
So I'm just saying, like, did they?
In a way, my point more was you're talking about an acquisition.
Why would that guy be talking about hyperliquid right now?
And you know that ICE, you know, they've took a stake in OKX.
They, not strange.
We've had a lot of stories of acquisition from them and them identifying this early, maybe is a
That's all I'm saying.
That's a great point.
And I will say to that point, ICE is one of those few organizations that could afford them
and could pull it off in spades pretty quickly, or at least a partnership of some kind.
And, you know, I think that's your spot on.
That's a good point.
They're already talking about it.
So they have to already be talking about it behind closed doors.
Yeah.
I mean, you know, there was that story recently that Goldman, it's always like.
as if it's a monolith, but they had sold their XRP and Solano ATFs but had bought hyperliquid.
You know, you just get like, I can't, you know, I'm at that point where it's like,
is this peak euphoria at the top of a hype cycle?
No pun intended or like am I, did I miss this one?
And it's going to go completely nuts.
Well, I think it's going to be told in the future.
I think you're buying a premium right now because the reason why, you know, was obviously the
valuations compared to other companies that are a lot more established with,
with, you know, Coinbase having 50 times more customer than them than them.
I think that there is a part of us that always wants to be a part of the movement.
And they have the sizzle right now.
There is a lot of imagination as it pertains to how big they could get.
But it's going to be on the back of the adoption of real world assets and tokenized, you know,
all sorts of things that, to Andrew's point earlier, there's a massive.
race to those products, that development, those customer bases, and they have the fastest athletes
standing next to them in that race. So it doesn't mean they can't win. Just know that they're up
against legacy providers that have been storing up billions and billions and billions of free
capital over decades for these types of transitional moments. Like that's the reason why they
Yeah, there's a much larger percentage of 50 to 55 year old guys with money that have a Coinbase account that have no idea how to even open a Hyper Liquid account, right?
They don't even know what Hyper.
Not allowed in the United States.
It's not loud.
Right, right.
So that therein is, you know, the rub, so speak, is that why is Coinbase uniquely more valuable for all the right reasons?
Why is it a threat?
it's a threat because that 50 to 55 year old guy has moved, you know, say he's got 50 million
long at Morgan Stanley.
Well, he's moved 3% over his Coinbase account.
Then three years later, he moved another 2%.
Then five, now he's got 10% of that $50 million sitting on Coinbase instead of sitting
in his bank at JP Morgan or Morgan Stanley.
Therein is the threat, whereas are you, you know, are you holding six?
savings to moves, you know, do any type of transaction on hyper-liac. Of course not. Of course not.
So there is the quote on threat. And there again also is the risk associated with hyper-liquid.
What are you offering other than, you know, some version of trading that is exciting and fun and,
you know, leveraged, yada, yada, yada. And again, there is the difference between $125 million.
customers and two million.
Well, he very different deals.
Brian Armstrong is no schlock to being on the bleeding edge.
And he knows what, um, what to look for and where to move the ship.
He moves that that coin base ship more nimbly than, uh, most people, you,
move organizations a tenth of their size.
Um, but if you look at a headline that dropped, I think yesterday or maybe the,
like the 29th, um, it was about coin.
and Kashi getting approval for their PIRP futures and for U.S. customers.
Now, so think about this.
We're talking about hyperliquid.
How did they cut their teeth and why are we even talking about them?
Where did they come from and why did everyone start using them?
Well, because they specialize in PIRP futures and people could access them and they
could access them and, you know, in a place where they couldn't access them.
Well, Coinbase is now offering that to U.S. customers, and they're the first ones to offer it to U.S. customers.
So the competition is on. The race is on. The integration of market is going to happen so quickly over the next year, year and a half.
We'll have full integration by then. I mean, literally, that quickly. Why? Because it's that important to keeping and maintaining and growing your customer base, period.
What we saw in hyperliquid growth is exactly what we saw in upholds growth because they focused on XRP
and they were able to capture that audience.
And that audience had a bunch of XRP that was worth a lot of money and value.
They were able to, they were the beneficiaries of that business.
We're seeing the same thing here, but it's just based upon who can get to the market first
with the commercialized product and the platform that gets the users excited.
And, you know, I'm glad hyperliquids had the success that they have,
but Coinbase is now in the lead.
They can offer it to U.S. citizens.
They have a much better name.
They have a much broader scope.
They opened purpose this week via no action letter from the...
So, Calci got approval directly.
Donald Trump Jr. is on the board.
just saying.
Coinbase got a no action letter
from the CFDC that allows them
to offer Deribit to United States
customers through like Bermuda.
So semantics, but
same thing, but now
perps are coming to Coinbase.
That's the moral of the story, right?
So now Hyperliquid's going to have
competition from Kalshi and from
Coinbase and such. So they don't have
a, they don't have a monopoly
on that product, and U.S.
users, I think, will probably default to the
that have regulatory approval here.
So yeah.
How much money is sitting on Coinbase's exchange right now that could be pushed over into that.
And where does that put them as it pertains to kind of daily volume as a leader?
I think it would I think they could easily become, you know, they could make Hyperliquids volume
look small.
Well, if you're a hedge fund that was doing this stuff on Hyperliquid, you know,
you know, trading oil or silver or whatever it is, you know, doing all that stuff that
has additional alpha associated with it.
But now you can do it on Coinbase and a good portion of your money attributed to this
asset class is on Coinbase anyways.
You trust their security.
You trust their custody.
You trust all sorts of stuff.
You're going to do it there now.
I mean, there are no meaningful differences.
So you're going to do it there.
And again, to my point, this competition will always show up in this space.
I cannot stress enough that an exchange is just an exchange.
Like the NASDAQ is a conduit.
These are exchanges and the ability for them to scale into anything other than how many customers can we get
and squeeze additional dollars out of a little bit here, a little bit here, a little bit here, a little bit here, a little bit here,
That is the business model.
There's no magic here, right?
It's just transactional.
It's transactions.
And it's why the likes of exchange-type products don't become, you know,
$500 billion companies and a trillion-dollar companies.
They just, they effectively can't.
So it's, you know, put it all.
The early exchanges were able to, like Coinbase,
were able to, because they had a competitive advantage of being the only ones that kind of had
clarity in terms of regulations, they were able to, number one, accumulate a large portion
of the market share and then disproportionately charge for the services they were providing.
In the early days, I mean, they were making so much money on fees that that's how they kind of
They built the moat around Coinbase and they really made themselves a profitable, very wealthy.
Well, they also had to keep a lot of supply of crypto.
Well, they grew with the value of crypto as they held that.
They also had a lot of leverage products that they were collecting interest on and defaults on.
They were making money in that.
That was kind of the purest road of making a fortune as an exchange in the crypto space.
Now it's like what product can I get all the volume to, you know,
swoop to in a moment.
And then, you know, the moment's gone and we don't hear about it, you know,
six months later like we've been talking about with the NFT platforms.
So time will tell.
But Coinbase has the staying power to continue to try things until they find
what where the volume is and where the people respond.
And if you look at even the.
the prediction markets, that's another example of an extenuation of this. Like how many prediction
market headlines have we seen over the last year? Everybody's adding prediction markets. Why?
Well, because there's a lot of people that are responding to that. And they're looking at some of these
other legacy sports betting books that have come out of nowhere like draft kings. And they're going,
man, the market really wants this. And we have a big enough population and customer base where if we
just get our customers to start looking at us in this light, there's a tremendous amount of money
to me made. And, you know, as, you know, the trading of crypto has been commoditized in terms of pricing,
and as the ETFs and everything gets lower and lower in terms of fee scales, you have to stay on
the bleeding edge of what you're offering and how you're offering it. And those two things are going to be
exceptionally fast moving, considering we're in the age of AI, where you can get those things
built and spun up very, very quickly.
Yeah, I want it, before we move on anything arch public related, we have to, I mean, we just
spent like somehow 30 minutes talking about hyperliquid and coinbase.
But our goal is to make STRC the best credit instrument in the world, Michael Saylor.
This was basically his response to selling a de minimis amount of Bitcoin, obviously.
Just would love your hot takes on him selling Bitcoin for the first time since 2020.
People might not remember that macro strategy, and I actually had forgotten, actually sold Bitcoin at around 15,000 or something, dead bottom of the market, if you guys want to signal.
But it was tax harvesting.
They bought it back in more size, slightly higher almost immediately, and then the market flew.
But they have actually done this before.
I'll give me my take.
I wish he had never had the stance.
I'll never sell a Bitcoin.
It sounds unintelligent as far as I'm concerned.
I think it was a good narrative for the maxies of the world,
but anybody in traditional finance is looking from the outside in going,
why would you paint yourself into a corner when you don't have to?
And the flexibility and the war chest that you've built up
will basically prove you to be bulletproof if you take advantage of all these different mechanisms.
And selling is one of those mechanisms.
borrowing is a mechanism.
Like there's just a lot,
there's a lot of flexibility when you don't have these kind of emotional stances.
And I think that was an emotional stance.
I think he loved to stand on stage at the Bitcoin conference
and kind of stick his staff in the ground and say,
thou shall not pass.
And, you know, it's a maturing of the markets.
I think it's a little bit of a black eye, honestly,
because it reminds us of how,
foolish. We've kind of looked at things over the past decade. But, you know, it will soon
forget about it and they will move on to bigger things because the economic model is brilliant
and he's going to keep making money. He's going to keep raising money. He is going to be in a unique
position from a monopoly perspective in terms of the ability to attract borrowers. And I think that
that's going to change the dynamic from a lending in America perspective. And
he's going to have a competitive advantage that everybody's going to kind of be scratching their head against going, how do we secure?
No different than he has a competitive advantage in offering yield.
Who else do you guys know that's offering 12% paid out monthly?
And now he's talking about moving it every two weeks.
No one.
Why?
Well, because Bitcoin can produce that.
And no different than that, Bitcoin also can produce a lending model at scale, unlike any lending model we've ever seen before.
cheaper to run, easier to collect on, faster to scale, like just, you know, take all you know about
blockchain and apply it to a bank that lends money.
And you're going to find yourself looking at Saylor going, holy smokes, the most profitable
business he has is the lending arm of his business.
I really believe that will be the case in the future.
So we'll see that develop over time.
I don't know how long it'll take, but I'm proud of them for.
finally biting the bullet.
How long are we like, you know, he's going to stack all this Bitcoin,
and then he's going to become a Bitcoin bank and offer this full breadth of services,
he's going to do all these financial things.
And the second he does, like, one little financial thing.
As you said, like he shouldn't have said it, right?
I mean, like, sell your kidney, never sell your Bitcoin.
Well, again, the narratives on crypto Twitter was it's, oh, you know,
Sailor sells 47 cents of Bitcoin and it goes, you know, crashes.
Again, the reality is Bitcoin ETF outflows are what drive price.
Nothing to do with the, you know, 26 cents of Bitcoin that's Sailor.
I'm just going to make it go down every time I mention it.
Next time I say, Saylor, it's 16 cents.
So, yeah, I mean, narratives are one thing.
And then there's the reality.
And so, by the way, he's doing.
all sorts of banking things before ever becoming a Bitcoin bank. And so he's already doing those
things, laying the foundation for doing those things. And I really do believe that even this small
sale has much to do with regulatory considerations, six, 12, 18 months from now.
And so, you know, he's playing the long game. And by the way, he's played it exceptionally well
for years and years and years.
At least that's what Jim Kramer just told me
in my ear right here.
He's not licking your ear today.
He's talking about.
I mean, I read the number when it says
that he sold 32 Bitcoin.
I did a double take and I was like,
that sounds like he asked
some regulator,
so how many do I have to sell?
He's like minimum of 32.
He's like, oh, I sell 30.
Why 32 of all numbers?
numbers, I mean, nothing.
Yeah.
Well, again, and also there's the, again, the positive narrative associated with that is Bitcoin
offers unique properties even when it's down a meaningful amount in the ability to tax
loss harvest versus any type of equity or other type of asset in the, you know, financial
system.
You can tax loss harvest very, very quickly by selling it,
it back in 12 seconds and you can claim that loss right so even for people that bought it you know at
sailors party at 101,000 they can benefit and then readjust their cost bases just like that um and so
yeah as an asset it has so many angles to it that offer upside even when it's meaningfully to the
downside. It's extraordinary. And Sailor will continue to leverage more and more of all of that
a go-forward basis. He'd be smart to do such. We forgot to mention our friends over a bit-wise
and what they've done. They've made some headlines here recently. Their hyper-liquid
ETF has just gone nuts. They're big believers in hyper-liquid. But then also they launched their
carry fund, the crypto carry fund, which is very unique, bleeding edge and another, you know,
indicators it pertains that they wouldn't be creating products if they didn't have already,
they've already identified the demand. That's how that works. So exciting stuff happening over it,
but why's good to see it. Yeah, they're amazing. So tell you, want to talk about the tax harvesting?
Yeah. Yeah. So the, the,
The premise of Bitcoin or any asset that has a lot of volatility is that there's ways to harness value on both sides of the price.
So if you take the current price and you say, okay, what can be harvest to the upside?
Well, when there's price movement to the upside, you can harvest that price movement in terms of turning it into yield or profit taking.
You also have long-term price appreciation potential above the current price.
If you look at Bitcoin and the lower side of the curve or below the current price, there's a average price benefit that you can acquire.
So that's when you're buying on the dips and you're buying a better cost curve, a dollar cost averaging strategy.
That's one thing that can be harnessed on the downside.
But there's also a unique status.
And we are not tax experts.
so please contact your CPA, but there's a unique status that crypto holds as it pertains to
being able to do something what they call is tax harvesting or tax loss harvesting.
And it's unique to crypto.
So it's something that you should be aware of, something that you should go educate yourself
on if you've never heard that before.
But a lot of people are starting to talk about it.
And there's a lot of, you know, we just mentioned that Michael Saylor did it, I think, back in 2022.
but it has a status with the IRS that allows you to sell it and capture the loss attached to the position
and then re-buy it right away.
So for real practical purposes, let's just say Bitcoin was at 126 and Scott Milker wanted to buy a large amount of it.
And he did.
And then the price goes to 100.
you don't know if it's going to go lower than 100,
but you do know it's at 100,
and you do know that there's $26,000 of Delta
as it pertain to your cost basis and where it is.
And so that $26,000 of loss,
if you sold the Bitcoin,
you get to claim a $26,000 loss.
Well, that $26,000 loss applied to your tax rate
and applied to other gains,
to offset the gains is a valuable thing for you.
And so as, you know, crypto drops, there's these opportunities where you can do a very simple calculation as to with your CPA, what is that value?
And then you can execute on, you know, selling your position systematically over little blips and then rebuying that position instantaneously.
So at the end of the process, you're getting an outcome where you've got a new cost basis and you've taken the losses that you've incurred on all of those cryptos.
You are then able to claim those on that year's taxes and then you have a new basis going forward to, you know, in the same exact stack that you had before.
So it's a valuable thing to learn about.
We offer a tool that allows you to execute that with your.
CPA very effectively. I think one of the hardest things for the CPA is that they all know this
exists. They all approve of it. They all want to do it for their customers. But there's a lot of
complexity in them getting into your brokerage account and executing it. So this is a way for you
to programmatically execute that and to put it into works with a simple click and have your CPA
with you monitoring that and getting those tax losses realized.
So a very, very unique tool.
We don't know of anybody that's offering it outside of money management and or funds that you have to commit your capital to.
This is a tool that you get to deploy.
You get to use.
It's as simple as we possibly could have made it.
And with the help of your CPA, you guys can navigate it very, very effectively.
So we're excited about it.
It has a very clear stated value to each.
individual attached to it. So you can, you know, with your advice to your CPA, find out exactly what that value is and move forward with using it very confidently.
Yeah, we, again, the growth at Archipublic continues to be rapid, fast, quick. You know, we're adding users very, very quickly. We've added 25,000 in the last year. That's extraordinary. And so what comes with that is just,
constant innovation. So a tax loss harvest tool is something that you know you have you offer
to people and people use it however they want all of our algorithms all of the strategies that we
offer people everything in our recipe lab you know available to people and can be
adjusted change moved based on whatever the user wants. We have additional things coming to
market that people are find very very compelling. We can
I'll nerd out on it a little bit.
Well, it's back to what we've been talking about.
It's like the connectivity of markets.
And there's this, if you look at the way that the financial markets in the U.S.
specifically work and how everyone has these registered investment advisors and, you know,
people are moving towards AI investment advisors.
That's not going to slow down.
That's going to speed up.
And so if you have this AI investment advisor that's able to monitor and track,
your real-time finances, your real-time stock positions, your real-time crypto positions,
all your asset values, and give you specific intelligence to you in your situation,
you know, that's not a theory. That's happening right now. If you look at Sylvia,
that pomp has done, that's, customers have just loved it. They've had a huge influx of high net worth
folks, I think there's multiple billion dollars under, you know, management with that AI tool now.
So if you combine that with, okay, now the AI's given me instructions, how do I execute those
instructions? How do I actually get the execution accomplished? Well, as you see all of these
markets expanding and you see all of these new tokenized products and real world assets coming
online and the ability for you to invest across every market from a few exchanges, it's going to become
increasingly important for you to have tools that help you manage the execution of that and
monitor across the board kind of what you know you've done. And so arch public is really proudly
standing in the gap of okay, how do we make the execution arm of this effort as easy for,
for people as possible.
And so we're building automated tools that are completely flexible to you and your
situation.
You can program them in very easily.
We can show you exactly how to do it.
We will teach you.
And then at the end of the day, you have you as an agent that you've built in the form
of that execution, monitoring the markets and executing on parameters when those parameters
present themselves.
And so instead of being reactionary to markets, you have.
the lines place, you have the system in place to respond instantly to those, you know,
reactions versus having a delayed response. And the quicker you can respond to those trigger points,
and the quicker you could admit failure when you're wrong and get out of those, that's a true
management system that we have found that our customers absolutely love. It takes a lot of the
emotion, if not all of it, out of your trading strategies. And it takes your availability,
you know, the pressure of always being available or always monitoring the markets,
it takes that pressure away from you.
We talked internally about adding, like, you know, different types of music tracks to our
algorithms, so they're a little more fun when people are using them, like Freak Nasty and the
others.
But for some reason, internally, that hasn't gone to the direction that I'd like you to go,
so I can't promise anything there.
but we do have additional lines of algorithms that are that are going to be coming to market over the next 30, 60, 90 days.
People are going to be very, very excited about.
Equity, ETF.
Yeah.
Yeah.
So, and just in FYI, when we launch these types of products, they go to our concierge program folks first.
So you want to be a part of our concierge program.
by the way, the pricing for our concierge program tiers is as low as it's ever been.
So you should probably engage with us and get involved.
We do things like have concierge only webinars.
We're having one later this week, Thursday.
It's going to be very tax-focused.
We're bringing on a very special accounting firm that has a lot of history in the crypto space
and just the financial space at large.
going to be talking about special tax processes and opportunities and ways to maximize what
you're doing with that part of your financial life.
But that's concierge only.
You can't just join it if you're not a concierge member.
So get in touch with us, talk to us, a lot of new products coming that people are either
going to engage with us on these products or they're going to be forced to engage two,
three years from now and they're going to be behind the eight ball.
stay in front of the eight ball, do things that are on the cutting edge of innovation,
but do it with people that can hold your hand.
And you know, you'll find yourself in a spot that's beneficial to your overall portfolio,
for sure.
I can vouch for it and buy in Bitcoin like crazy here on the bill.
I may or may not have also manually had a big bid at $70,000 just in case.
For a long time.
when we were at 82.
I was like, yeah, you know, maybe I'll buy a little more.
Yeah, the, the Maverick in you wouldn't stay under the threshold.
You had to press the speed barrier.
But there's things in different places, right?
There's personal stuff, and then there's business.
That's right.
And we're getting set up on some of the other stuff.
Listen, I still have my emotional.
It felt like a decent buy when I bid it at 82.
Yeah.
I still have my emotional bell rung in the markets all the time.
It's human nature.
If you're not feeling those things,
then you really aren't,
you shouldn't be doing it
because you're not excited about movement in the markets.
What's hard is,
is how to tame that beast and how to make sure,
to Scott's point,
it's a small portion of your overall strategy
and nothing wrong with,
you know,
following your intuition with a prudent amount of capital.
But your intuition is just that.
It's yours.
The market doesn't care.
The market is a,
unbiased reflection of the populace.
So it's something that we take a lot of pride in providing our customers their time back.
And that's the most valuable thing we hear back from our customers is just how much of a time suck.
Investing, especially in crypto, has been for them and what this frees up for them,
both emotionally and actual time.
It's tremendous.
And that's the point is with equities coming online and ETFs and the adoption of markets and the interconnectivity of markets, having these types of tools will be required to stay ahead of and execute on those.
So we'd love to help you.
At the very least, come use our free product.
We didn't mention that.
We do have a very robust free product that you can cut your teeth on and talk to our sales guys on.
they'll get you set up and educated as it pertain to how to use it and you can see for yourself
all right thank you everybody check that out at archpublic all those things damn almost 10 o'clock
and that's all we got for you today we will obviously i'll be back next tuesday i'll be back
at noon for the daily wolf and of course uh tomorrow thanks everyone thank you Andrew thank you
you tell man yeah yeah see you man
