The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin Down, Everything Else Up. #CryptoTownHall
Episode Date: January 26, 2026In this Crypto Town Hall episode, we unpack the wild silver surge hitting all-time highs amid euphoric (and defensive) sentiment, while Bitcoin and crypto stay frustratingly flat. We debate why precio...us metals are stealing the spotlight as the go-to safe haven right now, macro cross-currents shaking things up, Bitcoin’s delayed breakout potential, self-custody hurdles, altcoin despair, and the growing role of Bitcoin-backed lending in 2026.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to yet another edition of Silver Smelting, I mean, Crypto Town Hall.
Every weekday here at 10, 15 a.m. Eastern Standard Time on X.
I made you a joke about Silver Smelting Town Hall because literally nobody apparently wants to talk about anything other than silver.
It's become a really, really difficult environment.
Silver bugs are seemingly euphoric but angry at the same time.
if you say anything negative about silver you get attacked like peak like peak xRP army it's it's wild
it's wild wild wild world out there but yeah silver making you all time high after all time high after
all time high uh and bitcoin is doing uh what we refer to in the old country as jack shit yeah well i mean
you know 1-11 even and i've been and we all know i've been pretty bullish on on where silver would go i i i have
to admit I'm a little surprised that it shredded 100 so quickly, but I guess, you know, it doesn't
matter. The supply and demand is a bitch, right? You know, supply doesn't go up and, and demand continues
to increase. And there you go. So it is fascinating because the hotball of money has made a lot of
money. What people aren't thinking about and what does matter, you ask the question this morning,
Scott, what will rotate out when silver peaks? And by the way, peaking.
is flat for a period of time, excuse me, or a range in a period of time or getting boring,
things, that's still going to take time.
Understand a lot of money has been made by the speculators,
and that money is a bigger ball of money now than it was when it started.
And so that bigger ball of money is going to go someplace, and we'll see.
It'll be some probably, probably some point this year, probably not tomorrow,
probably not next month, but it's a bigger ball of money, and that does matter.
had to laugh. Somebody said in the comments earlier, I think that silver is the new Bitcoin.
And I showed that amazing meme of Leonardo DiCaprio where it basically said, you know,
you've been right about the debasement trade, but you bought Bitcoin instead of buying silver,
gold or copper. Right. I mean, it's literally perfect because those, if you believe in the
debasement trade, those have literally always been the assets that you would have fought.
But I was thinking, you know, when somebody said that silver is the new Bitcoin,
I was thinking, I don't know, I feels like silver is like the new doge coin.
2021. Well, if Dogecoin were needed by everybody building batteries, missiles. It was needed to buy
Dallas Mavericks merch, buddy. I mean, that was pretty much it. Well, I mean, you know,
then Cooper Flagg should have spelled the top. But I mean, there is a fundamental thing going on here.
There are two massive important ones. One is there is the dollar, the Treasury is being held less by
you know, by everybody and being people holding precious metals to back their currencies is a
very large change. And the supply demand dynamics of silver is reversing decades, actually 150 years,
of demonetization. That's where silver got demonetized by gold. And those do matter. Eventually,
as to quote, you know, Congressman Davidson, who had, oh, damn, I lost.
I hate when that happens on Twitter.
He basically made a point that sound money is still incredibly important and it's what we need.
And you're not going to get, you can't have sound money being something that is in structural
deficit and silver is not going to be money.
It's just in structural deficit.
Bitcoin has a better chance of becoming sound money at some point in the far future.
And I wrote an article this weekend about something that just bothers the crap out of me because
it gets talked about, which is effectively the only way for Bitcoin to become sound money has to go
through multiple periods like we've lived through this year, which is periods where the people who
own most of the Bitcoin sell it into new holders. And that has to happen. It's literally the only
way it can happen. And so, yeah, it's painful when it happens. And that's why it's not that
easy of a trade, but it's pretty hard to look at the fact that we're still in the same
damn trading range. I think Bitcoin right now, 30 days is flat. Oh, no, it's actually up 1%.
Because it just while we were talking, it moved up. But for 30 days, it's basically flat for the
which effectively means, you know, for the year it's basically flat. Most of crypto is similar.
are the only ones that are up a little bit are things like BNB, up a teeny bit and Tron, you know,
but everything else is more or less flat, which is boring if you're talking about it,
but what is that actually telling you?
And that's the question.
I'll continue to say time-based capitulation, Scott.
I guess I've been saying that as well.
I totally agree.
I mean, let's go to the panel, Robert Dan, Carlo, Gator.
You're the four that I see.
I never know if there's other people on stage that are magically disappearing.
Good morning, Scott.
Good morning, Carlo.
You're here.
I don't know if you have any specific thoughts on any of that,
why Bitcoin and the rest of the market are not participating,
but you can take this in any direction you'd like.
Yeah, I was talking about it on the morning finance show.
Everything is responding, as you would expect,
in the face of both domestic turmoil here in the United States.
We can't ignore what we're seeing.
And I'm not trying to make the show political.
Obviously, I respect what the purpose of the show is,
but the markets respond to this stuff.
world responds to this stuff. So seeing this level of instability on the streets in the United
States, coupled with obviously the instability around the world that we're seeing, certainly is
drawing people away from the dollar and into risk off commodities like gold and silver,
because those are the knee-jerk reaction. Those are the traditional commodities that people run to
in times of confusion and uncertainty.
And I think Bitcoin, frustrating as it is,
that we continue to see it going down in response to this,
which is the opposite of what everyone thought Bitcoin would do
in this situation, is certainly causing a lot of fud of Bitcoin,
but today's point, I think it'll pivot,
because when people realize that trying to unload silver
at these historic profits in the spot market for the consumer is not an easy thing to do.
I see reports of discounted spot prices.
It's hard to validate these metals.
It's hard to store these metals.
It's hard to get credit on these metals.
It's hard to move these metals.
It's hard to liquidate them into fiat.
And Bitcoin, obviously, is the antidote to that.
And the more digital everything is becoming, for crying out loud, we are seeing everything being
digitized, put on blockchains, and tokenized.
And that trend is not going to stop just because we're seeing this current concern in the
market.
I just think that it's going to take time for network adoption.
It starts at the top.
The institutions are very, very well aware of where this is.
all going. And if you're not paying attention to what the institutions are doing with Bitcoin,
then you know, you stand to be left behind. And I said this on the morning show and I'll say it here.
Yeah, Bitcoin does this and then for no explainable reason, it just takes off. And I can't,
I can't discount the possibility of that happening here. Could we all be wrong? Of course. But
But it doesn't seem to be that the major indicators, where the institutions, where the nation states are going, is suggesting that that is a possibility.
I think patience will probably be necessary to totally see this through.
But ultimately, I think Bitcoin is the winner in the commodities game.
It doesn't mean that gold and silver don't have a value and don't have a use.
And I see the merit of holding all of it.
But I think Bitcoin's the most liquid, and I think Bitcoin will ultimately be the winner at the end of the day.
To the panel, so continue the conversation.
Anybody have comments?
Hey, Robert, if you're behind the mic, what do you make of the yen having a 5% move over the weekend?
Yeah, what's going on with the yen is wild.
So I was watching the Bank of Japan rate decision.
that would have been Thursday night here in the U.S., about 7 p.m.
And they really should have height, to be honest.
You have inflation printing at three.
Just a month or two ago, you have a very weak currency, right?
Up until this, you had a weakening currency.
You had the long end of your yield curve just melt down a couple days prior.
So, I mean, truly historic, like full-blown meltdown with their JGB, the long end.
So you would have expected a hike.
The market didn't like the fact that they didn't hike.
So you had the yen weekend off the back of that, you know, that rate decision.
And then you just saw like a brutal, like it was like a 1% candle in five minutes, which for a currency is, especially a major currency pair is huge.
And so that was likely the Bank of Japan rate check.
So there is no official comment that I've seen at least.
But a rate check is where the central bank will call up, you know, financial institutions, banks, dealers, and ask for a quote, right?
You call someone up and you call bank up and you say, hey, so-and-so from the Bank of Japan, I'd like to buy $15 billion in yen, right?
And the first thing that that person on that desk is going to do is put the phone down,
scream to the desk to go along.
You get the market to, and then of course the rumor spreads and other people, of course,
go along the end.
So it's getting the market to, you know, scaring the market or telegraphing intention to do an intervention,
hoping that the market's going to do the work for you.
And we saw 1% decline in five minutes off the back of that.
Then you had New York, right?
Friday, Friday comes around and New York session, I think it was about 9 a.m. 10 a.m.
In New York session, rumor started that the Fed had also conducted a rate check on the end.
Now, the Treasury Department, the U.S. Treasury Department is who actually handles currency policy,
not the Fed. Fed does monetary policy, but when it comes to the dollar and currency policy,
that is the U.S. Treasury Department.
So the New York Fed is the operational arm of the Fed.
U.S. Treasury would have called up the New York Fed, said, hey, this is our intention or this is what we would like to do.
Then the New York Fed would be the one to actually implement that decision, the kind of operational component of it.
And so then, you know, with that rumor of a New York Fed rate check, I mean, that was, that caused a huge sell-off in Dollar Yon for the rest of the day.
Of course, overnight.
Yeah, we have continued weakness in dollar yen.
Prior interventions have been like $100 billion U.S. dollars large,
but we haven't really seen that I'm aware of recently the Fed also participating in a potential effort to weaken the dollar.
Or, you know, put another way, strengthen the yen.
It depends which side of the coin you're looking at.
It's the same thing, right?
Either they're weakening the dollar and they're strengthening the yen.
Both are true.
And we haven't really seen the Fed engage in that, right?
We've seen Bank Japan three, four, five interventions over the past couple years,
but we haven't seen the Fed explicitly, you know, step in.
There might have been implicit approval, right?
Like the Bank of Japan and the Ministry of Finance won't just do this without consulting Americans,
you know, in the Treasury Department of the Fed.
They don't just do it on their own.
So before you might have had implicit approval,
but this is kind of the first time that like we have a concerted explicit effort by U.S.
policymakers to weaken the dollar. And it could be, you know, I'm not saying it is definitely
Plaza Accord 2.0, something I've been talking about for what, two years now. But, but it's
certainly looking like that. Like if you were to engage in some, you know, some sort of Plaza
Accord 2.0 Mar-Lago Accord, whatever you want to call it, this would be not dissimilar from what you would see.
And I'll just remind folks to finish, 1985, the DXY Dollar Index, 161.
In 2024, the DXY Dollar Index average about 105.
Well, in 2024, the dollar was actually even more overvalued on a purchasing power parity basis in 2024 at 105 on Dixie.
then it was at 161 in 1985.
Well, that was when the Plaza Court happened and the DXY Dollar Index weakened by, what, 50%.
So, you know, we could be in the very early innings.
I think this is what gold is sniffing out, gold and silver.
And it's kind of upsetting to see Bitcoin is like selling off in the face of a Plaza
Coursacourt 2.0.
Like, guys, this is like, I'm kind of, I'm a little speechless to see.
Like, this is literally like the end game that you, if anything was going to give Bitcoin an
omega candle, right, sort of situation, it would be this.
And yet, what did we see?
We actually saw Bitcoin sell off, which is pretty disconcerting.
I'm just going to be 100% honest.
Yeah.
Yeah, thank you.
Fully agreed.
I mean, it is somewhat worrying that, you know, Bitcoin is getting sold off.
But I also wanted to get back to that earlier point where we discussed.
just Bitcoin being seen as a stable asset or a safe haven, so to say, in political turmoil.
And I believe that we will be getting there, but I believe that the majority of people that
are outside of the crypto and Bitcoin community, so to speak, they are not seeing that as
the most stable asset yet in situations of turmoil.
So what I believe is that Bitcoin will fulfill that role in time, but that currently this role
is not fulfilled yet because the majority of people around the world are still of the belief
that Bitcoin has no inherent value.
And I think that is slowly changing.
You see it institutions are doing that now.
They are changing around.
They are offering it on a balance sheet.
People that were early in the days of 2011, more or less early in that time and the ones that
are around nowadays in crypto, I believe they understand the value of Bitcoin and how it can be
seen as a stable asset, so to say, or as an asset class that can compete with commodities in
terms of being safe havens when there is turmoil politically. But I believe that the majority of people
in the world, the common people, so to say, they are not at that stage yet that they believe
this is the case. And that is why I believe we're seeing a run to silver, gold and other commodities
by the average person, even your local baker, even your head coulder, your head, your head,
address, you know, telling them, telling you that they're investing in silver and gold,
because it is also being pushed up by a lot of people over the globe, whereas Bitcoin doesn't
have that image yet.
At least that's my perception.
I feel like the perception of the average person is not yet there to see Bitcoin has a safe haven.
But I do believe in the snowball effect, you know, the money being accumulated and flowing back
to Bitcoin and other assets in the crypto space.
at a later stage again. Robert?
Yeah, I just want to kind of link it to what we're seeing here domestically on the political level,
which I was talking to Marty, Marty Ben, and we're kind of like venturing into this topic.
And I still cannot come around to the idea of gold and silver.
Like, if you believe, which I think most people, you know, objectively speaking, should,
that the political situation in America is deteriorating pretty rapidly.
Imagine a world where you are trying to transport your wealth in a hostile domestic situation.
I don't want to be trying to get out of California with 10 ounces.
I didn't expect California, by the way.
Oh, yeah.
You say that Iran or something.
But yeah, go ahead.
Yeah.
They're going to have checkpoints with trucks where they're going to be.
and mineral assayers to make sure that you're gold and silver,
you pay your tax on the way out.
Yeah, yeah, like legitimately.
That's going to be new, whoever the next governor is,
they're going to have to set those up.
I legitimately find it hard to believe that I would just be able to walk out of California
and go to Idaho with 10 ounces of gold, right, or whatever.
You know, I can transport 12 words in my head, and no one knows.
You don't have to even take your, your, your cold card, your treasurer.
you don't even have to take it with you, right? You memorize 12 words. No one knows how much wealth is in your head. They don't even know that you have those 12 words in your head. So I just think like given what is going on domestically here in the U.S. I mean, it's getting kind of hairy. I think that like most folks haven't truly woken up to like where this is where we are and like where this is probably headed. But it's very typical for turning sort of stuff, right? And I just I think that in that land,
landscape and that political social landscape, the single best asset to own is Bitcoin.
Now, the price performance is a totally different situation, right?
But like just when it comes to the ability to have a bearer asset, a scarce bearer asset
in your head, right, and to be able to transport that wealth with you, if you have to flee
the country, that's, that's, it's the same story, right?
Like if I have to, God forbid, flee my homeland to go to El Salvador, uh, I can.
it's the same same story oh they're just going to let you out of the u.s right get on an airplane
with 20 ounces of gold and 100 ounces no they're going to confiscate that so yeah i just think
it's an important point given what we see politically i can't see any other hands dave do you yeah yeah
i don't i don't see anyone i'll pick on people in a second but i do think the one point about
political and the one point about prices there's points in both cases first
Bitcoin is identifiable with two individuals.
One is the president and his family,
and that basically means half of America is like,
I don't want to own this fucking thing.
And that explains some of what's going on.
The other is Bitcoin is clearly identifiable
with the head of the World Economic Forum,
and, you know, Larry Fink,
and that is not something that people are taking into account,
If you look through the history of Bitcoin, it has reacted with multi-month or often significant delays to news that you might think it would have moved to, and then it moves when it moves because there are, you know, it's not a very big market.
It doesn't take a whole lot.
And that matters.
I'll point out two situations.
One, which is, I think, extremely relevant in 20, when Paul Tudor Jones called Bitcoin the fastest horse in the race and a bunch of hedge funds started buying it early in the year, it was trading around $10,000.
That was in May.
It didn't move at all.
I mean, literally May, June, July, August, September, nothing.
It didn't start moving until October when it moved to like $14,000,000, which is a 50% move.
So don't get me wrong, that's a big move.
we would be screaming, people would be having watch parties if that happened today.
Then post that in November, December, January, all of a sudden, it took off and ended up at 60,000.
So it went from a 50% move to a 5x move.
There was nothing.
There were no news here.
It was just the realization, just the seller stopped and the buyers didn't.
And that sort of thing happens because what Gator said before is very true.
Most of the world, it's a very small percentage of the world that actually has a meaningful amount of their assets.
in Bitcoin, very small, right? In the financial world, it's probably, the best estimates are
somewhere in the tenths of one percent. And so that has happened before. The same thing was
sort of true in 17, where it got completely insane. There was a period of time in the summer
when it crashed by 50 percent within a month. It was off of China Fudd, but that doesn't really
matter. I don't know, the 18th time China Bandit, whatever. And then,
And then it rallied back and then it just went absolutely parabolic in November, December.
Now, the parabolic move was partially triggered because people totally didn't understand that
having futures, which had been approved and was going to go live, was not a very bullish thing
because it was literally the only way that people in the U.S. could short it.
But it doesn't matter.
It's still, it's one of those deals where the, where it's moved.
So I continue to say that time matters and shifts matter.
And you'll see when the selling, when older sellers stop selling and it starts to grind higher, pass through ranges, that's the beginning.
Until then, we can have months of this where we're sitting in a trading range just like where we are.
And we are in a trading range.
We've been from 85 to 95, give or take, for how long now?
I mean, it's been a long time.
So that's sort of my opinion, Robert.
That's why, I mean, everyone who uses, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
right? When you look at price action, when you look at it and say it's disconcerting that it's
dropping when it should be rising, that's true. But a value investor would say, great, that's an
opportunity to buy more. Oh, for sure, for sure. A momentum investor will say, oh, my God, I have to be
out and they won't come back in until it's trading between 95 and 100 or actually breaks
to 100 with authority. And a lot of investors in the Bitcoin world are on the sideline for the exact
reason. Yeah, the contrarian in me is looking at this or the Bitcoin denominated in gold,
looking at all those sorts of things and going, oh, my God, this is like the perfect contrarian
trade right now. sentiment is so bad in the Bitcoin land. You have, you know, Bitcoin over gold
looking super stretched. All these kind of contrarian indicators point me to like we're probably
pretty close to a bottom. We might see kind of capitulate.
sort of sell-off, right?
But, like, I think we're pretty close to a short-term, medium-term bottom.
I mean, that's my thesis, but I do think that it takes time, right?
It takes time.
I mean, and people always ignore, you know, the impact of time, you know, and so that's
why I keep saying time-based capitulation.
I mean, we saw a huge ETF outflow last week, and we saw, and we see a lot of nervousness
around the government shutdown because of what happened the last time when the government shut down
in terms of Bitcoin.
I mean, stock markets don't really give a crap.
But, Dave, that was, I saw your post to my, that I was watching it.
That was like right when the news hit the wire about the Insurrection Act when we started
to sell off on Bitcoin.
It was like literally like two or three minutes to the, to the, you don't think that's.
Well, I mean, look, there's no question.
We have, there's so many cross currents here.
As I said, half the country, this is the blue and yellow, blue or gold dress thing all over again.
Half the country thinks they have come, I don't know about half, but certainly the media.
If you put on one channel, it's like, oh my God, look at these insurrectionists in Minnesota.
We need to send in the troops.
You put on another channel, it's, oh, my God, you know, we have stormtroopers in Minnesota.
What are we going to do?
And it effectively, since Bitcoin has become politicized in a way where it never should be, but is.
you know, it is because of Elizabeth Warren and the overreaction.
Yeah, I mean, it definitely is going to impact it.
Because the biggest reason why it's an impact, all of that, Robert,
means that the deals that they're cutting to spend money willy-nilly
and not shut down the government are at threat.
I mean, at the exact same time, Polly Market went from 9% odds of a government shutdown to 82.
That is not a small move.
I mean, it's just, I think that,
I think when I think you know if if you put yourself in the in the shoes of a global investor right now,
you're seeing a state of our union in in basically open rebellion against the federal government.
If the if he doesn't invoke the insurrection act and go in there, right,
and do what everyone, you know, kind of on the left says he is, right?
Come in with, you know, hardcore.
If he doesn't do that, then you've effectively.
telegraph to international investors that the federal government is impotent. Well, what does that
actually indicate about the health of the dollar? The health of the country, the health of the economy.
If the federal government cannot control one of its rogue states, what is that indicate to an
international investor? It's no different than, you know, if I'm looking to invest in Turkey and one of
the regions in Turkey starts to take up, you know, open rebellion against the Turkish government.
and Turkey's unable and unwilling to go in and restore order.
I'm not going to want to invest in Turkey because clearly the federal government of Turkey
is impotent and incompetent and unable to govern its country.
So I think that that, I think that people are missing kind of the bigger,
the bigger information, right, like the bigger picture there when it comes to what's going on
here domestically.
I think that's true.
I mean, and I say, but don't underestimate.
the don't underestimate, you know, where people are at, their heads are at.
I mean, there are many people.
I mean, Gary, I see you up here.
I mean, I've heard it for, I've heard it in your voice as well.
I mean, we went from a year ago talking about peace dividends from Trump because he was going
to solve the Ukraine-Russia war.
Now, I'm not blaming him for that not happening.
I think that Zelensky and Putin are both completely intransigent for a variety of reasons.
And it was all, and he was overestimating his ability to do it.
We were talking about that from an incredibly bullish point of view towards, I won't say despair.
And clearly you're not because you're a smarter investor than that.
But certainly the tone of your voice is like mine, which is okay, we're going to batten down the hatches and wait here and wait for it to happen.
I mean, you know, you talk to a lot of people, you know, a lot of rich people.
You talk to a lot of people on the Bitcoin side.
I mean, have you seen the mood be this?
When's the last time you saw mood like this?
Or have you never seen mood like this?
Well, I think we have had, no, I think we've had worse moods in this.
Look, I think we're transitioning from, and I would love to hear people's commentary on this,
but one, I think this is a very, very small market.
There's no one in this market today.
Assume there's 500 million investors, you know, real investors around the world.
I don't think there's more than that, really.
like less than 1% of that is allocated to Bitcoin.
Like we are, I think we advertise ourselves to ourselves
and we think we're much bigger than we are.
With this kind of fundamental change,
it makes sense to me that Bitcoin's just lay in here.
You don't have any organic natural crypto bros
that built businesses that can invest,
any money in this space.
This has to come from external sources
and it's not coming in the flows
that we wanted to come in.
I just think it's like, okay, you know,
wow, I shouldn't have sold my silver.
I'm not unhappy selling my silver.
I mean, I left $2 million on the table, right?
But I don't really get, look,
you're not gonna pick the timing on this
or any other trade.
Like nobody does that, okay?
I know people like to come on and say,
they do, but they don't.
If you just zone out here, to me, this is zooming out here.
It's like, I just placed bids for $87,000, okay?
Like, I think I'm going to get hit.
And then if I get filled there, I'm going to place it at 84, 85, and then I'm going to
place it at 78.
I think I'm going to get filled in the 70s.
I mean, you guys tell me why we're not going to go test low 80s.
there isn't any fucking buyers here, man.
That we just have to be honest, okay?
This is not a hopium play.
This is a, hey, hey, what's going on fundamentally?
If it can happen in natural gas in, well, you know, 60 days are silver and gold.
And by the way, this has been winding up for decades for silver and gold.
You know how patient these people have been?
So to me, it's the same trade.
We're just, you know, we could be, we could be 30.
36 months early.
Let's be honest.
I think you've got to like handle this thing and go,
okay, look, I'm going to fucking survive two to three years.
And if you're wrong by 36 months, cool, dude.
We get ice cream and champagne.
But if you can weather this thing out three years, you're going to be awesome.
I mean, I don't know about years, but I mean, look, I've said it before.
I'll say it again.
Luna happened in May of, what was the hell of year?
Was that 22?
Bottomed in November, you know, basically November, December.
So you're talking seven, eight months before anything constructive really happened, right?
Lots of destructive, lots of force selling, whatever, but nothing came back.
We had October 10th, you know, why?
But in fairness, Dave, we've never been here on global scale, okay?
I mean, last time we were here, you know, this is a really weird, you know, this is, this is, the, the market seems different, not Bitcoin, but the whole world seems different right now.
Yeah, that's true.
There are more people looking for, the, the fiat currencies, I hate to just say the dollar, because it's the dollar and it's, although the dollar is down versus, you know, versus the Dixie is down a bit.
I mean, it was pretty much tattooed to 98 for a while.
Now we're down at 96, you know, but that's only in short term.
But the truth is that there is, what's happening is silver is different, but is gold going up or are Fiat currencies going down?
That's really the question, relatively speaking.
And clearly there's some element of both in gold as well.
I mean, silver has its own different supply demand dynamic, but it, it, it, you know,
Everything is different.
Markets don't repeat.
They rhyme.
I'm just saying that the world of crypto is morose.
The world of Bitcoin is morose.
The world of crypto is actually, I don't know, what's worse than morose?
Suicidal?
I don't know what the word is.
I mean, it feels like winter.
Well, yeah, but you buy when everyone's on suicide watch.
I'm not arguing.
I'm not selling anything.
I understand that.
And I think a lot of people are like that way.
So no old season?
what is an old season?
There'll never be an alt season again, like the ones we saw in the past where you throw a dart
and literally everything goes up.
But I think that there will be alts that will have alt seasons and will perform well.
I agree, Scott.
I was joking.
But, you know, that's always the other shoe that drops whenever we have this conversation
about getting impatient with Bitcoin being sideways is alts are cooked.
Corlo, can I bounce in here when you talk about alts?
The first thing I think about is Bitcoin.
was downloaded via spaces down.com.
Visit to download your spaces today.
It went public four days ago, $22.
It peaked at 24.
I think the average...
I think it went public 18, Gary.
Yeah.
Yeah, bro.
We're at 1333 today.
Two days later, okay?
Went public on Thursday of last week.
We were at 1333.
Lost 30 fucking percent of its value in three days.
That's an all market.
This is what's has.
happening guys the alt market is being destroyed by these public entities it's going to suck every dollar
out of the alt market this is really concerning to me if it continues to suck ethereum i don't know how
bitcoin does well in next two or three years it's ethereum has to do something it's too much money
it's going to move back into the other other assets and nobody wants the
uh crypto bros all coin market anymore they want
services, products, some kind of future income stream they can think of.
And there's BitCo, 33% fucking decline in 18.
Like, that's crazy.
In fairness, it's not 33.
It's 10% decline.
No, it's more than that.
They went at 18, you've lost $5.
So you've lost 30% of your value on the IPF.
I'll be quiet.
Yeah, I found a tweet above, but Gary, I have pinned this tweet above.
I've said this a thousand times.
I think I was the first person calling, you know, from Circle going.
public to saying that that was our alt season, bye-bye, to all coins. But it continues. The real money
is still in public markets, and we have enough ways to get crypto exposure in public markets.
I mean, the old alt seasons looked like the charts of treasury companies, right? One massive pump
and then a Christmas tree down the other side. Even when people think about alt season, they think
about it wrong, I think, with a kind of the same view, you give like a psycho ex-girlfriend that you
now want back years later. Like, it was only for a couple of
It was like for a couple weeks or months at any given time, and all of them ended up going way back down.
You know, too, Scott, it almost seems to be the strategy that you never buy at the IPO price.
We learned it with Coinbase.
We learned it with Circle.
You wait for that 50% massive correction.
And then maybe you consider at that point making a move.
But buying just on an IPO lately has proven to be a disastrous trade.
It took me so many years to get even on Coinbase.
and that was only because I just averaged down the whole way.
Brutal though.
Absolutely a brutal process.
But Gary, I think that that's the right point
is that the all-coin money is in public markets.
I just like to, maybe it's this despair that we all have
is the signal for alt-season being imminent,
but I feel like we've had this despair for four years
and there's still been no alt-season.
So probably not a very good signal.
I mean, I don't know if anybody here can think in their mind
of some cattle-
I don't see how we're ever going to have an alt season.
I just don't see it.
And, by the way, I'm not sure you're going to have a Bitcoin season
because the rhetoric now is going to be, look what Silver's doing.
The only way you can buy Bitcoin is self-custody.
Guys, that's a bad pitch for us.
Okay, that is not a good pitch.
The silver and gold guys just go, hey, buy this shit, buy, buy, buy, whatever you can buy, buy it, right?
constraining this money to 12 phrases is lunacy.
I know that I'm going to create a lot of haters,
but if we want demand here, like just notice what's happening, okay?
People are buying paper.
They don't care.
It's an easy instrument to carry.
And then you start adding complexity.
Hey, 12 C phrases and all this stuff.
I know it's a great, you know, escape valve.
and it's a go-pack kind of strategy,
but it's not helping adoption.
My lawyer is never going to self-custody shit, dude.
And the more you talk to him about it,
the more he's going to find it irritating.
And scary, right?
Most people are terrified.
By the way, the stats, Robert,
we lost three million coins, okay,
in self-custody.
So, like, the stats aren't good for self-custody.
It hasn't been sold well,
hasn't been received well,
and they, you know,
But technically, it seems like people are pretty poorly equipped to handle it.
I mean, and it's killing our market, dude.
It's like killing our market.
Understand.
I mean, it's literally why I wrote a quick article.
I just reposted it again.
I don't know how to post it a nest here, you know, called the path of Bitcoin adoption.
I mean, look, self-custody today, the technology is the UI, UX, the user experience,
absolutely sucks balls.
I mean, how many people here on this package?
every time they have to update their ledger. Now, yes, you have it backed up. You have your seed
phrases, whatever. Don't have their heart in their mouth. I mean, come on. You know, it's like,
oh my God, I have a ledger wallet. I have to update the software. What the hell is going to happen?
That cannot be the foundation for a financial system. Sorry. Just absolutely can't. And I'm not
blaming ledger and I'm not blaming Treasor. I'm not blaming whatever. But it literally will never be.
You know, that is, and, you know, because of that, you know, that is by far, you know, I don't have a whole lot of, you know, in, of wealth in wallets because at the end of the day, I'm not going to have a significant amount of my wealth in something that I may have to go, I don't know what will happen. And that's a big deal. You know, look, every time I get on the Bitcoin today spaces and I hear people saying if it's, you know, not your keys, not your coins, it's not real, blah, blah, blah, blah, and they don't understand a simple. And they don't understand a simple.
thing, which I've been teaching. I taught my kids and I raised all of them this way, that the most
important thing in life is optionality. The fact that Bitcoin has the optionality to be self-custody
is important. So what Robert said earlier in this conversation matters. But the fact that it doesn't
need to be is also important. People, you know, Aunt Minnie in Minnesota, I probably shouldn't
use Minnesota as whatever, but, you know, Aunt Minnie doesn't care. She wants to be able to be exposed
to the financial aspects of assets.
And you have to have both.
And it has to be, it literally has to be that way.
And we need, and that's why things like,
not to bring it back to politics,
but clarity is important.
There are a lot of developers out there,
a lot of companies out there,
wanna offer products and services,
you know, around Bitcoin to fix these problems.
I think the prudent approach, Dave, if I may,
you bring up excellent points.
And the problem is people are scared that in a situation where there is a massive demand to exit your liquidity from exchanges,
you don't want to be caught in a situation where that's the moment where you're trying to understand and learn self-custody.
Because the number one rule of self-custody is you should never rush.
You should never do things out of a sense of urgency.
So, yeah, you should diversify.
It's not a bad strategy to balance your assets between self-custody and exchanges based on your comfort level.
But to not have a strategy for self-custody is also dangerous because when you need self-custody is not the time that you want to be scrambling to try to create self-custody.
So you've got to have a plan and you've got to have obviously a level of comfort in holding in self-custody because you're absolutely right.
It comes with cold sweats, sleepless nights, and worries about what in the chain could go wrong.
And these are all definitely things we all have to consider.
But there's merit to exchanges and there's merits to self-custody.
You just don't want to be scrambling at the 11th hour if you have a, quote, bank run and trying to figure out how to hell do I get my Bitcoin into self-custody now.
Absolutely.
Look, it's all about optionality and it's all about growth.
Anyway, you and I have been on a bunch of spaces together.
You asked to come up.
Is it on this topic or something else?
No, it's on the topic.
And I also want to touch a little bit on Gary's point of self-custody and adoption as a problem.
Because what's actually kind of interesting is that when I was doing humanitarian work on the border of Colombia and Venezuela back in 2017, 2018 with Bitcoin and crypto, Bitcoin back then was very difficult.
to work with because of the high fee environment.
So if you're giving a refugee $5,
and if $3 go to the, goes to a transaction fee,
whether it be on Ethereum or Bitcoin,
it makes no damn sense, right?
And so we were using back then that Lightning wasn't a thing.
And we were using Bitcoin to basically give refugees
$5 of food or medicine.
Overwhelmingly, the lesson that we learned
is that what these people need is
access not with self-custodial solutions, even though the most compelling freedom-oriented
narrative that we gave them was that you could hold all of your money and 12 words in your head.
Ultimately, the bigger rub was, what do I do with this crap once I have it?
And if it's in my head, how do I give it to somebody else?
Right.
And so when it comes down to the regular person actually needing these to use Bitcoin from the perspective of actual use, then yeah, you're going to have to rely on much better UIUX.
Part of our problem is that the UIUX is very, very difficult.
I mean, it's very unnerving for a lot of people.
And you can try and go about the way of telling them about, you know, seed security and all of that.
but at the end of the day, the majority of humans are not ready to have that level of responsibility,
nor do they want it.
They want Daddy to hold them tight.
And so at the end of the day, that's part of what we're seeing here.
We're seeing the maturation of the consumer saying, hey, I want the safer product.
And when you are in a particular situation where there is uncertainty and fear in the general market,
the first thing that's going to signal that is going to be energy.
And we saw that very, very clearly.
Oil capitulated, hard compared to where we were at.
So did gas?
Gas just took a recent rise because of this winter storm.
But watch out.
At the end of this winter storm, gas is going to plub it.
It's going to be ugly.
So if we're seeing general market spooking,
you can expect that that spooking is going to continue,
especially in the most liquid markets.
And the more liquid you are globally 24 hour,
the more likely you're going to be the panic button.
So when you are the panic button
and you are the easiest panic button
with the most liquidity globally,
guess what's going to happen to your price?
I mean, I think this is the general idea
that a lot of the Bitcoin maxis are like,
you're being a dumer.
It's like, no, it's not being a dumer.
It's realizing that Bitcoin,
cannot escape the gravity well of liquidity.
And that M2 and probably Fed net liquidity
is the thing that moves Bitcoin the most,
because it moves everything else the most.
Well, but we've had bank reserves going up by $200 billion
over the past two months,
and you've had Bitcoin go down.
But that's not liquidity hitting,
that's not liquidity hitting Bitcoin in the time of growth.
That's liquidity hitting Bitcoin in a time of fear.
And in a time of fear,
you're in a different, you're in a different psychological regime.
People are going for safety.
People are going for the asset that they can store completely unplugged.
And the funny part is that's a bullshit argument because it's all paper.
So it's not really the gold you're keeping in your safe.
But mentally, that's what they're at.
They're at like shiny rock.
I can put in my, I can bury in the yard and I don't need electricity to run it.
But that's not system money.
They're selling their Bitcoin for dollars.
What does that tell you?
You know, it's like, we're so.
opposed to, if you look at the DXY correlation with Bitcoin, it's like terrifying.
Bitcoin has basically been trading in line with a positive correlation to Dixie.
Right.
People like Bitcoin has become, this is why I've been saying for like 18 months, look,
if you believe in the coming kind of multipolar, not war, but reordering, if you believe
that China's going to win, you should get gold.
If you believe the U.S. is going to win, you should get Bitcoin.
the West's show, or at least the U.S. has chosen Bitcoin in the East has chosen gold.
Pick your horse.
I 100% agree with that.
Yeah.
I 100% agree with the take that the United States is going to be using Bitcoin as the last
geopolitical power lover that it's got left to pull because it gave up the energy one to China.
The amount of power generation that China has is astounding.
people and we're nowhere near that.
So I think that's,
that's honestly the biggest like lesson here is that like if,
if you are betting on somebody on now,
I guess we're because here's a thing,
guys,
like I've served in the military.
I have a lot of friends in.
They're terrified of this new Ukraine warfare that has arrived that has come out.
Because it proves that the militaries of old are
pretty much useless like you can't have capital ships anymore they get sunk either by hypersonics or by
drones um so all of a sudden like what really matters is your ability to produce not your ability to
have had produced guys great conversation but i want to move on i personally had invited maricio up
we've been having him on for a very long time and i wanted to kind of because i thought it would
be a down date talk about uh what's happening in the lending market and i want to be uh you know a respectful
of his time since I specifically asked him to come and spend about 50 or 20 minutes.
Marisa, you would have loved the conversation today, though.
Hey, I just want to make one quick point, because obviously, you know, I already plugged
Mauricio on our earlier show, so I'm glad to see you up here, dude.
And that is, you know, when you talk, someone mentioned natural gas.
Understand the natural gas market is smaller than the Bitcoin trading market, but it's still
pretty sizable. It has moved in the last week, in a week, it has
move 60% that's 6.0. So, you know, understand moves in large assets can, in fact, happen much more
rapid than you think. I mean, it was languishing down. It had been collapsing.
David, this is all demand driven. Okay. I'm aware. People are freaking out on storage. They're
freaking about, hey, what happens when the pipes blow when we do force majeure? I mean, I've seen this
a thousand times. It won't last. No, of course it won't last. My point is,
is that my point is that trading changes very fast.
And so I'm not saying it will happen very fast.
When things change in the markets that people are morose about,
they will change in a hurry.
And moves can happen much faster than you think.
It could go years, as you say, without it.
Anyway, Maurizio, sorry to interrupt.
I just want to make that point.
No worries, guys.
Thanks for having me again.
And yeah, sorry, I missed the,
The first little bit, I was traveling all weekend and I had a busy morning.
So I couldn't join the first hour.
But yeah, happy to chat.
Yeah, absolutely.
So I wanted to just kind of dive in, obviously, to Lennon specifically because I thought
it would be a great time to do that, especially after the last year's closed.
I mean, I think you guys did a couple billion, 1.4, 1.5 billion in loans last year.
And I just wanted to kind of talk about what that environment looks like moving forward.
I mean, maybe, you know, a recap of sort of 25 and what it looks like in 26 now that we have the cities and JP Morgan's entering the Bitcoin lending space.
Definitely, yeah.
So I would say 2025 was the best year in the history of our business.
And I think that speaks volumes.
I mean, Leiden, based on our estimates, we believe one and three of every Bitcoin back loan worldwide is done at Leiden.
And so by having the breadth of coverage that we have, we get to.
to see trends across the industry, different countries, different cultures, actually. I did see,
you know, among the things that I saw last year was, you know, explosive growth overall around this
concept of not selling your Bitcoin, borrowing against your Bitcoin. If you recall, we entered
2025 with, you know, the crypto ball and kind of a consensus view that Bitcoin was going to go
up and to the right throughout all year. And I think that drove a lot of the behavior that you saw
throughout the year because there was pretty much an expectation, I think, in the market, that
Bitcoin was going to end the year in, you know, call it 150 to 250 was sort of the consensus.
I mean, everywhere you asked across the board would give you, you know, obviously new all-time highs.
There was very little bud, I would say, around, you know, Bitcoin trading sideways or even going down.
And I think that's what led to so much of the frustration towards the end of the year after we made that all-time high in October.
I think that there will be, you know, if you look at the sentiment, right, comparing sentiment last year to the start of this year, it's almost the complete opposite, right?
You know, I met so many people. I was just in a conference this weekend. I met a bunch of our clients over the weekend as well.
And, you know, people are there. People are still there. The hardcore people, the believers, they're still there.
But the sort of retail interest and the broader, you know, I would say curiosity from the overall market is not in Bitcoin right now.
It's in precious metals, right?
Everybody's talking.
Everybody wants to talk about what's your gold strategy, how much gold you had.
I was coming in at the customs office yesterday, and the guy that was, you know, admitting me into Cayman again was bragging about how much gold and silver they had bought.
So I do think that the gold and silver, I'm sorry.
to get like sort of social markers that that one might be a little bit overdone at the moment.
Just again, anecdotally, not nothing scientific about that. But I do think that the mood this
year, it is a bit different. And I, you know, obviously people, their belief on what price
expectations will do in some ways drives the demand for or the desire to not sell your Bitcoin.
So in the market like 2025, you have both the people that already have Bitcoin and have held it for a long time.
They don't want to sell it.
A lot of times they want to reinvest it.
They're bullish on Bitcoin, so they're growing their businesses.
And so that drives flow from the sort of core industry participants that are always here.
And then you also get the tourists, right?
Like tourists, meaning people that got curious, got excited about the news, the momentum, the coverage on the media.
And they bought some Bitcoin.
and they want to take a loan to buy MSTR,
or another type of Bitcoin project
or Bitcoin-related equity.
But I think right now you're seeing the industry people are still here.
The Bitcoiners are still here.
People that live on a Bitcoin standard still don't want to sell their Bitcoin,
and they're still coming to Latin.
But I do see a big uptick in new clients and new loans generated
when the price moves higher.
So, but yeah, maybe I'll pause there.
Yeah, I think that makes a lot of sense.
But I guess with all these banks, CFDC is approving Bitcoin, EF, I think USC is collateral.
I mean, as a general just observation, how much do you think that this is improving access to financing globally?
And, you know, how much you're servicing outside the United States or how much are people outside of the United States, I guess, looking for these products?
Yeah, I would say our business is about, I want to say, 55% rest of the world, 45% U.S., so it's almost a 50-50 split in terms of the activity or the coverage across the GOs.
I think actually some of this God comes down to culture, right?
Like I think America has understood these loans a lot faster than other cultures because America,
America has basically historically been used to operating with credit.
In America, you're born and it's a God-given right to get credit.
If you look at a list of how to move to America and have a successful life,
number one or number two item on the list is build your credit.
And so America understands credit a lot better and more intimately than, I would say,
even European culture, Latam or any other emerging market.
And I think that that leads to them feeling a lot more comfortable using these types of products.
I think the other thing that I will say as bigger players are coming into the space is we are seeing the cost of capital come down.
And that is flowing down to our loans.
We dropped our rates by 50 basis points in December.
So we're at 11.9% for the headline loans up to $250,000.
and then above that, we can do custom rates as well.
That's definitely improving.
And I think that's going to be a trend that will continue into 2026 because the banks and
larger financial players, the cat's out of the bag that financing Bitcoin back loans is a
great risk return, especially at current rates.
And so I do expect to see more capital flow into the space.
We do have some really exciting news around that front, but I can't jump the gun.
just yet. But do keep our closer eye on Lennon in the weeks and months to come because we do have
some, we have a jam-packed product roadmap for this year. And some of it, given that we are in the
space of loans and capital, a lot of the innovation that Lennon does is actually on the back end and
on the structuring of these financing agreements that allow us to hold Bitcoin more safely for our
clients, you know, we keep elevating the bar on proof of reserves. And we're also given the
cleanliness of our model, given our track record and our simplicity, we want to drive that.
We believe we have a moat in terms of size and experience. And we're going to use that to lower
our rates and, you know, try to get us many people to discover Bitcoin back loans and use us
if they ever want to access one. How do you think people are primarily using these? I mean, I know
I've seen stories about college, retirement, a lot of people obviously doing it instead of mortgages.
Are they lifestyle loans?
You know, I mean, how are people approaching these?
Yeah, great question.
So I would say about 30% of these loans are going to people that are buying either more
digital assets or some type of Bitcoin security instruments.
So they are reinvesting the loan proceeds into more Bitcoin-like exposure.
I would say about 30% of our money.
clients do that. Another 30%, which is another big bucket, is to purchase real estate. And so many
people are very Bitcoin rich, but they go to the mortgage, they go to the bank to try to get a mortgage,
and the bank says your income doesn't qualify. You have millions of dollars in assets, but you
don't have any after-tax income. Or if you have a business, you're not paying yourself enough,
et cetera. And so they have a lot of Bitcoin and wealth, but they cannot get the house of their
dreams or the financing for the house of their dreams.
They don't want to sell their Bitcoin to buy it.
So they come to Leden, get a loan, buy the house.
And so that's about another, I want to say 30%.
So we're at 60.
I would say another 20%.
And this one is the one that I think is growing the fastest right now.
And I expect this segment to grow quite a bit in 2026 is businesses.
So many, many businesses are onboarding to Lennon.
They have, and these are private businesses we service, public companies as well.
But by and large, we're seeing a lot more small to medium-sized businesses that are run by Bitcoiners.
They have Bitcoin underbalance sheet, and they want to grow the business.
And they take a loan from us to build a gym or build a studio.
There's a very, very cool use case that we're going to be revealing.
And another very inspiring business that we're going to be revealing at the Plan B conference this weekend.
So I'll chat with you about that when that goes live.
but we're seeing increasingly more businesses use led them to finance their operations and their growth.
And then the last 20% would be, I would say, lifestyle.
So these are people that are paying for a car, vacations, a computer, etc.
So obviously there's been an emerging use case of an old narrative in places like Venezuela or around the world where they have hyperinflation.
Those places, people I would imagine, are spending tetheres or stable,
I should say, not non-specific, but is there a way that you kind of bridge saving in Bitcoin
and borrowing to then spend in USD and to entirely avoid the local currency?
Definitely.
So there's a lot of that.
The other side of the Bitcoin back loan business is, of course, we issue dollar loans backed by Bitcoin,
but we also borrow dollars from either institutions or people in eligible markets can deposit
into letting their tether or their USC.
and they can earn a great return.
Right now, we're paying 6.5% APY on balances up to 100,000,
and 8% on balances over 100,000.
So people in places like Venezuela,
many times use Leland to park their idle tether
or to park their idle U.S.C.
It's an open account.
It takes 50 minutes to start earning interest in 15 minutes
when you want to take it out.
So it's pretty practical in that sense.
And people do use us,
in many ways as their savings account for their dollar, digital dollars.
We don't have a wallet per se, so Lenin is not the place that you kind of pay your bills out of
or spend out of, but it's where you manage your wealth.
And increasingly we're seeing more and more people use that account to, you know,
park smaller balances.
We do have, you know, foundations and other institutions that park size because it's a great,
you know, our loans go out to only our Bitcoin back loan.
borrowers, those loans are backed two to one and we've never had a loan loss. And so getting the
ability to earn, you know, six and a half to eight percent on those dollars with that risk return
and getting proof of reserves every month. It's a pretty compelling proposition. And I actually,
I'm pretty optimistic about the growth of that side of the business, which will also help our
loans because as that account grows more and more, we get obviously access to more capital. We have more
as the loans from institutions that we can get, those rates drop,
we'll be able to improve or drop rates as well on the funding side,
obviously as the market allows.
But that means that you're always getting a great return
with a very, very low risk as a dollar savings or dollar earner,
and you're getting the best value proposition risk return
and best cost of capital if you're a Bitcoin bank loan borrower.
Yeah, that all makes perfect sense. That's exactly how I'd anticipate that people will be using
those in those situations. I saw a quote recently or a comment from Paloardoino, obviously,
this sea of tether, saying that he thinks that the next wave for stable coins and Bitcoin
back credit, I guess, will be kind of the small and medium business world. Do you expect that
we're going to actually see that? And can they afford, I guess, or why would they pick, you
know, loading rates, but you guys, it's sometimes 12%, right?
Yeah, so I agree.
I, Paul and I chat about this on the podcast we did when we announced their Tether's investment
into Leden.
And I coincide with him.
I do believe that if you look at the person who is using Bitcoin backloads,
these people are broadly speaking, sophisticated investors that are looking to protect
and store their wealth.
These people are not, you know, gambling on, you know, outcoins and different places, right?
And so I think if you look at that persona, the persona is that of a person that is, you know, building slow and steady and is not gambling.
They're working and they're very disciplined about their operations and about their investment philosophy.
And if you look at who those people are, these are individuals.
who likely have been successful.
And these individuals many times run businesses
or have key roles within businesses.
And so if you think about a business,
a business cannot allow for its treasury
to get decalibalized.
It'll die, right?
And this is the sort of Michael Saylor thesis.
And Michael is not alone in that thesis, right?
Again, there's a lot of digital asset treasury companies
trying to use Bitcoin under balance sheet as some form of financial engineering.
But by and large, that's not the primary use case across smaller and medium businesses,
because they don't have access to bond markets, etc.
These people predominantly are using Bitcoin under balance sheet to protect their wealth from being debased.
And businesses are also in the business of growing, and they need to expand.
And a lot of times, if you can turn that Treasury balance into pre-based,
productive capital while keeping the upside exposure and doing it in a tax-efficient way,
that would be, you know, Leden is a bit of a shoe-in for that.
Because if you're running a business and you're taking the loan to grow the business,
there are situations where you can write off the interest expense from the loan against the
revenues of the business.
And that makes it even more tax-efficient.
So I do completely expect businesses, small-medium businesses, to adopt more Bitcoin
and more Bitcoin back loans.
Try to get the mic button on.
As is always the case here.
So, yeah, that's really, really interesting.
So I kind of want to talk about, I guess, finally,
still kind of your 2026 predictions,
how this market will sort of evolve.
And if you think that these can start to eat a significant portion,
I guess, of traditional lending and when that would happen.
Yeah.
So maybe I'll talk to you briefly about my view on the market.
I think last year in hindsight, you know, if you go back a year and you think about where we were,
Trump had just gotten elected.
We had the crypto ball.
There was, you know, consensus that we were going up into the right, Trump coin launch,
Melania coin launched soon after.
And then there was like a flurry of treasury companies.
And again, the trade back then in hindsight,
felt really crowded, right?
Like if you ask the room of people who thinks Bitcoin's going down after Trump got elected and they
install the cryptos art, nobody would have put their hand up, right?
Whereas now I see a very different scenario, right?
I see people sort of down.
There's a bit of infighting even within the Bitcoin Twitter, which is typically a sign that,
you know, there's this content in the market and price action.
So generally speaking, I think that's good for price.
section because there's people that have taken risk off the table that have kind of rage quit,
sold off the Bitcoin. And that means that those are the same people that are going to have to be
chasing once the narrative comes back to Bitcoin. So I actually feel better about the potential
of price appreciation this year than I did last year based on narrative. And obviously,
a few things have to go right on the macro side, but I feel better about price this year than I did
last year. And the second one on your topic about how much of this is going to eat traditional
lending. I had a really interesting conversation with a business owner this weekend who was asking me
about Biklambic loans. And she said that she was nervous about taking a small business loan because
she didn't want to provide a personal guarantee. She was very nervous that if something went wrong,
she would lose her house. And again, I think another reason why business loans are going to become more
and more apart of Lennon, and businesses will run to Bitcoin back loans more and more,
is because of Lennon, your Bitcoin is your collateral.
There is no risk that you're going to lose your house over a Bitcoin back loan.
So as a business, it's a really great way of limiting your personal liability
if you structure it through a Bitcoin bank loan.
And again, these are the criteria on the margins that more and more people are
starting to understand. And once you do that, Bitcoin back loans make increasingly more sense
as a tool to get financing. And I think, again, as more banks, more institutions start coming
out with Bitcoin back loans, people will spend more time trying to understand them. And once
they can appreciate the nuances and how these can be beneficial to them, you are going to see
more and more people use them. Anything I might have missed before I let you go?
Well, no, I mean, I missed the conversation.
You guys probably talked about this at length during the show,
but this is a big week coming up.
We have a very interesting meeting tomorrow
between the SEC and the CFTC.
It's a harmonization meeting for crypto regulation.
So I'm looking forward to seeing what comes out of that.
And then there's a Senate business meeting
to consider the Digital Commodities Intermediaries Act.
So a lot of implications
for the industry from that piece of legislation.
So I'm following that pretty closely.
And we have three interest rate decisions,
but they're all assuming that they're going to hold.
So yeah, I'm just looking at hopefully the potential rotation out of gold
and just paying attention to these legislations.
You like us are beholden to the macro and legislative news agenda.
What a world.
What a world.
You remember when we could just talk about Bitcoin?
That was cool.
And nobody cared.
So much fun.
That was amazing.
Dave, any final thoughts before we wrap?
I know we're about 15 minutes over, but I love to take it into Marisco's time when we have.
Welcome to Smelter Town Hall again tomorrow.
If I made real quick, I want to ask Marisi your question.
Marisa, can you talk to us about what you say as far as like?
I can't hear Ben there.
Sorry, Betts, you're going to sweat up.
Sorry, Ben, Petcher.
You hear me up?
One time, because we couldn't hear you.
You broke up.
Can you guys hear me now?
Not really.
Not really.
Super quiet.
All right, we're going to go ahead and wrap.
I'm sorry, but we're way over time.
I can't hear anything now.
Yeah, you're breaking up.
Sorry, technical glitches, dude.
All right.
Beto, send me a note.
Send me a note.
Benz, I'm happy to chat.
Yeah, perfect.
Okay. All right, guys. Well, thank you. We'll be back tomorrow for another smelting silver town hall.
Crypto town hall, 10.15 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. Thanks, everybody. Thank you, especially to Maricio.
Guys, check out, give him a follow and obviously check out Leden. It really is the future.
Thanks, everyone. Bye.
