The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin Dumps on Trump’s Trade War! Rebound Or More Pain Ahead?

Episode Date: October 30, 2025

Bitcoin dropped following renewed trade tensions after former President Trump’s tariff announcement, as markets weigh the broader impact on global risk assets. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts and calls to pause quantitative tightening have sparked debate about monetary stability and crypto market direction. On the adoption front, Visa and Western Union expanded their stablecoin initiatives, Fidelity updated its Solana ETF filing, and Mastercard acquired Zero Hash to strengthen its blockchain infrastructure. With ConsenSys reportedly eyeing an IPO and new crypto ETFs launching despite the SEC shutdown, institutional momentum continues to build even as Bitcoin faces renewed volatility.

The Fed cut 25 bips yesterday, which is supposed to be bullish for markets, but apparently has dumped Bitcoin and all of its friends. Donald Trump had the greatest, most productive meeting in the history of meetings between two world leaders in China and the market still continued to dump. What is going on? We're seeing incredible tailwinds, institutional and government level adoption. Good news, but Bitcoin is struggling just above $108,000. We're going to dig into that and, of course, all things, Bitcoin OS today with Yago. Let's go. Good morning, Wolfpack. Welcome to the bear market.

Just kidding. Just kidding. It's not a bear market. It's going to be. Okay, we've got Yago here with us. Of course, today, a lot going on, man. But let's start with Bitcoin OS. You guys have got some news and it's worthy of a discussion. So, Boss launched yesterday. Very, very exciting. We had, I think, a fantastic launch. So we've got systems now running on multiple different chains, Bitcoin, Cardano, Ethereum, BSC, people. are able to go and get their hands on boss tokens for the first time. There are new opportunities to start putting boss to work and boss tokens to work coming soon, trading happening on all of the major exchanges or finance, okay, yeah, Kukoyn, Krakken, etc.

And this is obviously like a major milestone for the project going line. having the token go live but for me personally it's validation right we've continued to make progress the entire time and it's also you know the beginning of chapter two right we're now going to be seeing more and more components go live more integrations and it's you know something i've been working on effectively now for 10 years. Very, very exciting. So what, you know, maybe I should say a few words and why I think this is so exciting. So for many years, I've been of the opinion that Bitcoin can and must be much more for Bitcoiners and for crypto. And that, The lack of scalability, the lack of programmability, the lack of privacy in Bitcoin was holding not just BTC back, but holding crypto back in general.

And this is a bit of an unusual view. But the big thing that I point to is that what we've seen over the last 10 years since the launch of Ethereum has been the creation of a massive, mostly casino industry. very fragmented across many, many different chains where you've got on the one hand, there's permaware, which the entire world now trusts, right, regular people, but also institutions, governments, corporations, and it doesn't behave like software. It's unchanging, completely reliable. And on the other hand, you've got these different crypto systems, which add new kinds of functionality and creates a space where you can have experimentation,

super important. Innovation, super important. But they're built like software. And the problem is that we're not building a software industry, we're building property rights. We're building financial systems. We're building the ability to own assets. And so you have to have that reliable component. And what we've had is the innovation, the experimentation has been completely disconnected from the reliability of the property rights. And obviously, if you just look at our space, Bitcoin and that reliability, that, you know, full guarantee of you can truly own something yourself is the biggest part of the story because it's, you know, Bitcoin is just so much more valuable than all of the rest of it, including stable coins put together. But BTC, like as someone who's been holding BTC for a long time, I know you've been holding BTC for a long time, it's not something today. that you can live on. It's basically you're just holding it, hoping that it's going to continue

to hold value and ideally appreciate in value. But if you ever wanted to realize that value today, you would just have to sell and you'd have to go through a centralized intermediary. And so with Boss, what we're trying to do is solve two fundamental problems. One, Bitcoin's disconnect from crypto. And two, the fact that you can't really do much with the Bitcoin chain and with BTC. So we've been working for many years now, over half a decade, on being able to bring programmability to Bitcoin. And the way we said we were going to do it was considered impossible. People, pretty much everyone said it was impossible. And that's, when you hear that, you're trying to build something, it's a very good sign on the one hand, but it makes you very,

very nervous, because especially if you're dedicating your life to it. But last year, we managed to demonstrate for the first in real life right in block 8 in person right live on stage we managed to you to verify the first zK proof from bitcoin and we managed to show that it can bundle we can use zK proofs to bundle any kind of programmability into bitcoin and over the last year what we've built and what we launched yesterday is an operating system which allows developers to build anything on Bitcoin, to scale Bitcoin, to have Defi on Bitcoin, to integrate Bitcoin with other chains, and more importantly integrate other chains into Bitcoin. And so now we've got entire other chains that are becoming like external compute units

for Bitcoin. And I think that, you know, years from now, I'm going to be having to explain, I'm going to explain to my kids sort of what I did and I'll be able to say, I hope, right, if we achieve what we're going to achieve, I'm going to be able to say that I was lucky enough to play

a crucial role in bringing programmability to Bitcoin, which allowed all of crypto to be unified into a single internet of value, and that that allowed institutions, individuals, professional money managers, basically the entire world to start putting Bitcoin to use, turning Bitcoin BTC into the actual reserve currency, and allowed the true migration of real world assets,

finance onto crypto and ultimately Bitcoin rails. So it's, you know, the biggest thing I've been working on, it's what I've been working on for, for at least five years, probably more, if you take into account all of my failed efforts to try and get us here. And this is a super, super exciting period for me. Congratulations. Yeah, it's amazing. I've watched a lot of it. I think we've collectively watched each other's evolutions over time. I think it would be fair to say. And so to see it actually launching, I definitely wanted to give the opportunity to discuss that here. And It's really, really exciting.

I love that that's what you're going to tell your kids. I'm going to tell my kids I DJed once. Well, I also did that much, but because I DJed once, it only happened once. You never DJed again. No, they wouldn't get me. I've been there, too. So is there any final thoughts on that, or you want to pivot to everything that's happening in the market here?

Well, let's, let's, I mean, if you, if you, if you. Let's pivot and let's, um, uh, we'll do a more proper long-form conversation. I think it all connects together. Yeah. The, well, it definitely all connects to why we need to build these systems on Bitcoin where they can't be utterly manipulated by idiots like the Fed. We obviously have the quarter 25-bip rate cut by the Fed yesterday. Many people saying, hey, they're going to cut.

Market should go up. but anyone who actually watches these things knows that everybody knew that they were going to cut. Of course, the bigger story maybe is what Powell says during the meetings, but what's going to happen next? Because everybody knew this one was going to happen. And now there's a lot of debate over whether they should do it again because they're ending quantitative tightening, certainly sort of as we speak. I'm saying that if they're going to end QT, they're going to have to also stop cutting rates to avoid inflation. Oh, man, I'm so tired of talking about this stuff because when I actually say it out loud, I realize how manipulated and fake it is.

It's so dumb. Look, I think there used to be this thing where Funk Day, right, when the Fed was going to cut or not cut, it was a big question. And if they did cut, it was big news and markets would ran. prediction markets for example had a 98% chance like days before that there was going to be a cut everyone knew it was coming there wasn't even an opportunity for sort of buy the rumor sell the news because it wasn't even a rumor it was basically a certainty and so that's one reason that it's had less impact the at least in the in the immediate term the other aspect here is that the dominance of the Fed has been reduced a great deal. The government debt is so high right now that more capital comes into the market as sort of newly printed dollars, so to speak, in the form of interest payments by Treasury, then these

relatively marginal changes that the Fed is making. However, I think we should address sort of like the elephant in the room, right? The elephant in the room is that while we've been, I think, fairly level-headed, considered, conservative, both you and I were anticipating Bitcoin prices to be well above where they are right now. That's fair. Bitcoin volatility has gone to zero. Its price has been moving between, you know, mostly in a range of, you know, $1,000,000, and $11,050 cents. But, you know, within that, and we were talking months ago

that we anticipated that as the summer ended, Bitcoin, which seemed to be like a coiled spring, would start to spring. And so there is something weird about all the assets in the world, basically being on a substantial run and Bitcoin not. and that this is happening also at a time of the Fed easing. And I think that, you know, I don't know to explain this.

I'm not sure anyone does. We've been talking about like the great rotation with sort of a huge amount of the last 18 months of Bitcoin has moved into institutional hands. But what that means is that it's also moved out. In other ways, it has been sold by long-term holders. But I think the thing is, there is a big risk in this market that we're in for Bitcoin and for every other asset. Assets just generally are overbought. Gold recently took a tumble.

The stock market is doing very well. Economic fundamentals are possibly lagging behind. And everyone's talking about a bubble. And so you have to, looking at this market, kind of be worried about when does it? this bubble pop and I think that the fact the Fed is still in an easing phase should at least you know under normal circumstances and I think probably not enough is like the world is weird but not that weird I think under what this means is that we're still in a phase where sort of the macro backdrop is that the mark the bottom of the market is not going to drop out and that means

for Bitcoin as well. And so it's going to be interesting to see what happens here. But it feels to me like everything is still in play for prices appreciating, especially in Bitcoin, because it has been like the one asset cost of the last six months since sort of the tariff drop that hasn't really appreciated. The tariff drop. It's a good pivot because, man, are we talking about tariffs all the time. Trump went over to China, China, apparently had the greatest meeting in the history of all meetings, and no meeting has been better than this meeting because it was the greatest meeting. But yeah, they're reducing tariffs on fentanyl. They apparently cleared up the restriction and obstacles on rare earths. You're going to talk about Ukraine, reduced tariffs from 57 to 47, which is still a ton,

but still no official trade deal, but then we get breaking U.S. and China declare one-year trade truce after Trump Z talks. Oh, man, it's exhausting. It's exhausting. Like, and I'm not even, this is not a political comment. Like, maybe he's playing quintuple's 17D chess. I have no idea.

Like, I actually, well, I talk about exhausting. Like, I asked a legitimate question about XRP on Twitter and got into it with those guys. And they're playing 47D chess. and I just don't understand. I don't understand anything. But why at this point do we listen to news about trade deals when it changes every week? And knowing that markets hate uncertainty, how is everything else still going up when we have this much uncertainty?

Yes, but not everything is going up, right? So it's true. We said like all of the asset classes are going up. But actually, if you look at asset classes, with gold, it has been going up because of the uncertainty. With stocks or equities, it's been going up because it's been driven by tech, right? So value stocks, mid-cap stocks, they've not been outperforming in the U.S. market. The only stocks outside of tech that have outperformed are outside of the U.S. markets, right? So Japan's had a phenomenal year. Turkey's had a phenomenal year. Turkey's had a phenomenal

year uh switzerland's had a phenomenal year israel's had a phenomenal year um but um it's global stock markets that are sort of catching up and overtaking u.s markets outside of tech and then debt again it's the uncertainty and then with bitcoin we sort of have this thing where um um it's it it it it appreciated massively over the last year but all of that was in the first six months um you know since Effectively, Trump was, you know, president-elect, and then since April has been trading water. I mean, yeah, you want the answer to that question, I guess, as I'm digging through the news right here while you're talking. Invidia is now 16% of U.S. GDP. Yeah, so there you go.

So the stock market might just be a few stocks, right? It is only a few stocks, right? Like the Magnificent Seven are, what, 40% of the U.S. market? That's not. Did you see this? OpenAI is an IPO looking for a trillion dollar valuation at IPO. That's a big number. It is a very big number.

One of the reasons that tech can continue to do so well is because it doesn't rely on profits customers or macro, right? I mean, it's a truly U.S. homegrown. You're building the data centers in the U.S. the chips are being sold to companies in the U.S. The only sort of real macro risk to the AI industry is Taiwan. Something terrible goes wrong. I can't imagine who would attack Taiwan.

But such a friendly country. But not only that, that also doesn't rely on profits, right? So it's not profitable right now. Lots of revenue, but no profit. profits. So it can defy gravity. And I think it can continue to defy gravity so long as interest rates are relatively low, continue to get lower. And liquidity in the market seems to be available. Yeah, I mean, maybe that'll pop the AI bubble, the little trillion dollar IPO from chat, GPT. And I don't mean AI as a technology. I just mean the market. And while all this is

happening. We have this just endless narrative of stable coins effectively eating the world. MasterCard poised to acquire crypto startup zero hash for nearly two billion. Sources say two billion. I mean, these companies are just out there buying anything they can to give them stable coin exposure and to help them catch up. We obviously talked about it, but we have the Western Union news yesterday that they're going to be building their own stable coin on Solana. It's called WUUSD. USD, like literally they named a Wu-Tang coin, which is the coolest thing that I think I've ever seen. Metamask. Going to go public here, potentially. And of course, in the same time

that stable coins reading the world, we're getting ETF Palluzza with all coin ETFs across the board. The Solana ETF has done actually exceptionally well, the best launch of 2025. I mean, there's so much happening. I mean, should we just stick to the stable coins first? I mean, every single major payment network has a stable coin plan now. Western Union was, if there was somebody who was going to be a holdout, it was Western Union and they're going to build a stable coin on Solana. Yeah. So, you know, we discussed this last week and I, you know, proposed my theory that the big

winners in the public markets from stablecoins are going to be master card and visa. And that's because they already own the last mile to. the retailer and to the, you know, customer to the person who's making purchases, both for online and physical retail. And so for, you know, with stable coins, yes, you can settle transactions on chain, but you need to get them into the hands of customers and you need to be able to get retailers to accept them. And MasterCard and Visa both have those rails. And so I think that they are very well positioned and are making acquisitions to continue to capitalize on their positioning as primary sort of lost mile providers to

stable coins. Yeah, I mean, it's like, there's no way we're building this in time. Yeah, yeah. So this is a very big deal because what this means is that as more and more companies begin to use stable coins. and basically stable coins become a practical means of payment everywhere, and that's what we're going to see over the next couple of years. Basically, everyone ends up with a crypto wallet. And not only that, crypto wallets are going to inevitably merge with traditional bank accounts,

traditional sort of neo-banks, and this is the first step. right the first step reaching maturity of a broader trend that we are seeing where we're basically all assets are migrating to having web two front ends and last mile interfaces but are using crypto as settlement rails and and for high value assets, the demand that we're seeing for Bitcoin to be utilized as a settlement layer is growing all the time. It's remarkable. So I think, you know, we're well into, like, the first year now of a decade-long period where basically Bitcoin and crypto, become the settlement rails for all financial assets and in particular for payments.

Yeah, it's just crazy. I was at Money 2020, which is a fintech conference, not a crypto conference. And everywhere I turned, I just heard the word stable coin. Stable coin, stable coin, stable coin, stable coin. It is the narrative right now that is not only because we got the Genius Act and we have some regulatory clarity. It's just because it's literally a better way to do all the things. that they're trying to do.

I still understand why we don't have a huge stable coin that's been popular on Bitcoin. Well, up until now, up until yesterday. Right, but you know, we got to get that up to a couple hundred billion market cap, you know what I'm saying? Like, I'm not saying it can't be. I'm just, it's very surprising to me that that hasn't happened or gained traction.

But then, you know, you talk to the people who've built them. Like I sat down with David Marcus in Vegas, obviously, you know, light spark and he basically said listen i tried to do this on lightning for two years and i gave up he said i thought we could do it and we couldn't do it and now i'm building it you know something more purpose fit yes months months ago six months ago yeah i didn't realize that they'd fully pivoted away from lightning oh yeah do you know what they pivoted to i think their own uh layer two like you know i would love to tell you that i actually remember the details of every conversation that I've had, but I think, I'm trying to remember

what it was called. I just don't, uh, like, now we're going to do this because I don't want to be the idiot who quoted someone and then, here go. Yeah. I mean, there's a lot of millions there. That is a lot of millions. Yeah. It's light start grid is a global payment network built on Bitcoin's open, decentralized foundation.

Light spark grid. I don't even think we were talking about grid back then. So I think it's changed. But yeah, clearly everybody understands at the top end why Bitcoin would be a great base layer for these things. Yeah, I think just because of the integrations that Bitcoin has and the amount of assets that Bitcoin has, like I think, you know, most of the people who we're talking to

that are interested in using Bitcoin for other kinds of assets, and utilizing, you know, bosses, what we've made possible with our technology are interested because of the heft of Bitcoin, right? I mean, it's got the largest user base, it's got the largest asset base. That's the primary thing that they're interested in. But then also when talking to institutions, it's about the brand, the understanding of reliability and the fact that if you're going to have long-duration assets, basically Bitcoin is purpose-built for it.

BTC, for example, is the perfect example of a long-duration asset with perfect property rights. So I think stable coins are a fit for Bitcoin, but they're not the biggest fit for Bitcoin. The more urgent fit for Bitcoin are sort of longer duration assets, like equities, corporate debt, And that's what we're going to start seeing probably as the biggest movers. And I think also the biggest space of growth over the next few years.

Just in the last year, that type of real-world asset in the crypto space has exploded by 10x in terms of the value, right? Now exceeding $32 billion in equities and debt instruments on crypto rails. And that's like a drop in the bucket. I mean, what you said was my entire 30-minute fireside with Sailor. He talked about digital credit, you know, exactly the things that you just said. Those are the priorities. And that's where it really shines right now. And that's, I think, kind of the Trojan horse into the financial system.

Yep. Yeah, I mean, the last thing we had, obviously, was these ETFs. It's worth mentioning JPMorgan upcoming all 20sdefs could draw 14 billion inflows, Banks sees XRP ETF's topping $8 billion and slant ETF's near $6 billion within 12 months. Listen, whatever you think of XRP, the arguments with them, their army is going to buy the hell out of this thing. It's very possible.

Yeah. So, I mean, ETF Palusa is upon us. All right, well, I got to go run and be on serious. Yago, we're going to do a proper longer conversation. But congratulations. Just really quickly, you know, kind of put a bookend on this. where can people go, you know, find out more about what you're doing and participate since you're officially launched?

Check out the website, bitcoinos.bilt, or check out the Twitter, BTC underscore OS. And Scott, I think I'll see you in half an hour in Cryptotown Hall. I'm going to be training today. Oh, nice. Perfect. Awesome. Yeah, see you there. If we can talk more about this there. Everybody come to Cryptotown Hall on X.

We'll break it down even further. Thanks, man. See you soon.