The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin EXPLODING To $200,000 By The End Of 2025?! Crypto Bull Cycle Just Getting Started!
Episode Date: March 20, 2025Today’s LIVE is packed! Dave Weisberger, co-founder of CoinRoutes, and Edan Yago, Core Contributor of Bitcoin OS, break down Trump's surprise crypto address at DAS, the dramatic drop of the Ripple c...ase, and the Fed’s latest decision to pause rate hikes amid shifting inflation forecasts. Plus, Bitcoin ETFs are seeing major inflows—four days straight! With analysts calling for a $200,000 Bitcoin price by 2025, is the crypto bull market just warming up? Dave Weisberger: https://x.com/daveweisberger1 Edan Yago: https://x.com/EdanYago In the second part of the show, Dan from The Chart Guys will share his market analysis and some trades. The Chart Guys: https://www.youtube.com/@ChartGuys ►► CHAT WITH ME ABOUT THE CRYPTO MARKETS VIA ROUNDTABLE 👉https://roundtable.rtb.io/shortUrl/e2W9kl5 ►► 🔥 LBANK Exchange - No KYC Required! Claim up to 50% trading bonus! Join today & get rewarded! Start trading to claim up to 50% in trading bonuses!! 👉https://www.lbank.com/activity/ScottMelker-Cashback?icode=4M3HD ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEKDAY! 👉https://thewolfden.substack.com/ ►► Arch Public Unleash algorithmic trading. Discover how algorithms used by hedge-funds are now accessible to traders looking for unparalleled insights and opportunities! 👉https://archpublic.com/ ►►TRADING ALPHA READY TO TRADE LIKE THE PROS? THE BEST TRADERS IN CRYPTO ARE RELYING ON THESE INDICATORS TO MAKE TRADES. Use code '10OFF' for a 10% discount. 👉https://tradingalpha.io/?via=scottmelker Follow Scott Melker: Twitter: https://x.com/scottmelker Web: https://www.thewolfofallstreets.com/ Spotify: https://spoti.fi/30N5FDe Apple podcast: https://apple.co/3FASB2c #Bitcoin #Crypto #Investments The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own and should in no way be interpreted as financial advice. This video was created for entertainment. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing contained in this video constitutes or shall be construed as an offering of financial instruments or as investment advice or recommendations of an investment strategy or whether or not to "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold" an investment.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
What's up everybody?
I'm Dave Weisberger filling in for Scott Melker talking with Eden Yago about everything going on after the FOMC Trump talking at DOS
XR
Bitcoin, etc. Yago. How are you this morning? I am very well. How are you? Good to see a face
Yeah, it's it's it's you know, it's been a while since we've been face to face
I guess we met in Las Vegas at a conference a long time ago
And I always follow you to understand
what's going on in the Bitcoin ecosystem.
What do you make of all the promotion
and the President of the United States
speaking to Digital Asset Conference?
Well, I'm excited to see whether or not
he'll be able to do less than two hours.
Look, I've been hearing from people who are at the A.S. that it's a great conference, that it's like very high signal to noise,
great people, so I feel like I'm missing out. And now that Trump's speaking, even
more so. Yeah, I'm sitting here in beautiful Miami decided not to
go up to New York this week. So you know, I kind of feel the
same way. The most interesting topics that have been talking
about, I mean, look, you know, we can talk about trading, but I
don't think either one of us wants to talk about the short
term price unless you have something specific you want to
talk about. But the notion of what's happening in Bitcoin and what's happening
vis-a-vis alt so the two topics that keep coming up one is Bitcoin dominance
as a whole is increasing and plumbing its highs and the other is XRPs out
performance of Bitcoin and of course the XRP army's constant jibing that it
should be the be all and end all.
Now I'm sure you have thoughts on both, just curious,
because you spend most of your life,
as far as I understand it, figuring out how to bring
Bitcoin to the mainstream, in addition to just being
a pure store of value.
Is XRP outperforming Bitcoin on what time frame?
Is that true?
Yeah, they always pick it.
Look, since the case was initially looked like it was going to get discussed,
yeah, it jumped from like 50, 60 cents to $2.50.
Where is it right now?
It is almost exactly $2.50, $2.49. So yeah, so they're cherry picking that time frame if you go back to 17, of course
It's getting crushed. So, you know, it really it's always depends but it doesn't really matter
I mean the point is is
They'll make the argument the same as a lot of people that bitcoins too slow, etc
And yes, I know you opinions on this topic. So,
that's why I'm trying to tee you up here. Well, look, I think there's a really interesting
thing happening with XRP, which is that it is a highly valued protocol, primarily owned by one company. That company is raising capital at much
much less than the implied value of its holdings. So I've been looking at the
secondary markets for XRP, sorry for Ripple stock. Ripple stock on the
secondary market is trading at about 9 billion market cap, even though it owns 40% or 50%
of a 140 billion dollar asset, right? So that's a write-down of 90%. So I
think that's interesting. The other interesting thing is like why are people
still holding XRP? So I've been trying to find people who are holding XRP
to try and get their thesis because the big thing that Ripple was promising and has been promising
over the last decade is that Ripple XRP is going to be the institutional chain.
And what is very, very obvious is that Bitcoin has become the institutional chain. And what is very, very obvious is that Bitcoin
has become the institutional chain.
Bitcoin is the chain which is being touted
by the institutional players, everyone from BlackRock
to Fidelity.
And it is the chain which is being adopted by governments,
everyone from the United States to Bahrain.
So what then remains as XRP's sort of claim to fame and it's unclear to me.
So I think the fact that it's such a highly valued asset without to me sort of clear fundamentals is in and of itself very interesting.
Well, I think that probably the most important nuance here is to separate the asset from the chain.
Right.
So Bitcoin as an asset has been adopted by Bahrain is certainly being
adopted by the United States.
In fact, it's being called a strategic reserve asset.
Yeah.
strategic reserve asset.
Yes.
XRP the the the token as an asset is whatever it is and as you write its value
See is dependent on what people will buy and sell it for the fact that XRP stock is trading at that level is
amusing I say it's amusing because I've seen this before, right? And it can last for
years. I mean, my first exposure to that was Polygon and Phillips. And it was an arbitrage
when I was trading in London back a long, long time ago. And it lasted for a while.
It eventually will come together, a phenomenal trade for people who can do
it if you have the ability to do a long-term short on XRP, would be to buy Ripple and short XRP.
But to be blunt, it's impossible, right? Because you can't borrow it for long-term. And what you
would pay for that borrow would wipe away, as crazy as it sounds, over the long-term would probably
wipe away a lot of the potential profit.
So people don't do those sorts of things.
You just kind of look at it.
But in any case, Bitcoin, the asset is undeniably being adopted XRP, the asset, the price is
high.
But one has to ask oneself the question is that because people, you know, the people
in the community, you know, making calls, Patrick Ben David,
making what I call lunatic call of $1,000 per XRP, because if you think about what that value
would be, it's an insane number. Seriously, it's an insane number that could only happen in the
case of hyperinflation. But if XRP is $1,000, Bitcoin, I think, would be beyond Michael Saylor's most wild expectation.
So it is what it is.
It's all, you know, whatever.
And you're laughing because you can do...
No, I'm just looking at the chart now as you're saying that, right?
And so I think XRP right now is trading at what, like dollars and 40 cents so yeah um from there to a thousand is very close
to a thousand x yeah well you know it's whatever i mean you know you're talking about the the world's
most valuable asset uh it would have to be by a lot actually and that's just you know look it's
it's insanity but you know there are people who believe that the demand for XRP
will go up as they gain adoption
into significant payment systems.
So between their stable coin and the ecosystem
they're building to use Ripple's network
to either replace Swift, augmented, or out-compete it, that there's value there.
I mean, personally, I've gone through this with
Mikkel and come to the conclusion that
if one makes certain assumptions about
crypto market cap that its market cap could triple.
Now, what do I think about Bitcoin?
Well, I think Bitcoin is at a minimum
a 90 percent discount to where it should be.
So obviously, my portfolio is sized accordingly.
But the difference is, is the chain adoption of XRP, if you believe them, is high or becoming
high in terms of bank partnerships, etc.
But what's most interesting to me is when you talk about adoption of the Bitcoin chain,
the question is, other than a store of value,
what else is Bitcoin being used for?
Because it really isn't being used in payments.
And there are lots of people who are saying Lightning,
which was the hope that it was going to be the big chain
for doing, for using it,
really still doesn't have big take out, take up.
So when you talk about the Bitcoin chain,
what do you mean?
Well, actually, I don't think chains matter that much.
The reality is that we're seeing more and more activity happening off chain.
The vast majority of activity happens off chain and always has in crypto.
So the old way of doing it would be that you would have assets in exchanges and then the
vast majority of crypto
trades and transactions actually happen on centralized platforms. Now what we're starting to see
is more decentralized but off-chain activity. So Ethereum has basically placed all of its eggs
in the off-chain transaction basket. Lightning Network is an example of that. But what
ZK is doing for us now is it's allowing us to basically perform transactions at super speed,
low cost, off-chain and then just settle to chains. And so I think the fact that we use
this term blockchain is extremely misleading.
What a blockchain is there to do is to provide a ledger.
You don't do transactions on ledgers.
You settle transactions on ledgers.
And so ultimately, the real question
is, where are all of these transactions?
Where are high value transactions, which is basically aggregated of these transactions? Where are high value transactions,
which is basically aggregated small value transactions,
where are they going to settle?
And if governments, large corporations
and financial institutions have their assets on a ledger,
then they implicitly and ultimately explicitly trust that ledger.
And, you know, when you're talking to large institutions, large organizations,
the idea that nobody gets fired for buying IBM, that is the most important idea.
Everyone is just trying not to get fired.
And so nobody is going to get fired for putting assets on the world's best ledger.
People will get fired for putting assets on the world's best ledger. People will get
fired for putting assets on an experimental ledger, which is basically all of the other ledgers and
certainly the Ripple ledger. And so, you know, I started a remittance company back in 2013
integrating into banks. We had among our customers,
six of the 10 largest banks in the world, something there, BBVA, Barclays Bank, Spare Bank.
And we were integrating traditional systems
that allowed them to do settlement on BTC.
That actually was a pretty profitable company.
But I remember at the same time,
sort of on the other side
of the pond, there was this Ripple company
that kept on coming out with announcements,
also with Santander and DBVA.
And those were proofs of concept which never went anywhere.
And that process has continued.
And so, you know, Ripple as a company,
if I'm totally honest, I think has perfected
a system where they will pay huge amounts of capital to innovation centers at large
corporations to get a press release.
And they have been rinsing and repeating that method for the last decade plus.
So rather than spending more time on Ripple, because I'd love to, I think I asked you actually, we should get you and Mikkel or maybe a couple other people and actually have a specific debate.
I think that that is, that is interesting. I don't know what to make of it. I'm not going to make accusations of, you know, to Brad Garlinghouse that that is, that he is a multi-level marketing company, which is
effectively what you're saying.
No, I think there's one level.
Okay, well, yeah, but you get my point.
But there is a really important point that people don't get.
So I had a debate with Justin Bonds, who also goes on about Bitcoin, about how Solana is going to eat the world.
And I tried explaining to him that Bitcoin as an asset is one thing.
And I also tried explaining to him that the better analog for Bitcoin, which it's faster than, is Fedwire.
So what the average human being doesn't understand is that when you send an ACH or you do a Zelle
or you do any of the things you think you're doing,
sending funds instantly, you don't.
The banks give you credit-ish after a few days,
but that things ultimately settle on much slower systems
in the backend and batch.
And for good reason, nobody wants real-time settlement.
People want real-time clearing.
And I think maybe a lot of people don't understand the difference between clearing and
settling. Please explain. So when you perform a transaction through Visa,
through you know Revolut, whatever is the Revolut of the United States, if you get
its name, and through banks, right, as well as going and doing a stock trade
through your broker.
What is actually happening is that on the back end,
nothing is changing.
So all of these different brokers, these different banks,
these different nodes in that network,
they're collecting lists of transactions
that they're doing basically through the tool
with whoever their peer is, another bank, another broker.
And then at the end of the day or at the end of the week
or at the end of a three day period,
whatever the settlement process happens to be,
they will aggregate all of that
and net out to the differences, right?
So maybe you've done a hundred transactions
or a hundred thousand transactions,
but you're up a thousand dollars.
That's the important thing that you're up a thousand dollars.
And then they will settle these differences.
And the reason that you don't want,
there's lots of reasons why people don't want real time
settlement.
But the main reason is for the same reason
that Bitcoin has 10 minute blocks, which
is that you need to give enough time for that information
to fully propagate so that everyone is sure
that they're settling to exactly the same
thing. And real time introduces either throughput limits, which you can't have for settlement,
right? You can't have a moment where there's going to be a bottleneck or conflicts, right?
Which you also can't have. And so, you know know 10 minute settlement or even hour-long settlement to day-long settlement is plenty and very very fast. I
Think very few people appreciate
That's between you know in that because they don't understand what is actually necessary
you know
Building a network that could settle
$3 transactions at light speed is interesting,
but is that really what is necessary
for the asset on the back end?
The, in technology, and you ran a company
and you're a technologist,
I've run multiple broker dealers
and have been building high-frequency systems
or running or managing from the from the trading side
High frequency systems since high frequency before we called them high frequency systems. Our first program trading system was
I hope I ran it was, you know built in the 80s
And we were really excited that we could get an entire S&P 500 basket done in five minutes.
Yeah.
That was a massive, massive uptick in speed.
So I understand that there's a trade-off.
There is always a trade-off between speed
and guarantee of delivery, which is, you know,
if you look at, even you go back to the old Technicron days,
if that means anything to you, which became Tibco for information buses, there was always two methods of propagating
information, guaranteed delivery, and you put it out there and PubSub, and you can always
request retransmissions.
I don't think that anybody understands just how revolutionary Bitcoin was at the time,
able to propagate globally to an literal infinite number of, obviously not infinite, but it's,
there's no cap on it, number of nodes and have it all be synced up and having never gone down in 15
years. Yeah. You know, that is a very big deal. That is, that is. So the funny thing here is that in finance,
in high value transactions, most innovative or first mover,
all of that stuff is not really that valuable.
In fact, in many cases,
it's the exact opposite of valuable.
Nobody wants to use the most cutting edge stuff.
What they want is the most reliable.
And so there's, you know, in business, we sometimes talk about time to market, but
in high value transaction world, what matters is time in market.
Right?
And so Bitcoin just has a track record of operating flawlessly that is longer than any
other system.
And Bitcoin itself as a system is simpler than any other system and hasn't changed for
longer than any other system.
Ethereum or Solana, they'll change every six months.
And so their clock restarts every six months.
Bitcoin's clock has been running basically for 15 years.
Yeah.
That's a very big difference.
Well, look, but there was the Taproot.
There have been upgrades.
So that's a bit unfair.
But I want to bring it back because you know.
Sure, but I mean, Tapoot itself was five years ago.
Right. No, I get it. I'm actually I agree.
I mean, look, I am as I am pretty well known, you know, to be a Bitcoin bull.
I still think that we're going to see somewhere between 250 and 300 in this cycle.
I told you I started off the show saying I think Bitcoin is 90 percent undervalued
at a minimum and we could go through the math. But what's fascinating is when you talk,
and I talk to people in financial markets all the time, I am, look, you can see the gray beard,
I go to financial conferences, I'm on the board, I think I'm the treasurer of the Security Traders
Association of New York. I'm in NOIP, which is an organization,
National Organization of Investment Professionals,
where the median age is probably around mine.
And when I talk to people,
here are two sentences that I will tell you
that happen every time.
When I talk in short conversations
with older financial types,
they're only interested in Bitcoin for the most part
is how can they make money from it?
They don't really wanna care about it.
They don't, it doesn't really matter to them.
When I talk to CTOs or technologists
for any length of time and mention its track record,
how it works, why it works, they get very excited.
Orange Pilling a technologist is almost a slam dunk. Now understand how important the CIOs, the technology
organ, the technologists are and people who understand technologists are to pools of capital. And you start to understand
why it is easier to orange pill than people think. So Michael Saylor talking to a bunch of CFOs who are the most
conservative members of the company. And
he's getting traction there's no doubt when you're seeing some of it is some. But talk to CTOs and talk to technology
oriented funds and fund managers and officers. And all of a sudden you start to see a very different thing. And that's why
Larry Fink and that's you know at BlackRock, that's why Fidelity.
That's why when you talk with Matt Hogan from Bitwise,
he tells you these conversations are going great
because when you explain to someone
that a settlement layer that clicks every 10 minutes
has not gone down in 15 years,
propagates globally within that 10 minutes
such that it's instantly verifiable,
you get people very excited. Yeah, and I think, again, people misunderstand the difference between clearing and settlement.
Clearing is instantaneous transactions. The closer you can get to that, the better.
And so I think one way that we should be thinking about things like Solana, right,
and this is something I hope to maybe explain to Justin one day, is that Solana is a clearing system.
And actually Solana could be much more successful if it just said, okay, we're a clearing system,
hyper fast, but we settle to Bitcoin.
And then because then Solana can sell to the people who actually matter the best of both
worlds.
Whereas now, trying to come to a CIO or a CTO of a significant financial firm and say, guys, we should turn
Solana into our engine. I think that is basically impossible.
I think that's probably true. Although there are people who in the Bitcoin world are like, well, you know, look, we the dog meme coin on Bitcoin
opposed to, you know, pump.fun on Solana.
And I don't know about you,
but I look at the size of actual value being created
in the crypto world and what's going on
and the value transaction volume.
And I look at all of it as something you said before,
it's all proof of concept.
I mean, don't you think?
I mean, because certainly the values don't justify the market caps in terms of what's happening.
Yeah. I think that, I mean, look, there are more egregious examples of that. I think we
started the conversation with one of the most egregious examples. But I think, look, yes,
I think there are very clearly some things which have graduated beyond proof of concept. Bitcoin has definitely graduated beyond proof of concept at this point. Stablecoins, I think they're very clearly some things which have graduated beyond proof of concept. Bitcoin
has definitely graduated beyond proof of concept at this point. Stablecoins, I think, have graduated
significantly beyond proof of concept at this point. Some aspects of DeFi, I think, are close,
but I think the big thing that is holding crypto back is just a fundamental misunderstanding.
They think they're building the entire internet.
Ethereum's supposed to be the internet of tomorrow.
Solana's supposed to be internet of tomorrow.
Sui's supposed to be internet of tomorrow.
They're trying to do everything.
They're trying to do clearing and settlement.
And I think the shift that is likely to happen
is we're gonna see more activity move off chain.
We're going to start seeing a clearer distinction
between clearing and settlement
where Bitcoin is going to be the settlement mechanism
basically for the entire industry.
And we're going to see less talk about blockchains
and more talk about assets, ledgers,
intents, clearing and settlement.
Those are really the terms that we should be using just
so that we can educate ourselves as an industry.
Right now, I think we're the industry that
understands itself the worst out of all the industries
in the world. You understands itself the worst out of all the industries in the world.
You think we really think the worst?
Yeah, I mean, look, the analogy that I use
is that as an industry,
imagine we were the diamond industry, right?
Instead of calling ourselves the diamond industry,
we would call ourselves the digging holes
in the ground industry.
We're completely focused on sort of the wrong part of the story, right?
We would have huge conferences about, you know, how the throughput with which I can
clear out the rubble, you know, there would be an entire subsector about people who are
building bridges between the tunnels or
tunneling between the holes. But really what people want, nobody wants a
blockchain. People want assets, they want settlement, they want security. We are the
ownership industry and we don't treat ourselves that way. We treat ourselves as
you know. It's funny, I always, I go back, my favorite analogy to explain Bitcoin to
people is Mark Yaskos, who he talks about
the Internet of value as opposed to the Internet of information. But notice Mark doesn't talk
about rebuilding the Internet to be a new Internet to be, he just talks about the assets
and the transport mechanisms and as you would call it, the settlement layers to make Bitcoin
a trustless, disintermediated or no need for intermediation method of exchanging value.
Yeah, exactly. I think we really need to figure out who our user is and what is the value that
we're actually bringing. That is what real industries do and that is why we're a proof
of concept industry at this point. So your answer to the idiots like Peter Schiff in the world who say Bitcoin has no value
is to ask the simple question back at them.
Well, what's the value of a perfect settlement layer that requires no intermediation from
the banks that takes no economic rent or very little economic rent in order to settle effectively
all the daily transactions on the planet?
What's the value of that?
And if you come up with zero, then you better check your math.
That's the way I would phrase it.
How's that?
No, I think that's,
I think if we were talking in those terms,
we would be having a more intelligent conversation
and we would be able to silence our critics more easily.
So, you're going sitting at like, you know, 85,000, right?
You know, we're, we all kind of look at it.
I don't know what your internal model is for valuation is,
so actually you could tell me that.
And we're sitting here where we understand
that most of the selling have been momentum sellers
over the last few weeks who bought,
expecting it to continue to go higher.
It didn't, it stalled and we have economic uncertainty.
What is your expectation for through,
I'm not asking for tomorrow.
We're talking about like for the next year or so.
And what's your long-term view?
What do you think its value really is?
I'll break it up into three parts.
I think my base case is that we see the Fed
and the European Central Bank
both capitulating towards the middle of this year
and starting to print,
which means that I think in the short term,
which I say short term is the current year,
the second half of this year
is going to start seeing significant increase
across tech assets in general
and Bitcoin and crypto specifically.
Longer term, I have less confidence here, but I have the sense that the four-year cycle
has significantly weakened at this point.
And we're very likely for the first time to see a 2026, which would be the third year of the cycle actually being a positive
year or at least flat with not the kind of dramatic drawdown that we saw.
And my longer term thesis and sort of my price target is that over the next 10 years, on
the outside and by 2032 on the inside, Bitcoin surpasses gold in market cap, which would put
Bitcoin at roughly 21x where it is now. Right. So here's the funny part. When you talk to people
in crypto, they think, oh, so I got to wait 10 years to 10x or 20x my money. That's not fast
enough. I need to do better. When
you talk to people in the financial industry, they hear numbers like that and they go, that's
completely unreasonable. It's too aggressive.
Yeah. Well, look, I mean, it's only 30 or 40% annualized ROI. So you're only outperforming
literally every single hedge fund in the world on a consistent basis if you've been holding
Bitcoin. I'm fine with those returns.
As would I. And I think, I think that's a great,
a great stopping point for now,
although I am going to take you up on it and see if I can get together.
I would love to have a Justin Bonds and a XRP and,
and you to debate, you know,
debate Bitcoin and go through this entire concept
because it's entirely possible that they haven't really thought in the terms
and the mental model that you have. So I really appreciate it.
Awesome. Well, I think we need to invite Dan.
Yeah, I was about to say it's time for the truck.
And Dan, why don't you take it away and go through what you think is going on in the markets?
Sounds good. Appreciate you guys
So
In terms of pulling up my chart, is that something I do on my end here? Thank you. All right. Hey everybody
I'm Dan of the chart guys. I'm the cap to the ship now gonna say all kinds of controversial things
No I'm the captain of the ship now, gonna say all kinds of controversial things. No, so we've got the response to the FOMC yesterday
is what we're looking at.
And I generally view, you know,
you have the FOMC reaction, the day that it comes out,
and you got the conference with Powell afterwards.
But really in terms of significant money
moving around in response, it's the following days.
You know, you're not seeing everybody act
in the first hour or two that we
get that information. And so essentially what happened and is most meaningful is we had an
initial bullish reaction. And then we rejected really hard from resistance, at least on the
NASDAQ. And the NASDAQ right now has a bounce high that we double topped at yesterday. And we've now
pulled back fairly significantly overnight. So,
you know, you look at this NASDAQ daily chart and you say, okay, well, that's a bear flag
until proven otherwise. So we've got to get over that bounce high. And of course, Bitcoin
saw a leg up as well with that correlation. And it's now back testing. And at the moment,
we can say that there's relative strength here comparative to the S&P 500 and
ASDAC just in terms of the reaction, where we haven't given it all back, essentially.
We're back testing the previous resistance of 85,000 and trying to hold it as support.
So that's a little bit of progress, but essentially, you know, bigger picture,
depending what timeframe we're looking at, as we know, the monthly, I keep saying if the EMA 12 is holding, there are no red flags.
That's where we based out last time before a leg up.
That's what we're trying to hold this time around.
We do have a weekly bounce underway because of the bull move yesterday.
But we have to keep in mind that anything under 99.5 thousand is just a weekly lower high. So at this point, still a clear weekly
downtrend, but at least the bulls are giving themselves a little bit of breathing room off of
the recent low in the upper 70,000 range. So in an ideal world, if you're bullish, you want to see
the back test of 85,000 hold, establish that previous resistance as a support level, and then obviously every leg up that we see from here will be beneficial for the longer term prognosis.
So overall, there are some altcoins we talked about last week actually on this show, the
altcoins that were standing out stronger on their bounces like XRP that was just being
discussed and perhaps people in the know, knowing that the, the drop of the lawsuit was coming, whatever the reason, it's had a very significant move off of its base of support. And again, not many altcoins right now have a long term base of support that they are holding, the vast majority are falling to lower loads. So any name that's is holding a long term level is standing out. And so XRP right now has a confirmed daily uptrend with the leg up yesterday.
Again, same thing.
We're back testing the previous resistance, trying to hold it as support.
And just, this is positive consolidation as far as I'm concerned,
as long as that one 90 to $2 range continues to hold.
So XRP is definitely in the grouping of bulls
in the altcoin space.
Binance is another one recently
after its significant move off of its lows.
And again, same thing, we're holding these flush lows
that many altcoins broke
and seeing a solid weekly bounce from there.
Again, same thing, we still have to eventually,
wherever we top out, we have to confirm a weekly uptrend
if we're gonna see these bulls regain.
But again, I would suggest with so few bulls
in the altcoin space right now,
just going through your list
of all the names you're watching,
it's a bit of a sea of red out there today,
but and compartmentalizing, these are the stronger ones, you know, if I have a bullish lean, I want to be focusing on these ones
XRP, you know by default if XRP is going up XLM is generally doing well as well
Binance is another one and again, it's a pretty
small list at this point
So I'm gonna continue focusing on those names.
And there are other names.
Link has it or no.
It's Sol that has a long-term base of support.
It's not nearly as strong as these others name other names,
but there is a clear support level that we are testing.
This range 110 to 119 with how many times we've held this
over the last year almost, 11 months at this point,
held it again and again and again and again,
and we're trying to hold it again.
So again, if I am gonna be looking long,
I wanna be choosing names
that have something to be going off of.
ENS, the Ethereum Naming Service,
definitely a little small name, low volume,
but again, just a long-term base of support
in the 15s that's trying to hold this test.
So there are the stronger names, there are names that aren't quite as strong,
but are still holding a longer term support level at the moment.
And those are the names that I'm keeping an eye on.
And of course, we keep watching the dominance chart,
which at this point is still Bitcoin favored,
as long as the weekly higher lows keep forming.
It's just my simple guide.
And right now, nothing changes from Bitcoin dominance being in control of the bulls as long as this 60% level is holding.
So that keeps the focus on Bitcoin.
But bigger picture, again, you know, the NASDAQ matters a lot to me.
Looks like we're getting a little bit of a bounce this morning on the open, but I've got to see, you know, you go to the 12-hour time frame and we're
just tightening up in an equilibrium, low, high, higher, low, double top, trying for another higher
low here. If, you know, if this breaks pull, I'll be looking at Bitcoin to be in the upper 80,000
range. And again, just need that leg up, need that confidence in the broader market,
finding a fear bottom and getting a little bit of relief
in order for that confidence to seep out elsewhere
into other markets.
Quick check in on the metal miners.
We talked about them last week with Scott
and I was talking about this cup and handle on the weekly
that GDX has confirmed
and getting to 14 year highs with some really nice follow through in the short term.
It's nothing crazy in terms of the percent gains.
And I enjoyed that comment of the previous speakers talking about how you got the crypto
people not happy with 10X and the finance people, very happy with that. It definitely is a thing in terms of expectations,
where people that are crypto-focused
are used to 1,000% returns, and it's not really the real world
in terms of expectations.
But you get GDX here in just a two-week span with a 13% move,
and then you've got the leveraged ETFs like NUGT
or JNUG, which are two times leveraged. And again, it's very worthwhile trades. In two weeks,
we're up 35%. And we're trying to set these daily higher lows to keep this breakout constructive.
So gold, all-time highs, definitely keeping an eye on the miners and the gold. And as you know, for me, being a full-time trader, I don't care where I can get my returns
from.
There is no competition between gold and Bitcoin for me.
They both have their place.
Gold's outperformed Bitcoin in the last 52 weeks.
That's just a fact.
It has significantly underperformed the last decade.
That's a fact.
But they have their place in terms of focus and trading and gold and the miners have been a nice place to be the past couple
of weeks while crypto is doing its consolidation. So that's what we're looking at in the short term.
Got to see the NASDAQ break that resistance level to get some more bounce follow through,
trying to negate a daily bear flag that is definitely still on the table and Bitcoin back testing 85%
Checking in I've got a webinar later today on my YouTube channel at the
chart guys and we're gonna be talking about volume profile analysis with one
of my good friends and traders who has a very different style than me that it's
been fun watching him have success with it over the last five plus years and
we're gonna be talking about volume profile analysis and giving examples
of how to use that and how I incorporate that into my style these days a little bit more.
So hope to see you there and appreciate you all tuning in.
I'm sure Scott will be back next week.
Thanks for sticking around with me.