The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin Only Gets Stronger | Here Is What Next
Episode Date: April 15, 2025Joining me today are John Deaton, former U.S. Senate candidate and Managing Partner at the Deaton Law Firm, along with my friends from Arch Public, Andrew Parish and Tillman Holloway, who will be prov...iding an update on the $10K algorithmic portfolio. John Deaton: https://x.com/JohnEDeaton1 Unleash algorithmic trading with Arch Public: https://archpublic.com/ Andrew Parish: https://x.com/AP_Abacus Tillman Holloway: https://x.com/texasol61 ►►EARN REWARDS WITH ME ON ROUNDTABLE 👉https://roundtable.rtb.io/shortUrl/u9Ajs6P ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEKDAY! 👉https://thewolfden.substack.com/ ►► Arch Public Unleash algorithmic trading. Discover how algorithms used by hedge-funds are now accessible to traders looking for unparalleled insights and opportunities! 👉https://archpublic.com/ ►►TRADING ALPHA READY TO TRADE LIKE THE PROS? THE BEST TRADERS IN CRYPTO ARE RELYING ON THESE INDICATORS TO MAKE TRADES. Use code '10OFF' for a 10% discount. 👉https://tradingalpha.io/?via=scottmelker Follow Scott Melker: Twitter: https://x.com/scottmelker Web: https://www.thewolfofallstreets.com/ Spotify: https://spoti.fi/30N5FDe Apple podcast: https://apple.co/3FASB2c #Bitcoin #Crypto #Investments The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own and should in no way be interpreted as financial advice. This video was created for entertainment. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing contained in this video constitutes or shall be construed as an offering of financial instruments or as investment advice or recommendations of an investment strategy or whether or not to "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold" an investment. 🎙️ New to streaming or looking to level up? Check out StreamYard and get $10 discount! 😍 https://streamyard.com/pal/d/6319316098351104
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Even amidst global market uncertainty, Bitcoin is showing incredible resilience and pushing up
as markets seem to be melting down around the world. Is it finally Bitcoin's moment to
de-correlate and start showing how much of a hedge it is against all of this insanity?
What doesn't kill Bitcoin makes it stronger. And today we've got the legend, the man, the myth,
John Deaton here to talk about all of that and more
alongside myself, Andrew and Tillman,
who actually decided to show up today.
He actually decided to show up.
You guys, it's gonna blow your mind.
Four men, one screen, let's go.
Let's go.
Let's go.
What is up everybody? I'm Scott Melker, also known as the Wolf of All Streets. Before we get started, please subscribe to the channel and hit that like button. Now I'm going to bring on three glorious beards
and shiny heads to go with my non-glorious beard and hair.
I told you guys, I wanted to get a skull cap
and like just some sort of yarn.
I could grow the beard, I could do it.
But it's pretty amazing.
You guys, you all look great.
Here we are, as I said, Bitcoin showing tremendous strength here. This was coming not even for me,
but obviously from Wintermute here, Bitcoin shows growing strength during market downturn.
Our friend, Matt Hogan, saying the same thing from Bitwise. Bitcoin acting notably different
from prior market pullbacks, wants to go higher if macro obstacles are removed. John, you've been here a while.
You got the bulk of your net worth and Bitcoin.
What do you make of how it's acting with how the government's reacting?
It's about time.
You know, I can't say I'm an OG, you know, like some of the people on the
panel, probably, but I've been with Bitcoin and crypto since late 2016. So we've been keep hearing about where it's not going to be
tied to the NASDAQ, it's not going to be tied, you know, to
tech stocks. And maybe we're seeing it break away and be the
independent asset that we all believe it is.
Yeah, I mean, we're almost back to 86,000 here. Andrew Tillman,
what do you guys make? I'm gonna go to Tillman. I'm not gonna let you talk, Andrew,000 here. Andrew Tillman, what do you guys make?
I'm gonna go to Tillman first. I'm not gonna let you talk, Andrew, because I've got Tillman
here and I don't know if he's gonna just leave.
I was here last week. What are you doing? Two weeks in a row? No, I think it depends
on what timeframe you look at with any assets you can correlate values. And I think that
John's right. I think this is traditionally,
we've always looked at Bitcoin as a safe haven against all of the mess that,
you know, traditionally finds its way into all the traditional markets.
I think that if you look at certain periods of time, though, there is correlation.
You see the price moving together.
And I think that especially when you find eight times the volume of dollars being traded
in the futures market against BTC,
then even in the spot price at some points in time,
that's gonna happen.
Like they can control the price
with paper essentially at this point.
And you can make price do what you want
for very short periods of time,
but over the long haul haul the math wins. You
can't beat bitcoin. That's what's so great about it is it's impervious to political opinion. It
really has one metric that I follow, adoption rate. And if adoption rate goes up, price goes up. Those
are the two strongest correlated values as it relates to a power law in Bitcoin that you
can get.
And interesting, Bitwise came out with an article this week that said that corporations,
publicly traded corporations, up 16% in terms of them adding it to their balance sheet in
just that last quarter Q1.
So I mean, adoption rates are not only on the rise from a user's perspective,
but then if you quantify what those users really look like,
their corporations and sovereign nations
and states and pension funds,
and they're big, big buyers compared
to what we've been talking about in the last four cycles.
You know, the game has changed,
the pocketbooks are much, much deeper. Wall Street's in play
and new mechanisms and new tools and new products are being created every single day
as we've seen in terms of these now more leveraged products on the ETF side.
Now you can go, Andrew, because tell me.
on the ETF side. Now you can go, Andrew, because tell me.
Well, I agree with both.
But I will say, in terms of price action,
we're up 13% in the last six days.
So moving up faster or higher on a percentage basis
than the broader markets, as I've said for the past two
weeks, everybody's melted down about
tariff talk and we've basically gone nowhere in the markets. We've gyrated a bit.
People get all hot and bothered about it. People, you know, put their eyes on the Sunday
futures open. And so, you know, two Sundays ago, Sunday futures are down by five and a
half percent. This past Sunday, Sunday
futures were up three whatever percent. It all kind of evens itself out. You know
the market it continues to be dynamic across traditional markets but Bitcoin
as has been the case so many times is more dynamic. So oftentimes, you know, we get as, you know, long-termers in
this space and people that hold Bitcoin, they can get bored with price action,
right? Because they're used to moments and they happen 10 to 12 times a year
where there are God candle-like moments. So you get bored with price. Well, if you got bored with price down at 75, 76, you missed out on, you know, a 13% move to the upside.
So don't get bored with price. Bitcoin is going to do what it's supposed to do. And
Tillman is right. When you look at adoption rate, and we're in a sort of a renaissance moment
when it comes to adoption.
Corporations taking on more Bitcoin
onto their balance sheet.
And it's one thing to talk about corporations
that make huge headlines, right?
But it's also another thing to look at, you know,
smaller corporations that don't make huge headlines
They're also adding Bitcoin to their balance sheet and they're doing it in a hundred Bitcoin 200 Bitcoin 300 Bitcoin
Whatever the number happens to be and so that's 16% uptick on a quarterly basis
If that just does another ten and another ten and another ten over the next three quarters
That's those are huge numbers, right?
Those are really, really big numbers.
And Bitwise has said, Matt specifically has said,
that Bitcoin on corporate balance sheets is not just a trend, it's a mega trend.
And so we're going to continue to see that happen.
And certainly Bitwise, the conversations that they have
on the cutting
edge of all of that.
Well, and I hate to throw one more thing in there real quick is that, you know, in the
past, we've seen Bitcoin be the most volatile asset when volatility hits the market.
That's not the case anymore.
Like Bitcoin is The treasuries are like more.
We're seeing swings in the real markets, the real markets that are much more wild.
I mean, what's happened in the NASDAQ
just over the last couple of weeks,
if you have leverage on either side,
you're a total extinction event.
You're wiped out, too big a moves.
Scott, can we, how could anyone not be bullish? I mean, I just just back up for a
minute. You have the President of the United States of America has created a Bitcoin strategic
reserve and he's instructed Scott Besson, the US Secretary, Treasury Secretary, a Bitcoiner
and Howard Lutn Secretary, a people are talking about Bitcoin bonds, they're talking about selling gold to buy Bitcoin, they're talking about all these
different new tariffs that are
being paid acquiring Bitcoin.
I just don't see how anyone
could not be bullish.
I'm almost a little scared
because there is no argument
not to be bullish, right?
Because if you look at a huge
event that could scare the
market, we just experienced it.
And what did Andrew just say?
We're back to where we were, you know?
Yeah.
I mean, stocks aren't higher than where we were
before liberation day, but Bitcoin's trading
two or $3,000 higher than it was at that point,
pushing up much higher.
And to your point, it's all just a function of uncertainty
in the world that
hasn't said Bitcoin. But I mean, you're right. I know it wasn't
about Bitcoin. But you know, we have Bukele meeting with Trump
yesterday, the two Bitcoin presidents, you know, in one
room for the first time. And you basically just echoed the point
that Matt Hogan made, which is when there's any level of
certainty or clarity coming, Bitcoin should just absolutely fly.
I mean, tell you one guy who's definitely a not scared strategy.
Obviously Michael Saylor bought 285 million more. I mean, John,
like for you personally, right? I know you,
you've said publicly many times the bulk of your net worth is in Bitcoin.
You keep buying, you keep adding, you keep going. Michael Saylor.
I mean, you know, not to that extent, of course. Oh, really?
I mean, yes, I Bitcoin hit the 70s. I bought I bought in the
low 80s, as well. And, and so I just don't see again, my concern
is what am I missing? Because I can't come up with an argument that isn't bullish.
We can have these temporary setbacks
and you can't think of a more major setback
than what we just experienced.
And Bitcoin did resilient, the whole market,
I know we're gonna talk about XRP later,
but that's shocking how well that's held up as well and so i think that we're seeing this asset class
really coming to its own right now yeah it's just a situation where you got to be selective and smart
like you know we have the complete bullshit obviously on the side of the memes but in the
middle you're gonna have to choose wisely as to things that are actually going to do something and
progress and XRP, if you can't deny, like have been pushing hard.
There are some statistics that, you know, should be, we should talk about because again,
over the past two weeks, there's been this, especially in TradFi markets, there's been
this borderline hysteria.
Now I don't want to go to the route of, you know, people in engagement farming or anything Especially in TradFi markets, there's been this borderline hysteria.
I don't want to go the route of people in engagement farming or anything like that,
but again, there's been this hysteria associated with futures moving here and markets are going
here and what's going to happen.
Year to date, the S&P is down 7.8%.
In 2023, it was up 24%. In 2024, it was up 25%. So, effectively,
the S&P over the past three years is up, collectively, 43% right now. Okay? So, it's extraordinary
to see people try and compare this stuff to whether it's the COVID crash or the great financial crisis. It's just it's not not it's nowhere near any of that
stuff. So if you can keep your head and you know keep it in the right place and
make meaningful you know well reasoned decisions associated with an asset like
Bitcoin and when it dips because it'll dip again
you know hit 86 or whatever today or maybe a little higher but it'll dip
again 83 82 81 71 whatever it does you know make a well reasoned choice to add
to Bitcoin at that point or any other asset that you find compelling and
think has long-term viability?
Well, let's dissect what you just said,
because I think that if you look at it
as an equation of risk, right?
If you're a person that does not own any Bitcoin,
I would make the argument you have more risk
in not owning Bitcoin than any risk you could have
in your price entry of owning Bitcoin. So you've gotten to a macro economic place globally where inflation, you know, whether you want to call it hyperinflation, whether you think we're on the edge of hyperinflation, we Republicans and the Democrats are going to bipartisanly agree
upon that. Five trillion dollars is going to move the needle. It has to. It has to go somewhere.
And so when you go, okay, well, where is it going to go? Well, let's talk about what Ripple has done.
I think this is the finally the season of utility. We said that like two, you know, bull runs ago. Oh yeah, this finally
we're gonna have utility and we thought the smart contract mechanisms with
Ethereum were gonna bring that but then we've reached that, you know, glass
ceiling that Ethereum has. But this time it feels different because the
regulatory environment is so clear for big, big institutions to put a lot of money into
building the arena, if you will, that build it and they will come. So you look
at what BlackRock and Citadel are doing in Texas to build the first digital
stock exchange. Well, Ripple just did that. They now have that. And you know, that's a unique function that is,
that we used to have. And then in the last administration, because of regulatory wins,
we lost, which was a very unique bridge. And the bridge was this and Trade Station had this,
because I was touting it. I loved this function, which was you could trade traditional assets,
you could trade crypto assets, you could move cash between those assets, and you could take crypto off into cold storage
anytime you want it. That functionality has left our
ecosystem, and it's back now. And that is something to be celebrated because that's the merge of traditional markets and crypto markets. Kraken's not right,
they're right behind them. I can almost guarantee Kraken is going to make,
they're going to do this too, I promise. I don't promise but I really believe,
speculate. And so you know you look at like to John's point the the overarching
wins now are tailwinds. Everything's
getting pushed digital and what does that mean? It means that a lot of that
new printed money is going to be pushed into liquidity into this new ecosystem
that's being created and then if you just start to even back up a little bit
more and say okay we're a bunch of old guys talking about this. What's the 20-year-olds think
about this industry? Like this is standard for them. They're not thinking this is cutting edge.
They were born in the darkness. They love, like they, that was a reference for you Andrew, by the way.
They love the fact that we're moving digital and they welcome that change, right?
And so I just don't see how you don't see that this is going to grow.
Kudos to Ripple because that is true utility and it's shocking that they've been able to
overcome in my opinion the hurdle of, oh no, international settlements are probably
going to be done with stablecoins, which weren't around when we created this
thesis. How do we adopt? And I will say this, in history, if you look at the
companies that reach the tallest heights, that are the biggest and the broadest,
they're able to adapt. They literally can change on a dime and reinvent themselves and find market fit.
And it's always done through utility. So the fact that, you know, this, what is it called? Hidden Road did three trillion dollars of of
Transactions that's not small. They've got hedge funds playing in this
Exchange and so now you have a stable coin created by ripple
That's going to be the literally the ecosystem itself though
The the liquidity and the collateral by which you can borrow against you can the system itself, the the the
whether you're Republican or I'm not sure. Scott, let me just comment a couple of things. One,
whether you're Republican or
Democrat, what Tillman said is
true. There's one path and that
one path leads to the federal
money printing leads to
printing of money 100% and as
far as this Ripple hidden road
acquisition, I was watching
some Bitcoin Maxis. It's got
Bitcoin Maxi saying, oh **** I guess XRPRP and Ripple are gonna be here for the long
term.
There's no doubt about it.
And that's because of you.
Let's be honest.
Well, I don't know.
If you don't take on that case pro bono and win, then we're having wildly different conversations
about XRP specifically and certainly about anything
not called Bitcoin that's in this industry.
Hey, listen, and I owe a lot to the XRP folks
and XRP army because I did take it pro bono,
but I probably should recalculate my net worth.
When I ran for Senate, I said 80% was in Bitcoin
and that's true and I've never sold a Bitcoin since but XRP has outperformed and so you know I have a substantial holding in XRP so it
may be down to 65% Bitcoin and XRP is creeped up you know because I mean this
is like Ripple has crazy money a 1.25 billion dollar deal to buy this I mean
these guys are slinging it.
Yeah, I've said, sorry to interrupt, but I've said, and I got, you know, criticized for being
like a fanboy or something for Brad Garlinghouse. And I said, I think he's the best CEO in crypto
to navigate that case, to navigate the boot of the government on his company's neck,
the way he did and these acquisitions that he's made.
I don't see an argument.
You could argue for Brian Armstrong,
you could argue for others,
but I think the man deserves his credit.
And by the way, you can even say that
if you don't like XRP, you can just call balls and strikes
when it's fair and say like,
look at the situation these guys were in
and look at the situation they're in now.
Yeah, there had to be sort of,
a teaming of in the crypto space to take on,
the SEC and then the government at large.
I mean, again, we've because the world of crypto Twitter has,
you know, the ability to focus on something for about nine seconds. We we
forgotten that, you know, 12 months ago, you know, crypto was borderline
outlawed other than Bitcoin ETFs and Ethereum ETFs in the United States.
Like like that's where we were headed.
And so now we're in this world where it's wide open spaces.
Nearly every case that existed that the SEC was pursuing
has been dismissed and moved on from.
We're in this new world.
In that new world, a trail was blazed by John, by Ripple, by Coinbase and their
legal team as well.
Those two forces had the ability and frankly the truth of the way that legal battles are
fought, they had the capital to be able to fight the size and scale of the
government, specifically the SEC. I think it'd be interesting to hear John talk about the difference
between talking to or listening to or being involved with in any way shape or form regulatory
bodies then versus regulatory bodies now. I think that would be really interesting to see,
they'd listen to.
Yeah, well listen, I mean, let's just back up,
what, two and a half, three years with the FTX debacle
and the doom and gloom of the industry.
You could go to an event like Consensus
and you could just, it was palpable.
Like people were just questioning, developers questioning
whether they had given up, you know, their nine to five
and they were part of a team,
whether they had made the right move,
whether they had sacrificed the future of their families
because this industry was going to basically be outlawed
by the US government and everything was going to go offshore.
You go from that extreme and yes, you know, I'm not a fan of the of the meme coins and the Trump
coin and all that stuff, but like Scott said, you get past that and you look at what's happening and
you just couldn't write this. if we all went back 3
years ago and said John Andrew
Scott, I want you to come up
with the most bullish. You
know regulatory posture you
could imagine John Deaton would
have said I just want him to be
neutral right just take your
boot off the neck of the
industry, right just be neutral.
I would have never said the
president of the United States
tweeted about XRP, Solana, and
Cardinal. I would have never
imagined that. I would have
never imagined the SEC agreeing
to give back money to Ripple,
right? Ripple put $125 million into escrow and they get 75 million back.
So the United States government said, here, take $75 million back in XRP or whatever.
That's just incredible.
That's why I said that there's times I wake up
and I think, am I missing something?
Because I think that if you are a financial advisor
and you are not advising your clients
to have some exposure to what Tillman said,
it is now, if you have no exposure to this asset class,
if you have nothing to Bitcoin or any of the other assets,
then you are being stupid in my opinion,
and you are being in way of a more risky position. So how do you not say one to five percent?
You have Larry Fink talking about non-stop about the tokenization of real-world assets, you know,
and a lot of people don't know this and it's why I always said that XRP and the XRP ledger would be around long-term.
The XRP ledger had the first decks ever in the world, you know, embedded into the
ledger. They were actually the first ledger you could tokenize assets. And so I just think
it's an incredible time. We we've got a government now that is basically telling us that you're
stupid if you don't allocate some of your wealth to this asset class?
Well, smart money is here and we you can't ignore it.
It's like even when I first heard about crypto, somebody explained to me and this is, you
know, early, early days, 2014 ish.
They said it's like having the ability to send secure money in an email.
And when they open the email the money's in
their pocket. It's like that. And so sending digital money only makes sense.
Like it removes a ton of friction from a ton of industries. The risk
that I see John, to answer your question from my vantage point, is that this cycle
is going to be different. And I believe that this cycle is going to be different. And I believe that
this cycle is going to be all about what are you actually doing for the world? What utility have you
found? And I think the world has identified Bitcoin's utility as a store value, hedge against
inflation, insurance policy against fiat, if you will. I think we've securely, we are the,
Bitcoin is the only option for that from where I sit. And then I think you have
all the rest. And all the rest are trying to define themselves against utility. And
the ones that are suffering the most, like Ethereum, it's because their utility
is being called into question. There are
issues with scalability in the ecosystem. Solana, there are
issues with uptime, like with reliability in the ecosystem. There's all these
things that now, because we've gone through cycles of using the tech,
Ethereum, the ICO craze, we used that, you know,
up and down the street, six ways to Sunday.
We know what Ethereum does under stress.
Same thing with Solana with the meme coin phase.
Like those kind of bleeding edge peripheral markets
test the tech in a lot of cases through these cycles.
And we get to find out what really,
like if we're gonna put real-world assets on a blockchain
Which one you know like I?
Consider myself to be somewhat of an expert in the tech
I love it
And I study it all the time and I still couldn't tell you if you put a gun to my head and said which one's gonna
Do the best under stress and be the most reliable well it would be avalanche from a tech perspective
But it doesn't have the depth of liquidity. So you're giving up something regardless of who you
choose unless the government comes out and says or like Ripple did, this is
gonna be the way we provide depth of liquidity. We're backing it with our own
token and if you have the money to do that, like Ripple, I think they've got $125
billion of value there. I mean, they're going to be pushing money into developing utility on the
back of their ecosystem. And XRP was the first token I ever saw this type of utility actually
being used for. And John, I don't know if you remember this, but do you remember XRP Tipbot?
actually being used for and John I don't know if you remember this but do you remember XRP Tipbot? Of course I do absolutely. Yeah Whistle Wind I think is
the guy that created that and it was no one heard about it other than guys who
really loved XRP but you it was a way where if I liked a tweet that John put
out I could literally just go at his handle and then XRP and the amount and it would
send the XRP out of my wallet automatically over the Twitter
network to a holding account if John didn't have an XRP tip bot account up
and running and as soon as he logged in and essentially verified through logging
in with his Twitter
handle that that was him, boom, the money was there waiting for him, even if he didn't
have an account set up.
And if he did have an account set up that XRP was in his account instantly.
That was the first time I saw social media money transfer capabilities.
That's coming.
That is here.
It already was here.
What? How long ago was that? Five years ago that he did that. that's coming. That is here. It
already was here. How long ago
was that five years ago that
that he did that? I mean, yeah,
you know, listen, a lot of
people feel that the lawsuit,
you know, it's suppressed all
that momentum that XRP, Ripple,
or whatever you want to call
them as far as the company or
the token
uh it was associated with the XRP ledger and and Ripple. So uh 100% man it's uh you know
it's hard not to be bullish man. I I keep telling you I I literally keep trying to have these conversations. You know one risk I think we saw with Bitcoin is that the more Wall Street gets
involved the more leverage gets involved and do you guys think even the dip that Bitcoin experienced
where professionals selling it to meet their margin costs?
I know, I don't think to necessarily meet a margin call.
I think it was just a bunch of people panicking on Sunday
who couldn't sell anything else.
Okay.
Because we're back above.
That's my opinion.
I would love Andrew's.
I know you're about to jump in,
but like when we got Liberation Day, Bitcoin traded
flat Thursday and Friday, and that's when markets dumped hard.
And then you get to the weekend. And when everybody checks their
portfolio, your average dentist or you know, gets home is like
what what?
Yeah,
in advance of the Monday panic, right? You have Kramer on TV
talking about Black Monday.
Yes, Scott's spot on about that. You didn't have anything else to in advance of the Monday panic, right? You have Kramer on TV talking about Black Monday.
Yeah, Scott's spot on about that.
You didn't have anything else to sell, right?
So 99% of average investors aren't also trading futures
actively on Sunday nights.
So they hold spot positions at Bitcoin on an exchange
somewhere, and that's an asset that they can move around and potentially liquidate if they think, you know, if they're listening to Kramer, like some of them do.
And there's a Black Monday. By the way, awesome that he said we're going to have a Black Monday because anytime Kramer says anything, you just do the opposite. You're in a good spot.
I got them wrong.
you just do the opposite, you're in a good spot. Right, so it's a, yeah, it's interesting, very, very interesting times where we're being able to evaluate Bitcoin as a store of value, Bitcoin as
a hedge against not only inflation, but Bitcoin as a, you know, is it an uncorrelated asset? Is it a has it consciously uncoupled from
from the broader markets and the NASDAQ and risk assets? You know, has has it done that?
To some extent, a little bit? Yes. But, you know, overall, and Jeff Park, a bitwise has
made this point over the last month. You know, Bitcoin is anywhere between 9x to 25x more volatile
than the S&P. So there should be an expectation when there's a move higher Bitcoin is going
to move faster and higher. There's a move lower Bitcoin is going to move faster and
lower. We've seen some of that just like in the last six days with Bitcoin up 13 plus
percent broader markets have moved
a little bit higher, but again, not materially higher.
So taking that volatility, harnessing that volatility, and being able to profit and benefit
from it in some way is, to some extent, why we're here talking about what it is that we
talk about and talking about Arch Public. Harnessing that volatility is something that over time,
not only spot Bitcoin, but then options and swaps.
And at some point we'll get bit bonds and they'll trade.
And how are they going to trade?
All of that is going to have additional volatility
associated with Bitcoin as an asset.
How do we harvest returns from that in a meaningful
and somewhat thoughtful way?
That's all, a lot of it's here,
and a lot of it's coming over time.
Yeah, two quick things that we had, just these stories.
Analysts claim two factors position XRP ahead
of other assets for spot ETF approval by the SEC.
So obviously we know that other ETFs are coming, right?
Yes.
So Lana Dozier XRP is hard to tell in the short term, but a couple of reasons they think
this might be it.
And that's because we got the leverage product launched last week.
So there's some sort of precedent for approvals to X leverage XRP.
And that's one of the major ones
in market dynamics in general.
So the next story though,
kind of a surprise to a lot of people.
And John, I want to kind of ask you about this.
SEC delays crypto ETF staking
and in-kind redemption decisions
as agency molds long-term crypto regulatory strategy.
So obviously we've gotten nothing but good news
out of the SEC over the past three months as they've transitioned out of the regulation by enforcement
and have started approving new things. But a lot of people still want to see staking in the
Ethereum spot ETF and they want to see in-kind redemption in the Bitcoin ones, which was never
approved at the very beginning. Do you think this is it? The tone is that they're pausing
and want to make pragmatic decisions. I think once Atkins is in and they get a clear strategy,
do you think that that's fair and that this is not some sort of Gary Gensler ask outright
rejection?
No, I think that listen, they made the obvious moves staking is sort of the last bastion,
if you will, of regulatory clarity. And I think that this is just a function of,
we want to get the chairman on board in place
and figure out the long-term strategy.
And there's probably some mechanics involved
where they want basically his blessing.
But I think it's inevitable
because the market's demanding it.
People want staking.
They want yield and they want it with Ethereum.
And listen, I'm someone,
and I get a lot of people mad at me when I say this,
but Ethereum, I know you brought it up and how it's acted,
but it blew the greatest regulatory advantage
that I've ever witnessed in my lifetime.
I'm just sorry, it's the truth.
If you go back to June 14th, 2018
and the Hinman declaring Ethereum not a security,
that regulatory advantage,
especially when others were considered you know securities
but I think Ethereum is long term is going to survive of course although I do
believe XRP is going to flip it. I agree I think it's going to flip it I think
these blockchains will survive I think they'll be privatized I think it makes
sense if if I was a company like Disney I'd find a chain like Solana
and I'd buy the majority of the market and I'd control it for my own purposes and I'd
Be the 800 pound gorilla on the much
I would do that the whole market the efficiency that running on a coin
Brad Garlinghouse is about to prove it and we're going to see it
live because when you run an exchange on the back of the rails that he's about to run it on versus
a traditional exchange, there is no competition. You are the single player in the market that can
do what you can do and I think that companies are going to start adopting blockchains and I think
some of these chains are going to serve great purposes in the private sector
they're just not their utility hasn't been defined their utility has to be
defined in my estimation for them to compete with Bitcoin or compete with XRP
now that it has found utility you know you just have to have that There's got to be a reason for people to adopt and use it,
I think, from this day going forward. And why?
Well, because the traditional markets are creating the same roller coasters,
and they're going to create the same amusement parks on the traditional side.
It's just going to be paper that you're trading versus the actual asset.
So those markets will mirror each other.
They're the same coin, just different sides of the coin.
They have to mirror each other.
And the like kind redemption piece of it does,
I think there's a little mechanics issue in that because-
That's not that easy.
That's not easy.
Listen, you know how hard it's going to be
and how much stress it's gonna put on the spot market
to change it essentially?
And custodians, yeah, I mean, and like structurally,
I don't know if even the custodians are ready for that.
Bingo, yeah, so it's one of those things,
like I think that those things are getting delayed
because we don't quite frankly know how to do it
and we're still fleshing that out. I do think stable coins make... if the government can create
a stable coin package that is very very clear in terms of the on ramps and the off ramps,
because if they control the on ramps and off ramp, then they don't care what's built on the other side of those roads.
We have freedom to innovate, build the biggest amusement park that we can.
It'll end up like Las Vegas, but they'll be able to see everybody that goes in and out
on that stable coin legislation and on that central on ramp and off ramp.
That's kind of where I think they're trying to figure out,
how do we really regulate this
and keep it from being something that's negative
to the world and at the same time, not-
We're definitely getting stable coins.
We're getting stable coin legislation for sure.
I would say market structure,
we even get by August based on what I'm hearing.
I mean, Tim Scott's
saying that but from everyone I've talked to anywhere close,
that's actually a Trump priority and a prior straight from the
administration to at least get those things. I mean, and
meanwhile, I know, Andrew, you're about to jump in, I'm
just kind of watching the market, you know, we were just
above 86,085 993 here, you can feel that the moment SPY, there's SPY up slightly,
queues up slightly. You can feel right now that the moment there's any optimism in markets,
Bitcoin starts to push. Yeah. And then you get, by the way, then you get like a truth social post
that says like, we're semiconductors 90% today but not tomorrow and then maybe next week 75%
but also yeah a lot of credit though I do have to say a lot of credit if the Nvidia news that
they're coming back to build their full supercomputers in the United States 500 billion
if that's a result of tariffs job well done yes that's that's gonna be huge when that actually happens. Hashtag 4D chess.
Yeah, I mean, I think there's positives and negatives
to how it's being done.
But Bitcoin right back up here at 86,000,
it's like none of this ever happens.
Now we need to see a hundred.
Wait interest rates and quantitative means and kick into, and then you add tax cuts to that. the Yeah, we're looking at right now, S&P up, let's call it about half of a percent and
then Bitcoin's up a percent and three quarters, right?
So 1.75.
So again, there's that correlation where Bitcoin is higher exponentially versus the markets.
Now again, you get the downside
to that too, but there's opportunity with that volatility, you know,
extraordinary opportunity with volatility. And again, I go back to Jeff
Park, you know, he's been on this kick for the better part of nine months about
volatility equals opportunity. There's opportunity in micro strategies price.
There's opportunity in Bitcoin volatility.
There's opportunity in Bitcoin options.
There's opportunity everywhere.
If you're able to come to terms
with some of the gamification associated with markets
because that is a reality now.
That is a reality even in traditional markets,
there's gamification associated with it.
So can you then take that reality
and benefit from it in a meaningful way?
And again, it's part of my job description
to pivot to tools that can allow you to do that.
And ArchPublic and our algorithms associated
with the
gyrations of Bitcoin and now with the gyrations of XRP, um, just extraordinary
tools that allow you to do that. So, you know, I just wish there was a product
you're talking about where a moron like me and I am a moron when it comes to
tech. Anybody that knows me knows that I'm not exaggerating,
could basically get an opportunity
to capitalize on that volatility.
Well, it's interesting that you say that, John,
because as now a user of our algorithms, both our XRP
algo as well as our Bitcoin algo,
the opportunity to set up processes
where you're not only harvesting volatility to accumulate more Bitcoin,
accumulate more XRP, but there's also cash yield that's being generated based
on the fact that those out goes I have a long bias, right? So you're accumulating
more and you're generating cash yield, then that cash yield can be turned around and moved into the asset of your choice.
Because we're launching an XRP algo today,
we now have four assets across our crypto portfolio Bitcoin,
Ethereum, Solana, and now XRP.
That's available for free to everyone.
So everyone listening.
Really hard on Ethereum since it never goes up.
Yeah, exactly.
Well, we can all go back to DCA and Aliexpress.
You gotta be real, that's gotta be a hell of an algorithm
to catch that five minutes.
Well, again, our algorithms are algorithms
inside of algorithms, right?
So if you have a significant Ethereum position
and you want to scale out over time,
over the next three to six months,
our algorithm will do that in an automated way
on your behalf.
John told us a story when we started working with him
about when XRP hit $3 and he said,
$3 is a big number, it's a number that I've had in my head
and I wanted to lighten up just a little bit at $ dollars. He said, but three dollars happened while I was asleep and it only
happened for about nine minutes so I couldn't do it. Therein is the reality
associated with our products that when Bitcoin is at 76 or 77 or Solana is up
at 134 and you're doing something else, our algorithm is making choices and
decisions for you. So just truly extraordinary tech on tech as Tillman
loves to hear me say. And you know there you go, take a look at you know what an
XRP algo does for you, right? You're accumulating with a long bias.
So there are cells that are happening
at the bottom of red candles.
There are, sorry, purchases happening
at the bottom of red candles.
I was like, really?
Yeah, yeah, well, that's pretty bad.
That's not what it says.
And there are purchases happening
at the bottom of red candles
and sales happening at the top of green candles.
So you can't do that as a human.
See that huge green candle there?
It was probably associated with some sort of tweet somewhere.
That's right.
Like 99.9% of traders can't sell at the top
because they think it's going higher.
Like this thing's on a rocket ship.
God candle, it's going higher.
I can't sell.
Well, you lighten up just a little bit. You make a
reasonable decision but it's being made for you. So well the truth is is that you
always in volatile markets you want as many entry and exit points as you can
manage. Truthfully, if you if you look at like a hedge fund or any company that is
spending a lot of money in the markets
That they don't have the choice of going in and in pushing, you know
Smash by and lumping some into their positions. Why well because they move markets
They're playing with that much money
But what they really don't want is the price exposure at a single entry point
They want price exposure over a long period of time and the longer the period of time the better.
Why? Because you're getting an average price that is truly reflective of the
current value of the market. You've taken the anomaly situation and you've reduced
that risk. And so you know to John to John's point, to Andrew's point, when you're playing with
volatility, you want to have a strategy that executes when that volatility presents opportunities.
And you can't do that as a human being unless you can stay up 24 seven and sit in front
of your computer 24 seven. And so automation is something that has been used by every big institution It's been used by every major fund for decades
This is just the first time retail can use it and to Andrew's point
It's free and I could sit here and talk about it for eight hours and we all could
But nothing is like seeing it and and in seeing is believing it. And so come click on our XRP algo,
if you're an XRP guy or a Bitcoin guy
and try it for free and talk to us.
We'll show you how to use it.
But our thesis is that we don't meet anyone that says,
oh, I wish I owned less Bitcoin
or I wish I owned less XRP.
It's always the opposite.
You met people who said that.
Not Bitcoin. It's always the the
people who said that.
depends on when you ask them
Scott. Not now. Not now. You're
not. Hey, guys, let me make
something clear too. I
wouldn't even be talking if if
something was going to be trying
to shield something to the XRP community, I wouldn't be going to be trying Todd, we were talking and and when I learned that this is sort of like retail gets to participate
in a way that only professionals, you know, it's always the hedge funds and the big boys,
they make money. And it's always retail who gets excluded out. It's like the the credit
investor rule, right? We're going to exclude 88% of the American population from owning private equity.
Yeah, that's upward mobility, right?
But here we have an ability where someone like me can say, you know what?
I'm participating and I don't have to give up my shit.
I don't have to give up my bag.
I don't have to. I only have to participate.
I can do it free.
And then I'll let myself be convinced.
Yeah. After three, if I want to participate higher
Then that's something I see such dumb comments and it's listen
I get that everybody thinks anytime you promote something in anywhere in crypto. It must be a scam, but your assets are dot
Controlled by Arch public just now to be clear
no risk of Like I just see it
in the comments. Oh, we'll send you the yeah, no, no, by the
way, but by the way, an exhibit a as to institutional tools,
what did ripple just buy? What did what ripple just buy a
math? I'm a heal mass broker for billions of dollars.
What happens at that institutional level?
Those institutions, 80% of their trades
are done algorithmically.
They're doing that stuff algorithmically.
So Ripple just paid $1.25 billion for that company
to be able to have access to that type of stuff.
We're giving you access to it for free. We're giving you
access to that type of technology that's that valuable in traditional markets. We're giving
it to you for free.
I just don't think people understand you can set the parameters.
Yeah, there's no way there's no way that you lose all your money doing this now unless
you decide that you want to take the wildest gambles, which the
algo is never going to want to do in the first place. It's just
wild people's assumptions.
Real quick, because we've we've we've gone to great links to
provide as transparent and a business model as you can
provide. You put your money on a major exchange,
Gemini, Kraken, Coinbase.
Your money is in their hands.
We don't ever have access to your funds.
So you trade in the exact same account
that you have a Bergerage account with now.
Secondly, the automation or the algos that we provide
run through TradingView.
So you can pull historical results through
TradingView. You don't even have to take our word for the historical performance
of the algos. You can pull the results straight from TradingView.
We'll show you how to set it up and you can run it for free for as long as you
want to run it for. So again there's no risk in you trying it. If you're a
naysayer I urge you to try it
because I would love to hear whether you've been convinced
or not after you've used the product.
And we're careful to say certain things
because you can't guarantee anything.
But there is a box when you're setting up your algorithm
on Trading Review that says,
never sell under your cost basis.
Now, I don't know what that means to you,
but when you're running an algo
and you're making purchases associated with an asset
and that box is ticked and says,
never sell under your cost basis, I don't know.
That sounds like a pretty good box to tick
associated with the algorithms, you know,
giving you extraordinary performance.
And you're not taking losing trades is kind of the point., I'm not going to say that. I'm not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm
not going to say that. I'm not going to say that. I'm not going to say that. I'm not going to say that. I'm not going to say that. I'm not going to say that. I'm but being able to give a tool to a regular Joe like me,
okay, and others.
And me.
Right, to participate.
You don't, again, nothing's being pushed on anyone.
I would not participate in anything like that.
All I know is that if I can participate
with these kind of tools going into the future
with these algos and build wealth and
That kind of tool is brought down to regular people mechanics
nurses, you know
Plumbers and they get to participate in a way of building wealth where they've been excluded all their life
That is where my heart is and that's why I hopped on here.
And that's why I started using it myself.
And it gets free, so you don't have to buy anything.
Yeah, I don't have to do anything.
And to your point, I just wanna say like,
it works exceptionally well for the everyday person
who just wants to gain exposure.
But actually the smartest people I know
also wanna use these things
because they know that they can't manually do it and that it's going to do exactly what they would ideally want to do if they could
be there 24 7 365 with the emotion it's just obvious if you if you remove emotion from markets
and if i ask you right now are you a buyer at 65 000 yeah yeah well Yeah, yeah, well, yeah, I am. Well, how much do you want to allocate at
$65,000? $5,000. I can layer a hundred if-then scenarios in this software to
where I can say, if the market gives me this, I want this to happen, and then you
set it and forget it. So when those events take place,
you're removed emotionally from having to do the manual process when the market is bleeding or
it's all being done. And so it's a way if I told you, hey, you know, the only way to get fit is
to go to the gym. And you can't go to the gym for 48 hours straight and be fit.
You have to go to the gym for an hour a day for 48 days. You have to be consistent. You have to be
available. You have to dedicate time. That's the same thing with taking positions in anything.
It takes a lot of time. It takes a lot of thought, it takes a lot of execution risk.
This takes all of that away and allows you to sit there
when there's no emotion and say, okay, over the next year,
what do I want to accomplish with my crypto bags?
What do I want to accomplish with each one?
And set up an infinite number of if-then scenarios
or instances to accomplish that
when the market presents those opportunities.
And it's out of sight, out of mind, or instances to accomplish that when the market presents those opportunities.
And it's out of sight, out of mind, and you look back on it and it feels like magic.
It'd be like if you got to go to the gym every day for that hour in your sleep and you just
woke up on day 48 and you were healthier, more fit and in shape because it's been done
for you essentially.
That's the closest analogy I can give you.
Yeah. And I know we go ahead, Andrew,
last thoughts, because we got to run in a second.
Last thoughts, you need to shave your head
and grow a beard.
That's my last thought.
I'll try.
It's archpublic.com.
You can see it down in the bottom for those of you looking.
And I mean, listen, I can just tell you that
I've been through every up and down of participating and promoting anything over all the years and everybody knows that like I had
the bulk of my net worth on Voyager and they were my first sponsor in 2019 before any of this I'm
very cautious about how I approach it you you can you use this at your own discretion. There's nothing controversial here, right? You
use it your own discretion. And I can tell you that I hear
nothing negative and thousands of you have signed up. Quite
literally thousands of people that I talked to and we know
have signed up for this free algorithm and are using it. And
haven't heard a single complaint. And I would before anyone else.
Right.
So, uh, you know, you wouldn't have John and I sitting here if, uh, there
was any way that that wasn't the case.
All right, guys, we do have to run John, man.
Thank you so much for everything you do.
Thanks for showing up.
Absolutely.
Uh, always incredible to have you here.
Tell me, Andrew, you guys are all right.
All right, man. I like you. All right all right man thank you very much we'll see
tomorrow bye
let's go