The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin PANIC At $80K Amid Mass Market Sell Off! Where's the Bottom?

Episode Date: November 21, 2025

Bitcoin’s price crash continues to dominate markets as the crypto sector wipes out more than $1 trillion in value, Bitcoin heads for its worst month since the 2022 collapse, and ETF outflows. Whales... are quietly accumulating while retail panic grows, MicroStrategy faces index-delisting risk, and sovereign players like Abu Dhabi are taking heavy hits after ramping up BTC exposure near the highs.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Bitcoin hit $80,000 American dollars in a major sell-off with a panicking community. Is it all over? Are we heading into the depths of yet another bear market or is this another bull market correction? We have a lot of news that may give us hints as to what is coming next. And it's the Friday 5. So NLW and I are going to unpack all of it. Let's go. Let's go.
Starting point is 00:00:30 Good morning bear market enthusiasts. It's nice to have you here for the Friday 5. You've to go ahead and bring on NLW. Now I checked coin market cap. Prices aren't that good. No, no, it's a, this is not a fun one. Usually it waits until, uh, it's, uh, Thanksgiving to really lean in like this.
Starting point is 00:01:03 Does that mean that we can possibly get a good Thanksgiving? You know, we just finally bought them here. And then we're back to prices from like last week. And everybody's extremely excited about that. Like 90,000 looks amazing. That's what I mean, that's, that's, that's what I'm hoping for now. How fast our expectations reset. Yeah, it is very fast.
Starting point is 00:01:21 I mean, let's just talk about the market here to sort of set the table. Bitcoin headed for worse months since crypto collapse of 2022. Of course, we know that. These are the FTX days. Actually, when you look at a lot of things technically on the chart, it's worse. I looked RSI on the daily chart is more oversold. If you look at the Fear and Greed Index and you believe in that, fear is much higher or the number there is much lower.
Starting point is 00:01:43 This is a significant event right now. It's at least for sentiment. You know, we're getting another $1.5 billion worth of levered positions since yesterday. Seems like now what used to be a full market event of a bill. was like FtX, right? A billion to two billion. Now that's a daily occurrence. And we have Bitcoin dropping below 81,000 for the first time since April 11th.
Starting point is 00:02:08 Pretty, pretty disgusting out there. Yeah. I mean, I think that the question is part of what makes this a real challenge. And I guess, you know, I was thinking about what my sort of like base framework for understanding this all is, is we are now experiencing, it feels like, the first big sort of correction, bare market type event of the post-institutional post-ETF cycle. This feels to me, look, it could be that we ultimately look back at it and it was just an extreme correction relative to everything else.
Starting point is 00:02:44 But it also could be that we are now experiencing the first, you know, what a baby winter or hopefully a baby winter feels like in the context of this new era that we're in. You know, the four-year cycle, I think most people think has to change, inevitably has to change in some ways following sort of the mass introduction of institutions. And we don't really have emotional patterns yet for what, you know, for what things look like that aren't, you know, a deep bear market following a blow off top or, you know, some crazy fraud thing because we just haven't lived through, you know, there's going to be a new normal that gets created.
Starting point is 00:03:21 And we don't know what that pattern is yet. And it's very hard to, we feel unmoored in a. addition to sad about the price, you know, like at least, at least when price is doing a thing that you expect, even if it's a shitty thing that you expect, you can deal with it. You know, you're like, you brace yourself and you hold on. This week just start, we're flying without a rudder, you know, we have no idea. We're flying without a rudder because there's no fundamental reason to point to for why it's happening, right? We've always get these massive corrections in bull markets. If we're calling this a bull market, we can debate that for another day. But on the way up
Starting point is 00:03:53 from, you know, 17,000 to 129. We have multiple 30% corrections. We've done that every cycle. In 2021, which is largely viewed as one of the most bullish years in the history of crypto, right, the fourth year of a massive four-year cycle. We had to drawdown in 30 days from 69,000 to sub-30,000. Of course, we kind of chopped around at 2830 and then went all the way back up to 69,000. But at that point, we had Tesla's not taking Bitcoin and China shutdown. This time, it's just, seemingly happening in a vacuum. And I think that that's what's driving people so crazy. I mean, Rao Paul actually had a great threat about this. I will say the part I like the best. My strategy is to add into these selloffs, but I'm okay with large swings and P&L and a long-term
Starting point is 00:04:38 multi-year trend, as I've explained many times. But everyone's circumstances and time horizons are different. That is my approach here too. And it's interesting. You can go through a few charts. I mean, Charlie Bellello, far from one of us, right? At 80,600, Bitcoin's now down. around 36% from its all-time high of 126. That's the biggest correction off an all-time high since 22. Is this unusual volatility for Bitcoin? Not at all. We've seen similar or bigger drawdowns every year.
Starting point is 00:05:05 It does feel a little different, maybe because, as you said, we're just so tied to the macro and the rest of the world and we've become institutionalized. So you have this huge wildcard as to what's going to happen. I mean, we're seeing the EF outflows. It's not pretty there. It feels different because we're not idiots and we can't pretend to be. And you can't have it both ways that we're in this new paradigm where, like, we're tethered to sort of, you know, traditional markets in a different way. And also we should expect these same massive drawdowns in bear market behavior.
Starting point is 00:05:34 Like, I'm sorry, you can't really, I mean, maybe it proves itself out to be that the Bitcoin pattern of those types of drawdowns persist in spite of that. But I think that part of the uneasiness, certainly that I feel is it doesn't seem to me like it should be that way in quite the same way. anymore. It feels more dramatic than a major macro asset should draw down, you know, like scary in the previous things. And I think that a lot of people have that, you know, the humility to know that we really don't know what's going on. And so it's, you know, this is a case I think where humility can actually make you feel better because we just don't understand yet. So it's, it's hard to draw a good conclusion, but it's also hard to draw an overly negative conclusion. I do think that one pattern that I'm seeing a lot, and this is far from wanting to characterize everyone this way,
Starting point is 00:06:25 but if you are a crypto person who has had the privilege of not giving a shit about what's going on in traditional markets for the last X years that you've been in crypto, you no longer have that privilege. The idea that we don't have any sense of why this should be happening is limited if you are not watching. Like, we are in a larger market moment where, in addition to your points about fear and greed and being an extreme fear moment, I think I was at 13 earlier this week. I don't even know what it is right now. We have a, like, this, this market cannot get over its own concerns anymore. There is something fundamental has broken in and around the way that people are thinking about AI. Basically, there's a terminology that's floating around right now.
Starting point is 00:07:15 Someone called it, I can't remember what it was, Sam Sabbath, it was SS, but it was basically the argument is that this massive spade of deals that Sam Altman and Open AI announced were actually so immense, this is $1.4 trillion in commitments. They were so scary that the market actually sort of started to get really, really nervous about just how much of its sort of hopes and dreams were pinned on this one, you know, half billion dollars or half trillion dollar startup, coming through with 1.4 trillion in commitments over the next handful of years. And I think that, you know, ever since that sort of took hold over the last couple of months, the thing that has been
Starting point is 00:07:54 propping up the market for three years since the cutting cycle began, which is AI enthusiasm, has not had the power to make people overlook all of the utter shittiness that has underlied the market for the rest. We've been in this case-shaped sort of market for a very long time and now the bottom of that K is dragging the rest of it down. And so the question becomes when you have that broader context, is Bitcoin responding just a little bit more aggressively than other risk assets as it sort of, you know, risk can't catch a break? Or is it actually a leading indicator of where people are headed? And I think that's the even scarier one, frankly, if you're that's the scary part is if you buy the tip of the risk spear argument and you can even make
Starting point is 00:08:38 the further argument down that rabbit hole, that micro strategy itself was the tip of the spear to lead the Bitcoin drawdown, which is a sign for all risk assets drawing down. And so it's scary. But what's crazy, I showed it, crypto fear and greed on that one. I've seen as low as six. It was saying 14 today. Stock fear and greed 5% off the all-time high is eight. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:09:01 I mean, this is absurdity just really amplifies the point you just made about how much uncertainty there is in markets. A lot of this having to do with non-existent job data, the government shutdown. There are a lot of exogenous factors right now that are obviously playing into markets. Yeah. And one thing, you know, look, we are also dealing with a macro political context where even if you love Trump, it is undeniable that any Trump administration is going to be wildly less predictable than any other type of administration. And markets don't like unpredictability. They like some of the things that come out of the politics, but unpredictability is a really hard environment. And so you just have right now unpredictability stacked on volatility, stacked on, you know, changing narratives, stacked on all these other things.
Starting point is 00:09:50 Also, as we talked about, you know, last week, I think, we're coming up on the end of the year and there is real seasonality in traditional markets that has nothing to do with four-year cycles. It just has to do with lock it in profits. You know, to your point, we 5% off all time highs, you know, fear at eight, fear and greed at eight, that's a pretty good time to be like, I'm going to eat it on the, on the, you know, the 5% that I could have cash in it in the streets, you know, buy the blood even if it's yours. I mean, we've been doing this for centuries in markets. And when you have this extreme fear, oversold conditions, all like historically, RSI, you know, has never gone this low in a sell off like this.
Starting point is 00:10:30 it's been lower. I mean, these are all generally bottom could be close type signals, but that bottom could be 75, right? I mean, that could happen in a day. This is Bitcoin. So nothing would surprise me at this point. I can tell you that having been here a lot of times, I'm very much in the camp of I'm buying everything I can get my hands on right now. I don't even have a portfolio tracker. The best part of the FTX collapse for me was a blockfolio went with it, and I never downloaded another one. So, and, you know, I've got, arch public running, buying the hell out of these dips, algorithmically bought a ton this morning. I'm loving it.
Starting point is 00:11:06 Like, I literally tweeted I'm more of a panic buyer than a panic seller. Yeah. Because none of this shakes my long-term conviction. And to be quite honest, if we get to a price where my long-term conviction starts to be shaken, that is the exact moment that I should sell the house to buy more Bitcoin because if I'm at that point, it's the bottom. Yeah. Yeah, absolutely.
Starting point is 00:11:24 Look, I think it is absolutely the case. if we're looking for sort of optimistic things here, that the free fall is way harder for the crypto and particularly the Bitcoin community, then honestly the landing is. The landing is when we all shake ourselves off and start buying like crazy. And remember that this is, this asset has the most profound and growing sort of base of people who will not sell at basically any price, who will, you know, do whatever they can to be able to start to scoop that up and build that floor when we haven't hit that floor it feels really hard because we just again it's just another leg down another leg down it's just especially if you're
Starting point is 00:12:05 you know kind of we're all terminally online and watching it once we get to wherever the bottom is it'll take us about five minutes to stop stressing about it and just start looking back in the other direction yeah let's move on to other things that are causing a bit of uncertainty we obviously have just in December rate cut odds spike from 27 to 70 percent in 24 hours after dovish fed comments Funny because when I went to open this, I thought it was going to be about how far the odds were down, because yesterday I was talking about 27% on the show and laughing that it had been 88% before. But seemingly now, depending on which Fed commentator or governor you listen to, which opinion you listen to, we have predictive markets literally all over the place as to the odds of a rate cut. And I do think whether it actually is fundamentally meaningful or not, this is the narrative that people are attaching their future. predictions on markets too. I've, I have never seen in any rate cutting cycle since I started paying attention, uh, you know, with the podcast. The, the, the mass swings in expectation that there are around this one, uh, which makes sense, right? You have a wildly divided fed.
Starting point is 00:13:15 You have, you know, uh, new new governors on there. You have the jockeying for Trump favor heading into, uh, you know, the Powell's term ending. There's just all of these reasons, uh, that, you know, sort of from a personnel perspective, then, of course, you have the complete lack of data that they're running with. You have all this is sort of intense political pressure. And it's just clear in markets. Markets are, they are so back and forth to your point around what they think is going to happen. And I do agree that in the absence of other potential headwinds, they are pinning a lot of hopes on this. I think, unfortunately, anyone who thinks that even if we do get another cut, it's going to be meaningful is going to be pretty disappointed. That's just, it hasn't,
Starting point is 00:13:55 the cuts have not done what markets wanted them to do in the immediate term from a price action standpoint at any point this year. All I had to do is listen to all the fiscal dominance homers. You know, Lin Alden, nothing stops this train. A lot of people, including us on this show, I've been screaming about it for a very long time that the Fed is largely neutered. That's not where the liquidity is going to come from. And every time they've cut, so far, rates have gone up. So the market has not believed the Fed twice. Why would they believe? them for another 25 bips in December. I do think, though, that right now the market needs psychologically to hang on to something
Starting point is 00:14:32 because it no longer can hang on to Nvidia earnings. You know, I mean, look, it tried, like, Nvidia had a bubble killing moment for about five minutes, and then the next day, it was just, yep, so it needs something. And so, listen, if markets want to hang on to that hope of a rate cut, even if it doesn't sort of materialize in the way that they want, I'm all for it. Yeah, I think people realize at first, they were like, NVIDIA, this is incredible that are going to save markets. And then I think a day later, they were like, damn, if we really need to count on NVIDIA to save markets, we're really screwed. And I think that a lot of people are realizing that we've been counting on NVIDIA to save markets for the last three years at this point.
Starting point is 00:15:10 Yeah, it's pretty crazy. Okay, so now we get into the Microstrategy FUD, J.P. Morgan Mourns of Microstrategy delisting risk for major equity indices. Funny, I was just reading stories a day or two ago about how it was a lay. up that micro strategy was going to be added to the S&P. And now we're talking about them being removed from the MSCI, potentially the cues, which they've recently been added to because the stock has performed so poorly, to put it in context. Micro Strategies, Bitcoin position is almost red. His cost basis is 74. We were at 80 this morning. So getting pretty close. Not that we haven't been here before. He was 50% underwater, I think, when it went from 30 to 17 or so.
Starting point is 00:15:50 So this is, as it says, 8% away from their position. Just 46 days ago, Microstrategy's Bitcoin position was up 70%. The stock is now down 70% from its record high. Can Saylor keep buying? I love that we were asking that question last week and he put in his biggest buy in months. Yeah. Yeah. Sailor finds ways to buy.
Starting point is 00:16:09 That's sort of the one thing you can set your clock by. Yeah. I mean, so what do you think of this? Is this a fud situation? Is this a, oh my gosh, this could really crash Bitcoin? and should we have been looking to micro strategies collapse this entire time as that leading tip of the spear, as I mentioned before? I think it's a useful bellwether to sort of see what markets are saying about this.
Starting point is 00:16:32 I would say that right now, this is a random single analyst note that has gotten amplified because of the broader narratives, right? J.P. Morgan said it. He came back from the grave, J.P. Morgan. This is the sort of the financial knowledge complex is, you know, again, random analyst says something in a note that has a logo on it. And it's really up to the market how much they want to grab onto that narrative and run with it right now. And so it's almost more interesting. It's the prediction itself or the warning itself is less interesting than how much it gets amplified by
Starting point is 00:17:08 other commentators, which is really sort of, I think, the tell around what markets are sinking right now. Yeah, I agree with that. And of course, you know, last week, did we talk about on this show, the Titanic sinking? No. So he obviously, you know, the Titanic sinking with him on the lifeboat. And clearly he was not talking about micro strategy and Bitcoin sinking, but there was some confusion. Well, now we get this one. Oh, my gosh. So like, we're just in the winter. Our boat is iced over. We're sitting on top of the iceberg. this time, at least, instead of sinking as a result of it. Again.
Starting point is 00:17:47 I feel like he's having a really good time, honestly. I mean, he's enjoying the release of Nano Banana Pro for sure. But look, go back, go back to that image. Michael, if you are listening, you need an AI image. You need an image consultant because look at these guys shooting daggers at him for leading them into this horrifying situation. Those guys are not planning to endure. They're planning to eat him.
Starting point is 00:18:12 They were about to eat him and use his sweater to bird a fire, man. I love this guy. I really do. But, man, like, I think it's not like he knows exactly what he's doing. This is trolling, like, the critics of the last one. You don't post another boat after all of the boat drama. But, yeah, yeah, those guys aren't, like, celebrating and coming up with a plan to help him get the boat off the island. No.
Starting point is 00:18:35 Oh, man. But he looks tough. He looks good. I mean, yeah, he's very AIable, it turns out. AI really like sailors face a lot. Yeah, I mean, they look accurate. You do my face and I look like some kind of weird alien. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:18:47 Maybe I just looks like some kind of weird alien. Anyways, crypto exchange crack and confidentially files for US IPO. So this is some bullish news, right? I mean, a $20 billion valuation here. Still clearly a thirst for public offerings of crypto infrastructure and exchanges in the market. Yeah. So my sense is funny because last week, they had the fundraise and they were very circumspect, they're like, we're not going to race to IPO or anything, and then five
Starting point is 00:19:16 minutes later that they filed this. But look, it makes sense. They missed this window this summer, the IPO window. And I think that they were smart enough to know that there was not a chance, so they weren't going to rush it, you know, with that. But what I think is happening now is I would not anticipate them going public into a bad market. I think that they are going to have everything ready so that the second there is a glimmer and it feels like that window opens up again, they can be the circle of this IPO cycle that sort of kicks things off or maybe it was the ETO or whatever, whichever one you want to choose, right? One of those very first that sort of signals to everyone that things are back up and running again. Look, they just raised
Starting point is 00:19:59 $800 million. They've got a healthy balance sheet. It's not like they have plenty of money to weather whatever comes next. They're just positioning it in my estimation for to be the first to move when it's the right time again. Yeah, I think that they know exactly what they're doing and they're not going to learn the lessons of Altcoin's past of launching directly into a bear market and hoping for the best. Yeah, I don't think that's the play. Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:20:26 You know what? I want to skip ahead. It's not the next story, but that's just too good of a segue to what's happening right now here. Monad, I see on Coinbase Fizzles 12 hours after launch. I mean, outside of maybe Mega-Eath and what was that one, bearer chain. But certainly for this year, Monad is the most hyped token launch of the year.
Starting point is 00:20:45 And then they got it on Coinbase as their first launch on that platform. There were some early interest, but they ended up not even being able to raise the total amount that they were looking for. So speaking of launching a all-coin sort of ICO right into the depths of a bear market, which to their credit, they couldn't have anticipated. They had to plan this. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I think there's a couple things going on here. The first is if you want to take the sort of bleary, bleary view, which I think is important in this case, retail is just there is no retail. It's just us chickens who've been here the whole time, you know, so we're just circulating money around and none of us have any goddamn money right now. So what do we expect, you know? So I think that that is meaningfully a part of it is that there wasn't, there wasn't a new set of excited Coinbase users that joined for the first time and, you know, monad, was part of their early experience in the way that, you know, Solana was a couple cycles ago or
Starting point is 00:21:41 whatever for some new newbies coming in. And so there was, you know, this is sort of feeling, I think, a lack of that base of new excitement and new capital. The other part, and this is more sort of me, you know, parroting other people's analysis that I thought was interesting is, you know, the corollary to that is that the people who are here maybe wouldn't want to do this in a coin-based way, right? Like, there may be a, a misalignment between the Coinbase ICO platform and the people who are still around who want to do token sales now. People may want to just buy directly and, you know what I mean?
Starting point is 00:22:18 It's a more sophisticated buyer that's still here. And so all the things that Coinbase does to make it easy come with a bunch of costs that that group of people doesn't want to have, you know, there's also questions of, you know, like the amount that was going to, through the ICO as opposed to the amount held by five percent. Yeah. Like there's all, all these. all these sort of structural questions. My instinct is that it's a combination of all these things. But look, you know, Coinbase, my strong prediction is that Coinbase is going to
Starting point is 00:22:46 persevere. They're going to keep pushing these things out. They're going to keep, you know, normalizing this and it'll be what it's going to be. If this was even like a month ago and there were some alt coins ripping and B&B, whenever that was, and BNB was up over a thousand and stuff, I think this would be very successful. I think these are constant reminders that if Bitcoin's down, nothing good is happening. Yeah. You can push as hard as you want. They could literally have Tupac and Biggie coming back from the dead to do a launch
Starting point is 00:23:17 concert from O'NAD and this thing would probably be falling flat right now in this market. Yeah. All right. So on to the next story here. Abu Dhabi Fund tripled Bitcoin bet in months before crypto cash. The Abu Dhabi Investment Council increased its holding in Black Rocks. I shares Bitcoin trustee's up to almost 8 million shares as of September 30th worth about 518 million at the time. We're going to need to adjust that number. But we do have sovereign wealth
Starting point is 00:23:44 funds buying Bitcoin. Look, there's still a lot like, you know, we're in sort of like the bleary part of the analysis cycle, but there's still tons and tons of tailwinds. And, you know, we got a couple different institutional buys. We got Harvard increasing their allotment. We got the Abu Dauvers Southern wealth fund. So, you know, I think that these, these players are playing a longer game. And, you know, this, this is not going to chase them off. Do you think that there are a lot of institutions out there, sovereign wealth funds, big walls of money that are just looking at the price action right now and salivating? Let me ask you guys a better question. Do you think there's more of them salivating or more
Starting point is 00:24:22 of them saying this was a scam and I'm out? I don't think any of them are saying this is a scam and I'm out. I don't think that that's, I think that we radically overestimate the amount that these guys think about us is sort of my feeling. And so the folks that are the advocates internally that have been pushing for it for a while, I do think that it is more likely, the competing forces that you're going to have are some sort of, you know, less extreme version of what you just described, where you're going to have some advocates internally who are saying, we've been waiting for a good entry price and is, you know, it's looking good now because, you know, their peers didn't want to get in
Starting point is 00:25:00 when it was, you know, 120,000 in nosebleed territory. I think that those folks are beating the drum right now saying, let's do this thing. But then there are others, you know, who don't want to get into Bitcoin, who think that, you know, who have never changed their feeling that it's a scam. And my guess is that there are those debates raging all over the place right now. And it's just a question of, you know, look, the companies that get over themselves and go with the folks who think that it's a good entry price, I think are going to be rewarded. Yeah, I agree with that 100%.
Starting point is 00:25:31 I think more likely they're going to be excited to buy at a much lower price than, let's say, all of the treasury companies who went all in at the dead top. Yeah, exactly. Man, what has happened? It's not one of our stories, but what is going to happen there? I mean, even the biggest ones, you know, like Ford Industries, I remember for Solana, which great. Didn't they buy all of it at 220, 2.30? Yeah. I mean, we'll find out.
Starting point is 00:25:58 With no dry powder to buy any more. Like, at least you can look at Michael Saylor and Tom Lee and say they're good enough at financial engineering to continue to buy the dip at better prices like you would want to as an individual. What we got was a bunch of treasury companies who felt like it was their mandate to have no cash on the balance sheet. So they just went all in. It was the worst time.
Starting point is 00:26:17 Yeah. I mean, you know, their future is going to be basically determined by how long, sustained and deep the drop is, and we'll see from there. But, you know, it's, it's, this is a, I think we mentioned this a couple shows ago. One of the things that makes crypto weird is that our startups fail in public because they're dealing with assets that everyone else can buy right away. And so startup themes that explode where you go from a hundred companies doing a thing to two winners, it all happens live in a much more vicious way, whereas sort of, you know, when you're, when you're talking about private, private companies in different startup sectors, they just sort of fade away.
Starting point is 00:26:56 And you just hear about them in a little people quietly change their LinkedIn's and move on with their lives. And then they resurface a year later doing something else. Very different for us. When we fail, we fail spectacularly and publicly. Yeah. And I guess this is the last story we had tagged for this. Rep Warren Davidson introduces the Bitcoin for America Act, which would allow basically Americans to pay their taxes in Bitcoin, which would be a budget neutral way, I guess, of adding to the strategic Bitcoin Reserve. I'm not sure if you can call it budget neutral as they are because that would be taxes that aren't coming in in dollars
Starting point is 00:27:29 that we need to fund the government. But hey, I'm here for it. And I think that, listen, we didn't even discuss them, but there's a lot of things that happened in the government this week. The SEC is saying that crypto is not even on their 2026 agenda list, SELIG or CLEG, you know, potentially being the Senate has to vote him in, but CFTC chairman. We know.
Starting point is 00:27:48 There's been a lot of things, right? And so I think this is just one more in a long line of pro-Bitcoin things happening in the United States government. Yep, absolutely. I mean, I think it's interesting that he chose now to release this. We'll see where it goes. You know, a lot of bills get introduced to just sort of shape the conversation. This has a little bit of the feel for that. But, you know, maybe he thinks there's momentum that we're not seeing.
Starting point is 00:28:10 Yeah. I don't think it passes, but I think it's great press. I think that the, you know, the actual strategic Bitcoin Reserve has to pass before we can. pass a bill that allows us to add to the strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Yes. Yes, indeed. That is, I think, the technical sequence that it would need to follow. Anything else exciting? I mean, should we start a polymarket on what boat-related theme Michael Saylor will mean next? I don't know. I think that at some point soon, we're going to start remembering that we're actually better at pain than other people are, and we'll start to feel better. For now, it's just kind of gloomy.
Starting point is 00:28:46 you know each each week it's been lower than the week before when we talked about it and it's never fun to be in that moment but you know Thanksgiving's coming the holidays are coming there'll be other things to compete for our attention hopefully and and we'll just to see where things go yeah at my old gym there was a big sign everybody knows the no pain no gain right but uh it was spelled at the gym k-n-o-w so know your pain yeah and then you can know your gain And I really like that because it really suits us exceptionally well because we've known the pain before and we know what comes next. I have extremely high conviction no matter how long we stay down or what's going to happen that eventually this will trade much, much higher. And I will be happy that I went ahead and bought.
Starting point is 00:29:31 The last thing I want to do is not buy it here because I'm waiting for 75, then it hits 77, then I buy it at 125. There you go. That is, that will be the true pain. I would much rather just go ahead and buy it here at 85 and call it today. All right, guys, that's how we got for you here on the Friday 5. Please check out NLW on X everywhere else, especially the breakdown because it is the best daily podcast that we have in this space. And everybody's cheat, cheat for what's going on the market, man. So thank you for that.
Starting point is 00:30:01 And I'll see you next week. Well, maybe not. I don't know. Thanksgiving. No, probably not. I'll have to talk about that. You're probably not going to see you guys next week. Thursday and Friday.
Starting point is 00:30:09 I'll be off. All right, man. See you see you. Matt. Today's video is sponsored by Rain Protocol, a decentralized platform for prediction markets where you can wager on future events without a central authority. It's built on arbitrum and supports markets for everything from major global news to niche topics.
Starting point is 00:30:25 The platform uses an automated market maker to dynamically adjust prices and maintain liquidity as participants place wagers, ensuring markets remain balanced and active. Anyone can create a market with a minimum of $10 in liquidity, choosing between public markets open to everyone or private ones that require a code to access. A standout feature is the resolution process. Public markets can be settled by Delphi, an AI oracle that draws consensus from multiple data sources for impartial decisions or by the market creator. If a participant disputes the result, they pose collateral. Point one percent of the market volume or up to $1,000, and the case escalates to human oracles for final review. Whether your forecasting events,
Starting point is 00:31:04 hedging risk, or creating incentives for specific outcomes, rain, offers transparent fees, no refunds on wagers, and a rain government's token with a buyback and burn mechanism tied to trading volume. Visit their site or click the link right below to explore Rain Protocol.

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