The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin Plunges Towards $100K As The Stock Sell Off Begins! More Pain Ahead?
Episode Date: November 4, 2025Bitcoin is sliding toward the $100,000 level as global stocks begin to turn over and risk sentiment weakens. The recent Fed rate cut, renewed trade tensions, and over $1 billion in crypto liquidations... have fueled volatility across markets. Analysts are watching closely to see whether this correction signals the start of a deeper pullback or a healthy reset before Bitcoin’s next leg higher.
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Bitcoin plunges towards a hundred thousand American dollars, a level that's been trading above for
many, many months. And this time, stocks seem to also be rolling over. Is this the beginning
of a bare market or is this a massive buying opportunity? If you take a look at the
fundamentals, they've never been stronger. You take a look at the news. It's never been
stronger. But we still remain here in extreme fear. I'm going to discuss it all with Tillman and
Andrew right now. Let's go. Good morning, esteemed milkers of the Wolfpack and welcome to the abysmal
bear market that will obviously last three to four years as the cycle continues into the
plunge. No, I'm just kidding.
I do not believe that we have actually reached the depths of a bear market, but judging by the comments on my tweets, you would think that we've been in the bear market here for years.
Usually to me, that's a pretty good signal that things are about to reverse.
There is a lot of depression and fear in the market.
I think probably a lot of that is because all coins look like stir-fried shit.
And we did have the worst liquidation event ever.
And now there's rumors that I'm going to remain as rumors that certain market makers might be blowing up and are being forced to sell and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
But here we are.
How many days, Andrew, roughly, above 100K?
175.
And just like every other dip, you know, there's panic in the streets.
And in the streets, I mean, I'm crypto Twitter.
All streets?
Yeah.
Yeah, it's as predictable as anything else, right?
Like, I'm seeing tweets that Sailor could be in trouble.
There are particular dangers that are having problems.
You know, sailors, you know, selling additional equity.
It's just, it's all the same stuff just recycled.
And it'll, this two shall pass, as it always does.
Oh, by the way, Black Rock just to launch.
launched its Bitcoin ETF in Australia.
So they don't seem to be affected.
They just move along as if.
So yeah, it is a typical, typical crypto Twitter narratives
where they're looking for the next catalyst to the downside
so they can somehow be right and point to a tweet
where they were right or reply guys can somehow
be vindicated finally.
So, yeah, it's all predictable.
All of us on this call have seen it, you know, a dozen times before over the last five to seven years.
Yeah, it's typical, typical of even the smallest down draft.
I think it's brilliant.
I think the market is extracting weak Bitcoin holders.
That's really what this is all about.
If you look at the amount of shorts that are open right now, it's insane.
I mean, it's billions and billions of dollars that are now piling in that we're going below
a hundred.
The narrative's been set.
Everybody knows what the market's going to do.
That's exactly what we were saying when it crested 126 this last time.
We're going to 135.
Everybody's bullish.
Everybody's 18 billion long, you know, margin, you know, positions.
that's exactly what's happening on the downside right now.
And to me, the thing to take notice is how good they are at getting us to believe the doom and the gloom.
You know what I mean?
It's like every single time they do something with the market one way or another, it's like we forgot what we own.
It's really, it's mind-boggling to me.
And I just think it's a way for them to create a sentiment that is very broad and very deep.
and that capital and the margin attached to it gets liquidated very quickly.
It wouldn't surprise me if we see a spike up before 100.
It wouldn't surprise me if it does what everyone thinks it won't do.
Because, you know, the guys like James Wynn and everybody on crypto Twitter is like, you know, we're going to 87.
We're going, you know, okay, well, we may.
But, you know, to think that you guys have a crystal ball, that's what you guys said when we were at 126 and you said we were going to 1.35.
I just look at this as a healthy consolidation.
And, you know, Scott, you pulled up a chart before we went on air about it touching its 50-day moving average.
I mean, looks like kind of text.
A week.
50 weeks, excuse me.
Yeah.
Yeah.
I mean, this is, so this is going to be my point.
So we're about to finally hit oversold on daily RSI.
It hasn't happened yet, but we've seen oversold on most timeframes.
We have extreme fear, to my knowledge, on fear and greed at what.
some would argue is the strongest support.
Now, something can't be support unless support is tested.
So you can't get Max Barish at support.
You can get Max Barish if we see a weekly close strongly below that blue line.
But as you can see here, we haven't been below it since, you know, April 23 broke above.
It's had three tests.
Every one of those has a wick dipping below it and then obviously closes the week back above.
Now, I will say on the bearish side, if you're scared, if you zoom back, every time the 50s lost, we touch the 200.
So every time 50's lost, comes back down.
That's at 55K.
I don't think anybody reasonably thinks we're going to 55K right now.
My two scenarios right now, you know, would be like either we bought them right here at this thing and shoot up or, which is what I want, because I'm running certain algorithms with certain company that I want to buy as cheap of Bitcoin as possible.
I won't name names.
I wouldn't want to shill.
Is that like we get a wick down below 100?
Because I think if we go below 100, even temporarily, that's going to send the fear and panic and it's all over sentiment into overdrive.
And then we bounce back, close above, and onward and upward and upward.
I picked up my daily RSI from the pharmacy yesterday.
Yeah.
And you're feeling much, feeling much better today.
No more itch.
Yeah.
So listen, it's all a, it's all a video game, right?
The same thing with broader markets, right?
It's the daily RSI for broader markets.
I think I saw a stat yesterday that after the close yesterday,
the NASDAQ had been up seven out of the last eight days, right?
But that particular one day that it was down,
there was all new narratives about we could be going down
and there's this reason and there's that reason and there's that reason.
But, you know, of course.
We volunteer after hours on the 10th of a day.
It went from like 200 to 220, close all the way down to 190.
I mean, it's pretty, pretty savage out there.
That was after hours.
Well, yeah, but they were trading at 90 times revenue.
I mean, this is.
Revenue.
Revenue.
So here's my, here's my favorite stat about, you know, trading at 90 times this or 50 times that.
I watched a clip of Tom Lee associated with, you know, where can quote unquote versions of a bubble go?
And back in the, you know, early 2000s, you know, Cisco was the biggest name in tech.
And at the time when we were, let's just call it the beginning of the bubble, Cisco was trading it 56 times, I don't know if it was earnings or revenue, whatever one it was, it was a big number, right?
back then that was a mind-blowing number but at the top about eight months later i believe it was
Cisco was trading at 210 times uh earnings right so it's it's the invidia example that i've used so
many times if you bought invidia when it was worth 500 billion dollars and then you sold it when
it was worth one trillion oops it's it's got five trillion dollars last week right so um
You know, prices are fickle.
Well, they're going to move around and it has much more to do with do things just mostly go up.
Yeah, they basically do.
Well, I always look at the open interests on the shorts and the longs and how much leverage is out there.
And these are pretty staggering numbers.
When we crashed major open interest on the short side rose, and we saw, we're seeing 20 to 25 billion.
dollars in shorts that could be squeezed at 115 right now so my bet the people who want
all that 20 billion dollars take the price to 115 that that would be my bet only because the
market doesn't do what we want it to do i've never had that happen it's i've never sat there and
been with a collective body of people like we are as you know crypto twitter and going
You know what? It's going to happen. And then it happens. No, it's always some knife in the back that the market gives you at the last moment that some political, some blah, something. You know, it just never works out the way that, you know, the whole group of, the everybody thinks it's going to. It's always counter to the everybody. And, you know, you've got to be an outlier to pick the direction. And I just, I think the money's too rich on. Oh, here's the other point.
check this out guess where all the open interests on the short side are guess how many the
cmee has how many billion dollars open interest shorts 1.9 billion not the dgen crowd not the
crypto crowd guess how many open interests are on finance 12.5 billion dollars of short open interest
so you're telling me that now that wall street has control of the reins that they're not
going to want to get that 12.5 billion dollars out of the hands of a bunch of de gens that
can't stop making ridiculous 500x leverage bets like this is this is easy pickings guys this is
like drop your nets there's a horde of shrimp under the boats you're going to catch more than
the boat can hold um you know 25 we've got 20 billion dollars on the line here I'd make that
trade if I could you know wouldn't y'all trip gumbo shrimp trio sandwich
I care with the shrimp.
Yeah, I mean, listen, you made the best point earlier, Tillman, which I think is important.
And we've been here long enough to be able to at least read sentiment.
Nothing's guaranteed.
But, like, when we were at 126, I went on Market Mavericks.
Of course, I was with the two gigabairs, Gareth and McLone.
But I said, we were at 126, and I said, we're going to probably range between 100 and
125 and not go straight to 135 because we were overbought.
There was mass euphoria.
We were heavy greed.
You'll just flip it.
Now we are at the strongest support, arguably, on the chart with extreme fear.
And we're back to oversold.
I mean, listen, we could go into a bare market.
What do I know?
Right?
And I'll still be buying down to 55K.
I will have liquidated everything I have to add it to Robin Hood so the arch public can continue buying for me.
So I don't care.
But like, it really does just feel like the opposing sentiment.
But meanwhile, you know, I thought that getting 20 billion liquidated was enough.
I mean, we're still hitting like a billion a day
it feels like and people just get liquidated.
Like how do you guys have money left to get heavily leveraged?
A lot of people taking small bets with huge leverage.
It just adds up.
It's the and it's the law of numbers.
It's the global economy is so large now.
And when you can connect so many people, think about it.
We're not just tapping into a liquidity pool.
It's domestic.
We're tapping into every DGN on the face of the earth.
that wants to hit the home run.
That's a lot of people.
I don't know how many people, but it's a lot of people.
It's enough to put together $20 billion of leverage short retail money.
That's an attractive reason to be a market maker.
It's an attractive reason to be a large whale in these smaller markets.
It's an attractive reason for Wall Street to get involved in this market.
It may be arguably the reason why we're all sitting here.
here praising Larry Fink and everybody else, because this is how the markets work.
It's kind of predictable.
One thing that isn't talked about enough is that one can make the case that
crypto exchanges actually have more participants than traditional markets overall in terms
of active accounts, right?
So when you've got, you know, 125 million at Coinbase, 75 million at OK.
you know 60 million at crackin 30 million at robin hood you're you're now collecting an enormous
amount of folks that are sort of predicated on the idea of degenerate type of trades um and leverage
trades right so so that type of trading that type of risk taking um is skewed heavily
uh into the crypto space as opposed to um the traditional space the traditional space the traditional
space is covered with hundreds of millions of people that put an extra $500 into their S&P 500
ETF every month and never talk about it, right? Very, very different than the crypto space
where we're talking about this and everybody understands it and everybody knows the what,
why and how and who that's doing this, right? Very, very, very different worlds. Did I just
from your basement or was that a car street? That was my daughter. Excuse me.
She's eight months old, and she's expressing herself.
Yeah, then I'm not going to make gimp jokes again because it was mild.
But we just hear a lot of sounds that seem to be coming from below your floor.
That's awesome.
It's right out there.
You would think that he lives in a two-bedroom apartment, but I promise you he doesn't.
But if you would think that, you would think, listen, out of 25 billion in open shorts,
20 billion of it are on Bibit and Binance.
Does that sound like Americans to you?
Or does that sound like a big world of money that has found?
That doesn't even know who CZ is apparently.
Yeah.
Come on.
There is.
So again, the point being, 99% of people that have invested in, you know, Bitwise's Bitcoin
ETF have never heard of Bipit.
they don't know it exists right absolutely right so um and probably a third to two thirds of them
have barely heard of or couldn't name finance right if somebody brought it up to oh yeah that that's
that other deal it's a crypto exchange um so that that's the dichotomy here associated with these worlds
that you have people that have allocated to the asset uh in a in a serious way and continue to bump up their
allocation, whereas you have this other grouping, and it's a huge amount of people that are doing
what Tillman's talking about on by bit and finance, right? And I didn't even mention finance when I was
talking about exchanges. There's, well, there's even a more nefarious thing that could be going on,
which is, you know, if you think about markets, right, there's a fulcrum in the middle. And if you
have to put a lot of money on one side of the leverage.
point to move the market. It's a very deep market, mature market. If you have to put a little bit
of money on the side of the scale to move a market, it's an immature market or a shallow market.
Well, if you've invited a bunch of the biggest finance people in the world to play in our market,
the crypto market, and they go, hmm, I wonder which one's going to give me more bang for my buck
in control, playing on Wall Street or playing on the unregulated foreign
spot exchanges. Which ones do you think they'd pick? Every day over here. Why? Because they can put a lot
less money to work and do a lot more things with it. And that's a, that's just, it may be a good sign,
but it also is going to be painful for retail because they engineer the price escalation to be
as painful as possible. By the time it gets to the top, the only people that are left are the people who,
Set it and forget it.
Yeah.
They just simply bought it and didn't sell it and turned off the TV in between because
they didn't get shaken out by some bad news that was forgettable an hour later.
I mean, I said this.
I've said this multiple times.
I had a conversation in Vegas with James Lavish.
We went out to dinner last Monday after the sailor thing.
He was like, man, this has been the weirdest cycle ever because he's like, even this time.
So in the cycles, you always see Alcoigne pain at some point.
Like, maybe they don't come back this time.
I have no idea.
Like, you know, all season could be a 2x from the bottom down 99%.
So now you're down 95%, yay.
Um, right?
And he'll be like, yay, 2x from the bottom.
But, uh, this time also most of the big Bitcoin believers tried to place bets outside
of simply buying spot Bitcoin with treasury companies and stuff and have lost a bunch
of money or underwater as well.
So there's not that many happy participants in this amazing bull market.
You know, like Bitcoin went up to 120.
and even some of the most ardent believers and stuff did things that they probably regret at this point
and aren't really massively up as much as they could have been well even if you were the most
conservative trader you added to your position at this point thus raising your cost basis and you know
you wish you hadn't but it doesn't matter it is that's what mark that well here's the point
you cannot direct pick the direction of the market if you think you can
more power to you, but I know if you could at a consistent level, you'd be the richest person
in the world. So, you know, the reason why you're not, I would suspect, is because you can't.
So it's not something that you should be picking a single point.
Scott, you said something at the very beginning that I think is the best approach.
It's like keep powder dry and take advantage of dips, not knowing that it's going to go up.
But you do know, so you can measure this dip.
on a relative basis to other dips.
And you can say this is an extreme dip.
This is a moderate dip.
This is a light dip.
You can range that from a like a velocity perspective.
And if you look at this dip from anyone's measurement tool, it's a massive, massive, volatile, violent dip.
So when you have over 20% from the top now, like in a more shallow, less volatile market in a range, that's a pretty
big dip.
Yeah, so then you ask yourself the question, am I wanting to pick up a little bit of extra on this anomaly?
Yeah, well, those are the times that you buy is on anomaly swings, things that move far from the mean on either side.
If it moves far from the mean on the top side, you should sell a little bit, take some profit.
I'm just glad I started with you guys at a top.
extremely like a lot of dips to buy and i could have just bought it all at 125 and i'd be sitting here waiting to see what happens we could dig into that i think more deeply obviously uh later but i mean yeah i i am very excitedly buying dips i told uh tillman right before i was like sometimes i'll just wake up in the morning and i don't even check the bitcoin price anymore i just opened my email to see how many of my alerts have or have not fired and when i don't get any i'm like god damn it i
That probably means the market went up.
Yeah.
Because I didn't buy anything, right?
And I'm like, damn, come on, you know?
And like, I really, I'm long term here.
I would so much rather be buying 103 than 125.
Well, and here's the beauty that you haven't experienced in this cycle yet.
But yes, we started here and the price has been going down and you've been accumulating along that, you know, price curve.
But when you start having the same type of spikes to the upside,
you start cashing those positions and your account can go from like very little cash in it to a lot of cash very, very quickly because the market is moving in that one direction very violently.
And those are, you know, that's the shaking event that if you're not, if you don't have tools to harvest that volatility, you should try to try to find some.
We have some, but more than just ours, you should look at it as a lost opportunity if you're not harvesting it.
A couple of moments to a little bit of RIP here.
Anybody remember the meme coin era?
Just wondering if we want to throw back to that time.
That's doing great now.
You know, that is completely, you know, forever dead.
And then the other thing to consider is the alt-coin world and where does it go?
you know in this moment where we're seeing you know again just massive moves to the downside for all
coins your comment about james lavish there's just blood in the streets with all coins and that
that seems to be what happens oftentimes in the cycle at the same time though there will be
those that survive and the reason why i say that is again seeing another headline this morning
and i think it was from your account scott that ubs just did a
you know, did a couple of transactions associated with chain link, right?
So while the price of some of these particular layer ones or layer twos will will find themselves
in deep drawdowns, the question is, are there, is something being built?
Is there be, are they being used somewhere?
And, you know, my, my thesis is, is they're being used more and more by the traditional
financial system, then we want to give them credit for in moments like this, right?
By the way, in the midst of all this, the Salada ETF has, I mean, we've seen some outflows
from Bitcoin, ETF's not a surprise, but Salon ETF has been the most successful ETF launch
of 2025 and still catching inflows even in this bear cycle. So there's obviously some all-coin
interests. It just might be structurally different than in the past because you can buy it in an
ATF. Sorry. Well, I think Andrew just said that he thinks this alt coin season will be predicated on
utility, which I hope it is. Listen, I think anybody that's been in the space for a long time has
through previous cycles shaking their head and kind of discussed as to how the stupidest coins
make the most money for people. I think that it is time for our market to mature. I mean,
the fact that Pepe and all of these crazy meme coins that you alluded to earlier, Andrew,
have been kind of internationally known as what we represent as the crypto space.
What if the next iteration is known as the key functional set of rails or transactional throughput
functionality of the next financial age?
If you get an alt coin that can catch any real use like that, what kind of mayhem should we see in terms of pricing?
I mean, that should draw everyone.
It harkens back to, you know, there were moments where before NVIDIA there was Broadcom, right?
So I remember watching CNBC and they would play this, you know, David Faber and Kramer would try and talk about Broadcom and it had gone up so violently
for like nine months that somebody in the background would just play somebody saying
fraudcom, fraudcom, fraudcom, fraudcom, right?
So that existed.
In other words, we'll get to a point where there will be a version of avalanche, avalanche, avalanche,
avalanche, avalanche, right?
That will happen.
It's just a question of can you emotionally process the way in which we get there, right?
because it's being used that you know cryptos like that that type of technology is being integrated
into systems right now in a alpha beta type of way and and we'll get there you know these organizations
they they want to get there because there's gold at the end of that rainbow not maybe completely
associated with the price of avalanche but certainly the adjustment to the way financial
system work and more revenue, right?
Why?
I'm just going to stay back to every time Andrew talks now.
I'm just avalanche.
Avalanche.
Have a bench.
Hey, did you see that someone is launching a flare ETF?
Did you see that?
Scott, you spoke with Hugo.
That's very shocking.
I let Hugo.
He's smart.
It's funny, I accidentally, well, I mean,
It's never an accent because I guess you should learn your lesson, know, it's happening.
But I triggered the XRP, you know, army of late by asking about the value of the token, God forbid, which by the way, whether you hate me or my opinion that you think I have on XRP, which is not negative, it sparked like the most constructive conversation I've ever seen about token utility between Joel Katz, aka David Schwartz, CTO of Ripple and everyone else.
He really got in the trenches and explained it and broke it down.
So you're welcome.
Wait.
But like Hugo and I were having a very long, you know, series of DMs, which I could never share.
But let me just say that, like, I brought out a lot of very large people in the Ripville community to have very private, like, conversations with me.
And everyone agrees that it's Lindy effects and speculation for any all coin.
That's not unique to XRP.
Like, nobody right now can say that my coin is trading at a valuation that is in line with the revelations.
that is in line with the revenue.
I couldn't agree more.
Anyone, right?
So listen, with XRP
and they made it very clear,
people think that the community
over and over again,
you don't understand XRP.
How can you not understand it
after all these years
your engagement baiting?
I understand what Ripple does,
as I said.
What I can't get to
is the current valuation
of XRP based on the usage,
but that's true of most tokens.
That's true.
XRP, the token.
Yeah. Like if banks adopt a decentralized platform to convert different currencies and tokens quickly across the border, it will be incredible. But they're like they're saying, you know, listen, they created a token, which is great. They use that token to fund multi-billion dollars in acquisitions, which could build the decentralized system of the future. That is factually what happened. You can take any opinion you want on it. But now, like every time,
token, it's time to your point tellment to deliver.
We'd want to now is the time to see the utility be the reason that token prices rise.
That is not going to them.
Every token.
It applies to Solana, applies to Ethereum.
It applies to certainly like chain link.
We just showed the chain link news.
And every time we talk about link, Dave Weisberger comes on and says, okay, chain links doing
awesome things.
How does that value accretive to link holders?
These are the questions we need to answer in crypto.
These are the clips that you need to play on.
repeat for crypto Twitter. No, because if I flip that, I'm going to literally get raped, beaten,
and abused in the comments and maybe in my... Well, no, but it's truth. And the reality is,
is that the tribalism that we carry in from the crypto past into this new future is foolish.
And it makes us look like fools, in my opinion. And I think that XRP has a tremendous
opportunity to be a widely used coin. I was a big XRP. People.
believer back in the day, but I lost faith in what everyone believed in as the utility or the
true purpose, which was cross-border payments. When stable coins were born, that killed that to me.
Why? Well, because anything that doesn't have par value is an inferior settlement layer to anything
that does have par value. Like, check on grok if you don't believe me. So the argument there that
Katz made and others was that, hey, it's so super fast that like the volatility would be
irrelevant. You still have to hold it over enough. They would want decentralized systems to do it.
And so I'm just kind of care. But here's the point. My argument was, yes, stable coins. And
listen, stable coins may not be decentralized or the best. And I think we all agree we would love
a decentralized future, whatever that's on. But like, it's good enough that most people are
adopting them. And that's fascinating. I would agree. I was putting in arguments. And I was like,
I have to stop. People were like, hey, so how are you?
you okay well how are you going to send those stable coins cross border literally people were saying
that so i was like i literally send stable coins cross border like what are we talking you guys really
believe that without like some bridge token i can't send a stable coin to someone in in europe
yeah it's uh it's difficult and i'm not this is like i'm not you guys interrupted me didn't
even let me finish my main point okay i'm sorry my main point here is that ripple has readjusted
even though some of their followers have not.
What do I mean by that?
Well, they bought an exchange.
Hidden Roads a big opportunity for them, massive opportunity for them.
And if they become a bank that is also an exchange that offers tokenized, you know, stocks and every crypto,
and they use XRP and their new stable coin as settlement layers inside of their own exchange
and depth of liquidity for settlement, you know, to be the market.
maker essentially. All of those things could make them a legitimate competitor on the horizon of
new future banking. And if I heard XRP people saying, yeah, we believe that narrative, I'd be
more of a believer. But baby, they're still on the 589. We're taking over, you know, the SWIFT network.
And it's just to me, it's like, you guys went to the XRP conference. You guys are a huge
XRPers.
Listen, I love the technology.
I don't think there's almost a better
technology for some applications
than XRP, truthfully.
But, you know, who cares
about tech? We're all about the...
Edger's got the bag of going to get the base for it again.
Sloth is...
Sloth does not like the
all-point talk that we're doing right now.
Do you have Brad Garlinghouse?
You're like, is he mad about this?
everybody you guys are going to get me in so much trouble i shouldn't have brought it up i was like
i was on like a media blackout of talking about it but you know you brought up to you go and i think
they're brilliant you know and listen one of the people who actually santiago who was like
making very like very decent points about xrp and very honest about like why he was betting on it
because he saw it as a bet on what would happen in the future he literally went on to like
write a tweet that was like i would actually but if you're going to bet on one or the
too, I'd bet on flare.
You know, like, so there were, there were people that said that in there as well.
By the way, in case you guys aren't watching, we're right there on that 50MA.
Yeah, I mean, now we have not yet.
We're bearish.
Look at that chart.
We're bearish.
We're bearish right now, and we're retesting, basically, the support that we have now built.
Ooh, look at it.
So close.
Just circling, circling.
Look how much convincing volumes there, too.
huge. Exactly. It's the weekly, so I guess we'll see how it pans out. By the way, the predictive
markets are saying 78% chance of Bitcoin falling below 100K. Well, there's $25 billion out there that says
that. I mean, you might be able to make that bet. Will Bitcoin dip below 100K before this stream is over?
Yeah, so right now it's definitely possible. So what have we got? 930.
I just want to show you, by the way, I don't know where we're at now, but I did wake up this morning to sloth banging on the walls of the basement, but also to a few sweet, sweet, sweet buys. Look at that Ethereum buy. We got at the bottom. To be fair, we've been averaging down, you know. And Salana, we bought there right at the bottom. To be fair, we've been averaging doubts. Now my account is down about, is down about six and a half percent. Last week, I was celebrating, and it's not my metric. And I said that, that, you know, we were,
but we're at like 116k but i've lowered my cost basis now dramatically on everything we've got
bitcoin and remember i spazzed and bought everything at the beginning but i'm looking we got bitcoin
cost basis down uh to about 112 uh and i bought most of it at 125 uh we've got salana cost
basis down to about 179. It's currently at 159. We've got Eiff down to about 37-48.
What you're looking at? Pretty happy. Pretty happy because my goal is not to buy the bottom is to
average down, believing that one day we will go up. Man, I am really happy. This is, I'm going to
be honest, this is wildly out executing me because I would have market bought every time, personally.
Well, and the main thing, if you're looking at that chart for the first time,
to take away from it is all of your buys happen on big red candles or big down candles
and all your sales happen on big up candles or big green candles. And the reason why that exists
is because it's harvesting the short-term volatility of the market. Those are all anomaly moves to
either of the upside of the downside. And you should be taking advantage of that. If you don't have a
tool to take advantage of it, ours is free to use and you're welcome to go download it and get this
exact setup that Scott has rolling and you can see for yourself. But let's just say what this
really is knowledge glory in case people are wondering. I am not at all busy buying stuff.
No. It's all automatic. And it's taking advantage of times in the market where you're seeing
anomaly moves. And when you do that consistently over time with a measured approach, you can't be
wrong because what your objective is at the very beginning you told us, I want to accumulate.
a large position in these, you know, I don't know what you stuff.
You can't help them in crypto.
And so if you're looking at accumulation, yeah, how do you accumulate?
Well, you buy on the dips and you sell on the rips.
So with this strategy, just so people are clear, the way that we have it set up.
So obviously, there's 12 different ways that I'm buying and selling things generally.
But if you look at my portfolio where we're currently at, I own basically twice as much
Bitcoin as I own Ethereum and Solana combined.
Yeah.
So just so people are understanding kind of the ratios and Ethereum and Solana have been
actively buying and selling, earning the yield, buying Bitcoin back.
So most of the profits from those has gone back into Bitcoin for now.
And I'm currently not trying to sell Bitcoin, but we could do that actually and
probably outperform.
But I'm just trying to accumulate the position first, like I said, you know, because like
I've got, yeah, I mean, I'm up to one Bitcoin, right?
Yeah, you make money, you yield on volatility from cryptos that move more than Bitcoin.
And then, you know, I think everybody, you know, that looks at Bitcoin, looks at it as kind of a savings account.
And so you're right. You shouldn't trade that as much.
You should lose, you're not harvesting as much volatility as you are in the other one.
so there's not as much opportunity.
And you really don't want to ever be short Bitcoin or light Bitcoin if you're still
a gigable, which I think most people are at this price.
And by the way, I see people asking, and one of them's on Twitter so we can't respond to it.
But like, do we request the Scott Malker special when we sign up?
That sounds so weird.
Yeah, you can.
I'm married.
We have a lot of people doing that, actually.
But to be clear, the Scott Malker special took some Scott.
Melker tweaking and learning curve like it will with anyone else because as much as I would love
them to, these guys will not go into your trading view and set these things for you. I had to do
it myself. They are not your financial advisors. So I still had to learn. Well, let's talk about that.
And tweak and do it myself because they can't just, well, you could probably, we could probably
give you exactly what I have now. But it won't match your.
expectations. Here's the point that, yeah, Scott's making. Every person has this expectation,
whether you are cognitive of it or not. And so when you're building these strategies,
you can build, look how many strategies Scott's running. He's running like 12. By removing four of
them, you materially change the outcome, right? Or if you removed half of them, or if you lowered
the capital amounts that are being allocated to specific ones, it's a very, very, very, you
unique outcome that you can craft with this toolbox. So here's the point. You come in, you use the
free tool. You start playing with it. You talk to all of our customer service reps. They will literally
walk you through setup and get you trading. Once you get your arms around that, you're going to have
a revised expectation. You're going to reach back out to our customer service. They're going to help
you set up your new expectations. Even after that, it's going to continue to, you're going to
want to tweak it over the first 90 days, let's call it, of using it. And we're going to be
right there with you every step of the way. You wanted to do and I told you, your team wanted to do
and I told you so on me at the beginning so bad. They did. No, we got to accumulate everything right
now. This was me, by the way, because it was like a, you know, it was like a two-week gap getting
set up. And I think we saw the market go from like 11 to 120 to the all-time high. Yeah. Right. And
I was like, we could have been buying this whole $10,000.
Oh, you were serious FOMO in.
And I was like, but I think we're going to go down, but I want to start now.
So let me just get a position in case.
And so it's obviously has like, it won't matter at all long term.
But like your team was like, chill, bro.
We got this.
And I was like, buy.
We got to get 50% of this money right now.
I will add.
So just so we step back a little bit, we've talked a lot on this podcast about the fact
that there are folks that are waiting for the cascade of leveraged positions to be washed out
so they can gather the assets that are washed out at the institutional level. Guess what those
institutions are doing and guess what kind of tools they're using to do that. You're looking
at it, right? They're not using leveraged positions. They're just waiting for certain price
points to hit and then they gobble up what's available at those certain price points with zero
emotions right this has been happening in traditional markets for let's call it 40 years it doesn't happen
in crypto until now and crypto markets are just the wild wild west and if you're able to use
discipline tools and discipline thinking associated with those tools the way that you benefit is far
beyond 99% of the rest of retail and institutional on the crypto side.
You can't, you know, I look at that Salamah chart that you had pulled up.
All right.
And now I'm literally here charting shit while you're talking.
And I just realized that Bitcoin just swept that low, like beautifully, if that holds above
there.
Yeah.
Yeah.
So that, you know, those last three buys on Salana, I mean, that just looks like art,
to be honest.
because there's no way emotionally that you can pull that off a buy on a huge, you know, candle
down. Another buy on a meaningful candle down. Another buy near the lows on a huge...
I should be clear also. Like, I chose to run a six-hour strategy to get it more active. If you ran
the daily, you have sold everything that you had bought at a profit. If you were just running the
daily. Yes, you bought at
184, but then you just bought at
165 or at 162.
So there's only been two buys where you basically
unloaded all of those
longs in profit. I mean, look, when again,
the entire... But for
most people, the daily maybe smooths away
a little more of the insanity than I'm going for.
Again, it's what your expectations
are. We have people calling us.
We have, you know, over 10,000 customers.
We have people that call us and say...
This is art. They just
going, this is a pet rock. It
doesn't do anything. I want more action. And we go, oh, okay, well, let's, you want the Scott
Melker, you want 12 things. So literally, you can race this car as fast as you want to drive it and
have as many instances, you know, firing every day as you want, or you can run it as slow
and methodically and as prudent as possible as you desire. It's completely up to you. That's the,
that's the whole point. It's user driven. In the, in the analogy expands itself. You can run six
different cars at six different MP8 on any given day and get, you know, different types of
results. But the bottom line is here, if you're not using these tools, you are, you're twisting
in the wind, right? You're twisting, like right now, everybody on crypto Twitter is saying,
we're going lower. So can you emotionally hit, I'm going to buy Solana at whatever it is right now,
160 something when everybody thinks it's going to 140 or 120 no you can't it's it no you can't but our tool
will i am going to be honest though i would personally like given the opportunity i i would be smashed
buying here with it without you this time you're an addict you cannot predict the market
look at it no one can predict the market oh it went below
Look at that. Look at that. Look at that.
We did it.
Oh, wait.
1.3.
I mean, I need to take another dose of my daily RSI right now just to deal with that price.
You need to go down and unlock sloth and give them a baby roof because we've heard that banging again all day.
By the way, they're on their way upstairs.
There's a small project they've got to do in the laundry space.
So sloth is on his way up here at about 50.
Yeah.
They're putting in Andrew's red room behind the, uh,
But I had a trap door behind the washer.
Are you planning completion, you know, to be finished right around Trump's ballroom?
Is that the, yeah, yeah, that's the timeline.
Yeah, except for years is sponsored by Archpublic.
So it's going to have huge Archpublic logos instead of the huge Coinbase logos that are going to be all over the White House.
Wouldn't it be awesome if they started selling sponsorship like space on the front of the White House to crypto companies?
Like, this pillar is sponsored by cracking.
Oh, look at that mouse.
it look at it in all its glory we're back above 104 one below 103 there it is why are you
tempting it to be a head fake stop talking to it you leave it i want it lower it's gonna i need the one
this is what i need i need the intersection of the six hour and twelve hour candles right i need
both of those to close on one huge dip before the wick so i want to close at the dead bottom at those
moments and then boing and we buy the dead bottom and we've done that man where we got the
six in the 12 hour clothes and i doubled down on all three those of you that aren't arch
public customers yet you are literally watching in real time what it's like to become an arch
public user you're like wait if this out goes as this and this at the same time like i can't
wait to get the email i hope it happens truthfully to your point though if you're running a lot of
goes and you have a violent dip down that creates a lot of buying opportunities and then you
have a violent bounce up that creates a lot of selling opportunities and profit you can in a
very short period of time harvest a tremendous amount of volatility as if you had an up a directional
move you know up to 145 because that's that's how much price potential there is in those swings
i just want it more down listen i i get it like people it's very painful let me just like to zoom out for
people like it's very painful to see your portfolio go down sure but you have to ask yourself the
same way you do with all of these strategies like what was your intention when you bought all of this
stuff was it to immediately sell it in profit because you probably had a chance to do that and
didn't so if you're being realistic with yourself if you're just accumulating low is better than
high like i am not selling this stuff i made some money that i wanted to put into bitcoin and i'm doing
better right now doing it like this than I would have with my own strategy. So that's a win.
Yeah. That's it. And I'm not, I don't want to sell it. I want to buy a bunch of stuff. That's it.
Well, and the fact that you're even seeing benefit this early is, is just telling how volatile the market is,
because this is a set it and forget it type of a strategy where you want to end up a year from now.
Here, here's how I look at setting the tools as kind of a beginner. How many Bitcoin do I want to own one
year from now. Oh, I want to own this many. Okay. How much do I want to trade between now and then
and what percentage of my portfolio do I have allocated right now? So this is like a very
robust reallocation tool. So if you own 0% Bitcoin and you want to get to 11% Bitcoin of
your tradable cash, then you can fine-tune strategies to get you to that number. And then you can
change them once you're there to do sideways trading and do more accumulation on profits, not
so much new capital placement. But if you're at 11% placement and you want to get to 50% placement,
you can schedule that. If you're at 75, 90% placement and you want to take some off the table,
you can schedule that. And it's not just one strategy that's scheduling it. It's a lot of different
strategies that are on different time periods so that you, if you're really aggressive,
you can accomplish those goals very quickly because the volatility is happening at some
level, right? If you can't get a 4% swing on a one-day candle to close so it wouldn't
trigger a buy, then you could get a 4% swing on a one-week candle and it closed. That's a much
more probable event. So if you want to increase your probability of taking more frequent
trades, you just reduce the time, you know, you reduce the amount of movement that you're having
to incur and you expand the time frame that you're allowing it to incur in. So if you really wanted
to be super aggressive, you could say, I want to trade four-hour candles, and I want to trade
one percent movements on four-hour candles. You could do that. And you'd see trades happening
all the time, right? There are people every time in the comments, and I get it, who are not
happy. I love you. You went back to content. I just love your podcast. I'll just seem like an
infomercial. Tuesdays, I hang out with my friends, Andrew and Tillman, and talk about a thing I really
believe in that I have an equity holder in and deeply think we'll help you. Every other day,
we don't. You know? And my Sunday podcast are exactly the same as they always were if you want
the recorded stuff. We got something for everyone. This on Tuesdays, we do like, you know, 30 minutes
of the real stuff. And then we talk about this because I think it's going to help you. I watch the
people on Twitter. I watch the people in the comments. People are spasic. They make horrible decisions.
This thing makes good decisions. Well, we also have. If you're here, you want to own Bitcoin. I'm
assuming nobody watches my show because they want to know about the next meme coin there's other
channels for that every one of my title says bitcoin something there's a lot of customers that
have signed up over the last year and a half that have been listening to you i mean a lot um and
they love hearing about it and they do because they love the tools so you know if if you feel left
out of the conversation try our tools for free and you won't feel left out of that conversation
they're available right now.
Listen, I get it.
It's a bit infomercially because we're three guys who love this thing
and are talking about it, right?
So it is what it is.
We do spend the first 35 minutes talking about all sorts of other things
that have nothing to do with our...
Yeah, mostly Larry Fink all the time because you're so obsessed with the guy.
I mean, there is such thing as a fink kink.
It exists.
It's okay.
I embrace it.
I'm all right.
It's horrible.
I've not heard that one yet.
Hey, guys, really quick.
What do you think of this, though?
Tom Lee, he's still in the arena.
like yesterday we're like dropping and tom lee's on tv like yeah 150 to 200 eat at 7 000 by
your end do you know what we're going to be talking about on the back half of this show if
bitcoin's at 200k it eats at 7000 55 days for now you think i'm annoying now guys i'll tell you what
i think about tom lee he's a fellow pudgy penguin yeah let's go on pudgy binglin when did you
become a pudgy? Literally, I bought one because of Tom. I saw him. And it's got a scarf for the
Colorado guys. Yeah, I'm in cold weather. I'm cool. I have my glasses upside down. That makes
that. That's probably a rare trait that gives it extra value. So again, to state my age with an example,
I was around when the briefcase indicator was a thing on CNBC with the Fed chairman at the time, right? So
they would watch before the thing he'd walk in and was his briefcase larger was it smaller what was
a briefcase indicator i think we need to have a hair scale indicator for tom lee right so tom lee's
quaff is absolutely legendary i'm very very jealous there are moments where it's like this there are
moments where it's like this right so there needs to be a tom lee hair indicator i think i think
i have been really right a lot more than wrong for a very long time before crypto before fun strat even
when where was he goldman jp morgan what where is he and yeah he was a j p morgan guy for a
jp morgan yeah he's an older listen to him when he was just like a jp morgan guy who was
getting shit right wait so should we tell him that should we should we should we tweet that out
tom lee is an older jeff park yeah maybe we should say jeff park is a younger tom lee
listen age is is a beautiful thing there's there's wisdom in age
I mean, Brad Pitt is just an older Scott Malker.
I mean, if we're, if we're going to do it that way,
let's fucking go for it.
Sloth is just an older Scott Malker, unfortunately.
That's right.
That is. We can all see where we're, where we're heading.
But yeah, I mean, he remains like gigable and is relentless, unrelenting.
No.
He's a genius.
I think he's up there with the best of them, honestly.
He is.
And I'm going to just appreciate that he can go in the line
fire and just bull post relentlessly it doesn't matter what's saying and by the way it owns like
3% of all the Ethereum on the planet now in a matter of months which I find interesting but you
guys can check this out obviously at archpublic.com right here ask for this Scott Melker um sorry if you
get it um and still don't know what it means but I know that like if my wife watches this show
she's like what are you talking about don't offer them that it's weird um
We also have a real estate fund that has...
We can keep going past 10. Go ahead.
We've launched a fund with Archpublic and some of our partners that's focused on Bitcoin
accumulation. We're trying to coin a new phrase instead of Bitcoin Treasury Company,
which, you know, borrows money to buy Bitcoin. We're going to be accumulating positive
cash flowing, highly scalable businesses, and then dedicating a large portion of
their net operating income to purchasing Bitcoin.
So it's going to be a really unique vehicle.
It's tax advantaged based upon the big, beautiful bill.
And if you are an accredited investor, go to our website, click, get started, and set up a meeting with us.
We'd love to talk to you.
Accredited investors only.
Is that you?
The guys in Andrews basement are accredited investors.
They're trying to get up.
He's getting them down there.
He's so excited.
He's keeping them down there in the accredited investor sweatshop.
That's right. That's the line to get in the board to become accredited that they can come
upstairs in the laundry room where they can invest in the fund.
Listen, is anyone that's in crypto really accredited or?
That's why they should have an intelligence test and not a money.
There you go. There you go.
How many meme coins you own? Not accredited, but I'm worth a billion dollars.
Sorry.
Sorry. It just doesn't make that way. All right, guys. That is all we got.
Hey, by the way, when we were talking about revenue, because I'm a distracted person,
I'm going to, by the way, I'm not going to be able to monetize this stream now,
which probably cost me a few hundred bucks or something.
But Richard, one potential.
Wait, wait, one second, let's do this, because it's the greatest maybe seen in all.
Richard, one potential issue.
Our hosting fees could become a challenge as we scale.
Right.
But we can offset a lot of that once we get a few customers and start a subscription revenue model.
What?
No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no revenue.
I'll call you back.
What?
Why would you go after revenue?
Because to make money?
No.
No.
If you show revenue, people will ask how much and it will never be enough.
The company that was the 100 X or the 1,000 X or becomes the 2x dog.
But if you have no revenue, you can say you're pre-revenue.
You're a potential pure play.
It's not about how much you earn.
It's about what you're worth.
And who's worth the most?
Companies that lose money.
Amazon has lost money every fucking quarter of money.
money every fucking quarter for the last 20 fucking years
and that Bezos motherfucker is the king.
The king. There's no revenue. No one wants to see revenue.
No.
Oh, uh, I just, I just thought
that mainly the goal of companies
is to make money. Yeah, no, no, no,
that's not how it works. I don't want to make a little bit
of money. Every day, I want to make a
fuck ton of money all at once.
R-O-I.
R-O-I.
RSI. You know what that stands for?
Return on investment.
Nope.
Radio.
on the internet.
And by the way,
my card goes like this.
Not like this.
Like this.
Trace.
Trace commas.
Erlick Bachman,
T.J. Miller is a huge Bitcoin crypto guy.
Yeah.
He actually has spoken at the last couple of Bitcoin conferences.
And he is,
I hug out with him one night at the Bitcoin conference in Vegas at a Gemini party.
And he is absolutely the most hilarious human being you could ever hope.
to like share 20 minutes with at a room is so funny guy is amazing yes i name dropped but it
happened it was in a bitcoin there oh my god we're done guys are we good we're done arch public
arch public infomercial like uh what are the other infomercial we get you buy a slap chop
sit yourself a snuggy and uh sign up i have a knife that will cut through a shoe there's lots
oh get two knives those are good those are hot all right next week uh we're going to talk about
of our favorite infomercials.
Bye, everyone.
See you later.
Let's sloth out of the basement, dude.
