The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin & Saylor Take On JPMorgan! What This Actually Means...
Episode Date: November 25, 2025Banks are now sitting on more than $300 billion in unrealized losses, raising fresh concerns about balance-sheet stability just as another major economic data release was suddenly canceled, adding fue...l to fears that policymakers may be hiding deeper cracks in the system. Liquidity stress is building, bond portfolios are bleeding, and confidence in the traditional banking sector is sliding fast. With warning signs flashing across the economy, Bitcoin is showing unusual hesitancy—hovering quietly as markets brace for what could be a much larger shock. Is Bitcoin signaling trouble ahead… or preparing for a major macro breakout as the banking system strains under mounting pressure?
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There's a battle brewing between J.P. Morgan and the Fed and central banks and Bitcoin,
Michael Saylor, and potentially the Treasury. Is this just a narrative or just something that's
actually happened? Well, we do have evidence that J.P. Morgan continues to debank crypto
companies, even as they dive in deeper into the industry. We're going to unpack this,
everything else that's happening in the market. And of course, talk about the epic trades
on Archpublic with Andrew and Tillman. Let's go.
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the show.
I'm going to go ahead and bring on Andrew at Tillman disappeared.
That's not good.
We had an Andrew and Atalman,
and now we've just had an Andrew,
but I'm assuming that Tillman will reappear
unless, you know, I'm here in
on remote internet, my internet's crap,
so you never know what's going on here.
My kids could run by at any given moment behind.
But as I said, even though it's kind of the holidays here,
you just want to show up when you can
and talk about these things.
So you and I can start to dig in, obviously.
I mean, I think the big story of the day,
obviously, is this whole J.P. Morgan
controversy, I guess, so I can go home and bring up this one.
We have J.P. Morgan faces heavy,
backlash from Grant Cardone, Jack Muller's Max Kaiser, other Bitcoin advocate. So Grant
Cardone, I think he answered his account was like $20 million, took that out of J.P. Morgan.
The bigger story, though, with Jack Muller's being debanked, right? So Jack Mullers has forcibly been
removed from J.P. Morgan. We don't know if that means just him or strike, but I know he went
on to say his dad was, you know, a private banking client for decades. And here we are. So
this has led to this endless controversy about whether
J.B. Morgan is forcibly attacking Bitcoin, certainly micro strategy.
Andrew, you're my like, you're on the streets when it comes to a, you know, controversy corner here,
or shall we call a conspiracy corner?
Yeah, there's a couple things to kind of walk through.
The whole micro strategy versus J.P. Morgan thing is interesting for a couple reasons.
J.P. Morgan is an absolute force when it comes to public markets.
Not only do they swim in the deepest pools, but at the same time, they carry a lot of weight when it comes to the market's kind of public opinion, right?
So when they weigh in to the likes of micro strategy associated with, should they be listed here, should they be listed here, should they be delisted, that is a huge, huge, huge red flag and is problematic in the short term.
And my best guess is that Michael Saylor and the strategy team, while there may be public comments about it, they're scrambling privately to make sure that this particular move, wherever it's coming from and why at JP Morgan is being buttoned up and will go away at some point.
whatever you think about, you know, Bitcoin at large and then Micro Strategies position as it relates to Bitcoin and Sailor's position as it relates to Bitcoin, you know, this type of activity associated with Microstrategy, because it's associated with Bitcoin is not a good thing. This type of fight is not a good thing. And so just philosophically, what we're dealing with here is a Tradify.
versus not trad fide triad five versus crypto fight um and the other thing that i'll add is that you know there's
been a lot of commentary in the crypto twitter space that o jp morgan is short uh micros that i'm not buying
at all by no no that that's that's not a version of it jp morgan doesn't have this massive hedge fund
down in the basement of their building that is you know short whatever versions of it's just it's just it's just not
the truth of it.
So there is a, there's something structural that's, that's going on here that needs to be kept
a very, very sharp eye on.
But I do know that, you know, Michael Saylor and his team and the guys at strategy are
hammered away at this tooth and nail, finding a way to make this go away.
Like, these rumors should just stop.
I don't know if you saw this one.
Yeah, I don't know if you saw this one, just to jump in.
J.B. Morgan accused of manufacturing October.
10th crash using 42-day-old document. I hadn't even seen this until I was literally looking
for more information while you were talking because on Yahoo Finance, of course, it's syndicated
from God knows where, but basically saying that that MSCI delisting document that everyone's been
talking about, right, saying that if micro strategy gets delisted from MSCI, that would be $9 billion
of selling pressure, by the way, not even that much. But and that kind of manufactured this crash,
well apparently that document i just read in this article was like six had been public for 42 days
and jp morgan published it coincidentally on the day that we kind of saw the big the big crash
we're right ahead of it so the accusation that this is manufactured is once again listen i don't
really pander any conspiracy show me the proof but uh yes but at the end of the day this is not
tradfai versus crypto in my opinion this is tradfai versus tradfi these are just pieces of paper and
this is just the game that's been that always has been played with everything.
Micro Strategy just, I think, has some unique characteristics to it that pose specific
opportunities and specific risks to specific markets.
And it does not shock me at all that this is taking place.
In fact, it's a welcome to the big leagues.
Like, this is a welcome party for us.
This means that we're on the radar of J.P. Morgan.
And strategy has now catapulted themselves, you know,
to the final boss, if you will.
That to me is a great sign, but think about it.
What does it have to do with Bitcoin?
It has nothing to do with Bitcoin.
Bitcoin doesn't know either of those companies exist,
nor will they ever know that those companies exist.
And if we have a short-term price crash
based upon thud that JP Morgan drums up
from the bottom of the barrel, great.
That's just a great buying opportunity for all of us
who know what we own.
And at the end of the day, it doesn't change.
It only actually makes our average price go down.
These types of new stories.
You're an important point, though, as it relates to what J.P. Morgan may or may not be doing
and being a bad guy in this situation.
So J.P. Morgan is feeling pressure as a banking organization from a couple of different sides, right?
So J.P. Morgan is feeling pressure from the fact that Coinbase can do everything that J.P.
P. Morgan does, and they do it faster and more efficient and with more customers.
They also are feeling pressure from the fact that they realize, because there are smart people at
JP Morgan, that micro strategy at some point probably wants to be a bank and their base layer is
Bitcoin, right? So there's pressure from both sides from a competition standpoint. Well, how do you
deal with competition? Well, in the world of business, it's pretty nasty, right? You're going to do
whatever you can to protect your position as the supreme being in the banking world,
which by the way, J.P. Morgan is. So all of this is a version of let's poke here, let's poke here,
let's poke here, let's poke here, because if micro strategy wants to become a Bitcoin bank,
that's pretty difficult to do if they're delisted from a bunch of different spots where you have
to be kind of listed if you're going to be taken seriously. You know what I mean? And then obviously
coding there that this is the like people sailor even if even if even if that is the reason why
andrew i mean think about it why wouldn't they be attacking coinbase coin base is a much bigger threat
to because they just want to say that right now sailors that is most successful like the products
are absolutely crushing it as you can see here like you can talk all you want about shorts and
whatever but bitcoin back credit weekly volume is absolutely skyrocketing the the thirst for these
products and you know anyone can go back up five weeks and listen to my conversation with him
where he kind of broke these down for you know really eloquently for a trad pie audience when we
were at money 2020 but this is what he's selling it's not selling bitcoin anymore he's selling
banking services or products right products that would normally be created by a bank or something
that maybe has becoming a bigger threat to jp morgan as they see that he's safely offering a 10%
yield yeah i think he's also just the bell of the ball and they don't like
that. They've been the bell of the ball. Goldman's been the bell of the ball. You know,
there isn't anybody that wants to talk to them anymore. Everybody's inviting Sailor to
every event. Everybody's treating them like Jamie Diamond used to get treated. You know,
I think that, you know, it's some just jealousy and legacy kind of digging their heels in the
ground. But it's not about Bitcoin. To me, it's not about Bitcoin, because there's much more
effective ways to attack Bitcoin. If J.P. Morgan wanted to attack Bitcoin, there are ways they
could attack Bitcoin. And Coinbase would be the first one, especially with what's going on over
there. I mean, I know that we talked about this, Andrew, yesterday, and how excited I was about this
Monad deal. But you talk about a direct competitor. Coinbase just launched the first ICO that's
been launched since 2017, and it's gone up. On a real platform. Yeah. And on the real platform.
with real distribution rules attached to it, with real rewards that if you hold it longer periods,
you get greater allocation in future projects.
Like all of these checks and balances and all this maturity has come to the ICO market through Coinbase.
And they launched it very successfully.
And I don't know what the exact percentage is, but when I checked this morning, I think it's up like 35% or 60%.
Massive movements.
And so I think, you know, if you talk about something that,
that's disruptive to J.V. Morgan and something that's disruptive to Goldman,
even if you weren't a crypto company, let's just say I manufactured matches,
and I needed to raise money, would it be better to go through the hassle and the paperwork
and the filings and everything to go launch an IPO?
Or would it be better to call a little Coinbase up and go, hey, guys, we need to raise
$100 million. Can you launch an ICO for me?
yeah, we'll do it next week, and we'll launch it exclusively to our 100 plus million customers.
And we have track records of data that show you average hold period, average investment size, average number of participants.
Like, they're going to be able to literally walk somebody through this with such absolute certainty.
You will never go.
Am I prediction?
ICOs are here and IPOs are out today.
Hey, this marks it.
Yeah, I mean, I think it depends on what you're launching,
but for anything crypto-related, I think that that's true.
And I think, you know, to your point,
there's also just additional transparency here that never existed on ICOs.
Certainly not even through the 2020 and 2021 round of launch pads.
Like, we've seen thousands of these launched.
I want to be clear,
this is the first time that you're seeing it institutionally launched
where you can see who the market makers are,
how much allocation they're getting,
how long they'll be market-making for.
So you know the mechanics of how price is being somewhat managed.
I think, I don't want to be misquoted, but I think that this was at 0.025 for the launch.
So 0.04, a very reasonable move to the upside, but not a ridiculous 100 or 1,
which is what 2020 or 2021 will be before it massively dumped, right?
So this is in line with an IPO.
This feels real.
This is actually less, like, right?
I mean, some of those were doing bullish and those were doing four or five Xs on the first day, right?
So this is actually a more measured so far launch than most of those.
And there was that fear that this was not successful, but it ended up oversubscribed slowly.
So actually it just seems like right now there's an appropriate appetite for these
instead of like a full hype and FOMO cycle that maybe even two months ago, if that's a lot.
I got 58% of what I asked for.
That's how oversubscribed it was.
So to close the loop on the JP Morgan stuff connected with Coinbase, you know,
Tillman asked a question, why wouldn't, you know, J.P. Morgan attack or be more concerned with
Coinbase. It's because they can't. Coinbase is functionally from a customer standpoint is
bigger than JP Morgan. So more than double, right? Yeah, yeah. So JP Morgan has made the
decision, we're not going to fight Coinbase. That's a bad idea. We're going to just strategically
connect a few lines and levers and pulleys to Coinbase. Well, the Coinbase is the queen on the board or
the king on the board. I mean, Michael Saylor at this point and all his stuff, like I said,
that's more tradfying. I mean, what is that a rook? I mean, I don't even know how far down it goes,
but it's not high in the rankings of Bitcoin, in my opinion. Yeah. So Coinbase is,
let's do a little bit of a history lesson, right? So IPOs for 40 years have looked like this.
You hire three or four big investment banks or maybe even seven, but the top three get listed in all the paperwork.
Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, and Morgan Stanley. Those are the three gold standards, right?
So they get heavily involved in the process, the paperwork, the S-4, all that stuff.
And then you need to choose an exchange that you're going to list with that will handle all of the architecture associated with getting your shares out there.
So you're a company, you decide how much money, you have to work with an investment bank, you have to work with an exchange.
there's like four or five different entities right there that are now got their hands in the
quote unquote pie well they have a reason to promote because they're getting allocation right
whereas with coinbase and again this goes to the structural differences with exchanges in the
crypto space they're the exchange they're the quote unquote investment bank they do all the
architecture so it's just wildly similar uh simpler um than doing an IPO an IPO can take anywhere from
nine to 12 months sometimes 18 months to fully bake and then get out there right whereas this one
who knows how long that took i don't know i have no idea but it certainly isn't nine to 18 months
and again the structure associated with it is very IPO like with with
significant democratization across the board like well with it with an emphasis on keeping democratization
at the forefront of the distribution right that's what their primary goal is is to not have
concentration um in the participants that's that's incredible i mean that really like you said
that's game changing from an access perspective nobody here on this call got invited to the
Tesla IPO. I'm confident in that. Yeah. But we got invited to the Monad IPO through Coinbase.
It's just that simple. It's like access versus not access. It's fair and equal distribution or, you know,
at least equal access based upon, you know, who you are at Coinbase and whether you're paying
their subscription fee. But it's just a model. I think that if if we don't take note of, it's going to, I
I think this is going to happen all at once.
I don't see the, and Scott, to the point earlier about if you're a crypto company,
you should do this, I would make the argument that we're so close to the tokenization of
real world assets, like the S&P 500 is going to be tokenized, the NASDAQ's going to be tokenized.
You're going to be able to trade tokenized representations of these equities anyways.
Why wouldn't you launch an ICO, even if you had nothing to do with the crypto market as a means to raise money,
raise capital. I mean, I just, I see that merging very quickly is the point.
I mean, you can't tell me that companies out there that are non-crypto related. Don't look back
to the time of the 2017 ICOs like EOS and such and say, I can raise as much money as I want
and I don't even have to build anything. Maybe I will. Maybe I will. I mean, think about how
reverse like crypto IPOs or ICOs have been in the past. You can literally become a billionaire
as a founder, your company can become worth billions before it does anything, and then you can
take that money and build stuff if you feel like it. Or you can just be block one and have
160,000 Bitcoin from the EOS raise by bullish and hangout. I mean...
But I think what we're all hoping, and I'm sure hoping, is that Coinbase did a lot of due diligence
on the tack of Monad, right? I don't know if they did or not. I honestly don't even...
Yeah, I don't even know what Mona does, honestly.
Oh, no, it's been very, very, it's been like the bell of the ball, as you said,
long before, even the coin-based part.
Like, whether we, there were a few, there was Barra-Chane, Mega-Eath, which I think did quite well.
I'm not sure, actually.
Monad, a lot of these, these are more Ethereum-killer narrative.
They are, you know, faster, cheaper.
We have too many of them.
Mega-Eath sounds like an awesome name.
Mega-Eath.
Yeah, I think that was actually one of the dinosaur that went.
That sounds like a Don Holloway special right there.
That sounds like it's going extinct, is what it sounds like.
That sounds like the Megalodon.
That's why I said it's like very dinosaurish.
But again, the structural changes here.
Think about the tens of millions of dollars that's saved on just legal fees, right?
The tens of millions of dollars that's saved on investment banking fees.
Right.
Again, those companies get involved with the likes of a Gemini IPO.
or a Facebook IPO or a whatever IPO because they're going to make millions of dollars
associated with the work of taking that company public, right?
And so we're just talking about, again, massive disruption in the financial space.
And let me make a point I think that's very, very important.
Has anybody taken a minute to step back and look at the huge difference?
Because there is another, you know, sort of elephant in the room.
room associated with scale and crypto, but it's different in terms of reputation and
execution.
Look at the difference over the past five years with Coinbase and Binance, right?
Oh, yeah.
Massive, massive, massive diversion in overall reputation, right?
So Binance has 250 million customers, right?
Coinbase has 125, right?
But who did everybody trust?
Who did BlackRock and Bitwise and Fidelity and everybody trust associated with the custody of the Bitcoin
associated with Bitcoin ETFs?
Their biggest products, right?
Coinbase, right?
Finance was not invited to the party.
Literally when that was happening, finance was, you know, being charged by the United States government.
That's my point.
So it goes to, it goes to leadership.
It goes to strategy.
It goes to vision.
So even though in the crypto space and, you know, probably a third of the people listening to this hate Coinbase for some reason or another, but you can't really argue with the results and the execution over time.
You just, you can't. And that particular example of the dichotomy of pathway and reputation between those two organizations is, it's real, right? It's very real.
So yeah, no, I like the...
You might see a kid creeping by around in the background.
You can go.
Anyway, I was going to say, interestingly, I had asked CZ about Binance, you know, their
humongous customer base years ago before he went to jail.
And he actually said, you know, most of these people are not trainers.
They're using Binance as a wallet to send stable coins around Africa or whatever jurisdiction
that they're in.
So I would even argue that even though they have a much larger.
base of customers. Coinbase may have more pure like Bitcoin enthusiasts or people that are actually
buying crypto as investments than people using it as a wallet. Well, they're definitely looking for,
I think they want what each other has, honestly. I think it's one of those classic examples of,
like Andrew said, they both built for different initiatives. And they would love to carve out some
of that market share for themselves. I mean, I don't see Coinbase being used in that manner
for, you know, small micro payments in Africa. I do see Binance being used for that, but I also
see Coinbase wanting deposits to stay more sticky on their platform. All of their incentives or
most of their incentives are geared towards, hey, put money here and leave it here and we'll pay you
to leave it here. But it's a long period of time. I mean, like, it's a pretty weak incentive.
in my opinion from an APR perspective, but I think they're offering you 3% cashback if you
hold a balance up to a million dollars for 24 months. Well, that's an extra point and a half a
year. It's good, but it's not like groundbreaking. Really, the things that I think that are
turning people's heads on the platform is the fact that you can lend your deposits at a 6. something
percent return. You can lend it to Coinbase as USDC for 4.25, and you can borrow off the platform.
So you're looking at these banking services that do make it very appealing to keep money on Coinbase
because there's too much opportunity that lies there that doesn't lie at your bank, is I guess the
point. So if you look at the structural components of being a bank, and then you look at the structural
components of being a brokerage house, they've done a brilliant job of covering the entire map.
can go there as kind of a one-stop shop to get everything done.
Well, you've had to do, if you're a banking organization and certainly the banking lobby
in the United States, you had to do a dramatic shift over the last 18 months because the banking
lobby previously was probably the quietest slash loudest voice in the hallways of regulators
trying to kill exchanges because they knew that they were going to be serious competition.
So when you realized, oops, this isn't going to work, we're not going to offshore all of these companies and they won't compete with us here in the United States, the biggest market, of course, on the planet, now we've got to figure it out. So we've got to scramble. So if you look at it through that particular lens, that makes a little bit more sense. So now we're scrambling. So how do we scramble? Well, let's do some little partnerships and let's do a wallet thing and let's see if that works.
and let's do a token thing and see if we can, you know, play footsies with the exchanges and
something will, maybe something will come of that and it'll be okay.
So huge, again, huge shift in the mindset of, let's just call it legacy trad, five banks and
what they, you know, how they have to look at crypto.
Do you both think Ripple has the same goal with Hidden Road and why is it taking
so long because to me the only like coinbase number one by a long shot right now i'd say robin hood's
in second position but pretty pretty small compared to coin base so you kind of wonder like who's
going to step up to the plate and challenge coinbase's supremacy with the i do think robin hood has a league
in tradfai right they do they do i think coin base from the crypto side is obviously destroying robin hood but
Robin Hood has a more full suite of services, obviously, right now, because crypto is their second business, right?
One of those things like everyone else where you buy some Bitcoin is 5% of your portfolio,
then all of a sudden you wake up one day and it's 75% and you can't figure out what to do with it.
That's kind of Robin Hood's crypto business.
Yeah.
Yeah. Well, it's just interesting to me to see the landscape, the way that it sits now and what's going to happen a year from now.
I think there probably is going to be a lot of imitators that come after this business alongside Coinbase.
and I would have to think that has that that's well cracking absolutely a 20 billion dollar he's got a 20 billion dollar val ahead of their yeah and they're going to IPO in the Q1 of next year right that that's going to happen and again so they're we're just I've said it a bunch of times on this show two years from now the conversations are going to be very very different associated with where the crypto space is what the crypto space is doing
and how much like banking from a decade ago
and how much of that have they grabbed in terms of market share.
That look, you know, again, Robin Hood's entire thesis is
let's grab as much market share by offering a better version
of what banks have said that they would do for customers.
We're just gonna do it, right?
So same thing with Coinbase.
Your point, Tillman, on Ripple and Hidden Road,
there's just a difficulty there associated with,
reputational stuff. They have a huge customer base because of, you know, the XRP army and all that
stuff. And they can draft off of the scale of that particular customer base.
But that's kind of what I mean. Do they have enough critical mass to get the flywheel spin?
Yeah. I mean, they can, but it's just to grow it in any meaningful way, very, very difficult on their end.
Did they become a bank? Sure. But, you know, to what scale and what size, again, reputational stuff is going to
put a cap on that. So really quickly, you kind of just want to circle back on a point you made
before, which is that even if J.P. Morgan and the banks are, you know, fundamentally opposed to
micro strategy or any of these things, we see where the ball is headed and that's this tokenization
narrative. So you have, you know, breaking trillion dollar giants, Black Rock, JP Morgan,
H. SBC, say tokenized assets have more potential than stable coins. They see yield-bearing real-world
assets is the next evolution of global finance. Standard Carter sees tokenized real world assets,
exploding to two trillion by 2028 up from 35 billion today. So maybe this is more of a narrative
shift than an attack to some degree or just that they, you know, I've seen a lot of people,
I've seen think pieces now about how Bitcoin is boring and it's no longer useful because
it's done its job because now we're moving on to stable coins and tokenized assets and blah,
blah, blah. But this is where the banks are going to make a lot of money, not by shorting
micro strategy. It's another race. It's just another race. It's just another race.
on a different track so now those banks are trying to get to the tokenization of real world assets
because that market is so infinitely bigger than the crypto markets that if they get there
before a coin base or a grouping of exchanges get there and offer it and grab even more of their
customers then they win that particular race and let me tell you something they think it's a bigger race
right it is fraught with troubles and problems i've been looking at real world assets literally since
2017 built an nfti company to hold the licenses or the um the representations of that ownership
and i can tell you right now there's still a massive chasm to be bridged that i i haven't found
i haven't heard anybody talk about the solution to it which is how do you authenticate
something sure you can authenticate it on chain but how does the real world asset get
authenticated still against the certificate and where where we start with this whole real world asset
enterprise for example i sell you a piece that this is one of the easiest ways to understand
kind of the complexity but it gets way more complicated on other you know in other markets i want to
sell you a piece of real estate i tokenize it i sell you the token well who's going to
down to the courthouse and file in the papers that show that there's no lien on the properties
and I actually own it. Like who's doing the real world things and how do I, just because I own
the token that says that I own the piece of real estate, how do I know that the real world things
have actually been done to confirm that that token means anything to anyone outside of, quote,
the internet or the blockchain? I think there's, you know, there's a lot of complexity. If I do a real world
asset token against a piece of merchandise, a purse. How do I authenticate that one of the
people in the chain of custody didn't take the real one and sell it and buy 50 fake ones and
applied one of those tokens to the 50 fake ones? There's just a ton of problems that have to be
solved before real world assets become like mainstream, in my opinion. Somebody may have
already solved all those problems, but I'd love to know how because, like, sure,
sort of weaving into the fabric of clothing,
a specific electronic device that's something that like a pass
that you use at a toll road,
there's no way that you can authenticate
that piece of clothing going forward
without a pure chain of custody being attached.
And there never is a pure chain of custody attached.
That's the whole point.
I think the moniker real world assets
is not used properly when it comes to what they're talking
about when it comes to tokenization.
I think we're just talking about the tokenization, quote, unquote,
of getting to 24-7 trading of equities.
Correct.
That's it.
Well, that's the only way it could happen.
I want you to, let's appropriate that to the same problem set, okay?
I'm buying tokenized representations of the S&P 500.
You know, they're going to have to kill the legacy system of the old paper share.
That's just called an ETF now, though.
That's just called an ETF.
You're buying a version of the S&P 500 inside of an S&P 500 ETF,
and it just represents the performance of the S&P 500.
So for all intents and purposes, the tokenization of that is just a share of an ETF, right?
It's the representation of that.
Again, tokenization to me is just the ability to run 24-7 trading and 24-7 everything,
and they want to call it something cool.
Yeah, but it comes back, it comes back to counterparty risk and redemption value.
Like if the, if I own S&P shares, I actually own the shares.
And the redemption value is the shares.
Like that is my collateral when I go to the brokerage house and I want to sell them.
They know I'm the owner.
If there's a lot of price discrepancy in the real shares and I own tokens,
and I go to submit those tokens to my exchange to sell them,
and they don't have the money to pay me,
there is no other collateral pool that's going to save my bacon.
I'm relying on my exchange.
I'm taking a counter trade to the exchange, essentially,
even if it's not a leverage trade.
That is a bad, that's a flawed.
That is very flawed.
So I'll use my vast movie knowledge here,
And I'll reference us back to the conversation between Matthew McCona and Leo DiCaprio at lunch for Wolf of All Street.
Can I be Matthew?
I don't really like that.
Yeah, yeah.
Yeah, you could be Matthew.
So, you know, it's that the reality is there used to be rules associated with P plus three.
There used to be rules associated with the issuance of stock certificates.
None of that, all of that stuff is basically gone because the markets move.
so fast. So what you're talking about is, well, who really owns this? And it's all just on paper.
No, I'm saying, like, you can say that there's enough stability in, like, certain markets where
price fluctuations aren't big enough to cause counterparty risk to be an issue. But if you tokenize
everything, there are many, I mean, every, all the other assets are so volatile that if you have a
crash in one and you hold the token, the counterparty risk of the issuer of that token is far
greater than the counterparty risk of the underlying asset. You're accepting a lot of risk for the
convenience of treating the token. Here's what I will say. You know way more,
Tillman Holloway knows way more about tokenomics and actual tokenomics than
standard charted and standard chartered and the banks talking about the tokenization of real world
assets. No, I'm dead serious. Like you've done so much work on this over the past seven years,
both with the real estate work that you did and then our work with NFTs. Again, you, you know
way more than what they're just talking about in these new stories about the tokenization of
real world assets. So your questions about this stuff are completely.
completely real. Well, it just feels like another fake narrative to pump. Like, it, it just feels
like real world assets. Real world assets. I mean, show me one that's actually going to be
an improvement to what currently we have other than the convenience of trading at 24-7.
Because if it's the convenience, you see what I'm saying? Like that, that's not a story to me.
That's what they're, again, financial markets and the folks in financial markets don't make
revolutionary changes to their business just because it's all very, very, very iterative.
And for them, yeah, this iteration is another opportunity to, okay, if we make this iteration and the
work we put into it, what happens? Well, we get to trade 24-7 and we get to charge more prices
for probably the spread associated with the tokenized stuff that we do in the first 24 to 48 months.
that's what they're looking at.
If it's just for equities, you could do it.
I just think it's the death of the old system by definition because they're going to have to,
like if I have the choice to buy a token that's been created on the back of a traditional security
that has all of these other rules sets attached to ownership that I don't get the benefit of,
or I get to buy Monad through Coinbase, and I know all the rules,
and I am, they are the issuer, and I trust the issuer.
I know they have collateral against it.
There's no, if Monad goes to, you know, whatever Monad does,
it's not going to affect Coinbase at all, like all of those things.
I, you know, it's just, it's very interesting to me to see how these brokerage houses
are going to look a year from now, like you said, because I really do,
I don't see anything that they can't do that the other ones can.
Here is a sober reality associated with the name like Morgan Stanley.
Okay, so that people know Morgan.
If I say Morgan Stanley, 99% of people watching the show and just basically anywhere are going to know the name Morgan Stanley is a huge financial institution.
Before they bought e-trade, okay, they bought e-trade a couple years ago.
You know how many customers they had across the globe?
3.2 million.
That's it.
So you just had all the richest guys.
Yeah, those are all the customers that they had.
Yeah, but the wealth is just, you know, scale, you know, it's just, it's not, in a lot of ways, it's not what you think it is, right?
Same could be said of Goldman Sachs.
Why have these organizations gone out and tried to, you know, greatly balloon in scale?
Same thing with Roberthood, by the way, their wealth management operations, right?
because there's a lot of customers in that particular business, right?
It's filled with customers.
So let's go out and buy a big RIA.
Let's go out and buy a big platform that's got.
So, you know, e-trade, I don't know, 17 million customers.
I haven't looked it up.
But it basically quadrupled the amount of customers they had underneath the Morgan Stanley umbrella.
That's why they did it.
I had a Morgan Stanley guy flat out tell me that.
That's why we did it.
More customers.
Because before that, we only had three million, right?
So it's the world of traditional financial legacy companies and crypto is moving in the same direction for just two simple reasons.
Tradify companies don't have enough customers and all of them are old and dying.
And then crypto companies want to make more money because banks make a lot of money on stuff that they want to add to their portfolio.
It's that simple.
So one other just funny thing that I wanted to bring up, but now I can't fight it.
Just in case you guys didn't see this on the macro end, canceled jobs report, inflation report,
and now they canceled the GDP report.
I'm sure all a coincidence and everything is fine.
Last time I checked, the government was no longer shut down, but now we're just going to not do data.
The dog ate my homework.
Speaking of data, let's talk about Archpublic.
First of all, we got a pretty amazing case study.
I want to talk about it, but I want to give an update on my portfolio because the dip has,
so we started at the deadest all-time high of crypto, of Bitcoin, which is absurd timing.
But so now I've upped all of my buys and everything as price has gone down because I obviously
want to buy more in the 80s than I did in the 120s.
The account is now $400,000 and only down 10.4%.
I wasn't even aware that you continue to ramp up.
The market was down over 30%, and I'm only down 10 and have accumulated, well, a lot of Bitcoin and Solana and Eif.
About double the Bitcoin as Solana and Eath combined.
There haven't been many, like, big pumps on individual candles on the yield side for a little while.
It actually just hasn't been much action since we went down to 80 because we kind of bought the loads.
well the longer the price stays here the lower your loss percentage will be right your cost is coming down with time
that is the point of the software is to not try to pick points but to let the average time and the
cost on that timeline be your average price by having small incremental purchases on the dips
that are strategically taking advantage of that volatility it doesn't mean it's the final dip you don't know
when the final dip is. Scott, do you remember the day you started, you were going, there's no,
it's, guys, we just broke all-time highs. We're going to 135. I need to load the boat now. I don't have
any. I need to get the, you know, this account really loaded up. We were like, damn, we missed the move
from 114 to 120. Exactly. Well, but the point is, is that FOMO causes bad decisions. And you, you know,
if you had lumped in all at 126, you'd, you'd have to wait to 126 to get.
back. Right now, you've got to wait to 90-something to get back. That is the benefit of dollar
cost averaging strategically through volatile dips. Like that, that gives you, so it doesn't
just, you know, if you talk about risk, right, the risk in the crypto market is the volatility
and the placement of capital. So if you start to say, okay, how can I de-risk this? The opportunity
to de-risk it only comes through managing your purchases, managing when you're buying.
and making sure that you have powder dry for those, you know, future dips.
So it's really more of a...
I'm psyched, you know, I've consistently been excited about the bigger dip
because I do have money on the sidelines.
I started as a test and I was like, this is awesome.
And like probably most of your clients, I said, well, I mean, I need to add more
because I want to do more of this.
And to once again reiterate, like, my goal was not for it to go down into the 80s
and then be up in dollar value.
My goal is to get as much as I could as cheap as possible,
and it's done that all the way down.
You know, I constantly get that,
why didn't you buy it all at 80?
Because I didn't know it was going to 80.
Well, and no one knows it could go to 60.
You just, if you knew the market, you wouldn't.
We started this journey with you, you know,
with a little bit of a tagline,
put a hedge fund in your pocket and literally what you're describing.
So I'm down 10.9%.
The overall market's down 30-ish percent.
That's a hedge fund.
You're supposed to do better on the downs.
What a hedge fund is supposed to do, right? So there are not significant movements out of a hedge fund during up years. People don't even call their hedge funds that they're working with. They don't adjust allocations during up years. What they do is they evaluate in down markets. And they say, are they just down as much or more as the averages? Or are they really good at what they do? And so there's a beta variance associated with the market.
markets and the delta having a beta variance that's what you're describing now if you look at this case
study that we put together that finishes the data on friday just go to the to the first data point
which shows year-to-date buy-and-hold bitcoin versus our oracle protocol and what you'll see right
there is a meaningful beta variance so buy and hold bitcoin from the beginning of this year is down
9%. Our Oracle Protocol algorithm is plus 16.8. That's an absurd gap. Yeah, that is, that is a,
you know, what is that? That's a 25% gap, right? That is extremely meaningful. And so, again,
people that have the capital to be in our concierge program, they see that and they say,
holy smokes, I want to be involved in this. Oh, and I don't have to fool with anything. I just
get it set and it's just going to do stuff like that okay cool i'm going to start with a hundred
and then like scott malker oops i love this product so much now i have 400 000 in it right that
that that's what happened if you go down a little bit further and then you look at variances
associated with salana and eath they are even significantly no keep going that's that's still bitcoin
on a longer time frame you could keep going again um so there's it there's ethereum right
So look at that variance with Ethereum.
That's nuts, right?
Well, just if you're in the crypto markets and you've ever heard anyone say,
volatility is a feature or I love the volatility or you should harvest the volatility.
If you're not, if you can't point to a strategy in your portfolio and say,
this is how I'm harvesting the volatility, you're not harvesting the volatility.
This harvests the volatility.
This is waiting for disproportionate moves to the upside,
and you get to program in how much of the profits at that point you want to take.
So if you think a big pump is 5% in a 4-hour candle,
you can set up an instance that says,
you know, sell 50% of what my last purchase was,
when it's in profit,
when it's above its cost basis by X percent,
and then when that trigger event takes,
place, it's going to either sell 50% in that instance, or you could say sell all of it.
You could have a cash one-to-one type of an arbitrage strategy where you're selling equal to
what you're buying, and you're just playing the volatility.
When it pumps, you sell it, I'll sell it, when it dips, you buy, when it pumps, and it's
just like sitting there with a line in the water waiting for the fish to bite.
When it bites, you fish on, it's time to, you know, collect the harvest.
But it's very, very simple, and it just requires you watching the market over time and waiting for those times, you know, to present themselves, waiting for the market to do what it does.
And when it does, you're going to take advantage of it through these algos.
If you don't have the algos set up, you're going to look back the next morning and call your buddies and go, did you see that huge pump at 2 a.m?
And you wouldn't have harvested any of that volatility.
So that is what they're talking about when you're talking about.
the volatility is a feature it actually is a massive benefit to you if you know how to harvest it so again
year-to-date salana xrp bitcoin down ethereum slightly up but again just using the stock
oracle protocol version of what we do you have massive differences in performance based on how
the algorithm is looking at opportunities to make purchases or
adjustments in sales when you're when you're hitting tops I mean that the
numbers just speak for themselves it's it's really that's really all it is and
your ability by the way to do this on your own is just it's impossible I mean
well and our ability to show you and not tell you is even better go to our
website archpublic.com click get started and you can try this for free you
don't even have to it's not a time trial basis you can download it and use
the full, unencumbered version of our software to do anything and everything in the markets
that you would like to do. And as long as you aren't trading more than $10,000 a year,
you can use it every year forever for free. I mean, it's absolutely of no cost. We want you
to see the power of automated trading. We want you to realize what yield harvesting looks like
and do it for yourself. And we're not going to do it for you. We're going to teach you how to use the
tools to where you're actually doing it and you understand what you're doing.
And then once you set it up, like Andrew said, it's, you know, it's out of sight, out of mind.
It's just doing whatever you told it to do when those market opportunities present themselves.
Yeah.
How many times, Scott, in the past three months were their action or trades taken when you were
done doing something completely different and just not watching?
Almost every single life.
Yeah.
Yeah. I mean, I don't closely watch the market to time purchases. I would have been either just like dollar cost averaging at a certain date and time or I would have smashed bought with the capital that we had. You know, so I forget even how it's outperformed the market. It's outperformed what I know factually I would have done at that moment. So how many, how many uniquely successful crypto hedge funds actually exist out there? I don't know, a couple.
Pantara is pretty good at it, right?
They've been D-C-ing, yeah.
Yeah, right.
So none of them are here anyways.
Yeah, so my point is, is that automated execution
of setups like this give you these results.
And by the way, even if you wanted to get into Pantara,
you can't unless you give them millions of dollars, possibly, right?
So that's my point, is that these results,
These, the beta variants associated with a down market, a difficult year that everybody's bitching and moaning about on crypto Twitter, clients that are using our products are like, what are you guys talking about?
Yeah, but they didn't make 1,000 X's, so like it's a failure.
Well, reasonable people understand that that's not the reality.
Yeah, well, if people and where are they?
if both if all three of us need to acquire new wardrobes and we're going to go spend top dollar on wardrobes
and i have we all have you know ten thousand dollars to spend and scott goes out on day one
and he spends ten thousand dollars on four custom suits uh and he comes home and he's got those
four custom suits.
Andrew, you know, buys a couple of suits, keeps 5K, waits a few months, buys a couple
of suits, new suits.
I buy one suit over the next four months.
Well, the suit prices drop drastically.
Who gets the best, who gets more suits for less money?
Me.
And it wasn't because I was smarter.
It was because I was less greedy and didn't.
go and buy four suits at once.
And that's literally what the...
Yeah, you wait until Black Friday.
So I got sales. I waited until Cyber Monday.
I got another sale.
Those things are what you should be looking at
when you're accumulating your stack, right?
When you're stacking sats,
you should ask yourself the question.
Yes, dollar cost averaging is an excellent way
to remove a lot of the volatility risk of any market.
But dollar cost averaging has some questions attached to it
that you need to answer,
which is when, so let's say I buy those four suits over four months,
well, what day of the month do I buy them?
Do I just randomly go or do I wait for the sales from the retailers that I'm watching
to buy the suits?
Oh, the newspaper just told me there's a 20% sale at Neiman Marcus today, and I'm heading
out there to buy it.
Well, guess what?
That's exactly what we're talking about here.
It's like, you have to wait until the things are on sale before you go buy them.
So are you going to sit around and wait for Bitcoin to go on sale and two o'clock in the morning on Sunday night or are you going to have a robot doing it for you?
No, I'm going to wait for the newspaper to tell me when to buy Bitcoin and that's when I'm going to buy.
Is that what you were laughing about?
That aged to be pretty good there.
Listen.
In that interview, we said by the time they tell you it'll be 10 million, I was just trying to, I was appeasing to the audience.
You guys, I know, still read the newspaper every day.
I do.
I have to think on my fingers all this guy.
We're going to have to go in a second because my I would like to mention that there is something.
There is an organization in a name that I have not mentioned on this show.
And it may be a first for like the past six to 12 months.
Larry Fink or the most freemates.
Black Rock and Larry Fink.
Yeah.
Also, I don't play the Fink.
Don't fight the Fink.
What phrase are we going to use now?
To a level, let's get thinking.
Let's, I do want to say that I get uniquely annoyed on Twitter when I see people talking about just economics and say, well, Black Rock buys all the houses.
Black Rock doesn't buy any houses.
It's Blackstone.
Blackstone.
Blackstone.
Black man, book geology.
Oh, my gosh, it drives me insane.
All right, that's my rant for me.
All right, well, everybody, go to our...
Didn't you call Larry Fink the kink or something?
What was the...
Yeah, he said he had a fink, I believe.
He had a fink kink.
A kink for fink or...
Yeah, I knew it's cool, but it's just me of having a finkink, that's for sure.
I've heard that rule, that rumor.
All right, before this gets out of control,
I have children sitting here, for God's sakes.
All right, that's all we got for you today.
I will be back tomorrow, and that's going to be the last day for them.
We'll take it off Thursday and Friday for the holiday.
But I'll be here tomorrow.
to check out Archpublic.
Andrew, is there anywhere that people can see that case study like themselves?
Yeah, just go to Archpublic underneath the support page on the left-hand side.
You'll see all of our case studies.
There's like, I don't know, 20 of them.
That one's at the upper top.
Yeah, so down there, go to case studies.
Yep, right there.
And during the trial.
There is.
I feel like I've endured it.
Yeah, it's right.
Awesome.
All right, guys, got to run.
Thank you, everybody.
We will see you tomorrow.
Thanks, gentlemen.
Have a great Thanksgiving.
All right. See you guys, y'all too.
I'm thankful for you.
