The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin Selloff Shakes The Market! Is A Mega Rebound Around The Corner?

Episode Date: September 23, 2025

Bitcoin took a sharp hit as the market shed billions, leaving traders asking if this is just a shakeout or the start of something bigger. With the “Uptober” narrative in question and macro uncerta...inty weighing on sentiment, investors are watching closely to see if BTC can rebound or if more downside is ahead. In this video, we break down the latest price action, what’s driving the selloff, and the key levels to watch as Bitcoin battles to recover.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Bitcoin had an aggressive sell-off on Sunday night, as we know, and is still currently trading around $113,000. Of course, that means that some people think it's all over. We're going to $10,000, Mike McClone. And others think that this is just a reload for the continuation of a massive bull run. There are a lot of signals that a megabounce could be around the corner. We're going to unpack that and all of the institutional news right now with, of course, my co-hosts, Andrew and Tillman, but way more excitingly than those oversized bald men,
Starting point is 00:00:33 is that we have James Safert here from Bloomberg, and everybody loves when James Safer is here from Bloomberg. Let's go. Good morning, everybody. Welcome. to the bloodbath. And by bloodbath, I mean, crypto went down a little bit and apparently we're in a bare market. But gold now about to trade at $3,800 making new all-time high after new all-time high, which is obviously scaring the hell out of a lot of people. I know, James, it's like Bloomberg's official policy, according to McClone, to be gold bumps. Has that memo hit your desk yet? I know you guys aren't allowed to like Bitcoin and you're
Starting point is 00:01:23 allowed to love gold. Yeah. So, yeah, basically. Yeah, gold is, I think there's more people who are both like against gold in a portfolio and Bitcoin in a portfolio than there are people who are gold bugs and anti-Bitcoin. I feel like those people are a little more rare. They're becoming more and more rare nowadays. I think that's true. So listen, since we have you here today, I'm not going to dig into everything else first. Let's talk about the big news that's happening in the ETF world. Obviously, we unpack some of this last week, but not with you.
Starting point is 00:01:54 we have first SEC approved generic listing standards for commodity-based trust shares. And that would say maybe equally, but less hyped news, was the grays scale ETF with multiple cryptocurrencies. Obviously, this is our first effectively index fund for crypto and an ETF wrapper, which, I mean, I just think this is just massive because this is how people invest. Right. But maybe you can kind of give us the status on where we're at with ETFs now. When is the come rocket ETF coming?
Starting point is 00:02:23 because obviously now anything can have an ETF, and we need that. Yeah, I mean, all this does is strips out a lot of the roadblocks and time it takes to bring one of these ETFs to market. You're not going to get some of the more esoteric meme coins, but there are two meme coins that fit the criteria for those generic listing standards, right? So they're Dogecoin and Shib right now. So theoretically, you could file an ETF and within the next few months get a SHIB ETF. They're already Dogecoin ETS filing filed and they already meet the criteria. So they could launch within the next like month or two potentially. So yeah, basically all this is, if you look back to 2019-ish time range, the SEC spent five plus years going through this thing known as the ETF rule, Rule 6C11.
Starting point is 00:03:13 And basically what it did was came up with generic listing standards for 1940 Act ETFs and basically streamlines the price. process. So you don't have to go through that 19B4 process, which is like that long 240, 260 day, delay, deny, approve, back and forth, refile, issue these 60 page documents like why you denied or approve them. And it's a lot of work. And you had to do it for every, every fund and every new asset. And it was just, they didn't want to do that for all of ETSs. And they, but they never did it for these commodity based shares. And that's what this is. It's basically streamlining that. And that difference is why futures products when they filed able to launch basically 75 days after filing, as long as yes, it's a,
Starting point is 00:03:49 SEC didn't stop them and why Rex Osprey forced some of these assets directly into 1940 Act products because they were leaning on that rule from 2019, which like said, they don't have to go through this 19 before process and they use regulatory and legal workarounds to do that. So yeah, I mean, like this is just streamlining everything and we're going to get well over 100 ETS probably that are going to be involved in the crypto space in the like next six to 12 months. Whatever brand of coffee James had this morning, I would like a cup. James is always, James is always hot fire, Andrew. You obviously haven't been paying attention.
Starting point is 00:04:28 I had no coffee, but I did go for a run that I only finished about 20 minutes before we came on here. Natural coffee. That's where that glow comes from. I mean, listen, you mentioned these kind of, you know, circuitous routes people have been going through to get ETFs with XRP and Doge. I would imagine that lights to fire under the ass of the SEC in general to get these generic rules out so they can just, you know, get these going. We had this news that 21 shares launches Dogecoin ETF on DTCC. So obviously I'm a huge Doge fan. I wear my oven mitt every time we talk about it.
Starting point is 00:05:02 But what does it mean to be launched on DTCC but not yet publicly available? Can you explain that? You want the honest truth? It means nothing, really. as far as I'm like like you you you could file right now and probably get at your like some ETF on DTCC if you've gone through the process that said like a doge coin ETF under that this new generic listing standards under the traditional I'll call them pure spot pure spot like that's the way I think about the products that we're talking about here they're like
Starting point is 00:05:33 the I shares and everything other Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs that have come out over the last year and a half right they're pure spot these other ones that have come out they are mostly spot, but a lot of their exposure is like through Cayman subsidiaries or they're holding ETFs held overseas. So there's some inefficiencies there. There's some like fee drag in a little bit, but it's giving you the spot exposure. You're just going to underperform slightly. These are going to be a little more pure.
Starting point is 00:05:57 And they're coming. Isn't the question here, Andrew telling it, I mean, Andrew, like, now isn't it not about how you get an ETF approved, but how you get futures approved on Coinbase? So, you know, the ETF. Now you'll lobby Coinbase to get your. your token approved for futures. There's only 12% right now. So the SEC is just on the list I was dying.
Starting point is 00:06:18 Yeah, the SEC is just playing catch up with innovation. You know, they're playing catch up with their own regulatory sort of framework with where innovation is going. So we're going to find ourselves in the next three to five years where everything's happening all the time. Nothing really shuts off. And so you've got to have a regulatory environment where you can, you know, get a product approved. There's framework where you can get a product approved, where you can get a
Starting point is 00:06:42 product approved very, very quickly, so it then can get inserted into that type of environment. So, you know, as James just mentioned in his, you know, initial comments, you know, we had this process where you got 60 days and 40 days, 60, and then 90 and 60, and you're going back and forth. And, you know, that just sounded like a good idea to have just more lawyers and they get paid more. It wasn't a framework. Even for current markets, it didn't work. So catching up to innovation and where we're headed with stuff is a good thing for the SEC. You know, the SEC is trying to be, you know, a part of that innovation as opposed to slowing it down or being a roadblock or being a bystander, right? Because it's going to move in meaningful ways, you know, to your point about Coinbase and futures or whatever Coinbase does or whatever right.
Starting point is 00:07:42 Robin Hood does in any given week. That's going to press and press and press innovation. It's going to press regulators. It's going to press players in the market. And it's not going to slow down. It's certainly not going to slow down in the next three years. They're going to press and get as much done as they possibly can from an innovation standpoint. And then we'll see where we're at in 2008, let's call it.
Starting point is 00:08:09 Well, my take is finally the market. are able to respond to demand. I think we've seen this demand pinned up for a long time. And diversification is obviously a tool that everybody's familiar with and everybody uses. And the more products you have available to you to diversify against, you know, the easier investing becomes or the more mindless it becomes because you're going to be able to create indexes against everything, just bet on the entire industry going up. And, you know, I would say that that's a pretty safe bet instead of trying to pick and choose between the various projects. There's a lot of technical know-how that needs to
Starting point is 00:08:49 be had in order to evaluate a crypto project on its own merits. And I just, I think this is a good thing. I think it's going to help, you know, people who don't have the sophistication inside the crypto world to place real money, like big money against this industry. And I think that's a good bet. But I just think it goes back to what, you know, everybody's been kind of focused on this year, which is productizing, you know, crypto and productizing it in a way that is fully integrated into the TradFi side of things, because that's where the customers are demanding the intersect to happen. The customers want ease of access.
Starting point is 00:09:27 They want loans against their crypto. They want to feel like they're a part of the banking community and have access to all the familiar services that go along with that. And I think this is just a natural evolution of the markets. and excited to see it. Yeah, what we need is 2X leverage short SHIB UTFs, which are inevitably. They'll be here, but I believe you know, I know they will.
Starting point is 00:09:50 They will be here. Well, I think the great thing about crypto, though, that's almost teaching trad by something is how sticky an investment can be. I mean, think about what we're talking about here. Like, SHIB is going to be a Wall Street product. Shib is nothing more than a community. It's a community of people that are proud to be shipholders. And that's something that we, I don't know if the Tradfai markets have seen in a while.
Starting point is 00:10:16 I think back in the heyday when Coca-Cola was at a, you know, I think now it's just this money-grab chase. And I think that, you know, that demand is very clear and evident that there's a lot of tribalism inside crypto. And when you do have enough technical knowledge to make your assessment as to whether you're a believer in the project or not, It's almost like, you know, the orange or the blue pill, red pill type scenario. There's no going back after that. You kind of have, you know, sold into the project. Yeah, quickly before you guys jump in, there's actually two kind of pieces of breaking news that are hitting right now that are relevant to our conversation. One, Justin, Visa Stripe and Fold partner to launch Bitcoin credit card.
Starting point is 00:10:58 This seems to be the new trend, Gemini and Coinbase's card, but this is pretty big. And then this one, in this conversation, SEC to allow crypto companies to launch products in the U.S. without burdensome regulatory requirements. Derek Gensers, loving that. I mean, just deep in his heart. I mean, okay, to skip those, James, going back to the other conversation before we get to any of that,
Starting point is 00:11:22 and you can comment on that. Is there an element here where the SEC is sort of playing Kingmaker with Coinbase? Like, why? I mean, I know that it's just because they happen to fit the requirements. Maybe the better question is, is there an angle now
Starting point is 00:11:34 where the Robin Hoods and Gemini and everybody else in Cracken try to get on that list that Coinbase is already on so that they can launch these other futures products, which will then count and be ETF. Yeah, so the way I see this is like the SEC is pushing this off of their plate to determine what can get an ETF essentially. I honestly think they pushed off a little more than they should have. What it comes down to is if you're in one of these surveillance groups, which Coinbase
Starting point is 00:12:02 derivatives platform is in and you have a futures contract for six months, like that asset can go through, right? Like, that's what that's what you're talking about here, Scott. And that's anybody else besides Coinbase right now? No, not in the crypto. CME is on there, but obviously CME is a little slower to put these like derivatives contracts on there, any other platform like that. There are some overseas platforms as well that do this. But Coinbase is the most forward thinking, I guess you would say. But the other part is there's language in this document that like if you are like an actual spot trading platform and you fall under these surveillance like you fit into these surveillance groups, say Coinbase's actual spot crypto trading
Starting point is 00:12:37 platform somehow registers and becomes like able to be considered part of that ISG group, the surveillance group, like all of a sudden those things trading on there are eligible for an ETF as well. So I would say like it's this is just the start of it right now. If we see a bunch of these other platforms having derivatives platforms and even their spot platforms, which I think is going to happen in the coming years, we're going to see a lot more things come out. And basically what it does is right now it's like if CFTC allows these futures contracts to list and they're okay and they don't do anything to stop it, then that goes through. And then obviously it's up to the issuers to file for these ETF.
Starting point is 00:13:08 So the issuers, they're not going to file things that they just think are not going to work, but they are going to shoot a spaghetti cannon at the wall to see what will stick. So we're going to see a ton of stuff come to market. I actually think as somebody who was like, you were just talking about Gary Genzo there. I mean, if you listen to his interview on CNBC, all the reasons he was like saying he was like saying he was like saying he was like saying he was like saying he was like saying he was like saying he was like saying he was like what you can and cannot do, and this is what needs to be in these documents. And his defense, like, on CNBC was basically like, it had these investments had no merit. It's like, that's not the SEC's job. So I also think they maybe didn't go far enough here. Like, I think there should be
Starting point is 00:13:50 some limits on like there has to be a certain level of volume. Maybe there should be like some limits on free float. Like you can't be launching these coins with high, high FDV low float type things where you're only 20% of it's trading into an ETF wrapper. Like there's openings here for like really sketchy stuff to happen. So I think we could see some added criteria come on down the line. But for now, it's just good because as, as Tillman said, they're getting out of the way of innovation. They're just kind of letting this stuff go. And ironically enough, the lawyers, like, yeah, they're getting a lot of money to do this. But if I've talked to a lot of lawyers in this ETF space, they do not want to be dealing with this 19 before it's over and over and over again.
Starting point is 00:14:25 Yeah, they get paid, but like they don't want to do it. And this is going to make it cheaper to launch ETF. So we're just going to see a spaghetti can and hit the wall. We're going to see a lot of, you know, excrement hit the fan as well. And the market will decide what has value and that's what we'll stick around. Spaghetti and excrement everywhere. Yeah. That's what I. Speaking of sketchy stuff.
Starting point is 00:14:44 By the way, the top of the market is the FARCORN ETF approval calling it right now. You're going to say, speaking of sketchy stuff, I mean, I do think SEC has a role here that they could stop a lot of the stuff that we see happening in the markets, no different than the $1.7 billion of long, billion dollars of longs that got liquidated yesterday or day before, that was, that was, that was an attack. That was there, you can go analyze it for yourself, but the deeper you dig into that movement, there's a reason it happened at 2 a.m. on Sunday night in all foreign spot exchanges. It was a cascade event. And those are the types of things that are like money grabs.
Starting point is 00:15:30 They're at $1.7 billion versus $12.74 million in longs taken out. So when the markets are disjointed and there's a layer of liquidity that can be flushed, that is $1.7 billion deep. Trust me, somebody is targeting that. And, you know, the SEC, you know, that's really what their role in the markets are is an investigative enforcement agency. And, you know, to James's point, they're not really built to assess whether... Weisberger broke that down really well yesterday, obviously, because he sees the price action on coin routes. But he made the point that the SEC and CFTC don't
Starting point is 00:16:15 even work together. And you have one side on the spot exchanges being manipulated. And the other side is the future is in leverage. So in the United States, we wouldn't even be set up to have done necessarily with that because you have two disparate. regulators that are in charge of the two sides of the market used to manipulate the price there, which is pretty interesting. Very. Yeah, regulatory. You look like you're dying to talk.
Starting point is 00:16:40 You know, cross-regulatory conversations are just thrilling podcast conversations. It is. We should do that. I think we should dive deeper. You want thrilling stuff? I'll give you something thrilling. Here's some red meat. Jim Kramer wants to see a pause in the endless rally of speculation.
Starting point is 00:16:57 Who's up? If that isn't the indicator of the start of the bull market, I don't know what it is. It's time. And speaking of time, we're coming into October. Uptober rally questioned as crypto markets turn red nine days out, as if nine days means literally anything. 10 days left until October, where we're going to put another big, big green one there. And if you take a look, almost everybody who has ever bought Bitcoin right now is in profit.
Starting point is 00:17:25 There's like 12 people out there who are like, damn it, I've lost money. an average basis. What do we think of the market here? Do we think that all that what we're talking about is going to be catalysts, all these ETFs? Where are we at? Some of us actually remember, you know, previous crypto cycles, right? So previous crypto cycles, you know, go to significant tops and then they race very, very quickly to 40, 50, 60, 80 percent retracements. And that's literally just not happening across crypto over the last six to 12 months. Not only is Bitcoin not meaningfully retracing, but all of alt coins and the move that they've made over the past 12 months are not in any way, shape, or form meaningfully retracing. Like, you know, Solana has stayed
Starting point is 00:18:10 in between, you know, it's called 12150-220-250, right? That's a big spread, but at the same time, that went down to eight bucks like three or four years ago, right? Very, very different price action because we now have a floor associated with the world that James lives. in, which is every single day, there's going to be a new ETF news associated with alt coins or a mix of crypto or a mix of something where there's going to be flows, flows, flows, flows, and by the way, the people that generate those flows, so your wealth management clients at mass affluent high net worth and ultra high net worth shops, like the Ameri Prizes all the way to the Morgan Stanley's and the Goldman Sachs, they buy that stuff and they never sell it. They never get out
Starting point is 00:18:58 it, right? They buy low and sell when they die, not buy low and sell high. So that floor will keep moving up. So the point being is cycles have been rearranged for a while. So will October happen? Of course it will. The interesting thing to me has been over the last, let's call it, nine to 12 months is the floor has completely changed across this asset class, completely changed. Because of treasury companies. So I actually agree with most of what Andrew said. I think like the the amplitude of these moves up and down, at least on a percentage
Starting point is 00:19:40 basis, maybe not on a dollar weighted basis, is going to go down. Like it just has to happen over time. Like that's what's going to happen. But the other side of it is like I really do see a future where like some of these datco's like cough up coins. So no matter what coin they're investing in, something's going to happen where they're going to end up coughing up coins. and it's going to contribute to a downturn.
Starting point is 00:20:00 I think over the long enough time frame, what Andrew said is correct, like the institutional world, advisors are buying these things as a set allocation in their portfolio. They're not like rocketing. There is some momentum trading, obviously happening in ETFs.
Starting point is 00:20:11 There is a retail contingent involved in buying these ETFs. But a lot of the people that I talk to, institutions, RAAs, they're thinking about this as a set allocation and they rebalance on a semi-annual or annual basis. And if like it goes above that allocation, they might sell a little or maybe they'll increase their allocation. Or if it goes down,
Starting point is 00:20:27 they're going to buy. So like it's this like there's like, as Andrew said, there's this kind of this now like set floor from billions of dollars in the TradFi world that is buying into the space, at least with Bitcoin to a lesser extent of Ethereum. And you mentioned this in there earlier. We didn't really even talk about it, Scott. GDLC getting approved, multi-asset index ETF. I think one that's massive.
Starting point is 00:20:49 That just goes in line to GL, the generic listing standards. BitW from BitW is going to come shortly after. Franklin has a product. paused indefinitely. Yeah, stayed. They'll come out. I think that category is likely to be the third biggest category. You can get Salon and XRP, which will be huge initially.
Starting point is 00:21:08 But I think these index basket products are going to the biggest product for at least the near future after Bitcoin and Eith, just because they have such a long head start. But if they had launched all at the same time, these basket products, as you mentioned, that's how people invest. That's how these RAs tend to invest. They want beta to this market. Like these basket products that say, all right, I'm going to give you the top 10 coins, X Bitcoin. And people are going to like, oh, I'm going to put a little in Bitcoin. I'm going to put a little in this beta. Yeah, and they'll figure it out.
Starting point is 00:21:32 And like, or they'll just, I don't know anything about this. I'm going to put 4% in this index fund that is 80% Bitcoin and 17% Ethereum, you know. And that's how this is going to play out. That's where most of the assets are likely going to go. James, quickly. I had Kyle Samani on, obviously, from multi-coin and Ford Industries, the huge Salana company that just launched. I had him on Sunday. And he said with pretty high conviction, Salani ETS was staking will be launched by October 1st.
Starting point is 00:21:54 I mean, we already have one. Rex Osprey's SSK has staking exposure. That's an eight days. That's why I'm asking James because he knows things. I haven't heard anything moving that quickly, but honestly, it wouldn't surprise me. It wouldn't shock me. I would probably take, if I had to bet on it, depending on the odds, I'd probably take the over. But I'd be shocked if we don't see them launch in October.
Starting point is 00:22:20 The part of the problem that I have caveats on is, the SEC is ready to approve staking in Ethereum ETFs. When Salani ETFs launched, they are going to launch with staking. The only concern is, like, part of that approval is like these are grant or trust. It's a specialized structure. They're not allowed to have income. So that's why they hold gold or silver or Bitcoin typically. The question is with Ethereum and Salon and some of these other coins is like, does staking yield count as income?
Starting point is 00:22:46 And like, the question isn't what the SEC thinks. It's more about the IRS's view. And I haven't heard any public IRS comment. So I think we could get to a situation of my view where the SEC says, I'm fine with this, but the IRS hasn't given a comment on whether or not this is allowed in like the tax code or what have you. So like that is the only area where I still have some questions in the back of my mind. I'm like, is this ready to go? Other than that, I'd be shocked if we don't see these things launch in October.
Starting point is 00:23:10 Do we still have an IRS? I thought that they got right. Does anybody remember the videos that Gensler made about steak versus staking? Oh, yes. They were very huge. those were yeah those yeah those were really good videos um but with you with staking ets doesn't this take a bit of the shine off of the all coin treasury companies i mean he his view is that it's very good but like you know if you can go buy an
Starting point is 00:23:36 etf and you get the nine percent boost from the staking you know it doesn't that kind of discourage you from paying a premium for a treasury company that's doing the same thing. There's more aggressive ways than just staking, right? The defy ecosystem allows you to press the pace as much as you want to. It's just a much smaller gap, you know. Yeah. So you just, yeah, if that flavor of ice cream fits your, you know, desires, then yeah, go go for the ETF. It's much easier. It's a much more convenient way to get that exposure. But if you do it yourself, you can dial it into whatever you want and you can press it in ways that you can't through an ETF yeah to me the the the Treasury company stuff is just a a pivot in a
Starting point is 00:24:24 almost a bit associated with all right there's nothing cool and fun meme coins are nobody's doing that anymore so let me take a flyer the kind of investors involved there let me take a flyer on this Solana you know Treasury company see what happens you know maybe their price moves three X and I make some money. There's a significant difference between a Bitcoin or Ethereum ETF investor and a Solana, you know, dat investor. Those are very, very, very different people. It's true. Speculator versus passive investor. Correct. Correct. Very, very different audiences. I like steel manning the arguments here because like I see the argument on both sides here,
Starting point is 00:25:07 right? So for an ETF, you're getting pure beta exposure to the asset with staking yield. Now, are they going to be able to stake 100% of the assets that remains to be seen, the liquid staking tokens? But there's concerns about being able to take money out of the staking queue, particularly with Ethereum. ETFs, they have redemptions on a daily basis. You need to be able to meet those redemptions. There are other assets, bank loan ETS, for example, that they have lines of credit basically because they take so long to settle bank loans that they can tap on that credit until the settlement actually happened. So there are ways around this. There are ways you can structure this. But you're just basically paying a fee to get
Starting point is 00:25:43 beta exposure. If you want exposure to basically a closed end fund, the way I think about, almost like a bank that's diving into these spaces, doing true defy, and you think they can, you know, outperform the underlying yield of the beta market. You're investing in active management. And honestly, we've seen with Saylor, he's actually been able to grow the actual Bitcoin per share over time. And so far, over the last few years, it's been a very good. a valuable way to invest, right? Like, he's actually able to do the things he's been saying. So if Samani, you know, Tom Lee or any of these other guys are actually able,
Starting point is 00:26:17 even if you're paying a premium to get exposure and they're able to grow, you know, that end Ethereum or Solana per share faster than you would be able to get it in just a beta exposure. Yeah. It could. That's the bet you're making when you're buying one of those things. So quickly, before you guys jump in, I know, James, you got to go. So anything else we might have missed that's on your radar?
Starting point is 00:26:36 Any final thoughts? No. like I said, we're going to see literally like hundreds in the next 12 to 18 months of crypto related products come to market. They're going to be covered call products that generate income on doge coin and bonk. And like we're going to see levered products on both sides. We're going to see active basket portfolios probably that are like picking different coins and waiting them however they want the way you would think an active mutual fund manager.
Starting point is 00:27:04 I mean, all this is going to happen in the next 12 to 18 months. I think there's also going to be like 18 to 24 months from now, a lot of liquidations. So like I said, people are going to throw shit at the wall and we'll see what sticks and the market will decide what has value. And the final thing I'll reiterate is I think there probably needs to be some additional rules maybe around volume or float or FDV, you know, any of those things that be besides what's like if you have a futures contract for six months on this platform, you can launch an ETF. I'm all for libertarian ideals.
Starting point is 00:27:33 I just don't want people taking advantage as exit liquidation. with some of these high-float low FD coins. So, yeah, that's my view in the space. This is extremely positive. Things are heading in the right direction. We're in a completely different world from when Gensler was here. And everyone's saying the SEC, is it moving fast enough, has no idea how slow a government agency can be. They're moving at lightning phase.
Starting point is 00:27:55 This is lightning case, even for a non-government agency. James, man, as always, thank you so much for joining. Appreciate everybody. Give them a follow. Jay Safe, right? Yep, Jay, Safe on Twitter. Thanks, guys. this was fun. Have a good rest of your day. Have a good one.
Starting point is 00:28:08 You too, James. He's going to go run some more. Yeah. Just a reminder. I feel guilty after. You didn't run. Yeah, but for you, it's like 6.30 in the morning, man. It is early, yeah. So unless people forget like speculation, ETFs, all kinds
Starting point is 00:28:23 of weird stuff coming to market, the most heavily traded ETF last year was like a 2X long Nvidia ETF. It was a leveraged product. that you know you had to go figure out and find people figured it out and found it and traded the heck out of it right so um you know whether it's speculation or not speculation i mean for all intents and purposes that's what most of the market is anyways um and so you know that crypto is going to add additional alpha additional trading volumes additional everything uh to the the current traditional system um and banks and broker and everybody in between is going to be all about it.
Starting point is 00:29:09 Makes everybody more money. Well, it gives you the ability. It's like having a new ingredient to work with as a chef. It gives you a much broader menu, right? You can produce things that you otherwise couldn't produce for your customer base. And James said something I think is exceptionally important to take note of. At this point, with these products that are launching, you're making as much of a bet on management as you are on anything.
Starting point is 00:29:40 And I think a lot of people get lost in the whole like, I'm just investing in Bitcoin and they make excuse. Now, well, there's ways to invest in Bitcoin where there is no management exposure. Bitcoin doesn't have management. It does what it does because it's Bitcoin and it's programmatically driven that way. When you're talking about combining assets and you're talking about debt mechanisms to buy more Bitcoin, whether you dilute your shareholders or you don't and all these decisions that go along with treasury companies and alike, you're talking about people trying to create an advantage, right?
Starting point is 00:30:18 And when you have to try to create an advantage, you have to take risks to do so. So there will be a lot of losers along the way. There will be a lot of winners along the way, and we're going to get to see who the brightest minds are and or who the luckiest people are in the space over the next 10 years and who gobbles up the market share. But I think that, you know, if you look at really what people are doing, they're injecting Bitcoin and altcoins into every type of model you can imagine. And they're doing it because it provides exceptional upside with relatively low downside if you believe this is the next revolution as it pertains to finance. So I think, you know, this is just the beginning. This is the tip of the iceberg, like we've talked about before.
Starting point is 00:31:01 I've given this analogy a hundred times. It's like we've driven across the Vegas or the Nevada state line and we're in the first gas station and we've never gambled before and we see these three slot machines and we sit there all day going, aren't these things great, not knowing that Vegas is right down the road that's being built? We're about to see Vegas unveiled over the next 10 years and there's going to be an infinite number of things. But ultimately, if you're not holding the asset, yourself, you're trusting management and their ability to multiply that at a greater MNAV than just holding the asset or a greater than MNAV than one. So it's going to be interesting.
Starting point is 00:31:43 There's going to be, you know, that digital asset treasury companies, how long did it take somebody to come up with that acronym? There's going to be 10 to 15 percent of those that survive, right? They'll go through a proverbial cycle. They'll survive. But those that do survive will be meaningful. I'm I always harken back to what happened during the you know the internet dot com bubble and then burst and oftentimes I talk about price line because I remember price line at like a dollar 92. The reason why I remember price line is because I was a broker back then and I have customers in it and there were there were mornings where I would wake up and it was down like 37 percent and I was sweating on my way into the office right the I hadn't looked it up in a while
Starting point is 00:32:29 Well, you know, price line, you know, change its name to booking.com. I had a few times on this show said, well, you know, it's $1.92. Now it's $2,000. Booking.com is $5,000 a share right now. $5,000, right? Yes, $5,000 a share. So also, I'm reminded that there was a time, I don't know how long ago it was, maybe 15 years ago, where private equity companies actually went public.
Starting point is 00:32:57 And at the time, basically, overall theme was, well, why are they doing this? What value do they really add? The shared prices didn't move in any meaningful way. Block Rock went public. KKR went public. I looked those up too. All of those have just completely skyrocketed beyond anything that I remember. Point being is that whenever there's a new category, that new category will go through a version of a washing machine and some of it will be like paper in your jeans and it will just literally dissolve and then there'll be some jeans
Starting point is 00:33:34 that actually come out of that cycle and you'll be able to wear them. They will make it through a wash cycle. We got the jeans in the paper. We got the jeans in the paper, the Vegas gas station. James had excrement hitting a fan, then shit hitting a wall
Starting point is 00:33:52 and a spaghetti machine, apparently that throws spaghetti at walls, which I need. yeah yeah and he used a word amplitude which i didn't think was real i googled it it is so that's i'm fact checking fact checking you on booking holdings ink and you're right it's fifty four hundred dollars a share all you do on that website is just saying hey i'd like yeah but i think i i want you to think about everything that pulls that type of value is a network that connects people and or collects a lot of data and then you know that qualifies if anything does i mean they've
Starting point is 00:34:31 collected a hell of a lot of data over the years so yeah so you know the the digital asset treasury movement you know will somehow survive again the tom leads of the world's sailors of the worlds uh you know and a few others you know the the guy solomani or whatever his name is that you you had on for world coin i think you just all that might be i i ran in Ayatollah is out there, but okay. Samani, which is actually called Kalami, but I've never heard of... I threw an L in there. I threw an L in there
Starting point is 00:35:06 on Samani. But, you know, there will be survivors and they'll do exceptionally well. We'll look back at them and say, holy cow, you know, you could have bought it for $7 and now it's at $1,100, right? And Nakamoto is trading at $1.25 right now. a dollar 25 might even be a slight discount to their net so the question then becomes you know are
Starting point is 00:35:31 you a believer in you know a tom lee type of management structure or that guy or whoever is running the ship at nakamoto that's the question you got to ask yourself right who's going to survive there you know what I mean well I don't think it's as simple as that I think it's one of those things where you say you know the I've heard this a lot it's like easy to become relevant harder to stay relevant right yeah man yeah it's like yeah you just have to hit one ball one home run to become relevant to become you stay relevant you got to keep hitting home runs and you know i think launching a treasury company is has a lot of sizzle to it and you see these huge moves i mean look at look at gemini's launch i mean i was very anxious to see what would happen with
Starting point is 00:36:23 their IPO because they put their, you know, financials out a couple of weeks or a month before, and they had lost, they were losing money. And so I wanted to see, like, do you trade at a positive MNAV when you're losing money? Or like, where does it fall? And it's just interesting to see that there's a lot of money that wants to speculate at the very beginning of things. And you see, you see these huge pumps. And then everybody, that's like becoming relevant, like Trump coin. It was relevant for 36, 48 hours, and then it became not relevant. And when you lose that, you know, staying relevant, there's an exit that's just really brutal. The attention economy right now that has been, you know, fertilized on TikTok and Instagram and Facebook and Twitter where everything
Starting point is 00:37:12 gets your attention for 30 seconds before you move on, literally world tragedies and everything, has fully been gamified in the stock market. Yeah. It's such a smart point. You see every one of these Christmas tree kind of charts where you have the massive pump and then the absolute dump because everybody gets financial advice from the internet or from a friend. They do no research. They buy the thing. Somebody tells them to buy 30 seconds later on their phone immediately. It's the top and they don't know when to sell it and ride it all the way to them.
Starting point is 00:37:41 And the only way you cut through that, both short term and long term, is innovation. You've got to have some version of innovation. and you have to keep innovating, right? You certainly have to keep talking about the innovation that you're doing, but you have to innovate. Like, you absolutely have to do it. You know, Nvidia could have stopped however many chips ago, and they'd still survive and be awesome, cough, cough, Cisco.
Starting point is 00:38:08 But they keep innovating. They keep every quarter, there's a new innovation that people need and want to get their hands on. It's been that way for several years now. It's the reason why, you know, it turned to, again, I've made this point several times on this show. There's a lot of people that sold when it, in video, went from $100 billion to a trillion dollar company, right? That was a dumb move because now it's, I don't know, anywhere between three and a half and a four trillion dollar company. So you almost four extra money from that point.
Starting point is 00:38:40 So, yeah, innovation is truly what, you know, what drives sustainability. You're talking about archpublic, right? You were talking about archpublic. One more thing on David Bailey and Nakamoto. I wouldn't personally bet against the guy becoming relevant again who got Donald Trump to come speak at his conference. Like, listen, you can go dormant
Starting point is 00:39:08 after your initial home run for a long time. He's got a lot of home runs. And there's going to be another home run down the road. That's exactly right. Listen, for me, like final words on Nakamoto, I was very critical, obviously. I wrote a whole newsletter on, like, I think one of my lines was like, right after it dumped was like, with all the rumors spreading buying this as just lighting money on fire, maybe. And then I bought it two days later. No, because I heard what they had to say, and I read his threads and all, and he did a great job at addressing the rumors.
Starting point is 00:39:39 I thought about all the things that you just said. And I decided, well, if this thing is trading at nav or below has massed. massive people that I believe in behind it, then this is as good a place to throw some money into this market as possible. I'm not saying I was right or wrong. I think criticism was fair. I think there were victims of a terrible, like, structure. You know, they launched kind of first, and then they had to wait for May to August until they could actually buy any Bitcoin, and then they had to wait a couple more weeks before the shares registered. You know, you get ahead over your skis or you try something first. There's going to be unintended pitfalls,
Starting point is 00:40:15 I think that come for you. But let's talk about not that. Let's talk about Archpublic and let's talk about future fun one. Because these are the things right now. This is all we actually care about. We just talked about all this other stuff for you guys. Speaking of innovation, I mean, again, whether it's adding exchanges, adding symbols, you know, the Gemini-Cracken, Coinbase, and Robin Hood now at this point,
Starting point is 00:40:42 we've got a couple of those a couple more of those coming on the way here over the next 30 to 60 days you know additional products you know we're you know a couple weeks away from from adding an entirely new product line that people are going to engage in our concierge program folks are going to get their hands on first yeah innovation is the name the game at arts public We simply, there's no reason to stop doing it and give people an opportunity to engage in just a massive, massive growing warehouse of strategies and products and opportunity for them to use and kind of, you know, just be blown away at the scale of what it is that we do at Archpublic. So it's the genes. It's not the paper. That's correct. User-driven automation, if you've never. experienced it before is something that really pulls back the curtain and exposes you to a world that you have always heard about, you know, high-frequency traders or, you know, systematic
Starting point is 00:41:54 trading. All these things are integrated into Tradfai and have been for a long time. And they actually rule the market. 70 plus percent of the volume every day is automatic. So you look at the crypto space, you look how fragmented it is, how disjointed it is. And a lot of you look how cumbersome it is to navigate, and then you try to multiply that times a hundred entries that you're trying to make into a position, and the headache becomes a hill that most people are unwilling to climb. And so Arch Public is about creating tools that make that hill less steep, make it easier to climb, and to give you exposure to things that allow you to take what your preferences are as a user, put those preferences to work, and
Starting point is 00:42:42 inside of an algorithm that will then execute against your preferences and set it and forget it and leave it. And then you're not having to be a slave to your phone and watching the markets and trying to time the markets and the emotional swings that go along with that, you have a systematic robot that's sitting there based upon what you've prescribed it to do acting on your behalf. And for anybody who hasn't heard us talk about this before, we built this as an effort, to solve problems that we were frustrated that weren't being solved in the space. And one of those big glaring problems were I wanted to use automation without trusting somebody else holding my money, trading it for me.
Starting point is 00:43:26 Well, our system is completely user-based. You can use it for free. You don't have to call us if you don't want to. You can sign up and load it up, read the instruction manual, and get trading very, very quickly. Your money stays on your exchange. We are now integrated with Gemini, Krakken, Robin Hood, Coinbase. We have a lot of integrations. So pick which one you want.
Starting point is 00:43:53 If you already have an account there, pick that one because it'll get you up. I'm waiting for Robin Hood. It takes a long time to transfer money into Robin Hood, by the way. Did it? Yeah. I'm still waiting for it to hit. It's like four or five days. I think maybe because I'm new.
Starting point is 00:44:06 But yeah, I'm going to be running a multiple six-figure portfolio publicly on the show every single week on Robin Hood, running the algorithms to compound Bitcoin. So, like, I'm just going to put this out out there. Guys, don't fuck this up. Because, like, if we do this, and I lose all my bit, no, I'm just kidding. It's going to be great. We know I've seen it. I back tested it.
Starting point is 00:44:28 We're going to just do it with my actual money very publicly so that we don't have to explain it as much anymore. Well, given the amount of price action just over the last 48 hours, we nearly have to create an entire show to go through all of your traits. I mean, you know, again, if you've got Solana and Suey set up on the arbitrage side and you've got three or four intelligent accumulation stuff happening on Bitcoin and Ethereum, you're talking about 12 to 14 trades inside of 48 hours just because of the price action. And again, it all happening, you know, at three in the morning when you're sleeping or you should be sleeping.
Starting point is 00:45:07 Sunday must have been fun for the algorithm. Exactly right. Well, a lot of people here over and over again, you know, volatility is a feature, not a liability of the markets. But when you ask the retail space, how are you harvesting volatility in this market? Nobody has an answer, including us, before we built these tools. Now you have a tool set that allows you to go, if Bitcoin drops by X percent by this much Bitcoin. Well, why would you want to prescribe that? Well, you're buying on dips.
Starting point is 00:45:41 That's literally the objective. So if you spread your capital out across a long period of time and you're buying on the dips, your dollar cost averaging on all the low points across that time period. And you can also set it to like if you make a certain amount and it goes back up a certain amount, sell a slight portion of that to cover the trade plus keep more Bitcoin, plus make a yield. And you can do it on Solana and other assets, which have a lot and Suey, which have a lot more volatility and compound that into Bitcoin. Guys, like I said, I'm just going to show it. We're going to talk about it every week exactly what's happening. There will be some weeks
Starting point is 00:46:18 where we're down. There'll be some weeks when we're up. But it's important to remember my goal isn't for the portfolio to necessarily be up. It's for me to efficiently add as much Bitcoin as possible with the money that I assigned. So if it goes to a fair market, I will have more Bitcoin, but yes, the dollar amount might be down, but that's not my goal. I'm not doing this to trade into dollar profit. I'm doing this to dollar cost average better into Bitcoin and farm the volatility on other tokens to do it. You just said exactly what the key point is. If your objective is to rebalance constantly between cash and positions, there's no better tool set that I've ever seen than what we have to do that. And so if you're in zero percent crypto and you want
Starting point is 00:47:03 exposure, there's a certain protocol and number of protocols that we can help. set up for you and you can set up for yourself that will accumulate into a position. If you want to take a position, you want to harvest volatility, there's a whole other setup that you can do in multiple setups and layers upon layers of instances and tradable events that you can engineer for yourself to harvest the volatility according to what your preferences are and what your objectives are. It's incredibly flexible, and once you start playing with it and once you start using it, one thing I will note, you can't, if your objective is to accumulate more of the asset that you're trying to accumulate Bitcoin, or if you're trying to play the
Starting point is 00:47:49 volatility, there is no losing. You're going to buy more Bitcoin. If Bitcoin's volatility happens, you're going to sell. Now, you get to prescribe, am I buying $500 of Bitcoin and selling 500 or am I buying $500 and selling 100? What kind of a bull bias? How much am I taking off the table versus how much am I leaving on for long-term appreciation potential? So incredibly flexible and it allows you to dial in exactly what you want to do based upon what cycle we're in and what period of the cycle we're in. Something else that needs to be said is because Tradfai markets are nearly 80% run by algorithms at this point. That's not the case in crypto. Nowhere, it's, you know, You know, you can make the case that maybe it's 10%.
Starting point is 00:48:38 We're nowhere near that number. So if you're a retail person using these tools, you are miles ahead of people that are not using these tools. You're effectively Jim Simons and Renaissance Tech in 1979. Did you guys ever see the video where Marshaun Lynch plays football with a bunch of high school kids? Yeah, exactly right. You're Marshaun Lynch as a running back against a bunch of high school.
Starting point is 00:49:03 in eighth grade now over the next five to seven years crypto will get there in terms of programmatic algorithmically you know running stuff um but you're you know you are miles ahead of everybody else if you're using these tools um so yeah that that's another thing to consider um if you want a front run algorithmic trading across crypto you have the ability to to do it here and by the way really nowhere else. Really nowhere else. Or if you're the prudent person that doesn't want to enter crypto because we're quoted all-time highs, you can set and forget strategies that will buy at the generational lows. Like it will wait for the bottom of the bare market. So you can use it literally for the entire spectrum of what an investor would like to accomplish. And it becomes
Starting point is 00:49:53 a very personal thing. Our team is exceptional in helping you through it. I saw the comment pop up. Luca is one of our employees over at Archpublic. Every one of our employees, I think today, maybe a couple aren't, but they're all ex-customers. They're customers that fell in love with the product and know it so well that they are now passionate about helping other people learn it and know it as well as they do. So if you have interest, here is the way we've set this up.
Starting point is 00:50:25 It's completely free to use. There's no watered-down version. It's the full, robust version of our software. You can go on our website, download it. You can set it up, and you can use it absolutely to your heart's content, absolutely free. There is a maximum tradable amount through the free version of $10,000 per year. So if you're under that, don't think about anything else. Go use it because it's going to be an exceptionally eye-opening event for you.
Starting point is 00:50:53 If you have more capital that you want to trade and you reach that limit, call us and talk to us about the concierge program. That's how we can put you in a specific area that allows more capital to be traded, and it gives you essentially hands-on help with setting those up and learning about the software. And that's become really our staple. We get more praise from our customers about our customer service and how we are engaged. Shouldn't we make a video of me? getting this set up with your people so that we have a video that shows the process like shouldn't we
Starting point is 00:51:33 but shouldn't we just I mean part of it can be me just waiting the beginning the video can be me waiting for money to hit Robin Hood just waiting but like couldn't we just turn it into like so people can see what this process is like and we would just have like little clips of hey this is like getting it set up on training view this is how we set the parameters because if you guys want to go with the parameters that Archpublic views. So I'm going to allow Archpublic to basically run this in the way that you guys would think is ideal based on my needs, right? Well, you're going to run it based upon what the historical performance.
Starting point is 00:52:08 Right. Yeah. So you, here's the truth, guys. When you do a historical analysis of previous price action and what a strategy would have done over a period of time, there is no correlation to the future unless things continue to remain the same and so that is what you're essentially looking at there but what it does help you do is it helps you get started and then once you get those default settings in there it's very simple to to change those you because everybody has a unique capital need like scott
Starting point is 00:52:41 you're a unique buying purchasing power compared to other customers so you're going to need to appropriate that the way that you want to appropriate it well yeah let's do a video and and we'll definitely kind of highlight the onboarding process and what it looks like. Yeah, I think the video with you, Scott, will add amplitude to... I just think, like, you know, what we've attempted... This whole show started with a equity trading portfolio, which is still, by the way, massively up. We just stop updating it.
Starting point is 00:53:11 But I think that the key here is just as much transparency as possible, which is why I was finally... I wanted to wait because, like, my very close friend is a top guy now at Robin Hood. I just wanted to do it with Robin Hood, right? And so obviously we could have done this with all the others. But now that we have the green light to do that, like, let's just run it. Have fun. Guys, you'll see if it's reaching my goals, we're going to be honest.
Starting point is 00:53:37 We can't be able to hide it. But also if we can just kind of go through this process that we talk about every week and show people what that process is like, right? I think it'll be a better the process and product, but also make people a lot more comfortable. But, guys, it's 100% my own money. There's no like, I'm going to put a large amount of money into this and we're going to run it indefinitely. I love it. We will be right there along the way to help you and set you up and we can film it and all that good stuff.
Starting point is 00:54:06 That's great. Hey, I know it's 958 and that means we're probably supposed to go, but we need to also talk about this. Yeah, we're exceptionally excited about the response that we've gotten so far on the Future Fund one. there's a lot of ways to try to tackle incorporating Bitcoin into, you know, what I would call traditional businesses. And, you know, real estate and real estate funds, I think, are such a beautiful fit that we have launched our own fund. If you're accredited and you are accredited investor, please reach out to us. You can go to this website right here and you can enter your information and we'll send you a deck and we'll have a conversation with you and explain to you
Starting point is 00:54:50 what we're doing. But very briefly, the function of this fund is to acquire real estate that produces cash flow from both operational cash flow, but also if we are, the fund is the landlord and is collecting rent rolls from that property. That cash flow is being deployed into Bitcoin. And so we are going to essentially be a Bitcoin accumulation fund on the back of tax-advantaged real estate that produces cash. And that's the model and that's kind of what we consider to be, in our opinion, the most prudent way to scale capital into a Bitcoin position because you have a natural dollar cost average mechanism built in in the fact that You know, a lot of the companies, if not all of them, are a 50% contribution to net operating income.
Starting point is 00:55:46 So if you have 50% of a business's income coming into the fund and we're acquiring it every month or every quarter in the fund, you're getting exposure over long periods of time to the Bitcoin curve. And you're not borrowing money to make those purchases so you have no liquidation pressure. There is no point where by which your model is bust. So it's a way, in our opinion, to add a ton of upside to what a lot of people would consider to be kind of boring cash flow real estate properties and juice that model with tremendous Bitcoin advantage. But at the same time, hedge against that with the tried and true tax benefits of the big beautiful bill and the real estate component of the, of the, of the, of the, of the. the fund. And what it does is it allows us to take some of the refinance opportunities inside of the properties that we own and repurpose that cash into high growth companies that will contribute
Starting point is 00:56:51 more and more net operating income into the Bitcoin Treasury. And a lot of companies that are high growth have a hard time raising debt capital to achieve the growth potential that they're they're able to achieve. One of our partners in the fund is a good example of that. They're one of the fastest growing franchises in America. They print cash in pretty much every store that they've opened. And it's one of those things is like the individual franchisees only have so much borrowing capacity to go expand into their territory. Well, our fund is something that is targeting those unique opportunities for expansion capital, but also have a great cash yield that we're able to secure with that investment. And that cash yield is what we're interested
Starting point is 00:57:41 in multiplying and compounding and putting into Bitcoin so that our Bitcoin Treasury continues to compound and multiply. So that's as short as I can make it. Call us if you're an accredited investor. We can talk. As short as I can make it. Yeah, that was pretty good. That was pretty good. I feel like I need an oxygen mask now. I didn't take a breath there. good and I'm going to put a bunch money in this too so you guys can watch that go sweet well listen tax advantage funds are I mean if you're familiar with them they're just kind of a no-brainer if you if you have a big tax tax liability the government has incentivized you to make investments in certain properties real estate you know equipment those types of things and so if you can invest in a fund
Starting point is 00:58:28 whereby which you have a tax liability you know there's a tremendous and 80 percent accelerated depreciation in the first year. So that's just, it has a lot of benefits besides the upside Bitcoin provides. We did it. 10.03, pretty good. So yeah, you guys can check that out. It is, let me just get the exact address.
Starting point is 00:58:50 You guys have it. It is future fund.archpublic.com and of course, just archpublic.com. You can find all of those things. Great conversation. I'm going to go for a run. James made me feel like they need to run. And otherwise.
Starting point is 00:59:04 So, oh, the final thing for those, you may have seen that Dennis Porter has been wildly teasing a massive announcement in the political realm of Bitcoin, which is today. While that is happening, he'll join later with whoever. I don't know what the announcement is. By the way, guys, don't shoot the messenger. I know everybody freaks out. They're like, wasn't big enough giving the forum on Cryptotown Hall. Also going to do an interview with them later today. But if you're wondering what this is, I am as well.
Starting point is 00:59:33 and it will be announced on Crypto Town Hall at some point during the show today from 10.50 to 11. Probably. I'm going to make Andrew at least join. Yeah, I'll be on there. Maybe even a bigger announcement, as Morgan Stanley just said, that they're going to offer Bitcoin and Crypto trading in the first half of 2026. By the way, that's going to happen with an acquisition that they're going to make. I've been hearing about acquisition rumors at Morgan Stanley having to do with Bitcoin and Crypto trading, exchange stuff.
Starting point is 01:00:02 but they did just announce that they are going to, yeah, they're going to be offering, you know, Bitcoin and Crypto trading spot type stuff in 2026. Yeah. Wow. There we go. All right. You will see you on Zespaces.
Starting point is 01:00:20 Thank you guys. See you soon. Bye. AI is reshaping the world. But right now it's stuck in the hands of just a few big players. But what if AI could run openly, verifiably, and on chain? That's what ZeroG is building. The world's first decentralized AI operating system open to everyone.
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