The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin SET For Lower As HyperLiquid Decouples! - Bloomberg's James Seyffart
Episode Date: May 22, 2026Bitcoin is stuck at $77K while Hyperliquid's HYPE just ripped 53% in seven days, with Goldman Sachs dumping its XRP and Solana ETF positions to rotate straight into HYPE infrastructure. Bloomberg ETF ...analyst James Seyffart joins the show live to break down what's really happening: the $6.25 billion options expiry showdown on May 29, Bitcoin ETF outflows hitting $1 billion in a single day, Truth Social abandoning its spot Bitcoin ETF race, and why Wall Street's smart money is suddenly more interested in HYPE than the king. Is this a generational rotation, or just another setup before Bitcoin reclaims the spotlight? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Bitcoin may be lagging.
but hype has exploded 53% and a lot of that is on the back of actual institutional adoption and
buying of the hype ETF.
Got the best person to talk about that and everything else that's happening on the institutional
side.
We've got Bloomberg's James Saferred here live.
Let's go.
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the show.
We're going to start right now.
I'm going to go ahead and bring on James.
James, good seeing you on a screen after seeing you in person, what, two weeks ago.
Yeah, it was fine.
I got to hang out and have lunch in Miami.
That was quite an interview that you had with Pomp there.
It kind of went a little bit viral, I think.
You got, like, I got Sailor right after he said he would sell Bitcoin, like first,
and you got Pomp right after he said that all of crypto is going to zero.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
He knows what he's doing.
He's a good market.
They both are, you know?
They both are.
They know how to push, push buttons and pull on strings.
I mean, it's actually interesting because if you listen to what he said, it's pretty accurate, right?
I mean, 99% of crypto, I think we all agree at this point.
is hot, steaming garbage, it needs to be thrown in the bin.
Yeah.
I mean, I would say it's completely uncontroversial, but when you say it a different way,
it can be a little bit controversial.
Yeah, I guess I'll give it that to him.
All right, so listen, let's start.
I want to start with the Solana ETF, Morgan Stanley.
You broke this yesterday.
This morning, Morgan Stanley submitted an amended filing for their Salana ETF,
ticker will be M-Sol.
We don't have a fee yet.
First of all, do we have a fee yet?
We still don't have a fee, right?
We still don't have a fee.
Unless the filing came in and I missed it this morning.
We don't have a fee.
I suspect usually that that final document that comes in a day, a couple days before it actually goes lives is when you see all the real information, like what the fee is going to be.
But this is an indication that it's coming in the near future, I would say.
Yeah.
How long does it usually take before these are actually listed once we see these filings?
So technically, they could have launched this already.
So they're not following like we're launching as quickly as possible because they only filed shortly after.
So they filed Bitcoin and Solon.
technically, I think on the same day are right back to back, and Ethereum was the day after.
So theoretically, if they wanted to, they could have launched all of them already because
it meets that like there's a clock, like a 75 day clock.
So really, it's up to them at this point.
Like it's approved.
They just got to get it out there.
So they're going to launch Solana and then they're going to launch ETH as well.
So this is with staking, correct?
Yep.
It has staking in it.
I think every Salon ETF has staking.
They had the benefit of launching after the SEC allowed staking in ETS, whereas there's a bunch
of Ethereum ETFs that still don't have staking in it.
just yet. It's really a big deal that it's Morgan Stanley, right? So like they've ramped up so much
in the last few months. It's almost astounding, right? They weren't really kind of the talk of crypto.
Then all of a sudden they came with a Bitcoin spot ETF, which maybe we should talk about.
I don't know if we've even talked about that specifically. Maybe we did last time. But they came in at
14 bibs, like clearly trying to compete in a very, very crowded market. And they have the
sales force, obviously, to go out and push it. But then they announced, I think Bitcoin,
Ethereum, Salana trading and also came in at way lower fees.
everyone else and now entering Solana of all things with staking and we'll assume that the fees are
going to be lower. So Morgan Stanley is a bank. I mean, they're not an ETF issuer. So.
Yeah. I mean, there's a few things here, right? Like you've, you've heard, you've had other people
talk about it that they came in. They don't launch a lot of ETFs for them to come in and launch an
ETF. And even when they do launch ETS, there's like no ETFs that been launched under the Morgan
Stanley brand name. They're usually on like subsidiaries like Eaton Vance and some of these other
companies that a lot of the crypto credit has never heard of.
Like, this is not something they usually do.
And, you know, they came in undercut at 14 bips.
It just makes it easier for all those salespeople, right?
A lot of them have fiduciary duties.
So, like, if you're considering putting money into, I don't know, another Bitcoin
ETF or another Solani ETF, it's just a lot easier to be like, all right, well, we have one.
And it's the cheapest one in the market.
So like, what's leaving the debate here?
Let's just put it in our own.
And like this goes back to something that our team likes to say, B.I.O.A is better than
PTOG.
So bring your own assets is better than paying the other guy.
even if you're not really saving that much money, it's way better.
I think they're basically offering this at cost.
It might even be a lost leader at the current assets.
14 bits.
There's no way they're making a lot of money.
Yeah.
It's like they have a couple hundred million.
They're playing the long game here.
One, you know, they have 16,000 advisors, $7 trillion assets.
I bet you those people have a lot of money in Bitcoin and Salon and Ethereum and some other
assets that are not under their fee umbrella.
So one, that can bring some of those fees in.
It looks good for this crowd because Morgan Stanley is a leader that are a believer in the space.
You mentioned the E-Trade trading that they own.
Like, they're leaning all the way in, and it might even help them get them new clients
because there's a lot of crypto people where, you know, 80, 100% of their net worth is in crypto.
And a Morgan Stanley advisor would love to be like, come to us.
We'll help you diversify and get safer stuff.
Yeah, I mean, they've come in like napom.
I mean, it was like no announcements, then Bitcoin, you know, ETF,
and all the spot trading to over 8 million customers on E-Trade and now it's a lot.
So I think you see where the puck is going.
And I think it's really interesting because one of the bigger stories that we had had
recently, and you and I had the same reaction.
I actually talked about this on Yahoo yesterday.
I called you the Oracle of ETFs.
I appreciate that.
ETF Oracle, maybe.
But analyst, this is you, says competition forced Trump-linked firm to pull
ETF filing.
So Truth Social had three, to my knowledge,
ETF filings, right?
It was big news.
They had the Bitcoin one, a Bitcoin and Eith,
and then I think a blended like Bitcoin Eaf, XRP,
of course, Kronos, because they manipulate that token.
Sorry.
They own a substantial charge of that token.
Right, but they kind of made this weird, vague excuse that, like, it was because of the 33 act and they wanted to do it under a different structure.
My take, and I think yours is, I can't say it specifically Morgan Stanley, but I will say Morgan Stanley, like came in so cheap and so hard that, like, why even try it?
Yeah, that has to be.
I mean, like I said, Morgan Stanley, there's no way, and you said it too, there's no way they're making a ton of money at 14 bibs.
They have a couple hundred million.
they came in with a huge splash, a massive name.
So like, what is true social going to do?
Like honestly, obviously it's a Trump link thing and maybe you'll get some assets from there.
But like, do we really need a 14th spot Bitcoin ETF at this point?
Like that's what it would be.
And like if there's when you differentiate on a product, it's like it's a commoditized product.
It is a spot crypto asset ETF.
And so you have to differentiate on brand or fee or there's.
And that's really it.
There's like not much else you can do.
Whereas again, I agree with you that the whole 33 act to 40.
stuff is, I don't even understand why they put out that press release because that has always
been the case. Like from when you filed it, the 40 Act has more protections, but you can't offer a
spot single asset crypto ETF in a 33 Act product. So I think they will come into space.
They'll probably launch a 40th product that'll be a little more active. They'll maybe own some
equities. They'll own some crypto assets via other ETFs, maybe. Who knows? I don't know what they're
actually going to do. But like it's very hard to be differentiated. It's very hard to be profitable.
And there's a lot more like unique things. That's where we're going now with these crypto ETF launchers.
you'll get commoditized on these single asset spot products out there.
And it's not going to be a big moneymaker for anybody who's like a small issuer.
I think it's also interesting.
Like truth social for all of the Trump crypto exposure, they've lost a lot on crypto, right?
All of those other more kind of, we'll call them crypto DGEN or native things, launching the meme coin and earning the fees,
World Liberty Financial, obviously.
They're stable coin, USD1.
They've made tons of money on this.
I think that they, in their earnings, reported like a 4007, 400.
something million dollar unrealized loss on their crypto holdings here.
So this is not an organization that actually needs to double down further on crypto right now.
No.
And I don't think they're going to walk away completely, but it just, this just doesn't make sense.
I think it's a, I think this is a good decision by them as much as like the crypto crowd is
like, I also heard a lot of people saying, oh, this is because of clarity.
And Trump is like, you know, this is ethic stuff.
And he's like, you know, taking a step back.
I'm like, this has nothing to do with that.
And honestly, even if it does and it's like a happy accident, that is not going to be
the primary driver here of what true social is doing with their ETF launches.
Okay, so let's talk about hyperliquid.
I just pulled up a chart because I want to like dunk on myself.
I had Arthur Hayes on last week and he was like espousing the virtues of hype and pumping as he does.
And I'm looking at it right now.
It looks like I was thinking, wow, this thing's trading too high.
It was at 39 bucks right in here somewhere.
right there's last Wednesday.
But $39, $38, $38,
now hitting an all-time high at $58 or 59.
And on that show, I was like, dude, you convinced me I need to go by hype.
And then I did what I'd do.
I had ADHD and I was like, oh, look, a squirrel.
And I didn't do anything.
And now I would be like retired.
No, I wouldn't on that move.
But like, there's a lot going on here, right?
So hype is up massively.
I think it's one token that people are pointing at and saying,
I can understand how to value this thing in the same way that we value other things.
So I think it makes a lot of sense.
How much of this, though, has to do with the ETF?
Because maybe you can break down the ETF numbers because I think I've been pretty solid.
They have been really good, actually.
This is the best of the alt-coin launches we've seen in a while.
Like Solana obviously did very well.
XRP also did well when they launched back in October.
And we have two products here.
So 21 shares was the first to launch on May 12th.
Bitwise followed soon after.
I think Grayscale will probably be launching one.
in the relatively near future.
But like the one thing that we say that you want to look for,
like sometimes things come out and they come out and they launch with a big splash,
right? And then it just kind of like pitters away and just like it goes down.
What we've seen on these things, if you look at the volume on both of them,
like it's increasing volume every single day, flows are picking up.
So we went from like 1.8 billion for the T-hype launch.
And then now as of yesterday, these things traded 41 million,
just yesterday alone.
So total flows were, it's only $53 million, which again, I'm not saying that's nothing,
but we're not talking like billions of dollars that have come into these ETFs.
So I don't know how much of this is like from the ETS or like, you know, second order effect
from the ETSs. The ETSs are doing really well. But in aggregate, they've taken in 53 million.
Yesterday was a $25 million haul. The day before was 11, the day before that was four.
So these things have taken in money every single day and it's growing and we'll see how long
that continues, but it's a good sign.
What's interesting though, I mean, XRP was very successful, right?
and launched in October, though.
So that was still near the peak, peak, peak of the market, at least for Bitcoin, right?
Well, no, actually, sorry, they launched at like the end of October, early November.
So we'd already had 10-10.
So actually launched into the start of the collapse, the first collapse before the final collapse in February.
Well, I said final.
I don't want to jinx it.
Maybe that wasn't the final.
I just find it interesting that in this market where all coins have been doing effectively
nothing, hype kind of has this hype, no pun intended.
But, I mean, this thing is running when kind of nothing else.
is and the fact that they're doing any inflows, I think is meaningful.
Like I said, I don't own this thing.
Like now, I probably never will because, as you know, if I buy it today,
this will be the top.
Yeah, yeah, you will mark the top.
So do me a favor.
Make sure you tweet it out.
I'll put you on notifications.
And let me know when you tweet that you finally jumped into the hype train.
We could heavily short this thing.
I'll put it out to my clients.
It is the way that it works, though, right?
So, like, I think it was Matt Hogan that said, so Bitwise, obviously, he's made a lot of comments about hype.
But, you know, he said Hyperliquids hype, one of crypto's most undervalued assets.
I think Bitwise actually is putting hype on their balance sheet, like a percentage of the hype sales from the ETFs is going on their balance sheet.
A lot of people I really respect believe in this thing.
I think he also kind of alluded to before this even launched and they weren't first, as you said,
that hype would be kind of the last meaningful single asset ETF we would see.
being crypto. What do you think of that? I think it's possible. So the way my framework, one,
I will say, yeah, they're putting a chunk of their profits into hype and onto their balance
sheet, which they're not doing for anything else. They are putting money into like foundations
and stuff and some of these other crypto projects. But I tend to agree. The way I look at this
is I look at the size of the underlying market versus the rest of the crypto market. And then I
kind of assume that the ETS in general are going to be somewhere in that bandwagon, like in that range,
Right. So it's going to be like if it's number 12 on the list, it should be somewhere around number 12 in the
ETFs. And like any sort of outperformance or underperformance versus that level of the underlying
market is an indication that maybe Tradfai or normal traders on the brokerages are like more
interested in that. So like I'll give you an example of a horrible one. No one gives a crap about the
Doge ETS. Like there is very, very little interest, which shouldn't be surprising to anyone, right?
Maybe there would be the more interest than we saw. But like there's there's very little interest.
and hype seems to be the opposite.
I mean, we're still very early.
I don't want to act like we know what's happening after a few days,
but I agree with you,
and I agree with what Bitwise is saying.
This could be tier.
Yeah.
I think what's happening here then, like,
as the more you talk about it is that, you know,
this launched at the perfect time on an asset that was capturing the zeitgeist
and sort of was in the moment.
Like, if you launched a Doge ETF when Elon Musk was tweeting about it
and like,
yeah, true.
I think it would have gone bananas.
But the Doge ETS launched a time when literally everybody's forgotten about
and given up on Dove, right?
So yeah.
I mean, it goes back to what you said as well.
People can understand this, right?
You have the revenue flywheel that's happening where like the more trading that happens
on here, the lower the supply goes and and vice versa.
And the more interest and people are talking about hyperliquid, the more clients are getting.
So it's like this positive reflexive flywheel that's good for price.
And I think people just understand, you know, stock buybacks and what this is and trading
and revenue.
It's for people in TradFi, it's very easy to get around some sort of valuation metric
this thing. Yeah, I mean, there it is. Hyper Liquid has quietly become crypto's dominant
fee engine capturing 43% of all chain fees, 11 million weekly. By the way, it's sad that we're
only doing like 20 million weekly based on those numbers. But as perpetual futures continue
to out monetize nearly every other on-chain activity category, I mean, we also had the news
over the weekend that the CME and ICE, New York Stock Exchange, parent owner, like we're petitioning
the CFTC and the government to basically shut hype down, right? Because you're having price
discovery on oil contracts at like 700 million a day volume on hyperliquid on a Saturday,
it's actually starting to affect markets.
Kind of reminds me of actually polymarket during the election, sort of like capturing
that moment and then becoming huge.
It feels like that's what's happening with hyperliquid when metals blew up there and oil
blew up because it kind of jumped the shark from being just a crypto Dgen thing.
Yeah.
And also they're doing pre-IPS stocks.
They did the cerebis stock.
They actually, it was pretty, it was priced pretty damn well.
I go back to.
And if you volume on that, I think, then the NASDAQ was doing on the pre-IPO shares and whatever
structure they're doing.
Yeah, I mean, and obviously, I mean, the IPO pricing number is like not exactly what you
want to look at for exactly what this thing is worth.
But it was way off from what it actually traded, whereas if you look at was on hyperlicker.
But as you said, like, I go back to there's a lot of people, people I work with people
just in media and financial media in general that like kind of tend to like shit on
crypto assets or anything in general, this whole space.
And like, it's funny because like some of these people, they're like during the election,
they were talking about polymarket odds.
And all of a sudden the same sorts of people that really don't like the space were like
using hyper liquid trading numbers for oil and all this stuff you mentioned.
So it's any time that you can have an asset or a protocol or something in crypto where it like
just breaks through the zeitgeist, I think that's a really positive sign.
And I think the best stuff for some of these crypto assets is like they're just on the
back end.
And some people don't even realize that they're using crypto rails, blockchain.
real to look at what they're doing.
Yeah, I mean, the minute it'd be cut, like, the token is one thing, but I think probably
most people who go to trade on hyperliquid or who's soon coming don't, like, know it's
necessarily a crypto thing.
Like, if you're an oil trader and you hear, hey, there's this hyperliquid thing where
you can go on weekends and trade it, they're probably just going there and like, wow,
these perpetual swaps are awesome.
Yeah, as long as you're not a U.S. person.
You can't do it as a U.S. person, but we'll see if that changes anytime soon.
Yeah, it's really interesting.
I mean, you kind of mentioned pre-IPO.
Maybe it's worth talking about SpaceX because, you know, they've filed,
and it looks like in the next three weeks, SpaceX is going to go public.
I mean, here's an article from Bloomberg that I think probably has the right sentiment here.
SpaceX, IPO requires leap of faith in AI, Mars, and Musk's vision.
Like, that's the understatement of the century.
Listen, I'm very skeptical of this, not because of any feeling on SpaceX.
I think this is one of the most important companies on the planet.
and will be. But like this is being so hyped and is valued so high. I think it's a 94x earnings or
something. And at the peak, in video was at 30. Yeah. I mean, it's it's kind of crazy. I mean,
if you look at this thing that I think there's looking at pricing at 1.75 trillion. And like if you,
I'm not going to act like I know how to value these things, but like the numbers just like to me don't
justify it. But again, this is one of those things where like people said the same thing about Tesla.
And it's been, if you look at the Mag 7, everyone talks about overvaluation, they came in hugely over the last few years.
Even Nvidia has like, it's earning price earnings multiple, as you kind of mentioned, is way lower than it was, even when it was going early days of its go-go days.
But Tesla is still trading in insane multiples.
And it's one of those things that, you'll hear people like, love the product, love the company, don't love the stock.
Like you can do that and you can think everything is great and what they're doing is awesome, but you can think that it's overvalued.
Obviously, anyone who's like steeped in value CFA type material like I am, you look at this and you're like, there's like that one meme of people throwing out the intelligent investor in the garbage.
And that's kind of like what you just have to like do when you're doing some of stuff.
Yeah, I'm looking at the numbers.
Valuation math has it.
Target IPO valuation is 1.5, but people are saying 1.75 or 2 trillion.
So it's trading right now pre-IPO, as you said, on hyperliquid, finance, OKX.
all of them have launched perps, right? So you can trade this with leverage in advance, right,
for price discovery, I guess. So they lost, but they lost 1.94 billion in Q1. So you can't
even really do a price. You can't really even do a PE ratio. Right. But so 94x 2025 ratio,
109x trailing revenue. So average space stocks are at 4x sales. And they're, so they're targeting 23x
the industry average if you just view them as a space stock, which I don't. But yes,
Yeah, so Viniet peak AI hype was 30X.
So that would be three times at Tesla today is it seven to eight X.
So yes, of course, maybe it's not fair to value SpaceX at revenue because of what SpaceX is.
But this does feel like two things happen, right?
I know a lot of people who bought these like secondary shares over the years, you know,
like anthropic now raging against that.
They're all up 30, 40, 50 times.
I don't know.
Like they're all up massively even if you bought the later round.
Those people are all selling, every one of them, right, that I know.
I'm only speaking anecdotally.
So they're selling to retail is going to buy this at 94x valuation.
The other question is, where does the money to buy this come from?
Like, is there enough dry powder on the sidelines for retail to FOMO into SpaceX IPO?
Or are they going to sell all their other MAG7 stuff to get into it?
Well, the other, they're only IPOing, I think, like, $75 billion.
So, like, they're going, there's only, they're only have to sell $75.
but well, only $75 billion.
I mean, that's a lot of money.
But when you consider $1.75 trillion or $1.75 trillion.
So do you know who's going to buy it?
A bunch of these indices have changed their rules to go to a fast data rule.
So basically, they usually wait a year.
You look at the NASDAQ 100.
You look at the S&P, the Russell 1000.
We're going in the weeds a little bit here.
But something that I've written about and looked into is like these companies are,
these index providers are changing their rules.
So they're going to add them even faster.
So I think SMP moved to six months.
Don't quote me on that.
But NASDAQ, who won the last.
who won the listing moved to like 15 days.
So usually you have to wait 100 days after IPO
to get into that index, but now it's 15 days
and they're actually putting a multiplier on the float.
So you're actually gonna hold it at a higher weight than it's float.
So some of the buyers here are gonna be passive
ETFs and mutual funds that are gonna-
And it'll be, if it goes into the NASDAQ 100 and 15 days,
right, at a 1.5 trillion, 1.7.5.2,
you have to imagine it's the heaviest weighted thing in the NASDA,
one of the top five heaviest weighted in the NASDAQ.
Yeah, well, it will go float adjusted.
So they only look at like what's actually float.
So if they, if they're 1.5 and they float 75, they'll use that like ratio.
So it'll only, they'll only value it based off that $75 billion number.
But the NASDAQ is also doing like a multiplier if it's a certain size.
Basically what this is, is I, if you read between the lines, NASDAQ did everything they could to like get Elon Musk to Lisk on there.
Yeah, he didn't do this in the, right.
I mean, he went NASDAQ, which I think was a huge story.
makes sense. Everyone does it. And the other thing is like this actually kind of makes sense to some
I don't know about the multiplier of the of the actual flow, but like stocks are not going public at,
you know, $100 million valuation and you need to give them time to grow in the public markets. I mean,
you have open AI, entropic SpaceX just to name three massive, potentially massive companies.
Like these are not small companies anymore. These are their own like behemoths. So like at some extent,
if you're going to come to a market valuation around a trillion dollars, these indices probably
should be adding them quicker than waiting a full year.
Like that's just possibly not the right way to do it.
What's Nvidia's market gap, five, six trillion or something?
Yeah, something like that.
I don't even know.
40% of it in Nvidia, something like that, but absolutely massive.
Yeah.
And then did you see the rulemaking from the SEC yesterday about IPOs?
They're also loosening.
I don't know if that has anything to do with the timing, but Atkins basically saying they're
loosening the rules around IPOs.
A lot of people saying that can help crypto companies get public faster and easier,
but maybe that also contributes here.
By the way, I'm already concerned about SpaceX being too big,
SpaceX and OpenAI if they happen in the same.
I don't.
Yeah, there's going to be a lot of,
there's going to be a lot of sucking of liquidity on this market.
I don't know how much, you know, they're going to go out with the float on any of those
things, but it's going to take up over a lot of things.
But one of the things the SEC has long talked about,
and people in the industry have talked about,
it's like, we need to make it easier and less onerous for companies to go public.
Because it's very expensive to do a quarterly report.
So that's why there was a lot of talk about maybe allowing some people to go to like
semi-annual reporting rather than quarterly reporting.
All these things are like kind of ways to like, let's not force people to stay private or not
force them, but like make it a lot more advantageous to stay private.
But you have so much money sloshing around in VC and all these things.
They're willing to let these companies stay private as they grow and expand.
And things have kind of changed.
But this stuff from the SEC is,
is one of those things. They want to help capital formation in the public markets and give people
a better option than just sticking with VCs. But most people, they tend to like to stay private and stick
with VCs. Yeah, I was looking. I mean, the Saudi Aramco, I think, was the previous largest raise
for an IPO and that was 29.4 and this is 75. So yeah, even though, I mean, this is just like
this is on a level that's never been, that we've never ever seen. Polymarket has it 70% odds
that SpaceX IPO closes above $2.000.
I mean, I wonder if any of this, there was articles about this, actually.
I think CoinDest had an article that said they think that these ICOs now trading pre-market
on finance and such may actually be siphoning a lot of the liquidity from other
crypto markets, including Bitcoin.
I find an interesting take.
I can't say that I don't necessarily think the person who was going to buy Bitcoin is
buying SpaceX right now on finance with leverage.
But this is yet another thing that's certainly going to take.
liquidity out of alt coins if it's on the same platform.
I think the next markets have eaten all coins, silver and gold, oil, all these things on the
same platforms.
But Bitcoin, I don't buy that.
Yeah, I think it maybe will take interest away.
Like my view is like we, when I go back to what happened when we started with this Iran
conflict, I would have expected Bitcoin to go down way further than it actually did.
And I think part of the reason it didn't is because you had trading of actual oil on hyperliquid
and stocks and things like that.
So I think the instances of like Bitcoin just getting destroyed over the weekend when some geopolitical event happens because people are trying to upload risk, I think that has kind of lessened because you have these IPOs, the stocks, these other things that you can trade that are more directly correlated to like financial markets or the traditional markets of whatnot.
So I don't, but I don't necessarily buy like people are just trading these and not trading Bitcoin anymore.
I think Bitcoin has kind of grown up at this point and people understand what it is, digital gold, what have you.
So I don't know how much I buy that it's taking away.
but maybe it is. I mean, it's certainly a lot more interesting to trade.
Anyone who's looking to trade with massive leverage on super volatile stuff, Bitcoin might lose out to SpaceX stock.
I mean, the ticker, did you know this?
SPCX, it was an ETF ticker for SPACs.
And the guy who runs that company held onto it didn't liquidate the fund for years because he was hoping that somebody else would take it.
And that's what happened.
That's how space got in the early 2000s.
Exactly. Same thing happened with Meta.
There was, Roundhill was an issuer, and they owned the meta-ETF, and they sold that ticker to Facebook so they can use it.
How much do the SBCX ticker is worth?
I don't know. A lot of money. I asked. I tweeted that. I tweeted at Tuttle, who's the guy that did it.
He just, he responded with a gift saying, you can't talk about it. There's probably, there's almost certainly NDAs and whatever happened behind the scenes there.
As a secondary story, actually, in this IPO, I think they disclosed their Bitcoin holdings, and it was a lot more even than RDAs.
Arkham and on-chain analysts thought. So they had 18,712 Bitcoin at $1.29 billion,
which is a rounding error when you're a $2 trillion company, I guess, but would be a lot for other
people. That was 2.2x more than the 82,850 estimates from Arkham and Bitcoin Treasuries.
So basically they had 10,000 more Bitcoin than everyone expected. This is separate from
the Tesla Bitcoin, and they've never sold any, which Tesla has. So it's kind of interesting
part of like nuance, I guess, for us. I'd take a few thousand Bitcoin. If
if anyone wants to throw it my way.
I mean, yeah, that was the thing that like I tweeted about the IPO and I was looking
at some of the stuff like actually on SpaceX.
And the thing that went viral in our world was just the number of Bitcoin that they actually
hold.
But yeah, the value.
The other thing that's in there that we didn't really talk about is like they say their
Tam is like 28.5 trillion.
They're total addressable markets.
They told the biggest Tam in human history.
And I was like, oh, man.
So I'll give you my.
my hot take on how this valuation gets justified, SpaceX and Tesla just merge.
Oh, yeah.
I think that I think that's more likely than not to happen within the next before 2030.
I don't know how quickly it'll happen, but SpaceX and Tesla are going to merge.
I think everyone thinks this is going to happen.
I mean, you got, you know, like, why is SpaceX even different?
If we're valuing each of them beyond being a space company and a car company and we're talking
about AI companies and AI and all robotics, right, all the other things they do, it makes
sense to kind of lump them all together, I think.
So, yeah, that's pretty much all I wanted to cover, man.
I think we nailed it.
Anything else on your mind?
No, I mean, one of the reasons we did today was because I thought we had the 13F data
and we get some interesting information, but there was very little information.
It was kind of more of the same minor outflows in Q1, not much to write home about.
I mean, the biggest news was Dartmouth bought us a bunch of different crypto ETS.
That was the only thing that was like...
And Harvard sell a bunch last week.
Harvard sold.
They trim their positions on Bitcoin and,
and I think,
Heath.
But yeah,
I mean,
I mean,
the one thing,
you mentioned Saudi before,
but the one thing is the UAE actually continued buying.
So they bought more Ibit.
That's,
there's really nothing else going on there.
The one thing I would say is like,
where the Bitcoin ETFs kind of got near their all time high of 62 billion
of net inflows.
They just had a billion of outflows in the last week or so.
But Salon and XRP,
they're not seeing tons of inflows,
but they're seeing trickles of inflows
basically every single day.
So, but yeah, there's just not much to write about
on what's going on there.
I like boring.
We're heading.
Also, you know, sell a man, go away, right?
I anticipate boring summers.
Doesn't mean sell a man, go away,
but maybe just stop paying attention in May and go away and come back
when things get more exciting.
You can shut up your brain for a little bit, yeah.
Yeah, it's a nice thing to have.
Usually it's not a sign of, you know,
that the market's going to go horribly wrong.
I think it means that we'll probably just slowly grind
up with time and then people pay attention again eventually. James, thank you so much for your time,
man. Always appreciate it. Look forward to catching up in person again soon. Yep, thanks.
Good to see you. Let me know when you ultimately buy hype.
I will.
On leverage. All right, guys, that's all we got. See tomorrow.
