The Wolf Of All Streets - Bitcoin To Hit $1 Million?!
Episode Date: June 13, 2025This week on Friday Five, I break down why Mike Novogratz believes Bitcoin could soar to $1 million - and what that means for markets right now. From the explosive GENIUS Act stablecoin bill and ETF m...ilestones to bullish treasury moves and a fiery clash between Jim Chanos and Michael Saylor, crypto is heating up on all fronts. We also cover major IPO news from Thiel-backed Bullish and why U.S. regulators are suddenly calling self-custody a “foundational American value.” Don’t miss this jam-packed episode! ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEKDAY! 👉https://thewolfden.substack.com/ ►► Arch Public Unleash algorithmic trading. Discover how algorithms used by hedge-funds are now accessible to traders looking for unparalleled insights and opportunities! 👉https://archpublic.com/ ►►TRADING ALPHA READY TO TRADE LIKE THE PROS? THE BEST TRADERS IN CRYPTO ARE RELYING ON THESE INDICATORS TO MAKE TRADES. Use code '10OFF' for a 10% discount. 👉https://tradingalpha.io/?via=scottmelker Follow Scott Melker: Twitter: https://x.com/scottmelker Web: https://www.thewolfofallstreets.io/ Spotify: https://spoti.fi/30N5FDe Apple podcast: https://apple.co/3FASB2c #Bitcoin #Crypto #FridayFive The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own and should in no way be interpreted as financial advice. This video was created for entertainment. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing contained in this video constitutes or shall be construed as an offering of financial instruments or as investment advice or recommendations of an investment strategy or whether or not to "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold" an investment.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Bitcoin to hit $1 million?
Mike Novogratz thinks so, and we've obviously seen many pundits and analysts say the same,
Cathie Wood, Michael Saylor, and others over the years.
I'm going to tell you why he's saying we're headed to a million bucks, but also today,
more importantly, is the Friday Five where I review the biggest stories of the week.
No NLW today, so you're stuck with just little ol me. Let us go.
It's Friday, you ain't got no job and you ain't got shit to do.
That's not my words.
That is the words of Chris Tucker from the movie aptly named Friday.
And that is also the case for my co-host NLW who apparently is off gallivanting around
the world and does not have the time to grace us with his presence.
Just kidding.
We love him.
He's a legend.
And it's always great to have him reviewing the news
because he does it every single day on the breakdown
and digs far more deeply into these stories
than I generally do.
But we're gonna go ahead and start and make do
with just myself here.
Let's go.
The first story obviously here,
Bitcoin sinks as Israel escalates. Iran standoff with airstrikes. As everybody
knows, we are in the brink of war in the Middle East with
Israel attacking Iran. Iran retaliating. We're not going to
dig into politics and the geopolitical nature. But of
course, we generally see markets react when we have geopolitical
strife. In this case, we have gold soaring.
We have oil way, way up.
But strangely, we had Bitcoin down.
Obviously, I don't think Bitcoin is a correlated asset.
Doesn't bother me at all, but many will say that this is a risk off environment,
and Bitcoin will be trading like a tech stock in this environment.
To them, I say, let's look at the chart.
Oh, yes. Great article. trading like a tech stock in this environment. To them I say, let's look at the chart.
Oh yes, great article, but Bitcoin dipped right down
to the 50 MA all the way back up to 104,800
as we are talking.
In my mind, a bit of a nothing burger,
not the geopolitical part of it,
the Bitcoin price action part of it.
I think there's really nothing to see here thus far as for
our title story here galaxies novogratz suggest bitcoin hits one million if adoption trend persists
listen this was in an interview that he recently gave nothing new here basically saying that its
current rate of adoption bitcoin will reach parity with gold,
if not surpass gold with a superior digital version.
And what does that mean?
Well, apparently that means, you know,
a market cap of $21 trillion,
which would be about a 10X, you know, at a million bucks,
do some math, carry it to zero with a one,
21 million coins, right?
So that would basically equal the market cap
of gold right now.
Obviously, he also believes that the younger generation
is gonna continue buying Bitcoin.
We have the institutional bid, the Wall Street bid,
the sovereign bid, the literally everybody
on the planet bid right now coming into Bitcoin.
And that should mean nothing but up for our beloved asset.
A million dollars is a hyperbolic prediction for sure, but he's not saying that it happens
tomorrow.
The next story we have here outside of the price action is stablecoins.
Of course, it's stablecoin time guys is what we're doing.
Oh, look, I'm glitching.
Great.
Back in the glitch today, it's showing really bad wireless,
even though I have great wireless.
StreamYard is officially tripping day two.
Crypto industry back stablecoin bill advances
in US Senate.
As we know, the genius act to be voted on early next week,
likely on Monday, and we think it will pass.
There was a lot of controversy in the early days of this bill obviously everybody thought that it was a layup and then all of a sudden we had this situation where Democrats basically block
cloture which is a word that I'm convinced they made up just for this to make themselves sound
smart but then all those things got resolved.
And now we have 65 plus votes in the Senate, which is unheard of for literally anything,
a bipartisan effort to get the stablecoin bill passed, which we will likely see on Monday
or Tuesday, which means it goes to the House where it will also pass.
And that goes to the president's desk.
Will it will also pass?
There is a heavy thirst for stablecoin action here in the United States and it's a coming
and we got a lot of other stable coin news to support this story.
We have Scott Bessent, great name Scott, says two trillion reasonable for dollar stable
coin market.
I believe he says this by 2028.
Actually, I don't
think he's crazy on this. The 10X and stable coins, once we get legislation on the books and the rules
of the road are clearly laid out, nothing surprising there. I don't think that anybody doubts that could
happen, especially with the proliferation of new stable coins from the likes of, I don't know,
Amazon and Walmart who are issuing their own stable coins.
We saw news this week as well that Metta
was gonna run it back with the old Libra project
that was originally so unpopular on Capitol Hill.
Elizabeth Warren literally had her head explode again
this week when she heard that Metta Facebook
slash Metta Facebook slash face Metta,
whatever it's called, I don't know.
What's the Insta face snap book.
Nobody knows, but it is provocative.
Yeah, Elizabeth Warren had her head exploding once again
that we can possibly be getting these private stable coins.
And in the meantime,
Shopify teams up with Coinbase and Stripe
and USDC stable coin payments push.
This is on base, pretty crazy. Shopify, this is inbase and Stripe and USDC stablecoin payments push.
This is on base.
Pretty crazy.
Shopify, this is in a team with Stripe who already uses USDC.
Stripe actually have been long proponents of stablecoins, adopted it much earlier than
people realize.
And if you want to use Stripe and make payments and they do it internally, all the things
they do weekends and nights, they've been using stablecoins here actually for quite
a long time. So it's actually
Not surprising that Shopify will be teaming up with the two of them to do this
But we're looking at them using base which is of course coin basis layer 2 and
34 countries to be able to pay for items on Shopify
using
USDC wild I don't know if you guys saw this next story,
but we have the world's most famous short seller,
Jim Chanos, going at it with our own demi-god
of Bitcoin buying Mr. Michael Saylor.
As you can see, I am struggling here with the internet.
So Saylor said below here on Bloomberg TV,
I explained STRK, STRF, STRD,
the risk of shorting micro strategy,
the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies,
our 100% Bitcoin strategy, debunk quantum FUD,
and show why AI is bullish for Bitcoin.
That is a lot.
As Jim Chano says, this is of course,
complete financial gibberish.
Mr. Saylor wants you to value his business based not only on the net value of his Bitcoin
holdings, NAV, and market, but additionally with a multiple on the change in that NAV.
Basically, now he can leverage his balance sheet.
We've got a clip here about two minutes long of Chano speaking directly on this.
This is a wonderful salesman, but that's what he is.
He's a salesman.
And what he's selling investors is the concept
that you give me your money,
and I'm just gonna go buy Bitcoin.
And hopefully the value of my stock trades at a premium
to the value of that Bitcoin.
And so as long as I can keep doing that, I generate value.
And this is, of course, I called it financial gibberish,
because on top of that, he he also said in your interview,
he said, the company should not just
be valued on the basis of the Bitcoin holdings,
but on a multiple of the profits that
accrue from when I do this financial alchemy.
And I pointed out on social media,
I said, well, that's akin to saying, well, my house
that rose in value from $450,000 to $500,000 last year is not worth $500,000.
It's worth $1.5 million because it's worth the $500,000 plus a 20-multiple on the $50,000
increase.
And, of course, that's absurd.
But that's the claim he's making.
And let me just interject really importantly here. I'm actually doing what he is advocating,
right? I am selling micro strategy securities to buy Bitcoin. Let's be clear. It's a hedge
trade. I don't know where Bitcoin is going to go.
And it doesn't matter to you, actually?
It doesn't matter. The premium compressing matters to me. It's important
to understand that in 2024 and 2025 mostly at the end of 2024 and 2025 MicroStrategy has sold
35 billion dollars roughly of securities 33 billion in common and convertible into common
and 2 billion in preferred most recently. The market for the preferred stock that he's selling
is tiny relative to common.
Let's be clear about that.
And in his own words that you just played back,
he makes a case that you have to be crazy to buy
these prefers, right?
He's going to pay you a dividend, maybe.
It's not redeemable.
It's perpetual.
And if I don't pay the dividends, they're not cumulative.
I don't have to pay the back dividends.
So who in their right mind institutionally
would buy these preferreds?
Yeah, there's a lot there to unpack.
We've seen Wall Street actually attempt
to make this trade before,
and it's at MicroStrategy absolutely flying just,
I think it was last year.
But interestingly, a lot of people who dug deeply
into what happened in that price action back then
noticed that it also caused a major dip in Bitcoin.
Why?
Because if you're making this exact trade that he is,
you're obviously buying Bitcoin
and you're shorting MicroStrategy
to see that compression in the premium to NAV.
We saw this with GBTC as well, by the way,
slightly different, but we saw this,
which is a great trade until somebody short squeezes you
and micro strategy goes flying.
But if micro strategy goes flying up, what does that mean?
It means those people have to sell the Bitcoin
that they bought and that happened in size
of multiple billions last time this trade unwound.
So as much as Michael Saylor can be right here,
that it is, as he is going to point out right here, a bad idea to be shorting strategy. That
didn't work. Bad idea to be shorting strategy because he says you'll get wrecked. And he
basically says that he doesn't understand the business model that strategy is effectively giving out novel Bitcoin
backed loans is what he says exactly.
I don't think he understands what our business model is.
We're actually the largest issuer of Bitcoin backed credit instruments in the world, which
is actually factually true, but it could actually be bad for Bitcoin price if the short squeeze
happens. And Chanos, rationally, if it goes the way he could think, it is a logical trade for
him to make.
But they've continued going back and forth.
Michael Saylor obviously blasted him, say he doesn't understand.
And then as you saw, Chanos hit him back and called him a salesman.
We've had a lot of people say the same.
We have some more news from Capitol Hill
as our next story,
which is at the House Financial Services Committee,
follows the House Agriculture Committee,
and votes to advance crypto market structure bill.
So as much as we've had all the attention
seemingly on stable coins,
which is where the interest is,
we are actually making progress on market structure as well,
which is really, really important
because this is how we're going to understand
exactly what these assets are.
What's a commodity?
What's a security?
What's a collectible, as they like to say,
for NFTs and meme coins and such.
But even more importantly,
what happens in market structure that nobody talks about
is how exchanges can operate.
If they're allowed to custody your assets,
if they're allowed to be brokers,
if they're allowed to offer loans,
if we're gonna have walls like we do
between those kind of entities in legacy markets.
You can't, you know, custodians are not the same
as the exchanges in legacy markets.
We, unfortunately, or fortunately,
depending on how you view it in crypto,
do not have those walls between.
That's all gonna come from market structure
and Trump has said that he wants to see this pass by August.
So we are seeing progress here,
likely a major priority for the White House
and for Congress and the Senate to get this in
before we start campaigning again for the next election.
And inevitably the Republicans don't have control
of everything like they have had for so long.
So market structure will be next.
And to be honest, if we really wanna talk
about a strategic Bitcoin reserve,
we're gonna need to get stable coins
and market structure out of the way.
Ryan has pointed out that cloture is used
all the time in Congress.
I'm surprised you never heard of it before.
I'm surprised you never heard of sarcasm before.
I like to make jokes.
Sometimes I just make jokes.
I've heard the term many times.
It's just a joke.
Just a joke.
Anyways, the next story that we have here is ETF Palooza.
Man, US spot Bitcoin ETF set to hit 1 trillion,
one trillion cumulative trading volume milestone
in less than 18 months since launch.
This is absolutely unheard of.
No ETF has ever remotely come close to doing this.
We know that these are the most successful ETFs in history
backed up by the fact that BlackRock spot Bitcoin ETF
becomes fastest to hit 70 billion,
crushing gold's previous record.
It ain't even close these things are so successful.
Here's our friend Eric Balchunas talking on this.
iBit just blew through 70 billion,
is now the fastest ETF to ever hit that mark
in only 341 days, which is five times faster
than the old record hit by GLD of 1691
days. Guys, that's just I bit that's one of the ETFs reached
70 billion five times faster than GLD. If you add them all
up, I should have no idea. But it's a lot. slot. They've done a
lot better than just that. It's a lot. So that's not the only news that we have, obviously.
We talked about this yesterday, but spot Ethereum ETFs pulling 240 million, beating Bitcoin
ETFs 164 million daily inflows.
Pretty astounding here that ETFs are actually outperforming Bitcoin ETFs recently, especially
in context of what I just showed you.
Does this mean that ETH is back, baby?
That we're going to get an alt season of epic proportions?
All the things that everyone is here to find out because let's be honest, if you were just
here as it should be to just buy Bitcoin and dollar cost average and go about your life,
we wouldn't all be making and watching content all the time.
What everyone actually wants to know is what's going to happen with the rest of the
Market and this could be a harbinger of good things to come
We also know that we have seen a Solana ETF advancing. That's huge news. If that gets through we're gonna see XRP
ETFs and a lot of other ETFs. I don't think we still get down to Trump and come rocket ETFs
I asked Matt Hogan about this yesterday, but I don't think we still get down to Trump and come rocket ETFs. I asked Matt Hogan about this yesterday
But I don't that's gonna happen
But still I do think we're going to see a major unlock coming soon with ETFs for almost
Everything you could possibly want our next story SEC chair Paul Atkins says the right to self-custody as a foundational
American value.
Listen, I'm not surprised that this guy, Paul Atkins, is saying this.
He obviously understands it.
What I think is so notable is that every single person at any meaningful level of authority
and power in this government gets it.
So yeah, we know that Paul Atkins is a long time proponent of Bitcoin.
But the fact that you have people across the administration all the time making the important
comments not the Bitcoin should be in your portfolio, Bitcoin will probably go up.
But like talking about self custody and inflation being a problem and that Bitcoin can be a
common global reserve currency.
Those are things that people like Larry Fink and others even in the administration
are saying.
It really shows you just how seriously most of these people take this asset
and how deeply they understand it.
I can't necessarily say that's the case for Trump, but he's all in apparently
because there's a lot of money to be made, but he's got the right people in
the right places in this administration.
And it's really, really truly,
truly impressive. Those are the major stories. I've got another
cool one here. Coinbase unveils. See this Coinbase unveils a
sweet credit card powered by American Express offering up to
4% in Bitcoin rewards. Imagine spending money on a credit card and instead of getting useless
airline miles or dumb rewards that you never remember to use
or don't know how to maximize, you just get 4% back in Bitcoin.
That is wild, crazy, amazing, and this is going to be an insanely,
insanely popular product, I think.
In other news, that's actually all the news that I wanted to talk to be an insanely, insanely popular product, I think.
In other news, that's actually all the news
that I wanted to talk about today,
but I want to just, since I've got you alone,
and I never have you alone,
so I don't talk about any of the stuff that I'm doing.
I don't know if you guys know this.
I started an AI company.
We actually got a huge award
from Entrepreneur in the Middle East.
I don't want to talk about
that. But the other thing that's way more exciting, and it's
going to be cool to you. It's not even in the description
here. But I'm now the proud owner of a liquor brand. Right?
So this amazing guy, Ryan, reached out to me four years
ago, I think it was like COVID and it was crazy.
And he said, listen, I have an idea for a liquor brand.
It's called a DeFi spirits.
Look, I got it right here.
Show you this.
DeFi spirits.
He was like Bitcoin bourbon DeFi vodka.
But we really talked about Bitcoin bourbon.
He literally sent me the initial bottle designs and we talked for
years and years and years.
He sent me this.
I drank it zero ownership,. Zero like, obviously it's
not a sponsorship, nothing like that. And then they won the biggest award for a bourbon
in San Francisco, gold. And it's really, really good. And eventually I was like, man, this
has to go crazy viral. This has been by the way, for years and months, I've just never
really told you guys about it. But now I'm a part owner of this company. DeFi spirits.com. I highly
recommend that you buy and try it. Cause it's amazing. Both products are but we're going
to start blowing this up and putting it everywhere and it's going to be awesome. And I just want
to be like, you know, Clooney and and whoever else, you know, Jay-Z, right?
You gotta own a liquor brand.
Gotta have, yeah, you gotta have a piece, you know?
I like your guys' comments here.
Liquor in the front, party in the back.
Liquor barely even know her.
Liquor in the front, slots are,
I'm gonna start calling them spirits
so that I don't have to listen to your bad liquor jokes.
Do that.
What about the
non drinkers? I highly recommend not buying it. Because it would
be really awful if I took a non drinker and turn them into a
drinker. Like I'm not encouraging the C like don't
promote alcohol. So don't drink it, man. Should have called one
corn and copper gonna maybe steal that. Howling wolf water.
There you go.
Yeah, I mean, I'm not non drinkers.
Don't promote alcohol.
Like, I don't know.
Just don't buy it.
It's like the easiest thing ever.
It's so easy.
You just don't.
You know, I happen to like an occasional alcoholic beverages,
loosen me up, I like the flavor of a good bourbon,
and this is honestly, it's the best bourbon ever.
So you can look at go defyspirits.com,
this is coming to a lot of bars and stuff,
so you're gonna actually have access.
People are saying, show you some of my records,
there's too many records back there.
Way too many records for me to start showing them to you.
But yeah, that's what we got.
Yeah, it makes a good gift, that's right.
If you're a non-drinker, you definitely want to give
the gift of alcoholism to those in your family
who might also be non-drinkers or encourage them to drink.
I don't know, man.
It's not cigarettes.
It's not cigarettes.
Yeah, the Aged and Vincintage 1999 Packard Bell Tower cases.
What we should do is age them in old ASICs.
Get some like old classic miners
and pour the bourbon in there, age it for about 10 years.
But honestly, guys, I'm not kidding.
This stuff is so good and the brand is so awesome.
And look at that bottle, awesome and look at that bottle man
Look at that bottle alcohol rots the soul
Hmm. I don't know. I didn't know that the soul could rot
Is that like a miss the soul like a kind of organ in my body or is it like a rare form of wood? I don't know that I I look for it in PA, you can buy it here.
You can buy, look, there's a, you can literally,
this is the way to buy it right now
because we're just getting out.
Yes, I'm 21, leave me alone.
You can buy it, you can buy it right here, see?
Right there, buy it, it's that easy.
You can buy it, I highly suggest it.
Anyways, that's all I got.
Cosmo the Wonder Dog says it beats meth.
I guess that'll be next, right?
Yeah, drink responsibly and all the things.
But, guys, Bitcoin bourbon, how fucking cool is that?
Seriously, man, it's awesome.
Yeah, dude, you did do a great job with those bottles, Wolfie.
Listen, I just like, he did the bottle.
So I'm not taking credit for anything
that's happened for this brand.
I just wanted to be a part of it,
that he got it to a point where it's so incredible
that I was like, man, we gotta blow this thing up. It's just too good. Too good. So when
you hear me out there on my yacht with my $1 trillion because of hyperinflation liquor brand,
I'll still be here maybe hanging out with you guys. Guys, that's all we got today.
hanging out with you guys. Guys, that's all we got today. DeFiSpirit.com. Million dollar Bitcoin. Jim Chanos being a dickhead. That's the Friday Five. Enjoy your life. That's all we got. See you on Monday. Let's go.