The Wolf Of All Streets - BTC 72K! Breakout or Bull Trap?! #CryptoTownHall

Episode Date: March 4, 2026

In this episode of Crypto Town Hall, the hosts celebrate Bitcoin surging above $70,000 amid global market volatility and geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict, highlighting its resilience as a ...potential safe-haven asset. Key discussions include Kraken gaining unprecedented Federal Reserve master account access (a major step toward crypto becoming neo-banks), Jamie Dimon's push for bank-style rules on stablecoin yields (seen as a desperate monopoly defense), Trump's criticism of banks threatening the GENIUS Act/Clarity Act progress, and ongoing stablecoin/regulatory battles. Guests and panelists debate Bitcoin's price action, potential relief rally, altcoin dynamics, and the broader shift toward on-chain reputation and AI integration in crypto, with optimism around institutional inflows and reduced uncertainty driving the bullish momentum.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Good morning, everybody. Welcome to Crypto Town Hall every other day. At 10.15 a.m. Eastern Standard Time here on X. Life is definitely better when you wake up and Bitcoin's above 70,000 instead of below it. I would still argue that we're kind of ranging but really encouraging to see Bitcoin doing well, especially while markets around the world are wavering. I mean, for those who didn't see, the U.S. market is doing reasonably okay. pretty much flat, a 0.4%.
Starting point is 00:00:33 I think S&P is up, NASDAQ up just under 1%. But Bitcoin up large, and stock markets around the world, Abu Dhabi, Korea, I mean, Korea had one of its worst days in history, definitely feeling the effects of the war in Iran. There's a lot of stories, actually, that we can unpack today. I think one of them, obviously, is price action, but a few others that I just want to kind of put at the top of people's minds. Minds cryptocurrency exchange, Cracken.
Starting point is 00:01:02 Their banking division said they got access to a Federal Reserve Master account. This is the first time that this has ever happened. Cracken obviously has had a banking license in Wyoming. They were ahead of the curve on that. But this is the exact thing that Caitlin Long and Custodia have been suing the Fed over their lack of access to this. This is also the first pilot program, effectively, of what Waller called the skinny accounts that we saw mentioned, you know, a few months ago.
Starting point is 00:01:32 So very clear that they're actually going to try this. Kragum won't have the ability to do lending or a lot of other things that come with the Fed, but they are going to at least have access to the federal banking system. Obviously, we can discuss Jamie Diamond's comments on stable coins, Trump's comments on banks threatening the Genius Act and quite a few other things. And some miners potentially selling here. Carlo. Dave, go ahead and jump in.
Starting point is 00:01:59 I'm going to go to Carla. You know what? I know that Carlo once talked with stable coins. He probably read my response to my old friend Larry Tab this morning. I mean, look,
Starting point is 00:02:09 it's a farce what's going on right now. But the fact is, the president is doing presidential stuff this time, and he's basically calling it out as the farce that it is. I think that it's not the most important story of the day,
Starting point is 00:02:23 but I do think it is relevant. And the reason I said it's a far, is that the notion of community banks being hurt by stable coins is just absurd. You know, I dug into the numbers and did a post. I'm going to make a longer form post later. But basically, the numbers for those who care is that community banks are earning a net interest, or not an interest, a gross interest margin on their loans activity of five and three quarters percent last year, while the money center banks were earning way less than that by depositing in
Starting point is 00:02:54 treasuries and blah-biblo. Now, why does this matter? Because the stable coin holders, companies are going to be doing the literal low end. They're going to be depositing in securities. If community banks can earn an extra couple hundred basis points, they're not going to be impacted. And so the numbers just make the whole thing into a farce. And as soon as you dig in, you know, you realize that what, that they're using, that the money center banks are using the community banks as their shield to essentially get free money. And it is that simple. and people are starting to call bullshit on it, and it won't work. You know, eventually it's just they're going to cut through the shit. So that's what I think. And Carlo, good morning. Good morning. Yeah, I'm pretty excited about all this.
Starting point is 00:03:42 The Jamie Diamond thing is total bullshit. And I've been saying it for a long time. This is not about protecting consumers. This is about preserving a monopoly. And it's backfiring badly for him. and for him to resort to the argument now that if you want to use stable coins and provide yield on stable coins, then you should be a bank, which is the reason why we have stable coins, because we're getting away from banks. So Trump calling him out on this, I think, raises the probability of the Clarity Act happening.
Starting point is 00:04:19 it is amazing to see Cracken get access to Fed because now we have the first, and I don't think it'll be the last crypto exchange that will become a neo-bank. This provides consumers for the first time, I think, the ability to be able to bridge from stable coins to Fiat outside the banking system, which I'm pretty excited to see. And I have a big announcement. I want to pin it up in the nest. I put out a guide. It is free. Make your wallet your bank. Because in response to this nonsense that we're hearing from the bank sector, consumers do have options and they do have alternatives and they can break away from the extractive fee monopoly that banks enjoy right now. And this is exactly why they are fighting tooth and nail through the Clarity Act to try to
Starting point is 00:05:15 undo all of this. So in conclusion, I think my initial premise that banks are fucked is coming to life and it's illustrated by the utter panic that we're seeing from the big banks right now. The one point, and I want to get back to the price action and the war and the this and of that, but the one thing, if you think that cracking getting the master account at the Fed is a small deal or that movement towards clarity is a small deal. I think that you're just you're nuts. I think that this is exactly why Bitcoin is doing what it's doing because it makes Bitcoin and other crypto much more investable because Cracken's going to be able to offer, you know, payments, right? And you know Coinbase is going to be doing the same thing. You know Robin Hood is
Starting point is 00:06:06 going to be doing the same thing. You know that other, you know, other entrants. in the market will come in and it will make this notion of the need for ETFs for for for average people to invest drop dramatically and and breaking those things down and making it available for people is exactly where where it matters that's why charles hoskinson you didn't mention that story which i think is important you know he went hyperbolic that clarity would basically turn you know a lot of crypto into securities but he completely misses the point it's another post of in the middle of writing, he completely misses the point that combined with SEC rules that take away the notion that being a security is a death sentence for crypto, i.e. that they can coexist
Starting point is 00:06:51 meaningfully, that's not really a big problem. And so there's a lot of things that will be set in motion if this thing gets through. And if it doesn't get through, it's a problem. There's no question. But I think a large part of the reason the market was so dead is because it went dead when the clarity looked like it was going to be completely blocked. So, If it in fact does happen, I think that is an upside surprise, and we've just seen the beginning. That's the way I would put it. I mean, Scott, I don't know, because you and I were talking last week is saying both of us said, yeah, probably still less than 10%.
Starting point is 00:07:23 And happening. Okay. Well, if it isn't, then short this rally. And if it is, then this is an incredible opportunity. Yeah. I mean, I had Eleanor Territ. I had Eleanor on yesterday. obviously she's kind of the breaking news person on all of it. She says that we definitely are getting positive signals when it comes to comments to the media. But when you dig behind it, we haven't even gotten to a decision on stable coins. She said yield is entirely off the table. That's a non-starter now and that's where they're starting negotiations from. And even if we get a agreement for clarity on yield, they haven't even started to talk about defy and ethics or any of the other things that we know could be major impediments to getting this past.
Starting point is 00:08:08 Listen, maybe I'm wrong. I'm just when I hear anything behind closed doors, there's not optimist. No, I understand that. So, yeah, I'll put it 10% or less. I think that's fine. And I think the market is pricing 10% as opposed to 0% or maybe they're pricing 20 as opposed to 10. And I think that's what's going on. But there's a lot of reason why this stuff matters.
Starting point is 00:08:27 I mean, you're seeing silly things, you know, like Ray Dalio's comments. I mean, I've eviscerated them. I did it in video. I did it in writing. But, you know, you got stuff like that. But anyway, you had a lot of other. topics there. But I think that what you're seeing are the last gasp arguments, you know, and it feels like that. That's what it feels like to me. I don't know. I don't know what
Starting point is 00:08:49 everybody else is. I mean, Dalio, Dalio still owns 1% of his portfolio in Bitcoin. He just effectively said, yeah, it's interesting. He just kind of like, first of all, he's captain negative, right? I mean, it's not like you get much optimism out of Red Dalio ever. I think he's brilliant, incredible investor, but definitely not. not the type person is going to give you the good news you're looking for. But he effectively said that central banks aren't going to choose Bitcoin, like gold, and that there's quantum risk and a few other things. Kind of parody, like narratives.
Starting point is 00:09:22 I'm not going to repeat at all. I mean, people can. To tag it above, pin it above so people can see it. If I knew how to do that, I would happily do it. I'll do it for you if it's on X. Yeah, I did it. I posted a YouTube video and an ex post on taking that down. It's actually right here, you know.
Starting point is 00:09:41 Oh, yeah, it's simple. And look, the major reason is this. He's right that the main central banks don't want Bitcoin because Bitcoin isn't private. Exactly. The main central banks, the big ones, want to obfuscate what the hell they hold. You know, there's a reason we haven't audited Fort Knox. There's a reason that none of the G7 countries wants anybody to know what the hell they hold. And if you hold Bitcoin, you will know, right?
Starting point is 00:10:07 It is provable, and that is not good. But that is exact opposite flips when it comes to the central banks that have actually been the ones that are buying gold. Because they want people to know what the hell is back in their currency. So it's kind of funny, but his argument, I think, is actually a bullish argument. But that's besides the point. Well, it's not besides the point, it is the point, I guess. And Bitcoin right now is about to hit 73,000. So obviously, you know, reacting positively to whatever is going on.
Starting point is 00:10:35 And I think it's interesting. Well, let's talk about why. I mean, you know, there are a lot of people. I mean, everybody, I mean, I don't know, I got a lot of abuse for saying, and I think, I don't know, but you did. I can only imagine you get so much abuse, you know, for everything you say. But, you know, we both said that we thought that the wick below 60 was the bottom, right? And people are like, are you fucking kidding me.
Starting point is 00:10:56 It's going to go to 40. It's going to go to 30. It's going to go to 10. You know, it's going to lose a decimal place. It's going to do this. It's going to do that. Whatever. I mean, you know, it's like you look at the violence.
Starting point is 00:11:05 volume, you see the actual selling. I mean, selling exhaustion was readily apparent a week ago. And then, you know, we had a war start and it dropped $2,000 and recovered almost immediately. And if that isn't telling you the sellers were exhausted, then you're nuts. And, you know, does that mean buyers are going to step in? Of course not, because as Gary has pointed out, you know, the narrative is a problem, et cetera. So it's just waiting for a little bit of some reason. But the fact is, is there's a lot of people who were believers that just assumed it was going to go down. And so, you know, we'll see, but this is a process. I've said it before. It's going to be a grinding rally. You're going to see it's going to get faded at varying points. I think probably the first place
Starting point is 00:11:43 it gets faded is 74. It's at the technical level that a lot of people have talked about. And, you know, whatever. As I said, the major selling is exhausted unless there's somebody else or some other shoe to drop. And the thought that it was going to be Mara that was going to be doing major dumping, no, they're not going to dump, but will they start selling as it gets back towards 100,000? Yeah, probably. They want to unlock Mark? market cap. But, you know, we'll see. That's another story you didn't mention, you know, them, you know. Yeah, that that's one of the other big ones, obviously. And we get into that. I would love to kind of go around the horn. Right. You know, come on, guys. Yeah, especially to talk
Starting point is 00:12:18 about what's happening with the market here. Yeah, I mean, I would love people's take. Who do you, who do we want to call on and embarrassed to talk first? I don't know. Somebody's got to raise their hand. Okay. Should we play the Jeopardy music? No, whatever. I mean, come on, guys. Okay, William. William, you win the lottery. Congrats. Okay.
Starting point is 00:12:38 My question is, if we've had such positive movement with the geopolitical situation, which is good, by the way, finally, I think there are some small signs that crypto is doing what it's supposed to do, which is be safer during turmoil. My question is, what's going to happen when this conflict is going to get resolved and finish. Suppose the war ends in two weeks. Does this mean that we're going to continue on this same upward movement? William, you turn into Mr. Roboto, right when you were saying, what happens if I heard Mr. Roboto music? I didn't hear what you said. Can you repeat yourself? Oh, my question is, what happens if or when the conflict ends in the Middle East? And
Starting point is 00:13:28 do you think that the crypto is going to be out of the woods? Because I want to be able to go back and say, well, look, crypto did fairly well during this period where there was lots of turmoil in the world because it is supposed to do well when there are conflicts because it is fundamentally immune to these conflicts. I'd like us to exploit that in the future, in the near future, if we can. You got the wrong guy here. Well, I'm not a Bitcoin Maxi. and I love to hear other people's opinion on.
Starting point is 00:14:07 I think that that narrative for Bitcoin may very well work. I think that until we know, until people can assess value, I think that this is a relief rally. And a relief rally, most traders will fade. But we'll see. I mean, you know, look, we'll see. That's sort of the way I look at it. I mean, when you see a day like today when there's absolutely complete correlation,
Starting point is 00:14:31 I mean, I haven't looked, but it's just, you know, I think the correlation is pretty damn high that pretty much everything is up in the cryptosphere. Weirdly, the only one that's not up, which I actually hold some of, is Kampon Network because I think it's associated with legacy. But, you know, it's your, and maybe Zcash. I haven't looked at that today. But, you know, when you see these sort of relief rallies, they tend to be exactly that. And I think a lot of traders will fade them. I think Bitcoin has a different narrative that's been going on.
Starting point is 00:14:59 but you know you know and a theory may very well be in the same in the same boat but you know we'll see i mean this is crypto town hall i mean obviously i shouldn't be the only opinion here i mean who thinks that that this is an all-clear all season about to get started because i i don't think i do uh anybody i don't think i do i don't think i do negative negative yeah i don't think i do but i think it's uh certainly going to follow if we see an infusion of liquidity um things are getting set up. We're seeing stress in the private equity sector across the board in Europe. And I think there's going to be a need for additional bailouts and additional liquidity to get infused into the system. It'll lift up Bitcoin first. And my premise still remains. It'll lift up selected
Starting point is 00:15:49 alts that are actually doing things. Not the alt season we're used to seeing, but I think there will be an alt season. Travis, I see you. It's your hand up. Yeah, for one, how's it going, guys? Nice to hear your friendly voices. Yeah, so I look at this. I'm actually on the ground in Dubai. I live in Dubai now, right? So it's been kind of weird here the last few days to say the least.
Starting point is 00:16:19 But as we're talking about why crypto is up, why is it holding up? Because I think that, you know, there was so much sell pressure for so long. And, you know, maybe war was already kind of priced in. I think people expected that there were. going to be strikes. I mean, if you look on Polly Market and Kalsheb, like before, they already had sold off and they were leveraging saying, hey, yeah, it looks like we're probably going to attack. And I was in the same boat because once I saw the Epstein files and all, and then on the 26th, you had the Clintons being, you know, they had the deposition. I was like, dude, if they're
Starting point is 00:16:51 deposing the Clintons right now, we're going to war probably within a week, right? So it was almost like predictable. And if you look at what Pollymarket says right now, they're saying that what's like 45, 50% chance that the ceasefire will happen by the end of March. Who knows what's going to happen? But Iran is severely, you know, they've been severely damaged in a lot of ways. So I'll tell you real quick with AI and kind of some things that was really interesting that I did over the weekend was I, being in Dubai, I don't speak Arabic, I don't speak Russian. And I was like, I wonder what the hell's actually going on on some of these other languages that I don't actually speak. And so I was using my Claudebot.
Starting point is 00:17:30 and I went out and started compiling news from all these different sources. I was translating the information and I was looking at it. And I was like, well, hey, let's put this on a telegram and start, you know, messaging these out. And then I said, you know what? I'm just going to build a site. And so I did. I built a site called watchwar. Dot Live.
Starting point is 00:17:49 And I was pulling in all this geopolitical stuff, all this news, all the strikes, what was happening on the markets and stuff. And it was really fascinating, like what's happening. right now because people like myself who's not even necessarily, I'm not a developer. I'm not technical in that area, but I'm a shit-figure-outer. And so, you know, utilizing what was capable, I was able to sort of determine all these different things. And it's been pretty fascinating and just, you know, dude, all the money flowing back into
Starting point is 00:18:20 ETFs over the last couple days, you know, it looks like money is going to start flowing back into this space. But will we ever have an alt-coin rise like we were expected? were we expecting an alt coin season? Personally, I think probably those days of shit coins are mostly done. I think we'll see more predictive marketing things. The big chains will do stuff, but we're not going to see stuff like we had in previous altcoin runs
Starting point is 00:18:45 because most of those coins have shown that they don't do shit. And so the world is tired of shit coins. They're tired of meme coins that don't do anything because everybody ends up rugging it eventually. So it's just an interesting space that we're in, guys. And I appreciate you guys still being at the forefront here in sharing the good gospel. Lloyd.
Starting point is 00:19:05 I got a bit of a different take. I think we will see an all-season. I mean, I agree with most of what you said, but I think we will see an all-season because they do have a purpose, and that's a number go up. And if we see something like a UBI or something where we just have a lot of
Starting point is 00:19:21 everybody's getting money for no reason, I think you will see. I mean, it'll go into prediction markets. It'll go into things that, you know, easy come, easy-go. And, you know, pumping shit coins is just a really fun way to, it's better than the actual casino.
Starting point is 00:19:36 So I think we'll see, you know, like a shit coin run. But I also agree with the sentiment that like, you know, the strong projects, like near, I don't know, just like strong majors that are not going anywhere, we'll see a lot of money pour into them as they innovate. And, you know, we see adoption. I don't know if that's going to be right around the corner. But, you know, anything that pumps Bitcoin will put money,
Starting point is 00:20:01 back into these long-term actual good projects. Hey, I haven't done the analysis myself, and I'd be curious to the extent that we could do it, looking at wallets on a geographic basis. But my thoughts about the current spike in Bitcoin would be possibly related to flight capital. You know, we already saw headlines talking about the crypto market in Iran was what worth $7.8 billion, if I remember correctly. Some other stuff I've seen come out. just highlights, you know, the sensitivity of the Persian Gulf region to water supplies.
Starting point is 00:20:45 And right now Iran seems to be fairly indiscriminate in terms of what they're striking. But they have been striking power plants, which are needed to power desalination plants in order to supply water. So I'm thinking that people in the Persian Gulf, and I would love to do the analysis again on a wallet basis geographically, are probably looking to get their money the fuck out of there. And it's not just Iran. I think that a lot of people looked at the situation as the Iranian government mining Bitcoin and then they were going to dump it,
Starting point is 00:21:21 which is, I think, nuts. But I think that actual Iranian citizens who had access to cheap energy, who have Bitcoin, it becomes a very good way to be able to get money out. Although, you know, I guess we'll see how it all piles up. I mean, this is a messy situation. It's not at all clear. But I'll say it again just to repeat for the back rows.
Starting point is 00:21:45 I don't think the market is pricing in a resolution of the situation where Iran reverts to a secular, more modern society. Because if it does, the amount of bullishness that that would unleash is nowhere close to even thought, being thought about being priced into the market. And considering how Bitcoin was important in Iran before, having an 80, 90 million, person, potentially, you know, booming economy if that takes place with Bitcoin as something that's important to those people is a very big deal. I mean, it is not even, I said, not even close to Price-Den, because it's a very unlikely scenario is what we're most useful we're saying. Hey, Dave. Dave, one thing I would say is probably your best tell of whether this conflict's going to moderate or not is going to be the price of oil. It's been the best predictor in past crises in the
Starting point is 00:22:35 Persian Gulf region. You know, don't look at stocks. Don't look at risk markets. Look at oil. And oil will give you the tell as to whether this thing's going to come to an end or not. Yeah, I want to throw some in on that. You got a great point because I was thinking about this the other day. It was like, we went in, we hit Venezuela, right?
Starting point is 00:22:54 The United States went in. We got Maduro. And that effectively gives us control of the Venezuelan sort of oil supply. And now we're going in Iran. And where does China give you? most of their oil from. Like they were kind of going on the download getting oil from Iran and getting it an unmarked tankers. They're getting 20-ish percent of their oil from Iran and they were getting other percent from Venezuela. So in a way, this really kind of, this really kind of hurts China
Starting point is 00:23:26 in a lot of ways because their power and the fuel that they get is now going to be controlled. And I think that this becomes one of the things that America needed to do to make sure that the dollar stays strong because, as you know, China was doing an end around. And they were saying, hey, you know, buy oil in yuan. Don't buy it in dollars. And, you know, every since back in the day, you had to buy oil in dollars. And they want to keep that thing going. And they were getting outside of that ecosystem. And now they're, if they go in and put a regime change in Iran, then, now, now.
Starting point is 00:24:02 Now America and the West controls all of that. So I do think that there's some geopolitical things that we've maybe not even considered yet. Did you still have your hand up? I was just wondering. The only thing I was going to say was that the issues around Iran and oil in Venezuela and oil going to China. Don't forget Russia, they obviously can make up and have China as a market. Now more than ever, all to themselves. So, you know, look to Russia to fill the gap on Chinese oil needs.
Starting point is 00:24:46 Yeah, I was just wondering for Dave, do you think secular or Iran is merely like it seems to me like it's been a possible outcome here. They would have to be a religious. It seems like they would have to be somewhat religious or quite religious to even have any footing in, you know, large kind of. I don't want to turn this into that sort of space, but because it would be so significant and so bullish, It's worth thinking about it, but to me it's not even a, I think unlikely as hyperbole. Which Dave are you addressing here? It was. Dave, Dave Weissberger got dropped.
Starting point is 00:25:21 Oh, he got dropped. I was speaking to him. I'll ask him when he comes back. We're having classic, classic glitchiness. Very shocked to know. Go ahead, Marisi. Hey, guys. So, on the point around Venezuela.
Starting point is 00:25:45 I hear you. I hear you. Yes. You are. You had to skip speaker to go straight to co-host to get you on. Yeah, go ahead. Yeah, so I just wanted to flag a few points around Venezuela. I'm from Venezuela.
Starting point is 00:25:57 So I speak very often to a lot of my friends and family that are still down there. So a few observations on the oil side, February, Venezuela doubled oil output in February. So basically a month in the American crew or influence has already kind of, I think, is doing very well. picking up the low-hanging fruit in terms of production. So they've doubled production in a few short weeks. So that kind of feeds into this whole idea around oil market dynamics. The other point around the sort of bullishness around Bitcoin in particular from what could be a free Iran,
Starting point is 00:26:36 I want to basically highlight a few parallels from Venezuela, who was also a country under a horrible regime that used a lot of Bitcoin for a time. and now is sort of seeing, it's, you know, a line of sight to potential democracy and freedom. I think the sort of expectation that Venezuela, and potentially Iran are going to run towards Bitcoin from a sort of, from the people's perspective, not so much the powers that be, is it has to be taken with a grain of salt because what I see in Venezuela today is that, yes, Venezuela had a lot of use of Bitcoin back in 20, you know, mid-20, like, 2015-ish, 2017, 2020.
Starting point is 00:27:19 And around that time, I was there, I was mining in the country at that time. And there was definitely a big use of Bitcoin. But that really changed when stable coins came in. Today, Venezuela pretty much runs on Tether. Right. And when you talk about Venezuela... This space was downloaded via Spacesdown.com. Visit to download your spaces today.
Starting point is 00:27:42 When you talk to Venezuela about Bitcoin or crypto, they really see Tether as like their money and everything else is sort of a, they look at it as almost like a quasi equity, like an investment. And broadly speaking, the majority of the people that I, at least I speak to and I have insights about, a lot of these people treat these as the casino, right? Like they don't want to buy Bitcoin. A lot of the guys, even guys I've known for decades that they know I've been in Bitcoin for almost a decade. I asked them what they're holding and I still hear back things like Doge and Ripple and stuff that's just really, I consider it to be quite nihistic in terms of the portfolio composition.
Starting point is 00:28:23 Hey, Mauricio, where do they get their stable coins from? Binance. Are they using Tron? Binance. Tron on Binance, yes. Binance on Tron. So they're not into crypto. They just want to hold dollars.
Starting point is 00:28:39 They're into getting away from hyperinflation, right, and debasement. And I would argue that that's probably similar to Iran. I mean, that's not remotely surprising. I mean, you know, look, if you're on the ground, if you know, money that you, if you think about it, I think what you just said, forget the, the Doge and Ripple part, but what you just said is is a pretty consistent theme, which is dollars for spending so that you have, so you don't, you know, you're not putting your money in something that's going to depreciate, you know, in percentage points a day, which is obviously in a hyperinflation environment, exactly the issue. And, but investing is, you know, you're going to invest in what you're going to invest in what you. you're going to invest in. And there are different people, different dynamics, invest in different things for different reasons. If it's pure casino, it's pure casino. If it's stable investments, it's stable investments. And I think that's right. And that's the adoption curve for Bitcoin. It's the adoption curve for a lot of other things. And look, you know, I spar with Mike McClone
Starting point is 00:29:40 every single week. And his point, which is fair, is that as long as Doge is a multi-billion dollar asset, that's going to keep a, you know, a lid on Bitcoin. Now, Doge may be different because of, you know, its size or whatnot, but the entirety of the cryptobverse is filled with multi-hundred million or billion dollar, you know, coins that have absolutely no reason to be there. And that is, is always an issue. Now, right now, as I said, during a rally, of course everything goes up. And that's what you're seeing. But, you know, we'll see, you'll see what has legs, I think. I haven't heard what's the argument for Doge keeps a lid on Bitcoin? It's the whole comp.
Starting point is 00:30:24 It's basically what Maricio just said. It's that when you ask people about what they're holding with crypto, you know, some, you know, or what they're holding, they're holding stable coins. And then they hold a portfolio. And in their portfolio, they, you know, people who are gamblers want the higher volatility crap. And the people who are investors don't. And so it depends on who you. you're talking to. I find, thank you, I actually, I agree to a large extent with what Mike said,
Starting point is 00:30:51 Mike McGillone, like his argument around these assets being at the valuations they are, create a lot of noise. One particular behavior that I've noticed around people that invests in these types of assets is that they get married to the winners, okay? The guys that I've mentioned have still hold Doge and still hold ripple in their portfolios is because they bought that back in the 2020, whatever it was, rally. and they're 2x and 3x. And because it worked once, they keep going back to this.
Starting point is 00:31:18 And it lacks a lot of reason. Like when you ask them why they're holding it, they can't give you a coherent answer from an investment perspective. They give you some type of narrative, right? And I think that that confuses this whole value prop around Bitcoin. And frankly, because these assets are a lot more volatile and people are looking for an exit ticket, they're not really looking to build wealth over time.
Starting point is 00:31:42 And that's the other sort of misconception that people think, oh, Venezuela, you know, a nurse is going to start saving slowly over time in Bitcoin. Like that nurse wants to escape her life tomorrow, right? And so that type of behavior is, I find, ironically, I find that the holders of Bitcoin today and people I speak to the most are these sort of mature, sophisticated, a lot of times professionals by and large, right? There's always the young coders and the developers, et cetera, people that got into it much earlier through different means. But by and large, these are people that get it and have wealth to protect, right? The people that are still trying to make their wealth are gambling away their lives in these nihilistic coins. I think a lot of that is really true.
Starting point is 00:32:33 Yep, I do too. Yeah, there's definitely a bias towards the thing that worked for you in the past, hence, you know, passionate communities. William, you were lifting your mic. Yeah, so I have a question. some of those coins that have a high brand value do well when there's a recovery. How about those zombie ones? How are we going to get rid of the Cardanos and the polka dot and those ones that don't
Starting point is 00:33:00 do anything? I mean, that's a big drag on the whole market. The difference between this and what we had with the Internet, when we had the crash, a lot of companies died. They were gone. Poof, finished. Here, they keep kicking because there's a token, even if it's useless, it keeps trading. So they never die.
Starting point is 00:33:22 That is a very, yeah, that's a structural problem. I have made that point many times. I mean, like a company has to go bankrupt because they have to pay employees. And when there is none, when there's nothing going on, it gets delisted and goes poof. Meanwhile, I haven't checked recently, but let's go on coin market. Well, by the way, it doesn't go poof when it gets, it doesn't go poof when it gets delisted. it just goes to another exchange. And there are thousands and thousands.
Starting point is 00:33:49 Yeah. And there are thousands and thousands of companies OTC that are dead zombies, just like there are thousands and thousands of coins that are dead. And I don't think they have, I don't think they have anything to do with the price of Bitcoin. The fact that there, I just, I don't, the fact that there are sucky companies, you know, there are always sucky companies. And there are always people who invest in sucky companies, whether it's crypto companies or on exchanges. Here's, here's the difference.
Starting point is 00:34:14 The difference is this, Lou, and it is a big difference, is the sucky tokens are still, for the most part, many of them are still listed on Binance and by bid and OECs and some even Coinbase, et cetera, et cetera. The sucky companies that you're talking about go to OTC markets and they get dropped down into the lowest tier of OTC markets. And if you look at OTC markets these days, that lowest tier has very little liquidity. There's nothing going on. There's much more in the crypto world, the casino continue, it perpetuates. Now, because and there's a ticker, there's a timer on it. So even companies are under bankruptcy that trade a lot in OTC market, they either escape it or they don't. And so it's, it's not quite. It's, there's just less cost in in a token.
Starting point is 00:35:03 The token doesn't, a company still has to have something, right? You know, whereas there's no cost to operating a token. It just, it just exists. That is an issue. But you're right. It is a huge issue. You can still go buy some Celsius token if you want. I mean, there's so many places you can buy it, right?
Starting point is 00:35:21 You can buy Luna. Like, it's insane. Like, Luna Classic. It does like $15 million a day in trading. And I don't know why that is relevant. Why are they doing that? So, yeah, it is. It's kind of, that is actually really funny because where do dead tokens go where they
Starting point is 00:35:34 die? They just go to shit coin heaven and you can buy them on a worthless exchange somewhere. It's great. Hey guys, where do we think Bitcoin has to get, what price does it get to before we start seeing selling here? The way we just kissed 73,000, gang. I say 70. 70, when people are looking, 74 was always a very good. If you look at the heat map, the liquidation, is there some above that, Gary?
Starting point is 00:36:00 I think that's why Dave's comment earlier, why this rally might fade is I think that liquidation does get snatched above there, about 75. Yeah, I want to be clear. I don't think the round. I'll be shocked if it gets to 75. Well, I mean, anything can happen, Gary. I'd say that. Yeah, no, no, no doubt. But, I mean, you know, we've moved from 66 to 72 in a short period of time.
Starting point is 00:36:21 Yeah. I'm just interested when the sellers come out. Yeah, I agree. I think a grinding rally, I think the people who will, people who are scalping and are on the upside are going to take profit. And it probably already are. And, you know, so it's a, what the thing is we never know in an asset class this small is who's buying. and where the supply is. And that's really the issue.
Starting point is 00:36:41 It always is. You know, it's just, it keep, we have to remember where we came from. You know, the collapse from when it broke below the trading range, which was, you know, in the 80s, you know, was pretty breathtakingly quick. Now, do I think we will, generally I would say it's be way healthier if it isn't quick.
Starting point is 00:37:01 I would prefer it to stay in the 70s, in the low 70s for a few days before it starts kind of grinding higher because I think that that is a more sustainable rally. But, you know, we'll see. I don't know. I mean, I'd be curious, are we seeing real, are we seeing signs of leverage today already? I mean, is it easy to tell? I mean, Matt, you've had your hand up.
Starting point is 00:37:21 What do you think? You know what? I haven't seen signs of leverage. I've just been watching the inflows. Oh, I'm sorry. I got a call here that's just coming through. I got to jump, guys. But thank you.
Starting point is 00:37:30 I appreciate the conversation. 75 is what I'm thinking, though. We'll see. Nice. Jamie, did you have your hand up there? Yeah, yeah. So, like, I'm looking at it. I put in the comments as well.
Starting point is 00:37:44 You know, I just think it looks like it's just following the heat map in liquidation areas. And then the next, there's not really a lot above from here. 73 to me is a resistance area. And the next range ahead is 80, but we'd have to get, you know, obviously significantly above 73 and then maybe retesting go back up above. But I don't see that happening right now. And it looks like the liquidation areas are below price here, more like around the 70 area. The other things I'm looking at, too, is the Bitcoin dominance.
Starting point is 00:38:14 I looked at, you know, it was kind of trading range bound around 59. Then the last week or so, it looked like it had been declining going down toward 58. It's actually rebounded. And it's gone to the upper range of 59 towards 60, which I think is, you know, significant, showing some really incredible strength right now. But, you know, I just think a lot of the price movement is typically, you know, related to sentiment, you know, psychological, you know, manipulation toward what the market makers or institutions feel like they can attract the most traders and, you know, liquidate the high-leverage
Starting point is 00:38:56 traders into liquidation areas. So, you know, I think, you know, a lot of times news events is a great way to get some participants and to move sediment and enter the market to try to clear out some liquidations areas. I think that's kind of what we're looking at right now, in my opinion. I agree. I want to answer Gary's question, because here's how I see it. It's like it seems like the market is kind of balancing out since that Jane Street thing came out last week, right? When they were like manipulating the price, they had their own little Bryce's secret chat. And then what was happening, like 10 a.m. every day, the price would tank. we would see coordinated liquidity providers pulling liquidity all simultaneously.
Starting point is 00:39:41 Like we'd see times where winter mute would just pull their liquidity. And you'd think, hey, that's shenanigans right there. But like, well, they can just pull their liquidity if they want. But what happens is, is all those longs, they end up getting liquidated or whatever, right? In the shorts sometimes, depending on how the market's going. So it's like, you know, I think Jane Street getting called out, maybe might clean it up a little bit. but I think with all these AI bots, they're getting so good. Like, I'm blown away by some of the things that I've been able to do,
Starting point is 00:40:10 and I'm not even all that talented with it. And so when you start getting quants in there utilizing these tools to go out, it's going to become minuscule amounts of time. And we're already seeing this on, like, Polly Market, where people are going in. And if they can trade something and get three cents spread every time on every dollar, they're going to do that stuff all day long. So it's wild where we're entering this new,
Starting point is 00:40:33 This is just, it's like a brave new world era where I think we're in web four now. I think we've gone beyond Web 3. We're in Web 4 where these AI bots can do all this shit now. And it's unheard of territory right now. Travis, I know that we had to move on in a second, but I'm just going to give Maricio his last kind of comment here and then you can take over. Go ahead, Maricio. Yeah, I just wanted to make a point on leverage.
Starting point is 00:41:03 I think it was Dave or someone asked about leverage in this market. So I just wanted to share a bit of what we're seeing. In terms of sort of the usual behavior during these drawdowns, what I've noticed, this isn't our first radio. We've been operating since 2018. So we've seen COVID, FDX, Terra, Luna, all these other previous crashes. And none of them are obviously identical. They all are unique.
Starting point is 00:41:26 But there are some similarities that I did also see in this time around, which is usually you have these massive red candles down that trigger a lot of the levels that 50% loans would be liquidated at. So these are the types of loans similar to what Lennon and other companies offer in terms of leverage. So it does reach that level, and it's usually on a pretty aggressive move down. Then because some companies, some of the leverage providers, at Lennon, we don't do this, but some of the leverage providers have 24 to 48-hour curing periods to meet margin calls. And that usually means that the days right after the immediate, you know, the aggressive red candle, you see a lot of weakness because people are continuously getting liquidated because they're not really meeting these calls in time.
Starting point is 00:42:18 So the next 24 to 48 hours still you see a lot of pressure. Generally speaking, there's also, you know, a week or so after there will be a retest to try to take the price back to those levels to basically continue wiping leverage down. And I think we saw that mid last week, when price reached mid-62s and bounced back. And then when I saw Bitcoin hold up after the Iran attacks, the other thing that we noticed that I can share is that we started seeing again for the first time since the drawdown some pretty bullish positioning at Leden from some sophisticated, I would argue, investors. So I would say that from a leveraged perspective, it does seem that the worst is through us. And I think right now, you know, I was expecting to form a base and rally, you know, shortly, you know, in a few weeks.
Starting point is 00:43:13 I didn't expect this morning's rally. But I just wanted to highlight that, that I think from a leverage perspective and Bitcoin, it's sitting pretty in a relatively healthy spot given the recent downturn. Beautiful. Hey, well, thank you so much for that. Yeah, and Scott and Dave, really appreciate you guys doing what you do here. And I think we're now going to go into the Q&A session. We have a really interesting sponsor coming up here today, foruAI.O. So this is one of those projects.
Starting point is 00:43:48 We've been talking a lot about AI and whatnot, but this is a project that Mario and team have discovered and are working with. And so this may be maybe not the view of Crypto Town Hall, but. they are going to come on and tell about the product. And this is kind of interesting because I remember chatting with these guys a few months ago. And so this is the first AI-powered identity solution on-chain where people can grow their reputation. So I found this was fascinating before. And Zan is with us today from For You. Zan, how are you doing?
Starting point is 00:44:21 Hi, guys. I'm great. GM wanted to just say hi from Bangkok. Thank you for, you know, the very interesting perspective on private movements. but now I'm just going to be talking a little bit about reputation, you know, also providing a fresh perspective on it, hopefully. Right on. So let's get into it real quick then, because we have about 15 minutes-ish.
Starting point is 00:44:46 So what specific problem would you guys say that for you is actually solving? And why does that necessarily matter right now? And why choose a crypto to do it? Okay. Yeah. So I think, first of all, I want to start by saying that, you know, this has been quite a crazy year so far, but 2027 is going to get crazier. You know, because by then we won't even know what's real anymore.
Starting point is 00:45:09 Half of Twitter will all be bought. 30% of influencer marketing would be fraud and AI can fake everything except time. Right. So my name is Zen. I'm one of the co-founders of what you AI. We are the ones who are building the trust layer for the AI economy. So how this works is that first we tracked reputation as a trajectory, not a snap shot. We have what we call a sacred timeline which captures who you're becoming, not just who you are. So bots can fake engagement, but they can't fake time, right? So secondly, you know, we're proof-based and not opinion-based. This is our key difference with competitors in the space, whereby your reputation is actually equivalent to verifiable actions and not subjective reviews.
Starting point is 00:45:56 And thirdly, we unlock passive income for our users. And they can deploy AI agents to do drop shipping, you know, wholesale stuff in e-commerce. And, you know, like, essentially their reputation equals to an access to more income. So we're not just building another credential system and we're building infrastructure. So I think this is, you know, why it's important and why now? because, you know, in this time, I think it's, like, there's no better time than now, you know, where, like, there's a lot, there's a lot scams, markets are crashing, there's, you know, all these things that are happening in the world and things like that. But then, like you correctly mentioned, we did start off as an identity protocol that we are leveraging, you know, we started from identity, but we started to think that, hey, you know, reputation is something that is important and it's something that you need to start tracking. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:47:06 Yeah, it's really fascinating because especially with all these AI agents coming in, and that's why I like the idea of the identity thing, like how do you identify as a human or if you identify as an agent and how that works, but maybe talk about how on-chain reputation, what it means to you guys. And there's a new standard I think you guys are using called ERC-804, that I don't even know that many people have heard about. So could you maybe talk about how that all fits in? Because that's probably new to a lot of people listening.
Starting point is 00:47:34 Yeah, sure. So I think ERC 804 is the new standard for, you know, trustless agents developed by Ethereum. And, you know, it is still very new. Well, they proposed it in August last year. But then, you know, the first draft is, well, still being drafted now. There are, as far as we know, two other chains that have adopted it.
Starting point is 00:47:58 base and BNB. And, you know, because we are building and scaling on BNB, right? So as you mentioned, on chain reputation is still very early. And standards like YARC-804 are just starting to formalize how agents and smart accounts, you know, can operate economically on chain. So this is the start of something big, right? So we are moving towards a world where, you know, not only humans, but also AI agents can hold assets, can execute and participate in governance. You know, so when this happens, identity and reputation then stop being optional features, they become core infrastructure. So right now, most on chain reputation systems are, you know, like still in a trial and error kind of phase,
Starting point is 00:48:44 right? Most only focus on your wallet history and some on like social scorings and rankings. others are like, or rather those scoring systems are not like portable across different ecosystems. So the space is very fragmented and there's no unified reputation layer. So as this infrastructure matures, you know, for you, we believe that three things will happen. So first is that your reputation will move from being cosmetic to actually being functional. So this means that, you know, you can. can determine access and incentives and you can pull your weight and try to get more opportunities
Starting point is 00:49:29 for yourself. And secondly, we believe that portability will become critical. And thirdly, that verification will actually matter more than engagement. So you know how like in the previous era of Infofi, which unfortunately collapsed, you know, like there were a lot of of there was a lot of noise in the space, but you know, the collapse of it proved that, you know, systems will need to actually distinguish between real contributions and just noise or volume, right? So I think this is exactly where for UAI fits in. We're building a unified reputation infrastructure. So, you know, we connect your actions across different things like your wallets, social platforms, communities and also AI activity into one evolving identity.
Starting point is 00:50:26 So, you know, I always give this, well, I always say this, right? What is actually the key difference between your identity and your reputation? Your identity is what you tell, who you tell other people you are, and your reputation is who other people say you are. Right? So it's always evolving, right? Your reputation is never just good or bad. You know, it's something that's changing over time, you know,
Starting point is 00:50:50 which goes back to my opening sentence about how AI can fake everything except time. Right. So we have different features. Sorry, I feel like I'm renting a little bit because I'm very excited about this topic. So yeah, we have different features to help you to help anybody's reputation to become more dynamic, more quantifiable, you know, and to continue to evolve with time. Yeah. So just like how, you know, like standards like ERACAO4 expand what agents can do on chain, we also focus on who is doing it and how consistently they have proven themselves over time.
Starting point is 00:51:30 Yeah. Yeah. It's really fascinating because, I mean, you mentioned a couple of really interesting things in there. So like you're able to track like from the human, you're doing this, this, this, this. Here's your LinkedIn. Here's that. Here's what you do. But here's your agents that you're using now.
Starting point is 00:51:46 this agent's doing this. You know, I've always thought we needed a reputation sort of a platform for like pump fun because you have these some Yahoo's going in there that's launched 500 plus shit coins and pulled the rug so many times. Like, we should know that person or that wallet or that sort of, you know, web of wallets. Yeah, like you don't trust anything these people do, right, or anything that they touch in the future because, and that's where I think that people are going to maybe be bad or they're going to feel bad about what they've done because in the future, we're going to be able and trace that
Starting point is 00:52:21 blockchain and figure out, look, these guys did all of this. And then you're going to have a bad reputation because maybe something like for you is going in and reverse engineering their footprint potentially. Yeah? Is that kind of what you're saying? Yes, yes. Totally. And I think it also like goes back to my point of, you know, like the key difference between us and like competitors in the space, right, of like where we're different. is really that, you know, like you mentioned, you need to kind of provide evidence, right, for everything that you're doing and, you know, not just base it off other people's opinions. So, yes, I think it's important to also like be calling out scammers and, you know, like,
Starting point is 00:53:04 negative players and all that. But at the same time, I think a lot of you have heard me say this. I am a big fan of Eileen who, and, you know, she's obviously been quite a controversial figure. in the world recently, right? But, you know, like, it makes me wonder, right? Like, if there, she has all these accolades and all these milestones under her belt, if she's able to just, like, have a score or something that proves everything that she is and stands for, then all these are the people's opinions against her. They would just fall naturally.
Starting point is 00:53:42 And I think for us, you know, it is then very important. important that we create a scoring system that, you know, like, will continue to improve with time. Like, it's not like, oh, you know, this is it right now. And then it's going to be that same scoring system forever. So what we have now is what we call the Identify Score, which is the core reputation index of our entire ecosystem, which represents, you know, your online identity and credibility. So what we do is we analyze multiple signals, such as, you know, your social credibility and engagement, your on-chain behavior and wallet activity, like you mentioned, community participation, campaign contributions, you know, and other verified achievements and your
Starting point is 00:54:27 behavioral history. So for instance, like, you know, this is, it could also be something very fluffy, right, but important to you as an individual. So for instance, I'm very big on fashion, right, and I love going for Paris Fashion Week, Milan Fashion Week, Tokyo Fashion week and I want to be very like verify that I have gone for these events so that I can get invited again the next year by different you know fashion powerhouses right so this then becomes important to me as an individual to have something to verify it right and this is where you know we add another feature in our ecosystem so it's what we call red badges which are then a verifiable proof of your reputation. So, you know, so I can actually choose to issue my own
Starting point is 00:55:20 rep badge for, let's say, Milan Fashion Week, which was happening last week. And, you know, I can say, so everybody who has been there, it's kind of like, it can be like a poet, but then, you know, this is like on chain proof for like events or a milestone that is important to you and you can actually build your own community around it. And, you know, obviously if this adds to your reputation, brands can come in and they can choose to interact with you, you can choose to monetize it, there are many different things you can do. So then together... That's fascinating.
Starting point is 00:55:52 Yeah, so together we create a system where your reputation is both dynamic and verifiable. And it actually, you know, it's a stable proof of your contribution. Perfect. So basically you made this so you could get cool invites to the Fashion Week events, huh? Nice. Hey, as we wrap this up here, because we are running out of time, let the people know what can they do to earn from their reputation. How can they get involved?
Starting point is 00:56:20 And what would you like them to do? What's your call to action today? Yeah, so, yeah, I'll keep it fairly short. So this, you know, it's very timely that we have this space today because our key GE is actually happening next Thursday on the 12th. Ourirdrop campaign is still ongoing, but, you know, it's about to end. So I think that's something you can get involved with. immediately. But, you know, if you miss that, but, you know, I just want to invite everybody to
Starting point is 00:56:47 just stay connected with us, follow us on our official channels for you AI on X and also join on Discord and Telegram channels. But beyond the TGE, you know, we really want to invite you to come and explore our platform, join our communities, participate in all the different quests and campaigns, and start to stack your reputation early. Because in this world that we're moving towards, your reputation will become a real asset. And we believe that the rep era is just getting started. Love it. So start stacking your reputation. That is beautiful.
Starting point is 00:57:25 We also want to welcome, you know, everybody who wants to, you know, join us for a partnership can be a marketing partnership. Or, you know, if you are exploring how to grow your community, you know, take a look at us or we believe we have some of the best tools in the market. And, yeah, you know, like, and we're really here for the long term. So hopefully we can get some meaningful partnerships can also be, you know, with brands. Or if you are just like starting out as a KOL, I think you'll, you know, you'll enjoy being on our platform. Yep.
Starting point is 00:57:58 Perfect. I love it. The website is foruAI.io. Right on. All right, Zamb, we really appreciate it. Thank you so much for coming on. And thank you everybody for tuning in to this episode of Crypto Town Hall. Thank you, Dave.
Starting point is 00:58:14 You still with us, brother? I'm just tuned away. Perfect. I'm here, I was on a different page. I always have to navigate back. Thanks, Travis. No, I hear you.
Starting point is 00:58:25 I love it. Well, thanks, man. I appreciate it. It's great to see you. You haven't chatted in a while, so it was good to see you guys. A lot of great people on board today. Thank you so much.
Starting point is 00:58:33 Make sure you guys go out and connect with Zan and the other speakers that were in here today. Make sure you follow them. Any final words of wisdom, Mr. Dave, for the people? I mean, the final words of wisdom are, it's never as low as you think. And it's never as bullish as you think at the top. So, you know, just keep grounded and grind on.
Starting point is 00:58:54 That's what's the best thing you can do. And thank you. Beautiful. Yeah. Thank you. We'll see you guys next time. Thank you. Bye-bye.

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