The Wolf Of All Streets - Buy Everything! Crypto Gets A Massive Boost! $9 Billion Into Coinbase?

Episode Date: May 13, 2025

In today’s live show, I’m joined by Matt Hougan from Bitwise and Andrew Parish and Tillman Holloway from Arch Public to break down the most explosive crypto news of the week. Arthur Hayes says it�...��s time to “buy everything” – are we really at the start of the next bull run? We’ll cover Tether’s $150B milestone, corporate Bitcoin accumulation, and why Coinbase could see $9 billion in passive inflows after being added to the S&P 500 next week. This episode is packed with signals you can’t afford to ignore. Matt Hougan: https://x.com/Matt_Hougan Discover Bitcoin Yield: https://archpublic.com/ Andrew Parish: https://twitter.com/AP_Abacus Tillman Holloway: https://twitter.com/texasol61 ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEKDAY! 👉https://thewolfden.substack.com/ ►► Arch Public Unleash algorithmic trading. Discover how algorithms used by hedge-funds are now accessible to traders looking for unparalleled insights and opportunities! 👉https://archpublic.com/ ►►TRADING ALPHA READY TO TRADE LIKE THE PROS? THE BEST TRADERS IN CRYPTO ARE RELYING ON THESE INDICATORS TO MAKE TRADES. Use code '10OFF' for a 10% discount. 👉https://tradingalpha.io/?via=scottmelker Follow Scott Melker: Twitter: https://x.com/scottmelker Web: https://www.thewolfofallstreets.io/ Spotify: https://spoti.fi/30N5FDe Apple podcast: https://apple.co/3FASB2c #Bitcoin #Crypto #Investments The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own and should in no way be interpreted as financial advice. This video was created for entertainment. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing contained in this video constitutes or shall be construed as an offering of financial instruments or as investment advice or recommendations of an investment strategy or whether or not to "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold" an investment.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Arthur Hayes says that it's time to quote unquote buy everything crypto and otherwise we're going to see if the gentleman on the panel today agree with that sentiment. And of course, Coinbase will be joining the S&P 500 next week. Some say that could lead to 9 billion in passive flows. Absolutely huge news for our industry. It's time to get the show going. We've got Matt Hogan today alongside myself, Andrew and Tillman. Let's go. What is up everybody?
Starting point is 00:00:46 I am Scott Melker, also known as the Wolf of all streets. Before we get started, please subscribe to the channel and hit that like button and good morning to Matt Tillman and Andrew. How are you gentlemen doing today? Fantastic. It's been a really good day. Can't beat it. Bitcoin's up and we're cruising.
Starting point is 00:01:04 No, Bitcoin's dead. It went to 106 and it went back to like 101. It's really good. Can't beat it. Bitcoin's up, we're cruising. No, Bitcoin's dead. It went to 106 and it went back to like 101. It's bear market. Hard to keep up, Scott. Hard to keep up. My entire feed yesterday was, now we'll be able to buy Bitcoin in the 80s again. We just got here, man.
Starting point is 00:01:22 I mean, I guess anything is possible, why not? Right, but still, it's like the sentiment spasms on X. just got here, man. I guess anything is possible. Why not? Right? But, but still, it's like the sentiment spasms on X are absolutely insane. You can tell how many people are not exposed to Bitcoin who still kind of feel like they want to be. I mean, I think that's been the moral of the story for me, engaging sentiment is that there's still
Starting point is 00:01:42 a lot of people who thought they were gonna buy in the sixties or just below 74. And now they're thinking, am I going to get a chance to buy in the 90s again? Coinbase in the S&P means everybody's going to be exposed to Bitcoin, whether they like it or not. That's a big, big, big deal. And so passive investors associated with ETFs and the like, the vanguards of the world and others are going to have some small connection to Bitcoin based on
Starting point is 00:02:14 the fact that Coinbase is going to be in the S&P 500. By the way, that wasn't telegraphed. Nobody was really talking about that. And then boom, it that is a, that's a really, really big deal. Really big deal. Matt, is this much bigger than micro strategy making it into the NASDAQ? A hundred? No, it's, it's way bigger. It's not even a comparison. I mean, the NASDAQ is something that we talk about, but the S and P is
Starting point is 00:02:38 what everyone benchmarks to there's $16 trillion benchmark to the S and P. That's why you see this $9 dollars, even though it's only going to enter at a weight of point one percent. But it is a big deal. It means literally every American and every American institution will have exposure to the largest crypto exchange. That's a meaningful thing. I'm at a TradFi conference today and this, this sort of, I tri tried this as a talking point.
Starting point is 00:03:06 It mattered to people. It seemed to suggest to people that this industry has grown up. This is another major milestone. I actually I do think it's a pretty big deal. Yeah. Yeah, I think it's an absolutely massive deal. And regardless of the passive flows, like you said, this is like a final stamp of approval because it was a big deal even that we had crypto companies that were listed.
Starting point is 00:03:28 Forget even S&P 500, the fact that they were even able to get on the stock market, people forget years ago was a huge deal. That's exactly right. It's also worth noting for people who aren't familiar that the S&P 500 doesn't just own the 500 largest stocks. There are various screens. There's a committee that decides. There's a process.
Starting point is 00:03:48 They want to see companies that are stable, that aren't going anywhere. So it's more meaningful than just a mechanical addition to an index. Yeah. I mean, tell me what do you think of this? And is it fair to say that this is exposure to Bitcoin or is it more fair to say that exposure to the industry? Because Coinbase actually kind of made news of late saying they had considered adding a lot more Bitcoin to their balance sheet and didn't. Well, I think that's part of the interesting
Starting point is 00:04:15 you know development here is Coinbase is not just a Bitcoin centric entity, right? I mean, they're launching meme coins and all sorts of stuff. So what this really is, is a final stamp of approval that crypto is here to stay and, you know, kind of let the games begin. I think that the moral of the story is that we won the war. The war is over. This, in my opinion, is, you know, the final boss, if you will, of the game. Getting into the S&P 500 is, you know, that's the end game for us. Now it's about how does this game develop and what kind of additional products are going to be injected into the industry
Starting point is 00:05:01 that allow volatility inside of Bitcoin to be the secondary market, not altcoins. And so this Bitcoin dominance narrative and what Bitcoin is doing right now from a corporate adoption perspective, I think that's the story of 2025. I think we're about to see something really special in terms of the squeeze. That may not play out, but it's looking more likely by the day, because these types of announcements were coming, you know, few and far between, and now they're just like every single day you're hearing of a new Bitcoin, you know, Treasury being set up. And, you know, I
Starting point is 00:05:42 think that's, there's only 21 million. Nobody can turn on the faucet on the other side of it and create more supply. I love sailor. The Bitcoin Treasury companies are starting to worry me. Not the people who are just adding Bitcoin to the balance sheet to hedge against dollar inflation losses, but the raising convertible debt, raising notes to buy more Bitcoin, effectively leveraging entire companies to buy Bitcoin, it's starting to worry me. How many of these do we need? Yeah, I actually agree with that, Scott.
Starting point is 00:06:17 I'll say that I've always thought the risk, people have tried to pin risk on micro strategy. They're very sophisticated about their sort of debt to their Bitcoin holdings. The risk has always been somebody trying to outdo micro strategy. And I do worry that we're moving up that escalator of people who want to stick their neck out above Michael Saylor. And to do that, you have to be more aggressive. And I don't like the pattern of a million of these people with people trying to sort of stand out more than the next guy. Do you think there's some risk of that? Well, given what kindly stock did yesterday, it's not going to slow down for a while. No, that's the problem. But isn't that like Long Island blockchain, ICT, you know, or like, hey, listen, everything in the Don't go to negative town on me, Scott.
Starting point is 00:07:02 All right, don't go to negative town on me. All right, this morning. We don't need that negativity. But in all honesty, you're going to have a significant amount of this happening because of what happened yesterday, just in the short term. You know, over the net, in short term, in the world of investing, oftentimes,
Starting point is 00:07:24 it's a quarter, maybe two. We got the Bitcoin conference coming up. I'm certain that there'll be another couple of these treasury companies that it stood up and get announced at the Bitcoin conference. One of them is David. The one that was the one you're talking about is David Bailey, the CEO of Bitcoin magazine and the Bitcoin company. Right.
Starting point is 00:07:42 They raised money so fast that they couldn't announce it at the Bitcoin conference to be fair. And so it just it happened very very quickly. And that's kind of the point. When you set out to raise you know three to four hundred million and you raise seven hundred plus million and you do it faster than you think you're going to do it that just sends a signal. I've got three eight three emails from the company that was the the lead kind of underwriter under what they did since then talking about all that I'm not the only one getting those emails okay there there are other folks getting those emails being encouraged to hey if you
Starting point is 00:08:23 want to do something like this and make this amount of capital, this amount of time and this kind of return, it seems pretty easy and the appetite for it exists, meaning that this is going to happen again, and probably several more times before it runs out of juice. I'm curious. Go ahead, Tim. I'm curious, Scott.
Starting point is 00:08:44 I just want to ask really quick. Yeah, go ahead. Go ahead. I'm just curious why you all say that Tim. I just wanna ask really quick. Yeah, go ahead. I'm just gonna say, why does somebody buy 21? We're gonna do this again. Why does somebody buy like the new one or 21 instead of buying MicroStrategy? If you have four or five or six or 10 of these things, how do you even choose as an investor, which one is the?
Starting point is 00:09:00 I don't really know. Well, I think it comes down to the management. I actually like this development Why because I think a lot of people are gonna fail and they're gonna have to cough up their stack and then that's gonna be available to be purchased and and you know, I think Management and structure are gonna be the most important attributes to these companies being propped up the more closely tied to Wall Street you are,
Starting point is 00:09:25 the less likely you are going to be to fail in my opinion, because you're gonna be able to pull the necessary liquidity strings when you need them to cover yourself. The bigger you get, the more liability you're incurring. And so the question in my mind is, is like from Matt and your perspective, Scott what what do you see is the biggest existential risk to this kind of being a mega trend? Because in the way, I understand it is
Starting point is 00:09:53 He's borrowing he's borrowing against non recourse debt, right share price debt And the worst thing that could happen is Bitcoin crash in price, which would not, none of the loan could be called, right? No, it wouldn't create a default situation. It just would create a mass exodus of their shares and a dump on the market of MicroStrategy itself. But how does that really do anything negative to Bitcoin other than potentially free up some Bitcoin based upon them needing liquidity and having a sell? I'm not going to do that bad answer. The quick answer I gave is I don't know that it triggers the bear market, but if Bitcoin, which it will, goes down 30%, 40%, whatever, and some of these guys start to panic and
Starting point is 00:10:41 do want to make people whole or want to have a company that exists, they're going to sell the Bitcoin and that's how you get the liquidation. You're cascading, you know, sell, panic, sell, panic, sell, panic, sell. So yes, if your point is that like probably whenever there's an expair market instead of the shallower pullbacks we've been seeing, we get the extra 20%, then yes, I agree, we get to buy Bitcoin cheaper. Yeah, yeah, I think that's right. I mean, it's worth noting,
Starting point is 00:11:05 of course, I'm a huge fan of this. I have an ETF that only owns companies that are Bitcoin as a corporate asset. So I think this is a good deal. A good thing. I don't think MicroStrategy has this risk, but I worry about the risk that Scott raises, which is in a significant pullback. This is a form of leverage entering the system. And during periods of stress, leverage turns into cascading selling. And I do worry a little bit about the sticking your head up higher than the next guy risk.
Starting point is 00:11:34 As we get more and more of these, I think that that is a risk with monetary. It's not a risk we see in the market yet, Tillman, but it is a theoretical risk that we could see if we get an infinite number of these. But for now, it's absolutely true that companies are buying more than 100% of the supply of Bitcoin, right? And that is a good thing for price. That's one of the reasons we're up so much. And I suspect that that's going to continue, right? We think companies will buy 300 to 500,000
Starting point is 00:12:02 Bitcoin this year, right? So two to three X. So I think it's positive, but there is this potential risk you can see down the road if you want to look. I see that risk. I guess to me, it's like, if you have that industry growing though, that's just available market share
Starting point is 00:12:20 for the firms that do fail and MicroStrategy and other firms that are successful, wouldn't they step in and essentially fill that void and be the winners, essentially, because that's essentially the consolidation that happens in every developing market, right? As you know, there's people that stick their neck up above to try to create the competitive advantage. Yeah, but the best and I'm not saying it's the same by any
Starting point is 00:12:43 stretch. But if we have to compare it to crypto, you go back to the BlockFi, Voyager, Celsius, all these guys days. It started with BlockFi at 3% yield on your Bitcoin. It ended at Celsius with 18% yield on your USDC. And every one of those to compete with the others did exactly what Matt said. Really stuck their neck up a little more, stuck their neck up. I went through the Voyager thing. Voyager didn't end up being criminal, so to speak. Right. But what it did end up was Steve Ehrlich going
Starting point is 00:13:12 to three arrows capital and saying, I literally need to give my people 10% yield, take my money, do something with it unsecured. And that blew up Voyager, right? So what stops one of these companies who has a unpopular debt raising from sweetening the terms to a point where it's extremely risky? That's to me is the risk. I think that's right. I do think there'll be more creativity in this space.
Starting point is 00:13:40 I think you'll see different companies do different things. So I think this trend will continue. It's just always, maybe Scott and I are a little bit scarred from the last bear market. It's always remembering the lessons of history so we don't repeat them. And this is something we look at closely at Bitwise and we look at the terms of the debt. We look at will they be forced to sell? And we don't see any risk right now. But we do see the potential.
Starting point is 00:14:02 You guys have Jeff Park. We don't. That is true. We just don't see any risk right now. But we do see the potential. You guys have Jeff Park, we don't. That is true. We have him through crypto Twitter. That's right, that's right. He spits out the answer. Yeah, I mean, but that's my simple fear. To your point, I just showed that article though.
Starting point is 00:14:19 Right now it's nothing but people buying. I just prefer the GameStop, you know, and the Square and the Tesla, hey, we're gonna put part of our treasury into Bitcoin and we're gonna hold this forever to hedge against the losses of the cash that we're holding here. That to me is like such a layup
Starting point is 00:14:35 that that could be so much buying from every company on the planet if that trend goes without having to turn it into some like financially engineered investment vehicle. Yeah, I think that's right. And I think we'll see that too for what it's worth. Yeah, I agree. Yeah, that trend will continue as well and it will pick up speed. Maybe it was three weeks ago where it was said that, I think it was Eleanor Tourette said that, you know, like a year ago, there were 35 ish companies in the S&P 500 that had Bitcoin on their balance sheet.
Starting point is 00:15:11 Now it's I think it's close to 90. So it continues to climb. And Matt was at the forefront of this movement and saying that it was going to pick up speed. And so it's clearly picked up speed and will continue to. Again, having their dominoes, right? So Matt's point about Coinbase going to the S&P 500 and that resonating with TradFi folks, that's a wave of capital associated there
Starting point is 00:15:42 that really has no end, that there is no end to that amount of capital finding its way into the space that we love. Right. And so the Coinbase thing, I think, when we look back on it in 12 months, 18 months, two years, will be a bigger deal than maybe a lot of things that we've talked about in the last six months, 18 months, two years will be a bigger deal than maybe a lot of things that we've talked about in the last six months because it will have allowed both retail and institutional traditional entities to have their eyes opened, right? Matt's standing behind these traditional guys, pushing their eyelids open their eyelids open saying look look look you can't you can't not see it anymore Right. It's here and you know, the s&p 500 is the Bible for TradFi guys. I mean period end of story It's what everything is benchmark on
Starting point is 00:16:38 and so Having coinbase there And it now being a part of every S&P fund that exists is going to be something. And then it'll be a question of how does Coinbase perform? How does it move up the quote unquote top 10 holdings of different types of ETF funds and all of that stuff? It's going to be, you know, it's going to be an interesting journey to watch for Coinbase. And then crypto overall, you overall, where are we at? Again, I go back to, and most of us on this panel
Starting point is 00:17:10 are old enough to remember, the dot com bubble and all those companies that went from $800 a share down to $0.99 are now some of the biggest companies in the world. And so in my mind, that's where we're headed with quote unquote crypto and all the adjacent companies existed around it over the next three, five, seven years. I would have thought actually,
Starting point is 00:17:39 there was a lot of conjecture that Robinhood would be sort of the first major crypto adjacent company that would have made it into the S&P. I know that there was a lot of consideration that they'd be in for inclusion. They actually have news today, which is, enters Canada by taking over crypto exchange, WonderFi for 179 million. Mr. Wonderful just keeps on winning. This is his thing, WonderFi.
Starting point is 00:18:00 But I mean, these guys, Robinhood, I think alongside Coinbase really just driving this sort of front end of adoption here for crypto I mean they become as much of a crypto company as any as anyone else quietly Yeah, these are gonna be the two biggest financial services type firms in the world in ten years I think we're moving in that sort of direction. We're on the record of saying Coinbase will surpass Charles Schwab as the largest brokerage by market cap, possibly this year. You'd have the 3X from here. But I don't think that's unreasonable. Every generation gets a new financial services company.
Starting point is 00:18:35 Schwab was the last generation. It's time for a new one. It's going to be Coinbase and Robinhood for sure. They're both executing extraordinarily well. I thought it was going to be when Sam Bankman freed bought Goldman Sachs. He missed his window, Scott. He missed his window. One of the like most under reported news stories are the
Starting point is 00:18:55 past few months was that Robinhood became a bank. Yeah, they I mean, the full suite of financial services, literally everything. Yeah, yeah. So I mean, they're gonna dominate, I think, and Coinbase has now applied for a bank charter as the rumor as well, correct? Absolutely. I mean, look, again, it's been a long time since we'd had innovation in the financial services space that affects most people, right? Like, we haven't changed since the ATM. It's about time. So it's good to see them moving in that direction. I really think they're going to shake things up significantly over the next
Starting point is 00:19:28 couple of years. If I'm not mistaken, Vlad is going to be at the Bitcoin conference, isn't that right? Isn't he a speaker? I know for a fact because I might have accidentally gotten you booked for something, Matt. I'm sorry or you're welcome. But I know Robinhood actually during the Bitcoin conference
Starting point is 00:19:45 that Thursday has a conference in Tampa, and my friend Rob, who is now the number two guy at Robinhood because he sold trade PMR to Robinhood there, Custodian, specifically requested your presence there to speak. So I don't know. I did learn that yesterday. You're welcome. I'm sorry.
Starting point is 00:20:04 And you're welcome. I'm excited to go to Tampa. So I did, I did learn that yesterday. You're welcome. I'm sorry. And you're welcome. I'm excited to go to Tampa. That'll be great. No, thank you. Yeah. But but yes, I think that Vlad will probably be at the Bitcoin conference. They're going to be everywhere. Which is telling, which is telling, right, which is telling in and of itself. Yeah, there there I again to to to the point that was made here Coinbase getting in the SOP 500 before Robin Hood is a is a surprise. I mean that I don't know what the machinations are, you know, can you politic to get into the SOP 500? I don't know
Starting point is 00:20:42 You can politic to get into anything Andrew I don't know. You can get into anything, Andrew. You know that. But I'll say I think in terms of the story, Wall Street, we know is full speed ahead. I mean, the train is leaving the station and it's going as fast out of the station as it can. I think the thing that I'm really excited about and kind of blown away about is the banking side.
Starting point is 00:21:05 Because Caitlin, we talked to her I think last week, and Caitlin Long said, everyone's going to need a bank charter. Like wait until you see the rush of companies go and try to become a bank. Because of what Matt just said, I mean, the innovation that has been suppressed for the last 20 years is about to explode. And you know, Caitlin was talking about what they were able to accomplish through regulated channels, FDIC insured channels.
Starting point is 00:21:36 They were able to create a deposit token based upon deposits they held with the company and send a cross border payment instantly, pay the employees on payroll right at that moment. It was truck drivers delivering goods so they got paid right when they made the delivery and they did that all with regulatory oversight and approval. That has never been done before. That's literally the first of its kind. And the fact that it's happened now means the cat's kind of out of the bag. And I think there's going to be a race to integrate crypto into banking systems everywhere in the United States. And I think between Wall Street's adoption and our banking industry's adoption, we really have a head start if we go fast and furious on both those fronts against
Starting point is 00:22:27 every economy on the face of the earth. I think we do a great deal to support the US dollar's dominance and keep it in kind of the center spotlight as the world reserve currency. If our banking system is the only banking system that's able to do this and pushing the boundaries, which I know Caitlin said that she's patented the process, the question then becomes how quickly can they get this integrated and really replace the Swift network with this new digital settlement layer? To me, I'm watching that like a hawk because I think that's gonna be where again, millions and millions of people see the benefit of crypto
Starting point is 00:23:09 and get that exposure for adoption. Yeah, I would just add, I think it's happening at a much greater degree than people are feeling. There's almost a boil the frog element. We just skipped over a news story that said Robinhood chose to enter a new country by buying a crypto exchange. A week ago, Robinhood said it was building a brokerage to trade US
Starting point is 00:23:34 stocks for European investors on Arbitrum or Solana, and no one even tweeted about it. These changes are happening so fast and so frequent that, you know, we sort of like shrug like, oh, yeah, great. Of course, of course, they would enter a new country crypto first, right? That is that is incredible. Think about that headline two years ago, we would have been talking about it for months. And so I do think this is going to happen a lot faster than people think. I don't think it's
Starting point is 00:24:04 priced into the assets. I think it's a lot faster than people think. I don't think it's priced into the assets. I think it's a bigger deal than people recognize right now. So outside of these news stories, let's talk about the market itself and what's happening, obviously, the China-U.S. trade deal, potentially a big deal. I guess we'll see in 90 days as that develops. But, Matt, you obviously dropped one of the greatest quotes in the history of this show, which was effectively that governments have made recessions illegal. And well, even JP Morgan now drops the US recession call after US China trade truce.
Starting point is 00:24:36 And then of course, we have our title here. Arthur Hayes declares buy everything. He actually said that in a fireside chat that had no fire. Coincidentally, if you guys have ever been to a fireside chat I've never seen one by a fire but in Dubai with me and here he is buy everything Chimerica lives USA and China agreed a major reduction to tariffs for 90 days like it almost concerns me that people are so bullish now on this news because it was supposedly so bearish before but it seems like markets are on all systems go right now and that's going to include crypto And I would say maybe even the best gauge of that is that all coins actually went up.
Starting point is 00:25:09 Yeah, I think that's right. All coins went up. I also think it's the case, Scott, that we suppressed and looked past a huge amount of good news over the last couple of months because we were distracted by this negative event on the tariff side. And so I think there's a coiled spring element that you saw in ETH's rally. Like ETH had a lot of actual good news that a reorientation of the foundation, it had some positive talk about its development roadmap, it had the Pectra upgrade and it did nothing. And then it was released and you know, it's up 40. And I think that's true even of Bitcoin. I think there's a lot of Bitcoin. I think there's a
Starting point is 00:25:45 lot of positive news in the Bitcoin market that just got lost amidst the distraction of the tariffs. So I don't know where we go in the next like couple days but I'm pretty optimistic about where we go if this is the new normal if we have banned recessions and we're back to risk on in the market. Yeah. There's going to be a, and again, I often default to BlackRock's thoughts, right? And their Biddle portfolio is now nearing $3 billion when 90 days ago it was $500 million, right? And that's not because the assets inside that portfolio have gone up by fourfold it's because people keep shoveling money
Starting point is 00:26:29 into it so it's not it's not always going to be just a Bitcoin story right that there are other assets that are going to live and breathe and grow and become part of the larger story associated with the industry. To me, it's fascinating to see where we'll be in two years. I think there's gonna be a huge, huge Bitcoin ecosystem that will be a totally different conversation than just where is the price today. But at the same time, I think there's going to be things
Starting point is 00:27:02 that are built and things that are going to be used on other chains that people haven't considered in a significant way just yet. And as always, smart minds and quote unquote smart money are ahead of the curve, the bitwises of the world and the black rocks of the world that are putting portfolios together based on that premise. And yeah, I think we're going to be surprised in many ways what jumps to the forefront in the next couple of years. And there's a lot of people making bets on that reality. Again, when you see money and assets flow in a certain direction, Larry Fink doesn't say Bitcoin is going to $500,000 to $700,000 just because he's bored and he wants a headline, not how that guy works.
Starting point is 00:28:02 So for that to happen, you would think that other assets are a part of that story. And that growth story is not just a Bitcoin dominance to 95%. That's not where we're headed. Bitcoin dominance may still be a real thing, but there are going to be other chains and other assets that become a part of the story, and it's going to be fascinating to watch. Well, I think what Matt said about skipping over the headlines of them entering a new country on the back of buying a crypto exchange, if you look at any industry, one of the precursors to mass adoption is that big companies start spending big money on infrastructure and connectivity. And if
Starting point is 00:28:45 you look at the acquisitions that have made the headlines over the last few weeks, they're big dollars and they're all about infrastructure. They're all about buying exchanges. They're all about connecting markets so that capital can flow freely between traditional markets and now these new crypto markets. That's what Ripple's trying to do. That's what Ripple's trying to do. That's what everybody is trying to do that kind of understands this trend. And then when you inject the bank's adoption on top of that, you've got full circle effect. I mean, it's where money can go anywhere, anytime,
Starting point is 00:29:18 both TradFi and crypto. I mean, I remember Trade Station used to have functionality three, three, four years ago where you could deposit funds, you could trade TradFi securities, but they had a sister brokerage that was connected where you could transfer money and trade crypto and you could move money back and forth and you could also then take the crypto off in cold storage. It was a very unique loop that they possessed and they shut it down. They couldn't keep And you could move money back and forth and you could also then take the crypto off in cold storage. It was a very unique loop that they possessed and they shut it down. They couldn't keep it up because of regulatory scrutiny, I guess. That's speculation.
Starting point is 00:29:54 I don't know that for a fact, but I would assume so. But now you're going to see that come back in spades. And so what does that mean? It just makes it a lot easier for dollars to flow into this market at every level, both now in Wall Street form where you're buying ETFs and products, but also in the crypto form on chain. When that connectivity happens, there's going to be a lot more money that can flow on chain that could never get there. Coinbase is being adopted or put into the S&P is like proving that in spades. If they're not going to be able to do it, who will? Yeah, my next question was going to be how much does this matter for base?
Starting point is 00:30:37 I mean, they literally have their own blockchain and they're now in the S&P 500. I think the other trend that we may see is an enormous amount of merger and acquisition activity in the crypto space because there's going to be a bunch of folks that go public and when you go public, you got pockets full of money, right? So you have the opportunity to do that. I'd love to get Matt's thought on that because because that has happened a bit, a little bit, in other cycles, but in ways that probably maybe, if we go back and look, are slightly uncomfortable.
Starting point is 00:31:14 But now there's gonna be a legitimacy to it. So I think that particular area of the space may explode a bit. Matt, what do you think? It's already exploding behind the scenes. The number of M&A conversations, the number of pitches that come into my inbox. This is already happening at the crypto to crypto level. And then I think there are two other unlocks that you spoke of one
Starting point is 00:31:38 is crypto companies going public. And then having a lot of cash, we're going to see a dozen crypto companies go public in the next year. Is Galaxy going public next week? Basically today, yeah, one of these days. And they're just the tip of the iceberg. I really think you'll see more than 12 go public in the relative near term. And then it's traditional companies buying their way into crypto because they have to. So you're going to see a massive wave of M&A and that will cycle back into new VC funding. I think it's a really big deal. I mean, it is shocking to me. If I measure the number of investment bank pitches coming into my inbox, it's up not 2x, it's up 15x year over year. It's absolutely massive. Lots of companies for sale and a desire to grow. So I think it's a really big thing.
Starting point is 00:32:29 Yeah, it's funny. I'm looking at I was just looking at that Tether headline we brought up before. There's more each other in circulation than ever. But then I just started seeing latest crypto news. And when you just look at all that's happened in a day or two, to the point about how fast things are happening. I mean, the Robin Hood News we discussed Galaxy going public, Dubai's finance department signs MOU with crypto.com to enable crypto payments for government services. Coinbase being listed, right? I mean, if you click in, you have like Eric Adams saying that they want New York City, New York to be the crypto capital of the world. NASDAQ listed GV Culture Group to sell up to 300 million in shares to acquire Bitcoin and Trump meme coin. I mean, you can't even keep up anymore. It's wild.
Starting point is 00:33:12 It is wild. It's completely wild. It's also true that crypto spent like two years building incredible infrastructure, but not having market penetration because we were shut down by regulators. So there is this reason we can grow faster and reason more things can happen. We couldn't have had this activity a few years ago where you'd have the each transaction fee spike to 30,
Starting point is 00:33:34 but we're not in that world anymore. We built the infrastructure to scale. It's an amazing market. Well, even at a company to company level because of that you know more than two-year period all of these companies are very lean right they're they're extremely lean they can move very very very fast they're not bloated with personnel or with other restrictions associated with growth that's you know unfettered and money blowing into the sky. So the ability, again, over the next two years, I think we're going to see a different landscape. And again, it's a very, very exciting
Starting point is 00:34:13 space to be in. To your point, Scott, just showing off the headlines in a half of a day now, two years ago was four months of headlines that we were all excited about and would, you know, materially move the price of Bitcoin and other assets. Now it's every single day stuff is happening and it's not going to slow down. It's going to pick up again to Matt's point, you know, 12 plus or more, maybe closer to 20 over the next 12 months because there's gonna be some that go public that probably shouldn't, but it's gonna turn into a bit of a frenzy.
Starting point is 00:34:48 And so you just do because the money's available to you. That's going to create another just wave of activity. Again, that is gonna be fairly legitimate. It's very, very different than the FTXs and Binance of the world throwing money at people and hoping for the best. This is now public markets. So, I think it's the ICO days, but legitimate, right?
Starting point is 00:35:16 This is going to be just like the ICOs where you just, you started a coin and it just starts going crazy because there's so much liquidity that wants to make those speculative bets on kind of first market. And you always see that with markets that are suppressed, right? When markets are artificially suppressed, when the demand continues to boil under that surface, there has to be a boiling over point. and I think we're about to see that boiling over point And what's going to be really fun is to see To y'all's point earlier like whose head gets highest and that's going to have natural Consequences people are going to fail but chasing the monthly
Starting point is 00:35:59 Transactional users is going to be what everyone is trying to do. Why? Well because Coinbase has what 300 million users? That creates a whole lot of incentive to go carve out some market share. And how are you going to do that? By differentiating yourself just like the ICOs did as it relates to like their use case and their potential market fit. But instead of it being on the back of speculative market fit and speculative utility, I think this cycle is going to be about actual utility. It's going to be like, we acquired this exchange. Why?
Starting point is 00:36:35 Because it comes with this many monthly transactional users and it connects this market to this market, which unlocks this much more capital than we had before and that leveraged into a share price that is going crazy, you've got growth potential out the wazoo. I mean, this is, it's going to be a wild, wild ride. And I think that if we think the ICO days were crazy, the depth of liquidity that pumped the ICOs is so shallow compared to the liquidity pools that we're playing in now. I mean, it's incredible.
Starting point is 00:37:09 It'll be fascinating to watch over the next few years. Yeah, Matt, anything before I let you go, anything specific that you're excited about from Bitwise, anything you guys are building, what do you think will be sort of the next big play? Yeah, well, I'll just give you one anecdote from being on the road, and then I'll talk about Bitwise for a minute. This is the third, I'm at a major financial services conference
Starting point is 00:37:35 from a mid market broker dealer with, you know, north of half a trillion in assets. And it's the third type of that conference I've been at in the last month, I've gone to them every year. This year, I'm the closing keynote at all of them. And last year, I was a sideline. And then two years ago, I was a pre-conference event. So as a a Matt Hogan indicator of our progression into the mainstream, it's moving in the right direction.
Starting point is 00:38:02 And bitwise, we, we continue to innovate with new products and ETPs. You know, we're pushing to get our index fund up listed. And we continue to do more on-chain to knit some of this conversation together. You know, Bitwise is now doing, we now have a multi-billion dollar staking business. We're now looking at other on-chain solutions as well. So I do think this TradFi and CryptoNative are coming together. I see that at Bitwise and I see that in the industry broadly. Yeah, I love it. You guys never stop. You never stop. I don't know how you can always beat all these conferences. Lots of chicken dance. Understanding family.
Starting point is 00:38:44 That is right. My wife's a saint. Yeah, 100%. They all are if they deal with us, I have to say. Guys, you can give Matt a follow obviously on X tagged right down below. Matt, we always appreciate you showing up, especially at 6 o'clock in the morning. They happen to be in the world. Always for you guys.
Starting point is 00:39:02 Thanks. Great to see you all. Thanks, Matt. See you soon. Do well. Yep. All right, guys. Thanks. Great to see y'all. Thanks, Matt. See you soon. All right, guys. Let's, oh, your faces are huge. I'm gonna leave you. Okay, now we're gonna make our faces smaller. Not because of you guys, because of my face. I hate to see my face. Do you remember MySpace? MyFace. Yeah. Mixed Facebook and MySpace. Yeah, there you go. The mind of an ADHD.
Starting point is 00:39:30 Opportunity missed. Yeah, opportunity missed there, Scott. You could have been onto something. My face. Absolutely. So now let's talk about ArchPublic. Let's do it. We got the scrolly thing.
Starting point is 00:39:40 We got the logo thing. We've got Vegas coming up in two weeks. What's going on? One thing to note for us, RL goes, again, being user-driven. You have the opportunity to dial in everything that you want to dial in there. I take a look at the price action over the last 30 to 40 days in crypto, which has bottomed to some extent and then rocketed higher very, very quickly, a V-shaped, a real V-shaped type of stuff. And so what are the value of algorithms and executions that are completely disassociated
Starting point is 00:40:18 with emotion, fear or greed doing the work on your behalf? Well, to give you an example, our Solana arbitrage algorithm bought at 104 and 113. And where do we sit today, Scott? 175, right? I'm not a math whiz, but that's better than 50%. Therein lies the value associated with unemotional rules-based executions that are happening
Starting point is 00:40:48 not only in the midst of movements lower or higher, but when you're completely unavailable to make those decisions on your own when you're sleeping or when you're indisposed in some other way. Our customers continue to come to us and tell us, this is extraordinary stuff. I'm not only using the setups that I started with, but I'm now using these setups because I've gotten comfortable and I dial this in and I dial that in. And so, you know, over the weekend I had 10 executions that
Starting point is 00:41:21 happened based on the setups that I've come up with and the setups That that you guys have put together in case studies So it is fascinating to watch the community grow to watch the community Become very very aware of the technology that they have in their hands and that they have the capability to use associated with volatility and the opportunity that exists there. To have tools, you know, it's like going to mine gold in a mine but you only got your fingers and your fingernails to scratch versus, you know, the latest and greatest tool to just start hammering
Starting point is 00:42:00 away at walls and all you're doing is pushing buttons so it hammers either faster or slower. Big, big, big difference. Yeah and honestly that's why we think seeing is believing. That's why we've made the product free to use. If you want to download it you go to our website, click try the bitcoin algo or the xrp algo or the eth algo and you can download that algorithm for absolutely nothing. You can use it up to $10,000 of purchasing power every single year at no cost. And so once you see behind that,
Starting point is 00:42:35 we will spend as much time as needed to help you get up and running. So that's something that we really firmly believe in. We've been in the crypto space for a very long time and the customer service has been horrible. Every company involved. And so, I think a new dawn is breaking and I think we are going to be setting a standard
Starting point is 00:42:56 as it pertains to helping people. So if you've never used automation before, if you don't know how to use it, that's what we're here to do. We can literally run you through every single feature set and get you set up. And then once you get going, like Andrew said, you're going to have an eye-opening experience. You're going to be exceptionally excited about the tools that you now possess. And we'll spend more time with you talking about how you can set it up to the nth degree. So this can fit anyone's bill as it pertains
Starting point is 00:43:27 to what you're trying to accomplish. Whether you're trying to accumulate, whether you're trying to trade, whether you're trying to unaccumulate or sell, it can do all of those things very, very effectively. And we can show you how to dial it into your specific user parameters. But once you see the software,
Starting point is 00:43:42 once you really get to play with it, I think it's going to be a very eye opening experience for you. It was for us. And when you get your hands on the first tool piece of automation, to is building that value and trying to fit institutional tools inside of a package that allows retail consumers to manage them and to deploy them very, very easily. So we're trying to make this as easy as possible. I think we've come such a long way that that's the response that we're seeing in the customer growth. You've had thousands of customers download the software
Starting point is 00:44:25 and we get positive feedback from, we don't get any negative feedback. Because if you don't want to use it, don't use it. But it is going to be available more than you are. So when the market presents those opportunities to either buy and or to sell a little bit, if you're not sitting in front of the computer or if you're like John Deaton said in his tweet this week in court and or picking up your daughter from school,
Starting point is 00:44:50 the algorithm is not you know doesn't have any other priorities. It sits there and monitors the market. So really excited to see the customer growth. We want to continue to improve. So if you have any suggestions for the software, please reach out to us. But schedule a time for a demonstration schedule a time to get on with one of our staff members and help you get it set up because I think you're going to be very pleased when I think it's amazing is that we started this house got to be almost a year a year a year. Yeah, more than a year. Yeah, we're so
Starting point is 00:45:22 old. More than a year. More than a year. We've been doing this a year. We're so old. And you were not doing anything with Bitcoin at all. We were on trade station, obviously, trading with the algorithms that have done incredibly well. And then you could dollar cost average basically into Bitcoin at the end of the day by taking
Starting point is 00:45:38 the profits from your trades on S&P and such. But I looked because we used to do the daily update, you know, the weekly update $10,000 portfolio, and then we moved on to the Bitcoin algorithm. It made over 42% in a year and 7% this week. Yeah. The original products are still just crushing it over on the other side, trading stonks.
Starting point is 00:46:01 Yeah. Well, the futures market, yeah, there's automation. We have automation for the futures market as well, like Scott's saying. And that is, in my opinion, a little bit more sophisticated because you're trying to only trade for cash in the futures market. What's great about crypto is if you want to accumulate crypto, think about it like this. If you make a trade and the trade goes against you and you do an appropriate job of really scheduling out how much dollars you place in each trade and you keep a lot of powder dry, then as the price goes against you, you're able to dollar cost average into a position. As the price goes for you, you're able to cash out of some of those positions if that's
Starting point is 00:46:45 something that you want. And so you keep your losers and you keep them over a long period of time and you cash out of your winners. And so there's two outcomes that you get. You either get a lot of accumulated crypto, like of your preference, if you want to accumulate Bitcoin and you start implementing a strategy like this, you will accumulate a lot of Bitcoin. If the price continues to go up and it shakes the tree and a lot of volatility, you also will, based upon your parameters, be able to sell that and make some cash yield
Starting point is 00:47:15 on top of holding that core position. And so this allows you flexibility to take advantage of volatility is the bottom line because volatility when you're just holding, it's hard. You know, it makes you, you don't like it because you're holding a bag and it's going down against you. But if you're able to take some of those holdings and take advantage of the volatility and play those swings, it allows you an opportunity that you would not otherwise get if you didn't deploy automation. So it's something again that will add versatility and flexibility to your Bitcoin accumulation strategy or your Solana accumulate, whatever the crypto. Right now we've got four available
Starting point is 00:47:57 through Gemini. We will be expanding very shortly to Kraken and Coinbase. We're excited about that expansion because there's some coins like SUI that we want to add and they, Jim and I doesn't currently serve that. And we also have some markets like Canada where we have a lot of customers in Canada that have said we really want to use this software but unfortunately we can't right now. So this will help grow our customer base, get the tool in more people's hands. And just like what we've talked about earlier with Matt, the next iteration of this cycle is gonna be built on utility
Starting point is 00:48:33 and it's gonna be built on what utility you provide the market. And this is, like I said, try it and tell us whether you think it provides utility because we've gotten a ton of customers that have said that they believe it does so a reminder too is that 80% of all trad five market trades that happen in traditional markets are algorithmically done that is a reality that's the reason why there's nobody on the NYSE floor anymore yelling and screaming at each other.
Starting point is 00:49:05 In other words, at some point that same percentage of algorithmic trades will find its way into crypto. Okay, so you use these tools. We've made them free. You're ahead of the curve now. Now you're ahead of the curve. At some point, you just got to be on the curve. So that type of functionality, that type of maturation of markets, that type of squeezing of margins associated with what happens in the crypto space, we're at the beginning of things starting to move and change
Starting point is 00:49:43 and shift so that liquidity acquiesces around certain assets, certain exchanges, the whole idea of merger and acquisition. So instead of there being 9,000 exchanges, there's going to be about six that matter in two years. And then five years from now, there's going to be three that are still crypto client, you know, only that matter. So, you know, now's the opportunity to stay ahead of the curve, use tools again that are free to stay ahead of the curve and benefit in a very, very unique way. We're going to be at the Bitcoin conference in a huge way. We've sponsored the complete
Starting point is 00:50:24 whale experience. Scott's going to be there with Bitcoin conference in a huge way. We've sponsored the complete whale experience. Scott's going to be there with us for a day or so. I am not the whale experience. Yeah. He's a different experience. Whale experience is just me in a room now. The middle experience. So we're going to have a separate space, a suite that's a little bit off the
Starting point is 00:50:45 wheel experience for people to come and spend time with us. Scott's going to be doing some really interesting interviews. And so just, you know, get connected with us. Stay around ArchPublic, stay around Scott. We're going to be doing some really cool things there in Vegas and looking forward to meeting all of you, everybody. And if you're a big XRP or Bitcoin believer, we've kind of got a new live case study that's the for their own purposes, you can follow along on him on X and follow those trades. Like the most respected guy in the entire industry.
Starting point is 00:51:28 Yeah, he's awesome. Listen, he's got a heart for the people. That's what attracts us to, you know, he really is just transparent, which is awesome. And this day, I mean, there's every trade that the algorithm flat out share his trades. I mean, he was so annoyed probably because he was just so annoyed that immediately people are like, have you been hacked, dude? Listen, we've had Joel Katz can pop up and show concern like, Hey, Deaton, are you have you been hacked, buddy? Let's let's
Starting point is 00:51:57 hold off. If it's actually Yeah, I mean, he takes screenshots of his trades, and a bunch of them happen over the weekend with all the upside stuff, and there it is. As transparent a guy as you're gonna find in the space. And talk about no BS, the guy's a lawyer. I mean, you can't, there's no fake
Starting point is 00:52:22 until you make it stuff here. It's, this is what the algo does. These are the results. Here's my account. Take it for what it's worth, good, bad or indifferent. And you know, we're gonna spend some time with him at the conference. We've got a VIP dinner that he's gonna be at.
Starting point is 00:52:40 You're gonna interview him. Yeah, we're gonna spend some real good time with it. Well, I think the most exciting part... I was gonna say, apparently, the whale experience is me in a room watching Brendan Flasier flicks. I don't know why that's funny to me. I don't know if it's like in See No Man or if we're watching School Ties.
Starting point is 00:52:58 For some reason, that just really made me... What an arc that guy has followed, you know? What an arc that guy has followed, you know? I want to be on that role like Duster. I was just going to say, I think one of the neatest things that John's made himself available to do is take a Q&A session in our room at the conference. So one of the things that I think is going to be different about this conference is just the level of talent, if you will, that's available to talk.
Starting point is 00:53:24 So pretty exciting stuff. I mean, just like we've got sent this whole show talking about what the companies they're adding it to their balance sheet and think about it there's going to be a lot of publicly traded company c sweets at this conference there's going to be a lot of government officials in official capacity at this conference including the vice president of the united states so you know what would last year, as cool as it was
Starting point is 00:53:47 that Trump came and spoke at the conference, he wasn't in office when he did. This year, we've got a bunch of people in office that are coming to the conference. That's pretty unbelievable. That's something to admire. I literally think, like, I looked at the lineup of this conference and the people that,
Starting point is 00:54:01 like, a lot of them are just like, Brian Johnson, he's gotta live forever. I'm like, I don't know what the hell that has to do with Bitcoin, but apparently, like, me and Tupac of I was trying archpublic.com discovered Bitcoin yield. It's rolling down the bottom. Yeah, like I see the criticisms the code Like they're not holding your like people are so dumb and it's not excuse me. You're not dumb We're just making assumptions. Yeah, they're not holding it. There's Your money And if you don't like the trades you hit stop yeah It's important to note so
Starting point is 00:54:45 it in old times there's a lot of scams around software where they say let us hold your money and we'll provide some yield on it. That's not how this works. We give you access to a suite of software that then you implement inside of your brokerage account. We don't have access to your brokerage account, your funds are yours, So it's completely different. That's why we're offering it for free. Try it and see what you think. And if you have a bunch of money, and first of all, if you're the type to trade, and this will help you trade better, even if it's your own strategy, okay. And be like, if you want to buy
Starting point is 00:55:19 more Bitcoin, there's gonna allow you to buy more Bitcoin at better prices. It's not like there's nothing weird here. Yeah. Yeah. Listen, the funny thing, you know, I'm gonna be, to be fair to like the reply guys and stuff, I used to shit on algorithms all the time because every single one that I tried, it was like, it was some like garbage or it froze
Starting point is 00:55:39 or it didn't execute and stuff. But that was like on a dex somewhere. Or like, you know, it was like some third party API that was allowing me to like access finance from the US. Yeah, guys, like you don't get these companies. This is not. It's not that you don't have to. Well, here's the great part. You get to download the software and you get to look at the results through TradingView. You don't even have to trust us for the results.
Starting point is 00:56:08 You can do your own back testing on the largest third party integrated platform on the face of the earth, TradingView. So again, seeing is believing. We'd love to help you. We'll spend time helping you absolutely at no cost. So reach out to us. All right. Got to go. Guys, that was awesome. Thank you so much. Always amazing having Matt
Starting point is 00:56:27 like is there any better spokesman for the industry? That whole company is intimidating. They have a bunch of big brains over there. It's crazy. They're killing it. Absolutely killing it. Love to see it. See you guys next Tuesday and all the times in between. But see you guys next Tuesday. By the way, the next one after that we're going gonna be not here. No, that's comfortable. Maybe we'll, you know, we'll live stream at 6am. We could do it. We could wake up.
Starting point is 00:56:52 We can. We can. We can. We could live. We can. Oh, yeah. Okay. Before I cut, my mouth writes any checks my ass can't catch, let's go. See you guys later. Bye. Let's go.

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