The Wolf Of All Streets - Crypto at a Crossroads: US Debt, Inflation, and the Future of Bitcoin | CryptoTownHall

Episode Date: September 11, 2025

This Crypto Town Hall episode opens with reflections on September 11 and the recent violent death of a prominent figure (Charlie Kirk), leading to a discussion of violence, free speech, and the need f...or open debate. The conversation transitions to the state of global markets, Bitcoin, and crypto, particularly in light of macroeconomic trends, US debt, inflation, and the coming liquidity moves by governments. The panel examines the role of stablecoins and US regulatory strategy, with focus on how stablecoins and digital asset treasuries (DATs) could influence global dollar demand, Treasury markets, and institutional crypto adoption. Special guest Sue from EigenLayer/EigenCloud joins to discuss the explosive growth of ETH restaking, EigenCloud's shift into AI and cloud services, and the institutionalization of yield generation on Ethereum. Key technology developments, market outlooks, and debates on market risk are explored throughout, with an emphasis on financial sovereignty through crypto.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Morning, everybody. Welcome to Crypto Town Hall every day here on X at 10.15 a.m. Eastern Standard time. We actually were not going to have a show because we didn't have anyone to host it from the Cryptotown Hall account, but luckily we were able to get that together and get a show. So glad to be here, although obviously an interesting day to be talking about Bitcoin and markets when so much else is happening in the world. but generally our view here is that we like to show up, look to the future, discuss the things that are happening, even in light of other events happening, obviously around the world, which I'm sure we will discuss more thoroughly. Dave, I know that you were vacillating on even wanting to be here today or not. Well, it's a ridiculously tough day. I mean, I was 10 blocks north of the towers when they fell, you know, that wasn't 24 years ago.
Starting point is 00:01:03 I was there. I had friends in the building, and I know what happened. I've seen all the conspiracy theories since then, and being an eyewitness to watching how it fell and understanding it. The point never forget is emblazoned in my head. And to be blunt, it's very, very clear that quite a few New Yorkers have forgotten. and don't understand what happened at the same time yesterday one of and it's hard it's really strange to say that a 31 year old is half my age is someone who has almost a hero of mine but the
Starting point is 00:01:37 truth is is that while yeah there are there are things that charlie kirk and he was a bitcoiner so i agree with him about that and i agree with him on a lot of his positions i totally disagree with a lot of his conservative religious positions but why i say the word hero is he was one of the only people that I've ever seen who was willing to debate as a gentleman, far better than I can, because I tend to get angrier than he did, keep his cool and listen to and work through actual discourse. So someone who was literally emblematic of the importance of debate and free speech in society was who was killed yesterday. I can't express. Words are simply not enough to express how important it is that his ethos doesn't die with him. And so, yes,
Starting point is 00:02:21 you know, Bruce Fenton had a great post this morning, and I hope he joins us, but where he said that, you know, he has been muffling himself and holding back on issues because of fears and that he's not going to do that anymore. And to be blunt, I'm not going to either. You know, people can go fuck themselves if they think they can cow and chill my free speech. And, you know, frankly, I hope even people who disagree with me completely take the same of you, because the more we get the views out, the better off we all are. But here we are in a bitcoin space with yet another round of relatively weak economic data and bitcoin once again pushing back from the bottom of its quote range towards the middle and you know we'll see how things go you know i don't want to hijack the space but it is it is a tough day scott there's just no other way around it's it's worth hijacking and speaking obviously anyone who has shows on days like this has to be conscientious of the way that they approach it i obviously did my youtube show at the but then I let the guests go and kind of said my piece at the end, which I guess I can say very briefly here today as we go into the show, is that, A, I'm a very apolitical person. I know much
Starting point is 00:03:29 about Charlie Kirk, so I can't speak to it the same way that you did. What I find always so disheartening is that this level of violence has existed for a long time, and I've had my doubts that it will ever change since Sandy Hook, and nothing has changed. In the United States, there's no meaningful change in emotion or policy or really anything, even when children die. So I don't think that anything will surprise me from that point on. But I do think that it's still important that we show up and talk about things that we're all passionate about moving forward into the future. Because, you know, I believe that we have a bright future. I just think it's incredibly sad.
Starting point is 00:04:10 But what happened to Charlie, to some degree, happens every day all over the country. And it's just, that's just incredibly disheartening. Well, I mean, I'm sorry. I mean, you and I are friends and we can have a friendly disagreement. I view what happened to Charlie as, and, you know, what has been happening as very, almost eerily parallel to what happened in the 60s. In the 60s, leftism was counterculture. Right. And by the way, I actually agree with the motivations that were going on back then against the war in Vietnam, et cetera, et cetera. But if you look at who was murdered, in the 60s, whether it be JFK or RFK, Martin Luther King or Malcolm X, they all had one thing in common. They all were against
Starting point is 00:04:57 the prevailing narrative of control. I would make the argument, and this is going to be, this is something not really for a huge discussion now, but I'm happy to hash it out with anybody wants to, that individual freedom, whether it be via Bitcoin
Starting point is 00:05:13 or whether it be via other means, is the counterfeit, culture now. And stateism is with the enemy. And I think it's very similar. Now, if you know what happens in the aftermath of all of that between Vietnam and Watergate and Nixon closing a gold window or whatever happened, you know, it was definitely a major change. We need a major change now. I don't know if we'll get one, but, you know, as Bitcoiners, I think all of us believe that there are systems in place that need to be, need to be changed. And I don't think you can just
Starting point is 00:05:44 rationalize violence as violence. I think sometimes there's a point to. it and sometimes it's it's just evil but you know and that's where i disagree with you yeah i like i said uh i didn't know nearly as much about him as you do and your point is as well taken i wasn't trying to minimize it i was just putting it in context of how many of these things we've seen that nothing ceases to amaze me unfortunately but mark i saw you're about to jump in hey guys yeah so um you know bringing this uh back to markets and And the freedom point that you were talking about, you know, this morning, my, my wife just yelled over and said, hey, did you see that, I'm not mentioned his name, but, you know, that Jack
Starting point is 00:06:28 read the names down at, down at the tip of Manhattan today, you know, 24 years ago, our neighbor didn't come home. And his son was, I guess, six, seven years old. And today, he's, he's reading his dad's name and others. And I guess the point is on that day, it was, and for, long days after. It's very difficult for a lot of people, still is. But, you know, the sun persevered, and we all individually do what we can do to go through shit, whatever it is. And I think what I love about Bitcoin is that it gives you that ability, the resources to stay sovereign, to try to resource yourself and give back to the community and where you can make differences every day. So that's why I love this town hall. We can all speak about it. And I'm not mitigating, you know,
Starting point is 00:07:20 the death of Charlie Kirk at all. It's, it's an abomination and, and it's an assault. But thanks for having this space because since I lived and my friend didn't, I want to give witness to the opportunity for all. And that's what I love about having this open dialogue. Yeah. Thanks for having. I also have friends who sadly died on 9-11 in the towers, obviously. It was two years after I graduated college, all of my friends had basically gone into finance. So obviously, never a good day on September 11th. I actually just pinned above the story for those who don't know because I've brought it up so many times. Everybody knows Howard Lutnik from Cantor Fitzgerald, and everybody obviously knows his positions on Bitcoin and as Commerce Secretary,
Starting point is 00:08:04 but I highly encourage that all of you read his story from 9-11 because Cantor Fitzgerald, I believe, took up five floors at the top. of one of the towers, and he lost, if you listen to the story, it's immeasurable what he lost. I mean, his brother, his best man, his best friends, his family, is into every person who ever worked for him to talk about perseverance. I think that, you know, as we kind of transition here into us, talk about markets and Bitcoin and self-sovereignty, as Mark said, that's a story you must, must read if you've never heard it. So I did tag his tweet just above, but let's actually talk about market.
Starting point is 00:08:44 It's obviously we have a Bitcoin breaking above a level, I think, that many people were watching at 112 showing signs of strength and all of this. I think in the light of mixed CPI and PPI data and expectations about the Fed, Mike, I don't want to put you on the spot, but that's always why we have you here because you're watching this stuff so closely. Yes. Well, thanks for bringing back the memories. If there's any day that I always like to say that you've got to really appreciate
Starting point is 00:09:14 the aging process. It's today. I got off that Wall Street subway with my good friend, George Spencer. I went the right way, and unfortunately he went the wrong way. Never saw him again, but that's the way it is, and we all have to just appreciate. So anytime you hear people complain about aging, those of us who got close to 9-11, I don't have a lot of sympathy before, but back over to what's tilting that, you even mentioned Sandy Hook. The weekend before, my son had a basketball game there, so I remember going there. But the key thing to think about now is I remember very well hopping in the car. in a minivan with a bunch of my colleagues in driving to Chicago and being feeling quite confident.
Starting point is 00:09:48 I was way overweight treasuries and gold and underweight risk assets. It was just a feeling I got in 1999 and I was early and I had the same feeling in 2007 and I have the feeling more now than ever. Now, the gold is a key thing I think to think about here. It's really worn. It's really scary. I mean, the last time we had gold up 40% on one year was 1979. CPI was running 10%. The bond yields peak two years later and that was it.
Starting point is 00:10:13 That was the big end of the big inflation. Now what we have today is, okay, CPI is still running 3%. The numbers were a little bit weaker and expected. Claims are still completely solidifying what happened to ADP and what's happening in payroll numbers that were seeing a weakness in the labor market. And the bottom line is a year from now, Fed funds are priced to be at 3%. Now, we've seen this before. The last time we had 12 months out, Fed funds priced at 3% on the way,
Starting point is 00:10:43 down was two cases, 2007 and 2020. And that was at the same time that the stockmark was breaking down versus gold. Now, the difference was stockmark was going down then and gold wasn't really going up. This difference is gold just taking off. So I'm really concerned about the next few months. And this is one of the kind of things that you have to hope I'm wrong. And as a strategy, I have to say what I think. And I think the risks are that we just get a little bit of normal pickup in stockmark
Starting point is 00:11:10 volatility. right now it's vix is 15 200-day mover and average is 19.2 when Trump got elected was 15 obviously the new president coming in he's very discombobulating you don't want that vix at least pop up to 19 and also we've known this year that bitcoin has almost been completely inversely correlated with the bix the low for the year in bitcoin in bitcoin was when the vix reached its high in april and the high for bitcoin this year in august was when the vix reached this low now okay couldn't be slower. The key thing I want to point out here is last week that 30 year reached 5%. I think that is a demarcation line for the guys, people on the planet seeking duration
Starting point is 00:11:50 that can't really go above that level and there's just people looking to buy it. Right now it's 465 and a 10 year note now is banging on 4%. That's good support. My fear is the next big trade and Scott, you know I've been saying this forever and I've been wrong for two years is going to be T bonds and there's one key thing for that to happen is U.S. stock market. market to go down. And right now it's not showing any signs of that. And the key leading indicator for all that is Bitcoin and Crypto. So I did have to, sometimes in my job, you have to antagonize or agitate, as Frederick Douglass said. And so today I did a little bit. I published that, you know, that whole thing. We all agree that Bitcoin Supplies Limited at $21 million. It yet had to go up,
Starting point is 00:12:33 increasing demand and adoption, the whole key thing that Michael Saylor picked up in 2020. But it has gone up. And there was only one crypto in 2009 on Bitcoin, and now according to coinmarkcap.com, there's 21 million crypto. So I had to put that headline. So I'll end with this. I think what I'm seeing in this space is the co-bitcoin crypto space is becoming much more of highly speculative commodities and less digital gold and stores of value. And I'm seeing that in the price of gold so far. So I'm hoping, I think most people in the space hope I'm wrong, but I think are well prepared. It should be well prepared if I'm right by the end of the year.
Starting point is 00:13:07 If we just see a little downtick in the equity market of 12% in the year, that could tip to scales for quite a well. So here's a key thing I think I'll end with. I think it's possible that Bitcoin at least revert toward $100,000. You have to, as a trader, you have to buy it and make you stop you out. I think at least the VIX, before the end of the year, it's going to reach 20. And as a trader, you're supposed to sell it and make it prove you're wrong. And to me, the bigger picture is that we're more likely to see reverge in a risk assets as we get towards the end of the year. back to you carlo yeah not a good morning today scott but we carry on um touching on what mark said
Starting point is 00:13:50 i think the entire global economy is kind of waiting to see what happens to the dollar um i have been kicking around this theory that i think that the dollar is in a very precarious position right now because of the amount of debt we're carrying and the continued devaluation of it. And I think Scott Besson has made a huge gamble that fully regulated stable coins are going to create dollar demand and treasury demand, which he desperately needs. And if he's right about that, and look, Russia just the other day pretty much said the quiet part out loud. The United States is going to flood the global market with fully regulated stable coins in order to eliminate its $34 trillion debt. And if Bessig can pull that off, and Dave and I, we talked about that the other day, we had a kind of impromptu discussion about this, then he will have masterfully bought more time for the dollar. While we wait for that to play out, risk assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin all seem to be very appealing stores of value until we understand where the dollar is ultimately going.
Starting point is 00:15:06 Now, can the dollar be saved? Can it continue to hold its position as the World Reserve Currency? Or will Bitcoin start to be the preferred reserve for nation states, for companies that want to have it on their balance sheet as a hedge against dollar volatility? I really am becoming increasingly convinced that I think all of this hinges on what the Treasury market looks like. And I think Mike had said that. And I think it's important to note. We need to keep a close eye on how treasuries look because there's an inverse situation here that can happen, too, which I'll say in closing, if we see demand for treasuries and if we see rate cuts as we all are anticipating aggressive rate cuts, well, the yield that is made on these stable coins is tied to the treasury return. And if that treasury return goes down because of rate cuts, well, that's going to cut into the bottom line of stable coin issuers. So I am trying to look at this at a very macro level to understand how this is all going to fit together, but I really am starting to become convinced that everything is kind of sidelined right now waiting to see what happens with the dollar. And I think the United States has made a big bet on treasury demand and the dollar continuing its position as reserve currency based on that treasury demand. So that's kind of where my attention is. which by the way there's a natural conversation
Starting point is 00:16:33 about stable coins I mean you even had the Russian minister say that the United States is going to utilize stable coins to export their debt basically to the rest of the world with your permission Scott if I could I'm hosting a roundtable tomorrow free
Starting point is 00:16:50 on live on X can I put that in the nest? Yeah please I think it's important because there are definitely and I'm seeing it in the timeline there are more questions than answers about how stable coins are going to work, what the yield aspects are going to be about it. And, you know, we see what's going on with hype and all the craze about jumping into stable coins. I think this is an important conversation. I was able to get a rock star lineup, including Caitlin Long, to be
Starting point is 00:17:14 on this panel. So thank you for allowing me to share that, Scott. I appreciate it. What time is it at tomorrow? We're going to broadcast it live as an X video. And there's a Luma link in the comments for anyone who wants to sort of register so I can kind of have a running head count. But I appreciate it, Scott. I think it's an important conversation with that. Yeah, feel afraid to join the year right before. Obviously, we'll probably cross over for 5, 10, 15 minutes, which is no big deal. But you can come tomorrow and make sure to remind everybody and jump over there. Thanks, man. I appreciate it. Of course. Mike, I see your mic lifted and then Mark after Mike.
Starting point is 00:17:50 Just a quick comment. I completely, the thing about stable coins is this is one delightful thing that about the Trump administration figured out. I mean, the first administration, they were just not getting what we were. seeing that this space is overwhelming. The technology is amazing. The key thing I, now that they tilted, the thing I like the point is, you just don't mess it up. The whole world is going organically to crypto dollars. People call them stable coins. I love them, they call them. Organically. So what does it do for those other hundred other currencies that are not the top 10? I mean, they're worthless. Less worth, less value every day. You can get access to peer to bear cash on your phone that in India you can get now for $12. This is overwhelming. It's just delightful that I,
Starting point is 00:18:30 administrations figured it out versus a couple years ago when, you know, they were the opposite. But that, to me, is the key, the most enduring trend in cryptos is the technology, the tokenization and what it's doing for the actual value of the dollar. So I think, yeah, sure, the government, our government wants a weaker dollar, wants a better trade deficit. But there's not much you can do about the world saying, what's this thing called CBDCs, when we can get organic money markets through a stable coin? And once they figure out that we, you know, figure out how to get that earning the election, I completely agree.
Starting point is 00:19:01 When these things were $2 billion in 2018 and on almost $3 billion now, I fully agree with Bessett that they're going to go to $3 trillion. What stops? It's just what's happening in futures and ETFs. It's just a better technology. To me, that's a key thing. Remember, but also what it does leave it, one key thing, the headline of Satoshi Nakamoto's white paper, peer-to-peer cash, why bother with that?
Starting point is 00:19:22 With highly volatile Bitcoin, we can do it through a stable coin. Mark. Hey, yeah, the stable coin dynamic is absolutely self-serving for the U.S. It was there to be had, and it's just shocking that Jenny Ellen didn't pressure. It just shows you how much they want to stay into the fiat without even potentially expanding the cryptocurrency markets and Bitcoin's opportunity. But I'm going to go pivot back to what Mr. McGlone said. on markets. I agree. This feels like late 19, when we had that September 2019 repo failure, when there was a regulation, J.P. Morgan took their $300 billion out of the repo market.
Starting point is 00:20:15 The New York Fed was in transition of leadership. People actually were mutinying against Williams, and they scrambled. And I know that when I was on a desk there, that people did not fund, and they were failures. There were failures overnight in the market that were masked by the Fed. They changed things. The Fed was on a two-year reduction of liquidity at that time, almost two and a half years, and they stopped, and then we had COVID. So there was a double boost of liquidity.
Starting point is 00:20:45 We're going to have a reversal. It's going to be more than 15% in the market, I think, between now and year-end. And the Fed or Treasury is going to step in, Mike. I think we're not going to see a material, a recession from a market standpoint. There's no way we are too levered, the deficit's expanding, the beautiful bill still has to be materialized. We are in a full political policy-driven economy, funding jobs that aren't even happening. So I've been quiet about trying to really assess things, sticking to markets and very narrow, but I'm making this broad assessment
Starting point is 00:21:24 because I think the data lines up and I don't think you trade it. I think it's been very difficult to trade. You have to stay with the horse right now that you like. You guys know, obviously we're here. We're like Bitcoin. There are other trades maybe you can put on. But that's what I wanted to follow up on was, yes,
Starting point is 00:21:39 I do think that there's going to be a crack. The move index is quiet as it's been in five years of 79. And I think that the long end is telling you we still have problems. That's about it. Hey, Scott, can you hear me now? Yeah, you're back.
Starting point is 00:21:56 Yeah, sorry, I was talking and no one can hear me. I was listening to Mike. I mean, I don't want to jump into what we'll talk about on Macro Monday, which will be more in-depth. But I'm going to say something that will make everyone be surprised. I agree with Mike. I think there's a lot of danger here, but I look at it differently. I mean, there's some game theory. You know, the last time, the last massive bull market in Bitcoin was triggered off of the COVID lows.
Starting point is 00:22:20 if there is a major stock market break and there easily could be, right? I mean, it's everything he says is true that there easily could be, that risk assets are crazily overpriced by every metric. And the sole question of my mind is the denominator. If basically what's happening is the dollar
Starting point is 00:22:41 is being devalued, then these metrics are kind of meaningless. But, you know, we'll see. But the point is, is Bitcoin tends to follow gold, not the other way around, at least in what I'm saying, at least in terms of its ceiling. And the question that as Bitcoiners we have is, will a major gold bull run and a major divergence being gold and risk assets, where will Bitcoin go? And my answer is, most likely down then up. And the down will be sharp and there'll be some volatility.
Starting point is 00:23:10 The up will be sharper and could be even more volatile. And I think you have to be ready for that in a situation because there's very little doubt that if the stock market started to fall significantly, that they're going to pull out a bazooka of liquidity because they can't afford it to go anywhere in their way. And that's really the question, you know, in all of this. You know, the market is clearly reacting to things slowing down, but inflation is persistent.
Starting point is 00:23:39 So, you know, what the hell do they do? And we'll see. I mean, there's that rock and a hard place. So we've been talking about that for three years now. I see Goros. Yeah, you bring me back to one of my, my favorite points I used to make whenever I used to have to go on mainstream media and discuss the Bitcoin crashes and all the issues that we had in the past. And always used to
Starting point is 00:23:59 say, listen, we all know that all correlations tend to go to one when there is some sort of Black Swan event. So your point down and up, I like a lot. But if you go back to March 2020, you know, Bitcoin dropped below March 12th, 2020, because well, I'll never forget that, I believe. You know, we saw Bitcoin drop below. 4,000, it would have literally gone to zero on Bitmex if they hadn't have just turned the exchange off because there were no bids for the liquidations firing. And what happened from there on out to your point about the bull market? What asset do you want to be in after the event? And Bitcoin went up 17 times from there to the peak of that bull market, you know, around 70K while everybody
Starting point is 00:24:43 cheered and lauded the stock market doubling. Right. And not to steal Gorob's funder because I'm sure he's point this out. Well, Bitcoin went up 17 times. There was an entire range of all coins and other assets that went up hundreds of times. And so it's really... And then down, and then down 99%. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I mean, you know, you got to take the bad with the good, right? You know, there's some real and there's some bullshit. But the real question that you have to ask yourself in the market, if you look, I mean, there are some coins, there are some assets that are doing extremely well right now and have very, you know, the technicians would say very good looking charts, because essentially, you know, money has to find a home someplace.
Starting point is 00:25:22 And if you're printing more of it and assets that are going down, are they going to be putting it in money market funds while they're likely cutting rates? I mean, not really. It has to go somewhere. I mean, some wealth will be destroyed. It has to go somewhere. So on that end, Gorov, view it your hand up. But I'm sure we're going to talk about that sort of divergence, right?
Starting point is 00:25:45 I have like two statements for everybody, but I'll, of course, Start with my favorite person here, Scott. So as a brother and being very close to his investment decisions and his investment mindset, I know one of his life's biggest regret is not catching out when all the odds went up in 2021 because he was at its peak performance of his portfolio. So you'll always hear that rant from him. You just can't escape. It's his personal vendetta against bull markets seizing the opportunity again.
Starting point is 00:26:18 Right. So just take it with a pinch of salt and that's it. He will keep ranting about it. It's his biggest regret. So that's the fun part. Second, soft fun and no sarcasm. Of course, all appreciation for Carlos and his upcoming and as a coming panel tomorrow. Yes, you need to create some sensation and yes, you need some negative points against positive points to create a good argument. and to set up a place that people would be excited to and, like, have the right entertainment. But I think if, like, if Dave, you and Scott you, and especially everybody would agree largely to Mike's point, which is, like, look at the administration's history of how they operate, like, the current administration's history. And then also U.S. in general has been shipping not just currency, but also stock, which is a great way to move. value and American value around the world. So I don't think, I don't think I have to preach this to the choir here that the whole that stock and the whole USDT and stable coin movement is meant and built with a core thought
Starting point is 00:27:38 process of bringing the global monetary value to US stocks and US instruments of finance. And the only way, and even the dog on the Wall Street knows, this. And so I'm sure the administration understands that it has to perform initially for the global liquidity to get into those instruments. And so the best way, even if I was to advocate, by the way, I'm absolutely non-political, even in India being an Indian. So don't expect political statements for me for US. But I'm just talking about a theory that's evident, which is they have to introduce this liquidity, this injection of liquidity for so many political reasons, but more so to bring this real value to these instruments.
Starting point is 00:28:23 If the debts begin to perform, if the stable coins are doing well, but the economy crashes, what are you talking about? Like, everything goes down. The American financial value goes out in that case. And so I'm not even an economist, I can understand, but if these instruments and the American economy begins to perform, and hence these stocks of hundreds of debts that are being registered every day, and now NYSC is opening up for that. I just spent the last two days with NYSE officials around that and the policies.
Starting point is 00:28:56 So it is just about obvious that the markets just can't go south right now. They have to perform for the next good nine to ten months until I'm listed. That's basically the Matt Hogan thing that he said on my show that I always repeat, which is that governments have made recessions illegal. Exactly. Exactly. It'll only be a massive crash, you know, something beyond recession, the depression, the great depression, the greatest depression of something like that. And that's definitely not happening in the Trump rain. We all know that. And especially when we are in the fight of the power of the world, so on and so forth. I don't think there's a point of happening, of that happening now. So that's, I think I covered everything I heard in the last 15 months. And that's a lot. Yeah, I mean, it's always impressive how many levers and buttons they can push and pull to keep the economy afloat and the market afloat, I should say.
Starting point is 00:30:02 But, I mean, Mike, you hear that. I know, Mike, when you hear those kinds of things, it just makes you want to sell everything and run for the hills. Well, these things can last for a long time. As Sorrell says, to find a bubble and join it. I mean, it's just kind of like Irving Fisher said in 19, 2000. in 1929, you know, the permanently high plateau, the things I remember hearing in 99. I started a business in 88 covering Japanese clients. And I remember that humbly from the Japanese clients in 1989 and 90.
Starting point is 00:30:28 And it lasted until they got all stopped out. So it's the things that happen. It's the key things I've learned from you, Scott, I really like is the spidey senses. And humans will be human. These are statements that you, I've learned from you. I love that these schemes last forever. And I just look, you know, have to always look forward. As a strategist, you've got to risk being long, predicting the future is obviously dicey.
Starting point is 00:30:46 but you got to just doing it. And that's what I point out, I'm still sticking with the rock. Unfortunately, gosh, I wish you could show that stock market's better. I mean, obviously, another record high today, but so same too for the rock. And that's why I just point out is we're at 2.3 times GDP. There's only two times in history as stock market evaluation has been that high. And that was, you know, 1929 U.S. 1989 in Japan. And not just that.
Starting point is 00:31:09 We're at, if you look at the same measure of U.S. stock market, S&P 500 versus the MSCI, which was one to one for 20 or 30 years. It's the same thing as 2.3 times, too. It's just great. If we can stay that way, it's great. You just look for alternatives. You wait for it, just a spark for a reversion. And when people say it can't happen,
Starting point is 00:31:27 that's usually when it does. And that's why I'm sticking with gold and just got a bottom line point out. The riskiest assets are cryptos and they're more highly correlated now to the stock market than ever. Just 48-month correlation or something like that. So just hoping it's different.
Starting point is 00:31:43 And I just worry that in this next few, months are really going to define the next few years. Yeah, really, you know, such divergent opinions everywhere you go now as to where markets are headed. I mean, I guess it's still constructive for us to talk about Bitcoin. I mean, Gorav, here, let me say this. Gorav, you obviously brought up Dats there. And for those who don't know, those are digital asset treasuries.
Starting point is 00:32:10 I don't want to take for granted that everybody in the audience knows all of the lingo. trend isn't stopping clearly as for buying pressure for the crypto market we had an announcement i believe it was today of a billion dollars from the avax foundation that's going to be so this one was interesting because it's not when i first read it i said oh cool and you know an avax treasury company not really what it is the announcement was basically that they were raising a billion dollars by selling OTC AVEX at a discount to fund other treasury companies, to my understanding. And we all obviously add the $1.6.5-ish billion multi-coin jump crypto galaxy Salana treasury company. So I think fair to say that large holders of all coins are finding creative ways to exit or utilize
Starting point is 00:33:02 those positions where they otherwise would not be able to doesn't actually mean buying pressure. A lot of people see $1.65 billion salana treasury company and go, wow, that's a lot of money coming into Solana. It's my understanding that's mostly multi-coin jump and galaxy transferring their salana, right? And this Avax one, I've seen people talking about, but that's going to be people effectively buying Avax at a discount and probably locked up investing for a few years. So, you know, not all treasury companies mean massive buying pressure. Nick, I see your hand up. Hey guys. Thanks for having me on. Yeah, I just wanted to talk a little bit about the correlation of stable coins and potentially BTC and the price movement there. You know, we're working daily on use cases for stable coins. We've seen stable coin adoption and market cap go from $150 billion at the beginning of this year all the way close to $250 billion. So I think we've spoken a bit about the impact that has on treasury demand. I think. I think that's a little bit of a separate convo, maybe even above my paygrade, but I wanted to draw that correlation back to BTC.
Starting point is 00:34:15 We're seeing more and more use cases around BTC collateralization. Now that you have stables on chain, you have MasterCard being used at merchants that accept stablecoin seamlessly. So I think that entire flywheel is really moving now, which then leads back to buy pressure on BTC, because you can now, instead of selling, use that. that BTCS collateral, get that stable coin, go use it to buy your coffee. I think it's a really interesting movement, and it's becoming more and more common. Grave, you were jumping in, I think. Yeah, Nick, I agree with that. Actually, so listen, we actually, Sue just jumped up from Eigen layer, and I want to talk to him more about this, because the treasury company and how they're going to grow and what they're going to do with those
Starting point is 00:35:01 assets is a very interesting conversation that I'm assuming he has massive perspective on, but we'll do that at the minute. Go ahead, Gorav. Yeah, I mean, now that, you know, that Scott, you know, I've been literally staying in New York for the last few months, just working on that day and day out, not just my own, but helping, like, a whole bunch of them with so many details and, like, sitting in the banker's office
Starting point is 00:35:26 and dealing with their traders. There, it is fair to see that it's just about a massive circulation initially, But every single deal, so to make the right references, the multi-coin jump galaxy, yes, it is just them transferring their Solanas from one wallet to another. But that is probably, you know, publicly mentioned about 350 million of Solana and then maybe another 300 million. But the rest is still cash. And let's not forget the fact that one, like a dad is like a son. smart contract, but better, which is, it's a burn, burn smart contract, but better, right? So, so these assets wouldn't be sold actively for the next three or five years.
Starting point is 00:36:17 They can be caveats, but I'm just, you know, sort of repeating the public narrative or the compliance narrative on the top, surface level. So number one, all these Solanas got trapped into a burn-like contract, right, which is definitely a positive thing for the circulating supply and the price action. in two, the instrument did raise institutional capital and a lot of that, and that will rush in sooner than later. So that's still a lot of buy pressure. Avax, while the devil in me wants to laugh on the point, but the crypto advocate has to stay sane. So I would say, yes, it looks like a big cyclic siphon altogether of avalanche liquidity, but it is indeed a positive siphon
Starting point is 00:37:09 because the tokens and the treasury will get into long-time lockups, which is a lockup of circulating supply, which was supposed to hit one way or the other other to feed the treasury. And then the money given to that goes will eventually acquire AVACs from the market and lock the map as well. So you're talking about locking up. Yeah. Yeah. And then so let's let's understand that for a second. The problem or the pros and cons on a chart comparison on a one to one more comparison between equity and token is that tokens are finite in numbers, but equity is not. But you know, so equity is only created when there is a positive economic demand. but tokens are pre-calculated and created on the first day.
Starting point is 00:38:05 The problem is not everybody, but almost rarely we have like a top-notch economist sitting in the tokenomics or especially when most of these tokenomics were made to perceive the fact that these tokens are to last for thousands of years. And so, yes, indeed, we are living in a pool of, we're swimming in a pool of large and unprecedented liquidity of these tokens that was supposed to come over hundreds and thousands of years as these projects would proceed with their real economic value. And if I'm getting too deep into economic systems, I'll just like stop there and come to the
Starting point is 00:38:44 point, which is now the DATCO movement is indeed bringing that to rest, if not rest, at least to a little balance. Because now all of these coins are getting logged and extra coins, and they'll be released slowly over the next five, ten years or whatever. So the retail has a chance to participate in this movement and they don't have to suffer the ignorance or the innocence, whatever you might want to call it, of all these token projects that didn't hire the best economist in the world
Starting point is 00:39:18 or at least a fairly reasonable economist to create their tokenomics. And by the way, even if they did hire our crypto-deer industry and the venture capitalist that were just, just like, you know, drinking in the bar one day and got Bitcoin and then announced themselves VCs. They also weren't accepting these incredibly tight, you know, to economics. So that's my two cents. Yeah, it makes perfect sense. So, listen, I invited Sue here from Eigen because we continue to have these digital asset treasury conversations.
Starting point is 00:39:53 And as I said, I think that he has quite a bit of color on what's going on. behind the scenes, how these are being used. You guys have kind of watched my own personal journey with understanding and digging into treasury companies. When I first went to Vegas in May and was pitched about 30 Bitcoin treasury companies in real time in the first 10 minutes I was there. My first gut instinct was, yeah, this is a concern, obviously, and you've heard me talk about it. And through doing a lot of research and thinking, it sort of came to me that Bitcoin treasury companies are very difficult because there's no native way to really beat Bitcoin using Bitcoin. To me, you have to take on some kind of risk to outperform Bitcoin.
Starting point is 00:40:38 But regardless of whether you view them as treasury assets or not, if what you're trying to do is to have a benchmark asset as your treasury and beat it, there's a lot of assets that's much easier to do that with. And that can be with staking or restaking. And Sue, I know that you guys, at Eigen, I'm going to go ahead and assume, are working with a lot of these digital asset treasury companies to offer them ways to have a sustained yield that justifies a premium. Is that fair to say? Yeah, in a way. Thank you, Scott. I just want to, can everyone hear me? All right. Yeah, we hear you great. Thanks. Nice. Yeah, just a quick introduction of myself. Hi, I'm Sue. I'm a general manager at Egan Cloud. and, you know, now previously, Eiglare.
Starting point is 00:41:28 So prior to Eigen, I was a founding member of a market-making firm, and also I started my career on Wall Street with Morgan Stanley. So, yeah, I think there's a lot of thoughts about the debt space, and to be frank, like at first and I look at it as well, like, it remind me a lot of the, about the spec back in the day. But, yeah, like, I think for us, we see a lot of interests and debt vehicles, especially for Ethereum, BTC,
Starting point is 00:41:54 and now I think Salama Salana is hopping on the trend but yeah you're right BTC really you know there's not really viable kind of native staking or restaking functions so that they can you know
Starting point is 00:42:10 BTC holder can earn more yield but Ethereum has that so we recently have seen you know a lot of vehicles are looking to deploy their ETH into restaking protocols so if you follow seen news on
Starting point is 00:42:26 ETHZILA. Actually, they just deposited a 100 mil worth of ETH into a quick restaking protocol that is going to funnel the ETH into EGEN Cloud as well. So I do think, you know, people are looking for additional
Starting point is 00:42:42 yield opportunity while being a large cap holder. And EGN layer is really uniquely positioned to capture that growth. And capture this buzz around the debt space. And also just outside of that, we are also actively exploring a potential vehicle. We have seen a lot of interests.
Starting point is 00:43:06 A lot of parties have reached out to us. So, yeah, we potentially will be interested in doing something ourselves as well. Can you be jumping? One second. Sue, you mentioned Igen Cloud. Can you speak more specifically about what that is? Yeah, exactly. Yeah, sure. So Igon Cloud really has been in the motion for a long time. We started as a restaking protocol that everyone knows about. But, you know, very soon we gathered a very big TVL. So Igon Cloud really is to kind of bring it, bring our mission to the next level. It is a developer cloud platform that lets developer build any application on-chain or off-chain. with crypto economic trust.
Starting point is 00:43:57 Why we're kind of venturing into the cloud space is really because, you know, with AI taking the main stage now, we see that the trust and a verifiable element of, you know, using AI tools, AI agents to be very, very crucial. So we want to be the platform that offers this trust for users between users and these AI tools to enable them to verify all the things that they are interacting with AI and asking AI agents to do.
Starting point is 00:44:38 So really, you know, we are trying to be the platform that enable all the app builders to build on top of us and enabling all AI apps to have a verifiable feature. So kind of this is a very high-level picture of what we're doing right now. And we are launching a few products very soon this month. So we'd love to share more then. That's really interesting. So I had no idea that you were wholesale pivoting into effectively being a cryptographic AWS competitor with AI. I mean, is that correct?
Starting point is 00:45:16 A summary of what you're basically saying? Yeah, yeah, you could say that. Yeah, that's a pretty good one. And so right now, with all the digital asset treasury companies and obviously the size of the restaking market, like, how big is that? What's your, what's the current TVL, you know, how much of the, I guess, restaking market does eigen control? Yeah. So we're currently securing over 23 billion TVL, which is a crazy amount. really like we're the number one U.S. protocol in TVL.
Starting point is 00:45:56 And this is also like more than 90% of the restaking market. We created a term, you know, we're still the leader in this space. And then adoption is also at all time high. So I think, you know, with ETH growing and adoption from institution, you know, the long only funds are potentially, you know, going to come in as well more actively into the space. the ETH pie, ETH token holder is going to grow. And for ETH, you know, then we're looking at like yield generating opportunity. And then that's going to take us to the next level.
Starting point is 00:46:33 Everyone's going to start looking at like staking and then restaking to put their ETH into use. Because I think really, I think the restaking platform to financial institution is a great way to create that capital efficiency. So, yeah, the sky is a limit. I honestly can't even put a number to that. But, yeah, we're very well positioned to capture the overall eth growth trend. I mean, that's a pretty astounding number. You said $23 billion, right, and almost the entire restaking pie is yours. So with this explosion of Ethereum interest over the past few months,
Starting point is 00:47:15 how much of that would you say generally is coming from retail versus institutions versus new institutions that you're speaking with and are interested in testing it? I would also imagine there's some sort of learning curve, right? I mean, people don't just naturally like say, I'm buying EF, I understand restaking, right? Yeah. Yeah, that's a good question. I would say definitely see a lot more on the institutional side. I think a lot of the momentum on crypto adoption and if they're in adoption, you know, they all took a pause after FTX.
Starting point is 00:47:54 So we do see, you know, with the new president, we do see that the risk appetite of all the institution have been a lot more risk on. So we have been talking with a lot of the traditional asset managers and, you know, banks about kind of what we're doing. They just start to show interest in learning more about, you know, not just Ethereum, but also like, hey, like, what does it mean by restaking, like, how much yield am I going to get from this? So, yeah, we see a lot more institutional than I would say additional net new, probably mostly coming from institution. retail really I think as you know I was listening to the to the discussion that you guys had previously I do think this is a bit of an odd market you know it's kind of like a side way but obviously Eath is doing well but we can't really you know everyone's kind of cautiously optimistic so I do see that the retail is still more or less cautious in general I haven't seen you know
Starting point is 00:49:01 my my uncles start asking me hey like what to token to buy, I think that that's not the case yet, but that also might be a top signal that happens. So a lot of institution adoptions coming, and we are talking to a few players. We couldn't really name name right now, but you'll see a few announcement that's coming out soon. And then, you know, a lot of the traditional asset manager have already covered us, like Franklin Templeton, et cetera. They all had research paper written on us. So, yeah, I'm really excited, I think. This is the year, I think, to capture the institutional flow into the Ethereum network. And really, we are etheline since day one. And we're really happy that we're seeing
Starting point is 00:49:50 this trend now and to help kind of the overall ecosystem growth. So, I mean, speaking of ecosystem growth, obviously, ETH was like the most beaten down asset for so long. We had this, like, massive mean reversion. And then Tom Lee. obviously kind of coming out as we like to joke it became sort of the Michael sailor of Eiff and all of a sudden Eith is back in vogue you've been there the entire time so assuming that this momentum continues for Eith like how does everything you're building continue to like leverage and contribute to the Ethereum ecosystem yep um I think if we look at the adoption now in Ethereum uh when it comes to traditional
Starting point is 00:50:34 not just financial service provider, but also, you know, like AI companies or just tech companies in general. Their first choice when it comes to building something on the blockchain is still Ethereum. So that, you know, give us a lot of opportunity to present kind of the stack that we have for them to build on. So for example, we see, you know, this year a lot of L2 being announced, all the exchanges are building L2, you know, Robin who's going big in crypto. And we have our in-house
Starting point is 00:51:11 DA product, data availability product to really offer this faster and also each secured solution to enable more transaction for these L2s that are built by
Starting point is 00:51:28 like, you know, traditional institutions. And then when we look at like some of the tech space, some Rihelan companies, you know, they're also looking at how do I, you know, increase kind of leveraging the crypto security and then utilizing some of the verifiable feature that we're doing. So there's this Rihelan company that we spoke with that's based out of kind of Asia. That is really interesting. I think this is the first time we see tech companies showing interest in features that is kind of the bridge between the Web 2 and
Starting point is 00:52:09 the Web 3 space. So our verifiable stack is start to see a lot of traction in that. So really, I think, not just financial institution, but also tech companies, as they are utilizing AI more, there's going to be a lot of concern on, you know, AI safety or just like questioning whether AI is actually giving what you need or doing things that is following your instruction. So I think that verifiability and verifiable feature, how do we trust the AI, is going to be super key, and we're here to solve that problem. So, yeah, Ethereum really, I think,
Starting point is 00:52:50 it still remains the number one choice when everyone look at crypto space, if they wanted to kind of utilize that infrastructure of blockchain, this is the place they come to. And we have the product that suits kind of different kind of clientele that could be utilized. So, yeah, I think that's really optimistic about the future. Yeah, I love doing research while I'm having a conversation. I didn't realize that you guys were backed by A16Z,
Starting point is 00:53:16 and I'm finding articles about the White House talking about you guys. So clearly you have this major lead here. I guess sort of like, finally, there's a token. You have the token. you have the cloud, the restaking, all of these things you're talking about, how much competition do you think as this grows will come in and how do you, I guess, maintain like the market share that you already have? Yeah. I think definitely, you know, the backing from A16 and Z and recognition from
Starting point is 00:53:50 my house are great stamp approval. And it kind of shows that we're not just another crypto project. It's actually, you know, the infrastructure that matters. to crypto industry at the highest level. So to really maintaining this market share and where we are today, our team is grinding very hard. We are really continuing to ship and innovate at a protocol level
Starting point is 00:54:16 so that includes our restaking, that includes our eigen-compute, eigen-A-Igain, these in-house developed products suites that could be suitable for all the different clientele that I was mentioning before, so that we make sure that eigenCloud remains the most trusted place for all the developers to build.
Starting point is 00:54:42 So we already have more than 200 AVSSs, which is our ecosystem projects in the pipeline, and we're really just accelerating everything ahead. So our future focus, I mean, right now, like really is very simple. We wanted to expand the cloud offering, deepen institutional integrations with all the partners and more than I mentioned.
Starting point is 00:55:07 And also keep delivering the infrastructure that Web 3 and AI will both be able to run on. So yeah, if we do that, I think there's no doubt that Eiglare is going to be here for the long term. Igon Cloud, you'll see I can cloud everywhere, not just in crypto, but in the Web 2 space as well. Love that. Gora, I know you were trying to jump in before and I got super carried away talking to Sue, but Sue sounds like honestly every single digital asset treasury company that's Ethan involved should be mistaken using these tools. I mean, just as a kind of a final thought. That seems what should be the pitch basically for them, like I said, to sort of justify a premium and to put their assets to work, right? yeah totally yeah i mean we have so many calls like these few weeks as well like just uh with the salana
Starting point is 00:56:04 uh dad's being created i think the ethereum community you know that that that that that um that tension between the two race their head so the ethereum community definitely uh you know is uh is getting a lot of more interest again uh so yeah we're really here to capture the growth of um the dad capturing the growth of So both on financial institution side, both on tech, AI side, we're very well positioned. So I can't wait to share more with all the audience here. So do give us a follow on Eigenlayer handle. So it's just at Eiglayer. And then you'll hear more about our development in the future.
Starting point is 00:56:50 So please stick around. We'll go for a few more minutes. We usually kind of wrap here. But Gorav, I know you had some thoughts. and we were sort of already on this topic. So it's perfect since you're sitting there and in New York having these meetings for us. First of all, there's no name dearer to me than Sue
Starting point is 00:57:07 because that's the name I give to my daughter, pleasure connecting Sue for that reason. And then second, yes, there's an incredible interest in Ethereum Dats and Ethereum is the only that where you don't have a token discount, And so you can actually trust the market beyond Bitcoin, which is also the reason it is observing the strongest price action because the money is only raised largely. I mean, yes, in kind Ethereum's, but a lot of money is raised in cash. So, Sue, I'm just trying to understand if you guys are launching your own debt like a foundation sponsor dat or are you facilitating because I have a whole bunch of that.
Starting point is 00:57:55 that want Ethereum with them and, like, not just in the U.S. around the world. And we are also discussing the first New York Stock Exchange dat, alt-coined at, after Ethermine, of course, that can get into alt-coins. So let me know about that. I mean, just cover up if you can for a minute. Yeah, for sure. Well, first of all, just kind of to be clear, we are. are still exploring. There's, you know, we're not committed to anything right now, but I definitely see a lot of interest. And yes, you're right. I think for eigen token, really,
Starting point is 00:58:38 if you look at a token itself, it is a value accrual token that is capturing, you know, the AVS, yield, and also our future compute payment. So, you know, our revenue motto is basically, you know, in the future, we are going to take a cut from all the restaking token, sorry, restaking yield that is on our platform. So if you think about it, if you restake ETH into our protocol and, you know, your ETH is earning yield, of course,
Starting point is 00:59:17 but then that yield and then the platform take a cut and that revenue is actually given back to the token holder. So in a way, like by holding eigen, you are capturing that kind of e-3-staking yield rewards, and then of course a lot more, like the AI compute payment that will come through later, and then the ABS security rewards payment as well. So that is kind of the differentiation point. I think, like, if you, you know, that's why it will still make sense if we create such vehicle of our own. So not just, you know, another all coin, which to be frank, I see a lot of
Starting point is 00:59:57 the token is kind of, I have no idea what the token does, but our token does have a very clear vision on what it, what the value it will capture to be. So, so that's kind of a short answer to your question. I'm not sure if that answers everything, but yeah, let me know. And we'd love to connect offline if you're interested in exploring more. this with us. But yeah. Yeah, the question would be more specific. So I've sent you a text a DM. But thank you for that. And I do think, for the same reason, what you said, I do think it's going to be an incredible product because I am literally sitting with the largest institutions every day, like 14 hours these days. And for them, like they, yes, they identify Bitcoin,
Starting point is 01:00:45 but for every alt-point, they had just the same response. Oh, okay, it's a crypto. So they don't know if Ethereum is more incredible than Solana or Solana is more incredible than a shit coin. But what they love is fixed yield income. And so because Eugen is literally the reincarnation of yield itself on a billion dollar scale that can actually absorb a large institutional capital injection, which also talks about large scale, I think it's an incredible place to be for Eigen layer and also. for a debt on that token. Yeah, definitely. Yeah, we'd love to chat more. And yeah, that's why we need people like yourself and all of us sitting here to educate everyone else more on, you know, what Ethereum is and what's a difference.
Starting point is 01:01:38 And I'm sure, you know, with the way with the current strong momentum, we're going to have a lot more adoption from all partners in the world. That's it. Thanks, Scott, for giving me the time share. Yeah, we'll connect you guys offline, obviously, some conversations there to be had. For everyone else, thank you so much for joining today. I know this is one of those strange days, once again, to be hosting a show, but it's important. We keep the conversation going on markets and talk about all the positive and incredible things that are still being built here, and more than anything, to remember that crypto and specifically
Starting point is 01:02:19 Bitcoin, give you a, still give you the opportunity to opt out of all of it and really have personal sovereignty and freedom, which is more important these days than ever before. And Mark articulated that exceptionally well earlier. So, so thanks for that, Mark. Everybody else will be back tomorrow, 10.15 a.m. Give Sue a follow and eigenlayer and also, yep, Gorav and Sue, I'll connect you offline. Thank you, everybody. We will see you tomorrow for another crypto tunnel.
Starting point is 01:02:46 Bye-bye. Thank you.

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