The Wolf Of All Streets - Fire Gary Gensler! Free Crypto In The US!
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Transcript
Discussion (0)
Gary Gensler is having a terrible week.
There are a number of reasons for this,
which we're going to talk about in this video.
I'm also going to tell you why it could get a lot worse
based on things that are about to happen.
Also, we have Binance pushing back yesterday
against the SEC.
And of course, the moment we've been waiting 18 months
for the Hinman emails and docs dropping today.
Now, as always, I have some decent perspective, but what I really
want to hit a home run, I bring on a guest who has a hell of a lot more than me. That is John
Rice, the editor-in-chief of Blockworks and just one of the best personalities in the space. I can't
wait for you guys to hear what he has to say after I make this case against Gary Gensler and hashtag,
of course, fire Gary Gensler. You guys don't want
to miss this. Let's go. crypto space, where we're seeing some more legitimate pushback against the one and only
Gary Gensler. Now, you guys may have seen yesterday that hashtag fire Gary Gensler was
trending on Twitter as a result of Warren Davidson and Tom Emmer putting forth an act
that could potentially get Gary fired. Now, I don't think that's actually going to be happening.
To be honest with you,
I think it's probably political maneuvering,
but at least we can take our victory lap while we can.
But I've been tweeting fire Gary Gensler
almost every morning for the last week.
I asked everyone to tweet it and we got it trending.
So I feel like I'm a very important part of this movement.
And you guys should remember that
when the SEC comes for me and puts me in the gulag.
I hope that you guys will write me letters,
send me razor blades and candy comes for me and puts me in the gulag. I hope that you guys will write me letters,
send me razor blades and candy when
they come for
me. But as I said, guys, there's a lot
of reasons that Gary's been having a bad week.
Number one, of course, which we will
talk about, is that the Third Circuit orders
the SEC to brief why it shouldn't retain jurisdiction
over Coinbase's mandamus petition.
We'll get into that. Twitter put a community
note on one of Gary's tweets. News broke that he applied to work for Binance in 2019. Woo, bad week.
The House has a pending bill to fire him, and the majority whip posts about it with
hashtag fire Gary Gensler, and multiple House committees looking at legislation to regulate
crypto, which generally excludes the SEC. And you would think that maybe that would be all the news we have this week
because, you know, it's going to be a boring week, but no.
As you may remember yesterday, and I wrote it in the newsletter,
Tuesday today in general is a huge day.
Of course, I just mentioned that SEC is ordered to respond.
But we also have the U.S. District Court in D.C.
to hold a 2 p.m. hearing on SEC temporary restraining order request
against Binance U.S., and Binance and Binance US has been pushing back.
Today is the day. Internal SEC documents and communications regarding Bill Hinman's 2018
speech on Ethereum's decentralization expected to be unsealed in the Ripple case. The irony there
is that most people are waiting for these documents to be unsealed at this point because
they want to hear if Ethereum is a security and they don't really care about what's happening
with Ripple. Of course, we also have a House Financial Service Committee 2 p.m. hearing
titled The Future of Digital Assets, providing clarity for the digital asset ecosystem.
And the public comment period closing for SEC is proposing changes to exchange definition
under the Exchange Act, potentially impacting decentralized finance applications. Did everybody
catch all of that? Did you take notes?
Did you take a breath? It is absolutely insane what is happening right now with this news cycle.
Before we move on, I obviously have to mention that we are sponsored proudly by OKEx. And more
importantly, I'm going to Silverstone for the British Grand Prix and to film a commercial with
OKEx that I'm going to be in,
and I'm going to get to visit the McLaren headquarters. And it's just worth it for all
that. It's going to be absolutely amazing. But let's dive in. First of all, we did see that the
Hinman emails, I just want to mention, were starting to come out. This is Exhibit 210. I
asked John Rice about it, who I'm going to bring on in a little while. He said this is actually
still out and that by 11 a.m. we should get clarity. We will discuss that more going on. But the first reason that Gary's having a bad week,
U.S. court gives SEC one week to respond to Coinbase's rulemaking petition. Now, guys,
this is really complicated, right? And at the very basic level, this is where you've seen that
Coinbase has asked the SEC for clarity on whether these assets are securities or commodities.
And the SEC has basically not given any clarity.
Now, a judge said that they have to respond within a week, but they do not have to respond whether these assets are commodities or securities.
We don't even know if that's their job or if that's the job of legislators.
What we do know is that the SEC basically has to come back and say if they will or won't do this or will honor this. It's semantics. But either way, we're getting much
closer to Gary and the SEC being forced to give some sort of clarity and answer.
Number two is that Twitter adds a community note to US SEC Chair Gensler's tweet. You may have seen
this. Gensler, Coinbase's alleged failures deprive investors of critical protections, including rule books that prevent fraud and manipulation, proper disclosure, safeguards against conflicts of interest and routine inspection by the SEC.
And then they got hit with the community note.
Coinbase has repeatedly attempted to get guidance and include the SEC.
Recently, Coinbase has had to sue to attempt to get simple clarity over the issues of that this tweet alleges Coinbase
is guilty of. Yes, I tongue twisted that into oblivion, but you get the idea. Getting corrected
by Twitter. And then, of course, maybe the biggest bombshell that made me LOL dying and I'm dead.
Binance lawyers allege SEC Chair Gensler offered to serve as advisor to a crypto company in 2019.
That crypto company, of course, being Binance, allegedly met with CZ to discuss this, made some claims that potentially he could, you know, help them out because he understood regulation,
had some inside connections. Guys, we know how that's things work in Washington. Now, after doing this in 2019, coming after the very companies
that he tried to get a job for. I mean, and also back in that day, we have quite a few pieces of
evidence that maybe Goldman Gary here had a different opinion as a private citizen and MIT
lecturer than he does as a regulator. And the question, listen, people are allowed to have strong opinions loosely held.
So maybe he just changed his mind
or maybe he became a politician
who's angling for a better job
and is doing what he thinks
will be politically popular
to get that job,
which is probably Janet Yellen.
I don't think that Gary Gensler
believes a single thing
that he's saying right now.
I think he's super embarrassed
by his relationship with SBF, how they failed to save American citizens from the pain that came with FDX and his relationship
with SBF. But now they're overcompensating and pushing back in the other direction. I mean,
look at some things that Gary said back in the day. Let's check this out.
You'll hear debates about initial coin offerings and what's a security debt back to the beginning
of the era. You already know in the US and in many other jurisdictions that three quarters of the market
are not ICOs or not what would be called securities, even in the US, Canada, and Taiwan,
the three jurisdictions that follow something similar to the Howey test that we've talked.
Here it comes. Listen. Three quarters of the market is non-securities. It's just a commodity, a cash crypto. Non-securities, a commodity, a cash crypto. Oh, it's got to be like out of context did I name those four? They're not securities.
Right. But I mean like Algorand, which is one of the ones they've named in every single suit,
that has to be a security. I mean, it's terrible. We hate it, right? I mean, obviously.
No, it's Algorand. He's a professor over in the computer science and AI lab and touring
award winner. He's got a company that has an interesting thing it's like a jury selection
it's like picking somebody for the jury uh that's that's picking this short group of 12
nodes that might do something uh and every block has that selection process but then there's another
broader group that then can check the work of the jury. So often there's kind of a second automated way because trust isn't there.
Trust.
Ensuring that there's a quick second check.
Did they decide guiltier or innocent correctly, so to speak?
Again, I apologize if I'm a little oversimplifying
Silvio's brilliant work.
I mean, it's Silvio's brilliant work.
He's brilliant. It's a great idea.
It's all about trust, guys.
All about trust.
Gary loved this shit.
Let's be real. Until he got
a job where he...
And he loved it so much that SBF
became like his best friend.
Come in and register. the only guy who he allowed to actually come in and try to register was spf and obviously we know
that they were working together to come up with sensible regulation for the market that also would
have given protection to ftx but let's not get down the road of conspiracy theory because it's
not conspiracy theory it it's not conspiracy
theory. It's literally transparent. But it gets worse. It gets worse for this guy.
Representative Davidson introduces SEC Stabilization Act to remove Chair Gary Gensler.
This is where we got the fire, Gary Gensler. It's awesome. And simply proposing this structure,
Gary, with the face cross, he goes down and the commissioners
come up. This would give people like Hester Peirce more power. There are a lot of sensible
people at the SEC who hate Gary Gensler, who believe differently, who think we should have
safe harbor and sensible legislation. But yeah, guys, if you didn't know, of course,
because Misha, our producer, is a legend, we said, hey, Misha, we need to talk to Warren Davidson tomorrow on Spaces.
And he made that happen.
So at 1030 a.m. Eastern Standard Time, Warren Davidson is coming to discuss this on Twitter Spaces.
But yeah, guys, it's pretty bad.
I mean, this is what Warren Davidson recently had had to say about Gary Gensler before even proposing this act. Your record of failures to protect investors and abuses of power make it clear that we need
to restructure the Securities and Exchange Commission. The failures are many, but let me
cite some of the abuses. You average more than two rules proposals a month. You inappropriately
provide inappropriately short comment periods. You have unworkable and unlawful esg closure mandates on the market you have essentially a hotel california rule for crypto
where you can check in anytime you like but you can never leave you have endless discovery with
no resolution and no clarity for the captives uh no i'm just gonna go ahead and remove that it's a
lot it's a lot but we know that warren dav Warren Davidson doesn't have much love for him. And finally, the last thing that we discussed there in that list, multiple House
committees looking at legislation to regulate crypto, which generally excludes the SEC.
So guys, the Hinman docks today could be wildly painful for Gary Gensler. Now, let's be clear,
the Ripple case comes from the John Clayton era at the SEC. But Gary Gensler inherited it, and he certainly doesn't want any precedent
that these assets are not securities.
Guys, it's time.
I'm going to bring on John Rice right now.
We're going to discuss all this.
He can give us more clarity on what's happening on that last one.
John, how are you, man?
I'm doing well, Scott. How are you?
Okay, that was a lot, right?
Not a little.
There's plenty to go on, isn't there?
There is. And so listen, that last one, four things to know about crypto legislation as Congress comes back in session this week. Largely, this is hinting at the fact that
Congress is not happy that the SEC has all this power, potentially pushing towards the CFTC,
which strangely is what Sam sam bakeman freed also
seemed to want to do right the industry has long favored the cftc as a regulator over the sec
especially with this regime but what's happening here specifically what could happen on this angle
that could reduce the power of the sec and gary gensler? Well, first off, I think the bill that's being advanced potentially here is something that
would reduce the SEC's power and basically hand over control of spot trading in the crypto
industry to the CFTC.
And this is coming from Jared's whip, Tom Emma, along with Warren Davidson.
They're calling it the SEC Stabilization Act.
And the kind of key point here is, as you outlined in the graphic, it would stop one
political party from having an overall majority on the SEC.
So there would be three commissioners from one party, or no more than three commissioners,
no more than three commissioners from the second party.
And the point there is, as Davidson kind of points out, to reduce the power of a tyrannical chairman.
And that's what he describes Gary Gensler as in this potential bill.
He talks about the abuses of power. He talks about firing Gary Gensler.
And the whole point here, I think, is to kind of what they're saying is that Gensler has politicized this industry, failing to note that crypto is actually a neutral technology
and instead imputing motive to people who have political kind of ideals around whether or not
people should be allowed to find financial freedom, whether that be through crypto or other
means.
Okay, let me take the other side of this, because I think it's important to understand the other side of the argument. Let's say that Gary Gensler is completely rational here, that all of these
assets are actually securities, and it's the legislator's fault that he doesn't have clarity.
So when the only tool you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail. Is there an
argument here that what Gary Gensler is doing is his mandate, is his job, and it's actually the job of provide a lot of clarity to the exchanges And he's saying, you're listing unregistered securities. But since he's at no point actually gone after these particular
token protocols and said, you're a security and made that clear to the exchanges, he's put them
in an impossible position. How can you run a crypto exchange without securities if you don't
know which ones are and are not securities. So again, I mean,
Gensler really, his agenda and the way he's acted is in bad faith.
I think that's the key term, the one that we keep using. It's in bad faith. If you have good faith
on both sides, then at least you can come to an agreement if you fundamentally disagree with the
other person. But it's sort of this meme of come in and register, and then the laughs and says i'm supposed to hit a button on the website there's no way to register
the exchanges can't get clarity so it seems like he's being purposely vague in an effort to never
have to answer anything and as long as there is no mandate from congress or someone else he can do
that because there's nobody cracking down on him and nobody's stopping him. He basically has unlimited power in his little arena as long as nobody makes a move to
stop him, which they can't do without congressional theory. And the big problem here is that what he's
doing now is tying up these cases in the courts and they're going to be tied up for years.
You know, if one of these cases goes to the Supreme Court, we're talking five, six, possibly even seven years before there's some kind of clarity.
And there's a body of thought.
There are people out there who think very strongly that what he's trying to do here is extend regulatory uncertainty for as long as possible.
Now, what would your motivation be to do that?
He's an ex-Goltman guy.
Traditional finance has been slow to respond to this technological
breakthrough and the stuff that we have going on in crypto they are they're surprised that they
don't understand the buy so you've got lots of kind of reasons why perhaps he would want to slow
down progress but that progress is not going to get slowed down in other countries it's uh there
was there was a brief brief yesterday in which it was
alleged that essentially his security exchange definition would lead to the de facto expatriation
of all DeFi from the United States. And the idea that we're not allowed as Americans to build an
alternative financial system in which ordinary people can participate, well, frankly, I think
that's bullshit. And I think most people in our industry do too. well frankly i think that's bullshit and i think most people in our industry do too yeah i i think that's somewhat clear here you want to laugh let's
watch uh let's take a look at a video together of greatest hits of gensler in front of congress
these are these are fun welcome the testimony of gary gensler chair of the securities exchange
commissioner i'm asking a specific question is Is Ether a commodity or a security?
And again, it depends on the facts and the law.
I'm asking you a very simple question
about the second largest digital asset.
Congress has said that there's one agency
that secures an exchange commission under this.
And you won't answer my question
and you're the head of that agency.
What about Ethereum?
Is Ethereum now a security?
We had this.
I heard your exchange.
They've been in place since 2015.
You say in your statements that there's clarity in the market
and the rules are clear.
Just come on in.
You can't even answer the question.
Did you, the SEC, perform any of that cost-benefit analysis internally?
So the SEC looked at, I think, over 6,000 public registrations.
So that's a yes.
I should, statements, I would, over 6,000 public registrations. So that's a yes. Statements.
I would like to see those documents provided immediately.
Are you willing to do that then?
I'm a firm believer in congressional oversight.
I know that I'm not.
Sounds like we now have an understanding that you're going to actually send us your analysis.
So I know that the-
Yes or no.
Well, I know that our staffs are working with-
We have a minute.
Yes or no. And I believe know that our staffs are working with... We have a minute. Yes or no?
And I believe in congressional oversight and I need...
Okay.
All right.
Moving on.
You've shortcut a lot of the Administrative Procedures Act.
It appears that what you're wanting to do is hurry things along before Congress can have
its due oversight.
And you as an agency have chosen to stonewall, obfuscate, and not do your job.
There's a lack of clarity here in the marketplace. Can you at least agree to that?
I think that the clarity is there. The law is clear, right?
Okay. Listen, that's a cute video, right? But Sidney Field, I feel bad for the guy.
I literally watched that and i feel a little bad
it's like trinsworthy i don't feel bad for the guy but i don't think he's going to resign i think
you're going to have to stick with it with fire gary kensler he's not uh he's not going to get
fired i mean right this is let's be honest this is i think this is well i mean it would have to
eventually get to the through the democratic Senate and through the president. Right.
Well, I mean, at the end of the day, you've got to remember that, you know, a liability at the ballot box doesn't last very long on Capitol Hill.
And there are I mean, my sources tell me he is an extremely unpopular man, not just with these Republicans who are trying to oust him, but his chances of getting Janet Yellen's job are zero.
He's just he's not he's not liked
he's considered to be arrogant he's considered to be overreaching he's considered to be somebody who
uh is ambitious beyond his i i don't know about his intellect but but certainly beyond his mandate
and and i just don't think people like it um so so yeah whether he gets i mean i can't see him
getting the treasury job i can see him eventually an outstep when he becomes enough of a vote loser for the Democrats that they have to jettison him. Listen, I've seen the numbers, 108 million customers on Coinbase in 2022, add in Binance, add in all the other exchanges, people.
But I've made the argument that most of those people hate us.
I don't think just because you have a Coinbase account that you have a favorable view of crypto and it's your one thing that you're going to vote on.
I think we're a very, very small community, but it only takes very small communities in particular places to swing elections. Well, it's small, loud, and wealthy.
That's what it really comes down to. But the problem, of course, goes all the way back to
SPF and the fact that even now, if you want to have any kind of political leverage on Capitol
Hill as a crypto lobbying firm or association, you have to deal with the legacy of the fact that sbf had become
close with numerous politicians uh on both sides of the aisle and that his team was donating to
republicans while he was donating to democrats and claiming that he was doing uh dark money
uh kind of contributions to republicans as well on both i mean chinese bribing chinese officials
the guy knew how to get along in life, didn't he?
Until he didn't.
But yeah, I just think that at some point,
someone's going to turn around and say, look, this community is loud.
This is becoming a politicized issue and we're on the wrong side of it.
And, you know, at the end of the day,
the really sad thing about all of this is that it shouldn't be political. You know, crypto is a technology. Technology is neutral. People are good or bad. How you use crypto, how you decide to, you know, whether you go out and try and exploit investors the way Gary Gensler is saying some of these people are doing, or whether you're trying to build something for the good of humanity, he's treating it all the same. But at some point, we have to remember this is neutral.
And I think the political climate in the US is just so toxic, Dale,
that you literally can't even talk about a neutral technology
without being on one or the other side.
Whether the Democrats see this as a losing issue or not,
that's going to kind of determine
whether Gary Gensler still has a job in 18 months. Right. And he won't have a job much past that
anyways, because his term will be up. Right. And so I think there's so many ways that Gary loses
his job. Right. I mean, it's either, like you said, push back and he effectively just gets fired.
He resigned. I think there's definitely the chance that he quietly moves on to another job and it's positioned as a career move that he's chosen to make. You know, the old I left,
I break up with you before you break up with me maneuver. But either way, SEC commissioners,
SEC chairpeople generally on average only last two years, not because they get fired,
because they're politically ambitious. Maybe they're're liked maybe they go get a job in the private sector i mean clayton literally is like at a massive
crypto funds all these guys brian brooks went to binance us uh judge chris john carlo who's cftc
is you know it's a digital dollar project and writing books about uh crypto it kind of makes
you wonder if maybe okx will give Gary Gensler
a job after this.
Don't we all wish that CZ had?
Yeah, it would have been
we might have a very different player at
right now.
I think the funniest tweet was I tweeted
I tweeted at some point
I kind of wish CZ had given Gary
Gensler a job, that idea. And Bruce
Fenton, you know,
who's been on Twitter Spaces with us a lot, my friend,
he retweeted and said
instead SBF and FDX did.
Yeah, yeah.
Unfortunately, that was, yeah.
Well, CZ lost as a result of that too.
You know, don't piss in your own house.
So you and I have talked about that
actually. These attacks that we see from
platform to platform seem to always come back to bite the attacker in the ass right we all know at this
point basically that sbf and ftx were involved in attacking luna right but crashing luna and
their successful short doing so effectively ended up putting a humongous hole in ftx's balance sheet
that led to all their problems your kind of point that you're making here loosely, listen, CZ said, listen, we're selling
all of our FTT. We don't necessarily trust FTX. Well, now they're under the regulatory spotlight
somewhat as a result of all the government blowback against FTX is now hitting everyone.
It's like being collateral damage in that explosion. It seems like everybody should
say to keep to themselves at this point.
Yeah, I mean, I'm pretty sure a lot of this
stuff with Binance was underway by the
time all this FTX stuff
crumbled. But he absolutely
accelerated this
process, CZ, by
kind of denigrating FTX publicly,
by announcing that massive trade of
FTT publicly. And, you know,
behind the scenes, as a journalist,
you tend to know a little bit more about what's going on sometimes.
Well, you know, that Binance, the FTT balance sheet,
the FTX balance sheet that was leaked, that was offered to other people.
You know, it wasn't just a coin desk.
Some of us said, go do your own dirty work to Binance,
but it was out there.
That's quite a revelation.
And I'm not disparaging to Coindesk, but that's effectively proof that Binance at least had a vested interest in that attack against FTX, SBF.
I think it would have come out either way, to be fair.
But they're basically sending it to publications and
saying, here's a hit piece you need to take down SPF. Do you want it? I don't know what specific
document they were talking about, but a member of Binance's team reached out to me and another
person at Binance reached out to a member of my team saying, we have dirt on SPF. You need to
look into this guy. Do you want us to send you the documents i said no go do your own dirty work it was done later yeah you and i had a lot of conversation about this uh this weekend because
i came to you now that i'm doing this twitter space as i get like these in and i get inundated
with rumors and uh you know insiders telling me things so everyone knows then i had to call john
i said how do you handle this
stuff man i'm not an investigative journalist and basically we decided you just keep your mouth shut
yeah unfortunately uh a lot of what you hear in this industry is gossip and rumor
and uh you know unless you can corroborate it with a with a reliable source you know generally
i mean at blockworks for example we have a very simple rule. We do not run one
anonymous source stories.
We don't do it.
That's their prerogative.
It's their media outlet.
I'm not even hating, but that's their thing.
The one anonymous source is like most
their articles. And listen, they often
come out to be true.
And to their credit, on that
particular source,
Ian Ellison did a fantastic job of converting come out to be true. And to their credit, on that particular source, it was, you know,
Ian Allison did a fantastic job of converting that into something of value.
But yeah, there's
no room in this industry
I think for media companies to be turning around
and saying, hey, I heard this rumor from somebody
so I'm going to write a
headline that says, unverified rumors.
CZ is the subject of an Interpol red notice.
Well, that was brutal it's a result of a yeah yes there's been so much irresponsible reporting in this
industry it's it's somewhat astounding but uh you know i think that's true of all news everywhere
now listen i want to pivot to something i didn't ask you about this but this is from john reed
stark who used to be at the sec basically guys i'll give you the TLDR. He's saying that DOJ enforcement action is coming against CZ and Binance. Binance
and CZ just added a uniquely qualified criminal defense all-star lawyer to their legal team,
George Caneos, former chief of the major crimes unit in the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern
District of New York and former head of the SEC's New York office and former SEC enforcement co-director. Binance is clearly preparing for criminal
prosecution and continuing to hire the best defense attorneys in the world. But I doubt
even Iron Man, Captain America and Hulk could get Binance out from their current perilous legal
quagmire. Now, John, I've had him on spaces as well. We've had some healthy debates. He is
very, very, very critical of the crypto industry and very defensive of the sec
as where he used to work but it does seem like uh we are heading in this direction
speculation um the end of the day i mean if you're involved in in crypto as the head of an exchange
right now i'd be hiring every lawyer that would that would sign up for me because the multiple
investigations from the cTC, the SEC,
you've got to start thinking about anytime you may have broken an OFAC rule, anytime you may
have engaged with a validator on Ethereum that had once run through tomato cash. I mean, you've got
so much at this point. And that's just in the US. And we've got to remember, this is a global
phenomenon. The US is not the only place for crypto so uh yeah i'd be hiring lawyers left right and center if i would see i don't think
there's a huge amount to be read into that um yeah he's rich and he's rich and he needs to
be prepared for anything right i mean the the block uh who did not definitely take a whole
shit ton of money from spf definitely not um they have already there's reporting finance
criminal indictment may
already be filed under seal.
And that's coming from a former SEC chief,
which is John Reed Stark.
Yeah, exactly. They're reporting speculation
from John Reed Stark,
which is fine. I mean, it's fair.
Fair game, I guess,
in the reporting business to report what somebody
else is speculating.
But I don't think that adds anything to the conversation.
It doesn't prove anything.
So listen, I want to talk now about Hinman
because right before we went live,
I started getting, hey, the Hinman docs are out.
You told me that what I have here,
which was this, I'll bring it up,
but I showed it at the beginning, this Exhibit 210,
none of this is new, right?
And largely a lot of this is still redacted so you think that there's likely more coming i
mean how are you guys there's a perfect chance to talk about it but how do you sort through this
much documentation i mean this is short but with all the exhibits we're talking about thousands
and thousands of pages of information right right? Right. I believe there's a total of 350 documents
that will eventually be available.
When I joined the show just a little earlier,
I think we were up to about 279 of those documents
were available on PESA.
My team is going through them literally right now,
even as we speak.
I'm keeping my Slack up here
in case I can see anything dropping.
But yeah, what you have there, I think,
is still some of the
annotated or commented upon uh google documents of the original speech from hinman which uh went
went out in june 2018 and some of the uh other members of the sec were commenting and you can
see that on the right there they were commenting specifically on his speech and saying can you
elaborate on this point i thought you were going to say more clearly that Ethereum was not a security. That does come up in these Google Docs.
But I think there's also some emails left to drop. There are, as you say, thousands of pages,
I think 2,200 or 2,500 pages of Docs here. So even for my fastest breaking news reporters,
Casey and Catherine, this is a hell of a lot of
information to go through to try and figure out where exactly is it that Stuart Oldertory,
the chief counsel for Ripple, is so excited about the release of these emails. And Ripple has been
excited. They've been excited because they think there's something in here that's going to turn the
court case in their favor. I don't want to conjecture as to what that may be but just broad strokes what are the best and worst case scenarios of hinman
so like it was a huge thing that the judge even asked to have these released right because a lot
of people viewed it as the lynchpin in this entire thing but even if this is the most damning possible
documentation of hinman's speeches and beliefs,
that doesn't mean all of a sudden XRP gets to not be a security and that every cryptocurrency is a commodity.
And right, I mean, you'd be hyperbolic about the effects of this.
There's definitely some caveats here.
Excuse me. First off, I think we've got to be careful because when Judge Torres said that we could unseal these documents, they'd be made available to the public, she specifically said they are not related to an agency position, decision, or policy.
So it may well be that these are still, and very much so in the way that Hinman presented his speech, he said, these are my views.
They do not necessarily represent the views of the SEC.
That was never the case.
And so even though the SEC has kind of weighed in on that speech, it doesn't necessarily
represent an agency position.
So that's probably the worst case scenario for XRP.
The best case scenario, I would say, is if there was discussion that XRP,
at the time that this speech was written, had achieved what they called sufficient
decentralization. That was a term that came up for the first time in the Hinman speech.
And it was basically him saying, look, although something may be a security when it's issued,
there may be a point at which it has become sufficiently decentralized that it is no longer a security and should be overseen
basically by the CFTC when spot traded by individual investors.
And I think that's probably the best case for XRP is that it had achieved the same sufficient
decentralization as Ethereum, which is what they were what hinman was talking about in
that speech so there's a difference between the offering itself when it launched and what happened
afterwards and secondary sales and what eventually ended up being the case for these a lot of people
even point to the library credits case library they said listen i mean this is a you know this
is a unregistered security offering, but secondary sales
are not sales obscurities.
That, I think, would be the best case
scenario for crypto right now.
I mean, look, I think everybody in the
industry knows that there are certainly securities
out there. There are lots of tokens
where people have awarded
themselves.
Yeah, I mean,
they've developed the protocol which is obviously reliant on the efforts of others. They've made an investment of money. They've satisfied the Howey test. But there are others that very clearly, I think, have decentralization as a core point of their philosophy. And why we're treating decentralized networks in the same way as we treat centralized entities makes no sense whatsoever yeah i mean i said this yesterday most all coins are probably securities and i still think the sec is acting in
bad faith and i believe the definition of security should not be based on legislation from world war
two see it's easy to be rational right i actually do think most of these things are probably
securities but that actually begs the next question it's's why is that bad? Right? So it's the very terminology
and the very way that this has now been positioned that security is the death knell for these things.
In a rational market, there should have been a way to become a security. That should have
been a good thing because it could be traded everywhere and let's move on with our lives.
Well, I think that one of the big differences between the traditional security and crypto is that crypto tokens actually make the network work. You don't need stock in Apple
to make Apple work. But within lots of these protocols, the tokens are there to secure the
network. They enable some kind of trading of value within that network. They enable smart
contracts to work. They enable smart contracts to work.
They enable gas fees to be paid or whatever it may be.
And so they're actually an innate part of the technology.
It's not like stocks and bonds where you've literally got a piece of paper that says you're entitled to X.
And that's pretty much it.
Other than that, the company doesn't require these things to operate.
Crypto does.
Yeah, so they actually have utility.
Crazy.
It's just run on layer one without a token. A lot of these things don't need tokens,
but you can't run a layer one protocol
without a token. You just can't.
You literally cannot now. People can go
down the rabbit hole of whether proof of stake
itself is a security and all these things, but you
cannot secure a proof of stake blockchain to
make it work without having a token.
That's it. And right, Eric,
if that makes it a security, then there definitely
is a real issue there with
definition and with the Howey test
simply needing to catch up with modern day life.
I don't know if you saw, I'm sure you did, but this
was Garlinghouse yesterday. Someone tweeted at him,
any thoughts ahead of the Hinman doc release?
We are all appreciate, we are all appreciate a ripple.
Appreciative, I guess. Fighting for this
important public disclosure. He said,
Wish I could go in depth now, but we've waited this long.
18 plus months. I don't want to overstep.
Suffice it to say, that's their
lawyer he tagged. And I believe they were
well worth the wait. So clearly the optimism
is there. And they know what's in here.
They've seen it. Absolutely. We're just waiting to find out what the emails themselves say. I think
sometime around the 11 Eastern, I think, is when we're supposed to see the drop of the
next batch of documents. So we'll be watching out for that very carefully.
Flatsmack here, comment, how hard is it to register a security? Well, A, it's very difficult,
but B, in crypto, it's impossible. But John, I'll let you answer. Well, I'm not a lawyer, but I will say that when Gensler says, come in and register,
what he's actually talking about is filing in a form called an S1, which is essentially a form
that allows you to become an exchange dealing in securities. So right there, you've got this
kind of circular reasoning whereby if you're saying, okay, I want to be an exchange dealing in securities. So right there, you've got this kind of circular reasoning whereby if you're saying, okay, I want to be an exchange that deals in securities, you're acknowledging
that the assets in which you deal are securities themselves, which has not been ascertained by law,
which has not been prosecuted by the SEC, which has not even been alleged by the SEC until you
get to these tangential court cases where they're saying, okay, Coinbase, you're running an
unregistered securities exchange.
And then Coinbase turns around and says, well, which ones are securities? And it looks like
what the SEC did was take a screenshot of the front page of the tradable assets on Coinbase
and say, right, these are all securities. And finally, actually, kind of interestingly, in this last Coinbase lawsuit, for the first
time, the SEC actually went into some degree of detail as to why they say these particular
assets are securities, and they got it wrong.
They misunderstood, for example, how Solana actually works.
They misunderstood the idea that burning a transaction fee is not the same as reducing
the overall supply and the inflation. Solana is an inflationary asset. They described it as a deflationary asset. The SEC has... Look how hard it is for us. We sit in this industry day in, day out, all the time, surrounded by the tech. We have this process of osmosis by which we absorb everything that's going on
and I can't tell you a tenth
of the tech that's now involved in
DeFi and in Layer 1
protocols. How the hell is the SEC supposed
to understand that without really
immersing themselves in that technology?
Right, but that's a
slight defense of the SEC.
This technology has moved so fast
and I've said that it's to
be fair like you can't expect them to catch up they don't have the resources they don't have
the people and we launch 9 000 tokens a week yeah exactly yeah i'm pretty sure i can teach
them how peep works though so there's that yeah so i i mean listen it's it's a quagmire it's a
shit show but i think that it's important then to remember
that just because we're seeing this shop and all tactic by then doesn't mean they're going to win
or they're going to be right i mean and you're like not advice but like in your instinct do you
think that this plays out horribly for the industry that maybe we get something in the middle
do you think this actually leads to some sort of clarity Are we talking about we get clarity in five years when Coinbase
suit is finished? Yeah. I mean, this was always going to happen at some point. It was going to
be some kind of reckoning where the laws that exist today meet an industry that doesn't really
fit the laws that exist today. And at that point, action needs to be taken. The question is,
who takes the action? Gary Gensler question is who takes the action gary gensler
has decided to take the action on himself and he is a regulator an unelected bureaucrat who has
basically kind of given himself an outsized mandate to chase down and enforce regulation
against what he describes as securities but this really does and it go right back to the point you made at the beginning of the show, Scott. This is the job of Congress to make sure that laws that support and instead what we're doing is as as was alleged yesterday expatriating sending offshore our best
people our best ideas to go work at this point look i'm a citizen of the uk as well i'm a dual
citizen and um i love the idea that you know london is being welcoming to a16z and all of a
sudden everybody's over there saying hey look let's go work in london well you know
in the worst place i don't get it sometimes i mean yeah the rain it gets to your nerves but
but and they have a shitty football team in arsenal sorry if anything's you know
but um but but i wouldn't want to go back to london i don't want to go back to london and i
want to come to america because america is the country where there's the greatest opportunity.
And it's being shot down by Gary Gensler.
And all I want to see is Congress step up.
I want to see enact laws that reflect what's really going on in the world in terms of new
technological innovations.
I want them to say, here are the rules, follow them.
And for Gary Gensler to listen.
Perfect, man.
I don't want to take up any more
your time by the way for everyone we've been trying to get john on twitter spaces but somehow
he got shadow banned and we literally can't search him to invite him and when he tries to request we
can't get him on the same thing was happening with jeremy kaufman do you know if you're still
shadow banned because if not i would love for you to join today i don't i don't think i am but you
know if gary's listening to this and probably having a word in Elon's ear and saying,
I can't, but that's something.
But if you can join later, I would love to have you.
I'm going to have a couple more things to do here,
but I'll reconvene with you after and see if we can get you up there.
Sounds good, Scott. Thanks, Andy.
Thank you so much, John, for your perspective.
Absolutely loved it.
All right. See you.
So, guys, there's just one more or two more little things that I want to discuss today
because I caused quite a stir on the Twitter machine yesterday with a chart.
This is the chart.
I didn't actually post the chart, but we talked about it.
This is Bitcoin dominance.
Okay.
I've talked about it a lot.
I even put it in the newsletter yesterday saying,
hey, if we break above the 49%, this range we've been in for two years, we want to see it come down.
Because if not, Bitcoin dominance would go to 57%.
And that can mean it's really bad for altcoins.
And then you guys probably saw the conversation that I had yesterday with Mike and Dave on Macro Monday.
Got me really thinking about Bitcoin dominance.
And so then now I got to find the tweet and I got to find it.
But basically, I tweeted yesterday, hey, I realized Bitcoin dominance is stupid.
Caused a lot of controversy.
There's people who are very passionate about Bitcoin dominance.
But I'm going to tell you the reasons that I'm no longer going to be using it.
First of all, in this very stream, a few months ago, I had Korean Jew crypto.
You guys might remember.
And he said, Bitcoin dominance is stupid unless you take out stable coins, right? So this is
Bitcoin dominance. Now we got to find the tweet because it has all the numbers. But let me, I'll
make the case for you really quick on why this matters. First of all, in previous cycles, when
we looked at Bitcoin dominance, and you have to be comparing apples to apples. When we looked at Bitcoin dominance in the past, we were in a market that either did not have stable coins in one of those cycles or stable coins were a couple billion dollars in the next cycle.
And you have to remember back then, the reason that Bitcoin would dominate so much is because people would FOMO out of their altcoins and into Bitcoin. The only way to get
out of the market was to sell your altcoins into Bitcoin, then Bitcoin into dollars if you chose,
but a lot of people would stop at Bitcoin. So here, these are the metrics right now on the
market, which we were talking about yesterday. Total market cap is about 1.05 trillion. Bitcoin
and ETH, I don't really consider ETH an altcoin. I got a lot. Bitcoin maxis freaked the fuck out on me and told me, Ethereum, altcoin now, okay. Non-Ethereum altcoins, but 710 billion.
Stablecoins are 126 billion. Everything else is 214 billion. That's 20% of the entire market.
Altcoins not named Ethereum are only 20% of the entire market. Very, very small, nearly irrelevant.
Like if they lose another 10% of market share,
it wouldn't even matter dramatically.
But when you consider the fact
that we now have stable coins,
even if you take out stable coins from that dominance
and you do Bitcoin dominance minus stable coins,
it's a bit disingenuous
because that's like pretending
stable coins aren't the main off-ramp now and that Bitcoin is, and that's really not the case.
And even more importantly, the thing I've told you the most times when talking about Bitcoin
dominance, this is not a tradable asset. We're drawing lines of resistance and support we're putting rsi on here and indicators
there's no traitors what causes support and resistance yes is a great visualization
it helps it makes some sense but what causes support and resistance people putting orders
and humans making decisions we don't have that that with Bitcoin dominance. So to really chart it,
you already have to understand is a bit of a meme. So I was discussing this on Twitter.
People were pointing out, well, it finally broke above 49% this weekend. It broke key resistance
when Matic and all of these dumped. My point was there, that's cool. Maybe it's coincidental. Maybe it's impactful.
But Bitcoin dominance reacted to the dump of those altcoins. It didn't predict them.
It's a lagging indicator. That's a result of what happens in the market. It's not telling you what
is going to happen in the market. So for me, I'm just not so into it right now. Right now. More, most importantly, if you are into it and it
works for you and it fits your system in some way, shape or form, have at it. My judgment of whether
it's important or not should have nothing to do with you. If you have a way to use it and it's
important to you, have at it. Great. Right. The only other chart I wanted to look at here was XRP,
which by the way right into resistance
now terrible looking daily candle for now clearly uh people buying into the hinman hype uh now
already selling that off but it is one of the clearer charts we have you know you have this
very clear break of resistance retest of that and the 50ma and this pump but i wouldn't touch this
under that 59 cents if it does break above that it should be looking at 91 cents. I think a lot of this is going to be dependent on what happens.
True survive. It's telling you that Bitcoin is holding up better than alts. That's right,
which we know because you can see the price action. And that's my point. So it's not that
impactful for me because it seems kind of obvious. Guys, that's all I've got for you today.
Like I said, I'm going over to Twitter spaces momentarily.
My schedule is a bit intense.
But we have Warren Davidson.
We have the hashtag fire Gary Gensler congressman
coming to discuss the SEC Stabilization Act,
why he proposed it, why he thinks Gary needs to go.
And yeah, you just got to do it.
It's on Mario Noffel's account,
but I have tweeted the
link on my Twitter.
Guys, I will be back
of course tomorrow.
I don't know if you noticed,
but we are kind of trying
to change the format here a bit.
Each day I really want to
focus in on one really impactful
thing like Gary Gensler,
make a much more compelling and deep
case about it, and then review a bit more of the news and talk to a guest about it. For me,
that seems to be the best way. But we have a lot of plans and ideas to really get YouTube
popping again, even in the midst of this bear market. So I appreciate that you guys always
stick with me. Absolutely amazing community. You guys are the best and I will see you back here again
tomorrow. Peace.