The Wolf Of All Streets - How To Arbitrage Bitcoin With @Tryarchpublic | Crypto Town Hall
Episode Date: February 14, 2025Crypto Town Hall is a daily Twitter Spaces hosted by Scott Melker, Ran Neuner & Mario Nawfal. Every day we discuss the latest news in the crypto and bring the biggest names in the crypto space to shar...e their opinions. ►►OKX Sign up for an OKX Trading Account then deposit & trade to unlock mystery box rewards of up to $60,000! 👉 https://www.okx.com/join/SCOTTMELKER ►►THE DAILY CLOSE BRAND NEW NEWSLETTER! INSTITUTIONAL GRADE INDICATORS AND DATA DELIVERED DIRECTLY TO YOUR INBOX, EVERY DAY AT THE DAILY CLOSE. TRADE LIKE THE BIG BOYS. 👉 https://www.thedailyclose.io/  ►►NORD VPN GET EXCLUSIVE NORDVPN DEAL - 40% DISCOUNT! IT’S RISK-FREE WITH NORD’S 30-DAY MONEY-BACK GUARANTEE. PROTECT YOUR PRIVACY! 👉 https://nordvpn.com/WolfOfAllStreets   ►►COINROUTES TRADE SPOT & DERIVATIVES ACROSS CEFI AND DEFI USING YOUR OWN ACCOUNTS WITH THIS ADVANCED ALGORITHMIC PLATFORM. SAVE TONS OF MONEY ON TRADING FEES LIKE THE PROS! 👉 http://bit.ly/3ZXeYKd ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEK DAY! 👉https://thewolfden.substack.com/   Follow Scott Melker: Twitter: https://twitter.com/scottmelker  Web: https://www.thewolfofallstreets.io  Spotify: https://spoti.fi/30N5FDe  Apple podcast: https://apple.co/3FASB2c  #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own and should in no way be interpreted as financial advice. This video was created for entertainment. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing contained in this video constitutes or shall be construed as an offering of financial instruments or as investment advice or recommendations of an investment strategy or whether or not to "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold" an investment.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Morning, everybody. Welcome to Crypto Town Hall. Happy Valentine's Day to those who celebrate.
Crypto Town Hall is every weekday, 10.15 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. So good morning,
good afternoon, good evening, good night, depending on where you are in the world.
Getting our panel up as usual, experiencing some glitching, trying to get some guests up, but
luckily I saw that Dan Schooler was here and I quickly changed the title.
Dan, so that you and I can talk about what's happening, obviously, in D.C.
A lot of people describing the crypto news cycle right now as getting more boring.
I think it just depends on where you look the velocity of news coming out of dc since the
trump administration uh has you know taken over is pretty astounding and every appointment every
piece of news seems more bullish than the last generally so I don't know where you would want to start. I think Quintenz,
OCC, Gould, all of these incredible places. But maybe we could talk about the legislation that's
on the table right now. Yeah. Yeah. Thanks for having me. And I got to apologize. I only got
10 minutes, but I definitely want to come back. Perfect. Yeah. The legislation, you know, I know
Ron wanted to be on. We'll get him up here one of these days when he's back. But it's really right now, it is, I don't want to say it's boring, but right now it's heads down. I think a lot of these, especially the new incoming members of Congress, the new ones, and then the new subcommittees, the digital assets subcommittee on the Senate side and on the House side, they're really working hard.
There's three different stablecoin bills now that have been proposed, one on the Senate, two in the House.
A lot of them emulate what the McHenry version was this past year.
Don't forget the Senate's also been pretty focused on getting these cabinet confirmations done. They thankfully got Kennedy out. They got Tulsi Gabbard in. They're going to get Kash Patel in soon. Once that all squares away,
then it's on to the second tier appointments. And when I say second tier, I'm talking about
not necessarily the big cabinet level, but the other agencies such as Quintez, such as Paul
Atkins at the SEC. A lot of these sub-agency heads, those are just as important in many regards.
And then the White House, we met with Bo Hines at our office earlier this week.
He's, of course, the executive director of the Desideral Assets Council in the White House, working under David Sachs.
Bo handles the crypto side, and then another individual handles the AI side.
He's out, again, doing this listening tour.
He's really listening to the industry,
taking notes, just absorbing as much as he can like a sponge. I definitely want to get him on
one of these town halls. I'm still working on that. I think it's going to happen soon.
And then, of course, the discussion around the crypto council itself. All indications are saying
that that council is not going to be a council like originally intended. It's going to be much more of a series of summits, which I think probably is better in the long run.
The council concept, in theory, made sense, but I'm sure you've seen the news reports.
There's just a lot of tribalism in the space, and everybody was jockeying to get on it to the point where it was almost ridiculous.
We're going to dig into that in a second,
I keep going, but I want to dig into that.
Yeah, we can dig into that.
It's probably a longer conversation,
but the point is the industry
is going to have a great voice.
We're being listened to on all different fronts,
stable coins, market structure,
DeFi, Bitcoin, you name it.
So I think we have a really, really good listener
in the White House and in this new
Senate and House. Yeah, I think it might have been a conversation that we had with Ron here.
I'm not sure it may have been you. We have a lot of conversations where we basically kind of dug
into the fact that we had this cohesive, quote unquote, lobby, obviously, to get Biden ousted
and to get Trump in to kind of create a more favorable environment,
but the likelihood that that lobby would become very disjointed and competitive after Trump won.
So is that kind of what you're alluding to here?
In a way, yes, unfortunate, because everybody teamed up and we had a really good year last
year coming together, I think, as an industry. But now that everything's been settled,
a lot of these industry entities
are trying to jockey for position. I don't want to say just to pump their bags, but everybody and
their brother wants to be on this council. And I asked Bo and the others, is this going to be a
blue ribbon commission? Meaning, is it going to be just a name only honorary? And the answer was no,
they really wanted this to be a commission, an entity that's going to help roll their sleeves up
and help us formulate really strong policy and recommendations from the executive branch to then execute and recommend on
the legislative side. Listen, I'm still very optimistic. And I think it's still very early.
We're not even a month in. But all eyes and all the indicators I'm seeing are we're on the right
track. Yeah, that makes a lot of sense. So I know you only have a couple
more minutes. On these stablecoin bills, obviously, we have quite a few proposed, one of them
including from Maxine Waters, which, as I kind of reviewed, seems like it has quite a few landmines
in it. We still are in a position where we have to not just get legislation, but get it right,
correct? That's right. And I think it will. I mean,
this is the year. This is the low-hanging fruit. I think, honestly, from our position
in the Blockchain Association, the priorities to us right now are stablecoin legislation and,
of course, the market structure, which is going to be a little bit more difficult,
but we're going to get it both done. And the stablecoin legislation, both chambers are talking,
both parties are talking. I think they'll be somewhere in the middle on the Maxine Waters slash former McHenry version.
And then the Senate one's looking good, too.
Tim Scott and, of course, Hagerty and the others put together really, really good proposals.
Ron could get more into that than I can.
I just want, from my side, high level, the conversations are happening.
There's some sausage making happening in the process right now.
But the key stakeholders are on board board and it will be bipartisan.
Sorry, Scott, can I ask, what do you mean by market structure?
Sorry, did you get it? What do you mean by market structure?
So the market structure, if you recall last year, the FIT 21 bill, it's really a way for the industry and just the government to
be able to have formal classifications on where these digital assets fall under, CFTC, SEC,
and the classifications and the definitions. Well, it's almost like a token taxonomy for
the government, Simon. It's kind of like the second, probably, priority after stablecoins.
I don't want to speak out of term but i
think that's they're both yeah they're both hugely important um honestly the market structure is i
think probably the most important but the stable coins i think can get done quicker um but they're
both very important yeah i just meant in terms of uh what's likely to get done in in order maybe
i'm wrong but it feels like stable coin is the lowest thing you flip through yes yeah i agree i would agree and and is that like um is there is there a lot of posturing like the
sec wants to regulate something or how is that kind of driven do you think yeah it's actually
a lot better than it was like the last four years the fact that now the sec under hester and acting
chair ueda set up this internal sec task a a crypto task force within their staff. I mean, that's insane compared to where we were, you know, a few months ago.
And now with Quintess coming in and with Atkins coming in, the difference is these two agencies,
I think, are going to collaborate. They're going to talk. There's always been a turf war between
the CFTC and SEC. But I think the difference now is that you have two pro-crypto heads. I mean,
that's very significant.
And I think we're going to have some good action there.
And then the industry will be brought in also.
Just like the White House is doing that summit and the industry feedback,
I think the agencies are doing this.
I mean, Hester Spurce has already asked for that.
So please reach out to this task force.
There's a website, there's an email.
They want to hear from you.
It's not like when Gensler was there.
And do you think the OCC wants stablecoins?
OCC, yeah.
So that's the other one that, I mean, they got the acting guy, Rodney.
He's terrific.
I mean, he's really supportive of our industry.
Yeah, I think the OCC certainly wants some type of stablecoin regulatory regime, you know, whether that's a federal version or a state level version. I think
that's always been the big difference between, you know, like the circles of the world and the
Paxos of the world. They have differences of opinion on how it should be regulated. But I
think there will be an option just like they have with banks. Yeah, Hood is the temporary chairman
of the OCC, right? But they're floating Jonathan Gould, who, right, believably for the head of the
OCC was a bit fury. Talk about literally putting a, for the head of the OCC, was a bit fury. Talk about
literally putting a Bitcoin miner to head of the OCC. What a trifecta that would be, too. If we
had Gould and Atkins and Quintez, those are the three major financial regulators for us. I mean,
you couldn't really ask for anything better. So I think that's a great sign.
Yeah, I guess the FDIC is the next question mark. They're actually floating the idea of of contracting the FDIC into Treasury, right? Is that realistic? I don't think that's realistic.
I mean, the CFPB is definitely that's, that's on the way out. But the FDIC, you know, that the way
that there's historians in the room here, I'm sure the strip that was structured for a reason.
You know, I don't know if they would fully lump that into Treasury, but we'll see.
Dan, if you need to go, totally understand.
Yeah, no, I'll stick on for another minute or two, but I appreciate it.
And again, let's do this again.
Yeah, awesome.
I mean, so just as a summary for people, we have legislation that's literally being pushed forward.
We have David Sachs had what many viewed as an underwhelming press
conference. Yes, if you watch political press conferences, they're all underwhelming.
But what's notable there is he had the chairman of the four committees that are necessary to
actually get legislation done. So financial in both houses and then agriculture in both houses.
Huge step. We had a hearing on the Congress floor, the golden age of digital assets, crypto is literally
what it was called. And we now have this legislation on the books and a pro Bitcoiner
in basically every cabinet position possible, not only the financial positions like the OCC, SEC,
and CFTC, but also obviously Health and Human Services,
National Security. Every single person who's being appointed everywhere is seemingly a
Bitcoiner. Dan, it's pretty, I mean, I know you got to go, it's pretty unbelievable. Just, I mean,
you couldn't imagine a better scenario. We've got to get this done.
That's right. I think that's the big part. We've worked so hard for this. I mean, this is the work of a lot of different, you know, the politics was a big part of it. And just
educating a lot of these officials over the years, now that they're in power, you know,
we can leverage this. And, you know, we can't get it done now. I mean, this is the stars really
aligned. It's not gonna be perfect. But I think now is the time for us to really take some action.
And what is your sentiment that it has to get done in the next two years, because there's fear of,
you know, the House or Senate flipping in the midterms?
I mean, yeah, that is a factor.
I mean, the first 100 days are always the first key strengths in any administration.
He's riding high right now.
Approval rating is very high.
And then from the legislative side, yes, the midterms probably will not be as pretty for the Republicans this go around.
Certainly on the House side, the Senate they probably can hold, but the House is going to be pretty tight.
So, yeah, we need to get some things done now.
And that's why we're going to continue to build bipartisan support for this industry, too. I mean, we got to make sure we get more Democrats, so we don't necessarily get to the waist.
Yeah. If the Senate goes Democrat, then Elizabeth Warren will be chair of the Finance Committee again.
Catastrophic. All right, guys, I got to drop.
Thank you, Dan. Much appreciated.
I mean, we have quite a bit of other news. I know Matt Hogan from Bitwise was going to be a guest today. He's not here at the moment, but we have quite a bit of ETF news. We have the SEC confirming
the acceptance of a 19B4 application from Grayscale and the New York Stock Exchange to establish a Doge ETF. We have
quite a few Doge ETFs now proposed. Spot XRP ETF amended for Grayscale. We saw that we had,
I believe, iShares was officially filing for staking in their Ethereum ETFs. I mean,
I think it's pretty clear, guys, that Andrew, go to you. It's pretty clear
that we're about to get a whole lot of financial products in crypto that didn't exist before.
Well, there's just, again, a huge adjustment in the regulatory environment. And that adjustment
has gone from a hard no, as often as we can say to free markets. We'll approve all of this stuff
and people are free to engage with it how they want. If they want to buy it, they can buy it.
If they want to allocate capital to it, they can do that. They can choose not to do that.
We'll allow free markets to decide who the winners and losers are. So if you're somebody that wants to allocate meaningful capital
to a Doge ETF, feel free to do so.
Not something I necessarily would do personally,
but if you want to, go right ahead.
And so all of this stuff is,
what the signal is, is that all of this stuff
is going to get approved unless it's just absolute
lunacy. But the question then becomes, what is the definition of absolute lunacy? We have
3x short or 3x long individual stock ETFs, right? The most traded ETF in 2024 with the most volume was 2x long Nvidia. So, you know, the question about what
is nuts and what isn't nuts isn't necessarily the question. It's free markets. This stuff is
going to get approved. And if you choose to buy it, that's up to you.
I think it's nothing about. Yeah, I yeah i was just gonna say do you know anything
about whether there was an announcement around djt actually applying for a bitcoin etf for trump's
public company was trump fi trump fi i think is the new company they're filing and that they're
also applying for etfs i don't think we have much more info on that, but that was announced last week. So interesting to see what happens there. Andrew, what other kind... Okay, we know
that the ETFs are coming. What other products are we looking for that will catch us up to what's
available for every other asset class? Well, so it so, um, you know, it's, it's interesting. There's been notes
that have been sent out by Goldman Sachs to their institutional customers, and they talk about
options. They talk about swaps. They talk about, um, uh, arbitrage associated with again, the ETFs,
um, and other products inside of the both of Bitcoin and Ethereum ecosystems.
Again, that presupposes that when these other ETFs get approved,
they'll be doing the same type of business with those ETFs.
When ETFs are created, they're now a stamp of approval to become part of the traditional financial system.
No matter how wacky we may think it is, it's tradable and can be used in a bunch of different ways.
Again, it's wild that we are going to get a Doge ETF.
It just sounds crazy for me to even say that, but that's going to happen.
So there will be products that are built around all of this stuff. Over time, if you're holding,
and this is nuts, over time, if you're holding an XRP ETF in your portfolio or a Doge ETF in your portfolio, that's part of your overall portfolio. And, you know, you can take
out loans against your portfolio. So ostensibly, you're going to be able to take out a, you know,
a securities-based loan with the Doge ETF in your portfolio. It's crazy, but it's true.
And with the likes of Goldman, again, who's a, you know, supposedly top of the top in terms Street has shifted in such a meaningful way on crypto.
The reason that they've done that is they see remarkable opportunity for profits.
Because when you get a new asset class and that new asset class is also volatile, that
means dollar signs for Wall Street.
A new asset class and something new and shiny
that's also volatile, they'll be able to charge a premium for those products, whatever those
products are. They'll be able to charge a premium for it. And that's why Goldman Sachs is pounding
the table on do this, this, this, do all this exotic stuff with Bitcoin and Ethereum. We're
here to serve you. Come on over.
We'll do whatever you want. Right. That's basically what it is. So, yeah, you go and look at
the movie The Big Short. Right. In The Big Short, there was the beginning of the movie,
the character that played Michael Berry going to Goldman Sachs
and going to other spots, and he wanted to create some swaps.
Well, those swaps were wildly expensive at the time, not only the cost to create them,
but then the cost to carry them.
The carry costs with them were just outrageous because it was a new product that they were
creating out of whole cloth and again,
volatile. Same thing here. New product, new asset class, volatility. Wall Street is
licking their chops to make some serious money off the new asset class.
Bill, you just joined the conversation, but right in your wheelhouse talking about basically,
obviously, all of the options for financializing crypto to catch it up to other asset classes obviously we're going
to be getting a slew of etfs um this can go to either bill by the way um a slew of etfs and
these products being financialized i mean when do we really catch up and uh just become you know at
least have the same options and trading that we have on other assets.
Is that, am I the bill you're directing then?
You can be the bill. I respect all bills equally.
Oh, thank you. It's a good question. I think this year you're going to see some fundamental questions about the regulatory status of crypto in the United States being answered.
I think token issuance and secondary trading are going to be the focus,
especially in the first half of this year.
I actually don't think you're going to get to anything on the DeFi side of things in 2025,
maybe initial conversations.
But I had an interesting conversation with a guy who ran the digital assets group at a major international bank. whole asset class in-house and sort of treat it the same as the other asset classes that they offer, you know, that they have offerings around, that they trade, that they custody.
And that's because their regulators had a hard time articulating a way that risk management
of these assets could be brought under the same overarching umbrella as
their larger risk management program and that it was a problem that banks were continuing to
to bang their head about and they're given the um we're now in a new era of regulatory embrace of this tech as opposed to regulatory animosity.
You're starting to see banks invest more time, effort, and resources into answering these questions. hope over the course of the year, banking regulators will start to work more collaboratively
with traditional financial institutions and crypto native institute companies that are
trying to figure out these things to expand to have the crypto ecosystem and to have TradFi be able to get further into the crypto ecosystem.
But I'm not pretending it's not going to be a challenge.
But it'll be interesting to see play out.
But the ETF stuff is very encouraging.
I know there are a lot of crypto native companies that want to be that bridge for TradFi to get further in.
The bridge to tokenization. The bridge to trading things like credit OTC, but on the blockchain permissionless blockchains.
It's exciting to see everything that's starting to kick off now.
Bill, Bill, number 1.2, 1.1, 2.0, whatever you want to be.
Go ahead, Bill.
You can go with Bill 1 and Bill A.
Yeah, A and 1.1, 2.0, whatever you want to be. Go ahead, Bill. You can do it with Bill 1 and Bill A. Yeah, A and 1, then you both, yeah, it's tie and nobody knows.
Yeah, I think what I care about here is kind of the integration of DeFi.
When you start to talk about securitization and financialization of non-Bitcoin crypto assets, right?
So first, we've got to deal with proof of stake returns.
If I was holding an Ethereum ETF,
I would demand my staking rewards,
same with Solana, SUI, whatever's next that's reasonable.
You're gonna see a whole bunch of yield bearing
stable coins, right?
Which look like treasuries.
And why not have ETFs that basically are effectively yield-bearing stable coins?
So that's DeFi as well.
And then you get into more complex DeFi, which is governance tokens that are generating rewards off of DeFi protocols,
which can easily be offered as ETFs. Well, where are my rewards? Right. So so that's,
I think, the first step in the integration of real kind of crypto with the securities world.
And that is something that we are going to have to address very, very soon. And I think the first
thing to address it will be Ethereum staking rewards.
And then it will open up the whole hornet's nest in a good way where people will realize that, OK, well, maybe securities isn't necessarily the best way to do all of this.
But we do have to address this challenge because people want their money.
And there's ways to make money, both of which means that we'll do it. So that's going
to happen this year. And that's great. And I think that will open up banks' eyes to
how important DeFi is, how important staking is, proof of stake, how important these governance
tokens are, how this shift towards dividend bearing governance tokens
is happening in real time. And I think that's kind of the segue that I see towards,
or the segue I see from kind of standalone crypto towards crypto with the TradFi world. I don't know
if that's necessarily a good thing, but it's going to happen whether I think it's a good thing or not. I think most likely the biggest users of this long-term are going to be upstarts,
just like in the dot-com days, right? It wasn't Blockbuster that figured out streaming,
it was upstarts and the incumbents died. My prediction long-term is that will most likely
happen in banking as well, but the kind of transition is going to be interesting over the next couple of
years. We talked about it yesterday, right?
I mean, security tokens is probably the step that comes after that.
And then you can keep going from there.
But I think it's a really interesting year now in that regard, because I think
the the kimono has been opened and there's no going back.
You know, I think they'll fix some of the issues with the stablecoin regulation
to deal with algo stablecoins and other things around yield products.
And it's all just going to get securitized.
It's really interesting.
I saw this headline that was shocking to me,
and I'm trying to unpack what it means,
which was MasterCcard tokenized 30 of
its 2024 transactions per SEC filing and they said that 30 approximately 30 of all Mastercard
transactions are now tokenized does that seem insanely high or surprising to anyone else here
and what does that actually mean anybody have insight on that that can mean anything because
you think about like what Chase was doing a few years ago, where they talked about
their internal, I'm using air quotes here, sorry, internal blockchain bullshit, which
really means nothing at the end of the day.
It's just basically another form of database.
So unless they're talking about starting to settle real transactions via stable coins
with, you know, acquirers, which I'm sure they're not doing because the
acquirers wouldn't even understand what I just said. You know, then it's not interesting, right?
I mean, so I think the card networks would love to settle via stable coins because it would,
you know, lower their risk and lower their costs and raise their profit margins. But
we're quite a ways away from that. So I'm pretty skeptical that it actually means anything important.
Yeah, I don't know exactly how to interpret that either.
But I would say that there is a chance that MasterCard is servicing quite a few like Crypto.com and other brokers and companies to actually process crypto transactions.
I don't be very surprised if it was
upwards of 10%. But I would imagine that that's what it's referring to agree that from my
understanding, the rails just are not there to actually do any kind of on chain settlement,
and clearing of crypto to standard consumer transaction.
It's all happening on the back end and then hitting the master card rails.
So I don't believe the tokenized piece of it is actually there, but maybe it's them
servicing those customers, albeit I wouldn't expect it to be that high.
The one thing I would just also add is a really interesting conversation here around
institutionalized DeFi and the fact that we're going to see staking on Solana, on Ethereum,
when it comes to these ETFs. I'm just curious, you know, the panel slots here on how attractive
that actually is to standard investors and how much liquidity or interest we expect that to draw
in, maybe comparatively to like, dividend stocks, being kind of the most effective way to earn
passive return on holding these assets as securities.
Well, if you're holding Solana and you're holding X amount of Solana and you can alternatively
hold 1.1X Solana because that's your staking reward, which would you choose?
Oh, of course. Yeah. I just wonder like how attractive is that comparatively to holding
Costco stock and getting a dividend to kind of these more institutionalized investors
and retail who are engaging with the stock market?
I mean, I don't think that people who are holding crypto are holding it because of the
dividends. I'm just saying that they're going
to hold it and demand the dividends anyway, or the staking rewards in this case. But if you're
holding Solana, you're probably recognizing that you're going to get outsized returns for an
exponentially growing asset versus holding some Dow Jones industrial member stock, right? So it's a totally different mindset for
most investors. Hedge funds are a little different because they get into sharp ratios and,
you know, basically risk analysis and stuff like that, that retail doesn't get into,
but they're also not long-term holders, right? They'll buy and sell on a dime and also do
technicals that retail can't do.
But I don't really think that the dividends play a significant role for retail traders
looking to buy and sell crypto.
That's my opinion.
Yeah.
And Bill, so I guess along the same lines is what Amateo is asking here.
I wonder how impactful staking in the Ethereum spot ETFs would be for the attractiveness
to that same audience? Because
that is being entertained now. I think it's a big deal because it's,
look, I'm not a big fan of ETFs for smart contract platforms like we talked about yesterday. But
if you're going to do it and the staking rewards are 10% and I get the 10% by holding the underlying
and staking it on Marinator or wherever I'm staking and I don't get it via the ETF, that's
not going to make any sense to me.
So I think that is going to have to be addressed and I think it will be addressed.
The issue with that is the technical implementation right because
staking rewards tend to you know well every contract can do what they want but they tend
to accrue in real time whereas there are no dividends paid in stocks on stocks in real time
so so that's going to have to be addressed and I don't know how they're going to do that. So that's all logistics that would be exceptionally difficult.
Exactly.
Maybe some others here have some insights into that.
But, I mean, technically it's possible to accrue in real time, of course.
It's just logistically, I don't know that the systems that exist for these issuers can handle that.
Yeah.
Something else that happened yesterday that I found interesting.
Well, I guess we have two pieces
of Michael Saylor, Jason News.
He obviously was in El Salvador,
met with Bukele.
There are pictures
and people got very excited about that.
But maybe more importantly,
was a rumor yesterday
that GameStop was going to add Bitcoin
to the balance sheet.
We know that we saw photos
of the GameStop CEO with Michael Saylor, I believe, last week. But yesterday, those rumors got stronger. And
what happened? GameStop stock went up 20% in after hours trading just on the rumor that Bitcoin would
be added to the balance sheet, to which lends the question, if you see that, this is like,
you know, Long Island blockchain iced tea of the last cycle
when the stock pumps just by adding the name Long Island blockchain iced tea. But when you
see something like that happen and you're another company, how can you not take very seriously
the idea of even adding a little bit of Bitcoin to your balance sheet just for the marketing?
Does anybody have thoughts on that? Because I thought a 20% move just on the rumor was crazy.
Go ahead, Andrew. Then Tillman, whoever wants to go, go. Go ahead, Tillman.
Well, I'd just say it's twofold, right? You're going to get a top-end growth by adding Bitcoin
to your balance sheet because you're attracting new customers that see that as a value play.
But you're also preventing people from hedging or from shorting your stock or disincentivizing them from shorting their stock.
And so it's a knife that cuts both ways.
It's a very powerful seasoning to any type of industry.
And I think that you're going to see a race.
I think that we're going to see the light bulb go off and the companies kind of come out to the starting gun.
And the early adopters are going to get rewarded, just like we always say in the Bitcoin space, you deserve the price that you get.
Each of these companies are going to get the price that they deserve.
Go ahead, Bill. Yeah, unfortunately, I still think there's three camps here, right? There's the
people that are just wicked smart, a la Michael Saylor, who control their stock,
right? And he's just, you know, he did explain how he had his board you know spend
their hundred hours or a thousand hours whatever the number was digging in and
you know getting to the point where they were willing to make that investment and
then you have kind of individual stocks a la GameStop which is probably closer
to you know the degen gamers and gamblers.
And so if you've got a stock that's tightly controlled,
a business model that is kind of all in on D-gen type of businesses,
I think that's going to work in our world.
But I still think, and we do have clients that are private companies doing this now,
meaning the MicroStrategy Playbook.
And that's different because they're tightly held private companies.
But most public companies see putting Bitcoin on the balance sheet right now akin to taking
your cash and basically investing in drug dealers.
And yes, you're going to get a huge return for the most part if you invest in drug dealers.
But nobody wants to invest in drug dealers.
And I hate to say it, but that's how most of the world uh the public market ceo world would would is still
looking at this they may look at this and go yeah the returns are phenomenal but i'm not ready to be
in that business and so i'm just responding to your comment like how can anybody not look at this
and go i have to do this? Unfortunately, that's how.
And until that changes and we're not, the good news is we're not even close to there yet, which means I guess there's a lot of upside in companies holding Bitcoin.
Right. But, you know, I think given the feedback that I hear from other CEOs on the public side, you know, that's kind of the mindset right now.
Anybody who has a lot.
Yeah, GameStop is kind of a unique flower too, right?
I mean, GameStop is the.
Every instance of a government or company that's not private that's doing this is a unique situation, right?
So El Salvador was already dollarized.
You know, it basically had a benevolent, and I'm using this term with a smile on my face, benevolent dictator.
You know, GameStop, unique situation.
Michael Saylor completely controls the stock.
Right. So I've never, you know, what we want to see is when a bottom Fortune 500 company that is not tightly controlled does this, then we know we're approaching a point where the floodgates could be opened.
We're not there yet.
That makes sense. Simon, you had your hand up.
I was just going to say probably what you were going to say, but GameStop is, I think, perfect for this.
It's got the activist shareholder base. It's got the story of coming up against the establishment.
It's a bit like Rumble, where it's trying to come up against censorship.
It's saying we're going to be a freedom of speech platform.
So we're really seeing the ones that are ideologically aligned.
I think what would become interesting with GameStop is it feels like it's that kind of
DGN community.
I noticed the announcement said Bitcoin and cryptocurrency.
So you could imagine this would be one that would experiment with some wild activism
and maybe go further and further down the risk curve and even become like very meme-y.
You know, I think GameStop is like a meme coin culturally.
So I think it's going to work incredibly well.
And I think it's going to draw, it's probably going to draw people that were never going to be in the stock market into the stock market, which is what it essentially did.
It took a bunch, you know, that.
So I actually think it's bringing probably crypto people over to stocks.
Yeah.
And it would be quite interesting.
Yeah.
So just for reference, closing 2024, GameStop had $4.6 billion in cash reserves, which was up from $1.2 billion the year before for a business that actually struggling as an actual business because of a stock offering they did because of trades like a meme token or being the original
kind of meme stock that earned them, I think, $3 billion in cash reserves. But they're sitting on
$4.6 billion in cash reserves. That is a company that's ripe to protect that cash, in my opinion.
Also, a business model that feels like a blockbuster
that needs to change, right, as well.
So I don't know if it has changed
because I haven't followed it for a while,
but it feels like a legacy business that needs to change.
There is no business model.
It's basically just a cash meme stock at this point.
I mean, they really don't have a business model
other than in a little
bit of real estate holdings, I guess. Interesting. Well, all the physical locations are no more. Is
it, is it just a shell company? Yeah, basically. I mean, I mean, obviously that's not what they say,
but I mean, if you dig in a little bit, which I did when we were having these discussions during
the last cycle, when everybody was losing their minds during covid there really isn't much there i mean it was it was the perfect stock for this
because dgens could relate to a gaming company but there really was no gaming company underneath
the hood it's crazy i'm gonna tell yeah i think it is the perfect stock for this because when you look at MicroStrategy's pivot,
you know, now strategy, it was an analytics and data company that couldn't scale,
couldn't be more optimized for what they were doing,
couldn't innovate the technology and needed a solution with the cash on its balance sheet.
So what everybody's saying here, really the same thing.
There's too many streaming services for gaming,
for GameStop to compete the way that Netflix made its pivot
from sending DVDs in the mail to a streaming service.
This is all built into PlayStations and devices, et cetera.
And, you know, of all these billions of dollars that's a lot
of old n64 systems i just don't see it there with the overhead and and the way that shopping
plazas themselves are are just vacant everywhere um it's it's actually become and something that
i don't think people fully realize is there's a huge collector market
when it comes to vintage gaming.
And if anything,
it's become kind of a vintage gaming collector store,
kind of similar to what you have
with Pokemon and Magic cards,
but for gaming,
rather than people buying new things off the shelves,
which is pretty fascinating.
That and like, plus like RadioShack widgets.
So when you look at all of that, off the shelves, which is pretty fascinating. That and plus like RadioShack widgets.
So when you look at all of that,
it is the perfect stock for this.
But I also think we're going to see other companies who are kind of dealing with the same struggle
make these moves that don't have another ability
to pivot their actual business model.
It's interesting, y'all.
On a bit of a geeky side,
there are strict regulations around the investment advisors act so if a percentage of your business is purely
investments and you go over a certain threshold last time i checked i think it was like 30 percent
you have to like 70 functioning business and this is interesting to the Michael Saylor conversation as well. But you have to have a percentage which is operating business. And then if you go over
that threshold, you have to register with the 44, I think it's 44 Investment Company Act.
I was just going to say, I think it's going to be interesting to see when the legacy companies that are being forced to do this, adapt or die, are in a group by themselves, in my opinion.
It's going to be really interesting when we see the first company that is in a very competitive market with a decent amount of market share adopt this strategy because you're forcing your competition to do it.
It'd be like the University of Texas adopting Bitcoin.
You know, it would force the other universities in Texas to really take a look at that.
I think that what we see right now is no different than what we saw with the development of the
internet.
Kind of the most desperate or the least of these are the ones that are most attracted
to the differentiator at the beginning.
But once that differentiator is proven to be a competitive advantage that you cannot duplicate in any other way, it will, in my opinion, force other competitors into the space in a more haphazard manner without the due diligence.
Because it's, again, going to force them to realize that the competitive advantage that they're losing or the market share that they're losing, they don't have another
option. They'd have to come in and have Bitcoin on their balance sheet if that market share is
being taken away by a competitor that is doing the same thing. Yeah, and I think the next question
would be that once they all start adding it, what will be the strategy that they use to do so? We've obviously seen the way Saylor does it without impacting the market. This is my segue to talking to you, Tillman and Andrew about ArchPublic. For anybody who doesn't know, Tillman and Andrew co-host my a.m. YouTube show every single week.
And they have built something absolutely incredible that I want to obviously spread the word on beyond our weekly YouTube show. Wanted to give the opportunity to discuss that here on Crypto Town Hall, because I think it's something that literally anyone who's listening to this show would be interested in.
Tell me you want to break it down.
So you guys have a lot of things, but specifically, I think we want to kind of talk about the arbitrage in Bitcoin and the Bitcoin dollar cost averaging strategy.
Yeah, sure. Thanks, Scott. The primary motivation for our company
is to build products that help people get into Bitcoin, that make it easier to understand it,
easier to manage it, print out a purchasing schedule and allow the board to vote on it.
But our software is the most advanced tool that I've ever seen in the market as it pertains to
allowing you flexibility as to how you enter Bitcoin.
We're working right now.
We're partnered with Gemini.
You can use our algorithms to acquire, to arbitrage, to sell Bitcoin in any structured manner that you desire.
There's very simple inputs that will change the outputs in terms of what you're trying to accomplish.
But we're also building ETF
products that will allow you to do the exact same thing into ETFs. But the purpose of it
is to productize and make it easier for anyone that wants to engage with Bitcoin
on the field that they want to play on. If they want to play the ETF field, that's great. If they
want to play the spot field, great. It really doesn't matter. It's about acquiring Bitcoin. And it starts with a simple question that
I've been in Bitcoin for over a decade, and I've never met anybody that said,
I own too much Bitcoin or I bought too much Bitcoin. It's always, oh, I wish I had bought
more or I wish I had bought it at this time when I heard about it. And so software that takes the
burden of sitting in front of
your computer and waiting for the dips or waiting for the specific drawdowns to acquire you know
your position we we think is the future and so this software allows you to be completely away
from your computer and whatever the dip that you want to acquire the bitcoin on if that if that
price drop happens then your your entry is automatically handled.
So automated software or trading automation has had a bad reputation over the last five years,
similar to Bitcoin in the fact that most people don't have access to it, don't understand it,
and there's a lot of fraud. This is a completely user-driven software. If a company wants to add
Bitcoin to their balance sheet, they can literally take the software internally, no visibility from the outside world, set their purchasing schedule, which would be completely confidential.
It wouldn't be open trades on the order book, and set it and forget it.
And by the time that they want to have acquired X number of Bitcoin, they will have acquired that Bitcoin. And along the way, instead of just acquiring and holding, there's ways in which you can play arbitrage with the
price if it's trending. And our software will also do that. So if the price, for example,
let's say you enter a trade at $100,000 Bitcoin price and the price drops, well, it's not going
to sell that position. It's going to put it into your long-term holdings pile. But let's say that same short-term trade goes from 100 to 103,000,
and you have your settings to take advantage of the 3% move. Well, that would liquidate that
cash out on the 3% and put that money back to work in trying to acquire Bitcoin on the depths.
So it's something that
can generate cash flow while you're accumulating Bitcoin. And the results are phenomenal. It's not
going to produce as much value if you were lucky and picked the right day to acquire 100% of your
position. But therein lies the magic of acquiring Bitcoin is when do you buy it? And this is akin
to dollar cost averaging and the fact that you're getting a tremendous amount of exposure to price.
You're getting small purchases that are being managed for you throughout the night or throughout
the day. But at the same time, it's not just doing it randomly and not doing it based upon a
pre-prescribed schedule. It's looking for actual market conditions to be met, like dips and rises to execute
those trends.
And what I've noticed tracking it is, outside of even the arbitrage, which is amazing, even
on the dollar cost averaging algorithm, you end up over even a short period of time, but certainly over a long period of time, basically
getting a few percent better pricing because it buys basically the best price within every time
period that you would want to dollar cost average as opposed to an arbitrary time.
Exactly. That's exactly correct. So it's using intelligence based upon market conditions to
make those entries and exits versus just some random purchasing schedule based on date and time.
Probably the most important thing to say about our Bitcoin algorithm and the arbitrage strategy is it's free. individual and you want to get your hands on this product. This is how much we believe in Bitcoin
and how important it is that we get Bitcoin in the hands of as many people as possible.
Our algorithm is free. So go use it. Go test it out. Go figure out what it's all about.
We have some customized settings in there that when you sign up, you can just choose those custom
parameters and use the parameters that we've set up that have certain outcomes. Our arbitrage
strategy is annualized 247% per year, and then you get 10% to 20% cash yield on top of it.
Those are serious numbers associated with the algorithm, but you can change those numbers if
you want to do something
different than just arbitrage and stack Bitcoin. There are people that have a ton of Bitcoin and
they're worried about, well, I don't want to go through another 40 or 50 percent drawdown. So I
want to be a net seller here at the tippy tops until I think the winds have changed. So you can do whatever you want to do with the algorithm.
You can do five different things at any given time.
It's not just a binary output and a binary outcome.
You can set up five different types of parameters
and be doing five different things all at the same time.
And it's all hands-off.
You can set up those five different parameters
and you can move to Mars for
the next two years and it's going to do those things that you've set it up to do. It's hands
off and it's free and it's powerful. And it's compatible with TradingView so you can load
historical data to your heart's content and test out different parameters and see what those
historical outputs would have been so that you can have confidence going forward um it's it's it's a tool that's
built again to get as many people to own bitcoin as possible it's a way to build your personal
sovereign wealth fund um set it and forget it and get the outcomes that you desire comes to CheapSire.
Sorry, I was glitching, trying to get the mic on. It should be noted that this is how to arbitrage Bitcoin, but slowly this is being rolled out
to basically all of the assets on Gemini and is available already for ETH and Solana as
well. Is that correct?
That is correct. Exactly.
So you can set up instances to play those different
coins against one another as it pertains to the arbitrage. So if you want to take entries at a
certain percentage drop of Bitcoin and then change that percentage drop in Ethereum and or Solana or
any of the other ones that Jim Lange offered, then you can do that as well. So there's tremendous
arbitrage capabilities, not just in
price differentiation in Bitcoin alone, but also across the various tokens that you can acquire
and sell. Yeah, I see that Gary Cardone's in the audience. Gary, I've been trying to invite you up
this whole time, but you're probably on the road or something. But I know that I saw a video of him using this. Yes, Gary was one of our initial test pilots. He's been gracious enough to
not only use it, but tell us all the things that he likes and dislikes about it. We'd love the same
thing from each one of you guys. So that's one of the reasons why we've offered it for free,
so that we can make it better. So it's a tier one grade A product that when someone that's new to Bitcoin comes in and uses that they don't leave with a bad taste in their mouth.
And being in Bitcoin for as long as I've been in Bitcoin, I've been left with a lot of bad taste in my mouth as it relates to using products and services regarding crypto.
So I think we're entering into a new age
where the standard is more of a Wall Street standard
and trading automation is 70 plus percent
of the trades that take place on Wall Street.
So it's a foreign concept to them.
And then at the same time,
if you're a company that wants to add Bitcoin
to your balance sheet,
how do you do that without
putting liability on one of your employees or board members? Who do you get as the execution
arm of that purchasing schedule? And are you making compromises in that purchasing schedule
for the sake of convenience? So for example, if I'm going to buy Bitcoin on all the dips,
well, I better have that execution arm ready to buy the Sunday night, Sunday morning dip at 2 a.m.
So if you don't have automation, you're left to buy at the convenience of your employees and or your company's board.
If you have automation, you're taking advantage of the circumstances and opportunities that really present themselves in the market uh and you're going to get a better outcome with that versus just doing it on
when you want to do it or when it's convenient to it i saw gary just popped up i saw you doing
this in pretty decent size gary hey what's up guys um yeah uh sorry i'm just running into a
meeting uh i got myself into just working harder and harder as I get older.
I don't know how this fucking happens, but I must enjoy it.
At least you're not bored.
I must enjoy the pain.
Yeah, dude, I love, I mean, look, I think these guys have created a really great tool uh for both sides of the market uh
i think you know a large investor will love this and a small investor will love this because it
takes the i mean look my my i got a lighting guy here he's probably listening and he's like hey man
you you buy any of this abc coin i'm like no bro i don't do any
of that shit i mean how could you possibly pick any of this stuff out properly um my point being
like when i ran it um it was easy to get set up and i'm not the easiest guy i get very frustrated quite easily, but it was very easy to set up.
And at the time, I think what I did, Tillman, was I set up like a four hour schedule.
I had a fixed amount of money.
Weren't you doing like 10 grand every four hours or something crazy?
Or something like that.
No, you couldn't possibly have known what I was doing right scott um oh oh were you inside the uh the firewall so but it was like uh i don't know 100 grand i think um
yeah you said i want to get you can tell people what i did man go ahead tell them exactly what i
did he very loves to train i didn't have any inside information, man.
I was just watching the video.
He likes to trade depreciatory
assets and sell those and then buy Bitcoin
with those. So he had just sold a
bunch of silver and he had $100,000
in cash left to place
in a two-week period of time. And so we
set the software to acquire
the $100,000 in a two-week period of time based
upon the dips that presumption size.
And it got it done in exactly two weeks.
And he met his goal.
And if he sells something else and wants to pile that cash into Bitcoin, this is a way where you can set up a separate instance or a trigger event for that allotment of capital.
So if you have $20,000, $100,000, $200,000 free, then you can put that in an instance and you know that that's getting placed extremely efficiently.
And then let's say you sell something else and you want to put another instance in place with a different set of capital or different allotment of capital, then you can do that as well.
It's extremely flexible.
It allows you to buy, like I said, a sovereign wealth fund where you can pull it out of your paycheck every month and do small amounts, but you can also set up large trigger events. So for example,
if I'm sitting on a lot of cash and I'm waiting for the big drawdown in Bitcoin to enter a large
position, then I can set a trigger event to say, okay, if Bitcoin drops by X percent in a week,
day, month, whatever, whatever that criteria that I determined is,
then that would be triggered and I'd have my bet on the books.
It would get done.
Perfect.
Well, guys, so go ahead, Gary.
Hey, wait.
Gary, you're breaking up.
Can you guys hear him?
No, I can't hear him.
I think we lost him on the way to his meeting, unfortunately.
All right, well, if Gary comes back, we'll let him jump in. He probably can't even hear us. Maybe he thinks he's talking.
I just wanted to highlight that this is all, I should have said it before, above in the nest is a tweet from Triarch Public.
So you can follow Triarch Public, follow Andrew, follow Tillman.
But most importantly, you can go check this out, like they said, for free at archpublic.com.
That's A-R-C-H-P-U-B-L-I-C.com.
No question, this is the best way to dollar cost average into your favorite assets and cash flow them if you're interested in the sell side and the arbitrage strategies as
well.
It's really incredible it's something we've been tracking you know very heavily uh you know for for months here and you should all be absolutely trying Andrew Tillman any final thoughts
now just buy more Bitcoin whether it's with our software or with anybody else's. Yeah, it's all about getting the product Bitcoin
into as many hands as we can.
Andrew?
It's free.
Go try it.
It's free.
It's fun and it's free.
Go give it a whirl on TradingView.
You'll be impressed.
It's an institutional grade tool
that we've brought to retail.
Can't wait to tell them
about all your other tools,
but that's for another day.
All right, guys, have an incredible weekend.
Give everybody up here once again a follow
and we will see you all next week for Crypto Town Hall.
Have a great weekend and a happy Valentine's Day.
Later, everyone.