The Wolf Of All Streets - Trump Crashes Bitcoin! Is This The Best Time to Buy Before The Bounce?

Episode Date: March 4, 2025

Joining me today to break down the latest in crypto is Andrew Parish from Arch Public, who will be sharing an update on the $10K algorithmic portfolio. Unleash algorithmic trading with Arch Public: h...ttps://archpublic.com/  Andrew Parish: https://twitter.com/AP_Abacus  🔥 LBANK Exchange - No KYC Required! Claim up to 50% trading bonus! Join today & get rewarded! Start trading to claim up to 50% in trading bonuses!! 👉https://www.lbank.com/activity/ScottMelker-Cashback?icode=4M3HD  ►► JOIN THE FREE WOLF DEN NEWSLETTER, DELIVERED EVERY WEEKDAY! 👉https://thewolfden.substack.com/   ►► Arch Public Unleash algorithmic trading. Discover how algorithms used by hedge-funds are now accessible to traders looking for unparalleled insights and opportunities!  👉https://archpublic.com/  ►►TRADING ALPHA READY TO TRADE LIKE THE PROS? THE BEST TRADERS IN CRYPTO ARE RELYING ON THESE INDICATORS TO MAKE TRADES. Use code '10OFF' for a 10% discount. 👉https://tradingalpha.io/?via=scottmelker  Follow Scott Melker: Twitter: https://x.com/scottmelker Web: https://www.thewolfofallstreets.com/ Spotify: https://spoti.fi/30N5FDe   Apple podcast: https://apple.co/3FASB2c   #Bitcoin #Crypto #ArchPublic The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own and should in no way be interpreted as financial advice. This video was created for entertainment. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing contained in this video constitutes or shall be construed as an offering of financial instruments or as investment advice or recommendations of an investment strategy or whether or not to "Buy," "Sell," or "Hold" an investment.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 One day our title is how Trump plumped Bitcoin with news of a crypto reserve. And the next day our title is Trump crashes Bitcoin. Is this the best time to buy before the bounce? It's an unbelievable market. This is arguably two of the most ridiculous days I've ever seen in crypto. And that is saying a lot. Sadly, maybe the other most ridiculous day is where Trump and Melania. So it's very clear that my premise that Donald Trump now controls this market for better
Starting point is 00:00:31 or for worse, all your crypto are belong to us in gamer terms has definitely come true. I'm going to unpack all of this today with Andrew Parrish from Arch Public. This is going to be a lot of fun. Let's go. What is up everybody? I'm Scott Melker also known as the Wolf of All Streets. before we get started Please subscribe to the channel and hit that like button. You're gonna bring on Andrew right now. I don't know what streets I'm the wolf of anymore, but I have no fucking idea what's going on Well, I I know what streets Citadel wants to be on and that's volatility volatility Road That's why they signed up and and that's how they that's how they make their money and how they print money
Starting point is 00:01:27 over at Citadel as the world's largest market maker and that's why they're here. What you saw over the weekend is, you know, it's the meme where the guy's behind the tree in the yellow suit like licking his chops because, you know, whatever it happened, yeah, like, here we go. That's what Citadel is doing watching this price action. And volatility has returned, at least temporarily, to Bitcoin and Bitcoin price action. And Citadel is, you know, I'm, Tom Lee was on CNBC yesterday,
Starting point is 00:02:01 and he said a lot about Bitcoin, said a lot about broader markets as well. And he's a sharp guy as there is from an analysis and research on Wall Street. His firm, Fundstrat, does really remarkable stuff for institutions across Wall Street. And yep, there it is. That is Citadel. Citadel is love and the volatility. So, Tom Lee said that he thinks currently... Not Tom Lee. I'll pull up a picture of Tom Lee for you guys.
Starting point is 00:02:37 Yeah. By the way, Tom Lee has extraordinary hair. I'm a little bit jealous because I have very minimal follicles, but his hair is something to behold. It's an entire industry unto itself. Be that as it may, Tom on CNBC talked about a range currently
Starting point is 00:02:55 of between 105 and 62, and that's where he thinks this volatility could take us. But at the same time, he says we're going significantly beyond 150 in 2025. And the single point that he made about higher than 250 is because Citadel is here. And Citadel is going to provide additional, let's call it availability institutionally, right? So if Citadel shows up, you now have an immeasurable amount of institutions that are going to have their hands on both spot Bitcoin, Bitcoin options, Bitcoin ETFs and all the swaps and arbitrage and trades that that happened there. So that was his point that you know liquidity is going to significantly
Starting point is 00:03:51 increase. It has been increasing over the past 18 months and that's going to be turbocharged with Citadel showing up. And so his point is well taken that in my mind volatility is an opportunity. We've you know we're watching that play out in real time and though you know all of us here in the bubble that is you know crypto Twitter or even Bitcoin Twitter we're not loving the price action down at you know 83 and change from 109 but the reality is is you know this is where you know sort of foundations are built for Rockets Higher. You can take a look at 2020. There was the same sort of formation that was created. And then we just took off. Does
Starting point is 00:04:37 that happen again? I don't know. But every meaningful dip in Bitcoin for forever has been a buying opportunity. I mean, just every meaningful dip. And so that's my thesis, you know, personally, and that's how I act as if. And so, you know, there's a lot of noise, you know, there's a lot of noise, whether it be from the current administration,
Starting point is 00:05:04 whether it be from, current administration, whether it be from people that are entering the market like the citadels of the world, whether it be new global investment banks and custody mavens like Citigroup, State Street, and eventually JP Morgan. By the way, Citigroup is going to custody my Bitcoin? No thanks. They sent $ trillion dollars to some guy accidentally and I think last night they almost screwed up again and said no I think it was like 81 trillion or something something crazy and then last night they accidentally almost
Starting point is 00:05:39 sent like six billion dollars to somebody it was in the news yeah I don't know if I want their hands on my Bitcoin you know what happens they billion dollars to somebody. It was in the news. I'm not sure. Yeah, I don't know if I want their hands on my Bitcoin. You know, what happens? They push the wrong button. And they're not not great. Not great, Bob. Yeah, okay. So there's a few things to unpack here. First is that we did this guy, right? You talked about Citadel licking their chops, get into Bitcoin and at this price action obviously and we know a lot of people are loving dicks, but I said dicks.
Starting point is 00:06:17 I mean I will say that there probably is a subsection of the audience that falls into that category. I mean we have to be honest. You know what I mean? Probably 7%. But we can dig into YouTube numbers and see. But I don't know how many of the mails actually as well. But anyways, so I can't imagine people who are listening to this show today and not watching it. Anyways, there's another person
Starting point is 00:06:40 who's licking their chops at this price action, we just don't know who it is. And it's this crypto whale who made a cool 6.8 million off Trump's crypto reserve news or other whales that had huge bets. But if you guys missed this, somebody basically deposited a ton of money into hyperliquid, made a massive bet long 30 minutes before the Trump tweet about the crypto reserve, the Trump tweet about the crypto reserve, closed some of it when, closed some of the Bitcoin long, when Bitcoin wasn't included in the tweets, but then closed all of it near to the top
Starting point is 00:07:12 when all the tweets came out. Okay, that's one thing I could get that, same wallet. I don't know if you guys saw this part. Turn that like four or six million into 81 million by shorting ETH with 50x leverage at the dead top. So just so you guys know, all of these shorts were 50x leverage. That means that at a 2% price volatility, you're completely liquidated. So risks, I think it was 6 million.
Starting point is 00:07:36 I don't want to quote it wrong, but many millions, it's here. 6.8 million was the profit, but they had 4 million on margin. So they risked $4 million when Bitcoin was bouncing all over the place and especially all over the place at the bottom. And then basically took their stack, put it back all on black at the dead top when if it even went up another 2%, they would have been liquidated. They would have been liquidated. Yeah, so I'm not this person. This is like insider trading and we'll get into that probably at a level. I would say that like would literally make Nancy Pelosi uncomfortable. So we got insider trading.
Starting point is 00:08:18 I'm gonna let you talk, but I want to bring it up as well because it's actually important there. You know, there's there's been cries of insider trading this, insider trading this on crypto Twitter for weeks now. It doesn't exist in crypto. And then on top of that, insider trading is so difficult to prove in TradFi markets that there has not been a meaningful case in TradFi markets in a decade. The last guy that they attempted to get on insider trading now owns the New York Mets. His name is Steve Cohen. He's seen as a hero and a king in TradFi markets. Go watch PBS or something to catch a trader. It's like a four part series on the government attempting
Starting point is 00:09:05 in 2012 to 14 to try and get Steve Cohen and his firm at the time on insider trading. There were a few inside of his firm that got nailed and took a fall. There were a couple in that probe like Rajaratnam that got hammered. But since then, it is nearly impossible to prove. That being said, in crypto, those rules literally don't even exist. It's not traditional finance. These aren't public companies. You have to have meaningful
Starting point is 00:09:37 knowledge that the public doesn't have on public companies, right? These are public companies that are publicly traded. on public companies, right? These are public companies that are publicly traded. That's how you can get people in insider trading. It has nothing to working hard at, all of them were either settled or people got nailed for fraud because it's almost impossible to prove insider trading and they haven't even attempted it in a decade, even in the traditional markets. So all that being said, when I see somebody talk about, oh, insider trading, insider trading in crypto,
Starting point is 00:10:23 I just roll my eyes, like you don't know what you're talking about because that regulate, those regulations don't exist in these markets. Now, they may, going forward, we may get some regulatory, regulatory clarity as it relates to some rules over the next, let's call it 24 months, as they come up with them with all these working groups. But I doubt that. These working groups are doing everything under the sun to tear down everything that happened in the past four years. Fraud is gonna be fraud and it's gonna be irrelevant. Yeah, fraud will be fraud.
Starting point is 00:10:57 We're not gonna get specific crypto fraud regulation. We will just get a working group, as we've seen, that actually goes out and finds some of the more gratuitous fraud that's happening in crypto. Right. But one could make the claim, where do they start? Right? Like, where do they start? Like, the whole concept of tokens and issuance of tokens is insider-ish anyways. Like that's kind of at the foundation of the industry itself when you're issuing a token.
Starting point is 00:11:33 So that would be a, I don't think the current administration is going to make a shift instead of having 12 lanes. Well, we're really only gonna have six and're going to do all, you know, we're going to go after a bunch of frost. That's not what's going to happen. And I don't think we necessarily have any of these in the market right now. But like stealing people's money and sending it to your hedge fund, a la SBF, that's the kind of fraud they're going to find.
Starting point is 00:12:01 The kind of fraud that happens to be in crypto, but is the same as in any other market, you know, like commingling funds and the obvious things, but like launch, it's going to take them a long time to, I think, sort those or, or they may just go after one big person to kind of like, yeah, cool. Or something, not that he did anything wrong. I'm just saying yeah. Yeah. Yeah There again, so Kim Kardashian tactic, yes something high-profile so Again insider trading cases for three decades often turn into fraud or racketeering type of outcomes
Starting point is 00:12:43 where they end up getting the you know, quote unquote suspect on fraud or racketeering type of outcomes where they end up getting the you know quote unquote suspect on fraud or racketeering or lying to the feds in the midst of the entire investigation and that's how it ends up falling out so insider trading people stop stop saying that it's it's not a meaningful phrase and it doesn't exist in crypto. Fraud is- It doesn't exist in Congress either, by the way, in case you're wondering. Exactly. I mean, literally insider trading is obvious to the entire world in Congress and nobody,
Starting point is 00:13:20 nothing, literally nothing ever gets done. You can shout from the mountaintops and have the biggest, you can be Elon Musk talking about insider trading with Congress, nothing's going to happen. Nothing's going to happen. It's been happening for decades, nothing ever happened. So point being is, it's not a meaningful response to the stuff that goes on. And I will say in terms of the whale that did this stuff over the weekend. I don't know who it is. We conjecture would say there's got to be somebody close to the working group and all those folks. Because you got to have a
Starting point is 00:14:00 heads up because if you're going to take a 50x long position and if it goes 2% against you and you're liquidated, you better be in the know. You better be in the know or you're about to lose a ton of money. That tweet's coming. Yeah, you know that tweet's coming. Everyone thinks it's barren. Hilarious. But let's move on though to the actual news because you and I haven't had a chance to actually discuss it because sort of the bomb that dropped obviously, there may have been somebody who tweeted when the executive order came out
Starting point is 00:14:35 that XRP was going to be included in the announcement. Whether XRP will actually be included in the reserve though is a much bigger question, still worth having. So obviously we have this, which is Trump's mention of XRP ADA and Solana may be bait to secure Bitcoin and ETH reserves. So what some of this article is basically saying here on CoinDesk is the negotiating tactic of ask for a thousand and settle for a hundred. So basically overshooting the things that would be in there to make sure that he gets Bitcoin and ETH.
Starting point is 00:15:06 I'm not so sure about that, but from an actual like logistical standpoint, you've pointed this out, you know, that it would be very hard to get XRP and ADA and such into the reserve, even if he wants to, because it will require legislative action basically. I basically to do so. So, yeah, it, he said it, maybe he intends it, but that doesn't necessarily mean it's happening.
Starting point is 00:15:32 So listen, uh, Trump's, um, crypto messaging and dalliances and truth social has been a mess, uh, just, that's just the truth. It's been a mess. That's just the truth. It's been a mess. It's, you know, if I had to guess and somebody forced me to guess, my guess is that his sons are in charge of some of this messaging. I don't think Trump has any idea what ADA even is.
Starting point is 00:16:00 He probably does with XRP because he spent some time with Garlinghouse and a few of his lieutenants and they've given a ton of money to Trump. But I don't think, here's the reason. I don't think he knows he launched a meme token when it happened. Yeah. I don't think he knew it. I agree. I completely agree. So here's the tell as it relates to, you know, I think his sons are probably involved and heavily involved in this process and not him. When you put
Starting point is 00:16:31 out a post and the first post you put out are Solana, XRP and ADA as opposed to Bitcoin and then another post about Ethereum and the other three. That just tells me somebody else is doing this stuff. And it's a, you know, it's a vote grab. It's a, here, let me give you, you know, a little piece of bread for doing all the nice things you did for me to help me get into office. And I've got to feed some of these constituencies that did so much. But you know the information that I get back and by the way doing everything I can not to give away
Starting point is 00:17:17 who some of these conversations are with but let's just say you did an interview with somebody that I know people inside their organization that are legally, that have legal chops, okay? So over the past 48 hours you had somebody that's very prominent and I have conversations with in his organization as well as folks that would be considered counsel for that group. Point being is is that you know, there's a real legitimacy to, you know, for example, XRP, why is there a legitimacy to it being involved in the conversation? Because I haven't run the numbers, but they've given lots and lots and lots and lots of money to come to the meeting.
Starting point is 00:18:02 Well, the chatter saying they met with Charles Hoskinson the night before the tweet, I don't know that that's true. Yeah, I don't know if that's true either. By the way, it's not ADA, it's ADA. I get constantly corrected for this. I've called it ADA my whole life, but apparently that's not an accurate thing. I noticed that you had a day or two of Hex reply guys that spent some time. Yeah, and I did that on purpose.
Starting point is 00:18:28 Yeah, and I spent a couple days with XRP reply guys. I'm not sure you know this, though, but Hex just got, after all of that, I believe today or yesterday, Hex got relisted on Uniswap, the ETH hex. So after Richard Hart's, to Uniswap's credit, after Richard Hart's case was dropped. I can't. Not the hex ETH contract. All you can do is laugh at this stuff. Don't say anything bad about hex ETH.
Starting point is 00:18:55 Because literally. Don't do it. Richard Hart, I mean, posting nearly daily absolutely garish outfits from Louis Vuitton and 12 Louis Vuitton bags. And that was his whole persona. That is his entire persona. And they're like, nah, nah, we're not gonna pursue that, Casey, we're just getting rid of everything.
Starting point is 00:19:19 We're just getting rid of everything. So it's not a surprise that I'm just uniquely interested in who's involved with the messaging associated with this stuff. That's what I'm interested in because it's, there doesn't seem to be a meaningful, sort of set of principles here as it relates to what the messaging shooter should or shouldn't be.
Starting point is 00:19:53 My final point on that tweet was how do you get XRP and ADA included in a strategic reserve when in the House you've got a two vote majority for Republicans. Like you get three people that say, I don't even know what this is, so I'm not voting for it. And it's dead. I mean, you can't. Well, I mean, that's what we're seeing
Starting point is 00:20:13 with the strategic reserve. I mean, we talked about this a bit yesterday, but you can tell even from, I can tell you this from somewhat insiders, but also if you listen to Lummis, you can tell she's a bit frustrated. Yeah. Like she continues to have big news coming with Bitcoin fees and she's giving speeches
Starting point is 00:20:30 and she's holding committees, but she basically flat out said, listen, senators have no idea what I'm talking about. This isn't a priority, call them please. So the odds of like a Senate passing the Bitcoin strategic reserve look pretty thin at this moment with so many other things? Well, it was my contention when the whole strategic reserve happened that I'm a big
Starting point is 00:20:57 believer in, you know, nothing as good as it seems or as bad as it seems, reality lies somewhere in the middle. And the reality with the strategic reserve, whatever it is, is what is currently on the United States balance sheet right now. So you've got a bunch of Bitcoin there, you've got a bunch of other stuff. It's fairly simple to take all that stuff.
Starting point is 00:21:17 We're not gonna sell any of it. This is what we're going to do. We have quote unquote stockpiles. Those stockpiles are gonna stay there and we're gonna work towards legislation. That would be the easy sell and the easy thing to do. And my guess is that's probably where we finally land. There'll be other things that happen associated with the crypto working group and all that stuff associated with regulatory structures that are very, very friendly, allowing lots and lots and lots of business and development
Starting point is 00:21:51 to be comfortable here in the United States. That'll be really, really helpful, long-term, very, very bullish. But an actual bill that gets through the House and Senate, that's the Bitcoin strategic reserve that allows the country to buy, you know, $50 billion of new Bitcoin or $100 billion of new Bitcoin. That's a tough sell. That's a difficult thing to work through. A very, very tight House majority. Like, what's the upside associated with that for, know a couple of free few Republicans in blue states? I don't know. You know, I I don't know is is there upside
Starting point is 00:22:32 You know for things like tax cuts or or you know all that stuff. Of course there is But you know, how do you you know two years from now? How do you put it into a reelection campaign? I was the winning vote on the Bitcoin Reserve When 80% of their constituents don't have any idea what Bitcoin is and what if Bitcoin is down by 30% two years from now? That's not great. All right, so Yeah, it's a it's an uphill climb But again, there's an easy win. The easy win is there's a stockpile that already exists, which by the way has no XRP or ADA in it. And so you can turn that into, you know, you can turn that into the quote unquote reserve via stockpile. And there have been a lot of folks that have talked
Starting point is 00:23:20 about that. I know Nick Carter has talked about that extensively. Anybody that's reasonably intelligent in the world of crypto Twitter has talked about the stockpile versus create Arthur Hayes. This time you did say crypto reserve, right? Yeah. Yeah. I mean, listen, it's commentary and Arthur Hayes probably had the best tweet about it. and it's, you know, Arthur Hayes probably had the best tweet about it, you know, none of you talked about it too in a tweet, like this is not new, this, you know, executive order on a crypto reserve, that's not new, it's already been signed, it's already happened, and but again to expand beyond the current stockpile and expand beyond Bitcoin takes congressional action. And you know,
Starting point is 00:24:06 actually have to buy these things like, yeah, that's not being held. They haven't been, they haven't been stolen or taken from any hackers or criminals like Silk Road and Biffenex hack. Yeah, by the way, that Biffenex Bitcoin is not going to be the United States at some point. Right. Legally. So yeah, it takes, you know, and for those that need a short civics lesson, you know, congressional action means both the House and the Senate have to approve it. And look at how difficult it has been even at the state level, right? The reddest of red states are, they're not quickly approving Bitcoin strategic reserves, even at the state level.
Starting point is 00:24:46 There's been some surprises where it's kind of died in its first iteration where the state house, all state houses have- Five for five on being dead so far. There's some that are past committee, we get excited about that, but like- Yeah, past committee doesn't mean anything. The state houses have a house and a Senate
Starting point is 00:25:07 inside of them as well. And when you lose on the House side, it doesn't even get to the state Senate. So do I think there's going to be a state or two where it passes? Yeah. But it doesn't bode well, obviously, for a larger national reserve.
Starting point is 00:25:24 Now, my guess is that the commentary, the tweets, the posts, the mentioning of crypto, that will continue. It's going to continue from this administration because it's a winning issue with a core constituency that did two things, voted in huge numbers for Trump and for Republicans and gave enormous amounts of money. I think collectively, and you can check me on this, but I think collectively as an industry, the crypto industry gave more money than anybody else to Republicans and to the Trump campaign. So that means that the commentary is going to continue.
Starting point is 00:26:07 It almost has to when it comes to politics. Yeah, something else maybe worth being on people's radars that we brought up yesterday in macro Monday, I didn't actually get to discuss, that's right up your alley. BlackRock adds Bitcoin ETF to model portfolio for first time. We talked about Citadel yesterday, we talked these things to death. Quietly here is BlackRock adds Bitcoin ETF to model portfolio for first time. We talked about Citadel yesterday We talked these things to death quietly here is BlackRock saying everybody should have one to three percent in Bitcoin
Starting point is 00:26:31 And oh by the way, we're now doing that in our own portfolios that every RIA in the country can copy So this is the reason why I think that we're going significantly higher by the end of 2025 with Bitcoin's price. This is one of the three massive, massive catalysts. There's a difference between BlackRock as an asset manager and say, for example, State Street or Bank of New York, Mellon as a custody bank. Those custody banks, custody $40 trillion or $23 trillion, whatever the numbers are, they're huge numbers. BlackRock
Starting point is 00:27:11 actively manages almost $12 trillion, the biggest manager of assets on the planet. So when you add your most successful product in the history of products that you've ever done to the rest of your model portfolios, which by the way are a click click for almost every advisor on the planet, right? BlackRock and Vanguard boomer portfolios are loaded with BlackRock and Vanguard product, absolutely loaded with them, because they perform their names that they know, their names that they trust.
Starting point is 00:27:51 So inside of those portfolios now, BlackRock is going to not, from an institutional standpoint, this is their version of getting even deeper with retail, right? So if you're not buying our iBit product outright, you're still going to get our iBit product in a bunch of other of our portfolios as it relates to wanting to grow your wealth in a meaningful way. This is a huge, huge, huge deal. So you take this and say it's a 2% number over the course of the next 12 to 18 months inside of their model portfolio. Then on top of that you add Citadel and liquidity and Citadel licking its chops to be able to, you know, move Bitcoin through its rails and its pipes.
Starting point is 00:28:38 That just means that at some point we're gonna have moments where there are blow-off tops. You know, I'm reminded of some of our conversations with Jeff Park at Bitwise associated with, you know, Bitcoin options and what that could potentially mean for Bitcoin price at specific moments. There could be moments where there is a gamma squeeze and Bitcoin spot price has to rock it higher because of the movements and the things happening with options. All of those things still sit out there and the opportunity for traditional
Starting point is 00:29:16 financial players to benefit from all of that is literally you know waiting for a timeout during the game so they can check in. And Citadel is about to check in. Black Rock has been playing and now they're just adding to their advantage. So these things are real. These things at some point will come to fruition. And there'll be moments where we see the proverbial, the proverbial God candles. So God candles when you're at 85 or whatever it happens to be today, no, excuse me, 82. And that's brutal.
Starting point is 00:29:52 No, those- And I need to check, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Those are 25, 30K God candles now, right? A God candle when you're at 41 is 10. God candle when you're at 82 is 20 plus. So these moments will happen.
Starting point is 00:30:11 They're going to be out there. And by the way, you know, I've said it so many times about Bitcoin, I'll say it for Citadel. They don't get into markets to make marginal bucks, right? They don't get into markets to add, you know, a small few basis points to their bottom line. They don't get into markets and then talk about them
Starting point is 00:30:34 extensively at Davos, on CNBC, on Bloomberg, on Fox Business. They don't spend time hitting up Charlie Gasparino's and Eleanor Trinette's phones to be able to come on Fox Business and talk about their Bitcoin ETFs and Bitcoin products. They don't do that so that they can win a few extra basis points for the quarter. They do it so they can make enormous amounts of money. So Citadel plus Fink talking about five to 700K Bitcoin,
Starting point is 00:31:08 we're in accumulation phase right now. So accumulate as much as you possibly can. Perfect segue to talk about accumulating as much as you possibly can because the Bitcoin algorithm has been doing that massively here on the dips. Yeah, yeah. Over the past four days, again,
Starting point is 00:31:27 there's been extraordinary volatility. And so our Bitcoin algorithm, arbitrage strategy has absolutely crushed. So you're looking at what I think are one, two, three, four, five, six, you're looking at six purchases and two sales. So what that means is that when volatility hits and our stock parameters, which by the way, you can set the parameters however you want
Starting point is 00:31:57 with this particular tool, but we have a few sets of stock parameters that people can choose. So our stock parameters are, if Bitcoin's down 2.5 you're going to purchase some Bitcoin. If Bitcoin is up 2.1% or more, you're going to sell a little bit. So there's already a long bias just in those percentages. And then the dollar amounts that you're doing on those purchases are more than 2x long bias. So you've got long bias in percentage, you've got long bias in the dollar amounts.
Starting point is 00:32:27 And so, you know, when volatility hits and you have an opportunity to buy Bitcoin without having to think about it, because all of this is automated, right? These parameters are set, you put capital into your account, and then you let the algo do what it is that it's supposed to do. You're not thinking about it, right?
Starting point is 00:32:46 So all the volatility that happened over the weekend, everybody has lives, right? Unless you want to sit in front of your computer Friday through Sunday and somehow take advantage of all of this volatility. And oh, by the way, turn yourself into an expert trader where you're catching the bottom of Wix on particular candles, you can't do this yourself, it's impossible. So- By the way, someone's saying 2% won't even cover the tax hit.
Starting point is 00:33:12 You only pay on the profit. Yeah, yeah. We're not account here. Capital gains are only paid on the profit of that percentage size. Yeah, exactly. That's like saying you shouldn't try to make money because you'll have to pay taxes.
Starting point is 00:33:25 Well, here's the thing, with this particular strategy, right? So not only are you affecting transactions in an automated way that end up stacking large amounts of Bitcoin, but you're also generating cash yield. So if you look at that chart again, and you're seeing a small exit, a sale up at 94K,
Starting point is 00:33:44 think about that. Wouldn't that 94K number feel pretty good today that you sold a little bit of and that cash is sitting in your account? So on an annualized basis, you've got a 20% cash yield on spot Bitcoin that you're not leveraging or lending to anybody. It's yours and you have control of it in your account.
Starting point is 00:34:03 And then on top of that you're you're stacking Bitcoin All of this by the way is available to you for free All of this is available to you also on aetherium and Solana for free So you go and you download the software? You have a Gemini account you get a trading account, all of it is for free for 10 grand a year. So you can stack 10 grand a year of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, all for free. Because we want people using these tools.
Starting point is 00:34:35 These are institutional level tools. You can't go out anywhere on crypto Twitter and find an arbitrage algo that looks like this. It doesn't exist. they don't exist and if they do it's some guy Sending you signals that you have to pay and then you have to execute on Saturday night or Sunday morning when you're asleep, right? This is all automated and this is just one of the strategies So our crypto algos by the, are algos inside of the algo.
Starting point is 00:35:06 You can have the arbitrage algo doing what it's doing. Say you want to take the yield that it returns for you in cash, and you want to use that every week to even buy more Bitcoin. You set up another instance inside of there. That's another algo buying weekly and looking for the best entry on the weekly candle, buying more for you. Say on a monthly basis you've got a ton of Bitcoin and you want to sell 0.2% of your entire Bitcoin stack once a month to generate more cash yield because we talked to customers, some of them have 3 Bitcoin, have 22 Bitcoin, have 57 Bitcoin
Starting point is 00:35:39 and they're like when do I start to use this Bitcoin in a meaningful way other than just hold it? So now you have three algos inside of one algo one's arbitrage So grabbing every low and high that it can for you One is accumulating Bitcoin on a weekly basis So your stack grows and another one is selling a tiny little portion at the best possible strike price so that you have extra cash to live on. These are extraordinary products that don't exist anywhere else. I know I am
Starting point is 00:36:13 shilling the shit out of them, but it's because I wasn't jiggling at you, by the way, I was thinking that while you were talking, price went from 82 to 85. I mean, that's back to 84, six, but I happened to like, I get gold while you were talking, and I happened to look over. Yeah, yeah. So, you know, here's the thing, like our arbitrage app go grab some Bitcoin at 84. Last night, last night, when you're sleeping, grab some at 84. So we're above that number now. These are things that you cannot do on your own.
Starting point is 00:36:45 And these are, again, institutional level products that some pretty serious folks use at the corporate level, at the trading level, OTC level. It's remarkable stuff. And all, by the way, if you sign up on our website, you get the capability to do this with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. It's not just Bitcoin that's for free.
Starting point is 00:37:14 All three of them are for free, and you can begin using those. Now, something else that I need to talk about in relation to ArchPublic, our most aggressive Fiat, our futures-based algorithms in our concierge program, have had an incredible run. Our NASDAQ algos, our swing trade algos
Starting point is 00:37:34 are extraordinarily aggressive. We tell our customers about that, but with aggressive, you get incredible reward, but you also get increased risk. Again, it needs to be said that all of our algos, they're user-driven algos. You can choose how you wanna use them if you wanna use a service that executes on your behalf,
Starting point is 00:37:54 if you wanna have it on your hard drive, and you wanna be the one that kinda uses the levers and the switches. But in terms of our stock settings, since October 1st through the end of January, these Nasdaq swing trade outgoals were up respectively 54 and 61%. So huge numbers, just absolutely huge numbers. But last week, those same outgoals took an absolute hit. were down 24 and 30 percent in totality and effectively one series of trades over the past week associated with volatility to the downside. So instead of being up- Are you admitting that you didn't make money on every single
Starting point is 00:38:35 day? Yeah, that our algos actually do at times take negative trades. So instead of being up 55 to 60 percent you're up just let's call it 30 percent Over the past four months, but here's the thing When it comes to any investment whether it's Bitcoin Ethereum Solana and our algo's there whether it's Nasdaq and S&P and our algo's on the other side It oftentimes is about time in the market versus timing So if you were a batch of our customers
Starting point is 00:39:06 that came in on October 1st, you literally don't care about a 20% drawdown because you're up 60% to start with. You literally made 60% on your investment in four months. That's crazy. That's borderline meme coin space, right? But at the same time, if you joined in the middle of November and
Starting point is 00:39:26 that you're just flat because you saw an uptick and then in one trade you've got a down tick, that's not comfortable, that's not fun. But in reality, you know, time in the market versus timing will always play a meaningful role as it relates to returns. Point being is there's opportunity that exists across the markets right now. Volatility will continue. It's our contention at ArchPublic that volatility will continue to be sort of the name of the game for the next three to six months.
Starting point is 00:40:02 The current administration has removed all shackles from the markets, both crypto and otherwise. One could make the case. Again, you hear the commentary on crypto Twitter that insider trading or crime is legal, all those things. Well, this is just what it means. The SEC put out a post or some commentary about meme coins are effectively legal.
Starting point is 00:40:25 There's nothing illegal about it. Not serious. Yeah. Right. But at the same time, inside of that same commentary, they're like, do your own research, D-Y-O-R. You got to understand that if you're going to get involved in this stuff, you're responsible for your own decisions and the decisions you make.
Starting point is 00:40:42 And that has to do with any investment. Any investment, you're making the best decision you possibly can with the information that you have. And so whether it's crypto, whether it's fiat, at ours public, whether it's futures, whether it's our crypto algorithms that continue to grow, the opportunity is meaningful, but at the same time there's risk reward.
Starting point is 00:41:02 So you have those conversations and you decide, because we have, you know, on the future side, we have algos that are really conservative. We have algos that are really, really aggressive. Our crypto algos are different. They are looking to do different things in terms of accumulation and using specific strategies that will do that accumulation for you. At the same time, if you've decided that, you know what, I've had enough of Ethereum, I've got a huge mountain
Starting point is 00:41:30 of Ethereum, and I want to scale out over a period of 6 to 12 months, our algorithms will do that for you without you thinking, when do I sell? Or how do I sell? How do I feel good about this? Am I fearful about it? Should I be a little more greedy? No, put an algorithm together with our team and with our staff that algorithmically looks for the best price daily, weekly or monthly
Starting point is 00:41:58 to scale out of a particular asset and scale into another asset if you want. That is the nature and the secret sauce for us is that you know you're able to build algos inside of algos and our team is there to do it with you and you don't have the opportunity to do this unless you know you're some institution employing an OTC desk at Gemini or Kraken or otherwise, and you're having to still tell them what to do and they're having to do it for you. That's not the case here.
Starting point is 00:42:34 You decide on a plan and you allow that plan to play out. And I go back again to the chart that we looked at earlier. Again, six to eight trades over this weekend and volatility becomes your friend. You're acquiring Bitcoin and generating some cash yield up at 94, by the way, in a way that there's just no way that as a human you could physically do and get sleep and have meaningful relationships.
Starting point is 00:43:05 So you know, get on board and use our product for free. Remarkable stuff. You know, Tilman isn't here because he's traveling. He's on a plane right now, I believe. But you know, he's kind of at the head of our development and the work that we do with our development teams. You know, the work that he's done to build, you know, our crypto algorithms
Starting point is 00:43:27 to work the way that they do and to have a multiplicity of algorithmic opportunity inside of each algorithm. You know, his work is outstanding and fantastic. His brain is much bigger than mine. I'm reasonably good at talking. He does all the hard work around here. Um, you may not even hear this, but he does extraordinary stuff. And our, our, our team does extraordinary stuff to build this stuff.
Starting point is 00:43:52 So really proud of, of everybody involved. Awesome. But guys, check that out. Archpublic.com. Look, I put a little banner on there while you're talking. I like that. I'm digging it. Cause somebody asked on, and it was an X comment was like, Hey, so where do we check this out? And I was like, I realized that if I like that. I'm digging it. Because somebody asked on and it was an X comment was like, hey, so where do we check this out? And I was like, I realized that if I put pull this up, you won't see that on X.
Starting point is 00:44:10 Yeah. In the comments of YouTube. Yeah. Yeah. Like it. All right. Well, awesome, man. So we did it.
Starting point is 00:44:17 Uh-huh. Made it. We accomplished it. And yeah, well, we're going to move on. We'll be back next week, next Tuesday at the exact same time, probably with Tillman as well get some get some guests in there mm-hmm yeah wait but man what a what a roller coaster here it's gonna be fun to keep unpacking this stuff it is for sure for sure all right man I
Starting point is 00:44:38 appreciate the time volatility is gonna continue to be the name of the game so find a way to take advantage of it all right guys exactly artspublic.com. That's all we got for you. See you next Tuesday, but of course I'll be back tomorrow 9 a.m. Eastern Standard Time later Let's go.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.