The Zach Lowe Show - How Will the Nuggets Survive Without Nikola Jokic?

Episode Date: January 1, 2026

Zach is joined by Adam Mares to break down how the Nuggets will fare without Nikola Jokic, discuss the 65-game minimum required for postseason awards, and dive into the Utah Jazz. Then, Mo Dakhil come...s on to talk about the Spurs young core and the biggest stories in the East. (0:00) Welcome to The Zach Lowe Show! (1:22) Adam Mares joins the show! (7:38) How many wins do you expect the Nuggets to win while Jokic is out? (14:10) The 65-game rule could take Jokic out of postseason awards contention (21:15) Miscellaneous Nuggets thoughts (22:40) LeBron is at risk of missing the All-Star Game (27:48) Tanking and the Utah Jazz (38:38) Zach welcomes Mo Dakhil to the show! (40:51) How is Wemby developing offensively? (50:59) Should the Spurs go all in this season? (56:16) Teams in the east are not afraid of the Knicks (1:03:50) Cavs continue to improve (1:09:01) Bucks fall to the Wizards again (1:14:58) Thoughts on Paolo Banchero’s situation (1:26:36) Looking around the trade landscape (1:31:30) The Lakers offense is underperforming Host: Zach Lowe Guests: Adam Mares and Mo Dakhil Producers: Mike Wargon, Jonathan Frias, and Billy Gil Social: Keith Fujimoto The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:11 Men's warehouse has over 600 locations nationwide. They are here and nearby when you're ready to love the way you look. All right. Coming up on the Zach Lowe show right after this, it's 2026. Happy New Year, everybody. We got a lot to talk about. got Adam Morris from DNVR Sports and the All-City podcast with our guy, Tim Legler. He's a Nuggets expert. A lot of stuff going on with the Nuggets. A lot of people are hurt. How do they survive without Yokic?
Starting point is 00:01:41 Where are they going to be in the standings when he comes back? What do we think of the 65 game rule? What if he doesn't make it? What does that do to the MVP race? All-N-B-A, all that stuff. We're going to talk about that. We hit tanking again in the jazz situation. All-Star.
Starting point is 00:01:56 Is LeBron not going to make the All-Star team? And then Moe Dekeel and I bounce around everything else going on in the NBA. The Palo Bancaro issue. Wemby suffering what we hope is a tiny little injury and how he's fitting in the Spurs offense that was whirring around those guards while he was out and coming off the bench. The state of the east, is anyone afraid of the Knicks? Should they be? Are the cabs back? What's going on with Paulo Bancaro and the magic? Boston, Toronto, Philly. We talk trade stuff. What's going out with Tray? Anthony Davis. We get into everything that's going around the NBA with Mo DiKeele. That's all coming up on the
Starting point is 00:02:31 Zach Lowe Show. Hope you guys enjoy it. Welcome to the Zach Lowe Show. Happy 2026. The New Year is here. We're almost at midseason. And there's a lot going on specifically with the Denver Nuggets, Adam Morris, DNVR Sports, All-City Podcasts with Tim Legler. You are the guy I go to for all things Nuggets. How are you? How did you ring in the new year? Well, ring it in. I would say uneventfully, just kind of hanging out at the house, which is the way I prefer it. That way when it's over, right upstairs and go to bed. But no, I'm enjoying the NBA season, and I'm excited to be on here.
Starting point is 00:03:16 I feel like it's been a very entertaining one. And I'm kind of curious if you feel the same way. I just think there's a lot of good players, a lot of good teams, and I don't always feel this way on January 1st. It definitely got like 75% more entertaining when the Spurs whipped the Thunder three times in a row. It was like, oh, okay. So the Thunder bleed blood and the Spurs might.
Starting point is 00:03:39 be here already, what's going on? Like, the West is this good. And there's been some Cleveland stuff. Philly's getting healthy. There's a lot of stuff going on. You're right. It's fun. But I rang in the new year, well, pre-New year at the, I'm not calling it to Scotia Bank Center.
Starting point is 00:03:57 Screw you, Scotia Bank. I don't care. You'll never sponsor the Zach Lowe show now. It's the Air Canada Center. Yes, I realize Air Canada is also a corporation. But still, watching your Denver Nuggets win a game. gritty, ugly, fun game against the Raptors. The first game since Nicola Yolkich hyper-extended his knee.
Starting point is 00:04:18 He'll be out a month. And David Adelman, I ran into him a little bit after the game. He was buzzing from that win. A little worried about Valanchunis. He went out with the calf strain. That's the last thing the Nuggets need is like another center to get injured. But this is going to be, this is unprecedented territory for the Nuggets. Yokch never gets heard, you never misses games.
Starting point is 00:04:40 Obviously, they're also down Christian Brown, Aaron Gordon, Cam Johnson. I think Brown and Gordon are getting closer from what I've heard, maybe in the next two weeks max, hopefully. But Adam, I'm sure you dove into this. Like, the schedule is not hard, but it is very crowded. They play 15 games in the next 25 days. They've got Brooklyn, Washington a couple of times, the Mavs, the Pelicans, the Bucks, the Hornets.
Starting point is 00:05:05 So it's not like a murderer's row, but it's just a lot of games. down a critical mass of starters. And when Yokic first got hurt, I looked at the schedule, I looked at the standings. And, you know, my first thought was, well, they're going to drop in the standings. Can they, are they at risk of actually falling to seventh and falling into the plan? And does that even matter? Last night's win doesn't necessarily change my feelings that they are going to slide in the standings.
Starting point is 00:05:36 Does it change your feelings at all? I think in a weird way that first game is the easiest because the other teams don't quite know who you are either. So you almost have an element of surprise. I mean, Denver started Jalen Pickett last night, which I doubt Toronto was prepared for. And there's just some weirdness that happens whenever a team loses a key piece like Yokic and like all the starters that they've lost. So it doesn't change my perspective at all. Other than I know why David Adelman was buzzing, every win is going to feel like that. For the next four weeks, every win is going to feel like, my God, we have.
Starting point is 00:06:08 avoided a disaster. And last night, by the way, literally avoided a disaster by 0.1 seconds, almost getting that game sent to overtime. So, no, it doesn't change my perspective, but you just said, do they fall to seventh? Absolutely. I think there are only four games in the loss column up. That is not, you know, that's one bad week, two bad weeks away from falling there. And in the West right now, teams just don't seem to go on extended losing streaks. So first of all, the Ingram shot to end the game was absolutely incredible. I was at the game. I was at the game. My family was at the game. My daughter and her cousin were at the game.
Starting point is 00:06:41 They got to meet the Raptor before the game. No Yokic, but we got to meet the Raptor. Get some photos with the Raptor. And it was one of the only buzzer beaters of that ilk where, I don't know how you were watching it or where you were watching, I assume at home or something. It was one of the only buzzer beaters of that ilk where me and all the people I was sitting with, and there were some NBA people I was sitting with too.
Starting point is 00:07:03 It did not cross our minds that it came after the buzzer. It didn't feel like that. It's like it was everybody went crazy. It was like, all right, we're going to overtime on New Year's Eve, I guess. And then Zarbak comes up, I didn't, it looked good to me in real time. I didn't, to the point that I didn't even think that it was no good. And like, there weren't even a lot of Denver people waving no good, no good, no good. It was a crazy shot.
Starting point is 00:07:25 Yeah, I was the same for me. I didn't, I didn't think that until they were going to the review. And they're like, what are they reviewing? What is that that's going on? Like, oh, maybe he didn't get it off in time. But to set the stage for this, just so people know, Bruce Brown was in Toronto. I don't think it went well. We were joking at the game.
Starting point is 00:07:41 Those two miss free throws are the biggest contributions Bruce Brown is made to the Toronto Raptors in his career. I don't think it went well. I don't think he has fond memories of that time. I don't think it's anything personal with any one guy or anything like that. But I don't think he thinks fondly of that. So to miss two free throws, one of which would have sealed the game, to miss both of them and then have Ingram hit that shot.
Starting point is 00:08:00 I have to imagine that was the lowest feeling he's had in quite a while. And the most relief he's felt in a while when he saw that the shot was late. How has there not been some NBA content creator who has capitalized on the hype around Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey? How has no one made a video of Bruce Brown's The Odyssey coming back to Denver with Yokic as the spouse waiting for him? And you could just make up all the characters, the sons, David Adelman could be somebody. It's sitting right there for people. Anyway, enough. To your point, if Denver goes five and ten in their next 15 games,
Starting point is 00:08:37 And I think that's like not implausible. If you told me they went eight and seven, I would say I'm pretty surprised they managed eight and seven given all these dudes that are out. If they go five and ten, Phoenix goes nine and six. They have the same record. Minnesota only has to go 500. They have the same record as Denver. So falling to seventh or sixth is totally in play.
Starting point is 00:09:00 And yet I actually don't care because I don't, I think five and is five and ten optimistic or pessimistic to you. It's, I think, a little pessimistic. Five is on the low end of what I would hope for, I think. But I mean, to your point, they're down four starters. They'll get a couple of these guys back soon. The entry to Big Val that you kind of referenced just a second ago is a big deal because we were joking about this the other day at DNVR. Who starts when they play tomorrow night? Is it Geron Holmes who just played his first NBA game, his real NBA game last night? He might be the best option to start at center tomorrow. That's how depleted they are. So, Five is on the low end, but it's certainly in play.
Starting point is 00:09:40 Yeah, I would agree. If you, if you, I would say, I wonder what Vegas would set it over under it. Like six and a half maybe feels like a good line, seven and a half. I don't know. But I don't care because even if they do go five and ten and all those other teams, tie them, catch them, whatever, when Yokic comes back, they're going to start winning at their normal pace again. And they're going to pass some of those other teams.
Starting point is 00:10:04 And by the way, the Lakers are in just, a morass of suckage right now, and I don't have a huge amount of faith in them to pile up, like a 10-and-5 record of the next 15 games. And I actually don't think that Nuggets care much about seating. I don't get to sense that they care much about seating, having talked to a bunch of their people in the last couple of days here. And in fact, if they somehow ended up in sixth at the end of the season,
Starting point is 00:10:29 which I think is wildly pessimistic, but just say it's worst-case scenario they end up in six. being on the opposite side of the bracket from Oklahoma City is not a bad consolation prize for them. I think the four or five thing is a little bit more interesting in having to play them in the second round. But I don't think they care about any of this because I do get the sense, and I'm sure you guys, you do too, being around them much more than I am. I think they're an inner circle title contender. They think they're an inner circle title contender when they get healthy.
Starting point is 00:10:56 And I think they're really excited about what this team could be when they get Brown, Gordon, Yokish, Johnson back. They were excited about what Cam Johnson was developing into within their system in the last couple of weeks before it got hurt. And I think they're hopeful they're going to learn something about Pickett, Holmes, you know, Watson is going to be able to stretch himself. He took a lot of tough twos last night, made a lot of them too, tried to dunk on the world a couple times, and hope that something sort of can be brought out of this stretch into the healthy stretch. I think this team, they were the biggest threat to Oklahoma City before the season. And despite what the Spurs just hit to Oklahoma City, I think Denver is the second best team in the NBA and really not that far from Oklahoma City when they're all healthy because they have the ultimate Trump card. And it's a big fella.
Starting point is 00:11:44 I 100% agree. And this is the thing about the Nugget season is we saw enough. Before the injury started to pile up, we saw enough of them to say it just looks different. The game was easier to them. They were getting up by double figures in every single game. the real challenge was focus. They would allow a team back into it in a third quarter before putting them away and winning.
Starting point is 00:12:04 But they just looked like the best version of themselves. I know that 2023 team, they won the title, so they're always going to get that mark. But they looked every bit as good and better as a regular season team until the wheel started to come off. And even when they lost Aaron Gordon, who's a huge piece and Christian Brown, who's a big piece, even when they lost them, they didn't skip a beat. So I think Denver has to feel great about themselves. the difficulty of this season, of the 82 game season is that you lose guys and then you go these long stretches,
Starting point is 00:12:31 really half the year where you don't have your team and you're just trying to survive. Denver's unfortunately going to have to play maybe a third of their season here coming up where the games don't matter except for win. Just win and maybe like you said, figure something out about some of these end of bench guys. I like Holmes. I mean, Holmes is going to make shots. They're very confident in that. Is Zik Najee like, where is Zee? Naji. Yeah, he was a DMP last night, which was interesting.
Starting point is 00:12:58 Eight-man road. Yeah, if he can't get into these games, it's really and truly over for the Zieg man. Yeah, I mean, look, the optimism, I think, is justified. The one nagging thing is you always worry about, you don't want to burn Jamal Murray out in this stretch because the burden of shot creation is going to fall real heavy on him. and also Tim Hardaway Jr., who's probably like super psyched about all the burden being shoved on to him. And just, you know, you hope that Aaron Gordon when he comes back is as over the leg issues calf. What is the calf or hamstring?
Starting point is 00:13:36 I can never remember. Well, it may be related, right? Yeah, and you always have in the back of your mind, like a recurrence could always happen. And without him, I mean, he's just one of the skeleton keys of the NBA for their team. But I love this team. It's going to be a rough stretch. It's such a bummer that Yolka just hurt. But I don't really worry about where they are in the standings at the end of this
Starting point is 00:13:59 because I think they'll be fun. The West is going to be hard for everybody. I do think if you're a one seed there, I'm just looking at who might be an eight seed. And you might get a golden state if they get it together. You might get a little bit of a weaker team there. But one through seven, it's just tough. And so you're going to get a tough matchup.
Starting point is 00:14:15 I will say, Jamal Burnout is probably my number one concern over this next month, even more so than dropping in the standings. It's just how much does he have to empty the tank right here to lead up to Yokic's return? And then, you know, Aaron Gordon has been in and out of the lineup for a year and a half now. It's not just that he got injured this year. It was all of last year. And so for me, it could just be a fluke thing. But it is something I look at and say, how long can he even last four playoff rounds?
Starting point is 00:14:47 I think he can. You want to give a guy a benefit of the doubt. But I'm not sure that his boss. can hold up for two and a half months of intense basketball just because we haven't seen it now for two years. Yeah. The playoffs are, it's just impossible to overstate what a grind they are when you start playing every other day, highest intensity, best opponents, heaviest minute loads, all of the national attention on you.
Starting point is 00:15:13 You know, it's why LeBron being 41 years old is like almost a disqualifier for the Lakers setting aside all their issues now, being a legit. contender in the West because he's not going to make it through a season and four playoff rounds at anything close to intact. Let's talk about the 65 game rule, which is going to be under the microscope, because Yokic had played every game, and if he misses the exact four weeks, he'll be right at 65 games, and four weeks is the reevaluation period. Now, you also never know, right?
Starting point is 00:15:43 Like Janus came back much earlier than he, then it was, the timetable was from this recent cap injury. And by the way, after the game, game last night. I will say being around all the Nuggets people, there was not a, there, JV will get tested and do all the MRI stuff when they get to Cleveland. Or Cleveland, or are they filing to Cleveland today?
Starting point is 00:16:05 But there did not seem to be a huge amount of concern that this was going to be like a major long-term cathedry. There seemed to be optimistic. But again, you never know what timetables, but 65 games on the dot seems optimistic if the reevaluation date is a month. month out. And so that would, one more game missed, and he's out for all the honors, notably most valuable player and first team, all NBA. I have never been a big fan of the 65 game rule.
Starting point is 00:16:36 I wasn't super passionate, like, anti the rule. I understand why they did it. Part of the reason I wasn't super, super passionate about it was it's just, it's going to be hard to win the MVP if you only play 63 games, 64 games, regardless of whether there's a rule or not. However, All-N-BA is and has always been different to me, which is why one of my complaints about the rule was, can you at least, like, for, I've said this repeatedly, like, for third-team all-N-B-A, can you at least lift the rule? Because I don't want to sit here and be like, well, Kevin Durant and Nicola Yochch played 59 and 63 games.
Starting point is 00:17:15 So I guess, hey, Julius Randall, here's your third charity All-NBA appearance. of your NBA career. Like, we all know these guys are better. Can I just, like, once you get to 50 or some requisite minimum, can you just give me the freedom to do that? But I, like, if he plays 64 games, there's no question he should be first team all NBA. I will say 64 games, let's say SGA plays 81.
Starting point is 00:17:42 He's missed only one game so far, it plays 80. I do think it's going to be hard to even rationally argue that Yolkits in 64 games put up more quote-unquote value than SGA and 80 games. But I'm ready to just abolish the rule. I'm ready to get rid of it. I never loved it to begin with. I always wanted more freedom for third team all NBA. But like there's no question. 64 games of Yokic is a first team all NBA player. Like zero question. I mean, I think that part of is very true. I mean, I'll start by just saying that if you make a change to this rule, it has to be done in the offseason. And I say that because I do. I do.
Starting point is 00:18:20 I can already hear all of the people that are on the other side of all of these debates on the Yokic MVP debates that say, well, now that it's him, you want to change the rules midstream. And I think that is unfair. But no, there's no way you can do it in this season, zero chance. So I just wanted to set the table there. So it's, you know, because this isn't something I've thought about a lot. And obviously now that it's happening with Yokic, you do, you kind of, you feel it a little bit more. The all-MBA thing is just how you remember the NBA. It's how you tell the story of the NBA season. And to your point, if you start eliminating your Durants and your Yokic's and everybody else and you elevate guys that are like, that's not the story of the NBA, he just with the last guy standing that qualified, then I do think we lose something. So I think it's certainly something to revisit.
Starting point is 00:19:02 It was the rule was made in place because guys were not playing. But guys now, I think the problem with the NBA right now is almost less load management and more guys just getting injured and missing a long periods of time. And I don't know how you fix that. Well, it also had the reverse thing where, you know, Halliburton two seasons ago played through an injury clearly trying to get to 65 games because there's also money involved. That's the other thing. Money is attached to the all NBA stuff. And he was just remember whatever, I think it's 20 minutes. There were a bunch of games where he played like 20 and 25 minutes. And it was like very transparently.
Starting point is 00:19:35 Well, actually not transparently because the Pacers denied it. But it was like very obvious what was happening. I was never a big fan of it. I understood why they did it. And my point was always as a voter, now a former vote. or maybe a future voter, I'm able to make educated decisions when there are varying levels of games played. Like, it's my job as an observer of the NBA to decide whether 63 games of Yokic is more or less
Starting point is 00:20:01 additive in value than 74 games of Janus or whatever. Like, I'm capable of doing that. Just let me do it. And certainly don't make it so that I can't put. 64 games of Yokic on an all NBA team. And I've mentioned third team a bunch of times. He'd be first team. Like, he's just so much better than everyone else except for Shea.
Starting point is 00:20:25 And he's even better than Shea. Anyway. I want to make one point about awards voting. I think the mistake that especially MVP voters get wrong is they think they can see the future. You know, because we've followed this for the last five years. And so many of the arguments are, well, we can't do that because in five years, what will we think that we did this? You don't know what you're going to think in five years.
Starting point is 00:20:48 These guys might be like Sheigold just Alexander wins it last year. He might be an all-time great player. He might be a guy that ends up winning six or seven because he deserves it. I think a lot of the votes that people make have to do with, oh, I know how we're going to think about this in years to come. And you always end up getting yourself into trouble for it. That's the big mistake I see with it, with the MVP voters and awards voters, is people trying to imagine what this will mean 10 years from now.
Starting point is 00:21:12 What other, before we move on, what other Nuggets thoughts should we get into? You know, like who's had an interesting season or what player or players are you really curious about how they handle this non-yokic and not a bunch of other guys to stretch? Well, I think one thing that'll be interesting is when Christian Brown returns. Payton Watson is such an interesting. Peyton Watson and Christian Brown come into the league together. Christian Brown's more polished, probably a lower upside, less athletic. But he's a guy that immediately understood what the tax.
Starting point is 00:21:42 was, what his job was, executed it, won the trust of everyone, and just got paid. Peyton Watson has been phenomenal in that same exact role with more athleticism, which I think is the sneaky missing ingredient that you have to surround Yokic with athleticism, especially you see this in the playoffs when you go up against some of these super athletic teams. Peyton Watson brings them this unique dynamic. And Denver kind of has to make a decision about when everybody is back, who plays the most minutes? Do you try to find minutes for Peyton Watson alongside Yokic?
Starting point is 00:22:12 And I'm just kind of curious to see how that unfolds and how Denver handles Peyton Watson's future. He's a free agent next year. They're a restricted free agent. I don't think they can afford him. And so they have the Peyton Watson dynamic of all this, I think, is really interesting, especially when Christian Brown comes back. Yeah, they made a decision about which one to prioritize an extension talks. I really like Peyton Watson. And it is interesting because on a team with Aaron Gordon, who, you know, is it, is
Starting point is 00:22:42 now a plus shooter, but teams don't treat him that way quite yet. Christian Brown's an okay shooter. Peyton Watson is shooting 37 and a half percent from three. But it's a juggling act with two of those or three of those guys on the floor all at once. Three would be pretty rare. But I do, like, I like the aggression that he played with last night. I like him saying, someone's got to do it. It's me or Tim Hardaway right now because Jamal's on the bench. Like, I'm going to see what I can do. and you know, Yokic is such sort of a big picture thinker that almost more than any player on the team, I feel like sometimes Yokic is kicking the ball to Watson
Starting point is 00:23:19 and the unspoken messages, man, we're, we need you to take these shots. I trust you to take these shots. Take these shots. I'm kicking it to you. Take them. I don't care if you miss. Keep shooting.
Starting point is 00:23:30 I think, I love that you brought this up because I had the thought just watching Yokch all these years. When he passed it the other day, I can't even remember what the game was off the top of my head, where he had a shot at the rim, would have been contested. He probably would have made it. And he kicked it to Peyton Watson. I thought, I'll bet you there's a little thought in the back of his mind of, I just want to see what Peyton Watson does in this moment.
Starting point is 00:23:50 I want to see if he's a make guy, how he handles it, if he misses. And so I'm with you on that. I think that there is a little method to the madness of Yokic in all things. All right. Let's talk about the other voting-related controversy that is at hand right now. LeBron James is at risk of not making the All-Star game for the first time in a thousand years. he is ninth in the fan vote and the way they calculate the starters
Starting point is 00:24:13 which all of this is beginning to break my brain so we're picking five Western Conference starters and five Eastern Conference starters even though those players in a lot of cases will not be teammates because the game is US versus the world and not West versus East and every all-star discussion
Starting point is 00:24:31 has to begin with these fucking five-minute primers about how the game works can we just go back the East versus West. Like, why is this so fucking hard? They're not going to try either way. Like, just like, what are we doing? So the Western conference starters who will not be teammates,
Starting point is 00:24:47 LeBron's ninth in the fan vote, and that's 50% weighted for who gets to start. The remaining is 25% media and 25% players. I don't think LeBron is going to make up enough ground in the media vote. First of all, he does deserve to be an all-star this year, just like objectively. That's just true. sorry.
Starting point is 00:25:09 So I don't think the media will vote him high enough or the players will be interesting. But I don't think he's going to net out of that as one of the top five Western Conference players. Then the coaches pick the next seven players. And it's just you wonder, is there going to be sort of a discussion amongst the coaches, who, by the way, it's always the assistant coaches who are actually filling out these ballots of, hey, are we all? The game's in L.A. we're not like a thousand percent sure he's coming back next year.
Starting point is 00:25:39 Are we all, should we all put him in or are we all like tired of him? He did sit out the All-Star game last year at the semi last minute, which did not earn a lot of goodwill at NBA league offices. Let's say they don't vote him in because, again, he's objectively not one of the 12 most deserving Western conference players this season, having missed as much time as he's missed with the sciatica. Then it falls to Adam Silver, who has carte blanche, to do whatever he wants,
Starting point is 00:26:06 both in replacing injured players, of which one might be, Nicole Yokic, we'll see. Or he should be healthy by then, but who knows? Or adding, like, U.S. players, if there are not enough of U.S. players versus international players,
Starting point is 00:26:24 traditionally he's gone down the coaches vote and picked, like, the next guy on the list, but he doesn't have to do that. And they have the precedent of him adding Dirk Novitsky and Dwayne Wade, in what turned out to be the last year of both of their careers for like a swan song career achievement All-Star. Dirk that year had not officially announced his retirement yet.
Starting point is 00:26:45 Everyone kind of knew it was coming. Wade, we knew. I don't like, I'll bet, like, I just, I'm going to come out and say it. Adam, I'm going to say Adam Silver names LeBron James to the All-Star team one way or another. That's my prediction. But it is, it could be dicey. It's certainly dicey as you set the stage for it. And I mean, just to be clear, he's not one of the 12th.
Starting point is 00:27:04 best players this year in the Western Conference. So I think that that part is what makes it so interesting. But here's how I look at it. And this might be controversial. This year and this season, part of what I'm enjoying about it is it feels like the first official. It starts with the Thunder winning the championship. But it feels like a true changing of the guards.
Starting point is 00:27:23 Steph's team has been down. He hasn't had as many great nights as we, you know, we're accustomed to. The Warriors are down. LeBron is down. Kevin Durant's with the Rockets. But, you know, that team is as much about the young players. as him. It's a nice merging of it. And we have all these young players that are emerging into focus here as guys that we are starting to learn storylines to and those storylines are going to grow and
Starting point is 00:27:45 grow. LeBron, to me, feels like this, it's weird to say because he's an all-time great player, but he's hanging on in a way that I almost feel as like, okay, there's other storylines here step beside. And the All-Star game maybe is the perfect opportunity to say, you know what, Webbin Yama's enough, She'll just Alexander's enough. These guys are enough. We don't need the LeBron story anymore. It's going to be interesting. I would be very surprised if the league does not find a way to involve him. Unless he says, unless he says, look, man, I'm old.
Starting point is 00:28:19 I didn't play last year. I don't really want to play. Right. Even though it's in my hometown, not in my home arena, but in my hometown. We'll see. But, yeah, I don't. If he comes back next year, if he comes back to, next year. Maybe he's on a different team. Maybe he goes to the east. Do we do this whole thing
Starting point is 00:28:37 again? And then next year is also the LeBron Farewell Tour in the All-Star game? I'll tell you what, I'll tell you up here in Toronto. People are fired up about Scotty Barnes and I'd even getting in the top 20 of the Eastern Conference fan voting results. There's like the Raptors people are like, is there some sort of glitch in the like, are Canadian votes not being counted? And he should be an All-Star. Scotty Barnes should be an All-Star. Okay, the last question I wanted to hit with you because you tackle the whole league on the All-City Pod with legs is the tanking stuff. And I wanted to elaborate on Monday's show, I talked about how Utah has the sneaky,
Starting point is 00:29:15 most interesting subplot in the NBA, which is this top eight protected pick that they owe the Oklahoma City Thunder, which I think is from a Derek favor of salary dump, if I'm not mistaken. and how this is the exact kind of scenario that at least one of the leagues, not leagues, one of the anti-tanking proposals floating around things like the Competition Committee, is to eliminate these pick protections between top four and top 14. Because Utah right now is in the ninth spot in the lottery standings, in which they would have an overwhelming chance of losing this pick to Oklahoma City.
Starting point is 00:29:53 and I talked about how Utah has been kind of frisky, particularly when George and Markinen are both on the floor, like almost sniffing a top 10 offense that just beats the Spurs and the Pissons. Then they lost to the Celtics. They rested Sveh Mahailu, because God knows Svi has been really overworked the last five, six years of the NBA, just huge, like 3,000 minutes every year. They arrested Kevin Love and they arrested somebody else.
Starting point is 00:30:17 I can't remember. And, you know, I sort of tongue-in-cheek was like, man, I kind of wish some of these teams would just let it ride and may the chips fall where they may, knowing that Utah is almost certainly not going to do that. And I think the most likely path for them is, now to get really comfortable with the top a protected pick, you've got to get all the way to sixth in the lottery standings. When you get to the sixth worst record, you then have a 97% chance of your Utah of keeping your pick. If you're even seventh, it's still an 87% percent.
Starting point is 00:30:52 chance. That's really nice. If you told me there's a 13% chance, I'm getting struck by lightning. If I leave the house, say I'm not leaving the house. After that, it gets a little easier. So can they fall to six? Yes, they can. And I think the way they will try to do it is any veteran that any veteran who's not part of their team going forward that they can trade for second round picks or whatever. So love Svi. I think Nerkich has been really serviceable for them.
Starting point is 00:31:19 And with Kessler already out, the drop-on- off from NERC to like Philipowski and just baron center rotation would be pretty big. I think they'll probably try to chip away at the edges. Couple strategic rests here and there trying to avoid the league, the ire of the league, the all-encompassing saurin-like eye of Sam Presti, who, you know, this is a team that also sat SGA and Horford strategically for their own tanking purposes years ago. I just think it's interesting. It would be fun to see them go for it.
Starting point is 00:31:50 I don't know. What is your take on all this? Because this is going to be, people are going to be watching the jazz the rest of the year. And I think I'm outlining what I think they will do. I can't blame them for it. As much as I want to sit here and say, go for it. What's the worst thing? You lose the 11th pick in the draft. That's the average return of the 11th pick in the draft is like maybe a good backup player.
Starting point is 00:32:10 But if you keep the sixth pick in the draft or whatever it is, you got to have faith in your front office to draft a real guy there and they need some guys. I get it. I get it. Well, here's a couple of thoughts I have because I think there's a lot here. First of all, I think Utah has been tanking all year. They're just, they're one of my favorite bad teams to watch. They're, they, especially early in the year when they had Walker Kessler, Kyle Filipowski, Larry Markinen, Svima, Kilo, they were playing this enormous lineup that was so
Starting point is 00:32:37 wacky and weird and it was fun. And they would get up 40 to 20 after one quarter on these teams and then ended up blowing it and losing the game anyway, which makes me think they were tanking. But my thought on them is, I, They'll probably lose naturally. There's tanking where you're trying to lose games and there's tanking where you're trying to develop young players. They have guys like Walter Clayton.
Starting point is 00:32:59 You know, they have guys they can throw out there who are probably going to lower their odds, but in the service of being those guys better for the years to come. And then the big thing for me, outside of just wanting to avoid giving Oklahoma City as many lottery picks as you can, the other thing is you want a top pick. And I know here are this draft, you know, top three guys really strong. couple guys after that really strong. But I think we're finding value into the first round, late first round, second round, undrafted players at a rate we've never seen in the NBA.
Starting point is 00:33:30 And I'm not really sure why, but if you look around the league, there are a lot of guys contributing right out of the package as rookies as role players. We've always had the Carmelo's and the bronze guys with the stars who came in and were ready for it. But role players, guys who just seem to understand the modern NBA at a really high level, There's a lot of AJ Mitchell's around. Yeah, give me some names. Let's go through some names.
Starting point is 00:33:52 Let me just see if I can go through. Obviously, just look at anybody on the Oklahoma City Thunder. They seem to be able to bring in these young guys. And then the thing is they have high IQ. They're coming in understanding the texture of the spacing of the modern NBA and the skill sets. Denver has a guy, Spencer Jones right now, starting for them is a two-way player, undrafted guy. But you watch him and you say, yeah, but he knows what he's supposed to do. He's not particularly skilled, but he understands the modern NBA.
Starting point is 00:34:17 And I think you can go up and down the NBA right now. And every team has one guy that is some late first or early second or undrafted player that is contributing. Minnesota has a handful of those types of players that are contributing. So I just wonder, is it worth tanking? You know, you want to get, there's years where you have to get a number one pick, number two pick. But all these other years, you could find value at the 18th pick.
Starting point is 00:34:41 Is it worth it to not develop your guys just so that you can get the third pick instead of the sixth pick? I just don't think it is anymore. Interesting. And to your point about the jazz, there are a lot of young guys there that they can easily throw minutes to. I've always been a big Taylor Hendricks fan.
Starting point is 00:34:59 He had that devastating leg injury last year. He's had some flashes this year, shot it decently from three. I'd like to see more of him. Cody Williams at least looks playable now, like a little bit more, like he has some idea of what he wants to do when he gets the ball and it's not just like sheer panic and confusion.
Starting point is 00:35:20 Not great, but like you drafted him high. You're going to have to throw a minute at some point. Clayton, you mentioned, he dunked. Who did he dunk on the other day where I was like, oh my God, somebody else. I think Derek White. I think it was Derek White. By the way, Derek White's going to be my pet, like, fringy All-Star case. I just love what.
Starting point is 00:35:38 That guy plays so hard and does so many things so well. I love that, dude. Maybe it's seven block shots yesterday or was earlier this week at seven-bossed. He plays so freaking hard and does everything for that team that they need him to do. A huge, huge fan. Yeah, and to your point about watching Utah's rotations, just every time I watch them, I'm flagging the minutes when both Keante George and Lowry Markinen are on the bench. Those are just a complete sinkhole of points.
Starting point is 00:36:05 They definitely know it's a complete sinkhole of points. And look, maybe it's not anything other than we want to maximize the minutes they play together. We don't necessarily think. like Keante George by himself is going to keep our offensive float. But, you know, I mean, you have lived this with Murray and Yolkich. Like, anytime they, David Adelman right before Yokuch's injury was like kind of leaning back into lineups featuring neither of them and they were getting run off the court. And now those minutes are just going to have to be part of Denver's rotation.
Starting point is 00:36:36 But by the way, they're your division mates. I mean, I assume you've seen a lot of Keontte, George. That guy's a real guy. He's really, really good. he's just got he's got and it's natural too he's got a quickness to him he attacks naturally the game seems like it's easy for him when he's getting downhill he's got great footwork great handle uh yeah he's and here's the other thing about tanking for Utah they already have Bailey and they have George that might be your cornerstone if you bring
Starting point is 00:37:04 it another third guy and look they would love to do it if you told him they could take in you know boozer to banser one of those guys that's a problem they'd gladly have but at that point you have three stars, all who are sort of ball in your hand in the hand kind of guys, at some point you start to cannibalize your own roster. Not everybody can be OKC where you get a Chet Holmgren who's happy to kind of play around the periphery. And so I even wonder about that with them of some teams have what they need and they have to start moving forward. And actually what you need are the 11th picks and your 15th picks and those guys that are going to fill out your roster so you don't have three max contracts that are all 22 years old. Well, Utah can't get that
Starting point is 00:37:39 but picking that range this year. So they have to aim for the top eight and I expect them to do so. Theoretically, it's worth mentioning that theoretically the Jazz could go the other way and try to add an impact player to their team. Something they sniffed around, I think,
Starting point is 00:37:56 in the offseason with some big-ish names. I don't sense that's going to happen in the middle of this season. And I completely agree on Keante, George, by the way. The craftiness is the change of pace. And he has this like this almost like a throw ahead dribble where he looks like he's going to pick up his dribble in the paint, like when he arrives at the ball and go up for a
Starting point is 00:38:24 floater and defense his bite on it and assume he's going to shoot. And then he bounces it again and hits like a crazy pocket pass. He's just really catching shoot three is way better. He's coming off flare screens and all that. He has good chemistry with Markinin. I think this is exactly what it looks like. like they're going to get a top eight pick. They're going to bring marketing back, keep marketing in rather, and try to be competitive
Starting point is 00:38:46 next year. Adam Morris, buckle up, man. It's going to be a fun month in the Mile High City. You ready for a lot of Durant Holmes? You're ready for Tim Hardaway, Jr., getting all the shots he wants? Who else? We got Peyton Watson. Strather Strather Straits, man.
Starting point is 00:39:01 It's dire here out here on the Strother Strauthers Straits. He's not getting in these games. I've always been a little skeptical of him, but he will get his chance here. And, you know, Jaylett Pickett, it's my guy. I love weird players. I love some booty ball. That's what they call it is he backs you down ever so slowly and then finds the open guy. So it'll be weird out here in Denver for a bit.
Starting point is 00:39:20 I would like more of that because when he was coming into the draft, all my scout friends were like, you're going to love this guy. He's like Andre Miller 2.0 with like this weird old school post game. And I feel like I haven't seen enough Andre Miller 2. I want to see the full Andre Miller, Professor Andre Miller, PhD experience. He plays scared. I honestly think that's it. He's so afraid of messing up that it's so conservative.
Starting point is 00:39:42 It's like, hey, man, get some booty ball going. Just be aggressive. It's the only way you're going to in the NBA. Adam Morris, DNVR Sports in All-City with our buddy legs is a must. Thank you for your time, bud. Thank you so much. Happy New Year. This episode is brought to you by Adobe Firefly, the all-in-one creative studio with AI-powered
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Starting point is 00:40:46 sirling steak. Have you eaten yet? Order now, or is it a Panda Express near you? All right, let's go around the league with the great Mo DeKille, apparently checking in from the set of forgetting Sarah Marshall. Mo, what's happening? Are you at a tea keep? Are you at a bar on the beach?
Starting point is 00:41:04 Where are you? Not yet. I'm, it's really early here, right? Because of Hawaii time, right? So it's still morning time for me yet to be able to hit the tiki bars. But I'm, you know, visiting the inlaws in Hawaii. This is one of the perks of when you marry somebody from Hawaii. Every time she says we have to go see, you know, my parents, I get to go to Hawaii.
Starting point is 00:41:27 So I'm never going to complain about that. We're going to hit a lot of topics. But we got to start with your old, one of your old MBA employers, the San Antonio. Spurs. A great win over the Knicks last night at home in a game where Julian Champany went absolutely crazy. What a year for the Champany brothers. Justin has been rebounding the hell of it, Washington. I think, how about two on two Champneys versus Spencer's at All-Star weekend? How about that? How about we lean into the NBA journeyman brothers? I love that. I love that idea. Can we bring a Lopez, can we bring Robin Lopez out of
Starting point is 00:42:04 retirement and do just kind of a three-way tournament and have the Lopez brothers. Go crazy. Anything is better than watching the Taco Bell Skills Challenge presented by Poolean Wheat or whatever and Sprite. All right. If the Spurs had been kind of just so, so since the Oklahoma City blitz and I was prepared to talk about like, huh, what's going on with the Spurs? Where are we a little premature in crowning the spurs as contenders?
Starting point is 00:42:31 And we'll get there. But then they pull out that game against the Nets. Knicks last night. And I think the most interesting thing, well, first of all, Wembe got injured. Didn't appear to be serious. He was on the bench. He was apparently telling people it was all right and he'll be fine. And so that's optimistic.
Starting point is 00:42:47 But any time a 7-5 giant goes down, you worry a little bit. And he is, he's like falling over a lot. And so that's just maybe just life is a 75 guy who has to run and jump for a living. But I was the interesting subplot to me and I wanted to get your take on to is, you know, they start this run with him injured and continue with him coming off the bench. And Fox is having probably a career season shooting-wise. And the young guards are coming into their own castle and Harper. And I was interested in sort of like, how does Wembe offensively fit in to this like three-guard,
Starting point is 00:43:25 two-guard, blitzing, driving, kicking attack? And there's been a little hiccups here and there. But then last night, it looks so pure, 31 points before he gets in. injured. What do you think of that whole, you know, oh, the Spurs offense was really great without Wemby? Defensively, we know. Like, they're a completely different animal with that dude on the floor. But what, what have you thought of him sort of reintegrating now as a starter before this injury into the offense? I think it's really kind of challenging for him to find his spot, right? And I mean, like, you know, where is the Wembe's going to operate from out of here in the,
Starting point is 00:44:04 lineup with where we're going beyond just pick and roll rolling down you know he's cut down on his threes he's he's playing more inside the arc which i think is something everybody was hoping for more of you know from him over the past few seasons we're beginning to see all that stuff i felt like leading up to the NBA cup final like it felt like his spot was going to be the free throw line the dirk spot kind of area where it felt like that's where he's going to be operating a lot more out of, and then it's a little more difficult because that also clogs the driving lanes for the guards, right? Like that kind of like, that that makes it a bit harder for, you know, Fox to get downhill, makes it a little harder for Castle and Harper as well. And I think
Starting point is 00:44:48 that's where you're sort of in that challenging spot. I think they're still trying to integrate how to kind of incorporate Wemby's spots. And I think, I think eventually he is going to operate out of the dirk spot, we're beginning to see it. They kind of won away from it, but I think we'll see it come back. They got to figure out how to work into that. And I think that's really the challenge from it. And it's not, sometimes it's off to pick and roll and he gets to that spot. But a lot of times when he gets into that high post area, it's him coming off of a
Starting point is 00:45:19 rimbrun, right? Runs down, doesn't get anything in transition, early post up or anything like that. And then he works his way back up to that spot. instead of just coming out of a short roll into that spot. And I think that's where it's going to be interesting to see how they sort of navigate it. It's a fun problem to have when you have these three guards who have been absolutely electric together. And I think it's a great issue that they'll have to figure out. But this is the problem you want to have through the spurs versus anything else.
Starting point is 00:45:54 Yeah, to be clear, not a problem. And his jump shot looks, his three looks good. Like, it looks smooth. It looks good. I, like, expected to go in when he's open. But, you know, I do think Wembe, depending on who's guarding him and what the context is, when being the ball in a stagnant situation at the nail is probably not as efficient an offense as I think fans would expect it to be.
Starting point is 00:46:21 Or just like, this guy's an apex superstar in the NBA. He's good at that kind of stuff. And he's a great passer. And that's one of the skills you want to. leverage. But as a deep, I think teams should be sort of more okay with him. Like after the Thunder games, I talked about how should the Thunder just stop screwing around with matchups and put Chet on him and see what he can do in that matchup? Like, I'm actually kind of okay with Wembe going one on one from 18 feet away. Like, show me you can do it in a super efficient way that's more efficient
Starting point is 00:46:54 than this other style that you fit into. But to your point about the pick and roll, Castle especially has figured out how just to lob the ball at the rim and any particular pick and rolls. Like Nash dribble under the basket, lob it over his head to the rim. Wemby's going to be there. Empty side pick and roll. Just get into the middle. Lob it back to the side I came from. Wemby's going to be there.
Starting point is 00:47:17 Fox is getting there too. And then he's such a great offensive rebounder because he's so goddamn big. All he has to do is like barely bounce off his toes in his second and his third jump. But I do think it is an interesting question. but there's no question that he's going to be an elite offensive player. The defense is much more than worth it. I mean, he is, everybody knows what he is defensively. So let me ask you, like after the Spurs swept the thunder, I said, they're now a contender.
Starting point is 00:47:44 They're an official championship contender. And Kirk Goldsbury asked me, what's the ceiling for this team? And I straight up said, the ceiling is they can win the championship. Now, I'm not picking them to win the championship. I'm not picking them to win the West, but I'm officially on the Spurs. can win the championship trained is what I told him. Then they lose a couple games in a row, not great fashion. And you start to remember, they are very young.
Starting point is 00:48:07 They are very untested. They haven't had the playoff growing pains yet. I still am like, if you could beat the Thunder three times in a row like that, I know it's only the regular season. Like, I'm not disqualifying you from contender status based on two losses. Where are you on this? So I think first to just kind of go back to like the little malaise they had after beating the the thunder in that three three game run i think some of that was more just like
Starting point is 00:48:36 like a letdown of just like they kind of i feel like they amp themselves up so much especially when it was basically a home-and-home you know for for the the christmas day game they they got so amped up for that i think just naturally it kind of drained them a little bit in a way and that's something a young team would do right in in that way in that way way and get so high up off of that. And that's going to be the excuse I will give them for the malaise in the way they did. And then that was a big win against the Knicks yesterday. And the way that they came back in that game and battle through. Like that was incredibly impressive with that. I think they have a championship ceiling. I don't expect it, though, because it's still,
Starting point is 00:49:22 there's a whole lot more come playoff time. Right. And it's, it's for the majority of this roster, it's going to be their first real taste of the playoffs. Look, I know they have Harrison Barnes. I know Cornett, you know, they've won a championship. They've known that. You know, Kelly Olenick's been around. Fox has, like, limited playoff experience. He doesn't have a ton of playoff experience as well.
Starting point is 00:49:44 So I feel like I'm, you, they are contenders in the pure fact of like, like you said, look, they've beaten, not just the Thunder three times. They had a win in Denver, you know, during the NBA. Cup, which is part of it. And they pants the thunder twice. Like two of the three wins were not close. Yeah. And so it's like there's a level of like, like that's, it's there. The DNA, the, the, the chemistry, all that stuff's there. It's can it align right and perfectly for them once they get to the playoffs? You know, how's Castle going to respond to the intensity of the playoffs? You know, Harper, who's been phenomenal rookie, how's he going to start? How's Wembe going to respond to the
Starting point is 00:50:25 intensity of the playoffs. I have my theories. Obviously, he's been through Olympics and all of that stuff. And it's different when you get to the playoffs and the NBA where it's, you know, the defense gets to sit down, you know, especially in the first round, three, four days before hand. And literally pick apart your offense and the spots you want to get to. Can they, you know, it comes down to more execution and what do you have figured out. And it's also going to be Mitch Johnson's first time as a head coach in the playoffs. Like all of this stuff kind of comes, you know, takes time to sort of develop and, you know, we have seen examples of teams, hey, first running the playoffs and kill it. You know, I think we always talk about the Phoenix
Starting point is 00:51:05 Sons in, in that regard, but we also forget Chris Paul was on that team and really, like, DNA, playoffs scars, scars, scars, like on him and understanding kind of that stuff. Like, I don't feel like they necessarily have. That's what I'm going to be curious about. And that's a long ways away. But like, right now you have to look at them and say they're a contender. I just don't necessarily think maybe a little bit more of a maybe they're like just a tier below the contenders for me of like
Starting point is 00:51:35 OKC, Denver and where they're at. But like they're knocking on the tour. It's funny how you didn't go anywhere beyond Denver because at the very least you've got to give the spurs this. The list of teams you'd pick over them to win the title is getting shorter and shorter. And I would pick both of those teams at full health.
Starting point is 00:51:53 I just talked about the nuggets with Adam Morris for quite a bit. over the spurs in my like to win the west odds. I do think it's a small sample. You don't want to overreact to it. They've got something against Oklahoma City that nobody else has. That matchup looks difficult for the Thunder in a way that looked real to me. Timing wise, the, go ahead. Just to go to the matchup, it's the guards.
Starting point is 00:52:18 It's the athleticism of the guards that they're able to kind of match the Thunder's guard's athleticism. And almost, I think in some cases, full on win those battles. Like in one of the games, there was a play where it was Isaiah Joe on Castle. And Castle just bullied him on his way to the rim. And it's just kind of eye-opening. And like, the Thunder don't have the athleticism advantage that they have in a lot of matchups with their deaths of guards because the Spurs have that as well with a lot of their guards.
Starting point is 00:52:51 Like in the way this team is built, I feel like, they're on par, if not even higher in terms of athleticism, strength even, and speed in the way when I'm watching this team. And I think that's kind of been the matchup issue for the thunder that's causing this sort of become a real problem for them. Just as a theoretical discussion only, the timing of Wembe, I think Shams described as a slight hyper extension of his knee, not expected to be serious, knock on wood, maybe you won't even miss a game. who knows, is interesting for me personally, because I've been at all these games in Toronto and there's scouts coming through from all around the NBA.
Starting point is 00:53:32 And there's, you know, everyone's exchanging trade talk and trade gossip and all of this. And, you know, Janus naturally comes up a lot. And you will find people, smart people, who will say regarding the Spurs and Wembe, you know, this school of thought that maybe, like, the time should be now.
Starting point is 00:53:54 You can't necessarily assume this guy of unprecedented size, skill, mobility is going to be healthy for 10, 12 years, whatever, 15 years, whatever it is. I don't like to engage in such pessimism. I'm just telling you that it is out there in NBA circles. And you will find a lot of those people will say, I don't really understand why the Spurs wouldn't trade Dylan Harper and a bunch of picks and veteran salary filler for Janus right now. We pick one of Castle and Harper, whoever the Spurs think is most valuable. Make that person a centerpiece, get Yonis, really go for it. Now, it's just, it, you, you will find people who say that the Spurs,
Starting point is 00:54:34 maybe even the Thunder are being too risk averse when it comes to the Yonis stuff. Now, I think the Thunder are parked over here. They won the championship. They're at the best record, whatever. I do think that's interesting because the assumption around the league is the Spurs are just, they're not going to trade any of these guys for Yannis. And I think that's probably true and will remain true. But it just is interesting that you hear in light of Wembe's sort of, I don't even think
Starting point is 00:54:58 their health concerns. It's just nobody knows what to assume about his longevity, that you hear this out there. And it's an interesting sort of thought experiment, at least worth engaging in. Yeah, I'm kind of the other way. And in a way where I don't think they need as big of a piece as Janus to be on the championship contender level. Like I think they have the advantage with the three guards. Like I'm on the train of keep this as long as possible.
Starting point is 00:55:26 To be clear, I'm on that train too. I'm generally risk-averse when it comes to trading up 10 years and age, even when you're also trading way up the NBA hierarchy of talent. And Janus is probably the third best player in the NBA. I will also, and my retort to some of these people sometimes is, you know, he's out with a calf injury now. Obviously, he just came back to the last of the fucking Wizards last night again. talk about that. But he has been injured in the playoffs several times in the last five years.
Starting point is 00:55:55 It's not as if he is a guarantee of health. I just, I don't know, it's worth just interesting to me. It's also, I think it's a tough match with him and Wembe. I think in terms of figure, listen, defensively, nobody's scoring. So I guess you win every game because you keep everybody at 30 points. Like, I get, and that's what, that's what the pro spurs be aggressive, school will default to is how are you going to score? on this team if they're both on the floor, if, if they're both on the floor, which you alluded to with the Janus injuries and stuff. But again, I just think we just, before we got to this part of the topic, we just talked about them, are they contenders? They're already very, very close.
Starting point is 00:56:36 It's not going to take much for them to really get to that stage. We're talking about them in the same breadth of OKC, Denver, or maybe just a touch below, but in the same breath as Houston, And start of the season, we're like, we think, well, I was high on them. I know you were high on them. I remember we talked about it even in Vegas. We thought they were a top six team. I didn't have them second in the west or even third in the west. Like, I still felt like they had some growing.
Starting point is 00:57:03 Like, they're right there now. I don't think you need to just make the massive, a single will do right now for them and can put them in a position. Another wing. Like, I'm just throwing out a name. I'm not, I don't think, but like a Trey Murphy, a Herb Jones. a wing, another long, lanky wing defender in that, in that image. And I think they're right on the, you're looking at it going like, damn, no, now they're
Starting point is 00:57:29 really contenders. And I think they're just, they don't mean necessarily have to go run for Janus and tear up most of their roster to get to that. Yeah, it's, it's so interesting to have these theoretical discussions with NBA people, because they will say, they will accept everything you just said is true, like they are, are close now. their retort to that, the aggressive school of thought retort to that would be the hardest and most valuable jump to make
Starting point is 00:57:55 is from in the conversation to favorites. And if you can make that jump while costing yourself only one of your three centerpiece young players, you should. And I always, just like you do, say, well, it's not just either or. There's a third path of they're for sure going to try to turn Sohan, plus a pick, plus a swap, plus maybe another salary, Olinick or something, into another viable rotation player to take some minutes from whoever deserves to play less. I don't know.
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Starting point is 00:59:19 Available in select areas, terms apply. Let's talk about the East since we talked about the Knicks. And we just talked about the Bucks losing again to the Wizards and the Janus trade stuff. I just think the East, it's just so interesting to talk to people around the East because who did you pick, who did you pick to make the finals out of the East? Did you pick New York like I did? I picked the Knicks. I think they'd be the closest thing to a consensus pick.
Starting point is 00:59:48 with apologies to the Pistons. I don't say this in a tongue-in-cheek way. I don't really think anyone, I don't hear a lot of people from other Eastern conference teams express a lot of fear of the Knicks. And I say that as someone who picked the Knicks to win the title. And I don't quite know why that is. Well, I do know why that is.
Starting point is 01:00:13 Their offense is unassailably really good. It's their defense. and it's the sort of just lack of general faith in cat to make smart decisions in high leverage moments. I actually think he's made more progress in that, particularly on the playoff stage, he's gotten credit for starting with the series Minnesota lost to Denver, I thought was sort of a landmark series for him, the last three or four games of it. But last night, I don't know if you watched that Nick Spurs game, but last night was, I think, an example of why you talk to people on all these other Eastern
Starting point is 01:00:43 conference teams of like, yeah, we're not, like, we don't view the Knicks as this juggernaut that we can't compete with because the spurs down the stretch with Wembe out, we're just like ran pick and roll at Kat and Brunson every single time down the floor. Kat sat back in a drop. I've talked about it a million times. I don't think cat in a drop is an obstacle at all
Starting point is 01:01:00 and I don't know what the answer is. There are a bunch of different answers that you've got to use. They didn't use any of them. And I don't think it matters. It's a regular season game. But the spurs lit them up down the stretch in the paint because cat in a drop is just not doing anything. Yeah. I mean, I feel like I understand
Starting point is 01:01:16 where teams are coming from in terms of like not being afraid necessarily of the Knicks. Because that's been the biggest problem for them, you know, with their defense. It's how do you build a defense centered around? And you're right. Kat has improved, but it's still not. And no Mitchell Robinson last night, which is the, and no Josh Hart. Huge deal. Huge deal.
Starting point is 01:01:36 Big, big pieces for them. But it's, you know, but it doesn't matter with even if those guys on the floor, teams in the playoffs are going to go after Brunson and Kat over and over again, and particularly Brunson. So I feel like they need to kind of figure out that answer and how are they going to deal with that? And it's in that vein where I think teams are like, okay, we can, we know their challenge, we know they're tough, but it's not like they're unstoppable. It's not like we have to play our perfect, perfect, perfect game to beat this team.
Starting point is 01:02:09 I feel like there's a lot of confidence within the East in the sense of it feeling wide open and when they look at the Knicks who I think you're right it consensus to come out it's almost by default the calves haven't been very good the the the the bucks obviously with the honest injury phillies obviously feel like there's a level of like almost default and nobody really wants to feel uh ballsy enough to say the pistons and i think it's it's in that area where when you're looking at the Knicks it's just you always feel like something's going to happen and and it's going to be a disaster for them. I don't, I don't, I believe in curses or anything like that, but you almost just feel like Halliburton's, the shot goes way up and then comes straight
Starting point is 01:02:52 down. And like, there's always some weird sort of jinks around them in, in that sense. And it's a almost somewhat of a tortured franchise to a degree. So you almost kind of are waiting for that. I know that from Knicks fans that are like, like, yeah, like, we're hyped. But at the same time, like, one's the other shoe going to drop. But building a defense, where you got to focus on Brunson and Kat as, you know, like, that's hard. You can survive with one guy, but with two, it gets really difficult because once you put both of them in the pick and roll and you're in a challenging situation. Now, even fully healthy, now OG's got to find a way to rotate, bridges has got to rotate,
Starting point is 01:03:30 Hart or Robinson are those three guys are in a scramble mode situation and it's four on three after that. And so it becomes a bit challenging for them. So they got to kind of see that area's got to lift up a little bit more for them to inspire more fear in the East where everybody's like, all right, yeah, like this is going to be a genuine problem. I mean, look, I'm still picking the Knicks to make the finals. But it's just what I hear. And, you know, let's pivot to another team that we all were high on before the season, the Cavs. I'm officially downgrading the CavsCon scale.
Starting point is 01:04:10 we're back at CavsConn three. They beat the Spurs pretty handily, and they beat the Suns pretty handily at home last night. I think the Spurs game was in San Antonio, so that's a very, very good win. And I think the biggest change, it's very simple. Darius Garland looks like Darius Garland. And it's not just that he's driving to the rim and he looks fast.
Starting point is 01:04:32 He's got his snappiness back. Like, he's an incredible change of pace, hesitation, keep the defense off balance kind of player. And he's really good at it because when he changes pace from slow to fast, he does it really, really fast when he's healthy. It's like a jolt. It's jarring. And he's got that
Starting point is 01:04:52 kind of force, that speed in tight spaces. He's got it back. Now, a skeptic would say, can we see it for a month? Can we see it for six weeks? Because we never see it for a month in six weeks. And I get that. And then Jared Allen has showed a pulse in the last two games. You combine that with
Starting point is 01:05:08 their starting Dean Wade over DeAndre Hunt, I think that's the correct starting five until Max Trues comes back. I just think having the lower usage, he's not a roving shooter like Struis or Sam Merrill, but a guy who's basically going to be a three and D guy. I think that's the correct fit. Mowgli's back. He's starting. But Garland and Allen just haven't been anything like the version.
Starting point is 01:05:29 If you told somebody who just started following the NBA this year that both of those guys have made all-star teams in the past, he'd be like, really? Is the East that bad? I know you're telling me the East is that bad. Well, they look like themselves. I do think it's that simple. And we're at CavsCon 3. And if the Cavs keep playing like this, I'll put it this way, Mo.
Starting point is 01:05:47 I had a discussion last night at Air Canada Center. Just poll question, one of these fun NBA person poll questions. Pick the four conference semi-finalists in the East right now. The four teams that win a first round playoff series in the East, who do you think it's going to be? Do you want to answer that question? Do you want me to tell you what I said? Oh, let me answer it. And then let's see where are you?
Starting point is 01:06:10 you end up because I think like it was just it was just snap take right now January 1 2026 is starting we flashed forward to the second round not who's playing who just who are the four teams right now I would just go next pistons are locks to me I'm it like part of me doesn't want to do it but I think Orlando and then I'm going to go calves well I think that's the four for me that would right now January 1st would be my snap judgment We had the same exact four teams. New York in Detroit, just, you know, Detroit, even if you're a skeptic and I'm not, they're going to have an easy first-round playoff series unless something crazy happens
Starting point is 01:06:49 with the Cavs. I think the Cavs and the Magic will get right and we'll talk about them. You know, I just, you know, it's been a rough season for the Cavs. And I don't know that they're going to be able to really alter their roster because of the second apron restrictions that they're facing. I've talked before about this idea that Garland and Alan could somehow net you Janus and you'd have to involve a third team and like how that is just gone now. And the Mobley Janus trade conversation that Bill has, I think Bill was really the first one to be on this. Not that there's been any conversation to be clear, just like the general theory of it.
Starting point is 01:07:29 I think that's interesting. But if they keep playing well, I think their default stance is going to be conservative with Mobley. But look, it looks, they're a really good team. when they're humming and they look like they're humming again and it's just to me it's just as simple as when garland is garland they're just a completely different team there i'm i'm with you on it i think first off like i listen to the pod after christmas day when you were talking with goldsbury and you kind of were we're a little bit positive about that loss against the nix i was down on it and and my view of it was more like here we go again this is they get killed on the boards it's it's the same
Starting point is 01:08:04 stuff over and over like what are they going to change but what i'll say is is what I've seen in the last few games is it helps with Garland and Allen playing much better and at their level. But I think ultimately, too, is just as an offense as a whole, the ball is flying all over the place. It's snappy. It's going all over the court. In that win against the Spurs, you know, they had a lot of cuts.
Starting point is 01:08:26 There was a lot of movement there. Mowgli gets doubled, gets the ball out. Mitchell cuts right off the lane and gets a bucket. It's all the other things that they're kind of creating. and they're getting more of that offense we saw last year where the ball was flying, cutting, and smart actions behind everything, I was beginning to see again, and I've seen in the last few games, where I'm beginning to feel better about the calves where I'm like, all right, calendar change, maybe that's going to be the upswing for them.
Starting point is 01:08:54 And now they'll start to kind of whatever the first two months of the season is out, their four guys are back to being normal and rolling. and I think we'll start to see them climb. So I'm a little bit more positive about them right now after having seen them play the last few games, whereas after Christmas Day, I was like, man, I'm done. I think the most interesting team that was not in our top four, our four conference semifinalists in theory picks,
Starting point is 01:09:23 is Boston at 20 and 12, sniffing the best point differential in the east, they're almost even with New York and Detroit, with the Tatum possibility, maybe or maybe not looming, we'll see. I think they're very interesting. We didn't talk about Philly.
Starting point is 01:09:41 You know, M.B., he tried to self-al-you the other day. I almost fell out of my chair. They finally won a game with him and PG and Maxie all together. They're solid. It's hard for me to believe. Miami has been wildly up and down.
Starting point is 01:09:55 And then Milwaukee, they lose to Washington again by one with Janus. They're 14 and 20. and all the noise continues to be that the bucks want to buy for all the reasons that we're talking about right now because they're not, if we can get one other guy around Janus,
Starting point is 01:10:14 one better player, one better number two guy. You know, we're not really scared of anybody. I just, the team plainly is not good enough. But if they, if they can hover,
Starting point is 01:10:27 if they can hover, if they can, step one is get in the plan, pass Atlanta, past Chicago, start getting up towards like eighth and start getting up towards sixth, maybe even extricate yourself from the plan, although they're what six games out in the loss column?
Starting point is 01:10:42 That's not nothing. I do think they would like to, unless Janus ever just makes it black and white for them and asks out explicitly, which he does not appear to have really done, I do expect them to try to buy. And if they continue that stance for another month, to me they're just like,
Starting point is 01:11:02 when Dallas fired Nico Harrison, I went through all the fake Anthony Davis trades, I said right away, you've got to look at teams that are desperate to win and underperforming and can bundle some expiring salary. And I said, like, I'd look at the bucks. I'd look at the clippers for Anthony Davis. And I still would for those reasons.
Starting point is 01:11:22 But to me, if the bucks continue on this stance of buy, buy, buy, they're just a lock to end up with one of these sort of distressed high leverage, high salary players. Levine, Michael Porter Jr. I mentioned A.D., I mean, Hardin, I had mentioned in the past as a theoretical fit. I think that's probably gone. But because they're just not, if you can't beat the Wizards, you're just not good enough.
Starting point is 01:11:45 Twice. You know. This is why I keep telling Bill, I do agree with him that I think, and I've always said this, is the most likely resolution of this is in the summer when teams have a little bit more flexibility to trade when Janice has a clear yes or no line of demarcation with the extension that they can put in front of him in the off season. But I'm not closing the door on an in-season trade, especially if the bucks just continue to make up no ground in the standings. Now, with Janus even back earlier than earlier than I expected, I don't know who the team is. We've gone
Starting point is 01:12:24 through all the teams a million times. But I'm not going to close the door completely. on an in-season trade. You can't. And here's the honest reason why. After last season, when Luca gets traded out of nowhere, everything's on the table. The door is always a little bit of jar. I'm just going to even whatever said in the media, I will always believe, until the trade deadline passes, there's a possibility that something comes together. Like you said, a team gets desperate, turns around, or, you know, the bucks don't move up or anything like that. But when you just look at this team with Milwaukee, like for me, what I'm worried about with them saying, we're just, we're going to be buyers now. And I think, you know, I feel like Jeremy
Starting point is 01:13:06 Grant's been added, you know, been, he never plays. When is last time Jeremy Grant played? Like, he's out again for this extended period of time. But like, it's every time like there's a name that they mention. I'm not like, okay, now you get him and that's, you're going to win the east. Like, there's not like, there hasn't been anything that's moved me to the point where like, okay, I'm going to dig myself a deeper hole, hoping that this will be, like, this is a Hail Mary play, and I feel like it's not going to work out. Like, that's where I'm kind of just pessimistic with the team in any move that they can make right now. I just don't see anything that goes, yeah, all right, now the Knicks should be worried, right?
Starting point is 01:13:48 Now the Pistons should be worried that you guys are, you got this, and now you're going to be coming, and you might be a first round matchup in the playing. Like, it's, I don't feel like the bucks are there to that point. And I feel like now they're just throwing good money after bad money in this situation. So, like, that's where I'm really kind of worried about them when we get to the trade deadline and they become, the noise of them being more of a buyer grows. I think it's bad money after bad money, after worse money at this point with Dame on their books for a thousand years. And Miles Turner also on their books for a thousand years. I just want to say I mentioned Michael Porter Jr.
Starting point is 01:14:29 And I talked about earlier this week about I sort of made the case for why I wouldn't be urgently trying to trade Michael Porter Jr. if I were the Nets. A, he's been awesome. I think he deserves to be it at least in the All-Star conversation. It's tough to make it when your team is 10 and 20, but he's been very good. And you do run into people around the league who are like,
Starting point is 01:14:49 who will poo it by then, well, someone's got to score on a bad team. I don't watch the Nets and think he's just a pure good stats, bad team guy. He's been efficient. He's playing team basketball. Yeah, he's getting them up. But this is not a case of just, you know, random guy on a bad team piling up empty numbers. Not to me. Anyway.
Starting point is 01:15:07 And he's only 27. And I don't think his next contract is going to break the bank because everybody knows the medical concerns on him. And he's a good fit with the Nets young guys. All of that said, I do think if they can sell high on him, I would predict they would. That's all I want to say about Michael Portraiture. Because I just think, you know, they got a pick for taking them in. If they can flip them for another pick at good value, I think then that's probably would do that. But that's just me.
Starting point is 01:15:32 And it's a good pick, though. It's not like 28, 20s, you know, like late first round. I think it's like a good pick that they feel confident will translate and be like at least midfirst round. Or just a pick that's far enough into the future that it has this sort of sheet. I think they got a 2032 from Denver, which is like, who the hell knows if Yokic is still, if he's a jockey by that point. Or whatever you call the guy who sits in the cart for harness racing.
Starting point is 01:16:05 The other thing I will say is I mentioned at the end of last pod, my last pot that I had a scorching heat take that I was just not mentally prepared to put out there. This was the take. I do watch the heat sometimes. Surprising things happen in the NBA all the time, though. I do watch the heat sometimes trying to figure out this BAM wear fit. I think Ware has a chance to be really good. Now he's been in the absolute perfect developmental place for him.
Starting point is 01:16:32 And is he going to continue along this path? No one is quite certain about that. It just burrowed into my head of would they ever put BAM in a package? Would they ever just do it to sort of clarify their books, clarify their rosters, sort of pivot to a younger direction. I've never thought they would because I, having written a gigantic profile of BAM, I know exactly what he is to that franchise. He is the standard bear.
Starting point is 01:16:59 He's the culture bearer. I don't think there's not one part of them that would want to do it. Other teams I know have for sure asked about BAM had been told, hell no. And the wild card that you also have to consider is, as they sniff around at Janus and other star players, all of those star players are going to want to play with BAM. So I think I have to nix my own hot take. And I do think the heat will more than sniff around the honest situation. By the way, my favorite, I also think the Warriors will sniff around the honest situation.
Starting point is 01:17:31 I don't think they have enough. I don't think they have enough to get it. But their argument would be, well, if we gave you four, three first round picks and a piece of the other pick, we owe the Wizards. So four first round picks, let's call it. We're old. Our picks may be super valuable. Take our picks plus commingo, like blah, blah, blah. I don't see it.
Starting point is 01:17:48 But my other favorite fake Janus trade that I made up, and then Bill was angry that I made it up before him, jokingly angry. And then I realized that it's not really possible, was Bancaro for Janus. So let's talk about Paolo Bancaro. There's been a lot of noise about the magic being better with Bancaro off the floor for fork and second fears.
Starting point is 01:18:12 Tom Habistro just wrote another piece on it. the Bancero Franz Wagner fit has been ultra scrutinized, including by me. The magic surging on offense when Bancero was injured and Franz was healthy this year. Three guards plus Franz being a pretty zippy, better spacing, more movement kind of model. And then Bancero comes back. Franz gets hurt almost right away. And Bancaro's kind of been feeling out these games like a guy who watched the team develop a different identity without him. and is trying to figure out
Starting point is 01:18:45 how to assert himself as a dominant score within that identity. In some games, he's been pretty deferential, even with Franz injured. Then he's been more assertive, a little bit of late. He'd a buzzer beat, a last second game winning shot
Starting point is 01:18:58 against the Pacers last night. I liked the idea of Ban Carroll for Janus because if I am going to try to get off Bancaro before the league is really onto the fact that he hasn't been that efficient, and I've been a little bit more bullish than that I'm Bancaro, mostly because of what he's done in the playoffs. But if I am going to do that, if I'm Orlando, it needs to be a deal that gets me talent
Starting point is 01:19:20 that can win right now. And if I'm Milwaukee, I have to ask myself, is there a single better young player that I can get than Paolo Bancaro at a Yonah's deal? Now, a couple of things have happened. The bucks are telling everyone we're buying, not selling. And I learned right away, Bancaro's poison pill because he just signed his extension. He's very hard to trade. But I am interested in having the discussion with you about what are you seeing with Paolo Banquero?
Starting point is 01:19:48 Where are you with the Bancaro Franz Wagner fit? And like what's what's your just take on this general situation? I think the first thing to start out, and I watched that game yesterday, and I went back and watched some of his stuff against Toronto the other night. And the one thing I say with him, it frustrates me with actually it's more scheme and coaching issue, they don't do him any favors with the situations they put in it. I find him a lot of time in ISO in that Indiana game against Pascal Seaccom and ISO. In the Toronto game, a lot of times it's ISO against Scotty Barnes.
Starting point is 01:20:27 It's not like they haven't really put in anything that creates opportunities for him to go at mismatches. And even when these guys set screens, like they're terrible screens. Like this is, you know, like Wendell Carter Jr. doesn't hold the screen long enough. It doesn't create a switch opportunity. I'm not seeing a lot of that stuff. And then I kind of dove in a little bit into the numbers kind of last year and this year. And the one thing that one shot in particular that stood out to me, he shot from 10 to 14 feet, right? Mid-range everybody, you know, we analytics guys are probably super upset that I'm even bringing it up.
Starting point is 01:21:02 But he shot 44% last year. He's shooting 30% on those this year. And I think that's like a, I mean, that's the drop, right? Like, that's where you're like the flow doesn't look right, doesn't look rhythm. I think he's in a very, he's, I think very confused about where he fits in the offense, you know, the way it looks. Because I think you're right. He saw everything that happened when he was out and wanted it to continue when he came back.
Starting point is 01:21:27 And I don't think he fully understands how and where to do that. I'm not off the Franz Paolo duo. I think that can really work. I think with Bain. I think it adds a nice element, but I just want to see it more than play off of each other and with each other more instead of just kind of like, hey, we're going to just give Palo a few isosessions. And it almost feels like grenades sometimes.
Starting point is 01:21:54 It's like he gets it against these top, you know, the prime defender and it's like seven seconds left on the shot clock. Like now you're at a disadvantage as the offensive player right off the bat. Like I feel like there's still room for him. his three-point shooting is not something I'm ever really going to buy. I mean, it's really, the percentage is terrible right now. But I think, like, it's where we're at with him. I think we need a little bit more patience.
Starting point is 01:22:20 But I want to see a little bit more work within the offense, an offensive system put in that will actually help him, you know, and create more mismatches for him. Because I don't think they do him any favors when it gets to that. Yeah, I saw his recent comments. I think it was in the athletic about how he, He has seen the narrative, everybody's favorite word narrative, about how he and Franz can't fit and how he thinks it's BS and this and that.
Starting point is 01:22:47 And I know people with the magic are sensitive to this idea and sort of defensive of Palo. And my reaction in conversations with people around the league has been to Palo's comments, etc. has been like, look, man, I'm sorry. The numbers are what they are. And a couple of things are true. true thing number one is you take too many jump shots and you don't make enough of them to justify how many you take. I don't know what the solution to that is because make more, make more threes does not necessarily appear to be in the cards.
Starting point is 01:23:21 I think he is underperforming on mid-range shots and that's always going to be part of his game and that's okay because he can draw help into the post and facilitate from there. He's taking fewer threes this year by a lot and not making them. And it just feels like that is stalled out at this point. And thing number two that's true is the magic indisputably discovered something with Anthony Black, who is breaking out as a two-way player, plus Desmond Bain, plus Jalen Suggs, three guards, and Franz. They leaned on that hard when Palo got hurt, and the offense just looked fast. The floor looked open. Decisions were being made faster because Franz, although he's also not a great three-point shooter.
Starting point is 01:24:03 He's a little better than Palo, more willing to take them than Palo. And a quicker decision maker and ball mover than Palo is. And how does Palo fit into that? Well, we don't really know because as soon as he came back, Franz got hurt. And the one thing I will grant, the one thing I will grant the Palo defenders. And I'm in between is Palo has barely gotten to share the floor this season with Suggs in particular. And those three guards plus Palo in very limited minutes, so no Franz, has been really, really good for the Magic 2.
Starting point is 01:24:40 They're starting lineup with Suggs, Palo, Franz, Wendell Carter Jr. and Bain has been lights out. And so I'm withholding all judgment on like, this can't work or this doesn't work very well until I see all the best players together. And particularly Suggs, Bencaro, Wagner. Now, I too wish there was a world in which you could play Palo at center, and so you can play those three guards plus Franz plus Palo. I think you could dabble in that, but defensively, I just don't, not sure that that holds up. But I do think that's an interesting card I would play if I were Jamal Mosley.
Starting point is 01:25:22 But, you know, when they all play together again, I don't really know what the best solution is because Palo is a spacer 10% more of the time is not really going to be functional. Palo as taking as many jump shots he's taking now is not really working. I guess to your point, the solution has got to be everybody plays within this sort of fast-moving,
Starting point is 01:25:44 quick-hitting, point-five system, and you find eight seconds into the possession where to leverage Palo's size, speed, screening ability, more ball screens, all that. Because he is, like, you'll find analytics-focused front office, people who will just be like, oh, Palo is just not good. And I'll be like,
Starting point is 01:26:05 with respect, he's clearly very good at basketball. Like, you don't score 25 points a game in the playoffs against elite defenses and draw double teams if you're like not good. He's clearly good. And I do think there's a world in which this can work, but they've got to find it soon
Starting point is 01:26:24 because I think this team could make a run. I think this team could make the finals if they figured everything out. And black, Black sweep has been one of the big under-discussed stories in the league in the last three weeks. Yeah, I mean, there's some stuff. I forget if it was Indiana or Toronto the game. But Black had a little like giving go action with Palo that led to a really athletic dunk,
Starting point is 01:26:48 like just from when he took off. But there's a lot of stuff there. This team has a lot of the talent like that we look at. And we go like, this team can compete in the playoffs. They've been through the playoffs to past few years. have gone to game sevens, have gone through it. Like, they're ready to take that leap. It's just they got to find that system, Zach.
Starting point is 01:27:08 It's, this is a team to me that screams more than anything else. Like, this needs to be a system team. And everybody needs to buy into the system. We need to see everybody needs to be moving more, cutting, more screening, and, and, and playing into that stuff. And I just want to see that stuff come together because they have the offensive talent and IQ with a lot of these guys that I think you'll be able to get some great stuff out of it.
Starting point is 01:27:30 but you got to get something in place because right now it just feels i feel like it's really unfair to palo when they just give him something in a stagnant set and then he's got and then it's again it's pascal it's scotty barnes it's you know when they play the nix it'll be ogy and an obi it'll be like he's got to go up against these top level defenders which sure he might win those matchups sometimes but he's going to lose those also and that's something the defense will take and i think that's a some where i want to see them find more opportunities for him in movement in flow in a system. I'm just going to keep screaming system at the magic.
Starting point is 01:28:06 It's, then you see something. And if you're throwing the on-off numbers in Palo's face, you should acknowledge that, you know, the Suggs variable and the best players not playing together variable very often. And this year, their offense is actually a tick better with Palo on the floor. It's the defense that has taken a step, a step back with him on the floor has been better with him off the floor.
Starting point is 01:28:27 And I'm not sure there's enough information to include, like, that's because of his limitation. He actually is a pretty good defensive player. They've had a weird up and down defensive system, but I trust them at the end of the floor. All this to say, I do think there is an issue here. Part of it is Franz and Palo are similar size, so any two-man action between them,
Starting point is 01:28:49 teams will try to switch. It's your job as an offense to make that switch more difficult to make by moving fast, slipping screens being unpredictable. And although Franz is shooting 36% from three this year, which is good, he's not going to be treated like a three-point shooter at Norris Palo. And so that's just, you know, you got to get creative. But he's shown me too much in the playoffs for me to be that concerned about it.
Starting point is 01:29:11 I just want to see the best players together. You mentioned Wendell Carter Jr., who is fine. Like, he's a perfectly serviceable center. You know, I mentioned them as like a, not like theoretically, could they make a play for Anthony Davis kind of team when Nico Harrison got fired and just concluded. It's just to make the money work is too difficult unless you include Sugs and you don't want to include Sugs because Suggs is really good and really valuable when available. It did make me think again. Someone suggested that that deal to me the other day.
Starting point is 01:29:43 And it made me, you know, AD has been all over the news. He's coming back, I think, tonight for the Mavs from his latest injury, his latest groin injury earlier than I thought he would, which is great. I don't know, man. Again, I'd keep an eye on the bucks and the clippers just for the desperation factor. The Hawks have been mentioned. I don't think the Hawks are trading are putting Risa Shea in an Anthony Davis deal. I talked already about the Hawks earlier this week. I made my Mayaclopa on the Hawks.
Starting point is 01:30:15 I don't really see what the point of them trading for Anthony Davis is. If they're giving up a real piece of their future like that, I'm not like to what end. I don't get it. I think the Warriors have been linked to them. I think there's, I think there'd be some tepid interest there. But again, getting to the money requires Draymond or Butler.
Starting point is 01:30:35 And I'm not sure that that's something that they're really game for. And they've won five out of six, by the way. That Toronto loss that I was at was super dispiriting. But they've been winning, they've been winning enough games to stay afloat. It's the most miserable five out of six, though,
Starting point is 01:30:48 in the way it feels, right? Like, it does like, I was, that's true. It's, it's,
Starting point is 01:30:54 it's, it's, it's, it's, it, it's, it, it's, it, it's, it, Because like you said, when you look at it, like, yeah, damn, they've won five out of six. But it feels like they've lost five out of six in the way everything you see in the vibe with that team. They're frustrating in that sense of just trying to kind of pinpoint where they're at.
Starting point is 01:31:11 And then we'll just see what these other teams in Anthony Davis. I don't know. I said it. It was obvious at the time. I said it again. When you go got fired, just get ready. The delta between what you gave up for Anthony Davis. and what you're going to get back for him in a trade
Starting point is 01:31:27 is going to shatter the world record for the biggest trade delta gap in the history of the NBA and maybe professional sports. It's not going to be great for the matches. I don't really know what they should. I don't feel passionately one way or they're like what they should do. They're sort of similar to the jazz
Starting point is 01:31:43 and how aggressively do they want to go for a high pick. And then, you know, do you have a Trey Young team, Mo? Can you solve the Trey Young riddle for me? Zach, I've tried for years. Like, I haven't felt like there's a place for him. Before the Luca trade, I thought maybe the Lakers. Like, that was an area where I thought there'd be. I haven't found a team where, like, you're a Trey Young away and you take a level up.
Starting point is 01:32:14 Like, that's one of the hardest things in terms of watching his game. And it's frustrating to kind of watch because, like, you mentioned it when you talked. about it, I think last spot, it's, you know, like really the most outstanding skills to passing. You know, when you look at the numbers, just immediate, he's a little bit of a mediocre shooter. He's not, um, the offense has to be tilted and played his way. And it's not even good enough in that sense. And I think that's kind of the challenge. I don't know if there's a Tray Young team that makes sense where you just go like, cool, I see it. They get lifted up. This team's going to be rolling.
Starting point is 01:32:53 You know, that now they have their guy. We're going to see the path forward. I would be frustrated for him in that sense because, like, I just don't know where it is. And it's a riddle that's gone beyond this year. It's been the past few years. I've never felt like there was a place that made sense. People talked San Antonio a while back. I didn't like that match with him and Wendy.
Starting point is 01:33:16 I think that was real-ish. I think before the Fox thing fell into their lap, they talked, they had some, talks internal talks at the very least about it. Yeah, and then like Orlando was a place that I think was talked about for a while. Like I don't know where he fits and in what system you can kind of plug him in and just feel like, okay, we're going to get lifted up and get moving. I think the Trey Young conundrum is a tough one there. Yeah, Bill, we've talked about the desperation teams like Clippers, but I mean, Hardin has been,
Starting point is 01:33:49 is their point guard. I don't see it at the point of a swap between those two. And I think the clippers are going to, I do think the clippers are going to, now that they've righted the ship in one five in a row, they're going to chase the play in. They're going to try, like, let's get back into the play in. Milwaukee, I've mentioned, I mean, Sack is the wild card. If I were the Grizzlies, like Jaws had a couple of good games in a row, I would be calling the, I'd be calling the Vec.
Starting point is 01:34:12 I'm skipping Scott Perry. I'm going right to Vecke. Hey, have you seen John electric, right? Absolutely electric. I think now might be the time for you. I mean, we love him, but now it might be the time. time for you guys to try. By the way,
Starting point is 01:34:26 Jaron Jackson Jr., I'm just monitoring that situation. That's all I'll say. Utah was mentioned for Trey at points, but Kante George has become so. I don't know. We'll see. I will cede the floor to you on this. You wanted to talk about the Lakers,
Starting point is 01:34:39 and you wanted to talk about their offense because all the focus has been on how bad they've been defensively, how bad their numbers are with LeBron and Luke on the floor defensively, but you want to hit their offense. Go. Yeah, so like when we focused on their defense, the funny part about it to me was I just kind of looked at everybody going like, we knew this. Going into the season, we knew this was going to be a bad defensive team.
Starting point is 01:35:04 I didn't, to me, there was no viable way in which they can defend. It was their offense has to outscore you. They're going to win games based on their offense being great. And that's really kind of how it started in November, right? When you look at this, look at the splits from November to December, offensive rating was fifth. They were rolling. It looked good. They had, listen, I know LeBron wasn't playing for a lot of it and, you know, Reeves was cooking, all that stuff. But the thing that looks different, because when you go from November to December, the offensive rating goes from
Starting point is 01:35:37 fifth at around like 120 to 114 and that's about 18th for the month of December. The offense just stopped moving, right? Like when they were playing in November, there was a system. There was, Luca was working. off ball and going on on the ball and then you know getting off early and then there was opportunities for reefs to find stuff they had loravia set in the back screen and then slipping and then there was all these things and everybody was moved and then when lebron came back he kind of took some of the stuff that loravia was doing and was doing the same thing setting that that pin down and slipping and getting dunked all of those things they had a three-man action going at the elbows and all that stuff
Starting point is 01:36:15 all that's been gone in december and part of it for me is i feel like if you can get your offense back on track, you can at least create a little more motivation defensively. Right? Like, I feel like the defense will get, and again, it will always, they will always be a bad defense to me with the way this team is set up. But like, their defensive effort will improve if you can get their offense on track. And when you go back and watch it, they're playing slower. I think their pace went from like 100 something to 98, November to December.
Starting point is 01:36:49 Just looking at those splits, like it's staggering. me like the offense has been we're highlighting the defense but the offense is a massive problem and that it's become very stagnant again very slow and that's not the way this team needs to play when they were rolling early in the season they had a lot of movement in that stuff they had a lot of stuff in there where i was going like j jay's coaching his ass off with this offense and now it's back to just bring the ball up slowly let's run some pick and roll and and hope we get a match up and hope either Luca LeBron bails us out. It's that that's the disaster for me because that I expected to be better.
Starting point is 01:37:26 And it's been a bit frustrated. And Reeves has been hurt and Ruiz missed some games and those are two plus offensive players for what their roles are, Reeves especially. But yeah, look, I mean, the Lakers are 20 and 11 with a negative point differential. I don't remember the last time I've seen a team this far into the season that far over 500 with a negative point differential. They just look not good enough right now to compete with these other teams in the West.
Starting point is 01:37:54 And I don't know what the remedy for that really is. People are going to throw fake Austin Reeves trades into the trade machine until February 5th. My bet would be the Lakers keep him. Here's my Austin Reeves bet. They keep him, they re-sign him over the summer. I'll even be more specific than that. I bet he takes slightly less than the max
Starting point is 01:38:15 to stay in L.A. Even though I think you could get the max other places. This is just my sort of six months out prediction for how this could resolve itself. And then I think you make a decision once that contract is signed,
Starting point is 01:38:32 once you see what this team looks like with Luca plus Reeves plus whoever and you've got potential cap flexibility in a summer or two. By the way, the clippers are also aiming for that same timetable as everybody knows. By way, everyone's like, the Clippers can't take on this money in 27 because they want to, if they, if they were to package like the Collins, Bogdanovich
Starting point is 01:38:53 for this sort of desperation swing at AD or whoever this theoretical player is, why can't they? They have nothing on the books. They have like Zubots on the books in 2027 and that's it. They can take somebody on if they want to. But anyway, then you make a decision for the Lakers. Does Reeves plus Luca plus whatever else is here, is that the path in the Lukia, or do we then look to flip Reeves when he has a bigger salary and can not us more stuff. I think ultimately that's the sort of timetable that I'm on. And I will see where LeBron is. But yeah, they just don't look good enough, man.
Starting point is 01:39:24 I don't know what else to tell you about it. And it would be a mistake, I think, the trade Reeves right now. I think your path is the route to take. I think it's, you know, he's not going to bring back something that's, again, going to put you on the level of even the rocket spurs. tier. Like they're they're they're they're pretty far behind in that sense. I don't know what you do. I think just build upon them with this. This was always kind of a gap year for me with the Lakers, right? In terms of they didn't do much in the off season. They got DeAndre and I have to do a little bit of a mea copa there because
Starting point is 01:40:01 I was very deferential to you about like yeah like I'm not a Dayton guy. I don't think he's he's he drives me insane as a player. This is mainly my friends yelling at me in my group chat. after listening to me talk about it with you of like he just has to be okay i don't think he's good enough i don't think he's good enough as a roller i don't think he's good enough as a rebounder all that stuff we're seeing it now i they didn't do anything this offseason really to the point where it made me go like okay this is a gap here for them figure it out new ownership coming in let's they're going to kind of do their their own calculus and change things up i i'm not surprised but they got to keep briefs at the end of the day they got to keep reeves to
Starting point is 01:40:43 to at least have that trade ship in the future. Because even now, looking forward in the future, they don't have one. They don't have a piece. They don't have a move to make at that point. They were not going to trade Luca in the future. LeBron's 41, no trade clause. We don't even know if he's going to be back next year. Like they need at least keep him, extend him, or re-sign him, big number, all that stuff,
Starting point is 01:41:08 so that they have a move to make down the road. Mo, can you surf? Do you know how to surf? I'm taking a surfing lesson this week. That's going to be my journey into surfing. One of the all-time great random characters, the Paul Rudd's surf instructor from forgetting Sarah Marshall, who just makes no sense. Do less. Nope, nope, do less. Well, see, you did something there. No, well, you have to do something. I don't know how you write that scene. Anyway, Moe to Kill, promote, tell us where we can find all your stuff. First, check out. out the podcast with me and Jared Dubin, the Double Dribble podcast. Then this Saturday I will be on NBA TV, a bunch of half times.
Starting point is 01:41:49 They have a bunch of games. We're going to be doing halftime and post game shows. It's going to be me, Alexis Morgan and Zach Harper. We'll take you through all that's fun stuff and enjoy that stuff. And make sure you're checking out offside. We're going to have the app up soon. That's where I'm putting a bunch of videos. I just dropped the power rankings yesterday.
Starting point is 01:42:08 And that's where I drop a little. some more fun stuff in terms of what I think is going on in the NBA. Mo DeKeele, thank you for your time. Happy 2026, my friend. Same to you. All right, that's it for this week on the Zach Lowe show. We're going to be back Monday. Thank you to Adam Morris and Moe DeKeele for their time and for their insight coming on. Thank you to Mike, Billy, and Jonathan on production.
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