The Zach Lowe Show - Kawhi’s Return, LeBron Fitting In, and Risers and Fallers With Howard Beck. Plus, a Look at Chris Paul’s Career With Bill Simmons.
Episode Date: November 24, 2025What up, Beck (1:34)?! Howard joins Zach to see how the teams in Los Angeles are doing now that Kawhi has returned and LeBron has two games under his belt (14:06). Next, to Florida to look at two ri...sing teams: the Magic (30:59) and Heat. And then a look at two falling teams: the Warriors (51:30) and Wizards. Finally, Bill Simmons joins the show to talk about the career of Chris Paul (1:13:45): best years, worst moments, and his place in history. Plus, don’t miss Zach’s thoughts on parades and stories about high school chaperoning! Host: Zach Lowe Guests: Howard Beck and Bill Simmons Producers: Mike Wargon, Jesse Aron, Jonathan Frias, and Billy Gil Social: Keith Fujimoto The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available Shopping. Streaming. Celebrating. It’s on Prime. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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All right, coming up on a Monday edition of the Zach Lowe show, a busy NBA weekend is in the books.
We got Howard Beck to talk about Kauai's return.
LeBron's second game back with the Lakers.
They're not going to be able to play the jazz every single night.
teams who are rising and falling in the NBA
over the last week, weekend, week or so, whatever.
We talk about a lot of teams, Miami, Orlando, Washington, the Warriors.
Who is it time to worry about the Warriors?
Lots to talk about in the NBA.
Talk about the MVP race.
These four guys at the top.
Oh, my God.
It's not really an MVP race.
It's just we're just admiring the top four guys and how insane they all are.
And then the podfather himself, the basketball historian,
comes on to talk about the point god.
Chris Paul is retiring.
What is this place in history?
What do we remember about him?
That's right.
Bill Simmons is here.
All coming up on the Zach Lowe show.
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Welcome to the Zach Lowe show.
It's Monday morning and it's time to say those three words.
What up, Beck?
What's happening, Zach?
How are you, my friend?
Lots of stuff is happening.
The match traded Brandon Nimmo.
I'm going to have to do an emergency Mets Corner episode later this week.
I can't believe it.
I can believe it.
Don't even know who that is.
Yeah, he's a baseball player.
He's a lifer.
He's a lifer.
I actually had a dream last night about Pete Alonzo signing with another team and how sad I was.
This is what's happened to my brain.
A couple of things, a lot of things are happening in the NBA.
We're going to fly through the big storylines looking forward, backward, every direction.
Storyline number one, Kauai Leonard returned for the Los Angeles Clippers, and the
Los Angeles Clippers did what they have done in most of their games.
this season, albeit on a back-to-back,
lose by a lot of points
to the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Kauai, 20 points on 6th of 13.
Looked pretty good.
Defended Darius Garland, made some vintage
Kauai shots, had to leave the game
twice. I think once he had to go to the bathroom
and then there was a little injury scare
in there. I'm just waiting
constantly. My only thought
going through my head watching the Clippers is like, when is the
next injury going to happen?
You know, look,
it's nice to have Kauai back. They haven't
gotten much of a rhythm this year. They are minus 25 for the season with Kauai and Hardin on the floor
together. This was of course coming off Hardin scoring 55 against the Hornets and one of the best
games of his career. A win for the Clippers. Clippers are five and 12 Howard, 12th in the West.
They are in my group, the quintet of disasters in the Western Conference of teams ostensibly
designed to try to win right now and who are not winning and not winning in a huge.
huge catastrophically bad ways.
I don't know, man.
What did you see?
It's, uh, they can't tank.
They don't have their picks.
Can't control their picks.
Oklahoma City's got the picks.
Kauai Leonard, can you even,
under investigation?
If you even start making fake Kauai trade,
you have to remember that.
I don't know, man.
It's not going great.
Nice to have Kauai back, though.
Ain't great.
It ain't great.
This is going to probably end up being one of my worst misreads of the season.
You know,
they won 50 games last season.
with Kauai out for a massive chunk of it.
And I thought, well, you know, they're mostly rolling it back.
One minor defection, which we can talk about.
But I thought, you know, Tailu coach team, James Hardin playing like an All-Star last season.
Kauai actually, you know, could play some semis of the season this year because he started off the year.
Actually, he was healthy at the beginning, right?
Then he went out.
It seemed to me, and they had like, I don't say they had a good offseason.
They had an interesting off season.
And I thought they had, while old depth, they had depth.
I thought they'd be good enough to be 50 plus again.
And right now it's looking very bad.
And I think the more I look at this, Zach, and I think it goes to something you said, right,
of the teams that you mentioned that were designed to win now but are losing.
And I start to wonder, were they actually designed to win now?
And yes, they are on some level, right?
You don't grab all those veterans, the Bradley Beals and the Chris Ponce.
balls and even John Collins is without having an intent to win. But they did swap out Norm Powell,
who was doing amazing things in Miami for salary cap reasons, primarily, long term reasons,
but it absolutely has set them back in the short term. And the more I look at what's going on
with them, the more I have to think, if you wanted to win now, that was a mistake. I understand why
they are, look, everything is set up. Zubotch is the only one on the books for 27, 28. They
wanted to set up cap room for 27, blah, blah, blah. I get it.
But the more I look at this and, you know, I think a lack of flow, lack of shot creation,
especially when Hardin is not on the floor and how critical Norm Powell was to them to get through the huge part of the season last year without Kauai Leonard.
I like I said, I understood the big picture version of this, why you did the move.
I'm starting to think that that was not the smartest move, especially because, by the way, if Zubach is the only one in the books in 27 and it was Zubach and Powell, you could always.
move, Powell. So I don't know. This is an incomplete team. I'm not letting them off the hook
like this. Although I will say it has at times started to take on the feel of a transitional
season for them. Yeah. They fed the young guys more minutes, but really the only young guy who's
consistently gotten those minutes is Kobe Sanders, who looks very good for a second round pick and
is starting now, or has started games for them. It will not be starting anymore. And I have said many
times. I don't think the clippers entered this season thinking we're in the inner circle of
championship contenders because we got Bradley Beale and John Collins. I do think they thought we can
win 50 games again. We can be the puncher's chance team of like someone turns an ankle, the
matchups turn right, we took Denver to seven. Like I don't think they entered this year thinking
it would be anything like this. And the best evidence for that is people wondering around
the league, like what does that mean for this front office? If this team just stinks, what
does it mean for Lawrence Frank and his crew in the front office, are they even safe? And if they
didn't, if they even heard a whiff of that, they wouldn't view this season as just a purely
transitional season. There's no question. I think they underestimated how good Norm Powell was. I did
too. I thought, I, not that. I thought the Beal Collins combo was a worthy shot at kind of
changing up their team and giving it a jolt of something they didn't have. And it's completely
blown up in their faces. Chris Paul is very old. He's retiring. I will talk about Chris Paul with
Bill later. Brooke Lopez aged 10 years over the summer somehow and has been a complete disaster.
Last night against Cleveland in the first half, they were like, we don't even think we can put
him on Evan Mowgli. We're going to try and put him on Nikwan Tomlin. And he couldn't always find
Tomlin and it's ended up stuck on DeAndre Hunter. DeAndre Hunter torched him. Their defense has
been a complete train wreck the entire season. They are 25th in points allowed possession.
their perimeter defense stands Kauai and the young guys is totally unwatchable.
Hardin is a turnstile.
Beal was a turnstile.
You can forgive Hardin in part that he's having an absolutely sensational season.
28 a game, efficient shooting.
Most points he's averaged in like six years or something like that.
I'm a little worried about the burden he's carrying,
but someone's got to carry it because they can't score without him on the floor,
especially when Kauai's been out.
They are such a bad transition defense team that it's completely embarrassing.
and I think Jeff Van Gundy might throw a chair onto the floor at some point during one of these games.
And their offense is 27th in turnovers.
And so like their offense is certain in their defense because if they commit a live ball turnover, it's over.
Like they're not getting back.
It's going to be a dunker or three on the other end.
They're old.
They're slow.
Kauai will help.
And the best thing they have going for them is inertia of the Western Conference.
So they're five and 12.
Teams nine and ten in the play in right now are Portland at seven and ten.
And the Grizzlies somehow have soared into the play.
playing on the backs of a two-game winning streak.
They won two dysfunction bowls over the weekend.
They beat the Mavericks and the Kings.
Golf clap for the Grizzlies being number one on the pile of catastrophes,
my quintent of hell in the Western Conference.
And the jazz are above them at 5 and 11.
And I think the Clippers can reasonably hope,
we can't possibly be this bad.
And we can pass those teams and we can get into the playing.
And we can be like a 37 and 45 team and sell that.
It's like, hey, we're not.
so bad. Maybe we can win a game in the play. And oh my God. Disaster season unfolding.
Yeah. They remain a candidate for a crazy, just shot in the dark trade. They remain one of my
sort of favorite sneaky Anthony Davis trades. And by the way, do I believe Mark Cuban when he says
we're not trading Anthony Davis? It means nothing to me. I expect the Mavericks to trade Anthony Davis.
Kauai looked okay though. I mean, I don't know what I'll say. Kauai looked fine. It looked really
good. Great.
Kawhi looked fine.
And I do, look, I think they're going to be better this.
And I did the exact same exercise you did, which is the, is there a space saving version
of this where if Kauai plays enough and they win enough games and there's so many teams
tanking in the West that they should pass, right?
Like right now, they'd be delivering the eighth best lottery odds to the Thunder.
And that pick, like, if it weren't for that, you'd say, well, whatever, all right, fine,
transitional season, they tank.
And you shouldn't ever like, you know,
do anything just to save face.
But there's a face savings.
This is the Sean Marks Brooklyn Nets sunk cost theory.
That is interesting because when you talk to people around the league about fake
hard-in trades and fake Kauai trades and it's just extremely hard given their styles,
their ages, their salaries, like, I don't think there's really anything there.
You hear this.
Well, they can't trade those guys because they don't control their pick.
And you do want to say, well, they don't control their pick either way.
And so if you can get back assets, maybe you should just get back assets.
But Steve Ballmer has never shown any.
It's not just that they don't control the pickets.
They have an owner who's wildly competitive and sits there on the sidelines like a freaking piston and a car engine going for every basket they score.
So yeah.
What was the little toy back in our childhoods where you had the little pole under like the clown thing and it just would just like do the arm things?
Dude, I don't know.
That's Steve bomber.
You're talking like that's like a similar warrior.
I'm really fucking old.
That it is.
Listen,
Hardin,
not for nothing,
career high efficiency right now
and shooting a career best from three.
And not for nothing.
You mentioned trade possibilities.
This is the longest he's been with one team
since he forces way out of Houston all those years ago.
So three consecutive seasons with one team.
Congratulations, James Hardin.
I do think there's a version of this
where they at least crack the plane.
And if you're in the plane,
you make the playoffs.
And if you make the playoffs,
you're not a lottery team
because the lottery is based on playoffs or not playoffs,
not based on record.
So even if you get in with the crap record,
there's a face-saving version of this anywhere.
But yeah, there's not a lot of good things to look at here.
And somewhere lurking in the background is the aspiration deal,
which I had checked in with somebody a couple weeks ago,
I don't know, a half dozen losses ago,
who basically said, like, the vibes are really bad,
the chemistry is off.
And the quote was not a serene place at the moment.
And this is two weeks ago and that the aspiration stuff was kind of hanging over.
And I said, well, how is that?
To me, that feels like something that hangs over the front office, that there was not leak into or leach into the locker room and the players because what does it have to do with them aside from Kauai himself?
And nothing's going to happen to him.
Nevertheless, this person asserted that, yeah, it is it is kind of leaching into everything for whatever that's worth.
Should also mention, well, I mean, how could it not?
How could it not?
Yeah.
I don't want to talk about that.
anymore right today.
There's just noting.
It should be a nice topic of conversation for the All-Star game this year.
That'll be fun.
I'm sure Adam is really looking forward to that state of the game press conference he
does on the Saturday night every game.
Every Adam Silver press conference is now just explaining away a scandal.
Seems like a great job.
He is well compensated.
Should also mention Derek Jones Jr. is injured.
That's a big deal.
Bogdan Bogdanovich has been in and out of the lineup.
They have inched toward, before the Beal season ending injury, I said on this podcast,
I just don't think you can play Hardin and Beal together, even when Kauai is healthy.
The defense has been so bad.
And I suggested a starting lineup of Dun, Hardin, Collins, Kauai, and Zubots when they all got healthy.
And that is indeed who they are starting now.
The Collins Zoo fit is a little clunky, but they're plus 10 in 275 minutes together,
solid defensively.
And really at this point, like whatever, however you can plug the dam.
on defense is
what you need to
emphasize. It's a little clunky
on offense, but maybe with time,
they'll gain some chemistry. Zoo looks unbelievable.
Just bulldozing people.
30th, by the way, there are 30 teams in the NBA.
The Clippers are 30th in points per possession
allowed on transition chances.
Yay, Clippers.
The T-shirts, the F-U-C-K T-shirts
did not work.
I forgot about those already.
Did not work.
For people who don't.
know what I'm talking about. You can look it up.
Okay. Storyline number two,
the Lakers are 2 and O with LeBron James in the lineup.
They have beaten the Jazz both times.
Haza. LeBron 17, 8, and 6 in a almost fall from ahead loss last night.
Was notably minus 14 in the game, and this will be something to monitor throughout the season.
I don't read anything into that yet.
I don't really read much into the fact that the Lakers were better with him off the floor last year.
I think LeBron was great last year.
but it is worth monitoring, particularly how they do in the Reeves plus LeBron, no Luca minutes.
I think, look, they almost blew that game last night against Utah.
They were clowning around.
Like, they were trying to throw these touchdown passes all the time.
Luca was winding up and almost throwing touchdown passes all the time.
They were just having a little fun playing with their food.
It almost cost them.
To me, I don't want to spend too much time on this because I talked about LeBron's debut.
I just think offensively, they have to be absolutely thrilled with how he has fit in so far.
They're running a lot of all the right actions, like all the two-man actions between Reeves and LeBron, Reeves and Luca, LeBron and Luca,
trying to search out mismatches both ways.
They were targeting Keontte George over and over and over again with LeBron and the Post and Luca in the Post and getting all sorts of good stuff out of it.
defensively, I'm just continuing to watch this lineup with Rui,
Luca, and LeBron three essentially power forward-ish players defensively
and no good point of attack defense and wondering like how is this going to work?
Maybe it works so well on offense.
It's a really good shooting lineup and Aiton has been really good.
He had a knee contusion last night.
That's worth watching.
I don't know, this team, this team is pretty goddamn good, Howard.
they're 12 and 4.
They're playing a little over their heads.
How do I know that?
They're 15th in offense and 14th in defense.
So they're average-ish,
but they're 6-0 in clutch games so far,
which is a very Lakers thing to do.
And I'm just fascinated.
I want to watch every game with these three guys playing.
I want to see how they fit, how it works.
Because I do think the outlines of a very powerful offensive team
are already here.
Like they were getting whatever they wanted last night against you.
They were 10 of 38 on threes.
It felt like all 38.
to them were good looks.
And these three guys together could be really potent.
Defensively, I just, you know, TBD.
Yeah, and it's hard to read them right now, too,
because, like, LeBron just came back
and the two games you've played are against a tanking team, the Jazz.
They had the period where it was just Austin Reeves
because Luca was out.
You've had Austin Reeves and Luca together.
We haven't seen all three of them extensively since last season.
And, you know, I do think,
I yeah it's exactly what you said they're fascinating they're and they're fun to watch like good
bad or otherwise they're going to be fun to watch because of those three guys uh it feels to me like
you mentioned the clutch stat like they were like their record seems way out ahead of where i thought
they should be based on actual performance um checked cleaning the glass and their their expected
wins are actually at like nine and a half instead of 12 they're actually on like a 49 win pace
according to their point differential.
But they're on a 61 win pace
according to their actual record right now.
So somewhere in between that is the true.
If that settles into a 53 win pace,
still great.
That's a hard over on them.
And that is a massive success story.
Yeah.
Right.
They're probably not a 60 win team, right?
But if they're 50 plus,
they're not probably not a 60 win team.
They're a 1,000% not a 60 win team.
But they're a very good team.
And I,
just think they're leaning like lebron was sort of um offended almost at this idea that you know he said
after his first game like well i can fit in any system i don't understand why there was any question
about that and you want to say well i mean i i understand um your agent released a statement
basically saying i'm very cranky and i don't like the way this is going here with luka and
everything and like maybe that's why people were curious about how you would fit in he has fit in
tremendously well. He's not bringing the ball up much. He's not forcing it on the pick and roll.
Luca, it's Lucas team so far. And then it's Reeves' team. He's kind of like the third ball handling
option who's playing exactly as you would hope. Yes. In almost 41 gigantic freight train
of a point power forward would play, which is cut, hunt mismatches, bring the ball up occasionally,
run the show. He had one late possession last night after Luca had a bad possession where he was
like, give me a shot. I'm going to, I'm going to see what I can do.
bully guys get switches.
My favorite play last night was he took a screen from Aiton off the ball, like around the three-point
arc.
He sprinted around the screen from Aiden.
And Austin Reeves had the ball on the left wing.
And it looked just like a textbook screen the screener play.
So Ait was going to screen for LeBron.
LeBron was going to sprint into a ball screen for Reeves, hunt a mismatch.
And LeBron, full speed, aborted the second screen for Reeves and just cut to the rim.
And Reeves hit him with a pass.
And he missed a layup.
but it's like that's what I want.
I think this is my opinion on the Lakers has not changed.
I was the only one of me,
House and Simmons,
that took the over on them.
I think they're very good.
I just don't think that they are good enough
to win three playoff series in the West
because of their age and their defense.
However, Mr. Beck,
a big piece of news over the weekend
relevant to this very discussion
was Aaron Gordon messing up his hamstring again
and being out four to six weeks.
This is now kind of an,
officially recurring thing for him. He played that game seven heroically on one leg against the thunder
last year and played sensationally. Christian Brown is out for a little bit and the door has creaked
open for a scenario where is there all of these teams in the West are hoping? Is there any
scenario? Forget the Thunder. They're first. They just never lose basketball games. They never play
close games. It's just like they're over here blowing the shit out of everybody. Is there a scenario where
Denver can fall to four.
And those two teams, assuming Denver gets out of the first round, which I would definitely
pick them to do, play each other in the semifinals instead of the West finals.
And we just have the bracket just breaks right.
Maybe, I mean, I still think Denver is like easily the second best team in the West.
Maybe not easily.
The Rockets are right there with them.
That was a great game on Friday, by the way, super fun game, Rockets Nuggets.
But the Aaron Gordon thing is, it's a huge deal.
They're now down two starters.
You know, we'll see who they start.
They could start Murray Hardaway, Watson, Joker, and who else?
Cam Johnson.
They could start, they started Zeke Naji one game recently.
You know, I'm just, I'm watching it.
Spencer Jones has been pretty good.
And Peyton Watson just, uh-oh, 39% on threes all of a sudden and taking them
with confidence and Yokic is feeding him and every pass Yokic makes to him, you could almost see him
being like, just shoot, man. These are long-term shots. This is for the greater good long-term.
You got to take them. If you don't make them, take the next one. I don't know.
Aaron Gordon is one of my very favorite players in the NBA. And I'm just knock on wood,
take it slow, get healthy, get healthy for the playoffs because they need all hands on deck to get
out of the West. I know this is a different hamstring. It's the other leg this time, but it
the hamstring back in the playoffs and like he's just had hamstring issues and I just yeah take your
time um he's an awesome player he's really fun to watch and he's really fun to watch with yokitch and as
much as we always talk about you know yokich's connection with jamaal murray like yokuch and
erin gordon are like you know connected on some some other wavelength that we can't even see he's
super important to them and he's super fun player um if if if it's really four to six weeks for him
and if christian brown is out for most of that too i was like
looking at this 15 games between now and basically New Year's um nine on the road six at home
eight of the games are against teams that are currently above 500 and they end the year in the
midst of a seven game road trip that is at Orlando Miami Toronto on New Year's Eve all
all those teams playing well right now obviously and then into the new year it goes uh at
Cleveland Brooklyn Philly Boston so like they're I mean they're going to get tested it's it's
going to be, I think, a tough stretch for them. And we'll see. Peyton Watson career high last week
in New Orleans. Yeah, he's really great. You know who's going to be at that game in Toronto?
Your boy right here. Toronto has an incredible holiday schedule. I'm very excited. Not only am I going
to be at that game as a working member of the media. I cajoled my wife, sister-in-law to get four tickets,
two for them, two for our daughters. And I told them, watch the game. We're not going to be socializing.
We're not going to be walking around buying merchandise.
You get to see this dude up close.
It's like you're close to God if you could watch Yolkitch up close.
Pay attention.
My 10-year-old, pay attention.
Do you see that passy through the other night against the Rockets?
The no look over his side of his head that almost hit Jabari Smith, Jr.
In the head.
I was like, even I was showing it to a buddy of mine last night.
I was like, I watched this guy every night.
And even I saw that pass and I was like, what just happened?
I don't understand.
Okay.
On the replay, on the replay, after I thought, after we already seen him make the past,
but on the replay, I was like, no, that ball's going to hit dude in the head.
Like, it's going to hit Jabari Smith in the head.
Like, it, I don't know how he did that.
That was incredible, but he's always incredible.
A couple other Lakers notes.
Again, Aiton, knee contusion, we'll see.
He's been everything they could have hoped for so far.
Maxi Kleba got in that game and looked pretty spry.
Doesn't look like he wants to shoot threes.
and like half the point of Maxi Klube at the five is shooting three.
So get that taken care of.
Gabe Vincent,
Gabe Vincent, after a kind of a rocky couple of seasons since the heat finals,
injuries,
subpar play,
is he kind of becoming the guy the Lakers hoped he would be when they signed him?
He's making more shots.
He got up into Lowry Marketing on switches last night,
and they actually played him in the Rui spot with the rest of the starters.
That lineup gets a little smaller.
but I think they're going to keep experimenting with that like four starters and like smart in the Rui spot.
Gabe and the Rui's, I mean, Rui has been unbelievable.
Just worth noting.
Can we can we just take a little detour into the insanity of the early season MVP races as we reached the quarter pool?
Absolutely.
So, I mean, there's been obviously a ton of Yokic MVP talk.
he was my preseason pick.
He's averaging 30 points, 13 rebounds, 11 assists, shooting 63%.
He again leads the league in most advanced statistics because that's just what he does.
And for better or worse, when you're splitting hairs, and that's what we're going to get to here,
if he carries the nuggets to the two seed with all these injuries, that's going to help his MVP case,
even with Jamal Murray having the best start of his career.
And then you look, then I was, Janice got a lot of early season MVP buzz.
The bucks are so far kind of dead in the water without him.
I think they've lost four in a row.
The last two or three without him.
His numbers are 31, 11, a career high, seven dimes.
He's shooting 63%.
Defensively, he's still very good.
And obviously he's carrying a roster that is not awesome without him.
And so you've heard a lot of those two guys.
And then you look, like, let me just, I know Shay is just like every time I watch the Thunder,
it's like another 30 piece, another 30 piece.
no j-dub other guys missing games let me check out she's stats oh 32 seven assists five rebounds
54% shooting 59% on twos 41% on threes sniffing he's a free throw away from 5040 90
1 and a half steals in a block a game as good or better as he was last year when he stole the
MVP not stole when he swiped the MVP when he nabbed the MVP when he took the MVP from yo
He was my pick for MVP.
Unbelievable.
And then you're like, wait a second.
What about Luca?
Luca looks fit and defending better and just a machine of offense.
34 and a half points, nine assists, nine rebounds, 47% shooting.
The only blight is 31% on threes.
And he's making up for it somewhat by leading the league in free throw attempts at 12.5 a game.
The Lakers are plus 60 with Luca on the floor, minus 18 with Luca.
the floor.
And it just feels like, again, when he's on the floor, they just get whatever shot they want.
I said before the season, I had a whole question.
I can't remember who I asked it to.
If you had to pick anybody to crack the top four, not win the MVP, just unseed one of these guys for a top four spot on the MVP valid.
Who would you pick?
And I think it was Goldsbury.
He picked Wenbanyama.
I picked Anthony Edwards.
But this just underscores.
These four guys, you have to sit back and just marvel.
they're all averaging over 30 a game.
They're all putting up crazy historic numbers at the same time.
It's just, as the kids say, what a time to be alive with these four.
You can't crack them.
Like, no way.
Even Wembe, as amazing as he was, if he reaches the games limit, which is going to be tight now with this injury,
it's like, can I, I mean, we'll see where I can put him.
But just getting fourth would be a heroic accomplishment for anyone else in the league.
I don't see how anybody's going to crack.
that top three. I mean, listen, a lot of things can happen, obviously, injuries, everything else.
And we don't know where the Lakers will end up, you know, just in terms of the win-loss part of it,
which, you know, factors in for sure. But yeah, I mean, you look at the guys on the fringe of this
right now. And it's, you know, if I'm looking at the MVP tracker on basketball reference,
which does this, you know, via algorithm. And, you know, Cade Cunningham is flirting on the fringes of this
thing. But I don't think we expect he's going to crack that top three.
Like if Detroit, if Detroit breaks the all-time wins record, then yeah, K. Cunningham's going to be on the list.
There you go.
They've won a million games in a row.
And Janus has just been, you know, you could just like, you know, etch him in preseason every year for somewhere in the top three or four in the MVP race.
And yeah, the injuries and the games limit could potentially knock him out.
And the Buck's record could throw him down a couple of notches too, depending on how they how they go.
But those three, Donchich, Shea, Yokic, absolutely phenomenal.
And I don't know if you wanted to be or into this at all.
But I mean, I do think part of the fascinating part of the Lakers season is watching how LeBron conducts himself the rest of the way because there was the contract stuff and because there is the contract stuff because he's going to be a free agent because he's going to be 41 soon.
And his first two games back to me looked like a guy who was deferring and fitting.
based on I just came back after not playing for seven months basically.
Is that going to be his posture of the rest of the way?
Something I wrote about last week on The Ringer.
Is he willing to be, you know, essentially Luca's wingman or Luca and Austin Reeves's wingman
as opposed to the focus of everything?
And these first two games have been, as you noted, exactly what you would hope for,
exactly the ideal for a guy who's about to be 41.
But I am curious given how much he has led with his,
pride and ego and everything else over the course of his career,
is he really ready to do that to effectively become
Karim to Lukas Magic Johnson or not?
And I do have my eye on that.
And I love what I've seen from LeBron so far.
I hope that is where he is.
Great piece on the ringer last week by you looking back at the
Kareem Magic Fit and comparing it to the LeBron Luca fit
and contrasting it too.
Everyone should read that.
Okay, that's it for the Los Angeles teams.
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Our next pick was we're going to do,
we're going to pick two rising teams and two falling teams
based on the weekend and the events of the last week or so.
Here were my nominees for rising teams of the week.
Detroit?
Yeah, I did you last week.
Did a whole segment on you.
We're going to park you over there.
Toronto, you've won seven in a row.
Ditto.
Did a whole segment on you last week.
Not much has changed.
You beat some bad teams.
Great story.
Can't wait to get up to the Great Right North soon.
Memphis, I mentioned they won two total.
Boilet Bowls over the weekend.
That's not going to get you the award here.
And Sacramento won a basketball game, which for them counts as getting on this list.
The Sons are on, I believe, a three-game winning streak.
Yes, and beat the Wolves over the weekend.
Nobody, did you see that game, Wolf's Sons on, I think it was Friday?
No.
I got to tell you, I don't know that there's ever been a good team that melts down
like the Minnesota Timberwolves.
They melt down like a 9-and-73 team.
When it goes badly in crunch time,
it could not possibly go any worse.
And the game they blew against Phoenix is unbelievable.
I've talked about the Sons too.
So here are the nominees that we picked.
The Orlando Magic in the Miami Heat.
And I want to start with Orlando
despite the fact that they lost against Boston
yesterday on Sunday with no Suggs
and no Wendell Carter Jr.
It's starting to happen, Howard.
It's starting to burble up.
The, huh, magic are winning some games without Palo Bancaro.
Their offense looks like it's flowing a little better.
Spacing's a little better.
What's going on here?
Before last night's game against Boston, their offense was top 10 since Bancaro's injury.
Now, this is like a five game stretch or something.
And it was just sort of like interesting to watch.
And you hear around the league these burblings of, hey, you know, Palo was not.
not having this tremendous kind of season, lots of long twos,
fifth most ISOs in the league per 100 possessions,
and a very bad sub 1.0 points per possession figure on those ISOs,
according to the second spectrum data.
What do you think is going on with these Orlando Magic?
Who are now after yesterday, they are 10 and 8 after a slow start.
They've picked it up, and the pickup started pre-Pallow injury.
And I don't want to, you know, sort of jinx it.
and I don't know if they should start planning the parade route yet in Orlando.
They are 11th in points per possession.
11th.
This team has not been in the top 20 since 2012.
I don't even want to say anything more.
And they're sniffing their league average in defense.
Their defense is improving.
They're trending up, Howard Beck.
Trending up.
You didn't say the phrase.
Are we Ewing theory?
No, no.
That's not.
I can't step up.
It is a premature.
It is a very interesting.
Has Bill Ewing theory to them yet?
It is a very interesting time in that universe with this Bancaro thing.
And let me be clear.
Well, actually, you know what?
We'll get to it.
With this Bancero thing, with the Hawks continuing to win without Trey Young, which I've
talked to ad nauseum about and think is quite interesting.
And with Tyler Hero returning tonight to the rampaging Miami Heat, who are our next team up.
I don't you know look I took the over on the magic at 51 and a half or 50 and a half whatever it was it was very high yeah and I was very discouraged by how sluggish they looked offensively to start the season they began picking it up pre palo injury have kept that up since the palo injury I don't know is this about palo to you or is this about other things or is about everything at the same time quickly here I just want to um slightly asterisk their surge right um they won at Portland you know
the Blazers are what they are.
They beat the Knicks in New York.
That was the game that Palo got hurt.
And then the wins were against Brooklyn, the warriors who are struggling, the Clippers
who are not good, the Knicks who by that time were missing OG and Anobie and
O'B and whoever else there.
And the losses during this stretch, it's a six and two stretch.
The losses were at Houston.
Okay, really good team at Boston.
So I just kind of like note to myself, are we sure everything is solved?
I don't think, I'm not going to just, hold on a second.
They beat the warriors who were.
trying in that game.
Sure.
They had everybody.
The Warriors are sat right now.
That's fine.
Like, do you have to play against the Warriors?
Yeah.
They blew the shit out of the Clippers.
And they beat the Knicks twice.
OG or no,
OG.
They beat the Knicks by double digits twice.
I'm not going to poo that.
All right.
It's fine.
They are,
I have a natural skepticism of the magic
because of the build.
And this does lead into the Van Karo question,
which is that I,
I've never been entirely sold on Ben Carrow and Wagner as the best fitting co-stars, right?
Like they are both really great with the ball in their hands.
Neither of them is like an elite playmaker.
I don't know that there's like I never see a ton of synergy of them playing off of each other when they are both playing.
And it's not that they're better off without Ben Carrow, but I do think some teams sometimes
are better when things are simplified when you know exactly what the packing order is, but also when you only have one guy who tends to dominate the ball.
and it's not taking turns.
It's not having the, the, the offense just kind of plod and the ball stick.
This is a very ball sticky team.
They are right now 22nd in assists, and they're in the bottom third for potential assists.
They're way down there in points created via assist.
18th and passes per game.
This is not a big ball movement team.
And that's fine.
You can win that way with a lot of,
ISO play and just a lot of, you know, Bankero doing Bankero things and Wagner doing Wagner things.
But I just, I've always been a little skeptical of the build. And so I am at least curious
how this ultimately plays out during the time that, that I don't know how much longer we're
expecting for Banker to be out. But I'm curious is all. You don't, you don't believe in magic.
Just a, just a grumpy, grumpy skeptic.
Look, the Pallo skeptics, and they are, there are many around the league.
And they, yeah, there are some.
And they lean toward the Antmore analytics bent.
Would point out that the magic were more or less the same team with Pallow on the floor
versus off the floor last year and better substantially with him off the floor two seasons ago.
And now looking a little bit more flowy with him in street clothes.
Anyone skeptic or not skeptic would point out.
that during this stretch, Suggs is playing more and better.
Bain is playing more and better.
Wendell Carter Jr. is playing better.
Anthony Black is making a little bit of a mini-leap.
De Silva is making, I love DeSilva as a role player.
He's great.
Isaac all of a sudden looks like two out of every three games looks like Jonathan
Isaac again and is contributing.
And so a skeptic would say, a palo skeptic would say,
well, they're touching the ball more.
it's more of an equal opportunity offense.
Of course they're playing better.
Of course they're shooting better.
A Palo booster or neutral person would say this was bound to happen as the team settled in,
Bain settled in, shooting can be fluky and their shooting has been better.
Passes per game, flat with and without Palo.
And for the season, their net rating is the same with Palo on the floor versus Palo off the floor.
All of this is to say, when you also fact that.
in the fact that he has shown the fuck up in the playoffs when they have been overmatched,
talent-wise, and injured.
And the guy has looked really, really good and sometimes borderline unstoppable.
I do think this is almost akin to the Trey situation in Atlanta in that there is something
here where if you just take out three or four of the, I'm going to dribble into these
entitlement 20 footers.
and stop the offense, just three or four.
And you play this way more often.
And Paolo, I think much more than Shrey,
is easily malleable into that sort of role.
Just like set more screens, hunt more mismatches, post up more,
think the offense more, extra pass more.
Like he's a big guy who can pass.
That's an easy transition.
The best version of this team is Palo tweaking his game.
That 10%.
I'm not asking him to be a totally different player, 10%.
And watch this and think,
okay that works i can trust these guys bain settles in a little bit more and you get the best of all
of those worlds together that's where the ceiling is the highest because we've seen this all the time
teams can lose their best player their second best player and for two weeks it's like oh interesting
and then the talent deficit just catches up to you as the opponents get better as people scout you
better as people are more prepared for you as you go into a shooting slip whatever it is i do think this
is interesting though um i'm generally kind of more bullish on palo than the
skeptics, but I do think there's a little, just a lean 10% this way, and this is worth monitoring.
Yeah.
Yeah.
That's all.
Monitoring.
I'm not, I'm not, I'm not poo-pooing them.
I'm just saying.
Just a little.
I will say the Suggs thing, he and Powell have only played nine games, the starters, rather, the start, or
magic starters.
So Suggs, Bain, Wagner, Palo, Wendell Carter, Jr. are plus 45 and 101 minutes.
That lineup is killing it.
And I do think some of this is the Suggs factor.
Suggs has been outstanding on both ends of the floor, 40% plus from three, flying everywhere on defense.
And because of his injury issues and now Paolo's injury issues, they just haven't
overlapped very much so far this year.
And I'm not making any kind of judgments on Bancaro and fit until I see that group,
and particularly those two guys, play longer together.
Okay, rising team number two.
The Miami Heat have won four games in a row.
They are 13th in offense.
with this revamped system that I've talked a lot about.
A big fat fourth in defense.
Seventh in net rating.
Norm Powell is lighting the league on fire, averaging 25 a game on 50% shooting.
Bam is back after missing five games.
He's been solid, not great by BAM standards, but solid.
And Tyler Hero returns tonight.
Incumbent All-Star, number one option,
has to figure out life in this system that is minimized the pick and roll
and up the pace.
they are number one in pace by a mile now.
They are absolutely flying.
Bench has been fantastic the whole season,
despite Yovic being injured recently.
It's really fun team to watch.
Maybe this is the year.
Spoh gets coach of the year.
And I've mentioned that before.
I'm very interested in the hero fit.
I'm very interested just flat out,
who do they start?
What's their starting five?
I don't know the answer to that.
We can spitball that a little bit,
but this team has been an absolute delight
to watch this season.
I didn't get far enough into your last pod with Bill.
Where do they end up on your revised league pass rankings?
Because they've got to be super high.
I think there were like 11th or something.
It wasn't super super high,
but it was it was higher than they were certainly going into the season.
For a team that's lacking in kind of like traditional star power, right?
Like Norm Powell is an all star right now.
And Bam, out of bio obviously has been a star for other reasons,
but not the typical like NBA star who's like must watch TV type of star, right?
For a team that's lacking in that kind of like,
marquee type talent or names, they're just super fun to watch because of the style of all they're
playing. And it's really fun to see you point, you know, you note, um, spolster and how many different,
um, how many different swerves he's had to make over the last 10 something years, um, ever since
the Heedles era of, of, of, you know, leaning into this guy, that guy, this style of offense,
that style. Like this one, this is a really fun version of, of the heat. And,
that they're able to score at this rate and at this efficiency without that kind of marquee
name at the top is, is awesome.
Norm Powell has been fantastic.
And I do wonder now how Tyler Hero fits back into all this.
He's been a fairly ball dominant guy in the course of his career.
This was his team before Norm got there just a few months ago.
Where we, I was trying to remember before in the off season, where we all project,
was Norm Powell going to be sixth man for?
this team where we were we slotting him in.
Well, this was the, this is the fascinating question.
I don't think anybody knew because for sure, because you had a bunch of, you had starter questions
at the guard spots with like, do you start all three of Mitchell, Hero, and Powell?
How does that work?
Do you need a traditional ish point guard like Davian Mitchell?
And then on the big man spot, do you start Bam and Colell Ware?
Collel Ware, by the way, is on a rebounding binge right now, which is very healthy for a team
that is 28th in defensive rebounding.
or do you start Yovich at the 4 and Bam at the 5?
And now we actually get to see the answers to those questions.
I would say this.
Hero starts because he's Tyler a hero.
Norm starts because that's over.
He's averaging 25 a game.
He has to start.
Wiggins has to start because he's having a splendid all-around season.
And Bam has to start because he's Bam out of bio.
I think all of those debates are over.
Tyler Hero is not going to be a sixth man and Norm Powell is not going to be a sixth man.
least not in the foreseeable future, even if you think that is their best version of an ultimate NBA
destiny.
That's not happening here.
And so the question then becomes, do you start big with BAM and where?
I'm going to guess no, even though they started together yesterday due to injuries.
Do you start in the middle somewhere with Yovic, if when you get healthy, he's missed a couple
games with a hip injury or they've been starting Pella Larson as sort of a hybrid three, four.
Hacquez could certainly step into that spot
although he's been so good off the bench
I kind of want to keep him where he is
or do you
because Davian Mitchell has been such a good driver
in this offense
do you start super small and put Wiggins at the
four and start Mitchell, Hero, Powell, Wiggins, bam
that could be where they end up
we can get fixated on starters
at the expense of who finishes the game
which is really interesting but the rotation choices
Spoh has to make
are really interesting and not only at
to start, but just how many guys are going to be in the rotation.
Spo is traditionally like the nine-man rotation.
We just said like 10 names and we'd even get to my guy Simone Fontecchio or a bunch of
other guys who have played well for them.
Interesting choices, good choices to have.
I was, I said all summer the heat are going to be better than people think.
I think even with, I said even without hero, I think they're going to be better than people
think, took the over.
I think this team is legit good.
They're even better than I thought they were going to be.
One red flag,
opponents are shooting 31% on threes.
That's the lowest mark in the league.
That's going to regress,
and how do they fare when that regresses?
I still think this is a good, solid team
with a chance at a top six seat.
And as far as,
as far as Hero,
I think the fit's going to be fine.
I think he's going to figure it out.
Shooting,
shooting is the great fail-safe answer
to a lot of fit questions,
and the dude can shoot.
Defensively,
I think that's going to actually
be the more interesting part of the equation with Hero and Norm together. How does that work?
But offensively, I think it would be fun. Yeah. No, I way underestimated them, to be honest.
You were much higher on them than I was preseason. But I did not, I did not see, even though
Norm Powell had a very, very good year for the clippers and flirted with all-star candidates see last
season, I did not see another gear from Norm Powell, which he apparently had and has.
So they've been they've been really fun.
And I love all the ball movement, the pace, everything.
They're just stylistically very fun to watch.
Before we go to the following teams, I do want to mention,
I mentioned Memphis won two of the toilet bulls over the weekend.
And one of them was against the Mavericks.
I very much enjoyed the Clay Thompson clapback at John Morant and say,
you know, he's been talking a lot, talking a lot for a guy who's in street clothes
and maybe hasn't accomplished that much.
I love this for lots of reasons.
I love when Clay gets on his high horse about like,
do you remember who I am?
Like you remember the 11, 12, 3s, whatever it was,
a hit in game 6?
Remember, remember that?
Like, four rings?
Remember he held up four rings that Devin Booker a few years ago?
Which he has since said he regrets doing.
I love when he's just like,
settle down one playoff series win in your career.
Settle down over there, okay?
I enjoyed, I enjoyed it.
Settle down guy who hardly ever plays.
He pointed out, he basically checked every possible box.
doesn't play a lot.
He used the word accountability at one point.
He just hit all the soft spots there.
Like, John Morant should not be messing with Clay Thompson.
Clay Thompson's a maid man, and John Morant is, you know, he's John Morant.
Falling teams.
Here were the nominees.
Warriors, Wizards.
Hint, they're the winners.
Other nominees.
The Knicks, get your freaking defense in gear.
I know OGN and Obie's hurt.
That's bad.
You're a little smaller.
cat cat
some players are kind of snapping at cat
during some of these games and are like where were you man
you're supposed that's your rotation it's your rotation
Milwaukee
Life is hard without Janus
Utah's lost a couple tough ones in a row
The Pelicans are 2 and 15
Have lost nine games in a row
You may have heard Howard Beck
That they do not control their first round pick in the upcoming draft
Not sure if you heard that
Is that true really? I'm pretty sure Joe Dumas
knows. He's got two phones.
Those those were the main and Portland two more Portland two more Portland two and seven in
their last nine games but they're missing holiday scoot and sharp so I'm going to give them
a little bit of a pass. All right, hold on as long as we're where we veered just slightly into
John Clay how did you feel about Derek Queen with the lunging for the ball while they were
running out the clock to then go score in
Dead time.
Was it an IST game or not?
No.
I'm sorry, excuse me, an Emirates Cup.
Emerts Cup game.
I don't,
I don't,
no, this was Saturday.
None of these things,
as long as you're not endangering
anyone's knees or legs
while doing it,
none of these things bother me.
The game is going on.
It was just one of those
little impulsive kind of like he's young.
Maybe he's a little immature,
but also like that was kind of fun,
but also the other team is crushing you by a thousand points
and they're just running out the clock
because that's the classy thing to do
and you're going to go steal the ball.
I don't know.
He's fun and good.
And even in ripping that trade a new one when it happened,
I said on this podcast,
there's a world in which Queen is good,
and we look back at this like some of the other sort of golden chip trades
that shocked us when the Kings traded one of their first round picks
or a swap too.
I think it was initially Philly and then Boston.
I can't remember exactly where it went.
And when there was a heat pick that got traded all around the league that was a golden chip.
And both of them end up being like 11th, 12th, 13th.
There's a world where Queen is good, Zion's healthy, and we're all apoplectic about this trade,
and it ends up being they get a good rookie and they trade Ace Anuel and the 13th pick in the draft
and the value proposition suddenly a year later looks okay.
They're two and 15.
So this is not on track to be the 11th or 12th or 13th pick in the draft.
This is in fact on pace to be a guaranteed top five to seven pick to eight pick in the draft.
they're really counting on the lottery odds
holy smokes okay
and Charlotte was also nominated here
two and 11
lamello ball continues to just play
sometimes Brandon Miller's back
two and 11 rather in their last 13 games
con canipple
holy canipal
50 40 90 right now almost
49% from the field overall
okay warriors
falling team of the weekend
they are nine and nine
with a minus one scoring margin for the season.
One total point.
They are 23rd in offense.
There's been a lot of focus on their point of attack defense on Warriors' Twitter,
which is always the most unhappy Twitter.
And it hasn't been great.
Moses Moody is a little overmatched as like number one defender,
and they're getting blown by now and then.
23rd in offense is the real issue that's going on here.
They don't seem to know who to play.
They don't seem to know who to start.
Will Richard is starting the last few games, but then he got benched and they've started
Quentin Post in the second half of their last loss.
They can't score when Steph is off the floor.
They are 118 points per 100 possessions when Steph plays 105 when he sits.
Some of that, some, but not close to all, is skewed by the non-Butler non-Stef minutes,
which are a disaster.
And obviously you wipe those away when the games matter.
But even with Butler-on, Steph off, they're kind of an ugly 109.
offense, 108 defense.
Buddy Heels not making threes.
Al Horford's not making threes.
Kaminga's hurt.
Every time they win two games in a row without Kaminga,
the, we're better without Kaminga group.
Hey, where's your Kamingka tweets now?
Where's the Kaminga stuff?
He stinks.
He doesn't fit the system.
Well, they've lost three in a row.
One of them is their JV team against the heat.
So I, but I continue to say this is a team.
They cannot shoot from anywhere in two point range.
They're 21st in two point shooting.
Their rim paint game stinks.
No one wants to shoot in the paint.
You know who wants to shoot in the paint?
Johnny Cominga.
The best version of this team still needs him to contribute to it.
I don't know, man.
I had shut the window on this team a year and a half ago,
said it's over.
Even with Butler, they can't win the title now.
And it's not setting up awesome for the post-Stef life.
Then I unlatched it.
I unlatched the window after their hot start.
Like the window's still closed,
but I open up the latch where if I really want to lift it open,
I can do it.
latches back closed.
Don't like what I'm seeing.
The one kind of like fundamental truth, I think,
over the last couple of years before the Jimmy Butler trade
and still with Jimmy Butler on that roster
is that they need needed and still need one of those young guys
to finally pop consistently, right?
Like I think they were really high on pods
and really thought like this is a guy who high basketball IQ
and intuitive and is going to keep the ball moving
and do the things that we like.
All true.
offense. All true. Yeah. And if he could be that consistent guy, what, did he,
did he say something of the preseason about like, you know, he wanted to be better than
Steph Curry ultimately or something? I, I assume everything is fake. So I just assume everything
is fake or taken out of context, including that. Yeah, that was a little bit out there.
And I never went to go look to see how valid of an account that was. But if pods pops as a
ball handler, score, playmaker type who can do things when Steph's off the court or when
step and Jimmy Butler both off the court, then things are a little different. If Moses Moody
were consistent, if Jonathan Camingo were consistent, like one of these guys at least needed to really
establish themselves. And here we are, however many years in for each of them. And it's still kind of
up and down and still Steve Kratrust them one day and doesn't the next. It's a problem.
The other thing I noticed earlier when I was looking all this up,
Um, there's an 18 and a half point swing with Draymond on the court versus off.
Like I, because I was looking up Curry on off and, and there are, there are minus three when he sits and it's only, but it's a 5.7 point per 100 swing.
It's an 18 plus swing with with Draymond on versus off. Um, that's rough. And they're just that front court and the center position, despite bringing in, um, you know, 72 year old Al Horford, um, and, and trying to lean more on, quote.
went in post and everything else. They're just still very unsettled at center. And yeah, wild swings
with this team. They won four of their first five. They lost four of their next five. Then they
won four of the next five. And now they've been no and three cents. So they're just all over
the place. The Draymond thing is super interesting. I just looked up the numbers now and you're correct.
However, their offensive rating with Draymond on the floor is 113 per 100 possessions, which would rank
among teams that would rank
21st, right with the clippers.
They just have not been a good offensive team this year
without Steph.
And even with Steph,
their offensive rating of 118 would rank
among teams would rank like seventh, eighth.
It's fine, it's good.
Some of that is the three-point shooting will correct itself.
They've been an average three-point shooting team
and some of their best shooters are not making shots.
some of that is they'll get healthy
they're still plus 32 in 130 minutes
with Curry, Butler, Green and Kaminga on the floor
they can't mothball that
they've got to keep trying it one way or another
maybe even start Kaminga again
because none of these other solutions look awesome
I just the Draymond thing is interesting
because I watch them and look we all know
he's been a low usage offensive player
and a non-shooter for a while
he's shooting 36% on threes this year
and he's taking the most of his
his career per game, which is fine. He's got to take those shots if he's open, I guess.
43% on twos is the lowest mark for him since his rookie year. And just anecdotally, I test,
maybe it's the surrounding talent not making shots. Maybe it's the total lack of a rim threat.
Maybe it's the fact that their 29th in turnovers, which the plays of insanity are back. That was
the number one change when Butler came last year as their turnover rate with him on the floor
suddenly went down, way down.
I just don't feel scared anymore watching them when teams put their centers on
Draymond and allow that Steph, Draymond, two-man game to target opposing Big Men.
I just don't feel like they're punished.
He's punishing them as much.
They're punishing that kind of defense as much as they used to.
And I don't quite know what to make of it, but it's just sort of one of my eye-test
takeaways. And look, you mentioned the young players being inconsistent, the fake two timelines
plan. They had Moody, Kamenga, Pajemski, you know, other stuff. This was always what was
going to happen. Like, the young guys are not going to get, are not going to be fully ready in time
for the old guys. And that's what's happening. And I do, I think this team's better than this.
I was way high. I took the over at 47 and a half wins. Obviously, they are 500 right now on pace for
41. But it just feels like every year now, Kerr is throwing lineups at the wall within games
and just can't figure out how to get this personnel to sing for more than 10, 15 games in a row.
Now, obviously last season when they got Butler, it's sung. And that's sort of what I'm
clinging to is my expectation. I think this is still a good team that's going to be better
than this. But again, like, their whole thing is we have to go through the playing every year. We can't
afford to do that. We're going to come out guns blazing, open the season strong, get into the top six.
It's too hard to go through the play. It's too risky to go through the play and then too hard
to play the high seeds on the road over and over again. Guess where they're looking at right now.
Same, same life. Okay. Any other warrior's thoughts? No, good. I'm sorry to do this. I really
truly am. We have to talk about the Wizards who are 1 and 15. They are being outscored by 16.2 points
per game. The all-time worst scoring margin for a full season is 15.2 by the 1993 Mavericks who
went 11 and 71. They've already lost once to the Nets and the Hornets. They play Indiana this week.
Indiana is 2 and 14. That's an away game for the Wizards. They play. They play.
play the Bucks without Janus in a week.
They have Memphis and Charlotte on the road before Christmas.
If they go like one in three in those games or two and two or maybe if they even don't,
nine and 73 is officially in play.
We are on Wizwatch right now as for the worst team in the history of the NBA.
They are so bad.
They're 27th in offense 30th, dead last in defense.
and I guess my like I love
Sar has been great
George is very good fine
Trey Johnson's missed the last few games
I've liked what I've seen for him
like their young guys are kind of fun
and obviously they're playing for the draft
I just don't know
like even bad teams
sometimes you can look and see
okay that's what this is kind of what they're about
this is the identity they're shooting for
this is the one thing they've decided to be good at
I watch the Wizards and I'm like
I don't even have any clue.
Like, what is the organizing principle of this team?
And maybe it doesn't matter because they're just so young and they're not trying to win.
Maybe it doesn't matter because the aging veterans on the team, McCollum and Middleton
have been, like, frankly, not very good.
And in Middleton's case, looking very old and not playing half the games.
They don't have a point guard, like, at all that plays.
AJ Johnson's out of the rotation.
Kishon George is kind of their point guard sometimes.
and he's not a point guard,
the column and can kind of masquerade his one too.
Bub Carrington, like, completely lost.
I have no idea what Bud Carrington is on the ball,
off the ball, and I'm getting a little nervous.
I just, I get it.
I get it.
But two things here.
Number one, 9 and 73, worst team ever completely in play.
Like the watch is on.
Number two, although I like some of the young talent,
they really need the lottery to help them
in one of these drafts, and it helped them with SARS pick.
And it is interesting to go back and look, you know, when you see Avdia thriving with the Blazers,
that was a polarizing trade.
I've talked about it a lot.
I liked it a little bit less for the Wizards than most of my front office sources did
and a little bit more for the Blazers.
But, you know, they got Bob Carrington.
They got a couple seconds, and they got a first round pick in 2029.
That's going to be the second best of the Boston, Milwaukee, Portland pick.
So it could be good pick.
Could be whatever.
they didn't end up with much for poor zingas
just a bunch of role players who got sort of funneled around the league for second round picks
they didn't end up with too much for kuzma
his contract is okay they do have a first round swap in twenty twenty eight that isn't great
and this idea that like kuzma said like vetoed a trade to the mavericks that would
have gotten them like better return i just don't buy that at all like i don't buy that he didn't
want to, I buy maybe that he didn't want to go to the Mavericks. I don't buy that,
like, why do the cold-hearted wizards who just live through a no-trade clause hell with
Bradley Beale? Why do they care about anything but the best return? Like something about
that story never added up to me. The Gaffer trade, they did fine. Then you get like,
Rui, three second round picks and Kendrick Nunn. They did great on the Beal trade, great on the
Gaffer trade. They got nothing for Valanchunis. They actually waived Citi Sosco, who they
gotten that trade who's now starting for the Blazers temporarily.
It's not like awesome.
It's not awesome.
But I do like some of the young players.
I just don't know what they are.
And the lack of a point guard of any repute, an organizer on offense is just, it's
tough to watch, man.
It's not, it's not a great watch.
Of all the transactions you went through, one other one worth noting, they waived Ryan
Rollins.
That's all right.
I forgot about that.
In January of 2024, Ryan Rollins came to them as a,
a throw-in, completely a throw-in in the Jordan Pool trade.
And they waived him a few months later.
As Wizards fans are quick to tell me every time I've mentioned this,
they hit me on Blue Sky saying, yeah, they waived him because of a shoplifting incident.
Okay, I get it.
They waved him after a shoplifting incident.
What did he shoplift?
Like less than a thousand dollars worth of stuff from a target or something.
I mean, less than a thousand dollars, that's shoplifting.
That's a big, that's a lot.
I'm not saying he should like, you know, walk free.
Like, you know, the crime is the crime.
But like, teams have overlooked much more glaring and troubling infractions by players over time if they thought they were talented enough to help them.
So I'm not, I'm not knocking them for taking a stand on principle or saying character or whatever it was at the time.
But dude looks like a really, really nice player now in Milwaukee is having a breakout season.
looks like an absolutely legit player.
And those are the calculations you have to make sometimes.
And if you're a rebuilding, not just rebuilding, a tear down, a tanking team,
then every possible young prospect who has an upside,
you need to make sure you have maximized before you've moved on from them.
And so that's a mistake.
It just is.
And I get the context of why they waived him when they did.
But I'm sorry.
It's looking at it now.
And yes, I have the benefit of hindsight.
Ryan Rollins looks like a player now that you have to chalk that up as a mistake.
And the Dennyabdi deal, which I think you and I kind of alluded to last time I was on,
like he was starting to have a breakout with the Wizards.
Like that was, it was coming.
You could already see like the outline of this player coming before they traded him.
And again, if you're a young rebuilding team, it depends on how deeply into the ditch you want to steer.
But like, could you have still been a tanking team with Dennyiab?
Avdia on board?
Probably.
Last thought, hashtag free CJ McCollum.
He deserves better than this at this stage of his career.
Let the guy go live his life somewhere where, you know,
they're not going to challenge the Sixers' all-time record for losses.
Okay, fine.
Free CJ, shooting 41%.
Look, on Avdiah, I said this at the time.
I was so fascinated by that trade.
I asked, I don't know, let's say 20 front office people.
What do you think?
And I would say two thirds of them, I've estimated this roughly 60% two thirds, whatever,
said, you know what?
Obdi is good, but when you're the Blazers, you shouldn't be in the business of trading.
First, bites at the lottery apple, even for good players.
And I was like,
like,
how do you're good and young and is on this crazy good contract.
I guess I kind of just like the idea of having good players.
And we just,
I don't know how many times teams are going to have to learn this lesson about the new lottery odds.
Are they going to be shocked every time a team jumps from seventh, eighth,
10th to first or second?
Because you can have the worst record in the league.
You have a 48% chance of landing the fifth of the fifth pick in the draft and a 14% chance of landing the first pick.
Now you're guaranteed top five, and maybe this is the rare draft where you're just psyched whether it's one to five.
If you have the third worst record in the league, you have a 26% chance at the sixth pick, 15% chance at the fifth pick, seven percent chance at the seventh pick.
And on from there, like you really kind of have to be one of the two worst teams in the league.
And even then the lottery guards may not smile upon you.
And I was talking about this with the relative to the Mavericks.
with somebody this week, talking about Anthony Davis trades.
And this person was saying, front-off's person was saying, well, the Mavericks can't,
like what's the point of tanking for them?
Because they're never going to catch the nets, the Pacers, the Wizards, the Pelicans,
this holy quartet of tank-tasticness.
And I'm like, okay, like, maybe, but A, you're five,
now they're five and 13.
So, like, they're not super far ahead of those teams.
B, the Pacers and the Pelicans, if they got
healthier and the Pacers are now getting healthy could normalize into like just normal good
team bad teams rather instead of just the atrociously bad team so we'll see but the wizards
man it's not it's not it's just a parade to the rim on on when they're on defense and
bob carrington who came over in the obdia trade technically that was that was the pick that
got conveyed among i think um uh uh 150
50 players who have run at least, I think I put it at 50 pick and rolls.
He is 143rd in points per possession directly out of those plays, so he shoots or somebody
one pass away shoots.
And a 148th out of 150 in points per possession overall, again, he ain't passing anyone
who scares you.
So there's a lot of, there's like all sorts of confounding factors.
He's not making shots.
I don't know what he is on the ball.
I don't know what he is off to ball.
They are 24th in drives per 100 possessions.
You would think a young energetic team would be like high in drives.
They just don't have any competent veteran ball,
any ball handling at all other than the veterans
who are kind of more, you know, older guys at this point.
It's just a depressing, depressing watch.
But maybe they'll make some history this year.
I hate their gold uniforms too, by the way.
Where are the cherry blossoms?
Where are the cherry blossoms?
You had one good thing happening to you in five years
and you threw it in the garbage.
Where are they?
I think they may come back at one future season.
One thing about the challenging for the all-time, you know,
futility record.
You know, the Sixers, we thought were going to do it back during the Sam Hinky era.
They ended up just missing.
They ended up at 10 and 72 in the 2015-16 season.
So sometimes it looks super bleak.
Like, I mean, we thought that team was going to win like six games or something.
So who knows?
Like the Wizards may reel off a few here.
in there and avoid it.
Also on the table right now, because they've lost 14 in a row.
The record is 28 in a row.
There are ways from that.
But that is shared by two teams that was last by the Pistons in 2020, 3, 24, lost 28 in a
row.
The Sixers during the process era, lost 28 in a row across two seasons.
So that's a little different.
I'd put an asterisk on that.
So really, really the Wizards are chasing the Pistons for the 28 in a row.
It's the Pistons winning.
28 in a row.
Losing.
Was, or losing 28 in a row,
was basically yesterday.
That's how recently that was.
It feels like that was 10 years ago.
Monty Williams,
Killian Hayes,
what's happening here?
That was two seasons ago.
And they are now
leading the Eastern Conference
and on a massive win streak.
People are not,
that brief era
of Pistons basketball
will not be looked back on.
kindly. Howard Beck, anything else?
We covered a lot. There's a lot going on. What did we miss?
It's Thanksgiving and it's Thanksgiving week. Are you going? Does does the family do the
parade or anything? We're going to be at the parade for like the 20th consecutive, not 20th,
about like 15th consecutive year. We started taking our daughter when she was like four and it just
became a thing even though I was always kind of like a non parade person prior to that.
Maybe this will be one of my next Zach's insights to mediocrity. We're trying to get Mike
to Rigo to come interview me for insights to mediocrity. But I hate parades. I think parades suck.
They're absolutely ridiculous. I never enjoyed them. But when you when you have a kid, as we both
do, you know, you start doing things for them. And then it just suddenly like it, it becomes a thing.
And it became tradition for us. So we will be sitting there somewhere off Central Park on Thursday
morning. And then we'll go visit our friends up in Westchester County. And so I hope it's no, I hope it's not
cold for you.
We have been there when it's been like a blistering like 10 degrees before that it is
highly, highly unpleasant.
By the way, you mentioned Tariko, which reminded me of new NBA partners, which reminds me
congrats on the Prime gig.
That's fantastic.
Yeah, we're talking about, we're talking about Amazon Prime wants to franchise insights into
mediocrity and to just make it a whole streaming show.
Oh, shoplifting reminded me of a story, by the way.
one of my great moments is a high school teacher, an educator, frankly.
I'm glad this didn't involve you shoplifting.
No, I was one of like eight faculty members who chaperoned the band trip to Florida,
Universal Studios, Florida from New Jersey, a 24-hour bus ride.
Not a great time.
And a student was caught shoplifting from the gift shop, one of the many gift shops at Universal.
And me and my friend Tim, fellow colleague, we had to run into the bowels of Universal Studios
into the security apparatus where he was in like a holding area.
And I just remember, and the whole bus was waiting to go to the next thing for this kid
who had shoplifted a freaking bracelet.
And I remember putting my teacher ID, my Kreskill Junior Senior High School teacher ID up on
the window of this guy's cell.
And I felt for a fleeting second like Fox Mulder holding up an FBI badge.
We're like, we got to get this kid out.
And we got him out.
It was a great moment.
All right.
Howard Beck.
Enjoy the parade.
I will see you soon.
Thank you, sir.
Thanks, Zach. Take care.
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Look who's here.
Bill Simmons.
Wow.
The book of basketball.
Had to have you on today because Chris Paul, the point guide, announced he's retiring
at the end of this glorious Los Angeles Clippers season.
You wrote the book, literally, and there's been a lot going on.
The top three point guard, no-brainer, what's his place in history, this and that.
There's nobody better to do this with than you.
so Chris Paul, it finally happened.
As you know, it pains me to watch bad historical NBA takes.
It hurts me to no end.
Just people discounting the first 20 years of the league.
Bob Coosie apparently doesn't matter that he was the most important basketball player
of the league had for the first 15 years of the league, the best showman,
one MVP's, won multiple, multiple titles with Russell.
We just throw that out.
Yeah, I don't.
There's no case for me for him to be one of the,
five best point guards unless you're going to take Isaiah's spot away. And I guess that's the
debate. Can we talk about whether Curry was actually a point guard? Because I think that's an
interesting topic. Well, sure. But let me introduce Chris Paul first. Yeah, let's do that. Okay.
I was a long time listener of you and Rosillo together. I know the depths of Rosillo's Chris Paul
fandom. And I am very close to that level of Chris Paul fandom. The point god, I have called in
the basketball junkies basketball star for a long time, an unflinching perfectionist who rung
every bit of efficiency out of every moment within every possession, something you have to do
when you're six feet tall, maybe. The only player that I can remember who cajoled a referee into
calling a technical because a player on the other team had his jersey untucked. And of course,
it was at a critical moment of the game. I love Chris Paul. I've always loved Chris Paul as a player.
So this one is this one is tough for me
The retirement the end being here
I'm not you know I'm gonna miss Chris Paul
You feel old? Do you feel like you're they says something about you too
You were a young pup when Chris Paul came in the league
You weren't even really an NBA reporter yet
Yeah we're gonna talk about Chris Paul like 2008 to 2011
When the knee injuries were just starting or hadn't really hit yet
That dude could freaking fly and we're gonna talk about that guy the MVP
But obviously you know all time great play
player, no championships, signature playoff moment on the good side, basically a buzzer-beater
to win game seven of a first-round series against the San Antonio Spurs defending champion San
Antonio Spurs, the greatest first-round series ever played, a first-round series still nonetheless
not a second round series, not a conference finals, et cetera.
Greatest moment in Quippers history as well. Like for real, not even close. Definitely 100%
the greatest moment in Quippers history. What's no, we don't need to do the Clippers detour.
I'm just telling you.
It's number one.
And I don't even know if we can get to five.
The Terrence Mann game is like top three.
Sure.
All time low moment.
2014 game five,
Thunder Clippers,
conference semifinals,
two,
two,
Clippers blow a seven point lead
with 49 seconds left in a game
where the series was there for the taking
and Chris Paul is at the center of like 17 different things
that go wrong in the last 45 seconds of that game.
But you have to team.
that with the collapse against Houston a year later.
2014 was on really him.
It's one of the worst moments any superstars ever had in a big game,
and especially how much that game meant,
what it did to the rest of the series,
and the fact that it was him of all people,
the most efficient point guard of all time,
the leader, the floor general,
and he just completely self-combusted.
It was first, though, trying to draw the foul,
just turns the ball over,
fouls Westbrook on a three,
and then they still have the ball
with a chance.
I can't remember if it was to take the lead or to tie the game,
but they have the ball.
He's got it and he just loses the ball.
I mean,
it is one of the worst three play sequences ever.
Isaiah had his version of it,
which was Bird Steels the ball,
and this was just as bad.
Yeah, it's all three of them are Chris,
and it's the first one,
which really starts the whole thing.
The turnover.
The next year, the worst collapse I've ever seen in person
in a basketball game against the Rockets,
and he's out there for that too.
But the turnover trying to game the system to get a three-shot foul instead of a two-shot foul.
All you need to do is get foul to go to the line ice the game is the ultimate best and worse of Chris Ball rolled into one play,
trying to outsmart the game, trying to gain an extra bit when you didn't really need it, and it backfires halaciously.
But, you know, we are talking about a guy who 12-time All-Star, 11-time All-NBA, nine times all-defense, an all-time great player, no question.
And in terms of the point guard, though, I've mentioned before I saw a tweet going on,
like, no-brainer top three point guard of all time.
I'm like, yeah.
In a world where Magic Johnson, Steph Curry and Oscar Robertson exist,
cracking the top three is going to be pretty tough, if not impossible.
Pretty tough.
If not impossible, if not impossible.
If Curry is a point guard, he cannot, Chris Paul is not in that territory with those three guys,
period, end of story.
And I love Chris Paul and I have him 32nd in my pyramid.
I had the five levels of my book.
Level, the Pantheon was the highest level.
I had him level three.
Now he's really the last guy level three right ahead of Stockton.
Level four is different.
Level four are guys who were the best guy on teams that won titles
or guys that were just transcended in some way,
but were part of championship teams.
And he can't say it, unfortunately.
I mean, we can sit here and talk about the definition of a point guard.
Steph, I mean, is not a traditional point guard
and the way he moves off the ball,
that shooting is his primary number one skill and all that.
And then we could go down a whole side road
into like, what is James Hardin, what is Luca Donchich,
what is LeBron James, but...
It's a different position because we're trained growing up
one, two, three, four, five point card, shooting guards,
small forward, power forward center.
Now you have like the, I call them zero guards
where it's just like, what are they?
They have the ball all the time.
They're not necessarily out there to make people look better
to elevate other people as much as like,
the offense kind of revolves around what they do.
And that's, but Curry's more point guard than shooting guard, but he's just,
Chris was a completely different player.
It's really hard to compare them, I think.
Totally different player, but I'm going to class, go ahead and classify Steph as a point
guard.
Fair.
And, you know, his ball movement and the way he draws two to him off the ball is almost
like drawing two on the ball and working as a passer.
It's just a different way of freeing people up.
And if we do classify him as a point guard, magic is magic, five titles.
Steph is Steph four titles.
And Oscar Robertson, you know, when people say top three point guard, top three point guard,
they're just omitting 26,000 points, 26 points a game, seven rebounds, 10 assists, like, huge for his
position and could impose his size in different ways that Chris Paul never could.
I mean, the guy's a revolutionary NBA player, and I don't know where you have him ranked,
but he ranks above Chris Paul.
And therefore, Chris Paul's ceiling is an all-time point guard is number four.
And that's where it starts to get interesting.
Yeah, Oscars in the Pantheon.
Cousy, all the stuff he did in his career and how important he was.
I get it.
We get older.
This is our second crack at tape in this segment.
And the first one I talked about how if you took Reed Shepard right now and you just put
him into 1956, people in 1956 wouldn't believe what was happening.
Like they would have never seen anything like this.
I still have Cousy and Isaiah ahead of Chris
because of the
the titles, the success,
and I think Isaiah from 87, 88, 88, 89, 90,
arguably the best East team,
they should have won that series.
I think the 88 Lakers and the 2013 spurs,
the two teams that came the closest to win...
88 Piston, sorry,
and the 2014 spurs,
the two teams that came the closest
to winning the title without winning the title.
And then he wins back to back as the best guy.
And a guy who, I think the case with Isaiah, you can't use basketball reference.
I've talked about this.
He could have scored 29, 30 points a game for 10 straight years and did not want to do that.
And there is an awesome book written about this called The Franchise,
about how those Pistons teams were put together.
The way Isaiah thought about being the best guy in a team, what he had to do.
And I always thought Chris was the 2.0 version of him in a lot of ways where he wanted
everybody else to be involved for 42 minutes and then the last six minutes was kind of his time,
right? And that's the true point guard. And those are the guys that I just, we talked about
though, when we did take one of this, like, who are the guys now who are wired that way? And like,
it's basically the future of the point card position is in Darius Garland's hands. That's,
that's the only guy we could really think of who has all the old school DNA for it. Yeah,
first of all, it's good we're taping this again because I think the first taping, um,
had so many Reed Shepard mentions from you that Concanipal's family was getting uncomfortable
and jealous at the same time.
That's true.
But yeah, we talked about like who is the closest analog to this past first, you know,
stocked in whatever kind of point guard.
And we both instantly landed among like high level players on Garland more than anybody else.
And, you know, you, and then Halliburton, I think is the other one.
We kind of, you know, he's injured.
He's sort of out of side out of mind.
And he is a little taller and moves a little.
differently and is like just a different sort of frenetic off get off the ball get back on and move
around kind of point guard but he he sort of fits the bill and with garland the shame with garland
which is good for him because he's been on good teams but you know he's on mitchell's team we don't
see him with the ball the same time like he would have been a really fun spurs piece they went for fox
instead and garland wasn't available but to kind of give him his own team an engine but yeah these
the guys that come into the league now are built
like Dylan Harper is a great example
I don't really know what Dylan Harper is
I love Dylan Harper
he can play without the ball
he can play with the ball he's got size
he's a score but he's not like
the Isaiah Thomas kind of DNA type guys
when I was growing up there's a million of these guys
we had Mocheeks with tiny Archibald
we'd Eddie Johnson
we had uh who is the guy
Kevin Porter
John Lucas was great at this
Isaiah obviously but they
Michael Ray Richardson, there were all these dudes who you give them the car keys.
They drove the car.
They got everybody involved.
And then the position has shifted a little bit.
And Chris was, I think one of the reasons he was called the point guard was he was
the last kind of piece of this legacy, right?
You look at who he came into the league, who his class was, Westbrook, Derek Rose,
these people that were like scores and point guards at the same time.
Chris was always, his best game was always like 16 points, 13 assists.
he was eight for 12, three steals, somebody on his team had 39 points, mostly because
Chris was getting him the points, but that's, he was a driver of a fancy car.
Let's just go through the playoff stuff because to me Chris is in the bucket with, it's a very,
with all due respect to Russell Westbrook and Gary Payton, who are both great, but I think
class a little bit below this conversation.
There's this bucket of guys of CP, Nash, Stockton, Isaiah Thomas, Jason Kidd.
Those five guys.
All of them brought something different as like their main strength to the table, which is why
it's fun to throw those five together.
Isaiah, two championships and a finals MVP.
That's, you know, Jason Kidd has the one title as more of a supporting player.
But Isaiah is sort of winning at the highest level has all these guys beat.
Nash
Kids,
Kid with the two straight finals
was on a team
where the second best guy
was Kenyon Martin,
the third best guy
was Matumbo.
The fourth best guy was
Carrie Kittles.
Totally transformed
a more abundant franchise
in one of the all-time
great trades
from the Nets perspective
anyway,
was at his prime
the most terrifying
fast break force
in the entire league
and two finals
and an unbelievable defender
in the running
for best of
defender of that position right behind Peyton.
Nine time all defensive player Jason Kidd.
Chris Paul also nine times.
And by the way, those two finals, the Nets look, the Lakers ran them over.
That Lakers team ran everybody over in the playoffs.
Spurs did not.
Spurs was 4-2 and pretty close to going seven with Duncan, you know, Apex, Tim Duncan getting
involved.
All tapes have been destroyed.
That game was, that series was hard on the eyes.
A lot of fun memories of the O3 finals.
Nash, obviously, no titles, Stockton, no titles, but Nash, two regular season MVP's.
And as you pointed out, like, spearheaded an iconic team that changed the NBA.
And that has to matter.
And also, like, I came along at a time when the league desperately needed a player in a team like that.
It was, it was the league was the scoring was way down.
The one-on-one stuff was the worst that had ever been.
And we just didn't have any teams that kind of looked like.
Once the Weber and the Kings fell apart, and once Nash left the Mavs, we really needed a team that's just like, that's a really fun team.
I'm excited they're on TV tonight.
Nick kind of had that mantle for what, six years, all the way through 2010.
All right, can I put my Chris Paul Stan hat on for a couple minutes here?
Let's hear it.
I'm just going to sit back and drink from my David Robertson Dream Team Cup holding it up for you.
It's a good.
You got the whole set.
I don't remember the last time I was at your house which one I got I was I was just given one in it I remember being unhappy with it I don't remember what I think I might have given you Malone and you took it personally Stockton's Stockton's co-star apropos
Look Chris Paul the playoff track record is going to be a big talking point here
I would argue if I went I did this I did a piece when they made the finals in Phoenix in 2021 I went back through all Chris Paul's history
why it meant so much for him to reach the finals at that point in his career for the first time
and what this chance to win the title meant for him.
There are a ton of like Chris Paul's just last five minutes of close games record.
Other than that one game is pretty unassailable, regular season and playoffs.
He's one of the greatest regular season crunch time players of all time, period.
I did the math, I did the deep dive, I had ESPN stats, go back and look at it.
It's like unassailable.
Part of the reason, by the way, never turn.
the ball over was a low turnover just efficiency machine which makes the 2014 okayc game so crazy
it's not such an outlier in so many different ways um but i'm going to keep keep doing the stand
thing for a minute um uh in the playoffs lots of big shots in chris paul's dossier including
a playoff series winning game seven winning buzzer beater most of them are in the first round
First round, it doesn't mean as much.
Sorry, it just doesn't.
It just is what it is.
2014, we don't need to belabor it.
It was really, really bad.
Chris Paul has played his entire career in the Western Conference
during a two-decade run of total Western Conference domination.
Wow, you're really standing it up now.
I'm standing it up.
You didn't do this the first time we taped this segment.
Extra stand it.
Let's go through the possible.
Like, I've worked, I know the limitations.
I get being a six-foot point.
guard is it's tough um let's say they win against the thunder in 2014 waiting on the other end
is the spurs who rampaged through the playoffs and won the title they always played the spurs okay though
though they did that stretch 2015 you're referencing the rockets three one fall from ahead all-time
ugly the worst the worst collapse i've ever seen and waiting for them was a pretty young
Warriors team that wasn't even though they won 67 wasn't positive.
I know, but wasn't positive.
None of us were positive they could put those four rounds together.
All the old school NBA guys were like, you can't win a title shooting jump shots.
Day too small, all that stuff is happening.
Day too small.
Memphis goes up to one, right?
We had concerns in the clippers who had beaten them the year before, I think would have
been pretty comfortable going against them.
They didn't really have a bench.
They were putting a lot of miles on Blake Griffin.
that point, but I, you know, I think it would have been a really good series.
Could have been.
They also were down to 1 to the Cavaliers in the finals,
now Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love, those Warriors teams.
But, okay, the Rocket Series.
First of all, Chris Paul missed the first two games because he was dealing with an injury.
He played that last game against the Spurs on like one and a half legs.
He missed the first two games.
Second of all, last three games, game five, obviously they're all losses.
22 and 10 on 9 of 16.
Game 6, 31 and 11 on 10 of 19.
Game 7, 26 and 10 on 9 of 20.
I would argue not the problem for the Clippers in the Rockets collapse,
but he's on the team.
He has to own that.
And then other years, like, there's just injuries galore across the Clippers thing.
The Sun's Bucks Finals is a strange one, as you've talked about.
Well, the worst ones, 18 is the one you can't ding them on
because he gets hurt right as their winning game five.
And it was the classic, we were driving the car 110 miles an hour with the RPMs at five.
Let's hope we can get to Vegas without the car breaking down.
And they were like in that part of the drive where you can see the crappier casinos before you get to Vegas.
And he broke down.
And they couldn't sustain it.
But that team won 65 games.
And, you know, I know that's the team when Daryl's on his deathbed.
That'll be the series he thinks about other than one.
by Ben Simmons couldn't make a free throw anymore.
Or pass the ball to Matisse Steeble.
You're talking about the 2018 Rockets,
built to play the Warriors.
Switch everything, play PJ Tucker at Center,
Chris and James Hardin together.
Chris Paul pulls his hamstring at the very end of Game 5
with the rockets going up 3-2.
They have home court advantage.
They have Game 7 at home.
Andre Guadala also hurt in that series too,
but they lose Game 6 and Game 7.
Game 7 is the one.
they miss a gazillion threes in a row, 27 in a row, I think.
That was the missed three weekend,
because that was when the Celtics missed 133s in game seven against Cleveland.
Easily could have won the title that year, didn't win the title.
So this is me standing for a guy who's going to get dinged as never won the big one
and defining moment arguably a blunder, a series of blunders,
one as bad as the other.
But, you know, when you stack him up against these,
guys, you know, that's going to be the Isaiah Thomas Trump card, Jason Kidd Trump card. I think
there's a case when you consider how great he was defensively compared to someone like Nash,
how he was a more prolific score than either Stockton or kid and the longevity stats that he has
over Isaiah Thomas. And you're going to point out that Isaiah played in a much more physical
era, which is not kind of small guards in terms of their longevity.
I think you could make, and the advanced stats, of course, love Chris Ball, and you're going to tell me to throw those out.
You know, I get it.
Well, I already told you this in the first time we recorded this and then it was lost to history.
You are the perfect.
I think you destroyed the tapes.
You are the, I didn't do.
You are the perfect amount of years older than me.
Yeah.
To have actually appreciated Isaiah Thomas in real time.
I'm 48.
So I was, you know, 8, 10, 11, 12, 13 when the pistons are dominating the east.
So like I'm watching, but not with the kind of eye that you, older than I am, are watching.
I need to go back and watch some of those Isaiah games again because 87 to 90,
just a dominant, dominant team that easily could have won three titles and easily could have three-peded from 80.
The older under was two and a half.
Yeah.
And they ended up went in two.
And what he did in game six against the Lakers with the sprained ankle is one of the great moments in the history of the league.
I just think he was a better score when he had to be than Chris was.
They were equally tough.
They were equally tenacious and crazy.
And the difference is in Isaiah Azera, nobody shot threes.
Isaiah led the league one year shooting 29% from three, which is crazy.
That was the league leading percentage.
And everything had to be around the rim or little pull-ups.
And they would just beat the hell out anybody, right?
And I think one of the things that's crazy about Stockton and Chris Paul compared to everybody else was just all these point guards would die after 12, 13 years.
It was like their careers were over.
And it's like going off a cliff.
Little guys, their bodies would break down.
Chris's body certainly broke down in a bunch of playoffs.
Chris's longevity.
The thing that really helped this case, we did the book of basketball pot about him.
And I think I had him 42 and we did that.
The son's playoff run reinvented him a little bit because what he was able to do it,
at that age. He's in his mid-30s at that point, and he's second best guy on a finals team.
Now, you go back and you actually dig into the 21 finals, and what was it, round one, Davis
gets hurt midway through the series when he's just torching the sons. Round two, they play Denver.
Jamal Murray's gone. Round three, they play the Clippers. They had just lost Kauai, right? And that's,
That's really probably the closest the quippers got to making a finals was that team.
And then they go against Milwaukee in round four, but it was a great run.
It cemented him.
It cemented him as a top 35 guy.
I think it vaulted him past Stockton for me.
But they didn't win.
And unfortunately for him, the question I have with him, he had the ball all the time,
especially when it got to these let's finish the game kind of moments.
Was he the guy you wanted finishing the game or did he have to rely on somebody else to kind of get you over the hump?
Whereas Isaiah could finish the game.
We talked about when we did this the first time, Chris had that, that just, that shot that nobody figured out how to block for, what, 18, 20 years?
The left to right, stop at the right side of the foul line, jumper falling away.
And he just made that for almost two decades.
And nobody knew it was coming ever for some reason.
And even though anyone were watching knew it was coming.
So that was kind of his go-to thing.
But I think the smarter teams would put bigger guys on him or they would kind of
plant in that spot and at some point he would have to rely on somebody else.
Yeah.
It usually didn't go well.
Putting size on him was a Trump card that started.
Like Tony Allen had some success against him in those epic Memphis clippers slug fest.
And it was just, this is just life as a smaller point card.
If you can envelope him in size, it's harder for him to get that shot off.
He has got to fade an extra little bit, tilt an extra a little bit on that snaking.
What do you think he was 511?
What's he actually?
511?
I'm 511 and three quarters.
I try to claim six feet and I'm not.
I've stood next to Chris Ball many times.
I think I'm like as tall as Chris Ball.
I think he's 511.
I've stood.
I'm six one and a half and I felt like I was two inches taller than him.
But this is one of things with point cards.
Like the wear and tear of that position with these little guys.
And he broke down.
You mentioned how he was hurt in 2015, came back.
2018, he was hurt.
There's a Clippers playoffs.
It was either 16 or 17, where him and Blake are hurt at the same time.
There's a couple.
You kind of zipped through the playoffs, but they're up three, two,
against the Spurs in 08.
They blew game six against Memphis and 12.
They lost four straight to Memphis and 13.
They lost the game seven home in 17
2019
No KD they lose 5 and 6 to Golden State without KD
That was bad
That was an embarrassing
It felt like it was kind of over
For that iteration of the Rockets anyway
And you know
There was
Shelf Life is the wrong word
Chris is an unrelenting perfectionist
And
You know
It wasn't for everybody
I think. It wasn't for everybody for
Demanding. Demanding.
You know, it's like
if you have people
in your life who are telling you
all the ways you're doing something wrong
all the time, they might be right
every time and Chris is right 99%
of the time. She's like, you just go
through these days like, not today. Like I don't want
to hear anymore today. Just let me
slide for a day. And he just would never let it slide.
But okay, so in terms of
like, I mean,
I think I would take him,
this is just, we're just doing this day of,
deeper dives to come.
I think I would take him over Nash.
I just think peak Chris Paul,
nine times all defense.
You talk about these little guards who just like,
get up in your shit if you were a bigger guy trying to post him up.
Just get under you, get your hit, get his hand on the ball,
just be annoying.
Peak Chris Paul is a two-way player.
I think I'm taking a little bit about,
of Nash and a little bit above Stockton.
And I think even a little bit above Kid,
despite the size advantage kid had over him,
something that Jay Kid used it occasionally
working out of the post, working inside out,
but not like not at a domineering level.
Isaiah is where it gets tough because of the playoff success.
But maybe I'm wrong.
Maybe I mean, Stockton, all-time leader.
I think you're right on those.
You think about that?
Well, because here's the thing.
Kid got traded two times before and as he was hitting his prime.
One, first him off the court stuff.
I think Chris Paul, if the New Orleans thing doesn't play out the way it does, he just, nobody's
traded that dude for 12 years.
It's like a miracle to have a guy like that on the team, just like Utah never would have
trade Stockton.
Detroit never would have traded Isaiah.
Nash, Dallas, now Nash went up a level after Dallas got rid of him.
But Phoenix and Dallas did trade Nash.
So, you know, I just feel like Chris was always unassailably.
You knew he was the guy.
It's funny.
There was this weird Darren Williams rivalry for a while.
where there was like remember that was an argument i was always in the chris camp but there was some
darham williams people because utah owned them head to head was part of the yeah yeah i'll say this
because i feel like i've been slightly too negative and i don't want to be negative on chris paul because
i i loved watching him and when he showed up in the clippers it was just incredible um watching him
going to the games the thing that stood out versus league pass and just watching someone on tv was the
how much he cared about the minutia of everything happening in a game,
how demanding he was, how the way he would work the refs, the coach,
he always seemed like he was in a bad mood.
I remember writing a column about him.
I was so transfixed watching him how he would get this look on his face every once in a while.
And he'd be like, oh, boy, here we go.
And he would just start stomping around.
And he just would go into this competitive crazy fury in a good way.
And it was just like the guy was a borderline psycho,
like just really wanted to win at the expense.
That was great.
That same 2012 Olympics, which is one of the best games I've ever been to when they beat Spain, gold medal.
LeBron's waiting to come in for five minutes.
They were four minutes.
They can't get them in because at some point it was like, wow, we might lose this game.
Who do we totally trust completely?
And one of the only things I knew is like, I just want Chris Paul to be in charge of everything.
Can Chris Paul just run this?
Can he just be in charge?
And I think that matters.
I think the 2012 son staying, which Nash was never able to really pull off in 2010, right?
He came like the old point guard kind of pulling a team.
2021, 2021 sons.
21 sons, I think was great for him.
And then, you know, the what if of the Lakers.
I was waiting for this.
I was waiting for a conspiracy bill to check in for the sliding doors all time.
I had it all written down from the book of basketball pod.
LAP City never happens.
Lob City never happens.
Houston doesn't get Hardin.
Hardin stays in OKC for the 13th season.
Maybe they win.
Dwight doesn't go to Houston.
Phil Jackson maybe stays with the Lakers.
The Lakers never trade for Nash.
Maybe New Orleans is too good.
And with the trade that they get, they don't get AD.
Maybe Doc Rivers stays in Boston.
Maybe Kobe doesn't break down if he has Chris Paul.
Like there's, you can go 40 different ways.
It's the second best what if after Draymond punching LeBron of the balls.
of at least the last 15 years.
I saw you rank that number one on your sliding doors.
And it should have been.
The permutations are just starting with, not to go get sidetracked here, but starting
with, I mean, it's a zero percent chance Durant goes to the Warriors.
Zero.
If they win the title.
It's not one of these things like, well, you know, if this or that, stone cold,
zero percent, he's not going to the Warriors.
Where does he go?
Maybe nowhere, as you have posited.
Maybe he signs with OKC for one year.
go to Boston. I think he just resigns for a year and figures it out.
Because, yeah, like Boston was in there and it didn't feel like that was a match for it.
Westbrook doesn't win the MVP. We never have that argument.
Miami was in there with Duran. Washington never got in there. Lakers never got in there.
It felt like there was a, that he has been perpetually in search of the correct solution.
Let's just, let me just go. You know, all these guys are unbelievable.
Isaiah and the Pistons have this run.
87 they lose to Boston on the bird steals the ball and passes to DJ when it looks like they have Boston on the ropes.
And Isaiah throws that inbounds past the lollipop to Lambere that bird's.
That's his version of the 2014 O'KC game.
88, they make the finals against the Lakers.
And they're better and should have won.
An all-time, all-time flashbulb game, 43 points on one ankle in game.
they lose in game seven on a foul that may not have happened sending Kareem to the line.
It's a shaky, it's a shaky call.
Outrageous.
It's a shaky.
It's a shaky.
And then the fans charged the court when they were down three and then he weren't able to get the three-pointer off.
It's fine.
We swept it all under the rug because the Lakers need another title.
89 and 90 they win.
And in the 90 run, he has some crazy games along the way.
And just a consistent great two-way player.
By the way, the 89 team, when I did my book,
and now the 2018 Warriors would be added.
But I had the 89 team as I think the fourth best team of all time.
I thought that team was incredible.
And he was the spearheading general of the whole thing.
He did.
That was his team.
He was the engine.
If you watch, like, when they win games,
he's the guy they all gravitated to.
And that was like, that was his opus, that 89.
team.
19 and 9 for his career, 16 and 9.
He actually averages a hair more assists per game than Chris Paul, which surprised me,
9.3 for Isaiah and 9.2 for Chris.
But he's like, I said this earlier, I'm positive he could have been 28 to 30 a game in the 80s.
If he wanted it, if he wanted to just beg, I'm just going to get my stats easily.
I think he could have been second in scoring every single year.
The veto is a what if.
And I just, people, again, people know now Chris as like the wily old.
crafty, all guile and smarts.
You go back and watch New Orleans,
young New Orleans, Chris,
the dude is a freaking blur.
He's hopping everywhere.
He's jumping.
He's fast.
And we were doing our favorite sort of
Chris deep dives,
deep cuts rather.
I will always remember
the 2011 Hornets.
David West, I think tore his ACL
right at the end of the season.
They play the Lakers
defending champion,
two-time defending champion
in the first round of the playoffs.
Totally overmatched.
Lakers have home courts.
or the higher seed.
David West is hurt.
The Pelicans, the Hornets, rather, are decimated.
And it's improbably 2-2 after four games.
And entirely because Chris Paul dominated the series and was by far the best player on the floor.
33 and 14 in game 1, 27, 15, and 13 in game 4.
He was like astoundingly good.
Young Chris Paul was like an astounding player.
Well, and that's why there was, that's why the whole trade sweepstakes for him.
So that playoffs ends.
lockout for six months
lockout ends all of a sudden
Chris Paul's on the table
and it was really meaningful
because we had just seen him do that in the playoffs
and it was like holy shit
the Lakers can't get Chris Paul
this would be a disaster for the rest of the league
that's how good he was
I think I'd take him
look Nash Stockton Kitt
they're all incredible
size obviously a limitation
for Chris
I think he has a case over all those guys
I frankly think he has a case over Isaiah Thomas
but I'm tabling it.
I told you one of my off-season projects is going to be,
I want to go back and watch some of the 89, 88, 90 peak Isaiah games
to refresh my memory about him.
But you can't put him against the Holy Trinity of Steph Magic and Oscar.
Those are the top three-point cards.
Or Cousie, in my opinion.
Well, Cousie, I just don't know.
I just don't know what to do with guys from that era.
That's fine.
There's another what-if with him.
Oh, boy.
I talked about in the book of basketball.
I was furious as this was happening where Chris Paul didn't go in the top three picks in 05.
But he was the best basketball player coming out of college and everybody knew he was.
And I remember writing about it at the time.
I just thought Milwaukee takes Bogot.
He went forth.
He went forth.
Right.
Milwaukee takes Bogot.
Atlanta has Joe Johnson and Josh Smith.
he's playing in the ACC
they need a point guard
and they took Marvin Williams
it's like in all time
I can't believe they passed on him
in the moment it was unbelievable
now it seems worse
and then Portland
has the third pick
and they trade back for 627 and 30
and then Utah takes Darren Williams
with third pick and Chris Paul
miraculously falls to fourth
but I'll never understand
how Atlanta passed on him
that was like
in the moment that was fucking crazy
They took Marvin Williams who didn't start at UNC.
And if he goes to Atlanta and he's with Joe Johnson and Joe Smith in the Eastern Conference,
as what we know is going to happen in the Eastern Conference.
Like that's completely different scenario.
He also goes down as, you know, the Hawks like he would have been in the running for best
hawk of all time, him versus Dominique.
I just don't think he ever leaves.
Thinking of all-time inexplicable, number two, you passed on who to pick who.
this has reminded me maybe you should just not pick anyone named Marvin number two
Marvin Bagley the third is the other one the king's passing on Luca to pick Marvin
Bagley the third just every public rationalization of that was like what what why in general
picking two is a dangerous number three is always seems like it's a better spot than two
we'll do we'll do a more boy you got something else I just think the amount of the longevity
that he had is the best case for him.
Other than there's advanced metrics that is the years past are going to be awesome for him.
Right.
And I just like one of the reasons I wrote my book way back when was I wanted to make sure
we didn't get carried away with Carl Malone 50 years after he retired where people were like,
whoa, Carl Malone.
Are we sure he was the best player of that entire generation?
Like statistics are great.
They only go so far.
Chris's statistics, his advanced metrics at a time when advanced metrics was taking off.
Sloan Conference, all the numbers we had starting around 0809 going through.
And Chris was like the poster boy for that stuff.
And I think that really helped him, which isn't his fault.
I think it's a good thing.
But I think the advanced metric stuff, that's how the point got stuff started.
But, you know, unfortunately, the playoff stuff is going to be the yeah, but for him that we always mentioned.
Should also mention Stockton five-time all defense.
So I wanted to at least give him the credit to.
All right.
We'll do a more complete version of this as the year winds down.
Who know?
Maybe, Bill, maybe there's a storybook ending here for the Clippers and for Chris Paul.
They're only five and 12.
There's a lot of season left.
Kauai's back.
Like, we can't give up to dream.
Their only storybook ending is not giving OKC a top seven pick and not having Steve Ballmer suspended for like three years would be the two storybook endings.
Anything else is gravy.
Even if they get to 40 wins, that's a bonus.
I'm just going to leave it right there. Bill Simmons, thank you for your time, sir.
Thanks, Zachlow.
All right, that's it. We'll talk to you later this week.
You know I like to give you guys an episode for the bad travel days around Thanksgiving,
so we'll be coming back with another episode here pretty soon.
Thanks to Howard Beck.
Thanks to Bill Simmons.
Thanks to Jonathan, Jesse, and Mike on production.
Thanks to you all for listening and watching the Zach Lowe Show.
We will see you again real soon.
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