The Zach Lowe Show - The Knicks Are Heading to the Finals! Series Breakdown and Lottery Reform.

Episode Date: May 26, 2026

Zach is joined by Howard Beck to react to the New York Knicks advancing to the Finals. They discuss what has led to this moment, how they’ll fare against whoever comes out of the West, and what’s ...next for Cleveland. Then, John Hollinger joins to discuss the vote to reform the draft lottery. (0:00) Welcome to The Zach Lowe Show! (2:26) What up, Beck?! (2:55) The New York Knicks are going to the NBA Finals (15:50) Mike Brown deserves a lot of credit (28:04) Is Howard aware of Danhausen? (32:26) Kenny Atkinson’s comments (41:25) James Harden series autopsy (45:42) Does trading Evan Mobley for Giannis make sense? (56:01) Let’s run through some other NBA news stories (1:03:20) One thing you’re looking forward to in OKC-SA Game 5 (1:11:09) John Hollinger joins the show! (1:13:38) Lottery reform (1:22:17) On how these new rules affect the Memphis Grizzlies next year (1:25:29) Let’s look at what a credit type draft would look like Host: Zach Lowe Guests: Howard Beck and John Hollinger Producers: Mike Wargon, Jonathan Frias, and Billy Gil Social: Keith Fujimoto and Michael Szokoli #ULTRACourtside could get you closer to the game! https://michelobultra.com/courtside MICHELOB ULTRA®️ COURTSIDE ’25 to ’26. No Purchase Necessary. Open to US residents 21 plus. Begins on October 1, 2025 and ends on June 30, 2026 Multiple entry periods. See Official Rules at https://michelobultra.com/courtside for free entry, entry deadlines, prizes, and details. The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit https://fanduel.com/playwithaplan to learn more about the resources and helplines Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:22 free of charge. BetMGM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with Eye Gaming Ontario. On the Zach Lowe show, it happens. It really happened. The New York Knicks demolished the Cleveland Cavaliers again for their 11th consecutive playoff win, another double-digit win, another blowout. And for the first time in 27 years, since 1999, since before Y2K, the New York Knicks are in the NBA finals and they are rolling. Can they actually pull this off? What is the city like? It's crazy. Who are they going to play? Who should they want to play? Doesn't even matter. Howard Beck is here to reflect on the Knicks quarter century journey. Back to this moment, Jalen Brunson, all the highs and lows, everything. We'll talk a little bit of Western Conference Finals. We'll talk Jalen Brown's all NBA stuff. Scotty Barnes getting snubbed and a little bit of Western Conference Finals, game five is maybe the game of the year. tonight. I guess every game these two teams plays, first thunder will be the game of the year until that series is over
Starting point is 00:01:45 and the finals begins on June 3rd. A lot of rests for the Knicks. They're healthy, they're deep. The other teams are beating the hell out of each other. Boy, oh boy, is it all lining up for the Knicks. And then John Hollinger is here the perfect guy to talk about lottery reform. Yeah, it's on the ballot this week. Is this a good idea? Is this a
Starting point is 00:02:01 bad idea? Let's take a deeper dive than we've taken with a guy who's actually qualified to do it, some of the pitfalls, some of the benefits, all of that. is coming up on The Zach Lowe Show. The Zach Lowe show is brought to you by Fandul. The conference finals are here. Think you know how it'll go down?
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Starting point is 00:02:41 Call 1-88-7-89-77-7-7 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Connecticut. Do the Zach Lowe show. Howard Beck is here. Howard, it happened. It really happened. The New York Knicks, the beleaguered hometown team of the greatest city in the world, for the first time in 27 years have made the NBA finals since 1999, since before Y2K,
Starting point is 00:03:25 the Knicks are in the NBA finals, the streets of New York. You can disperse the crowds outside Madison Square Garden in NYPD, but you can't stop Knicks fans from congregating wherever they want to congregate and raising hell, because this is a moment for a beloved team in a city that loves basketball. basketball, they destroyed the hapless, incompetent, and yet analytically sound Cleveland Cavaliers. Again, their 11th consecutive postseason win, almost all blowouts, even the overtime win,
Starting point is 00:03:58 somehow will blowout. Overtime, of course, in game one of the conference finals, aka the game that ended the Eastern Conference Finals effectively. And Howard Beck, I said that after the Sixers series with Fred Katz, it was clear at that point. The Knicks can win the title. This is not the junior varsity conference, golf clap, whatever. The real finals is happening in the Western Conference finals. Both those teams at full health are better than the Knicks. That's true. It just is what it is. Sometimes the playoffs are not about just better in a vacuum or better over a hundred game sample.
Starting point is 00:04:34 The Knicks had proven against Philly, proven against Atlanta, and tripled down on proving against Cleveland. They can win the title. And that's a lot. only increased as the Spurs and the Thunder have beaten the hell out of each other. Game five is tonight. It is the game of the year so far in the NBA. Every game these two teams play will be the game of the year in the NBA until the finals, I guess. G. Ellen Williams is hurt. AJ Mitchell is hurt. Dylan Harper looked pretty good in game four, but is dealing with abductor. And Deerrin Fox says the ankle thing. The Knicks, I mean, I said it after Philly. This is a championship caliber team. Spurs coin toss at that point. I think I said Oklahoma
Starting point is 00:05:13 city, I'd give them a puncher's chance, like 25, 30%. I think it's even higher than that now, even if they'll be underdogs. This team is just that good. And Howard Beck, you chronicled the New York Knicks for the illustrious New York Times from 2004 to 2013. I just want to put in perspective how incredible and almost out of nowhere this run that started really properly with Jalen Brunson. and on and on.
Starting point is 00:05:44 And I outlined all the incredible team building moves. This front office is made on Saturday night with Michael Pina. I want to outline how improbable it is. You can pick your, like, Nixon competence stat. It's really stunning. They were under 500 every single season from 2002 to 2010. Nine straight seasons under 500 in a row. And we don't need, like, all the shit that happened.
Starting point is 00:06:13 during that time is well chronicled, on court, off court, everything. Then they have this like brief mellow slash Linsanity slash Amare slash the Mello Amari Tyson Chandler thing that never really worked. There's a 54 win season in there that Amari mostly doesn't play. A little blip of good fortune. And then from 2015 to 2020, six seasons. Here are their win totals in those six seasons. 17, 32, 31, 31, 29, 1721. And there's the Porzingis thing in there. There's, they draft Nillikina and Kevin Knox over Bam and SGA, waiting maybe on the other side of the bracket. Who knows?
Starting point is 00:07:01 There's Derek Fisher fights Matt Barnes at one point. Jeff Warnasek kind of fights Joachim Noah at another point. it almost is like the Knicks during those six years, it was almost worse. And so maybe it wasn't worse. They existed like outside the NBA. Like the real NBA was over here with the calves and the Warriors and like all the the East of Raptors and the Celtics were cute in Eastern Conference or the Rockets are loading up. The Knicks were like a sideshow outside of the real NBA as irrelevant as a basketball team,
Starting point is 00:07:38 as a franchise could get. And here they are in the finals. It's an incredible turnaround. And they are playing gorgeous basketball, just gorgeous, high IQ. Everything is humming. Howard Beck, they're here. I can't believe it. I can't either. You used the word beleaguered earlier. And it got me thinking like how many different adjectives and synonyms and awful descriptors I must have used over the course of nine years at the New York Times. Several years after that, frankly, when I was still, you know, obviously in New York, but writing about the Knicks periodically for Bleacher Report and wherever else I was at a given time. But beleaguered, bedraggled, dysfunctional, inept, dysfunction above all else. And I think when people are elsewhere in the country, either puzzled over or, you know, taken aback by these scenes of Knicks fans reveling in the country,
Starting point is 00:08:27 either puzzled over or, you know, taken aback by these scenes of Knicks fans reveling in the streets, even sometimes after a game one of a series. Even sometimes after game one of a season, as they did a couple of you, I think Bing Bong came about after a Knicks victory over the Celtics and literally a game one of the season. A little over-exuberant at times, a little over-exuberant. Like leave J.R. Smith alone. Leave Brian Wenthorst alone. Listen, I just need people outside of New York to understand. I've been here for 22 years now, 21 years.
Starting point is 00:09:03 I need people outside of this city to understand the context that Zach just gave. And it goes deeper and uglier and just demessier than all of that. So maybe this is just a New York thing anyway, but it's also, this is earned. This is earned through a quarter century essentially of suffering and not just bad teams, not just losing teams, but like, you know, at one point in time, Larry Brown is the coach, Stefan Marbury is the point guard, and Isaiah Thomas is the team president, and all three of them are in fights with each other. Isaiah has turned on Stefan. Stefan Marbury has turned on Isaiah. Marbury's turned on Larry Brown. Larry Brown has turned on both Isaiah and stuff.
Starting point is 00:09:42 And we would just on a daily basis have one version or another of this fight that we were chronicling, and they were all talking about it all the time. We don't need to go into chapter and verse of all that, but there were just versions of that. of course a sexual harassment lawsuit, which they lost, which David caused David Stern to give one of my favorite David Stern quotes of all time, which because the garden had decided not to settle that case in advance, David Stern said they were, quote, not a model of intelligent management, a phrase that I thought applied to just about everything they did on and off the court for a very, very long time. That is not now. That is not this Knicks team or the way this next team is being run,
Starting point is 00:10:22 even though it's still the same owner who does not preside over a model of intelligent management once upon a time, he has largely stepped out of the way since putting Leon Rose in charge. A move that I was skeptical of at the time, and I think reasonably so. But Leon and that crew have done an incredible job. And I think, Zach, the thing you mentioned about the Knicks, like, we're sitting here in all of the results, the scoring margin, the winning streak in the postseason, the brand of basketball that they play, all of it.
Starting point is 00:10:51 And the thing that you didn't say, and that we would normally say about a team, and I was looking at, you know, kind of past teams that went through the playoffs with only, like, two losses and won the championship. Those, you know, those kinds of historic runs, you know, obviously I was there for Shaq and Kobe going 11 and 0 in 01 before losing to Iverson in game one and then rolling the Sixers. We've seen versions of this. Do you know what they all have in common?
Starting point is 00:11:13 Like multiple freaking Hall of Famers. It's Shaq and Kobe. It's Steph and KD and Clay and Dremond. It's Michael and Sky. it's Isaiah and Dumars and Lambeer and Rodman. Like when you look over the list of the teams that have had runs like this, they're fucking stacked. And this Knicks team, Jalen Brunson's an all-timer.
Starting point is 00:11:33 Make no mistake. And people, the just conversations have been going on for a while now about whether he might already be, or where he ranks among the greatest Knicks or whether he's in contention for greatest Nick. He's certainly greatest nick of this century. But this is not a stacked Hall of Fame team, right? Carl Anthony Towns, really good player.
Starting point is 00:11:49 Jalen Brunson, awesome. they're just perfectly calibrated. They remind me in some respects of what we saw with like when the Nuggets won the championship, right? Yokic, an all-time great. Jamal Murray, very, very good. And then, you know, Aaron Gordon, Michael Porter Jr., just like good players that complimented each other well,
Starting point is 00:12:07 played for each other, played selflessly. That's what I see in this Knicks team right now is just this kind of everybody's in sync, everybody knows their role. There's no, very few moments where you see like anything glamour something that looks a little bit selfish or a little self-indulgent or just a just a dumb play like they're just they play very smart efficient consistent basketball and it's it's a joy to watch and they're and like i say they're doing it in a much different way this is not they may go down as an
Starting point is 00:12:37 all-time team record-wise especially if they win the championship but they don't project as that when you look at the names on the sheet well look i mean they're going to have two of these guys are making the Hall of Fame. Like Brunson and Towns are on track to make the All-Fame, but Towns will be like a tier, whatever Hall of Famer. And it's a reverence thing, right? Like some of the names I mentioned, these are names that inspire absolute reverence. And Carl Anthony Towns has always been like, the stats are there, the success is there, but he puzzles people. He, uh, he's, you know, he's not embraced or revered in that, in that same, that vein. But they have stacked the team. It's, it's hallmark is depth and size on the wing around Brunson and
Starting point is 00:13:18 around towns and everybody they play is good. They have this Mitchell Robinson look that they really didn't even have to use that much. I mean, the cabs kind of hacked him out of the series and the cabs also fell for the bait of the hack of Mitch like, oh, we're one fell away from the bonus. Let's put Mitchell Robinson on the floor. He'll get hacked and we'll take him
Starting point is 00:13:34 right off the floor. I couldn't believe they fell for that multiple times. Shamit has changed their team and given them a legit, reliable five out kind of lineup they can go to. And I, what was he, 12 of 13 on threes in the conference finals? Just absolutely. I mean, at some point, this level of shooting is going to fall off a little bit,
Starting point is 00:13:52 and they're going to have to win in other ways. And by the way, they are fully capable of that because you don't win games by 30 points just because you're shooting well, you do everything well. But you, like, you just know it when you see it. And this team had glitches in January, in March, where the rhythm that they have found now escaped them. And they would talk about it. And they have talked about it even in the wake of winning this Cavs series of building habits and those habits would fall away. And Mike Brown used the word sacrifice multiple times after the game last night. Maybe guys weren't sacrificing as much as they should. And they got to the playoffs and they faced adversity.
Starting point is 00:14:33 And they had two options. Number one was meltdown, infight. Everyone tried to win it by themselves. And option two is what they've taken, which is, hey, we felt this rhythm before. We know how to get there. we have a lot of selfless guys who can move the ball, move themselves, cut and move, and they have been putting teams in the blender ever since then. And to your point about, if you see a Nick player take what looks like a self-indulgent
Starting point is 00:14:58 shot, it's now like a unicorn occurrence in these games. Like Ann and Obie had a couple of jumpers in recent games where he just early in the shot clock. He had a size of advantage. She's gigantic. And he's on fire. And he rose up and launched like a 20 foot early in the shot clock. Made most of them because, again, he's on a heater.
Starting point is 00:15:14 and they stood out as like, ooh, the Knicks aren't taking a lot of shots like that. It's the perfect ecosystem right now. There's an understanding that everything starts and often ends with Brunson. And everyone around that fills in the gaps in the appropriate way. Everyone is shooting when they should shoot. Everyone is passing when they should pass. The hierarchy is clear. And everyone is just buying all the, like Josh Hart, your job, push the pace.
Starting point is 00:15:41 And like every time, every time, every time. every fast break they had in the first half as Cleveland's transition defense just laughably bad for I don't know they've been that way in half the games in this postseason especially so against the Knicks it was Josh Hart being like this is my job to do this everyone is just filling the gaps
Starting point is 00:15:59 it's beautiful beautiful basketball they're deep they're talented Kat has never played this well defensively they can win they can win the whole thing it was clear to me after the Philly series that this is not just a sort of cute Eastern Conference story this is a team that can win the championship. And it's just been, and they exploit,
Starting point is 00:16:20 and the hallmark of why this team is in rhythm and well coached too. And Mike Brown deserves a lot of credit. Mike Brown, by the way, fired by the Sacramento Kings. The Kings fired Mike Brown. There was a time, Zach, where I was doing periodically the math on most coaches and GMs or president, however, a team is structured, over a course of time. And the Kings and Nix were basically neck and neck for a long time
Starting point is 00:16:45 during the, you know, whatever, the 2004 through 2015 or whatever it was. And at some point, of course, the NICS have settled into extreme competency while the Kings, while flirting with competency for about five minutes, then veered straight into more incompetency, including the incredibly stupid decision to fire Mike Brown. But yes, props to Mike Brown and a great guy we both know him well, like happy to see him get get his due and as he will be for the next couple of weeks over the course of the finals well and what i was
Starting point is 00:17:16 going to say a bit is a credit to the players and the team every weakness that emerges for them to exploit is exploited immediately on offense every time there's a substitution that prevents either a weak defender or a new wrinkle in how the calves are going to match up or whatever there's no wasted possession. It's immediately like, okay, now the understanding is they're going to guard this play like this, which opens up this for us. They're just on it. And from the jump, no wasted time, no wasted possessions. And here they are, and awaiting them is either the thunder or the spurs, who they beat in the NBA Cup finals. Remember the NBA Cup? We still, Howard, we still haven't had a team win the NBA Cup and the NBA title in the same year. The Knicks might as well make that history, too.
Starting point is 00:18:05 The Thunder failed at it last year. We might just look at it. That historic double. And like the Knicks feel internally like, you know, look, Wembe is an alien. No one really has an answer for him consistently. But, you know, Sam Amick wrote this story about Wembe. I think it was after game, I don't remember, but game one or game four, one of the games in the conference finals, about how everyone is watching this series and particularly watching a game like game one and thinking, boy, do we have to find someone who can slow this dude down?
Starting point is 00:18:38 And then like, what's the archetype of that defender? Does it even exist? And an anonymous person in that story by Sam sort of outlined, like, what you really need is a 6-8-69 wing who's both very quick and incredibly strong. And I mean, I haven't talked to the Knicks people since that story. I haven't been to a Knicks game since that story. I can guarantee you, if people in the front office and the coaching staff saw that story, they would have looked at each other and said,
Starting point is 00:19:04 well, it sounds a lot like OGN and Obie. And not that he's going to guard Wemby the entire series. They'll do lots of different things, but they feel like they walk into both of these series with a real chance and some real advantages. And that's what the playoffs is about. Like, yeah, in a 200 game sample size, the Spurs and the Thunder are going to win more games than the Nix.
Starting point is 00:19:23 They're going to put up a better point differential, notwithstanding what the fuck just happened at the Easter conference playoffs. But a matchup is a matchup. The Pacers almost beat the Thunder last year. The Spurs, the Knicks, rather, are a very kind of unusual team. Brunson is an unusual superstar. Cat at the Five is an unusual look. They're difficult to guard.
Starting point is 00:19:43 They're difficult to play against. And I think they have a real shot. And this is just an awesome story of all these players coming together in trades of all different ilks, right? You have the McHill Bridges, like that's the mega trade. The Ananobie trade is like a talent trade. The Josh Hart is a we believe in this guy. let's go get him trade.
Starting point is 00:20:02 And it all, the cat trade is a ceiling raising risk that has paid off. It's just a masterclass of building a roster that has clicked at the right moment. And there was no guarantee it was going to click at the right moment. And it has. And boy, did they just destroy the calves. But what a, what a half decade run for the Knicks. Incredible. And there's just a lot of really important key decisions made along the way there.
Starting point is 00:20:26 Several of which in real time had either pundits like us may be going, huh, not sure, or Knicks fans themselves wincing a bit, right? Like, the play for Carl Anthony Towns was not guaranteed to work out. And Julius Randall certainly was a roller coaster ride for Knicks fans too and for every fans of every team he's been on. But there was some risk, especially in giving up him and DiVincenzo in that deal and taking on Towns who had his own kind of up and down history. Josh Hart had been discarded by like three teams by the time they got him.
Starting point is 00:20:54 And he's the absolute perfect. By the way, like... Stupid teams. Stupid teams. Stupid teams. I mean, the Lakers discarded in France. to get an AD. So like, let's go. Yeah, we could, we could forgive that one. But the Pelicans giving up on him, the Blazers giving up on him. And look, another one where Nick's fans, as recently as a week ago, I have a good friend who texts me sometimes in the middle of games. And it was when you and I were at game one, I think, I think it was during game one, where he was texting me going like, my friend's got to get Josh Hart out of there because
Starting point is 00:21:23 the way he had started and they weren't guarding him and everything else. And then of course, Josh Hart got fired. I texted back like I think you owe Josh an apology. Just the consummate glue guy, consummate like just a spiritual leader type. Like everything, if you, like you can say that Brunson exemplifies everything that there is to know about the Knicks. But I think Josh Hart on a less talented level, sheer talent level, is just as important to the ethos of who the Knicks are. Look, I love Josh Hart. He was on my Marcusole All-Stars this year. after that game one
Starting point is 00:22:00 I said on this podcast with Jason Tim less minutes for Josh Hart is almost never the answer he always responds to these like oh they got to cut his minutes he can't shoot games with like massive games and he's been massive since then every team that wins a title or chases a title needs a Josh Hart and that's like you it's it's a generic thing to say that
Starting point is 00:22:21 about any role player but Josh Hart in particular is the kind of role player that is fun to play with. And I think you need that ingredient on a great team. And everybody likes playing with a guy who is selfless, pushes the pace, does all the dirty work, gang rebounding,
Starting point is 00:22:41 defends whoever you ask him to defend, and is just constantly operating from a perspective of, how can I make the game faster, more fun, and easier for my teammates. Everybody loves to play with a guy like that. And that's what Josh Hart is. And one first round pick and Cam Reddish, boom, this guy's going to be a Nick for life, maybe. And a Nick legend, the way things are going, especially if they win a championship. They all become legends instantaneously.
Starting point is 00:23:08 But, you know, when's the last time we heard anybody complaining about all the picks given up for Mikhail Bridges? Probably a few weeks ago. Or probably when he was looking like he was about to get yanked out of the story lineup during the Atlanta series, which feels like three years ago. Mike Brown was never going to do that. And I said at the time, you shouldn't do that. you can't disrupt this starting five at this time. This starting five has kind of a checkered history. Remember in the playoffs last year by the numbers kind of meh?
Starting point is 00:23:31 I've always liked it and they've been rewarded for sticking by it. But like there was Mike Brown, whatever he did, what he did was right and whatever he said behind the scenes was right. And they stuck by Mikhail Bridges and he's playing the best he's played since he was in Brooklyn. Yeah. And again, that was a controversial deal for the Knicks in part because Mikhail Bridges, as a third or fourth wheel in Phoenix, really good young player.
Starting point is 00:23:58 McHale Bridges as miscast, you know, number one option in Brooklyn, not so great. And then by the time the Knicks get him, it's like, well, you know, what player do we have? And we just give up a shit ton of draft capital
Starting point is 00:24:09 to get him at the peak of draft capital trades, you know, which we may never see again. And so the investment was really big. And the outcome and the fit were unclear. And then, of course, he clashed with Tibbs last year. He was outspoken.
Starting point is 00:24:24 about it, about minutes, about role, about all kinds of stuff. So he starts to come off as maybe a little bit of a malcontent. And yet here we are, everything seems to fit perfectly. And that's how things go, right? Like it's, you know, what is it about the whole, you know, winning covers up everything? But it's a chicken and egg thing. Like, maybe they all just got on the same page and then the winning was produced or maybe the winning started and then everybody else calmed down or whatever. But everybody seems perfectly fitting, perfectly happy with their role. goals. These guys, I mean, you never get any sense. There's any tension out there. Like, yeah, the teams make mistakes, everything. He's got to bark at each other occasionally, all that stuff. But like, this looks like a really fun group. And I think that's been the other hallmark the last few years, even when they've fallen short in the playoffs, this is a really easy team to embrace, even if you weren't a Knicks fan, because of how hard they play, their relentlessness. They have bodies just dropping like flies a couple years ago, and they just keep winning and winning anyway and extending that series against India. two years ago.
Starting point is 00:25:26 Like, they've earned this. They've earned this. It's a really incredible evolution and kind of rebirth for this franchise after everything they've gone through. 27 years just seems insane between NBA finals. And even that, right? Like, that was the 99 finals. That was the lockout season.
Starting point is 00:25:47 So, you know, Phil Jackson putting the big Fed asterisk on that one. They were an eight seed, an eight seed that made the finals. So it was also the improbability of it all. I don't think that is even though he's a champion legend for the Knicks. I don't know that Phil Jackson is a name that any Knicks fans want to hear on today's on today's episode of the show. Probably not. Probably not. Strike it from the record.
Starting point is 00:26:08 But you mentioned tension. And the reality is there has been tension. This season, there were multiple like Kat talks about having to sacrifice the most because of the new offense. At the end of last season, Fred Katz and James Edwards and the athletic wrote a, sort of now they tell a story about, you know, players wondering kind of if Kat takes defense seriously
Starting point is 00:26:31 enough, if he sticks to the scheme enough and owns it hard enough when he doesn't. And all of that has vanished. Cat has stuck to the scheme defensively to a T. I thought one of the fun little subtleties of this Cleveland romp was the way the Knicks toggled the big man matchups with Kat, mostly guarding Mobley,
Starting point is 00:26:50 but sometimes guarding Allen when the cats had both the bigs on the floor. And Ann and Obie, guarding Allen for the most part, but sometimes guarding Mowgli. And they would switch within possessions. Like their big to big rotations were just on point in a way that was like, have they been doing this all season? It was really tremendous to watch. So there have been moments to tension.
Starting point is 00:27:08 Like it all starts with Brunson and signing Brunson away from the Mavericks on a deal that a lot of people panned. I did not. I said, I think I described it as I think it's fine. I think it's like a B, B plus. obviously even that was like wildly pessimistic on what it's become since then he has signed another below market extension with the next but everything starts with him and he got so great so fast and the team got so good so fast that it changed everything about the way they built the team
Starting point is 00:27:39 and that coalesced in the bridges trade i that i was rereading what i wrote about the bridges trade at the time and it was after that indiana series that you mentioned two seasons ago that they stretched out despite half the team going down with injuries. You know, we don't even need to go through the list. And then they overpay for bridges. It's still an overpay. It doesn't even matter if it's an overpay. And I wrote at the time, like, look, the bottom line is I thought that year the Knicks in
Starting point is 00:28:02 2024 with Randall, pre-Cat, pre-Bridges, pre-all this were the second best team in the East, the biggest threat to Boston in the East. And then the injuries just decimated them. And when you get that good, that fast, you make decisions. Like, you don't, there's no point in waiting anymore. There's no point in waiting for this Janice pipe dream that wasn't coming then. There's no point in trying to get Joel M. B. who's already a big injury risk and not available.
Starting point is 00:28:26 He made them so good, so fast that it had to change everything about how they accelerated. And here they are. And look, we have plenty of time to talk about the next. I have a question for you. Are you aware of, have you become aware of a WWE wrestler slash personality named Dan Hanger? No, I have not. So you did not see that Dan Housel. has cursed the cavaliers on national TV and uncursed the Knicks.
Starting point is 00:28:54 I did not realize this person existed, nor that he had this immense power. You need to do it. I went down a rabbit hole of Danhausen. He did this on ESPN. He's a big star. I don't, and I went down a rabbit hole because that was so fascinated. He looks like a little man compared to like regular wrestlers. He looks like a normal dude, skinny, whatever.
Starting point is 00:29:16 The best way I can describe him, Howard, to you, is a, again, he looks like a regular person, except he's sort of like an avant-garde ghoul, Dracula, with face paint on and a funny voice. And I was like, I don't even understand how this guy's a wrestler. Let me go on YouTube and figure this out. And like 90 minutes passed. And I was fascinated because he's like an avant-garde comedy act.
Starting point is 00:29:41 He's presented as like inept and weird and has this belief in himself that he can curse. curse people and it's objectively insane. But the people he curses, eventually bad things start happening to almost randomly. And so he's become a star. He must weigh 180 pounds. And he's become a star. And I googled him. And since he uncursed the Knicks, they have not lost the game. And so he's being credited with this. Now, I will also say this, Howard Beck. I'm just, I'm just going to put it out into the air. Since the episode of your friends and neighbors aired with the OGN and Obie and I cameoing, the Knicks are undefeated.
Starting point is 00:30:21 So I don't know if I belong in the conversation with Danhausen, but these things are happening. The supernatural things are occurring. This keeps up, they're going to have to bump you up to a Westchester eight, maybe a seven and a half. We'll see. We'll see.
Starting point is 00:30:34 You said he looked in Epton weird as a wrestler. I mean, that would have described the Knicks for a long time and now describes the Cleveland Cavaliers perfectly. They're in Eptain weird. I can't recommend a 90 minute, Danhausen. I almost want to watch wrestling. again because he's so, I can't believe this thing exists. All right, let's take a break and talk quickly about the other end of the Eastern Conference
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Starting point is 00:32:47 Multiple entry periods. See official rules at mcclopultra.com slash courtside for free entry, entry deadlines, prizes, and details. Okay. The Cleveland Cavaliers are out. There's just so much material here, Howard, that I don't even know where to start.
Starting point is 00:33:08 Would you like to start with James Hardin going two of eight in an elimination game and a combined 39 points on 7. of 27 shooting in three elimination games, two wins, albeit for the Cavs this year. Would you like to start there? Would you like to start with Kenny Atkinson uttering a quote that will follow him to the grave and deservedly so for the rest of his life about how the cavaliers were actually analytically up two to one in the series against the Knicks when they were down three zero
Starting point is 00:33:43 and losing every game, by the way, by double digit points? And I would like to congratulate the Cavaliers because I looked up the shot quality data on Second Spectrum, Genius IQ today. The Cavaliers expected effective field goal percentage based on who was shooting, specific identity of the shooters, and from where they were shooting
Starting point is 00:34:02 and how close the defenders are and all the fancy nerd stuff was 55.41% for this series. The Knicks, same stat, was 54.8 for the series. So the Kaz by point, seven percentage points won the shot quality banner. They also won zero games in the series.
Starting point is 00:34:23 So I would advise against raising a banner for the 2026 shot quality championship. That's just me. And I just, you can't say that. Look, I understand he was probably trying to imbue his team with confidence, right? Like, we've actually done things well. Let's keep doing what we're doing and maybe the shots will fall. just say that then. Don't say we've analytically,
Starting point is 00:34:49 analytically, we're actually up to one. That's how it came off. It's going to follow him around forever. And here's the other thing. You can't hang your hat on process when you blow a 20-point lead halfway through the fourth quarter of game one. The series ended.
Starting point is 00:35:06 That was it. That was the whole series. And I don't care what happens after that. You can't hang your hat on any process when your process involved blowing that lead. It also elided the fact that there are so many other things besides shot quality that determine who wins and loses a basketball game. For instance, the Cavaliers were 15th out of 16 playoff teams in turnover rate in the playoffs. And their turnover rate was even worse in the Eastern Conference finals.
Starting point is 00:35:34 And the number of just straight up dumbass turnovers was astounding for a team that wanted us to take them seriously. How many in bounds and outlet passes did they throw directly to the other team in this series alone? How many times did players catch the ball out of bounds? How many times the players just dropped the ball out of bounds? How about your transition defense? If you want to hang your hat on shot quality and well, you know, whatever, there are so many other ways to shrink the other margins of the game so that shock quality really could be the deciding factor. How about your transition defense?
Starting point is 00:36:10 last night, I understand 3-0, you probably have a little bit of lack of self-belief that you can do it. Their transition defense last night was absolutely embarrassing for a team that, again, wanted us to take them seriously. And it was embarrassing for parts of the entire playoffs. Clean that up before you talk to me about shock quality. But bigger picture, Howard, this is the ultimate glass-half-full, glass-half-empty argument. Glass-half full, which is what Kenny Ackinson tried to pour last night, hey we finally made the conference finals we got over the hump
Starting point is 00:36:43 let's just stand pat keep it going keep me please keep me keep me keep donovan donovan doesn't says he wants to stay he's extension eligible keep mobily keep hardin he has a player option i would suspect that they have worked out some sort of agreement where he opts out of that
Starting point is 00:36:59 for a lesser amount and re-signs a two year sixty million dollar deal something like that keep everyone together we're headed the right direction we've got over the hump it's the eastern conference Like, it's not like there's some Spurs Thunder powerhouse standing in our way. Keep Jared Allen, like keep the whole infrastructure. Glass half empty. Yeah, they made the conference finals.
Starting point is 00:37:22 Their collective record for the playoffs is 8 and 10. I'm not, I'm just not that impressed with what they, like, to go 7 against Toronto, who was missing quickly the entire series, and the Cavs will sit here and tell you, well, that made them actually harder to play against. We didn't have a defensive liability to pick on. Well, you have to have both ends of the floor singing to win and quickly was a big loss. And Ingram was out half the series. Detroit barely beat Orlando and Cleveland barely beat Detroit.
Starting point is 00:37:49 Eight and ten, I'm just not that impressed. And but I also don't know what else to, I don't know what the right answer is. But I'm just, I'm not buying like, well, because we made it to the conference finals, we are clearly progressing as a team. And we have another year presumably to learn about how to play with James Hardin. And I'm not like their assist rate collapsed. They were last in the playoffs and assist rate. Their offense just didn't look smooth.
Starting point is 00:38:15 Mitchell and Mowgli for the playoffs, that two sum together was minus 68 for the entire playoffs. So they're doing this thing where it's like Mitchell Mowgli, Hardin Allen, those are the pairings. And it just seems like two fundamental things are true about the cabs as they make decisions about how to go forward. Like leave aside to have full glass, half empty glass. These things are true. Number one, in a lot of ways, there's still the same roster that they felt uncertain about when they had Darius Garland, which is we have two undersized guards and two big guys whose fit is unclear. Well, the guards aren't undersized anymore, but let's just say two defensively challenged guards and two bigs whose fit to us is unclear. And in the middle is this giant vacant hole where the Knicks have three giant wings that are really good two-way players.
Starting point is 00:39:05 and we have none. No giant wings that are really good two-way players. Struis is the closest one. They finally started Struc, so it was too little, too late. And fundamental truth number two is, related to that, it feels like they have to pick a lane sometimes. Like, do you believe in Allen and Mowgli together, or do you not believe in Allen and Mowgli together?
Starting point is 00:39:28 And should you just pick one and have Mowbly be your starting center? And yet when they play that way, they're so small around him that when he has to defend the pick and roll up high on the floor and they get the ball behind him, there's just absolutely no resistance because they're tiny when they play with one big. And so for as much as they've changed and as far as they've gotten, it still feels like they're stuck in the same problem, same fundamental problem and not really like that much better. I'm just not that impressed with their playoff run. And yet I don't know. I'm not sure that the answer still isn't. Let's just stand pat and not do anything crazy because I don't know what their
Starting point is 00:40:07 alternatives are. I mean, throughout this era, and I mean, you know, the era of once they acquired Donovan Mitchell, pair him with Darius Garland, Jared Allen and Evan Mobley, that quartet before they broke it up with the Garland Hardin deal. There had always been some doubts around the league. I'm sure you and I both heard a lot of this along the way. Just, yes, your back court is undersized and defensively challenged. that's going to potentially put a ceiling on how far you can go with that and how's the fit going to be
Starting point is 00:40:36 overall. And, you know, over the course of a couple of years, I think it got better in terms of just their offensive distribution and responsibilities. And then the two bigs. And then on top of that, that was the playing layer. Then there was the salary cap layer, which was, can you afford to keep all these guys in perpetuity because of what it was going to do to your cap, your tax, second apron, all of that. And they've come up against that, too. And I, I guess to their credit, you know, they stuck with it because they truly believed. This is, we'll pay the tax. We'll go into the second apron. We believe in this grouping, and we're going to write it as far as we can.
Starting point is 00:41:12 And as far as we can meant ending three months ago whenever it was when they, out of the blue, flipped Garland for Hardin, a deal that I don't think anybody saw coming until, you know, the day it actually happened. As recently as right before this series when I was talking to some cabs people, they were very, very happy with the swap of Garland for Hardin. They felt very confident in the wisdom of that move and what Hardin had brought them. They felt it was everything they needed. And yet here we are talking once again at the end of another Hardin team collapse
Starting point is 00:41:42 and how bad he was at key moments and in key games and elimination games. Dude ain't beaten the allegations. I don't want to hear any more of the Hardin Apologists out there saying we've all just been mean to him and we've misread. Let's just read his numbers in full while we do the Hardin autops. First of all, he's 36 years old. And so to expect him to score 25 a game on efficient shooting and defend Jalen Brunson over and over down the stretch of games is not realistic anymore.
Starting point is 00:42:14 And I want to qualify my own criticism by just saying this, and I said this to some cash people not long ago. This is the one time when I think, while Hardin is certainly as responsible as anybody for what we just saw, this is not his responsibility of this team. At this stage of his career, this is more about Donovan Mitchell and everybody else. This is a collective, this is a collective structural failure in this series, not for the season. Yes.
Starting point is 00:42:40 All right. Harden for the series, for the playoffs, rather. 19 a game, five rebounds, five and a half assists. That assist number combined with Donovan Mitchell averaging three assists for the playoffs is a red alert number that something was not working with the offense. But 19, 5, and 5, 41% shooting, 30% on threes, 52% on twos. And I mentioned in the three elimination games, 39 combined points on 7 of 27 shooting, and was just sort of quietly carried across the finish line in game 7 against the Pistons that they won by a lot.
Starting point is 00:43:15 And so no one really talked about like another hardened dud. Now, game three and game five against the Pistons, monster clutch moments across the board. and you have to give him credit for that. Evan Mowgli in the playoffs, again, a lightning rod player, right? 17 points a game, 8 rebounds, 4 assists, 53% shooting, pretty good, 34% on threes, 63% on twos. Pretty good. I thought we'd be getting more than 17 a game out of Evan Mowbly,
Starting point is 00:43:48 and I thought like we had probably progressed by the point where Deuce McBride is stripping him one-on-one in the post in an elimination game, but we still leave me a little cold. And I want to give the credit to the Knicks for one thing, 34% on threes for Evan Mobley. They never made the mistake that a lot of teams make, which is they just were not going to overreact to Evan Mobley shooting semi-open threes. They're not going to compromise their defense anywhere else for the most part,
Starting point is 00:44:15 and I thought that was smart. And Donovan Mitchell, I'll read you his playoff stats, 26 a game, okay, five rebounds, three assists, I mentioned, three assists to 2.6 turnover is not great. 45% shooting, 33% on threes, 54% on twos. That sounds good. It didn't feel that good.
Starting point is 00:44:39 And there was just something synergistically off with the cabs in this series of particular. And now they, so like, again, I don't even know what the answer is, right? They clearly need a wing. They've been searching for this wing since they cycle through Kare Slavert, DeAndre Hunter, Keanu Ellis, Max Struce, Dean Wade.
Starting point is 00:44:58 And you saw the difference between Struz and Wade in the series. It's like when Dean Wade was in the game, find defensive player doesn't make enough shots. Like, fine, like he's always been out analytics darling. The Knicks could put Brunson on him and just not worry about it at all. Like when you hunt Brunson with Dean Wade as the screener, Brunson's going to double and recover and Dean Wade's going to roll around wherever he rolls around it.
Starting point is 00:45:18 The Knicks just aren't going to care. When Struz is in that position, the Knicks all of a sudden care. The Knicks have to recover quickly. They have to rotate a third guy to Max Struis. they have to switch sometimes because they're scared of a shooting. Dean Wade was not the answer. I don't know what the answer is, but here's the thing. Mowgli, well, I mean, like, here are the decisions, right?
Starting point is 00:45:36 Donovan Mitchell's eligible for a max max, max, a max, 35% max extension that would kick in the year after this year. And says he wants to stay. I talked about picking a lane. You sign him to that extension. That's the lane. That's your lane now. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:45:52 Your other lane is, and Bill pitched this, like, should you just get out of this business all together? and start over and trade Donovan Mitchell for future assets. Based on Dan Gilbert's tweet after the game last night, I don't see that happening. The other decision is Mobley. I don't really see a reason to trade Mobley or a good Mobley trade, but the Mobley for Yonis thing is certainly an interesting trade. The other thing people have to understand about these fake Mobley trades, and the same
Starting point is 00:46:19 thing applies to the Thunder. We'll talk about that. The Cavs are going to be over the second apron or right around the second apron. If they're over the second April and they can't aggregate salaries, and if they can't aggregate salaries, trading Mowbly from Yannis requires like a third team, a 14, lots of different stuff happening. I don't know. Would you contemplate that? For Yonis specifically or a Mowgli trade in general? I don't know what the other Mowgli trade is. So for Yonahus specifically.
Starting point is 00:46:44 Yeah, I don't know. I don't know if there's another version of it where you're getting Jalen Brown instead or like, you know, I'm starting to cycle through like all the other potential. Again, second April. He makes $20 million more than Evan Mowley does. It's really hard. It's just really hard. I think I would be very hesitant at this stage to give up on the possibility of Evan Mobley because we see those flashes. Like, you know, at the time he was drafted, people couldn't wait to compare him to Tim Duncan or Kevin Garnett or a combination thereof or whatever. He was going to be, you know, this do everything big who was perfect for the modern game and could guard every position and shoot from everywhere and all that.
Starting point is 00:47:20 and we haven't quite seen that come together. But, you know, that's one of the hardest decisions, I think, for teams to make, especially when it's your own guy and they're still early in their career. At what point do you conclude that this is as evolved as they're going to get as a player? He's still 24. He'll be 25 in a few weeks. Not even in his prime yet. I would be very hesitant.
Starting point is 00:47:49 On the other hand, if you were getting Janus, the problem with all the Janus discussions is this. How confident is any team that's acquiring him that they're going to somehow unlock something health-wise that the Bucks did not, right? That's a question I think every franchise is asking themselves. Atop the, we have to know that he's going to resign here,
Starting point is 00:48:12 and then we have to pay him the giant contract that's inextricably tied to his aging and health issues. But if you thought, listen, we have the greatest medical staff that's ever been assembled in the history of humankind. We're going to keep him healthy through a full season. I think you would bank on one full season at minimum of a healthy Janus combined with Donovan Mitchell and Jared Allen and James Harden, presuming they're all there and LeBron on a minimum, let's say, and say, you know what, we're just all in. And whatever it costs us to keep him, if he wants to stay, Janus, cool, great, fine. but we're going to be all in because Donovan Mitchell's far enough into his prime and we've got a window here and we're not giving up on him and, you know, we'll take our chances. We'll take our chances and extend. And if it means that we're getting killed on the back end of a Janus contract when it's no longer possible for our greatest medical team in the history of humankind to keep him on the court, fine, we'll pay the price then. But in the meantime, if it gives us a chance to get through the Knicks or the still rising pistons, or the reconstituted Celtics or whoever it may be.
Starting point is 00:49:20 How about the Pacers who exist still? Looming. So the Knicks are really in a lot of ways, and there are other teams like the Nix, the best argument for not blowing it up is that, you know, if you're patient and you keep plugging away and you make some moves here and there, you can break through eventually. And I don't see them doing anything dramatic like trading Donovan Mitchell for future assets. They just don't seem like a team that is the actual.
Starting point is 00:49:47 appetite for that. Now, his contract, and Bobby Mark says the numbers today, it's going to be gigantic like all these ones, is you just have to look in the mirror and ask yourself, like, okay, when he's 33, we're going to be paying him this percentage of the salary cap. Is he good enough to justify that? The answer for almost every player in the NBA, other than like the top five guys is, it's like some kind of noise like that, but you kind of just do it. but you know I like how you just threw LeBron at a minimum was just throwing in at the end there
Starting point is 00:50:19 why not but you do have to think about like this Mowgli for Janus fantasy land trade which you know would be a lot more palatable to me if I were the cabs that I had not already traded up in age 10 years by flipping Garland for Hardin like if I flip Mowgli for Janus I've just gone from like a young funky interesting team
Starting point is 00:50:38 to like holy shit we got old fast not only that like Hardin plus Janus plus Jared Allen is just a funky group like the talent is there but the fit on offense is just so Hardin's going to dribble all the time
Starting point is 00:50:54 what's Janice doing Jared Allen has no range to his game how does he fit with Janice? There's like a lot of questions to answer there. I'm glad you mentioned Jalen Brown because there's something
Starting point is 00:51:09 interesting, a little interesting about Mobley for Gellon Brown is a trade construction. Now who throws in what to make that happen and the apron issues and all that. But I, you know, I find myself looking at the standings and thinking, like, what really good wing could the Cavs get? And it's hard because, like, Trey Murphy III,
Starting point is 00:51:31 Michael Porter, Jr., like, you're not trading Evan Mobley for those guys. And I'm not sure their teams are going to be, like, hungry enough to take Jared Allen for those guys, even if you throw in the one pick that the cats can trade, the one first round pick. I tried to get Kauai. Like, is there a Jared Allen for Kauai kind of construction, plus one first round pick going to the clippers? But again, the second apron looms because Jared Allen makes so much less than Kauai.
Starting point is 00:52:00 It's a tough nut to crack. And they obviously have to figure out the finances like Dean Wade's a free agent. Is he just a cap casualty maybe? but I don't know the right answer. And the right answer just may be there isn't a better choice other than kind of mostly standing pad. That may well be the case. And I also think this is one of those cases where given a choice between staying the
Starting point is 00:52:23 course and trying to augment as you go and bank on some internal improvement and whatever, better chemistry and who knows, if it's that versus like whether it's a tear down or just a semi-tear down, a blow it up, trade Donovan Mitchell for assets and all that stuff. I just don't see that as being necessary right now, right? This is not a case where, like, I wrote about this. It'll be up on the ringer today, but like, if you're in the West, it would be understandable if you have a certain amount of despair if you're not the spurs and thunder. Like, how are we breaking through this gauntlet any time in the next five years and maybe longer?
Starting point is 00:53:00 The East is not that way, right? All due respect to the Knicks who are on a historic tear right now, but this is a is not Wembeyanama and Castle and Harper or Shea, Chet, Jalen, and a gazillion other players with all this depth. You're not trying to get through the LeBron Wade, Heedles, or the Warriors of Steph, Clay, Drayman, and Kady. If you're the Cavaliers, you have at least a little reason to believe that with a tweak, you know, tweaks here and there, or maybe some, you know, one big swing, but not a teardown swing, trying to improve, we'll still be there with the Knicks and the Celtics and the Pistons and the Magic maybe and the Hawks and whatever.
Starting point is 00:53:42 The East is a mishmash, right? It's funny because if you go back to October, we all thought this was a two-team race, or most of us did. I thought it was going to be between the Knicks and the Cavs in October. And it was in the end. And it was in the end. Yay, I was right, except I was wrong for like five months in between when we all got, you know, caught up in the wave of, oh, my God, look at the pistons.
Starting point is 00:54:05 Oh my God, look at the Celtics overachieving without Jason Tatum. Ooh, now Tatum is back. I think they're the finals favorites. I thought they were. But I think it just goes to show that, like, there was just a lot of volatility. And these teams, as I wrote after the first round, the parody, the era of parity we're in is not just applying to the finals and the champion each year and having a different champion and different finals entrance every year.
Starting point is 00:54:29 It's that there just isn't a massive gap between these teams. We are not in a super team era, for the most part, all due respect again to the Thunder and Spurs. But like, especially in the East, I just, the Knicks, what they're doing right now makes it look like the gap is massive. If you had asked about what the gap was between all these teams in March or April or February, I don't think we would have thought it was that huge. And so if you're the Cavs, I think you just try to stay in that race. Much like last year's conference finals, although more embarrassingly so for the Cavs than it was for the Knicks, I would love to just see the alternate reaction. of how the series unfolds if the Cavs win game won.
Starting point is 00:55:09 Because I just think you can't absorb a loss like that, particularly when you're the underdog. There was just no coming back from that game. I don't know. We'll see what they do. These are very tough decisions. Like the Mitchell extension is as easy and clean as it looks. It's like, oh, we're Cleveland,
Starting point is 00:55:25 we traded a tonne to get Donovan Mitchell. Like Lowry Marketon has become a top 25 player in the NBA. And he was just sort of not even the headliner in that trade. the picks were. So there's not a sunk sunk cost is too pessimistic a term, but like they're going to be very motivated to bring Donovan Mitchell back. All these decisions
Starting point is 00:55:44 are hard. I just don't know. I haven't been, I have not found a great alternative like mega decision for the Cavs. Like I have even found like a great Jared Allen trade for them, let alone a good Mobley trade. Okay, let's leave the Cavs behind
Starting point is 00:55:59 as they as they prepare the shot quality banner for the Rocket Mortgage Arena, whatever the hell it's called now. I think it's just Rocket Arena now, which that's a good edit. That's a good edit.
Starting point is 00:56:13 It sounds cooler. The word mortgage does not sound cool or interesting. You know what doesn't sound cool? The diff still doesn't sound cool. No, it does not. And Yamungatron does not sound cool. Retire both of those. Oh, Cab's Game Ops, man.
Starting point is 00:56:30 Quick, quick run through some NBA news stories, including Game 5 of the. West Finals. Jalen Brown, did you see Jalen Brown's reaction to not making first team all NBA on his Twitch stream? Which again, I want to come on to Twitch.
Starting point is 00:56:43 Like, I'm just throwing myself out there as a guest. I'm available. I just want to be one of the people who stands in the background aimlessly. Me and G.R.D., hashtag Green Runs Deep. Like, I'll go on. And did you see his reaction to this?
Starting point is 00:56:57 I did not see it, the actual tape. On Twitch. Yeah. I know that he, in real time reacted, first acting, very aggrieved. And then when the second team came out, I guess what was happening in real time. And he was like, oh, and then suddenly he was very, you know, semi-magnanimous.
Starting point is 00:57:15 Yeah, I'm not the most liked fan or media. Sometimes I use my platform a little controversial, so I'm surprised I'm on any team, let alone first or second. I'm grateful, blah, blah, blah. You know, look, no, there was no conspiracy. The five guys who made the first team just had back. better seasons than Jalen Brown. Sorry.
Starting point is 00:57:36 Like at the moment that Kate and Luca were ruled eligible, and maybe that's the conspiracy, he's hinting at, Jalen Brown became his second team all-in-bate player. And by the way, he received the most votes by far of everyone on the second team and almost made first team. There's just no,
Starting point is 00:57:52 I mean, like, you could make the case based on wins, and he played, I have all the stats up here right now. He played 71 games, which I think is the most of, it is the most of the sort of general group of guys who would have been, including Luca,
Starting point is 00:58:04 and Cade, who played 64 each. I mean, there's just no argument for him over Luca or Cade, I don't think. I mean, I'm so sorry. I don't really have a hot take on that one. Second team, All-N-B-A is an awesome honor. Like, there's no, there was no, the content of Jalen Brown's media interviews and Twitch stream did not, in fact, the All-N-BA voting. Well, a couple things there.
Starting point is 00:58:27 One is that, yes, Jalen Brown has taken some hits over the last couple of weeks and a lot of criticism from the media because of all the things on the Twitch stream. But that has nothing to do with the vote for All-MBA because that happened weeks and weeks ago before the Celtics had lost, before Jalen Brown had talked about this being his most enjoyable season, all that stuff.
Starting point is 00:58:48 So if he's saying that it's past things that he said that somehow has the media, you know, has it in for, I don't even know. I think this was his highest ever finish all-MBA-wise, right? He had a third team before, if I'm remembering correctly. I don't know. I don't know. Howard. I'm too, I'm focused on other things. His tone changed very quickly from aggrieved and there's a
Starting point is 00:59:10 conspiracy against me to, oh, I made second team and the universe is wonderful and everything is great. And at that point, he's not saying, gee, thank you media for actually recognizing what a great season I had. It's still the aggrieved aspect of not being first. And it was just, it was strange. He made second team all NBA in 2023. Okay. So twice. In general, with very few exceptions, I think Fox Mulder would be one. If you think there's a conspiracy against you, you're wrong. There's not a conspiracy against you, just in general. Just as a general rule of thumb.
Starting point is 00:59:47 I'm glad you mentioned this. Can I just a quick tangent in this exact zone, though, of conspiracies, fake conspiracies, things that do not happen, have not happened, are not happening. A couple weeks ago, and I think it's just going to be about aliens? It is not going to be about Victor Wembeyanama. It is about Luca Donchich, and the fact that when he did not finish higher in the MVP race, I think he finished fourth, there were a lot of people, the Luca stands, the Luca. This does not even deserve our time, Howard. It doesn't deserve our time.
Starting point is 01:00:20 It doesn't. I just want to note he was on all 100 ballots for all NBA, 91 first place votes and nine second place votes, all 100 ballots, and only played 64 games and had to get a pass, 8,8. a waiver from the NBA to even be eligible. If there were a conspiracy against Luca Donchich, he would not be on all 100 ballots with 91 first and finishing first team. So the next time somebody on social media or elsewhere tells you that there is some mass media conspiracy, they hate Luca, we don't know why they hate Luca,
Starting point is 01:00:50 but we know they hate him for some reason. There's something. Maybe they don't like his hair. These people are rage baiting. They're gifting. They're misleading you. Don't listen to them anymore. You've already given it too much oxygen then.
Starting point is 01:01:01 It is. I just need to get that off my chest. Speaking of aliens, speaking of aliens, I'm a little nervous because my level of excitement for the Steven Spielberg movie Disclosure Day,
Starting point is 01:01:13 which is coming out soon, is I, when I get this excited about a movie, I'm almost always disappointed and it's my fault. I get my hype level is too high. I haven't been this hyped for a blockbuster movie
Starting point is 01:01:25 in a long, long time. And I'm not like, I don't know the MCU. I'd like, that's not my thing. So there's probably other movies that have had this level of blockbuster intrigue. This one, I'm just very excited.
Starting point is 01:01:36 I feel like it's a Steven Spielberg passion project that he's been waiting to make for a long, long time and has now made to his liking. So anyway, real quickly, Jail and Duren making all NBA over Scotty Barnes now looks immensely regrettable given how amazing Scotty Barnes was in the playoffs and how not amazing Jail and Dern was. I'm here to defend that decision. I don't think it really even needs to be defended. Just, again, it's a regular season award. I'm just going to say right now,
Starting point is 01:02:07 and there's this idea that Jalen Duren is just mooching off of Cade Cunningham and that Scotty Barnes is the number one option on a team that needs him to do everything. And there's truth to both of those polls. Jail and Duren averaged almost 20 points a game of the regular season. He on isolations averaged 1.225 points per isolation. I'm looking on the second spectrum stuff. That was fifth among all ball handlers in the NBA with at least 50 isolations. You combine that with an offensive rebounding rate of 15% and his ability to push in transition and his passing.
Starting point is 01:02:43 He was creating a little bit more offense than the all. All he did was dunk off Cade Cunningham critics would have you believe. Now, a lot of the offensive rebounds are created by Cate Cunningham, Cate Cunningham's Penetration. but I just think, and defensively he was good, not great, but good. As a regular season award, I think he was completely deserving, and Scotty Barnes was a tough casualty, and in the end, whatever. And I also saw some criticism of, well, he fattened up against tanking teams toward the end of the season when Cade was out with the collapsed lung,
Starting point is 01:03:18 and the Pistons remained awesome. I just, like, for the whole entire season, the Pistons in something like 700, minutes with Jail and Duren on the floor and Cade Cunningham off the floor were plus 11 for 100 possessions for the entire season. So it's like there's there was a pretty airtight statistical case that Jail and Duren deserved to be all NBA. And it's not like he's the only guy who made it at the expense of Scotty Barnes. So I just like want to put that to bed. Let's talk let's end on a glorious note, which is game of the year is happening tonight. spurs thunder
Starting point is 01:03:58 give me one thing you're looking forward to in this game Howard Beck I mean I don't know how many times I've shrieked in the last week just at Wemby things often when he's pulling up from somewhere between the logo and the arc what am I looking at
Starting point is 01:04:20 I don't know these two teams are incredible it sucks that Jalen Williams and AJ Mitchell are both out, I assume, still tonight. And hopefully on the spur side of it, Fox and Harper are still good to go. I would love to see both these teams at full strengths for this entire series.
Starting point is 01:04:38 That's not the reality of the NBA in 2026, unfortunately. I'm just looking forward to seeing whatever the next stage of Wemby's real-time growth is right before our eyes, right? And this is not to ignore anything about the thunder or any disrespect to them, like they're a fun team. But, you know, this is how it goes, right?
Starting point is 01:04:56 Their breakout was last year, and we got to, like, discover what they were all about and just how far they could stretch themselves and the things that Shea could do. And this is new. Like, Wemby's been around for a couple of years, but this is new every single stage, every game of his first NBA postseason at age 22 to see the, how serious he's become even, how ferocious. One of the things I've loved about him personality-wise is how giving he's been, of himself in interviews, right?
Starting point is 01:05:25 He's very open, he's very elaborate in his answers. Do you notice how Kurt he's gotten? And not in a rude way, not off-putting. He's not being mean to the media or anything. He's just got, like, the dude's gotten deathly serious. And the answers are very, he's always very literal anyway in the sense that he always tries to answer the exact question. He won't just take off on his own whatever.
Starting point is 01:05:50 He usually tries to answer it directly. And he's doing that, but he's, that dude's locked in. And I think it's one of the things I loved about of most of the last couple of years and seeing how he's come into this place in the league is that the greats aren't just talented on day one, like, oh, look at his wingspan, look at his, look at how well he can shoot the three for a seven foot or whatever, all this, all the stuff that charts out as an all-time great. It's ultimately ends up being a lot about how they conduct themselves, their work
Starting point is 01:06:20 ethic, their seriousness, how much they actually care, how much they actually want to win. There are plenty of guys with a lot of talent who don't really want to win as much as you would hope they do or think they do they do. This guy is about it. And the joy of watching him is not just the incredible feats of athleticism and shotmaking and ball handling that we see. It's seeing he actually fucking cares. He wants this badly.
Starting point is 01:06:47 And I don't know. that I think just permeates everything and watching a game with him. And he, since the second half of game three, obviously that was a Thunder win game three, but has after a brief blip of, okay, they're defending me with big guys after game one, and I'm not sure how I can get to the rim as easily as I did in that game when 70-something percent of his shots came at the basket. He is just played with more force in the last six quarters, just rolling harder to the rim, and Castle's got him baskets at the rim,
Starting point is 01:07:21 Fox has gotten in baskets at the rim, just directing as much of his energy toward the basket as possible. In game four, 54% of his shots came at the rim. In games two and three, it was about 30%. And the Spurs got 46% of their shots at the basket in game four,
Starting point is 01:07:38 which is their highest amount of the series. The thing I will be looking for is, it's a little unfair, particularly of J. Dub and A.J. Mitchell, the second and third best ball handlers on the team are out and Chet is averaging 11 points a game in the series and just hasn't been able to get
Starting point is 01:07:54 into the series offensively. So all of that said, a little unfair. I think this is the biggest, this game tonight is the biggest challenge of Shea Gilders-Alexander's career. And I say that because I said this with Bill on Sunday. Game four,
Starting point is 01:08:10 it's 2-2, so no one has figured anybody out. But game four had the feel of the spurs figured out the best way to defend the thunder. They stopped trapping high on the floor, and they only really sent dramatic help to Shea, whether it was on the,
Starting point is 01:08:27 well, let's just stick to the ISOs when Hartenstein's off the floor and Victor's playing his own. She can get into the paint at will. Like, no one is keeping him out of the paint. The difference was the help was only coming when he got in the paint. And I think it was just an understanding of
Starting point is 01:08:42 they're just killing us when we trap with open threes. And if we have Victor back there, we don't have to do all this crazy stuff. Let him get into the paint and then we'll swarm him and he'll have to figure it out from there. And it's just a very hard thing to navigate. And even like those Hartenstein floaters at the beginning of the game, when he is in the game,
Starting point is 01:09:01 they just made a decision like, Victor's coming up to the level of the screen on Shea and he's going to track Shea and just not let him get clean twos and force to pass to Hardinstein. And he can get back and make him take those floaters 17 feet in the air because he's so goddamn tall. But when Shea is playing the one-on-one game and the traps aren't there,
Starting point is 01:09:23 it's just a really hard puzzle to solve because he gets in the lane with a guy on his back and Victor in front of him and two guys showing a little bit of like on our toes help, but not totally committed help from the wing. There's just no room to do anything. And I don't even know what to solve for that is other than they still were able to generate some good threes. and they just have to make more of them, like those Ken Rich Williams threes
Starting point is 01:09:49 where I think instructive shots, even though the game was out of hand at that point. I don't know what the part of it is. He's just going to have to make more of the clean-ish shots that emerge. And he had one where he was like, you know what? If you're going to crowd me in the middle, I'm just going to dribble all the way to my pet spot on the baseline,
Starting point is 01:10:06 sideline area and make shots from there. It's the biggest challenge he's face. And it had the air of that game had the first moment of like, okay, one of the teams has figured out a fundamental thing that works in this series and is sustainable. And I just, without a second and third ball handler to kick it to, because that's the way you really beat that defense is kick another guy drives, you relocate. And we pile the advantage on top of advantage, on top of advantage until it gets wider. We make Victor defend multiple drives and kicks. Without those two guys, it's really hard.
Starting point is 01:10:43 And I'm just curious to see what the answer is. Game of the Year tonight, Howard Beck. You're the man. Thanks for waking up early with us today. And boy, the Knicks, I'll see you somewhere. World's Most Famous Arena is going to be hosting the NBA final. New York is going to have the finals and the World Cup at the same time. And it's going to be summer.
Starting point is 01:11:04 And I'm a little afraid for what the city is going to be like. I'm sorry, I just know that I have never seen so many NYPD in a four-block radius around the garden as I've as I've seen after the first couple of games of the conference finals, and I can't even imagine what it's going to be for the finals. It's going to be bonkers. We need to reach the – never mind. I'll save the commentary for later. Howard Beck, real ones this week,
Starting point is 01:11:27 and you're going to have something up on the ringer.com about the cabs. It sounds like thank you for your time, buddy. Let's bring in John Hollinger and talk about the other big issue in the NBA this week, lottery reform. Okay, the other big story in the NBA that affects the sadsac teams and some of the non-sad-sad-sac teams is happening in two days. the board of governors will vote on the three, two, one, boom, lottery proposal. John Hollinger, you're the perfect guy to talk about this with because, A, you are brilliant,
Starting point is 01:11:56 and B, you worked in a front office. You worked in a front office that has some particular things at stake with this vote that we'll talk about. But I just wanted to, like, there's been, you've written about it, and there's just been a lot of debate about, I think everyone understands broadly what this proposal does with its relegation. zone and it's ever flattening of the odds. It just makes it less profitable, be terrible, more random in terms of who picks at the top, in the middle, and everything. Just with still the general withered away, but still their principle of, you know, the best
Starting point is 01:12:34 teams won't pick at the top and the worst teams will disproportionately pick in the top 12, at least. More randomization, more flattening. And this general debate that you've written about, this general discomfort that I think exists, even though I expect this proposal to pass, of, okay, we get that this is addressing egregious tanking, which was particularly egregious this season, and really removes the incentive to do that. But does it have a downside of the draft is supposed to be hope for bad teams? It's supposed to redistribute talent to the teams that need it the most, and are we risking
Starting point is 01:13:12 trapping bad teams in an endless cycle of badness by not rewarding them with or a better chance, at least of a high pick in the draft. It's a hard debate to wrap your head around because I think, you know, all of our basketball souls are sick of tanking, but also well-versed in the reality that the draft is supposed to be a mechanism
Starting point is 01:13:35 to redistribute talent to the teams who need it to most. And I've always kind of believed in my gut. Like every time someone would propose, well, let's get rid of the draft or let's have all 30 teams have an equal chance at the number one pick and just disconnect records from pick order. That has always felt icky to me. And I've said many times it all sounds great until the thunder get the number one pick in the draft. You're like, oh, the thunder just got AJ DeBantza. That seems bad. But where do you net out on this proposal?
Starting point is 01:14:05 Has it struck the right balance? Are you, as we approach the vote, are you more enthusiastic than you were? two weeks ago, less enthusiastic? What are your actual thoughts on it? I am probably more enthusiastic. There are a couple of micro elements that I think could be better, but let's not have the perfect be the enemy of the good. I think the number one objective, I mean, the end of this season was awful when half of the schedule is unwatchable on any given night, because if you have eight tanking teams, they all have an opponent. That means 16 out of 30. That's half the league, right? So, you can't do that. You have to protect the product first. So this definitely accomplishes that.
Starting point is 01:14:48 Teams will be trying to win basically through the end of the season. There will be some teams who are locked into the three ball area that will take their foot off the gas probably the last couple of weeks. But other than that, everyone's going to be trying basically through the course of the entire season. And it even disincentivizes some of the things like shutting guys down. down, even if you, because when you're out of it, yes, you can tank for the lottery pick, but the other thing you do is shut down veteran players because you just, you don't want them to play anymore, basically, not just from a tanking perspective, but from an injury prevention perspective. And so those teams just descend into awfulness either way. And so I think they've
Starting point is 01:15:34 done a lot to address those things. And, you know, we've, we've definitely, settled on tanking is the best way to improve a bad team. Every bad team has relied on that for years now. So is that the only way to improve a bad team? I mean, I think that remains an open question. I mean, you look at Brooklyn, they had no picks. They had probably the worst rebuilding situation in history, and they still built themselves up to a playoff team before Katie and Kyrie arrived. You look at Indiana last year. They were able to do a middle build with no tanking and were one game from the championship. Several of the best players of the last several years were not high draft picks.
Starting point is 01:16:18 When you look at Janus, Joker, even, you know, Curry Thompson, Dremont, not a top five pick among them. So, yes, it was, like, given the option, if I was running a team, yes, I would tank, given the incentives that were in place. But there are other ways to do this without tanking. And would they be as like? to be successful. It's just a straight tank. Probably not. But we know that there are other ways to bake this pie. I've always said tanking is the most effective of a bunch of long shot ways to
Starting point is 01:16:56 build a championship team. It's still a long shot. It might be the shortest long shot, the easiest long shot, whatever, but it's still, you need to get the right draft, the right pick, the right time. And, you know, like, let's just first be clear about what we're talking about in terms of the change. Currently, just a couple of statistical examples to really boil it down. Currently, if you're one of the three worst teams in the league, you have a 40% chance-ish at a top three pick. That will shrink from 40 to 16% in the new system when you are, if you're one of the three worst teams, you're in the relegation zone. if you are a mid-tier team like one of the three-ball teams right now you have depending on where you are
Starting point is 01:17:43 a 10 to 15% chance at like a top three pick that's going to go up to 24% and similarly for a top five pick you have again it varies a lot depending on where you are in that range from like the fourth worst to the 10th worst like a 25% chance at a top five pick and that's going to go up to almost a 40% chance. There are some teams, like if you just isolate like the sixth worst team, their odds at a top three pick actually go down a tiny bit in the new system.
Starting point is 01:18:12 So it really depends where you are. But those are the changes we're talking about. And honestly, like, if I like the proposal, I think it's got some flaws that we can talk about. I just, I'm with you in that tanking has become a worse problem than being tried.
Starting point is 01:18:31 trapped in badness. And I'm ready to live in a world where we prioritize eliminating the worst problem. And that's tanking. In part because we've seen teams trapped in badness under the current system already. The Wizards, the Kings, New Orleans for a lot of their history have not been helped by tanking. Tanking is not a fail safe. And so I'm okay with sort of changing the incentives that way. And this is just where I really come down. I was talking. to a GM over the weekend about this wrestling with this. And he said to me something that I feel too is like, we've never really lived in a reality where we know what the NBA looks like
Starting point is 01:19:12 when everyone is actually trying to win. And I'm ready, but I'm like I'm ready to live in that reality because, you know, it's probably not that hard to build a 500 team if you're trying to win. And we've seen teams build to that and then get to that. level and then make some smart moves to climb up even further. And I'm ready to just live in a reality where everyone is trying to win all the time with the remnants of a draft that still is going to reward the worst teams or the bottom teams more than the good teams.
Starting point is 01:19:48 And it could be that like when everyone is trying to win, it actually gets harder to build a 500 team than it is now because you don't get to fatten up against these teams aren't trying to win. But I'm still, I'm ready to live there. Yeah, the NBA is Lake Wobagon right now, where everyone who's trying is above average. There were 19 teams with winning records this year. That should be impossible. And it was possible because the 11 teams that were under were so bad. Like, winning between 30 and 40 games is basically a sucker's bet. And you've seen very few teams end up in that Golden State accidentally ended up there
Starting point is 01:20:20 this year. But you see very few teams end up between 30 and 40 wins because they reach a point where they realize they're going to end up there and then they, you know, pull the rip cord and and knocked themselves down in the standings like Memphis did this year. And so that's going to end, and that will be a really welcome thing. There's also these sub-rules that you can't have the number one pick in the draft two years in a row. So Wizards, you cannot get the number one pick again next year. You shouldn't be trying to get the number one pick because you have Anthony Davis and Trey
Starting point is 01:20:47 on longtime illustrious Wizards careers for the two of them. And the controversial one, Kevin O'Connor, broke this news over the weekend. You can't have a top five pick three straight years. years. And why that matters is they're backdating it to the 2025 draft where Utah had the fifth pick and selected Ace Bailey. Utah has the second pick this year. So they will be banned from having a top five pick next year. Problem, they don't own their pick next year. The Grizzlies do. And so the grizzlies by the transitive property of NBA lottery math are now banned as the current proposal stands from having a top five pick next year in the event that you, you know,
Starting point is 01:21:30 Utah's pick falls there. Seems unlikely. Utah is telegraphed through its moves that it's trying to win next year. You never know. Guys get injured. Teams don't work. Lottery balls. Lottery balls get more random. You can jump in there, right? Utah could easily end up in the play in, be a two ball team and then have a decent chance of ending up in the top five. Yeah. And Memphis, I'm assuming, is furious at this. I actually think this is one of the rare cases where a team is blindly self-interested and also correct. I think that's an unfair wrinkle. They made this trade based on a different set of rules,
Starting point is 01:22:04 and now a new set of rules is being inflicted upon them. Now, I think they are supportive of it from what I've heard. I think they're one of the teams that's very supportive of the relegation zone and all that. But it doesn't feel fair to me that that's being, that rug is being pulled out from under them. Am I missing something? I'm always suspicious when a team is self-interested,
Starting point is 01:22:22 but they actually seem correct. I don't understand why you, couldn't grandfather in the picks that were already traded, right? That seems like the easiest thing to do. Because, I mean, like if Brooklyn had won the lottery this year, that would have affected Houston next year, not Brooklyn. And there are chances that those Phoenix picks Houston owns will be impacted by this down the line. Because to be clear, just to simplify it for people, Houston has the right to swap picks with Brooklyn next year. And if they had gotten the number one pick this year, Houston would have been like, wait a second, we're not allowed to get the number one pick because
Starting point is 01:22:58 Brooklyn got the number one pick last year and we happened to own their pick. And like you said, they're looking at these sons picks or the nets are looking at these Knicks picks or Denver picks that are distant future picks and thinking, well, it doesn't seem likely that any of those teams, even the Sons, are going to be picking in the top five year after year after year, but you never know. The real design of the rule is to stop the spurs from getting Castle, Wembeenjama, and Harper in three straight drafts, right? And the number one rule is designed to stop, you know, what happened in Cleveland a decade ago. And that's fine. But when it's a different team that already has control of the pick, I think you can use some common sense and grandfather that one in.
Starting point is 01:23:41 Yeah, I agree. I don't really get why that would apply the way that it does. And by the way, you nailed it. The top five, three years in a row thing is, I think, a direct response to what the spurs have done. And credit to the spurs. Like, Nobody made the other teams not pick Steph Castle second and third and first. As an Atlanta resident that hurts. Yeah, it's not looking great for my fellow Zach down there. And if that's really your target, well, Utah picking twice in the top five and then Memphis picking once in the top five, it doesn't really fall under the auspices of what you're trying to target. I think this is going to pass.
Starting point is 01:24:21 it seems like a fade of complete that it's going to pass, but you never know until the votes are cast. I'll bet some team votes against it out of principle. I'm overall, I get the small market concern. I get that you're taking a tool out, the toolbox concern. I'm ready to live in this world. And it is not meant to be a permanent solution. It is a temporary solution, potentially, unless everybody loves it,
Starting point is 01:24:47 with a sunset provision built in, and the ability to look at it again in a couple of years, a few years, whatever. So I think it's good. Do you have any reason to believe it's not going to pass? Oh, I think it'll pass. Yeah. And even like the Memphis situation,
Starting point is 01:25:03 so there are like 14 other teams that are okay with that because it increases their odds of being in the top five. So I think the vote is actually a little unfair for them that way. I'm actually curious if the Knicks will vote against it just because they vote against everything. Maybe the Knicks are in such a good mood, they'll actually end their streak of sending James Dolan's representative in there and just no, no, no. I don't like the food at this meeting.
Starting point is 01:25:34 I want a different kind of sparkling water. I just, everything different. I do want to go through something that I've hinted at before, which is a type of proposal that is gaining momentum around the league, not for now, but for five, eight, ten years from now, if the league decides that this thing isn't working is a credits proposal where you just, the lottery is gone. Not the lottery, the lottery is not gone. The ordering of the draft is completely kind of scrapped in the way that we tie it to record
Starting point is 01:26:10 now. And every team gets a credits proposal. And I've hinted at this. And I have the proposal. Do you want me to just read? I have one proposal. The one proposal, which has come from the Celtics. I have it.
Starting point is 01:26:22 It's been sent to me, not by the Celtics, but by other teams who have seen it. And I just think this is a useful example for people to understand what this is. I'm going to just sort of outline it to you, okay? Every team starts every season with 100 credits. And you bid the credits on draft slots. So if you really want the number one pick and you own a first, you can still trade draft slots. So like I can trade you. my draft my first round draft slot unattached to a particular pick in um 2032 and now if i'm a team
Starting point is 01:26:59 i have two first round last slots but i can take all my credits and bid them on the number one pick and credits can roll over so i can keep all my credits if i see a draft two or threeers down line i can bid 300 credits on the number one pick we can trade credits back and forth we can trade players for credits and i'll just read how it works In late April, each team secretly submits a credit bid for each pick they have. In early May, the league publishes all the bids. On lottery night for the first pick, the top four highest bidders for that pick are put into a lottery amongst themselves with probability proportional to the number of credits each
Starting point is 01:27:40 team bid toward that slot. So there could be a team with a huge edge based on if they put a gazillion credits. The winner of this mini lottery gets the first pick, gets charged halfway between their own bid and the bid of the lowest bidder and is removed out of the pool. For the second pick, the number five bidder is added to the three non-winners and another lottery is held. And we do that all the way down until the end. You are subtracted 20 credits for every playoff series that you win so that the worst teams
Starting point is 01:28:13 in any given year still should have the most credits. teams can have more than one pick slot in either round of the draft. Each slot is associated with a separate bid. Teams may bid zero and just pick at the end of the first round. And the second round operates the same way. And what else? The league can find teams by docking them credits if they believe that they're tanking. And that's basically it.
Starting point is 01:28:42 And the idea is a market-based system. And I think the main criticism of it is it's confusing for fans. But maybe it is, maybe it isn't. But what do you think of that general notion? The biggest thing that I wonder in my head is that there are going to be years where 15 teams bid zero credits and how you resolve the back end of the draft that way. But that's a relatively minor problem in the grand scheme of things. It's an interesting proposal. It would probably be less redistributive than the current system.
Starting point is 01:29:19 I guess I'm trying to understand what happens with the pick that I've already traded. That's all covered up to. I'm too bored to redo that now. But yes, that's all traded picks and protections obviously go away. There's no protections because you're just bidding on pick slots, basically. And I can own more than one pick slot in a draft, but I can allocate my bids so that everything is. So like I could save, if I'm a bad team, I can trade you, my veteran player for 40 of your draft credit. I can roll over 100 of my draft credits if I want them all for the next draft.
Starting point is 01:29:53 And then I can bid 250 credits on the number one pick in the AJ DeBantza draft and think, okay, I've given myself a chance. And if I don't win that, I'll probably win the second pick or something like that. It's interesting. And the point of it obviously is it completely separates, not completely, because of the playoff teams losing draft credits as they win series. But it more or less separates record from draft position in, You can still, but still leaves room for like organic rebuilding.
Starting point is 01:30:23 Like, okay, this team has hit its apex. Let's start trading people for credits. And maybe it's just interesting. You wouldn't even bother trading for picks, it seems like. You would just trade for credits. Trade for credits instead of pick slots. Yeah. And they're like what it does to the trade market is, is interesting.
Starting point is 01:30:39 I mean, even this current proposal, the one that's being voted on on Thursday, I'd actually want to get your thoughts on this. One of the concerns is because every pick is going to have a higher. chance of being, because mid mid-ling first-round picks are going to have a higher chance of moving wildly up in the draft. It's going to freeze the trade market a little bit. Do you buy that? No. No. I think for secondary players, we'll just see top five protections on picks, and it'll be just like it was, except you have a better chance of getting the pick if you're the receiving team, because the team can't tank their way to keeping it. So I don't really see a change in that. And
Starting point is 01:31:19 then the best players are still going to command unprotected picks. I mean, that's just how it is. Like a guy like Janus, yeah, it's still going to be unprotected picks. It's not, that's not going to change anything because the receiving team and really the trading team, too, is expecting that the team to get Janus is probably going to be pretty good, right? So I don't think that's going to change much of the logic there. And I only outline this credits thing because it deserves a fuller hearing than it's gotten so far. I've just mentioned it here or there, and I have it, and I have it, and I'm looking at it, and I think it still deserves a fuller hearing than this.
Starting point is 01:31:51 But it's a kind of thing that it's like being tabled for now while we look at whatever emerges from this Board of Governors vote. But I'm actually surprised how many teams kind of like it. I expected it to be a little too wonky, a little too, like, not complicated for teams, but there is a concern of like, at what point is this all too confusing for casual fans to follow? But like, I think the proponents of this system would be like,
Starting point is 01:32:16 A, it's not that complicated. And B, can casual fans follow, like, the five-team pick swap that Memphis, Phoenix, Orlando, whatever the hell it is? Or like, do they know what the second apron? I mean, it's already wildly complicated. I think this, I expect this kind of idea, and this is just one of several proposals like this. We'll get a deeper look as this goes along. But we both expect the rules to pass this week.
Starting point is 01:32:40 I guess bottom line, we both expect the rules to pass this week. And we both, although there is no perfect solution to any of it, of this and everything has downsides and unintended consequences. We both seem to think like, I'm ready to live in this world. Oh, I'm excited to see like real games in March between teams that are out of the playoffs where like you can actually, like one of the things fans love to see when it's a losing team is give us hope by letting me watch like our draft picks and our young good players. But even those guys get shut down now.
Starting point is 01:33:09 Now you're watching, you're not even watching that. You're watching Besem bang and, you know. I feel bad that he's. he's become the just the go-to reference for, well, that guy just played hard. This is like, give me 48 minutes. I went to Yale. Like, I'm in, this is great.
Starting point is 01:33:25 Like, and now he's like the go-to reference for this. Well, I had Lucas Williamson on the tip of my tongue, too. So that was a, but that jazz grizzlies game at the end of the year was, was a cry for help. Did you watch it, John? Oh, hell no. I was going to say, because that would be the ultimate cry for help. If on a menu of all the games, you were like, you know what? I got to dig in on this one.
Starting point is 01:33:48 I would have been like, actually, the person who needs to help is you. No, but you're right. I mean, the relegation zone games, the relegation zone against each other games and the relegation zone against the teams just outside of it would be like really fun games and the teams would try hard and that's the point of that proposal. And I just, I get the concern. I get the idea that it's going to be harder for some teams to dig out. I just think the league is correctly identified
Starting point is 01:34:15 what the more serious problem is and let's at least give it a shot. And by the way, I've said this before, you have to give it a shot. And whether you like it or not, whether you're pro it or anti it, if in the same, I can't repeat it enough.
Starting point is 01:34:32 The same thing happened with these lottery odds that exist now, the current ones, are relatively new. They're like eight years old. And they were designed to kind of random the lottery a little bit more to flatten the odds. And everyone voted for it except the thunder, I think, if I'm remembering correctly, after some, after an initial vote where it was a little less popular. And then what happened? The exact thing that the rules were intended to do happened.
Starting point is 01:34:56 And everyone after the first year was like, oh my God, it's a bad idea. We've aired on the side of randomness. And it's like, no, you just like give it 15 years to play out. And it'll find the right balance of randomness in some years, mostly bad teams winning the lottery like we saw this year. But people just get so impatient. You need to give these systems time to act before you judge them. And that's my worry is that the league will do this. There'll be an outcome everyone hates. And then there'll be an immediate like rebellion.
Starting point is 01:35:27 Like, oh, my God, what have we done? Yeah. You know what's going to be another impact, too, that I think people aren't really talking about, is in the trade market. like teams that are bad now still have an incentive to put together a real roster. And so they're going to be in the market for good players in a way that they were not for the last several years. And so I think that's going to change some things when we look at the markets for like second line guys.
Starting point is 01:35:59 Like if Trey Market was, Trey Young was still with the Hawks, he'd be a perfect example where a team like Washington would be like, yeah, sure, you know, like that's, We'll do that. I mean, they were, I don't know if they knew this was coming, but they were, you know, who ended up kind of ahead of the curve on this, I guess. They might play him, to your point. They might actually play Trey Young and Anthony Davis after acquiring them. That would be the other thing, yes.
Starting point is 01:36:20 Anyway, all right, well, this is just a very interesting big picture conversation, and you're the best person to scratch the surface of it with. John Hollinger, the best to ever do it, read him at the athletic. Everything you read is must read, everything you read is must read. You wrote about this maybe, what, two weeks ago before the, the combine, I feel like. And that was the impetus for me having you on. Go read that column, if you want John's deeper
Starting point is 01:36:41 thoughts on this. Hollinger and Duncan podcast every Friday's, where are we now? We usually record on Wednesdays, but we move it around a little during the playoffs because I'm traveling and he's doing stuff, you know. I will see you soon at the NBA finals. John Hollinger, thanks,
Starting point is 01:36:57 but. Thank you. All right, that's it for today's edition of the Zach Lowe show. Thank you to Howard back. Thank you to John Hollinger. Thank you As always, to Mike, Billy, and Jonathan on production. And thanks to you all for listening to and or watching The Zach Lowe Show. We'll be back on Thursday. In the meantime, enjoy the game tonight.
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