The Zach Lowe Show - Wemby and the Spurs Have Flipped the NBA Season on Its Head
Episode Date: December 26, 2025Zach is joined by Kirk Goldsberry to examine why the Spurs match up so well with the Thunder and how it affects the rest of the NBA season. Then, they reveal their Christmas Day hot takes: They're fin...e with not bringing the Christmas jerseys back, Nikola Jokic is the MVP, and they're feeling better about the Cavs, despite the loss. (0:00) Welcome to The Zach Lowe Show! (2:02) Kirk Goldsberry joins the show! (5:41) The Spurs are ahead of schedule and are legit title contenders (16:34) This is the best rivalry in the NBA right now (22:11) Should the Thunder have Chet Holmgren guard Victor Wembanyama more? (25:51) The Spurs are not afraid of Chet (33:38) The Spurs' role players are outplaying the Thunder's role players (36:25) What is the ceiling for the Spurs? (37:53) Zach’s Insights to Mediocrity (41:34) Christmas game hot takes (42:29) JJ Redick is not happy with the Lakers (48:32) The Rockets offense is better than we thought (53:37) Nikola Jokic is once again the MVP of the league (56:48) Can we please get the tanking rules right this time around? (1:01:20) Our confidence level in the Cavs after they fell to the Knicks (1:07:01) Anthony Davis suffers a groin injury Host: Zach Lowe Guest: Kirk Goldsberry Producers: Mike Wargon, Jonathan Frias, and Billy Gil Social: Keith Fujimoto The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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All right, coming up, we got a loaded Zach Lowe show with the one and only Kurt Goldsbury in his Portland Sea Dogs hat.
I wasn't planning to do an episode day after Christmas, but too much stuff is happening.
The Christmas games were mostly awesome and raised a lot of questions.
J.J. Reddick, pretty cranky about the Lakers defense.
What do we see in that game?
What did the Rockets learn?
The Cavs, Knicks, a barn burner in New York.
Do you feel better as a Cavs person after that loss than you did before?
Do you feel worse?
I feel like the Knicks have your number.
How am I supposed to take that loss?
The Nuggets, Yokic, what?
What is that stat line beat the Timberwolves in overtime without three of their starters?
Is Yokch the MVP again?
I think so.
We're going to talk about it.
But the biggest story in the NBA, I don't know enough about the other American sports
starting out of say in all of American sports is the San Antonio Spurs.
Not only that to 23 and 7 and a true blue title contender already somehow, but that in two
weeks they have changed the entire landscape of the NBA from the Thunder versus the
field, the Thunder versus 73 wins to we're three and O against this team.
we are beating their ass twice in the last 10 days.
We have their number.
The whole NBA has flipped on its head because of what Wembe and these guards are doing to the Oklahoma City Thunder.
We're going to talk about it all coming up on the Zach Lowe Show with Kirk Goldsbury.
This episode of the Zach Lowe Show is presented by Amazon Prime.
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Welcome to a special post-Christmas edition of The Zach Lowe Show.
Kurt Goldsbury is here putting in overtime.
How you doing, sir?
I am doing well. Happy holiday, Zach Lowe.
We had a hell of a Christmas start to finish.
We had, let's do it in order.
We had Knicks Cavs, Barn Burner.
We had the game of the day for me, Spurs Thunder, the one I was most looking forward to.
And the Spurs made another statement.
We are going to pivot right back there.
We had a little, it's always a little interlude, a little like, okay, it's just like, you know,
maybe you can have this one on in the background.
Mavs Warriors, AD gets hurt again.
Trade implications.
What should the Mavs do?
We'll get there.
Then we pick right back up, Rockets, Lakers, or shifting over to ABC, maybe the, maybe the,
other one was on ABC. I don't know. It's the headliner. The Rockets make a starting lineup change.
The Lakers disintegrate on defense. J.J. Reddick goes full on like military drill sergeant. Everyone stinks.
Nobody cares. We got to care. Nobody cares. Meltdown post game. And then to cap it off,
you're ready to go to bed? You ready to have a little Bayleys, a little glass of wine, whatever you like?
No, no. Nicole Yokich reclaims his status as the MVP favorite, 56, 15, and 16.
16 beating the nemesis, one-time nemesis, Minnesota Timberwolves for the third time this year without three starters.
What a day, Kirk Goldsbury.
A great day.
A great day.
And like you, I was zeroed in on Oklahoma City.
I felt like the thunder had had enough of these up-and-coming spurs.
And this was their chance at home to just remind everybody that they're still in charge of the NBA.
And the opposite happened.
Everybody who's listening to this probably knows I'm biased.
but it was an incredible game for San Antonio.
But like you said, just an incredible NBA Christmas Day,
capped with, I mean, one of the best regular season performances
I've ever seen, Nicole Iokic, winning that game.
He set a record, Zach, for points in overtime ever scored
as he carried the broken Denver Nuggets to a victory against their nemesis.
It was just a great day.
They're not a nemesis anymore.
Three times, three and O this year.
Not that the Nuggets has solved that.
a tough matchup for them.
But, you know, I haven't seen a team more casually come back from being down nine almost halfway
through overtime.
Just like, sure, I'll come out here to three out of a timeout.
We're fine.
We're down nine with two and a half minutes to go in overtime.
But the story of the year in the NBA is the San Antonio Spurs.
And specifically their comfort against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
In two weeks, they have flipped the entire NBA season on its head.
In two weeks, we have gone from Oklahoma City over the field.
Oklahoma City's 73 wins.
Oklahoma City chasing history to, wait a second, have they found their kryptonite?
Can they even beat the San Antonio Spurs?
The Spurs are 3 and 0 in two weeks against Oklahoma City, and they have obliterated all those narratives.
If one team in the field can beat you three times in two weeks in games that,
we all agree we're meaningful games,
we're big stage games.
The field by definition gets the edge over you.
73 wins, goodbye.
We can table that discussion unless they go on a massive winning streak soon.
MVP, not only is the door open,
Yokic is now the favorite and the leading candidate to win MVP.
There's only a three-game gap in the lost column
between the Nuggets and the Thunder.
We can come back to that.
And the Spurs, I think the Thunder are better
than the Spurs against
29 other NBA teams,
the Spurs have looked straight up
better than the Thunder one-on-one.
These last two games have been
beat downs.
I didn't think we'd see a team be able
to beat down the Oklahoma City
Thunder multiple times in a
short span once at home,
once on the road. This is a
matchup that is a problem
for the Thunder. That's obvious.
Beyond that, the Spurs are
officially right now,
way ahead of schedule,
inner circle championship contenders.
When I said after the first game against Oklahoma City, the cup game, you know, there was this
discussion, are they contenders?
And I said, well, it kind of defense.
How you frame that?
Like, am I ready to call them like inner circle championship Denver, Oklahoma City level contenders?
Not yet.
They're kind of in that conference.
No, I was wrong.
They are improbably against all historical precedent about aging curves and whatever.
they are inner circle championship contenders right freaking now.
Here's where I want to start, Kirk.
What's been so startling in these three games is how comfortable the Spurs look on offense against Oklahoma City.
We all knew the Spurs were going to be a defensive juggernaut with Wenbenyama.
And oh my God.
I mean, just, oh, my God.
There are top 10 offense overall right now.
That's by itself at his schedule.
We had concerns.
I had concerns, even though I was way high on the Spurs.
over, lock it in, didn't expect anything like this
because I had concerns about their level of outside shooting
around Wenamian.
That has been crushed to Smithereens.
They're totally fine.
They have scored 121 points per 100 possessions
against Oklahoma City in three games.
No other team this year has a season average above 108
against the league's best defense by far.
So let's just start there because that's the headline.
Why are the Spurs so comfortable against Oklahoma City on offense?
What is it about this matchup that the league's best defense,
this infallible element of the game, can no longer hold up?
You got to start with Deerrin Fox and the guards,
and specifically Fox.
And when they beat OKC that first time in Vegas, Zach,
I got on a plane.
I was like, I have to go see the Spurs next game.
And I was sitting with some Spurs friends before that next game.
and they're like, hey, it's time to give some shine to Deeran Fox.
I know there was some awkwardness around when the spurs started 5 and 0, was this a good move?
Should they trade Deer and Fox?
Well, to me, this incredible Spurge run, I do mean incredible, started in mid-November when B went out and Castle missed a bunch of games.
And it was Deeran Fox, dude.
They're in the middle of the group of death, and they win at Denver.
They win at Portland.
They go to the corner finals and win at the Lakers to get to Vegas in the first place before
Wembe was back.
And that was all Deer and Fox.
So I think it's time for the NBA community, the audience of the Zach Lowe show, and us
to be like, yeah, the Deer and Fox thing looks like it's working out.
And when you ask that key question, it's like I've never seen a set of guards look as
comfortable against the Caruso, Dort, SGA, Wallace sort of apparatus as I have these,
last three games. The spurs are young. Some of them are faster than anybody on the Thunder,
Deerrin Fox. They have a size play and a physicality play with Castle and Harper. But for me,
it's their ability to do something that no other team in the NBA has been able to do is
get into the paint with their guards and start making plays. And that has been Deeran Fox,
who was their offensive leader yesterday and has been really the big stat with Fox that I
people need to know is when Wembe goes out, last year the Spurs were a dumpster fire.
This year when Wembe goes out, their offensive efficiency goes up because Deeran Fox is competent
at that point guard spot leading this offense. So he's brought this new element. So my answer
to you is like this fleet of guards, but I'd center it around Deeran Fox.
Wembe has only played 70 minutes in these three games. That's another thing that kind of needs to be
noted. And yes, he's been at full terror level defensively in those games. Offensively,
it's come and gone. It seems like every three he hits is an absolute dagger. And the offensive
rebounding he's brought to this matchup, you know, it's funny. I don't know the terminology for
this. We talk about second jumps a lot and third jumps a lot. Like Zion has an incredibly fast second
jump. Wembe has like a second tiptoe or like a second and third tiptoe because he knows I'm
so tall, I don't even need to load up for a second jump. I just need to kind of bounce a little bit
and I'm above everybody else and he's just like towering over everyone on these offensive
rebounding possessions. You nailed it in two ways. Number one, the guards and number two, speed.
Particularly when Dort and J. Dub are at the two and the three, the spurs have a very visible
speed edge against the thunder that no other team has really been able to leverage. And the
Thunder have not been able to extract a size penalty on the other end.
They just don't get like J. Dubbs hit some push off mid-rangers and all that.
But it's not like he's taking Deerrin Fox, who has been his primary assignment a lot,
down to the block and bullying him.
And Castle and Harper are as physical as anything the Thunder.
There might not be as strong as Lou Dort who's built like an offensive lineman.
But Castle, like, you try to go under screens against him and you can see the Thunder trying to do that more.
They even switch some big guys onto him now and then to try to.
to keep him out of the paint.
Guess what?
He's getting into the paint anyway.
He's beating you to the spot.
He's knocking you off balance.
He's hitting floaters.
He's in mid-rangers.
And Dylan Harper has this sort of just, I'm going to drive into you, get all herky-jurkey,
spin, pivot, knock you off balance, hit a mid-ranger, bully you with my shoulder, hit
a lay-up like there.
But the guard play has been the story, and it's the speed.
And here's the thing that Fox has in common with Tyrese Maxie.
They don't turn the ball over.
They've always been extremely low turnover.
players. And in these three
games, their turnover rate against
the Thunder who forced more turnover than anybody.
Everybody knows that. The Spurs have only turned the ball over
on 13.8%
of their possessions. For the season,
among all 30 teams, that would rank
like six or seventh. To do that
against this defense, it's basically
unheard of for a team to not turn
the ball over like this. And the last thing
is the free throws. And everyone whines
about the thunder, getting all the calls.
They're like getting away with everything on defense and blah.
Spurs have taken 77 free
throws to 59 for the thunder.
You put all that together and just more broadly, there's something about this group of guards
and their level of speed that gives, like, Fox is getting wherever he wants and kicking
the ball to three-point shooters for wide open shots, that this is giving the thunder
legit, legit real problems that they don't know how to, you can tell, like, they don't know
how to solve this right now.
Yeah, it's been stunning.
I think you mentioned the turnover thing, denying them that sort of oxygen.
that defensive run ability that they have with off live ball turnovers.
You know, Stefan Castle does throw the ball away a lot.
I know that's something he's got to get better at.
But in this three-game arc, you're exactly right.
They haven't given them those easy sort of pick six plays that we all associate with this thunderous defense.
You mentioned those 70 minutes.
When I did a deep dive on the spurs for the ringer around the NBA Cup, I think the biggest
difference from last year is when Wemby was off the court, the Spurs were terrible. This year,
they're not great, but they're competent. And we've seen it in this sort of three game run against
the Thunder. And you mentioned those 70 minutes. I logged the score. In those 70 minutes with
Victor in the game, the Spurs are ahead 175 to 128. So that net rating is 32 against the Oklahoma
City Thunder when Wembe's in the game.
And when he goes out, that goes to negative three, which isn't terrible.
It is, we're treading water here in these non-Wembe minutes, which is a huge accomplishment
against the defending champs.
But you mentioned the Wembe defense.
And I do want to say as much as a much shine as I want to give to the other spurs in the
front office and the coaching staff for building this competence around their superstar,
the Wembe minutes are just stunning.
Like he's changing the geometry of what SGA wants to do on the basketball court.
He's changing everybody's offensive strategies.
These guys who are making U-turns, it's been a thing.
But it's crazy to see just the defensive impact of Wembe.
And I still think that's the biggest thing, Zach, is when Wembe is on the floor,
the paint is pretty much off limits.
And that is the definitive thing here.
In these 70 minutes, the stats bear it out.
the thunder turn into a bad offense with Victor Wambiombe on the floor.
The irony is his block streak ended against the thunder in the second game because no one wants to even try it anymore.
And it's not just, you mentioned the U-turns, and we all see the like the, I call them the oh-no, it's like, oh, no, oh, no, pump fake and get the hell out.
It's the drives that don't even really become drives.
So yesterday there was a thunder possession.
I didn't remember when it was.
I think it was a third quarter.
When they got to Spurs, it wasn't a blender.
But the ball was moving around and it got to Kaysen Wallace in the left corner.
And he started a drive.
He attacked the close out, beat the guy who was closing out on him.
And this is the sequence you see dozens of times in every NBA game.
Floor spread, get teams in the blender, drive, get to the rim, kick it out, blah, blah.
It's not that Kason Wallace didn't shoot.
it's that he saw Wembe
and he stopped his drive
eight feet before he even touched the paint.
And when you stop drives,
like he wasn't even planning to shoot.
There was no part of Case in Wallace.
So it was like,
this is going to be the end of the possession.
It was,
it's my job to keep the machine moving,
draw in the help and make the next pass.
He couldn't even draw on the help
because he stopped so short of the paint
that dispersed other defenders can be like,
oh, our job is done.
Like that's the Wembe effect too.
It's drives that don't happen.
But let's zoom out before we go back to the Spurs office,
because I think there's more mean on that bone.
There's all this talk about,
is it a rivalry?
You know, I don't know if it's a rivalry.
We got to play.
This is not only a rivalry.
It is the rivalry.
It is the defining rivalry of the NBA now.
It has a chance to be like the bird magic of team rivalries
for the next X amount of years.
And it got me thinking like,
Oklahoma City 1.0 with Duran.
and Russ and Hardin and Abaca and then Not Hardin.
They had like little pieces of rivalries with teams,
most of which were older than they were.
The Spurs, the Clippers, the Grizzlies,
a little bit with the Mavs.
And they didn't really have like a on our level of age rising with us.
We're going to be punching each other in the mouth every year in the playoffs kind of rivalry.
Could have been Houston after Hardin got there.
Could have been the Warriors.
both of those things were aborted
because of the decision that Kevin Durant
made to go join the Warriors, which is fine, whatever he did it.
This is a higher level version
of what Bull's Heat was supposed to be
in the Eastern Conference before Derek Rose's career
went sideways.
Like, it's obviously a rivalry.
There's obviously tension.
There's obviously frustration among the thunder
that they can't figure this out.
Like Shea shoved Wembe in the first half of the game yesterday
in semi-transition.
That was a clear, like,
we're wobbling as a team confidence-wise.
Like, this is not only a rivalry.
It is the rivalry.
This is the defining rivalry of the sport right now.
And fingers crossed that this is the case for the next five years because this is so much fun.
It's ridiculous.
Yeah, I'm so glad you pulled that shame moment out.
I hadn't thought about that.
But I'd never seen him lose his cool like that.
He's one of the coolest customers in the league.
That's one of the reasons he's so great.
But he lost his poise there for a second going up the court.
but it's clear that this is a rivalry.
And I said to R.C. Buford, when I ran into him in Vegas, I said, hey, this is like, and I work for the team.
But I was like, this seems like a new rivalry.
It's like new rivalry.
They feel like they've been rivals with these guys forever.
I mean, Sam Presti's been there.
He comes from the Spurs.
In 2012, you know, when I first started covering the NBA with ESPN, I thought that was the greatest spurs team of the era.
and it might be with the greatest team.
Remember that?
They won 20 games in a row.
The Thunder send them home, James Hardin and Serge Baca.
Yeah, they end that incredible run.
The Spurs were on.
In 2014, old man Tim Duncan goes in there and turns back the clock and sends the Thunder home
with a legendary performance on their way to that championship.
So this is a rivalry.
This has been a rivalry.
And it's just a new iteration.
There's some new faces out there.
But it is great.
And I share the sentiment.
It's just great basketball.
But, man, I did not see it coming this fast.
I thought, you know, when they got to that semi-final, I was like, okay, this is, this is crazy.
Okay, nice run by the Spurs and like hand up.
I did not think the Spurs were winning that game in Vegas.
The next game, well, now you got your attention back in San Antonio.
They're going to give it to you.
Oh, my God.
They win by 20.
And now here we go to Christmas Day.
Well, now they're in Oklahoma City.
let's see what happens now.
And they win that one.
It's just been a crazy, rapid change.
12 days, Zach Lowe,
three Spurs wins against the team
that we both thought was the buzz saw
the NBA two weeks ago.
I want to go back to the Spurs offense
because another thing that's happening is,
and this is not a new thing,
is, you know, the game starts off,
Thunderstar double big,
and then they almost,
sometimes never go back to it. They go one big the rest of the way. One of Chet, one of
Hartenstein. We saw some Kenrich Williams at center, more of it yesterday, I think, trying to
space Wembe Nama out, trying to find an answer to a Spurs defense that they're having trouble with.
But when the Spurs have the ball and Holmgren and Wembe Nama are the only two big men on the
floor, the only two true bigs on the floor, one for each team, which is really the sort
of headliner alignment here. Like, that's the alignment we want to see. The Thunder have
generally made a decision, and the Spurs have made the same decision. We'll talk about it,
where we don't want Chet on Wembe Nama. We're going to put Chet on Keldon Johnson. We're going to put
Chet on Harrison Barnes. And I think the reason for that is twofold. Number one, we want
Chet to Rome. Number two, if you're going to go at our big man in the pick and roll, you're not going
to be able to do it with Wembe Namba. You're going to have to use Harrison Barnes as a screener or
Keldon Johnson as a screener. And if you want to use Wemba Jemba as a screener because he's Victor
Wemadiyama, well, we're going to be able to see.
switch that because we're going to have Caruso on him or J. Dubb on him. And I would
posit that that ploy has failed against the Spurs so far for a couple of reasons. Number one,
Harrison Barnes and Kelton Johnson have been sensational. If you're going to leave them open,
they're drilling every corner three in your face. If you're going to close out hard on them,
they're going to blow by you and make enough plays at the rim to hurt you. And then when the
spurs do use Wembenyama as a screener and the Thunder are like, cool, we'll switch between
Dort and Caruso,
Dort and J. Dub,
Caruso and Wallace.
The Spurs are finding ways
to punish that because you know what?
Fox and Wembe Nama, if that's the two-man game,
they're awesome. They've seen every scheme.
They know what to do with switches.
They slip screens.
Fox will reject the screen and go hard
and beat the switch that way.
And all of this is a long-winded way of saying.
Should Chetches guard Wembe more?
Is that part of the answer here?
I understand the reasoning for it.
I wonder if that's something.
we see them try a little bit more Oklahoma City the next time these two play.
Yeah, I think they were born to guard each other.
And there's a rivalry there.
Speaking of rivalry, sort of a microcosm of this is certainly this years-long Chet,
Wembe rivalry.
And it is interesting that they don't match them up and all the things that the thunder
are throwing at Wembe.
But ultimately, like, I just looked at some stats, you know, the Spurs won, the paint battle.
they won the three-point shooting stats,
and that was another interesting thing here
on the other side of court,
I'm sure we'll get to.
But it all starts with that blender,
and you were talking about it a few minutes ago,
the spurs are getting into that blender,
no matter who's at the point of attack,
no matter who's on Wembe,
no matter who's setting screens
against the Sunder team in a way that I haven't seen.
The ball's finding Harrison Bards wide open
in ways you wouldn't expect against the thunder.
Champany.
The ball is just,
just finding open shooters, regardless of who is stirring the drink for San Antonio.
And I think it goes back to that there's a team now with younger, faster, more aggressive
guards than Oklahoma City. And that's the San Antonio Spurs. So to me, Zach, it starts at the
point of attack with that driving machine. I haven't looked up the advanced stats on drives. Maybe
you have. But the Spurs are able to do that, regardless of the matchup science, at the
the point of attack in a way that I think helps them create clean looks against this team.
The other teams just simply haven't been able to achieve.
It can't be stated enough how awesome Harrison Barnes and Kelton Johnson have been for the Spurs this year.
I don't think anyone outside Harrison Barnes' immediate family thought he had this much juice left in the tank on a legit great team.
He's been sensational both ends of the floor.
Kelton Johnson is a sixth man of the year candidate.
This is a guy that Spurs could have traded a thousand times by now.
And in a lot of other universes, they would have traded him a thousand times.
I would have traded him in the same sort of kickoff the rebuild trades,
Dejante Murray, Derek White, all of that.
No, and now he's a six man of the year candidate.
Vassell, who we barely talk about, I love the Vassell subsection of the Spurs offense,
coming off screens, catching going right into a pick and roll.
All the stuff they do with him.
He's an A-plus kind of shoot, an A-shooter.
he's been really, really good.
Can't say enough about all of those guys.
On the other end of the floor,
the same thing is happening
where the spurs are not putting Wembeyanma
on Chet Holmgren.
And that feels much more like a weapon
than it does like a shoulder shrug,
active surrender.
And they're putting him on, you know,
pick whoever.
When it's one big versus one big,
Caruso, dort, whatever.
And Caruso couldn't make a three yesterday.
And the thunder, in fairness,
as we laud the Spurs,
Thunder is shooting 29% on threes against the Spurs
in these three games,
underperforming.
A.J. Mitchell missed the last two.
And you actually felt,
you actually felt like when Shea was off the floor,
the void of A.J. Mitchell a little bit.
That's not to say that he would have swung these games.
He would not have, just the thing.
But putting Wemby on Caruso, Dort,
whoever, Aaron Wiggins,
whoever happens to be out there,
just being like, don't guard that guy.
Just roam everywhere.
it's working and it has left me with two questions.
I think the spurs are just wildly unafraid of Chet Hongren.
And you texted me after the first quarter of that game yesterday saying,
this is a big 36 minutes for Chet Hungren.
I don't really think he answered the bell.
He's been fantastic this year, not in this matchup.
So what did you mean by that text and what do you want to see from Chet Hongren?
I think the alarm in Oklahoma City has a lot to do with the two and three in that rotation.
J. Dub does not look the same.
All right, from the wrist.
He has not looked the same.
And I'm not raising an alarm just yet, but I'm getting ready to press the button.
The Chet thing is bigger, especially in this context against Victor.
One, he looks like he's losing the mind game to Victor.
and Victor is sort of asserting himself as this sort of mental presence over him.
But dude, when you look at the advanced numbers,
Chet Holmgren is supposed to protect the paint.
He is the rim protector for this team.
And it just feels like he's not doing that as much as these guards.
We said once those guards get into the paint,
that's where Chet's supposed to show up.
He's supposed to assert himself.
He hasn't done that.
He's missed some huge free throws in this three game run,
much to the delight of Victor Wembeyanama.
But it just feels like, look, SGA's been great.
SGA's been playing like an MVP.
But really the question mark in OKC is south of the SGA line,
the rotation specifically with two and three.
And I think Chet is the most impactful defender,
obviously interior defender on that team.
And if he's not setting a tone there,
man, it just feels like Wembe is, you know,
in the heads of OKC starting with the head of Chet,
Homegren.
And that's why I said that.
The Spurs had 41 points in that first quarter, Zach, 41 points against the Thunder.
It's like, you don't see that.
And again, it was with Wembe barely playing.
I don't even remember if he got in much for the first quarter yesterday.
But Chet needs to be their defensive quarterback, particularly in the paint.
And if he's not going to do that, the question marks around the thunder, especially in some of these matchups, get a lot bigger.
The bottom line is this.
The Wembe only for San Antonio, so four wings, guards in Wembe, versus four wings, guards,
in Chet.
The Spurs are winning those minutes, and those are supposed to be the lineups where each team reaches its zenith kind of of two-way ability.
Maybe that's less true for the thunder because Hardinstein's been awesome for them.
If the Spurs continue to win those minutes, Oklahoma City has to do one of two things.
Number one, find a solution, and we've pitched some of them back and forth,
and I'm about to pitch another one or two.
Or pivot in a different direction.
Play two bigs more.
They tried Kenrich Williams at the five more.
And they can see them trying that.
The one thing that I do, you know, I mentioned on the other end, should Chet guard Wembe
more.
The Spurs don't have to make that decision.
The Wembe parked on Caruso, et cetera, has been fine.
When I watch these games, one of the things I've wondered is,
instead of letting Wembe Nama hang out on the baseline waiting to help and not guarding those guys,
should they try to involve him in the action more, bring Caruso up as a screener in the pick and roll,
run a pick and roll with Alex Crusoe, who has played some point guard in his life and in his NBA career,
get him engaged and away from the rim.
Now, they've tried it here and there and the Thunder or the Spurs are very smart about when they see it coming,
when Binyama will point and be like, you go up, I'm going to stay back here and talk.
to another guy.
And maybe these rules don't even apply to him because bringing him into the play does not
necessarily make me excited either because I just have to deal with this dude in the pick
and roll who's like an eight foot wingspan all in my face.
But it is a question that I've asked myself is, do they need to try to bring him to the
ball more?
It's counterintuitive.
Like I want the best defender on the planet in the action more.
But I think maybe they do.
Maybe it might just be 10% more, 20% more.
but letting him hang out over there is not working unless Caruso starts making shots and Dorts starts making shots.
Is there an ecological factor, too, like when we let Caruso shoot it and now Wembe's the free safety, maybe the other shooters just aren't as open.
Maybe that 30, 32, 34 percent three point line.
Now I'll point to the shooting luck.
Okay, C fans.
Yeah, you guys had some bad night shooting the ball.
Three bad nights.
Three bad nights now.
Yeah, and it's fair to say.
The AJ Mitchell point is also very valid.
But we're going to see this again.
And when Wembe is free to roam because they're leaving Caruso wide open, like the rest of the offense, the four guys have is not as Pope neither, right?
Including closeouts are easier and drives are harder and so forth.
So I think there's an ecological impact.
But you said you had a few other suggestions.
I'm eager to hear what you're thinking, Zach.
But the only one that we haven't talked about is there were a couple of possessions where Jalen Williams was sort of running point.
And they would start the possession with J-Dub bringing it up and Shea in the corner, rocketing off a pin down, catching the ball on the move and getting into the paint that way.
And I feel like that has to be part of the point of having a second all-NBA level offensive player, ball handler on your team, is to just spice up your offense a little bit, make the spur.
sort of look around like, okay, where's Shea now?
Get him moving in different spots on the floor.
He's been, like you said, he's carried his weight in these games, Shay has.
But it's been very, very hard for him.
And when it's hard for him, that means he's dribbling a lot.
Other people are standing around a lot.
And the Spurs have a level of comfort of it.
We at least know what's coming.
Those couple of possessions where they sprinkled that in, like put him in the post against Fox
of Foxes on him.
See how that looks.
Just put J. Dub in the post.
when foxes on him, see how that looks,
but just mix it up a little bit with Shea off the ball.
But again, there's like,
you still have the eight-foot wingspan dude lurking around somewhere,
shutting off water.
And as much as that is the biggest impact,
and I'll call it out,
look at the on-off numbers, if you don't believe me,
in these three games when Victor's on the court.
The Spurs are a juggernaut when he's off.
The thunder are winning those minutes.
That said, one of the things I didn't anticipate here in December of 2025
is talking about these teams below the star line.
So below Wembe.
And we already talked about Kelden Johnson, Champany.
Champany's good, man.
I'm glad you keep in checking him.
He's good.
Those guys, those sort of less famous players in these rotations,
the Spurs guys have outplayed the Thunder equivalent in that category,
the depth, which I thought the Thunder have been the deepest team
over the last few years in the NBA.
Man, one other thing to watch.
which is the Spurs depth.
We haven't even talked about Luke Cornett.
Like, oh, my God.
These guys just look better than the Thunder equivalent, which is crazy.
And I think Spurs fans have a right to have a smile on their face right now
because the competence starts with Wembe.
Don't get me wrong, but it doesn't stop there.
And it had stopped there as they were getting better last year.
Man, but Fox and then the rotation below those guys has been great.
I'm really jealous about whoever coined French Vanilla as their nickname.
nickname because it's it's very very good in every way that a vj max is terrible for the philadelphia
guards oh yeah um uh i'm glad you mentioned cornet because he's been perfect it's this signing that
i lauded when it happened uh it's been even better than i thought and it's an important point because
i think as the spurs ascend there's going to be a snark brigade who rightfully as as
as people talk about how genius the spurs are and oh my god after this sort of
brief interregnum after 20 years of being toward the top of the league, they're going to be
back for another whatever, 15, 20, 10, 5, whatever it ends up being, they're going to say,
well, I mean, I could draft Victor Weimmyneum and win the lottery.
I could draft Stefan Castle and move up a spot in the lottery.
I could draft Dylan Harper and move up seven spots in the lottery.
And it's undeniable that just as it was with Tim Duncan in 1996 or whatever, whatever
draft that was, none of this happens without lottery.
luck.
And yet other teams have had lottery luck.
I think of the Pistons under Troy Weaver had lottery luck drafted well and fucked up the
supporting cast around their young players so badly that it took a whole entire regime change
and roster overhaul to make it work as they asked the young guys improved and got better.
The Spurs have managed the pieces around the guys they semi-luck.
First of all, you have to take Stefan Castle and you have to take Dylan Harper.
And maybe those decisions were easy.
maybe they weren't. The Harper one, I think, was pretty easy.
But you have to take them.
You have to take Victor Wembeyanma, you can't overthink that one.
You got to nail that one at the top of the draft.
But they haven't messed up the supporting cast around them.
And even the coaching decisions, like we talked about how Barnes and Vassell and Kelden Johnson and Champani have been really good punishing this scheme of hiding home ground on them.
It's probably not been an easy decision for Mitch Johnson.
But mothballing Jeremy Sohan has been the right call.
Like the Sohan womeniamam has been the right call.
The Sohan Wimbunyama mix has not worked because teams put their centers on him,
and he was unable to punish them in the same way these guys can.
So anyway, A plus, this is the biggest story in the NBA, and it's not close.
The Spurs in 12 days have taken the entire NBA season and flipped it on its head.
I don't remember anything like this happening.
It's as if the 2000, it's as if the 73 win warriors lost to the Clippers.
three times in a row in 10 days or whoever would have been the team then.
And just like it doesn't happen.
Any party thoughts on this matchup?
It's the 12 days of Spursmus.
I think that it has been the greatest gift in central and south central Texas.
We've had a complete vibe shift.
A lot of us are surprised by it.
I would want to end this segment with the question, though, to you
because we are all losing our minds here in Spursland.
What is the ceiling for the spurs, Zacklow?
That's the question I'd end this segment with.
Well, I mean, look, they are 23 and 7.
They are two games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder in the lost column.
They are fifth in offense and fifth in defense and fourth in net rating tied with the Knicks.
I saw some breakout overnight where, you know,
all their guys, you mentioned Fox Miss Games here and there,
Wembe's Miss Games here and there,
their record with everybody is, whatever it is very strong,
or not everybody, but even like three quarters of everybody,
Fox and Wemignyama.
I think the ceiling is they win the championship.
I don't really think we need to go above that
and put a win total on it or whatever,
but they're 23 and 7, top 5th on both ends of the floor.
And I said before,
they're inner circle title contenders.
The ceiling is they win the championship.
Were you looking for another answer?
I'm sorry to disappoint you with the boring answer.
I just wanted to hear you say it, I think.
I just wanted to hear you say it because, like I said, I don't trust it.
But, you know, I did not think this was going to happen this year.
And it's happening very fast.
Like you said, I can't.
Dude, they're over under was like 44 and a half or something.
Nobody thought this was going to happen.
It's crazy.
It's crazy.
But it is the biggest story in the league.
And they're also fun to watch is the last thing I'd say.
I love watching the guys.
It's the holidays.
Special time of year.
We couldn't get Mike Dorico for this segment,
but we're going to do it anyway.
Zach Lowe's Insights to Mediocrity
coming from a guy with a lot of experience
and how to be a really elite, mediocre husband,
father, parent, family man, citizen, all of it.
Spilling my secrets to you.
Insights to mediocrity is here.
It's the holidays.
Sports are on 24-7.
You're going to want to watch the sports.
Let's be honest. My doors closed back here. I'm going to whisper this.
No matter what your family wants you to do, you're going to want to watch the sports.
So here's how you do it. Here's how you get away with it.
Number one, stay sober.
Because if you're staying sober, you're going to be able to do all the other things I'm about to do.
Maybe not all the way sober, but sober enough.
Number two, you got to pop out. You got to pop out a lot.
And when you pop out, you got to be engaged.
So it could be, hey, you want to play cards, you want to play a game, you want to play Una, you want to play Menon, you want to play Menon, you want to play Menon, you want to play Men
And for that 20 minutes, 30 minutes, you are locked in engaged.
Number two, find a chore that you can do on your breaks.
That's easy, but makes other people think you're really contributing to the household.
Could be unloading the dishwasher, wash a few dishes, make coffee for somebody,
refill a wine glass, slice cake, whatever it is.
People are like, oh, man, that's really nice.
He came out and did stuff.
Number three, for dinner, you got to be on your A game.
when it's time to actually take a break and sit down,
you've got to be A plus, have conversation topics ready,
be super engaged, make eye contact, refill everyone's class,
help everyone clean up afterwards, and then be, wow,
then you disappear and you watch the night games for four hours,
but everyone is left with good memories of you.
That is a holiday insight to mediocrity,
and I'm going to give you a bonus related insight to mediocrity.
Find in your life a chore that you don't mind doing
that doesn't take very long to do,
but that your spouse and or significant other hates doing
and make that one of your things.
I'll give you two examples from the life of an elite, mediocre person.
Unloading the dishwasher.
My wife hates unloading the dishwasher.
Something about the clanking, the process,
the fact that some of the dishes aren't dry when they get out of here.
The mugs, the water coagulates the bottom of the mug.
Guess who does it?
Me.
I do it as often as I can't love unloading the dishwasher.
What is it going to take me?
Six minutes.
Dry some things off.
You've got to make sure they're clean.
You've put one or two dirty spoons in there because you're not paying attention.
It undoes the entire effect.
You take that on.
You're kind of a hero.
Number two, carpool to practice.
First of all, I love the carpool.
You know why?
I love my daughter.
I'm not that mediocre.
Love my family.
Love my daughter.
Love eavesdropping on what she's doing with her friends.
I even love to watch her sports practices.
I'll pop in for 15 minutes of swim practice, see what they're doing.
I'll pop in for 30 minutes of water pole practice.
See what they're doing?
Soccer practice.
It's outside.
It's delightful.
But here's the trick.
You can get work done.
You take your laptop.
There's a little conference room somewhere in the YMCA or wherever you are.
You take your phone.
If it's a nice soccer practice, you do a walk and talk around the field.
You get your steps in.
You call a source or two.
You get work done.
But it feels to everyone else like you've contributed a lot.
Wow.
I was out for two and a half hours taking care of the car.
The practice, this and that.
This, it's just, you just score the points.
This has been a holiday version, Zach's insights to mediocrity.
You can't get this anywhere else.
You can't get it anywhere else, insights to mediocrity.
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Are you ready to do a rapid fire around the league Christmas reaction hot takes?
Let's get them off.
Okay.
Wait, wait.
You want hot takes?
Because I'll give you hot takes.
All right.
Well, I'm just going to, I'll start.
You can respond or give your own hot take, all right?
Hot take number one.
Christmas uniforms, I don't need them.
I'm happy they're gone.
I don't want them ever again.
The snowflake on the back is good enough for me.
It makes it special enough for me.
We have enough uniforms.
I don't have any faith in the powers that be to not make them stupid in some way.
So I'm okay.
I saw an outcry.
Oh, I missed the Christmas uniforms.
I'm cool.
No more Christmas uniforms.
Yeah, in fact, I'd add on, they showed a montage of like Spurs Christmas games.
And like there was this awful shot of Tony Parker wearing the sleeve jersey
with this giant spurs logo
and I was like, oh, get it off the screen.
Yeah, I like the uniforms normal.
Do you want to throw a hot take on?
If you've got something you're ready to get off, go.
JJ Reddick, dude,
he says he's not going to put up with this
for 53 more games.
He's mad at the children.
Everyone's grounded.
The hot take is,
I'm not sure he has a choice, Zach, Lo.
I don't think this defense,
I think they can get better
than 28th or 29th where they've been over the last 10 games.
But at the point of the attack, when you have Luca and Austin Reeves, I'm not sure you can
stay in front of the guards in this league, especially in the Western Conference.
I don't know what the realistic expectation for the ceiling of the Lakers defense is,
but I'm worried our friend JJ is going to be very frustrated over these last 53 games because
the defense of the Lakers simply isn't good enough to compete for the NBA championship.
Yeah, no screen time for the next week.
Okay, your phones are gone.
You're grounded.
Very bad loss for the Lakers yesterday.
Austin Reeves left the game in the first half with the cap injury.
It's like 10 in the morning right now.
We don't have an update on that.
Knock on what it's not serious.
Obviously, he just missed a week with a calf injury.
So it's something to monitor.
Look, we all knew the model for the Lakers coming in was like top three offense,
15th defense.
Nuggets model from two years ago.
That's the only hope.
I've said consistently, like, they're the puncher's chance team for me.
Like, they can win any, they can compete in any single playoff series in the West.
But the idea that they could win three seems far-fetched to me because of their defense
and the fact that their best player, let me walk that back.
It's not, my, LeBron comes into my head and words come out.
Their second or third probably best player, we'll see where, depending on what you think of Reeves,
is about to turn 41.
the bottom line, and this was like really laid bare
against the Rockets last night,
is ideally for the Lakers,
you should probably work your rotation
where you start all three of those dudes,
Reeves, Luca, and LeBron,
because you can't politically bring any of them off the bench.
Reeves cannot, you can't average 29 points a game
and be an all-star and be, like, be demoted to six-man.
When you're about to become an unrestricted free agent,
that's just like not a realistic thing that can happen.
But it should be a rotation where
You play first four minutes of each half, one comes out, and then it's max two out of three on the court till crunch time, depending on the circumstances, because that's the only way we can survive defensively.
The flip side of that is with all three on the court, they kind of had this superpower of somewhere we're going to be able to find a mismatch on the perimeter.
Like we're going to be able to do two and three man actions where all of a sudden a little guy is on LeBron or a little guy's on Luca.
Well, when it's just two of them, it's harder to engineer that.
And it was impossible for them to engineer that against the Rockets,
who when Reed Shepard's not on the floor, just don't play any little guys anyway.
And that's the dilemma.
The Lakers are trapped in.
I don't really know what the solution is.
I also, Kirk, is it, I know JJ Reddick cares.
It's his job to care for 82 games.
Is it okay that I just don't care?
And here's why I just don't care.
none of this was ever supposed to happen.
This team was never supposed to exist in this way.
And once it was enabled to exist in this way by Nico Harrison,
it was never intended to be a title contender right now.
You don't have one type of mid-tier title contender,
which is how the Lakers fancied themselves with Anthony Davis and LeBron,
luck in to this gift from the heavens of completely rearranging one mid-tiered.
your title contender, creating another, except some of the leftover pieces don't, they only
match team A, but not new team B. And all of a sudden contend for titles in a loaded Western
conference when you were built around LeBron, but now you're built around Luca. This is all
like gravy. And yeah, they got to figure out how to build going forward. If Reeves is going to be
part of the core, what to do post-Lebron. Do they need to make any big giant trades now? Will they only
have one pick to trade and do you really want to trade Austin Reeves? Is there really what you
want to do? What are you getting in return? But like, this is, this is all still gravy from the
the gravy, the Luca train is still, the Luca train is still flowing. Slovenian gravy.
Great this time of year. But I think you're right. I think this is, but it's just, it's interesting
how it's manifesting. I mean, you're saying there's three teams that have the worst defense over the last
10 games, the Wizards, check, Utah, check, and then the Lakers, like, they have to be better
than that.
But here we are.
You're not going to win a lot of games when you're giving up that many points per possession.
But I think it's becoming clear that this team is just flawed architecturally.
It should be.
They haven't had time to build the house.
Fair enough.
Yeah.
And so I think that should affect how they look at the trade deadline.
Do you extend Austin Reeves?
So he becomes at least a more tradable asset at that point.
Post-Lebron, what are we doing?
Is he sticking around?
But yeah, I think as a Laker observer, I'm starting to look towards the summer
as being the most interesting part of 2026 for that Lakers organization.
Now, I know Gabe Vincent was out last night and Jackson Aves was out last night.
But I actually wrote this down because my brain was like, am I seeing this correctly?
They played a lineup at one point last night that was Jake Laravia.
Luca Donchitz
LeBron James
Jared Vanderbilt
and Maxi Kleba
and I'm like
I don't even know
what that is
I mean it's so enormous
but so slow
and old that it can't
it's like a lot of these big
lineups like oh it's switchy
that's cool it's so versatile
this one was like what is this thing
it's so slow
and we should give some shine
to the other team the Rockets
who came into this
game off a horrible loss of the Clippers, having lost a couple of really bad crunch time games.
A lot of questions swirling about, I don't know, is this team too stagnant latent games?
Are they too predictable?
Do they not have enough shooting?
And those are fair questions, and they are predictable.
And there's a lot of standing around.
And there's a lot of like Shengun Save Us, KD, save us.
I think what's going to get lost in the Christmas sort of hoopla of all these games is the move to
start Tari-Eason over Josh Akogi is potentially a really big deal.
And I kind of joked on this podcast a few episodes ago that I'm not sure how seriously I can take you when Josh Okogi is like this heavily involved in your team.
And he's making shots and all that.
But when you have a Kogi plus a center plus Amman Thompson, it's just so cramped that no matter how many of your own misses you rebound, it just becomes a little too tough to score.
Eason for Akogi solves that issue.
Not only that, it unlocks lineups where when Amman's,
Thompson rests and boy was he incredible
just eviscerating the Lakers every matchup
he wanted big, small, whatever.
When he rests, now they can play
lineups with the center
is the only guy on the floor who's a non-shooter
and it's like, oh my God, look at all this space.
The rockets have to work with. I think
Eason, his health is a big deal. Finney
Smith came back. Like, rounding out
their team like that is, don't
sleep on that. That was a big deal.
Huge deal.
And they are much
better at offense than I thought they would be
this season, no matter if it's a Kogi or
Easton. Like the Reed Shepard thing
is another thing we should call out. He looks really good.
He looks like he's one of the best shooters in the NBA
period. And he's given them
offensive competence, particularly as a
jump shooter next to Kevin Durant that gives that
that group actually some firepower from the
perimeter, which is one of the big concerns when Van Fleet
went down. So the Reed Shepard stuff, you know,
I think EMA didn't really want to see this much
Reed Shepard, but it has worked.
And look, one of the big hand-up moments for me this year is I didn't think this Houston Rockets offense was going to be very good without Fred Van Fleet.
And they've been very good.
So, you know, hand-up.
But a lot of that has to do with Reed Shepherd.
Now they get Tar Easton back, who isn't emerging.
Like, is he a good catch and shoot guy?
I'm still looking at the numbers, but they're starting to look promising.
And like he gives them another corner.
But they're just a deeper team.
The stat of the night at the last night, and I think what JJ lost his mind.
about was the starting front court of the Lakers,
Hatchamora LeBron, and who started at the center point?
Adon.
Those three dudes combined for six rebounds, Zach Lowe.
Alpernison Goun had 12.
So they got their ass kick the old-fashioned way in the Moses Malone sense on the glass.
And I think that just really, you know, when you play the Rockets,
you know you have to rebound.
And they just didn't answer the bell there.
well, LeBron's 40,
Ruey has never been a good rebounder.
And Dominating
just, look,
Alper and Shangoon and Steven Adams are going to beat the shit out of you
and you're either ready for that or you're not.
And you either want all that smoke or you don't
because it's not fun.
Eason, one thing,
Eason's catching two three has been amazing.
I'll tell you this.
And he reminded everybody why it was the terror twins last year
and not just Aman Thompson.
That dude will take the ball from you.
You're a little casual with it,
like hold it like a little loaf of breath.
That dude's stealing it and going the other way.
He will take your cookies.
Four steals last night.
Hot take, Christmas takeaway.
Stupid Christmas takeaway number two for me.
We need a floor for teams promoting their own players for All-Star.
I'm sorry, Indiana Pacers.
I can't see a tweet where it's like,
vote Benedict Mathurin.
Your votes count triple today.
Charlotte Hornets, I'm calling you out.
vote Brandon Miller, who's barely played the entire season.
Your votes count triple today.
Cavs.com.
Vote the entire core four for All-Star.
Don't just ignore the fact that Jared Allen gets benched in crunch time every game and
Darius Garland is barely played.
Here's the case for Darius Carlin.
We need a floor.
We need Adam Silver to impose a floor of just like this is the worst player that can be tweeted for
All-Star votes.
That's all.
Do you have a candidate?
We need to name this.
The blank threshold.
hold.
Is it like a Zach Levine?
I'm trying to think of who else it could be.
If your team is more than five games below 500, you're disqualified from any kind of
tweets.
So I will say, I would call it either the Dylan Brooks or Josh Hart rule.
Very good players.
Like you could make actual cases for those guys to be fringe all stars.
Anything below that?
I just don't want to see it.
Um, I have a hot take.
Christmas take number three, four.
Nicola Okic is the MVP of the league again.
I had that, that was mine.
Okay, go.
I just looked at the betting markets, whether you're looking at Fandul or you're one of these, you know, these whiz bangs who's looking at Polly Market.
Yeah, we have a horse race again, and one of the horses is gaining on the other one, or we have a two horse race.
No, past them.
Yeah.
And then according to Zach Lowe, Nicole Yokicich.
past SGA as the thunder have gone through this three-game slide against the Spurs,
Nicole Yokic with many of his comrades in street clothes, has looked as good as ever.
56, 16 and 15.
I know we said that earlier, but that's insane.
That's an absolutely crazy stat line, 18 points in overtime on a Christmas night win.
Fowled out, Rudy Gobert.
The assists are insane.
The mid-range game.
as you pointed out earlier to hit two huge threes down the stretch in that game,
that's not even the strongest part of his portfolio, but when he needs it,
I'll be a 45-3-point, 45% three-point shooter right now.
That's fine.
He's the best player in the world.
It's not close, and you're right.
He is now the MVP favorite.
He was the best player last year.
I think we all agreed he was the best player last year.
Most valuable has always allowed that V-word has always allowed for a little bit of fun,
a cognitive wiggle room.
And what happened last year was
A, Shea had
an unbelievable historic
Jordanesque season in which he was
neck and neck
with Yokic and sometimes a little bit
ahead of him in all the
advanced stats that Yokic usually
lapsed the field in by a mile.
And B, the Thunder won like
18 more games than the Nuggets or some
crazy number of games.
And at some point, if it's that close
statistically, and it was close last year.
It was actually close.
And one team wins that many more games,
even if that team is built in ways
that the other team can't dream about to win regular season games,
the historic significance of the win total,
to me, just becomes the tie-breaking deciding factor.
What's happened this year is there is no big win gap right now.
It's three games, and three-fifths of Denver starting lineup is injured.
Two-fifths of it has been injured for quite a while.
Now Cam Johnson's going to be out four to six weeks.
according to Chris Haynes, which is a big blow for them.
He had just started to get going.
So the winds gap thing has vanished.
And if you look at the advanced stats, that sort of neck and neck thing is not the case this
year, whether it's Vorp or Bipham or Schnurps or windshares or whatever P.R or whatever
thing you want to do, it's not neck and neck.
Yokic has a big edge and pretty much all.
You can find one here and there, like the dunks and three is adjusted plus minus.
She's still a little bit ahead.
But this is a different landscape than last year where we all understand who the best player is and all the other arguments have now.
It's just one day past Christmas.
Tons of stuff could happen.
But Yokic has reclaimed the throne.
We agree.
Yeah, no notes.
My hot take, sort of related to the Spurs, the NBA is talking about changing their tanking rules.
And I'm just going to say, can we please get it.
right this time. Let's fix tanking for real this time. It's a scourge on the league. Yes, I believe
the Spurs have sort of inspired this with their number one, number four, number two picks and
consecutive drafts and sort of taken the fast lane to the top of the NBA. But it came out last
week. I know you briefly addressed it on your last show, Zach, but dude, this is a big deal.
Tanking is an embarrassment to the NBA. And I want to get your thoughts on, you know, is
a solution that you're really sort of excited about or in favor of? Do you think there's anything
the lead can do? It's a very hard problem, but they've got to get it right. What are your thoughts?
I would like to hear more from experts who can model this idea that the lottery positions are
determined by some formula where you, up until a certain date, it's long.
losses like it is now, the losingest teams have the best odds. And then after that date,
you get some form of credit for wins. I don't know exactly how that would work, but there's
something about that that I like because the last two months of the season are so abysmal in so
many places in the NBA. I need to learn about the ripple effects of that more. I don't know how I
feel about this idea that you can't pick in the top whatever two years in a row or three years in
row because that might have some unintended consequences that I'm not sure I've been thought
through all the way, including like if I'm team B and I know that team A who's worse than me
is prohibited from picking in the top three or whatever, does that make me more likely to then
tank? Does it just sort of shift the tanking incentives the other way? The odds, I like where
the odds are now, how they squeeze them a little bit so that it's less profitable to be the
worst team, even though it hasn't really changed teams behavior.
all that much, is there room to squeeze them a little bit more?
I don't know.
I don't like a totally equal lottery.
I don't like the more radical idea that all 30 teams have an equal chance at every pick
or that the even more radical idea that the best team should pick first.
Because I think those to me, I've always said,
they sound like good ideas until the Thunder get the first pick in the draft.
Now, ironically, the Thunder may end up getting the first pick in the draft.
But I agree.
But the overall,
the overall solution to all of the NBA's problems
is not alcohol like Homer,
Homer Simpson once said,
although that is a great solution,
cause of and solution to all of life's problems,
is shortening this season.
It's the silver bullet for everything.
And you might ask, like,
well, how does this impact tanking?
It impacts tanking because if it's a 55 game season
and I'm the jazz,
and I get off to like a much better start
than I anticipated.
I'm not bailing out with 30 games left versus 60 games left.
And I have actual time to bail out.
So I don't know.
Do you have any that you like?
Because this problem is going to keep happening, obviously.
Yeah, I don't.
And like, I know the people who are working on at the league office.
And I would just say that's a hard problem.
But we got to get it right.
I think we're the only league in the world where teams aren't trying to win every game on purpose.
Like, that's a big.
issue. And when you watch youth sports, you watch college sports, the idea that a team would be losing on purpose is insane. And we have to get out of that somehow. So I don't have one. And I would also add like the current CBA has made free agency harder and made trades harder. So building through the draft and first round picks are more valuable than Eversack. And so that is only sort of steering more tanking behavior. So I think there's this macro economic.
sort of thing that they've set up where, okay, it's harder to trade for good players.
It's harder to get free agents.
So it's almost steering more of us towards the bottom of the standings and the top of the draft.
So I don't have a solution.
I know it's a hard problem, but I want to see it more than anything.
That's my Christmas wish, I guess.
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This episode is brought to you by Service Now.
Look, I have my dream job.
I get to watch basketball, think about basketball, talk about basketball.
But even dream jobs have the stuff that nobody dreamed about, the busy work that gets in the
way of the actual work. Service Now's AI specialists tackle that work. Request handled, cases
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To learn how to put AI to work for people, visit servicnow.com. Okay, two more Christmas,
quick Christmas questions, and then we'll go. Number one, do you feel if you are Kenny
Atkinson or Kobe Altman, more confident in your team or less confident in your team after
coming in a couple nice wins of Charlotte.
I don't really care.
You beat Charlotte and the Pelicans, whatever.
Rickety season for the Cavs.
I went to the Bulls lost last week when the Bulls embarrassed him and ran them out of the gym,
put me up to DefCon 1.
I'm officially going down to DefCon 2.
But how much do you feel more confident, better, worse after?
competing against the Knicks at Madison Square Garden and ultimately blowing a lead to Tyler Kolic, Jordan Clarkson, Mitchell Robinson, and the rest of the Knicks.
How are you feeling today?
Yeah, I'm feeling better.
I think I feel much better.
We're getting healthy.
You know, we haven't had our whole team much.
I don't feel great.
So it's not like, hey, everything's great here.
But I feel much better, dude.
And if they would have won that game, which kind of got either way last night or yesterday afternoon in New York City, I would feel great.
But I feel good.
Let's see everybody.
Garland making plays, Mobley making plays, less load on Donovan Mitchell.
Let's get back to hold.
They've played 32 games.
There's 50 left.
Can we win 30 or 32 of those 50 and feel good about it going into the playoffs?
I feel much better than I did a few weeks ago, or I guess a week or two ago.
I feel better too.
I'm officially going to DefCon 2.
If they win their next game, I'm going to call it CavsCon.
I'm going to CavsCon.
if they win their next game.
Garland, this is about a week and a half now of him looking like Darius Garland.
Now, I need to see it sustained without these setbacks that happen for two,
three weeks a month, whatever, before I really get confident.
I think they know if the Knicks are the measuring stick in the East,
which I think they are along, maybe the pistons are right there with them.
But I think the Cavs know a good plan of attack for the Knicks.
They go at towns on the pick and roll with all their guards.
They have screen the screener plays where they make.
They came run through a gauntlet and move his feet and all that.
They hunt Brunson.
I think they have a pretty good offensive game plan.
And Merrill, getting healthy, has sort of reinforced the idea that movement shooter in the
starting five, eventually Max Truce is a better fit than DeAndre Hunter in the starting five.
Obviously, Mowgli came back and then okay.
All of those.
And by the way, it feels like Donovan Mitchell's effective field goal percentage when the calves are
down by six in the last minute of the game is like 5,020%.
It's just like, you.
just never misses and he dunked the entire entirety of Madison Square Garden late in that game.
It's not just that he makes every shot.
They're spectacular.
In a possession that's supposed to be like a lockdown defensive possession.
He goes in like video game, dunks it.
It's on the easiest level.
I do agree with that.
He is one of the guys you want to have with the ball at the end of a clutch game.
Now, they are at Houston at San Antonio in the next few days, then home for Phoenix, Denver, Detroit.
So this five-game span is a real test.
We'll see next time I'm on the Zach Lowe show what level of CavsCon we're both on.
But keep your eyes on the Cavs.
I think they're the right team to watch over the next week or two.
Can I make the counter argument about why I can only go down to CavsCon two and not Cavscon three after a very strong Christmas showing?
Yeah, of course.
Number one, I blew a lead.
Number two, Mitchell Robinson ate Jared Allen's lunch on the offensive glass for like the seventh consecutive
season, it feels like. And Jared Allen
had seven points, only a couple
times where he asserted his size. He had
a post up against Josh Hart and a face-up
drive by Mitchell Robinson.
Other than that, I've seen this movie before
with Mitchell Robinson. Obviously
Mitchell Robinson's health is a little bit of a question
mark for the Knicks, but like, I don't
feel, and Kat
with the Knicks, I think, up two
in the last minute of the game, just zooms
right around Evan Moble for an offensive
rebound on the left baseline and a put back
to put the Knicks up by four.
the way they lost falling from ahead and getting bullied by a team that the Knicks,
the Knicks aren't perfect.
The Knicks wouldn't be the favorites in the finals against whoever comes out of the West.
The Knicks are going to have a hard time getting out of the East,
even though they've been my pick.
They always leave you wanting a little bit.
Obviously, they have defensive issues and all this.
The one thing you could not question about them is they are a resilient, tough effing team
who is never out of a game.
And there's something about their spirit that I think.
find you irresistible. But the manner of that loss getting bullied on the glass by the Knicks
big guys is like PTSD for me if I'm a Cavs person. Oh, that's a good point. And just a quick shout
out to Mitchell Robinson, who turned the NBA Cup final around with his incredible activity on the
glass in Vegas. And again, on Christmas, like he's one of my favorite rotation players, just the
American Stephen Adams, many are calling him, just a great offensive weapon on the glass for the Knicks.
and turning missed shots into second chances,
as well as anybody this side of Stephen Adams.
It's incredible, and he gives them just a huge energy piece
for a team that doesn't really have that when he's off.
And Kolek, too, by the way.
So the Mike Brown era in New York,
some of this depth is changing the looks at the end of game,
some options with Josh Hart or whatever.
But Mitchell Robinson, man, what a run he's had the last week or two.
Well, Josh Hart went out too at the end of that game.
hopefully again we're recording this in the morning we don't know the news hopefully it's not
serious josh hart seems to be one of those people who falls and tweaks something and gets right
back up the last thing that we need to address is anthony davis got injured groin spasms against
the warriors left the game early um i don't really even know what to say because it growing spasms
you just again we don't know the news it could be day to day it could be two weeks it could be a month
I'm beginning to, I don't even think worry is the right word.
I'm beginning to think this is just it for the Mavs this year,
that just doing nothing is the right move across all fronts.
I don't think, look, if he's out a month,
there's not going to be an Anthony Davis trade.
No team is going to give you major stuff for a guy who's injured yet again.
I never thought there was going to be a huge market for him anyway, as I've discussed.
I just think the Mavs are, everyone is fretting in Dallas because this is the only drafts pick they control for the next five years.
This is their one chance to tank and get a high draft pick.
And so that's sort of fueled the trade AD, this and that.
I just don't think there's a really good AD trade.
There's seven and five in their last 12 games.
There's something fun happening with Cooper and Anthony Davis together.
and no matter what they did,
I don't think they could out-lose any of the following teams.
I don't think they can out-lose Utah
because of the pick that Utah owes.
I don't think they could out-lose Sacramento
because they're Sacramento.
I don't think they could out-lose the Wizards.
I don't think they can out-lose the Pacers
who are in the greatest one-year tank position
since the Spurs tank for Tim Duncan.
And I actually,
despite the fact that they're playing really frisky ball
and some of the young guys are starting to pop a little bit,
I don't think they can out lose the nets.
And so if I'm stuck in that netherworld,
I'm not making an Anthony Davis trade that sucks just to make it,
particularly now since he's injured.
I'm riding it out.
I'm going to sort of organically soft tank my way
and hope the lottery guards are kind to me like they were last year,
maybe not this kind.
And I'm coming back next year with AD and Kyrie and Cooper Flag.
I'm actually not that I'm taking a shot, but I'm fine with that as the outcome and postponing this.
But it just sucks to see this dude limp off the floor, like once every whatever weeks.
It just sucks.
I'm sorry.
It sucks.
I think that's where this lands.
I think they don't do anything major with Kyrie or A.D.
Obviously, they have Cooper flag.
He looks better every week.
By the way, the nets have the best defense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
In the last month, they're second, I think.
They might be first now after what's happened with the Spurs of the Oklahoma City.
Yeah, I just did my efficiency landscape post, and I noticed they'd won six to the last ten.
Their defense is better than the thunder over the last ten games as a stunning stat.
So maybe they're not tanking.
But look, I think the last few drafts, we've seen guys, teams move up, whether it's the spurs to get Harper or obviously the Dallas Mavericks themselves to get Cooper flag.
So the soft tank letting Cooper develop, you know, I think in a Western conference, that's the best you can hope for.
And then maybe you luck out again and you come back with an incredible new rookie next year.
And you have Kyrie Healthy and AD ready to go and Cooper Flag in year two.
And you could make some noise.
I do think that's where this lands.
I do think that's how they should approach it.
And now maybe Gafford or PJ Washington, there's a different answer there and they're able to get some assets back.
But yeah, in terms of AD, I don't think there's anything coming down the puzzle.
Kirk Goldsbury, it's a pleasure to podcast with you.
As always, happy holidays.
I hope Santa was good to you other than the NBA games that we got.
And I will see you soon, my friend.
Happy New Year's Zach Lowe.
All right, that's it.
Hope everyone had a great holiday.
Hope everyone's having a great holiday.
Stay safe out there.
Behave on New Year's Eve.
Thanks to Mike, Billy, and Jonathan on production.
Thanks to the one and only Kurt Goldsbury for joining.
Thanks to you for listening to and watching.
The Zach Lowe Show.
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