Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal - Demystifying Gödel's Theorem: What It Actually Says

Episode Date: May 5, 2025

Gödel’s incompleteness theorem is one of the most misunderstood ideas in science and philosophy. This video cuts through the hype, correcting major misconceptions from pop-science icons and reveali...ng what Gödel actually proved and what he didn’t. If you think his theorem limits human knowledge, think again. The people referenced are Neil deGrasse Tyson, Veritasium, Michio Kaku, and Deepak Chopra. Correction: Veritasium says "everything" not "anything." My foolish verbal flub is corrected in the captions, and the argumentation remains the same. As a listener of TOE you can get a special 20% off discount to The Economist and all it has to offer! Visit https://www.economist.com/toe Join My New Substack (Personal Writings): https://curtjaimungal.substack.com Listen on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/SpotifyTOE Become a YouTube Member (Early Access Videos): https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdWIQh9DGG6uhJk8eyIFl1w/join Links Mentioned: •⁠ ⁠Scott Aaronson | How Much Math Is Knowable?: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VplMHWSZf5c •⁠ ⁠The Consistency of the Axiom of Choice and of the Generalized Continuum-Hypothesis (paper): https://www.pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.24.12.556 •⁠ ⁠The Gettier Problem: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/knowledge-analysis/#GettProb •⁠ ⁠Jennifer Nagel on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWZVMZ9Tm7Q •⁠ ⁠Gödel’s First Incompleteness Theorem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_Formally_Undecidable_Propositions_of_Principia_Mathematica_and_Related_Systems •⁠ ⁠Roger Penrose on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGm505TFMbU •⁠ ⁠Curt talks with Penrose for IAI: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQM0OtxvZ-Y •⁠ ⁠Bertrand Russell’s Comments: https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Page:Russell,_Whitehead_-_Principia_Mathematica,_vol._I,_1910.djvu/84 •⁠ ⁠Gregory Chaitin on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMPnrNL3zsE •⁠ ⁠Chaitin on the ‘Rise and Fall of Academia’: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PoEuav8G6sY •⁠ ⁠Curt and Neil Tyson Debate Physics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ye9OkJih3-U •⁠ ⁠Gödel’s Completeness Theorem: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G%C3%B6del%27s_completeness_theorem •⁠ ⁠Latham Boyle on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nyLeeEFKk04 •⁠ ⁠Gabriele Carcassi on TOE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pIQ7CaQX8EI •⁠ ⁠Gabriele Carcassi’s YouTube Channel (Live): https://www.youtube.com/@AssumptionsofPhysicsResearch •⁠ ⁠Robinson Arithmetic: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robinson_arithmetic •⁠ ⁠Algorithmic Information Theory (book): https://www.amazon.com/dp/0521616042 •⁠ ⁠The Paris-Harrington Theorem: https://mathworld.wolfram.com/Paris-HarringtonTheorem.html •⁠ ⁠Curt’s Substack: The Mathematics of Self: https://curtjaimungal.substack.com/p/the-mathematics-of-self-why-you-can •⁠ ⁠The Church-Turing Thesis: https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/church-turing/ •⁠ ⁠Curt’s Substack: The Most Profound Theorem in Logic You Haven't Heard Of: https://curtjaimungal.substack.com/p/infinity-its-many-models-and-lowenheim Support TOE on Patreon: https://patreon.com/curtjaimungal Twitter: https://twitter.com/TOEwithCurt Discord Invite: https://discord.com/invite/kBcnfNVwqs #science Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 I want to take a moment to thank today's sponsor, Huel, specifically their black edition ready to drink. So if you're like me, you juggle interviews or researching or work or editing, whatever else life throws at you, then you've probably had days where you just forget to eat or you eat something quickly and then you regret it a couple hours later. That's where Huel has been extremely useful to myself. It's basically fuel. It's a full nutritionally complete meal in a single bottle. 35 grams of protein, 27 essential vitamins and minerals, and it's low in sugar. I found it especially helpful on recording days so I don't have to think about prepping for food or stepping away to cook. I can just grab something in between conversations and keep going. It's convenient, it's consistent, it doesn't throw off my rhythm.
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Starting point is 00:01:23 That's huel, H-U-E's Huell.com slash theories of everything, all one word. Thanks again to Huell for supporting the show, Become a Huell Again, by visiting the link in the description. Many popularizers who use Gödel's incompleteness theorem to make bold claims about fundamental limits of human knowledge have made a category error. Girdle, he concluded that at some point in mathematics, you just have to make something up. Girdle's theorem shows the limitations of almost every theory of reality.
Starting point is 00:01:58 My favorite is consciousness. There is a hole at the bottom of math, a hole that means we will never know everything with certainty. Today I'll cover misuses, why they're misuses, and I'll also talk about what Gödel's theorem actually says because to state it in its catchy glib form misses the necessary rigor required to know its domain of application. The TLDR is that Gödel's incompleteness theorem is about axiomatization, not epistemology. Now there's an asterisk here, which I'll get to later. Epistemology is just fancy technical jargon for what and how we can know.
Starting point is 00:02:32 So, knowledge. Knowledge! The gist of Gödel is that someone can hand you any concrete, mechanically checkable theory, let's call it F. And Gödel's machinery then spits out explicit arithmetic statements, maybe a busy beaver statement, that F, your little machinery here, can neither prove nor disprove. Those sentences set a hard ceiling for that particular proof verifier, even though you yourself can always zoom out, beef up the axiions, and push the line further. See this excellent exposition here by Scott Aronson on that. As for these other more
Starting point is 00:03:09 pop-sci videos, I used to believe these slogans as well. It's difficult not to be seduced by the mysticism around Gödel's theorem. That changed for me personally when I was at the University of Toronto. It was there that I took a course where part of the final exam was to actually prove Gödel's first incompleteness theorem assuming only a specific model of arithmetic. Now this was tricky because not only did you have to be acutely clear in each line of reasoning but you had to properly understand the assumptions. For instance, what does it mean to be powerful enough
Starting point is 00:03:43 to encode arithmetic? Power is not a math word in this context. What are we? Thanos? What's arithmetic? What's a model? What's an interpretation? What's a universe in model theory? What's the difference between syntax and semantics? Now, I bring this up not because I'll be assuming you know these, but to emphasize that theorems are all based on terribly tedious assumptions that one can't just gloss over. Gödel was a mathematical genius, one of Einstein's closest friends in his later years. In 1931, Gödel blew apart Hilbert's program in a single stroke.
Starting point is 00:04:19 He severed mathematical truth from formal proof. He also fixed exact limits on axiomatization, he also helped lay the bedrock for computability theory, and he also guaranteed that these undecidable problems will exist forever. And that's all just from one year. Add Gödel's completeness theorem, which yields the compactness principle, also the constructable universe, which proved the consistency of the generalized continuum hypothesis with the axiom of choice.
Starting point is 00:04:46 And then of course his rotating universe solution that he gave to Einstein as a 70th birthday present where there are time travel solutions in general relativity. All of that is fantastic and can't be understated. Now let's get back to that one-liner. Gödel's incompleteness theorem is about axiomatization and not epistemology. Questions in the field of epistemology are questions that deal with the nature and sources and limits of knowledge. The nature of knowledge even includes defining what knowledge is.
Starting point is 00:05:15 This isn't trivial. You can see the Gettier's problem and the recent deep dive with Jennifer Nagel. Link will be in the description. On the other hand, Gödel's incompleteness theorems are regarding what can be proven within a formal system. Now, every word here is important. First, notice that there's a plural and that's because there are two incompleteness theorems. The one that most people talk about when they mention his incompleteness theorem is the first one. Actually, something you should notice that I keep saying Gödel.
Starting point is 00:05:43 That's just my English pronunciation of his name. You're stuck with it. Formal has a specific meaning and within also has a specific meaning. The claims of girdle's theorems are of a different domain than the claims in epistemology. The confusion between this has led to some wild misinterpretations allowing pundits to import metaphysics through a linguistic loophole. You know I'm a fan of rigor on this channel, so let's at least be slightly more rigorous and clarify what Gödel actually proved.
Starting point is 00:06:12 Any consistent recursive axiomatization of arithmetic is incomplete. Again, each word here is important. If you have a formal system that's consistent, so it doesn't prove contradictions, and it can't be mechanically checked, so that's the recursive axiomatization, then there will always be true statements capable of being stated within that system, but that can't be proved within the system itself. Neither can you prove its negation. Sounds profound.
Starting point is 00:06:41 However, unless you already think knowledge is a single fixed formal system that we are trapped in Robinson arithmetic, say, then it's difficult to see why this would have any implication on our general limitations or lack thereof of knowledge. But why? Well, for one, we use multiple systems for knowledge generation, not just formal. We also use informal reasoning like intuition. We also use informal reasoning like intuition. We also use empirical observation. As an aside here, you may wonder, but Kurt, wait, doesn't Penrose have something to say about this? Doesn't he have an argument in this domain? Yes, and I've spoken to Penrose twice. I'll place links in the description. And at another point on
Starting point is 00:07:21 this channel, I'll cover where what I'm about to say in this entire video either agrees with Penrose, diverges from him, or is independent of him, a side over. Now, furthermore, unlike what you may infer from Russell's 200-page proof of 1 plus 1 equals 2, we don't actually use axioms to justify our knowledge. Instead, we use our prior established mathematical knowledge to justify the fittedness of some axiomatic system. So it's directly the opposite. Russell himself even remarked about this. In some sense, using axioms to justify our knowledge would be like building scaffolding to support the ground. Sure,
Starting point is 00:07:59 it's impressive, but entirely unnecessary. Anyhow, even further, we didn't need Gertl to tell us that there exists some facts about math that will forever be beyond our grasp. Why? Because unless you're this metaverse merging Zuckerberg, you have finite working memory, you have finite processing speed, you even have a finite life. So you can't mentally compute some, say, 94,000-digit addition problem, let alone something with Googleplex digits, let alone some exam paper with basic addition problems
Starting point is 00:08:31 so large that it stretches beyond the boundaries of the observable universe. You'd have no hope of comprehending it, let alone completing it. Now, let's get to some of these misconceptions. Gerdes' theorem shows the limitations of almost every theory of reality. My favorite is consciousness only monism. No, not exactly. Girdle shows only that formal, recursively axiomatized systems of arithmetic leave some arithmetic truths unprovable.
Starting point is 00:09:03 Nothing in the proof even mentions consciousness, mind-matter dualism, non-dualism, or a purely rational description. As Gregory Chaitin likes to say, truth outruns proof. But that's a fact inside math. It's not carte blanche for metaphysics. It's important to be clear in one's presentations of mathematical and physics material. Actually, I was scheduled to speak with Deepak in person on this channel, but I told his people respectfully that I would
Starting point is 00:09:31 have to question him on some spurious uses of quantum physics if he was to bring that up, and then they cancelled the day before the scheduled interview. Note that this wasn't Deepak cancelling, it was someone or some people on his team. For all I know, Deepak has no idea about any of this. Can mathematics be constructed as a completely self-consistent set of rules? And Gödel concluded, it's not just because he pulled it out of his ass, he can show that at some point in mathematics, you just have to make something up. Now this one is an odd one.
Starting point is 00:10:05 It sounds like what Neil is talking about is just axioms, which are what you assume to be true. But Gödel didn't show that you have to have axioms. The necessity of axioms is a fundamental prerequisite for the kind of formal deductive systems that Gödel was analyzing. So Neil deGrasse Tyson was accurately describing the nature of axioms in some sense, although I would disagree with that we just make anything up, but he mistakenly presents this as the core revelation of Gödel's incompleteness theorems. Also as we mentioned with
Starting point is 00:10:34 Bertrand Russell, you aren't looking for arbitrary axioms, but rather your axioms are justified by their consequences. I've heard Michio Kaku say that Gödel's theorem implies that we'll never know a theory of everything in physics, but this is another misstep. Incompleteness is about proof theoretic closure, not about differential equations describing nature. Philosopher Graham Appie points out that Gödel places no a priori barrier on how well equations can model empirical data. In other words, Gödel doesn't equal epistemology. The theorem shows a technical fact about recursively axiomatized formal systems. It's silent on
Starting point is 00:11:11 what human beings or physicists can know by other means, such as intuition, experiments, or higher order logics, or new axioms, etc. Also, one shouldn't confuse proof with some capital T truth. Incompleteness is an internal mathematical gap, but it doesn't automatically license metaphysical conclusions about consciousness, God, multiverses, etc. Physics isn't obviously a Gödel-style system. A physical toe may be stochastic or continuous, or even algorithmically infinite. Gödel's diagonal step needs none of these. Physics, after all, is science, not mathematics.
Starting point is 00:11:49 We use mathematics because it works, not because we think nature is mathematics. This, in my present deliberations, is a correct statement. Physics is model-based and provisional. See my recent video about why the so-called proofs that particles take all possible paths is faulty. There is a hole at the bottom of math. A hole that means we will never know everything with certainty. No, not exactly, Derek. Gödel shows that no single recursively axiomatized system can prove all arithmetic truths. Not
Starting point is 00:12:23 that human beings, who can move between systems by the way, will never know anything for certain. I've heard a popularizer say that Girdle showed that mathematics collapses under its own weight. Math didn't collapse. The Girdle's theorem only blocks a complete and consistent single axiom set, not mathematical reasoning as a whole. By the way, a subtle and extremely important point that many seem to miss is that these unprovable truths by Gödel, the ones that Gödel guarantees via his sentences, they're not globally true. Now why is that? It's because of Gödel's completeness theorem, which is a different theorem. If a statement is true in all models, then your system
Starting point is 00:13:04 necessarily proves it, and this contradicts its unprovability. Therefore, theorem. If a statement is true in all models, then your system necessarily proves it and this contradicts its unprovability. Therefore, any undecidable statement is true in some models and false in others. It counts only as true relative to a certain model and it's usually the standard one. So these unprovable truths aren't some stash of universal facts forever beyond reach. They're actually model dependent. Now you may get the impression that, well, these experts, they don't know what they're
Starting point is 00:13:30 talking about. But that's not the correct takeaway. These are extremely bright and precise people. What's funny is that I find most physicists are quite humble and tentative when it comes to ontological or epistemological claims behind closed doors. You can see this on this channel itself, this theories of everything podcasts that I have. This is something that I try to elicit because I treat this podcast like office hours,
Starting point is 00:13:53 as if I'm privately in a professor's office asking questions, and I don't care about the audience. The professors, they notice that. They just speak to me with the same level of technicality that they would behind closed doors. And the audience is just there like a fly on the wall. It's difficult to do open door physics. But by the way, someone who does do open door physics extremely well is Gabriel Carcassi.
Starting point is 00:14:17 But, however, Gabriel is rare. And for some reason, when something is framed as this is for a general audience, those popularizers go into this orchidacious popular science communication mode. They want to convey some voodoo to seduce the audience. Someone said about my previous video about all possible paths they said like Kurt come on you're fighting a straw man because no physicist actually claims that particles literally explore all possible paths. At Barf Manager, I'm sorry to disappoint you. And let me use my language carefully. I was going to say it is as if many physicists would
Starting point is 00:14:53 say no, it does. So the statement is that the electron explores both routes at the same time at once, let's say, on its root from the electron gun through the slits to the screen. Many physicists now would say that that is a correct description of reality. The particle does. And this, by the way, was on a large channel explaining physics to millions of people. I think that's more harmful in the long run, since it leads to misconceptions that others have to dispel.
Starting point is 00:15:25 And then the popularizer of science who came in with those claims feels like they have to defend themselves, and then so they do, and the audience just sees this conflict and combativeness, it gives credence to those who want to dismiss science or scientists as not knowing what they're talking about, claiming hey it's all conjecture, etc. I think it's more fruitful from the get-go to be honest about what we don't know and where our theories begin and end. It's more honest, at least I think so, to spend the extra few minutes to say what you want to say more precisely with the correct caveats.
Starting point is 00:15:57 Now, I understand the alternative is to cajole the audience with showy quantum pornography to continue to sell seats or get more views, but who cares? Who cares if that's at the expense of adding more confusion or even worse making the audience feel like they understood something on a deep level when what was presented was superficial with analogies that don't hold up under just two levels of question asking. I would imagine that acknowledging shortcomings or those, these asterisks openly enhances long-term trust by demonstrating a commitment to validity over reputation.
Starting point is 00:16:35 Now again, a refrain on this channel is to not wholesale by what anyone is saying, not even me. You have to listen to the arguments and not be swayed by pomp and circumstance. One always has to ask, what is the specific argument? Understand it. When critiquing something, critique that, not the person, not the person's affiliations or lack thereof, or the animation, or what have you. When critiquing, you think, what is the claim and the argumentation for that claim or the justification, and that's it. and the argumentation for that claim or the justification, and that's it. Getting back to incompleteness, our inability to grasp most of the theorems of arithmetic or Robinson arithmetic has nothing to do with Gödel and everything to do with our finite
Starting point is 00:17:16 cognitive capacities. Even if we somehow overcame these Gödelian limitations, these mundane constraints would still prevent us from knowing many, if not most, mathematical truths, like those high-digit span tests that we talked about earlier. Also, think about this. You know that the girdle sentence itself is true despite being unprovable within the system. How? Because you can step outside the formal system and use meta-reasoning. You are not that single formal system. This fact alone dismantles the claim that
Starting point is 00:17:49 Gödel's theorem imposes fundamental epistemological limits. You should know though that you have this undecidable truth and you may think, okay, well, why can't I just append it to my axiom set for some given fixed theory? That still doesn't erase the ceiling that Gödel set. It just relocates it. Because the stronger theory that you've now formed carries its own incompleteness sentence and that just goes on ad infinitum. Chaitin says that rather than Gödel giving us limits, Gödel's freed us. Gregory Chaitin, by the way, is the founder of algorithmic information
Starting point is 00:18:22 theory who basically pioneered a whole new field of math when he was just a teenager after being inspired by Gödel. I view it as saying that mathematics is creative and will always be creative. Gödel and Komplitner is really good news. It's not bad news. It's not a closed system. It's an open system.
Starting point is 00:18:39 Now let's get back to that asterisk that I talked about earlier. It's that every computable proof engine is an axiom system. So, so what and what does that mean? Well, Gertl's theorem still marks objective limits on what such an engine can certify. Now the tie to epistemology does come from our tie to relying on these external proof checkers for these undecidable theorems. The Paris-Harrington theorem is another example as it shows there exist statements that are unprovable in piano arithmetic or what have you, yet are actually proven using other mathematical
Starting point is 00:19:16 resources. Therefore, we have knowledge of these truths despite them being unprovable in one formal system. So, as Graham Oppppy points out, when theologians compare our knowledge of mathematics to our knowledge of God, claiming both are fundamentally linked by Gurdelian restraints, they're making an elementary category error. Our mathematical knowledge isn't analogous to our theological knowledge, and Gödel's theorem doesn't support any such analogy. Likewise, when continental philosophers invoke Gödel to defend notions of radical indeterminacy or undecidability of theories, they're misapplying a
Starting point is 00:19:53 precisely defined mathematical result to vaguely articulated philosophical positions. Now someone asked me, but Kurt, doesn't Gödel imply that our knowledge is partial? And I'll just summarize this conversation, I'll put a link on screen. I asked in response, what do you mean by partial? Do you mean finite, like some decidable theory? And the conversation partner said yes. And I then went on to explain that Gödel relies on an infinite arithmetic. Otherwise, every theorem could be listed in full because the set would
Starting point is 00:20:26 be finite and membership then could be mechanically decided by a straightforward brute force inspection. This person was then saying, okay, so then should we not use Gödel's theorem as a simile for knowledge? And then my claim is that knowledge is quite slippery here. The point is that the Gödel's sentence is constructed using the assumption that the underlying formalism contains the whole of elementary arithmetic, meaning you can always form numerals of unbounded size and prove addition and multiplication facts for each of them etc. And that unboundedness is the infinity that's baked into the proof. So if you impose a hard bound on numeral size, then the
Starting point is 00:21:03 whole incompleteness argument never even starts. Even if our minds were formal systems, no one is consistent in their beliefs. Thus, Gödel's theorem wouldn't apply to your knowledge generation anyhow if you're basing your generation on some formal analogy with belief as axioms, since, recall, one of the assumptions of Gödel's theorem was consistency to begin with. Now it turns out, axiomatization does not equal knowledge. To me, that's a huge takeaway from Gödel, although you arguably could have concluded that from the Loewenheim-Skollum theorems a few years before.
Starting point is 00:21:39 I wrote a substack post about this and I'll place a link on screen and in the description. Note that I worked on this video on and off for a few weeks writing the script and I tried to simplify it but I decided it was better to be honest with you about the complexity and tell you the details along with signposts and references for you to learn more than to try to wow you with some cursory response that may leave you saying, whoa, my mind is blown but then a day later you're left scratching your head like, Wait, what did I actually learn? The overall lesson is that Girdles and Completeness Theorem
Starting point is 00:22:13 is an extremely specific theorem with extremely specific assumptions that are quite thorny to untangle. Girdle sharpened vagueness by pinpointing concrete arithmetic statements that no fixed, consistent, computable axiom set can nail down. The relationship between formal systems and human cognition isn't straightforward, and while we aren't identical to current formal systems, the extent to which human reasoning can be modeled computationally is nowhere near settled.
Starting point is 00:22:42 See the Church-Turing thesis applied to mind, for instance. To draw epistemological consequences from Gödel requires teasing out each of these assumptions, and much of the time, such as the quotations that I've cited before, when people say that Gödel showed that there's some human limitation, you have to pause and decode, because the decoded version is most often a resounding,

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