Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal - Einstein Would Fail Modern Grant Applications | David Deutsch
Episode Date: October 6, 2025David Deutsch argues that Einstein would struggle to secure modern research grants, exposing how funding systems favor incremental work over bold, fundamental ideas. He connects this bias to quantum c...omputing, constructor theory, free will, and the role of creativity in scientific breakthroughs.- 00:00 - Einstein's Grant Application- 07:00 - Funding People, Not Projects- 12:35 - Is Physics Stagnant?- 17:34 - The "Checkbox" Problem- 26:05 - Physics vs. Math Departments- 32:42 - Fundamental vs. Foundational- 40:08 - Physicists and Philosophy- 45:44 - Why Academics Are Silent- 51:20 - The Problem of Quantum Gravity- 58:31 - Qubit Field Theory- 1:03:18 - Problem-Solving in Physics- 1:17:14 - Deutsch's "Impossible" List- 1:24:23 - Meeting Hugh Everett- 1:35:01 - Susskind's MWI Objections- 1:46:44 - Everett and Quantum Computing- 1:56:20 - Constructor Theory- 2:03:01 - Free Will and Knowledge- 2:09:08 - Follow The FunSPONSORS:- The Economist: 20% off - https://www.economist.com/toe- Claude: 50% off Claude Pro - http://claude.ai/theoriesofeverythingRESOURCES:- Beginning Of Infinity [Book]: https://www.amazon.com/Beginning-Infinity-Explanations-Transform-World/dp/0143121359- How To Reverse Academia’s Stagnation [YouTube]: https://youtu.be/Em-85baHx0A- Qubit Field Theory [Paper]: https://arxiv.org/pdf/quant-ph/0401024- Quantum Theory, The Church–Turing Principle And The Universal Quantum Computer [Paper]: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspa.1985.0070- ArXiv: https://arxiv.org/- Scott Aaronson [TOE]: https://youtu.be/1ZpGCQoL2Rk- Wayne Myrvold [TOE]: https://youtu.be/HIoviZe14pY- Neil Turok [TOE]: https://youtu.be/zNZCa1pVE20- String Theory Iceberg [TOE]: https://youtu.be/X4PdPnQuwjY- Alex Honnold [TOE]: https://youtu.be/D4oXvxqzSyA- Michael Levin Λ Anna Ciaunica: https://youtu.be/2aLhkm6QUgA- Stephen Wolfram [TOE]: https://youtu.be/FkYer0xP37E- The Heisenberg Picture: https://chem.libretexts.org/Bookshelves/Physical_and_Theoretical_Chemistry_Textbook_Maps/Advanced_Statistical_Mechanics_(Tuckerman)/09%3A_Review_of_the_basic_postulates_of_quantum_mechanics/9.04%3A_The_Heisenberg_Picture- Jacob Barandes Λ Emily Adlam: https://youtu.be/rw1ewLJUgOg- Everett’s Letter To DeWitt: https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/manyworlds/orig-02.html- The Many-Worlds Interpretation Of Quantum Mechanics [Book]: https://www.amazon.com/Interpretation-Quantum-Mechanics-Princeton-Library/dp/069161895X- Leonard Susskind [TOE]: https://youtu.be/2p_Hlm6aCok- Sean Carroll [TOE]: https://youtu.be/9AoRxtYZrZo- David Wallace [TOE]: https://youtu.be/4MjNuJK5RzM- Chiara Marletto [TOE]: https://youtu.be/40CB12cj_aM- Roger Penrose [TOE]: https://youtu.be/sGm505TFMbU- Robert Sapolsky [TOE]: https://youtu.be/z0IqA1hYKY8- Yang-Hui He [TOE]: https://youtu.be/spIquD_mBFk- Maria Violaris [TOE]: https://youtu.be/Iya6tYN37ow Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Why would Einstein fail a modern grant application?
Fortunately, I'm not very familiar with the way that grant applications are dealt with.
I only know the gross features in both senses of the word gross.
That is where I notice that grants that should have been awarded aren't fairly reliably.
when it comes to fundamental research,
which is what I'm mainly interested in.
So, judging by my experience,
and I certainly don't know what it was like over 100 years ago in Germany,
but judging by my experience today in Britain and in America,
he wouldn't have stood a very good chance.
because he wouldn't have been able to say what the application – well, first of all,
he wouldn't have been able to say very clearly what he was trying to do
because there was no one versed in relativity on the panel that judged physics applications.
So none of them would have known what a manifold is.
what the Riemann tensor is.
So his application would have had to explain that in very elementary terms,
and they would have had in front of them a pile of applications,
which from their point of view had much more merit
because they could see that these were open research problems
that needed to be solved,
only in the bigger picture, they were incremental,
whereas Einstein's was fundamental.
So I think he would have had difficulty getting a grant,
and I think in historical fact he did have such difficulty.
It was only when Max Planck saw that there was something interesting about him
that he got him a job.
And again, that isn't possible nowadays
because there'd be anti-nepotism rules,
there'd be rules about the procedure,
and every procedural rule is an impediment
to any new kind of thing being tried.
Anti-nepotism sounds positive.
What's the negative side to it?
well so um nepotism literally if it means not giving a job to your nephew then perhaps perhaps that
perhaps that has merit but what it means is in practice that if you know someone personally
you can't take part in the selection process for that person and you certainly can't
get the university to let that person in.
So it all has to be at arm's length in order to ensure fairness.
Now, the amount of unfairness that can be caused by not having that rule is very tiny
compared with the enormous unfairness of having that rule,
because having that rule means that only people who know nothing about the candidate
can rule on whether the candidate's accepted.
So the natural question that arises in someone's mind is why is it that we need grants anyhow?
So professors of the past, like, and I'm speaking about fundamental physics, not just a generic professor, but say Einstein or Feynman or Everett, which I know you have some personal stories on Everett.
Yes.
And I'd like to get to those at some point.
But I'd never heard them complain about the grant system.
However, I hear complaints, especially off air from contemporary professors about it frequently.
So why does one require grants if they're all.
already paid a salary, what are the grants for? What if you don't get a grant? Are you just sitting
around twiddling your thumbs? Are you then seen as a net cost to the university and they just
make you lecture? Yeah, I, yeah, that's what it is. I repeat, I'm not very familiar with the
system and that's not an accident. I have intentionally distanced myself from any knowledge of
the system because it is a very unpleasant thing to be connected with. But yes,
professors can do full-time teaching, most of them don't want to,
and that's not because they don't like teaching, I think, in many cases,
but because they have to teach to a regimented curriculum and syllabus,
and they can't exercise their creativity and reveal to students why they
are passionate about the subject and they have to get through a lot of it because the students
are all competing with each other to get the exam results which are a very inaccurate measure
of how suitable they are for future research. It's not even intended for that. It's intended
for displaying their qualifications, usually to do something else, which is by two orders
of two orders of remove away from suitability for research.
And then here in Britain, I don't know what it's like in the US.
The professor has to apply for a grant to do research, which is going to,
and some of that money goes to the university, so he doesn't have to do as much teaching.
but the student or graduate student
has to separately apply for a grant
the mere fact that the professor wants to include him
on his research team is not enough
to provide for subsistence for the student
and again the university takes a cut
notionally because of desk space or lab space
or whatever it is
so I think
this whole superstructure is contrary to what is needed for fundamental research, and actually
for all the functions of a university, but particularly for fundamental research, what it should
be is that the grant-giving authority or the entity that pays for somebody to do fundamental
research, whether it's a private charity, a private individual, the government or various
branches of the government, the military, whichever it is, what they should be doing is
awarding the grant to one person. And sometimes that one person alone, like it would have been
with Einstein, that one person alone is the research group. But in a more general case,
that person would then spend part of his grant on hiring postdocs and graduate students
and undergraduate students.
I mean, this whole hierarchy is counterproductive.
And in the research group, I believe in flat hierarchies.
So ideally, it should be the boss and everyone else.
and the boss and everyone else
should be equal as well
so that no one's commanding anything
they're all there on a joint project
which they believe passionately in
and that reminds me of another incident
with my former supervisor
Dennis Sharma
by the way I've been very lucky
with my supervisors
he was once told by the higher-ups
that they would be instituting a, what do you call it,
not time and motion, but yes, clocking in system,
where the students and postdocs in the morning,
they would sign the whatever it was, the register that they had,
and they had to be in by 9 a.m.
And so Dennis Sharma objected to this,
saying, if any of my people is in the department at 9 a.m., it's because they've been up all night.
Right. There's a story about Schwinger who was told, can you lecture at 10 a.m.?
And then he paused and thought, I don't know if I could stay up that late.
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Well, that is the way, you know, when physics was a small enterprise,
and there weren't that many physicists in the world, and they were all rather eccentric.
and they were all supported by various other means other than a system.
They were all rather eccentric, and they all had their quirks,
and whatever it was that sustained them,
approved of those quirks.
So like in the Institute of Advanced Study as well,
The first thing someone was told when they were given their 10-year or 15-year grant or whatever is do whatever you like.
That's what the grant holder should be told.
And that's what the grant holder, in my opinion, should tell the postdocs and the graduate students and whoever else is working with him.
you might think, well, if they're told that,
why shouldn't they just spend all their time drinking
and, well, it's because they've been hired for the purpose.
They've been hired because they are passionate about something.
And when you want to do a joint project,
you interview someone, you want to see whether they are passionate about that project,
nor whether they have some standardized qualification for it.
There is no such thing if you're working on something new.
Yeah, enthusiasm is there for everything.
Peter Higgs said, I believe this was a decade ago now,
that he wouldn't be able to get an academic job in today's environment.
I think he said it's quote unquote as simple as that,
that he wouldn't be productive or something akin to that?
Yes, nor would I.
Could quantum computing get invented today?
I think what would happen.
I think probably yes,
but the way it would happen is that,
which is happening a lot already,
which is that people who are really passionate
about some new fundamental thing,
apply for a grant to do something else.
to do something incremental.
And they do the incremental thing
to the minimum level required
to sort of pass the various tests.
They publish, they publish again,
they publish again.
Meanwhile, they're passionate thing.
They don't necessarily publish
because they're grappling with very difficult problems
that don't admit of successive papers
doing it better and better.
They're waiting for a breakthrough.
So they do that in their spare time.
And that is highly unsatisfactory.
I imagine the retort would be, look, there's plenty of great work occurring.
It would be foolish to paint all of academia with a brush of stagnation,
although that word hasn't come up.
I would like to talk about that as you had a whole conversation with the Conjecture Institute.
I'll place a link on screen to that.
It was fantastic about that subject.
Anyhow, we don't want to paint all of academia with a brush.
So some would say, even to say physics is stagnant, they would quit.
While I wish the field was stagnant, I wouldn't have so much to do.
I could catch up on the archive, for instance.
So what do you say to those who argue, look, there's been innovation, there's gravitational waves, black hole imagery, topological insulators and phases, time crystals, exoplanes have been discovered, quantum advantage.
So I don't want to appear to be trashing incremental research.
And also, in that list of things you just mentioned,
I don't want to classify all of those as incremental research.
Some of them are indeed fundamental.
What I want to say is that the research landscape taken as a whole
is heavily biased against fundamental discoveries.
Everything we've talked about, the criterion for getting a grant, the structure of careers, the structure of university departments, all of them are heavily biased against fundamental research such that it is much more done in people's spare time than it is done.
in pursuance of the grant that they're getting.
So, by the way, I also think that you mentioned what do I mean by grants.
Somebody pays for research, which is blue sky research.
It used to be that aristocrats did it.
They funded their own research.
So that's one way to go.
but
so in regard to who funds it
the main thing that is wrong with the existing setup
is that there are too few sources of funding
because the government has entered the field
not only have they sort of crowded out
other means of funding
and also prevented it
in various ways, but the private charity, for example, who funds research, they're going
to use the same criteria because they are, what they do is they have a committee whom they
assign the task of searching through, sifting through all the applications and picking the best
ones. And they don't know how to do that either. They can't possibly know. And they're forbidden
from using one of the few ways that they could, namely to ask their colleagues, do you know
someone who is worthy of this grant? They're not allowed to ask that. So, in other words,
broadly speaking, the government has now contributed, it sounds like a positive to physics, to
fundamental research. They've given plenty of money. However, with that money comes some poor practices.
these poor practices are then adopted by the individuals who previously used to donate without
these poor practices?
Yes, and the result is not stagnation.
I mean, there is a kind of stagnation, but that's a different story.
It's not that the result is stagnation, or rather indirectly it is.
The result is de-emphasis of the fundamental in favor of the incremental.
Not that there's anything bad about incremental research, as I said.
Yes, yes.
And I would like to get to this definition of fundamental research.
But just to pause here about government funding,
I see public funding, which is a synonym for government funding,
as a net good.
So am I incorrect in that,
or do I have to delineate between different types of public funding in my mind?
When the government funds something,
it's very rarely doing harm.
I mean, that does happen as well.
But on the whole, the things it funds are worth doing,
but they're not always worth the money,
especially when there are other things that could be done,
which are prevented by the system by which the funds are allocated.
Now, on the archive, for those people who are,
are listening who aren't researchers, there's something called A-R-X-I-V pronounced archive, sometimes at least
pronounced archive, where researchers post and also researchers look on a weekly to daily basis
for new research. There's HEP, so high-energy physics, and then there's quant physics.
Is there a specific subcategory of the archive for this quote-unquote fundamental research that you
speak of, or does it just get pooled into one of these two? It's done by subject. There is no
a category for fundamental.
And of course, there is no category either there or in grant application forms for things
that haven't been invented yet.
So when I applied for a grant to do research in quantum computation, of course there
was, there were, there were, one of the things you had to do is, is check the checkboxes
for what kind of physics you're doing, solid state physics, astrophysics, and, and none of
them were quantum computing because computing wasn't considered a branch of physics in the
first place, and, um, and especially not quantum computing. Now, there is a checkbox for
quantum computing. And consequently, now you can get a grant to do incremental research in quantum
computing, but you can't get a grant for inventing a new thing that would go on that list.
Yes. And that's impossible. It's impossible there could be. I'm not saying there should be
a thing on that list. It's impossible to put something like that on the list. And therefore, it's
impossible to judge applications according to classify applications according to what they're trying
to do like that. And if you could, if you had another box for fundamental none of the
above, for example, the people on the committee wouldn't know how to judge that. The only way to
judge that is, for example, with quantum computing, there would have been some people like Wheeler and
Feynman, who were aware that there was something to be learned in the physics of computation
or the physics of information that hadn't yet been incorporated into physics.
And they might have been able to point to young researchers who would be deserving of getting
a grant.
But they weren't on the committee.
And the committee couldn't consult them.
So, okay, do you think that there should be a new box, maybe the same.
not the solution, but let me just posit it.
Do you think there should be a new box that is for new boxes?
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Do you think there should be a new box that is for new boxes?
As I said, if you had such an application, suppose I had an application, suppose I was on the
committee and I had an application in front of me for a new propulsion system for spacecraft.
let's say.
Now, I know nothing about that
and I know no way of judging.
I mean, I could probably tell
if it's a crank or crackpot.
Sure.
But if it's something which is viable
but is not a modification of something in existence already,
obviously I can't give you an example of that right now
because I'm giving you an example of something
that I don't know about.
Yes.
So who should get such a grant?
Well, that person who deserves such a grant
will have been talking to somebody.
With luck, they will have been talking to somebody
who already has a reputation
for making progress somewhere in physics.
And that person should be listened to
there should be a mechanism for that person to cause somebody to be funded to do some fundamental research.
I have several times tried to recommend such people, people that don't fit into the standard categories and without success.
Only private entities have funded them, but even that was very very,
difficult because, as I say, they use very similar system and very similar criteria.
But at least there's diversity. At least there's more than one place you can apply to.
There ought to be dozens of places you can apply to.
Okay, so about the quantum computing checkbox, I imagine, and I know that you mentioned that
you're not as familiar with the grant system as one could be or even maybe you do not want to be,
But I imagine that it's not as simple as the checkbox for quantum computing.
I imagine there's sub-checkboxes like quantum hardware or cryptography or fault tolerance or algorithms
or what have you in the quantum computing space.
Now there would be, yes.
But when I was doing it, there were none of those.
Right.
Okay.
For the creation of these new checkboxes, are you saying that they would be done inadvertently?
You can't predict ahead of time.
So what you should do is you should fund people with,
potential. Yes. Fun people. That's how it should be, that's how it should be in incremental
research as well. The whole of scientific research should be like that. I thought you were about
to say you'd be allowed to make a new box and say what should be in it and all the subboxes.
I wouldn't have known what the subboxes are. They were, they too were only invented later and not
by me.
So the communities that I also traffic in other than physics are philosophy and math,
and the grant situation there doesn't seem to be as dire.
There's no expectations of grants as a prerequisite for tenure, for instance.
There's just the hope and the promoting of people who have strong publications.
So a math department meeting may say something like congratulations on your annals paper,
but I imagine that a physics department meeting would include like your grant expires
next year. What's your renewal plan? So what's the difference here between physics and math? And I'm
speaking about fundamental physics. Because you can always say, well, if it's experimental physics,
it's quite clear you do need plenty of money to fund your machines and your computers and your
servers and your students and so on. But fundamental physics. Yes. So for the, in the structure
that I advocated earlier, the research group leader should indeed be judged not on his
past papers, not on his, but on his previous success in advancing the subject.
It should be a well-known figure in the field who has a, who has a,
track record of making progress. And now he wants to make progress in a way that can engage
several other people. Maybe, maybe, you know, if he's an experimentalist, he wants to build this
with a machine, or if he's a theoretician, then the field has broadened enough for him to
see that there is potential there that he doesn't yet know what it is. But he knows. But he
knows who he wants that's that's the thing 10 years earlier he knew what he wanted to do now he
knows what kind of person he wants to work with and he wants to he knows that he wants to hire
five of them or 10 of them but not 500 of them so he he's funded not because he can say what
his next paper is going to be about. He's funded because he says he's very interested in stuff and
he's going to do research on it and somebody who funds him will be saying, I think that this guy is
good. Or gal. Yeah, well, I don't want to use gender neutral language because I think it's
silly. Obviously, when I say he, I mean he or she.
And if I said Mr or Mrs, I might also mean his majesty or master so-and-so.
So, yes, it's completely natural in this whole scheme of things that I'm advocating,
that everything is tuned to doing the research,
creating the new knowledge.
Everything is subordinate to that.
If somebody is going to care
whether the graduate student
is male or female,
then they're not the founder
that I want.
They need to be obsessed
with the thing itself,
and so should be the people
they hire.
Suppose right now there's a wealthy patron
or multiple,
and you could speak directly to them,
and these people who are
watching, they care about fundamental physics, maybe foundational research in computer science as
well, just foundational in general, which we can get to distinguish in between fundamental and
foundational. To me, I see them as quite close. I can't distinguish them. Maybe you can,
but anyhow, what is your message to them? What are they to do? They have this money. What are they
to do? They want to help. Yeah, so each one of them is different. Each one of them has interest.
Each one of them has reasons for wanting to promote fundamental physics,
and each one of them has a different conception of what fundamental physics is,
and they might also have a conception that it's being slowed down
by various sociological facts and so on, so they want to get around that.
They need to find somebody that they think is good.
somebody
usually this will be somebody
who has already done
some of the thing that they want done
and then they should approach
that person and say
could you use some money
often the answer will be no
but often it will be yes
because with money
they can
do a lot of things in parallel
that they would otherwise have to do in series
by themselves or with a smaller group.
Now, there is a thing that's just started up
the Conjecture Institute, and I don't know how they make their choices,
but what I've seen seems to be following the pattern
that I advocate quite closely.
So they fund the person, not the research project.
and they seem to fund people who are interested in foundations.
I don't know whether that's because their thing is to fund foundations
or whether their thing is to fund things which aren't normally funded because of...
So I don't know which of those it is.
But either of those would do.
And lots of variations on them.
that would also do. Like I said, I would like there to be dozens of such entities and all with the
different ethos, all with a different theory of what foundations are or what they're for and all with
the different theory of what's wrong with the present thing, why somebody hasn't already
funded the thing that they want to fund, that sort of thing.
Firstly, what is the difference between fundamental research and foundational research?
I don't make much difference between those things, but foundational suggests to me that you have a field and you're drilling into its foundations.
So you want to understand it more deeply than it has been before.
Fundamental means to do with fundamental knowledge, that is,
knowledge that is needed for all sorts of different areas.
You know, for example, quantum computation, I think, is fundamental or was,
because it has to do with mathematics and epistemology as well as physics and computation
and computer engineering.
So there's a whole bunch of things that it might unite,
it works. But it's fundamental in its conception that it's not it's not like working at
existing foundations of anything. Okay. So someone who's listening, who doesn't care about fundamental
or foundational research, they hear you keep bringing it up. Why is it so important to you?
And of course, you are not saying that the incremental, conformational research that's done
on existing theories is not important. But that the fundamental and foundational,
foundational has been somewhat excluded or not incentivized properly, but that implies that
why should we even care that it's incentivized properly? What is it about foundational and
fundamental research that's so vital to your conception of knowledge in the world?
The thing that unites them, so the growth of knowledge can't be regimented.
there's there's uh you know if you tell somebody like like henry ford said something like
uh you know if i'd ask people what they want they would they would have said a better horse
um so uh the um the essential thing to intellectual progress of all kinds whether incremental fundamental
whatever, is interest, that somebody is interested in doing this. If they weren't paid,
they'd still do it. They'd get a job doing something else and they'd do it in their spare time.
Like Van Gogh with his painting. Nobody ever bought a painting from him in his lifetime.
Even though his brother owned an art gallery. I mean, I don't know the story of that, but it's obviously not
it's not the standard story of slotting into an existing structure.
So some, but yeah, sorry, I've gone off to subject slightly.
What unifies fundamental and incremental research is that someone's interested in it.
And it's that interest that drives all progress.
It's true that fundamental research eventually, typically, eventually drives
something useful as well but not always and you know you could ask well if the general theory of
relativity hadn't been invented for another 60 years let's say after Einstein nothing practical
would have been affected then then it was needed for the GPS system then now it's being needed
for other things. But perhaps if you were interested in purely utilitarian outputs, you would have
delayed Einstein. But then if you take that kind of utilitarian attitude to Einstein,
you would have taken the utilitarian attitude to everything and you would never have had antibiotics
and rocketry and satellites and that sort of thing.
And the reason that it's all connected
is not so much that the progress in the whole of science and engineering
comes from fundamental research as a sort of wellspring.
that also happens, but the main thing is that the whole of progress in human ideas is a single thing, an indivisible thing,
which is all powered by interest, by curiosity, by dissatisfaction with the way things are currently thought of.
Okay, so it's not an argument to pursue foundational research
because in your mind, maybe a decade from now,
maybe 200 years from now, it will prove to be useful.
No, it's not that.
I thought what you're going to say,
it's an in and of itself argument,
but it doesn't sound like that.
It sounds like pursue it because this is part of a larger knowledge creation process.
Exactly.
Exactly.
It's needed for that.
And if you suppress the impulse to create,
the impulse to improve anywhere,
you're going to affect everywhere,
or you may affect everywhere.
I mean, you could be lucky and not affect the theory of evolution or whatever.
But in practice, you usually do.
Interesting.
Okay, sorry to interrupt you.
So it sounds like you're saying that,
Look, a child has a natural curiosity. As you get older, your curiosity morphs into various subjects. One of those subjects could be foundational research in physics. But that is an example of foundational research curiosity. And that is important. Yes. And therefore, if you're talking about your hypothetical rich person, a hypothetical rich person who has that interest or who wishes they could have pursued that interest when they didn't have time to do it when they were younger or that
kind of thing. Somebody who, for reasons of their own, thinks that that is important and they're
curious as to where that will go, and they want it to, they want to get the answer before they
die. That is the thing that this hypothetical rich person should be funding. Yes, and I imagine
this hypothetical rich person was not able to pursue foundational research because you hypothetically
don't get rich by pursuing fundamental research.
That's the whole point of our conversation
for the past 30 minutes.
Yes. Yes.
Presumably something else interested in.
And that involved making money.
I don't think, by the way,
I don't think there's hardly anybody
who's interested in making money per se.
They make money because that is what they need
to do the thing that they're interested in.
Right.
Should physicists study philosophy?
Well, if it's relevant to their research, now, in the case of quantum computing, it's rather paradoxical because I think philosophy is extremely important in the foundations of quantum computing.
but the state of the art in academic philosophy is terrible
and people who study that and internalize it
become less proficient at the kind of philosophy
that's needed to make progress in physics.
Now there are exceptions to that
and I won't name them
because then the people I don't name will be offended
but there are certainly philosophers who take the right attitude to philosophy,
but the overwhelming majority do not.
So, you know, physicists should know philosophy, provided they find the right philosophy.
Speaking of naming, can you name a physics department that is doing extremely well in your eyes?
Now, I said department, but it could also be institute, like the perimeter institute, for instance.
Again, I'd rather not for the same reason.
I don't want to single people.
I'm a theorist.
I prefer to talk theory rather than practice.
If the things that I'm saying are true or even half true, people will really recognize it.
People will recognize that they've seen this happening.
And when I speak to people about this,
I've very rarely had anyone contradict to what I'm saying.
They usually agree, but they say, yes, but what can I do about it?
I, what was it about?
About five years ago, I was trying to get the rules changed
about how foreign postdocs are treated in the British visa system.
So that may seem to be a rather esoteric thing,
but it was important to me at the time because, well, never mind.
Longbandy Twizzlers candy keeps the fun going.
Keep the fun.
Going.
Twizzlers, keep the fun going.
So I thought, well, who can I go to?
The head of the physics department, well, the head of the physics department told, said to me,
I've got no power over that.
That's for my superiors.
The superiors said, we have no power over that.
So I thought, well, I'll go to the vice chancellor of the university.
No, the Vice-Chancellor doesn't deal with such things at all.
So then it happened to come into my email box.
The Royal Society had a document saying the structure of research funding,
this is one of the reasons why I avoid this whole field, by the way,
structure of fundamental research funding in Britain.
So I downloaded it.
It's like, you know, I don't know, a big, fat thing.
and I looked at it, and I found that if I had pursued this line of who should I ask to change this rule, there is no one.
Basically, the structure of decision-making goes right up to the Minister, the Minister for Science and Education,
but the Minister is required to consult various committees before making any decision.
So there is nobody I can go to to make the change I wanted to.
And that's why I gave up on that.
Well, this sounds hopeless, so there must be some hope here.
Indeed.
Physicists, professors of physics, who watch this channel, they're listening and they're thinking,
look, I don't like this, quote-unquote, system that I'm in.
Yeah.
And I would like to change it in various specific ways that are important to them.
David, what is your advice?
I suppose what they would need to do is get together
and form a proposal to take to government.
Because it's pointless taking it to the minister
because the minister doesn't have that power.
It's the government that has to change the rules
under which the minister makes these decisions.
And then that can go right down through the hierarchy.
And somehow these people would have to present it in such a way
that it bubbles up to the top of what the government wants to do.
I don't know how to do that.
I don't know how to politically campaign
and I so but but perhaps there are such people perhaps they're watching what do you think the reason
is that more physicists aren't actively critiquing the academic organization that that they're a part of
so I hear plenty of critiques off air from professors that I speak to but on air they're much more
reluctant and one reason may be that that occurs to people who are listening could be well the
academic positions are precarious, especially without tenure. So when you speak, it's like
you're biting the hand that feeds you. And so maybe you have the incentive to do the opposite
to say, no, no, I love everything about where I work and everything is copacetic.
I think very few people say that. Okay, so you're one of maybe 10 people that I know
who are currently in the academic institution. Right. Yes.
who are willing to say there's something rotten at the core of the institution.
And the difficulty here is when most people say something is rotten at the core of an institution.
They get labeled as a conspiracy theorist.
The mental image people have of what you think is, okay, at some point people sat around with cigars thinking,
how can we make this less efficient and more beneficial to myself?
And there are distributions of notes that said burn after reading.
Yeah, yeah, nothing like that.
This is nobody's fault.
nobody is to blame
that is part of why
why
it's hard to change
so why is it that
you're a part of a small
handful of people who are willing to publicly
talk about this
well I'm
again I can't
psychologize
sorry I'm being
that's fine and you can feel free to disagree
with the premise you can also say
no no I think that's that's false
I think it's true that few people want to criticize it, especially in public.
But I can't speculate on why.
Is it because of their career, like you said,
is it because they consider their position precarious?
A whole load of other considerations come in once you have tenure,
because you're not a free agent when you have tenure.
It's supposed to make you to free you from peer pressure or whatever you call it or public pressure.
But in practice, that doesn't really happen.
Very many people who get permanent jobs just slot into the system.
him. And I don't know why, but some sociological reason, perhaps. Again, you're making me speculate
about things I don't know about. So I'm extremely vexed with you. Good. Yes, that's worth being.
It's rare that there's a physicist who's made significant contributions, even to their own field. That's
something to note. To make contributions to the philosophy of physics as something else. And then with
your book the beginning of infinity, which I'll place a link on screen and in the
description. You've made contributions to philosophy proper. So that's vexing. What is it
about you? I've been very lucky. As I said earlier, when I was a graduate student and
postdoc, I was very lucky to have
supervisors who did exactly this what I advocate. They said, I came in on day one, or rather even in
my interview before I was even accepted, they said, what is it you want to work on? And I didn't
say anything specific because I didn't know anything specific at the time. So I just described what
kind of thing I want to work on. And I remember saying, for example, to Dennis Sharma,
in my first interview, that it seems to me that the most urgent problem in physics is quantum
gravity. So I'd like to work on that. I know a bit of quantum field theory, but I don't know
enough for relativity yet. And so on. Now, it turned out that that was a bad idea. And I've
decided to turn from quantum gravity, which I thought was too difficult to work on at my stage
yet. And I was getting interested in other things, which eventually led to physics of
information and to quantum computation and so on. And Dennis somehow saw,
that I had the thing he wants in his students.
And so he hired me.
And when I wanted to change to study something completely different,
he not only did he not object in any way,
he was interested.
He said, you know, he was interested in what I want to do
and why and so on, but he never tried to direct
my research because he assumed that I wanted what he wanted.
You mentioned that quantum gravity was too difficult. What do you mean?
So at the time, I didn't know what was so difficult about it. I took the, like, I think I'd
absorbed the standard view that what we're trying to do is cure the infinities and cure the
non-linearities and that kind of thing. So that, so that, so that, uh,
the answer would be like an equation which had the desired properties.
And I realized, as I got into the subject, that those are trivial problems.
It wouldn't matter if we didn't solve that.
But the chances are that we will solve that once we've got the deeper incompatibility
between the two theories,
sorted out.
So the fundamental,
I keep saying fundamental,
I don't always mean fundamental in the same sense.
We have to unpick this.
At root,
all the existing field theories
are theories of fields on space space,
time, whereas general relativity is a theory of space time itself, and it's not a field.
You can think of it as a fixed space time with a field on top of it, so it's the sort of static
part and the varying part which people then try to quantize. But that's very alien to
general relativity. General relativity is the theory of space time as a
dynamical thing itself.
And there
are theories, I mean, people have
tried everything in quantum gravity
and in my view, everything has
failed.
The
the
the
um
oh and
in every other part
of physics
um
these fields evolve in time
and what you're
looking for a dynamical equation
an equation of motion
that says how they evolve in time
but in general relativity viewed in that sense
there is no time it's just a
either it's a four-dimensional thing
or it's a
in the quantum sense
it's a manifold
where every point
is a three geometry
and
evolution in time is
just a strip of things with a higher wave function than the rest.
But how that turns into time, there are various proposals.
Anyway, it's, what can I say?
It's conceptually very incompatible.
The way we conceive of quantum fields, which have its own problems,
by the way, and the way we conceive of spacetime is fundamentally incompatible.
And there are also problems with quantum field theory itself.
Now, I think general relativity in itself would be a viable theory.
That's okay.
Okay, there's the big bang and black holes, and we're not sure what,
how to deal with singularities.
But basically, it's a viable theory, and there's no kind of contradictions in it.
whereas quantum field theory is full of contradictions in its own right,
let alone before you try to unify it with gravity.
Such as?
So the, well, my favorite one at the moment.
So I like being baffled, and this is one of my favorite problems with
quantum field theory because it's so baffling.
One of the basic axioms of quantum field theory is that field quantities at space-like
separated points, that is at points at the same time, that those quantities should commute
with each other.
That is, if there's a quantity A and B, then A-B equals B-A.
and at a later time they don't commute
and that's the whole reason
why quantum fields evolve in time
is because the later thing doesn't commute
with the earlier thing.
So now if two things let's say in the same space
there is a quantity here and a quantity there
that don't commute it means they must be described
by separate algebras.
And no matter how close they are,
they must still be described by separate algebras,
which means that these separate algebras all commute.
So no matter how close together these algebras are,
they still commute.
And yet when they coincide, they don't commute
because field quantity,
is at the same point, don't commute, because that's what drives the whole thing forwards.
So, this axiom of commutativity at space-like separations is disastrous.
One way of looking at the infinities of quantum field theory is that they are precisely caused
by that axiom.
Interesting.
And yet, if you try to remove that axiom, which I have tried to do,
then you run into problems of causality and other problems and problems of interpretation
and what the meaning of the different quantities are.
It's like you're not in Candace anymore.
Just that tiny change in quantum theory leads to a theory that can't even be interpreted
in the normal way as being things having values at different points.
so it becomes something else
you're not in Kansas anymore
so that's
that's one of the problems
and I like thinking about it
so you'll have to stop me talking about it
oh I don't want to stop you talking about it
I want to know what were some of your attempted solutions
so I tried to
set up a quantum
theory where
the fields at each point don't range over the real numbers for their possible values,
but they just range over plus and minus one.
So they're qubits, as I call this qubit field theory.
So you have a field of qubits, and there's a qubit at each point in space,
and they don't have to commute with each other at different points.
You just assume that somehow dynamically, when they're far enough apart,
they'll approximately commute, but they won't commute.
And as they get, when you choose two points closer and closer together,
you'll find that their algebras become more and more the same
until when they coincide.
There's no blowing up or anything.
It's just a perfectly well-behaved theory.
So then I worked out what the possible equations of motion for such a theory are.
And I worked out that there, I think it was.
was, this was several years ago that I did this.
I worked out, I think, that there are 13 possible second-order differential equations
that are capable of being equations of motion for qubit field theory.
And then, so the question then arose, what counts as a measurement?
Because in ordinary quantum theory, if you measure something, you're putting it, you're
putting the value of it into another thing, which then commutes with the original thing.
So you can think of it as having a value, which if it's a good measurement, it'll be the
same value as in the thing you were measuring. But in qubit field theory, that's not true,
because when you measure something, the result of the measurement will still not commute
with the original thing. And when you measure that, the non-commutativity will spread
a bit like entanglement, but this is spreading a different thing.
It's spreading non-commutativity, and I couldn't solve that problem.
And so although the papers on the archive, you can read it if you want to.
I'll place a link on screen to it.
Right.
So it's a nice little theory.
I have no idea what it means physically, and I failed in finding a thing it could mean.
so I never published it except on the archive.
Is it a non-local quantum field theory?
No, no, it's perfectly local.
That is the right question.
Because normally, when things don't commute,
there'll be problems with causality.
But in qubit field theory, there are no problems with causality.
It all works, no infinities, no non-localities.
there is no Schroding a picture for that theory.
There's only a Heisenberg picture.
So that seems to be an important thing,
but I haven't put my finger on exactly how.
Okay, so most of the time,
when people are thinking of combining general relativity with QFT,
the mathematical problem is non-renormalizability.
Yes.
There are said to be three or so,
conceptual problems that are distinct from the non-renormalizability. So one is just
QFT requires a fixed background like you mentioned. Background independence is the issue here,
conceptually speaking. Then there is, well, what does it mean for you to have a superposition
of geometries operationally? And then there's the problem of time that you mentioned.
Now, the current leading theory of quantum gravity is string theory. At the time when you were a
graduate student, it may not have been there. But either way, you have heard of it at some
point during your career and what attracted you to it or what did not attract you to
it? What dissuaded you or persuaded you to? I've never worked on it because I don't think
that progress in fundamental physics, well, one should never say never, but I don't think
progress in fundamental physics ever or almost ever comes by trying to find a better mathematical
object and then wondering what kind of what it means as a bit of physics.
So, for example, finding a different group for the fundamental particles to belong to,
I don't think you can find the answer to a sophisticated problem that way.
What you need to do is have an idea about what physical thing you want.
For example, as I was saying with cubic field theory, you want the commutation relations of different field quantities not to be pathological.
So you want everything to be smooth.
Okay, now what kind of mathematics can give that to you?
That's the kind of thing that I think can make progress in physics.
And string theory, it seems to me, is entirely the other way.
around. It's saying, suppose that the fundamental things in nature are not point particles but
strings. Okay, now let's find out what kind of a world that would look like. You know, I can't
prove that that will never work, but I don't think it can work. So it was more their approach
to landing on string theory that you disagreed with rather than string theory itself? Yes, well,
string theory itself then just becomes trying to find, trying to find some equations that will make
it work. And that, that, that's not, you know, you should be trying to look for equations that do
the physical thing that you, that you think physics is going to be like.
Why should the approach matter? So let's just analogize this to scaling a mountain and you think
you should be hiking to find the mountain with your flashlight and they think, no, you should be
using a
you could tell
I'm not a
mountain climber
but whatever
those picks are
that they use
I did speak
to Alex Hennold
who's a rock
climber and I've
already forgotten
petons I believe
their names are
but
regardless
yeah
okay sure
so there are
two approaches
and you find
something on
the mountain
to me it
doesn't matter
how you got to
what you found
you found it
so you just
evaluate this
it's not
it's not how you
got there
it's what the
problem was
so
you
as I said
you know
as we're saying
in the
part of the conversation, someone has to be passionate about it, someone has to be obsessed
with the problem and trying to solve it, not being expert at mathematics and making up a new
mathematical thing and then throwing that over to the physicist and saying, is it this?
And they say, no, it's not that.
Then you say, well, is it this?
that's the approach that I couldn't really
shouldn't really call that approach I mean that's not
problem based that that's not that's not somebody
trying to solve a problem maybe you should say
you could say it's somebody trying to solve someone else's problem
but but from the physics point of view
the conceptual thing is this fundamental
that's again fundamental okay the sexual the the conceptual thing is where the whole what motivates the whole
procedure it you you want to make the theories work and you have an idea about how reality should be
that would make it work or what kind of reality would make that work not what kind of equation of motion would make it
work. I think you'll never get there that way. If you try to make general relativity by that
method, you would absolutely never have got there because you would never have had the theory
of a dynamical space time. You'd just have been thinking of, you know, what terms can we add to
Newton's laws to make it compatible with, let's say, electromagnetism? Well, add a couple of terms,
And so you can do that.
You might even get as far as the relativistic formulation of Maxwell's equations,
which might then get you to special relativity.
I mean, this is already assuming a lot of luck.
But you'd never get to general relativity because the idea of a dynamical space time,
a dynamical curved space time, was needed to make that progress.
And you'd never have found those equations without first having that idea.
So what if the string theorist says, well, who cares about what motivated us to get to our answers?
Firstly, we're a diverse group of people. We all have different motivations.
It's unclear to speak of the motivation of the field of string theory itself.
But regardless, look, David, we've given you, we the string theorists have given you
ADSC of T correspondence, we've revolutionized our understanding of quantum information and black
holes. We've developed holographic dualities that are now used in condensed matter physics.
And sure, that latter case is not string-inspired, but it's not string-contingent, okay, still,
there are tools that we've developed, that pure mathematicians used, and so on.
So is this not evidence that we're on the correct track? What is your response to that?
Well, there's never evidence that one is on the right track.
If there was such a thing, then one could move further along the track.
I'm not qualified to judge mathematics.
So there might be very beautiful mathematics, which in string theory,
which sets up alternate realities that are like ours in some way and unlike ours in another way.
And I can't prove to you that when they keep fiddling with it,
it won't eventually resemble our one or be our one.
But to get an answer without first having the problem to which that is the answer is,
is, I think, very rare.
Even when you cite examples like Alexander Fleming working on bacteria and he found
penicillin and it really wasn't like that.
He had an idea which was,
which had finding a therapeutic chemical in the landscape of what he was looking for.
He wasn't specifically trying to find penicillin,
and it was because he was in that landscape that he recognized the accidental discovery as being relevant.
so it was because the he recognized the now if somebody had said to him the let's say two or three
years before here's a petri dish what do you see he might well have said i don't know they're just
some bacterial colonies on there what am i supposed to what am i supposed to look for and then somebody
might have said well look there's a patch here where the bacteria aren't going and then then
he might have made
further progress
but that
idea
is
an idea
of that kind
a proposed
solution
to a problem
first
a conception
of a problem
and then a
proposed solution
to that problem
come before
a
viable theory
that solves it
or that addresses
it
partly solves it
it.
And so in the case of string theory, I don't see that it has solved any existing problem.
What they're hoping for is that some mathematics that resembles the existing mathematics
will come out of it and will have desired properties.
But I don't know, maybe the right theory of contagravity has infinities.
Maybe they're a good thing.
Maybe we ought to have more of them.
or whatever.
Okay, so I imagine the rejoinder from the string theorist is,
okay, you say that we haven't solved any problems,
but look, string theory is the only framework that's been developed
where quantum mechanics and gravity coexist without mathematical contradictions
and every other approach either breaks fundamental symmetries
or has these contradictions.
So is that not progress to you, David?
Well, it is a mathematical progress.
but that it might solve the conceptual problems is a hope
and I keep saying I can't prove that that's not going to be fulfilled
maybe it'll be fulfilled tomorrow
and also it's not up to me to tell other people what to work on
so they should work on it for whatever reason they like
and the funding entities should fund it for whatever reason they like.
So getting back to committees, I imagine that the Manhattan Project had a committee.
I'm not a historian, and I haven't looked into that,
so I'm nowhere near an expert in the Manhattan Project other than watching Oppenheimer.
So what was different about their committee?
Yeah, I'm not well up on.
the history either, though I have seen Oppenheimer.
So I don't know how accurate that.
We're in the same boat.
Right.
I think that was a very unusual organization, and it did not run on this kind of committee
theorem, a pattern.
What happened?
So for a start, nobody applied to be on the Manhattan Project.
Ah, they were picked.
They were picked.
So somebody would come and see you.
and say, do you want to work on work of national importance?
Right.
And it will involve a lot of sacrifice on your part,
and we can't tell you what it is,
but it is of national importance.
And this was like during the war.
So a lot of people said yes.
And a lot of people then went there and never found out what it was about
because they were not employed at the center of the research.
They were just supporting researchers.
And they were just told, you know, get this machine to work, never mind why.
And then there were the lab assistant level people who were just told,
keep that dial between this number and this number
and turn this knob and press this button all day every day
and don't tell anyone what you're doing
and they did except a few who were Soviet spies
fortunately Stalin didn't have the wherewithal
to make use of the knowledge himself before the end of the war
If there had been Nazi spies, it would have been a much bigger catastrophe.
I mean, it was a catastrophe as it was, but Nazis had an atom bomb project underway with Heisenberg at their head.
And if he'd been told a few of the secrets of the Manhattan Project, he could have done it.
He later said he didn't want to.
but I don't believe him.
You mentioned in your interview with Sam Altman
that you keep a list on your computer
of progress in fields
where there's been significant progress
but you thought you couldn't have achieved that progress.
And I believe you said the World Wide Web was one
and AGI, sorry, not AGI,
but being able to converse generally in natural language
with something.
So I want to know more about this list.
Tell me about this list.
Well, shall I bring it up on my computer screen and tell you a couple of the other things on it?
Please.
Well, obviously I was wrong, and being wrong could be a spur to inventing something.
So another one was, I've got the list up here in front of me, so another one was Mathematica, Stephen Wilfrum's program,
because I thought there could never be a general purpose.
application interface that would allow you to define your own mathematical notation.
Ah, interesting.
Most serious uses of mathematics depend on making your own notation as you go along.
But Mathematica can. I didn't think it was possible.
Just a moment. To linger on this notation aspect, what are you referring to?
do you mean to say like Leibniz invented the little S that's squished together for an integral
and that would be, I imagine, trivial to program anything back in the, even when early
computers came out to display whatever notation you like?
No, I mean things like, well, so when working on quantum computers, I wanted to go over
to the Heisenberg picture, which was an unusual thing to do.
and I wanted a notation that was very suitable for the Heisenberg picture.
So instead of using sigma matrices, I wanted to say a Q matrix where Q was a function of T, function of time.
And then I wanted to have an automated thing to say, take the commutator of two Qs,
to take the commutator of two cues
at the same time would be zero
unless they were the same cue
in which case they'd be the
powerly algebra
and then at different times
it would be the commutator
would depend on how much
the Hamiltonian had evolved
the two of them
sorry how much it had evolved
one of them compared with the other one
at an earlier time
so I did have a computer at the time
it was a home computer
and I had to write my own software
for doing that for me
and so I wrote a little program
to do to manipulate these Q quantities
with Mathematica
I could just define the Q quantities
and Mathematica couldn't do it
And I didn't see how a general purpose thing of that kind could exist.
I see.
But Mathematica did.
So after getting Mathematica, I didn't have to write my own program to manipulate things anymore.
Okay.
Tell me more about what's on this list.
Okay.
Okay.
So another important one was...
When I was first told about the laser guide star technique for allowing telescopes to see through shifting atmosphere,
I didn't think that that could make much difference.
I thought the difference that that could make was very marginal because the,
the atmosphere affects the laser beam going up as well as coming down.
So you don't know what to correct for.
And the people, I was in Dennis Sharma's department as well
in the early days of people doing this and they were making the hardware
and they were explained to me how it worked.
And I was saying, I don't see how.
that can be, and they were trying to explain it to me. Perhaps they weren't trying to explain it
very well, but I came away with the idea that this wasn't going to make much difference,
and it makes a lot of difference. So that was a piece of hardware or experimental physics that
I underestimated the power of an idea. What's the latest on this list?
community notes.
Okay, all right, tell me about that.
Well, so a previous one was Wikipedia, which I didn't think could work because it would get filled
up with spam edits.
Yeah, I don't know who thought that would work.
It's remarkable.
Well, it worked for several years, and that's so that's why it's on the list, but it's
now on the list but crossed out.
because now it no longer works.
So this failure mode has actually happened,
but several years later.
So I don't know why it worked.
I still don't know why it worked when it did work,
but I now know why it isn't working anymore.
And it was my original objection.
And now the, and I thought that the community notes thing
would suffer from the same problem.
that the error correction mechanism would itself get taken over,
a bit like AIDS infecting the immune system,
so that the immune system was not capable of combating AIDS,
you know, that kind of phenomenon.
So I thought that the trolls and the bad actors
on X
would find ways
of infiltrating
the
or sorry
not infiltrating
because it's
it's now
completely automated
as far as I
understand it
so not
they'd find a way
of gaming it
okay
maybe they still will
but again
I thought it wouldn't work at all
I thought it would make matters worse
but it didn't
it has made matters better
the issues
you're referring to regarding Wikipedia, are they of spam or of bias?
Bias, except I don't think bias exists. It's error, either intentional or unintentional.
Interesting. Okay, let's talk about Everett. I heard that you had a restaurant conversation
with Everett. Is that story true, and do you mind me telling it if it is?
Yes, I, Bryce DeWitt contrived to let me sit next to Everett when he visited Austin, I forget when it was sometime in the 70s, and the group of us, postdocs, graduate students and professors often did go out to one of the rest of the rest of,
restaurants in Austin and have lunch together. And on that occasion, Everett joined us and I had a long
conversation with him over lunch. What happened during that conversation? Did Everett say something
that convinced you of many worlds? No, no, I was already, this is why Bryce DeWitt sat me there.
I was already convinced long before. But I was curious about whatever it thought about various
of the issues that came up.
and the most important thing perhaps for historians, any historians watching this,
there's a sort of myth growing up about Everett or two myths.
One was that he didn't think in terms of parallel universes
that he thought in terms of relative states.
but he was
the most enthusiastic person
about parallel universe
is that I had met up to that point
he was very enthusiastic
the relative states were a thing
that was imposed on him by his supervisor
Wheeler
so that was one thing
and another thing is that
the sort of folklore in physics at the time
I think people have realized that this is
now this is false
was that he left physics because of the lack of reception of his ideas.
But that's not the case.
He left physics because he wanted to make a fortune.
Interesting.
And he did make one.
So he, I mean, he didn't say this, but presumably he didn't, you know,
he didn't have any problems that he thought he could solve
by remaining in academia.
So he went into the consultancy business
and worked for the Pentagon.
Wait, was it so that he could be rich
or because he didn't have problems to be solved?
Yeah, sorry, I was speaking too glibly.
Okay.
It's because he wanted interesting problems
and he found interesting problems
in a different way,
and optimization, I don't know what it was exactly.
what was he like personally very intense um uh very very smart i mean very quick quick on the uptake and
quick and in jumping from stepping stone to stepping stone um chain smoker that upset everybody
even then, even in the 70s, like, you know, people smoked,
but not the whole time like that.
He was a chain smoker.
Do you think he understood his many-worlds theory
beyond just unitary evolution?
Yes, yes, yes.
So for a start, he'd thought deeply
about the problem of probability.
He got that wrong,
and Bryce DeWitt had a better theory,
which was also wrong, and my theory, which is right, I developed that because Bryce DeWitt
told me that his version was wrong, and he explained it to me, and I have told this story many
times. I used to go and see him in his office in Texas, and whatever we were talking about,
he would say, at some point, he would say, well, there's this problem of probability, and he would
write on the board, you know, what the problem was, and then I would say,
Okay, I see the problem. I'll think about it.
By the time I got home, I'd forgotten what the problem was.
And this happened several times until finally, I have it in mind as about the fifth time,
but maybe it was only the second time or something.
Sure.
Anyway, finally I went home, and I still remembered what the problem was when I was at home.
And then I worked on it, and then I solved it.
So this is now called the decision-theoretic approach to probability and quantum theory.
I see. Okay. What were Wheeler's and Do-It's and Graham's role when developing or promoting Everettianism?
Oh, well, this is a very complicated historian. You need to ask a historian, but as far as I know, in short,
Wheeler hated the many world's interpretation, as it was called then,
but Wheeler was a good supervisor and wanted to give his student every possible opportunity
to get his work seen as far as possible.
It was Wheeler who sent Everett's paper to do it, and do it.
and DeWitt wrote a scathing response saying, you know, there's a problem with this, there's a problem with that, there's a problem with that, there's a problem with that, and he ended up saying, and finally, I don't feel myself split.
And Everett wrote back his famous reply saying, Galileo didn't feel the earth move, but it does.
and that persuaded DeWitt
and he then became for several years
the major
backer of Everett
of Everett in Quantum Mechanics
and he got together this book
of the many world's interpretation
of quantum mechanics Princeton University Press
which contains every paper even remotely
relevant to Everett
in not a very thick
book at the time.
And he is
responsible for
me and
many other people
getting interested and taking
the theory forward.
So
DeWitt,
as I said,
he had a theory of Everettian
probability which didn't quite
work and he knew it didn't quite work
and he wanted to fix it.
I don't
know why he didn't fix it himself. He was doing some highly mathematical things above my head
at the time. Yes, the way it had an kind of attitude that it was kind of obvious that this was
the right interpretation and he didn't have any interest in working on it. It's like backwards
looking. And that was true of Everettian quantum theory for many years, that everything was
focused on trying to explain again and again and again to reluctant people, why the prevailing
view is untenable, why the Everettian view is illuminating, and it's the only possible
one that will work.
And the trouble is that that attitude, as I have often said, that's a bit like as if
biologists had spent all their time proving and reproving that creationism doesn't work
and that you should have Darwinism.
You know, it's, yes, you can keep doing that, but what was needed was to improve Darwinism.
and make further progress.
And they wouldn't have made further progress
if they'd kept on just engaging
with this problem of why the creationists are wrong.
So Everettians tended to, by the way,
I think no one was a full-time Everettian.
They were all working on a lot of things as well.
So they did spend
a lot of
intellectual effort
on
killing and
re-killing and re-killing
these zombie theories
that were already dead
until
relatively recently
a lot of progress
has been made on Everett
and after the
probability thing
there's also the
question of the structure of the multiverse
which I think
is still an unsolved problem that we don't have an equivalent geometry of the multiverse,
in the sense that we do for spacetime. We can say space time is a four-dimensional
pseudo-Romanian manifold with metric. So we can say what it is mathematically, which is
different from saying it obeys Einstein's
equations, here you are, here the equation
it obeys, that's a different thing.
Right, right.
With Everett, we only have, not only,
that's an exaggeration, but we do not have
that statement, the multiverse is,
we don't have that yet.
We only know it in special cases
like measurement
and quantum teleportation
and so on.
have a general theory of what the multibus is in general.
Speaking of people who are skeptical and then you constantly have to disprove or correct
their misunderstanding of many worlds, I was speaking to Leonard Suskind on this podcast.
I asked him about many worlds and he said, there are several technical questions that people
who are believers in many worlds have, that I mean, sorry, that I have toward them, that they
aren't able to answer. And he listed two that I recall. One was that branches in quantum theory
can recombine. He said this whole notion of completely separate branches is, well, he questions that.
We'll get to that. And then number two, he said, well, what about if you have, sure, you can have
half a branch here, half a branch there, and the Bourne rule says 50%, 50%, but what if it's two branches
and then one is one third
and the other is two thirds?
Does the universe split into three
and then irrational numbers and so on?
So I know that these issues have been solved
or at least have answers
and have had answers for decades.
Yes.
So my question is two parts.
One, I would like you to actually answer those questions
for people who are in the audience
who are like, yeah, those sound like reasonable objections.
But then number two,
someone like Suskind, who's in the field
of fundamental physics,
he said they've never been able to answer this. So it's either that he's asking people who are
rudimentary in many worlds theories, or he's not asking them, or he's not listening to them, or
something like that. I don't know what's going on there. And I don't know if you see that as well
with many of these people who are skeptics saying, look, they're never able to answer this.
And you're like, I've had answers to these. You're just not listening. I guess that's a
psychological question, which you perhaps don't want to go down. But yeah, I, I,
Either way, what is the answer to those two critical questions?
We'll get to the psychoanalyzing question later.
So the, that was the one about probability.
Recombination of branches.
So, yes, recombination of branches.
Well, this is going right back to Everett.
One of the things that was kind of mistaken in Everett's view is that it regarded the,
although he made the enormous bit of progress of,
regarding a measurement as a quantum process,
instead of regarding it as a structuralist classical process
that gets an answer.
So the measurement process is a process like any other,
and then you see that there are superpositions of the observer
as well as the system.
And then you can see how the correlations happen and so on.
However, although he analyzed the measurement,
measurements that way, he analyzed measurements in terms of what happened at the beginning and what
happened at the end. He didn't actually ask what happens during the measurement at the time when
the branches are forming. And people later did that in the 1980s. I had to go at doing it in the
late 70s and early 80s, and my proposal was rubbish, but at least it kept me interested in
the subject, and then some philosophers actually were the people that persuaded me of what the
right answer is, which is that the branches are emergent properties. There's no, branches don't
appear in the fundamental theory.
Instead of, like in Everett's way of doing it, you had one world and then three worlds, let's say, or one world and a million worlds.
Whereas what really happens is that there isn't really one world.
Even when you have a single pure state of a system, it's still the state of its being,
of a particle being at a particular place also includes within that unity there is a diversity
that the more the particle is in one place, the more its momentum is different. So there is no such
thing as there being one world at the beginning. There's always a continuum of universes or
worlds but they're only worth calling universes when they subsequently evolve independently of
each other and typically that happens when there's been a measurement in a measurement process
so before there's a measurement when there's just a particle of a wave packet sitting there
yes there's lots of momentum there's lots of positions all happening at once nothing is ever sharp
but you can't say that there are different
momenta in different universes
because all those universes
are interacting with each other.
So you should only call something
the universe when it is causally autonomous.
In other words, it's behaving
exactly as it would
if the others were not there.
And that's what happens after a measurement.
So,
it's been a bit long-winded,
but the answer is that
the
the rejoining of universes
is what happens in an interference experiment
and during the interference experiment
you can't speak of universes
because the different branches are affecting each other.
Precisely, the interference is precisely the fact
that the different parts of a single photon
around a interferometer
they're not behaving as if the other were not there.
So when they come together,
they do something completely different
if the other one is there
from what they would do if the other one weren't there.
That's the whole interference phenomenon.
So the picture you can have in mind
is that there's a continuum
in some kind of entity that's a bit like space-time
but in Hilbert's space or something in the multiverse,
which we don't know how to classify mathematically yet.
And then that continuum just differentiates itself into two.
And as it's differentiating, there is no moment of split.
what happens is that branch A is affecting branch B less and less.
And when they have separated enough,
like when you have made the measurement and you've copied it or something,
then they're hardly affecting each other at all.
They're affecting each other only to the level of 10 to the minus 10 to the 100 or something.
So then you can speak of them that those things as different universes.
So that happens after a measurement, and during interference, and also in the general case,
you can't speak of universes.
You can only speak of the multiverse and the multiplicity of values of things within the multiverse.
And now briefly speaking, probabilities.
Probability is so, whoops, basically, why do we need probabilities at all?
And the answer, well, within physics, the answer,
is basically
because we need to know
when we have refuted a theory
if the
theory says
that there's a probability
of 10 to the minus 10 to the
100 of X happening
and the rest of the probability
is all about Y happening
why can we be confident
that Y will happen
and that we will never see X
even though
we know that in the
multiverse we will
some of us will see X, but why should we expect Y to happen and not X?
So then you only have to give an account that kind of synthesizes probability in certain special
cases like when there's a thing to expect.
and that only happens after a measurement at the time when the universes have decohered.
And in fact, we know that when this should have been obvious.
We know that when the universes have not decohered, they don't even obey the probability calculus.
Or rather, the physical world does not obey the probability calculus when you're in the middle of an interference phenomenon.
there's a probability of a half that this will happen
and probability of a half that that will happen,
and at the end there's a probability of one quarter, one quarter, one quarter, one quarter,
when they pass through another beam splitter,
and that's simply not true.
The probabilities do not add up in the way that the probability calculus
says relative probabilities ought to behave.
But you want to have relative probabilities behaving properly
when there has been a measurement
and you're actually looking at what happens
rather than thinking about it theoretically
what is the particle doing
and if you look at it that way
then it turns out
that quantum theory
with the born rule removed
just having no reference to probability
just quantum theory
sort of stripped down quantum theory
without probability
and then you take classical decision theory
which is about things like
if you prefer A to B and you prefer B to C
then you prefer A to C
that sort of thing
if you take classical decision theory
and take the probability rule out of that
the rule being
that you should
prefer
the thing that has the highest
expectation value of your utility
so you take that out because there's no
you take that out because you've taken probability out
and therefore there's no such thing as an expectation value
then you put the two together
quantum theory without probability
and decision theory without probability
put them together
and they tell you what a rational person
would decide in the case
in the case where there is
where there is some substantial
amplitude for two or more things
to happen
and it gives, in those
cases it gives the born rule,
but you don't have to
postulate it.
So when you were developing
early quantum computing,
was ever its interpretation
important to you, or was it a
driving force behind the idea of
quantum advantage?
Completely.
crucial. Yeah. Yeah, I couldn't have done it if I'd been thinking in the old way.
Does that prove to you in your mind that research in quantum foundations or philosophy of quantum mechanics
actually drive scientific breakthroughs? Well, it did in this case, but I don't think that's a
proof of anything. As I said some time ago, it very often happens that fundamental
things cause practical improvements as well eventually. But I don't think it's tenable to say that
that's why one should think about the fundamental things. It's a thing that can happen sometimes,
a thing that often happens, perhaps even very often. I don't know. I don't know how to characterize
it. But it certainly happened to me in this case. If I thought of quantum theory in the
in the wave-function collapse way,
I wouldn't have thought of quantum computation.
And in fact, at the time when I was persuading people of quantum computation
and that it's a thing and they ought to think that way,
a lot of them didn't want to make this change in their conceptualization.
I remember talking to Landauer in his office.
when I, I think I was either just about to publish my first paper on that or just after.
And I gave a talk, he very kindly invited me to give a talk,
even though he very much disapproved of this theory at the time.
And he was saying to me, no, this is just something you write down on paper.
This can never work because when the wave function evolves in this,
way and then there are two systems. And then the door was partly open in his office. He had
quite a small office for such an eminent man. And so he grabbed the door and he said,
so when you shut the door, slam, and he slammed the door. And he said, you see, it's not
coming back. If this was quantum, it would bounce back. And so he was explaining why basically
in modern terms, he was explaining why quantum error correction is impossible.
But it isn't impossible.
And then I infuriated him by saying, that's a problem that will be solved.
And you said this behind the closed door?
No, no, I didn't.
That would have been a good joke, yes.
No, I said that.
And he, in his mind, it was a fundamental problem.
that will never work.
And Asher Perez made the same objection to me at the Broadway conference.
He said, you know, I was writing stuff up on the blackboard,
and he said, yeah, but that won't work in real life because it will be more effort to correct those errors
than to
than what you're correcting.
Ah, okay.
And again, I said
technical problem,
that is going to be solved
and indeed it was solved
by Peter Shaw
very soon afterwards.
Now, the reason I thought
it was a technical problem
and they didn't
is because I was thinking Everett
and they were thinking collapse.
Yes.
Is the universal function as physically real to you as the camera or your laptop that's in front of you and the microphone?
Is it more real?
What are David Deutsch's ontological commitments?
So I try not to have commitments like WW Bartley said.
We should retreat from commitment.
And I also try not to have beliefs either.
But it is, let me put it this way around.
my theory that this computer that I'm talking into now exists
has the same status in my mind
as the theory that many copies of it exists in other universes
and in both cases that status is
that there are no rivals to that theory that I know of
that aren't nonsense.
I mean, there are only nonsense rivals.
So you could call that belief,
but that suggests that I wanted to be true
or that I would resist it not being true
if an argument were presented,
but I hope and expect that that is not the case.
But it's, it's,
whereas the opponents of everything,
do have beliefs and that that I think is what is well again I said I wouldn't be psychic so I'll try not to be
psychic let me be psychic it seems like beliefs to you is synonymous with dogmatic beliefs
yes although so dogmatic belief is absolutely a belief that nothing could persuade you otherwise
so that's absolute dog dogmatic belief but I'm I'm a
against having a 10% dogmatic beliefs saying that, you know, I'm pretty sure that it would take a lot to
persuade me that that's true. I don't have anything on that scale, and I don't think that stuff
on that scale really exists. It's a misconception about how thinking works. The way thinking
works is to have a problem and then solve it, attempt to solve it, and then criticize the attempted
solutions. And if you're lucky enough to come to a place where there are no criticisms
left that you can think of, then you don't accept the theory. You just are in the position
of not being able to think of another criticism. So you go and work on something else.
So when David Deutsch has a interpretation of Everettian quantum mechanics and Sean Carroll has an Everettian quantum mechanics and David Wallace has an Everettian quantum mechanics, are these different theories?
Like, are there disagreements between you and Sean Carroll and David Wallace?
There certainly are disagreements, but the things we're disagreeing on are very, very minor compared with the difference between.
Everettian theory and all the other theories.
So, for example, David Wallace thinks that there are substantive assumptions behind my proof
of the equivalent of the born rule in decision theoretic approach to quantum probability.
and I don't think there are substantive assumptions.
So he naturally works on trying to make clear what those assumptions are,
to analyze them, to see what the arguments for and against those assumptions are.
I don't think such assumptions are needed, so that's the difference between me and David Wallace.
And assumptions in this case, is that just axioms or something else?
Okay, so is there a rigorous list of axioms of your species?
specific Everettian approach somewhere?
So I don't believe in axioms, but David Wallace has written down how he characterizes my
approach.
So in his book, he has what he thinks are the axioms behind my approach.
I don't think physics should work that way.
Axioms are a bit like definitions.
There's something you can come back to after you've got a theory.
but working forward from them
so the axiom is never
completely captures the theory anyway
we know that from girdle and so on
we know that
Pia knows axioms
don't tell you everything
that's possible to know about the integers
but you can have a conception of the integers
and you can say oh this new axiom
someone's proposed
makes that conception, brings the theory closer to my conception of the integers.
Well, I was going to ask you what the axioms of constructor theory are.
Well, so the basic axiom of constructor theory, if you can call it an axiom,
is that the laws of physics can be characterized by specifying a dichotomy
between physical processes
that can be brought about
by something else
which is a constructor
but we needn't say that
that can be brought about
and those that cannot be brought about
once you've stated that dichotomy
with all possible
all conceivable
physical transformations
you've stated the laws of physics
and so then the constructive theory research program is on the one hand to reformulate
all existing laws of physics in those terms
of saying what is possible to bring about and what is impossible to bring about
and then to formulate purely constructive theoretic laws that are over and above that
which are a bit like the laws of quantum theory are at a level above
the dynamics of particular systems.
Quantum theory doesn't refer to any particular system.
It just says, it just has a theory of what laws of physics can say.
They have to have a space of states and they have to have a Hamiltonian.
I mean, whatever, or Lagrangian, whatever you say, however you phrase it.
So, constructed theory is a level of body.
that. It's a law about laws, but also a law about laws about laws.
Hmm, okay. And that's actually how I first thought of it, because I first thought of it
as an extension of the theory of quantum computation. In a way, the theory of quantum computers
contains the whole of the rest of physics, since the universal quantum computer can simulate any
other physical system. So the set of all motions of the universal quantum computer is a one-to-one
correspondence with the set of all possible motions of anything. So in a way, the study of physics
is the study of the possible motions of the universal quantum computer. Well, then I realized
that that wasn't right because you still have to have a theory of which program
of the universal quantum computer
correspond to which physical systems
and that is not contained
in the abstract theory of the universal quantum computer
so I wanted to have an extended theory
of the universal quantum computer
that included saying
which program corresponds to which physical system
and then I generally built on that
and so on and eventually got down to the
to the core of the issue, which was the dichotomy between things that can be brought about and those that can't.
Speaking about interpretational splits as a framework or theory develops, for constructor theory, has it developed, since I think, almost more than a decade now,
has it developed in a manner that you're largely happy with, you agree with, or are there, no, other people who are, you're on the wrong constructor branch?
Yeah. So you're right to say that the development of constructive theory since I first thought of the idea has been mainly the correction of errors in it, mainly the correction of ways that I thought were viable, which turned out not to be viable. And in fact, Kiara Marletto first came to me, say, after I'd given a talk at the clarinet
laboratory about my ideas of constructor theory.
So she came up to me at the end of the lecture and said,
that thing you said can't be true because so-and-so.
And I said, oh, yeah, right, okay, thanks.
And then I invited her, and eventually we end up working together on the theory,
we ended up solving that and many other things.
and the first thing that resulted in
was the constructor theory of information
which is the only
constructor theory
construct a theory of something
that we've completed so far
and you could say
that we've also got a constructor theory
version of quantum theory
but you know
you may and may not think that
But for information, we made real progress, and we unified classical and ponton information via
constructive theory. It couldn't have been done otherwise.
And as for how it's developed with other people involved in constructor theory, there's now a,
quote, unquote, program of constructor theory. Largely speaking, do you look at that field with pride
and happiness, or are there some child that you kick out of the house?
I like being baffled
and we're still at the
so I haven't really worked on
quantum computers
ever since I stopped being baffled by the field
there's still plenty of things to be baffled
with in the experimental side
on the experimental side
but I'm useless at experimental physics
so there's nothing I can really
contribute
there's nothing I can really contribute to
on the theoretical side nowadays.
In constructive theory,
no, it's not satisfactory yet.
But I don't think that there are crass errors in it anymore.
Okay, now before my last question of what advice do you have
for people who are watching, and as I mentioned, they comprise
professors, researchers, graduate students, but also lay people. So before I get to that question,
I have a question from Scott Aronson here about free will. So Scott said to me, David once remarked
that he's certain that free will exists and equally certain that it has nothing to do with
quantum mechanics while he wants you to expound on that, what could possibly be the source of
such certainty on either account.
So, rather like with belief, I certainly don't want to be certain of anything, and I want to think, you know, on introspection, I think if I was presented with a good argument on either of those points, I would be open to it.
But in both cases, I think the idea that consciousness doesn't.
doesn't exist, free will, sorry, that free will doesn't exist, or that free will requires
quantum theory, are both in the status that there is no such position. You can say maybe it
has something to do with quantum theory, but there is no actual theory, or even in principle
of how, apart from pen roses, which I think is wrong for other reasons, there's no actual
theory of how quantum theory could produce free will or philosophical theory about how free will
could not exist.
And I think that the philosophical problem that people have with free will is that they have
a conception of free will which by definition violates the laws of physics.
It's basically, although they don't often say it like this, but it's basically free will is the human capacity to override the laws of physics.
And I don't think anything overrides the laws of physics.
We might be wrong about what the laws of physics are, again, like Penrose thinks, but I don't see, in that case, I don't see a proposal for different laws that would help with the problem of consciousness.
sorry, free will.
Now, I think that free will has to do with knowledge.
The problem that does make sense about free will
is that we have an intuition
and it's in all our explanations of human behavior and so on
that when we make a choice, not a random choice,
but a choice that we have thought about.
We have brought something new into the world.
So, for example, when Einstein was inventing general relativity,
he was bringing that into the world.
It didn't exist before.
The theory of general relativity did not exist before Einstein thought of it.
And ultimately, if you think it did,
then you've got to say it was in the Big Bang.
Okay, so I don't think it's tenable view philosophically or physically
that all the knowledge that's ever going to be created in the world was in the Big Bang,
and that all that happens is that it's being made real in some sense,
although why one time should be more real than another time.
I don't know either because that seems to violate relativity as well.
But I think there is such a thing as bringing something new into the world,
and the thing that you're bringing into the world
is knowledge or explanatory knowledge.
So Einstein, the thing that didn't exist before,
even if the equations of general relativity existed,
like apparently Hilbert had the equations before Einstein,
but he didn't know what they were about.
He didn't understand the physics problem,
which is, again, touches on a thing we were talking about earlier.
Einstein was seized of the physical problem
and he eventually came up with the equations
and I think that the discovery of general relativity
was discovery of the explanations
of what the equations mean
which actually came before the equations
so and it's the same with everything
when you decide that you want to have a curry for dinner tonight
and if it was possible that you would have chosen something else
that decision is something new you have brought into the world
when children learn their native language
the language which they learn is different from everyone else's
and it has been an act of creativity to bring that language
which is unique to them into the world
you seem to be puzzled but you know if
if I make a list of 20 words and ask you to define them,
you will not produce the same list of 20 definitions as anyone else on the planet.
So everyone has a different language in mind,
and it's a bit of a miracle that we can communicate with each other.
The reason we can is basically error correction and again creativity,
because we need not mechanical error correction,
but creative error correction.
so creativity brings something new into the world
and then there is no problem
with how come you're violating the laws of physics
because it's not new trajectories of the electrons
that you'll bring into the world
it's new knowledge
which can only be understood at an emergent level
so that's my answer
I think to both questions
I've forgotten what they were now
well one was about advice to perspective
of students and researchers and so on.
Oh, yeah, advice. Right. Okay. Again, I don't know because I, I'd have to be psychic to be
able to second guess someone else's decisions about their own life. But in the most general
setting, in the most general scale, at the most general scale, I would say,
go for the thing that is fun
rather than the thing that you think
will lead to fun
or lead to some other benefit
heaven forbid some other benefit that isn't fun
that is extremely dangerous
but the more prophecy you have to make
to justify your present choice
the more error prone it's going to be
and the more different from the reality
that is going to happen.
What do you mean the more prophecy you have to make?
What do you mean?
Well, so if I decide to work on LLMs,
because I think that LLMs are going to give rise to AGI,
and I want to do that because I think that AGI is going to be terribly
dangerous and that we have to understand it well.
And so that I'm prophesying various things in the future, according to some theory that I
have now.
But that theory is going to change.
If that theory doesn't change over the period we're talking about, you know, 10, 20 years,
then I won't have discovered anything, or nobody will have discovered anything if that
landscape of ideas doesn't change.
Okay.
So it's better to make decisions according to the shortest possible time scale of prophecy.
I see.
So in the case of someone predicting about AGI, thinking it's an important issue, let me attempt to solve that now,
that would be different if they were passionate about trying to solve the issue of AGI.
Exactly.
I imagine you would say, yeah, that's your curiosity, that's your, that's the fun you refer to, go after that.
Don't try to leapfrog ahead two decades, let alone one decade, well, sorry, one decade, let
alone two decades, and then think backward from there, because you could be incorrect, most likely
it would be.
When working on, if you have an idea for AGI, you can work on it today.
You can drop what you're doing and work on that instead.
That's the sort of thing you should be doing.
Professor, it's an honor to speak with you.
It's something I've wanted to do for years, and I'm, I'm.
I'm honored that, like, more than honored to have spent a couple hours with you,
and I appreciate that you took some time out of your day to spend with me.
Well, it's been fun to say it oppositely.
And hopefully next time we speak, I would like to talk about consciousness,
as that got brought up toward the end, and also the philosophy of science.
Mm-hmm.
Thank you.
You're welcome. Fun chatting.
Hi there. Kurt here.
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