Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal - Top Physicists Call Out Many Worlds As Nonsense | Jacob Barandes Λ Emily Adlam
Episode Date: June 25, 2025Get a free 8-count Sample Pack of LMNT’s most popular drink mix flavors with any purchase at https://DrinkLMNT.com/THEORIES Top physicists Emily Adlam and Jacob Barandes deliver a powerful takedown... of the Many Worlds Interpretation. In this episode, they expose why it’s more philosophical fantasy than scientific theory, revealing its lack of testability, predictive power, and real-world grounding. If you’ve ever questioned whether parallel universes are legitimate physics or just sci-fi masquerading as science, this conversation will challenge everything. As a listener of TOE you can get a special 20% off discount to The Economist and all it has to offer! Visit https://www.economist.com/toe Join My New Substack (Personal Writings): https://curtjaimungal.substack.com Watch on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4gL14b92xAErofYQA7bU4e Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 01:08 Philosophical Foundations of Quantum Mechanics 3:22 The Nature of Self-Identity 10:59 Exploring Branching Universes 12:54 Collaboration Between Physicists and Philosophers 16:51 Understanding Probability and Credence 29:12 The Role of Indexicals in Consciousness 36:36 Causation and Its Implications 45:45 Disagreement on Personal Identity 51:03 The Hard Problem of Consciousness 1:00:35 Reflections on Conscious Experience 1:08:05 Concluding Thoughts on Mind and Identity 1:08:48 Time and Mind 1:09:09 The Concept of the World Line 1:14:43 Active Consciousness and Agency 1:19:12 The Hard Problem of Consciousness 1:36:15 Emergence in Physics 1:55:46 Speculation vs. Rigorous Argument 2:06:13 Philosophy's Contribution to Physics 2:12:43 Bridging Philosophy and Physics Links Mentioned: • Emily’s first appearance on TOE: https://youtu.be/6I2OhmVWLMs • Emily’s profile: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Emily-Adlam • Jacob’s first appearance on TOE: https://youtu.be/7oWip00iXbo • Jacob’s website: https://www.jacobbarandes.com/ • Jacob Barandes on TOE: https://youtu.be/YaS1usLeXQM • Against Self-Location (paper): https://arxiv.org/pdf/2409.05259 • Eddy Chen & Barry Loewer on TOE: https://youtu.be/xZnafO__IZ0 • Julian Barbour on TOE: https://youtu.be/bprxrGaf0Os • Robert Sapolsky on TOE: https://youtu.be/z0IqA1hYKY8 • Curt’s Consciousness Iceberg: https://youtu.be/65yjqIDghEk • Iain McGilchrist on TOE: https://youtu.be/Q9sBKCd2HD0 • Stories of Your Life and Others (book): https://www.amazon.com/dp/1101972122 • Matt Segall on TOE: https://youtu.be/DeTm4fSXpbM • TOE’s Free Will compilation: https://youtu.be/SSbUCEleJhg • Manolis Kellis & Jacob Barandes debate: https://youtu.be/MTD8xkbiGis • “The Incompatibility of Free Will and Determinism” (paper): https://iweb.langara.ca/rjohns/files/2013/01/van_inwagen.pdf • After Physics (book): https://www.amazon.com/dp/067497087X • Michael Levin on TOE: https://youtu.be/c8iFtaltX-s SUPPORT: - Become a YouTube Member (Early Access Videos): https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdWIQh9DGG6uhJk8eyIFl1w/join - Support me on Patreon: https://patreon.com/curtjaimungal - Support me on Crypto: https://commerce.coinbase.com/checkout/de803625-87d3-4300-ab6d-85d4258834a9 - Support me on PayPal: https://www.paypal.com/donate?hosted_button_id=XUBHNMFXUX5S4 SOCIALS: - Twitter: https://twitter.com/TOEwithCurt - Discord Invite: https://discord.com/invite/kBcnfNVwqs #science Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
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At each moment, the universe splits.
There is no such thing as personal identity over time.
In this staggering and intense conversation, Professor Emily Adlam and Harvard's Jacob
Barandas dismantled the
many-worlds interpretation by arguing that its promised elegance has been
broken. Even further, without a process that selects which quantum branch you
experience, you could believe almost anything about which future you you'll
become. The probabilistic math gives no guidance. As this conversation progresses,
questions about what
it means to be you in general are explored, such as whether the you that wakes up tomorrow
is really you at all. This conversation culminates with explorations of consciousness and their
passionate defense of philosophy in physics. Should physicists avoid overly philosophical
questions? Well, these questions led to quantum computing, Bell's theorem, and decoherence theory, as
they reveal many major physics breakthroughs involved philosophers and physicists working
together.
Today, we need that collaboration again.
Enjoy this Theolocution with Emily Adlam and Jacob Barandas. All right. What I'd like to know is what do you admire most
about one another?
That's super easy.
Yeah.
Um...
So I'll keep it short for a change.
Um, I think Emily is one of the most creative
and rigorous thinkers in philosophy of physics today.
I am profoundly grateful that we're colleagues.
And to be more specific, I think that Emily's analysis of deep questions at the heart of our best physical theories is second to none.
And Emily also has a remarkable ability to synthesize complicated questions and formulate
very cogent answers remarkably succinctly, a skill that I do not possess and admire enormously.
Emily.
Yes. Jacob is a very precise thinker. He wants to understand every step of every argument.
He does not accept fluffy thinking or intuition or any of these things.
He has a very precise mind
in terms of working out where the steps go and where they should end up. He's also very
creative. He has this very, very fascinating new approach to quantum mechanics that I think
resonates with a lot of things that I have thought about for a long time but not known
how to formalize. And Jacob is doing it. He's showing how to make it formal and how to develop
it into a real framework that you can use to do calculations. So that
is really exciting to me. And I think that sort of seeing the way he's worked through
that and has turned that into something that is really workable and viable is really exciting.
What would be an example of sloppy thinking that you didn't realize was sloppy thinking,
but after speaking with Jacob, you said, okay, there's a hole in my argument here or I was vague and I didn't need to be.
Oh, good. Yes. Well, I think we've talked about the Everett interpretation quite a lot and
discussed, I think both of us have some worries about sloppy thinking that goes into some kinds
of arguments in that context. And some of the things that Jacob has brought up, has been things that I hadn't thought
a lot about.
I think particularly some of your ideas about looking at how the theory can be reformulated
in ways that make the wave function representation look very different and much less compelling.
It has been really helpful to start thinking about the way in which so much is being taken from one particular mathematical representation
of the theory. For example, thinking about what a sort of zero mod squared amplitude
means in the representation. I think I'd always just sort of accepted the thing the
Iperetians say, which is that zero mod squared amplitude, it's not there, I don't have to
worry about it. Jacob has this nice argument to sort of point out that that doesn't necessarily follow,
that you should perhaps be more careful with that.
So that has really given me a new way of thinking about that.
If it's alright, may I elaborate a little bit on that point?
So there's a reformulation of, so just stepping back for a moment, the standard axiomatic
formulation of quantum theory that you find in the textbooks features some mathematical parts and some parts that are connected with physical reality in
the sense of connecting to what we see obtain measure in experiments the
empirical output of the theory the Hilbert space axioms or the mathematical
axioms and the mathematical axioms and
the measurement axioms are the ones that connect this mathematical framework with
empirical reality. The Everett approach claims to be able to do away with the
measurement axioms. The measurement axioms suffer from the measurement problem, the
ambiguity over exactly which processes count as measurements,
and therefore leading to an ambiguity about when to apply the measurement axioms.
The Everett approach attempts to remove the measurement axioms
and somehow build a sensible, empirically adequate,
meaning capable of accounting for the things we see in all of our experiments,
to build an empirically adequate theory or interpretation
out of the mathematical axioms.
There are many things that we take for granted
when we look at those axioms
as they are usually described.
The axioms talk about a quantum state.
The quantum state captures what we can say or know about quantum systems.
In the effort approach, one is supposed to take this quantum state and notice that as it evolves through time,
it gradually develops these roughly well-defined macroscopic big-picture real-world realities, we call them branches.
And over time, the branches start to become independent of each other.
They don't interact or interfere with each other.
And in that stage, we're supposed to think of them in the many-worlds framework
as representing distinct ways the macroscopic world can be.
One is supposed to just regard as intuitive that when one of the branches has an overall
magnitude that's zero in the sense that the number sitting in front of it in the branch
is zero, well then intuitively it's not there anymore.
The only branches that are there are the ones that have numbers in front of them that are not zero.
Those numbers are called amplitudes.
The measurement axioms say that you take those numbers and you swear them
and they give you probabilities of measurement outcomes,
but we can't do that in the effort approach.
We've gotten rid of the measurement axioms.
We don't want to rely on an ill-defined notion of what counts as a measurement.
So one of the things that the advocate of the effort approach needs to do is justify
why those numbers in front of the branches that show up in this mathematical quantum state
should be understood in a probabilistic way.
One of the implicit assumptions is, like I said, that when one of those numbers is zero,
we can ignore it, it disappears, it doesn't exist, it doesn't have any physical meaning anymore in some sense. The problem is that if one is just relying on these mathematical Hilbert space axioms that just talk about this abstract quantum state evolving in time.
It turns out that this mathematical picture is the word we use in mathematics is isomorphic.
Isomorphic just means there is a mathematical connection between this way of formulating
the picture and another seemingly different looking way of formulating the picture, but
they are
mathematically equivalent.
There is for everything you can say in one picture, there is something you can say uniquely
in the other picture and vice versa.
They're connected by this mathematical bridge and both give a completely comprehensive adequate
way to formulate the mathematics.
This other way of formulating the Hilbert space axioms
is due to a number of people.
It seems to have been developed independently
by a bunch of people.
Franco Strocci worked on it in the 1960s.
Andre Heslott worked on it in the 1980s.
It turns out you can take this abstract
Hilbert space picture and write it in a mathematical form that looks just like a collection
of classical springs or pendulums we call them harmonic oscillators just systems that sort of
swing back and forth and everything you can say in the Hilbert space picture, you can say in this other alternative
picture.
Now, technically, this is easiest to do when the Hilbert space involves finite dimensional
systems.
That's a technicality.
People have extended it beyond the finite dimensional case, but it's easy to see in
the finite dimensional case.
This other picture lets you tell the same mathematical story in terms of springs that oscillate.
And then in this other picture, for one of the numbers in front of a branch to be zero,
is to say that the spring is not oscillating.
Now, a spring that's not oscillating is still a spring, it's still there.
We wouldn't look at a collection of springs and say that
only the springs that are going back and forth exist
and the ones that are not going back and forth don't exist.
So in this equivalent mathematical picture,
it's no longer obvious that zero amplitude means does not exist.
And because there's nothing about the Hilbert space axioms that zero amplitude means does not exist.
And because there's nothing about the Hilbert space axioms
that fixes one mathematical representation over another,
and if in that other mathematical representation,
zero amplitude doesn't correspond to lack of existence,
it's no longer obvious that we should throw away branches at a zero amplitude
throwing away branches the zero amplitude plays an important role in
Making sense of the ever ready and world picture. And so this alternative representation challenges that view
Okay, so some background is that you all were just at a conference about why you're not Everettians.
And I imagine an argument like this was raised, maybe not, maybe so, if so,
what was the argument then raised to object to your objection by some of the Everettians in the audience?
We didn't actually have enough time to get to the response to this particular objection,
but have you presented this to Everettians before? Do you have a sense of what their response would be?
I have not.
No.
I think this is the first time I've presented in a talk.
Okay, yes.
And I lack Emily's succinctness. So there wasn't adequate time for this to come up in the discussion.
So we're yet to find out what the Everettians are going to say about this.
Okay.
If there are any Ever ever audience watching this discussion,
they should let us know what you think.
So what else do you all agree on that
puts you at odds with many of your colleagues?
So there's plenty that you all will agree on that is
just non-substantive like math is useful for physics.
Yes.
Okay, no one's hunting you down for that.
What is it that you agree on that's contentious?
Something that comes to mind is you down for that. What is it that you agree on that's contentious?
Something that comes to mind is our views on self-location and the relevance of that.
There is this very common idea that there's certain kinds of self-locating scenarios in which there are natural ways and correct ways to think and to hold beliefs. So scenarios where
ways and correct ways to think and to hold beliefs. So scenarios where we're going to make 10 copies of you, 10 clones, we'll put nine of them in rooms with blue doors and
one of them in a room with a red door and then we're going to ask you what is the probability
that you're in the blue door room. So I think most people have this quite strong intuition
that it should be nine tenths or something.. My view is that there's no rational constraints on
what your credence should be in that situation, that you're allowed to assign probabilities
any way you want. It has no real significance. It has no practical meaning. You can do what
you like. That is a view that a lot of people really strongly resist. I get a lot of pushback
when I present on this, but Jacob, I think, immediately understood where I was coming
from and had very similar views. That is something where I think we are perhaps against the flow of the current
overall, but quite strongly aligned on that one.
Yeah. So many years ago, I was thinking along similar lines, maybe a brief just digression
to talk about probability, credence, chance.
So Ian Hacking described probability
as a Janus-faced entity that Janus-faced,
Janus was the Greek god of beginnings and endings,
gave his name to January, right,
the month that is the beginning and ending
of the calendar year.
On the one hand, we use probability to talk about chance,
to talk about how likely we think that a die or a coin
that's tossed will show a particular value.
Chance probabilities are sometimes called
objective probabilities, sometimes they're called
aleatory probabilities.
On the other hand, we use the language of probability to talk about how much we believe something may come to pass or how much we believe it's true.
This is known as credence, like after Bayes, who centuries ago worked on the structure of probability
and developed a framework that people who use probability in this creed and sense
use to try to formulate statements about what they think is going to happen in the world.
So you have these two different notions of probability. And when you have a physical theory that describes processes by which phenomena take place, and
the physical theory is not able to tell you definitively exactly what outcome will happen,
often these physical theories will tell you
that what you'll expect to see is a pattern of phenomena and this pattern of
phenomena will be random looking but maybe with some bias toward one thing or
another and so we say that this is a theory, a physical theory that's
describing chance probabilities in some sense. If you have a theory like
Everettian quantum mechanics and Everett and quantum
mechanics is not unique in this regard, in which the overall picture provided by the
theory is that the overall process is deterministic. There's no fundamental probabilities, no chance
probabilities really happening. But maybe the theory predicts there will be many observers.
Maybe each observer will appear many times as copies, as clones.
Then one way to think about probability in that case is maybe we can bring probability in at the level of cretinses, of beliefs.
And we use this kind of reasoning all the time, even outside these exotic circumstances, when I want to talk about how much I believe that my favorite sports team is going to win a particular championship game.
There is maybe one fact of the matter about what's going to happen, but I don't know what it is.
And maybe the best way to describe in a probabilistic way how strongly I believe my team is gonna win
is to use this language of credences.
Often when we use language, the language of probability,
whether we're talking about objective chance
or we're talking about credence type belief probability,
we often are attaching those probabilities to statements.
Statements that may or may not involve people like Jacob, or like Emily, or like Kurt.
And sometimes we'll find it convenient not to say Jacob or Emily or Kurt, but to say words like I or you or us.
Words like I, you, me, us, these are called indexical words. Like an index, like
a thing identifying a particular thing out of a set of things. Indexical words have a
meaning that depends on who is saying it. When Jacob says I, I means something different.
Different from when Emily says the word I or when Kurt says the word I.
If you think about it, it's kind of hard to imagine how we acquire a facility with indexicals
because it's very hard to explain the use of indexicals to a small child.
That's true, yeah.
I think we just sort of watch people use indexicals and we as small children and we develop a facility for them just sort of by observing how they're used in practice.
Sometimes we use indexicals and statements we attach probabilities to.
So for example, we might say, and now I'm borrowing an example from Emily, I think I'm going to wake up at 9 a.m. maybe?
How likely?
What probability would I attach to the proposition,
the statement that I'm going to wake up at 9 a.m.?
We could just as well, or I, me speaking,
could just as well have said, what's the probability
that Jacob Barrandes will wake up at 9 a.m.?
Notice I have removed the indexical
and replaced it with a non-indexical Jacobarandes.
And I want to be more specific
although there are no other Jacobarandes.
I'm sui generis.
But if there were more than one,
I could say something like the Jacobarandes
who was born in New York City.
And I could add further details
until I specified that Jacobarandes uniquely. And then I wouldn't need a use of indexicals now
specifying that long list of details is a lot of effort it's just easier to say
I but the use of I is not fundamental it's it's just a shorthand at least in
this case
in much of the science that we do our use of indexical expressions like I, us, we, you
can be replaced with third-person objective descriptors.
Jacob Berendes, Kurt J. Mungle, Emily Adlam, maybe with further details as needed. So we have abundant experience with such uses of probability in science and
beyond science. What bothered me about the use of probabilistic statements, generally
of a credence kind, a degree of belief kind, that's the kind that usually comes up in these
circumstances, in scenarios where there are many copies of ourselves,
maybe infinitely many copies of ourselves,
maybe in a universe that's infinitely big in which
there are infinitely many Earths that all look like our Earth,
populated by people who look like the people here at this table,
and with Jacob Arendesse's,
or in the Everettian world picture
where the universe is splitting
and there are many, many copies of all of us,
is that now to make probabilistic assertions,
to attach probabilities to statements,
it seems like you have to use indexicals
in a much more fundamental, irreducible way.
Now, other people have worked on this notion
of irreducible indexicals before me,
and there's an interesting philosophy literature that I encourage people to read about.
It's very, very interesting literature.
But I was just very uncomfortable with trying to engage in rigorous probabilistic reasoning
about statements that feature indexicals in an irremovable, irreducible way.
If there's a universe in which there are infinitely many copies
of observers who look just like me, who are named Jacob Arendes, who live on planets called Earth,
who have all the same details we talked about, they were born in a city called New York City,
everything is the same.
If I want to ask, which Jacob Arendes am I? We now run into kind of a
tricky question. I can't replace I with Jacob Arendes anymore because then the statement reduces to a
tautology. Which Jacob Arendes is Jacob Arendes? No, wait. Which Jacob Arendes was born in New York
City is Jacob Arendes was born in New York City. You see that there's something qualitatively
different about those kinds of statements.
We can't remove the indexicals no matter how hard we try.
And it wasn't clear to me that anything we've learned about the use of probability for statements
that don't involve indexicals in an irremovable way.
It didn't seem to me that anything we learned,
any experiences we had using probabilities
in those kinds of situations,
could tell us anything reliable
about how to use probability in situations
that involved irremovable indexicals.
They just seemed to me to be
fundamentally different kinds of statements.
And I gave this some thought,
but I never really formulated anything cogent.
And then I saw a paper by Emily,
and at one time I was a little upset
that I'd been scooped.
On the other hand, I couldn't think of anyone
I was happy to be scooped by.
And Emily's paper on this against self-location paper, which I highly recommend that people
read because it is, like all of Emily's papers, brilliant but also very engaging and a wonderful
thing to read.
Emily paints this dichotomy much more clearly than I was able to and gives really compelling
arguments for why these two kinds of probabilities.
Here I don't mean objective chance versus credence, but probabilities about statements
that involve indexicals in a fundamental way and those that don't.
Or as Emily puts it, statements that involve pure self-locating uncertainty.
These are the kinds that evolve indexicals you can't remove, at least the way that usually
I would talk about it.
And what Emily calls superficial self-locating uncertainty.
And your dichotomy between these
and your explanation of the difference between them.
And then your arguments
about why pure self-locating uncertainty.
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There's much less structure that we can impose on it.
It was just a brilliant argument. And I want to stop talking because I think, you know,
Emily will say much more clearly what was going on in that paper.
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And I want to stop talking because I think Emily will say much more clearly what was
going on in that paper.
Yes, sure.
I mean, one of the main things the paper is doing
is making the distinction between the pure and superficial cases,
which, I mean, Jacob puts it in terms of irreducible and dexicals.
I think the way I described it in the paper
was in terms of whether the possible locations you're considering
belong to the same possible world or different possible worlds.
So with the waking up in the morning case, in every possible world there's exactly
one time at which I actually wake up in the morning. And so that means that all of the
different times I'm considering when I'm wondering what time is it, when did I wake up in the
morning, those are all different possible worlds. Whereas with the cloning kinds of
cases where you're just making 10 clones and you could be any of these clones, those clones all exist in the same possible world.
So that case where they all exist in the same possible world is what I call the pure self-locating
uncertainty. And I think that these types of self-locating uncertainty are often kind of
treated as the same in sort of discussions of this topic, but they are quite different because
in the superficial case where it's different possible worlds, ultimately that's just a question about which possible world is actual.
That's the kind of question we ask in science all the time and we can address that by going
to some scientific theory and getting probabilities from it.
Whereas in the cloning case, there's no process which picks which clone you are.
You just are whoever you are.
There's never going to be, you can't go to a scientific theory and look at a description of a process and try to get probabilities from that.
So wherever those probabilities come from, or those credences that you're assigning,
they have to come from somewhere quite different than how they would come from in the superficial
case.
So that's why I think it's important to see those as different types of cases because
the reasoning for those cases is going to be quite different either way.
And then the second part of the paper was about trying to understand,
for these pure cases,
can there ever be any way of assigning credences which you are rationally obliged to take,
or which is at least rationally convincing or compelling?
I went through some reasons you might try to say that there are
rationally compelling ways of doing this and argue that none of them succeed. In particular, one thing people will often do in these kinds of cases is try to say that there are rationally compelling ways of doing this and argue that none of them succeed. So in particular, one thing people will often do in these kinds of cases
is try to make an argument that if you imagine sort of making bits about where you're located
in the world, then certain strategies will be more successful. And so those are the ones
that you should have. But the problem with that approach is that before you can say the
study is more successful, you have to define what counts as success.
In the self-locating case, that's going to look like saying something like, I want to
maximize the winnings over this whole set of individuals, or I just want this one to
win and the rest, I don't care about them.
Some choice like that has to be made.
What you can see is that as soon as you've made that choice, that just immediately dictates
what the credences are that you should have. If you want to maximize winnings over all of the observers, that means
you should assign equal probability or credence to all of them. If you want to just make this
person over here win, then you should assign probability one to this person and zero to
the rest of them. In this case, there's no room between what your goal is and what your
credences should be. For me, what that tells us is that these credences aren't really beliefs, they're not
really probabilities. What they are is just a sort of measure of a way of expressing what your
practical goal is or how much you care about these different observers. And in so far as you sort of
agree that what we care about for what our goals are isn't dictated by rationality, it looks like
there's not going to be any sort of rationally compelling way that you have to proceed in those cases. And that I
think sort of is problematic for a variety of ways in which these things are applied.
Self-location credences are applied quite widely in physics and philosophy to cosmological
multiverses, to the Avaritian multiverse, to questions about Boltzmann brains, to questions
about the simulation argument. All of these things I think depend quite sensitively on the
assumption that there's some correct way of assigning your credences in these
situations. So I think once you buy this kind of argument you're
going to say well maybe there's not in fact a rationally
compelling way to do this and therefore we should be more cautious
about how we're using these things. there's not in fact a rationally compelling way to do this and there we should be more cautious
about how we're using these things. This is great, this setup, so we're on a ping-pong table.
I like the fact that we're on the same side of the ping-pong table. That seems somehow fitting.
That's appropriate. Yes.
Okay, so two questions. One, you use the word possible world.
Yeah.
And earlier we were speaking about ever and in many worlds.
Yeah.
Okay, so I assume that's a subset of all the possible worlds.
So does your argument in that paper, does it work for what sorts of possible worlds?
Great.
Yes.
So, I mean, the way I think about it, I'm inclined to say that one Everettian
multiverse is a single possible world.
And therefore the various different locations
you could be within the branching universe.
That's a case of pure self-locating uncertainty.
I think that's right because the differentiating factor between pure self-locating uncertainty
and superficial and self-locating uncertainty is that in the pure case, there's no process
which decides what the outcome is.
All of the outcomes just exist and there's nothing that picks which one is
right.
That's kind of what happens in the Everettian multiverse, in an Everettian measurement or
something, all of the outcomes occur.
You will find yourself in one of those branches, but there's no specific physical process which
picks which one you're in.
You're just in whatever one you're in.
So that's why it makes sense to think that that should be a case of pure self-locating
uncertainty and not superficial pure self locating uncertainty
and not superficial self locating uncertainty.
If I can add a couple of things.
So this language of possible worlds may not be familiar
to all your listeners.
And I think also just for someone who's not,
who hasn't spent a lot of time thinking about all of this,
there's a lot of intuition, I think,
that one brings to these sorts of questions.
This is exactly what Emily's been challenging.
We have a lot of intuition from instinct, experience,
evolutionary programming about how probabilities work.
In the case of, as Emily puts it,
superficial self-loathing uncertainty,
the kind of probability we attach to statements
that we can describe in objective third-person terms
without the use of, you know,
without the need to use fundamental indexicals in my language.
We have a lot of intuition about it,
and so it just seems very natural, very natural
to take that intuition we've developed
and extend it to these other kinds of probabilistic statements,
the pure self-locating statements,
especially because we often use the same language
for both kinds of statements.
We often use indexicals in both kinds of statements.
It's just that because we're not aware always
that the indexicals we're using in one set of statements
are not as important as they are
in the case of pure self-locating uncertainty.
So part of this is just Emily's challenging the intuition that people often appeal to.
They'll give an example, they'll say something like, well, how do we fix the kinds of probabilities
we want to use in a multiverse scenario with lots of copies of ourselves?
Well, consider this following non-multiverse scenario, you know, in which we have experience
with probability, we know how it's supposed to work, and then extend that intuition to
this other circumstance.
But there really is a qualitative separation here.
You know, there are a lot of problems in philosophy
that you can call Sorany's problems or heap problems.
How do you decide when you're, you know,
when you switch from one thing to another?
Often there are smooth gradations between them, right?
How many strands of straw do you need to have a heap of straw?
One strand is not a heap, two is not a heap, three is not a heap. A billion, we would call
that a heap, maybe a very big heap. But like, where's the line between them? A lot of problems
in philosophy are like that where there's no sharp line. This is actually one of the
circumstances in which I think there is a bright line. And remarkably, despite the fact that there's a bright line, it's very easy not to see it.
Wait, a bright line is the same as a sharp line?
Yes, a sharp, a sharp bright, yeah, exactly. There's a sharp demarcation. You know, so
for example, what is science? What is pseudoscience? This is, so it's called demarcation problem
in the philosophy of science. That's a hard problem. Where exactly is the line between
what counts as science and what doesn't? people have been debating this for a very long time
So many of the problems one finds in philosophy are like this where there's no sharp dividing line between things that
Demarcates what's on one side and what's on the other?
This is like I said one of the cases in which I think if you look really carefully
You'll see there is a very bright line some statements are about
where we are in one possible world,
and the other is about which possible world we're in.
And these are just different kinds of statements.
This use of possible worlds, by the way, in logic,
just to keep things simple, a possible world plays a formal role in formulating certain kinds of logical statements.
If you want to ask whether a certain statement or proposition is true or false,
well, it may depend on various circumstances.
Maybe a certain proposition is true given some circumstances and false given other circumstances.
If you want to assign
all well-formed reasonable propositions true or false values,
then we say what you've done is you've picked out one possible world.
A possible world is just the assignment of true or false to all sensible
propositions. And if any of those propositions change from true to false or vice versa, we
say that we're talking about a different possible world. Intuitively, we're supposed to imagine
the possible worlds are like complete realities, complete ways that all of the world across
all of space and all of time could be. And once that's all been fixed, then all sensible propositions have a well-defined value.
And one of the jobs we're trying to do in science is kind of figure out which possible
world is the world that we inhabit by learning which propositions we think are true and which
are false.
Even if you've established which possible world you think is the actual world, there's still this further question about where we are in it.
The notion of a centered world captures this idea that in addition to saying what the possible world is, which possible world is the actual world,
there's this further question about what time we're talking about, where we're talking about, which individual we're talking about.
And if you're talking about a possible world that's some kind of multiverse filled with
many copies of ourselves, then which copy I am is not a statement about which world
is the true world.
That's been established now, I suppose.
It's a question about where in that world I am, which copy I am, and that's now a question
of pure self- locating uncertainty.
It's important to distinguish this notion of possible worlds
from the worlds of many worlds.
In the many worlds interpretation of quantum theory,
we imagine we have this universal wave function
that is branching into these macroscopic realities
that are not interfering with each other
when you give them enough time, they become sort of independent realities
but they're all connected to each other. They're not really separate worlds in a fundamental sense
There's just one world in this picture, one actual world
there's one universal wave function
and it's just convenient for humans to think of this in this sort of branched way to make sense of this reality.
So which branch you're on is not a question of which possible world you're in.
It's, as Emily put it, a question of where you are in this single possible world.
And so it becomes a question of pure self-liciting uncertainty in Emily's language.
It's just that we use these words like worlds in so many different
ways and it's very easy to get confused about their different meanings. The last thing I'll just say is
when people first approach a multiverse theory, whether it's a cosmic multiverse, an actually big,
big space time with lots of regions, maybe it's so big that Earth has occurred many times with people
on it like us, or maybe you're talking about a multiverse in the sense of a branching, ever-ready multiverse.
I think we all have this intuition.
Maybe we don't state it.
As Emily puts it,
we think we have a kind of Cartesian ego.
There's a kind of essence that it is to be
this particular Jacob Berendes, or that particular Emily Adlam,
or that particular Kurt J. Mungle. And that essence is like a karaoke ball, you know,
on a particular word in a karaoke song that identifies this is the word we're talking
about. This is the specific Jacob or Kurt or Emily that we're talking about.
And in an Everettian picture in which the universe is splitting,
I think a lot of us have this intuition that this karaoke ball,
this Cartesian ego is hopping.
At each moment, the universe splits, there's now many, many,
maybe uncountably many copies of us, and this Cartesian ego.
Stochastically or probabilistically,
jumps from the past pre-branching self
to one of the post-branching selves in kind of a random way. And this hopping is happening as the universe is branching.
And this is where the probabilities come from.
But notice this, this is a process now, it's a
physical metaphysical process of something actually hopping according to some rules and
If that were the case if we believe that were the case then we would have a process to which we could
Begin to assign something like probabilities in a more well-defined sense
We could take indexicles and say say, no indexicals.
Take the Cartesian ego, the unique Cartesian ego,
and ask which Jacob-Barendes that inhabits.
Now this becomes a statement that doesn't involve, you know,
just, it isn't just a statement that involves this
irremovable, irreducible indexicality.
But most advocates of Everettian quantum theory don't believe in a Cartesian ego.
And it's important that people who are bringing that Cartesian ego intuition with them into the Everett approach,
that they should be aware that this is not how the Everett approach is formulated.
Now, I think it's an interesting question.
Could you formulate the Everett approach with something like a hopping Cartesian ego
that is really choosing between observers in some probabilistic way
which we can talk about probabilities? That's an interesting question. But without it, you
can't appeal to the kind of intuition that we take from a hopping Cartesian ego and you're
stuck in the situation Emily was talking about. There's no process, there's no choosing going
on. And so we can appeal to the intuition we have in that case in order to make sense
of probability in these circumstances. I think, does this capture?
Yeah, right, exactly. It's the lack of any selection process which makes it difficult
to see how you could have a sort of physically grounded notion of what your credences should
be and thus in the absence of such a thing, it looks like anything should be rationally
permissible.
Now, earlier when you were speaking about the possible worlds
and you were saying it's difficult to rationally say what is the best strategy,
you're able to pick out different strategies,
say strategy A, B, and C,
and say that it's either inconsistent or what have you, so it doesn't work.
Are you able to show that any strategy would produce some inconsistency,
or can you only say that strategy doesn't work,
that one doesn't work, that one doesn't work?
Yeah.
So what you can do in a self locating case is you're imagining a scenario in which you
have your, say, your 10 observers in rooms with different colored doors and you're asked,
you know, that they're supposed to place a bet on the color of their door.
And the question is, what should you bet given that you don't know which one you are?
And I think many people think, well, you should sort of nine-tenths odds for blue and one-tenths
for red.
That is the right thing to do if what you want to do is maximize the sum of winnings
over everybody, if you want to have the highest total winnings across all of the observers
weighted equally.
But you don't have to do that.
There's no rational obligation to try to maximize the sum of winnings over all observers. You could say, actually, I prefer for the guy in the blue
room to win. And in that case, what the right thing to do in that case is to bet everyone
should bet blue. And so the point I'm sort of trying to make here is that before you can decide
what is a sensible bet to place in that situation, you have to make a choice about what am I trying
to achieve?
Who would I like to win the bet?
As soon as you've done that, that will immediately fix what the credences are that you're supposed
to have.
That will immediately determine if you wanted to maximize winnings over everybody, that
means the credences should be equal across everybody.
If you want to maximize winnings for the blue person, assign probability one to that person,
which is different to the non-self-locating
case.
For example, if we do a series of coin flips and I'm placing bets on that, I can say, well,
my goal is to maximize my winnings over all of the bets.
Then there's still a further question after that, what will in fact maximize my winnings?
What odds should I bet?
We can only answer that by empirically testing the coin and finding out about its properties
and understanding that process.
There's no step like that in the self-locating case.
As soon as you've specified what you're trying to achieve, that immediately fixes what you
should bet.
There's no sort of empirical considerations or theoretical considerations that could possibly
be relevant.
Your goal just immediately dictates what your bet is.
So there's kind of no room for sort of rationality to play any role here.
All that's really happening is that you're making a decision based on your personal values and goals
about what you would like to achieve and then that will just immediately fix all the bits.
I think we have this intuition and one finds this intuition expressed frequently in the
research literature on these kinds of problems that obviously we want to maximize the success or utility
of the greatest number of our future copies.
That this is somehow obvious or intuitive or self-evident.
And it just isn't.
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Difficult to justify assumptions that go into that reasoning.
And I think that reasoning we want to maximize
for as many people, I think it comes from this intuition
we have that we have this Cartesian ego
hopping around randomly.
And if it's hopping
randomly and picking one of these people at random, we would want something like uniform
utility across all of them. But again, without something like this hopping ego, sorry Descartes,
this ego hopping around, it's actually very difficult to justify that.
So are there Everettians who believe in the Cartesian ego?
There is the many minds interpretation, which I think is a little bit like that, except
instead of one hopping ego, there's a whole bunch of hopping egos and you could be one
of the hopping egos and you're going to go into different branches.
I think in fairness, I think that does solve some of the problems that I have with the
Everett interpretation.
I think you can sort of straightforwardly understand what probability is and how we
get predictions out of that.
That addresses some problems.
It introduces a lot of other problems though because one of the main selling points of
the Ever interpretation is supposed to be that you just have the standard formalism.
You don't have to add any extra structure.
You don't have to pick out a preferred basis.
You don't have to have any additions.
You just have this underlying simple quantum
mechanical structure. So as soon as you add in either one Hopping Cartesian ego or a bunch
of Hopping Cartesian egos, you can't make that claim. You're no longer just using the
simple formalism. And perhaps the most problematic thing at that point is that once you've added
in some number of Hopping egos or something like that, it becomes a bit unclear why we
have a many- worlds scenario at all.
If you've added the structure which sort of picks out well-defined pathways through the
worlds, it's like, let's just get rid of all the worlds and have just one pathway through
the world and that's what actually happens.
So I think it's quite important for the sort of Eritrean dialectic to resist the idea that
you should add something to sort of single out probabilities in this way because as soon
as you do that, it sort of seems like the argument for having multiple worlds at all just goes away.
Yeah, and if you have just one sort of funny looking trajectory,
perhaps an indivisibly stochastic trajectory.
Right, yes, you might end up with something like that.
Perhaps you have an alternative approach to quantum theory, the indivisible stochastic
approach, which is one of the things that we've talked about. The many minds interpretation goes
back to David Albert and Barry Lohr.
And if people are interested, you should read about it.
It's very interesting.
I just spoke to Barry, but I don't know if he's a proponent any longer of the many minds interpretation
or version of many worlds. Is he?
I'm not going to speak for Barry.
That's a thing I've learned long ago.
Barry is wonderful.
But he should definitely speak for himself on
this matter. Yeah.
So I'd like to tease out some of the differences between you all. And we've spoken about some
of the agreements, but since we're on the same physical side of this ping pong table,
why don't you, Jacob, instead of stating a disagreement, somehow phrase it in the form
of a question for Emily. Do we have any disagreements at the level of philosophy of physics?
It's the personal identity teleportation.
But that's more of like a philosophy of mind metaphysical problem.
Yes.
Yeah.
So we differ on the teleportation problem.
Emily would step on the teleporter, I would not.
Emily, why would you step on the teleporter?
Okay. Emily would step on the teleporter, I would not. Emily, why would you step on the teleporter?
Okay, so my thinking about this is in some ways quite similar to thinking about self-location.
I think that a lot of people have an idea
of personal identity as a sort of well-defined thing
that you can track through time,
and there are very well-defined facts about,
I'm this person now, and I'm gonna turn into
this other person in the future, and so on and so forth.
And so In particular,
you can have scenarios where you're imagining various kinds of splitting and branching cases.
I think many people have an intuition. There's got to be some fact of the matter about which
one of these teaching people is me. There's got to be some extra fact which singles out
who I am. For much of the same reasons as in the self-location case, I don't think
there are any such facts. I think that there are the physical facts about this body which
is causally related to this other body in the future. Usually, this body is going to
be causally related to only one body at each future time. Maybe in some particular strange
scenarios it could be causally related to two bodies. I think once you've laid out all
of those physical facts about where the bodies are and what they're doing, there's nothing further to be said.
There's no further question of personal identity or whether this one is really me.
So for that reason, I think that my relationship to my future self in the ordinary course of events
is not really significantly different to my relation to my future self if I'm to go through
this teleporter. If I go through the teleporter, the idea is that I'm going to be dissolved and reconstituted somewhere
else. That reconstituted version is still going to be causally related to this body
in pretty similar ways, going to have all the same memories, it's going to have all
the same kind of psychological continuity. It seems to me that that reconstituted version
of me in the future is me in just the same sense as I'm going
to be me tomorrow in the sort of ordinary course of events.
I don't think there's any sort of deep and principal distinction between those two cases.
And so if you're not afraid of sort of going to sleep and waking up tomorrow, then you
also shouldn't be afraid of going into the teleporter because your relation between yourselves
at those times seems to me to be pretty much the same.
There are many variations on this teleporter problem.
Yeah.
Like let's say you thought it was going to teleport you,
but it cloned you instead.
Yes.
Okay. Or you thought it was going to teleport you,
but then it killed you or created a clone and then killed you.
Yes.
No matter what you'd go through the teleporter,
and you would still feel like it's you at the other end of the teleporter?
Well, I guess it's this idea that there's
a fact of the matter about whether it's me or not is end of the teleporter? Well, I guess it's this idea that there's a sort of
fact of the matter about whether it's me or not is what I kind of want to deny.
I think that once you have described what is going to happen in this situation,
that's all that you can do. So you've set out your story, you've said this
will kill you and will create a similar copy at the other end.
There's no further fact about whether that is me or it's not. But in much the same way, there's also no deep fact about Emily tomorrow being
the same as Emily today. We're just two bodies which happen to be causally related in some
way. So although it sounds radical and scary to say, oh, I'm going to kill you and create
a copy of you, I actually don't think there's any very significant difference between that
case and the case where I just go to sleep and wake up tomorrow. There's
no fact over and above the physical facts about whether that is me or not.
Who am I speaking to right now?
Who are you speaking to right now? Speaking to a person with a certain causal history
who's often referred to as Emily Edlin by others, grew up in New Zealand and moved to the UK and then moved over here.
That's all there is to be said.
Yeah. So my question to you is,
suppose you lived in a country that had developed the ability to scan a person,
replicate the person, basically create a teleporter.
But the protocol was that they would first create the copy, and they would run all kinds
of checks on the copy to make sure the copy was a faithful copy.
They even have the copy say hello to the original.
But the law was they can only be one of you.
So as soon as the copy is made and confirmed, they have to kill you.
Suppose we go through this process.
They make the copy, they check the copy appears to be pristine,
gets the quality seal of approval.
They open a video link, you say hello to the copy, the copy is like,
wow, I'm here in this new place.
Then they look at you and they say, okay, now we're going to kill you.
You would not have any fear.
I cannot claim that I would not have an emotional reaction.
But I think as we've been, I think fear, emotions are a kind of intuition.
I do not generally trust intuitions in this kind of situation.
So I am, I have no doubt that in that situation I would be upset and I would feel fear.
But at the same time, I hope that my philosophical part of my mind would be coveted by the knowledge
that in fact I still exist and will go on existing in just the same way as I always would.
Is there a rational reason to care about your persistence?
Well, I think in order to say what is rational, rationality doesn't tell us what we should
care about in my opinion.
Rationality tells us how to get the things that we care about. For evolutionary and emotional
reasons I do care about my future self. Having established that, I can then go and ask what
are steps I should take now that are going to help my future self flourish and rationality
will help me decide what those steps are. I don't think it's the job of rationality to tell me whether or not I should care about
my future self.
You have to decide the goal first and then you can go and ask what does rationality say
I should do to achieve the goal.
So I'm going to follow up on that question I asked before.
Yes.
You said you would, for emotional reasons, feel fear.
Yes.
But you would be skeptical of those feelings.
Yes.
But you don't have the same fear when you go to sleep.
Yes.
Or in other circumstances in which you're moved from one place to another.
Yes.
Why in this case would you feel fear but not those cases?
I think because this is being presented as death, and I think we all have very strong
emotional associations with the idea of death.
So what if they just said, it's not death, we're going to end your life functions, this copy,
but there's another copy. I mean, would that make you no longer afraid?
I mean, I think it would be difficult to present this in a way that it wouldn't sound like death.
And I think, you know, I think as soon as you say to someone that you're going to put them through
something, which is qualitatively quite similar to death that gets all the emotional reactions and resonances we have around death
going.
And so it would be difficult, I think, to avoid having those kinds of emotional reactions.
Even if I do believe that in sort of some less emotional sense, this is no different
from going to sleep.
The associations we have with death and sleep
are very different from each other,
and so those are gonna feel different.
So in particular, you also see no meaningful distinction
between this sort of transport scenario
and someone building a wormhole
that you can traverse in a spatiotemporally connected way,
like walking through a portal
that's actually connecting to space-time regions
where there's no duplication, there's no elimination of any copy, you see that as
similar in all meaningful ways to the case of being actually copied and then
the original destroyed.
Yes, I mean I think obviously the types of causal relationships are
different here, it's not the same kind of causation. The question I
guess you're asking is, are some kinds of causation more relevant than others for establishing
personal identity over time? I think not because I think there is no such thing as personal
identity over time. There's no sort of fact of the matter about that. All that can be
said in this situation is that you can describe what the causal relations are. You can tell
me what the physical effects are. I can make a decision about whether or not I'm happy to accept that
other person as a future version of me, but ultimately that's a choice that I'm making.
There's no sort of fact over and above the physical facts about whether that really is
me or not.
What is your view on the hard problem?
We will make you a hard problem.
I think the hard problem is very hard. The hard problem is difficult for me because...
Everyone knows the hard problem is the hard problem of consciousness.
It's not merely the so-called easy problem, which is not actually easy,
but one can imagine in a way connected with modern science how we would solve it.
The easy problem of consciousness is how do we model a very complicated system
like the human brain well enough that we can predict
the kinds of things brains will do in detail
when it's conscious, when it says it's conscious, right?
Of course, that problem is well beyond
our current ability right now,
but one could imagine science reaching that point.
The hard problem is how do we get from
that objective third- person picture of a system
simply acting and behaving to having experiences?
The subjective sensation of color and emotion and feeling and sound.
The inner experience of being a conscious being.
How do we cross the so-called explanatory gap between what we can describe descriptively
and get across the actual experience of these
sorts of feelings.
Yeah.
And is that phenomenal conscious experience, that subjective first-person experience, something
that we can reach or solve using the tools of science as we know it?
That's called the hard problem.
And I guess there's, well, there is a dispute in the community of people who work in philosophy
of mind and beyond about whether the hard problem is really a problem, whether it's
distinct from the easy problem.
And so, yeah.
The thing I find very difficult about the hard problem is there are many difficult problems
in philosophy and in physics.
And for most of those problems, I have a sense of what the answer might look like.
Like, I don't know the answer, but I have a sense of what form the answer might take, what kind of answer might satisfy me. Then I think about
the hard problem and I can't really even just form a concept of what kind of answer could
possibly be satisfying or what form that answer might take. It's not a matter of looking through
the possible options and trying to figure out which one is right or anything like that. It's really just a case of, I can't see how any possible
answer could ever resolve this question, which I guess in some ways does make me tempted
to sympathize with those who say it's not really a question because if we can't envision
what the answer could possibly be, then perhaps it just isn't a meaningful question. But at
the same time, I guess, the options are really either it's not a question
at all or it's a question that's so sort of beyond our current cognitive capacity that
we just can't even envision what a good answer that question would look like.
But yeah, I think for me it differs sort of quite qualitatively from other sorts of questions
I worry about in my work because of all of those other kinds of questions I have some
idea of what I'm looking for and then I think about the hard problem and I just have no idea what that would look like.
I don't like when people tell me I can't or shouldn't ask questions.
Yes.
Just because they're hard problems.
Yeah.
So the mere fact that the hard problem is such a hard problem.
Yes.
And I, like you, don't have any sense of how to approach it.
Yeah.
To me, that's not a reason to deny that the hard problem exists.
It's a reason to take it seriously and to exercise some humility, right?
That there's some things we might not be able to answer.
Consciousness feels so close to us.
There's a sense of which is the closest thing to us.
When you become aware of your unconscious experience, it feels not just close, but also enveloping.
It's the most familiar feeling.
It is the root of what it is to feel.
And to think that this thing that is so close to us
and so familiar to us is so mysterious.
It's very strange.
It's deeply strange.
And I think you're right.
One view is to just deny that it's a problem because you can't address it in some operational
way, some positivist way, something like that.
And I take it very seriously like you do.
Can I ask, the first time we spoke in an interview, you asked me what got me interested in philosophy
and I talked about coming to groups with my own conscious experience as a child.
I remember.
Got me interested in philosophical questions.
And although I didn't work in philosophy of mind,
in large part, as I said in that interview,
because I didn't feel like I had the tools to do it,
although I'm very interested in it,
I didn't think it was where I could make
the most meaningful progress.
It is still something I think about.
It's very important to me.
And I'm just curious,
when did you first encounter in an explicit way an awareness of your own existence, your
own conscious experience?
Did you remember having this experience the way that I did?
And did this play an important role in your development as someone who thinks about philosophical
questions?
Gosh, that's a great question. Yes, I mean, I definitely remember having moments of being surprised and sort of, I guess, upset about
the fact that I will only ever experience this one conscious experience and that I will
never, I'm never going to have any direct access to any other kind of conscious experience.
I am limited to what's going on in my mind and in some
sense what's going to happen in the future of this, what's called causally continuous
with me. But the sense of being confined to this one very specific spatiotemporal region
and there being this big world out there that I can only ever learn about inferentially.
I remember feeling quite sort of shocked and upset about that And that sort of coming as a big realization
that there's something very specific about the way
in which we are sort of confined to this region,
that this is a boundary that we can't get past,
no matter what we might do,
we do have this very specific kind of limitation
in terms of our spatial temporal existence.
I wonder if the comments are gonna have lots of suggestions
of psychedelics.
I think it's so interesting that you've described the experience of coming to grips with your conscious experience as one of boundedness and constraint and limitation.
That's very interesting.
I was always very curious about other people's minds and how other people think and how other
people experience the world.
And I ask people about these things and I read books and I try to understand, but there's
limitations to that.
You're never going to know in the purest detail what it is like to be another person.
You're only ever going to know what it's like to be yourself.
Why is that so interesting to you? I just think that there are so many ways to engage with the hard problem or philosophy of mind or questions about conscious experience.
You know, I didn't experience my conscious experience as a kind of limitation or boundary between me and other people. And it's just very interesting to talk with someone
who encountered these kinds of philosophical questions,
but from a very different kind of perspective.
It's almost like we don't all have
the same conscious experience.
I think it's the spatiotemporal thing that really struck me,
the very specific limitedness of my consciousness super-venes
are like this one region in my head.
And there's this whole world, all of the space and time out there.
And for some reason, I'm attached to this one little bit of space.
It's very strange.
This is interesting.
So this now resonates with me.
I have this image, this metaphor of a giant recording needle
that just landed on one particular body,
one particular massive object called Jacob Arendes.
And this needle just said,
okay, this body's experiences will be your experiences.
And while I don't know that this is a probabilistic kind of a needle drop.
I think it better not be, given what we just discussed.
Exactly.
There's still a sense in which this is the single most important thing that ever happened to me.
Right, yeah.
And I don't understand it at all.
And I like the fact that although you began talking about your engagement with your own
consciousness in a way that felt very different from mine, now we found common ground. the fact that although you began talking about your engagement with your own consciousness
in a way that felt very different from mine, now we found common ground.
Yes.
And I don't understand that recording needle and I don't understand the hard problem and
that is why I would not get out of the teleporter.
I don't feel like I have enough of a handle on how this is all supposed to work to trust
that the teleporter is going to do the job.
I mean, I just don't think there's anything to trust.
I think there's no question. Wait, once you know what the teleporter is going to do the job? I mean, I just don't think there's anything to trust. I think there's no question.
Once you know what the teleporter is doing, that's it.
There's nothing for that to say.
What questions do you have for Jacob?
Questions I have for Jacob?
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on causation? I don't think we do. Okay I just imagined it. We both think that macroscopic
causation is an emergent thing and we've been talking a lot about how
there may be a notion of
microphysical causation that may be distinct in some ways but maybe connected
in other ways. I think actually we're pretty much in agreement about that.
I think perhaps you maybe have more sympathy for the idea that it could be a
directed notion of microphysical causation. Is that correct to say?
Oh, I see that at the microphysical level causation is directed. Yes, in your view
is that there's a causal-like connection at the microphysical level causation is directed. Yes. Yes, and your view is that there's a causal-like connection at the microphysical level, but
it may not be directed.
But I think now we're getting to really hair-splitting differences.
If we have to say, well, we agree on all of these things, but at the microphysical level,
I think causation can be directed and you think directed.
I mean, that seems to be pretty...
I think that in some ways quite a significant difference.
Okay, fair. and you think directed, I mean, that seems to be pretty... I think that in some ways quite a significant difference though.
Okay, fair.
Because I think for many people that is, the directness is at the heart of causation.
I have a quote, I've forgotten who it's from, but from someone that I use a lot which says,
the concept of causation just is about asymmetry, that's the whole point of it.
So I think that holding the view that there's something like causation but that it's not directed asymmetric
at a microphysical level, forces you to reject a lot of what the standard ideas about what
causation is and also I think forces you to ask a lot of questions about how do we end
up with the sort of well-ordered structure despite the absence of any directedness or
asymmetry.
So although it seems like a small difference, I do think that the devil is in the details
in this particular case is quite an important difference.
Fair enough.
I would say that my view was a little more eliminativist about microphysical causation
in the sense that I didn't think there was a well-defined notion of causation of the
microphysical for a long time.
My view has changed because of this project I've been working on, this indivisible stochastic
approach which provides a probabilistic dynamics for the microphysical degrees of freedom,
microphysical configurations of nature.
And these conditional probabilities that form the laws in this theory naturally have a directedness.
It's important to note that this directedness does not single out an arrow of time.
It threads a kind of a, it threads a needle here.
One view is that in order to have a notion of causation, you have to have an asymmetry
between causes and their effects.
Effects are supposed to happen after the causes, causes are supposed to precede their effects.
And it's a little difficult to understand how you can ground this notion of causation in our best physical theories,
our best microphysical theories, like the standard model of particle physics,
in which there doesn't appear to be at a logical level any distinction between the past and the future.
There's some time asymmetry in some esoteric processes in the standard model, but not of the kind
that would underwrite the kind of temporal time asymmetry that seems to be necessary
to talk about causes preceding their effects.
In this indivisible stochastic approach, we get an asymmetry between causes and their
effects.
The conditional probabilities point in a direction from causes to their effects.
But without preferring a direction in time, the idea, the fact that a direction from causes to their effects, but without preferring a direction in time.
The idea, the fact that a direction of time
seems to occur in our world appears to be a contingent fact
related to the initial conditions of the universe.
And an arrow of time emerges in indivisible theory
in the same way.
It's not there fundamentally in the laws
any more than it would be otherwise. I think if I had not encountered microphysical laws that were able to ground
a notion of directedness, I wouldn't believe that there could be or should be a directed
notion of microphysical causation. So I would say that my willingness to entertain this
idea has changed because of this project. Otherwise, I probably wouldn't have been more in Emily's camp on this.
Yeah, I think one thing we do agree on perhaps is that I also have always been
inclined to be quite illuminativist about causation and think it's a microscopic thing.
But what I do think is important is to say that clearly the microscopic world has
some kind of structure and although I wouldn't necessarily call it causal, it is similar to causation in the sense that it seems like it is related to
counterfactual statements that you might make. It seems like it's modal and the word philosophers
would use, but it seems like it's not just sort of bare correlations, it has some kind
of law-like force. It has to be that way. And I think if you're going to eliminate causation
from the microscopic world, I'm happy to do that. That And I think, you know, if you're going to eliminate causation from the microscopic world,
that I'm happy to do that.
That's the thing that makes sense to me.
But I think you want to appreciate that there's other kinds of structure present there.
And when you get rid of causation, that doesn't mean there's no structure.
There's various other kinds of robust law-like structure you could be seeing down there.
What question do you have for Jacob that would persuade him to have your view of mind?
My view of mind?
I don't know if I have a very concrete view of mind because I don't know how to solve
the hard problem of consciousness.
Unfortunately, I'm the same way.
Okay, here's a question about mind that I have thought a lot about, which is about how
mind is related to the experience of time. And in particular, why do our minds experience time at a certain time rather than sort of
spread out or at different times at once?
Why is temporal experience always of location at a time in this way?
So I don't know if you have views on that.
This is something I worry about quite a lot. If you step back and look at the lifetime of a human individual from a four-dimensional
space-time point of view, or 10 or 11 dimensional, depending on how many dimensions of space
you think there are, but from a space-time point of view, you can point to the event that corresponds to the beginning of the life of this person,
maybe in some coarse-grained sense, and then a point in space-time that corresponds to
the death of this person.
And then arranged in something like a line, some people call this the space-time worm,
there's all the moments that make up your life as some kind of linear shape,
a worm-like shape extending from the past to the future.
The past is down here, the future is up here.
Time is pointing up in this depiction.
And if you could imagine stepping outside of the universe, stepping outside of time, and somehow
probing this individual at different points along this, we call it a world line in special relativity,
or general relativity, in relativity call it a world line.
Imagine probing this person at different moments.
You're just looking at the contents of this person's brain,
the patterns, the structures of this person's brain.
We'll assume that this entity outside of the universe,
having the power to be outside the universe,
also has the
discerning and resolving power to read the patterns in this person's brain.
From what I understand about contemporary neuroscience,
you would see that the patterns in this person's brain are different at these different points along that world line.
Those patterns in some way encode or represent person's brain are different at these different points along that world line.
Those patterns in some way encode or represent memories, experiences that this
individual has had up to that point.
And if you could somehow ask the person at that event what they remember, what
they're experiencing right now,
they would describe feeling like they were in the moment,
having had memories only in a past-directed sense.
And so at least operationally, again, if you can imagine this entity outside of the universe probing this person, it seems operationally that there's a meaningful way to think about
This person having that experience
But whether that operational standpoint is enough
Whether it makes sense to appeal to this sort of external entity these are all
Difficult to justify and I'm'm not gonna claim to justify them.
The best I can say is,
especially as I've gotten older,
it kind of feels like I'm on a ride,
like in an amusement park.
BOTH LAUGH
Right? And this world line is like the track.
Mm-hmm.
It just is.
There's no notion of it becoming or changing.
I know I'm using the present tense in is, and there's a whole argument among some philosophers who work in this area
that merely to use present tense is in conflict with talking about this worm or this world line just existing.
I acknowledge that our language is limited here
and it's possible the limitedness of our language
is actually telling.
And it's more than just a question
of our language being limited.
I acknowledge all of this.
But to the extent that if we can suspend our disbelief
and just allow me to talk about this world line just being.
Yeah.
Sometimes it feels like my existence is like a ride at an amusement park and I'm
just traveling along this groove. And my sensation that I am making choices is just one of the
illusions like all the others that I'm having along this track. Along this track, I have
memories forming, I have feelings that I experience,
at least I think I do, depending on one's view of the hard problem. I think I'm having those
experiences and I have the experience or at least the sensation that I'm making choices,
even though perhaps in some sense I'm not. And then this is all part of the ride. And maybe at
the end of the ride, I'll find out it was all a ride or something else. I don't know. See, I think I draw quite a different conclusion here because I think this sort of model of
consciousness is just passively looking in at the state of the brain at various times.
That's quite intuitive. I think many people do think that way. But I think if that's how
you think of consciousness, there's kind of no reason why you should only see the state
at one time.
Why couldn't the sort of the being outside of the universe look in at the states at several
different times and hold them all in awareness at the same time?
I think to understand why that's not the case, I think the way to understand why that's not
the case is to think of consciousness as being more active than I think that picture suggests.
Because there's no reason why I shouldn't
be passively conscious of what's going on at several different times. But if I'm going
to be acting at those times, there is a good reason why I shouldn't be acting at and conscious
of several different times at the same time because that's going to lead to all sorts
of very strange causal paradoxes and causal loops and things.
So I think if you think of consciousness as being more active and more agential than I think perhaps this looking in picture suggests, that gives you perhaps to me a clearer sense
of why we have this, why our experience has this particular temporal form, why we experience
being located at times, why we feel as if we're moving through times. So for me that
motivates perhaps thinking about consciousness a little bit differently, less as a looking in and more as an active involvement in the world if that makes sense.
It's interesting how you talked about that external entity being able to probe different
points along the world line at the same time.
Yes.
You used that word at the same time.
This entity is outside of space time.
So what does time even mean for this entity?
People have talked about whether there are other
directions of time and an entity that were outside
the universe could experience a notion of time
that's somehow orthogonal or distinct from the one
that we're having.
These are obviously all very speculative.
I think what we're in agreement is that given the structure
of this world line and the structure of the brain
in this world line, I think we're in agreement
that it makes sense that at no point along the world line. I think we're in agreement that it makes sense that at no point along the world line would this individual be aware of their memories that they're going to have
in the future and in the past. There's just no point along the world line where their
brain contains those structures.
Right. But I mean, I think if you look at the way consciousness works, it seems like
we're sort of, there's some consciousness of a whole spatial region that's not a single space-time point.
You might think, okay, if consciousness in some sense supervenes on this whole spatial
region, why can't it also supervene on several times at once?
Our experience of time seems quite sharp in a way that our experience of space is not.
We seem to be very much located at one time and to not have the ability to hold
in our awareness several different times simultaneously. I think understanding the temporal structure
of consciousness to me does require telling a story where consciousness is not purely
a passive looking but is very much involved in agency and in making decisions and you can sort of
see how that's going to lead to a certain kind of temporal structure of consciousness.
I think some viewers in the comments may point to how these sorts of questions have been
handled in fiction.
Yes, exactly.
Yeah.
Right, in The Watchmen with Dr. Manhattan who experiences time in this more holistic
way.
Yes.
In Arrival, the film which was based on the Ted Chiang short story.
Yeah.
And I, of course, recommend all of these people.
They're all very interesting.
Of course, in those cases,
at any given moment along the world line of those characters,
their brains seem to contain information about the future and the past.
And I think we're in agreement that at one moment,
the brain structure of the person in question doesn't contain information about what is to come.
So this is where I have trouble understanding what it would even mean to feel like you could experience multiple times,
given that they don't appear to be the brain structures at any point in the person's worldline,
there aren't the brain structures that would seem to encode information about what has yet to happen.
Right, but I think, I mean, you're sort of assuming that the brain has to supervene,
conscious experience must supervene on some slice.
And I agree, if it's just supervening on a slice, then you will only have consciousness of the time at that slice.
But I guess my question is, why does it have to be supervene that way?
Why does it not supervene on several different slices
or on some kind of blurring across the slices?
And I think the answer is, for me, closely linked to the
the agential nature of consciousness.
And I think that the fictional examples are helpful because if you sort of think about
if you try to imagine a fictionalized scenario in which you are sort of conscious of your
your whole life in some sense.
I think what you can sort of see imagining that is that the more knowledge you have,
the more you become conscious of your whole life, the less you are an agent, the less
you can really be deliberating and acting and making choices.
So I think for me, there has to be some kind of quite tight link between our nature as
agents and the fact that we experience time in this way.
I feel like you're channeling Kurt Vonnegut here in Slaughterhouse 5.
Yes, exactly.
The aliens who see all of time the way that we would think of seeing a landscape.
They talk about how to be human. It must be like someone strapped you to a railway car
and put a helmet on you with a very narrow tube.
Yes.
And you can only see one tiny part of the
mountainscape and then someone kicks the cart and you can only see one tiny part of the mountainscape, and then someone kicks the cart,
and you always see one little tiny part of the mountainscape.
And only humans with their very limited view,
they're the only intelligent beings in the universe,
according to these aliens,
the only intelligent beings are humans
who talk about free will,
who talk about this agential notion of consciousness.
So it's very interesting that you're connecting our limited awareness of time
to our sense of agency, because you're right,
if we could somehow be conscious of our whole world line,
it'd be very difficult to sustain a notion of being a free-willed agent in the world.
I mean, you want to know my view on the hard problem of consciousness.
This is not a very
well-formed view, but I think all of these things are connected. To understand consciousness
and why it is the way it is, that needs to be linked to time and our experience of time
and our nature as agents. I think those things are closely tied together and you're not going
to fully understand what consciousness is until you understand the way it's linked to our nature as agents and the way
that shapes our temporal experience.
It's very clever of you Kurt how you've gotten us to talk so much about a topic that both of us have openly acknowledged is not our area of experience.
That's the DMT and the Air Canada water.
So I want you to speak more about consciousness and this agential element.
What do you speculate the link to be?
Because it sounds as if there's a free will element here, but I don't imagine you believe
in free will.
You're right.
I don't believe in free will.
Emily, what do you mean by free will?
I don't believe in free will in the strong sense.
I don't believe that there is a self outside the physical world that is somehow able to
reach in and choose in a way that's unconstrained by physical considerations.
I believe, I'm sort of really happy to accept that there's some kind of compatibilist form
of free will such that if your decisions are mediated through appropriate causal pathways
in your brain, we can call that free will.
The reason I ask is that in describing your definition of free will, you use terms that
are equivalent to free will.
It's very difficult to provide a non-circular definition of free will.
So one of the first questions you have in a philosophical problem is, can we adequately
define the terms in question in a way in which we're in agreement?
And one of the rules is you're not supposed to define something in a circular way because then it's not really a definition.
Yes.
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Do you think you have a way of talking about free will or presenting some kind of definition of free will that doesn't in the definition somewhere talk about choosing or decisions or something that means the same thing as
free choice and free will?
So I think at a compatibilist level for sure I can do that. If I try to say what the sort
of strong concept of free will is supposed to be, No, I can't do that and that's one reason why I think the whole idea is a bit incoherent. I think it's
very hard to state what free will is actually supposed to be in this strong sense and for
sure if you do succeed in stating what it's supposed to be, it sort of seems like it's
not what we wanted it to be in the first place because presumably free will is supposed to
be something to do with
making decisions based on your personality and your experiences and your memories.
So if it were really sort of separate from the physical world and all the things that encode my personality and memories
then it wouldn't really be the thing that we actually want. So yeah, I think I'm in agreement that
the sort of strong concept is just not very coherent.
Of course you can say the same thing about consciousness too.
Consciousness is also extremely difficult to define.
And some people have used exactly that problem.
Oh, I can't define what consciousness is, therefore it's incoherent.
I put it in a similar bucket.
Free will and consciousness for me are examples of things that are very difficult to define.
And these aren't unique.
I mean, probability is another example of something that's extremely difficult to define
in a way that doesn't refer to something that's equivalent to probability.
But I think probability is out there, not in the sense, I mean, you can ask what I mean
when I think it's out there.
I think that it's meaningful to talk about probability in the world.
I think that the philosophy of probability is a very interesting question.
It plays clearly a very important role in our physical theories.
And there's some meaningful sense in which when we talk about probability, we're talking about
something that's worth our discussion. And I think it makes sense to ask, do you believe
that things are probabilistic or not is a question you could talk about. Even though
we don't have maybe a rigorous non-circular definition of what we mean by probability,
I feel the same way about consciousness. And I also feel the same way about free will.
Just because something is difficult to define in my view doesn't mean that it's not
Possibly there or worthy of our attention. So it's free will I think there's a specific problem
It's not just that it's difficult to define
It's that if you start to try to pin down what it is supposed to be you arrive at something which is not what you wanted
It to be and you know
Because when I say I'd like to have free will what I mean is that I would like to make decisions based on my personality, my memories, my history, all of these things.
I would like to make decisions for good reasons. And all of those reasons, the personality,
the history, all of that is going to be encoded in my mind. It's going to be encoded in my
physical brain. It's going to be constrained by the laws of nature. And when you look at
this idea of free will as something that's supposed to be somehow unconstrained by the laws of nature, you end up with this very
weird picture where it's this somehow it's supposed to be the ability to make choices,
but not for any reasons, not based on who I am as a person, not based on my memories.
And once you describe it in that way, it's kind of unclear that that's what we wanted
it to be. So I think when you really try to pin down the sort of ideal concept of free will that
people have aspired for there to exist, it's not just that it's hard to define, it just turns out
to be the wrong thing and not what we were looking for. Similar to my question about
rationality earlier where I said that you can say strategy A doesn't work, strategy B doesn't work,
so on. Are you employing a similar argument with regard to free will,
saying that anytime you instantiate the concept of free will,
it's incoherent, it doesn't work,
it's not what you intended it to be,
same with here, same with here,
and you're able to make that argument for
any conceivable definition of free will?
Or are you just saying that the definitions that have been
offered to me so far, I haven't
found satisfying and I also don't think the person who's offered it to me finds it satisfying?
Well, I think there's a sort of a fundamental conflict inherent in the notion of free will
because what people want free will to be is somehow unconstrained by the physical world.
They want to make choices which were not dictated for them by physical reality and the laws of nature and all these kinds of things. But at the same time, people
want to make their choices for reasons. People don't want their choices to just kind of randomly
happen out of the blue. You want to think that I, Emily, because of who I am, made my
choices. And I think those two things are just fundamentally in conflict. You can't
reasonably say that you want your choices both to be unconstrained by anything
else and also made for reasons.
You can perhaps imagine a choice that is some sort of some mixture of being made for reasons
and sort of some kind of arbitrary non-physical thing that's happening that's not based on
any reasons.
But all that seems to be happening there is that
you're making the choice more random or more arbitrary.
You're not really adding in freedom in any sense.
So I think it's not just that individual definitions don't work,
but more that is the fundamental conflict at the heart of
what people mean when they talk about wanting to have free will.
Jacob, it's my understanding that you're more open to it,
that you see that you can't define it in a satisfactory manner, and you don't even know what a good definition would look like similar to the hard problem.
You don't know at least. Well, Emily said that Emily, you said you don't know what a good explanation would look like such that if someone handed it to you, you could say, check.
This is this is the hard problem solved now.
I don't know if you also have that same view of the hard problem.
But regardless, do you also have the same view of the definition of free will?
The fact that I can't come up with a satisfactory definition, a non-circular definition of free will, I guess only makes the question more fascinating.
I'm especially fascinated by things that I can't pin down. There have
been a lot of arguments over the years about free will. Some people who are watching this
may be familiar with Peter Van and Wagen's argument, the consequence argument for why
there cannot exist free will in a universe based on deterministic laws. I think that
argument is particularly elucidating about some of the questions I think about
when I think about free will.
Imagine that we live in a universe in which the laws, the microphysical, the most fine
grained laws of nature are well defined and are logically reversible.
I say logically reversible because, well, for one thing, they don't appear to go backward
in actuality and it may also be that the laws maybe look a little different going forward
and backward.
In the standard model, there is a very small amount of time-based symmetry, and things
don't look exactly the same going forward and backward.
Logically reversible just means that one could retroject just as well as one could predict
with the laws.
You could imagine running them in reverse and getting a unique trajectory, just as you
could run them forward and get a unique trajectory.
Although I don't know whether Vanuwagen was thinking about logically reversible deterministic
laws.
Certainly, logically reversible deterministic laws are the kinds of laws that we're familiar
with from our best physical theories up until we got to the 20th century. And I think what troubles people is the idea
that the deep past together with the,
in this case, assumed to be deterministic laws of physics,
already determined everything that we would ever do,
separate from our personality, separate from who we are.
That idea that it's not us making choices, but
that all of our behavior has been determined by something that took place well before we
ever lived is very troubling to people. And the Van and Wagon argument formalizes this
as a set of premises followed by a conclusion. One premise is that the laws of nature are deterministic.
The laws of nature together with the past uniquely determine the future.
We don't have control over the laws of nature.
We don't have control over the past.
And we also don't have control over the fact that the laws of nature
together with the past fix the future uniquely.
And given those premises or some combination or some division up of those premises,
one arrives at the conclusion that we don't have control over the future, which is the thing that we don't like.
We don't...people react negatively to this.
This is an argument against compatibilism, an argument against the idea that free will
is sustainable in a universe of this kind.
And I actually think this argument is really nice because I think it highlights...like
a good argument should, it highlights what are the principles
that have been put, so to speak, on the table,
so we can analyze them and dissect them
and decide if they make sense.
Well, all of them, however you phrase them,
deal with this notion of control.
Now, the way that Vanuwaga originally wrote it,
I don't think he used the actual word control,
but it was something equivalent to control.
We can't control the past. We can't control something equivalent to control. We can't control the past.
We can't control the laws of nature.
We can't control that the laws of nature go with the past uniquely to the future.
But what do you mean by control?
Right.
Right.
Control itself wraps in the idea of free will to begin with.
If you could define what control is, I would have a better sense of what free will is.
Can you phrase those premises without something like control?
And I'm not sure that you can.
But I would actually even go further.
You see, the laws of nature aren't all that you have.
The laws of nature need to be combined
with initial conditions.
And I think there's not enough attention paid
to the role of initial conditions
and how we think about our best physical theories.
Without initial conditions,
the laws don't tell you anything.
David Albert has this with a lovely example in his book After Physics.
He says there is absolutely nothing in the laws of Newtonian mechanics.
Good old Newtonian mechanics. Nothing in the laws of Newtonian mechanics that would prevent a collection of rocks
from spontaneously assembling into a complete set of statuettes of the British
royal family.
Yes.
You might go, well, of course, Newtonian mechanics doesn't allow that.
Really?
Well, if you start it with a bunch of statuettes and drop them, they would shatter into lots
of little rocks.
Newtonian mechanics is time reversible.
So there exists so well-defined process in which a bunch of rocks assemble themselves into the statuettes.
We think that's unlikely, but that's not a statement of the laws, it's a statement about the initial conditions.
We think the initial conditions of the universe were very generic in some way, very random or boring, uninteresting,
typical in some way that would make it very unlikely they'd be precisely fine-tuned to give you this particular outcome.
But in a world in which, I sound like a movie director, in a world in which the only laws
are logic, the microphysical laws are logically reversible, the idea that the past determines
us and the future is no more sensible than to say that we determine the past and the
future or that the future determines us and the future is no more sensible than to say that we determine the past in the future or that the future determines us in
the past. You could just as well say that when we make choices
we're determining the initial conditions of the universe.
That would be just as sensible as saying the initial conditions of the universe are determining us through the laws.
And so I think you can actually recover a notion of
of compatible-ism in this sort of a universe by saying that
there's no sense in which the past is determining us. You could just as well say that I make
choices and those choices are fixing the initial conditions through the laws. Even to say are
fixing involves the present tense, which isn't even a well-defined thing here. But there
isn't a, if you sort of pair back these arguments against compatibilism,
they either involve circularities themselves or they involve reasoning that doesn't necessarily
hold up to scrutiny. And I'm not saying that any of this is original to me. I mean, many people have
tried to parse these arguments about free will. I just think that they typify how thorny this question is and
how open it is and how mysterious it is. And I really like these kinds of mysteries. These
mysteries convince me that we're just never going to get to the bottom of everything.
If we ever did, I think that would make things very boring.
We'd lose our jobs. There'd be nothing for us to do as philosophers.
Yeah, I do think a lot of these arguments about free will, as you say, there's a sort
of implicit assumption about time that's going into them. There's this model of the universe
that's starting at the beginning and rolling forward to produce the course of history.
I think if that's the picture you have in mind, then I guess, yeah, this determinism
does sound quite scary that it was all fixed long ago at the beginning. Whereas, I think if you have a view of time where you don't
think the initial state is that special, the kind of suggestion you make seems much more compelling,
that there's no particular reason to be worried about what the initial state is, because it's
no more special than what happens now. I guess I do wonder if the kind of view you have set out,
I wonder sort of how much freedom there is because you might think that there's this space in some sense for some set of choices
to be free, but can we think that they're all free or is there going to be too much
constraining that?
Do we have to have some kind of, do we choose a subset of choices are free or do we just
adopt some kind of view on which they're all sort of perspectively free in some sense?
There's a sort of interesting questions about if you're not going to put the freedom in
at the beginning of time, where do you put it in instead and how do you sort of model
the sense in which there's some kind of arbitraryness or freedom in what the course of events?
Freedom is just another word for nothing left to lose.
I don't have answers to those questions.
I'm not claiming that these are well-formed views.
I think I've been pretty clear that I don't work on free will.
I don't think it's an area of particular expertise for me.
But like anyone who thinks about philosophical questions, whether you're a professional philosopher
or not a professional philosopher, I'm very
interested in these questions. The mystery is very appealing to me. And at the very least,
I think I know enough to be able to identify weak points, I think, in arguments that have
been put forward. Again, not to make any claim that I'm saying anything original about those problems. But yeah, so I don't dispute what you've said.
Like I said, I don't have a sufficiently well-defined positive view about how to think about free
will that I think I can provide any kind of defense. I do very much enjoy the discussion
though.
Yeah.
What other thorny open problem in philosophy do you think about?
What other open problem in philosophy do I think about?
Most recently I've been thinking quite a lot about emergence.
I think we have this sort of aspiration in physics that we're going to write down a microphysical
theory and then we're just going to see how the macroscopic world arises out of that and
that's all going to work very nicely.
I think the more I think about that, the more worried I get because the microphysical theories
that we have have been arrived at via measurements we have made using
our macroscopic instruments. They certainly incorporate some features of our macroscopic
perspective in ways that are quite hard to tease apart from the microphysical theories.
When I think about how emergence works, I start to get worried that there's something
circular happening here where we're trying to write down a microphysical theory and see
how the macroscopic stuff arises from it. But the microphysical theory we're using is building
in all the stuff that we have from our macroscopic perspective. And in some ways, we're sort
of already helping ourselves to the existence of the macroscopic world by using a theory
that's formulated in this way. So looking at and emerges and thinking about the story
we want to tell as physicists, I start to get worried about how can we fully separate out our macroscopic perspective from
this description so as to really be able to tell this story, just genuinely tell the story
in which we start from a purely microscopic description and the macroscopic world arises
out of it without being presupposed at the start. This question about emergence is very important and has been highlighted by a lot of people
in particular in the context of physical theories.
So it will come as no shock to anyone who's seen any of our previous discussions that
I'm not an advocate of the Ever-Readying approach to quantum theory.
Oh, are you?
But you're not?
Oh, are you? Yeah. I'm surprised.
If you read Hugh Everett's unpublished draft of his dissertation, you can find this online.
Maybe, Kurt, you could put a link to it.
It is beautifully written.
It has a very early but fully formed version of the Wigner's Friend thought experiment,
which we've talked about before.
In that dissertation and in some of his correspondence, in particular a letter that Hugh Everett wrote
to Bryce DeWitt in 1957, Bryce DeWitt was a theoretical physicist who became aware of
Everett's early work, had a number of questions, was initially very skeptical, eventually became
a very strong advocate of Everett's early work, had a number of questions, was initially very skeptical, eventually became a very strong advocate of Everett's approach.
At the time in 1957, he was very skeptical
and then written to Everett, Everett wrote back to him.
And there, I think in particular in that letter,
Everett makes clear his problem with the
then existing dominant paradigm
for how to think about quantum theory, the Copenhagen interpretation.
And Everett says very clearly that one of his problems, the Copenhagen interpretation,
so one of them is this hybrid nature of sometimes you have an impersonal deterministic theory
of the wave function evolving and then other times you have this very personal observer-oriented
probabilistic version of the theory when measurements are happening.
And he disputed the idea that it was good to formulate physical theories in this way.
Interestingly, at the time, he wrote about how he would have been happy to have a stochastic
theory or a deterministic theory of the kind he was forming.
He just said it should be one or the other, not some Frankenstein's mixture of both.
But one of the other shortcomings he saw in the contemporary paradigm, the Copenhagen
picture, was that it provided no way to understand, even in schematic broad outlines, how to get
an inter-theoretic reduction of classical physics to the micro-physical quantum world.
Inter-theoretic reduction just means an accounting of how we're supposed
to understand classical physics as being derivable in some limit or some regime from the more
correct fundamental, supposedly fundamental theory of quantum mechanics. Because the Copenhagen
interpretation presupposed classical reality as one of its axiomatic ingredients, and just foreclosed on principle the idea that you could somehow explain or derive
the classical world from the microscopic quantum world, he found this untenable.
I'm not saying that providing a specific impersonal microphysical theory of the kind
that, as you know, I've been working on,
is enough to finish the project
of understanding the emergence of classical reality.
But I think at least it gives us hope
that we might be able to do it.
So I'm curious, as you talk about,
you think these sort of problems with emergence,
do you see these problems as fundamental obstacles
that will preclude our ability
to get emergence to work forever?
Or do you see them as maybe transient challenges
that we could in principle overcome with more work?
I definitely think they are overcomeable,
but I think they are perhaps more difficult to overcome
than we immediately think, because I think
that we write down what we take to be a definite
impersonal microscopic theory. But I think it can be down what we take to be a definite impersonal microscopic theory.
But I think it can be quite hard to see sometimes the ways in which what we think is an impersonal
microscopic theory, in fact, depends on specific features of our perspective as observers.
For example, sometimes people write down microphysical theories that involve something like time
evolution or something temporally directed. That is something that I am tempted to say is a feature of our macroscopic experience
that's not there in the microscopic world.
I mean, that's just one example, but I sort of worry that, you know, it's hard to know
in advance what's going to happen in future and it's very hard to know, sort of separate
out the bits of our theories that are sort of really describing the microscopic world
versus in fact, sort of artifacts of our perspective. And so describing the microscopic world versus, in fact, artifacts
of our perspective. That makes me worried about any attempt at describing emergence.
How do we know that we have really removed all the macroscopic stuff and ended up with
just a microscopic theory from which we can sensibly describe the emergence of the macroscopic
world? There's a nice quote from Janes about quantum mechanics involves the
inferential stuff and the causal or real stuff all being scrambled up in a big omelet that
no one can unscramble. But I think it's not just quantum mechanics. I think this is a
problem throughout science that it's very hard in practice to distinguish things that
are sort of independent of us versus things that are artifacts of our perspective.
And if you're not sure that you've completely unscrambled the omelet,
can you really be confident that the emergent story you're telling is capturing all those elements correctly?
Right. I mean, there was a time when people would speak of Newtonian mechanics as a theory of cause and effect.
Right.
Oh, Newtonian mechanics is a theory of cause and effect and quantum mechanics is not a theory of cause and effect. Right. Oh, Newtonian mechanics is a theory of cause and effect
and quantum mechanics is not a theory of cause and effect.
You see this in popular depictions of quantum theory even today in some cases,
but this is also some of the languages that were being used back in the 20s and 30s.
Wait, how did they justify that?
It wasn't, I think, a matter of justification.
I think people just collapsed the notion of determinism and cause and effect
to mean this sort of similar kind of a thing.
But around the time, people were already beginning to question whether causation was a sensible
notion of the microphysical level, right?
There's this famous quotation from Russell, right?
Causation persists only out of the mistake, like the royal family, only out of the mistaken
impression that it does no harm.
His words, his words.
Quote that one a lot, yes.
Yes, yes. We like that quotation. And now I think a lot of, for the most part, practitioners
both in physics and in philosophy of science tend not to speak of detonian mechanics in
terms of cause and effect because those are difficult to define. We tend to talk about
it in terms of deterministic microphysical laws.
So that's one example I think where we've taken something that we take very, you know,
every day we see cause and effect all over the place.
I mean, cause and effect is at the center of how we do medical testing.
We think about our, you know, judicial system, culpability for, you know, moral acts, cause and effect.
But I think we've gotten better at maybe not extending those ideas all the way down to the micro-surgical level.
I think, so I very much agree with this.
I think there are a lot of things that people take as intuitive,
that they take from our macroscopic experience
and push all the way down to the microphysical level.
I mean, Kurt, before we've talked about
Reichenbach's principle of common cause as a thing that we
see all the time in the world around us.
And I think there's a tendency to push that idea
all the way down to the microphysical level
where maybe it doesn't actually make a lot of sense,
at least not the way that it's often formulated.
There may be versions of it that kind of make sense at the micro physical level.
So I think this is actually a really great point.
Yeah.
When you say the micro physical level, there's two definitions of micro.
So micro is like bacteria level.
But then micro, what
is micro physical mean? Does it mean fundamental? Does it mean UV complete? What does it mean?
I think one can use the word micro in a relative sense. Micro relative to us means the things
of which you know, that are that that are the constituents out of which we emerge in some sense.
So one can mean it in a relative sense.
I actually mean it in a more technical sense.
When I use certain words like probability
or microphysical or dynamical law,
I mean those, you should take all those
to include implicitly the additional words on
a specific physical theory.
I don't know why philosophers say on theories instead of according to theories.
It's an interesting preposition.
Like we say at worlds and on theories.
That's true.
Yes.
I'm not sure about that.
Not in worlds, not according to theories.
It's just an interesting shibboleth, I think.
Yes. You just pick up by being in the field.
You pick up osmotically by being in the field.
But you should add on that theory.
So what does it mean for me to propose a physical theory?
To propose a physical theory means
that you propose some kind of stuff, physical stuff,
you could call these the ontology, the matter, the degrees of freedom,
the things that have configurations, whatever the moving parts are, I call them like moving
parts, the moving parts of the theory.
And those moving parts, according to theory,
are its fundamental microphysical constituents.
By definition, they're the things
I call the microphysical things,
the things that are stipulated axiomatically by the theory
as the basic moving parts.
The basic elementary moving parts of the theory,
I call those the microphysical features of the theory.
And then we have dynamical laws.
The rules according to which those moving parts are supposed to change in some way,
either deterministically or probabilistically or something else I haven't thought of.
And then we call those the microphysical laws, the dynamical microphysical laws,
again deterministic or probabilistic, that either govern or dictate or summarize,
depending on one's view about
how laws are supposed to work, that relate those moving parts to the way that they behave.
And then one can ask questions of emergence.
What kinds of derivable macro level phenomena can we see emerge from this?
Can we see tables and chairs show up that things that were not put in,
in the micro scale picture of the theory
that come out contingently in some sense,
approximately contingently in some emergent way.
A theory of atoms giving rise to tables and chairs,
for example, would be an example of this.
Is there some more profound sense of micro physical that is theory independent?
I'm not quite sure.
What I can say is that what's micro physical on one theory might not be micro physical
on some other theory.
For example, if you believe that your first theory is not a fundamental theory, but is itself obtainable through some inter-theoretic reduction to some deeper,
more fundamental theory in some way, in a sense that you can phrase in terms of, say,
supervenience. The only way that things in the less fundamental theory can change is
if there is some change in this more plain
fundamental theory, that's a supervenience relation, then it may be that the things that
you were calling micro-physical according to your first description on the first theory
are not micro-physical according to this other theory, on this other theory, sorry, on this
other theory.
Yes.
And it may be turtles all the way down, that there's just a never-ending sequence of evermore
fundamental theories, each of which comes with its own notion of what the microphysical
constituents are.
Or it may be this taps out at some most fundamental theory that we have not yet discovered, and
then its microphysical constituents are the microphysical constituents on which all other
things and phenomena supervene.
I don't know the answer to that, but that's precisely what I mean microphysical on some
particular theory you have of the world.
Do you believe that there's an infinite regress of theories like this?
And I mean, out there.
So for us, maybe, maybe it's just we're not intelligent enough and we keep approximating
something closer and closer, but there's something there in that model. Do you believe that there's
something there or do you believe that somehow nature does have this infinite regress of laws?
I look at this and just see a mystery and where I see a mystery, I want to go.
I don't have any other presuppositions as to what I'll find.
Emily?
I guess I'm tempted to say there must be a bottom level just because it seems just wildly
inefficient to have an incredible, you know, have infinite series of layers going all the
way down. And I mean, just on the principle that we shouldn't
postulate more than we need to explain what's going on, it seems to me hard to believe that
it could really be necessary to postulate this infinite layer of things to explain what's
going on. I guess that's in some ways just an aesthetic preference rather than a real
argument. It seems a bit excessive to postulate
all of this stuff if it could be done with less.
I mean, there's so many different ways this could go. There's one of the opening couch
gags on The Simpsons in which the camera zooms out from The Simpsons family as they sit on
the couch and it zooms out and you see the Earth
and you see solar system and you see the galaxy
and you see all the galaxies,
and you keep zooming and zooming out
and so you see the whole observable universe.
And as you keep zooming out, you see atoms
and then molecules and eventually you pull out
and you see, you know, and Homer, you know,
he says, you know, wow.
And there's a similar thing that happens
in an episode of Adventure Time.
There's a plug for Adventure Time.
When, you know, Finn puts on these glasses,
the spectacles of Nerdicon, I think it's what they're called.
And you see the same kind of, you know,
where you pull all the way out and you return, you know.
So it could be something bizarre like that
where it isn't infinite.
Yes.
In a sense, maybe there's some kind of cyclicity to it or maybe something we haven't even thought
of.
I mean, like I said, to me, exploring those mysteries is the most exciting intellectual
journey I think that one can proceed along.
That's why we do this, right?
That's why we're in this field.
Right.
It's very exciting. It's very exciting.
It's very exciting. Yeah. It's fascinating.
So let's say there was no heat death of the universe and time could keep ticking forward infinitely.
Okay.
And at the same time we have the premise that there is no difference between the past and the future.
So why do you care that there's an infinite regress in the past but not an infinite progression to the future.
To me, if there's no difference between the arrows,
why is there some psychological problem with an infinite regress in the past?
Well, I don't particularly have a problem with a regress into the past or the future.
I think we have reasonably compelling cosmological evidence that the past is not infinite and I believe the cosmologists when they tell
me that that's what the evidence suggests. But I don't think I would have a philosophical
objection to time going on infinitely into the past. Indeed, I think if you are the kind
of person who has a model of the universe where you put in an initial state and it evolves
forward in time, then you are, I think, in
some sense, committed to there being a beginning of time where the initial state can be put
in to be evolved forwards. I think because I don't have that kind of view of time, I'm
perhaps more relaxed about that possibility than perhaps others might be.
The lack of an initial event does make it difficult to talk about initial conditions,
that's true. And there are all kinds of conjectural theories,
cyclic cosmology theories,
eternally inflating multiverse theories,
stuff that's even more bizarre
in which our Big Bang is not a unique event.
And maybe the universe will go through
some other kind of phase transition
far in the future that we can't imagine.
I think it's important though,
and I think it's always important when having discussions
like this.
I think there's a view among some people that philosophers like to engage in wild speculation.
And as someone who has spent a lot of time in physics, in theoretical physics and also
in philosophy, I find that there tends to be less wild speculation in the areas of philosophy, at least the ones that I work in and Emily
works in, than sometimes I find to be the case in high energy theoretical physics.
One of the reasons why I found working in this particular area of philosophy, analytic
philosophy, philosophy of science, philosophy of physics.
One of the reasons I found it to be so hospitable to the way I like to think about things is I actually
tend not to like wild speculation. I tend to get lost very quickly once I feel like I'm in the midst
of a lot of wild speculation, people stacking speculative metaphysical hypotheses on top of
each other one after another,
at some point I just sort of lose the thread
and I have difficulty following.
I like to be very careful in my reasoning,
especially in circumstances in which we lack data.
And cosmology is a great example of this.
Now we're living in a remarkable era.
We're living in the era of precision cosmology.
The amount of data coming in is profound.
And this is the result of incredibly hard work
by human beings painstakingly developing
unbelievably brilliant devices.
I mean, for anyone who doesn't know what's going on,
you know, in cosmology,
people who are working in observational cosmology,
you are in for
treat if you just go look at some of the work they're doing, it's incredible.
But for some of these very profound questions like where the universe truly came from, whether
there was anything before the universe began, where it's headed in sort of the long term,
now we're in an area where we have to speculate and we have very little data at our disposal.
And so this is exactly the kind of circumstance in which I think we have to be extra careful. Yes.
And avoid wild speculation and proceed as methodically and rigorously as we can,
scrutinizing all of our steps as we go. That kind of rigorous scrutiny
is one of the things I like the most about this field of philosophy in which we work. I think it's optimized for a certain
kind of scholarly pursuits and maybe not for all kinds of scholarly pursuits, but it appeals
to me it's one of the reasons I like doing the work that we do.
I think there's a place for the wild speculation. I think creative ideas come out of that and I think it is important to have people
doing that kind of thing. I think, as you would agree, it's important to keep track of the fact
that that's what you're doing and recognize that you're in the process of creative idea generation
and perhaps not making a rigorous argument and also recognize when is the right moment to transition
from doing the wild speculations to trying to make it more rigorous and not go too far in that direction. So yeah, I think one thing
philosophy can do perhaps is sort of provide a different methodological approach to these
things and perhaps sort of act as a sort of check on what's going on and allow us to see
that those things from a different point of view.
I think it's important just to follow in your point that we are careful to demarcate when
we're engaging in one kind of pursuit over another.
But I think it's also very important when we engage with the public to be very clear
about when we're in one mode and when we're in another.
I sometimes worry that people speaking to the public, which is a very important thing
to do, we should all be doing it much more,
are not always careful enough about being clear
about what is rigorous and reliable
and grounded in strong data, strong evidence,
and what is more speculative.
And I think it does everyone a disservice
when we're not very clear about those lines.
Your point about the importance of people who work in our area of philosophy, philosophy
generally, but especially in area of philosophy, in our engagement with science, I think is
well taken and needs to be emphasized.
We're all adapted for different kinds of, as I said, scholarly pursuits, different ways
of engaging with scholarship.
And to make progress on thorny problems, especially cases in
science in which we may be lacking in data, I think more
engagement between scientists and certainly people in our
field would be very helpful.
I know that there's this attitude that some people in
any discipline have, philosophy, mathematics, that
we shouldn't be too focused on whether our field is useful to other fields.
You know, that our field doesn't exist merely to serve other fields,
but has its own ends and its own meaning.
And I agree with that.
I think the kinds of questions that we often talk about,
you, Emily, and me specifically talk about,
but more broadly people talk about in this field,
are interesting and worthwhile to pursue for their own sake, on their own merits.
But the fact that thinking philosophically about physics, physical theories, physical
problems can be extremely useful in the progress of science is not a demerit, it's something
to be highlighted.
And I don't think that we always do a good enough job highlighting it.
Well, I think it's, you know, both you and I trained originally as physicists because
I guess we were both interested in contributing to the progress of science and transitioned
into philosophy.
And I certainly didn't do that because I was no longer interested in contributing to the
progress of science, but because I felt that that was the best way that I personally with
the kind of person I am and my skills could do that.
And I would imagine for you, similarly, it's not that you have withdrawn from contributing
to science, but that you see this is the best way to do this.
Yeah, that's right.
I talk about how I have two main modes, physical philosophy, where I'm interested in the areas
of philosophy that are inspired by or constrained by or connected in some way to questions in
physics, in science generally, but questions that are more traditional questions in philosophy
and metaphysics. My other mode is I call philosophical physics, which is doing physics, but using
the methodologies that come from analytic philosophy. Rigorous scrutiny of definitions,
of arguments, of assumptions, being very careful to avoid too much speculation,
finding gaps in our theories, uncovering, lifting rocks, looking under them, scrutinizing,
looking through things. And there's a prejudition of this leading to major progress in science.
And when I have a conversation with... I'm interested to get your take on this as well.
I'd love to hear from you what you think
are the biggest contributions that philosophical thinking
about physics, philosophy of physics,
has contributed to the development of modern science.
The examples I would point to just in the limited case
of quantum mechanics are the arguments over EPR
and entanglement, which were done fully
in philosophy mode. You read these papers and they were discussions about the nature
of what was really out there. And although they were trying to address at some level
practical questions, at some level philosophical questions, those philosophical arguments inspired
by and generated important
insights into thinking about how entanglement worked.
But I would add to that collection, David Bohm's work on decoherence.
He decided in his textbook, his 1951 textbook, to probe the structure of measurements from
a foundational philosophical point of view, not to take for granted just what was handed to us from the Dirac Phenomenaxioms. And in this chapter, chapter 22, he goes through
this whole process and in 22.8 he talks about, he introduces this idea of decoherence in a rigorous
way, the first rigorous description of how decoherence works. He knew better than anybody
how decoherence worked and he was not convinced that that was enough
to resolve the measurement problem.
That's why he introduced his hidden variables approach,
partly out of conversations he had with Albert Einstein.
But decoherence is now ubiquitous
in papers throughout quantum physics,
from high energy physics down to atomic
molecular optical physics, quantum information, quantum computing. You can't
pick up a paper without reading about decoherence time scales, how to protect
systems from decoherence, the importance of decoherence and understanding the
emergence of the classical world, but also protecting systems from decoherence
so you can get the sort of delicate entangled superpositions you need to get successful quantum computation to happen.
But, you know, this crucial idea that plays such an important role in some of these papers goes back to philosophical thinking about these problems.
Problems that were considered too philosophical for serious physicists to think about.
And ultimately had negative career repercussions on David Bohm and on Dater Zay, worked on T-coherence in the 70s as well.
Bell was inspired by the EPR argument to develop Bell's theorem. Bell's theorem was the sort of
thing originally that Bell worked on kind of in secret. He published this work in these
underground journals. He warned off people from working on this stuff because he said it would be
damaging their careers.
John Bell himself, his official job was that he was a theoretical particle physicist at CERN.
This was sort of on the side. This work was on the side.
And now Bell's theorem shows up in contemporary physics all the time.
We use Bell's theorem to certify the randomness of quantum random emergent arrays.
We use Bell's theorem in quantum cryptographic protocols.
We use Bell's theoremorem in quantum cryptographic protocols, we use Bell's Theorem all over the place. And, you know, I would
add to this list the no-cloning theorem, which was independently discovered by a
bunch of different people, including some philosophers, Dennis Deeks
independently discovered the no-cloning theorem. But I would add further
things, the no-signaling theorem, which played a really important role in But I would add further things.
No signaling theorem, which played a really important role in understanding the structure
of how we make quantum mechanics compatible with speciality.
The no signaling theorem comes out of philosophical thinking about quantum mechanics.
All the way up to things like the Elitzer-Weidmann bomb tester, which was inspired by, you know, Everettian many worlds thinking. When David Deutsch wrote his pioneering article in 1985 that initiated
the idea of looking for quantum advantage and developing quantum algorithms to do certain
tasks more efficiently, it could be done on a classical computer, he says multiple times
in that paper, which you should link to, that his motivation was ever ready in quantum theory.
His goal was to find some smoking gun evidence that Everett was giving us the correct world picture.
He says in the paper he believes that a
genuine,
working,
quantum algorithm that's more efficient that we can achieve classically would
produce an untenable strain in any other interpretation than the Everett interpretation. How much is all this worth to the progress of physics?
I would stack that list of contributions up against many contemporary research areas in physics.
It was done in large part by people who had other official jobs
or who suffered significant career ramifications for working on ideas that were considered
too philosophical for mainstream physics. It was done for almost no money. So there's
a sense in which if you divide the output by the input, you practically get a division
by zero error. So if anyone is thinking about like how to make
the biggest bang for your buck in terms of making
contributions to physics, I would argue that we need
to invest more in philosophy of physics.
I think every physics department should have a resident
philosopher of physics there to hold accountable.
Absolutely, yes.
Right, just one.
I mean, the whole department, you have a department
of five physicists, 10 physicists, the big ones have 30 or 40. At least the big ones should all have one
philosopher of physics who shows up at seminars and like Statler and Waldorf in the Muppets,
you know, calls attention to when people are saying things that run beyond what the data
allow or arguments that don't really hold up or engage in too much wild speculation.
I think that would be an incredible service alone, separate from the fact that I think
probing these fundamental questions is itself a creative enterprise, right?
The purpose of philosophy physics is not merely to criticize or hold back physics that's not
done as well as it should.
But like I've pointed all these examples, thinking carefully about our best physical
theories has generated a lot of really important ideas. I would argue
that the
Incredible ferment that we saw at the end of the 19th century into the beginning of the 20th century that saw the development of statistical
mechanics that saw the development of relativity special and general relativity and quantum mechanics that it's no accident this happened at a time when
Philosophers and physicists were trained in each other's areas, were closely connected, that all the
top physicists talked about philosophy and philosophers who were close to physicists
talked about physics.
This softened the soil and generated a tremendous amount of raw creative input that has then extended all the way into the 20th century.
I would argue that maybe we need another time like that,
that this is a ripe moment
for there to be more cross-pollination between these fields
to generate the ideas that'll take us
further into the 21st century.
Great.
Would you add anything to that list?
I think what I would say is that
even things that are taking place in physics, I think
you often see particularly the inception of new research programs, a lot of thinking that
I would classify as philosophical. If you read, I think, the early papers on holography
when some of those ideas are coming out, there's a lot of very philosophical thinking that
is going into that kind of thing, that's thinking about the meaning of information or the meaning
of a surface and sort of doing thought experiments and all these kinds of things.
So I think if you look at the way these things are actually developed, like philosophy in
some senses playing a major role in that and perhaps that could be a fruitful way in which
philosophers could talk to physicists more in that sort of period and sort of get more
input into that kind of philosophical process that is happening at the inception of a research program
or the inception of new ideas.
I think that the idea that philosophy and physics are completely separate and the physicists
just calculate things and the philosophers just say words, it has never been true.
The physicists are doing very philosophical things, philosophers of physics are doing
calculations, are doing very philosophical things, philosophers of physics are doing calculations, are doing very technical things. I don't think we need to see these communities as being
two communities that are opposed to each other, but we are both engaged in similar things
using slightly different tools and methodologies and we can all benefit from speaking to each
other more and from having more sort of cross-pollination between those things.
Yeah. When you read Emily's papers, you don't notice any lack of mathematical sophistication.
Yeah. And I think you're an exemplar of the kind of person working in philosophy,
whom physicists should spend more time getting to know.
I think it's not that physicists don't engage in philosophical reasoning sometimes.
I do sometimes think that in any field we can begin to think that we know well enough how to do everything
and we don't need the help of anybody else.
One sentiment that I've experienced personally, spending a lot of time among physicists,
certainly by no means among all physicists, but among some, is that physicists, at least some, feel
like they can do philosophy better than philosophers and they don't need philosophers.
That physicists are so quantitatively trained, they're so smart, they can do all of this,
they don't need any help from philosophers.
And if you point them sometimes to philosophers, sometimes you'll hear them say, well, I've
occasionally looked at philosophy papers and I find most of them not very good, so I've
given up.
There's this principle, Sturgeon's Law, right, named after Sturgeon was a science fiction
author who, you know, felt bad because people in the literary establishment looked down
on science fiction as not serious, not serious literature.
And when he asked them why, you know, he would sometimes hear them say, well, 90% of science fiction is crap. And his response was, you finally realized, wait a second, but
actually 90% of everything is crap, right? 90% of everything we all, that happens in academia,
not academia, in the business world, corporate world, government, everything is 90% of it is crap.
And you need to know a field well enough to be able to distinguish the quality 10%
from the crap.
It's inevitable.
That's just in any creative enterprise, you're going to generate a lot of ideas.
Many of them won't work.
Some things won't be done correctly, but there'll be a core of things that are good.
My worry is that as philosophy and physics have diverged over the 20th century, the
fields have gotten less and less capable. the fields have gotten less and less capable.
Each field has gotten less and less capable.
The members, the practitioners of each field
have gotten less and less capable
of identifying the quality 10% in the other discipline.
And they just see more and more
only the 90% that's not good, right?
As these fields have moved apart,
you begin to see kind of a blurry, coarse-grained picture
of the field in which all you can see is the 90% that's not good, right? As these fields have moved apart, you begin to see kind of a blurry, coarse-grained picture of the field
in which all you can see is the 90% that's not so good.
It seems more like 90%, it seems more like 99% or 100%.
And as the fields get farther apart
and they begin to see each other as less good,
they wanna move farther apart.
They tell younger people in their fields,
yeah, this field is not useful to us
and the fields move farther apart and you get this vicious cycle.
I think the only antidote is for there to be individuals who are agential,
who choose to take an active effort now, at this particular moment in time,
taking advantage of the fact that we are at one moment in time,
experiencing one moment in time, to be agents right now, at this particular moment in time, taking advantage of the fact that we are at one moment in time. Yeah, location right now.
To be agents right now at this particular moment to work to bring these fields together.
I mean, bring the fields together by having these kinds of conversations.
And I think it's hard to imagine anyone alive today, frankly, who's doing more of this work
than you are, Kurt. I mean, your whole podcast is a celebration
of exactly this thing.
I mean, so, you know, you have obviously my immense
admiration for the work that you're doing,
but this is incredibly important work to bring
these disciplines closer together.
People who are currently working in the disciplines
and also people not in the disciplines,
either people work in other areas or young people
who haven't yet made up their minds about what they want to do.
They haven't made up their minds about what these fields are like
to get across the message that we need to actually bring them together because it will be mutually beneficial for both of us.
And as the fields come closer together and we begin to see more and more of the quality 10% in the fields,
then hopefully there'll be a virtuous cycle.
We'll want the fields to come even closer together as we see that they're more and more useful to each other. And I feel in some ways like this is a right moment
for that. Emily and I have talked about how both of us are seeing among students lately and also,
I would argue, young faculty, a greater willingness to engage on these questions,
a more openness to these sorts of interactions. And that's something I feel like makes this a
ripe time for that kind of engagement. And we all something I feel like makes this a ripe time
for that kind of engagement.
And we all need to participate in it.
None of us can say, I'm too busy.
It's part of what I think we need to do
to push these fields forward
is to increase that level of engagement.
Well, it wouldn't be anything
without the indexical of you and you as well.
Thank you, Emily. Thank you, Jacob. This has been a complete delight as always. Right, it's fun. Yeah. Thank you so much.
Um, anytime I'm in town or you're in town, we have to always do this.
My pleasure.
I've received several messages, emails, and comments from professors saying that they recommend theories of everything to their students and that's fantastic. If you're a professor or a lecturer and there's a particular
standout episode that your students can benefit from, please do share and as always feel free to
contact me. New update! Started a sub stack. Writings on there are currently about language
and ill-defined concepts as well as some other mathematical details. Much more being written
there. This is content that isn't anywhere else. It's not on theories of everything.
It's not on Patreon. Also, full transcripts will be placed there at some point in the
future.
Several people ask me, hey Kurt, you've spoken to so many people in the fields of theoretical
physics, philosophy, and consciousness. What are your thoughts? While I remain impartial
in interviews, this substack is a way to peer into my present
deliberations on these topics.
Also, thank you to our partner, The Economist.
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