This Week in Startups - E1135: Density CEO Andrew Farah on launching the Open Area sensor, $51M Series C, impact of increasing spatial efficiency, risk-taking & more
Episode Date: November 6, 2020Check out Density: https://density.io FOLLOW Andrew: https://twitter.com/andrewfarah FOLLOW Jason: https://linktr.ee/calacanis ...
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Hey, everybody.
Welcome to another episode of This Week in Startups.
I'm your host, Jason Calcanus.
And today on the program, a founder I met when I was starting my angel investing career,
his name is Andrew Farrah, and he is the CEO and co-founder of a company called Density.
And you can go visit their website at Density.io.
Oh, somewhere around six years ago, while I was hosting the launch festival here in San Francisco,
a festival where I made it free for 10,000 people to come and for 50 companies to pitch on stage,
all free for everybody.
The sponsors flipped the bill along with myself.
And Andrew pitched.
And he had a great idea, using technology.
to know the number of people in a location.
And here we are six years later in the age of the pandemic,
and the idea of knowing where everybody is
and how many people are in a location is critically important.
And Andrew has been one of the great delights in my career
as an angel investor having found him
when he was somewhere in upstate New York.
I always forget if it's Syracuse or Albany,
somewhere upstate New York.
It's all the same to us, Brooklyn Boys.
It's up there, three hours north of us.
And I watched him come to the big leagues here in San Francisco
hire a team with alumni from places like Apple and watched him run the table,
raising money from the greatest venture capitalists in the industry,
from up-and-comers like Mark Suster at Upfront,
who was just on the podcast,
to Connor Perkins and Sian Bannister over at the Founders Fund,
Peter Thiel's famous fund.
So, welcome to the program, Andrew Farras, six years later.
How are you doing, brother?
I'm doing well. Glad to be here.
A long, strange trip it's been.
for you and I,
going back and we'll
throw the video in here,
so people who are watching on the YouTube
or the video podcast,
well, we'll put it in a picture in a picture,
I'll create extra work for the team over here.
But tell us about the original vision
and then how it's evolved to today.
Sure.
When we started, we wanted to know how busy
our favorite coffee shop was.
It was really irritating.
So you were mentioning upstate New York.
if you've ever been to Upstate New York, which, you know,
maybe you Brooklyn boys never get up north.
No, no, we used to summer in the Catskills.
Oh, contrary.
We're up there all the time.
Skiing and Windham, going to Woodstock.
Yes, we would make many trips a year.
Well, should you ever choose to winter in upstate New York,
especially in Syracuse, it can get extremely cold?
And we ran a design consultancy,
and we would do like web application development and product development.
And we did that out of school.
And about five blocks away was our favorite.
coffee shop, a place called Cafe Koubal. And we would always hit a line and we would have walked
five blocks through negative 20 with the wind chill and two and a half feet of snow. And it just seemed
kind of ridiculous that there was an API for the weather, but there wasn't an API for how busy a place was.
And I think we assumed it was going to be a weekend project. I mean, we were pretty sure it was
going to be a weekend project, like 48 hours, a little bit of a hackathon. And then, you know, on Monday
they would be able to ship something, build the software, and figure out how many humans were in line.
And I can say six and a half years later, it was definitely not a weekend project.
It could have been a long weekend.
Six year long weekend.
But that original product, the original mission was there, people counting.
But you've changed the hardware multiple times.
When it started, it was collecting people's phones, pinging the Wi-Fi in the location.
shortly thereafter you went to
breaking, and there was some privacy concerns around that.
Active infrared.
Active infrared where we set it up here in San Francisco at Phil's, I believe, on Vanness,
and when you cross the threshold of the door, you would break the LIDAR, radar.
I guess it was a radar.
Well, active infrared.
Active infrared looks a lot like a Rumba, so you're looking at essentially just doing
distance sensing.
It turns out that like human behavior is extraordinarily hard to make sense of.
And the little active infrared sensors that we were using that were typically for
distance, they just created all sorts of noise.
So lines would form and people would linger and they'd bring bags and stuff.
And you just very quickly realized how inaccurate the sensing systems of the present day
were.
And macadress tracking was just as, it turns out, just as inaccurate.
It was maybe 65, 70% accurate.
Lots of issues with data, data consistency and quality.
And the Mac address, of course, is the address on your phone.
And there were security issues and also privacy issues.
So where did you wind up with all that technology?
How many years did that take?
And what's it like as a founder taking the previous technology
and thousands of hours of work put into it collectively by your team,
perhaps even upwards of 10,000 hours and throwing it all the way to move to a better
platform?
Well, I think you may hear my newborn in the background.
I apologize.
No, not that you apologize for.
You know, I think if you enjoy the people that you work with enough, it doesn't really matter
how hard the problem is.
In fact, how hard the problem is is actually, the harder it is, is sort of a function of
how long you're willing to work on it with those folks.
And we were really fortunate to have a bunch of people that were in it for like a kind of
the long haul. They were interested in figuring out how to work on hard problems over a long
period of time. I can tell you, I actually remember when we first saw what our entry sensor
could do, like the technology of depth sensing above a point of entry, which is the primary
product that we sold leading up until our more recent announcement this fall. And I think
it was maybe a 15-minute conversation. We decided to kill, it was called A-1. We decided to kill the
active infrared system because it was so compelling.
And I think you've seen the depth data, but the depth data was so compelling and it was
so obvious that we'd be able to get accurate count from this type of a technology that
we had to invest in it.
So that is a little box.
Looks like a Mac Mini goes over a doorway.
And when it uses computer vision to look down, you get the depth.
You can see a human being silhouette.
You could see two if they were side by side or if they happened to be really close to each other.
And you'd be able to count in and out of a room and then have, of course, the net number,
whether it's a cafe or a lunchroom at a big campus of a technology company or a conference room.
And that basically started the company off on getting customers who were interested in knowing space utilization.
That was really the tip of the spear.
It wasn't cafe lines.
It was people who had real estate portfolios, wasn't it?
Yeah, that's definitely where sort of our customer base began to kind of grow and evolve.
But before we, you know, maybe to revisit the question of like, why do this for as long as we did.
When we were, I remember very early on, we're talking the first three, four months of this like project with Mac address tracking.
We were in upstate New York.
Our apartment was some of the co-founders.
I have five co-founders.
Oh, wow.
All six of us still work at density.
Six and a half, seven years later.
Incredible.
They very much are gluttons for punishment.
Our apartment was above a bar called the Saltine Warrior.
And I remember it was really late one night.
It was about 11 o'clock or so.
And Brian, who now runs engineering,
was trying to get this MAC address tracking unit to work.
And just for those who are unfamiliar with how MAC address tracking works,
I just want to quickly explain how that system works.
So each of your phone, your smartphone, has what's called a Mac address or a Wi-Fi
address.
and it allows you to do, when you get home and it automatically connects to your home network,
it's using this unique identifier to provide internet to your phone.
Now, because it's unique, you can use that as a proxy for counting people.
So count the number of phones, and you back into the number of folks that are probably in the space.
Anyway, we don't use that today, but back then we were testing out a MAC address tracking unit
with a little Raspberry Pi.
So it's 11 o'clock at night.
Brian's trying to figure out how to solve this problem.
It's taken a while to figure out how to get Mac addresses into his computer onto his terminal.
And he finally gets a thing to work.
And his terminal starts spitting out.
What we're expecting to see is the five or six co-founder's phones sitting around.
And what comes out instead is 115 unique Mac IDs.
And Brian, like, throws his laptop down and he's like, this thing's broken.
I don't know what's going on.
And he sits there quietly, crosses his arm.
arms and doesn't really speak for a minute or two until all of a sudden this smile crawls
across his face.
Yeah.
And he goes, oh, my God, it's the bar.
Yeah.
We had accidentally counted a hundred plus folks five floors down.
And I remember the conversation that followed was probably one of the most consequential
discussions I've ever had short of meeting my wife, which was essentially if you could
figure out, if you can remotely know how many people were in a bar without having to be there,
could you do that for a cafe or a grocery store? And we think the answer is objectively yes.
Of course you could. Yeah. And if you could do it for a bar, a cafe, and a grocery store,
then why not for an entire city? And if New York, if New York only knew how it was used
in real time and historically with extraordinary accuracy, if you could just snap your fingers in New York,
all of a sudden knew how it was used, would it design itself differently?
Of course.
I mean, just think of transportation and store hours, everything.
That's right.
And we think that the answer is objectively yes.
Like, of course there's value in understanding how a city is used.
So then the question is, well, if it's useful for New York, whatever is useful for New York
is probably useful for San Francisco and probably useful for Denver and Tokyo and Paris
and Berlin and every major city in the world.
And so the question really isn't one of technology.
It's one of distribution.
How do you get an intelligent device into every relevant room in the world?
Because if you do, you earn the right to remake it.
Yeah.
And that's an extremely exciting objective.
It just, you know, it was like pretty clear it was going to take 20 years or 15 to 20 years to do that.
And corporate real estate happened to be this excellent mechanism of distributing selling once and distributing thousands of times.
Yeah.
what a great beachhead market, people who have a lot at stake.
When we get back from this quick break,
we'll talk a little bit about the fact that Kleiner Perkins put in $50 million,
or Kleiner Perkins led our $51 million series seat.
And the latest product.
We're going to show the latest product.
So if you're watching on YouTube, you'll see it.
If not, we'll sportscast and explain it to you when we get back on this weekend service.
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Welcome back to this week in startups.
Andrew Farras here.
he is the CEO of density.io.
We were lucky enough to invest.
I think we're,
I guess we were some of the first investors, yeah?
That's right.
Seed investors when you were up in Syracuse.
I guess we were the first major investors.
So I believe you were the second,
the third check-in,
it was Billy Draper.
Oh, great.
Very early on.
And then Ludlow Ventures, Jonathan Trees.
Yes.
And then that's how I think we got introduced to you all.
Ah, so I owe Ludlow.
man, I owe Jonathan again.
We've traded a lot of deals.
I got to sell on Jonathan over at Ludlow a little bottle of something.
So we have, and I'm on the board of the company,
so it's been great to watch this up front
and watch you develop as an executive and build this team.
Without getting into too much detail,
let's just say corporations who have space have embraced the technology.
I'm not sure which companies you've been public about
or on the website at the current moment,
but to the extent you can talk about
who's using it or how they're using it
with this, what I would call the 3.0 product,
I'm not sure what you call it internally,
but the over-door sensor.
Who's using that and what is the result of deploying that bin?
Well, it's probably important to clarify pre-pandemic
or during pandemic.
Sure.
So pre-pandemic, you know, we would work,
We work with Fortune 10, Fortune 50, Fortune 100, and then we have a whole like long tail of folks that are, you know, four or five thousand employees.
So smaller corporations.
If you have physical space of any substantial size, we tend to help solve the problems that you encounter.
Hundreds of thousands of square feet, millions, tens of millions.
This is who really gets benefit from it.
That's correct.
I mean, we even work with one.
We have two customers that have over 400.
million square feet of space individually.
Oh, my Lord.
At this point, you know, the people that we work with are managing over, I mean, billions
of square feet of space.
Amazing.
So these organizations, you have to imagine, imagine you're a company, and we'll talk about
what happened after the pandemic in a second, but imagine you, Jason, run a multi-region,
75 million square foot of space portfolio.
Offices, mixed use, retail, but it's like one company, a brand name company.
Across 75 million square feet of space is an enormous amount of space.
And you're operating offices across, say, a dozen countries.
All of those buildings were filled, designed, leased, and otherwise used without knowing performance.
So there's no data, there's no hard data
on how many times a particular room was used
or how many times a particular open space was used
or how many people actually entered through one particular door
as opposed to another or how many people tailgated into a particular space
meaning they didn't badge in or authenticate in.
There just isn't hard data and the reason there isn't hard data
is because it's extraordinarily hard to figure out
how many humans are inside of a space without invading privacy.
Right. The only two ways I can think of to do it would be to have
the receptionist or somebody who's an auditor walk around with a clipboard, which I understand
from you, that's what some companies were doing to just audit at various points in time to
figure out the utilization of a space. And then the other way is to have creepy cameras everywhere.
That's right. Yeah. So the state of the art, actually, before we got into large corporate offices,
was hiring a consultant from one of the large sort of brand agencies who would come in and
essentially do a space study. They walk around with a clipboard.
board, you'd pay them $750,000.
They'd show up four times a year for five days.
They would observe behavior.
They'd count the number of folks in different rooms and spaces, and then they'd give
you a report.
We are an order of magnitude less expensive and an order of magnitude more valuable,
and we end up essentially being able to scale automated sensing systems that are real-time,
extremely accurate and without invading privacy to make sense of millions and tens of
millions of square feet of space.
And then the pandemic hits.
And what happens then?
Well, so prior to the pandemic, we were being used to essentially identify where you could do lease
avoidance.
So, you know, we were working with one corporation who found across 2,300 seats, so
like neighborhoods of seats, they were using, on average, just 23%, over a hundred,
over a sample of, say, 180 days.
So average utilization was extremely low.
Peak utilization was 43%.
They just weren't even using half of the space they had.
Wow.
So wasteful.
And space is typically what, the second or third line item for a company?
Yeah, so it's typically payroll than your real estate portfolio.
So it's extremely expensive.
Facilities, yeah.
So you've got sort of like the space utilization problem.
It's about a trillion dollars gets spent every year in the U.S. alone on space that has nobody in it.
So counting zero is just as useful as counting one.
Right.
Because you can figure out where there's empty space.
So that's pre-pandemic.
Pandemic hit, and, you know, we were, right before COVID, we were on track to grow
350% quarter over quarter.
Like, we were ramping pretty quickly.
We're talking January, February time frame.
Like, we were going to do rather well quarter over quarter.
Tripling.
It's amazing.
Yeah, pandemic hit.
And, I mean, when,
when you have a black swan, you have no idea what's going to happen. And anyone that says that they do is probably just making stuff up because. And so we weren't really sure what was going to occur, especially with shelter in place and as people sort of returned home. And we ended up growing, instead of 350%, we grew 490, 92% quarter over quarter. And what had happened was the industries that cared about knowing the number of folks in a space exploded.
Right. Essentially, anyone that was open, manufacturing, distribution centers, logistics, meat processing
plants, universities, you sort of name the physical space. And as people who were trying to stay open
and operate, especially if you were in a central business, all of a sudden really cared about the capacity
and the safety of their employees. So just knowing how many people are in a space in a pandemic,
it's absolutely critical because you might have been told you could be at 25% capacity. In fact,
a lot of the restaurants that are opening here in the Bay Area,
they're allowed to have, I think it was 25% or up to 50 people in a space or some number in San Mateo in the peninsula.
And then the city had some other number.
And then as it opens up, then it goes to 50% and so on and so forth.
And so you just had all these new customers.
And the question I have is that does help in a pandemic to know the number of people in a space.
but there's also this more pressing issue, which is the distance between people and how people are spaced out.
And how do you determine that?
Well, so many companies came out and said, hey, we're going to figure out how to tell you whether or not people are too close to one another.
And there's a lot of marketing.
There's a lot of marketing that came out.
I should mention that our response to the pandemic was less how do we figure out social distancing.
And it was more, how do we help you with capacity management?
Sure.
So we built a product called Safe.
It's really cool.
It uses your existing deployed sensors, your entry-based sensors,
and it will keep track of how many people are inside the space relative to the overall capacity.
And then it shows on your televisions or digital displays, it's safe to go in or wait.
Oh, wow.
So if you had some sort of an iPad system or WeWork would have cameras in the lobby,
your API allows them to say, hey, we're at capacity here.
go to another floor, use another conference room, find another bathroom, find another coffee machine.
Yeah, that's exactly right. In fact, safe is now deployed with, I believe, a quarter of our customer base, because it was just a software upgrade. If you had the existing density entry sensors, you could immediately turn on the ability to tell your occupants, your employees and your visitors and so forth, whether or not it was safe to go in and socially distance. Now, that doesn't mean we were measuring the number of feet in between people, but we were able to tell you relative to,
the overall capacity.
And people are pretty good at that.
I mean, people know what their distance is supposed to be.
We've all been trained on that.
So, you know, it's, it really is up to them.
Because it's not like the sensor is going to jump in between two people and say you're
too close.
Like, that's our job as humans.
Yeah.
I mean, self-policing, I think this is also a really important argument.
I think a lot of folks, you know, what would happen if a sensor could figure out the
distance?
You know, do you have an alarm that goes off?
Like, do you have a guard swoop in?
Do you have, like, a net come out?
Like, you know, it seemed like there's a lot of marketing and it hadn't really thought
through what you'd actually do.
I think in the NBA bubble, they gave the journalists wristbands of some type, like Disney ones, that would chirp if they were in proximity to each other.
I'm not sure exactly how accurate they were, but they did have that. Or maybe it was when they got close to players or something.
They weren't allowed to get close to the players.
Yeah.
Yeah, I remember there was this really interesting interview with a reporter that said the chirping was just incessant.
Like there was always chirping.
Yeah, that was the New York Times reporter who lived in the bubble and he reported on.
He did the Daily, like the New York Times Daily podcast.
It was really interesting, yeah.
He said that we got on the bus and we just chirp like mad because there's no way on the bus to social distance.
Yeah, exactly.
And so I think, you know, I think we people are either going to socially distance or they're not.
Right.
And the question is like, can you provide them data, better data to help keep them safe and they can self-police?
And so an example of this was we got picked up by a, I can't mention who, but we got
got one of the customers that we expanded with is someone that does very large scale,
very fast logistics and distribution.
Got it.
And we got put into their warehouses.
And the reason we got put into their warehouses was because inside their break rooms
and other sort of shared spaces, they had an average of 10.5 or 10.4 breaches of safety
policy every day, meaning too many people relative to capacity inside of these rooms.
They installed density and 15 days later, at a big display that would show it's safe to go in or it's, you know, weight, the policy breaches dropped overnight to 1.3 percent or 1.3 times per day. It was just this dramatic impact. And all it was was providing data back to the occupants as opposed to trying to police it yourself. Yeah, if you measure it, you can manage it. And there's always going to be one jokester who's like, ah, it's filled up. I'm just getting a quick cup of coffee and they're going to go rogue and just run it.
and sound the alarm off or make the screen flash red.
When we get back from this quick break,
we're going to see the new version.
What is it new version called?
Open area.
Open area.
What I will call the 4.0.
I think this is your fourth swing at bat.
This is your fourth iteration.
Am I correct?
If I count them.
Yeah.
I think that's fair.
The light, not the LiDAR, the active infrared.
Active infrared.
And then we had depth.
And now we have this one.
And now we have, yeah, that's right.
And the code word for this or the product name is?
So there's, there were two.
There's a stupid one, which I loved named Panda.
And then there was an actual code name internally, which I'll explain when we get back,
which is Obi-1.
Obi-Wan.
Okay, here we go when we get back on this week in startups.
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Welcome back to this week in startups. Obi-Wan has taught you well. Here we go.
We're going to see the Obi-Wan.
Let's just get right to it.
Enough teasing.
Congratulations on the business, by the way.
Congratulations on all the success.
And this to me is the mind-blowing moment for everybody.
You know, as an angel investor, when you get to see a company really hit its stride,
fundraising, customer delight, great team members.
Man, there is no greater joy professionally as an investor.
And here is one of those great moments.
So, Obi-Wan us away.
All right.
So let me pull this out.
Here we go.
This is super impressive by the way.
I've seen it already, obviously.
But for those of you not watching,
we're introducing open area,
Obi-Wan.
So I'll explain the Obi-1 reason.
It actually is not a Star Wars reference,
although it's for me.
Never hurts to have a Star Wars reference.
So we introduced this open area sensor that's airily deployed.
It's a radar-based system.
And I thought that it'd be kind of cool
to actually just show you a live demo
where we can show actual utilization of space in real time
without having to be able to do just entry count,
but actual open area measurement.
And so what we're seeing looks like the nest smoke detector,
like the nest aware.
It's just a little square box, beautifully designed,
looks like an apple product, stuck on the ceiling.
It's stuck on the ceiling, yeah.
And once it's mounted on the ceiling,
you can start to understand sort of open space.
So let me actually jump into a,
I'll show you what it sees.
So a lot of times people talk about like the output,
but I think if you're ever deploying any type of system,
it's like critically important that you actually ask
what is this thing see because most systems are cameras.
So I want to show you what this actually looks like.
John, this is John up here.
It's a person sitting on a stool
at a high top desk with his laptop open and office space.
That's right.
And you can see beneath the ground truth camera
this sort of dark three-dimensional view of dots.
It looks like Tron, basically.
It looks like a grid from Tron,
or when you were fighting on the Millennium Falcon shooting tie fighters,
it looks like the grid in which you would try to align the tie fighter into 3D space.
And much and much and much like the,
much like Tron, this is all interactive.
Right.
So I'm actually clicking and moving around.
Dragging in 3D space and we see a person has walked up to the other person and they are each represented by dots that are flicking in and out of space.
And it knows those are humans as opposed to plants or monitors and computers.
How?
So the cool thing with radar is that it's not only anonymous.
and it's not only extremely accurate because of the sheer number of measurements that you get,
you can actually see there are a lot of measurements of what are actually movement.
So as John moves through this scene, you're able to pick up on like very small movement,
and that very small movement actually creates the outline of his body.
You see this sort of seated motion?
Yes.
Or perspective.
And then this separate color, there's two colors of dots.
indicate that there are multiple people inside the scene.
It's just never been possible before,
and it's never been possible
because a lot of this technology was,
it just wasn't available at this type of scale.
Usually you see this in self-driving.
So that's what the device sees.
Let me show you what that means for an end customer.
So here we have an overhead draft-like CAD drawing
of the office space,
which shows all the different offices, conference rooms,
like you would see somebody unravel in a blueprint.
That's right. This is a floor plan. It is a blueprint. And customers can upload a floor plan to understand. So as people return to offices and as people start to think about how people are using buildings and what portions of buildings they actually need, it's really hard to figure out whether or not people are too close together, you know, if they're seated too close together or whether or not the number of folks inside of a conference room is exceeding the capacity. And also just the overall flow and heat map of,
people as they move through. So, we designed a real-time floor plan. And what you're looking
at is the, is a circle with a bunch of gray grids. This gray grid is represented representative
of what the sensor is capable of measuring. The higher it's installed, the larger its field
of view, which I'm going to show you in just a second. Like the aperture of a camera.
It's if it's low, it's got a narrow aperture. If it's high, it's got a wide aperture, which
is how satellites work, right? The higher the satellite
the more I can cover, but the more time it takes in terms of distance from the Earth to the
satellite.
Yeah, that's exactly right.
Yeah.
So what's cool is all of this is editable, meaning you can essentially place a device
onto your floor plan.
And those blue dots, there are these little blue flickering dots that you'll see.
Yeah.
That's me.
So I'm actually showing you live and you can see me where to moving.
I've installed the device above my head.
and what's really cool
is I can create digital spaces.
Got it. So you can
pick little zones that if somebody were to go into this zone,
you would know and it could trigger something.
So if somebody goes into this area,
this area is a sofa,
this area is a cubby.
You know, if you have these open floor plans,
sometimes you got like a little beanbag area
or a video game area, whatever.
So you might want to know,
that two people are on those beanbags specifically.
That's right.
And so if I move backwards, I'm sitting on a couch right now.
Yep.
Kind of tethered to my laptop.
But you can actually see that we fill up that particular digital asset.
And if I decide to move to a chair, it should light up.
I can't really see my screen.
Yeah, it is.
We basically watch the dots walk over and sit in the chair.
Yeah.
No, this may be, this may seem silly or straightforward, but the reality is this is just never been
possible before.
and the cool thing is that if we zoom out,
you can actually see the zebra and donkey here.
These are just procedurally generated.
That's the amount of time that each of these spaces were used.
So if I go back to the couch, you'll actually see...
The zebra count went up a couple of seconds.
That's madness.
So literally, you now have gotten to the point where you've built a tool
where anybody, the receptionist, somebody who works in facetion,
can map the space themselves and then report back how many seconds this phone booth was used.
That's exactly right.
And you could obviously do that.
You could say what percentage of the time was this phone booth used during the day?
And then you could also say how many unique people were in there, I'm assuming, or no?
Would you know they're unique?
I guess you don't have anybody tagged.
Well, that's where this starts to get really interesting when you start to think about coverage.
So if I add another sensor, we're going to go find some more folks.
Got it.
So you can see that there's, these are, this is actual actual data, but we're loading it into
this system.
There's actually not, like, I'm in my apartment.
So this is not a real floor plan from where I'm sitting, but should be emblematic of
what happened.
So I can just sort of populate as many sensors.
And this is actually a particular install is a 12 foot as opposed to 10 foot.
Right.
And you see the circle, the radius of the sensor grows with.
with the height of the ceiling.
So you can really start to know,
you know,
in a open floor plan with,
you know,
hotel-style seating or a conference room,
which seats were being used in the conference room.
You could actually figure that out.
Yes.
And you just hit the nail in the head.
So let's say I want to understand this IDF closet.
You can see this green border.
This is like now a room.
Now,
if I were to say,
I actually want to measure the conference room over here.
You can see how that green border changes to a filled space.
The magic of this is that this, because this is all software,
I know that this room is occupied and we can create spaces inside spaces.
Oh, here we go.
So here you go.
You're saying how many people are at the table,
how many people are at the couch in the back of the room.
Yes.
Yeah, yeah, that makes it.
That's interesting.
And I'm assuming you could set off alarm.
So if somebody goes into that closet, if that's a special industrial closet,
you want to know if somebody went into that closet.
If that's the elevator closet, you know, like there's always that elevator closet that
you're not supposed to go into or if that's like the fire stairwell.
Now you know somebody's in the stairwell.
So this now is a security and an audit log of where people were and if they should have
been in those rooms.
That's exactly right.
In fact, the system natively supports alerting based on capacity.
So if you wanted to say, I don't want anyone to show up here or if you want
wanted to say, hey, I'm not okay with more than two people in this particular room.
We can push out notifications in real time to security or safety staff or whatever else it might be.
But the reality is that most of this, when you're talking 75 million square feet, 150 million square feet of space,
you know, 415 million square feet of space.
Like, you're not going to be looking at a live view.
You're going to take all this and it's going to get pulled into analytics so that you can understand the relative safety across a really large portfolio.
Amazing.
So, you know, if you were a large tech company with a campus or you were a library at a great university or dormitories, you could put this into dorm rooms where people are sleeping and having personal space getting changed, but it's not a camera.
So you could actually put this in every dorm room in a college and know there are 20 people in a dorm room when the capacity of that really should be no more than four.
And so that is a, I mean, I know it's, I don't want to get too explicit here.
But you, this is a situation that does occur where you would literally have security guards and
TAs or whatever they call those people who run in the, in the college dorms to make sure that
there isn't some crazy party for safety reasons.
That's, that's right.
Yeah.
I don't know if stopping parties will necessarily be our core customer base, but I think it's,
It's going to be a narque, yes.
But what you're describing is the cool and interesting creativity of being able to understand
how space is used.
Once you have the baseline fundamental platform for understanding how space is used, you can do
all sorts of cool stuff.
So, for instance, this system is designed unlike a camera to be able to do contiguous
measurement, meaning if, for those who can't see it, this grid actually becomes seamless
between fields of view.
Wow.
So it overlaps a bit in these circles.
And then now you've just seen the whole thing lighting up.
That's right.
When we get back on this break, people have talked about doing this with cameras.
Cameras are ubiquitous.
They're cheap.
I want to know the argument and what you hear from your customers about cameras in workspaces
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Welcome back to this week and startup. Andrew Farrah from Density.io is here.
Not the company's density, but you can go visit at Density I.O.
And see these incredible Obi-Wan, incredible Obi-Wan.
I've told that story.
Wow.
So you talked to, oh, you didn't tell the Obi-Wan story, but I also want to know about, like, when you talk to your customers,
it's got to be somebody in every IT department or facilities, departments.
Like, why don't we just throw up some drop cams?
And, you know, we already have these, like, security cameras in the hallway.
So why don't we just put them everywhere and then we'll count on there and there's got to be some computer vision software.
What is the reality of that?
Are people doing that now, you know, just counting people with computer vision on cameras?
Yeah.
Does that work?
Yeah.
So the way the cameras count people is by looking for changes in color.
It's a, it depends on how sophisticated the camera is.
Also depends on how sophisticated the software company is.
But the way that most of these systems work is it's looking for, you know, changes in,
pixel color as someone moves, contiguous color changes.
And that allows someone to draw a box around or do computer vision to detect, do object
recognition as like this black shirt moves past a brown floor.
Now, when you don't have high enough contrast between those two colors, you end up with
data quality issues.
In fact, there's a technology called stereoscopic vision, which is how our eyes work.
So two cameras that are sort of set next to one another.
and as someone walks beneath, you can estimate depth.
You don't get actual depth.
You sort of see as a person moves from one field of view to the next.
The problem is that if you stop moving, you don't get a depth reading because they're just flat images.
So all cameras are two-dimensional.
Most cameras are two-dimensional.
So you've got an X and a Y, which is why color matters so much.
So you have all these issues, and then you deploy them and you get pushed back from people
who they're observing.
And so my opinion on cameras is that they're not, I don't think cameras are inherently bad.
I just think that there are places where there's a reasonable expectation of privacy.
And when you're in a place where there's a reasonable expectation of privacy,
there ought to be a system that is not continuously surveilling me.
And that's why we care about anonymity.
We also think that the market for anonymous products is substantially larger than,
There's essentially like blind spots to buildings that cameras can't go into.
Yeah.
Because as soon as you try to scale them, you run into privacy issues.
All right.
Here's an edge case.
Bathrooms.
Are people going to deploy this in a bathroom to know the capacity of a bathroom?
That's creepy.
Seems unnecessary.
But I bet you there's a group of people in the facilities department who would really like to know how utilize the bathrooms are.
So we actually have a lot of deployments of our entry sensor outside bathrooms.
So the in and out counting.
And the reason for that is, so in the U.S., there's 11 billion, there's 10.9 billion square feet of leased or owned occupied office space, just office space.
41% of it is vacant but paid for.
And I mean like people show up to the floor but don't actually use portions of the space kind of vacant.
Not vacant as in there isn't an occupant.
That 41% gets cleaned, sometimes multiple times a day, including bathrooms,
and other spaces. And so a lot of the industry is starting to think about usage-based cleaning,
usage-based servicing. Well, that's a no-brainer. If this bathroom, I mean, we've all had this
experience in life where maybe the bathroom on floor nine, the legal department, which has so
much huge offices and everybody's office got a conference room, and their bathrooms are never used.
And then floor aid is like, whatever, that's the typing pool back in the day. And it's packed with
people and that bathroom is overused. So people go find the less used bathroom. But for the people who have
to clean the bathrooms or clean the offices, it would be great to know if somebody's been in
that office in the last five days.
If they haven't, why clean it?
It's like a hotel room being turned over for no reason.
It's complete waste.
These examples that you're referring to, like these are the types of examples that sound
almost like boring.
But the reality is like we have built, all buildings have been built without knowing how
they get used for millennia.
Like we've been building buildings based on an architect's best guess of two.
250 square feet per head or 150 square feet per head or whatever sort of arbitrary thing that worked
with a previous client since the dawn of buildings. And as long as humans continue to build buildings,
continue to use space in any material capacity, there is no future in which humans don't eventually
figure out how all of this space is used. It's just a question of whether or not it's being done
by a, you know, a lot of different technologies or by a single platform.
So this would allow the cleaning crew or just to use like the co-working space example
in a we work where you have, you know, whatever, a 20 floor or a 12 floor we work with 12
kitchens. You could just look at which kitchen has had the most number of people in it and the
least number of visits, the longest time since a visit from the cleaning crew or the restocking crew.
And boom, now they're going to be one.
What, 30, 40% of efficient?
I mean, that is just going to unlock and save so much money.
Yeah.
I mean, the efficiencies gained from just simply understanding what doesn't get used
so that you can redeploy assets is really, I mean, you see it immediately.
Yeah.
I also wanted to mention, like, there are really two really important user groups.
There's the people that manage the space, which we've been talking a lot about.
But then there's the occupants.
And the occupants want to know.
whether or not a room is available. They want to know whether or not, you know, a desk is available.
They want to know whether or not the coffee shop has a line, which is literally the founding problem
for us. I mean, most of this is really just an exercise in laziness. We've just been trying
to solve our own lazy problem for the last seven years, and I think we're finally circling back
to it. Well, lazy is also efficient. So when you think about it, you know, what is the most
efficient way to tell people when to go to lunch? And I won't say which company is, but I know
that you have a high-profile company's cafeteria or cafeteria is.
And literally, their first deployment, I believe, if I remember correctly, because it was a while
ago, was just let's figure out when to tell people to go to the, and how long the line's going
to be, because we have so many employees that if 100 employees wait 20 or 30 or 40 minutes,
God forbid, on a line, that's costing us real money.
We'd rather they wait till 115 and wait in a 5 minute queue than a 30 minute queue, correct?
Yeah, yeah. There's also this very interesting. So there's always the efficiency question. Like,
how are we making this more efficient? How are we making people more productive? But there's actually a very
surprising other side to this, which is not just cost savings, but serendipity. So most modern
technology companies have designed their offices based on collisions. Collisions. Exactly.
It was a concept that was actually, I think, brought about.
during the Bell Labs days.
And Apple's headquarters does the same thing.
They essentially position communal areas like cafeterias, bathrooms, and other things
far enough away from one another so that you have to collide with folks that are not
on your direct team.
And so cafeterias are actually not just designed to feed people.
They're designed to cross-pollinate ideas.
Wow.
There's a great book called How Innovation Works and a companion.
that's called Where Good Ideas Come From by Stephen Johnson.
Both of those books talk a lot about this sort of cross-pollination, serendipitous idea generation.
And so I would say when, at least as it pertains to measurement, it's not just about
like how quickly can we get people fed and back to work.
It's also like, are we actually, like, are there dead zones that we can re- like load balance
to get more folks in so that there's higher levels of creativity?
Now, that's a very abstract concept, but without measurement, you can't manage.
you know what I mean?
Yeah.
Like, just get a baseline at the very least.
What does it cost for companies to deploy this?
Like per sensor, per square feet.
And then how do they make that justification internally when the sort of rubber hits
the road?
Do people want to use this forever?
Or are they using it to figure out, hey, how do I get rid of half my space or optimize
my space and then rip it all out?
How are people thinking about this today in 2020?
Yeah.
So our pricing is public.
It's all on the site.
The newest sensor is it's $199 per device per year for access to the data.
And there's a one-time fee for the device itself is $399.
It's certainly cheap.
Yeah, the intent is to provide a system that can be used ubiquitously for these customers.
And I think that our intent is to make it financially irresponsible not to deploy some type of measurement system.
Even if that's not us, we want to encourage folks, you know, if you're a manufacturing line,
if you're a university, I mean, we onboarded something like 20 universities over the summer,
largely as they were returning to students who were returning to university,
specifically around the safe product.
And so whether you're deploying entry or you're deploying open area,
we just think that the world is, the pandemic has accelerated the timeline of modern infrastructure.
So most of the sales that we saw after the pandemic hit,
were multi-year deals. Many of them were multi-year deals, five-year terms. The pandemic will be over
in five years, but the pandemic has accelerated sort of these questions about how much space am I actually
using. And I think that not only is that really exciting for, it's great for us, but more importantly,
it's really interesting at a, at sort of a global footprint level. So we had a customer who
deployed a, it was $25,000 worth of sensors into their offices.
Nothing.
Nothing.
They were about, this is a very big company, their Fortune 100, I think.
And really small sort of deployment, they were looking at a lease that they were going to
open adjacent to their office that they had deployed these sensors in.
And it was a million dollars a year on a three-year term.
something like a week or two before they signed the lease, this three-year, you know, $3 million
lease, they noticed that their utilization was 37% in their existing office.
So Global Head of Real Estate goes up to the COO and says, hey, you know, we've got a ton of space.
All these folks that were about to hire, we could just put them in the office we already have.
You should walk.
So they walk from the deal and I get a phone call.
Andrew, Andrew, you saved us $3 million on a 25,000.
save them 99%.
And we want to do a national rollout and then we want to do a global rollout.
It's become abundantly clear how blind we are to how space is used.
And the thing that I loved about that wasn't necessarily the account growth, which is awesome.
Like I love that the account expanded.
The thing that's remarkable about that is if you follow it to its logical conclusion,
that customer didn't take that lease, which meant that lease remained on the market for somebody
else to take.
Yes.
Which means eventually down the line.
a building didn't get built.
Yes.
And if you can do that at, you know, a thousand X the scale,
we're talking about actually having an impact on...
The environment.
Yeah, like concrete and carbon emissions and climate.
So it's really cool.
You affect climate.
And then also if you just think about utilization and space,
maybe we have too much corporate space.
And in a city like San Francisco,
maybe some will be redeployed for people to have apartments
and residential.
Or maybe people will get to have
a lower price for residential,
which is more efficiency,
which means they can,
you know,
people can invest in themselves
a career,
their families,
etc.
Or more people can live
closer to a city.
And this is also virtuous.
The efficiency will have
second and third order effects
that we can't even imagine.
You know,
the first order effect of,
let's not get this lease,
creates a second order effect
that we don't need to build
as many buildings.
The third order effect might be,
maybe we need to
transition some of these buildings to residential.
And then all of a sudden, the $3,800 apartment in San Francisco goes down to $2,000.
Totally.
When the pandemic hit, we watched, we work with a number of airlines and hospitality.
And we watched foot traffic drop 87% week over week nationally.
We're in something like 40 airports or something like that across the U.S.
So like a lounge type situation might come to mind knowing the utilization of the business class lounge
or outside of a gate.
You know, do people deploy this at gates?
Most of our deployments are inside, like, airline lounges where they have more control.
I think that the sort of salient point was that we got a call from the New York Times,
and they were just like, hey, we're looking for data on the impact of the pandemic across
different industries.
And so we kind of cobbled together a bunch of data and were able to provide them the relative
impacts on foot traffic.
And I think that the thing that's most excited.
about that is it goes back to the founding principle of the business. The night that we could count
the number of people that were in a bar without having to be there and sort of this logical
conclusion of what happens at a city scale or at a eastern seaboard scale or a global scale,
like the surface of the earth is unmeasured. And if you could, the built surface of the earth is
unmeasure. And if you could figure out how to measure all relevant human space. So not just
corporate office, but all relevant human space in a way that is non-invasive, it's real time,
that's extremely accurate. All the things that you just
suggest it start to become possible. And that is, you know, that's, that's a, that's a thing that's a
pursuit that's worth going after. You know, it's a, it's a thing worth, you know, really trying to
strive for. Did these exist on buses and subway cars yet? Like, do they have, are there other
companies that provide the utilization or a number of people on a bus or a subway, or do they do
that with clipboards today, too, in cameras? Yeah. So the, um, uh, buses are a very interesting one.
There are, uh, depending on where you, you operate buses. So we've,
heard from a lot of bus companies, strangely enough.
And depending on where you operate the line, there are state laws, state and federal laws around
how often you clean buses.
Local ordinances that say after a certain number of uses, you have to clean the space.
Well, the thing is, much like the ticketing system shows how many people entered the bus.
It doesn't show how long that bus was used because people leave and you don't like, you know,
click a ticket on the way out.
So this concept of like assets, the use of an asset is something that has been talked about a lot.
But short of deploying a camera into every space that a human's in, which you see in China,
you know, like to disastrous results on a privacy basis, I might add.
Yeah.
I mean, and you look at like the Uyghurs, what's happening with the Uyghurs.
Yeah, it's crazy.
I mean, they're able to identify anybody.
And they're going to be able to do things that are very similar to what we saw in what's the
famous sci-fi movie with Tom Cruise, minority report.
Minority reports.
I mean, you're like, this person is walking around a car.
They look suspicious.
You know, let's go arrest them.
Yeah.
You know, like, that could be virtuous if somebody was lingering around a door to mug somebody,
but it could also, false positives are pretty bad in that situation.
Yeah, false positives are really bad.
In fact, and it'll eventually.
What were you to say with the Uighurs?
Are they identifying the Uighurs or were they using this camera to find out who went into
certain churches or something?
Yeah, so they're essentially doing racial profiling using,
a national surveillance structure, a national surveillance infrastructure.
And like, that is the China or otherwise, like, that is the natural consequence of technology
that is overly invasive.
Depending on whether or not there's a distinction, a very important distinction between
anonymized and anonymous at source.
And when you are anonymized, it means that if you're compromised, then someone gets
access to something that might be of real value.
And the only deterrent is whether or not you can stop them from compromising you.
Anonymous at source preserves the ability to protect the individual that you're observing,
even if you are compromised by a bad actor.
And so if you snap your fingers and knew how every space was used in every major city across
the U.S., but the system that was used to do that happened to be mass surveillance,
cameras in every relevant human space, eventually you will see abuse.
Of course.
Any system that can be hacked or abused will be hacked and abused.
So if the source material is anonymized, as you're saying, at source, there is no identifying material here.
I mean, the most you could do is say, well, maybe we can track this person from their office to leaving the office because they're the only person who has the key to the office.
I mean, there might be some light edge cases.
But yeah, you're right.
I mean, in deploying this everywhere, you really do have to think in a much bigger.
way about how this data is going to be used? What about in the streets and in open spaces that
don't have ceilings? How do you think about that? Can you put this on a lamppost? Could you put it
on a bus shelter? Can you put it sideways against a wall? How does that work? Yeah. So I don't want to
scoop myself. Oh. So I can't speak to sort of like some of the, it's a couple of things that we
like thinking about. The cool thing about radar systems, so the radar system with open areas,
is that it's completely unaffected by light or any type of ambient light.
Ah.
And so you really don't run into issues with like optics like you would with an optical system
or even illumination.
Like we use lasers in our entry sensor,
but we don't have to use an optical or illumination package in our radar sensor for open area.
There is no reason why you couldn't put a radar system on a lamp or on a wall.
It's just that this particular implementation is,
you know, aerial.
Yeah.
I think outside is actually a rather good area for cameras.
Better lighting conditions.
You know, there's more reason to have cameras, whether it's for security purposes
or it's for public good or it's cameras for cars.
Yeah, I kind of like cameras on city streets.
Like the expectation of privacy, at least in a democracy, and at least if there is some
data retention and access that is mitigated by, let's say, a judge, you know, and a subpoena,
or maybe it's only saved for 30 days. We're going to keep this stuff for 30 years.
This would be quite, I mean, and we have it in London. We have a pretty good test case of a
democracy with it, and I think crime went down massively when London deployed their CCTV systems.
Yeah, yeah. I think, like, I don't know that outside, I really like built structures,
is a sort of a little bit of a confining concept, at least for now, for like current product roadmap.
But I just think that there's so much space.
I mean, we're talking.
I think it might be the most valuable asset in the world whose performance we don't measure.
Yeah, it's pretty amazing.
What is the secret to running a great company, raising money, getting product market fit,
all the lessons you've learned as an entrepreneur now.
If you could go back in time six years ago when you were presenting on that stage at launch festival,
and just whisper into, you know, younger Andrew's ears and say, hey, here's two or three things you need to keep in mind that are going to be important for you over this next six years. What would they be?
You take a minute there because, yeah.
Yeah. First off, I think founders tend to get lionized a bit more than the teams that are at companies.
I work with a team whose voluntary retention at density is 93% since our founding.
We have 62 people working on this particular problem.
And the average tenure is, you know, it's like over three years.
So I might be the person up on stage, but there are folks who have been working on this
as long as I've been working on this and are still trying to solve the problems for customers
today.
So number one is like trying to create an environment that facilitates retention.
retention. I think retention is incredibly important, at least for the right folks.
Why is it so important? Unpack it for a second.
What happens when people stay for the third and fourth and fifth year?
Well, you no longer are mandating culture. So imagine, you know, a startup that has 50% voluntary retention.
Well, that means every two years, the culture has completely changed because cultural, culture is additive.
culture is not fixed, culture is not values.
And so a lot of people talk about like, oh, we need culture fit, for instance.
And that's a misnomer.
Like you want values fit and you want cultural addition.
Because every net new person has some type of impact on what you do on a day-to-day basis
and how you talk about the product, how you think about customers.
And those things are cultural.
If you've got high churn, it's great that you're getting new people in.
And maybe that's what's important.
But I would rather pair high retention with fast to fire when it's not working out than low retention and just like, you know, you're just constantly hiring really great people because it's very hard to create a durable business, in my opinion.
I agree.
You know, the other thing is I remember, I think it was the founder of Big Screen VR.
he said,
your job as a founder
is to survive long enough for the market to need you.
And so if I were to say,
I guess if I were to counsel our early team,
it would be don't die.
Stay in the game.
I mean, if you look at the average lifespan
of like a lot of startups,
it's a lot shorter.
18 months, 30 months, yeah.
There's so much richness
to the experiences that happen at year three
in year four and year five
and when it's hard,
like even when it's hard
and especially when it's hard.
I feel like that's when you learn the most.
You get past those first couple of years
and now you got something.
And now you've really got to figure out
how to scale it and how to build that team
and how to plug in each of those little,
each department has to become super high functioning
for the whole thing to work.
In the first couple of years when you're stumbling around
trying to figure out product market fit
and what exactly is the product.
You're not really developing that high throughput organization yet, right?
Yeah.
There's also like a total hack to just like reading incessantly
about previous technology companies and other companies,
but especially technology companies.
You know, if you read like hard drive,
which is by, which was recommended to me by Ilya Fushman over at Kleiner,
which is about Bill Gates in the early years of Microsoft,
or you read, you know, Creativity, Inc. about Pixar, which is a Dick Costello special.
Like, he loves that book.
Or you watch.
I had the author on this pod.
Yeah, I forgot the episode numbers.
Ed Catwell?
Yeah, Catwell came out for a two-part series.
It's great.
It was one of my, I read the book.
I fell in love with it so much that I, it took Jackie, the original, one of the original
producers here, I don't know, two years to get him on the program.
And we just kept trying and trying.
and then finally he gave in in episode 665 and 666, 666, for those of you thinking, about Creativity Inc.
And I think it's right behind me right here.
Either I'm pointing at it, no, right there.
That's it right there.
That's Creativity, Inc.
Such a great book about the formative viewers of Pixar.
And even before that, when he was trying to figure out just how to make a movie with computers.
I think, you know, I mean, even if you're, like, I remember episodes 20 of This Week in Startups.
Like, I remember, do you remember talking to a bunch of kids who were at university?
It was a digital, you were dialing in, you were talking to a bunch of students.
Oh, the samurai episode.
The samurai episode.
We're told them to be samurai or rice pickers.
Yes, yes.
And you said, don't be a rice picker, be a samurai.
And then you got emotional talking about the sale of Weblogs Inc.
Yeah.
And you were refreshing, you were just refreshing.
Bank account, bank account.
Yeah.
And it was like, and after doing it, you know, you just sort of had this sense of like all
those times you were told no.
Yes.
That this was sort of validation for having gotten through that.
Look, I just, there's startups.
I don't actually know how it's legal that, I don't know how startups are legal because
you're essentially being given control over like the structure,
communication methods,
cultural imperatives,
values, compensation,
healthcare, downtime.
You're given a lot of influence
on people's lives, especially in the US.
Yeah.
And if done right,
I think the good times
are things that you just don't even realize
you're in until after they're over.
And they're often the hardest moments.
Like, they're often the things when you like solve the thing
that was really,
really difficult.
It's,
on that same theme,
when people cheat at the American entrepreneurial system,
I'm always flummox because I'm like,
the system is already so pro-founder.
It is so aligned for you to start something
where it costs so little to start a company today.
And even when it costs a lot of money,
it's still, you know,
in other countries you have to get a business license
and pay somebody off, you know,
and maybe there's some union or some governor or prefect
that you got to give money to.
And here in the United States,
you can fold up shop
and start again tomorrow, work on the same idea, try again, fail, try again the next time.
And we've all gotten accustomed to, you know what, it's employment at well.
You can leave, I can leave, the whole thing could shut down, it could blow up.
Doesn't matter.
We all just keep trying.
And this is why American exceptionalism has driven the world for so long.
Sure, capitalism can have bad moments where people get laid off and it's done in a horrible
way, or people cheat and the fire festival and we work and other excruciatingly painful examples.
there are no of outright fraud.
But when it, overall, it works.
Overall, it works so wonderfully to allow a platform to allow people to innovate and to try amazing, important projects and missions like yours.
There's this sapiens.
In sapiens, there's this great description about, like, what are the three most important things that humans have ever invented?
And the first was language, I think.
I may be misremembering, but as language shared myth.
So the ability to tell stories and like organize.
Religion is a good example of this, but essentially just organize.
And I think startups are a good example of this, organizing around a mission.
The story does matter, yeah.
Yeah.
And then the third was the limited liability company.
And it was because people who would make wheels for carriages were personally
liable for any damages that happened
if a family got hurt or if it broke.
And as soon as you disentangled
the individual from the liability of the corporation
or the liability of the product,
all of a sudden, GDP just went
globally. It was because
everyone took more risk.
Yeah. And then do you want to live in a society
that takes those risks? And those are
the societies that may cure cancer.
And now, you do have to have an FDA.
You do have to have some
you know, rules of engagement so that people don't fly off the rails and flip the car, as it were.
And we see that in China where, you know, they adopted capitalism, but maybe the rules aren't
perfect and people can put their thumb on the scale or they put plaster into a baby formula
to try to make it last longer, do all kinds of crazy stuff. By the way, that stuff happened here.
And we just built some infrastructure around, you know what, let's have some food safety rules.
Let's have some entrepreneurial rules.
Let's have some rules around employment.
You know, the game of capitalism doesn't mean no rules apply.
They should be rules, right?
And then people can break rules and, you know, Theranos or Bernie Madoff,
whoever breaks the rules can go to jail, right?
Yeah.
But you don't need, I mean, it's so ridiculous that people, I mean,
I'm always just absolutely aghast when I watch people cheat or do something that's,
you know, it's like, it's everybody is such a winner in this game.
Even if you fail, you've learned so much
and the limited liability corporation to your point,
it's not like you're going to be destitute
for the rest of your life. There's no risk of ruin here.
You can just keep going. Try again.
Yeah. I will say, like, it is, you know,
I'm a white man
who lives in San Francisco
who's had the privilege to be able to raise
a lot of venture capital
to work on something that I care about personally
over the last six, seven years.
the stuff I didn't have to go through or deal with
the barriers that I didn't have to overcome.
I think the barriers that, you know,
we're talking about here kind of pale in comparison to those that
just like by virtue of who they were,
you know, the color of their skin or their sex.
Gender, yeah.
Yeah.
And so I...
Well, where you're from?
I mean, just there was a big bias against people from New York.
The fact that you were from New York,
I don't know what college you went to,
but I don't remember it being Harvard or...
MIT.
No, I went to Syracuse University, both undergrad and grad.
The idea here is like, maybe you weren't, you know, in a previous area, you would have
been considered like odd person out, right?
Even, even as a white male, right?
Yeah.
And so we, we're seeing this kind of change.
I thought actually the dunking on Quibi was instructive yesterday where somebody came up
with a very clever tweet that was total funding for a female founders, 1.7 billion, total
funding for Quibi.
a total founding for female founders was like $2 billion.
Total funding for Quibi 1.75.
That's right.
By the way, pause for a second.
Two different pools of capital.
That capital did not come from venture capital.
That came from all media companies.
There's not one venture capital.
It's on it.
But even if that is true, the co-founder and CEO is Meg Whitman.
So it actually be the total would be 3.75 million,
of which one woman got 1.75 billion.
So if you want to be cynical about it,
But we've seen a massive change.
I mean, it's just watching the last 10 years as an angel investor myself, I guess I'm my 11th now.
I mean, just the number of founders getting funded who are not white males is just extraordinary.
I mean, I watch it every single accelerator class, you know, went from being like the number of applicants.
The pool has just blossomed in terms of diversity.
There's an organization called the National Center for Women and Information Technology or NC Witt that does like,
basic research out of, I think it's
CU Boulder out of, out of Colorado
on
unconscious bias and
cultural structures and how to like
deconstruct things with corporations.
And there was a story that the founder
who used to work at Bell Labs,
her name's Lucy, she's amazing,
used to talk about.
And the only reason I know any of this is because of my amazing
wife, Dory, who worked at NCWID
and now works at Apple.
But one of the things that she used to say was, you know, when the airbag was invented,
they finally sort of got it through whatever regulatory body they were going to get it through
back in the 40s or 50s, started to enter into mainstream cars.
And very shortly after its introduction, women and children in passenger seats started dying.
and it turns out that the
I have to find the source material
but it turns out that the dummy that they used,
the crash dummy that they used,
had the build and structure of the men
who invented the airbag.
Yeah, complete blind spot.
It's not that these like scientists and engineers
were like trying to hurt or not consider folks.
Yeah.
It's that they just didn't have the life experience
and maybe couldn't make the logical leap
that their stature wasn't the only one they had to protect against,
which is kind of on them.
But I just, this is the value of diverse teams.
Like, people aren't diverse, teams are diverse.
You know, groups are diverse.
And so the question is, like,
if you have the ability to build a diverse team
that sort of has some type of an inclusive environment,
you are substantially more likely to build better products.
And Lucy used to always say half, you know,
the world's technology was built by half the population.
How much better would our technology be
if it were built by?
by a larger percentage of the population.
Yeah, absolutely.
And, yeah, I mean, if you, I think one of the statistics I'd like to see, I think one of the
problems with the statistics is there's an overhang.
And we look at the total amount of venture capital deployed each year.
Well, the majority of the dollars go to existing companies that are, you know, if they're in
year five or 10, they're going to get $100 million checks, $200 million checks, $200 million checks,
50 million dollars checks.
And then if you look at the early stage, they're going to get 500K checks or one million
dollars checks, two million dollar checks.
So we have to look at this year how many people who are first-time founders or first,
you know, series A's, how are series A's and seed rounds deployed and the diversity of those,
not the overhang of the series C or Ds, which shows the diversity in investments 10 years ago.
Right.
Because you're going to start to understand what happens five years from now.
as opposed to
as opposed to just
the reinforcing issues today.
Well, and you could do it with new funds.
When you look at a fund
that was formed today
or this year,
the 2020 cohort of new funds,
you know,
whatever Sequoia's fund this year,
if you compare the diversity
in that group versus the fund
from three years ago
or five years ago,
that's still being invested out of
for continuation funds
and follow-on rounds,
etc.
Well, they might be very different,
right, as this cultural change.
Do you have a sense?
Do you have a sense of what you're,
I mean,
you invest regularly. Do you have a sense of what your numbers look like? Yes. It's massively
diverse in the last couple of years, massively. But we specifically did something to change the
number of inbound, which was we started doing Founder University just for women, which you
frequently join me for, thank you. We do Founder University six times a year. And I think three times,
I think four out of the six times, it's either for underrepresented founders or female founders.
And then that gives us a pool of 250 people each time to meet, to explain to them what, you know, our Goldilocks zone is for the accelerator.
And then each accelerator class, it's, you know, gone from one female founder and six male founders to two and five and three and four.
And you know, you got to look at the founding team, of course.
And yeah, it's really changed dramatically, dramatically.
And we can be really interesting to see how returns, how returns change.
I've heard both sides of the story.
Sometimes people think, and this is the critique that I never had,
but this is what I would hear years ago,
is that the female founders would maybe pick safer bets.
And I even had a female founder say to me, like,
I don't want to go that crazy and outlandish,
because if I screw this up, I'm never going to be able to raise money again.
So already in her head was playing not to lose,
because this is the only chance I'm going to get.
I fail now, I'll never be funded again. I'm a woman.
Which is a perverse, right? Yeah, it sucks.
Well, what's, well, what you're hitting on is actually, um, a really interesting part of, like,
how systemic bias, like, ends up, like, resulting. Um, I mean, without generalizing,
you know, you have so many kids who are brought up, uh, who are, who are boys told that,
you know, go try, fail experiments, like, it'll be okay. Um, and, and, and then,
you know, you have these these other circumstances which don't provide nearly as much
structural support.
And I just, you know, it'll be really, I'm also curious, like, do you think that the pandemic
will, will accelerate kind of the democratization of investment, meaning like remove some of
the in-person biases?
Or do you think that you're going to see, yeah, just like, what's your sense?
It's interesting one.
A lot of people have told me privately.
And again, I like to be always be honest with my audience of what I'm hearing privately.
so I will anonymize it, but I have heard from more than one investor, and this is not my opinion,
that they are just going to wait out 2020 in the pandemic and keep their dry powder for their companies.
In other words, make no new investments, which would mean in a steady state for new investments.
For myself, and I know some other investors, they're looking at this and saying, well, we can take more meetings
and we can diligence companies and we recaptured two hours a day of people commuting and chit-chatting in the office
and every meeting's half an hour instead of an hour
so we can do twice as many meetings is literally what's happened.
You know, going from two meetings a day
or three meetings a day to three or four meetings
is pretty amazing, right?
Because nobody wants to be in a Zoom for an hour.
They want to be on and off a Zoom in what, 20, 30 minutes,
40 minutes max.
So we're investing twice as much, I would say.
Our velocity has gone up close to double.
And then the number of people who want to get involved investing
has increased.
Back to the efficiency and second order,
third order effects of a pandemic and, you know, of space.
So when you recapture time, you get to redeploy it.
And this is why I think coming out of the pandemic will be one of the greatest
recoveries ever and that we're massively underestimating the impact of this recovery
because every single company now is a remote company, at least in technology and entrepreneurship.
And so the gains of remote are you can hire twice as fast, three times as fast because
you're not limiting yourself to a location.
You're also not paying the premium of a city of 30 or 40,
percent. So once you figure out how to manage people remotely, you now hire remotely,
which means you lower your prices and your cost of hiring people by 50 percent. So you could double
the number of people you hire, or you can just hire quicker, right? And everybody's
balance sheet is getting corrected because people are not going out and spending. Companies
are not spending on office space. They're not spending maintaining these spaces. And then you
reclaim what, two hours a day? Every employee claims two, three, three,
hours a day of commuting,
showering,
getting dressed up,
big long lunches,
all's bullshit.
So you reclaim three hours a day,
I think conservatively.
And I think the social contract
that's not spoken is
the employee gets half
and the employer gets half
because you get to work from home.
So people are,
some people are complaining,
oh my God,
there's no line between working
and being at home.
I think people are,
I don't know if you're saying this.
I'd be curious what you see,
but I think people are working
an hour more a day,
at least.
But I think they're saving
another hour
So they feel like, okay, cool.
Yeah.
I mean, it's going to be interesting to see how many people actually
maintain this, like, going forward.
There's so many people that are eager to get back to the office.
And 45% of American businesses, like, 45% of American workers
have to physically show up to their office,
more space to do the work that they do for their, like, job type.
Tech is, like, extremely lucky in that we could just like,
oh, you know what, like, let's deal with the pain of having to jump on Zooms
back to back and still get paid.
the same amount and move to some third or tertiary city and drop my San Francisco lease.
It's incredible.
The balance sheet is incredibly, yeah.
I think the thing that I'm most excited about, even just like, just as an observer,
is the number of companies that are getting started by folks that couldn't, like,
who either got furloughed or laid off or whatever else, I think Stripe had some crazy number
of companies that are using Atlas, like to get to get started.
And these aren't just venture back companies.
I mean, these are lifestyle businesses and venture back companies.
These are sort of all types.
Yeah, I think you might be right.
I just hope it's not a, I hope it's not a K-shaped recovery, you know, where people are left out.
I think there'll be a group that are left out.
There always are.
And what we've seen is I think our economy is pretty resilient.
And, you know, usually recessions last two quarters, sometimes three.
I think this is going to be one where we inject so much money into it.
And then there's all this other efficient.
that occurs and people balancing
their, you know, and moving around
and all the money pumped into it,
I think it's going to be a quick recovery.
I'm hoping. That's my hope.
But yeah, I mean, it's right now
the amount of capital in the world
looking for, you know,
some acceleration in returns is phenomenal.
It's phenomenal, right?
So we'll see.
Nobody know it, right? You said it earlier
yourself, like in a black swan. Who knows, right?
Yeah.
I do think people will move to hybrid.
I mean, you'll know better than anybody what this looks like.
But most companies I'm talking to are just thinking hybrid.
Like, we're going to be in the office three days a week, four days a week, two days a week,
whatever it is.
And you can go wherever you want for the long weekend.
And so I think you're going to start seeing these people like come into the city for two
or three days.
Maybe they'll get a hotel room.
Maybe they'll get an Airbnb.
Maybe they'll have a rental share or something.
Or they'll have two long commute days and then three days at home and they'll just deal with
the long commutes those days.
There's so many, so many exciting things with transportation infrastructure
because as soon as you can support this like hybrid model, things like hyperloop,
things like, you know, fast rail, you know, ultra-fast rail,
or even like being able to take a six-month period of time where I just go work in some other part of the world,
you're just dramatically changing the workforce,
which is going to have all these second and third order effects on price of rentals and leases
and homes, certainly an impact on broadband and how fast internet is, just because there'll
be larger demand for cities that aren't just hubs.
Yeah, it's going to, the small cities are going to be big winners.
The big cities are going to go through a major change.
San Francisco, I think, has got a massive risk now because I don't know if you saw the
statistics.
$3,800 was our peak rent, or $3,700.
Then I went to 28.
And then Oakland's down 20 or 30%.
San Francisco is down 30%.
and the number of homes in San Francisco for sale is at a 20-year high,
and the mortgage rate is at the lowest in our lifetime.
So, like, the last 50 years is the lowest.
So this is very weird that San Francisco has all this availability,
and then the lowest mortgages.
Other places are seeing no inventory, L.A., Tahoe, you know, Austin,
like record low inventory, and, you know, mortgages are freely available at 3% or something insane.
Do you think that you'll move?
That's a good question.
It's come up a bunch.
I'm going to see what happens.
I don't think I'll do it this year.
But, you know, and I don't think I'll do it in the next year.
Put it that way.
I want to see what happens post-pandemic.
If nobody wants to come to San Francisco, you know, I might consider living other places.
I think I might consider a nomadic lifestyle.
I know it sounds crazy.
But maybe Austin and San Francisco or Austin in Salt Lake City.
I don't know.
I'm going to leave it open.
You know, at this point in my career where I am,
people come to me.
When you get your second decade, that's what happens.
And then does it make sense to be here financially?
I don't know.
I don't know that this is not going to be the center of the world, right?
So we'll see.
I feel like this is fulfilling, though, the long-held promise of technology.
Absolutely.
People who have lived in San Francisco, I've been talking about this for years,
which is like once eventually technology gets its grips into every other industry
where you can't not be a software company.
Eventually, you'll have this great democratization of and decentralization of technical power.
I mean, if you look at, and the positive economic consequences of that, I mean, if you look at the amount of dollars that flow in because of Uber's headquarters.
Yeah.
Crazy.
It's crazy.
You know, I mean, all these local economies in Menlo Park and Atherton and all these other that are expensive are expensive for a reason.
And it's because we export scalable technology, we being the region.
I don't know that I'm necessarily we, but we export scalable technology.
And once you're manufacturing stuff in upstate New York, which is something that we do,
all of a sudden that becomes a place where you're exporting technology.
The playbook for Silicon Valley has gotten too big for the Bay Area.
That's the bottom line.
I mean, if you just look at the top three or four companies, they're so large.
Apple, Facebook, Google, I mean, these companies are so large and growing.
They just can't possibly continue to grow here with the nimbism and the lack of development here.
But other places like New York allowed people to build tons of skyscrapers and buildings,
Houston, other places have completely different land use than California,
which is, you know, the most nimbia of all nimbibes, you know, states in the highest taxes and the most regulation.
So I do see a lot of my friends moving to places that are either less regulation, lower tax,
more easier to build, easier to operate.
And so I do think that those states will be beneficiaries.
And that's going to have, talk about second, third order effects.
Like, right now we're taping this at the time of the presidential election.
And Biden and Trump are exactly neck and neck in Texas.
I mean, think about that.
I mean, Texas is turning blue.
They're expecting to, yeah, they're expecting to flip 10, 15 years from now, not in 10 days.
Yeah, potentially, you know.
And that's an incredible moment in time that, you know, people are starting to move around.
I do think, you know, to your point about collisions, we talked about earlier, you know, I think that this town will become the elite, you know, to live here is going to be hard and expensive.
But if you're a young person coming, you know, I was talking to a young person, like, do you think I should come here?
And I was like, yes, absolutely do it.
because it's and you experienced it.
When you came here,
how many more meetings did you have?
What access to talent did you have?
I mean,
you just jumped right into
and all of a sudden you're validated.
Where have you had stayed in Syracuse
as the CEO?
Would that have happened?
I don't think so.
You know,
Marksifter and Fires Fund
and Connor Perkins
we're not getting on flights to Syracuse
all due respect to upstate New York.
Although that's changing.
There's a very cool
company called
Other Side AI
that is actually out of Syracuse
extremely competitive round.
Interesting.
And that new upstart in Albany, nexium.
I heard that they're crushing it.
Their statistics are just through the roof
for their multi-level marketing.
Yeah, like I think that like Keith something
is really just a spectacular founder.
Visionary, he's got Jordan Bellson all over him.
Didn't the Dalai Lama invest?
Lama might have written me like in. The Dalai Lama's on the cap table.
The Bronfamins are in.
Yeah, yeah, exactly. Are you watching that series?
Oh my God, I just finished it.
You just finished it. Yeah, it's deranged. I'm watching it going, are people that stupid?
And I was listening to somebody who's a hypnotist who understands persuasion very well.
And he was explaining it. And he was basically, Scott Adams, the Dilbert creator who was kind of like a Trumpian and he does like this little deli thing.
And he was talking about the vow.
and he's like, well, you know when you go to stage hypnotism and they ask people who
wants to be on stage?
Well, now you filtered out 80% of people who are not suggestive, right?
So the 20% who want to come on stage are self-selecting.
Then they do that first round of, okay, now you close your eyes and I'm going to lift
your hand.
And what they're doing is seeing who drops her hand.
Like, and okay, now they sort out the half of those that were resisting and doing it
to maybe be a goof.
Then they whittled down and whittled down.
And what that thing did was they just,
whittle down to the people who are the most suggestive to being manipulated. So if you're trying
to understand it, if 50,000 people take an executive course on how to be better executives at work,
and then you slowly go down, Scott's position was that's, and you don't want to say stupid people,
or maybe gullible, gullible is the right word, or people who could be manipulated easier,
or just people who want to believe. They want to believe in something. I think also, you're looking for
permission, you know. You also seem to get a self-reinforcing thing. I mean, the reality is,
is this is very similar to, I mean, not very similar.
It is in the same galaxy as the culture or cult of personality that happens inside companies or startups.
Yes.
It's just that it doesn't end in a really deranged sex cult.
Yes, it doesn't.
Typically.
Typically not branding.
Typically tattoos where people get Apple tattoos.
There's no density tattoos out there, are there?
No.
Although we've got a very cool.
Mark. I don't know that we've got any tattoos yet.
Yeah. Please don't.
Tattoo is okay.
Tattoo's okay. All right. Listen, you got a baby waking up.
Great to have you on the pod. Great job. Congratulations.
Thanks for having me along for the ride. It's been a great friendship and a great partnership
all these years. It's just great to know you, Andrew.
Likewise.
And, you know, if you get a chance to work there, you will have an amazing time.
Andrew is a great cult leader. I mean, CEO of 10. We are, we are hiring. We are hiring.
Oh, good. What do we got? What's on that? What's the most
Pressing need. Sales. Sales is growing really rapidly. Excellent. Great place. If you're looking to make big commissions. Product is growing. Customer success is growing and engineering is growing. So if you are interested in any type of, like we were a vertically integrated hardware software company. So if you're interested in pretty much anything that's full stack, we can pull you in.
All right. There you go. Andrew. Andrew at density. I bet you that's your email. I could guess.
It is. There is. Yes. There you go. All right. Tell him Uncle Jason sent you. And we'll see.
you all next time on this week and start us.
