This Week in Startups - Rebuilding Civilization from First Principles: Inside Balaji’s Network State Vision | E2145

Episode Date: June 30, 2025

Today’s show: Jason sits down with Balaji Srinivasan in Singapore to explore how he's turning years of theory into reality with Network School—the first node of a broader vision for internet-n...ative, decentralized societies. Balaji explains how these “sharp societies” combine education, co-living, and startup culture to create physical communities aligned by values, not geography. From digital nomads to aspiring founders, people are opting into these new systems as an alternative to broken traditional governance. They discuss everything from Starbase and sovereignty to the future of democracy, Bitcoin, and America’s place in a multipolar world.Timestamps:(0:00) Introduction of Balaji Srinivasan and the impact of Bitcoin(1:39) The concept of Network School and Network State, including startup societies(4:05) Benefits and historical context of network effects in communities(7:08) Economic and social benefits of Network School(9:35) Global appeal and diverse motivations of Network School participants(10:22) Squarespace - Use offer code TWIST to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain at https://www.Squarespace.com/TWIST(12:30) Media perspectives on new societies and the challenge of self-determination(19:35) Vanta - Get $1000 off your SOC 2 at https://www.vanta.com/twist(24:00) Personal experiences with US state migration and critique of California politics(27:11) The right to exit, thousand city system, and the two-party system(29:44) Vouched - Trust for agents that’s built for builders like you. Check it out at http://vouched.id/twist(31:09) Choosing a country like choosing a college and impressions of new cities(34:03) America's global reputation, politics, and the decline of empires(39:25) Dollar devaluation, Bitcoin's future, and global currency dynamics(41:26) Global power struggles: China versus the Internet and US demographics(44:01) Trump's tariffs, MAGA, and international trade realities(48:12) China's manufacturing dominance and US diplomatic legacy(54:39) The Internet's counterbalance to China and Bitcoin's future risks(1:00:31) Role of cryptocurrencies, quantum computing, and Bitcoin security(1:02:12) Cryptocurrency challenges and the resilience of Bitcoin(1:03:27) Network school state community and opportunities for investors(1:04:01) Closing remarks and final pitch for Network SchoolSubscribe to the TWiST500 newsletter: https://ticker.thisweekinstartups.comCheck out the TWIST500: https://www.twist500.comSubscribe to This Week in Startups on Apple: https://rb.gy/v19fcpFollow Lon:X: https://x.com/lonsFollow Alex:X: https://x.com/alexLinkedIn: ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelmFollow Jason:X: https://twitter.com/JasonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanisThank you to our partners:(10:22) Squarespace - Use offer code TWIST to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain at https://www.Squarespace.com/TWIST(19:35) Vanta - Get $1000 off your SOC 2 at https://www.vanta.com/twist(29:44) Vouched - Trust for agents that’s built for builders like you. Check it out at http://vouched.id/twist(0:00)Great TWIST interviews: Will Guidara, Eoghan McCabe, Steve Huffman, Brian Chesky, Bob Moesta, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarlandCheck out Jason’s suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanisFollow TWiST:Twitter: https://twitter.com/TWiStartupsYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/thisweekinInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thisweekinstartupsTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thisweekinstartupsSubstack: https://twistartups.substack.comSubscribe to the Founder University Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@founderuniversity1916

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Actually, you wrote, or at least launch, wrote one of the best. No, I wrote it, yeah. Okay. It was my article. That was honestly one of the best early articles on Bitcoin. I know you troll people on Bitcoin, but we should put that up on screen. Yeah. Where actually there are a lot of things that were, it was.
Starting point is 00:00:13 I said it's the most dangerous open source project I've ever seen because it could destabilize the entire world because the sovereignty of countries is, you know, military and their currency. And this could change history forever. Yeah. This week in startups is brought to you by Squarespace. Turn your idea into a new website. Go to Squarespace.com slash Twist for a free trial.
Starting point is 00:00:40 When you're ready to launch, use offer code Twist to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain. Vanta. Compliance and security shouldn't be a deal breaker for startups to win new business. Vanta makes it easy for companies to get a SOC2 report fast. Twist listeners can get $1,000 off for a limited time at vanta.com slash twist. And Vouched. Turn your AI infrastructure
Starting point is 00:01:06 into production grade software with Know Your Agent from Vouched. Check it out yourself at Vouchd. ID slash Twist. Trust for agents built for builders like you. Hey everybody. Welcome back to the show. I am super excited
Starting point is 00:01:21 because friend of the pod who, gosh, I don't know when the last time we did a pod was a couple years ago. A couple years ago, yeah. Balaji Srinivasin is here in Singapore. And I'm in Singapore. I'm a little bit jet lag. But you're a great podcast guest because you got a lot of ideas. And so I got to go visit you in Malaysia, just north of Singapore, about 45 minutes.
Starting point is 00:01:47 Just slightly west. Slightly west of Singapore. And you have started the network school, the network state. All the stuff you've been talking about for years, there's now a thing. There, six months ago, you found a place where there are apartment buildings and space that is, I guess, relatively cheap and available. And you've got your fan base of tech bros from around the world and ladies joining you to build what? What is the vision here for people who've heard of network state, network school, and this sort of project you're working on, which seems to be your life's work? What exactly are you building? What am I building? So basically, so this is, so network school is the first node of a network society where it served several purposes.
Starting point is 00:02:41 But, you know, the United States was started actually, not just with the Massachusetts Bay Colony, but with Harvard. It was like literally a single room schoolhouse when it started, right? And the Midwest, the land grand colleges, like, you know, Texas A&M was like agricultural and mechanical. And so that was meant to build up the Midwest. So you had a college and a town kind of side by side. You'd train the engineers and the humanists to help build the society. And of course, the Bay Area, Stanford and Berkeley helped build Silicon Valley, right? So there are three examples in the American context where a university and a town and a society
Starting point is 00:03:17 kind of all went together, right? And so that's what we're doing. We are building a society ourselves. we're bringing a startup society that's also a template for other startup societies. And the way I think about it is, this is the third type of thing, internet company, internet currency, and now internet community. If you go to NS.com, you can see what we're doing. If you go to NS.com.
Starting point is 00:03:38 Pretty good domain name, ns.com. NS.com. Network state. So it's network school. But it also stands, of course, for network state and network states plural, right? And that's important. So we have, if you go to ns.com dashboard, right, front slash dashboard, you'll see more than 100 start-o societies around the world.
Starting point is 00:03:54 And the reason for this is we have these online communities. If you're watching this, you're spending a lot of time online, right? Like you are not- By definition. By definition, that's right. And so all our transactions are online, all our communications are online. But many of our friends are online, and we don't see them in person. But we'd like to do that, right? So bringing those online communities together in person actually has a physical network effect.
Starting point is 00:04:15 I mean, duh, but also not da, right? So we've unbundled the world onto the internet, and everybody's alone at home. Now, we re-bundled the world into the physical world. And when you do this, suddenly you actually solve a lot of problems. You actually reinvigorate democracy because when people vote with their feet and move to a location, now look at, for example, Starbase, right? Starbase, Texas, which just incorporated Elon's new thing, right? Yeah, where Starbase is located, decided to take that town and rename it Starbase
Starting point is 00:04:43 and the people who are engineers at SpaceX voted as well as some of the locals to create a new city or town. New City or town, and they won 97% of the vote, right? 97.7%. Okay. And it was like 212 to 6 or something like that, right? Yeah. And the thing about this is that is actually reinvigorating democracy. It's internet democracy because you're voting with your feet to move to Starbase. You're voting with your wallet to help build up this community. And then you're voting with your ballot to ratify what you just did. You're combining all three. You have skin in the game because you actually move physically. You're physically there. You're putting capital in. And then you're, you're as a consequence that you're also voting to build something.
Starting point is 00:05:24 So it's something where you have a lot of alignment in the community, right? And that aspect of the frontier and the physical world, obviously that built America, right? A big part of what built America is you had all these people from the old world who came out. Actually, there's a, you know, in the mid-1800s, people would just, if they didn't like it on the East Coast, they would go further in and they just build their own society, right? And even the earliest Americans, those were, you know, the European colonists and they set up the Massachusetts Bay Colony, the Virginia colony, the whole point was that you had a new jurisdiction to do things. Now, of course, people say, oh, the Native Americans were there. That's true,
Starting point is 00:06:00 but in many ways, they were warlike. And so these new tribes came in. So you had N Native American tribes. Now you have N plus one, N plus two, N plus three. They all slugged it out. And actually, the Native Americans were like brave warriors that, you know, lost battles. But, you know, for example, in Mongolia, they make statues to Genghis Khan. And so they should make statues to Sitting Bull and all of these, you know, kinds of warriors. But leaving that aside, that's actually like a war that was lost, a war that was one. That just happens all around the world. Nobody has control of any territory forever. And so, ideally, though, you want to be able to do that today without any wars, without any conflict, right? How do you do without any conflict? Because everybody thinks all the
Starting point is 00:06:36 land is taken. But it's actually not. There's all kinds of empty space. There's all kinds of spaces around the world. And when people see cheap space, plus their nomads and their digital nomads, they have a high salary, low cost of living, which means, more opportunity. And if you put like-minded people together, now you've got a bunch of people who are not under economic pressure to live in the Bay Area,
Starting point is 00:06:59 which we both saw what that did to people. It made people miserable. And their entire lives were filled with this anxiety of not being able to keep up with other people. And even the people who were supposedly keeping up felt like they were under massive pressure to spend $100,000 a month on a crazy lifestyle. And all the venture money that we were deploying
Starting point is 00:07:17 into companies was going to force. $4,000 a month in rent for a developer to have a one or two bedroom. Yes. It was insane. Yes. In the network school, you have these buildings that were built and not being utilized. And there's a whole backstory there, but it's not important. You found this incredible opportunity.
Starting point is 00:07:36 And people can go live there for $1,500 a month. All in. All in. Food, gym, exercise, and their apartment, and then be part of a community. Yes. So as Paul Graham would talk about that. whole like ramen break even, you know, ramen funded. It actually exists here.
Starting point is 00:07:55 And there were 150 people there all grinding on a Saturday. I don't know if they all came out because I was touring. But it's- We have more than that. A lot of people are actually in their apartments. And so these people are coming from a hundred different countries to hang out with each other and go to talks, to learn, to build. What is their motivation?
Starting point is 00:08:17 Because I understand your motivation. Yes. You think there's a new mode of society, a new mode of governance. We have other people in our industry who believe in this. Peter Thiel's done seesteading. Obviously, Elon is doing this town in Texas, and people move to Texas because there's less regulation. So I understand your motivation and other people's motivation, create new society's
Starting point is 00:08:36 higher function, but the individual's coming. Great question. Get me into their mindset. So several different, think of this as kind of, like early cryptocurrency had various different kinds of people that all came together. There's a whack pack of people, yeah. A lot of different people. Weird people.
Starting point is 00:08:52 Well, yes, but successful. Libertarian, technical, anarchist. Exactly, that's right. Some people were ideological, right? Some people just were in it for the tech, right? Some people thought, okay, this could be very valuable someday, right? Business opportunity, yeah. That's right.
Starting point is 00:09:07 And, you know, there's a mix of different types of things. Some people came just because of cool, right? Yeah, weird. Weird, cool, et cetera, right? And so today, for example, at number two, what kinds of people do we have? The number one demographic are those folks who are remote workers and who often can't get a visa into the West. So these are people can't or won't, don't want to go, right? They think it's over and so on and so forth. But they're internet first people, right?
Starting point is 00:09:32 So that's how it express our ideology, internet first. So obviously I'm friendly to, you know, people in the U.S., and I'm friendly to many people who are conservatives and so on and so forth. But I think America first, America is only 4% of the world, and red America is only 2% of the world, right? But if you say internet first, you include many of those people, and you also say, hey, if you're Canadian, Australian, you know, from the New Zealand, UK, that's this term, Kanzuk, if you're Indian, if you're European, Japanese, or American, the internet is where you're all equal. All nodes are equal in the internet. You can have the same monetary policy.
Starting point is 00:10:07 You can have the same contract law, smart contract law. You can have the same transaction certification. Basically, what the blockchain represents is not rule of law, which is breaking down in some ways with Delaware and all the crazy things in the U.S. It's rule of code. So everybody's up here here. Your website is the face of your company. People judge a book by its cover. It's how you make a powerful first impression.
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Starting point is 00:11:37 And when you're ready to launch, go to Squarespace.com slash twist to get 10% off your first website or domain purchase at Squarespace.com slash twist. So, you know, the thing is, a lot of the sort of progressive values of, you know, equality, democracy, science, media, I actually believe in those things, just on the recent corrupted versions. So the people who are coming, their motivation is to be around like-minded people. Like-minded people, that's right. and they want to build companies or build a life,
Starting point is 00:12:08 meet people, find a mate. What's the motivation when you talk to them? Because it's only been six months. Yes. But you've got hundreds of people and you had thousands apply. So it struck a nerve. It struck a nerve. That's right.
Starting point is 00:12:20 So I think this is something where people want to build communities in the physical world. We spent so much time online. We want to build things offline, right? So some of them are coming because they're remote workers. and they're tired of being by themselves, they want to be with the community, right? Got it. So it's alone or with people
Starting point is 00:12:38 who are also remote workers, and we've seen that. This nomadic lifestyle, there was like a kind of different Airbnb-type startups and office-sharing startups that tried to organize these people, but you've got such a big profile socially and with the crypto community
Starting point is 00:12:52 that you can kind of be a beacon or a lighthouse today. And I'm just a shilling point, right? You know, the purpose is, crucially, this is just like the first one of these, and I fund vegan ones and I fund carnivore ones. I fund Hindu, you know, startup societies and Christian ones and Jewish ones. All of these different kinds of, there's some in Brazil, there's some in, you know, Honduras, there's some in Switzerland and sorts of all different kinds of startups societies.
Starting point is 00:13:16 That's, quote, true diversity, right? Many different kinds of things. There's like Sanskrit immersion, Latin immersion. Many different kinds of starb societies have a different thesis on what would be a cool kind of community to build, and you'll see whether they were. It's, again, just like a tech company, you know, if we thought, about early X or early Twitter. It seemed like the silliest thing in the world. Why would anybody want to treat their breakfast? But it became really important, right? And so in the same way,
Starting point is 00:13:38 there's many different concepts of what a startup society is. Okay, so just to answer your question also again, A, remote workers, B, people who can't get visas to us, C, a lot of people who ideologically want to build startup societies, just like they wanted to build cryptocurrencies. That's very metam. Yes. So they're looking at this vision and saying, the society I'm in is not fulfilling to me. It feels broken in some way. It feels suboptimal. And this seems exciting. Yes. And this is why maybe the press, when they look at you as an individual and crypto, they kind of look at it and like, these people are crazy internet people who don't want to pay taxes. They want to like skirt governments and create their own world and they're kind of leaving the real world.
Starting point is 00:14:19 It's not that. It's their builders who want to build something that fits their, sensibility? That's right. And the thing is, everybody here pays taxes, everybody here obeys regulations and so on. And the same thing, like, when I have CTO of Coinbase, I built a genomic company, and so and so forth, we dot every I and cross every T. Right. But many, many countries actually want these kinds of people there. Why? Yes, desperately. Desperately, right? Because most countries aren't rich countries. Most countries are small countries, in fact. Most countries have actually less than 10 million people. And so if a network school node or a startup society node is open there, suddenly all this talent and capital from around the world floods in, all people
Starting point is 00:14:58 want to do is be able to drink coffee, hit keys on their laptop, build cool stuff, right? Yeah, work out, work out, go to dinner. Yeah, exactly. Like, really, exactly. It's really not that hard, you know, and this is a crucial thing. You don't just need tax breaks, you don't need subsidization. People are happy to pay, in a sense, a subscription fee to a society where, you know, the roads work, the traffic lights are on, and so and so forth. That's fine. What they just don't want is to be like attacked for being a tech worker or a technologist. Then there's also people, some who want to join a startup society, and others who want to join with the intent of eventually building one, right? So early Coinbase, for example, has a Coinbase diaspora of all these people
Starting point is 00:15:38 who've created lots of crypto companies. So many of the people at Denver School are learning the template that we're building. And for example, there's small things. It's actually, it's surprisingly hard to get to San Francisco quality coffee. It's not that hard, but it's like harder than you would think, right? And other kinds of things like parts of what we call the Daily Loop. So, for example, you wake up, workout, coffee, you know, office pod, you know, conference room, and so and so forth. Once you actually start calculating that out and minimizing all of the transit times, it's like almost like a factory like thing, right? So then you can rack and stack more office pods, more coffee stations as a function of demand and so, so forth. So you can just save people so much time, whereas normally
Starting point is 00:16:20 if they're in a big city, they're like, oh, my gym is like 30 minutes across for me. And that's like a huge tax on you every single day and so on. So you can start optimizing daily life. That gives them more time to just learn or sit on the beach or what have you, right? Which is kind of like if you think about what we do when we build products or services and technology at our best, we're removing friction, the lighting customers, and lowering the cost of it. Yes. And what I saw today was a bunch of people who are really happy and who are around like-minded people and who feel like they have a stake in it, which is also super interesting because you look at what happened in America over our lifetime, the last 40 or 50 years,
Starting point is 00:16:59 people feel disconnected from it. They feel like they have no agency. They feel like they're like victims in the machine or cogs in the wheel, something more dystopian, and they feel like the government doesn't represent them. But what I saw was a lot of agency. Like you guys built a gym and you guys are building the schedule and you have speakers. So, you know, I think it's pretty easy to be cynical when people look at it. And I was watching some of the press coverage of, I guess there was somebody also doing this in middle of America. They bought a lodge somewhere in Wyoming.
Starting point is 00:17:30 And your name was mentioned over and over again that they were like inspired by you. Do you know who I'm talking about? There's some articles and stuff. There's actually somebody who was like a Berkeley guy who left. The Wyoming thing. The Wyoming thing. Because they're into Dow's or whatever. But that's good.
Starting point is 00:17:43 And I was like, I don't understand why they're so upset. And these were like woke people from like wired mass. or whoever who are criticizing this, or I don't know if they were being sensationalistic, but there seemed to be some animosity towards people saying, I would like to build my own society. I can put it in one sentence, right? Please, yeah. They don't want us to have self-determination, right?
Starting point is 00:18:09 Fundamentally, they basically have replaced GOD with G. They worship these failing Western states, and they are, in a sense, imperialist, they want them to have bureaucratic power over the entire world and everybody in it. And so because of that, if you say, thank you very much, you guys are your thing, but we want to do our own thing, right? We want to basically say, hey, we want to have our own society, and we want to be able to determine our own rules, and we want to be able to live together and so and so, even, by the way, if you're just co-living, forget even, you know, there's different
Starting point is 00:18:46 stages, by the way, there's like co-living, then you might negotiate a special economic zone, and then all, you know, eventually, eventually, eventually, maybe you've got, you can get an island, get sovereignty, or what have you, okay? But that's like, way done. When's the last time did that ever happen that an actual government, new country was formed in the world on planet Earth? Yeah, it was last time? Yeah. Oh, well, let me show you something, right? So actually, there's so... Because I understand you're making these, like, communes, cabuteses, I don't, you know, little societies, pods, however you would describe what you're doing in this nascent state. But the idea of, like, going in a...
Starting point is 00:19:19 finding an island and saying, hey, we have sovereignty. Nobody can tax us. Yeah, take a look. Ready? So before I show you this graph, right? What is your mental model of how many, like going back, let's say to 80 years, right? What's your mental model of how many new countries reform? All right, founders, I know you're building something amazing and you're going to change the world. And now, hey, the big logos, they're taking your calls, right? But here's the catch. If you're not SOC2 or ISO-2-2-1 compliant, these deals won't close. Now, some of you're saying, I've never heard of those terms. Some of you're saying, I've heard of them, but I don't know what they are.
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Starting point is 00:20:27 Join over 8,000 companies, simplify your compliance and get $1,000 off at vanta.com slash twist. That's V-A-N-T-A dot com slash T-W-I-S-T. Wow. I'm trying to think of like countries that seceded from their mothership would be the primary source of that. I'm thinking of all the colonies of the British Empire would be the first group, just logically, or other countries in the Middle East, like, I don't know, Qatar and those kind of countries were part of UAE, and they were forming and unforming. Here's a graph. So you tell me.
Starting point is 00:21:03 Okay, there it is. It's four-xed. It's four-xed since the, yeah, since 45. Yes. And the thing is, I can show you this graph. Well, those are a UN-member country, so they were accepted to the UN, but they maybe existed as countries? Well, no, I mean, that's thing is, if you define what is a country that's actually an important, if you define a country as a UN member, the first thing, most people are surprised
Starting point is 00:21:24 that's almost 4x over 80 years, right? The second thing is, exactly as you point out, the British Empire, the French Empire, and then over here, this big bump is the Soviet empire breaking down. Oh, right. And new countries arise, right? Now, there's two important features of this. First, if you go backwards in time, this is actually the most centralized the world has ever been. When you go backwards time, I'll show you some graphs in a second, a maps in a second. The number of independent jurisdictions in like Germany, it just rises rapidly like this. You have thousands and thousands of little, like you know what San Marino is? You're been there? No. Okay. It's like a little statelet. Let me show you something. So San Marino
Starting point is 00:22:01 in Italy, right, is like this tiny, tiny thing. It's a microstate that is like a piece of the past that still sits in the present. It's like a little city there, but it's its own sovereign country. Wow. Yeah, it's a UN member, right? And the thing about that is Garibaldi, when he was unifying Italy,
Starting point is 00:22:22 San Marino gave him refuge, so he didn't unify, he let it keep its sovereignty. Got it. So that's like a duck-billed platypus, like this evolutionary missing link, and it tells you, oh, all the things we think of as countries,
Starting point is 00:22:32 like Italy, France, you know, China, India, they're roll-ups. Yes. of lots of smaller city-state-ish-like things that used to exist. That's what the world used to be. It used to be fragmented like that. And it got rolled up into these big things for the purpose of conscription and taxation. Because you basically build these giant nation states, which have as many people as you can pack in there, like the Soviet Union and so on.
Starting point is 00:22:55 And they all didn't fight each other. And that's the century of giant wars and conflict and whatever. I'm not saying everything about that was bad, but a lot of it was bad, right? Okay. So now we're going in a sense back to the future where just like we went from gold to fiat to digital gold, right? We're going from city state, nation state, network state. Got it.
Starting point is 00:23:14 I'm not saying everything goes to network states, but I think that will arise. And the big difference is network states are decentralized, so they're everywhere and nowhere. So city is only in one place. But network state is decentralized, just like Bitcoin is decentralized. You've got nodes everywhere and you unify them as an archipelago. Got it. So there'll be these little outposts in different countries of network state errs, people who believe in the network state concept that you've created.
Starting point is 00:23:35 And then if any one of the nodes goes offline, like when China was like, yeah, no more Bitcoin or Korea had no cryptocurrency for a bit, I think then they relented the distributed network heals because people could just leave and go to another place. And this seems to be sort of interested in your take on this, even in the United States, where you think moving from one state to another would be your right and would be a great. choice for a human being to make, like maybe I like the weather or the people or the culture
Starting point is 00:24:07 more in a different state or I just want to change a pace. I've lived in three different states and four different major cities in my life. And it's one of the great joys of my life is to discover those new ones. But I've never had as much vitriol or questioning of my decision to go to Texas. From California. From California. It seems like there's a group of people who are like, you're doing this for nefarious reasons and then even deciding to live on a horse ranch as opposed to living in the city was also like people were a little critical. Like, why are you doing them? I can have my cake and eat it too. I can go to California and New York anytime I want. And then Keith Rubei was also derided for going for the sin of going to Miami. You know why?
Starting point is 00:24:52 I'd argue by. It's because California has been under one-party Democrat control since 2011. So California is not a democracy. No. Right? And that's actually why all of the stealing for the NGOs, for the homeless encampments, the homeless industrial complex has been out of control because they destroyed democracy in California. There's no democratic accountability for the Democrat Party basically looting the conference there. That's how I would put it.
Starting point is 00:25:15 And so because that, the only true vote against that is to leave. Which is why Alan. Which is why Elon left. That's right. And so that's why Elon left. He couldn't even build a sign in San Francisco, right? And there's like some signs of life or what have you. I know the some people, but I don't think it's falling into the Pacific, but I do think it is in a very...
Starting point is 00:25:32 It's a downward. It's a spiral. It's, yeah, I think it is at a minimum. It has lost a lot relative to what it could have been. It's a doom loop. And I consider it a doom loop, and I consider Austin, what you're doing here, what I'm seeing in Dubai, in the Middle East, Abu Dhabi, this kind of like a boom spiral. I think that's right. Where it's kind of working its way up.
Starting point is 00:25:52 That's right. And the energy seems to be people who are interested in it. So, okay, so we know that those people feel like they're losing control, and they also feel like they're losing high earners who are creators. And I think this is like a very pernicious thing. They think of you as a slave, right? Like basically California- But I'm a creator and capital allocator-
Starting point is 00:26:09 I know, I know, but they want you- They basically, they, like East Germany, see, Erzding, every communist state was like this. North Korea, East Germany, the Soviet Union, Cuba, and actually also Nazi Germany. They all didn't want people to leave. they put exit taxes or they shot people for leaving, they built the Berlin Wall, because their citizens were basically slaves. That's what communism is. It's slavery, right? It means 100% taxation is slavery, right? You get there by being so far left for the workers' paradise that all the workers are in gulags, right? So they don't want you to leave because they basically want you to just work for them,
Starting point is 00:26:44 right? Right. And so exercising, I mean, the thing is, one thing that's good, though, is the right to exit is actually a fundamental right. It's in like the UN Charter of Human Rights, right? In a sense, the right to exit is the thing that distinguishes, quote, leadership from dictatorship, right? The leader lets you leave. Right. Right. That is, if people can't distinguish or two, the difference is the dictator doesn't. It's a prison state. Right. But leadership is you've voluntarily opted in to be there and you can voluntarily opt to leave. Right. And they have to earn you being a citizen. That's right. And they're of service to you, which is how it didn't feel for a lot of us in California, New York. And that's when this great migration happened. People felt like,
Starting point is 00:27:23 well, why am I buying into this society, which feels dangerous and deranged at times? And I could go somewhere where it's more constructive or more in line with my ideals. This is right. And this is also actually the counteragrant when people are like, oh, Elon, it's techno monarchy. It's not techno monarchy. It's actually techno democracy. Why? Every single person who's gone to Starbase chose to be there. Yeah. And any person there can leave. they opted in with their presence. And I think that's like actually, if you think about voting,
Starting point is 00:27:52 your vote doesn't matter in California, New York, to a certain extent. But voting where you live, that is the ultimate vote, I believe. Yes. And actually,
Starting point is 00:28:01 this is an important paradigm shift because if you go to the root of democracy, it's the consent of the government. And the problem with 51% democracy is that 49% have not given their consent to the current, you know, rulers, right?
Starting point is 00:28:14 So, and that's what you keep getting you get a 49%, 50% of this back and forth, and the guys who win by 50% tried to govern like they've got a 99% majority, and that produces backlash, and we've seen that back and forth, right? And then the elections become more and more hard thought, and that 2% flips other way, and then you get a huge seesaw this way. The alternative to that to the two-party system
Starting point is 00:28:31 is the thousand-city system. Migrate to the one that fits you best and have consensus in that society that 80, 97% in the case of Starbase agree that rocket ships going to Mars and the noise pollution caused by them is not pollution, it's joy. That's right.
Starting point is 00:28:49 And every time we hear that noise, we are excited and thrilled at progress, whereas another person might consider that noise absolutely why they didn't move to that area. They wanted quiet. And here's the thing, is let's say that you take that as an important cost, right? Because the frontier is a filter.
Starting point is 00:29:07 The frontier filters for a certain kind of person who's willing to take some pain for some gain. We see that all the time in startups. It's not a big company employee, right? So take that example of Mars. So let's say you say, okay, we want to get to Mars, we want to tolerate the rocket launches. So everybody just has ear protection stuff at home. Sure.
Starting point is 00:29:21 Fine. You can solve that. Maybe there's better sound perfect at home. There's ways you can solve that when you set this as a goal of getting to the stars, then you can use technology to mitigate the downsides, right? But it's whether people have that can do attitude, they're aligned on the goal, right? So my view is that the thousand city system, as opposed to the two-party system is how you get genuine diversity.
Starting point is 00:29:39 And actually, you know what? There's already a prototype of this. We've actually been doing this for 20, 30, 40 years. You know why? All right, listen, I'm going to level with you. We already know AI agents are using your websites, they're using your products, even if you're not aware of them. Agents are about to change how we handle all kinds of online transactions. But there's really a big problem, isn't there?
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Starting point is 00:30:38 And know that.aI, a living directory of pre-verified. Right, agents, right? Agents are going to be talking to each other. That's starting to happen, folks. So you need to know the other side of the transaction, the other agent who's working with your agent. So turn your AI infrastructure into production grade software with know your agent from Vouched. Here's your call to action. Check it out for yourself at vouch.d. ID slash twist. That's vouch dot ID slash twist. Trust for agents that's built for builders like you. So imagine if at age 18 or each train button, you, picked your country like you pick your college.
Starting point is 00:31:14 Right. But that's actually already the case for millions of people from Asia. Why? Asia, India, at age 21, they would apply for their master's degree at MIT or Stanford or or would have you. And they would have the F1 student visa for college. They'd have the H-1B visa for their company. And then they'd get a green card or permanent residency and then eventually citizenship
Starting point is 00:31:35 at the country level. So college, company, country were like, it was a labyrinth that an immigrant, tech immigrant has navigated. It's a stack. That's right. So college company, country, right? And the thing is, nobody has packaged that together. That's one of the things we're doing with network school. Part of the reason to come to like a crypto society or a network society is to improve your fiat passport. So lots of people who come from countries, they're meritorious, they're smart, right? We can get them worker visas. We can get them maybe to buy golden visas, things like that. We can let them see the world, right?
Starting point is 00:32:06 Because people don't understand that if they're born without what people call passport privilege, they're basically like in prison. They're locked, right? It's very hard. are to see the world to get to other countries. And so we can upgrade that. We can get them, you know, employment passes and so on and so forth. And they're hardworking and they deserve all of that, right? And they'll do a good job with that, right? I think we're talking about where intelligent people and ambitious people will go. And, you know, it's, this is my first trip internationally. To Singapore? Well, first time in Singapore. Okay. What do you think? I am really fascinated by places that are like startup cities, because this is a 60-year-old city. They're having
Starting point is 00:32:44 their 60th anniversary in August. I found out, and I was like, this is one of the few times I've gone to a country that is younger than America. Usually when Americans go abroad, they're going to a country that's much older, typically. And, you know, same thing, I have the same experience when I go to the Middle East, which is, you know, Dubai. Dubai. And like, these are new cities that in 1950 were deserts, right? Yes. So it's fascinating to to see those countries and the enthusiasm that people have for them. And also, it was also a little bit sad for me because as an American, as a high-profile American who has an opinion that sometimes people listen to, or at least they hear it. Yeah, they hear it and they listen to it.
Starting point is 00:33:26 They don't have to agree with it. But, you know, there were a lot of people asking me to explain what's going on in our country. And asking me to explain it because they're perplexed, and saddened by how America is interacting with the rest of the world. So putting aside my belief system, just the candid feedback I got, I would say I've been heartbroken, crestfallen at how people were talking about America. And it's the first time in my life I've ever had it. It's actually kind of heavy on my heart the last three days because people were saying, why don't you want, why are you doing this stuff? Why are you doing this to us, why can't we come to the country? Why don't you want us to come to America on vacation?
Starting point is 00:34:11 Mike, I was talking to some folks who are extremely successful. These are the most, the 0.1% of the 1% the 1% are telling me, my kids can go anywhere. And on vacation, they want to go to China because they believe it's the future. They want to go to college. They don't want to go to America for college, and they don't want to go to America because they feel like they might get harassed at the border. And then, we want to do business with your country, and we thought that the new administration would be embracing the rest of the world, getting rid of regulation, and that we'd have this great era of interoperability, and we'd have like an acceleration in business, and now you're just
Starting point is 00:34:54 rattling the cage constantly, and we want to do business, but you're sending us to go do business in other places, and we can't rely on you anymore. And that actually, I think maybe is the most heartbreaking thing is they feel like we're not a reliable partner, is what they were telling me. This is not my position. This is the input from people in Singapore who I think represent a certain level of globalist and sophisticated, sophisticated, world savvy people. And so maybe you tell me how, as a, you know, an American? Yeah, well, so yeah, I've been born in the U.S. So you're in the U.S. So you're an American who lives abroad now. Like, you, you, you know, you what do you think of what's happened, you know, and we can't get away from Pollock, so we can't
Starting point is 00:35:40 get away from Trump because it's defining a lot of what's happening in the world right now. Tell me the perception and your perception. Here's how I think about this. And I actually did shed a single manly tear when writing the network state book. Yeah. Because I had some of the same emotions that you're talking about. The way I look at it is Britain, America, the internet. Britain was an amazing, amazing thing, honestly, for the world. The British Empire, a lot of people attack it, and they had a lot of faults. But it did on net advance civilization. There was a lot of good things Britain did.
Starting point is 00:36:15 But eventually, the British Empire exhausted handed the torch to America. And it's no longer an empire. The British Empire is just, you know, the UK. It's just a country. That's right. And the start of the American Empire was arguably 1939. There's this great book called Tomorrow of the World by Stephen Werdheim that actually documents that the fall of France was actually the moment. It wasn't actually post-World War II's at the
Starting point is 00:36:38 beginning. The fall of France was a moment that the Americans, at that point, they had been happy to let the British do all the impiring and just build up their country. But once they saw that the Nazis or maybe the Soviets could build an empire that was bigger than the British, and they're like, oh, we have to do this. So that moment was when America turned truly into a global empire, and they set out to be a global empire. That's why there's 750 military bases worldwide. That's why the headquarters of the UN is in New York. That's why, like, for example, Harvard Kennedy School of Government alone has 20 heads of state that were trained there, right? That's why the U.S. has regulatory harmonization and all these countries around the world, these U.S. regulations.
Starting point is 00:37:15 There's like a Hungarian FDA. That's why there's U.S. multinationals everywhere. And I could go on and on, right? The number of Internet searches being done at Google. Google is the number one search engine in every country, except for, like, Korea, China, China, Russia, and maybe still Japan? Maybe it's 50-50 in Japan. Yeah, I don't know. So I think it's maybe four countries. It's like four countries.
Starting point is 00:37:36 That's right. The issue with empire, any empire, is you get this global footprint. But it also ends up sort of eating away the core of the empire, right? And it does so in two ways. The left is mad because they feel that your people are oppressing people around the world, which is sometimes true. And the right is mad because they feel that your people are bearing a burden of the rest of the world, which is also sometimes true.
Starting point is 00:37:59 So eventually the left and right basically get tired of empire and shut it down. And then they often regret it, right? So that happened with the British Empire. It happened with the French Empire. And it happened within our lifetime, with the Soviet Empire. Everybody thought that the aftermath would be something great. And it was actually, it was mixed.
Starting point is 00:38:15 That, you know, Eastern Europe was free and it did well and so on. Estonia did well. Russia itself did very poorly for a long time. And then it's like somewhat started to recover, but, you know, fine. Point being, we are in the last stages of American Empire. Okay, because four forces, you know, the red America doesn't is against the deep state, blue America is against the Trump administration, tech America is against a regulatory state, and China is against U.S. hegemony. So all four of those
Starting point is 00:38:41 vectors are pointed down. So nothing is keeping the current establishment up. Every day there's another hit to it going down. It's like a solar eclipse. It's never happened in our lifetime before, right? And you can't cut off foreign trade and foreign travel and foreign tourism without also eventually cutting off foreign capital flows into the dollar, and then without the reserve currency, American standards of living will fall very rapidly. I don't know how much, 50%, 90%, 99%, but this is similar to what happened after the fall of Soviet Union, the ruble hyperinflated. Now one thing, we're actually in the middle of something. If you're, you know, a Tesla is actually very noticeable acceleration. Have you ever been in a bullet train? Yeah. So if you're in a bullet train, it can accelerate in such
Starting point is 00:39:22 a seamless way that you don't even realize how fast you're going. Right. So do you know how much the U.S. dollars devalued against Bitcoin since inception. 100 million X. Because Bitcoin started 0.1 cent. Yeah. Actually, you wrote, or at least launch, wrote one of the best. No, I wrote it. Yeah. Okay. It was my article. That was honestly, one of the best early articles on Bitcoin. I know you troll people on Bitcoin, but we should put that up on screen. Yeah. Where actually, there are a lot of things that were, it was... I said it's the most dangerous open source project I've ever seen because it could destabilize the entire world, because the sovereignty of countries is, you know, military and their currency, and this could change history forever.
Starting point is 00:40:04 Yeah, I was, I was shook when it was at 12 cents. As soon as Bitcoin appeared, capital started flowing into it. Yeah. And it's gone up 100 million X against a dollar. And there's only like another 10x to go or 100x, but that last 10x will be felt in a different way. See, the thing is, at $100,000 per Bitcoin, everybody's happy, but a million dollars for Bitcoin, people will understand like empire's over. There's something about that as like a round number and so and so and people are like, wait a second. And what we're thinking about it is like normal inflation is supposed to be like 2% a year. That works out to like 0.2% a month. It's an arbitrary figure. It comes
Starting point is 00:40:41 from New Zealand. It should really be 0% but let's say, okay, hyperinflation is 50% a month, right? So 0.2% a month, normal inflation, hyperinflation 50% a month. What if we define superinflation as 5% a month, right? If you work it out, the compound rate at which the dollar has been devaluing against Bitcoin is like 10.41% a month for 16 years. Okay. So we're actually already in the middle of the global run on the dollar. It's like that bullet train that's been accelerating without people seeing it. The alternative is already here. You're seeing BlackRock saying Bitcoin is an alternative to the dollar, right? The other alternative, by the way, is gold, physical gold. That's also at all-time highs. So gold and digital gold
Starting point is 00:41:20 are the things that will be obvious warning symbols in retrospect that this order is changing, right? And so then what comes on the other side? My view is that the future is China versus the internet. And the heirs to American Empire, China has the military and the manufacturing. And it's like, you know, it's one of these things where, you know, guys like Peter Zion will say, oh, China's going to fall into a ditch, it's going to get old before it gets rich. The U.S. can blockade China, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. And in actuality, a lot of those things are happening in reverse.
Starting point is 00:41:54 For example, China's blockading the U.S., China's proxy Iran. It has its proxy of the Houthis that's blockading Suez, right? In many ways, U.S. demographics are worse than Chinese demographics. Why? Because you've got this polarized society. Everybody fighting each other. You have all of this ethnic conflict. You have young minorities expected to pay for old people's social security.
Starting point is 00:42:12 And on and on, you have men and women hating each other and whatnot, right? So U.S. demographics are a cauldron of ethnic gender, political, economic conflict and resentments waiting to bubble over, right? China, for its false, has, like, a homogeneous society, right? So the problem is China is very strong, right? I think of the people who downplay China as the stealth on the Chinese stealth bomber, right? They're not doing anybody any favors. China is extremely strong, and it's very competent.
Starting point is 00:42:37 And if we can't build an alternative, then it will just be dominant. You believe what Trump is doing in terms of shutting the borders and changing this sort of tariff regime is an isolation and then getting rid of immigration, largely. This is a very dangerous strategy. It's a very dangerous strategy. It's not going to work. Well, it's like not even like, it's like, you know, the thing like a nice strategy caught and let's see if it works for them, right? Just take the tariff thing alone, okay? Those were simultaneous tariffs on the entire world, right? So Vietnam got hit. Cambodia got hit. All these things, go ahead. They're strays. They're strays. They're stray bullets. Exactly. Like, I analogize it to like firing into a crowd to like get
Starting point is 00:43:24 China, right? Everybody who got hit by the stray, is not going to care that you were trying to get China. They're going to care how careless and random you are with the lives of all these people. And just to talk about the tariffs for a second. First, everybody who is pro-American in all these countries, they're the ones of American customers with American vendors, American suppliers. All those people who were the political faction of those countries that pushed for good relations with America, that pushed to travel to America to trade America,
Starting point is 00:43:49 all those people just got discredited. Right. They just got economically harmed. They got absolutely nuked because they trusted in the stability of the United States of America. They trust in the stability of the trade system. They trust in the stability. Yeah, exactly. That's right.
Starting point is 00:44:01 And when you add it up, it's basically the U.S. no longer wants to be the hub of this global financial empire. They don't want the foreign workers. They don't want the foreign trade. There's a faction of MAGA that is incorrect in their own way as economically irrational as a far left that actually thinks that 77 million MAGA can compete with 1.4 billion China, let alone the entire world. It's simply not true. Go ahead.
Starting point is 00:44:25 Well, no, I was going to say. the idea that Americans want to rush in and make iPhones in a factory is like so farcical. It's not that iPhones can't be made in America. You know what happens? When you bring this up on X, people will say, they'll get really mad. And then they'll say, well, I want someone else to be able to work in a factory. Right. Right.
Starting point is 00:44:42 But you can't find anybody in your family who said, wow, wouldn't it be great if I could do that? Now, listen, we do make Teslas in factories in America. It can be done. We're making rockets in America. It's not the question of if we can make them there. But if we're going to close the border and we have 4% unemployment, who's going to work in these factories? Yes, but let me give also the steel man case for MAGA, because I understand where their worldview comes from. So first is they would say, okay, sure, maybe I as a white collar worker, whatever, don't want to work in a factory.
Starting point is 00:45:09 They would say that, but it's way better than blue collar worker has opportunity to work in a factory than dying of fentanyl or whatever. True. Okay. Number two, they'd say factory work produces skills and stuff. There's all kinds of mechanical maintenance and whatnot, which you don't want to. over offshore and center receipts. I'd agree with that as well. Third, they'd say, as a red American, they've gotten a hard time from blue Americans. Red America has been sent or receipts to die, and so and so forth. Blue Americans have exploited them. There's some truth to that as well. Okay. I could go and I could say quite a few things. Another thing they'd say is we're running these trade deficits for so long. We can't run them endlessly. And we need to be able to make things at home. We'll be too dependent on others. We're too dependent on China, too abandoned on the rest of the world.
Starting point is 00:45:48 There's some truth to that as well. Okay. But what they get wrong is they're in a huge hole. And they think that they can just get out with some sudden move, right? You cannot get out of 45 years of deindustrialization with 45% tariffs. There's no overnight fix for this, right? Two, maybe, yes, blue America and red America have been fighting. That doesn't mean Vietnam is the enemy of red America. It also doesn't mean like Canadian conservatives are the enemy of red America. What they managed to do by threatening to invade Greenland and Canada and doing these tariffs and so on,
Starting point is 00:46:20 It's just like the wokes built the anti-woke coalition, the MAGAS have built the post-American coalition. If we are this unpredictable to the rest of the world, the world will look for more predictable partners to partner with. And it's happening as we speak. And we're five months into this presidency. And already you have China, Singapore, Russia, India, and everybody in between going, well, if we can't figure out how to work with the Trump administration, if we can't figure out how to work with America, I guess we should just work with each other. And that's a very dangerous place to be. Like, perhaps we're overplaying our hand and how important we are to China, how important we are
Starting point is 00:47:02 to India, like how important are we? Do they have other customers? I think they have a lot of other customers. They have a lot of customers. And in fact, in 2015, China was taken aback by the trade war. But our last 10 years, they're now prepared for it. And like a lot of Trump tactics don't work anymore. They're not surprised anymore.
Starting point is 00:47:17 It's just the same kind of thing. and they reduced their share of revenue for the U.S. It's only 15%, 16% of Chinese trade goes to the U.S. 85% was overseas. They built up these other markets. Let me tell you a little story, right? So in the late 2000s, around 2008, with the Beijing Olympics, you remember that, right? So there was pollution in Beijing.
Starting point is 00:47:37 Now they've actually solved it, but there was heavy pollution for a long time, right? The runners would not want to run a marathon there. That's right. So China basically went, they knew all the people who were polluting, and they went to them like a few weeks before, and they told them to shut all their stuff down so they'd have clear skies for the Beijing Olympics. Okay. So I was operating the clinical lab at that time. There was a global shortage of a specific kind of chemical precursor that was used in various biomedical reactions. And the price like skyrocketed like 100x for that time because one of those factories, like China was
Starting point is 00:48:09 just the scale supplier of like the whole world. That meant like research, clinical testing and so ground to a halt for anything that used this compound, or you had huge spikes and costs just for a few weeks. Now, look, this wasn't the end of the world because it did resume, but a lot of people had lab test interruptions, research interruptions, and so on. And that was 20 years ago. And that gave me a sense of what China is, right? It is just upstream of the physical world. Like, the U.S. military is made in China. Like Tomahawk missiles, you know, there's a report, $400 million of Pentagon paid Govini to go and study the U.S. military supply chains. Tomokup missiles, J.D.ams, The supplier, suppliers in China, right?
Starting point is 00:48:46 The former Secretary of the Navy, Carlos Diltoro, in 2020-23, he says, one Chinese shipyard can build more ships than the entire U.S. Navy combined. Right. Okay. You have Hegsep recently on a podcast, Sean Ryan podcast, and he said, Chinese hypersonics can sink every U.S. aircraft carrier. You have basically this U.S. Navy chart that shows China's 200 X U.S. shipbuilding capacity. And people will say, oh, it doesn't have the aircraft carriers yet, but that's like saying
Starting point is 00:49:08 Netflix doesn't have the Bwatra. Yeah, it has the number of ships, but it doesn't have the tonnage. But these are semantic arguments. These semantic arguments. Because it's like saying how many blockbuster stores does Netflix have? They're paradigm shifting. They're going with standoff missiles and hypersonic. Anyway, the point is, to the predictability part, all these countries, it's even worse
Starting point is 00:49:25 than them just trading with each other. They're all re-centering around China because it's a global hub for trade. China has ships in every port. It has relationships with every country. Every country needs Chinese goods, right? And so China just has more leverage. And people think that the U.S. has leverage because it's a consumer, but what's it giving? It's giving basically dollars.
Starting point is 00:49:44 Why are dollars valuable? Now we have to ask deeper questions. The only reason the U.S. can maintain its current level of consumption is that there was a global financial empire where the right built the U.S. military and the left did U.S. diplomacy. Underappreciated by the right. Look, you and I, we've been on lots of cap tables who did lots of deals. Imagine a cap deal with 196 people on it.
Starting point is 00:50:03 That's a huge pain. Now imagine 196 countries and how it is to get them to sign on the line which is dotted. That's a huge pain, right? Yeah, a lot of work. And so things like the WTO or WHO, U.S. diplomats got 196 countries to sign on to this stuff. Yeah. Okay? They got 196 heads of state, like all kinds of crazy standouts, holdouts.
Starting point is 00:50:23 U.S. diplomats were the best ever. And so was the U.S. military, the best ever. And because of this, the left and the right, stayed in Pentagon, worked together to build the greatest empire of all time, right? And is it just over now? It's just over now. It's just over as your position. Or it's ending and people haven't marked it to market.
Starting point is 00:50:40 Basically, hard power is China and hard money is Bitcoin, right? That's the future political axis. CCP is total control. Bitcoin is total freedom, right? Now, total freedom can also be total anarchy, right? So I'm very sympathetic to Bitcoin. I'm certainly more on this side of things, but I think you want some balance between total control and total anarchy, right?
Starting point is 00:51:01 And that's where network states, that's where Dubai, that's where maybe India, that's maybe Eastern Europe and other places will have to be. And so to your point about predictability, the problem is that you're not, you know, lots of countries are now thinking of China as a less unpredictable partner than the U.S. Even after the Shanghai lockdowns of 2022 when China put the country, which is crazy, but it's actually really bad. Well, a dictatorship that will put a million Uyghurs into a concentration camp, a dictatorship that will put their country under surveillance that will take the entire
Starting point is 00:51:32 sector of entrepreneurship and say, we own the companies now. And Jack Ma is going to go into re-education or oil painting, classes. Like, that's too, that's the most, that's more reliable than the United States. Like, let that sing in that people are making that choice. And the problem is that basically it'll be, they'll be the version 3.0, which is the V1 is sort of the instinctive conservative reaction, Chinese Communist Party and so and so forth, right? The V2, there's a certain kind of sophisticated international commentator who will say something like this. And let me explain it and then I'll give a counterargument to what they're saying. They'll say, well, the U.S. blew up the Middle
Starting point is 00:52:07 East and China's building up Africa. You just gotten all these wars, killed. these people, China hasn't done that. U.S. wrecked its cities and China's built up its cities. Therefore, China's peaceful rise, China is good. Now, my counter argument to that, accepting that some of that is true that China did build itself up and so on and so forth, if you think about the U.S., it was generally the better actor of the U.S. versus USSR up to 1991, like West Germany was better off than East Germany. South Korea was better off than North Korea. Capitalist countries wealthier or freer than communist countries, right? But after 1991, it became so powerful that it lost its way. hyperpower went to its head.
Starting point is 00:52:40 You started blowing up these countries. It started basically like a really wealthy grandkid or great grandkid. Interventionism for no reason. They put the fortune up their nose, right? Like there's this saying shirt sleeves to shirt sleeves in three generations. Being born really, really, really rich is actually sometimes a curse because they don't understand the value of hard work, right? So all these people inherited an empire that they could never build.
Starting point is 00:53:02 And the last 30 years of management since 1991 has been some of the worst management maybe of any empire ever in history. The problem is that on the current path, when China wins, meaning like the U.S. has its sovereign debt crisis, because all these things on the tariff, what they're doing? They're reducing the demand for the dollar. The demand for the dollar is the only thing that's keeping the U.S. economy afloat because, you know, the Fed's plunge protection teams, don't that is? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:53:28 It basically buys stocks with printed money, right? It's upward redistribution of wealth in a sense, right? This has been going on at least since the 90s, you know, with the Fed's mortgage-backed securities. it's admitted, it's buying assets with its own balance sheet. Many other times it uses like shell entities and so on to do that. It spots people money and so on, but it props up the market with printing. When there isn't global demand for the dollar, when you have weak treasury auctions, when people aren't able to trade with the U.S. why would they want to hold U.S. dollars anymore, right? They can't send their people in. They can't send their workers in. They can't
Starting point is 00:53:57 even come there for tourism. Why do they want to hold U.S. dollars again, especially can they can be frozen with sanctions, especially when there's Bitcoin and gold and so on? They won't, right? So when that happens, you get a markdown and China just rises into the vacuum. People don't understand that it's like number one in many research fields, right? It's number one in many manufacturing fields. It's way stronger than people think. And the problem is, China will be even meaner than you think when it's dominant. Right now what constrains China, internally China is not constrained.
Starting point is 00:54:26 So can throw all those people in lockdown in like Shanghai-2020. But externally, it still feared the U.S. and the U.S. is almost the opposite. Internally, there was Republican Democrats who was somewhat constrained. But externally, it was bombing all these countries because it didn't feel constrained, right? This is absolute power corrupts absolutely. So we need a counterbalance this completely unleashed China, and that is the internet. Right? Because with the internet, we can actually, that's the air to American values, right?
Starting point is 00:54:52 Of course, it's capitalism, it's freedom. It's a manifestation of democracy. But it's also that. It's right. It's the libertarian values and the progressive values, right? In the non-corrupted form, right? So it's freedom, it's capitalism, it's contracts, it's cryptocurrency, but it's also democracy, equality, media, science.
Starting point is 00:55:08 In a real sense, I'm one of the biggest funders of those things in the world. For example, I fund all this decentralized science, right? I fund all these decentralized media, all these decentralized citizens and journalists, things like provenance, you know, the who, what, when, where, why, how, of a story, like the where is proof of location, right? The who is proof of human, right? And there's all these decentralized ways of doing this to get to truth, right? To get to media, to get to science, to get to equality,
Starting point is 00:55:31 because that's what crypto is. It's an equal system for the whole role. Fernando D'Sartaneda's written about this. Like, all these people in Latin America are artificially poor because they don't have property rights. Now we can deliver that to them over the internet, right?
Starting point is 00:55:42 And this is not only theoretical. 10 years ago talking about crypto and poor countries was theoretical. Now it's not. These people need crypto. Like in Lebanon, in Nigeria, in like Venezuela, their phones are their lifelines.
Starting point is 00:55:53 They are crypto-first. They are internet-first people. And when I'm talking to them, it's not theory that we're talking about. It's practice, right? Yeah. So internet first, I think that is the one thing that can build an economic union that can balance China. It seems like the Bitcoin game that everybody's buying into was based upon it not being centrally controlled. And now you have an actor who has 600,000 bitcoins out of the...
Starting point is 00:56:19 Yeah, and Saler. Well, Michael Salar, I think has 600,000 now. Something like that, yeah. So he's the largest holder other than, I guess, the dead Satoshi wallets. Yeah, so full of story, I'm friendly with all these guys. Sure, of course. Yeah. Go ahead. I met him. So it's not a character thing as much as does it break the game that somebody wants to buy up
Starting point is 00:56:41 that much of the supply of Bitcoin? And then just as we wrap, like the, I think we all expected that maybe Bitcoin would be replaced or hacked at some point. It hasn't been hacked. And I mean, I guess you can make arguments about, you know, the, I guess, layer two's as Solanas, the Ethereum's, you know, serving a different purpose. But is Bitcoin here to stay? And does this consolidation of Bitcoin into a small number of holders jeopardize them? I think on balance, it's good, but it has risks. Okay. On balance, why is it good?
Starting point is 00:57:14 Because it allows tradfi, all these other people who could not put capital into Bitcoin to put capital into Bitcoin and it boost Bitcoin. It is quite possible, perhaps even likely, that at some point, there will be an attempt for a seizure. Okay? Because Bitcoin at 100,000, again, everybody's smiling. Bitcoin at a million, let alone 10 million, that is the flippinging, right? Summer, you know, a long time ago, my friend Olaf and I calculated that somewhere between $100,000 and a million for Bitcoin is the billionaire flippinging when most billionaires become crypto. There's about 2,000 gold billionaires. Somewhere around that range, there's a flip, most billionaires become crypto, right? And then, of course, a million dollars isn't worth what it's worth anymore. Faith
Starting point is 00:57:55 in the dollar is eroded. And it could go very quickly from, like, I don't know, maybe 300,000 to a million. There'll be a point at which there's a loss of faith in the currency and it just goes like this. Okay. Now, at that moment, see, remember 2021 when Trump was not a lot to tweet, right, after Jan 6th, right? If in 2010, I told you that in 2021, the president of the United States will be defined by whether or not he's able to tweet, even given that the Arab Spring and other stuff it happened. You just adology, you're just exaggering. Social media just isn't that important. Right. It would seem surreal. Literally, he was silenced by a cobble of four or five companies. Yeah. And now if I tell you, deep platform. I don't know the exact year, but by sometime plus minus,
Starting point is 00:58:35 maybe 2035, a country will not exist if it doesn't have gold or digital gold. Like, it literally will be insolvent. Like, you're not the president if you don't have social media. You're not a country if you don't have cryptocurrency. Or maybe gold, right? I think physical gold is interesting because it's the complement to crypto. It has different failure modes. States will go with physical gold
Starting point is 00:58:59 and individuals and startups will go with digital gold. The reason is physical gold requires trucks. It requires guys with guns. It requires, like, you know, magnetometers and so on. So like something like China, like a state, can protect that because they've got little guys
Starting point is 00:59:13 with guns around it and they go and, you know, like the Korean demilitarized zone. You can imagine something like that between Russia and China. where they just hand each other gold bricks every day or whatever, right, to do settlement, right? So something like that could work between countries, that basically their embassies become places for gold settlement. I think that's very possible. But that's too much fixed cost for an individual, right? And also, gold bricks can be detected when you go through metal
Starting point is 00:59:33 detectors. That may be the real purpose of TSA, actually, right? Okay. So point being, though, to your point, is possible that seizure orders do happen when Bitcoin gets a certain level. Then what happens? All the Bitcoin that is not able to be seized that's free Bitcoin is actually more valuable, number one. Number two is, I think that even in an economy, which is Bitcoin maximalists don't, I don't think, I'm not a Bitcoin maximalist, but they don't understand or they don't want to accept this point that there will be other assets besides digital gold, right? Of course, yeah. Because you know, Bitcoin itself is like, it's expensive to transact when you're transacting. It'll be a small number of daily transactions relatively. It's about the scale of Fedwire,
Starting point is 01:00:15 by the way. Fedwire, about 500,000 daily transactions, Bitcoin's about the same. High denomination transactions that are infrequent. That's what Bitcoin is. Everything else will go to Ethereum, Solana, you know, like privacy coins and so and so forth, right? And other chains like this, because you just don't want to have all that traffic on just one chain. So already you have, you know, for example, USTC, UST on other chains, you have smart contracts interchange, you have privacy underchains, because Bitcoin is immutable and these other things aren't. Now, what are the risks of Bitcoin? One is seizure. Two is quantum, right? Yeah. So we definitely need quantum-resistant Bitcoin. And that's not farcical. That's not farcical.
Starting point is 01:00:56 No, no. It's completely, it'll happen at some point. It's probable and it's possible in the short term and it's probable in the long term. Yes, the main issue with quantum is not that there isn't a solution on the radar for Bitcoin, because with quantum decryption, you can also have quantum encryption. Sure. The key question is, is quantum decryption something where we can put a quantum safe algorithm in place in time? And people think we can. The hard part is moving every coin from the old address to the new quantum safe address could take almost a year, so a lot of old coins could get raided in that time, right? So then there's various... It's wild to think about that. You might even be better off just starting a new product. There might be a QBTC or something like that, right?
Starting point is 01:01:39 But in a sense, even if Bitcoin only achieves its objective. Now, one thing you get, by the way, is what's called social reset. Social reset could be something where the community just agrees between themselves that we're just going to snapshot the chain at this point in time and move it over to this new chain. Wild. Okay? So that is a non-technical but social kind of thing, which I think is absolutely going to happen at some point. Wow.
Starting point is 01:02:05 Right? Because Bitcoin is, there's more Bitcoiners than our Americans. right, more, many hundreds of millions worldwide, right? And importantly, Bitcoin appeals to a lot of people in China. Why? Because money the party can't cease. So even as American culture, unfortunately, it's becoming less appealing to people in China. Internet culture is still valuable, right? They still need the free internet. They still want GitHub, right? They still want Bitcoin. They still want these things. Hundreds of millions of people in China still like these things, right? That's what I call the Chinese capitalist party. And then the years to come, every possible
Starting point is 01:02:36 crazy attack on crypto is going to happen. But because there's so many coins, it'll be very difficult to take the currency of the people by the people for the people from this earth. On that note, gosh, congratulations on taking a lot of theories and making them into reality. You're six months into this journey, but it's clear you've struck a nerve. And I think that you're doing important work as a backstop against, you know, people being cynical and not thinking that new things can't be tried. So I wish you great success with your network school state and the believers in it. I think that's kind of the most interesting part is that you've assembled hundreds of people in person and tens of thousands of people online who actually believe that this audacious project is worth their energy
Starting point is 01:03:24 and their time and their geography. So congratulations. Thank you. I'll say one last thing, which is people, you're watching this apply to network school, ns.com. And also if you're an angel investor, or VC and so on. We have space. So personal runway. Basically, $18,000 a year, like, that'll carry you. A 125K incubator check will go with two founders a couple years. Yeah, well, so actually way more than that, right? So basically, so if you have, if you can't get to the U.S. on a visa, if you just want to cut your burn, apply to NS, and if you're an investor, we can take your companies, we've got plenty of space and so, and so. So it's a great pitch. All right. We'll see you all next time. Bye-bye.
Starting point is 01:04:03 Thank you.

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