This Week in Startups - TWiST News: F1 on Apple Vision Pro, Self-Driving, and Stablecoins | E2029
Episode Date: October 22, 2024This Week in Startups is brought to you by… DigitalOcean’s GPU Droplet - simple flexible, affordable, and scalable machines for your AI/ML workloads. Spin up powerful GPU virtual machines and star...t training models, building agents, or digging deep into huge data sets in seconds—and spin them back down just as quickly. With options ranging from single-GPU configurations to setups with 8 GPUs, you can scale computing power based on your specific needs without having to make upfront hardware investments. Get up to 100k in free Credits at https://www.do.co/twist! Oracle - Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, or OCI, is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. Save up to 50% on your cloud bill at https://www.oracle.com/twist Kalshi—the largest regulated predictions market—now lets you trade on US elections. Visit https://www.kalshi.com/twist to see live odds, trade, and get $20 when you deposit $100. * Todays show: Alex Wilhelm joins Jason to discuss the GPU market insights and the discovery of a new prime number. John LePore from BlackBox Infinite joins to discuss bridging science fiction with real-world tech, focusing on VisionPRO and Hollywood VFX. The discussion shifts to autonomous driving, Tesla's safety improvements, and Stripe's acquisition of Bridge. * Timestamps: (0:00) Jason and Alex kick off the show (5:15) Discovery of a new prime number and GPU market insights (7:15) BlackBox Infinite's John LePore joins the show (10:06) DigitalOcean - Approved listeners can get up to $100,000 in free credits to try out. Visit https://www.do.co/twist to get started. Terms and conditions apply (11:54) VisionPRO app development and Hollywood VFX integration (16:51) Oracle - Try OCI and save up to 50% on your cloud bill at https://www.oracle.com/twist (18:35) Bridging the gap between science fiction and real-world technology (20:36) Deep dive into the F1 experience prototype (28:22) Kalshi - Visit https://www.kalshi.com/twist today to see live election odds, place a trade, and get $20 dollars when you deposit $100. (29:35) Inspirational media and its impact on technology (32:10) The influence of science fiction interfaces on real-world tech (38:59) How safe is self-driving technology today? (1:03:11) Stripe buying Stablecoin provider Bridge * Subscribe to the TWiST500 newsletter: https://ticker.thisweekinstartups.com Check out the TWIST500: https://www.twist500.com * Subscribe to This Week in Startups on Apple: https://rb.gy/v19fcp * Follow John: X: https://www.x.com/JohnnyMotion LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/johnnymotion * Follow Alex: X: https://x.com/alex LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelm * Follow Jason: X: https://twitter.com/Jason LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanis * Thank you to our partners: (10:06) DigitalOcean - Approved listeners can get up to $100,000 in free credits to try out. Visit https://www.do.co/twist to get started. Terms and conditions apply (16:51) Oracle - Try OCI and save up to 50% on your cloud bill at https://www.oracle.com/twist (28:22) Kalshi - Visit https://www.kalshi.com/twist today to see live election odds, place a trade, and get $20 dollars when you deposit $100. * Great TWIST interviews: Will Guidara, Eoghan McCabe, Steve Huffman, Brian Chesky, Bob Moesta, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarland * Check out Jason’s suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanis * Follow TWiST: Twitter: https://twitter.com/TWiStartups YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/thisweekin Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thisweekinstartups TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thisweekinstartups Substack: https://twistartups.substack.com * Subscribe to the Founder University Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@founderuniversity1916
Transcript
Discussion (0)
You know, Alex, we got a lot of applications for Foundry University.
I gave a little pitch for it on the All In podcast last week.
We were talking about it here on this weekend startup.
So I got a lot of application.
I'm really excited about this.
I mean, you know that I love demo days.
Can we take a look and see what people have cooked up?
Yeah, absolutely.
You know what?
I'll do a live demo.
This is an application we got actually from Kamala Harrod.
It's a Kamala GPT.
This is a language model from Kamala Harris.
Let's give it a shot.
Should we do it live?
Yeah, let's do it live.
Okay.
Kamala GPT.
how many people cross the border
while you were vice president?
I can imagine what can be
and be unburdened by what has been.
Ooh, yeah, that's a little rough.
That's a little rough there.
This is another application.
Donnie GPD, Donny GPD.
Here's the Johnny GPD.
Hey, Donny GPD.
If you lose the 2024 election,
will you concede or will we have another January 6th?
That's a question.
Some showers with the other pros
they came out of there,
and they said,
oh my God.
I think they're both hallucinating.
There were other applications
that came in as well.
I saw Sam Altman had an application.
Here it is.
This is Sam's Cap Table software.
Oh, man.
Yes.
You just plug it in
and your nonprofit can become a for-profit
and just...
Well, if it's Sam Aldman's cap table,
I'm pretty sure no matter
what investors are on there,
Sam Allman ends up with 100% of the equity.
Here's one for you.
You and Mark and Tristan might...
He applied and he's got his hair growth tonic here.
This is for you and Mark.
I mean,
The problem is Mark has messed up the application of it and has only applied his hair tonic on his beard area.
And he should try it on top.
I'll give us the report back.
This is another one.
This is Tim Walts applied.
This is for his travel guide to China.
He can take a tour with Tim.
I don't think I would take that tour right now with the political climate or with Tim Walz, to be truly honest.
I don't know.
We'll put Tim Fowl hats on here.
And JD Vance also applied.
Here's a JD's guyliner.
Guy Liner from J.D. Vance.
Guaranteed to make you look like a serious politician.
overnight.
Overnight, absolutely.
And this is another one from JD-Vant.
Someone is a little spicy.
Oh, no, no, get that off the screen.
That's too much, too much.
Let's do the show.
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All right, everybody, welcome back to this week in startups.
I'm Jason Calacanis, an angel investor here in Austin, Texas.
And with me is my partner in crime from the East Coast.
His name is Alex Wilhelm.
How you doing, brother?
I'm doing fantastically because I had a weekend full of sport and food and fall fun.
I had the most wholesome time, Jason, I'm feeling fulfilled.
Did you, you're in the Northeast?
Did you do the apple picking?
Did you do the pumpkin patch?
describe what's going on there in the northeast.
That's one of my favorite things to do was going apple picking with my family as a youth.
So we didn't go apple picking this last weekend.
That is on the agenda.
But we went to a fall festival at a farm and there was like pumpkin slingshots and a corn
made.
It was just the most wholesome thing.
Something people who don't have kids don't know is how much stuff is out there for
people who do have children.
Because you would never go there if you're like 27, just hanging out.
But it was it was just so child friendly and lovely.
And I was just like, it's a great weekend.
It's warm and good, Jason.
I don't know.
I'm just feeling it.
Awesome.
That's fantastic.
And yeah, I'm getting ready.
My kids are making their own outfit.
So, you know, we're always trying to do crafts.
My kids are a little older than yours.
So we're always trying to do some crafts or creative projects and make them,
um, independent humans in the world, maybe less consumption, more creation.
So we make ice cream this weekend.
We got our ice cream machine back out of the closet and we did two different types of ice cream.
I am looking forward to the Halloween twist episode in which you and I are both going to dress up as vampires, I think, was the agreement.
I think we should both go as like people from the industry. I'm going to cosplay Palmer Lucky. I will do a cosplaying Palmer Lucky as my cosplay for Halloween.
So given my head and lack of hair, I do think that the only person I could really do is Mark Andreson. Or Bezos. You could go Bezos.
Oh, that's true. I could go Bezos.
Yeah. Bezos yacht, Andreson pack, you know, plus.
I think Andreessen's the best pull.
Andreson's the best pull.
Doing a Halloween costume
someone who's blocked you on Twitter, I think,
is a mark of pride.
I do want to just point out a little pre-show banter
before we dive into the news here.
Something really cool is happening.
And we talk a lot about GPUs,
GPU clouds,
and how the AI boom is changing
the way people handle compute.
It's actually done something else.
So recently, the great internet,
Mersan Prime Search, or GIMPS,
has discovered a new prime number.
It is the, I think, the largest known prime.
It's 41,024, 320 digits.
So it's enormous.
And it turns out there's a guy named Luke Durant.
And he found this.
Former Nvidia engineer used GPUs in 17 different countries
to help find this number as part of a kind of independent community-based search.
And so here we see GPUs, meeting mathematics,
and actually moving our understanding forward.
I thought it was just like a cool combination of stuff we've been talking about.
Okay, so a prime number, it's a natural number greater than one that has no positive divisors other than one and itself.
Yep.
For example, two, because, yeah, two goes into two once, yeah, or three are all prime number.
So somebody found the largest one at 41 million digits.
Oh, my lord.
Forty one million digits.
That is so many digits.
Like, I can't even, what would that be like a subtillion, subtillion?
subtillion to the subtillions, like, it's insane.
But it goes to show that GPUs are awesome.
And then what do we do with this?
Oh, we look at it.
Got it.
I mean, if we find like a certain size prime number,
is it going to open up like the Marvel universe
and like all the different timelines collapse on each other or something?
Or we just don't know?
We don't know.
I wish that was the case.
But my favorite example of how like pure science can actually impact the real world is
some Microsoft research they used to do.
They have their own like basic features division.
And they tracked, they learned how to track bone movements in people.
And then that ended up becoming the basis for the connect, that gaming device that sold like a
bajillion units.
So sometimes we don't know what's going to happen.
But here we do have an enormous number.
So there you go, everybody.
If you wanted a bigger number that's prime, you got it.
And GPUs are in, you know, short supply.
Everybody's buying up all the, the H-100s and all the GPUs.
And there's a startup angle here.
Data Crunch is a new GPU cloud.
I guess they call those neoclouds now, new clouds.
And it's based in Finland.
They just raised $7.6 million in equity and $5.4 million in debt.
That goes right to NVIDIA's bottom line.
And they'll compete with other Twist 500 companies like CoreWeave and what's the other one, Lombada?
Lambda Labs.
Yeah.
So there's a bunch of people who are now providing GPUs as a service.
We got a packed show today.
And, you know, I have been following a really interesting person on Twitter.
His name is John Lepore, and he is the co-founder of Black's Black Box Infinite.
They put together really interesting prototypes of the future.
And I started following this guy a couple years ago, and I've been tweeting him.
So let's just bring them on.
John, are you there?
There we go.
What's happening, Jason?
How are you doing out?
How are you doing Twitter, buddy?
Oh, doing good, doing good.
Happy to be here.
Thanks for invite me on.
Sure.
So tell us what you do for a living, and then maybe we'll do some show and tell of cool
stuff.
Awesome.
So I am the co-founder of a practice called Black Box Infinite.
We're a bunch of weirdos who have kind of woven together a bunch of different disciplines
to solve what we describe as like the,
the new problems that we see happening in technology and digital product design, right?
Like, we've got all these emerging paradigms that are falling out of the sky left and right.
And the digital product landscape, like today, it's really mature.
Like, it's really mature in a wonderful way.
If you need to make an app, you just follow the best practices and you end up with something
that's going to hit your goals or your targets.
but none of that applies to AI,
none of that applies to spatial interactions,
none of that applies to these more immersive,
like sensory experiences and things that are now showing up
all over the place.
And we found that our background and experience
in a mixture of a little bit of user experience,
a little bit of product design,
but also a lot of like Hollywood VFX
is something that helps us push the boundary,
out for what's possible and kind of jumping into scenarios where we put a lot of pressure on a lot of our
clients to make sure that they're fully utilizing all of the capabilities or just all the
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So this actually caught my attention originally because you guys have put out a kind of a prototype back in January of an F1 experience, something that you could build for Apple's new Vision Pro headsets.
And it ended up getting something like 300,000 views, MKBHD talked about it.
And recently you guys announced that it's now an actual product.
But I want to talk about the Genesis because at the time, Blackbox wrote that you guys were frustrated with many early use cases for the Vision Pro and that they were more kind of tabloat.
in phone apps, then, quote, the magical immersive hallucination machine and what it could do.
So can you tell us a little bit about why you felt that the Vision Pro's apps were kind of a failure
and why this was the way forward?
Yeah.
So, I mean, the Vision Pro to us, it's like clear as day, this is an incredible piece of technology, right?
Like, there's so much that this thing is capable of.
There's so much that it can do.
There's so much sophisticated things packed into this $3,500.
visor, right? And it was, yeah, it was heartbreaking to us to see as this thing came out to the world,
like, we're imagining, like, spent my career making fictional holograms and very augmented
reality or spatial-like experiences for movies and all sorts of other experiences and things
that are out there. And so now it's finally possible. And every single experience that I had seen
was just using this to look at, like, rounded rectangles floating in space.
And, you know, like, that's like, there is something cool about putting on the headset and having as many monitor views as you could imagine or whatnot.
But, like, you can buy a lot of monitors with $3,500, right?
Like, there's got to be more that you can do it.
So there was this idea that we had had gestating.
And actually, it was an idea that originated from there used to be a innovation prize that Formula One.
would give out every year.
And in 2018, I had submitted this concept to Formula One
and was actually flown out to Circuit of the Americas,
received a trophy from seven-time world champion Lewis Hamilton himself.
It was like one of the most insane days of my life.
But the idea never really went anywhere.
And it was just sort of, you know, it wasn't time yet for something like that.
And so with the Vision Pro coming out,
we figured, all right, we've got to put this idea out there into the world.
This idea to us was the perfect confluence of something that would be perfectly suited to this platform,
something that would be extremely feasible and achievable,
but also that when executed properly would feel super just magical, right?
But you know, you didn't build it, though.
You put out the idea, you showed it off on YouTube.
liked it, but you guys didn't actually go out there and build it yourselves.
Correct.
So we published this as, you know, what we describe as like a motion prototype.
You know, for us just effectively, we said vision pros coming out in a few weeks.
What's the quickest way that we can make something that we can share with the world that just begins to put our own spin on it?
And so we put that out there.
It resonated tremendously.
I mean, ESPN was reposting it.
MKBHD featured it several times on his channel.
It went all over the place.
I think we were at like 60 million plus views of the prototype
across all the different platforms.
For us, it was also like the ultimate statement
of kind of what we do at Black Box Infinite,
which is we look at the possibilities
and we start cracking the code on the place.
So you came out of the, if I understand correctly,
and the way I discovered you was you do this with movie studios.
So when we saw all this incredible stuff in Iron Man 2,
you had done some of that work of what Iron Man sees
through his heads-up display, et cetera.
So you do visual effects for movie studios primarily?
So before founding Blackbox,
I used to run all of the creative
at a VFX shop in New York called Perception.
And there I worked on somewhere north of 30
different Marvel films and all sorts of other movies and had this focus around creating the kind of
like fictional tech that appears in those in those stories now as soon as that work started
immediately started getting inquiries from real world technology brands who all were basically
you know you can you can imagine what they were saying was effectively how do we close the gap
between our practical technology and what we see in film,
which is a pretty natural thought,
but it's a really chaotic or convoluted way of trying to close the gap.
And so back in around 2010 or so, I think was when Iron Man 2 came out,
that was the first film that I had worked on,
I sent myself off to like user experience and digital product design boot camp
and just got really immersed in what does it take
to not just, you know, make a painting of a house,
but how do you make the blueprints?
How do you engineer every different aspect of it
and create something a little more sound
and a little more feasible?
And for me, there's this really wonderful tension and overlap.
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That's oracle.com slash twist. Is the gap closing because it did seem like minority report
felt like, man, that is way in the future. Like when he was doing the pinching and zooming and the
self-driving cars, and then there's iRobot. And then we see in the last week, you know,
the starship gets caught, a 23-story building gets caught with some toothpicks. And,
you know, the bus and the, and the self-driving car at the Robotaxi event was pretty compelling.
All of the stuff. And then, you know, let alone what we're seeing with VR and AR is the gap
tighter now between Westworld and the real world.
The gap is either tighter or it's farther apart than ever.
Okay.
Because we now, I believe we're now being equipped with all of the possibilities,
but we have a lot of baggage of the way that we've been making products and experiences and tools.
And sort of, you know, digital product design has through its maturity had a lot of the
imagination just sort of drained right out of it. There are all of these, you know, patterns and
processes and whatnot. And it's, it's this amazing, it's this huge field, right? Digital product
design. But there's so many people that are just, you know, stuck in this kind of following
rules. And those rules are there for a reason. If you think about how much money is at stake for
a company like meta. Yes. You know, if they put the pixels for an ad in a certain
spot, it might not look good in a Marvel film, but it might print an extra billion dollars a year.
So they are obsessed with the click-through rate of advertising, and that's their master.
Whereas in a film, the master is what's elegant and beautiful and inspiring.
And so I guess those two things, we have to close the gap.
But let's look at one more time, and I'll describe it for the audience, this unbelievable
F1 experience, because when I saw this, I was like, well, John did it again.
And so here, if we pull it up, you have in front of your computer monitor, essentially the entire track.
And so you see the track and you see the cars going around it, which is amazing.
And then when you hover over it, I suppose, this would be on hover or whatever, you can see a little monitor go above the car that shows the driver's perspective.
So now you're seeing multiple driver's perspectives and you're seeing it go around the track.
And I'll be honest, I don't, this kind of driving sport was never super interesting to me.
But when I saw this, I was like, I actually don't want to go to F1 in person.
I do want to experience this.
Because being able to switch between the first person perspectives to me and watching it on the full track, that makes sense.
But watching go, you, you, zoom, buy you.
you in person sounds quite repetitive.
What are your thoughts on that, Alex?
Am I,
too simple here in describing what I'm seeing?
No.
You are an actual fan of Zoom,
Zoom, Zoom.
Yeah, no,
I'm a huge fan of F1,
but you actually make a really good point,
which is that a lot of the camera angles
during the race are kind of lame.
They often do, like,
shots of cars coming towards these,
so you can't tell how fast they're going.
They cut too much.
You can't follow individual drivers.
And also, they can only show you one shot at a time,
but there's 20 cars out there.
So you often miss interesting battles.
And so what I'm,
I think this prototype that now became a thing called laps with a Z for the Vision Pro is so cool because it will highlight so much more information.
So it's not just showing us what we had before in a slightly remixed fashion.
It's expanding the aperture, more data, more information, and therefore more enjoyment.
And that's why it does feel like something a little bit new and different.
So, you know, points John, because other people haven't made something that's made me want to go out and buy Vision Pro right away.
But this did.
I mean, honestly, I think I just lost $3,500.
Screw you.
And also, John, like one thing I also notice about this building on what Alex just said is there's actually multiple things going on in a race.
I never thought about that.
I just thought, well, who's in the lead and that's where you're going to focus.
But there could be things going on in the back or the middle of the pack that are also super compelling, right?
And so this would give you the ability to dynamically switch between those.
And I noticed in golf when I don't watch golf on TV, they have this sort of lightning round or supercuts now where you go from one to,
the next hole so you have no downtime. It's almost like playing multiple hands of poker
simultaneously, multi-tabling and poker. So maybe talk a little bit about how you study the experience
and then make the interface, if that makes sense. Yeah. So there's a lot of factors that made this
like the perfect storm for us of this will be a special experience. And a lot of that has to do with
the feasibility, right? It can't just be, there's a lot of demos out there that show like
basketball players running around on your kitchen table or whatnot. And that's technically not
possible during a live NBA game right now. You can reconstruct a replay from camera arrays
in an arena, but it's complex, takes a lot of time. It's a pretty expensive process. And you can't
watch the sport live like that. And anyways, when you're watching a basketball game, like you want to
see the physicality of the players in 4K as we get during our broadcast.
Race cars, really easy to render in like a real-time game engine, right, and have them look
realistic.
Formula One has been capturing live telemetry data for generations now.
The data already exists for car positions, speeds, position of the steering wheel, all of
these different sort of factors.
It's all been out there basically, you.
you know, in the sport, just waiting for someone to grab a hold of it and do something interesting
with it. And then on top of that, it's exactly the factors you were both describing, which is that
with F1, you're often stuck just seeing whatever cars can fit within the 16 by 9 broadcast feed.
And there's a story going on beyond those three cars at all times. And so having this global
view of the race, of the stories, even of just the greater kind of like geography of these events.
Like, I'm a hardcore racing junkie. My dad is a racing instructor. I've spent a lot of time on
track. When I'm watching a race, I can't even tell. Like, is that turn seven or turn 15? Like,
it's really hard to track and stay aware of this stuff. And so we found that this resonated really
well got a lot of people really inspired and excited about the tech, got a lot of comments from
people saying, you know, just like you did, like, I don't care at all about F1, this would
pull me into it. And that gets us really excited. Now, the really fun part of this story, the most
recent update of this is that there is a fully functioning beta of this, that if you've got
a Vision Pro headset and you're on test flight, you can jump into the beta.
and you can experience this.
It's called lapse.
There's an amazing team of developers in Prague,
who upon seeing the initial concept film,
they basically said, well, can we build this?
Can we make this?
Do we have the ability to put this together?
These guys spent several months,
brilliant, brilliant guys,
Simon, Martin, Jan, Yaro.
They've been working their tails off
putting this together as a pet project.
This is a very much
an unofficial
beta product experience
and if you were to
watch the race yesterday
that was unfolding
watch it live in this experience
lapse you would swear
this was the official
Formula One experience.
It is so polished, it's so sophisticated,
it's so well executed.
And so, uh,
we at
Black Box have teamed up with these guys to just continue to develop this further.
Amazing.
Keep pushing the boundaries of where this can go.
And we're just loving it because it's this like ultimate sort of manifestation of this
concept that we saw kind of light the internet on fire several months back.
And to us, it's very, very gratifying to see this.
I love this concept for you.
Make some brilliant design.
and then find people to build it
and then partner with them
and share the equity in it.
It's very like, you're almost like a venture capitalist
like me, you know, betting on people
and your contribution is, hey, here's what we,
here's a design, anybody want to build it.
I love that as a concept.
It's honestly, it's been, I feel completely spoiled
because it's been even easier than that.
There's several different teams
that without even having any contact with
just took it upon themselves
to put something together.
This one is several levels ahead of all of the other variants that we've seen.
And so we struck up a conversation with them and found a way to, you know, there's no harm in just figuring out if we can help them continue to enhance it.
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And just brass tax, a little equity in it would be nice, a little yum, yum.
You get a little upside in these designs.
And if only you knew a venture capitalist early stage seed investor who could put a little bit of money behind this, man, we might actually have a great product.
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As your most inspiring from your youth today, anywhere in between television show, comic book, novel, but mostly movies, I guess.
What is the most compelling for you and inspiring?
So that's a tough question.
There's a lot of them out there that I absolutely adore.
And I think for me, because I spent a lot of time doing this work, I have come to really respect how challenging it is to convey complex, rich depth technology concepts when they're only seen at a glance.
Like my favorite that I had worked on was Black Panther, this vibranium sand that you see throughout the whole film.
It's like a physical interface rather than a hologram or the sort of traditional like glowing.
as I call it.
Like, to me, anywhere where you see something that's very distinctly different, but
where you can also understand what's driving it.
So Mission Impossible three, I believe it is, the one where they go up the side of the tall building,
there's a point in the story where they're breaking into the Kremlin and they unfurl a projection
screen in a hallway and they have camera.
behind the projection screen tracking the position
of the security guard's eyes,
and it's rendering an illusion of the hallway continuing.
Amazing.
Moving along with the guy's eyes.
And I saw that in the movie theater.
I turned to my wife,
and I was like, honey, you got to understand
what's happening here, is they're tracking their eyes
because that gets the right person.
And she's just like, you dumbass, I get it.
It's obvious.
Like, why are you like,
everybody in the movie theater understands?
this. And I was just like, there you go. That's, that's, that's, that's brilliant.
Well, and if you think about invisibility as a concept, you know, Wonder Woman's Invisible
Jet, I know your team Marvel, but any of these concepts, if you actually know who the audience is
and you have a screen, uh, you could make something essentially disappear in the world. And so
here is that hallway scene where they set it up and they are tracking this guy's eyes. That's the
scene where they track the eyes. And there it is.
We now have a security guard who cannot tell that these guys are walking down the hallway with a projector screen.
So, such a great combination.
What a great pull.
And it's all, and it's all show don't tell, right?
Like, they're not, they're not hitting the brakes on the movie to have a TED talk about how this technology concept is functioning.
No voiceover.
No voiceover.
You just, you just see it and you just get it.
And that's, to me, that's a miracle.
Westworld also has an amazing.
one where they're doing the logic trees for how the robots are going to respond in real
time. You just see someone glancing at a tablet. You see with every voice interaction, these new
branches that, you know, start creating alternate, you know, potential answers. And you're talking
about the HBO series of Westworld. Yes. Yes. Yes. Done by Lisa Joy and Jonathan Nolan,
who I've met. And I've told the story of
before. Like, I remember talking to them, my friend Sam Harris, and my friend Elon Musk to drop a bunch of names in one sentence about artificial intelligence. We had these conversations like 10, 15 years ago over dinner or parties. And here it is, like improvisation, do this. And yeah, you don't need to. And just think about how much this, Alex, what we just saw with that full, how much of that predated by five, 10 years, what we saw happen with chat cheap.
So this is one of the really interesting things I love about science fiction and the work you're doing, John, and writers do, Alex, is all of this inspiration is like a flywheel.
You know, you build something, put technology out into the world like Vision Pro or Oculus, you know, or chat GPT, and it just inspires creatives to take it to the next level and then bring it back.
And if you look at her, another great seminal film, the earpiece in her predated, I believe,
AirPods possibly, but maybe not.
And, you know, this whole concept of like you're talking to somebody, but you don't,
nobody knows you're in a conversation with another entity.
And that entity is doing decision trees to make you feel good.
So, and those two, I love just because they communicate so much understanding.
I love the vibe of him because you.
just mentioned it, I'm going to drop her because I love the way that hers vision of the future
all the way down to, and like maybe my favorite part of it is the way they treated fashion
in the future. And they depicted it as kind of dorky and goofy looking. And we ended up
actually trending straight towards that. But just this notion that like, because all the time,
the future is viewed through the lens of today.
And that's why, like, you can tell,
you can see a science fiction movie made
where the spacesuits have bell bottoms on them, right?
And, like, things like that.
And it just, like, you immediately are like,
well, that was only what the future felt like
during that three to six year period.
And there's just this much broader concept
of making sure that when you're working in these spaces,
you don't get caught up in this notion of, like,
I almost hate the word futuristic.
Like it just sort of is like to make things in the style of the future.
And like the future's not a style.
It's not a vibe.
No, it's a time period that's coming.
But yeah, it could be 70s or 60s art deco kind of like we're seeing there with like this weird green cushion and, you know, and then you could have something like fifth element, which I always found really interesting, another future vision.
You know, my poll was, I don't know if you remember the character who kept saying Super
Green.
He was like the talk show host.
Oh, yes.
Yeah.
And he has a staff, which is his microphone.
And it really does predict podcasting and what do we call influencer culture.
And he's running around with his basically morning zoo crew.
and he's got his little Madonna stick microphone,
and he's basically doing a show from anywhere.
So he's a live streamer
breaking everybody's chops on his show
and has no sense of like what's appropriate or not,
just like these YouTubers.
Yeah, I was going to say,
people of the future look just as annoyed
about having a microphone shoved right in their face,
as modern people do.
I know we've got to let John go here,
but like,
I just want to throw away one more idea
to the science fiction interface idea
because in the expanse,
the film series
that Amazon picked up,
they had this great method
of showing orbits
and intersections
in space using,
I think like a hologram.
And it's so awesome.
And now I can't stop thinking
about how we can make a game
that actually uses that style of interface
inside of the Vision Pro
and then I could finally have the space sim
I've always wanted.
The future is going to be awesome.
I'm stoked.
Guys, the future is going to be absolutely insane.
Like, I cannot,
I cannot overstate enough
how much we still can't even,
you put all the best science fiction minds together
and we're still not going to be able to tap out
what's possible with the future of spatial,
with the future of AI.
Like there are some insane things
that are going to be coming
and they're going to be happening unbelievably quickly.
So we're super stoked here at Black Box.
If people want to hire you, do something
or collaborate with you,
how can they get in touch?
Yeah, just reach out to us. It's blackbox infinite.com. We're easy to find. We, you know, our typical way of approaching projects is installing ourselves within certain brands or certain teams as like a secret special ops innovation team. And we really quickly iterate through concepts and ideas and figure out how we can get to prototypes and start building pathways and strategies forward from from there. So yeah, don't, don't ever be a stranger. And if,
it's if it's not evident already,
I'm always down to geek out about
any of these things around where all of this
stuff is headed. All right. Well, thanks for coming
on the show and we'll talk to you
soon. All right. I appreciate it.
John. Alex,
how mind-blowing was that? I mean,
it's so awesome. It reminds me of the first
time I wore Microsoft HoloLens back
when they were still like pre-production and I got to
play a Minecraft version that
interacted with the real world. So you could like push
blocks around on a table, but they were digital.
And I just was like, oh, this is
different, exciting, and awesome.
And I love data viz.
I love real-time data-vis, and I love racing.
It's perfect for me.
When I saw it, I was like, this would be great for Alex to start the week.
In other news, you and I were talking about, and we've been getting into data, right?
And we're trying to understand the world deeper.
So, yeah, we did this great robotaxy model and how many cars would it take.
And then, I guess, the next piece of that puzzle is.
is regulation and safety, right?
And that's the number one thing that Tesla, Waymo, Cruise, Uber,
everybody involved is obsessed with safety.
And I drove here on FSD.
I've been using autopilot to FSD.
Every day I drive, I use it.
I never don't use it because I'm always trying to stay up on the technology.
It is getting really good.
The number of times I have to intercede is, I would say now,
once every 30 minutes to 45 minutes.
And listen, I'm on the back roads and hill country often in Austin.
And the technology is now such that you don't have to worry about sunglasses or, you know,
doing the nagging feature on your thing.
So we're getting close.
I think everybody agrees on that.
And so I saw some people talking.
And listen, Tesla is a very charged subject.
You have the Tesla Q movement, if you remember, the people shorting Tesla.
you got the Tesla longs.
There's a lot of religion around Tesla and self-driving, generally speaking.
But I thought we would talk just a little bit about FSD and safety because there are people
on X talking about like, oh, my God, there's like literally a guy who is obsessed with trying
to get the technology taken off the road.
I don't know if you've been following that guy who does like TV commercials about it.
I think he's got a horse on there is.
And I thought we would just go through the safety here because when you have detractors,
Alex, they make you better, right? Like, they will look at everything you're doing and become,
like, hypervigilant, right? Because they hate you or they love you. They've placed a bet to short
your stock. They placed a bet to long your stock. So this guy, Dan O'Dowd, is the guy who is like really
hates Tesla and thinks FSD shouldn't be on the road. That's, I think, ridiculous. I use it every day.
It makes you a safer driver, 100%. And I include like the blue. I have something in my
suburban that does lane awareness and adapt to cruise control.
So I don't know what you have in your Subaru.
Do you have something in your Subaru that does these kind of like level one or level two features?
I'm going to have to confess to something very, very honest here.
I don't drive anymore.
I really haven't since I moved to San Francisco back like 10 years ago, 10, 12 years ago.
And my wife does all over driving because we live where she's from.
And she's a great driver.
And she does not really like lane assist technology, but she's a very vigilant person.
doesn't bother me. But the thing is, Jason, the data that I found, because you had a discussion
with Mr. Dan O'Dowd, and your argument, just so people know, was that there were 40,000
automotive deaths per year in the U.S. and never take. Millions of Tesla's, 40 deaths over five years,
eight a year. It seems to be very small. But you were curious. What about FSD? So I went back
to find some information about this, just to kind of get a feel for where accidents have been
trending. And the nice thing for us here in the States is that the number of fatalities,
per 100 million miles driven,
really fell from 24.9 back in 1921
to just 1.33 per 100 million miles in 2022.
So a trend that points in one direction.
But the question then becomes,
inside of that kind of modern world,
how do driver assistance systems do
and how do Tesla's FSD do?
So, Polt some more data,
did a lot of digging around.
Tesla says that inside of its driver base,
people who use autopilot.
And actually, Jason, for folks out there,
can you define autopilot versus FSD
and where they kind of end?
Okay, sure.
Autopilot is, I believe, level two,
and that is staying in the lane
and adaptive cruise control.
So two features,
and I think this is what they refer to as level two in,
and then FSD is a brand.
Autopilot and FSD are terms
that I believe Tesla put out into the world.
FSD is their full self-driving,
which means if you put a destination on a map,
and this is where I'm going to my office at the Capitol Factory,
shout out to Josh and the team at Capital Factory for hosting us here,
it's going to make the turns.
Now, it's supervised FSD.
Supervised FSD means you have to be supervising it,
your hands on the wheel, your eyes on the road.
It has a camera inside the car that is watching my eyes when I'm using FSD.
If I look down at, I don't know, the map or my phone in its cradle, it will start beeping and disengage.
And if you get more than two or three of these disengagement, you lose FSD for like 30 days or until the next update.
It basically penalizes you.
That happened to me a whole bunch because I would go change my podcast and he'd be like, sorry, doom.
And so I thought FSD was actually being a little too precious with drivers.
Like if you didn't move the nudge the steering wheel, even though I had my hands on it,
it'd be like, nudge it.
And I'm like, well, my hands are on the steering wheel.
Can't you see that from the internal camera?
Right.
So this thing is hyper vigilant.
But I do think there is something also occurring here, which is there are people who, I don't
know if you ever seen this, Alex, will take their motorcycle and do a wheelie or a stand on it.
And then they make a video of this and they put it on the internet.
Oh, interesting.
or, you know, and they'll do crazy stuff on public roads.
I do believe that there are drivers of all vehicles who will do crazy stuff.
And we've seen this over and over again with self-driving technology, including
Tesla's where some idiot thinks like, it's called supervised so they can sleep or they can
drive drunk and use FSD.
That is abusing the technology, just like some people throw parachutes out of an airplane.
I don't have you ever seen that video.
and the guy chases the parachute down,
puts it on in the air, and then...
That makes me sweat through my palms,
and I struggle.
I don't have that much of a death wish,
so that doesn't really appeal to me.
But what's interesting is you're making a point
that as we give people better technology
to help them drive,
how do we balance keeping their focus
as the technology improves?
But even today,
even with that concern in mind,
the data to me is pretty clear.
So I pulled Tesla's Q3,
advanced driver assistance,
kind of like update.
And what they said was in the third quarter, they had one crash for every 7.1 million miles driven using autopilot.
So not the full self-driving, just autopilot.
And for Tesla drivers who weren't using autopilot, it was one crash for 1.29 million miles driven.
And amongst the whole U.S., for all cars, it was one crash per 670,000 miles.
So nearly a 10x, actually more than a 10x improvement for Tesla autopilot crashes per miles driven.
So as a starting point, that helps.
What about FSD?
What about your argument that people are out there being cowboys and being a little bit risky?
Yes.
Well, I found a dataset that tracked all deaths from Tesla drivers.
All right.
So this is a website called Tesla deaths.com.
It's a little bit charged, obviously, but people are keeping track of this, like, in a very detailed and ground your way, which in some ways is fantastic.
But there's a little bias here because they're kind of like, I noticed they frame this as like FSD cause deaths, which is.
FSD is turned on when somebody dies in a car. The car could have been T-boned by another car,
and that has nothing to do with the FSD, right? Because it takes two to tango in many of these cases.
So there were over 400 deaths of people driving Tesla's since they started this database, which is a 10-year-old database,
which is for, I don't know, 8 million Tesla's on the road, a very small number. But maybe you can just frame
what this data shows because we have this great thing in the United States where we have
regulatory groups that obsess over our safety. So there are times, Alex, when we're like regulatory
capture and it's real and they're slowing things down and progress. And then there's, okay,
obsessing over, I don't know, operating room cleanliness or, you know, Tesla debts or any kind
of debts in cars and the NTSB and some of these other highway traffic associations are obsessive.
And then people are obsessive on top of that trying to read the tea leaves here.
So let's go over this data and see if we can figure out the truth here.
Yeah. So the number of deaths for Tesla drivers who had autopilot enabled is 51 total of the more than 400 that you noted.
There's only two known fatalities involving Tesla crashes with FSD turned on.
So it's not that many.
Now, we don't probably have every single data point that's ever been.
come out of a Tesla collision, but certainly two known fatalities from FSD usage against now more
than 1.6 billion miles driven using FSD, to me, implies a rate of about 1 in 800 million miles,
which is much better than the 1.33 fatalities we're seeing in general for 100 million driven
miles in the U.S. Much better. Okay. So there you have it, folks. Fun with numbers. And I think
we got to have John come back and create some interfaces for FSD and for driving in general that would
make people safer.
One of the things I notice is we should have a heads-up display.
When I have my Corvette C-6, it would project my speed and my RPMs, you know, onto the dashboard.
This was an incredible feature because you didn't have to take your eyes off the road to know your
speed or what you were revving or what gear you were in if you're using the tiptronics.
A lot of fun to have that, and you can move it up and down to your eye line.
What if that showed you each of the car is in front of you and told you the distance of that car and the speed of that car?
I don't know why nobody builds this, but I want a heads-up display that tells me I'm 18 feet behind that car and how much stopping it would take what my speed is, what their speed is, and then the distance it would take to stop.
And if they slammed on the brakes, if I would crash, like there's all this data that could be in here.
And I think John is still listening to the show.
So wait, but wait, Jason, I feel like you're describing a really weird middle ground between like advanced sensors, advanced on car computation, super awesome huds.
But to me, like with self-driving, we don't even need to care about that.
I want the computer to be focused on how far ahead that cars.
I just want to have my eyes loosely forward as I think about the novel I'm listening to, you know?
I think you're one of the folks who would prefer that.
And then there's another group people who still like to drive.
So, like, John should get on this and, like, make the two different versions of the HUD and the display.
Because I do think, like, knowing that there's a car behind you and that it's approaching you quickly, like, that's all done by, it could be done by the technology.
Like, they already have a thing in my suburban and with the Tesla where they turn the camera on automatically to show you if somebody's, like, on your left or right, or if it's safe to change lanes or not, right?
Yeah.
imagine if you had the AI telling you, there's a truck that's incredible, you know, that's closing in on you, J-Gal.
And it's the closing, there's, because like, I don't look, I look in the review mirror every X number of seconds slash minutes.
But what if it told you like you're in the left-hand lane?
There's a Ferrari approaching at 110 miles an hour behind you.
It's going to be on your tail in 13 seconds.
You might want to change lanes.
Like, that's the kind of like intelligence.
I want my car to be interacting with it, right?
Well, I don't think that's impossible to do today with what we currently have.
It's just a question of getting all those pieces into your car with the right large language model, kind of embedded inside of it.
But back to the point about the future not being that far away, that's possible.
And we have self-driving cars that are much safer than humans.
On the point, though, about regulation and concern and the scrutiny that self-driving cars are under,
do you find it really strange because I do
that every time a self-driving car clips something
we all freak out but we give 16 year olds
like suburbans to drive that weigh
you know four or five thousand pounds and they go down that
like to me I think the self-driving screen is correct
and we should probably not let people drive cars
when they're so young.
I think both of these things are exactly correct
we hold new technology to a standard
that we don't hold
accepted societal traditions too. And it is nuts that we give 15, 16, 17-year-olds these cars. But we don't trust them to, you know, when they're 17 or 18 to drink a beer.
No. But we do trust them to take a 5,000 pounds, 6,000 pound vehicle and do whatever they want from it. It should be required that any time a child is in a car, that that car is got,
an attachment that throttles the speed, reports the speed, anybody under 18, it should track
everything you do in the car. I know this sounds crazy and I'm privacy experts, but when my
daughters start driving and I have in my Tesla the ability to watch their ride, to know their
speed, and it would be great if I could geo-fence. Like, I should be able to geo-fence my car and say,
this car cannot go out of 50 miles from my house unless this code is put in. And that code would be
something my wife and I knew, but nobody else knew. So if you steal my car or my daughter or,
you know, anybody's child decides, hey, I'm going to go rogue. I'm going to go somewhere I'm not supposed
to go, I'm going to, which we did when we were kids, we decided to drive down to Wildwood,
New Jersey one day, which is like a two-hour drive from Manhattan or New York. We didn't tell our
parents, you know, they would not have allowed us to do that. And we just decided, well, if we drive
really fast on the highway, we can get there and back without them knowing. The solution is
Crime, naturally, yeah.
Precisely.
So anyway, this is like such a really good idea, I think, is to put those things.
I mean, when you look at the scrutiny that we put, I don't know, psychedelics or, you know, cannabis under and then alcohol.
Oh, it's craziness to me.
But here's the thing, the difference between you and I, Jason, is that of the two of us, only one of us is friends with one of the leading EV manufacturers in the world who also has a space satellite system that could be used to geofince that car.
So why are you telling me this?
I feel like, get that phone out.
Well, you know what?
It's interesting.
We did have conversations about this with our kids early on, and he did mention to me
that, well, we could put a speed regulator on it, and they have a speed regulator on it.
The speed regulator on your Tesla wasn't exactly for your kids.
You know what that was for?
To make sure that you don't get speeding tickets.
Oh, interesting.
Because any person who drives a Tesla, I think, has had the experience, or if you drive
a Mercedes or a BMW or an Audi, the cars are so smooth that you don't.
actually feel the speed. Now, if you're in a Corvette or some car that RPMs, you're going to feel it because the engine revs up. You don't actually feel the speed in a Tesla. You could be going 85 and think you're going 50. You could be going in a Mercedes 95 and think you're going 65. It just, you don't feel it. And I think that's like one of the things to keep in mind. But yeah, geo fencing would be a great feature. And then tracking each ride. And there are third party services that do this already. So that's why I think the OD, what is it? O.D.
BP port that there's a port on every car that lets you do telemetry and other things.
Oh, I know what you can go up to help. Yes. Yeah. That should be like a really, you know, a standard item for folks to use.
Well, we're going to stick with the geofencing concept and we're going to stick with Robotaxies and talk just for a second, everybody, about the upcoming pony.com. A.I. IPO. We've talked a lot on Twist lately about distribution diaries.
OBD. OBD. Thank you, John. Oh, our guy, John, report is here. John, come on air for a second.
I can pull John on here for a second.
This is great when you have the guests.
He just like hangs out in the green room.
The guest is in the green room.
John, you heard our conversation about self-driving tech.
What should happen?
Go ahead.
Your brain's been going over time.
Oh, my God.
I'm going nuts over here listening to you guys.
So I've worked with over 10 automotive OEMs on in-car digital experience.
The short version of it is across the board, whether you buy a really expensive car or really cheap
car they're all the equal level of total trash and there's so many opportunities for innovation.
There's enormous headroom just for safety.
Like people do not appreciate that this is a digital product that you interact with only
when you're in the most likely part of your day to die, right?
Like, that's just the way it is.
Thousands of pounds of steel, moving at speeds, the human body was never meant to travel at,
filled with the people you care most about in the world and topped off with gallons of liquid explosives or lithium ion.
And, you know, user experience becomes a very, like, mission critical sort of factor in that, in that context.
And I think it's abysmal that we don't have the, and it's interesting, we just wrapped a project with a new automotive brand where the biggest, the hardest thing that we did was convincing them that we could take the equivalent of like the grandma phone from the nursing home with the huge buttons on it.
Yeah.
And make that feel sophisticated and elegant.
But also that if people had access to something like that and used it for a certain period of time,
they would then step into every single other vehicle and say, like, the manufacturer of this vehicle doesn't care if I live or die.
And that's what it is when you're using any of this stuff in a vehicle. It's that simple.
Yeah. I mean, the safety could be improved just by making the pilot more aware of what they're doing.
Like, people don't understand exactly how speed is involved in the death.
rate in accidents. And if you were to alert somebody when they go 90 miles an hour,
that they just increase their fatality rate by 7x, you know, like, just that just general
awareness and reminder, it's almost like showing somebody who smokes cigarettes, like,
here is the lungs of somebody, you know, who died of it. Like, these cars are all equipped with
tech that could also be channeled towards improving the skills of drivers. We assembled,
a roundtable recently with, I don't know if you've ever cross paths with Alex Roy. He's the guy that
set the record for driving from New York to L.A. and, you know, 30-something hours. Yeah. He is,
he's obsessed, you know, for a guy that broke every vehicular, you know, law, you could imagine. He is
obsessed with safety and with driver training above all else. And all of this tech could be,
coaching people to just be better.
Tesla had this score.
There's a safety score that Tesla has in the app.
And it was interesting because in order to get on FSD, I think, early, they invited people
who had over a 90 score.
My wife and I both shared the same vehicle.
It turned out like one of us had a really good score.
One of us didn't.
I'm not going to talk about that.
And one of the things it told you was how close you rode.
other people,
rode behind other people.
And it turned out,
somebody in my household was driving a little too close to other people's
bumpers.
And then there was how much you stay in the lane.
And if you made it a game to say,
like,
how perfectly am I in the lane?
And you just went, ding, ding,
when you were perfectly in the lane,
where you went,
it vibrates when you get out of the lane,
which is what it does now.
Man,
that kind of like coaching would be great.
And then telling people what their drowsiness level is,
or what you perceive their tiredness level is
and their attentiveness level
on a percentage basis from the internal camera,
that would be another one.
And you could do all that.
It's just calculating the fluctuations
and the pupillation of your pupil.
There's...
So I've been doing a ton of work on generating
the sounds that EVs make,
which is this whole crazy concept of,
you know, we've finally got a vehicle
that can be completely silent,
and now we're figuring out
ways to have it make noise just for just for fun. But there's, uh, this is, this is my pitch. This is a
freebie I'll put out there to anyone who wants to, to make it. Sound is the ultimate tool for
communicating like subliminally. And you could even just have like a white noise that like
shifts slightly in tone or harmonizes depending on whether or not you are centered in your lane.
Oh, right.
driving more efficiently or more effectively.
What a killer idea.
Because you don't want warning beeps.
You don't want it.
The,
doing the fighter jet, you know, like steer left.
No, steer right.
You know, you don't want me of that.
All up.
You want something that you're not
even actively paying attention to,
but it's guiding you and it's coaching you through that product.
That's a terrible idea.
It's perfect way for.
No, no, no.
Because you're going to walk by a different machine later on
that is the right vibration to tell you
to turn on your left turn signal
and you're going to be freaking out
in the sidewalk as you walk by
and just hit it completely off.
No, I love the idea.
And then think about people outside the car.
This is one of the problems with Tesla's
is, you know, people don't hear them coming
and it would be great if a Tesla saw a pedestrian,
if it just started chiming, ding dong, ding down.
It's a legislated thing right now.
It's called AVAS.
The cars have to generate a certain frequency
at parking lot speeds,
and now my kids' school drop offline.
sounds like a swarm of bees
because every different
EV has a slightly different
version of spa sounds
that it emits and it's
I think also look out look out
like if it's if you're if it crashes
imminent if it blared an alarm
that would be good too I don't know
there's a few there's a few vehicles that are sold
that have a what they call a city horn
which is a gentle horn
that you can choose to use that doesn't
sound hostile and aggressive
and it's just this way of
gently, you know, communicating with, say, you know, cyclists or pedestrians or what.
I love it. Acoustic vehicle alerting system. Avas. Wow. Acquired accessory for electric vehicles
in many countries. Avas system generates sound for nearly silent electric vehicles to improve the
safety of vulnerable road users, VRUs, such as pedestrian, cyclists, and children. Amazing.
Also, like, dear, this is another thing. I didn't know how many, how much roadkill there was until
I started living in Austin, I see a dead deer every day. There is a dead deer on the side of the road.
There are deer everywhere because we have no natural predators for deer in Texas for anymore or
very few. And so they're everywhere and they're constantly getting hit on the road. And man,
just being able to see them because when I drive at night, they're kind of hidden in the sides of the
roads that they're, they're stealthy by design by evolution. If this thing could actually look for
Dears and just highlight deers, my Lord, that would be incredible as a heads-up display item.
All right, listen, John, you're amazing.
The heck out of here.
Go back to work.
I love the fact that he hung around it.
He was giving us these great ideas.
All right, Alex, we got time for one more story, but one more.
All right.
So I'm going to do.
We'll do ladies' choice here.
What do you want to talk about the biggest deal that happened today, which is the Strype
bridge deal.
But I'm just going to say, if you do want to take a look at a self-driving IPO,
The Pony.A.I. F1 filing, hard recommend very interesting good stuff in their F1. They are a Chinese-based company, so they filed the foreigner version of the S-1. It's an F-1 filing. You'll recognize it, but it's a lot of fun. Just before we went to air, though, Jason, a company called Bridge was purchased by Stripe. And I'm curious, no lying. Had you heard of Bridge before this deal came down?
I had not heard of bridge, but I understand that they are, are they somehow involved in stable coins?
That's my understanding.
Yeah.
So they do two things as far as I can tell.
One is they help companies accept stable coins.
So around the world, if you want to be able to kind of ingest them as currency, you can do that through them.
And they also, according to their website, will help you spin up your own stable coins.
Now joining Stripe, I don't think it's too hard to see the overlaps here.
but my read of this was,
Stripe thinks that Stable Coins
will enable lots of global e-commerce,
and so they want to be right there,
so they bought Bridge.
I kind of love it, frankly.
Here we go.
It's a interesting maneuver
because stable coins
are essentially free or close to free
to transact, right?
So if you're trying to lower transactions,
and this is the thing I never understood
about Stripe and a lot of these folks
is if we're going to, in fact,
make transactions cheaper,
we need to make transactions cheaper,
and every time you use a Visa, MasterCard, et cetera,
there's some amount of load involved in that.
And I think,
aren't we supposed to be paying like 10 bips,
not two bips when we do transactions?
So shouldn't this lower it?
I mean, when you do an event,
when I do my events and we sell tickets,
all in Summit,
this week in startups,
events,
founder, university, whatever,
I'm always amazed by,
you know, if you sell a million dollars in tickets
that you're giving $30,000 to MasterCard,
or if you sell $10 million,
tickets, you're giving $300,000 or $250,000 in merchant fees.
Wow.
It actually is a large number
when you start thinking about that.
And that's why some of these large events,
like Ted or whatever,
I think they'll put a fee on top of it
if you want to use a corporate card,
but they ask you to send a check
where they ask you to wire the money
to have that.
that fee go down because if you're TED and you're selling $20,000 in tickets,
do you want to give $600,000 to Stripe or ad yen or whoever?
You know, maybe, maybe not or visa because that's all going to Visa MasterC
card anyway.
Yeah.
I think that's what this is about.
Well, don't forget, we had the CEO of Circle, the company behind the U.S.D.C.
Stipel going to Germany on the show.
Very recently, you had a amount back in the day.
And so stablecoins, you and I have discussed, are kind of this awesome use case for
crypto and actual use case, everybody.
Here it is.
Turns out everyone wants dollars and dollars around the world are popular.
And so I can really, really see why this Stripe Bridge deal makes sense.
But Jason, very expensive.
So the company was last reportedly valued at $200 million during a Series A.
And people are saying about a billion, $1.1 billion for this sale.
Okay.
But the way that I think about it is this.
Stripe's worth 80, let's just say, for the sake of conference nature, for one 80th of
Stripes market cap equivalent.
Yeah, 1% change.
Yeah.
It feels expensive yet also cheap, in my view.
When you do these kind of deals, you are just going to look at what does the, what does the acquireers
theory here?
If the acquires value increases greater than 1.x percent, 1.1 or 2 percent here, then they essentially
will get the acquisition for free.
And you've seen this when people acquire a company.
I think when Amazon bought Whole Foods for, I think it was 14 billion or 12 billion, the
stock went up like 30 billion. And so in your mind, you're like, okay, they just made $15 billion
buying this company. And there is some truth to that. If you look at a really expensive purchase,
WhatsApp was $19,000. And that was a significant portion of Facebook's market cap at the time.
But they took out a potential competitor. And I think they probably made that money back many times
over in terms of the cash that they made from advertising, just from having that as part of the network.
not having Google own it or Microsoft.
Yeah, but I think that at the time was more like a 10% of Facebook's marketing.
Yes, it was a large percentage of their market cap.
It might have been 15%.
I think they might have been worth $100 billion in change.
Yeah.
These things are, you know, these things, you have to be thoughtful about it, but this is a really good sign.
We've been talking about tuck-in acquisitions.
I think Lena Khan is kind of in her last hurrah.
I don't know that she can actively block something between now and the end of this term.
Well, I was going to say,
getting done, Jason,
but that's being announced
and neither one of us
think there's going to be
regulatory stuff here.
So it could be a really big
cash on cash return
for Sequoia,
Han Ventures,
Ribbid Capital,
and Index.
They put,
I think,
a total,
a combined amount
of $58 million into this business,
and they're going to get
a lot more than that back.
So DPI,
everybody,
it's back on the menu.
There I go.
DPI is back on the menu.
We've got an exciting week for you.
We're going to be taping live
tomorrow and on Wednesday tomorrow at 10 a.m. Pacific, 1 p.m. Eastern, 12 p.m. my time here in Texas.
And I think on Wednesday, we're going to go a little bit earlier, 9.30 a.m. Pacific, 11.30 a.m.
my time because I got to catch a flight. But tomorrow, we're going to have one of the executives
from Heritage. I've been talking about the Heritage Foundation, and we've been talking about
election interference, election integrity. We had votes on last Wednesday.
And so I asked Alex to keep pulling that string.
I saw Heritage had released information, again, back to fun with numbers like we did today,
where we talked a little bit about, you know, safety in EVs.
And last week we talked about fun with numbers.
We did back of the envelope stuff.
What would it take to create a robotaxy fleet?
We'll do a little bit of that around election integrity.
They created at heritage.com.
I think that's their domain name, an election integrity database.
and now this is a partisan organization,
but we'll get their side of the story.
They are very concerned about election integrity,
and they made a database of 1,600 cases from the 80s till now.
And I did some back of the envelope math
where that was like 40 cases caught a year or something to that effect,
very similar to what we just did with the safety of Tesla.
So we can get to ground truth.
And Alex, I see that as like a really great way for us
to evolve the show here this week in startups
is to tackle the biggest societal issues, self-driving, election integrity, energy, solar, nuclear,
and then just really get into the numbers, and you're great with numbers, and say, what is the
truth? And that means having some of these biased people or partisan people on the pod, right?
Then we get their perspective, and then we can put it against the numbers and see.
I'm curious to see what Hollins has to say. I've gone through the heritage database, and in fact,
we cited some heritage data next to some Brennan Center data when we did the last Wednesday
show. So we are not opposed to going across the ideological spectrum to find what people
had to say. And then we'll poke at it. But Hans will be on the show tomorrow. And that's a
reminder that I have a metric pile of work to get done after we finish taping today. Because we
have a raft of interviews coming. Guys, we are bringing more people on the show, on the live show,
off the live show. So if you like Twist, get ready because there's a lot more coming.
Yeah. A lot more coming. And we will be starting our cold open. So I'm, I'm
trying to have the creative energy to do a cold open every episode like we did on today's
episode. So look for a little comedy. Alex is going to be my straight man here. We'll try to do
a little something funny for you every day like I do on All In Here at This Week in Startups.
Follow Alex on Twitter. I'm Jason on Twitter. That's a great way to communicate with us,
your ideas for the show. Go to This Week in Startups on YouTube and hit subscribe, hit the bell,
and you can listen to us live. And just like Elon's giving away a million
a day for people who sign the PAC, his political action committees, his Super PAC's
Constitution sign up. We're going to give away a million dollars a day here on this week
in startups to somebody who tunes in live. So just tuning in live, give us a thumbs up on YouTube
and win a million monopoly dollars, just to be clear.
A million monopoly dollars to be clear, yes.
You can afford a million dollars a day, sadly. Yet, give us six months and then give us a
You never know. No, we will see you in the chat room. We're not giving away a million dollars a day. And we'll see you all next time on the speaking starvis. Bye-bye.
