Timcast IRL - LEAKED Memo Says NO BACK PAY For Federal Workers Amid Government Shutdown w/ Matt Gaetz, Dave DeCamp, Curtis Mills

Episode Date: October 8, 2025

Special Guest Host Matt Gaetz is joined by Phil, Elaad, Dave DeCamp, & Curtis Mills to discuss the government shutdown, Candace Owens leaking texts from Charlie Kirk about donors, and the possibility ...of the US going to war with Venezuela.   Hosts:  Matt Gaetz @MattGaetz (X) Phil @PhilThatRemains (X) Elaad @ElaadEliahu (X) Serge @SergeDotCom (everywhere) Guests: Dave DeCamp @DecampDave (X) Curt Mills @CurtMills (X)

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to Timcast IRL. I am Matt Gates, thrilled to be guest hosting here with some of the smartest people I know in Washington in the media and commentating on all of the interesting things going on in the news. a week into this shutdown, and like many one-week-olds, the shutdown is getting crankier by the moment. And so we will analyze who is winning that and how we're likely to get out of it. And if we even really care and is it going to affect people, there's differing opinions on that subject and how we actually would address this shutdown as a mechanism to fight some of the challenging concentrations of power that are frequently discussed on this platform. Also, it is October 7th. We will talk about this day in history, what it means from a form of policy standpoint from the U.S. Israel relationship standpoint. And a lot of folks are talking about
Starting point is 00:01:05 these things in the wake of Candace Owens releasing text messages, showcasing a real disagreement between Charlie Kirk and some folks who are trying to push him more in the direction of supporting a robust U.S.-Israel relationship. Turning Point USA has responded to that. We will get into all of it. And we'll just take a trip around the world and see what the United States is up to in places like Somalia and Venezuela and Ukraine. It'll be terrific. Before we have that discussion, a few words from our sponsors.
Starting point is 00:01:35 Before we get said to my friends, we've got a great sponsor. It's bearskin. You know we love bearskin. These are great and amazing. You guys have seen them. I wear them on the show periodically. It's starting to get a little cool again,
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Starting point is 00:01:57 you know we love bearskin these are great and amazing hoodies you guys have seen them I wear them on the show periodically it's starting to get a little cool again so we'll probably start wearing them smart people right now they're locking in their winter gear
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Starting point is 00:02:21 all right well let's start with introductions I was so flattered with how you said you were some of the smartest minds around here in D.C. Mr. Gates. So it's a pleasure to have you hosting today. My name is Alad Eliahu. I'm the White House correspondent here at Timcast. I've also been covering a lot of immigration stories. Let's go around the circle. What about you? Yeah, I'm Dave DeCamp. I'm the news editor for anti-war.com where I cover the news. And I appreciate Mr. Gates having me on here. I'm a regular now on his show, the Matt Gates show, which is cool. And I'm very happy to be here. Kurt Mills, executive director of the American Conservative magazine.
Starting point is 00:02:56 a guest on Mr. Gates's new show, the new underground, as I've termed it, and excited to be here in this new capacity, or at least this temporary capacity. Hello, everybody. My name is Phil Labonte. I'm the lead singer of the heavy middle band All That Remains. I'm an anti-communist and a counter-revolutionary. Let's get into it. Phil, as a counter-revolutionary, what are you rooting for in this shutdown? Well, I mean We need to know where the counter-revolutionary force is here. I mean, I like the fact that the government's shut down because the government can't do bad things generally. But if you really take an honest look at it,
Starting point is 00:03:36 look, if the government's shut down, that doesn't mean that the military is not doing stuff. That doesn't mean that you're going to stop paying taxes or there's going to be like a two or three week break. So really, it's theater. So I think the American people that rely on the government for stuff kind of are the losers. you know, like you were mentioning before the show, people that are waiting on the VA to, you know, decide on what their, you know, payment is for disability or what have you, people that are going to be waiting in line at the, you know, for TSA when they're down to just one, one lane or whatever, the, you know, the air traffic controllers.
Starting point is 00:04:11 For the most part, it's the American people that lose. I would like to say that the Democrats lose because they're the ones that kind of initiated it unnecessarily. But it is legitimate to say that the tax breaks that were connected to the ACA and stuff. Like if they don't get renewed or whatever, that's going to be a significant increase for people that are actually paying their own insurance. So I kind of feel like the American people are the losers, really. I don't even know if the American people know what this is about yet. It has a sort of festivist energy to it. People are mad about the deportations.
Starting point is 00:04:46 People are mad about the tariffs. People are mad about executive power. there's the Obamacare rugpole, which, by the way, so rich that Democrats are blaming congressional Republicans for a cliff in credits that they set up. Like, it's not like Republicans picked this day in history and said, this will be the day that the Obamacare credits, and it was designed this way by the Democrats. And yet, I do not see a single poll that suggests the American people are not blaming the Republicans for this in some way. And I am completely flummoxed by it. I don't understand why. Kurt Mills, can you explain why Republicans are losing?
Starting point is 00:05:20 the messaging war on a shutdown objectively caused by the Democrats over external policy demands. Not really because no one's really paying attention to this thing, but I will attempt to. I think in general, the historical record since the shutdowns started, so governor's shutdowns of memory serves began starting in the late 70s and through the mid-80s, but the very famous one that caught everyone's attention was the Gingrich Clinton first shutdown in the mid-90s. There's a second one that kind of presage Gingrich's exodus from politics. Exodus from the House in the late 90s, and I looked into this a few years ago, and there's very little correlation. People think, like, the government, you know, whoever is accused of causing
Starting point is 00:06:00 the problem will lose the White House or lose the Congress afterwards. It's not clear at all, like literally. And so I think that also sort of makes this not super important. I think if you had to put a finger on why the Republicans are getting blamed with the Democrats is because there's an impression of Republican power right now because the Democrats are invisible. And so the sort of eyes glazed just scrolling through whatever is that Trump is the president. He sort of rules everything. Congress is, I guess, a co-equal branch of government. But the reality is that, you know, heavy lies the crown. And so Trump is blamed for something going on in Washington, D.C. underneath his reign. Yeah, but we all know that you have to get 60 votes to pass a
Starting point is 00:06:49 Mother's Day resolution in the United States Senate if you're not under the reconciliation rules. And so now Trump is being blamed for having not done something, keeping the government open, that he cannot do without the Democrats. And it seems as though this is more of a spasm reaction where they just, they need to fight on something. Like who's in charge of the Democratic Party right now? I would argue probably Gavin Newsom, because at least he is a guy utilizing his power in California to redraw congressional districts, to seize power to deprive Republicans of the majority they want. And the congressional Republican or Democrats all look like they're just extras in the movie. And they want to play a role. And so they've brought this
Starting point is 00:07:31 shutdown upon the country. Trump must be frustrated with it. How do you think, how do you think the White House ultimately responds to people that work for the executive branch of government missing a paycheck, missing two paychecks? Like, I think there is a lot of good that can be done with the OMB, Russ vote, clean out some of the dead wood, get rid of some commissions and councils and agencies. But at the same time, like, we can't look like we're enjoying it too much. Well, I think that's why the Republicans are getting blamed, though. People, frankly, like they've been able to create villains like vote, like Miller. The Republicans are using this crisis as a pretext to do all the scary things they want to do. Which we should, but we just
Starting point is 00:08:10 shouldn't talk about it so much. Well, the White House has leaned into it. I mean, I mean, like he Trump bragged for the first time overtly that of votes Project 2025 associations sort of a gleeful thing. I haven't seen him use that word basically since he claimed. It struck me as it was pre like
Starting point is 00:08:27 the shutdown gaining right, you know, the certainty of failed votes in the sound. But you're still a bit of a house nerd. Like people are just really paying attention to the top lines here. Oh, I would run such a more dramatic shutdown.
Starting point is 00:08:43 No, no, I I told you off camera that this is what's going on here is that you're not in the house. And so it would be much more interesting if you were. Well, and one of the pressure points people put on me when I deprive the speaker of the necessary votes and then when I remove the speaker is now we're not getting to the important business, to which I was like, what, Biden's agenda? Like, we can't rush to go and give Joe Biden the next version of the Chips Act or his next military supplemental package.
Starting point is 00:09:11 That was Ukraine. That was when Ukraine was the big agenda. Right. So I didn't really mind. Like, if we just sat around and played tiddly wings and didn't have a speaker and, you know, did not advance demise, I was kind of okay with that. Not in a nihilistic way, but I just didn't feel pressure. Whereas here, Trump will want to get stuff done that people will tell him will be somewhat impaired. And then stuff is just going to start to happen that's annoying.
Starting point is 00:09:33 When you have to wait four hours to get through TSA, it's going to suck. When you just see like a third of the flights canceled because a bunch of the air traffic controllers called in sick because they weren't getting paid. that's going to suck. And I wonder how people react to. Well, I mean, I'll tell you, you know, this, it's tough to even be aware that there's a shutdown, you know, from what I do, because I focus all on U.S. foreign policy. And I keep forgetting that there's a shutdown because we keep bombing places and shipping weapons to Israel. Like, that hasn't stopped. So it is kind of the worst elements of the government that continue, you know, and it's things like you mentioned that actually get shut down. I mean, I do think. I do think, you know, yeah, you mentioned something.
Starting point is 00:10:12 I think we shouldn't have to pay federal withholding during this period, you know? So a few things. We're only like seven days into the shutdown. So I don't think until people really start feeling the pain, will it matter? And I think the important conversation we need to have right now is too about is why are the Democrats holding out. And the current incentive structure surrounding the Democrats is that they need to posture and show that they are fighting back against Trump to their base because Schumer and Jeffries need to demonstrate to their base. so they cover their leftward flank from people attacking them. So I think that's the real issue at hand here.
Starting point is 00:10:48 The Democrat spasm, that they just have to show, how long until that burns off? They need to be able to go back to their constituents and say, we are fighting the fascism that is Trump. Trump is trying to do mass deportations, and we are trying to hold him up in the house. That is going to argue with that Democrats. People are like, fascism wasn't my letter carrier
Starting point is 00:11:06 who delivered the mail, but now, like, Ethel isn't getting paid, and I think that's kind of unfair. And, like, you know, the face of fascism isn't some airmen who is stuck at Ramstein Air Force Base, like, with a family wondering if they're going to be able to provide for them. Matt, what you're talking about is honestly, like, that's tangible reality stuff. And what he's talking about is just, like, the base of the Democrats that don't need any contact with reality. They just want people to tell them, hey, I'm fighting Donald Trump, which is a terrible way to do politics, but it is the way that's the way that's here. So let me grant the premise that the curtain, David laid out, which is no one actually came. yet.
Starting point is 00:11:42 No one's paying attention. It's only seven days. How long? What is the point at which the things I'm saying about angst around shutdowns actually becomes part of the body politic? Two or three months? No, I don't think it's that long. A couple pay periods, I don't think it'll be two or three months.
Starting point is 00:11:58 I don't think it'll be two or three months. Maybe this, I guess this Friday is when people are supposed to get paid. When the people that are reliant on the government for their whatever their pay or whatever funding they get, when those people don't get paid and then they're complaining to their friends at work when people that hear oh my neighbor or the guy in the cubicle next to me or what have you
Starting point is 00:12:23 he can't make his mortgage payment because the government shut down that kind of stuff is when it's the median checking account balance in the country is like $2,800 yeah that's why in the chat GPT you missed two paychecks a family is in crisis absolutely and once word gets around that there are people
Starting point is 00:12:39 suffering at that point well Republicans at least be able to say that they didn't cause this? How bad do you think the shutdown was in 1819? I think it was one of the three points during Donald Trump's presidency, whereas approval rating wasn't durably at 42%. If you look at three times during Trump's presidency, where he dipped a little before that very durable 42, it was Charlottesville, Helsinki, and when he got out of that shutdown, because a lot of people felt like if there was going to be the pain of this shutdown, there should be the payoff of the wall money that he sought and, you know, ultimately got out.
Starting point is 00:13:13 How long was that? That was 35 days. How long did they? That was painful. Yeah, Halloween, I guess, would be the answer, right? If it goes past Halloween, it's getting pretty bad. Okay, so the, let me pause at this other theory, Phil. I believe the elites have insulated themselves from the pain of shutdowns.
Starting point is 00:13:30 100%. Like, there's no real part of life for the American elite that is going to change about a shutdown. I agree. So, in a way, it's quite corruptly. something where the elites by virtue of this performance politics are causing the problem but life kind of goes on in the clouds
Starting point is 00:13:49 you agree? Yeah, I think that the people that are being hurt are obviously people that live paycheck to paycheck and like you said like that's the vast majority of, I don't know about the vast majority of Americans but that's probably the majority of Americans and so you know the elites there, look, if you
Starting point is 00:14:09 own assets, right? You own a couple hundred thousand dollars in stock and you've got a portfolio and stuff. Like, it's like, all right, well, if I need to pay for something, I can sell stock and it's like, it sucks because they don't want to, but it's not like, I can't do this. You have money
Starting point is 00:14:25 gives you options. So the people that have a million dollars tucked away for retirement or whatever, they don't worry about this. The stock market didn't take any days off. Yeah. Right? The futures markets didn't take any days off. Like, nobody's nobody's CDs stopped paying if they had accumulated wealth. No one's home stopped appreciating in value, right?
Starting point is 00:14:42 So the boomers did just fine in the shutdown. So Martin Mitchell's this pollster for Rasmus, and he comes on my program, he posits this theory that actually Trump needs the shutdown to reconstitute his base of the under 39 crowd. They're like, if you look at at the time of the election, the age group that made the most meaningful contribution to the Trump coalition as a distinct force in American politics, it was the 18 to 39 crowd. And largely, the reason they voted for Trump was because they believed they had lived
Starting point is 00:15:13 in a system that had screwed them over for most of their adult life. And they believe Trump would do more violence to that system than Kamala Harris. So do you think they're happy about this thing? Well, the pollster was saying since the election, that cohort has degraded to some extent.
Starting point is 00:15:34 And they have degraded because they have seen Trump assume power and become the system. And like not everything was taken down to its studs in the first week or in the first year. And there is some discontent with that. And so what happened in the administration that swelled approval rating among that constituency the most was the Doge stuff. Like when people every day got another dopamine hit of like these are the USAID workers walking out of the building. Here's everybody from the Department of Education taking their protractors and chalkboard erasers home. Like there was a sense that like, yeah, we're actually making a fundamental difference here. Does, does Trump need the shutdown in some
Starting point is 00:16:20 sense to get back that cohort? And what else would get them back? I don't think 18 to 39-year-olds who voted for the president in large numbers in the past election are particularly interested enough in politics to know about this shutdown. I feel like it just hasn't hit the average everyday Americans yet in a tangible way. Like I said, most Americans probably don't even know that the shutdown is happening. If you're not tapped into politics, you likely don't know that the shutdown's happening. I am relatively tapped into politics. Again, I focus on foreign policy, but still, like, I pay attention to what's going on in D.C. And it keeps kind of going out of my mind that there's even a shutdown. So it seems like business as usual as far as Washington
Starting point is 00:16:58 D.C. is still going. For my angle, yeah. And, you know, I, I've never been personally affected by a government shutdown, but I'm not an elite. I'm someone, if I didn't make two paychecks, I'd be in trouble. But, you know, I'm just saying, like, I have the instinct maybe because I am in that 18 to 39 range, that when I hear a shutdown, I go, ah, ha, ha, you know, take that feds or something. That's like my instinct. But the points you make are valid at. It's not like the, you know, the people really running the show who are being affected by this. I think you're a little bit more tapped in because you're a former member of the House.
Starting point is 00:17:34 So you hear shutdown and your alarms are going off. But to most people, they're like, a government shut, shut down. I'm disappointed they didn't do it with Panash. No, I mean, I think there is something, I mean, there's something about this shutdown. I think we've entered a new, and there's something about this Congress. This is the most boring Congress I can remember in my lifetime. We have a lot of people asked about whether or not Mike Johnson should be replaced this House Speaker. And I said, Mike Johnson will give President Trump anything he wants.
Starting point is 00:18:01 just like he gave the last president anything he wanted and that's kind of what we've gotten from Mike it's just like yeah he's like he's not I know you don't he's just not much of an entity
Starting point is 00:18:10 at least for public consumption you know I mean all the other speakers were you're saying he's a rubber steps so to speak I mean I mean even your good friend Kevin McCarthy is a character I mean like he clearly
Starting point is 00:18:23 A villain but a character nonetheless I mean it's just like there's there there isn't any drama and then like even even the leading Democrats aren't in leadership or aren't in the Congress, right? Newsom, Whitmer, you know, AOC's not heavily involved in the shutdown politics.
Starting point is 00:18:38 Who is the leader of the Democrats, like he said? It's like, I mean, there's a few that are running. Schumer and Jeffries. No, AOC and Bernie. Well, I mean, Jeffries is getting super beat up this year because of all this Mamdani stuff. So, like, so, and then Schumer is worried about a primary from AOC. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:18:55 Well, they're both trying to demonstrate that their ability to like fight back against Trump to try to cover that left-word fight. is my political understanding. Then who is the leader? Answer your own question. Who's the leader? Who's the leader of that church? Ostensibly as Schumer. I mean, that is probably the person with the most power to stop this shutdown on the Democratic side. And he's on borrow time, frankly. He'll be out of the most powerful Democrat in the country's Newsom. Yeah. If you're old, white and male in the Democratic Party, your days are no. And then, and more hawkish than
Starting point is 00:19:25 average on Israel. So I agree with you about Newsome. But what does that say? Because I also agree with Matt about his about you know like if you're old white male not that Newsom's particularly old but he's a white guy and his when you take a look at a picture of his family everybody's blonde blue eyed and stuff and that just you know the Democrats are allergic to that now what does that say to his ability to actually get win a primary you know I think there's a lot of sort of self-flagellation and hatred on the Democratic side I've heard a lot of like we're not going to make that mistake of nominating a woman again and we're not going to make the mistake of nominating a minority again And so I think that's not why they lost.
Starting point is 00:20:02 But I think a lot of Democrats, because they are so plugged in on identity politics, believe that identity politics are super real. And accordingly, this could redound to Newsom's benefit. I see Trump, they're like, maybe it'll work with any white guy. I feel like it worked with Biden for us. I mean, I think there's like, I mean, I think it's, it would be, so we're very far out. I mean, we're in this conversation in October of 2021, I think DeSantis might have been. traded higher in the markets than Trump, and that would have been really dumb.
Starting point is 00:20:32 And so, but right now, it seems Newsom's a very soft frontrunner and maybe in the way that, like, has Pete been around, Mayor Pete? Well, I mean, he, I feel like he's getting straight. He has the same problem that we can't find seven black people who want to vote for them. I was just going to say, you get the black vote. In the Democratic Party, if you're trying to build your coalition out of like yuppies, transsexuals, and like the, you know, the pit bull adopting lesbians, there's not enough of them that vote in the, yeah. But who just represents a faction, too.
Starting point is 00:20:58 like the left the left toids the left toids are you're going to lose their mind if budge judge is the nominee newsome is a little bit like Biden where it's like you know he doesn't he's not really one of our guys but he's not ideologically committed to the center in this way and i feel like they're not going to revolt on it i mean california is the great liberal progressive project it's being governed very mediocrely uh but you know they don't he doesn't rankle them in the same way yeah yeah matt i wanted to follow up with something you hit on because because Speaker Johnson's obviously one of the most important politicians in Washington, D.C. Were you in effect saying that he's sort of a rubber stamp on the mega agenda?
Starting point is 00:21:37 Is that a good thing? And what do you think, like, what do you think he's doing as Speaker? Yeah, what are the differences between Donald Trump and Mike Johnson on policy? Take all the time you need. Well, he just does whatever he tells him. Right, right, exactly. So my point is that the House is there to simply facilitate the actions of the administration. And I think most people in the House would say,
Starting point is 00:21:58 at this point we're fine with that. We haven't been well led by really anyone, and we have no unifying principle. One of the frustrating things for me about being in that meeting of 200 plus House Republicans is there was no thing that really united us. There were like seven different political parties in the room. We were barely a coalition. And I think that, you know, that doesn't lend to a speaker having the authority to go and say, we're going to do welfare reform. We're going to do, you know, you know, spending reform, agency reform, sunset, different features ago. I think the weakest Congress has been in American history. It's astonishing. I mean, it's just like, I mean, we were, we've been struggling to cover Congress of the magazine before the shutdown. It's like, what the hell is going on? Like, and it's just not very much.
Starting point is 00:22:45 And, uh, does it make you miss George Santos at all? I always always. It feels like hilarious. It goes, it goes about saying. So, yeah, no, George Santos is back in his camp. I can, I can confirm after speaking to his lawyer, today that George Santos has been returned from solitary confinement to his more amenable camp. He had been in solitary confinement because the FBI was investigating a plot to assassinate
Starting point is 00:23:14 George Santos in prison, reflected in a series of letters. Was it Iran? Was it the Iranians? I know Representative Green said she was lobbying for a pardon for Santos. Do you think Santos deserves a pardon? I think that George Santos probably will not serve his entire term. I think whether it's a commutation or a pardon or some other feature of the justice system, I don't know that like George Santos being locked up for seven years was a just result for misusing credit cards on only fans and Hermes. And by the way, you know what he spent the Urme's money on partially? He bought gifts for members of the steering committee because they tell you when you get to Congress that that your fate rests on whether the steering committee will put you on your committees of
Starting point is 00:24:04 preference. And so for me, I was like, how do I get on the Armed Services Committee? And they said, you have to have $150,000 to us in the next 10 days. And so I went and did it. But for Santos, he was like, I know exactly how to win him over. And he bought everybody like an Hermes pocket square. And then apparently, that's against a whole lot of really good laws. I think it's worth mentioning, too, that the district that he used to represent has been blue ever since. And, you know, it was blue before.
Starting point is 00:24:29 Sure. So, yeah. George was the only one that wanted. He flipped an important seat on Long Island. And, you know, once they kicked him out of Congress, they had to deal with an even slimmer majority, which is part and parcel why Congress is so weak right now.
Starting point is 00:24:40 And Mike Johnson can't do much. Do you think that if we had, yeah, if we had like a 220, like, you know, or a three-seat majority? Or a 230 or 240, I don't think it would be fundamentally different. I mean, I think we have 222 now. I don't know. Are we counting mass?
Starting point is 00:24:55 is a Republican or not? Because I don't know, often he supports in... Massey is a Republican. Well, he's going against the mega agenda often in Congress and voting with Democrats. Well, on what core thing? I mean, I guess he had some constitutional questions about the wall that I didn't have. But on issues like opposing foreign entanglements and spending reductions, I've been aligned with Massey. I think he's pissed the president off enough to get him to endorse his opponent. I forgot exactly what Bill it was. Maybe the previous. his continuing resolution where he voted against and was holding up.
Starting point is 00:25:29 They're not going to be able to get rid of Massey, though. He's got too much grassroots. Yeah, Massey is the only interesting things that's going on in the Congress. Yeah. I don't know if holding up the MAGA agenda is, it's interesting, but I'm not very happy about it. Like, imaginable for more wars overseas. I mean, like, I mean, Massey should be the heart of it. The party's.
Starting point is 00:25:46 Well, I think the president's agenda is good. And I think if Thomas Massey ran on a national platform that on that platform in a national race, he would lose badly. He's not running for president. He's running for his house seat. I know. I'm saying his politics run for Senate. That's my question. My question to Thomas Massey was, if they're going to spend $20 million against you, why even
Starting point is 00:26:05 run for the house again? Why not just run for Senate in Kentucky? There's no runoff in Kentucky. It's first past the post. It's McConnell's old seat. It's an already fragmented field. Thomas Massey could get into a race like that, cobble up enough like libertarian kind of Jeff yass money. And could
Starting point is 00:26:21 be a force and could be in the United States Senate. And that could be an easier path. That could be an easier path than what you describe as a very challenging path for the house. It doesn't sound like they have much of it. Totally. But against him, though. If, like, in his seat, I mean, they, they haven't really recruited anybody credible. If we support parts of the mega agenda that include things like mass deportations,
Starting point is 00:26:40 having these flip-floppy libertarian-type Republicans in the party is what holds us back. And they're essentially a Trojan horse for the left in our party. No, totally. What do you mean Rand Paul? When Rand Paul questions. Disavow. Disavow. disavowed. And when Thomas Massey tries to hold up the continuing
Starting point is 00:26:57 grounds in Congress, and then when libertarians go and rally at their anti-war rallies with communists, I think there's questions to be had about how much how much they're truly helping Republicans or just, you know, a trojanian. Massey has stood up for, against some of the dumbest things in public policy in the last seven years. Yeah, COVID stuff. The Ron War, you know, I don't agree of him on everything, but like this, this man is so much more interesting. He's pretty much the only person in Congress. the house that I like.
Starting point is 00:27:24 Him and Marjorie Taylor Green. I would like the only ones that I... What is the magazine? You can say the Maginjian. Trump changes his mind all the time. Well, Speaker Johnson and Thomas Massey have two very different jobs, right? Speaker Johnson is trying to get all the Republicans in a caucus on the same page so they could continue to pass legislation that's broadly popular with the Republicans.
Starting point is 00:27:41 Thomas Massey just needs to play to his base and it's a completely different, you know, organization that he has to run. You know where I used to fight with him was on the antitrust stuff. I mean, fight in good nature. Yeah. But on the Judiciary Committee, when I would try. try to have the back of like the Gail Slater type policy around concentrated corporate power. You know, when I had views that were at times, maybe I was the Democrat.
Starting point is 00:28:03 I had views aligned with, you know, people like Jerry Nadler on the question of antitrust enforcement. And Massey was like very reliably with the corporate right against that kind of bull moose energy of our movement. He doesn't like the government. No. But, like, it shows that there's nuance to these things. Yeah, but I don't think you could paint someone as, like, pro-Maga, anti-Maga.
Starting point is 00:28:27 Well, the president does and has said so, so I think he has the mantle to say so. The issue with, like, being in government and being an anti-government guy, it's like, you're self-defeating. It's like, you're elected to effectively not get much done. This is, I mean, Massey spoke at Tax, the American Conservative of the magazine that I'm the executive director of. He spoke at one of our events, this is before I was involved in the magazine form. formerly in November of 2016, and I distinctly remember this, and he was the, I'm not even sure this video is online, but he was the keynote speaker of it, and, you know, he talked about how that, you know, of the candidates in the 2016 primary field, that Trump was his second favorite,
Starting point is 00:29:10 that he waited a little bit to endorse him because Mr. Trump was very mean to Rand Paul, his good friend during that race, and the, but ideologically, although they hadn't gotten the Rand Paul presidency, Massey was pretty happy with what the result was. Compare that with the Mark Levins of the party, the Ted Cruz's of the party, the outright never-Trumpers who are, quote, on the MAGA agenda, on the president's agenda. This is MAGA-Musac. It means nothing. It's just Pablam. Massey actually was there in the grassroots at the beginning 10 years ago. Yeah, Rand was his guy, but Trump was his second choice. And I think we should defer to someone like that over people who just say they are for this stuff,
Starting point is 00:29:53 but it's basically MAGA and drag. It's fascinating that you have to go back almost a decade. We could go off what the president says and thinks right now on the case. Trump is welcome to do to go more recently to even things that people in the cabinet Trump's endorsing his opponent. Trump said that he is not MAGA.
Starting point is 00:30:09 He actually said, I believe he said along the lines of him being antithetical to the MAGA agenda. And to answer your question from earlier, what is the top issue for the Republicans in the MAGA agenda? It's mass deportations. and libertarian obstructionists get in the way of achieving that goal.
Starting point is 00:30:22 And having we've Republicans do stuff like that. Does Massey take a stance against? On the immigration, I've noticed with some granularity. There was one issue that Massey did not like in the House position on the immigration debate. He did not like the E-Verify stuff.
Starting point is 00:30:37 He felt like E-Verify was a step to a government, surveillance, control over data thing. And so we always had to deal with Massey on that question. but he was also initially not too thrilled about using the military money for the wall, but I think ultimately... And he's also targeted because of APEC, his stance on Israel. That's one of the big reasons why he's...
Starting point is 00:31:00 There's all this money behind it. I know you're pretty pro-Israel, so that might be one of your problems with him, too. I think Israel's great, but I think based on our conversation and what we've said so far, I think him being antithetical to the mega gender is the bigger issue at hand. But I just mean the way he's targeted, like, with the money. The money is about Israel. It's not about the MAG agenda. It's about his...
Starting point is 00:31:18 Yeah, that's what I mean. That's who is... Okay, so he's weak on the border. He's weak on the border in immigration because... No, we haven't established that. There's just two things that he had issues with. He hasn't made any kind of stink about all of the mass deportation stuff. Like, you don't see him getting out in front of Congress or getting out in front of the press saying, you know, Donald Trump needs to stop sending the National Guard to Chicago.
Starting point is 00:31:40 He needs to stop sending the National Guard to deportation. Well, Rand Paul suggested that we shouldn't use the military and mass deportation. I know. But I'm saying these obstructions libertarian types. Rand Paul is a different person. Let me finish. Stop. But I'm talking about a bigger issue in hand here. I know that you hate libertarians.
Starting point is 00:31:56 But the fact of the matter is, if you're talking about one person, stay on the one topic. Massey has not said anything about having a problem with using the National Guard to defend ICE while they're trying to carry out their lawful duties. He hasn't said anything that I'm aware of about the mass deportations that we've done so far. So the idea that he's, he's an obstructionist to the, to the, probably the most important issue in the quote unquote MAGA agenda is just, that's just ridiculous. He's not. Also, we just talked for, for 20 minutes about how irrelevant Congress is. Congress isn't blocking the administration of mass deportations. The administration is inertia is.
Starting point is 00:32:35 That, I mean, that's, I mean, like, if they wanted to do. I don't know that much is being blocked. What is being blocked by the Congress? Like, like, nothing. Well, I guess, I guess the continuing resolution. Yes, okay, yes, okay. I mean, I just wanted to run through a couple of things. examples because I wanted to give specific things. So he voted against funding for the border
Starting point is 00:32:49 wall and ice spending HR 3401. And then recently in 2023, he was opposed to the Secure the Border Act as well. So I'm saying flimsy, weak, obstructionist, libertarian types when it comes to when it comes to standing up on principles. If you care about mass deportations, I think Libertarians have a different agenda. Elad just hates libertarians. I don't blame him for that. I listen, I agree. I stop calling myself. a libertarian. Doesn't mean that I'm not sympathetic to a lot of their policies, but I don't call myself a libertarian on this one. I think there's more of a libertarian streak in MAGA. At least there was at the beginning because we were like outcasts. If you supported Trump over
Starting point is 00:33:28 candidacies like Rubio or Jeb, there was something like a little off about you. And that we were kind of the... I think he ate Rand Paul's constituency. I think Ram Paul was what was super hot in 2014, 2015. I think Rand got somewhat unlucky by the rise of of ISIS. I mean, if you talk to Rand reporters, sorry, Rand Flacks, ran operatives, they would say basically their problem was that, you know, quietly, maybe Rand isn't presidential charisma, and then also Jihad John, the ISIS beheader guy who got very famous at the time that Rand Paul was on the cover of Time magazine. But Trump was echoing all of this stuff. He just did it in this sort of more nuanced way versus, you know, Rand was obviously associated with his father's, you know,
Starting point is 00:34:11 pretty down the line. Well, Trump was a far better communicator than Rand about. I like Senator. Trump was far taller. Donald Trump is Donald Trump. Listen, Trump is far taller than Rand Paul. And as a short guy, I know like that matters, especially when you're ready for president. Okay, so I do want to get into... We got a lot of topics, right?
Starting point is 00:34:26 I do want to get into the, what has got the internet going crazy today, and it's these Charlie Kirk text messages. Can we get this Candace Owens clip of her going through the texts that originally were questioned as to authenticity, but were later authenticated? It's going to come through the speaker. The volume's down on it. No, look on the screen. On the Twitter video.
Starting point is 00:34:54 I promise. See? Yeah. There you go. So Charlie writes in this group chat just lost another huge Jewish donor. Two million a year because we won't cancel Tucker. I'm thinking of inviting Candice.
Starting point is 00:35:10 Somebody writes, Oh. Charlie writes, Jewish donors play into all of the stereotypes, I cannot and will not be bullied like this, leaving me no choice but to leave the pro-Israel cause. And somebody writes, Sedona writes, please do not invite Candace. That might feel good short term, but it's not good long term, in my opinion. Like all groups, you're going to get a wide variety of opinions, that nasty free will thing that God
Starting point is 00:35:38 bestowed on us makes life frustrating at times after the dust settles a bit, maybe. So again, this is 48 hours before Charles was assassinated. He was very clear and he was very explicit and he did not back down out in that Hampton's meeting, which they're all lying about, nor in this text thread. I'm not going to reveal the names of the other seven. Actually, you know what? I disagree with myself four seconds ago. Let's just throw in Josh Hammer for funsies. He's on this chat. Okay. So after that hit the interwebs, you had a lot of people questioning whether or not that was legit. Andrew Colvitt, the person who, other than Charlie Kirk's family, I believe Andrew Colvitt probably loved
Starting point is 00:36:18 Charlie Kirk more than any other person on the planet Earth, was constantly at a side, his business partner, his co-operative on almost every project. Here's Andrew Colvitt addressing those text messages. Some of the things that have been going around on public, namely about a group text chain that has been made known and released by Candace Owens. And I just want to dress it head on because, you know, that was a text grab, a screen grab that I had shared with people. So it is authentic. And I want to go into it because I actually am really excited that the truth is out there. I first want to say the reason I didn't share that screen grab publicly is because it was a private exchange.
Starting point is 00:37:06 And I felt like it didn't necessarily comport with things that were already public. I wanted to not betray my friends' trust in that way. But I did share it with some people in government because it happened really quick. It took 33 hours for authorities to get their suspect. And in those first moments, we wanted no stone unturned. We wanted to leave nothing unturned. So I shared it with a few people.
Starting point is 00:37:32 Don't know where it went from there, apparently. But here we are. So one of the reasons, Blake, that I'm glad to have this now public it was not mine to share publicly but you know one of the criticisms we've been we've received is that we don't care we're not investigating every lead we're not looking under every stone and that somehow we're just like you know sweeping things under the rug and when I say that we want justice for charlie more than anybody else I really mean it and no stone unturn I mean I don't know if you want to chime in on that part alone but I have more to say yeah so it's it has been so
Starting point is 00:38:09 frustrating to have people blow up about this. And we've stated, I've certainly stated publicly. The reason I haven't waited on things is I am an eyewitness to events. And they've said anything. It's a thousand. All right. So the lead there to me is Andrew Colvitt, who's there in the moments following Charlie Kirk's death, feels the need to share this message with someone in government with some responsibility
Starting point is 00:38:35 to investigate the murder of Charlie. What does that tell us? Well, I want to ask you something about this because I saw that you had Max Blumenthal in your show recently to talk about his reporting about this. And in that text, he talks about the pressure for having Tucker and Candice there. And it seemed like in that interview you suggested that there might have been some pressure about having you speak at Turning Point events. Is that right?
Starting point is 00:38:59 Well, first of all, in the moments where Charlie was having those discussions, he was reflecting the very same thing to me, that he was feeling this dual pressure. He had been pro-Israel and had defended Israel's right to exist publicly and forcefully. And yet at the same time, he was willing to platform someone like Tucker Carlson, who is a hero, and platform someone like me who I've taken controversial positions on foreign policy matters. And there were people who were contributing to this experience for young people who didn't feel like the voices that you would get from a Tucker Carlson or a MacGaates or a Candace Owens. Not that we're a homogenized group, but that those viewpoints would not be helpful for young people to hear.
Starting point is 00:39:41 Charlie resisted that, but I'm telling you, this was a guy who, this pained him. Because I have a different viewpoint on this than Kurt does. Kurt said on my program recently, he wants a divorce from the Israel First crowd on the right, that he doesn't believe that these things, if I'm paraphrasing you incorrectly, you can say. I actually want a movement on the right that can exist with people. who want to listen to Mark Levin and hold his views, but then also those who don't want to go to war over the Middle East anymore. And I actually think that was what Charlie worked so hard to try to curate,
Starting point is 00:40:18 keeping these things together. And there is a part of me who, Charles was my friend, care deeply for him, you know, you see this play out publicly. And it's not what Charlie would have wanted. He would not have wanted his death to be something that, like, yeah, that like accelerated. the divorce. He really was trying to like stay together for the kids or at least the midterms. Yeah, I mean, the whole thing is really interesting. Like I remember I watched you on Matt
Starting point is 00:40:47 show when you talk about you want a beautiful divorce basically from the Israeli military, right? I think the term is now getting perhaps more than I anticipated it. But yeah, I think I think that U.S. foreign policy should be beautifully divorced from Israeli foreign policy. Yeah. But do you think the right in America can exist? with the pro-Israel contingent and the contingent that reads the American conservative and questions the depth of this relationship. I mean, again, this is a, this is like a shell, right? So like Netanyahu's the prime minister and this question of what Israel will be without
Starting point is 00:41:20 Netanyahu's prime minister and this question of what Israel is becoming. But in the current time, functionally, one on offer is this, which is Israel is going to prosecute this forever war. it is now heightened from sort of back-channeling in Washington, D.C., New York City, and other places to try to get the U.S. involved in Israel's wars that that's been going on since the 80s and 90s, to outright this is the whole thing. And I remember talking to somebody, this is like a month or two ago, and this is somebody who does not have my foreign policy priors, but they were like, you know, the thing that you do raise, Kurt, that I think is fair. This is a person who is, you know, this person is Jewish. This person is probably supportive of Israel's campaign against Hamas. This person said, though, the thing about the Israel crowd, though, is they ask for everything.
Starting point is 00:42:13 It is the whole political capital of the administration right now. It's not just part of it. And so I'm far more skeptical of the ability for the Mark Levins and the people who want something more like a divorce to exist within the same movement or the same party. Because the reality is, what is President Trump's one of? a lot of time on, Israel, Gaza. I think you need a tough measure here, which is cutting U.S. military support for Israel, cutting U.S. diplomatic support for Israel as long as the war goes on, and a red line on really caring about Iran, and then we can talk. There are certainly similarities between the Israeli project and the American project, but for now, for the foreseeable
Starting point is 00:42:54 future, I don't see a way in which these two societies can really coexist in a way that U.S. can pursue his interests first. Can I follow up on something that you said, just one point on the end here, you said, like, put off the Iran issue. How do you think the United States should react to Iran's perceived nuclear ambitions? I mean, at this point, we're so deep in this game. But, like, I think the reality is we have an offer on table. The offer on the table from the Iranians in April this year,
Starting point is 00:43:23 with, you know, in Oman and Muscat, with Wiccost team, was 3.76% in Richmond. which is nowhere near nuclear bomb grade, and the U.S. could have accepted that. Above ground inspections were also rumored. These are not U.N. inspections. These are American inspectors. They can put in the biggest, tough-ass, non-proliferation. Send Mark Levin.
Starting point is 00:43:43 They can send Mark Levin. They can send Mark DeVon. They can send Josh Hammer. They can go to Iran themselves and take a look around. That's a pretty good deal. It's a better deal than JCPOA. It's a better deal than the Obama deal. And I think Trump and the U.S. should take it. I think that deal could still be procured.
Starting point is 00:43:58 and I think that's much better than the track Iran. Is that to say that you don't think the United States should allow Iran to ultimately acquire nuclear weapons? I think it's a false question because there's a deal on offer to avoid that. Yeah, that wouldn't be like the other scenario
Starting point is 00:44:14 wouldn't be just letting Iran have a nuclear weapon. We're making it way more likely. Not dealing with Tehran diplomatically could make them conclude that we have to lunge for some sort of rudimentary bomb. We have made every policy choice to make nuclear proliferation more likely. So if what we're really talking about is nuclear proliferation, it's the hawks who are agnostic about whether or not they get the
Starting point is 00:44:35 bomb. And another thing about that deal, I just want to mention. So apparently the deal that was on the table that they were discussing would have been some sort of consortium for the nuclear enrichment for that 3.67 percent. There wouldn't be any Iranian only, it would even have this absurd, basically, is rarely invented, neo-conservant invented pretext of zero enrichment. There was even a sort of hole in the death star, if you will, to have zero Iranian only enrichment. It would have been shared with Salady. And the fact that we, the fact that we hadn't even explored that further. But that was on the agenda for the talks on June 15th.
Starting point is 00:45:09 You remember there was a, there's supposed to be talks between the U.S. and Iran. I've heard mixed things about whether or not that could have actually happened. Yeah, but then what happened on June 13th? The Israelis started bombing them. The Israelis started bombing them. And what did President Trump say on true social when the Israeli jets were in the air? He said, oh, I'm committed to a diplomatic solution with the Iranians or something along those lines. And according to the reporting, he sent that out when the Israeli jets were in the air, when they were attacking Iran.
Starting point is 00:45:35 So, you know, this relationship, it's made us complicit in, you know, going back on our word, just destroying our diplomatic credibility like that. And I think it just shows how toxic it is. Do you think our diplomatic credibility is even judged by our relationship with Iran? I mean, I think, I mean, in the region, like, you know, what we, the things that we say and do. They all hate Iran in the region. Although those Sunni countries around there, they view Iran as a participant in this mischief to some degree. They hate Israel, too, though. Well, I didn't say they didn't.
Starting point is 00:46:06 I didn't say they didn't. But, like, you know, I don't know that I buy into the fact that, like, our chastity in our negotiations with Iran is, like, what all of American diplomatic credibility rest. Israel is a useful foil for other countries and, like, domestically, they can, they can say, well, you know, blame it on Israel. One big difference about these negotiations between when Obama did it is that the Saudis wanted the Iran deal. So did they. They did not want the Iran deal back under Obama. The Muslim world was united for them. But you know who didn't want this year? So they believe that a deal can be done with Iran. The critique that I would often hear in Congress is there's no deal that can be done with them. Any deal you do, they will cheat. Let us give you the long parade of horribles as to the times when they've deviated from. their otherwise stated agreements?
Starting point is 00:46:49 What is the answer to the argument that the Iranian simply can never be trusted? I think that's made up. I mean, I think the Obama deal was basically working. Trump wanted to have a better deal, so that was what he cited. I mean, if you go back to April of 2018, that's when he flushed out McMaster, he flushed out Rex Tillerson, and he installed Pompeo and Bolton. And I think it's pretty clear that he wanted to leave the Iran deal because Obama signed it. And meanwhile, the guys who wrote the policy on it wanted no deal.
Starting point is 00:47:20 His rationale for leaving the deal was super personalistic and different than Bolton and Pompeo's. Trump said he would meet with the Ayatollah. This is the guy who wanted to bring the Taliban, I know not Iran, wanted to bring the Taliban to Camp David. His justification was basically he didn't personally negotiate this deal with Iran. Now, putting aside whether or not that's a great thing for the President of the United States to do, that's what he did. But I think veil of ignorance, he wants a deal. And I think if you didn't have Israeli subterfuge and neo-conservatives within the Republican Party making all of these moves, we would already have a deal. Do you think there is any deal that can be done with Iran that
Starting point is 00:47:59 would please the more pro-Israel components of the political right? So there's a few different things that I feel like we need to talk about to including the part of the conversation. So I feel like with Obama's deal, if I'm not mistaken, there was ultimately a timeline, which down the line, they were able to achieve a nuclear bomb. No, no, it's a non-separvisions. The deal had to be renegotiated in 10 to 15 years. But that, but that would still, it would have had the non-proliferation treaty. They still would have been a signatory to the non-proliferation. Yeah, and I guess there's also the issue of Iranian proxies in the region, which is responsible of the death. Well, but before we get to the proxies, just on this question of denuclearization. Because I think,
Starting point is 00:48:38 I think the proxy question is a totally good question. No, because if we don't, okay, so the consequences of not having an Iran nuclear deal, though, is significant sanctions on Iran. And then if we have those significant sanctions on Iran, they're not in a position to support their proxies as much. So that's why this gets tangled up in all of that. Sure. Would you accept the argument that I actually care about the Iranian proxies considerably less than the Iranian nuclear program? and that I might be willing to trade Iranian proxy capability for knowing that they would not be a nuclear Iran. It's a tough question.
Starting point is 00:49:09 Just as an American. Because as an American, I know that these Iranian proxies have the death of more American service members on their hands than any bomb that they'd ultimately acquire. I think a tough thing that needs to be tough. They use it. Yeah. Right. No. Nuclear bomb?
Starting point is 00:49:25 I mean, Iranian nuclear bomb that doesn't exist hasn't killed any American service members, but their proxy groups have already are responsible for the deaths of hundreds, depending on how you count. it. I think a big question here, too, is how much of a threat is Iran really? You are in Congress. I'm sure you have more access to information regarding the threat from them. When they say things like death to America and, I mean, the fact that the Iranian revolution was based on anti-Americanism, how serious should we take their threats? Are they just posturing to try to get, you know, popularity within their country? Or do they mean it when they say these stuff, this stuff and attack our troops in the Middle East? Some people say we shouldn't have them in there
Starting point is 00:49:59 to begin with, but... I don't even take it all that seriously when people's scream in my face. I certainly don't take it that seriously when they scream at me across several oceans. So an Islamist, she at Islamists screams death to America and you're not taking that threat seriously? We just welcome the leader. You know what I took seriously? You know what I took seriously? Their intercontinental ballistic missile program. And when they abandoned it in 2013, I took them considerably less seriously. Like I actually take the North Koreans a lot more seriously because they have a delivery mechanism. They have a re-entry vehicle. Even if Iran had a ballistic missile that could shoot at us, they don't have a reentry vehicle to get a warhead back into the atmosphere.
Starting point is 00:50:37 And so, like, when I look at their kind of chance and their naughty talk toward us, it just means less to me. What about a guy who joined al-Qaeda after 9-11 to go fight Americans in Iraq and then went over to Syria to found al-Qaeda in Syria, and then he becomes the president, and we welcome him to New York City. Like, do you have a problem with that? That's just so Syria, by the way. I mean, Syria is the country. When you think by Neil Connery is going to go there, like, I don't know. Are you suggesting that I support the president of Syria? No, I'm just saying that the talking points about death to America, their proxies being a threat to us. It's just clearly being used to push an agenda when, on the other hand, in Syria, we've literally,
Starting point is 00:51:14 we literally just rolled out the, we literally just rolled out the red carpet for the leader of al-Qaeda in Syria. You think I'm a big fan of that? No, I'm just saying, I'm just saying that the talking points just don't work. Israel's bombing Syria still, even though they have this new guy in office. Yeah, even though they helped the regime change and celebrated it, and Netanyahu took credit. So I don't know what your angle is. No, I'm just saying that the reason why they wanted to oust Assad was because Assad wasn't ally of Iran. There was the weapons pipeline to Hezbollah, and they would prefer an al-Qaeda guy in there over an ally of Iran.
Starting point is 00:51:47 I mean, that's clearly true. That's just good old-fashioned Shia-Suni politics, right? I mean, the Saudis are thrilled with this guy in Syria because they view him as more closely aligned to Saudi than Iran. countries. This is very normative. Matt, do you think that Iran shouldn't be able to acquire nuclear weapons, or do you think the president should have went into that nuclear deal with whatever percentages? I don't know how we think we're going to stop any of these Gulf countries from acquiring nuclear weapons. Especially. Security guarantees? That's what it's been. I kind of think that in our
Starting point is 00:52:18 lifetime, Saudi's going to have a nuclear weapon. The UAE will have a nuclear weapon. Qatar will have a nuclear weapon. Iran will have a nuclear weapon. I think the era of proliferation in the Middle East is upon us. I don't celebrate that. I'm not cheering for it. But when you look at the democratization of talent around this space, you're not going to be able to keep that amount of money away from that amount of desire to have the deterrent that a nuclear weapon affords. The Israelis cooked up the proliferation issue in the 90s. I mean, like, I mean, you don't think all those countries, you don't think all those countries acquire a nuclear weapon? I think if we can get a durable deal with the Iranians that they won't proliferate. I think, I think if that, uh, if, if, uh, if
Starting point is 00:52:58 Netanyahu is allowed to toss over a country again, then Istanbul is going to panic, Saudi is going to panic, Egypt's going to panic, and I think then you will see a lunch of the bomb. You said the Saudi sign that defense deal with Pakistan. Yeah, I mean, you've already seen the results of this. So if we actually care about nuclear nonproliferation, it is incumbent upon us to do a reasonable deal with the Iranians. If we're saying eff it, then I mean, what do you guys think about? I'm not saying eff, no, wait, if I can finish. I mean, if the idea is effed everybody gets nuclear weapons, maybe, I mean, what about Ukraine getting a nuclear weapon?
Starting point is 00:53:32 No, you're terrifying. I don't think Ukraine should have a nuclear weapon. Okay, you see more terrified about Ukraine having a nuclear weapon than you did potentially Iran getting a nuclear weapon. A lot of times missing from the conversation, too, is the fact that Israel has nuclear weapons and everything. Do they? I don't know. I'm kidding. I'm kidding. No, but no, seriously then, we would not need to send weapons to Ukraine and they would have a credible deterrent if they had a nuclear weapon, right? So what's the logic? There are Republicans in Congress who hold that view. There are Republicans in Congress who do believe that we should create a strategic force for Ukraine that includes a nuclear component. Yeah, I don't think we should do this with any of these countries. I don't think any of us have conversation over.
Starting point is 00:54:07 Matt seems to be saying that he believes nuclear proliferation is inevitable. But rich countries, not Ukraine. But yeah, but it's not that. But I don't think the argument is. For the countries that like, you know, bribe World Cup officials. If you don't have World Cup bribe money, I don't know that it's like guaranteed that you get a nuclear weapon. But if you do, you're probably. I mean, they have real military capabilities, right?
Starting point is 00:54:28 I mean, they were, and they had a nuclear program 40 years ago. Sure, we got them to abandon it. But I think it is a false question, you know, because there is a deal on the table where we, that we could enter with Iran and that they're not going to get a nuclear way. Yeah, I think the president knows, no, having the deal. I think the president is more informed than you guys are on a specifically nuclear deal, and I think he's getting a bad deal.
Starting point is 00:54:47 I think, I mean, you guys may think otherwise, but. But you acknowledge he wants a deal. Trump wants an Iran deal. Yes, he wants a deal. And what would be the core features of that? deal, that Trump could strike with Iran that you could support? I don't think they should be able to
Starting point is 00:55:02 achieve the nuclear weapons. Okay, so you have to take ultimate achievement of that off the table. Yeah, that's a term. Ultimate achievement. And the supporting of proxy group needs to be a key aspect of this as well. That's not a nuclear deal. Also, is every Shia who like launches a weapon or sets off a roadside bomb
Starting point is 00:55:20 being funded by Iran? I don't know. But every Shia group that gets weapons from Iran and then sends them off. As the Houthi, wait, you know the Houthi. No, yeah, I know they're backed by Iran. Has been not only back, like, their weapons are supplied by. The world is not a nuclear deal. It's just like until the Supreme Leader can miss suicide on television, we don't have a deal. Until women don't have to wear a burqa.
Starting point is 00:55:39 They're not wearing them in Tehran anymore. Like, they're not, like, since the new president in June, if you talk to anyone who goes in and out of Iran, they're basically not wearing them. I mean, Iran is a more secular country in a lot of ways than Saudi. I mean, I don't think he's even close. What about ballistic missiles? Would you want them to have to limit their missile programs? Yeah, I don't think... Would you accept the deal without that?
Starting point is 00:55:59 No. Well, then it's not going to happen. And they just got bombed by the U.S. and Israel. We will accept total surrender. Yeah. It wouldn't be total surrender because, guess what? We're not doing regime change and they're lucky that's not happening, frankly. Look at the Maduro treatment that he's about to get right now.
Starting point is 00:56:11 They are... I think they should be, they should know that they're on thin ice. I think they're aware. Congratulations. Like, like, there is a religious derentocracy atop their society. And they, in order to maintain some level of power, have to have some stability for their regime. I'm not justifying that.
Starting point is 00:56:31 But asking them to throw over all of their cars, use the president's term, is a non-starter. They'd rather go to war. And so basically the hardline position is setting up a deal so bad that we're going to go to war. And I think the war is way too risky. I think it's not going to happen again pretty soon.
Starting point is 00:56:46 And I think we should avoid it. What was that, Dave? I think another war is probably coming pretty soon. Yeah, I think it's like... You know who one of the biggest forces was against extended involvement in that war? Charlie Kirk. That's right. You know, I mean, and I say that not as an observer of it, but as a participant because Charlie was the tip of the spear in this effort to showcase to the White House
Starting point is 00:57:08 what would happen to the right if we were in some extended war with Iran. Charlie believed that so much of what he had built in getting disaffected young men to show up, register to vote, vote for Donald Trump would be thrown asunder if we went into some, you know, multi-year war as we had been in the 90s and early aughts, and he was so specific about it, he would coordinate when Steve Bannon would go to the White House, when Tucker Carlson would go, when he would go, when I would call, when other people would call. Charlie was such an effective operator that if he knew that he or I would be on television at a particular time discussing this issue and wanting our views to be understood by the president, he would do everything he could
Starting point is 00:57:52 to get the people on Air Force One or in the Oval Office to flip it to RAV or One American News to absorb those messages, sometimes delivered by the two of you on my program. And I wonder what's going to happen without Charlie to hold that view and to express that view in what I think are probably pretty likely coming hostilities. Do you think hostilities are coming? No, I think Israel mocked the countries, Iran and their proxy. sufficiently. I think actually on the anniversary of October 7th, obviously we're talking now, but like the two years since then, obviously two years ago was one of the most terrific days
Starting point is 00:58:32 in Israel's modern history, a bunch of war crimes. I think it was like 800 civilians and 900 not civilians in Israel were murdered by Hamas. But since then, how effective Israel was at taking out the Hezbollah. And then, I mean, in their exchange with Iran, I feel like Israel's gotten and the better of that, with the toppling of al-Assad in Syria, who was an ally, some would say, a proxy of the Iranian regime. The Houthis have been tampered down a bit so... Yeah, they preferred the al-Qaeda guy over Assad, yeah. So, hold on, this is important, though.
Starting point is 00:59:05 So if you're wrong, if you're wrong, though, if the hostility is re-emerged and, say, the next 90 to 120 days, will you support them? Were you opposed them? Because you just said they got mobbed. They said, so there's no crisis anymore, so why did the Israeli... No, I think, I mean, I think... a lot of people from your foreign policy persuasion like to fear monger around things that happen
Starting point is 00:59:25 around these situations that don't pan out. So, for example, a lot of people said during this exchange that it was going to be World War 3 was breaking out now, that they were exchanging. There's going to be boots on the ground, but none of that actually came to. Without Charlie Kirk, it might have. Yeah, and they cut it short. Israel did not win that war. You don't think Israel got the better of that exchange.
Starting point is 00:59:44 They were hitting, they got the better. They killed more people. Your impression is that? Did you hear what I said? I said they kill more people, but they were. striking Israel to the last minute. I mean, and they did some serious damages. They were running out interceptors. You think that Iran, I think the, I think the, I think that they were running on interceptors. I think the ceasefire at the end of the day was brokered on Israel's behalf, not on Iran's.
Starting point is 01:00:05 I just think with the amount of enemies of the state of Israel and proxies of the Iranian regime that Israel was able to kill since October 7th is something that they should be really proud of. It's a set. I didn't, I didn't, I didn't relax. You don't freak out. over there. I want to take this full circle, though. Yeah. It seemed as though some people, after Charlie Kirk's death, we don't know what Charlie Kirk thought, but they seemed to try to imply that he was progressing or growing in a certain direction with his narratives towards Israel. As I understand, you used to be relatively more pro-Israel than you are now. Can you talk a little bit more about how you grew into that position as somebody who was very pro-Israel? And what the
Starting point is 01:00:43 situation was like in Congress for somebody who was, and then now on the outside who is, I don't want to call you, I don't know if you'd say anti or just less supportive. Yeah, I question the depth and the degree of the relationship now, and I have migrated on the issue. And by the way, I think a lot of young Americans have. I think Charlie Kirk's migration on the issue, my own migration on the issue tracks where a lot of Americans are. And for me, initially, I resented the fact that there was no appreciation for nuance. Like, if you asked any questions about any decision of the Israeli government in any place regarding settlements, regarding Gaza, whatever, you were like, you had deviated from the script. And I just, in any policy area, I had resentment over that.
Starting point is 01:01:26 And then I saw the way the APAC worked. And that was weird for like a country lawyer like me. I remember my first APAC reception. And like your fundraiser tells you you have to go and your chief of staff tells you have to go. Your committee chairman all tell you have to go. And you get there and you wear this name badge. And I remember there's a QR code on it. And what we were supposed to do was go talk to donors. And then if they liked you, they scanned your QR code to make a donation, like on the spot. And so can you just imagine how demoralizing that is to, like, be told that your job for the next several hours to go chat people up,
Starting point is 01:02:04 hoping they would scan you like a can of tomato soup on the way out of the meeting. I mean, it's like literally purchasing. Right. And so I saw that, and I was like, wow, that is so freaking weird. And then, you know, I was in Israel. I went multiple times. And I did not like the fact that I found someone in my room, rooting around in my stuff that should not have been there at the King David Hotel when I came back to my room
Starting point is 01:02:28 when no one was expecting me to be back in my room. And I just thought, I was. Well, I don't know who it was. I just thought, like, this is weird. All of these things combined are odd. And then the policy outgrowth seems to be an obsession about the Middle East. that has not served my generation well. I just don't think we're good at it.
Starting point is 01:02:46 And that is not a criticism even of Israel. We've been talking about Syria. We had battles in Syria where forces funded by the Pentagon were fighting forces funded by the CIA. If you just wait long enough in Syria, whoever you're giving money to becomes the enemy and whoever you're fighting becomes your friend. And I think that increasingly Israel views the world this way. There used to be like two dominant capital markets in the world, New York and London. And Israel felt like they were very comfortable under that dynamic.
Starting point is 01:03:18 And now we live in this world where the most important capital markets are in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi and Dubai and Doha. And I don't love that. I didn't cause that to happen. But I believe Netanyahu is trying to externalize his conflict. I believe he has serious domestic problems. And the way around those problems is to just sort of send the Middle East away. and chaos and regime change and maybe some war migrants moving around.
Starting point is 01:03:44 And if all of that happens, then there will be a reversion to the mean. London and New York will run things again, and we won't have to deal with the pesky emergence of these Arab markets. If I could follow up with you, it seems as though there's a growing anti-Israel sentiment, definitely on the left, also on the right.
Starting point is 01:04:05 What do you think is fueling this anti-Israel sentiment? I think that with young people, it's more driven by age than anything else, more than by politics, more than anything. So if you say, what is it about young people that is really causing this change? And I think that whenever you tell young people, there's certain things you can't say or can't talk about or can't do, there is like a natural resistance. Like this is our ideological curfew that we're being given by the boomers that we're not allowed to question the U.S. Israel relationship. And there's natural reaction to that.
Starting point is 01:04:36 Like, even the whole BDS thing, all we'd heard on the right is, oh, BDS is anti-Semitism. We have to be against BDS. BDS is the worst thing in the world. And then Mike Huckabee gets mad at the Interior Minister in Israel because he's not approving visas for touring Zionist Christians. And Huckabee says, my response to this is to tell people in the United States to cancel their trips, to stop sending money to these groups. And I may respond by punishing the Israelis by not approving their vans. visas to the United States, which sounded a whole lot like boycott the trip, divest your donation, and sanctioned with visas. And so we went from saying this was anti-Semitism to watching Mike Huckabee become the leader of the BDS movement. I mean, the left-wing view in the world is that the
Starting point is 01:05:21 big villains of the current conflicts are the Russians and the Israelis. But I will say this for the Russians. They're not asking anybody else to pay for it. They're not anybody asking anybody else to have diplomatic cover for it. They're not asking anybody else to handle the refugee problem that will happen as a result of their actions. Israel is. Israel is asking for endless U.S. financial and military support, is asking for unending diplomatic cover. I mean, cover the United Nations.
Starting point is 01:05:44 The U.S. is Israel's backman, effectively, what is supposed to be a global forum for reducing conflict. Additionally, for any of Israel's major objectives, which basically undeclared regime change in Iran, they need the United States. They say that openly. And additionally, if they're not going to just murder everybody in Gaza, which I think they still could. Most of the real plans are a U.S.
Starting point is 01:06:10 redevelopment plan in Gaza or basically a U.S. ethnic cleansing by moving all of these people on boats to places like Libya or Madagascar. The Israeli Navy is nothing to really write home about. It would have to be the U.S. Navy. And when you're talking about subverting the MAGA agenda, quote unquote, and talking about how mass deportations aren't happening, just because of Thomas Massey, I think we are far less likely to do mass deportation. in the United States because we are spending all of our time doing mass deportations in Gaza. That's odd given the biggest supporters of the president who's, this is agenda for, are Zionists, of course. I did want to have this. The biggest supporters of the president
Starting point is 01:06:47 who pushes agenda for are Zionists. Who pushes the, yes, other than Joe Biden. Part of the MAGA agenda that, yeah, I'm a Zionist, Joe Biden, yeah. That people voted for was to get out of the Middle East. No one is more America first than Zionists. I mean, I mean, it's quite, it's quite the claim. Donald Trump went to South Carolina and called George W. Bush a war criminal over these wars in Iraq. He was like, he, he was more Rand Paul than Rand Paul. He would call Rand Paul and say, I'm more libertarian than you are. Do you think like the sort of like laid off glass factory worker in Toledo who voted for Obama Biden twice in 2008 and 12, but then pushed, you know, the button for Mr. Trump in 2016
Starting point is 01:07:28 was like, ah, I am just excited to get a real Zionist. But no, I said some of his biggest donor You said he's big... I'll let you amend the record, but you did not say some of you said his biggest. You said the vanguard of the man. I will say that does go against... Funding is different. Funding is different. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:07:47 But I'll just say that... Elon was the biggest funder of the campaign. It wasn't the Edelson's this time? I think Elon's work in Pennsylvania actually got a lot more attention. What is the number from him? That Zionist money isn't big enough. But I'm just saying it is like against the Maga agenda when it comes to the grassroots, like the people that came out and voted for Trump,
Starting point is 01:08:08 like especially the young people, they want nothing to do with these wars in the Middle East. But the problem is, is that, you know, wanting to get out of the Middle East and also be this supportive of Israel, just doesn't compute. You know, talking about Syria in 2019, when Trump said he was going to stay because he was initially going to leave, but then he decided to say, everybody remembers he said, I'm going to stay and secure the oil. That's one thing I always appreciate about Trump is, you know, he says things like that. But another thing he said was that he was staying there because Israel asked him to. So this is something that, you know, Israel and Jordan.
Starting point is 01:08:38 And why do we give military aid to Jordan? Why do we give military aid to Egypt? It's like you're never going to get out of that region if you're like... Well, why can't we just be honest with all of our friends? I don't believe that we have to like shun Israel in order to achieve some sort of foreign policy balance. I think we just have to say, okay, you know, Prime Minister Netanyahu, you have to go home and face the music with your own domestic politics without starting war with your neighbors. I agree.
Starting point is 01:09:01 I don't think Israel needs to be BDS. And I think we are entering the zone in which Israeli security is more precarious because of what they're doing. I mean, I mean, I think, look, not to be like a squish on this, but I think there was basically an era of Israeli politics where a two-state solution was super possible. And Netanyahu's entire political career has basically, I mean, he let his opponent get murdered in order to become Israeli prime minister, basically on the issue of Tuesday solutions. You said recently he visited a settlement and he said, I kept my promise. Remember I was here 20 years ago? I said, I would never allow a Palestinian state. Well, here we are. Yeah,
Starting point is 01:09:38 so I think it's much more open about it. I think the heightening of contradictions on that is actually what could actually be the most, could usher into the demise of Israel. And if Israel doesn't exist in 80 years, it will be remembered that Netanyahu, not anybody else, was the greatest enemy of the Israeli people. I want to talk a little bit more about the domestic situation re-Israel and how Americans feel about Israel writ large. I definitely agree that there is a growing segment of the right that is anti-Israel. But I think a bigger concern for Israelis should be the growing dissent within the Democrat Party and the far left. And why is that? I mean, I think you guys could agree to that, right? Israel's increasingly more, at least for their representatives.
Starting point is 01:10:17 I think their biggest vulnerabilities on the right. Okay. I think among the far leftists, Israel is less popular. And why is that? I think the reason for that is because Israel is right-wing-coded and they believe that Israel is a settler colonialist society. And because of that reason, Israel is irredeemable. What if it's just whiteness? It is. What if it's just that? I think it's also just seeing pictures and videos of children like ripped apart by bombs every day. You can say it after. I mean, this is just something we haven't addressed yet. Okay. So we'll address it after. So among the left, Israel is white and right-wing-coded. And they believe that they are white settler colonialist state in the vein of how America was set up. So I feel like for many
Starting point is 01:11:00 far leftists and socialists, it's a self-loathing of their Americanism that helps evolve into anti-Israelism. In our country, the socialist left is the biggest constituency for anti-Israel people. And I feel like isolationist types should keep in mind that who they're allying with in this case are oftentimes people who are anti-white, pro-immigration, hate ICE, are usually Antifa, and are far-left agitators, and I think they're making cause. By the way, so I've seen this manifest, I've seen this manifest in how the libertarians are willing to have rallies with literal communists in the vein of being anti-war. And you know what, I have no common cause with communists.
Starting point is 01:11:38 I think it's bad to have common cause with communists. I'm an ardent anti-communist, as Phil would say. So I think we really need to take that piece in mind when we see people on the right, willing to work with these people on the left who literally hate their guts. But if it's something wrong and something evil, then we should oppose it, no matter who opposes it. I mean, again, this is what we've seen over the past two years is like mass murder live streamed and you can justify it and argue for it. But at the end of the day, it's a foreign country. It's not in our interest to support this far ban. I think Muslims in America
Starting point is 01:12:07 hate Israel, not because of the recent war in Gaza. A lot. You do you do way too much. If you don't align with what I want, then you're aligning with the bad guys. You do that with libertarians. You do, you're doing that right now with the, with the situation in Gaza. And that is, and that is Keep shopping off the lids. That's not how normal people. I get further than Thomas Massey. It's not how normal people think. He's in Congress.
Starting point is 01:12:29 He's not at all how normal people think. Okay, look who else is in Congress? Thomas Massey is a one-of-one as far as he goes in Congress. You allied with people on like, you know, you consider the far left in Congress on certain issues. Yeah, well, like the stock trading issue is, is a classic case that's presenting right now. I don't believe members of Congress should trade stock. It turns out that the communists, in some cases, are unbought communists. They sincerely are communists, and no one is paying them to hold those positions.
Starting point is 01:12:57 And just like I resent people that hold positions for money, they resent that. And so I am actually willing to work with the communists to ban congressional stock trading. And you know who opposed is that? President Trump, of course. I mean, he attacked Hawley. Well, I think there was one particular version of the bill. President Trump has come out in favor of, but he has come out in favor of congressional stock trading bans on a number of occasions, including recently. And your stuff like, again, we covered this a lot at anti-war.com, the bills you would introduce to pull out a certain conflicts, Somalia, Syria, and, you know, the people that would align with you, you know, you would have some Republicans, but also some progressive Democrats.
Starting point is 01:13:37 So I don't think there's anything wrong with working, you know. I just don't see why you can't work with people when you agree, not work with them when you disagree. Yeah, that's, I mean, that's exactly what we should do. The idea that, oh, look, if you don't agree with me about this particular topic, then you're just against the entire agenda. I totally reject that. Yeah, I mean, obviously American voters in some levels are basically a principle, are prisoners of the first-past-the-post system
Starting point is 01:13:59 that we have this ridiculous two-party system. I don't think we should do anything to strengthen that system. It's already enough of a bind as it is. Yeah, my politics are antithetical to the left. I'm an anti-left, so now I don't think you should. What is the left? Communists, literal communists,
Starting point is 01:14:15 rallying alongside libertarians and anti-war rallies. I'm giving you a specific example. Give me an example of a liberalitarian party. The Libertarian Party is not communist. That is the most absurd, ridiculous thing that you say. Angela Merkel held a rally. Angela Merkel. Well-known libertarian, Angela Merkel.
Starting point is 01:14:33 She was like the spokesperson for the libertarian. Yeah, I went to that rally. I mean, no, what we're talking about. Communists with... Is it a congressperson? This is a... Hold on, hold on. Let him Angela McArdle, who used to be the LPs, the chair.
Starting point is 01:14:46 Go ahead, make your point. Is having anti-war rallies with communist groups. You will never find me. rallying alongside any communist. I'm staunchly an anti-communist. And I don't think you should, a broken clock is right like twice a day. You're citing a third party, the nation's largest third party, the libertarian party. So there's that. But doing an alleged event with literal communists, I would like, well, I'd like to see. I'm pretty sure you were at the rally, right? Were they literal communists? I was there. There was some communist groups. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:15:15 Literal communist. All right, fine. All right. Just making sure. So like what's an example in like mainstream politics where, quote, small L. Libertarians are al-libertarians are aligning with literal communists. Like, I have never seen Thomas Matthew. Well, the Libertarian Party, right? I mean, I guess you're right. Thomas Massey, the third largest party? No, he's not. I don't think he's like a cardinal. Yeah, I mean, I think I'm in their events. I mean, I think Donald Trump campaigned the Libertarian Party convention. Does that make him a literal communist? No, I think that's stupid. Does that make you vague, Ramoswamy and literal communist? I think the also let me make a point. Let me make a point.
Starting point is 01:15:48 They make a point because I work on a single issue project, anti-war.com. We run stuff. My boss always says, my boss Eric Garris, who founded the site, he's always proud of some of the examples, like when the site first started, Pat Buchanan was a columnist, and so was Daniel Ellsberg, and they, like, hated each other. Well, but, you know, we were publishing both of them. And so, from my experience, working with people kind of all over the political spectrum on one issue, I mean, I think it's good for the country, because you'll have people on
Starting point is 01:16:18 the left who think, like, you know, libertarian or people on the right are just, you know, monsters. And obviously, you get that vice versa. You get to know each other. You get to understand that, like, your political opponents aren't, you know, necessarily evil. And then, like, it changes people's mind and it can bring people closer to our ideas. So I think there's a lot of positives to this. And, like, you know, optically, having a rally in people with, like, the hammer and sickle there, that doesn't look good. But single issue stuff in general, I think, is a, is a, is a net positive thing. Especially when it's something as evil
Starting point is 01:16:51 is what's happening against. Donald Trump, as the party's standard bearer, this is not a doctrinaire Republican. He's never been his entire life. No. So the idea that we're going to start dividing, I don't think even he wants that. No, I mean, look, Donald Trump is a pragmatist
Starting point is 01:17:04 of nothing else, right? He's not ideological. He will change his opinion if the results on the ground are not proving what he thought, whether it be tariffs, whatever the situation is, if it's not getting Donald Trump positive, if it's not getting actual,
Starting point is 01:17:18 positive results for the American people, right? Now, maybe he misinterprets data or whatever, but if in his estimation it's not producing good results for the American people, he will change his policy. There is nothing that Donald Trump wants more than to go down in
Starting point is 01:17:34 history as a positive, good president, and you don't do that by making the American people miserable. You can hate Donald Trump. The left is always going to hate him. That's perfectly, that is absolutely obvious, right? That is self-evident. But the idea that Donald Trump is trying to hurt America or trying to do things that are bad for America or that
Starting point is 01:17:52 he won't change a policy if it's not proving to do what he thought. That's ridiculous. He's not an ideological guy. He's never been an ideological guy. That's why he went to the Republican Party to run in the first place. He saw, I think Trump saw the Republican Party as just an acquisition target, like an asset that had been put into such atrophy, like with the legs of Mitt Romney and John McCain that he was like, I can just do a hostile takeover of this asset. And I I can improve its value, very, very business approach. Serge, you have the par scale article that I want to talk about, I want to continue the points you were making about the domestic reshaping of perspectives on U.S. Israel policy.
Starting point is 01:18:34 And there was this article we had where, I guess, Israel had filed a FARA form that they were spending $4.1 million to target American Christians. Oh, there it is. Oh, that's Dave, that's Dave's piece. Dave, why don't you tell us about it? Yeah, so this is something that the Israeli Farm Ministry itself is actually funding this. And the budget is up to $4.1 million. And they're calling it the largest Christian church geofencing campaign in U.S. history.
Starting point is 01:19:05 Essentially what it is is targeted digital ads targeting American Christians. They're going to geofense Protestant churches. Yeah. And they're going to plow message into those churches. Yes. And specifically pro-Israel. anti-Palestinian message according to the documents. And so this is a targeted propaganda campaign at American Christians.
Starting point is 01:19:23 They also have this plan to create an October 7th mobile experience, like a trailer that's going to be designed by some Hollywood people. I don't know exactly what that's going to be. But this is a big information campaign because of what we are seeing, you know, the growing skepticism among American Christians and evangelicals are historically a very strong base for Israel but not everybody is like a Christian Zionist in the sense that they believe they have a theological reason to support Israel like Mike Huckabee. So this, I think, really shows the desperation. So this is, you know, a foreign country specifically targeting American Christians.
Starting point is 01:20:04 Do you have a problem with that, Phil? You're okay with it? 4.1 million just doesn't seem like that much money. Yeah, I mean, like when it comes to like the grand scheme of things, like the whole U.S., it doesn't seem like a lot of money. I mean, if they're going after Protestants, they're going after churches that are, like, in between Buffalo Wild Wings and, like, the shoe spot. So I don't really care a whole lot, to be honest with you. But those are just the FARA filings. Yeah, that's just the FARA.
Starting point is 01:20:27 These are so overt the HAD register. Yeah, yeah. That's an important point because Israel, the way APAC is set up, you know, there's a lot of lobbying that goes on that is not reported like this. But what I think it shows, you know, it's not so much the scale, the number. although I do think, you know, they're going to spend 3.15 million over five months on this. Like, that's a pretty big budget. I don't think that they're going to get traction. I don't think it's going to work.
Starting point is 01:20:53 Yeah, I don't think they're going to have traction. I really don't think that spending, you know, spending money on ads is going to help Israel because the Internet has already, like, done such a damage that PR. But they're betting we're wrong. I mean, obviously. Israel's falling victim to grifter influencers is what I'm seeing in this story. I honestly think they would be better. Finally, Israel has been victim and I think this show is that there is some desperation here,
Starting point is 01:21:18 and they see that they're losing. They would be better off not doing this messaging, in my opinion, at all. I mean, like, to merge threads, I mean, that guy, the number of times that he had to deny that they didn't even do of Charlie Kirk's death fed into the narrative that they did. I'm not asserting that, but it struck everybody as very suspicious. Isn't it weird that he had that matter, if nothing else? he waved around. Yeah, Netanyahu had this letter from Kirk that he waved around, like, constantly in the moments after his death, and then, like, hasn't released the whole thing. And what I've heard is there's a great deal more context in that letter. And I didn't know that. I thought he put out the whole thing. I do think that the idea of... There's like, it was just excerpts that he put out? Yeah, no, I'd heard some suggest that there was more, more information. Well, it is strange. You know, like, they, I mean, that's why this conversation is important because Netanyahu immediately tried to make, you know, you know, him basically a martyr for the pro-Israel cause.
Starting point is 01:22:13 Yes. So this conversation definitely needs to happen. He was a warrior for the West, a warrior against Muslims. He said all these things. That's true, but the, like, I agree with you guys that, not in Yahoo did that, but the idea that, like, the Israelis had something to do with his murder. No, I'm not arguing. I'm not saying that you are, but there's a lot of people that are saying that on the internet.
Starting point is 01:22:32 And I think that's ridiculous. Why do you think it's a big question? What's your basis to disprove that? Well, I think that, well, I mean, the Tyler, Tyler's dad turned him in, the kid's dad turned him in? Like the gun was his father's. If there's new information or information that I don't have and I'm wrong about that, that's fine. I'm not suggesting there's any evidence that Israel had any involvement, but I just think that
Starting point is 01:22:52 to make any determinations about the evidence seems misguided. I wouldn't make any determination about anyone's culpability or not culpability until I'm in the full story. I do think it's interesting that Andrew Colvitt, one of the people closest to Charlie Kirk in the world, felt like one of the things he needed to share with a thoughtful. authorities in the moments after Charlie Kirk's death was this, this rather raucous exchange about money being withheld, and Charlie saying he's leaving the pro-Israel. Well, I mean, look, I don't have any insider information. So if there is something that comes out that says that says that Israel was involved, then,
Starting point is 01:23:26 hey, I'm wrong, right? No big deal. But as of right now, I don't see anything or I haven't seen anything. It speaks to the civilization, the society they put together that some of people suspect them. I mean, they are. I feel like the people that are most vocal about that are kind of knee-jerk anti-Israel anyways, though. Like, they're going to be like...
Starting point is 01:23:46 But I mean, Israel, I mean, this is in the Ronan Bergman book, Rise and Kill First. I mean, Israel has killed through assassination more people through assassination than any Western country since World War II. Yeah, but who are they killing? Enemies of Israel, presumably. And was Charlie Kirk an enemy of Israel?
Starting point is 01:24:05 Well, the conspiracy theory asserts that he was becoming one. Yeah, well, I mean, I mean, that's the, that's the, that's the, that's the, yeah. I think anti-Israel opportunists are using this as an opportunity to just try to imply that it was obviously responsible. I think Candice Owens, like, is playing into this because it's an opportunistic way for her to be anti-Israel. There's also a very influential Arab comedian called Bassim Youssef, who like, he's playing the comedian card where it's like, oh, I'm just, I'm just some clown, although he's spreading misinformation about Israel being responsible. I mean, look, if there's a lot of evidence that Tyler was the person who murdered. Yeah, that Kirk, look, if you've got, if you've got people that are, if you got people that are, if you got people that are, if you If you got people like Nick Fuentes that are saying, no, I don't think so. I mean, and that guy's the first person to, you know, hatchet Israel, you know, I don't think. I'm not relying on Nick, I'm not saying the facts on this at all. I'm not saying any wins. And like I said, if there's, if evidence comes out that, that connects Israel to it, then fine.
Starting point is 01:24:56 Like, I don't, you know, I don't have a dog in that fight. But as of right now, I don't think that there is evidence. I understand people are critical. You know, what's weird to me, no one else was, like, killed, you know, if this is, if Tyler or some person that had some great grievance with. conservatives or free speech or these events, you would think you would have an assault technique that would tragically have been more like the Mandalay Bay shooting where... Oh, come on, Gates. Charlie Kirk was more important than any of the other guys around him.
Starting point is 01:25:23 As long as he took out to him, that was his ultimate goal. No, that very well may be true. That may well be true, but, I mean, one shot from that distance... It's not a difficult shot to make all things considered as I understand. Okay. Right, Phil, you shoot more guns. That is not a crazy shot. That's not a hard shot.
Starting point is 01:25:38 Not at all, as I understand. No. Foof. Yeah. Hard shot. Because I'll take your word for it. Yeah. So I don't.
Starting point is 01:25:46 So, so, but on the paid influencer thing, is it your view that that could work? No. And I think 4.1 million is kind of chump change, as you mentioned earlier. And I don't think Israel is unique in doing this. And so like. This is just the globalized information game that we're all a part. Like, there is a part of me that looked at the criticism of what they were doing and just saying, look. Information is so globalized
Starting point is 01:26:10 now. There's so many powerful forces trying to plow information into various cleavages of the American electorate and the faith community. Farer registrations are fairly few and far between, at least in this kind of media blank. Only because people break the law.
Starting point is 01:26:26 And then additionally, I mean, this is what Benjamin Yatya who's spending his time on. I mean, other than visiting Donald Trump, he's at the front. I mean, like, what other, I didn't see Erdogan meet with a bunch of Turkish influencers when he was in New York. could have a lot to go. Like, well, Assam Piker, I don't know if he's a proud Turk, so. Did they meet with Erdog? No, no, I'm making a joke. I don't think he's...
Starting point is 01:26:45 Well, I mean, the joke's not that good because, like, if it was a truly analogous situation, I mean, he would have flown to West Hollywood and make sure Hassan Piker was on message for big turkey, right? But that's what Netanyahu actually did. And also, the Oracle, the TikTok thing. I mean, Netanyahu said, did you see that clip when he was speaking to influencers in New York? And he said, what's the most important thing happening right now, when he was asked about this, you know, losing the evangelical Christians kind of losing their support for Israel, and he said social media is the tool of battle that we have to use. And what's the most important thing happening right now, the TikTok purchase?
Starting point is 01:27:22 And who's buying that? The company with the main stakes is going to be Oracle. What is it, Larry Ellison, you know, super pro-Israel, a huge private funder to the IDF? Is there a person on the planet Earth who donates more money to the IDF than Larry Ellison? I think they say, that's like, they say he's the largest. private donor to the IDF. I think that's based on like a fundraiser from a few years ago. The IDF itself, really?
Starting point is 01:27:44 Yeah. That's hilarious. The friend's the idea. Now he owns TikTok. You're right. He doesn't give money to Israel. He's like just giving it to the guys. Yeah. That's probably bigger than any of this is the media. Yeah, yeah, the TikTok. So are you betting that when we're back here in 120 days, like resolving our core
Starting point is 01:28:00 disagreement about whether or not hostilities are going to increase or decrease, you actually think that peace will take hold? And I'm excited for his principle. No, by the way, we hope you're, I hope you're right. I think there are a lot more dramatic ramp-ups in other parts of the world that we should be more concerned about, but I think for one reason or another, Israel, no, not Sudan. How about Venezuela?
Starting point is 01:28:18 We're going to try to do regime change in Venezuela, but for some reason, we're always a lot more focused on Israel. I will say this to some of the viewers. If you have any dreams of getting into the influencer game or becoming a journalist, I will say this, any story on Israel will get a lot of attention, no matter how insignificant. If you want some eyes on your scoop, no matter how small, Israel does anything, you could bitch and moan about Israel, you could praise Israel, We love to give Israel a ton of attention. So if you're trying to get into the game
Starting point is 01:28:41 and get eyes and clicks on your stuff, talk about Israel. That's why I guess there's so many powerful people in media who criticize Israel. Yeah, the Congress, the Congress. It is a new thing. I guess that's why media is controlled by Israel critics right now, as well as we gather.
Starting point is 01:28:57 I do want to talk about Venezuela, though, because you raised that point. It is something we want to address, and the good thing about the Israel discussion is we've made a series of pretty binary predictions and we'll be able to revisit them, and the internet will remember them forever. Venezuela, you have been critical of the administration's approach.
Starting point is 01:29:12 Why? Where to begin? I'll go with the easy one. I am concerned that members of the administration are just pretty openly lying about this, and I think that has clear echoes of the Iraq war run up, where they were just fabricating intelligence left and right. The big one to obviously flag is that Venezuela is not involved, and fentanyl in a major way.
Starting point is 01:29:39 So the argument that we are targeting narco-terrorists, transporting fentanyl, and thus they should be murdered. But fentanyl gets into the cocaine that Venezuela allows to be transported. Without the cocaine that they're sending, people probably wouldn't take as much fentanyl because they cut the cocaine with fentanyl.
Starting point is 01:29:56 It's possible some fentanyl is getting through Venezuela, but most of the fentanyl, I mean, the villains of the fentanyl trade are China and Mexico. And even if you look at the numbers with cocaine, most of the cocaine out of Colombia doesn't go through Venezuela. So what do you think are the administration's goals
Starting point is 01:30:10 in Venezuela? Oh, I mean, I think that they are moving towards soft regime change. I think this is what Secretary Rubio has long wanted. I think he's changed
Starting point is 01:30:23 and contorted his ideology a lot of different ways the last 10 years, but something that is a clear hallmark of it is pretty extreme hawkishness on Venezuela, and I think they think
Starting point is 01:30:32 they can knock it over pretty easily. I think, you know, I wouldn't make up a story, but I have a very different experience with President Trump and Senator Rubio at the time over Venezuela. Remember when John Bolton was running around with like 5,000 troops? And the Guido guy, yeah. And yeah, there was this notion that Juan Cuido, someone you would probably call a communist, was going to be like...
Starting point is 01:30:52 Wasn't he the rightful, who we recognize as the rightful government? Yeah, but he was like a civil government. I mean, that's what the government stance was... I guess, based on what? Maduro was a worst communist, I guess, between the two. Yeah, they were both. probably a communist. But either way, you had Senator Rick Scott, who I have a very high view of on many issues, trying to convince President Trump that we needed kinetic military action in Venezuela.
Starting point is 01:31:20 And Rick Scott laid out a compelling case for that foreign policy viewpoint. He had done all his homework, laid it out. And before I could even get in the conversation, Marlboro took the other side. And those guys get along really well. And Marco said, if you get into some war in Venezuela, It is a jungle conflict. There's going to be a guerrilla feature to this. We will be bogged down there forever. Rubio had specific information about where different naval assets were and explained that getting them in position to launch this.
Starting point is 01:31:51 We are moving assets. It was impractical. Yeah, but like Rubio was taking the anti-intervention side as it related to Venezuela. His views may have changed. I don't think he's a cartoon character. I mean, I mean, none of these people are. But I mean, I think the preponderance of the evidence is that he's supportive of a pretty hardline tact on Latin America and on Venezuela, that he's been fighting this shadow of war with Rick
Starting point is 01:32:10 Cornell about it, that Rick Cornell is losing as of now, and that we are ramping up, and a lot of this is being driven by the State Department, but also the War Defense Department. Matt, if I could ask you, since you're a Florida jit, there's a ton of people in the cabinet who are Floridian, and as I understand, there's a large Venezuelan expat population throughout Miami or Florida largely that help influence the politics when it comes to this a lot. Could you speak to how that could influence, I don't know, Susie Weil, or Marco Rubio or Pan Bondi's. I think that constituency has a lot of influence.
Starting point is 01:32:41 Totally. Well, yeah, no, it's a fair question. There are hundreds of thousands of Venezuelan voters in Florida who are swing voters. And there were political figures like Congresswoman Maria Elvira Salazar saying that if the Trump administration would always take a maximalist view against the Maduro regime, that would be the best path to secure the support of those voters. And the reason that mattered at the time was because Florida was a swing state. Now, like, Florida is Arkansas. We are not going to elect a Democrat statewide in our state for the foreseeable future. And so this, like, highly important, you know, political group in Florida that received all this attention probably gets less of that now just as a result of it. I mean, that's why the embargo is still in place on Cuba, right? Because of the Cuban Americans there. They all want a hard line on Cuba, the sanctions to stay on. Marco, principally among them.
Starting point is 01:33:35 Yeah. This is an issue, Marco and I've discussed frequently. We have different views on the subject. I think that if sanctions worked, Cuba would be the Garden of Eden. But I have the view that if something has failed for half a century, maybe try something different. And I don't think we're any closer to the Cuban people being free. I have a great connection to the Cuban people, but I don't believe the sanctions have
Starting point is 01:33:57 weakened the regime more than the people who are trying to survive there. And you're right. That key group of hardcore Cuban voters has been very politically powerful. It's where Jeb Bush got a lot of his initial momentum when he ran statewide. And it just is different when you're not a swing state. Also, generationally, these third generation Cubans are probably less tied to embargo politics because they don't think they're going back. The first and second generation actually thought they were going to go back. and get their plantations back. By the third generation, no one's, like, eager to make that happen. And so that, that animates how people think about it. Well, I've seen Kurt battle with Venezuelans on X. Yeah, I did not know.
Starting point is 01:34:41 Because they have a presence. And I mean, maybe you know his name. He's a congressman, Carlos Jimenez. Jimenez. When they bombed the first boat off Venezuela, you know, he's like tweeting in Spanish, celebrating it. And I mean, these are, you know,
Starting point is 01:34:55 foreigners agitating for a war in a foreign country. I just feel, is an elected member of Congress? dove, but I just feel like we have way more at stake. I don't care about Bad Bunny speaking Spanish. You don't care about Carlos Amendez? That's right. No one should be Spanish at all in America. Did you have an English version as well? I think it was just in Spanish. A lot of them do
Starting point is 01:35:12 like a... They do dual, yeah. So what to be spoken Spanish? No, I'm just saying it's like this is a constituency of people like from this country who want our government to intervene there. It's high conviction, not expats, basically. Yeah. I mean, like it's people who have... And I think that's really what's driving this. Of course. I mean, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, It's a lot of our foreign policy. I think there's other aspects that we need to touch on, too.
Starting point is 01:35:34 There's also the oil markets that play into this. If we were able to install a friendly regime there, we would be able to compete harder. We can make a deal with the current regime. I mean, basically, we don't have any, the administration has been sabotaging any of the deals. Weren't these the same communist that nationalized the oil industry before we got in there? They can't use their oil industry anyways because they kicked out all the companies. A communist, a narco terrorist. What is he?
Starting point is 01:35:54 Both. The communist narcotorists. But Chevron, what's interesting is that Trump recently. No, what do you mean? They traffic drugs and they're communists over there. Am I, am I mislabeling them? I think there is drug running in Venezuela, and I think in a certain point,
Starting point is 01:36:07 if you're an isolated and impoverished regime, you are looking the other way and fast as if your society and your administration are involved in it, but the idea that, like, Maduro sits down, like, Joseph Stalin, and there's lines of cocaine everywhere, and, like, this is the fentanyl that's like...
Starting point is 01:36:22 That's the president of Colombia, actually. Okay, I mean, I mean, it's a child's view of the universe. So another point... Well, no, no, no. You don't... You don't, because I've studied Venezuela a little good bit, I don't have a child's view of it. And I think that Maduro in many ways has to answer to the conglomerate of narcos that control the persons of his economy. Perhaps I was setting up a straw man, but my basic, yeah, I think he's in a tough neighborhood and he's involved in it. But the idea that there's not going to be drug running in that part of the world, regardless of who they mean.
Starting point is 01:36:49 I'll tell you where there isn't any, El Salvador. I mean, there is a, there are two models right now for Latin America. There is the Maduro model, which I think is far too permissive of that. type of malign activity. And then there's the Buckele model. And the two, the two are really at war for the soul of a lot of these Latin American voters as elections are getting ready in Argentina. Well, if we're speaking about the Latin American voters, though, I do, and we're talking about like future Republican consolidating gains of Hispanic voters, I think if the administration spends its time killing basically Venezuela and fishermen on boats, I think that's actually going to
Starting point is 01:37:20 They're jog runners. That's what they say. Do you think anyone cares? They're not fishermen. That's what they say. Why are you calling them fishermen? I think there are people that are paid $1,000 to drugs. Okay, but those are fishermen are people who go out and see in boats and they take their rods in and then they reel in. I don't know what it's something. I think it's not people who the administration has shown that it will lie about the issue. Second of all, they haven't proved anything
Starting point is 01:37:40 about who these people are. I wouldn't be surprised that they had ties the drugs, ties being like their gophers to move this stuff. But they're not harding criminals. And if they are, the administration will produce the evidence, but they haven't. You think we have to produce evidence in the middle. Yeah, I think we should, I think I'm
Starting point is 01:37:56 against the drug striking. You can't just blow people out. I'm against the drone striking. Execute them without any evidence. It seems as though they're carrying payloads of drugs. I mean, those seem... That's not how we handle drug trafficking. It's how we should handle drug trafficking. Correct.
Starting point is 01:38:11 After 9-11, we moved towards a broad dragnon of terrorism, and I don't think it's served the American people well. If we had treated it as a police action, Osama bin Laden would have brought to justice, and we wouldn't have had all of these... We're merging the drug war and the terror war. What served the American people well is loads of fentanyl being shipped into our country. That's really what's American's well.
Starting point is 01:38:28 It's not Venezuel. I don't even care if it has to be fentanyl. I think we should bomb the meth labs in Mexico. Now we're talking, Gates. I should have kept you in there. No, I mean, look, and I'm widely viewed as a dove, but I think we have actual interests here. I think we have an achievable interest.
Starting point is 01:38:44 The interest in the Gulf of America is deterrence. Look, if you blow a few of these things up, and you get that rolling on social media, I think people might think twice about traversing. To your point, Colin Rugg was just tweeted a little while ago, that the Sinaloa cartel is threatening to target American citizens in popular tourist spots like Cabo
Starting point is 01:39:03 in response to lab raids and seizures, according to Breitbart. A banner was recently erected addressing FBI director Cash Patel. The banner first surfaced on Sunday in Baja, California, where gunmen left two banners allegedly signed by Los Chapitos Chappitos, I think. Breitbart reported the banners claim that starting on
Starting point is 01:39:20 Sunday they will be targeting U.S. citizens in Mexico in response to recent lab raids and weapon seizures. The banners were quickly taken down by authorities. Look, if that happens, then I do think that... I don't even believe that. They own the resorts. Why would this...
Starting point is 01:39:32 Why would the Ceno Lo? That seems to be something that somebody would say about the Ceno Loa cartels of false flag because they are the ones who own the resorts in Cabo. Why would they do that to their own tourism industry? I just think it's...
Starting point is 01:39:43 I'm not... You think this would work? I mean, you think we could just bomb the drug problem? Like, there's always going to be this big market. Like, the issue is that there's a big market for drugs in the U.S. And that's a serious problem. And I come from a place that was plagued by,
Starting point is 01:39:58 by that. But it's not something we could just bomb away. I think it could make things worse. I mean, it could be really destabilizing. People are going to want drugs more because they see a Venezuelan get bom? No, no. I mean, when it comes to the stabilization, I mean, you know, one reason why we're targeting Venezuela right now is because we can, because, you know, they're under all these sanctions. They don't have any real allies. We're able to do this. No, they do have allies in the Caribbean that they provide cheap energy to. I mean, that's why we're getting screwed often times in the votes in OAS because they were subsidizing a lot of these. But they don't have anybody...
Starting point is 01:40:29 Mexico's not going to come to the defense, but sure, but I'm talking about... Suriname might. But if we start bomb in Mexico against the will of the Mexican government, I mean, what is that going to do? The Mexican government, to me, is a construct. It's like saying the Afghan government. The Mexican government is but a feature of the narco traffickers. It is a captive narco state.
Starting point is 01:40:50 Wasn't it Nieto that took a hundred million dollar bribe from Sinaloa? So what do you have to believe? people who came after Nietzsche either weren't offered the bribe or didn't take it? Like, of course they did. So at that point, you're not really dealing with a sovereign country in Mexico, in my view, and I wasn't going to Kabul anyway. Right. I think we should go to war with Mexico? I would rather go to war with Mexico than Russia or Iran. I think this is something that will divide. I think this will divide it. I'm down to bomb. The cartels in Mexico. We haven't found anyone you're not down to bomb.
Starting point is 01:41:22 It's down to bomb. Can we stop some of the bombings, another place? places first. Like, this is one thing I thought was interesting. Steve Bannon posed an interesting question to Mr. Mills here when he was on and he said, well, this is the hemispheric defense. This is America first bringing it home. Well, we got to bring it home first. We're still across the globe involved in all these wars. We have to start one war before we can wind another one down. We couldn't get the Afghanistan war wound down until we started up the Ukraine one. We didn't even start on China. I mean, we didn't even touch on China. All of the American bases in the Pacific. Yeah. Our troops in Korea. As far as I can tell the best.
Starting point is 01:41:52 We talked about the super important Israel problem. No, I feel like China's a bigger issue. and I feel like more of the hawks in government are reoriented. I think Venezuela and China are more of an important issue than Israel. We've always realized that there's a moment, and they always try to froth up non-arm services committee members for big defense budgets. So they have this idea at Republican retreat, which I hated going to, because I felt like we were always in a state of retreat, but they bring us out there, and they say,
Starting point is 01:42:20 we're going to do a war game with the U.S. and Taiwan. And so, like, you know, the war game starts out, And, like, as the war game goes on, they're like, now 13 people from your district have died. Now, like, this many U.S. cities have been annihilated. It's like, don't you see we need more money for the defense budget to stop these things for happening? I was like, you all had me and just give China, Taiwan. Like, wait, why is it easier to defend Taiwan than just to find this more people there that make computer chips and move them to the deserts of Arizona? Wait, is that your position that if China were to invade Taiwan, that we should let them?
Starting point is 01:42:53 Of course. It is a home game for China. Anyone who tells you anything other has not seen what happens. How do we? We can't even get our aircraft carriers into the fight. Let me explain something to you.
Starting point is 01:43:04 China can hit a moving target with a hypersonic weapon and America cannot. Do you think China could take over Taiwan now if they wanted to? Yes. By the way, I think they kind of already have. One thing they've shown,
Starting point is 01:43:15 you remember when Nancy Pelosi went there? Yeah. And they did these big drills. Yeah. One thing they showed that I think a lot of people didn't factor in is they could just put a blockade on Taiwan. in like a second.
Starting point is 01:43:25 And then we could blockade China, but I think this is the end of American. How do we blockade China with the air defenses that they have? With our military, we do a naval blockade. If you guys want to pull up, we could pull up a map. Their hypersonic weapon systems
Starting point is 01:43:37 will take out all of those. I know, but okay, if they sink ships in all of the streets, then they won't be able to pass their ships through. They're just as susceptible. We don't know. We don't know. No one knows.
Starting point is 01:43:46 Our strategy now is get so many ships blown up that we clocked streets. Yeah. Locket China. I think maintaining strategic beauty in Taiwan is smart, basically. I mean, it's the normie position. I think that's ultimately what Trump's going to do, too.
Starting point is 01:43:57 We don't know that G's going to invade. I'm not convinced he's going to invade. I think, but I think we make it way, way, way more likely that he invades if we are bogged down and all these inciscerators. How don't we just de-risk? Yeah. Okay, I don't even know what that means. I don't even know how to do that. The super chats are on the screen. Why don't you do it?
Starting point is 01:44:17 He'll take care of it. Let me just mention one thing quick, because we didn't get to all the topics. I just want to say that we have another hour, Oh, yeah, we're doing the membership. Yeah, yeah. So folks that stick around for an extra hour, we'll get to know what I was about to say. Now we're going to get into other parts of the world, the wars that are not being talked about, and it'll be good stuff. Genocide of Christian somewhere in Africa.
Starting point is 01:44:38 Super chats. Phil, you got us, or Serge? Sirge will think of it. If you look right on the screen, you can just read the name of the persons right here, which in this case is rough. Now, if you were the Attorney General, would you have reopened the investigation of the USS Liberty? I don't think that's something. I think that would have required a lot of coordination with the Defense Department. This guy's a Zionist show.
Starting point is 01:44:59 There's a very... I can't believe you're a... Yeah, I don't know. I don't know that. By the way, I would have started with Fauci before I would have gotten to the U.S. This guy's APEC fund did real quick. Okay, here we go. Here we go.
Starting point is 01:45:07 Here we go. Another super chat. Massey is a liar. He runs as a MAGA Republican. He's a pure libertarian. If he was honest, he'd run in the Libertarian Party. I loathe all liars. If you wanted to lose, he would run in the libertarian.
Starting point is 01:45:18 Fact check, true. Instead, he's running under the veneer of MAGA when he's a libertarian. You're ridiculous. My, all right, here we go, DJW, my contribution, whether you're pro or anti-Israel, beware of the rumor, Dems and Antifa have a campaign to use this to divide us before the midterms, decide what is more important, be smart about this. And this is my, sort of my point, that I actually want the pro-Israel people in our church. Maybe not the pulpit, but certainly in the congregation.
Starting point is 01:45:47 Others have a different view. And what you said, too, about Charlie Kirk trying to help continue to bridge that, I think you were really spot on with that. And he played an important role in bridging like a Gen Z Republican divide. But he was struggling through it. As you saw in those taxes, it was really hard. A lot would defend Israel to the last American soldier.
Starting point is 01:46:07 I don't know if any American soldiers that fought wars for Israel. Brian Mast did. What was... Brian Masta. He was an idea of soldier. He was an American, like, fighting for an American army in Israel, which I think was the effect of that. the question. Yeah, he joined
Starting point is 01:46:24 the IDF, brave guy. And he also served in America. Interruptcast, IRL. Ouch. Is it usually better than this? Are we worse than usual, Strange? No, I think it's just the headphones being off. Yeah, headphones are on, you can hear somebody speaking or setting up to the word speech.
Starting point is 01:46:38 No, they're right. We were yapping back and forth. It's been a yap fest. That's my guy. Why now support regime change if the right does it? do you do you think it's a charge of hypocrisy that our supports for regime change are uh are linked to who's in power is in power yeah i mean i don't support regime change in venezuela i'm very against
Starting point is 01:47:03 it i mean what is the regime i mean you know i don't even view it as like that meaningful an end state because what do we like what do we think is emerging next in venezuela like the next thomas jefferson well you who was the guy you mentioned him again earlier so that was anti-regime change. Juan Guaido. That's who it would be in charge. Oh, terrific. No, he's off the scene.
Starting point is 01:47:26 He's in my ass. He's living in the U.S. Are we doing more super chats? There's different players now. Getting paid. Still a ton. All right. Okay, just FYI, Matt, letter carriers,
Starting point is 01:47:38 and United States Postal Service workers still get paid as their budget is self-funded. I just know I'm still getting paid. We're glad you're getting paid. I have to say my knowledge of the Postal Service funding regime is diminished. Can we get opinions on the Monroe Doctrine in relation to Venezuela and Venezuela's oil exports to America's adversaries? Monroe Doctrine is good and we shouldn't be isolationists, not in the world stage or in the Western Hemisphere. Isn't there something weird about our opposition to the war in Ukraine and then like the way that that's impacted Venezuela policy?
Starting point is 01:48:16 because we had to do all these sanctions on Russia, which then meant that Biden had to sort of loosen up the secondary sources of Venezuela to get more onto the global markets to reduce price. So at the end of the day, if we're just picking which dictator gets to sell oil, is there any moral clarity to it at all? Yeah, I mean, I would say just lift the sanctions and trade the oil. Yeah, I mean, I'm pro-Munreau doctrine, but I think it's, I just looked it up. I just did a Google AI. What does the Monroe Doctrine actually say? It says European powers should not interfere or colonize with the newly independent nations of the Western Hemisphere, 1823.
Starting point is 01:48:54 Happy 200th anniversary of the Monroe Doctrine, all those who didn't celebrate it two years ago. Let's make it more maximal. We'll say no powers should interfere or colonize with the fully independent nations to the Western Hemisphere. Yeah, there's ways of doing that. And what I would do is bring in whoever rules Venezuela
Starting point is 01:49:11 more into the fold instead of making it assessable for Russian, Chinese, and Iranian money. I think Maduro wants to do a deal and there's a way to do that without like murdering him and a bunch of people in Venezuela. They've been accepting deportation flights. That's something that I believe Rick Grinnell got. People in the administration have been going out of their way
Starting point is 01:49:28 to isolate the Venezuelans. And I don't, you have personal experience with Rubio, but all the available reporting is that Rubio's State Department and Rubio's guys are driving the hard line on stuff like not trading oil with Venezuela. He also, in 2019, when they tried, when they back Whiteau and everything, Rubio tweeted out a picture of Gaddafi, the moment that he was being brutally killed as a threat to Maduro.
Starting point is 01:49:53 And I think Maduro is, I think, you remember that? You Florida jits, they have an affinity toward the guy who's running the policy. I said this to Bannon this weekend. I think you should think of him as a Latino Gaddafi. And what did Gaddafi say? You break it, you buy it, and you're going to have all these refugees coming across the med to the United States. And we already have seen elements, it's probably getting trouble with more Venezuelan people
Starting point is 01:50:14 on the Internet. but like we've already seen elements of refugee crises out of Venezuela, into Colombia. Doesn't it like a third of Venezuela live in Colombia right now? It's not a third. Well, a huge number, you know, the migrant crisis was exacerbated by the sanctions. And there was all these warnings, the Department of Homeland Security was writing up these reports saying, basically, you know, if you put these sanctions on, is it going to be even more migrants from Venezuela? They did it anyway. This was John Bolton and Elliot Abrams leading, who's Elliott Abrams is a neocon.
Starting point is 01:50:42 you know these were the guys leading this policy in the first administration and it created a migrant crisis and you know similar thing would happen here what's the right answer in Venezuela just a deal with Maduro yeah make me a deal with Maduro yeah and then and if the what are the features of that deal oil trading perhaps controls on Chinese money going in there would be something I would drive a hard bargain for I mean we've kind of talked around this I do think that while I'm a non-interventionist on this stuff I do think within the MAGA fold, China and Latin America will be more divisive among people who are intellectually honest than Iran or Russia, because, yeah, people could see how, you know, Venezuela. But Venezuela's gone kinetic. What about China's, I mean, is likely to accelerate to that acuity?
Starting point is 01:51:32 What do you mean? What is the big China question dividing us if you think, obviously with Venezuela, it's the bombing of these guys in the Gulf? You mean, I think, first of all, I think we're in a fascinating situation of China policy. Trump moved the Republican Party and the United States significantly more hawkish on China. But there's every piece of evidence that China, sorry, that Trump now is probably a dove relatively within his own administration. I mean, there was Bloomberg reporting. As to China. No, I mean, look at what he said in the 2016 election.
Starting point is 01:52:00 So I know China. They got a place in my building. I can work with these guys. I can get a deal. He invited the inauguration. Yeah, exactly. He did. I mean, but people forget that like nobody would, nobody would name.
Starting point is 01:52:10 China as a huge major threat. But like, I mean, like, they would do it in this very like elliptical way. Like Trump, Trump blamed China for stealing a generation's worth of jobs. Trump blamed all this stuff. Trump argued, sorry, not well stated, Trump took the call from the time when he's president during the first presidential transition. So there were all these elements of hawkishness to Trump's rise to power that were way more China hawkish. But again, within the continuum at this point, Trump has not committed troops to Taiwan if they're invaded. Biden did, and Trump wants to do a deal with the Chinese, and it's very clear that major parts of his administration do not want to do that. Trump wants that deal just on trade, principally, right?
Starting point is 01:52:55 I think he likes Xi, and I think he doesn't want a war, and I think he will, yeah, I think he's afraid of an economic, a wider economic war of China. I think he's actually not smart. I'm fairly sympathetic to it. I mean, I mean, I think, like, China is different than any country in the world. It is an actual peer competitor of the United States. And so I approach it a little bit differently. Like I just said, like, I think we should maintain strategic ambiguity with Taiwan. I don't see why we have to get into the academics, very similar to the Iran debate.
Starting point is 01:53:24 There is a deal on offer. I think it would work. And I think if we are going to care about the preferences of the governments and places like Caracas, then one of the bargains we should drive is, like, hey, maybe less Chinese cash and less Chinese people. And I think that's the way to do it besides sanctions and bombing. Like, I think that's just going to make them... Driving China out of South America is, I think,
Starting point is 01:53:43 is like a cogent goal that can be done non-kinetically. I think a lot of those Latin American countries just play us off of China and realize that they can get cash aid. I think we're going to do... I think they're more likely to do it if we start invading them again. Like, I mean, like, it's the same thing with the Middle East. It's like it just will cause panic. If Venezuela can be...
Starting point is 01:54:06 topped over, why not Chile? Why not Peru? I think Venezuela is unique in Latin America. It's the most extreme example, but the administration is warring with Brazil in pretty extreme circuit. I mean, Trump put out a positive statement about Lula recently. Well, they shook. They liked, he met him again, so he liked him. He remembered it. But I mean, like, you could imagine. I mean, again, that's the whole thing about contact, though. They want to prevent Trump from ever meeting Maduro, right? Because like he's going to like him, right? It's the same thing with Iran. They want to prevent him from ever meeting Arachi Rivers Haskan. Right after the inauguration, Rick Grinnell went over to Venezuela, shook Maduro's hand,
Starting point is 01:54:41 and came home with some Americans who were in jail there. Yep. I mean, you know, I think it goes to show that, you know, there's a deal there. We didn't trade anything for him either. Yeah, yeah. I mean, you know the president more than anybody in this table combined and then some. I mean, fundamentally, my route of a lot of his foreign policy is that he's underratedly not a disagreeable personality. Now, I mean, famously, this guy who fired people on television.
Starting point is 01:55:04 He's famously very combative on true social. But, I mean, he'll have Rupert Murdoch in his skybox, and then the next day sue him. He's sort of, like, impersonal about that. And so, like, I mean, even with the Ukraine situation, I think the basic story, absent all of the intellectual discussion around it, is that Zelenskyy repaired his relationship with him, and then Trump kind of digs the European hawks on a personal level. He likes Ruta. He likes Kirstarmer, which nobody had in the bigger car a year ago. He likes Macron. He's very mused by him very famously. And he also likes Putin. So where are we? We're at status quo. We're at stalemate. Let's do some more super chats. Oh, yeah. Sure. How do we do that?
Starting point is 01:55:45 One second, guys. It's so difficult. The thing that's driving people away from being Zionists is everyone from the president to the mayors are having to talk about Israel 24-7. The less you talk, the more we care. you bind that theory I think people are certainly tired of hearing about it I think that's one of the big things on the right among the younger people like the default was to be pro-Israel because it's like oh the leftists are on the other side you know on pro-Israel but it's just
Starting point is 01:56:13 come it's just too much now there's just if you're on like just being on X like there are times where people will just like randomly make comment like you'll be talking about something and then they'll just be like well but Israel and it's just like why why why why like this is nothing to do with what we're talking
Starting point is 01:56:29 about. And it's just, it's, it is exhausting. It is incredibly exhausting. Because to me, Israel's like, there are people that think that Israel is the most important thing. I think it's one of the most important issues. Yeah, I, I completely, especially for my line of work, because it's like, we see what we're supporting over there. Yeah. I mean, we got to stop. I completely disagree. But the, but the point is there are people that are like, this is the most important thing because Israel controls the United States. And I understand that Israel has way outsized influence compared to how many like Israelis there are and how big of a country. Israel is. But at the same time, like, I think that China, I think that actually Venezuela,
Starting point is 01:57:04 those are actually more important topics that we should be talking about. And I think Israel is like way down the list. I like, take that super chat person who gave us $2. Let Israel take care at Israel. Let Israel take care of Israel. Phil Duncan on you. Well, yeah, we should let them take care of themselves. I'd be very happy. I think they're the ones driving that why we're, yeah. So is the insinuate, oh, Serge? Oh, all right. All right, well, I mean, yeah, I just, I go straight Ron Burgundy. I just read.
Starting point is 01:57:37 You could say anything by the end. Yeah, that's why I strolled. Thanks for saving me on that one. Let's go like, uh, oh, this is good one here. Uh, Matt, Oregon governor marched with Antifa. Arrest question mark? I mean, when you look at the way Todd Blanche and the Justice Department have unlocked these authorities to go after Antifa, I think what people of the Trump administration were saying to me is, we're even using Biden authorities,
Starting point is 01:58:07 you know, which is, I guess, like, the worst thing you can do to people. Is that good? I don't know. They ran against it, right? I mean, like, why do the exact same thing as your opponent? I mean, like, is that good? What's going to happen when the left takes power? It's going to be really bad.
Starting point is 01:58:20 It's going to be really bad, base case. Or you'll have a magnanimous left-wing president. who make the Republicans look like ghouls. Like, either one is not good. It will be horrible or it will be politically horrible. Yeah, but there hasn't been, I guess I don't doomcast about it because there, like, I don't think you've seen the Trump administration of power. Not in the same way.
Starting point is 01:58:40 While there's like bluster at times that comes off the internet, I think they've been rather judicious. Agreed. I mean, the risk, though, would be in creating the impression that you are doing it and then that being politically mobilizing, right? Like, I mean, like, the worst of both worlds to create the impression and then they're not actually doing it. No, no, no, no, because we're not doing mass deportations in this country.
Starting point is 01:58:58 They're not happening. You don't count the self-deportation as a mass deportation? I think we're still below the Obama second-term numbers. I mean, people can quit. So many people are going to talk to anybody who is trying to hire someone to hang drywall and see what they're. We're not deporting 10 million people, and I'm not even making the case for it, but we're not doing it. I'll make the case for it. I understand you will.
Starting point is 01:59:18 But what we are doing is being cruel to immigrants online with memes. and so like I can't imagine like just like losing Latino voters and no they they listen I'll see a bunch of those Latino voters want to see those illegal immigrants go home or super or even if they were illegal immigrants themselves Democratic voters come out more I'm just saying like it will look really dumb if like the Republicans cosplayed as authoritarian for four years and then get kicked out of Washington because people thought that was the impression surge are we going to go to our special hour yeah I think let's just do it can't appear a rumble's back in here Can I do the, I'll get a last rumble chat in to you, Gates. I wanted to ask, since you're, again, a Florida jit, there's a governor race happening in Florida. Do you have a preferred candidate among the Republicans? I don't even know if the field set. The big question is whether or not Casey DeSantis is going to run for governor. I think if she did, she'd be a very compelling candidate to a number of Floridians who look at her.
Starting point is 02:00:11 Byron Donnells is a dynamic candidate. Jake Collins, the lieutenant governor talking about running, so we'll see. You don't have a favorite? You don't think? I like to let these things play out a little bit. They'll have that political bone in you. What is taking Casey DeSantis so long to determine? She doesn't need to.
Starting point is 02:00:28 If you're Casey DeSantis, you have universal name ID, you have the best image rating. Byron Donald's has been running for governor for months and can't seem to get above the mid-20s in any ballot test. You know, I think that she looks at and says, why do I have to be in now? There's a general rule that I like to follow, which is you typically want to be a candidate for the least amount of time, as is absolutely necessary to win the election. Maybe she's making that calculus. Thanks for giving that tidbit. Let's do the outroes.
Starting point is 02:00:58 All right. I'm Matt Gates. I host the Matt Gates Show in One American News. I was in Congress for a while and to what we can to advocate for reasonable policies still as a private citizen. Matt Gates, it's been insightful. Thanks for coming on and engaging
Starting point is 02:01:11 with all my questions and headaches I was giving you. My name's Alad Aliahu. I'm a White House correspondent here at Timcast. I also cover a lot of immigration news and deportations and arrests. You could find the videos of my coverage on Twitter and Instagram at Al-Aliahou. Thanks for tuning in, guys. Yeah, my name is Dave DeCamp. I write for anti-war.com, and I also do a daily podcast and YouTube show called Anti-Wore News,
Starting point is 02:01:34 where I cover U.S. foreign policy from our anti-war non-interventionist perspective. And if you're watching on YouTube, go subscribe to Anti-War News, or we're also on Rumble, Odyssey, and then wherever you listen to podcasts. I'm Kurt Mills. I'm the executive director of the American Conservative magazine, a magazine founded here or founded in Washington, D.C., in 2002, against the Iraq war by conservatives and friends. We're trying to, in large measure, prevent a recrudescence of such wars through our activist journalism. If you want to check us out, try www.theamericanconservative.com to follow my own personal commentary at C-U-R-T, M-I-L-L-L-S on X. Thank you.
Starting point is 02:02:14 Don't forget tomorrow morning. Tate will be back doing the morning show. I am Phil that remains on Twix and the band is all that remains. You can check us out on Apple Music, Amazon Music, Pandora, Spotify, YouTube and Deezer. You can check us out this next spring at the Louder Than Life Festival. We'll be putting together a whole tour. There will be more shows to be announced. Don't forget, the left lane is for crime. And we will see you guys in the after show. In the after show, we're going to continue our foreign policy discussion with these great experts. We're going to go deeper into Russia, Ukraine. And what we think are some of the origins of that conflict.
Starting point is 02:02:49 There is a battle raging in Africa you don't even know about that we're going to get into, and we'll get perspectives on a way too early assessment of the 28 Republican field, all in the after show. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Starting point is 02:03:27 Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

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