TRASHFUTURE - Brexit Dragon Energy feat. Tom Kibasi
Episode Date: November 28, 2018You may have heard about this thing called Brexit. Apparently, it means Brexit. And on this week’s Trashfuture, Riley (@raaleh) and Hussein (@HKesvani) spoke with Institute for Public Policy Researc...h (@IPPR) director Tom Kibasi (@TomKibasi) about the real victim of Brexit: political metaphor. Then we talk about the deal itself, Labour's Brexit strategy, and debunk the myth that "Labour could be 20 points ahead under a different leader." We also talk about Yu-Gi-Oh. Yes, we brought on one of Britain’s most influential left economics and policy voices in order to talk about Yu-Gi-Oh. Above all else, we are on-brand. This is going to be our first and only Brexit episode. If you want to hear us talk about Brexit and not dumb bullshit, skip to five or so minutes in. Please bear in mind that your favourite lads have a Patreon now. You too can support us here: https://www.patreon.com/trashfuture/overview Also: you can commodify your dissent with a t-shirt from http://www.lilcomrade.com/. Get whichever slogan you want, but get the damn shirts!
Transcript
Discussion (0)
What do you mean who cares we have I've told everyone in the world we're gonna
fight yeah and we'll fight cuz I'm not scared of you mate you're not gonna just
sit here and bully me and my mate I'm not trying to bully you we agreed well
yeah all right it's an agreement mate and I will fight us I'm not scared of you
let's have that now right I'm not fucking scared you just get out and just do
listen give me your give me your phone cuz I don't trust either you fucking worms
give me your phone you're gonna record this as your phone yes you can't run off
give me your phone listen listen listen listen let me tell the camera so
listen listen stay there no kicks no knees boxing only punches only punches
first one to quit loses all right let's go all right let me take my jacket off
way away first one the first one to quit loses stay there stay there stay there
first one to quit loses all right my watch hold my watch hold my watch
hello and welcome back to your free TF free TF free TF today in a brand new
configuration never before seen I Riley am here with Hussein on the on the phone
from New York yes hello upstate New York nothing's happening like I'm literally
in a place when nothing happens so no updates today Hussein calling in from
the Twin Peaks town and we also we also have Tom Kavasi director of the IPPR in
studio with us today Tom how you doing I'm good how are you I I'm very well I'm
very well and we are here to ask this this this this prominent mind in left
policymaking exactly what the deal is with that Yu-Gi-Oh! dream and that has a
dragon for a day okay okay I like to consider myself as a expert in Japanese
anime yeah so so obviously I have a strong point of view on this okay so all
right so I don't know how much context I have to give because I feel like this is
only a joke that's really suited for like the super TF fans like the ones who
keep going on dating apps and asking women whether they've been on trash
future or like whether they've lived just you and Riley basically I want to
say first of all thank you and also and also just stop like it doesn't work right
there's no there's no universe where like this will get you late
trust you saying he's trying no real world no Digimon world no Yu-Gi-Oh! world
and speaking of which then we have to ask a self-question does Necro the
shadow lord have a dragon for a dick so this story begins when so I'm so I'm in
this very remote part of America at the moment where like I'm here to finish
writing my book and I have no choice but to do it because there's literally
nothing else to do so as obviously as you'd expect I'm kind of procrastinating
as much as I can online and I found this I found this clip on YouTube of the
popular anime series Yu-Gi-Oh! where like the last episode of this the sixth
season which is only really aired in Japan because like it basically stopped
airing in the West in like you know the West when everyone became gamers and in
this particular episode all the heroes have to face off against like the final
you know the final boss right you know how like anime works the final boss is a
guy called Necro the shadow lord he's like the lord of the shadow realm and
when he is unleashed from this like tomb he's this giant swole demon who has a
dragon dick and it's yo I know what this is I know what this is this is just
Ben Garrison drawing Donald Trump the final form yes yes yes this is this is
effectively what Ben Garrison cartoon would be once he like completely loses
it so like the funniest thing about this image we posted it on Twitter like
several times is that like the actual shadow lord he has this like really
demonic face he's gonna like fuck some shit up he's just lifted some weights you
know he you know he's he hasn't masturbated for like five years he's
fucking tanked but dragon that he's like supposedly sitting on this looks
exhausted it looks exasperated like Necro has just been on like a
month-long wank fest and he's still going he's still going so he's I don't know
if he's he's he might be Andrew Tate I'm sure this is what I imagine Andrew
Tate thinks he looks like when he's challenging random people on Twitter to
a fight I don't know if we're gonna talk about the Andrew Tate stuff but
like I saw it I saw it late last night over here and I imagine it must been
quite early in the morning but like it was the funniest thing that I've seen
because like every time you look at it it gets more funny right like oh
absolutely it's he starts off the video by saying but oh yeah I've been like
jumped on and like Romania I've been like knives are pulled on me guns have been
pulled on me but they've always been so much more fun in London than London
because I'm really bored here and everyone's doing cocaine and it turns
out that he's in some random place and like Hemel Hempstead no this is what
he's doing is he's acting out a 2018 version of Finnegan's Wake
essentially that's what this man is doing Andrew Tate's life is cyclical to
me it just to me it just felt like as I grew up in a place that was like
Hemel Hempstead it was like this one of these really boring places which was
sort of like bordered London but wasn't quite there you know it felt as if like
it was kind of just this very boring English suburban town where like there
were two clubs and you can imagine how the clubs were right they just played
like you know 90s and early 2000s like you know disco mixed of grime and
everyone did cocaine or like they were doing like you know helium balloons and
stuff and like NOS gas and helium balloons because I think nothing else to
do right like it's too expensive to go to London but like you just can't be
fucked doing anything else and this is kind of what makes these towns like
work right you know you don't was that put as bar if you want to go for a mad
night out like you don't go to Hemel Hempstead it's like saying I want to go
to a mad night yeah you go to Transnestria yeah you got a tiraspole
where it's really happening having been to Tiraspole I can tell you it's mad it's
like it's like going for a mad night out in New York and then ending up in
Albany so we're actually we're actually here to ask the real questions about
British politics we are here to tackle the next tough question why do liberals
love Harry Potter so fucking much why can't they read another book it's got
to be said this is about magical thinking isn't it yeah I mean the magical
thinking is a delight and an indulgence if you feel like you have power and you
can just wave a wand and the world will change to how it's to make it how you
want it to be that's pretty attractive yeah and I think it's I think it's
especially attractive to liberals because it allows them to have a
demonstrable effect on the real world without having to sacrifice anything
organized in any way or you know actually act it's it's basically just a way
that like makes your wishes become reality I think I think you say liberals
but I think actually you mean elites yeah because I think there's something
particularly elite about isn't there there's something about saying well I'm
used to being in such a position of power that when I snap my fingers shit happens
and that's kind of the Harry Potter story wasn't the Harry Potter Harry Potter
universe is like very like uniform and organized right like the whole thing is
like based on this idea that you have this magical world which is sort of built
on like precarious finance where like every when everything revolves around
these like four schools and like you know you know that's how the system works
right we don't really we actually don't really know much I've only seen like the
films I haven't I've read a few of the books like when I was younger but we
don't really know that much about the Harry Potter universe right except but
it's very small most of it's filled with like posh you know grammar school
private school kids there's like this one little town which has a few bars it
sounds exactly like Albany in some respects right and then like in the
final movie like there's this kind of big showdown with like Voldemort and you
know all the all the evil people right and the strange thing was was that like
in Harry Potter there is like a form of organization right like at some point
Harry and a few of the other kind of senior students are like okay
like the basing isn't going to work we're not going to be able to like change
the system we have to like adopt some form of like defensive violence
I don't know if I'm like I don't know if this is the right film I'm talking about
or whether I'm just thinking about Crank
which is like where a lot of our like movie conversations end up going
anyway it always ends up in Crank the greatest movie ever made I vaguely
remember that like they had you know they had to like do at least some form of
like organizing and like offensive protests and stuff like that
so even like even if you take the Harry Potter analogy like they're only taking
very selective and twee bits from it right well instead of battling evil wizards what I've noticed
a lot of like because I'm usually middle-class usually liberals just endlessly marching to
stop Brexit there's marching and marching and marching and all they do and they started just
by sort of asking those in power to intercede on their behalf because they just expect people to
do that and now I think they're I think they've become a cargo cult because I'll say like the
you know a little peek behind the curtain the three of us have been very fascinated by some of
the the protest actions against brexit that have been happening today my personal favorite
is the guy who spent like probably 20 pounds getting the entire brexit deal printed out on
paper so he could burn it with a flamethrower in front of parlor during a wind during a windy day
as well what the fuck well I liked him but I actually like the guy next to him who'd got a
massive sort of papier-mache version of the deal and then was taking a sledgehammer to it
and that kind of neatly sums it up doesn't it right you've got something you don't like so
you attack the symbols in fact you make it into a big fucking symbol by printing it out in huge
form and then you take sledgehammer to paper which kind of sums up pretty much the strategy
of of hard remainers right it kind of encapsulates it quite quite poetically oh saying what was
your favorite one my favorite one was a trampoline guy so this is the first thing I woke up to this
morning right the first tweet that I woke up to this morning was a guy wearing like a you know
wearing a scarf like wearing a backpack and bouncing on a trampoline which said stop and he
goes and he just like randomly just says like somewhere between like bollocks to brexit and
like he's just doing it on his own right and it's kind of like this very I don't know like it feels
like something that will eventually end up in an Adam Curtis documentary uh before like cuts back
to like 1980s Afghanistan um it was just like yeah this really bizarre thing that really captures
a lot of what Tom was saying which is you know that they you know everything is to kind of like
attack the aesthetic symbols without you know much like politics right um it goes back to what
we've spoken about in previous episodes where you have a certain you know you have this class of
people who just like want to go back to how things were and it kind of feeds into this culture which
is shape which is kind of occupied by both really hard brexitas and the really hard remainers which
was that we're looking we know you know we're pining for this nostalgia this beautiful time
except in the remainers case like that beautiful time was when like Hugh Grant was you know doing
films and uh love actually was like politics and stuff like that right uh i think that's exactly
true i think you know it's it's somewhere between for me anyway it's somewhere between a cargo cult
and a um like like a christian priest or preacher in florida to like burning a bunch of karans
like obviously that's more of a hate crime but it's like i'm i'm made infuriated by this thing
i'm powerless to do anything about and so i'm just going to demolish all of its symbols
as a kind of way to get out my outrage and expect that to be politically effective it's just
it's another version of what i call the politics of setting yourself on fire and dragging yourself
kicking and screaming into hell it was just this it was just like it felt like this really weird
moment because it's like this deal like no one likes the talk the conservative deal right as far
as i'm as far as i'm aware like everyone like for the most part all the kind of really loud people
are against it and even on one of the tweets it was like yeah you've got like these anti anti
like you know these hard practices who are anti the deal who are doing these really cringewerby
protests the men you've also got these remainers who are doing all these cringewerby protests
and it sort of feels as if like it's vacuous because there isn't even any kind of opposition
anymore it's just like protesting for the sake of protesting did you know what you know i mean
like i guess like even just being out of the uk it's rage it's just right yeah it's but it's kind
of this weird it's like this sort of like weird rage of the sake of rage right um it's like rage
without kind of like well what are we actually arguing as a better alternative and i think
that's actually what we're what we're going to get into because we are here today now that we've
exhausted all of our material on demons with dragon dicks and and harry potter i think that's
actually that's a good transition into the brexit stuff realistically because it is all i can say
dragon dick would have definitely burned the deal like the deal prints out dragon dick 4 p.m
no so uh so i think that a lot of these these protests are just sort of magical thinking
against brexit it is also like the death of metaphor at this point everything's literal
but let's let's let's rewind a little bit so as we often say on this show 40 of our audience is
american and so probably have only a passing knowledge of what brexit is so first tom can you
like encapsulate this sort of what's going on and then we'll sort of move into why we're finally
talking about it yeah sure so why is brexit bad if you if you look at this it's we spent the last
40 years integrating ourselves into a single european economy right that's been the direction
of travel for 40 years so the best analogy is to say imagine that you were the united states
and you were trying to pull california out of the us if you tried to do that it would be incredibly
complicated and people say well how would you do that right we're a single economy yes there
are different things in the states but hey this is an economy as a whole so the core reason that
it's bad is precisely because we spent so long integrating ourselves and therefore brexit account
the european union accounts for nearly half of our foreign trade um but it goes beyond that right
it's not just the economics of it it's also about um amplifying british power and influence around
the world by belonging to the world's most powerful and successful trading bloc uh the common foreign
and security policy uh that means both foreign affairs but also basic domestic security right
so european arrest warrants and all other sort of mechanisms as well and fundamentally if you think
that the challenges that we face in the 25 21st century are um more global than they are local
then it makes sense to try and solve them together so whether it's climate change or the rising power
of global corporations there is a logic to saying well the more that you can cooperate with your
friends and neighbors the more successful you'll be in the world so that's the core reason that
that brexit seems like a pretty bad idea i think i think part of the problem in all of this is it's
a sort of misfiring in the sense that the problems that people observe and think are to do with brexit
are actually problems that are domestically created so a lot of the issues that people are
unhappy about actually have sod all to do with the european union um they are the choices that
have been made in west minster not choices that have been made in brussels and for 40 years british
politicians have played a game and you can see this in the states as well right so politicians say
everything good is something that they did at home and everything bad comes from washington
well our polling politicians have done exactly the same thing they've said all good things have
come from west minster and all bad things have come from brussels and the truth is more complicated
than that and actually most of the problems and the core reasons that people are unhappy
have much less to do with the european union and much more to do with choices made at home
i mean crudely i think this is a bit of blowback for never coming to terms with the end of the
british empire on a kind of cultural side uh and therefore being unwilling and unable to cooperate
with other countries and i think the other side of this is the blowback um from the sort of vicious
deindustrialization uh that took place under thatcher and if you have so many communities
kept behind it's not surprising that they reach a point um where where they say no more and the
target has been the eu but i think that the right target there people are right to be angry about
a lot of this stuff um but the right the right target is in west minster and not in brussels
so i think one thing i find sort of very sort of interesting about this is you can you can i
think see quite a bit of the sort of almost baseless sort of extreme right wing roots of this
in that like a lot of the criticism of the brexit deal may has been able to negotiate which
we'll get on too soon from people like david vance seems to just be that what they actually want
is they want may to send a team of like s as soldiers to like faster open to brussels and
just perforate the entire european commission like they seem to just want they have this lust for
like conflict almost where the idea of they want to send the gun boots right they want to shell
the continent precisely that's kind of the kind of point that they would like to get to right it's
not just they don't like the eu it's something much more visceral than that yeah and i think it's
about this sense of a loss of status in the world that in their mental schema for how the world works
you know britain is the nation on top you know the second world war meant that we had to share that
spot with the americans and that anything that keeps us from being the top nation um is somehow a
problem and they see the european union as a means for keeping britain down rather than
amplifying us up and it's just a failure to engage with the real state of the world as it is
today and the real reality which is that britain is a mid-sized european economy it's important
and influential in the world but not in the way that it once was and that to be successful in the
21st century we need to cooperate with our friends and neighbors and so what's happened is over the
last sort of two a couple years ago basically after britain left the european union after it
triggered article 50 which again for americans is the sort of begins the withdrawal process
we have had this sort of almost like a cottage industry of speculating and protesting and trying
to read tea leaves and like you know getting the romaniacs logo tattooed on your forehead or whatever
either in support of or in protest of brexit it has been the issue in your in british politics
that has broken everyone's brain because it has revealed this these fundamental contradictions
and you know incidentally like especially i talk about this in kami book clubs i talk about the
ways that sort of capitalism sustains itself by either moving its contradictions ahead into the
future as with climate change or it moves them sort of geographically far away as with sort of
like say i'm getting cheap labor abroad or what have you and then keeping it out with borders
or it moves them down the class structure as it might with so over policing minority neighborhoods
in this case britain the british right has tried to move the contradictions up to a more powerful
structure which has just bounced the contradictions right back down at it which is why it is reached
this impasse but we've finally negotiated a withdrawal agreement from the european union
i don't fully understand it tom yeah so so the important is you hear a lot being said about the
deal right and we've got to be be clear what i saw someone take a sledgehammer to it yes exactly um
so this is what's what's quite striking about it you need to look back at the original agreement
in the first european summit that took place after the referendum vote and what they said at that
that summit was was broadly three things firstly no negotiation without
before article 15 notification so they simply wouldn't talk until the uk had notified on
article 50 second thing is a common europe unified european approach so british diplomats were sent
off to all different european capitals to try and sort of understand what people's priorities and
different desires were in a kind of attempt to divide and conquer and all the eu 27 stood firm
and basically sent them back and said nope we don't negotiate with you we negotiate through
barnier and the european commission and the third thing and this is the really important thing
was that there would be no discussion about the future trading relationship until a withdrawal
agreement was concluded so the withdrawal agreement gets us out of the european union
but the negotiations on the future partnership won't commence in substance until we've actually
left and that's really important so the withdrawal agreement all it does it's the legal text
it takes us out and it then puts us into this incredibly vulnerable position so the political
declaration is a statement of intent right but it has no legal force and so the withdrawal agreement
gets us out the door and then once we're out the door and we have no ability to change our mind
we have no negotiating leverage we've got the clock ticking on a 21 month transition at that
point we get to go and negotiate with the eu 27 from a point of real vulnerability and weakness
having given up all of our negotiating leverage so in a way the withdrawal agreement is a is a
reasonable agreement on just getting out the problem with it is that fundamentally
it puts us into this incredibly weak position and then there are other reasons to object to it
there are multiple different reasons so for example the rules on state aid are much tougher than the
rules on workers rights or environmental protections then there are various other other issues with it
but that core strategic issue is is the biggest failure in british statecraft in
half a century to accept that you would be put into purgatory and then asked to negotiate for
half your trade yeah but again it's because a lot of people were very angry with the polish
no i'm kidding i'm kidding i think yeah i think a lot of people are very angry with the status
core in their lives and part of that was about levels of immigration no doubt but fundamentally
what were the drivers of high level of high levels of immigration well part of it was
european union rules but even then right we had more immigration coming in from non-european
countries than from european countries myself right there we are right they're really angry at
you right this guy it's about you coming into our country and trying to change our politics
yeah but what i think they were what i think underlies that was that why was immigration
immigration level so high because we have an economic model that is based on low wage low
productivity and therefore needs high levels of immigration in order to get low wage low
productivity workers into the into the labor market i think that's that's that that does
make what make quite a bit of sense i think when i when i sort of said facetiously that sort of
people were as angry at the polish i think really what it is is that is it has become this totemic
issue that britain is no longer what it was in this even in the 70s even though the 70s were
you know by all accounts not great um it seems like and this is true i've noticed this with the
sort of with wow people want to leave the european union like we want to go back to you know when
we had a manufacturing industry want to go back to when you know there were sunday trading laws
and everyone knew each other and you as you see their list of demands it sort of gets more and
more like oh you just want to go live in a carry-on film um i think that's unfair so i think if you
so we've done some some research on on what do people expect right so because this is
an agenda of the right there are a lot of people on the right who see brexit as the opportunity
to become hugely deregulated to take our lax labor standards and make them even weaker
to lower taxes cut back public services even further and become a kind of low tax haven just
off the european mainland if you look at what the public want and particularly what leave voters
wanted this was not a vote for deregulation this was a vote for reregulation the levels of support
for european derived regulation are absolutely enormous what the public thought that they were
doing was voting to get more protection from globalization not less so the issue is that the
eu has been seen as an instrument for globalization and for amplifying the forces of of globalization
onto the british economy rather than a safe harbor from it now the reality is that that's
actually a choice to do with the uh decisions made in in west minster not decisions driven by
brussels and the way that you know that is you go and visit finland or demark or germany and see
the completely different approach that they've taken there and so this is um this is sort of
moving on a little bit to sort of how sort of they feel like we have looked at this problem
domestically um like labor has what has labor's sort of brexit policy been sort of since day one
what is their strategy being i mean i mean labor has had as many strategies as there are labor
mps in some ways so i i don't think that's true actually i think labor's had a fairly consistent
strategy i think what what you hear i'm too i think maybe i'm just too online and follow
chris leslie too much yeah but i think but i think what people conflate is they say well i don't like
what labor's doing on brexit and therefore it has no strategy because it's not the strategy that i
think they should have but that is not the same thing as having no strategy strategy been pretty
consistent and pretty clear i think actually from early on i think if you look at the now in hindsight
and you look back to the referendum campaign they're all these sort of howls of outrage
that jeremy corbin didn't express greater levels of enthusiasm for the eu and said it was you know
maybe a seven out of ten that he'd give it actually looking back had you had a more reasonable
remain campaign that wasn't howling how the you know sky was going to fall in but made a more
reasoned argument and said like corbin said you know remain and reform the european union is not
perfect but nothing's perfect and actually got a better chance of changing it and improving it
and making it work for people from the inside than from the outside then actually maybe that
campaign might have been more successful so i think looking back a lot of people say where it's
somehow corbin's fault that the referendum was lost well actually if you look at the
message that corbin was delivering in a largely eurosceptic country because i think actually
that the levels of love for the european union i don't think they are high right the country is
divided remain versus leave and there are a bunch of hard remainers but i still think they represent
very much the minority absolutely and a message that was much more circumspect and more cautious
might have actually been more successful it's like it's like a very complicated game of
the very ancient art of dual monsters aka the the game in yugioh where you know you go you go
sorry i'm sorry you're obsessed you are obsessed is it i i've been in a room this is what happens
if you lock a man in a cupboard in albany yes yes this is a logan paul social experiment
have you showered recently i have so i actually like have you ever seen the film old boy
right i have okay okay so like so old boy is very much the same theme i like a guy gets like
shoved into a room for a very long time and he is not sure why but the room is really nice
so he gets like really good food he has like shower his soaps are replaced regularly um he has
his big idea a hotel this is gonna say this is a hotel yeah i mean this is what i mean this is
basically like you know outside of like the fellowship season this is this place is used as
a hotel um it's just a very it's a very weird and strange experience because like last week
i was in new york city where there were like giant rats and like guys who were just like
shouting things at me for like no reason um and now it's just like dear but stare at you at night
and stuff it's very weird no i know where you're living you're living in um barton think you're
living barton think world i'm gonna pretend i know what that is like we should go to new ports
new ports is lovely um it's near there i think i get some baby butter uh anyway i don't i don't
want to i don't i don't want to derail the conversation so please continue oh oh anyway
here's my yugioh opinion what so i need to derail your conversation
oh my god this is bet honestly isolation hussein is actually better than ramadan hussein in terms
of weirdness i just say that like being outside of the uk like i wasn't really paying attention to
much news like while i was there anyway because i think i feel like everyone who works in this
kind of particularly strange spaces their their brain has just been made into mush
but you learn it more like when you're outside of the country and number one people like the
main question people ask you is like hey what's happening in britain like everyone's is going
insane um and then on the other hand like you actually not knowing what's going on and you
not you're not really having an explanation so all i could say was oh yeah like they have
some sort of deal but i'm not really sure what the deal means all i know is that everyone's mad
about it but everyone's been mad since like two years ago well there was something very very
strange that happened right which is they dumped 585 pages on like a saturday night right agreement
it was on a on a wednesday evening right about eight eight p.m with no presentation none of the
major arguments and so uh they lost the framing of was this good or bad and now the prime minister
is going around trying to say this is a great deal and it's fantastic and it's just not taken
seriously because actually most people have made their minds up by this point and they're saying
this is a bad deal and doesn't serve the uk's the uk's interests and i think the core problem for
her is that for remainers no deal is ever going to be as good as the deal that we already have
yeah and for levers uh any deal um is never going to satisfy their their sort of destructive impulse
and their allergy towards anything european and so i think she's just classically fallen
between two stalls but she also comprehensively failed to make the argument i mean who just
dumps it out there without going and saying well these are the key points and this is you know what
this is what's good and this is you know where we've compromised but overall blah blah blah
there was just none of that it was completely surreal as a political moment i mean even trash
future does previews of shows before we put them out we just don't we don't throw we don't throw
them out there we even even we're not that destructive unless we're wearing joker makeup
in which case in which case we are in which case we are you know it would have been so much better
you know hit tereza may could have sold this deal to both remainers and levers on trash if for the
levers she had made a facebook meme about how the europeans were fake people but um sometimes you
got to give to get you got to spend money to make money and it was just like an instagram
inspirational like rise and grind thing and then she could have satisfied the remainers
if she did like a 400 tweet thread about game theory and sold the deal that way
realistically i think presentation is the key here yeah but giving no narrative right i mean
that was astonishing just absolutely astonishing and so other people other organizations set the
narrative yeah um so i the other thing is is that uh a lot of the levers say that sort of once
we leave we'll be able to strike free trade deals including with the us and that's generally
thought of to be awesome because of because we're going to be able to get chlorine washed chicken
in a giant can and we're going to get to pay for the nhs i mean honestly i find this free trade
stuff such a nonsense it's just but it's it's sadly utterly pathetic because it starts with
this like a narrative of victimhood right the starting point is somehow we've been kept down
and if we just got these great trade deals would be rich and prosperous and free all at the same
time and the reality is that the problems in the British economy are really deep-seated
the problem is not that we don't have good enough trade deals the problem is that we don't have
enough to sell to the rest of the world so what exactly is it that we're going to sell to
australia and and and new zealand right i mean this is this is just the belies the total nonsense
of this theory and if you look at trade actually is one of the gravity model of trade which is
basically um the bigger of the economy and the closer it is the more trade that will happen between
two entities is probably the most uh empirically proven thing that exists in economics so if you
have to in order to believe this nonsense you basically have to ignore all of the evidence
that exists in the entire discipline of economics so this whole free trade thing is just it's it's
quite sad right i mean what it speaks to is people who have lost hope and they want this idea that
somehow their circumstances can be fixed and i think one of the one of the issues also with this
is that it we're solving we are sort of nuking ourselves to solve a non problem that is the
solution to which is basically to make us more like the united states presumably right because
we'd have to if we wanted free trade deal with the united states then it's it's it's written quite
often that might involve free trade and services which might include stuff like allowing american
health insurers in or relaxing food standards in this manner who among us does not want to eat crackers
which tastes very synthetic and then you find out there's 35 grams of sugar in them
which has really just been yeah i'm not 35 grams of corn syrup let's be clear yeah which is like
because it's substance because of this has really been like my experience with america like i found
it very difficult to find fruit um it is extremely hard to find like water in most places uh but you
can get soda anywhere right um yeah you can get to sony anyway you can get to sony anyway yes and
it's just like even like tap water tastes really weird um i had a bodega sandwich last week a chicken
bodega sandwich and you can definitely taste like how weirdly synthetic battle battle is and i and i
remember like just you know being sick for next morning from my weird bodega sandwich and thinking
wow brexit really does mean brexit well but the the deeper thing that is is here right is that most
trade deals these days focus much less on tariff barriers and much more on non-tariff barriers
so about whether you've got the same regulatory regime so the idea that you would end up aligning
your regulations to anything but the single market when the single market accounts for nearly half
your trade is completely ludicrous and to a certain extent right the the europeans have always
known through this this negotiation that whatever britain ends up doing and whatever deal is struck
the basic economic realities that you know the rest of the european continent is 35 miles off the
coast of kent means that british firms will end up aligning themselves to european regulations
in order to sell to the european market so it's just it's it's frankly it's a total nonsense
and the idea that somehow britain is a country of 65 million people is going to be able to strike a
fantastic trade deal with all these other economies around the world just isn't true i mean you look
at the the facts you can make some comparisons you look at the trade deal with south korea um
it's really striking the eu has a very similar trade deal with south korea as australia has
the eu deal takes away most of the barriers within i think something like seven years
and the australian deal does pretty much the same thing over 25 years because in the end
scale trump's agility in trade negotiations what i think we're forgetting though is that of course
once once we begin to negotiate a trade deal with united states then we get to make all of britain
into a 40 million hole trump golf course it's going to be fantastic yeah that now that's what i
now that because that's thing all of these breaks all like a lot of the hard right brexitiers
would be thrilled to live in like the caddy shack of donald trump's golf course because then they
get to be aligned with the man who's protecting the west so i think it's it's partly that but i
think actually for a lot of these hard brexitiers i think you can't you can't try and understand
this as a project from a kind of intellectual ideological point of view i think this is principally
a psychological condition for the for the leaders of the leave campaign i don't think that's true for
ordinary leave voters but i think for the people who are promoting this the idea at the top i think
that it's a sort of desperate and pathetic search for an account of heroism in their own lives right
they look to their fathers who fought in the second world war and they kind of then say to
themselves war how do i have an account of being a hero in my own life and it's battling
this great european enemy and that's why all the imagery is about war and conflict because
primarily what i think is driving you know the sort of jacob reese mogs of the world
and Nigel Farage of the world i think frankly they're being driven by psychological factors not
really by political ideological or economic factors. Thanatos baby we all got the death drive
yeah this is why i say the the the politics are a moment is summed up with the idea of
setting yourself on fire and dragging yourself to hell because they're bored.
Yeah but it's more pathetic than that it's not just about being bored right it's this idea that
they somehow want to live up to the expectations of their fathers right in dunkism the great example
in some way i feel like it's when i say bored i mean it's almost like a spiritual ennui where
they've looked they have looked around at our and that's the thing this is one of the roots of
fascism like it's i'm is that fascism does have in its way a kind of critique of the emptiness of
modern life because it's like you look around and say is this all there is and the difference is
when fascists ask themselves that question or even just reactionaries ask themselves that question
they say this this is all there is and so i'm going to create my own destiny by being as
this great warrior i i'm going to live out i i've i've looked into the predator mangé
and i've decided that i have this death drive that i have to let out yeah and it's that there
is a reason that it is it is um a particular group of uh older men who are doing it right
and it's it's men who have tried to attain power and not succeeded and i think that tells you a lot
about uh brexit as a as a move the leadership of the brexit movement because i don't think that's
true of a lot of lead voters who i think we're voting for something that they think is is very
different from what what the people at the top who have been driving this have had in mind so in
fact just sort of coming back around to what we were what we were mentioning earlier was labor
strategy again i was being facetious when i was saying there are as many strategies as mp's
largely just to make fun of the chris leslie's of the world but you and i have talked about this
in the past that the labor strategy was relatively was not just relatively it was coherent from the
beginning but the hard remainers um who also equally live in a fantasy world it's just they
want to go back to 2013 not 1973 or 2006 yeah they're about yeah yeah yeah because um it's
pre-financial crisis right the world is the world is precreate yeah and so labor strategy this is
as we've discussed before has basically been to allow the tories to tear themselves to shreds
more or less so i think i think that's part of it but i think the other part of it is is firstly
i think you know they are have actually been sincere when they've said they respect the
referendum result and that's because if you can be as pro european as you like right but the first
value that you would have is to be a democrat and if you have a plebiscitary moment in politics you
can't just say well you gave an answer we don't like and therefore we're going to ignore it so
i think they was actually sincere when it said accepts the result uh of the referendum and respects
it i think the next thing then was to say well okay well what's the job of the opposition well
they don't have the civil service they don't have all the resources they're not in the room for the
negotiations and therefore they say their job is to hold the government to account and that makes
sense why would they want to run as a political party why would they want to run against 52% of
the population i mean that is a completely ludicrous strategy for a political party to say well
our stance is going to be to run against 52% of the population so instead they said no no our job
as the official opposition is to hold the government to account and i think what you see
there is is a two two dimensions to that one is setting tests based on what the government
itself has said so there's a lot of mocking of the six tests and they say well
so what's the most important of the six tests so the six tests get a lot of attention particularly
the one that says uh the exact same benefits of the single market and the important thing there is
that that phrase was used by david davis in the house of commons as brexit secretary giving a
commitment that the deal the government would negotiate would deliver the exact same benefits
and when labor put out its six tests you got to remember that the prime minister said absolutely
accept these six tests and we will meet them right that was the response so the first thing
was holding the government to a high standard on what a good deal would look like the second thing
was labor saying okay well what would labor's position be now everyone says though labor doesn't
have a position which i find honestly baffling in the labor has very clearly uh in i think
february of this year said that it would support a new comprehensive and permanent customs union
so that's the first part so on the customs units position very very clear uh in which labor would
secure a british say there are a dozen customs unions around the world in all of those customs
union with perhaps the exception of the turkey u customs union uh the countries within them have a say
so perfectly reasonable negotiating objective and the second thing they've said is a strong single
market deal based on shared institutions in a new institutional framework right which is basically
saying a similar kind of relationship to norway but one that is bespoke to britain and reflects
britain's priorities more accurately and reflects the fact that norway is a small economy and britain
is still the world's i think sixth sixth largest economy so actually labor has a pretty clear position
it's just the reason that everyone says oh labor doesn't have a position what they mean is
i wish labor had a position of hard remain since it doesn't i'm going to say that they have no
position it's just total total nonsense so the position of hard remain uh the psychology of it
is one of the most interesting in british politics i think like i'm fascinated by sort of what's
going on in these people's brains i don't think it's that hard to understand right i mean these
people have had the narrative of their that there is a gap between the lives they expect to
lead and the lives that they are now leading and that is the core issue and for a lot of these
hard remainers that takes on two dimensions one is about the relationship of the european union
and their sense of britain status in the world and therefore their own status and the other dimension
is their own particular position of power and influence within uh the uk labor party and so
what you're seeing is the dissonance that is there between the lives they expected to lead
you know in the eu being a powerful and high status country and uh in a powerful influential
position within the labor party since they don't have those two things that is why they
have completely lost their mind it's also because they're like furries we just like a fandom right
i mean i think a fandom actually is sort of one of the again one of the good ways to describe
yeah so i disagree someone like jolly and mom for example i disagree because i don't think it's a
fandom for the i don't think what is motivating a lot of these people is a real affection for
the european union i think what is motivating these people is antipathy towards jeremy corbin
as leader of the labor party and the way that you know that is that the most prominent of the
campaign as chucker umana you know he had an article i think in uh not that long after referendum
saying under no circumstances should there be a second referendum and then the following year he
wrote articles saying that it's absolutely vital that free movement ends and in fact you also see
a lot of them uh the what a lot of them who are basically have been spent the last several years
saying it was advisory we should cancel brexit we shouldn't listen russia was involved leave
overspend i stub my toe my stomach hurts etc etc a lot of the some of them are now saying act and
these are people like john rentool or jolly and mom are now saying no we must take the deal we have
to take this deal because my because if we don't take this deal then britain will be done
basically yeah and it's a political hoax the idea that the alternative is no deal is completely
ridiculous and then i think if you then look at where labor strategy the logical conclusion of
labor strategy is to say well having labor having set a set of tests to hold the government to
account on their own promises and labor having set out a perspective on what a good deal looks like
they've then used that yardstick to judge the government's deal they found that it falls short
very substantially because of course it it does because in the end it has been a negotiation
between different parts of the conservative party and what they have delivered is the hardest
possible brexit that doesn't wreck the good friday agreement right that's what the withdrawal
agreement and political declaration actually deliver and labor has said well this isn't good
enough it doesn't meet the tests it doesn't match what our perspective on what a good deal looks like
and so the labor party has then gone on to say well as a result there's no way they can possibly
support it so why i don't understand why anyone is surprised by that so i mean thinking about this
then just a little further i'd like to just because because this is probably going to come out on
tuesday i'd like to avoid making any hard predictions but what's the parliamentary arithmetic looking
like for this deal so it seems at this stage almost inconceivable that this deal gets through
the house of commons and the reason for that is that right now the dup are not supporting it so
that's 10 votes the lib dems 10 out of 12 of their mps have said that they definitely won't
support it quite how the other two can support the government on on this but i guess it's a kind of
very lib dem thing to take your principal commitment and then trash it i mean it's a kind of
fine political tradition of the liberal democrats to do that uh you've got the smp who have said
very clearly that they can't support it and i think for the vast majority of labor mps will not be
able to vote for it i think a small number will vote in favor no i even kate even kate hoey has
said that she can't because of what happens with northern ireland oh right yeah because what
specifically if i'm wrong what happens in northern ireland is that this deal basically just
sort of calves northern ireland off of the uk a little bit and and sort of says you stay in
the customs union with ireland correct well what what the what the withdrawal agreement has is the
backstop basically says under all scenarios uh northern ireland will remain aligned in terms
of its regulations to the single market and within a customs union and if the brex tears
deliver some magical drone based solution maybe that's not true but in a world that isn't run
by harry potter basically northern ireland stays in the single market and customs union so
understandably northern ireish businesses have come out strongly for the deal because of course
they would because they would be the most advantage part of the uk uh in terms of a destination for
investment because they have a hard guarantee that under all circumstances they basically
stay in the single market in the customs union um and so they've come out very strongly for it
but the natural consequence for that is that if the rest of the uk is a great britain uh then
wants to go and strike these trade deals then there has to be a border um in the ireish sea and
understandably if you're the dup and you care about the union um clearly this is not in your
interest the dup cannot support it kate hoey is originally northern ireish very close to arlene
foster and has has clearly said that she won't support it the other thing is that kate hoey takes
her whip from the uh european research group led by jake bruce morgan they're not supporting it so
it's pretty clear even kate hoey would vote against it so i think the number of labour
mps who back it will be very very small maybe a few more will abstain but i'd be surprised if
if the numbers voting in favour uh probably single digits the number abstaining probably
single digits and then i think something like 90 tori mps have already said that they plan to vote
against and so i mean a it's hilarious that this is how we're reversing the result of the battle
of the boine um but uh additionally um so what does that a lot of people are sort of i mean i'm
guilty of this as well and sort of believing that if this could bring down the government to
potentially lead to an election do you think there's any credence to that idea so i think it's
unlikely because you'd have to get you'd have to believe that the deal will be voted down and then
the government and the dup would vote for a general election which i think is extremely
unlikely so i think a general election is not impossible and i think it's it's not an unreasonable
position for labour to say well if the government has failed on its major measure in the parliament
and uh and has failed to negotiate something that parliament can support then naturally the natural
consequence that is to have a general election and certainly until a fixed term parliament act
um a piece of legislation like uh the beaming for vote on the brexit deal would be considered
confidence vote and if the government lost it you would automatically have a general election
because the fixed term parliament act uh you have to have a separate and specially formulated
motion of confidence in the government uh in order to trigger an election and so it seems very
unlikely to believe that turkeys will vote for christmas and so i think a general election is
unlikely but it's not an unreasonable position for the opposition parties i think labour,
smp uh all the others to be arguing that there should be one it's not an unreasonable position
so the question is what happens uh if there isn't a general election i think there are
a couple of different scenarios the first is that she may just put her vote back up put the
deal back up again after seeing chaos so she loses it the first time then you see the pound tumble
forcing up the cost of import imports uh maybe some panic buying of food and medicine amongst
the general public and a kind of chaos in financial markets and then basically may comes back and says
look what you've done you irresponsible fuckers um here's my deal again do you really want to be
heading over the cliff and if you don't vote for it and it's a possibility that that's the
way that it gets through that spooks some people basically yeah that could speak some people but
the moment with the parliamentary arithmetic was so many people with their heels dug in to voting
against it i think even then since it doesn't feel the numbers are going to be close it'd be
very very hard to make that happen now the alternative that's in the newspapers today
is plan b which allegedly is being led by uh philip hamlet that's all real and yeah
it's what we're going to do is we're going to take the entire shell brussels take the entire
european research group and we're going to fly them over europe and then they'll drop out of the
plane and they'll have to pick up whatever weapons they can find and then whoever is the last money
to see that the last one standing so i sort of feel like i sort of feel like the inevitable
conclusion of any deal is going to be like the purge like i feel that's the only way like things
things can really be sorted out no we need a purge we need to be a country i'll be sweet so
what is plan b for brexit well plan b is to go in the opposite direction and then to put up a
norway style ea deal and to put that to parliament on the basis that when there was a vote about the
ea there was an amendment for the ea uh earlier this year i'm thinking about in june time there
was an amendment that was tabled uh for britain to join the ea and that i think something like 70
labour mps rebelled against uh the labour whip which i think was to abstain and voted in favour of
the amendment for the ea and so the theory there would be that if may could hold her coalition
together that then she could get these 70 labour mps to support it or at least abstain and maybe
that's how she'd get it over the line now i think that is going to be really tough really
tough because the fundamental problem there is that the ea is basically EU membership but without
a say and i think the response to that would be well on the ballot in 2016 there wasn't an option
that there was an option to leave there was an option to remain there wasn't an option to
stay effectively as an EU member but have no say in it and so i think at that point i suspect that
she would just alienate or remain voters who would say well what's the point in being in EU
without a say and or leave voters who would say well we thought we voted to leave the EU why are
we staying in it so i i'm very skeptical of the prospects of success for that that plan b i can
see the logic as to why they might try it but i think it would be so unpopular in the country
as to find it very hard to believe that it would it would be a runner in parliament so what's what's
the third possibility because so far it seems like there are two things that won't work well
then if the government has then tried plan a which is a hard brexit that you know disrupts the economy
because don't forget in the political declaration doesn't say frictionless trade so it does say
new barriers to trade making our trading position worse than it's been in the past plan b of the
EEA style option i think it's going to have so little public support that i can't see that being
a runner uh general election i can't see the Tories going for it i think that means that the government
might be forced or might have forced itself into a position of a second referendum and i think at
that point uh you know everyone will have to consider what the options are i think labour
is said pretty clearly it would say all options should be on the table and i think labour will
have to make a determination as to which option it backs but i think under that scenario what's
interesting about it is that it's very clearly uh the government's failure that would have brought
around a second referendum not the people's vote campaigners or any of that i think that's that's
actually kind of where i i want to take us now which is a quick fire dispelling of some brexit
myths uh and this is this comes from the people's vote lot i hate that name too it's so annoying
because it's just the first thing you think is well you know you're calling it a people's vote
well how is that different from the vote the people had two years ago it's just the right
people it's just yeah exactly it's just idiotic yeah so it's the one of the one of the people's
vote sort of things that they tend to trumpet um or indeed many of the sort of um sort of hard
remain people that i know sort of they always say labour would be 20 points ahead if Jeremy Corbyn
would only come out against brexit i just don't understand it because if you want to see a party
that it that has come out firmly and clearly against brexit and so as you just call the whole
thing off that's the Lib Dems and they're currently down in sort of what high single digits yeah so
it's clearly just demonstrably not true and the other factor is just if you look at how public
opinion is divided yes things have tipped a bit more toward to remain but they certainly haven't
tipped by a decisive margin so i i personally find that just a bizarre point of view well it's
it's more fantasism it's back to that sort of magical thinking that if we had the right hero
who would say the who would say the right words then we could sort of magic ourselves and and
he may or may not have a dragon dick exactly dragon energy dragon energy right so well i think
it's actually worse than that right so if you had can it be worse than that it can i i actually
think quite the reverse i think if labour had adopted a hard remain position so that it's
ignoring 52 percent of the population doesn't give a fuck about the referendum and thinks that people
should be made to have a second vote because they didn't give the right answer the first time round
i think probably what you would have seen would have been much more unity on the government
benches and i think maize deal would have had a much higher chance of being voted through so i
think i think actually it's quite the reverse thing if labour had adopted that position they would
have increased the probability of a tori brexit occurring the second myth i want to talk about
is uh the uh if we leave the european union jeremy corbin won't be able to do socialism
well so i i think this is again a kind of slightly bizarre point of view so you have the kind of
idiocy of the lexateers who say um that the eu somehow prevents socialism and then you just
look at the empirically observable facts which is you know if you take finland the size of the
state as a share of national income is 50 percent larger than the uk right finland is 57 percent of
gdp's that's a majority of national income is in the government sector um and you compare that to
the uk which is on a trajectory by the 2020s to be at 38 percent so clearly this idea that somehow
you can't be uh in a socialist country uh inside the eu is a is a total nonsense inequality in
demark and sweden is five fold difference in income uh between the the bottom desal and the top desal
and in the uk it's 11 fold so that the sort of lexate argument just doesn't stack up on the facts
and then the argument that you go out of the eu and therefore the natural response uh is to
somehow have more austerity is equally stupid because if you end up in a position whereby
you damage your trading relationships uh and you have chronically deficient demand in order to
kickstart the economy and get it going again you are probably going to have to have um an
emergency fiscal stimulus i mean even philip hammond is saying that that he's preparing fiscal
firepower for that so if one of the uh people who has sustained austerity thinks that the logical
response to leaving the eu uh without a deal is going to have to be uh a fiscal expansion it would
be perverse for labor to say well we come into office outside the eu and somehow pick up on where
george osborne left off i mean i just find that incomprehensible and the other thing i i think
is that the people who make the point of uh so we can't do socialism if we leave the european union
because we'll lose too much gdp or whatever have accepted a sort of a folk a right wing folk economics
framing of what austerity is in does like it it doesn't save money it just disciplines workers
right like it's it's it's they i'm astonished it's just completely mad it's it makes absolutely no
sense um the other one i want to talk about now is that there are people saying well we should
cancel brexit unilaterally either because you know russia sent some emails and like you know
erin banks went to moscow and that the leave campaign sort of overspent through some weird
fashion student i just i again this is one of those things where i just i don't understand it i mean
telling people that they were duped and that they're idiots seems like a really poor way to persuade
them that they're that the country should take a different course i mean if you want to i just
was on my way here i saw some disgusting tweet from one of these fbp people uh saying how vile
our country is because she was wearing a remain an eu hoodie and people are looking at her contemptuously
and it just she concluded that this country was just full of vile people who hate hoodies on the
it's not streetwear anymore everyone's in the crew necks i was telling riley about this he was
like let's make some let's make some trash future hoodies right it's like no people don't wear hoodies
anymore they wear crew necks crew necks is streetwear right i mean the right and the reality is that
the government sent a leaflet to every household saying this is why the government definitely
thinks that you should vote remain it did it before the spending rules kicked in it spent
i think 10 million pounds or thereabouts sending that leaflet you know busting any kind of reasonable
spending limits you had the full uh infrastructure of the state thrown behind the remain campaign
plus all of big business all behind the remain campaign huge donors pouring money into different
political parties into the main campaigns and so on and the idea that people saw a few tweets for
some russian bots and then thought oh i know i'll probably vote to leave i just think is such a
nonsense and it's again it's it's a way of absorbing themselves of any responsibility
for having got britain into such a state in 2016 that people felt you know what i'll vote to leave
because it's gotten a destruct of a law because anything's got to be better than the state we're
in you know you've got to remember the remain campaign in 2016 went around saying don't risk
the economic recovery well the facts are that outside of london the southeast not in northern
island wales scotland nor any region of england other than london the southeast had gdp per
capita recovered to its pre-crisis peak there had not been an economic recovery and their message was
don't risk the economic recovery which is pure lunacy it's it's that i think the i think you're
right a big part of it is about sort of see is sort of trying to revise history and say well
actually no we were right in but it's a we were honorable they were shit we were honorable we
played by the rules they didn't play by the rules they didn't play the by the rules and they were
shit yeah and that and the other idea i think is that this is and you can see this in america as
well with the sort of you know obsessives over trump russia and there are ones who are always
following robert moeller who are sort of replying to donald trump with like you know pictures of a
jail cell or whatever they're people who who who are wanting this deus x machina right they want
this procedural trick because they've all seen so many movies where all is lost right and there's
this final moment where everything seems like it's at a darkest and then something just something
happens almost by accident like so the villain oversteps just a little bit or some coincide by
some coincidence man arrives yeah or whatever there was a rule something comes out of the woodwork
and snatches victory from the jaws of defeat and people sort of keep wait they're they're
sitting in the third act of this movie like waiting for it to end and waiting for it to end
satisfyingly because they're saying i want to get off i want to go back i feel like i'm dreaming
like they have they're sort of driving themselves out of reality because they can't accept this
sort of that has become so unpalatable for them absolutely it's just it's a total it's a total
nonsense and also you know it actually harms the pro european cause very substantially you know when
you see this kind of shit i think you know it's a wonder that that so many people so many sections
of the public end up wanting to support remain when they have to listen to this complete nonsense
and the kind of aesthetic and cultural contempt that the kind of hard remain elite show for
half the country is disgraceful in fact this is sort of then where i want to get this because i'd
like to i think i'd like to sort of wrap up on this concept and this is actually from an article
that you sent me that paul mason wrote and this is the end the the end sort of paragraph of that
article i'm just going to read it now mason writes i feel sorry for people who voted for brexit
thinking we could quote just walk away from europe it was a lie then it has been proved so now
reese mog and his cohorts can just shrug and walk back to their mansions but the people who bought
their lies will rightly feel betrayed and those of us who oppose them need to manage what happens
next carefully all kinds of far right thugs and racists stand ready on the streets against the
betrayal of brexit parliament has to be seen to do the maximum possible to achieve what the
referendum result mandated but in the end the final say should once again be given to the british
people so i i had a i wrote a medium post last weekend or the weekend before last which basically
made the same argument i think in the end the circumstance under which a second referendum
is legitimate is only if parliament has failed and the government has failed to deliver on the
instruction that the people gave in 2016 and the only way out of the impasse is a second referendum
i think those are the only circumstances under which it's democratically legitimate to go back
to the people i also think by the way the only labor can win a second referendum for remain
and i think the really crucial point for labor to make is that labor cannot promise
labor should oppose tori brexit but also labor should have posed tori remain
and i think if labor does lead a second referendum campaign it will need to argue against the hard
remain elite who have been promoting their own self-interest and the interests of the kind of
corporate elite and i think labor will have to run against tori brexit and i think it will
have to build its own distinctive message i think if there's a second referendum campaign
i think labor should have nothing to do with the cross-party uh campaign group and should run its own
its own uh uh distinctive labor message on on remain if those circumstances come about but
i think the most important thing is that it has to be clear that those circumstances have come
about not because of labor campaigning for a second referendum but because the tories have
failed to deliver brexit on its own terms and that there is no other alternative
the other the other piece of this of this paragraph that i want to pull out
is i think mason quite rightly says that the psychological shock to a lot of hard brexiteers
many of whom have fashion elements um is going he's saying that it's there is a real chance
that he says far right thugs and racists stand ready to go to the streets against the betrayal
of brexit i mean there i think there's a real possibility that if a second referendum is called
then we have to we obviously we have to understand that this is a risk of course there's a risk i
in fact i don't think it's a risk i think it's a it's a it's a near certainty and i think
you know no one should imagine for a moment that there is any good path for this country
in the in the immediate term if we leave with maize deal the destination is a hard brexit that
will damage our economy and and damage people's living standards if we have a second referendum
and we remain i think there will be an enormous feeling of betrayal that will be a real feeling
of betrayal and i think in addition to that uh i think you will get the far right who will seek
to exploit that moment and i think that that's why the only responsible group who can who can
campaign for remain has to be the labor party because it's the labor party that can promise
that a remain for the future is not taking it back to a Tory remain it's not taking it back
to the european union of 2016 that labor will deliver reforms to our relationship with the
european union from within it and that labor will invest and rebuild and take care of the
communities that have been so betrayed for a generation uh since the rampant deindustrialization
of 1980s and the destruction to communities and labor has to promise that it will rebuild the
country and i think in those circumstances where labor says remain reform rebuild are the only hope
of healing a divided a divided country but who knows how this plays out i mean i think that's
that's probably as as good a place as any to end it because very rarely do we get to end this on
positive if unsure note so i'm going to say uh tom thank you very much for making your way down
to the guyhouse all today it's been fun it's been fun and i'm looking forward to seeing the the
pictures from uh anime dragon dick dragon dick dragon dick can we call can we call the episode
dragon dick i guess we can't totally i totally can well we can call it dragon dick everyone's
gonna be so confused that'd be completely confused dragon dick and brexit um as per usual uh
our uh we we are supported by patreon if you like you can get a second episode of the show if
you subscribe for five five pounds five dollars a month there um you can also commodify your
descent with a t-shirt from lil comrad uh you could have you could get ed to print uh big dragon
energy on it for example that'd be pretty funny um and finally uh thank you as always to our theme
song it is called here we go by jin sang you can find it on spotify it's extraordinarily good
and in any case uh i think that's it good night everybody good