TRASHFUTURE - Dire Straits feat. Josef Burton

Episode Date: March 17, 2026

Josef joins us again to discuss the ongoing disaster in the Persian Gulf, and the crumbling not only of the facade of imperial legitimacy but imperial omnipotence. Also, we look at a startup that coul...d only be called a “moonshot.” Get more TF episodes each week by subscribing to our Patreon here! TF Merch is still available here! *MILO ALERT* Check out Milo’s tour dates here: https://www.miloedwards.co.uk/liveshows Trashfuture are: Riley (@raaleh), Milo (@Milo_Edwards), Hussein (@HKesvani), Nate (@inthesedeserts), and November (@postoctobrist)

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 I want to start out with a question to everyone here. It's Nova, it's Hussein, it's Riley. It's Joseph Burton, returning champion. Returning champion and heroic last second guest as well. That's right. How many layers of Israel are you all on? And can you compare to the startup I'm going to start us off with before we get into the news? Yeah, I'm like a nice, like, eaten, is it eaten mess?
Starting point is 00:00:38 The ones are lots of layers? Yeah. Trifle. like a four, five layer trifle? I don't know how many layers of Israel I'm on. I like to think I keep that number relatively low, but like I do own two pairs of white jeans, so it's never zero.
Starting point is 00:00:54 What I will say is that like, am I in a very Israel time in my life only in the sense that like lots of people are mad at me? You're only at a very Israeli time in your life if lots of people are mad at you because of shit that you are doing. Yeah, that's right. Joseph, how many layers of Israel are you on, now because I'm about to give you a startup that's going to be it's able to
Starting point is 00:01:14 obliterate that number so you know pretty pretty low we like to keep Israel levels pretty pretty low kind of at a background level where I am but I I don't want to give it away but given my I'm on a different level of it as a speaking as a former Smithsonian Air and Space Museum volunteer I am on some completely other levels with this one oh yeah okay this is a startup called moonshot they're too secretive to have a public facing website yeah for security reasons Israel has to occupy part of the moon. Gotcha, sure.
Starting point is 00:01:44 Oh, oh, you read ahead. Fuck you. No, no. I can't keep doing it. I don't read ahead. I just say the worst thing, and it always happens. Yeah. We found this ancient coin in this new tranquility.
Starting point is 00:01:59 It proves that the moon has always been Israel. Oh, Jesus. We're using our new moonshot technology to send a burger slap up there. It's going to be the first restaurant on the spacesuit pants are already white. I've always thought that what the Valamaranaris needed was a Jabotinsky Street, upon which there could be a restaurant named Pizza Well. Now, Joseph, I actually have sent this to Vinnova Nussein have not seen this. So this is a company that they've been written about in press and by their investors. This is apparently, this is usual for Israeli defense tech startups.
Starting point is 00:02:38 They like press first and then they have. like a website. This is the post from Angular ventures on the company, so not spherical, basically that they heard from this entrepreneur, showed them this slide deck, and I'm quoting here, for a company he was building called Moonshot. The idea sounded completely crazy at the time. November, could you please switch hats into Well, there's your problem? Oh, God. Okay, sure. I'm putting on the hard hat. Uh-huh. An electromagnetics space launch system designed to deliver payloads to orbit at radically reduced cost, effectively a
Starting point is 00:03:08 maglev train to space via a rail gun. Listen, you don't ever want to be like the reason this doesn't exist is because nobody's done it this way and nobody does it this way for a reason, right? Because that I guess would sort of buy you from
Starting point is 00:03:24 any innovation whatsoever. But there's a reason nobody else is trying to do this. You know? Israel killed the one guy who got closest to doing this. That is literally true. Picking this, taking a no up from that guy's inventory, leaving it in storage for like 30 years. And now they're like, uh-huh, moon moon gun. Gotcha. Sure. We're going to use a gun to shoot the moon with stuff that we want.
Starting point is 00:03:49 So listed as co-founder was a woman called Hila Haddad Sheldnick. So she's actually how I found this, which we'll go into later. Hila is a power spouse aerospace engineer who previously held senior civilian government roles in Israel, where she oversaw major components of the development of the Iron Dome and Arrow missile systems. The board also contains like former chief engineers for projects called like David Sling. It's a who's who of ex-army scientists. This is from the times of Israel. Space exploration is getting more diverse and more complex in what we want to do involving science, manufacturing and mining.
Starting point is 00:04:19 And as any industry that's evolving, there needs to be more than one mode of transportation. If you told me, if you gave me a vision of the future in which you are forced to work, having been shot into space, you are forced to work on an Israeli moon mine. I would say that that was a fraud concocted by a czarist officer in. sort of like the 1900s. Well, there's a couple ways to look at this. There's the this is a ridiculous idea way to look at it.
Starting point is 00:04:45 And there's no shortage of like ridiculous space ideas for sure that this is getting up there. It's very spin launch coded. It's the same thing. It's a very similar thing to spin launch. But instead of having a centrifugal force, they've said, well, we love
Starting point is 00:05:01 the desert eagle. How can we apply the principle of the desert eagle to a space launch. So they say, a concept of a kinetic spacecraft launch has existed since the days of Jules Verne. But now with new technologies, renewable energy, and computing power, make kinetic launch affordable
Starting point is 00:05:17 and achievable to accomplish. So basically, this hardened capsule levitates inside a tube and is propelled by a series of coils. Quick question. How hardened? And can you put anything in it that isn't also hardened? Great question.
Starting point is 00:05:33 No. Okay. Because what you're describing there is like a bullet functionally, which is great if you want to like, you know, show the moon what's up, right? And get it not to fuck with you anymore. But like, if you want to deliver like your moon miners to the moon, they're going to
Starting point is 00:05:49 arrive as like Maranara. They're going to arrive as like some of the ingredients from Pizza Wow. Yeah, well, I mean, pretty good. But yeah, it exits the tube at speeds of eight kilometers a second. How long's the tube? They don't say. I assume probably
Starting point is 00:06:05 entertainingly long, I imagine. Probably pretty funny. Buying the sight of the line, you know. Yeah. Look, they're not using it. What if the line was the tube and it was like the Israeli space gun? Just sort of as a country being like, I wonder if these guys are kind of losing track of reality of it and falling to kind of megalomaniacal ambitions and they're like, we're going
Starting point is 00:06:25 to build a gun to shoot stuff at the moon. Yeah, essentially yes. And what they do say, to be fair, this is not for humans. but also like this isn't for machinery really or anything you don't want crushed. No, this is a great way of moving like, I don't know, if you want to get all of your tungsten ingots to the moon. Yeah, for whatever. Basically, this is saying whenever someone quite reasonably says, hey, you can't really build a civilization on the moon because there's no oxygen or stuff up there. If they say, okay, instead of saying, all right, well, yeah, that's probably right.
Starting point is 00:07:00 That's a good point. We can't build a civilization on the moon. we should focus on making the one on Earth habitable. If instead your response to that is, no, no, no, we can use bulk transportation to the moon with a rail gun. Right, you go up on the moon and stay there while we shoot supplies at you. Essentially, yes, that's correct. So instead of rocket boosters burning vast amounts of fuel, the energy comes from electricity,
Starting point is 00:07:21 which accelerates through the coils. A kinetic launch increases payload capacity by 45% versus a chemical launch because you get rid of the need for heavy fuel tanks. Uh-huh, sure. They say in Israel, we have the talent and know-how from the defense industry to do it faster and cheaper. We're going to have a little assessment of how the defense industry is going in a little few minutes. I guess the thing is, right? I've gone in early on like, this will not work, right?
Starting point is 00:07:44 And I may be wrong about this, right? I'm not an engine in it. But I kind of feel like the only thing worse than it not working is it working. Because then you have to contend with just any kind of like space flight. It's just like, oh, by the way, the Israelis are like sort of popping off with the space. space gun again. Yeah, you want to fly up here too, and there's suddenly like a shipment of gravel that they're shipping to the moon, which is the only thing you could do with this space gun.
Starting point is 00:08:11 I wasn't expecting the ISS to get taken out like this. Let's say that. So they say, but this is how I found it, actually. I was looking up the ISS joke, and you were looking up plaza ways for it to be destroyed, and Israeli gravel gun somehow. Yeah. Like, the planet-sized version of like a salt. bag that goes in a shotgun.
Starting point is 00:08:33 Yeah. Oh my God. It's the dead. It's the Dead Sea Salt people. They're behind this. It's the Dead Sea Mall kiosk. They're just like, you need more Dead Sea Salt products on the moon. And we've developed a mass driver that can only fire Dead Sea Salt products up there.
Starting point is 00:08:47 So I found, I found this article. And then I like from the article I was like digging around for information on the company. The article I found I had to do a double because basically what happened is I got sent this study on the lunar economy from one of these PR people who does not understand the show at all. And he's like, hey, I've got a partner at PWC who'd be great on your show. And it's like, I'm sure you do. He's written his thing about the lunar economy. And I was like, all right, let's look into it. And I was like, I wonder if Israel's done anything about this because
Starting point is 00:09:12 we got a very like Middle East focused episode today. And I found this article in the Jerusalem post by Hila Hadad Shmelnik. And this is where Nova, I want to go back to what you said at the beginning. Quote, Israel's role in lunar infrastructure could define space power in the future. the moon will become an extension of Earth's security architecture. I'm spalling up in my head the Brianna Wu tweets, but the moon is one of the most strategically valuable locations in the solar system because rocks dropped from it could hit with the power of dozens of nuclear bombs. It's so true.
Starting point is 00:09:49 I do wonder whether, you know, that tweet is in the minds of people in the one country where she's still respected. But no, I just, okay, sure, cool. We're going to securitize the moon. Why not? We've already securitized everything else. So by sort of by default, we have to.
Starting point is 00:10:07 Yeah, like, what else you, what are you going to do? Stop just securitizing things? No. Yeah. Come on. So this is this. I'll read a little bit from this. Then we'll go on to our main topic.
Starting point is 00:10:17 I just, you know, sometimes you see an article that's like, Israel needs to make the moon into a DMZ. And you're like, well, I have to. Yeah, of course. I'm sort of contractually complicated. It's always nice to know how and why your grandkids are going to be doing total moon warfare. So for decades, the moon was treated as a silent geological museum, a relic of the Cold War space race. For decades, legally, space was treated as a non-military sort of thing. But that was always kind of illusory, and now we're dropping the presence.
Starting point is 00:10:47 So for per diem purposes, the U.S. government considers the moon to be located in southern Florida. As does the Catholic Church? Yeah. Yeah, it's the archdiocese of Florida. if you're filing per diem for a moon trip, it is, it's like Orlando rates. But the moon is in Orlando no longer southern Florida. The moon is now Israel. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:11:05 It's, it's so fucked up that Israel is proposing to annex part of the archdiocese of Orlando. But you know what? There's going to be fine to do it. No, she goes on, that era is over. What was once symbolic is rapidly becoming strategic infrastructure. This is not science fiction. It is logistics. And then she goes into what the actual value proposition is.
Starting point is 00:11:25 The ability to produce fuel, oxygen, and energy, directly on the lunar surface reduces dependence on Earth-based supply chains. In space, water becomes fuel, oxygen becomes life support, and energy becomes sovereignty. This is most AI shit. Yeah, I love those poor quotes they use when you research a technology in Alpha Centauri. They say nations that master these capabilities will shape the rules of the cis lunar domain. Those that do not will operate within frameworks they did not design. So basically, there's like, look, with the moon gun,
Starting point is 00:11:53 we're going to be able to enable Israel and its allies to get a head start. on building a permanent moon base. But, but why? But why, though? Oh, thank you, November. That's a great question. China might. But why, though?
Starting point is 00:12:08 I accept the whole sort of Chinese moon landing proposition. There's a lot of prestige in it, right? And I don't know, maybe some fucking helium or something. I'm not, all I know is I've seen for all mankind, right? But like, why go in on this in the first place? Like, there's, I just, what are you afraid of losing it? out on here? Ah, thank you.
Starting point is 00:12:29 This article does in fact answer the question. The moon is no longer a distant aspiration. It is an emerging layer of global infrastructure. Participation is not about prestige. It is about preventing strategic marginalization in the next arena of power. So the issue is, really, Israel has to beat Iran to the moon so that there isn't moon Iran, it seems. Doing a kind of like iron sky thing where they put Iran to on the dark side of the moon.
Starting point is 00:12:54 I mean, this also just sort of feels incredibly low effort. Just also in the sense that like, I feel like if you're an Islamic country, the thing that you probably wouldn't mess around is the moon. Yeah. It's already exploded once before. Well, that's right. Yeah, there's probably lots of reasons why you look at the moon and be like, yeah, probably shouldn't tamper with that too much. Also, the moon seems to be like important for certain things here on Earth. Like, I've heard that from like various woke people.
Starting point is 00:13:17 But I imagine we can ignore that, right? Oh, the fuck. The Israeli moon gun is throwing off the tides because they keep shooting gravel at it now again. getting flooded. I mean, look, I will also sort of say that, like, the amount of anti-Semitic conspiracy theories will probably not be helped by this endeavor. I remember the Jewish space laser bullshit. Maybe someone heard it and was just like, hey, that's actually kind of cool and we should
Starting point is 00:13:40 do it. Just like, why don't we have one of those? And lasers are off the table, so it's some kind of like moon railgun. And then you can have these like in name debates where it's just like, should Israel build a space laser? Where if you say no to that, you're called anti-Semitic. Well, I mean, the real anti-Semitic discourse, is when they shoot the first gales up there.
Starting point is 00:14:02 Well, that has to be in moon London. Well, actually, the city of London considers the moon to be in zone four for transport purposes. It's so expensive. You got to touch the little pink thing. Look, I wanted them, before we go into again, our main section, I want to conversely ask, how many layers of America are you on? Because if Israel is like, we built a desert eagle to shoot gravel at the moon in case anyone else tries to colonize it.
Starting point is 00:14:27 We, of course, have Newt Gingrich saying, okay. He's still alive? He's still alive. He's still with his extremely, like, filtered and retouched. They're the most filtered and retouched couple in all of Italy, I think. She's an icon for that. Let's be clear. Callista Gingrich.
Starting point is 00:14:43 In this house, Callister Gingrich is a hero. Newt Gingrich has, of course, also said, Joseph, I don't know if you've seen this. Instead of fighting over a 21 mile wide bottleneck forever, referring to the Straits of Hormuz, let's just cut a new channel flowing through friendly territory. a dozen thermonuclear detonations and you've got a waterway wider than the Panama Canal, deeper than the Suez, and save from Iranian attacks. So when do you think, Joseph Iran will be
Starting point is 00:15:05 surrendering because they realize that the Straits of Hormuz can be just bypassed by detonating approximately 12 nuclear bombs in a mountain range in several friendly countries? When the belligerent parties to a conflict are doing like April 1945 Wunderwaffe plans about like secret moon guns and new channels three weeks into a war, they're usually winning. And it's a sign that things are going great. It's awesome when people start soft floating the idea of setting off nukes. Got it pretty locked up. I think they're just doing donuts now.
Starting point is 00:15:37 Something interesting about this. So this is an old, old idea. It's called the Ben-Gurion Canal, right? And sort of Israeli thought, which it sort of gives you an idea of the sort of level of Israelis. They're on on this one. But it was a U.S. plan originally as part of, I think it was connected with some project plowshares, right?
Starting point is 00:15:55 like peaceful uses for atomic weapons. And the reason why nobody pursued it is because the Americans' estimate in 1965 was that it would take them 520 nuclear destinations. And then you have the problem of, well, you have a bunch of crises that you then have to sort of like form into a canal by moving a lot of extremely irradiated earth. And the other downside of this, at least in the American conception of the time, is that the sort of Mediterranean end of this would be Gaza or like basically directly next to it.
Starting point is 00:16:31 So this was sort of conserved for, you know, 60 years, but we're back, I guess. There's a really long wild history of American surveying canals through the Negev. I mean, the first people tried to do like, we're going to do Suez 2 in the 1880s, and it would have just been this like complete disaster with 15 locks going into the Dead Sea, and then Plowshares comes up, And you have like the idea of resettling all Palestinians around the guitar depression that you turn into a like habitable area by nukeing basically to Brooke.
Starting point is 00:17:01 Like not to Brooke. There's another part in Egypt. But there's actually like a really weirdly long history of this project plowshare stuff being kicked around in the Middle East like precisely for this reason. So I think Newt is just like face tuned to within an inch of his life and going into some sort of like, you know, like dying man reverie about some briefing. he must have saw in the 1970s. So I have to sum up the first segment of the show, which is I'm titling the great ideas segment, the brilliant plans. It's the same thing that we've been saying for years, right, which is these people,
Starting point is 00:17:35 their politics has led them into a place where they're sort of left looking for things that we know are impossible, you know? Things that are nonsensical because all of the sensible stuff is just like, yeah, we can't do it now, I guess. Yeah, well, we've ruled all of it out. We've extremely ruled it out. Yeah, I think this is as best symbolized by what we're going to talk about in the rest of the episode, which is wanting to get off Mr. Larajani's wild ride, right?
Starting point is 00:18:03 Of like, we have, you know, Trump having announced that the U.S. has won the war with Iran five or six times, and still they don't seem to agree. Well, let's get into it, right? Because let's start with, I think, with President Trump having truthed the following truth. And by the way, I love going on truth social because of the ads. Like, while I was looking for the exact text of this one, I got an ad that said, gynecologist baffled, simple stretch prevents bladder leakage. Listen, we don't like promoting the show on truth social, but you still got to be on there.
Starting point is 00:18:33 You know, it's I have a real sort of like, I bought this before he went crazy kind of attitude towards it. I thought I made this account before Donald Trump went crazy. I'm on weird truth social, you know, I'm just kind of there for the jokes. And occasionally I'll like retruth a couple of things. but like, I think it's cool that in like the early days, it was like you could be friends with like Greg Gutfeld. Yeah. That was like people like, it was really fun in 2021. So this is what Donald Trump truth.
Starting point is 00:19:00 Many countries, especially those who are affected by Iran's attempted closure of the Hormuz Strait, would we say attempted? I think it's pretty close. We'll be sending warships in conjunction with the United States of America to keep the straight open and safe. We've already destroyed 100% of the Iranian military's capability, but it's easy for them to send a drone or two, drop a mine or deliver a close range missile somewhere along or in this waterway. So there's military capabilities then, but okay. Well, I mean, those are like just guys. They're like the kind of like amuse bouch of like military capabilities.
Starting point is 00:19:31 Yeah, there's military capability. And then there's just guys with like a limpid mine who by just. There's no such thing as society. There's just people and families. So hopefully China, France, Japan, South Korea, the UK and others that are affected by his artificial constraint will send ships to the area so the Hormo's straight will no longer be a threat by a nation that has been totally decapitated. I, okay, so here's the thing, right?
Starting point is 00:19:53 As much as I love for the idea, China does have one ship in the Holmastrow, well, kind of, kind of near it, which is just, just there blosing around sucking up everybody's data. They've got their, like, one of their intelligence ships, just locking in on everything. So China is, is proximate, right? but like firmly on a sort of like, damn, that's crazy kind of role. It's crazy that happened. Joseph, as a former diplomat,
Starting point is 00:20:26 is it good diplomacy when what you do is you say to most of your ally vassals, hey, I'm going to take over Greenland. And then they're like, please don't take over Greenland. And then maybe some of them start doing military exercises in Greenland. And then you say, just kidding, please, we have accidentally closed the Hormus Straits. Oil prices are now a trillion dollars a teaspoon.
Starting point is 00:20:51 Please can you forget about the Greenland stuff and come open the Hormuz Straight? Which, by the way, I don't think they could because one guy with a limpet mine on a speedboat can effectively close the Hormus straight. Yeah, it's super great when you don't tell them you're doing the war and then you start the war and then you need to come over to my war now, even though I almost did the war to you. And I'm just thinking about that list as well. So China, France, Japan, South Korea, the UK, and others. So, you know, it's keeping optimistic, right? It's like inviting. Many, many more.
Starting point is 00:21:24 Inviting people to like a house party of Facebook back in the day, you know. Japan, by the way, Japan, despite being now, you know, prime ministered by girl Hitler, has pretty firmly been like, no, we're not going to do that shit. And like, Starma also is like, I don't want to. Well, Sarmus thing is interesting because he's not sort of said that he's on, like, I saw a list where there were sort of countries in like Europe and around the world that were just like not participating, not participating. I mean, the UK was just like not committed. We've got problems with commitments to us, okay? I think it's like the sort of ultimate Stama response, which is just like, I don't want to do it.
Starting point is 00:22:05 But also I'm going to like reject it in the most annoying way possible that will make everyone mad because he is in a very Israel time of his life. I'm not going to leave Trump on red, but I am going to give him like a thumbs up react and that's piss off everyone. Like a no, like a sort of squiggly, squiggly mouth emoji. And yeah, and so like people are still pissed off with him despite the fact that like this is arguably the best thing he could do to like stop his approval ratings from tanking even further than it already has. So let's let's first talk about this coalition of the unwilling as I've seen it called in press, right? So like Iran has closed the Hormuz Strait. They are able to keep it closed with a relatively small force as I will give it to understand it. Pretty pointedly they haven't though.
Starting point is 00:22:50 So Arachi is firmly on record saying that we have not made a blanket closure of the Straits and that we are only going to target ships that are flagged for nations that are enemies, right? So a Turkish trip transited the Straits by asking nicely. And I know there was an incident recently where a Chinese tanker fished. sailed through just fine, and then a Japanese ball carrier tried to sneak in behind it and immediately ate a shot head. So their whole thing is like, I'm not, I'm not closing the straits. Like, you might think that, but I'm actually not, they're putting straits, blanket
Starting point is 00:23:26 straits closure as like an escalatory step, which I think people don't understand. But of course, Trump is just like, yeah, but they're closing the streets for us. So all of you need to like get on it. It's like slicing the salami really thin to still have like some room for. for escalation there. Yeah. But yeah, it's also like his still the thing of like,
Starting point is 00:23:46 no, we're still playing chess here. And now Donald Trump has actually been forced into a chess game where he can't just eat pieces. It's just sort of this mess. I think the ideal Iranian end game is a situation where certain countries have the ability
Starting point is 00:24:01 to just no problems whatsoever go through Hormuz and everyone else gets immediately blasted into pieces. And then they can just go around to all the Gulf states and be like, well, What's it going to be? Is it going to be having the American airbase or is it going to be exporting the commodity that is your whole economy that's not British guys with the worst hands ever doing crypto classes? And we got into this whole thing. With all of that, there's a kind of like baked in assumption that like Iran is a kind of almost undisplaceable, undisplaceable in a way that anyone actually wants to do. Sort of like power over the straight, right? And Trump clearly, as we can tell from all the like, you know, military and political leaks ahead of time was warned of this extensively and went,
Starting point is 00:24:44 now it'll be fine, did it, and now was having to contend with the fact that everyone was telling him the truth. And I don't know that there was anything more predictable than the way this has worked out. Oh yeah. No, this, anyone, and the funny thing is, and I think the core dynamic, if you're looking at the American side of this, is ask anyone who'd be in a position to know, and they would tell you this is exactly how it worked out, yet it happened. like we did it. So let's do a little bit of, I don't know, let's do a little bit of American Kremlinology here, right? We have, because we have White House Bullroomology. Yeah, let's do the, that's East Wings coming any day now. They're not just going to keep a little bit of Tyvec home wrap
Starting point is 00:25:25 flapping in the breeze over it. I'm going to scroll down a little bit, but I think we're sort of getting there quite well. I have a quote from a Wall Street Journal article, kind of a bombshell article from today about the internal American decision making processes that went into doing this. And I it kind of encapsulates better than anything else how the American approach to managing its own awful empire has changed because America is now scrabbling for the kind of support and enjoyed in 2003 and crucially
Starting point is 00:25:50 seems to actually need it in a way that it didn't anticipate it did. So I have two quotes here. Suzanne Maloney, an Iran specialist and foreign policy vice president at the Brookings Institute. So this is the Brookings that is like on the one side here. Yeah, but like the guys
Starting point is 00:26:06 who still have to like live in reality a bit. Yeah. Like you want to do evil effectively, so you have to live in reality. And to be clear, right, the level that I'm talking about is, you know, greeted in Iraq as liberators kind of living in reality. That's the kind of ceiling on how grounded we're getting, and this is too much for them. Yeah, so they say there's a striking disconnect between the U.S. and Israeli operational achievements and the disastrous fallout for the global economy and broader U.S. national security interests.
Starting point is 00:26:34 The White House can sell Iran's significant military nuclear losses of victory, but if it comes to the cost of a major recession, it won't mean much for Republicans in the midterms, and the Iranians are likely to outlast the U.S. whereas Kevin Hassett, director of the White House's National Economic Council, said the administration already factored all this energy and economic disruption
Starting point is 00:26:53 into their plan, decision to attack Iran. Sure you did. If Iran thinks they're going to get President Trump to back down because they're going to make our economy week, they just don't understand economics. He said on Fox and Friends. Yeah, it's treat that as like going to Trump as ever. But like, I just, it's like,
Starting point is 00:27:08 If Iran thinks that the things that they can do materially will affect us, well, have they considered our meme warfare? Yeah. Well, yeah, have they considered that we're epic and we post like edits? Which, by the way, Iran invented doing that. Hezbo has been doing that for like a decade. Yeah, they've already got the hardest video editor, like, quote, polls. I mean, you had like, I mean, and they're actually delivering hard lines.
Starting point is 00:27:32 Like when Arachshchi was just like, you know, the CNN guy was like, aren't you scared of a land invasion? He's like, no, we're waiting for them. Yeah, come on. I'm, like, obviously, like, I'm not a fan of AI animations, but what I will say is that the Iranians are really sick at them. Like, they're so good. I saw, like, a few just show up on my feet.
Starting point is 00:27:48 I won't say, like, who sent them, like, just for security reasons. But I was, like, watching a few of them. And I was just, like, as far as, like, the AI kind of, like, rendering of Trump and, like, the sort of, you know, and you can tell that, like, you can tell that they come from a better, like, cinematic culture, like, the way in which, like, shots are frames. Watching hours of Jafarani in order to make.
Starting point is 00:28:08 K-I propaganda. This is a real thing. Thank you for making me not feel like I'm going insane. Because like I've seen the American ones and it's very like, what if you made the worst pastiche of like top gun and bloodsport and like the various other like the five films that Trump like watches on repeat with just the fight scenes versus like this very sort of well made or at least kind of like artistically considered AI rendering, which echoes not just like contemporary like Iranian cinema,
Starting point is 00:28:34 but also kind of harks back to the religious mythology. But obviously underpins a lot of like the Iranian strategy or like at this current moment anyway. And so like as a reflection of like where the sort of various ideological positions, I do have to say that via AI, the AI animations rather, the Iranians do go very hard. Now do I wish that they had like hired a few of my animator friends who would like have done a good job? Yeah. I feel I feel like someone like Mati could have done like a pretty good, you know, they could have contributed more. Right. But you know, but work with what you've got.
Starting point is 00:29:06 I, you know, fair play to them. They've done, they've done like a pretty decent rendering. It is like, it's not, like there's an actual logistics pipeline. If you're an Iranian film school and you're just like, I don't want to. No, seriously, if you are like, I don't want to like eventually go into exile because my like very like pensive, gorgeously framed film is going to get censored, you could just do your mandatory military service in the film unit of the IRC. And that's where they got the guy who probably did the AI Lego generated video of,
Starting point is 00:29:36 Satan in Epstein's temple giving Trump the war plans. And then a Lego IRGC shoots Lego missiles at the Lego U.S. Embassy in Saudi Arabia. So I want to talk, though, a little bit about, we're going to get to that actually, the Lego version and the real version. But I wanted to talk to sort of thinking back about like these sort of the Brookings Institution view versus like the National Economic Trump Appointee, Council of Trump appointee view, that there are just these, it appears that, yeah, there's this, this clique of TV hosts and podcasters have essentially seized power, the wrong kind of podcaster, seized power.
Starting point is 00:30:10 It would be pretty bad if we seized power as well, let's be clear. I think we'd have fun with it for a while, probably more than these people are. Well, they're having fun with it. It's just that the fun that they're having is evil. We would ideally have, like, fun that is not evil, but, like, it would still be pretty disastrous, I think. Yeah, okay. Fair enough.
Starting point is 00:30:25 Yeah, the, um, the, um, the Alden Boots for every citizen plan has been, um, very interesting. Oh, but I hate drinking my mandatory glass of dessert wine. it's giving me diabetes shut up and drink them dessert wine I want to talk about like these the balance of power
Starting point is 00:30:44 inside the US state because it seems like more than anything on the ground the US is just sort of ideologically committed now to continue just grinding away at something that is pretty difficult to shift
Starting point is 00:30:58 I guess what are the forces inside the US state that are pushing this way and that I would have to say like the forces that are the biggest within the U.S. state are the ones that got us to this point, which is the fact that the military has been developing these extremely intricate war plans for decades. And I think eventually
Starting point is 00:31:16 it got to a point where it was just kind of easier to push the button on that because nobody else knew what they were doing. Like there isn't, I don't really think right now there's a coherent vision about what is happening absent the kind of tactical operational planning that Sentcom has done, which is at this point three, four weeks in, probably winding out. their war plans that end with some sort of notional political solution that simply does not exist. I think that there was kind of a perfect storm of people who wanted this, be that. And there's a perfect form of people who wanted this. And I also think that Venezuela legitimately broke everyone's brains.
Starting point is 00:31:51 You know, it was kind of like how the fall of France worked out great. And then basically no one could tell Hill or anything for like three years because he was like, who are you telling me? That worked so great that one time. All of the sort of like Russian hybrid stuff that talked Putin into Ukraine. as well. Or it's like, yeah,
Starting point is 00:32:07 we can just, we can just fuck around with these people. And there's, there are no consequences. It's a fake country. They won't fight. Like,
Starting point is 00:32:13 they start believing your, you know, your own kind of info war stuff starts leaking back on you or is used by people inside the administration to lobby Trump specifically. And the whole time there, sent comments saying like, well,
Starting point is 00:32:25 you shouldn't do this. I'm against this. However, we have this giant pre, like, joint war plan with Israel that we could just push the button on and it could start happening right now. please don't though but don't though you know which is which is the kind of fallacy the thing I'm constantly on about is is the fallacy of like insider resistance or being a civil servant functionary or having a kind of functional role in foreign policy is you know if you build the tool they're going to use the tool and there's a kind of professional culture of no we build the tool and then say Mr. President sir please don't do it you know I invented the torment nexus as a contingency plan yeah and we can ask right like because we talk about a political
Starting point is 00:33:04 political settlement. And these things are intimately connected as to what Trump is being told, how the machinery of empire is being used, who it's being wielded by for what purpose. The fact that they don't really seem to know what their purpose is, it changes that the last several weeks has shown that the American, the Israeli purpose has been the same the whole time, which is to make Iran an uninhabitable series of statelets, maybe one of which can become the new Dubai, I don't know, where there is no longer on Iran at all, not even a friendly Iran will do. But the U.S. seems to be, their goals seems to be changing all the time. I think partly it's actually because they've believed their own info war, as you say,
Starting point is 00:33:41 Joseph, that's Israel is the only democracy in the region. We must support Israel, whatever it wants to do, et cetera, et cetera. That's like they've sort of believing their own propaganda about it. Their own propaganda and it's also sort of like an, you know, an accursed aeron smoothie of every reason for war in the past 25 years all blended up together. You know, this will reshape the Middle East to our advantage. This will make me look like a hero. Mr. President, my country yearns for freedom.
Starting point is 00:34:05 Like every kind of vortex converged. And also just the fact of the U.S. presence in the region needing to justify itself. It's like, well, we have to attack Iran to defend our bases in Bahrain and Qatar. Why do we have the bases in Bahrain and Qatar to get ready to attack Iran? Israel's our ally because they're our ally. What do they do for us? Let's not ask that. You know, we fund the, you know, Iranian diaspora opposition groups that, in turn,
Starting point is 00:34:31 and lobby the U.S. government to take certain policy actions. So it's like I'm really, I don't want to say fascinated, but there's sort of this like this weighty kind of discussed about just the sheer recursiveness of American politics right now because in the White House, there's just kind of the same thing circling around and around. And very importantly with the role the United States plays in the world, this is the first time that the decision maker,
Starting point is 00:34:54 the person to end that loop, to exit it is not in Washington. Like you are done when Lara Johnny says you are done. Right? The strategic calculus is completely in Iranian hands at this point. Yeah. And I mean, if you want to talk about what Iran is doing with that strategic calculus, is that they are, in fact, changing the dynamics of the politics in the Middle East. There have been a series of attacks in Iraq, including what I believe to be the first successful use of a first person-viewed drone to strike at American forces. Nothing too dramatic yet that if you watch the video, the guy's kind of like, you know, mooching around looking for something interesting to bomb. Crashes it into a door at the end of it.
Starting point is 00:35:33 Yeah, yeah, just sort of settles for like a hangar door. But still, please have fuel, please have fuel, please have fuel. IEDs can fly now, right? I mean, if you're going to go into war in the Middle East, IEDs can fly and they can see heat and they can hunt you. Also, if you're thinking about the sort of like years we've had now of like snuff footage that, you know, John Fesserman can like jerk himself into another stroke with of like sort of FPV drones flying into people or like dropping grenades on people,
Starting point is 00:35:59 I don't know how it's going to go down when people see Americans on the other end of those, which will happen. Like, there's a coming verdict with like the American spectacle of violence. Or I think it, first of all, like, what's very interesting about the non-AI generated, like, we in we sports intro footage that the Pentagon is releasing. It's actually very interesting for operational regions. It's mostly just footage of them like blowing up American equipment from the 70s. Like the most spectacular. God damn it. Like,
Starting point is 00:36:28 F-WR, don't make me cry, Nova. Like, I, oh, God, I saw an amazing post by, there's an Iranian exile organization that is the Imperial Iranian Air Force Aviation Heritage Association that's based out of a strip mall in Southern California. And they're actually begging Trump to not blow up the last F4 phantoms and F14s. That's the one, that's the one group we should be supposing. Yeah. These are the Imperial Iran nostalgia diaspora orgs that I support.
Starting point is 00:36:55 But, no, but they're not, they're not, they're not interested in producing, you know, spectacular military images. You know, they sunk that Iranian frigate off Sri Lanka, which has had actually really serious repercussions inside Indian foreign policy. But they're not producing a coherent visual spectacle. I also think that Americans are much more dead into violence.
Starting point is 00:37:13 Like, I, to be honest, like the idea of a Marine being hunted by an FBV, it would be shocking. But then I also think about Charlie Kirk and how, like, even the Trump supporters are kind of like, uh. And I do think in the next two weeks, there's going to be decision point taken because the war plans are out of steam.
Starting point is 00:37:29 Everything's out of steam. I think one of the options is what I am personally referring to as Zumer Gallipoli, which would be, God. Okay. Basically some, you know, they've got the Tripoli amphibious group that's going to enter the Gulf, and they're either going to try for medium dumb option of occupying Kark Island and then getting, you know, we will see the video of Braden dying Ukraine style to an FBV or landing to clear the Strait of Hormuz.
Starting point is 00:37:56 which will be like clearly deranged. Or sort of like, how many hundred kilometers of like cliff faces? Just sheer mountains. Yeah. Crazy. Crazy stuff. I,
Starting point is 00:38:07 I mean, okay, sure. I mean, we're going to get to see like, alarmingly high definition video of a guy who like has a Zinn in getting exploded. Either way.
Starting point is 00:38:18 Yeah. It's, it's grim, but I also don't know. That's the thing is there's not even an, I guess what I'm trying to say is there's not really an appreciable bloodlust going on. with this. It's kind of like doing it to do it. And so that Pete Hegseth can say things that he thinks sound badass that actually have very serious international law implications. I hate that motherfucker so
Starting point is 00:38:36 much. I was actually thinking about this, right? Because if you wanted to, again, comparing someone as more serious and goal oriented in their pursuit of fascism than Pete Hegseth isn't saying they're better than Pete Hegseth. It's merely identifying that Donald Rumsfeld and Dick Cheney understood the importance. even though their ideology is... You say that. You say that. I've seen some kind of like post hoc like valorization of them as like,
Starting point is 00:39:02 well at least those guys knew what they were doing. I think back to the Rumsfeld memos that were like, what's going on with Iraq? I don't think about like Iran lately. Come back to me with options on this. So like, no, they didn't know. But there was still enough kind of grounding in reality around them, right? They were like in...
Starting point is 00:39:21 So like, there's a version of a U.S. war with Iran that runs to those two-week strike plans, right? In the same way that there was a version of the war with Iraq that sort of like was, you know, had some kind of like military possibility to it, right? And then it sort of like changed into what it became sort of slowly enough that you could sort of plan for that too. This is already sort of wildly out of scope for anything.
Starting point is 00:39:48 Yeah. And I think there's a difference in like kind of signify as signifier where, you know, Rumsfeld and all the like Bremer and the completely like incompetent figures behind the Iraq war, their vision of what it was they were doing and by vision, I don't mean political vision, I mean self-conception is like,
Starting point is 00:40:02 I'm going to be in a room with the oil guys, I'm going to be shaking hands with shakes, I'm going to like have local knowledge. And obviously they were getting conned and fleeced at every turn. Pete Hexas's vision doesn't go beyond the spectacle of him making knife hands. Pete Hexas's vision very blurry.
Starting point is 00:40:16 It's very blurry. And then it's like he's looking at himself through social media being like, we got to get like, we got to get less, you know, we're not woke anymore. And like, actually Iran has a problem. Have you thought about that? Or specifically the no quarter thing, which is making a, no quarter thing.
Starting point is 00:40:33 He hears no quarter as like, I don't know, maybe something that Gladiator from Gladiator would say. Right. It's very high school football coach to me. Yeah. High school football coach who lives in his car. Saying no quarter right before you were going to introduce American ground troops into the theater is, you know, someone's going to pay for that. It's not going to be Pete Excess. But there is, I'd say this ability to strike at American military infrastructure in the region that includes not just like doorways in bases, but that includes, well, I mean, it includes a lot of kit.
Starting point is 00:41:04 It includes a lot of radar installations. It's rumbling on. I mean, like, the thing is, right, when we first sort of started talking about this, I sort of said that it would be, you know, unwise to get into the whole, like, intercepted, like, magazine depth stuff, right? which everyone else was doing, because we wouldn't know anything until like basically now, right? And what we've learned is you can't stop Iran or some of its proxies from like hitting stuff. And like they might get better at that. They might get worse. But like so long as there's no off-ramp to this, it seems like they really can just keep doing that more or less indefinitely, which is something that the Gulf states and Israel cannot sustain.
Starting point is 00:41:50 And this was the sort of really interesting thing is I think if you wanted to talk about a sort of end to this that was forced on the US, you need to think about where the US's interests start to diverge from particularly Israel's, right? And you know, you see the sort of maximalist Israeli kind of goals of like, oh, we want to fucking invade Lebanon and occupied up to the Littani. We want to, you know, start firing gravel at the moon, whatever it is. And I think the most interesting thing about all of this has been leaks in general. And the thing that struck me. was a leak that came from the US saying Israel is fudging as numbers on interception rate, which everyone knew, but is out there now, and also is running out of interceptors. And that's not something that the Israelis would ever expect the Americans to sort of like part the veil on, you know? And so I don't know where that leads, but certainly we're in a sort of space of confrontation there. I mean, it is interesting because like the only comparable times this has happened is like high Cold War nuclear crisis, right? Except instead of nuclear war, this whole idea of escalation ladders and off ramps and are, you know, what is a status quo post-bellum look like? Instead of a nuclear bomb, like the nuclear bomb is just the global petroleum economy, which everyone knows is like probably already host and it is going to be getting worse.
Starting point is 00:43:11 And the leaking, the dissatisfaction, the divergence, that's all happening. but what's very interesting is this wave of internal kind of dissent, and I told you so, comes out of this completely overdetermined institution that can't understand that just because they're putting like warheads on foreheads and being very successful in their tactical objectives, if you, that's not going to turn into truth. That's not going to turn into a political outcome that you want, especially if the political outcome was magically, there's a revolution inside of Iran, which is also like in criminology moves, wild that populism is essentially dead on arrival like two and a half weeks into this.
Starting point is 00:43:51 You know, Trump has said he's not the guy. His own mother kind of admonished him publicly. And of course he still, he doesn't have Rudy Giuliani, a guy who is more dedicated, more brand loyalty to the MECA than anyone has ever had to anything. Yeah, he doesn't have it. And I think Trump smelled that smell of a loser. I think that they want a Venezuela style outcome of someone inside the IRGC superstructure from the top ranks, basically cutting a deal and taking Iran off the table as a geopolitical threat to the United States,
Starting point is 00:44:25 but also, you know, being kind of killing those guys. Yeah, what happened to all those guys? Interesting. What happened to all the IRC commander? It's like the smartest, most negotiable guy was the one Trump killed for basically no reason to start all of this off. the counterfactuals coming out of this is I think about two things like if Soleimani was alive I don't even
Starting point is 00:44:45 like Iran would not even be in this position I mean even in their domestic politics but also if the Iranians that just hit back for real in 2020 we also would not be in that situation but like the delusion was that this would be easy and it would all just work out and nobody
Starting point is 00:45:00 even bothered to create an ideological superstructure for this. I think part of why no one bothers to create that ideological superstructure goes back to understanding that the tale of America is infinitely powerful and infinitely capable, the military colossus that's never been equaled, is something that it's important for everybody else to believe. But crucially, you can never believe it. Yeah. And that was something that the US military used to be good at that like, I know people jerk themselves off about Millennium
Starting point is 00:45:30 Challenge, right? And it's not, we're not supposed to like talk about it now. But like, that was a, that's a good example of the US military institution. trying to learn its own weaknesses, right? And now that you've got Pete Heggseth in charge of it, a guy who does not want to hear about weakness, a guy who only wants to hear about strength. You're not going to see that kind of decision making get enabled. Nova, I know you've been around these parts of the internet for so long.
Starting point is 00:45:56 I have two. Millennium Challenge guys were always the most annoying dudes in every form. No one is more vindicated than they are right now. Like absolutely no one. Carrying orders on dirt by. Yeah. The other thing, right, is I want to sort of zoom out a little bit more because there's something that we've been talking about on the show for years now, a pattern I think we observed,
Starting point is 00:46:19 which is that the long march of the right, and that's both sort of the leftmost flank of the right in terms of like the Labor Party, the Democrats, whatever, and the right itself, so driven by TV and media as it's been, has lost the ability to be the ability to be. to oversee the oaths it's trying to wrangle. And the oaths have become the overseers. Pete Hegseth was never supposed to be in charge of something. He was supposed to rile up the chuds and get them to vote through the gigantic tax cuts.
Starting point is 00:46:53 I think there's an interesting parallel here, right? Where Donald Trump sort of learned the lesson of like, I can't just get the person who I think is personally loyal to me and gives good TV because they can get me in serious trouble when he fired Christy Knoem, right? But there isn't that with this, right? There isn't a sort of version of this. You can't like fire Pete Hegseth and install a kind of more conciliatory secretary of defense
Starting point is 00:47:18 and then expect the Iranians to be like, okay, cool, wars off. Yeah. Yeah. Well, and there's something about that idea of you can never believe it yourself, the omnipotence of American power. And we have entered this point where the people fully believe in the omnipotence of American military power, especially in the Middle East, at precisely the plightons of point, really the first point, that an outside power absolutely has a strategic veto on that power. And it's been forced to exercise it. I've been forced to exercise it. I think about the sort of,
Starting point is 00:47:49 again, I've made these jokes before about the kind of like almost pathological level of patients across Iran and its proxies, right? Like that fucking Nazarela died. He went to his grave with the like, I'm going to make a sort of hype farming aura moments video about how, they're all going to fucking suffer and then do nothing, right? But somehow, the most difficult to provoke people in the world
Starting point is 00:48:17 externally have, have, like, now had their hand forced. And I, clearly the US does not like the result. No, I mean, it actually is just saying, like, well, I'm not going to sit down for you a third time in negotiations for you to bomb me in the middle.
Starting point is 00:48:32 And it is, what's actually, what's interesting is, I think they are being in a very erudite and sophisticated way, kind of out chutted by the Iranians. And then let me hear me out here. I mean, obviously their mannerisms are very different.
Starting point is 00:48:44 You know, every Iranian official is every statement in English to the president. They all speak very good English is, you know, basically doing the Alexis de Tocqueville, which I'm sure most Americans have read meme with, you know, Khatami. There is that type of American guy who's like, dude, I'm calm. I love my family. But if you piss me off, dude, I will mess you up. And like, you know, these are guys who are like, I love my beautifully composed minimalist films. I love my poetry.
Starting point is 00:49:13 But dude, if you piss me off, you don't want to mess with me. If you blow up my curvy brick apartment and it's on like John Wick. Yeah, no, no, I think actually they like, they really are going John Wick on this. And it's like, yeah, you brought my curvy brick apartment. Like if you've, if you, you know, all the dust gets into my, my beautifully perfectly cooked crusty rice. And it's, it's war to the knife. And, you know, there's a lot going on structurally that's in that's in their corner right now. Iran has raised the red flag of John Wick, Chapter 1.
Starting point is 00:49:44 Yeah. Yeah. Cry havoc and let slip the wicks of war. It is, they are kind of doing John Wick stuff where it is simply like, I also think that this is the part in the American war plans where they go, ah, surely they give up. Right. Surely they cry uncle. And like, I mean, they flew a couple 1970s Soviet bombers like, see. top height and got within two minutes,
Starting point is 00:50:07 bombers from the 70s at Qatar and got within two minutes of hitting the airport, right? I mean, knowing that they were outnumbered like 50 to 1. They had one guy get close enough and like a speedboat to the Ford's like carrier group that they had to engage it with like, you know,
Starting point is 00:50:23 the gun. So yeah, this is. And I'm not, and I'm not sure how this intersects with like the kind of right psychological developments in the United States where there are two things are one, we are the manliest manly. men ever and two we cannot comprehend that we would ever be defeated and they're going to be outshown in both of those fields and like I don't I really don't know where this goes but like we are in
Starting point is 00:50:47 year one of this let me put it that way it's it's it's all fun in games until the we love death as you love life stuff really starts to hit in the way that matters you know um I I want to move on to our final segment here which is of course a perennial interest of mine now which is whither Dubai well this is important to us as a British podcast because that's where we keep our strategic chud reserve. Yeah, we got rid of Andrew Tate and Samuel Leeds and a number of other people there. And now they're being forced to come back. And Nova, you sent me this earlier as a hilarious little bit of shout in Friday.
Starting point is 00:51:19 This is, I think, the most I've smiled reading anything this past month. Yeah, so I have snippets from a few articles, but I want to go through them. This is, of course, wealthy British nationals fleeing golf conflict bypass UK to avoid tax bills. There is one specific, very fortuitous detail about the timing of this is that Iran is hitting Dubai before the end of the tax year. And Nova and I talked about this before, and we both concur. Probably this didn't factor into the planning of the timing of when Iran was going to focus on Dubai. However, what if it did? If it did, then I doff my hat to them.
Starting point is 00:52:02 Because, right, if you're a tax exile, right, if you're what they call a non-dom, right, and non-the-s sort of subway, but in the sort of like you're not legally resident in the UK, the government, you call it a non-dom? I know, it's crazy. Like, you people got to get checked out. I know, I know. But it means that the government allows you like a certain number of days in the UK a year before they decide, oh, you are a UK resident and you have to pay tax and all your income here, right?
Starting point is 00:52:29 And that can be, like, it's not a fixed number. it depends on your circumstances, right? Like, are you traveling a lot for business? Do you have, like, family in the country, stuff like that, right? But, like, if you exceed those days, you're on the hook for a lot of money, potentially. And what I learned from The Guardian is that a lot of tax exiles tend to get those out of the way relatively early and go, okay, cool, that's my days. Can't, no flexibility there. Can't come back to the UK until the end of the tax year, which is great until the first.
Starting point is 00:53:01 fucking port cocher of your apartment building starts getting blown up by drones. So I have the quote here. With only about three weeks remaining in the current tax year, as we said, many overseas residents have already spent their allocation of days in Britain without incurring tax liabilities as November said. Some are seeking
Starting point is 00:53:17 guidance from HMRC and whether they would be granted an additional 60 days under an exceptional circumstances provision. However, Nimesh Shah, the chief executive of an advisory firm, said, I've had a disproportionate number of calls from people wanting to leave the UAE in recent weeks. I've told them not to rely on exceptional circumstances, provisions from HMRC. I can't imagine HMRC are very sympathetic here.
Starting point is 00:53:37 Thank you, Namesha, for the best poor quotes, I think, from a Guardian article I've read recently. It's like, yeah, probably not thrilled about the idea of letting one of these guys come back and have like two, three months, you know? Yeah. So one very wealthy business owner told the Guardian he was spending time in Dublin until he could visit London after the 5th of April, saying, I'm happy to pay income tax on investments next tax year, but I don't want the sale. of a business I sold years ago to fall within UK capital gains tax. Again, why is it just because it's a while
Starting point is 00:54:07 ago? I'm being sort of doubly exiled, you know. I paid for my own travel home, by the way, he added. Thanks. Okay. Okay. All right. Fine. Did you see the one guy who like got on the plane to Dubai,
Starting point is 00:54:23 like literally yesterday, fell asleep on the plane, was like, expected to be waking up in Dubai only to find that the plane had turned around at the last second. spent 10 hours flying from Dublin to Dublin. Oh my. I mean, you know, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's the, it's that talks about how the shine has come off Dubai for people. It says, oh no. Yeah. That's terrible. Now Dubai faces an existential threat as the war between the US and Israel and Iran has shaged the
Starting point is 00:54:51 foundations of the Dubai dream that so many foreigners had bought into. My favorite, my favorite subspecies of these guy. The shine has definitely been taken off, said John Trudeinger, a British resident. of Dubai for 16 years whose head teacher at a school. He employs more than 100 teachers in the UK who say they've been so deeply traumatized and struggling to cope with the sudden arrival of war in Dubai that they've left and won't come back. That's a lot of PE teachers coming back to Britain. Listen, I have a favorite type of this guy.
Starting point is 00:55:17 And my favorite type of this guy is the person who is like, I can't live in London anymore because of the wave of Islamic violence and then moves to Dubai. to get potentially like killed by, I guess, Islamic violence, if you want to characterize it that way. And I mean, oh, God. What I have as well is there are so many people who are astonished by the fact that, hey, I move to this like absolute monarchy so it would control. It's no, they're coming so close to saying, hey, I wanted a law that protects me but binds the underclass. Yeah. Well, that that is the Dubai dream, right?
Starting point is 00:55:55 Like, for the same reason, there are people who will like say, with a straight face that they moved to Dubai from London to get away from Sharia law. Like, it's like, they're smart. That's smart, you know? Yeah, exactly. That is like, like, left, that, you know, how many levels of Britain are you on? I moved to, I moved to Dubai to get away from Sharia law. Perfect.
Starting point is 00:56:16 Or like, now people in the Emirates are being charged with cyber crimes for posting videos of missile strikes and being put in actual jail, not like, oh, the jet of jail you go to where the British consulate calls. And it's like, come on. I moved to Dubai from London because I was terrified by the kind of repression of free speech ever since, you know, they told me that I couldn't tweet about, you know, burning down microin hotels. Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:56:41 Yeah, and like 20 people have now been jailed under these laws. Yeah, because you don't have rights, right? Your rights are entirely contingent. And you were sold this idea that, like, you get to be like mensaheep, not so anymore. You do get to be on Mensaheep. I think that, you know, the kind of caste structure. in Dubai is the dream of Dubai, right? And I think that by flying a shahead into the petrochemical economy that underpins that
Starting point is 00:57:07 or even the hotel that is a symbol of that, it's sort of like, oh, wait, this is all built on like, this is not real. Like, this is all like a phantasm of just like capital just put into one place. I have another example here, which is one American who's lived in Kuwait for more than a decade described the Khafala permission to leave policy as a, quote, hostage system, which yeah, it is. It's just all of a sudden But I didn't expect to be the hostage.
Starting point is 00:57:31 Yeah. My maid is supposed to be the hostage, not me. In every case, it is, again, again, you're talking about self-deception, right? An inability to see the world critically because you don't want to because the concept of going to Dubai and being able to kind of own someone and, you know, being able to go to the P.F. Chang's that's beside the big beach. Like, that's a lot of fun for a certain type of asshole.
Starting point is 00:57:54 And so like to then be like, wait a minute. minute because I was sold in the idea that universal rights were inconvenient for me as a like sort of comfortable middle class person. I thought that meant that I was going to be on the other end of this. It's like, no, no, no, you just, you had permission for a while. And then the sort of relatively young country that's an absolute monarchy got scared and then is deciding just to shut it all down. Sorry. I think it's connected to the larger war in general. I mean, this is the same emotion as, wait a minute, we're bombing someone who can shoot back. Like, you don't wait, wait, my, my status here was temporary. Wait, I'm actually, like, even though I am higher than several rungs, I still
Starting point is 00:58:32 need an exit visa. Like, this is all the kind of same thing, which is just a world where basically, you know, whatever you want to call it, Western Anglo, U.S., kind of exceptionalism is taking just a huge punch to the jaw right now. And this is, this is actually the psychic shock of that. Like, you know, not, what do you mean my country isn't coming to get me? No, your country can't. The airports are all getting drone constantly and we're not flying into that. Like, there are people in countering the limits of that social power are kind of experiencing psychotic breaks. And considering how those people are fine. Especially if like you're in a place that sort of like somewhere like Dubai,
Starting point is 00:59:07 but just anywhere in like the Gulf of you're like a particular kind of like Western expat, immigrant with money, which is that like these places are basically designed to give you like a false sense of like higher status. Like you should be able to kind of do all this stuff. Because if you live in Dubai, you can basically pay your way into stuff and pay your way out of stuff as well. Like the whole point is to kind of create a simulation. in which you can sort of feel rich and you can feel powerful until the world kind of like
Starting point is 00:59:33 makes you realize that actually no, you are, you're not really as high as you thought you were, but you're also somewhere like at the bottom when it comes to being saved or being rescued or like even being kind of taken to safety. And I think that's like a difficult thing. The wider thing is also just, you know, to kind of try and wrap a lot of like points made in this episode together, which is that like the fictions that have kind of propped this world up and the things that we have been made to sort of accept the ways in which that we've had to sort of reconcile pretty evil things are now kind of coming home to Roost. And like, I think there are a lot of people who just don't really know how to navigate or deal with that. They
Starting point is 01:00:07 don't really know how to process their place in the world as it, as like the order that they was kind of told to believe in or that they were sort of made to believe in because it benefited them sort of begins to crumble. Getting, getting shocked out of the Matrix by Iranian Morpheus. Well, and they went to escape the Matrix and they escaped to the Matrix. Just not the way they thought. But, you know, is this not the way that DeAndry Tate course told me I'd be escaping the Matrix? Well, I have one more thing I want to read before we finish, which is, of course, the people in Dubai who we actually do care about.
Starting point is 01:00:37 So I'll go on here. The Fairmont Hotel located in Dubai's famed artificial Palm Tree Island, home to mega mansions, lavish hotels, and upmarket beach clubs is also dramatically hit. A taxi driver from Pakistan saw his car destroyed on the strike on the Fairmont after he parked it while he went to prey. He said, I'm the luckiest person in the world to have survived. but now my family are telling me to come home. I don't want to be in Dubai anymore.
Starting point is 01:00:58 There's no business. We're earning nothing since this war and I don't ever see tourism coming back, ever. A lot of the taxi drivers like me were thinking just go to a different country now. Everybody knows that Dubai is finished. I'm sure him being quoted with his full name is going to do him a lot of favors
Starting point is 01:01:12 as the sort of government decides, oh, what if we just like fucking repress everything? Yeah, so good job, Guardian. So anyway, this is, number one, I mean, the people who are least protected are still by the government are still people like this guy or like Nepalese laborers. And they're also able to vote. And it's not not vote in Dubai, but they're able to vote by being like, well, as soon as I can
Starting point is 01:01:35 leave, I'm going to leave. I'm not going to come back. And guess what? I'm not going to say to my cousin. Yeah, it sucks for it sucks, but you do get paid very well. And you can send money back home. It's like, no, of course, it's not fucking worth it. Right. This is all of these things are contributing to, I think what we're going to see is Dubai becoming almost like a neon like monument to hubris, essentially. You know, this idea that this kind of place, you know, this place of, I think, pure evil, not to be too hyperbolic about it, would be able to stand on the force of the belief of some of the most mendacious and corrupt and venal sort of forces in the entire world. And guess what? It couldn't, as it seems now, it won't be able to. Yeah. Two vast and trunkless indoor ski runs. No, I think that's it. And there's,
Starting point is 01:02:22 what's interesting is like, you know, this particular kind of whatever you want to call it, circuit of capital or world historical moment that's clearly ending, right, with whatever is going to realign in the Gulf. You know, the delusion of what Dubai is or was, it's actually kind of reminds me of like the way people would talk about Hong Kong or Singapore in the 70s or 80s of like, there's a special port city that's just, it's different and it's more vibrant. And it's like, well, no, it's just where all the money is right now. And that money can go elsewhere. I think the question is, where is it going to go? And how is it going to be delinked? from the oil coming out of the ground or can it?
Starting point is 01:02:54 Or is there a potential for some sort of the Dubai that survives, maybe not being a picturesque ruin, but being a much crueler, more diminished form of it of like this is just the oil reselling, sanctions evading, and money laundering place. Like no more, we're not creating any more weird chocolate variants. There's no more liboues. There's no more bottle service.
Starting point is 01:03:14 It is just petrochemical related crime. Like there's some kind of a new face to the Gulf that is like kind of a term. our mask getting ripped off. And I think that's probably like, I think if we want to say there's a theme to this episode, it is, as so many have been recently, seeing things for what they are.
Starting point is 01:03:32 And the reality of those things being what they are, coming into contact with other realities and things, not going well for people who just blithely believed in the mask for a long time. So any case, Joseph, I want to say thank you very much for coming on. It's always a delight to talk to you. Where can people find more of some stuff that you've done?
Starting point is 01:03:52 if they want to engage with more of it. Yeah, I've got some writing up. I hopefully have some writing coming out soon on kind of related topics. I'm at Twitter at Pinstrype Bungle. I'm around. Probably just around. I'm just around. I'm around.
Starting point is 01:04:06 I'm online. But yeah, always great to be on. You know, we're getting really, we're getting Persian with it today. It's, you know, Iandae Zabale be Farsi. That's trash future in Persian, which even sounds nice. And, yeah, always a pleasure. Yeah. Well, thanks for.
Starting point is 01:04:22 very much, everybody. Don't forget, we will have a bonus episode coming later this week. So do look out for that on the bonus feed. And also, I'm going to cross-promote another thing that November and I are doing. Are you in London on April 25th and 6th? Well, guess what? So are we and Maddie Lubchanski. We're doing three live shows of No Gods, No Mares. On April 25th, there's one, and there's two on April 26th. All three shows different, each of us leading one at a time. And I believe the ticket links would post it for that on the No Gods, No Mares episode. So if you do like that and you want to come to that, do come see us in late April. Anyway, we will see you all in a couple days. Bye, everyone.
Starting point is 01:04:59 Bye.

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