TRASHFUTURE - Pop! feat. @theemilyaccount
Episode Date: March 9, 2021Algorithm jockey and financial wizard Emily (@theemilyaccount) talks about how the Tech Boom, enabled as it was by overly restrictive monetary and fiscal policy, is starting to come apart at the seams.... Was it a bubble? Is it popping? Too early to say, but not too early to enjoy a little schadenfreude! We also explore the nature and role of ARKK, the actively managed ETF beloved by redditors, and hated by the rest of Wall Street for all the wrong reasons. Plus, Johannes Vonk and the Clogheads return with a new song recovered from the archives. If you want access to our Patreon bonus episodes and powerful Discord server, sign up here:Â https://www.patreon.com/trashfuture We support the London Renters Union, which helps people defeat their slumlords and avoid eviction. If you want to support them as well, you can here:Â https://londonrentersunion.org/donate Here's a central location to donate to bail funds across the US to help people held under America's utterly inhumane system:Â https://bailproject.org/?form=donate *WEB DESIGN ALERT*Â Tom Allen is a friend of the show (and the designer behind GYDS dot com). If you need web design help, reach out to him here:Â Â https://www.tomallen.media/ Trashfuture are: Riley (@raaleh), Milo (@Milo_Edwards), Hussein (@HKesvani), Nate (@inthesedeserts), and Alice (@AliceAvizandum)
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Welcome to BBC Indiana.
There's a long-standing tradition in British culture.
An entire generation of people believe that the TV licensing authority can determine if
you've paid your TV license or not using only a radar-equipped van.
But how did that van come into existence?
And can it really detect illegal TV reception?
The science is clear.
Emphatically no, you cannot.
But why did it lead to a profoundly bizarre moment in British music history?
In order to learn more, we traveled to London and spoke with record producer and music executive
Crispin Heismith, brother of famous British rock musician and Tory Peer, Sir Richard Heismith.
So what actually is a TV license?
Well, I know it sounds a bit crazy to you, Yanks, but what it basically is is a license
you have to pay to watch television.
It funds the BBC.
But as far as I understand it, there's no real authority for TV licensing inspectors
to gain entry to someone's home in order to determine whether they have or have not paid
their license.
Well, it's very British.
It basically functions on awkwardness.
They have no power to enter your home or to make you tell them whether you've got a TV
or not.
All they're hoping is if they come and say, we know you haven't got a TV license and we
think you've got a TV, you'll be embarrassed enough to pay up.
And so as far as I understand it, there was a song that was relatively popular in the
mid-1980s exactly to this effect about this relationship between television watcher and
TV license inspector.
It's a crazy story.
There were some people high up in the Thatcher government who thought in the mid-80s there
weren't enough people paying their TV license.
And they came up with this absolutely crackpot idea to get people to pay up, which was to
commission a popular pop song encouraging people via the threat of the radar detector
van that you had to pay up.
Now, the problem they had was finding a musician to do it.
Was it that people didn't want to cooperate with the government or that they thought the
idea was just too, I don't know, corny?
Exactly.
Yeah.
No one would touch it with a fucking barge pole.
And we're talking about people who are absolutely cane to the eyeballs on the finest Colombian
shit, but no one was touching the steaming turd that was the Thatcher government.
They went to every band in the UK.
I mean, they went to fucking culture club.
No one would touch it.
People 42 told them to go fuck themselves.
So then what did they do?
Well, they worked out that what they needed to do was get in some foreign ringers to scab
for the British music industry.
So at the time, there happened to be a very popular Dutch synth pop band over in the Netherlands.
And they thought, these fuckers don't speak English.
They've got no idea.
These guys, I'm shitting you not.
Johannes von Kloeghets recorded this track at the time none of them spoke English.
They learned the lyrics by rote.
They had no idea they were singing about the TV licensing authority.
It is my understanding that the Thatcher government told them that the song was about boot polish.
That band, Johannes von Kloeghets, have long since broken up.
But by chance, Jaap Ten Hoot, their former bassist, happens to live in the United Kingdom
and we spoke to him.
So Jaap, what was it that drew you to this song?
Yeah, it's a really fucking crazy story to be honest with you, because at the time,
the Kloeghets were just getting popular.
We couldn't believe the success that we were having across the world and in the UK in particular.
We released a song, Honkbaulhoof the Clash, all about the bass ball.
We never knew it would be this popular.
But then we get approached by the British government and we think, Jesus, this is big.
Okay, they tell us what they want to make a song.
They don't tell us really what the song is about.
At the time, we don't really speak English that well.
So they give us these lyrics.
We have to learn them.
We're singing something about Radar Van.
We don't know what the song is about.
We have no idea at all.
And we're just singing it and then suddenly it gets popular.
And then we find out that this song is about the TV license.
I don't understand what this is.
We don't have this in the Netherlands.
Why would you need a license for your television?
What for?
What are you watching?
Child pornography?
I don't know.
Excuse me?
Oh, I should clarify.
In the Netherlands, you do not need a TV license to watch child pornography.
By which, I mean, not pornography with children in it.
That would be disgusting.
I mean pornography for children, which is educational, because they have to learn.
Unfortunately, owing to some technical difficulties, we were no longer able to continue the interview.
However, to round out this segment, please enjoy the 1985 hit from Johannes von Kahn
the clog heads, Radar Van.
Excuse me?
Do you need to check if you have a television?
We're sitting in a radar van, we're on your streets, we're investigating if you watch
TV, we'd like to ask some questions of you over tea, but you don't have to let us in.
We're on your case, we're on your case, if you don't pay, pay your TV license.
We're on your case, we're on your case, if you watch the BBC, we'd like to ask some questions.
We're an independent body, not the BBC, our records show no license for that big TV.
It's shown up on our radar, don't you lie to me, but you don't have to let us in.
We're on your case, we're on your case, if you don't pay, pay your TV license.
We're on your case, we're on your case, if you watch the BBC, we'd like to ask some questions.
We're from the TV licensing authority, technically you don't have to let us in, no.
I want you to pay for your TV.
Do you think that all these shows just grow on trees?
You gotta pay, you gotta pay for your TV.
You gotta pay, you gotta pay.
We're on your case, we're on your case.
We're on your case, we're on your case.
Please let us in.
Hello and welcome back to this episode of Free TF, where...
Free TF?
No, they haven't learned that.
You didn't learn that.
Listeners, if you heard that and it excited you, un-excite yourself.
Yeah, purge that from the record.
That's a taster of what you can get on the bonus screen.
It has to be that, actually, people don't subscribe to the Patreon, don't even know that that's something we do on the bonus feed.
It is, because you do it on the free feed like three out of five times.
Yeah, because you forget which one you're doing.
Shit.
Idiot.
So, if anyone wants to replace Milo...
Do not email us.
Yes, that's right, do not get in contact.
Do not ever email me or tweet me.
It is myself, Riley, it is Milo, it is Alice.
And joining us to help us with another edition of TF Macro, which we'll be doing in the middle of the show, it is Citadel's very own, Emily.
Emily, how's it going?
How are you?
Very, very well, thanks.
Excited to get into some of this stuff today.
What the hell is TF Macro?
You've literally never explained that.
You just started doing it.
Yeah, you've just been saying it, but you've never actually said what you mean by it.
It's where we talk about the economy.
Oh, is that what it is?
Exactly.
That's real macro.
Yeah, absolutely.
We are getting into the micro foundations of TF.
Yeah, I was hoping it was going to be something a bit like Veltcro, but like a TF branded version.
Yeah, TF Macro.
Shoes you can take off and on easily if you're a child.
It's right onto your pubic hair.
It's great.
That's right.
May use you for carrying cheese or a packet of polish.
So, we have a few news items today.
Then a startup.
Then we're going to talk about the damn economy and then an article.
Another week of no UK Labour Party updates.
No real policy.
Not interested.
Aware more has happened.
None of is surprising.
Okay.
Instead, we're going to talk about what Riley has to say about it not being surprising,
but I would like to agree with him and say that he could go further and say that it is completely unsurprising.
So, instead, what we're going to do is talk about something that is about as important
and significant as anything the Labour Party does, which is Dr. Seuss is no longer being
taught at woke universities.
Finally got Dr. Seuss.
I was just about to get my degree in advanced Seuss studies.
He'd already hit the glass ceiling.
You're never going to become Professor Seuss.
You're stuck at Doctor.
Yeah, he's reader Seuss.
They have to do him like this.
Assistant lecturer Seuss.
Emily, have you seen sort of the...
Are you familiar with Dr. Seuss?
Do you find that he comes up often at Citadel?
Yeah, we're constantly talking to Dr. Seuss.
Yeah, that's right.
I speak for the HFTs.
Buy Green Eggs, sell ham.
Yeah, that's right.
It's very funny to me, though, that this is going to be a bit of a feature of the show.
We're going to start selling Dr. Seuss NFTs on there.
Yeah, so what it seems to be is that
every sort of conservative trigger the lids talking head in America
has decided to be like, actually, I love Dr. Seuss.
Yeah, that's right.
I feel like it's been a while since we've seen something like that.
We're going back to silly season, which is good,
because we had actual insurrection for a while,
and now we're back to this, which is very fun.
I would argue this is more severe.
Yeah, that's right.
Mr. Potato Head was kind of like a little flavor of this,
and now we're into the meat.
Now we're into, I am reading...
Don't fucking dead name Potato Head on this podcast.
That's right.
The main consistency here is that
it seems like the main conservative thing seems to be like,
I'm going to show how much I love reading books for children
and playing with toys for babies,
and it makes the liberals furious.
There's two kinds of this outrage, right?
There's like getting mad at something for children,
or there's taking something that you own that works
and throwing it in the trash,
because my coffee machine company
tweeted that Black Lives Matter,
so I'm throwing the curry out of a fifth-story window.
Which is something a child would do.
Yeah, absolutely.
I have to defenestrate my coffee maker.
Actually, I think this does infuriate the liberals
because the liberals are obsessed with
just different kinds of children's toys.
There is definitely like,
what I've realized is that whenever a conservative
gets furious about the woke left,
there is a liberal somewhere
doing exactly what they're imagining.
Like, there is somewhere in America,
there is a liberal mom who's like burning
all of the Dr. Seuss books and like
replacing them with like white privilege
or whatever that fucking gumball is called.
The idea of what's going on is like,
well, we're canceling Dr. Seuss shit.
Alright, that's right.
And the liberals love different things for children.
They love Harry Potter, conservatives love Dr. Seuss.
Tomato, tomato, pit mooks, potato.
This is the dumbest front of our culture war yet.
And I love it.
Are you sure that the next thing
isn't the dumbest front of our culture war yet?
I said yes.
You say potato, I say do you want to put an X
in that, let's call the whole thing off.
Conservatives also outraged that
they can no longer jacket to Lola Bunny.
Again, in a children's movie.
Why are these people obsessed
with products for children?
I don't understand why the liberals
want to get into my bedroom all of a sudden.
I found absolutely
every level of the Lola Bunny thing
I found upset.
First of all, the people were mad about it.
But primarily what got to me later
was that A, that Lola Bunny
was slightly horny looking in the first place.
And B, that despite the fact
that it was kind of ambiguously horny looking,
they sort of made her less
horny looking thereby admitting
they deliberately made her horny looking
in the first place.
The whole thing I'm just like, what the
what the fuck is going on?
It's been down here since Jessica Rabbit.
And then the human pet guy said he'd fuck her.
Did you see, apparently
the post everyone was using
about Lola Bunny, it was from an actual hentai.
They were like this is what they took from us
and it was like a sexualized actual hentai.
This is an actual example of
misinformation in the media.
And we need to like root out these
sources of fake news.
Did you see
Snopes this week has just been like
yeah, no, we're just going to say that stuff
is a mixture of true and false when it's
true, but it embarrasses us.
Yeah, Snopes here now
basically
Snopes is just a version
of the society of the spectacle for people
who desperately need working samples.
The website that you would go to
when you were like in year
10 and you wanted to know whether or not
it was true that one time a guy
fucked a horse and the horse fucked him so hard
he died. Did that really happen
or not is now like, well, you have
to put Kristen Sinema's
weird sort of the thumbs
down gesture in context.
Yeah, that's right. I think that's cool.
I think I think all
of that is great.
Certainly America has a
vital and forward moving
culture that is going to produce a lot of great
shit from here from here on out
and the UK is
absolutely not in the same boat as that
horse, which we'll be getting
to a little bit later, but I just wanted to
acknowledge the continued
proof of my main thesis that
basically it seems like
all of the cultural wars are
not fucking like clap myself on the back
too much, but what I really wanted to do
here was say that
once again, I have never been wrong
about anything history has vindicated
me. Yes, again.
History continues to vindicate my position
history is a long process
of vindicating us.
Yes, it vindicates my position that
conservatives just absolutely
cannot get over how much
they love children's media entertainment
toys, etc. But
because they are everything that they
experience their entire life filters the prism of
fury that they cannot enter
they must interact with Mr. Potato Head
or Mixed Potato Head, but they cannot
do so except by like
seeing their
culture as attacked by
again these children's toys. It's also very funny
that very few of them like A. have
children and also B.
They're all both liberal and conservatives
lamenting
the lowering birth rate, right?
Because like nobody else
wants to have children that I can argue
about what kind of books they'll
consume because merely because
we've made it impossible for them to do that.
I have every single
Mr. Man book that I have combed
for anti-white identity politics.
That's right.
All right. Let's
talk about Startup.
Startup is of course called Starship.
Yeah.
We built this city.
That's right. It's the bit. That's thank you. It is Starship.
It is Jefferson Airplane
whatever. Yeah.
That's good bit.
It literally were a thing.
Yeah, I thought so.
No, Jefferson Airplane
changed their name to Jefferson Starship
or maybe that was the Simpsons joke.
History has vindicated me yet again.
This is what people
get love to listen to on a podcast
is three comedians
half remembering a joke
from an earliest sitcom
and debate. If only we had Snopes for this.
Yes.
Tell me if it's a mixture of truth
and falsity. Emily,
the startup is called Starship
and I'll even give you the first line of their ad copy.
It promises a new kind of business.
What do you think they do?
I have no idea.
I assume they're not an actual Starship.
No, that would be a correct assumption.
No, that would be useful to someone.
Jefferson Starship were a real band.
Fuck you. I was right.
History has vindicated me specifically.
They are separate from the band Starship.
Yes.
A new kind of business. What do you think it is?
Oh, I don't know.
We're doing prison abolition by loading people
into rockets and then we're firing
those rockets into the sun or possibly
onto like off-world mining colonies.
Starship's blank.
Move at pedestrian speed.
For a second, I thought you were going to fucking be like
you actually got it.
It's a delivery drone, isn't it?
Yep. Milo got it, Emily,
from your groan. I think you might have sussed it
during that sentence as well.
Is it going to look like a tiny little version
of the Planet Express ship from Futurama?
No.
It is very much like sleek.
It looks like it was designed by Joni Ive
in 2008.
Basically, it is a sleek white plastic
jobby.
They're inherently safe.
They're inherently safe.
It's fundamental to the nature of them that they're safe.
They could not be unsafe.
Safety third.
They promise a revolution in local delivery.
We believe our robots
will revolutionize food and package deliveries.
An industry
begging to be revolutionized.
Offering people convenient new services that improve
everyday life.
Like not trying to unionize.
Yeah, absolutely.
So it was a company that was launched in 2014.
So your everyday life should already
have been thoroughly disrupted by them.
That's quite old.
They've revolutionized an entire industry.
Older than this podcast.
They say it operates in several cities around
the world, including Milton Keynes.
That's no city.
Point one.
So
the self-driving delivery robot.
They say Starship robots are advanced devices
that can carry items within a four mile radius.
Our delivery platform enables
instant delivery, parcels, groceries
and food and so on.
Now, you have to request that
via a mobile app.
Well, that's one of the whole other things, right?
Yeah.
It's going to be an issue at Milton Keynes.
Absolutely.
So you basically, you can order this thing.
You go on to the little app and you're like,
I'd like some San Pellegrino please.
Beep, beep, beep.
Beep Boop. Starship, please.
Pick that up for me from the Big Tesco.
And then the little sort of
Apple MacBook looking robot rumbles up to the Big Tesco.
It opens up.
A service worker places the San Pellegrino
and it closes it and then it makes
the four mile an hour journey to your house.
Cool.
Hey, but it has an operating radius of four miles.
So you don't have to be waiting an hour
for, well, minus traffic.
You don't have to be waiting an hour
for your San Pellegrino.
I presume they go on the pavement, do they?
Oh, they very much do.
And one of the reasons that I wanted
stuck in traffic behind the four mile
an hour delivery robot.
Well, one of the reasons I wanted
to talk about this actually,
so I'll sort of go sort of in various
orders, is that cities
around mostly the U.S.
so far, but I think this is going to probably filter
out the rest of the world, just like
happened with the auto industry's takeover
of the roads in the early 20th century,
which used to be mixed used
spaces that weren't just for people driving cars.
Coming for the pavements now.
They are. They have, these robots
have now been given the same legal rights
as pedestrians in Philadelphia.
Which is to say none.
That's not very many rights.
Yeah.
Yeah. So they said this is
right. So and basically all
and all of these different companies all
have robots that work to different standards,
many of which are operating in the same cities
and competing with one another for a space on the pavement.
Awesome. It's like the beginning.
It's like early railroads. It's cool.
Oh, that's going to be ruled this out
in Philadelphia.
Yes, indeed. No one learned
the lesson from Hitchcock.
Yeah, I'm going to say like your
model of San Pellegrino is not making
that four miles.
Oh, don't worry because...
It's been made an example of much
faster than that.
Well, part of it having the same legal rights
as pedestrians is that if you like
kick or nudge the robot and it's
determined that you are a threat, it will contact
the police.
It will unveil a fucking M134.
Riley, do you know about Hitchcock?
No. What's going on with Hitchcock?
Emily, do you want to
explain Hitchcock?
I don't remember
the exact story, but I remember it was
someone built some sort of self-propelled
walking around robot and it was being
hitchhiked around to various cities in the world.
Yeah, they were trying to get it.
I think they were trying to get it from one side of the U.S.
to the other and it had like signs on it.
Like, please help me. I'm Hitchcock.
Please help me get to this other place.
Yeah, exactly.
I got a bus.
I got to get back to Japan.
So, Hitchcock.
I think it made it all the way.
Did it make it from California to
Philadelphia? I think it might have done.
Yeah.
In any event, it made it to Philadelphia
and someone immediately killed it.
Now, I want to read you
the headline for this, which is
Hitchcock, hitchhiking robot
gets beheaded in
Philadelphia.
No, Philadelphia or ISIS.
He was a Canadian robot.
A cheerful hitchhiking robot
who had crossed Canada,
the Netherlands, and Germany
came
to the U.S.
and it got beheaded
ISIS style in Philadelphia.
Hitchcock was quoted as saying,
ah, fuck bot.
So, effectively, what we're saying is that
what we have now is a version
of Hitchcock that works for a platform
in Estonia.
And it can call the cops.
It will call the police on you.
Oh, watch your company in Estonia.
So, it's got a little MP40 in there.
It was founded by the Skype guys
who they went on to found this company.
Right.
And I love that these companies that claim
that they're going to disrupt everything,
but they've been sort of trying to like
roll out their stupid,
you know, their little Guga
for like seven years.
But they're trying to make it work anyway.
Well, it's sort of one of these things, right,
where it exists if you assume that like
the pavements are just like self-driving cars.
It exists if you assume that pavements are empty,
that signage is completely
clear and easy to understand,
that curbs are level, and that people will
sort of
flow around it.
I keep reading new details about Hitchcock.
And let me read you
very quickly one section
of The Guardian's Rise up on this.
It was last seen with
Jesse Wellens and Ed Basemaster,
two popular YouTube pranksters
who took the robot for a drive around
Philadelphia.
Zella said the pair had dropped Hitchcock off
at the side of the road as travel companions
were advised to do so that the next person
could offer him a ride.
Sadly, that ride would never come.
Hitchcock was
attacked between six and seven a.m.
Basemaster denied any involvement
and it then embeds a tweet from
Ed Basemaster, which simply
reads, I would never harm a
robot, so please stop asking
if I did.
Well, and then that's something we could all learn.
That's the Basemaster promise.
But we are sharing what used to be
a human-only space
with a bunch of delivery droids
from competing platforms. Human-only spaces.
I'm a turf, but for humans.
I don't know robots in here.
Ed Basemaster is like our Sarah Connell.
We got to go back in time
and like get him to like
be like, no, you have to kill this robot a little
or you have to do a Poughkeepsie tapes
to this robot a little earlier.
I'm really interested in the
fact that they have the same legal rights
as humans on the pavement. And I'm very excited
for the inevitable. When this gets rolled out
in New York, like the two competing
Guido delivery robots that are like trying
to get past each other on the pavement, but it's not
wide enough. They're like, hey, fuck you, pal.
I got the same rights.
Giant flappy arms.
They just have regional accents.
Absolutely.
What I find really interesting about this
is basically
the roads
have effectively been privatized
by automakers
and oil companies.
J-Walking is an imaginary crime.
All crimes are imaginary, but
J-Walking is especially imaginary.
It is the direct result of lobbying
by car companies because people would
keep getting hit by cars and suing car owners
which made owning a car just expensive.
Yeah, they had to create the criminal
offense of J-Walking.
Yeah.
It seems like walking
on a pavement and inconveniencing
again, one of dozens
of little coolers on wheels
just zipping around you will very soon
become also a criminal offense.
Or at least that's what they seem to be
lobbying for.
Yeah, it's very cool.
I think that's so indicative.
If you don't have a car, stay home.
Yeah, absolutely.
Pretend it's the pandemic forever.
Yeah, absolutely.
This was
raised to me basically by
a friend of the show and host of
Tech Won't Save Us podcast, Paris Marks
where he says basically
automobiles generally
made this case for increased policing
overall to keep pedestrians in check.
The companies
having this ability to call the police
just means that the laws criminalizing
walking on the pavement
or sidewalk if you're American will follow.
Yeah, also probably the cops are going to
start using them also.
To cut police numbers.
No, you just like you call the cops
and instead of a cop
you get like a starship with a taser on it.
Is there going to be a starship department
in every police department around the world?
Yeah, they're going to be like fucking dogs.
They're going to have like a K9 squad car
and they let the starship out of the back of it.
So because this is a
self-driving, you know,
bullshit bit of technology, right?
Do you want to guess how long it took me
to searching through their website
to find the little
asterisk bit
that says
instantly? Yeah, well I knew where to go.
I knew to go to the FAQ
and did you know that there are going to be
people who in case the starship
gets lost or runs across someone
that has a hard time navigating around
will be able to take control
of the starship manual thing.
So-called Blade Runners.
That's right.
So yeah, who shocked to learn
that an autonomous delivery drone
actually does have some element
of a human pilot?
It's just a guy.
It's a guy. It's a guy.
It's a little man. There's a little man in the starship
and he's pedaling it like a bicycle.
So before I move on,
I'll throw to you, Emily, what's your overall
thought on this?
I think we could do more.
I think we could disrupt the service worker
that puts the things in the little robot.
That's an industry that's very right for disruption.
As well as I should be able
to get my own little starship.
That's right. You know, that looks like
the Millennium Falcon or something.
That would do really well with nerds.
That would do.
We could just reverse engineer
the plot of the movie
Surrogates,
the terrible, terrible film Surrogates
with Bruce Willis.
No, I think Philadelphia
has once again, as in so many things,
shown us the way.
And that way is community-based
decapitation.
Community-based robot destruction.
Yeah, how do you decapitate a box on wheels?
Philadelphia will find a way.
It's a city in the world.
Oh, my.
So, yeah, I think that is
such a
such a portent,
such a horrible
portent of things
that are coming.
Did you open up the starship
that delivers to students just a bunch of bird entrails?
Oh, no.
How do you prevent people from stealing
the stuff from your starship when it's on the way
24 miles an hour?
Well, that is an interesting question, Emily.
I have an answer for that.
It's that you need to have a mobile app
in an authenticated order to unlock it.
Or a hammer.
No, but then the police will come.
Yeah.
Yeah, the police starship will show up.
Yeah, they're going to really prioritize
the someone stole my San Pellegrino course.
I think it probably depends what part of town
it gets stolen.
And to be honest, whether or not the police prioritize that.
So what but what has happened, right?
Is lots of people, there are reports of people
having like ordered ice cream or whatever
and then their internet goes out.
So there's just this little robot sitting
with melting ice cream in it that they can't access.
I do have some good news, though.
And this is like some breaking news
hot off the ticket here.
Dead billionaire. We got a dead billionaire.
Everyone.
Olivier Dassault, the French arms
sort of arms magnate
and MP has died in a helicopter crash.
Oh.
Helicopters were so safe.
Yeah.
Also, when they when when e-VTOL
electric drones
start proliferating like I assumed the SPAC
pricing suggested they would
that's going to happen like all the time.
Oh, yeah.
Every billionaire dies within an hour.
It's going to be a mass act of class
aside perpetrated entirely
by stupid electronic vehicle companies.
That's great.
I'm all in favor.
Right.
So RIP to him pouring one out for that guy.
Yeah.
You think an arms manufacturer could source
a reliable helicopter, but apparently not.
No, I guess not.
So don't buy any weapons from his company.
That would be my advice.
You want to make sure you go to a barber
with a good haircut.
You don't want to have sideburns being uneven.
This is no Dassault helicopters.
It's like Wiley Coyote
and SMF just like the gun that blows up
in your own face.
Anyway, so last last little bit
of Starship, they made the news
last year in
summer 2020 because they kept getting
stuck in canals and water.
They would get stuck in canals and Milton Keynes.
Very funny to me.
I mean, I know I'm fibrous.
No, I'm afraid. They're not even flying.
We've talked about so many flying food delivery
drones on here where they're
like they're sort of enclosing
a new area of the city that didn't have
like people using that much
of it, like the air.
It makes more sense.
They're sort of enclosing an area that people are using.
So it felt worth sort of bringing back.
Do you want to be killed
by a bottle of San Pellegrino that's like
dropped on you from a failing flying drone?
Or do you want to get like your shin
bruised when one of these runs into it?
And then of course get tased
by the police.
For the crime of obstructing
a starship, you have
sentenced to being tased.
This is much like the time I had to be
the translator at the
Russian Robotics
Exposition thing where they were trying to
claim that Russian self-driving cars
had the most advanced technology in the
world and this self-driving car was
about the size of one of these delivery things
and literally I had to
be on stage doing this talk thing
three times and all three
times the self-driving car ran
me over while I was giving this speech
about what advanced technology it had.
It drives exactly like a Russian.
They nailed it. Exactly. Well, this was the
fucking kicker because then I found out
that the self-driving car wasn't self-driving
at all and there was a guy backstage
with a fucking remote control doing it
and the fucker was running me over.
It's just a guy, always.
So wait, are we saying that Russian self-driving cars
when you were doing this are at about the
level of sophistication as
every self-driving car that currently exists?
Yeah. Yeah, more or less. Just much smaller.
Yeah, it's just a guy. So therefore less
likely to kill you and in that respect, better.
Yeah, that's right. So every
self-driving Lada in the works.
Anyway, these already have
there are 10 states in the US
that have specific laws
granting
the star basically drones
such as those of Starships
rights. Of course.
Man, remember when like you could
get a little quadcopter for very little money
and it suddenly became illegal
to fly one anywhere because
you would ram it into an aircraft or something.
Well, not if you're
not if you're delivering someone San Pellegrino.
That's right.
Anyway, so
that Starship I very much enjoyed
learning about that silly bullshit.
So moving a little bit on,
I want to ask the question
so this is aimed slightly at Emily.
Where did all the infinite stock market
growth go?
We took it for the most part.
The free money went away a little bit.
The money got slightly more expensive.
But wait, what about Spencer
Confidential 2?
Stocks always go up. We'll eventually see
Spencer Confidential 2.
They're running my ass for these jokes
for Spencer Confidential 2. I'm trying to tell them.
They weren't any fucking jokes for Spencer Confidential 1.
They're trying to...
I asked for a raise, but they said
that 10-year treasury bills had gone up
by 50 basis points and I now have to work for free.
Mark Wahlberg now has to work on an
internship basis for Netflix.
I was engineered to dance next to a Honda Civic.
What the fuck do I know about wise crackin' Boston guys?
So we're going to go into this, right?
And also, sort of disclaimer up front,
as fun as it is to joke around
about the ludicrous state of our stupid economy.
Also, disclaimer up front, right?
As fun as it is to joke around about the ludicrous state
of our economy and as emotionally satisfying
as it is to see all of these...
Good disclaimer. I'm glad it ends there.
Yeah.
All of these charlatans businesses
sort of, you know, go run into
difficulty, let's say.
It is irresponsible and premature to gloat
about a bubble popping.
But on the other hand,
if a small rise
in the price of US government bonds
is enough to shock,
enough of a shock
to, like, cast the
viability of this, like, infinite
growth, no revenue really needed ever.
It just, the asset price just continues
to take up. Yeah. Well, like, genuinely,
I don't think we need the disclaimer because this
just situates us once again in the realm
of history continues to vindicate us.
It's a big vindicating
ass machine. We fucking told
you so.
But because, like, it seems like
the whole bet, right,
on sort of the continued
existence of the
economy as it has been set up
in Anglo-America, was that
we're going to innovate, we're going to incubate
all of these hyper-innovative businesses that
are going to transform it the way we live
and interact with the sidewalk and...
Caramel waffles. Yeah, or whatever, right?
Yeah. And that it doesn't matter if
they don't make any money because they're all going to become
these big dominant monopolists. And Tesla
is still, like, you know, mostly
a carbon credit trading company.
It doesn't matter. They're going to be the car of
the future, whatever. If the whole
economic model
is, like, sort of rattled that
much by such a small
change, then how strong was
that promise anyway?
Right. Yeah. I can't believe that
Meghan Markle would do this to the economy.
So,
what are we to make of this,
let's say,
significant downward tick
in the value of these companies?
Yeah. I mean, stuff is
getting smaller, but I think in the same
way that everyone just fails up once you've made it
past a certain point, like, no one will
actually get hurt from this that was making
any money from it. One of the things that
people like to talk about often with this, right,
is the relationship between
the price of
you know, the price of
these very flashy
market, have well-marketed stocks,
whether meme or otherwise,
and again, that are predicated
on this sort of technological business model.
They like to... The epic bacon stocks.
Yeah. They like to say this is, like, connected
to the zero, the forever policy
of zero interest rate free money all the time.
So, what happened?
So, a few days ago, though, and again, sort of
looking at you, Emily, the US
government debt yield
went up a little bit.
Yeah. Everyone is very concerned
about their risk now. We are all of a sudden
worried about inflation again. We're very
worried about risk all the time, I suppose,
because I guess, you know, if you can't
get free money, it's not worth investing at all.
With the free money, right,
it's the idea as well. I've put
as much as I can in, like, you know, this
zero return asset or whatever,
or even if I put any in it, because it just
basically keeps it safe or even gets eroded
by inflation if I expect inflation.
And then I'm going to put the rest into, like,
these moonshot bids where
you know, almost, you know, it's a EV
all-taxi or some dumb shit like that
on the basis that, well,
I'm going to put 100 million in and
if it does a Facebook, then I'm going to become
like a fucking trillionaire or whatever,
right? But
then once for, once
people start to get a little bit worried about
inflation, they're
sort of more reticent to buy US government debt,
the interest rate that that pays goes up,
and suddenly I can just get
1.6% or whatever,
completely risk-free,
totally risk-free. So I'm like, well,
I should, I'm going to put a little bit more of my money
in that, in that thing.
And I'm not going to, you know,
put as much, I'm not going to, like, take my 100
million of free money and just put it all on
black because I can just go get more
if it doesn't, or whatever.
And there's another thing that it does, right?
Which is if you're Netflix and you're like,
well, got a borrow to make Spencer confidential
too, suddenly
it matters if what you, it matters a little
more of what you make is good because
the money you're borrowing to make Spencer confidential
too, isn't free.
Good job, Spencer confidential one was great.
Yeah, but I hate when stuff, like, the quality
of stuff matters.
I was in shock, where is King Arthur
2 now, you know?
Well, I don't want us, like,
overstate the importance of, like,
this one number to, like,
defining everything else in society because
there are a bunch of guys on Twitter who do
this and they're all weirdos.
But what it does
do is it just, it does make, like,
it does make the bullshit
economy a little bit
more difficult on a day-to-day basis.
I think there's probably,
I think there's a lot of people are looking
for, like, a sort of downturn in the future,
right? Like, as much as everyone's, like,
super euphoric about everything going up all the time,
I think people are more and more realizing they're like,
well, this is actually kind of fake.
And so now, you know,
people are like, maybe this has to
end soon? I don't know, 2026
when the Fed funds rate rises from zero
again. It seems like a place
we'll never be in anyway. So I don't know
why anyone's worried.
Time's never going to advance to 2028.
That's right.
The time we get there, they'll just lower the rate again.
Yeah, that's right. We're already back
in 2006. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Right, so I think there's
another thing about this as well, right? And this is
sort of, think about this as a mirror image
of the conversation we had with Joe Weisenthal
a few months ago, where we talked
about like the root of all of this
or one of the roots of all
of this is inequality, because if people
have money to spend, the way
you make money is by asset price inflation.
But one of the things that has happened, right,
is, and again, this
is sort of speculation, but
that the COVID stimulus bill,
one of the things it does is it does put a lot of money
in people's pockets. And
that means that people are going to be spending that money
on stuff. You can kind of make money
from selling stuff to people.
And I'm always very wary
of trying to say, well, this one thing
means this one other thing, and they have a very simple
relationship of people have more money
individually. That means that Netflix
doesn't make Spencer confidential too,
right? But I think, you know, as I
understand it, these things are sort of
linked in a very sort of complex
and sort of abstract way.
The big money lever
is somehow linked through like
inexplicable piece of like
clockwork gearing to the big
spend number of Spencer confidential
movies gauge.
Yeah, the actual reason they can't make
Spencer confidential too is because Boston
Asimov got decapitated on his holiday
for the Delphia.
And I think you can't talk
about, right, the
sort of, let's say, stumbling in the tech
economy. And also, Emily, I think what you said
earlier is very important, right, that none
of the people who've gotten rich from this already
are ever going to not be rich ever
in their entire lives. Yeah, you
can't fail anymore
after a certain point. Like Shemath,
who we've sort of been talking about more and more
on this show, he's like, yeah, I sold
off all my stakes and all my SPACs.
So Virgin Galactic, he sold
off all his holdings. He's made hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars.
Even after SPACs started
taking a bath a couple of days ago,
he's
and the people left holding the bag
wouldn't, you know
it, are the people who are like, well,
this economy can only go up
and those people are mainly like
Redditors.
And, you know, retail
again, retail Redditors, who knows, like, I don't
know what pick of a percentage of the market they are, but
you know, that's dumb money,
the smart money, yeah, the smart money
has gotten out or is getting
out at scenes and
then, you know, a lot of people are holding the bag.
It's hard to feel bad for Redditors, though.
Yeah, that is true.
What would they have spent it on like
Mound and Do and gaming PCs that
light up? Funko Pops.
Oh, yeah, Funko Pops.
Well, no, if they spend it on Funko Pops,
you know what store you buy those in, mainly.
GameStop. That's right, GameStop.
So maybe
this is how we're going to get it going.
We're going to have to, like, pump up
all of the Redditors, like,
ARK purchases. What about a Funko Pop of the Stonks guy?
That's right.
So, if you want
to talk about this, like,
the poster child in terms of companies
for this style of the economy
and one that has taken a real fucking
beating in the last couple of weeks
is Tesla, right?
And if you want to talk about, like,
Tesla's relationship with Wall Street,
how it's gotten bit up to this
crazy level, despite
not really making cars,
and how, like...
Making cars is for suckers, okay?
Every car company in the history of cars
has been making cars and look where it got them.
So, you guys are in the past.
Yeah, that's right.
But if you want to talk about how this interacts,
I think, with, like,
the financial markets in general,
then you can't escape talking about ARK.
And if you want a diversified investment
across Tesla, Roku,
Shopify, Spotify,
two animals of every kind from them,
other firms that have never made
money and
aren't certainly vulnerable to suffer
from the same kinds of shocks as well.
Like doing a CDO, but for the stock market.
Like, what if you...
What if instead of investing in one shitty company,
you invested in every shitty company?
Well, do I have a fund for you?
Have you considered the ARK Innovation Fund, Milo?
Because
it's a well-diversified bunch
of equities that all
go into complete panic
when the treasury
base rate rises a little bit.
Oh, that's good.
Yeah, it's important to have one of those, I think.
So, ARK is an ETF.
They offer a lot of ETFs.
The notable one is
the ARK Innovation Fund,
which is just the worst-named thing of all time.
It's essentially just
a basket of stocks, right?
So, instead of buying all of these individual securities,
you can buy
a share of ARK, the Innovation Fund,
and you will get
sort of exposure to these
securities that are weighted in such a way
by Cathie Wood, completely randomly.
However she's selling that day.
Wow, epic, though.
So, basically, if you remember,
we talked about BlackRock a few months ago as well
with George Perks.
BlackRock is a lot of their, not all of them,
but a lot of their ETFs, their most popular ones,
the ones they're most sort of famous for.
It's like, if you just want to buy
every stock and you don't want to have to buy
every stock individually. One of everything, please.
Yeah, excuse me.
Mix it all together in a big jug.
Like you walk into the stock market
and you want to do the stock market challenge,
where like, if you finish every stock,
you get them for free.
It's omakase, but for stocks.
Exactly. That is specifically
for Quantian.
Yes.
So, whereas ARK,
what they do is they're like,
as you said, Emily, they'll go out and they'll pick
the stocks that are most exciting.
And they've been doing this since about 2014.
And because they've been doing this since about
2014, right, this ETF,
which is worth about 21.5 billion,
I think that's just
the innovation front. I think others are worth different
amounts. There are several. There's ARK innovation.
There's ARK genomic health care.
Tesla's in all of them for some reason.
Or at least
in more than one, which is just great.
So, it's down
23% for its February
high, but it's made like,
I don't know, it's made hundreds
of percent if you invested towards the beginning,
obviously, it's massively beaten the rest of the market.
Because if you remember, all of
that fake money has just been pouring into
these stupid tulip companies.
Great. Yeah.
I like to invest in a broad
diversified basket of
different tulip companies. Because what?
You're telling me that all the tulip companies
are going to go bust? What? You're telling me
that every company that's working in
the South Sea is going to go bust?
Well, maybe one or two, but come on,
once one company in the South Sea goes bust,
that's less competition for the other South Sea
companies. I don't think they'll go, as Emily
said earlier, I don't think they'll go bust.
But certainly, they have been
bid up to insane values on the basis
that the free money party just carries on
forever, right? Yeah.
Bidding ridiculous amounts
on Netflix to make Spencer
Confidential 2 through 14.
And a lot
of people, and the thing is, it's
very popular with like,
Redditors and Robinhood types who are all
getting these stocks on the basis
of payment for order flow.
So, a concept that has been
explained, and one might
say, criticized on this podcast
by us, other
finance Twitter people, but Emily,
you would like to offer a defense of payment for order
flow? I'm
disgracing myself right now, but yeah, I think
that the PFOP thing specifically was
very overblown.
So, you're
a retail investor, right? You want to buy,
you went on Reddit, you have a bunch of crypto
money that you got, and you want to buy some
stocks. You
want to buy a couple shares of Tesla. You don't
really care if you're paying
$100 or $100 and five
cents, you're not terribly price sensitive, right?
So,
normally when you send an order to a stock exchange, you pay
a commission for your broker, because your broker is doing
a thing for you, you pay them for it. Now,
what Robinhood realized is that
they could avoid that commission entirely
by
selling the order flow
to your market makers. And the reason market makers
like that order flow is because it's very
uninformed, right? So,
your main risk as a market maker is
flow
that's unidirectional, right? Like, you don't want to
get run over in one direction, because
you'd like to end the day even if you could.
And so, what
PFOP allows these firms to do
is just, I don't know, is to fill
your order
internally with your own internal inventory.
And from the perspective
of your average, like Robinhood, retail
investor, you end up with a slightly better price
and no commission trading.
I was going to say, so basically,
everyone who said,
who has been crowing about payment for order flow
is unfair, it's another
situation of the man stepping
on the toes
of and screwing over retail investors.
Again, the problem is not
the specific technical thing, it's the
relationship of power.
Yet again, the problems
are political.
Who would have thunk it?
Could we have imagined here
that the problems would fundamentally be
about, like, political ones about the
distribution of power? No hair on the
Good Future podcast. Absolutely
not.
Anyway, so people, like, love to
basically love to buy
these ARC funds
and they love to do it on platforms
like Robinhood or Trading212 or whatever.
And
it's this
active thing. It has been suffering
a bit again because, like,
one number changed a bit.
And what I find really
interesting, one of the things I find very interesting
about this, right, is that, you know, we say,
yeah, it's got all of these, all these things
that Wall
Street kind of hates ARC
for sort of a different reason.
Oh, is it going to be a good reason?
Do you think it is going to be a good reason?
It's an even worse reason.
Because, yo, you're invested in the stock market.
Why? Because you want to hang out with some dudes?
Well, it's the opposite, in fact.
Because
there is a lot of derision of this.
Again, fund that
is basically built on the very
correct idea, right,
that a lot of the economy
is fake and marketing and they do,
they're always on CNBC.
A lot of the economy is fake and
they've made tons of money on the premise
now, whether they, I don't think they're even
cynical. I think they truly believe like Tesla is going
to fundamentally change the world with the 10 cars
it makes a year.
You can genuinely invest in magic.
Has anyone else put a car in space? No.
Checkmate, Libs.
A lot of the hate on Wall Street
for ARC is actually
just that Kathy Wood is
a female and a lot of her
portfolio managers didn't attend
Ivy League schools and work at
like, you know, 120 hour weeks at
rim buy side jobs. Well, to be fair, that is
interesting. So I
understand that. Yeah. So it's deeply
revolting that they would be allowed to get near
money without having played lacrosse at many
private institutions and then
rearranging logos and PowerPoint slides
for many thousands of hours.
So it's like, we've forgotten how to do
anything other than just like trade
Tulips back and forth. Yeah, but you have
to have gone to Tulip school. Yeah.
They're like, oh, they didn't go to Tulip.
They didn't go to the, they didn't get
credentialized well enough at Tulip school
to be trading Tulips back and forth.
Exactly. You can't get a Tulip state.
Yeah. So what do you know?
What are you going to trade the Tulip wrong? Yeah.
Exactly. What if you don't
get the right amount of guilders
for this beautiful fractally
patterned Tulip? Yeah.
I went to University Tulip
in Groeningen. Yeah, that's right.
Yeah. It's very funny that like people
are mad at like this, this sort
of type of business, this type
of business again is not falling apart, but
the luster is certainly coming off of it,
especially because the government's being like, we're not going
to... Fuck, not the luster.
We needed that. And people
and people who are in this sort of,
you know, like Wall Street elite
class are being like, and
the problem is, it's that they didn't
as I wanted to do that, or at least
someone from my country club in New Rochelle.
Yeah. Yeah. I mean, if
everyone finds out it's fake, like
how am I going to make a bunch of money from doing this
anymore? And I mean, Reddises did figure that out
but no one cares about them, so.
Yeah. My credentialism
is going to be worthless if I'm getting
massively outperformed
by like, you know, some former product managers
and a lady, and
then everyone's going to, and
and not, so they've outperformed me
for years and years and years.
And now that everything
they do, we've realized everything they do is fake,
they'll realize everything I do is fake.
Fuck. Yeah.
This is all fake. A woman can do it.
A woman can do it.
Milo, you exaggerate.
Some of the people posting about
like Wall Streeters, I see posting about art
not so far from the truth. I mean, Emily,
is this your experience as well?
Yeah. I actually, I would really love to see
like a notable fund manager.
Like, Stevie Cohen should come out as transgender.
I want to know what happens. We've got to start
force-femming Wall Street.
I've been saying this. I've been saying this for years.
So, Stevie Cohen and force-femming Wall Street.
You guys have heard the story.
Yeah. Stevie Cohen did do this.
Yeah. Alice, do you not know about that?
Oh, excuse me.
Oh, I can't believe you haven't talked about this.
Emily, would you please introduce the
assembled podcast?
Yes. So, Stevie Cohen is like
this hedge fund manager guy.
He got invited for insider trading at his first firm,
Stat Capital, and so started a new one called 0.72.
And a new story came out
that one of the MDs
at this firm was making
one of their employees
take feminizing hormones
and, like, shave their legs
and, like, wear skirts to the office and stuff
and, like, do awful sexual things,
like, in the office, like, you know,
with the implicit threat that, like, you lose your job
otherwise. But, like,
yeah, he wore them really far with it.
Like, started hormones and everything. It was really powerful.
It's wild. Yeah.
Jesus fucking Christ.
And, like, everything at 0.72 is still going fine.
Oh, sure. Oh, of course, yeah.
And, like, if listeners of the show
will remember, 0.72 is the one
where they're like, no round art.
Yeah. Square art only. I hate round art.
The show was right over the 0.72, so at night
you still won. Yeah.
Co-sponsored with fucking Archive of our own, I guess.
Yeah.
So, basically, right,
and the other thing, so, on
on ARC, right,
they also love to go on
on CM. They've been doing this for, like, you know,
like, seven years, seven years of their existence
because they keep outperforming the market,
just because of the way the wind is blowing,
they would go on, they'd be like, I think Tesla,
I have a pre-slit price target of Tesla
for, like, $2,600.
And then they'd be like,
oh, okay, why?
Well, they're going to sell these amount of cars,
they're going to become a number one in Europe
by 2021, whatever, whatever, whatever.
They hit their price target, but then,
but for none of the reasons that they thought,
and so they keep getting invited back on.
And there's this really, really slick marketing operation.
I think, like, if you want to talk about,
you know, tulips, is tulips don't
become worth what they're worth
without an incredible amount
of ideological work going on,
just in, like,
the news that people read about how
Elon Musk is changing the world,
how he's epic, and how,
and also, on stuff
like finance news that people don't really watch.
That's where a lot of this consent kind of begins
to get manufactured.
And there are just layers and layers
of just marketing.
And a lot of this
marketing was, essentially,
again, go as far as
we're concerned, others may have a different opinion.
A lot of this marketing goes back to
largely creating consent
for the sort of turbo austerity
that was rolled out in the aftermath
of the financial crisis.
You to the Tesla line, the turbo austerity.
You were absolutely right about CNBC being pure propaganda.
Like, I don't know that people realize that,
like, on the floor of, essentially,
every financial firm, there are just these
TVs that are blaring, CNBC,
nonstop, so everyone sees it.
And
the barrier to going on CNBC
is not, like, terribly high.
So you can just kind of go on there if you work at
some random place and say whatever you like about your stock.
If you're a podcastor.
Yeah, if you're a podcastor. They should have me on that.
If you're a podcastor, they just let you do it.
And then it just gets
broadcast around all of you.
So you can just kind of talk it into existence, if you'd like.
Talk whatever kind of price you want into existence.
You can at least get people talking about something
that are closest to the money
in that case.
Yeah, the cowards at CNBC
refuse to have me
on to talk about which stocks
Donald Trump would buy.
There are also two guys in CNBC with
absolutely amazing goatees and
ponytails, which is the only reason to watch.
CNBC is an absolute top
network to watch for weird
outfits and daring
facial hair.
But I think the
important point to make here is sort of what I'm kind
of driving at, right?
Is that the entire
sort of fake bullshit tech economy
has all of these things
that are driving it. It has
the sort of long standing sort of zero
interest rates. It has
the sort of incredible inequality and the impossibility
of like building a successful business by doing something.
It has the being force feminized by
your boss.
I'm not sure why this is essential,
but like, if we get Spence a
confidential two out of it, then put on the
maid outfit.
I have a correction on the feminization, by the way.
I said he worked at 0.72, it was his old firm.
It was mistaken.
I'm making me put on a fucking maid costume.
I'm just supposed to sell
Hans.
We forced them to
Asimov.
That's right. Asimov now.
So in addition to all of these
things that are happening with the numbers,
so to speak, there is also
an incredible amount
of ideological alignment
and propaganda and stuff that's happening
at this fever pitch, this constant marketing
that sort of kind of
aligns everyone as well.
There is a deeply managed
process. Is it managed by
one person or group of people? No, obviously.
It's managed by
the very incentives of the system that it's
in.
So something like ARC,
this
basket of insane companies,
it's inevitable.
It was made inevitable.
Once again, I refer to my tweet,
we are trapped in the belly of the machine
and the machine is teaching girls to code.
Yeah.
It's like,
it's emperor's new clothes shit, right?
But it's like the matrix. It's like if you die in the matrix,
you die in real life because your brain makes it real.
It's the same shit where like, actually
investing a load of money in ARC
in 2014 is like, none of it
is real, but also it was a great idea.
Really?
If you start taking feminizing
hormones to get better at stocks,
unfortunately, you do then
like, grow the tits in real life.
And the thing is, right?
There's no reason that all of this couldn't,
that these conditions couldn't change
and things couldn't reverse even by the time this episode
is out.
A couple of helicopter crashes in the right places.
A couple of helicopters dropping a little bit of money.
But it's that
effectively, right?
I think it shows the
fragility and consensus
based nature of
the stupidest version
of the economy that it could possibly exist.
Yeah. And also that it's just
built on certain assumptions
and that those assumptions can be wrong
and you can get away with that for a while while people keep
assuming them. But at some point, if someone goes,
hey, what's up with these? Are these assumptions
based on anything? That's when you get problems coming in.
I just think that the fragility
is mostly worrying in that, like I mentioned before,
the only people that get hurt in a downturn
are vulnerable people, right?
So I think that's the scariest
part of all of this is like, if everything
is really this fragile and everyone
in America is already, most everyone in America
is already living very precariously.
Like, we're
playing stupid games with like many people's
real lives. And
again, it's like, you have to, if you go
back to it, right? A lot of these
inflation expectations that we
get talked about are on
the basis that the government is going to start
giving people a lot of money.
You know?
And again, I don't want to
over-determine like one cause
but it seems to me,
right? There's this assumption
that, well, inflation's gonna have to happen, they're gonna
give a lot of money to people. So
of course, the rational decision
is, well, I need to bid up the, I need to,
we need to like put a hold on
this. And then all of a sudden, all of those
expectations sort of come crashing
into contact with reality. And then,
you know, then what
happens here happens. Lots of things lose
lots of value. And
like Emily said, it's the people
least able to take that hit
that are then going to take that hit.
Yeah. Like the stuff that everybody has
money, mine is worthless. You don't want that.
Yeah. Absolutely.
When everyone has money, then
I have to get a special technology branded
money. How will everyone know I'm
special if I don't have more money?
Well, I need, I need a special rich
person only money.
Yes. Which comes in high amounts.
Like you can't get change. No.
You just have to buy more expensive shit.
That's right. Anyway,
I thought that was very interesting to look
at sort of, you know, the
model, the model of the economy
that this podcast was built to talk
about finally getting
a little bit shaken
and shaken
in a way that, again, will not hurt
any of the people who are involved
in building it. But of course not.
No. But nevertheless, at least it does
seem to be coming into contact with reality.
So before we
end, I want to
quickly do an article that I really
have enjoyed reading.
Because
Shoes by Raphael
You could only do that one
once.
Basically, in fact, Emily, are you
familiar with Lawrence Fox?
I am not. Oh,
yes.
You know what? Just log off the call right now.
You don't need to know. Continue
your blessed existence.
Imagine if like
what when you're the lesser Baldwin
brothers that are all really big Trump
supporters and make
direct to DVD
videos. Like your lesser Baldwin's
lesser Baldwin. Imagine
it sounds like a fucking niche breed of bird or
something. Imagine one of the lesser
Baldwin's was turned into like a
media darling for basically saying
that he believes society has gotten
to woke and now gets interviewed in the
newspaper and on TV and stuff more
or less every day and every publication
and also does things like eats
really overcooked steak.
He's a classic Lib Trigger guy
and
I
bet you
if Lawrence Fox
Dr. Seuss
Yeah.
I mean, he was
the assistant in Lewis. I'm trying to think
what the equivalent in he would be. Oh,
it was one of the guys off bones. That's the
kind of level of actor he is
a bones guy. Yeah.
And so he what he has done is he has
started a political party because
the conservative party is too liberal for
him on culture war issues.
He said he has started a political party
to start the culture war and he
is running for mayor of London.
Yeah, because the mayor of London
decides the outcome of the culture war. It's
actually due to an old medieval law
every year they have a parade and then
the different cultures and then the mayor of London
picks the best one. That's right. And he's never
like Britain. Yeah. Because of wokeness.
Exactly. Yeah. And the prize
is exactly the amount of money you need to save
the community centre. So it's really
So, uh, Fox writes in
the telegraph, our sense of who
we are, where we are and
what we are is being undermined.
Uh, Lawrence, can you draw me a
clock, please? Yeah, absolutely.
The wokes jazzy have taken
away my ability to draw a clock
from memory. The woke
brigade have given me out, Simon.
Right. And this
is the part of the article that I loved. Yeah.
And Emily, you will
see immediately the
you might say equivalency
with American sort of like
reactionary head bangers.
As a small child, he
writes in his announcement that he's running
for mayor of one of the world's largest cities.
As a small child, I always thought
I hate when recipes start this way.
You got to scroll all the way past the reactionary
shit. I thought you were saying as a
small child, like as someone who was a small child
would be well, hang on
my yeah as a small child. I always
thought that Britain was brilliant at everything.
I still think that, but I used to too.
Yeah, that's a little
Mitch Hedberg action as a small child.
I always thought that Britain was brilliant at everything.
I sat in secondary school being told
stories of great battles and inventors,
brave kings and wars that
lasted a hundred years of hurricanes
and spitfires dancing across the sky
vastly outnumbered, holding fast
against the relentless juggernaut of fascism
that had swept across Europe. Isn't it bad
when a war lost a hundred years? Doesn't that
mean you kind of suck at fighting a war?
Not if you win.
Yeah, we were winning for a hundred years.
That's how much we were winning.
Also, it's cool to think about.
He says,
both my grandfather has served in the war,
which basically makes him a veteran too.
And I'm being deliberately flowering and rhetorical,
but I feel it's important to confess just
how in love I am with these tiny island splotches
with a we call home
and how immovable I am in that love.
Basically, everyone's two grandfathers
served in the war, though. Like, we had full
conscription. Like, both my grandfather
served in the war. Like, what the fuck does that
mean? Like, one of my grandfathers
was a fucking RAF mechanic and spent the whole
time in Sri Lanka. He had a great time.
Like, what is your point?
Horrible guy, though. Horrible guy.
Good God, that man.
Fucking hell. So, I think what
Lawrence Fox's point here appears to be,
this sort of connects with all the stuff from up at
the beginning, which is that
Lawrence Fox was taught a version
of British history in school
that was from, like,
a boy's own version of history.
That's from, like, a coloring book. Yeah, just William.
Yeah, he was taught just William, his history.
And he's now had to learn
that that wasn't quite right. Just banned by the woke left.
And so, he is... Just Wooksleyam now.
He is running for mayor of London
to try to make history
like he thought it was when he was a kid,
when it was fun and not complicated
or morally difficult. Bring back just
William O'Kong.
Falsely banned from our universities
by the woke left. And what I
really like about this, right, is that
it's basically, I think, is the
kind of political equivalent.
He is essentially running for
office to legislate that
Santa is real.
Yeah, and he's right to do so. He's right to do so,
Santa is real. Yeah, that's right.
Who else brings the presents?
Yeah, obviously.
Yeah, you were telling me, I mean, who else
could fit down that chimney? Well, someone not magical?
Well, post-modern neo-Marxists
say it's your mom and dad.
Yeah, they're lactose intolerance.
So, what happened to the milk? Yeah.
So, rational people like me, we know
that it's Santa. Yeah.
And when I'm mayor of London, I will
officially make it the law
that Santa brings the presents
and Santa brought them all and it was never your mom
and dad. That's right.
But it is
so interesting, right, to me anyway,
how, and again, this is published in, like, a major
barrage newspaper,
which is that he's like, well,
when I was a kid, everything was simple.
If I'm mayor of London, I'll make everything simple again
and fun.
So, you can just say things like this.
You're like, wow, like, our country used to rule,
and then you could just say whatever you want afterward
and at least a few people will vote for you.
Oh, I believe that
Lawrence Fox running for mayor of London
is going to cause Sean Bailey to the
Conservative candidate to lose his deposit.
Man, he's such a bad candidate, Sean Bailey.
Really awful. Oh boy.
I would almost rather have Lawrence Fox
than Sean Bailey. That would be very
interesting to me. He would be kooky and he probably
do less damage because he'd be more, like, stupid.
This is exactly what people said about Boris
as a mayor of London.
Yeah. But then again, it would be
quite fun. Like, how would Lawrence Fox
go about, like, legislating
that Britain was actually always
brilliant? It's, like, in London.
Somehow.
We're just like, via his absolute monopoly
over the rates of parking charges,
he will.
Like, the dominoes, like, the small dominoes
changing the amount you have to pay
to park a Range Rover on a street in W1
and the massive domino is, like,
Britain was not racist, actually.
And so,
you see there's a little more of this
because the other thing is, right,
he says,
the BBC absolutely refuses
to hold anything remotely resembling
an open debate surrounding Covid policy
and lockdowns.
Leading experts in epidemiology and
evidence-based medicine have been smeared
in silence by our government.
Evidence-based medicine.
Excuse me. That's called medicine.
You fucking cretin.
If you're describing some medicine
that you're doing as evidence-based,
that makes me extremely suspicious
about how evidence-based it is.
So,
what I enjoy here, right, yeah, is
it's like, yeah, we're not allowed
to have an, because, you know, all of these
idiots love endless debate about everything,
because that means that you have to take them
seriously. And, like, yeah, like,
I actually, you know,
I think, you know, infinitely locking down
off and on because we just, like, always
wanted to, like, triangulate with the virus
or whatever kind of sucks
as a policy. And we should go one way
or the other. I would like to open
a debate about whether Lawrence Fox
got divorced because
he's a dickhead or because he's really
bad at fucking. And I would like it to go
on BBC One. Yeah.
It has to go on BBC One. You have to be taken
seriously. Exactly.
I deserve my time in the sun. At what cost
in these lives and livelihoods?
Oh, he says that lockdown, all these
lockdowns were based on, quote,
dodgy dossier like in Iraq.
He's basically
in Iraq. He's dead because of the COVID
lock. Yeah. His argument here basically
is that COVID
the COVID lockdown was based
on that is as bad as the Iraq
war,
which, yeah, he's right.
Yeah, it's as bad
having to wear a mask. That's the same thing
as being, you know, hit with depleted uranium
and Fallujah. Yeah, I just
don't. It just doesn't make any
sense to me because
like what do you
just like what do they think
happened to all the dead people
like what, like, did they just
did Santa do it? Like, what is the
what do you
it's like, how do you deny something
is like when it's literally going on
right in front of you and you
probably know people who have died
from it? I mean, I think the real answer
is like we're in this sort of
hyper atomized and alienated
place that like just
we all live, right?
You can just like you
can just be like, oh, yeah, that's not true
because I all of my
connection to everyone else is mediated by a spectacle
and I'm just going to look over here at the bit of
the spectacle that I like
that I think is good because it's the
bit of the spectacle that says that I have to
be taken seriously and I don't have to limit
my behavior in any way, even socially, etc.
Yeah, this is like denying
the Armenian genocide while you're
being dragged out of your house by a Turkish soldier
like it just makes no sense
like while I've decided this isn't happening
like what?
So there is a
whole areas of
public discourse he writes have become mine fields
where a wrong step sees your career in livelihood
ended overnight. So culture, baby.
Yeah, he's going to fight it as
mayor of London. Yeah, whereas
his career was ended very slowly by him being
a bad actor. So Emily,
wouldn't you wouldn't you be so happy if
Bill de Blasio finally ended cancel culture?
I would love it because that's
my main problem with Bill de Blasio is that
like people keep getting canceled in New York
and he hasn't done anything about it.
Which he should do, like, the mayor's office
should be doing more about cancel culture.
Is this the perfect epitome
of like the endless right-wing
self-talk shit, right?
Where they're just... I like how
he gets really close to it too. He's like,
well, the invasion of Iraq was like obviously
flawed and like under dodgy circumstances.
He's like, nothing else before that.
However, once it happened in
2003. That was when
lying was invented. Yeah.
Yeah, we were in like all that stuff about
like Thuggy or whatever in India.
That was all real. We invent... the government
invented lying to like, you know,
pursue monstrous foreign policy
aims in around
2003. Yeah.
Maybe he believes that terrible Ricky Gervais
film, The Invention of Lying, was a documentary.
Yeah, perhaps.
So...
This is just the latest sad manifestation
of an ever-present danger. The slow
demoralization of the population
fueled by the naval-gazing
revisionism of universities. They refuse
to read Dr. Seuss in universities.
And it means that everyone that the
government can lie to us about
how the past was bad and the present
is good. In reality, it's the opposite.
When I was young, people understood
that a cat could wear a hat.
And now they don't understand that anymore
because of council culture. I didn't say the thing about
Dr. Seuss. I editorialized that in
You see, we nearly got to the
end of a whole article written by Lawrence
Fox and he hasn't used the word woke yet.
Oh, it's coming.
Oh boy. Okay.
There is a deep and genuine hate of
who we are and what we've done and like
yeah, once you realize it,
what's you hear about like the Mao Mao?
How do you not have that?
Such
reflections now reached a crisis point where
even mild patriotism is branded as racism.
Oh, yeah, bud.
The old patriotism of being like
when I was a kid, I thought Britain
was the west of everything in the world.
I'm still right. Anyone who disagrees
with me is a fascist.
Mm-hmm.
All other nations are full of people that are just
not as good as me. Yeah, mild patriotism.
That's what they call it.
And I like this also.
We have progressed from resistance to female
suffrage and chemical castration of gay men
in a darker and more fearful past
where freedom of speech and elections
by secret ballot have delivered us to some
of the most liberal values on earth.
Basically, he's like, we would never
be basically because of cancel culture,
we would never be able
to like stop those bad things
from the past. I think that's what he's saying.
Yeah, because like when you think
about stopping women from voicing,
this is the ultimate kind of canceling.
Yeah.
It's a genuinely difficult time figuring out
what he's meant there.
And he makes a stupid
statue point.
As mayor of London, he would defend the statues.
Personally?
Yeah.
He can't defend any of them in the city
of London because he wouldn't be the mayor of that.
Yeah, he's got to climb
Nelson's column.
Deliberately
or by apathy, our sense of who we are,
where we are and what we are is being undermined.
Yes, I believe it is.
Only if your sense of who we are,
where we are and what we are is based
on a fucking boy's own novel.
And that's the thing that you did to yourself.
Were you just asleep through every year
of school past like five?
Well, no, it's that
what happened is Sadiq Khan
did this to him.
I am being robbed of my sense of belonging,
I say, taking the trepanning
drill to my own frontal lobe.
As mayor of London,
I will reinstate
my own sense of childlike
wonder by policy.
The Whimsical Mayor
got a new screen name for you, Riley.
Thank you.
Boris Johnson says there's nothing wrong
with being woke and Keir Starmer takes a knee.
We got it, we got it.
To hard left BLM that seeks to undermine
all the things we hold dear.
Remember when Keir Starmer took a knee
in his office on the carpet
and then just kind of like
let all of that fall by the wayside.
I was like, well, actually, I think that
if you touch a statue, you should be punished
with death, really.
Yeah, absolutely.
They're so fucking embarrassing.
I believe in the reverse of idolatry laws.
Yeah, idolatry.
You better build a gold statue.
Sadiq Khan and his nation-hating cronies
have their jealous eyes
and statues and institutions.
They want to steal all the statues.
Guys, why is everyone so mad about statues?
Yeah, what could Sadiq Khan
a kind of like
moderate, milk toast, quite
boring politician be doing
or have about him that could
excite people to these flights
of rage? I wonder.
Well, Lawrence Fox
answers that question with another question.
Where does this desire to strip us of our history
end? And I promise you, every word
I'm about to write or say
is in the article.
Where does this desire to strip us
of our history end?
Surely Queen Victoria, the epitome of empire
and white privilege, should be torn from her plinth
in front of Buckingham Palace to be swiftly
replaced with a monument to either Greta
Thunberg or Piers Morgan.
What? Piers Morgan?
What? Piers Morgan!
This just goes to show.
The woke left. I fucking love
Piers Morgan. They're so
they're so off base
with even like their attempted satire
of like, oh, yeah,
you all love Piers Morgan. Dude, what the fuck
are you talking about? Like, Piers Morgan
is a reactionary. Like, Piers
Morgan is one of the
biggest cunts in history
and you think
that is- You should stand to be a big of a big
cunt. Yeah, like what? Like, what
are you talking about? Like, also
like being robbed of our history, like,
no! You were
robbed of your history before!
This is people
explaining history to you
what you want is to live in a
drawing.
So, why are none of our politicians
standing to defend us? I am living at the
disrespect being shown to the sacrifices
of previous generations to defend our
values. And so I'm pleased to- What values
are they?
Saying the word. Yeah.
Yeah. It's the values are- English.
Love the queen.
Love the queen. Love a point.
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
It's that. It's like, that's going to be the
first law that
Mayor Lawrence
Fox will initiate. Anyway,
I'm pleased to announce that I'm
candidate to be the next mayor of London.
I look forward to speaking up for those who are
being dominated into silence. Yeah. He's
announcing his campaign. And also, I'm excited
to inform the listeners of TF
that I have a new job as a campaign
coordinator for someone who I cannot say
who they are yet. It's
Brian Rose. I think things coming. Watch this
the American jacking off guy.
I am absolutely going to be
being very proud
to be a major Lawrence
Fox surrogate on the news.
You know, Lawrence Fox is near
a tandem. Yeah. I'm going to
I'm going to go on CNBC and I'm going to
talk about how Lawrence Fox should be mayor of
London so he can defend all the statues and
somehow that's going to make the arc that's
going to fix the arc innovation ETFs woes.
The statue stocks are going to go through the roof.
Absolutely. Big marble. Yeah.
Right. Lord Elgin
surging to the top of the stock market.
That's right.
He is so cool.
I'm absolutely going to be a Lawrence Fox surrogate
and I encourage all of you to be Lawrence Fox
surrogates as well. Yeah.
Have a Lawrence Fox baby
for the good of the nation. That's right.
Anyway, we've been
going for quite a while. We certainly have.
I'm going to say number one
Emily, thank you very, very much
for coming on here and talking
to us about the economy.
Thank you very much for having me.
Where can people find you on the old internet?
I am at the Emily account on Twitter
and that's
the only social media account I have.
I have an Instagram account also called the Emily account
but please don't follow it.
Do not follow the Instagram account.
Do not contact me.
Please do not follow
any of us.
All right. And also
thank you all for listening. Please don't forget
the bonus episode on the Patreon
this week. Bonus.
And there you can hear some more of that.
We are delivering on a long standing
promise to our listeners
that we've made ever since we first got
Patrick Wyman on the show.
We have finally watched
the Guy Ritchie King Arthur movie
with him and Eleanor
Yanniga, also friend of the show.
Having a clump, simple as. Yeah.
That's right. So do check
that out on the bonus on Thursday.
And Lawrence Fox is going to bring back
as mayor of London.
It's when the king Arthur was
geysers.
And there was no trans geysers.
They was all just geysers.
It didn't matter if you were black, brown, white
or purple. You was just a geyser then.
That's right.
I love sophisticated critical analysis.
Absolutely. All right.
So that's happening. That's five bucks a month. You already know the deal.
Link is in the description of the episode.
Yeah. And also check out all the TF spin-offs.
You got the Bottleman with Riley.
You got Masters of Our Domain with me.
You've got Hell of a Way to Die with Nate.
You've got the James Bond podcast with Alice.
Yeah. That's right.
There is an infinite number of podcasts
to listen to.
And you can
invest in instead of investing
in the stock market, you should invest
your time in listening to podcasts
and your money also.
All of the Patriots. They can only go up.
I'm on CNBC right now.
I'm telling you, this is the only way it's up, baby.
All right.
Thanks everybody for listening.
See you in a few days.