TRASHFUTURE - *PREVIEW* Don’t Call It A Clubhouse ft. Gareth Dennis

Episode Date: December 19, 2025

Gareth is back! We’re talking (supersonic) planes, (cancelled) trains, and the most exciting new business opportunity arriving at the desks of the 500-700 most powerful people in the world… courte...sy of Liz Truss???? Check out Rail Natter here! Get the whole episode on Patreon here! TF Merch is still available here! *MILO ALERT* Check out Milo’s tour dates here: https://www.miloedwards.co.uk/liveshows Trashfuture are: Riley (@raaleh), Milo (@Milo_Edwards), Hussein (@HKesvani), Nate (@inthesedeserts), and November (@postoctobrist)

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 When the first government announced that it was going to build a integrated transport system in Leeds, Gareth, how old were you? I was two years old. Now, how old is your... She is two years old. Okay. Generational delays, literal generational delays. Quite something. Pretty good.
Starting point is 00:00:27 Yeah, oh boy. So, yeah, that's argument. whether that's arguments, whether that's a failure of oversight within the command authority, whether it's central government going, ah, no, you're moving too fast. By the way, the review has said, you're moving the planning part and the business case part in parallel. You can't do that, even though that would, you know, reduce the design times by two years because the business case, a completely fucking pointless process, by the way.
Starting point is 00:00:49 If politicians have said they're going to build a thing, why do they need a business case to tell them whether they should or shouldn't build the thing? Either build the thing or don't build the thing. Don't pay consultants upwards of 10 million quids to just run around in circles and say, oh, yeah, here's some utterly meaningless numbers that have absolutely no bearing on reality. Just what a cut country we are. Anyway, genuinely, it does go back to, I think, the governing philosophy that was instilled when we decided that the UK government was to be a service procurer instead of an entrepreneurial
Starting point is 00:01:17 state that did things, which is largely if the state wants to do something, what it's able to do is try to create incentives, de-risk, commissioners. studies, but it's so allergic to the digging of a hole. Yeah, that's it. Picking up a shovel and putting it into the ground and making a hole. As soon as that happens, people get extremely scared. You wonder why we never build anything or why it costs sort of so many more millions or hundreds of millions or billions of pounds per sort of unit length of track to create railroads or transport systems or buildings or anything here. And it's not because of some, you know, triumph of nimbism necessarily. It's not because of some great moral failing or it's not because
Starting point is 00:01:57 you don't have ambition. It's because the state was reconfigured to be something where all the incentives are to produce paper. Yeah, it's fundamental and deep economic problems with the UK of everything is fragmented into pieces. More so than in Europe, well, acknowledged, I've talked about this over and over again a million places, but like acknowledged problem with the UK construction industry is that it is absolutely fragmented to hell. So you have, you know, you have like deep tens of layers of outsourced of subcontracted subcontractors and that all of that just adds
Starting point is 00:02:25 extra delays, extra complexity, cost, legal fees and so on, making it almost impossible to actually physically deliver anything. It might look like it creates economic activity, which incidentally it also doesn't, but it's completely incapable of actually delivering anything physical or a public service for that matter. Yeah, this is where we are essentially
Starting point is 00:02:41 with like the stuff the government was supposed to do. And if you take that as your lens, it's actually kind of consistent. The things they were able to do are administrative changes to the way in which we rent something, but they're completely unable to expedite the putting of a shovel in the ground, especially somewhere that is in London. Yeah, and there are exactly. And there are other challenges as well, because we've alluded to it already, the fact that the, you know, Leeds Trams, West Yorkshire Mass Transit, call it what you will, is now being moved into central government by the look of the statement and kind of likely to get
Starting point is 00:03:13 oversight by whatever the latest iteration of Partnerships UK is. Like, it was. called the National Infrastructure Commission, then it was merged with the major projects association. These are all bullshity treasury quangos. All of them derived from the original you must do PFI organization called Partnerships UK, which is worthy of an episode, it's worthy of like a look back episode at some point in the future because it's like causes a lot of the misery we have today. But that is essentially a spin off of that. In fact, I have John Armit's train here is the shit boy behind me. I've got a thing that I stole off from one of his trains behind me that I'm holding hostage just because it makes me feel slightly more powerful about my life. Anyway, um, so
Starting point is 00:03:48 So, yeah, so that's one of the challenges, is the centralisation, and this is the same for GBR, is this level of DFT oversight is, it's not entirely clear. And at the moment, it looks like they have too much, like too much central control over the railroad organization, not least in reducing the level of autonomy when it comes to funding. That remains entirely unclear. So at the moment, we have five-year funding cycles for enhancements and renewals, but even those move backwards and forwards, but absolutely no forward plan for capital investment. And as we've seen, all capital investment seems to just be absolutely,
Starting point is 00:04:18 on the line for getting cancelled at the drop of a hat anyway. And I think one of the things that really worries me is my last bit on the railways bill is it's extremely inward focus still. So like the top objective of the GBR sort of bill of what GBR must do, the top objective is to maintain railway infrastructure and move trains around. It's like, well, no, that's not what GBR is about. GBR is about moving people and things around in trains on track. But its key objective is not to move trains around.
Starting point is 00:04:45 its key objective is to move people and goods around. And this kind of comes back, you know, we don't have to look far to see a slightly better approach on this stuff, which is Wales actually, because Wales has a reasonably good integrated transport policy structure at the moment. They are thinking about trains as part of the wider whole of like buses and cycles and trams and all and what have you. They are thinking about...
Starting point is 00:05:04 Well, that's the thing. If you cancel the trams, you don't have to do that. Exactly no. But yeah, very good point. And the lack of that on a UK basis. And again, that ties back to the devolved authority bit because generally things like trams, and decent quality buses are the matter of the devolved authorities.
Starting point is 00:05:19 So again, that lack of integration with devolved authorities plus the lack of consideration of integration of buses and stuff is, I would say, red flags. That's the main one. But there is one fundamental crucial issue. This comes back to the problem that we were saying that needs to be solved, is that none of this is all, whether it's good or bad, it's kind of immaterial. It's kind of something that will give stability to industry, which is good. But none of it talks about the levels of investment needed to deliver the scale of change
Starting point is 00:05:42 that our transport systems need. And I know that I'm in like a stuck record when I make this point. But without that commitment, all of this is kind of, you know, nice, but doesn't get us where we need to be or even close. All right. The thing is, the thing is, like every time, Gareth, we come and talk to you about the UK sort of transport system, it feels like what we're looking at is a slow collapsing of a jenga tower. And then around that jenga tower are a group of politicians who are trying to commission studies as to where to put the block to shore it up. And, you know, trying to do, you know, commission a study on, well, can we afford the block to shore it? Now, if the jenga tower collapses, it doesn't matter what we can or can't afford, because that's a catastrophe.
Starting point is 00:06:21 We still have to make sure we can afford the block we're going to put in somewhere to shore it up. So from that perspective, right, of just thinking about the jenga tower, what can we say about, like, the entire transport system and what we can know about it from what's happened and how we can extrapolate that to, like, just the problems of the UK's slow roll collapse more at large. And before I let you answer, I'm going to say, hey, Riley, you seem to be ending the main segment a little early today. Yes, it's Christmas. I have an amazing present for all of us. Okay, right, press. Well, now you've got me excited about presents. I can barely concentrate on the misery. No, Riley, you're absolutely spot on. There is no urgency. It's just not seen as serious politics by labor or their media cheerleaders. So, you know, they've attached as many flags to it as they can. So why pay much more attention? The reality at this point is the fact that the UK transport system is put simply on the brink of collapse, whether it happens tomorrow, whether
Starting point is 00:07:10 it happened in a year or even in five years. The consequence of that is the fact that our roads are simply unable to move the tonnage of trucks right now, shifting goods. It's the HVs, it's the haulage, the heavy goods vehicles that cause all the damage show roads that block it up. And the fact that our economy is so fragmented, we have so many of our treats are traveling around in all directions with our wonderfully complicated logistics systems. Though the Hullage into its stealth can't move that stuff anyway, it has a cripplingly
Starting point is 00:07:34 short kind of, it's a chronic lack of drivers. Electrification of road haulage is essentially impossible from a power supply. perspective, ignoring batteries or whatever. Actually, you know, you require a city to put enough electricity into the service stage to put the juice into the SUVs. This is already impacted on supply chains. It's not a future issue. It's already impact on supply chains and what's on shelves in supermarkets. It's having that impact now. And you combine that with some of the stuff that you've talked about elsewhere about other impacts that climate change is having on supply chains. And people are going to fairly, you know, there is going to be a tipping point where all of a sudden people get
Starting point is 00:08:05 really angry, really quickly because they can no longer buy their basic goods off the shelves of their local Big Tesco. You know, this is, this is going to be noticeable. And at that point, what will government have done about it? Well, we'll have a decade of,
Starting point is 00:08:17 or more of extremely wasted time when we had opportunities to do things. And now we don't. Not Big Tesco. No, not Big Tesco. Hey, look, look, I very briefly,
Starting point is 00:08:27 because I want to, before we have our presence, I'm just very briefly want to say, look, we have, there's some happy opportunities. Last episode I did, Zach hadn't won the leadership of the Green Party.
Starting point is 00:08:37 And I want to dwell, as a listener, remember, Trash reaches the podcast, that will, if you're a listener, you will be a guest at some point. And I'm one of those people. It's like George Osborne. We are working our way through everybody.
Starting point is 00:08:49 If you're in line, stay in line. Look, I just wanted to say, look, there is hope, because there's all this misery. Before we get to our present and laugh about what I hope is going to be a very tasty present that you've wrapped up for us, Riley. I just wanted to say, like, it's good that Zach is here, and we must take some joy in how much he is whipping ass and wrecking up Labour Party polling. It's a delight. We have to enjoy some of that.
Starting point is 00:09:09 So there is hope. But also there's behind that, as we said last time out, there's also the infrastructure if we have to get the right policies in place for the Green Party to then become an actual electoral force. And there's lots of good policy there, but it requires more. It requires more of that. So there's a call to action for TF people is if you can and where you can, get stuck in, get involved in organising,
Starting point is 00:09:29 but also get involved in policy stuff if organising isn't you a cup of tea either. So, yeah, there is hope. So we should feel good at. And also, of course, laugh at Luke A. her specifically. The other aspect of this is also, because I think the point you make about, like, the Labour Party doesn't really care about, like, trains as policy. They don't really talk about, like, public transport is, like, serious policy. And, like, when they do talk about it, it's, like, in these very, like, the way they talk about it is, like, really weird.
Starting point is 00:09:51 It's fucking patronising to 600,000 railway workers, you know. And it's also just because we're, we know, the sort of demographic that they kind of play to is also one that is, like, intrinsically linked to, like, car culture. And, like, you know, we've spoken a lot about, like car culture, the way that it shapes politics in like in the UK, how increasingly like as politics becomes more reactionary, the car is sort of like really one of the sort of objects that sort of what's the best like expresses that sort of very hostile politics. But we also have like in terms of like as far as transport goes, the driver has sort of always kind of been prioritized at least like in terms of lip service.

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